ForeFurlongs Intelligence

Top Horses

Individual horse profiles ranked by contextual opportunity. These are not standalone tips -- each profile should still be viewed through the race environment.

TodayMon 17 Aug | 24 horses TomorrowTue 18 Aug | 20 horses
Premium runner profile Daytona Lady 3:15 | Catterick | 6f
Quality CTier 3 price dependentFragile profile+6 more signals
Decision Confidence 62.8
PRICE DEPENDENT
Runs Today 3:15 | Catterick | 6f

Chapman Milestones Celebration, Thank You NHS Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement2/6
FFR65
Speed102
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+2lb near mark
FFR 65 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
102 Par 100
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDraw data is a negative nudge
Decision typeShortlist profileThere is useful evidence, but the horse still needs normal price, risk and race checks.
Model score29.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BMEDIUM
Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Catterick Solid effort 17-08-2026
7 Southwell (AW) Competitive 06-08-2026
7 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 06-07-2026
6 Pontefract Finished well 08-06-2026
2 Wolverhampton (AW) Solid effort 01-06-2026
4 Southwell (AW) Competitive 21-05-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating16
1winners since
4placers since
10evidence pts
06-08-2026 | Pontefract Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Call Me Betty (IRE), Great (GB), Hectic (GB)

08-06-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Moostar (GB), Ottawa (GB), Pickersgill (IRE)

Race produced winner

Pickersgill (IRE)

Later placers

Moostar (GB) (04-08-2026)

07-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Dark Kestrel (IRE), Dutch Finale (GB), Maharajas Express (GB)

Later placers

Baba Reza (GB) (06-08-2026), Candy Warhol (USA) (05-07-2026)

Today's conditions match 64% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 62%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 42%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Track / draw
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 6 1W / 3P Peak rating 73
Fast 4 0W / 1P Peak rating 72
All-weather 40 5W / 15P Peak rating 81
Placement evidence 74% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 86%
Class fit 76%
Mark room 76%
Stable setup 62%
Recent evidence 68%
Proven trip profile (B)5 similar-trip runs recordedClass benchmark supports the placementConservative mark read gives +8lb roomNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 63 | Latest FFR 65 | Best FFR 73 | Public mark read +8
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge +2.8
Variance Very steady 3.6% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 1.8 vs par
Curve Edging forward Trend 1
Trainer Ruth Carr
Jockey James Sullivan
Age 6
Draw 8
OR 63
Avg OR 60.3
OR vs Field +2.7
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 342677
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile5
DEIB
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
24-05-2022 Newcastle (AW) Standard To Slow 2 1:2.49 62.5
25-06-2022 Lingfield (AW) Standard 6 1:1.13 61.1
01-10-2022 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 3 1:1.28 61.3
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 25% Yard has been quiet recently
Freshness 11 days Recent fitness window
Micro score -0.8 trainer RTF quiet at 25%; no recent matched-ground timing evidence; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP11/1
OwnerEric Broadwith And Mrs Ruth Carr
Pedigree

Bungle Inthejungle × Roseau City (Cityscape)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Catterick 2 0.1 Neutral finish
06-08-2026 Southwell (AW) 7 0.1 Neutral finish
06-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 7 1 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
21-05-2026 | Southwell (AW)
Rating -- OR 64
01-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 64
08-06-2026 | Pontefract
Rating -- OR 64
06-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 67
06-08-2026 | Southwell (AW)
Rating -- OR 65
17-08-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 63
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Daytona Lady
PRICE DEPENDENT
DEIB
Benchmark2.55
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Daytona Lady profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 2/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 12.20s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs5
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par1m 12.20s
Last win at trip1:13.36 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 21-04-2026
Recent times1:2.49 | 1:1.13 | 1:1.28
Recent positions2 | 6 | 3
Winning contextvs par +1.16s | OR 62
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Catterick | 6f | Good | Class 6 2 11/1 63 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
06-08-2026 Southwell (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 7 25/1 65 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
06-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 7 100/30 67 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
08-06-2026 Pontefract | 6f | Good | Class 5 6 7/1 64 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
01-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 2 12/1 64 -- -- 0.2 -- GREY - no timing read
21-05-2026 Southwell (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 6 4 100/30F 64 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Under The Twilight 6:55 | Windsor | 6f
Quality CTier 3 price dependentStrong edge+6 more signals
Decision Confidence 57.0
PRICE DEPENDENT
Runs Today 6:55 | Windsor | 6f

#Matchbook Loves Racing Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement3/6
FFR87
Speed97
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+7lb ahead of mark
FFR 87 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
97 Par 100
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDraw data is a negative nudge
Decision typeShortlist profileThere is useful evidence, but the horse still needs normal price, risk and race checks.
Model score49.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI A+HIGH
Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +7lb versus today's OR
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Windsor Strong run 17-08-2026
2 Goodwood Solid effort 29-07-2026
1 Windsor Strong run 13-07-2026
4 Leicester Competitive 13-06-2026
4 Windsor Competitive 11-05-2026
2 Leicester Troubled run 25-04-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating60
7winners since
2placers since
14evidence pts
09-12-2025 | Salisbury Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Monsieur Kodi (IRE), Wodao (FR), Zouky (GB)

Race produced winner

Monsieur Kodi (IRE)

06-12-2025 | Newbury Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Abbey Heights (GB), Cajetan (GB), Coup De Force (GB)

Race produced winner

Many A Star (IRE), Mesaafi (GB)

Later placers

Cajetan (GB) (02-03-2026)

11-03-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Bear Force One (GB), Jax Edge (GB), Mythical Phoenix (IRE)

Race produced winner

Jax Edge (GB), Papa Cocktail (IRE)

Later placers

Top Juggler (IRE) (07-12-2025)

Today's conditions match 64% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 96%
Class 55%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 42%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw
Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood To Firm
Similar-ground runs5/6
Best similar rating76
Best ground bandFast
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 8 2W / 2P Peak rating 95
Good 9 0W / 3P Peak rating 98
Fast 13 4W / 8P Peak rating 91
All-weather 6 0W / 0P Peak rating 81
Placement evidence 74% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 60%
Mark room 73%
Stable setup 62%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (A+)27 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +7lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +7lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 80 | Latest FFR 87 | Best FFR 87 | Public mark read +7
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.0
Variance Reliable 6.2% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 0.4 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Michael Blake
Jockey Harry Davies
Age 8
Draw 1
OR 80
Avg OR 79.6
OR vs Field +0.4
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 624412
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile27
DEIA+
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
13-07-2026 Windsor Good To Firm 1 1:11.34 71.3
29-07-2026 Goodwood Good To Firm 2 1:10.53 70.5
17-08-2026 Windsor Good To Firm 1 1:10.87 70.9
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 47% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 19 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP7/2
OwnerRoger Gould
Pedigree

Twilight Son × Rococoa (Zebedee)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Windsor 1 0 Neutral finish
29-07-2026 Goodwood 2 0.3 Neutral finish
13-07-2026 Windsor 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 1 runs with an official OR.
25-04-2026 | Leicester
Rating 76 OR 77
11-05-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 77
13-06-2026 | Leicester
Rating -- OR 75
13-07-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 73
29-07-2026 | Goodwood
Rating -- OR 78
17-08-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 80
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Under The Twilight
PRICE DEPENDENT
DEIA+
Benchmark1
PaceUnclear
ConsensusMIXED

Under The Twilight profiles as a unclear with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A+. Model alignment is 3/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 11.85s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs27
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 11.85s
Last win at trip-- | Windsor | 17-08-2026
Recent times1:11.34 | 1:10.53 | 1:10.87
Recent positions1 | 2 | 1
Winning contextOR 80 | weight 9-7
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Windsor | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 1 7/2 80 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
29-07-2026 Goodwood | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 2 13/2 78 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
13-07-2026 Windsor | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 1 6/1 73 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
13-06-2026 Leicester | 6f | Good | Class 5 4 3/1 75 -- -- 3 -- GREY - no timing read
11-05-2026 Windsor | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 3 4 4/1 77 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
25-04-2026 Leicester | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 2 100/30 77 76 49 3.5 1:11.62 GOLD - faster than par
Premium runner profile Forca Timao 5:00 | Lingfield (AW) | 10f
Quality CTier 3 price dependentClear but not dominant+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 63.0
PRICE DEPENDENT
Runs Today 5:00 | Lingfield (AW) | 10f

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement2/6
FFR62
Speed102
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+2lb near mark
FFR 62 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
102 Par 100
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeShortlist profileThere is useful evidence, but the horse still needs normal price, risk and race checks.
Model score32.5Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest +2lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3 Lingfield (AW) Solid effort 17-08-2026
5 Kempton (AW) Competitive 27-05-2026
4 Lingfield (AW) Finished well 20-04-2026
4 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 27-02-2026
6 Lingfield (AW) Competitive 24-01-2026
5 Chelmsford (AW) Run faded 02-01-2026
Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating5
0winners since
4placers since
4evidence pts
01-02-2026 | Chelmsford (AW) Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Spectacular Style (GB)

09-08-2025 | Windsor Finished 13
Later placers

Graham (GB) (03-10-2025), Naasma (IRE) (06-09-2025)

Today's conditions match 61% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 52%
Class 65%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Pace shape
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs6/6
Best similar rating65
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 69
Good 4 0W / 0P Peak rating 96
Fast 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 93
All-weather 20 1W / 3P Peak rating 96
Placement evidence 69% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 60%
Class fit 76%
Mark room 76%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 68%
13 similar-trip runs recordedClass benchmark supports the placementConservative mark read gives +8lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +2lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +2lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 60 | Latest FFR 62 | Best FFR 83 | Public mark read +8
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge +2.0
Variance Reliable 5.4% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 2.4 vs par
Curve Edging forward Trend 1
Trainer Mark Pattinson
Jockey Alfie Redman(7)
Age 6
Draw 3
OR 60
Avg OR 57.6
OR vs Field +2.4
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form -56445
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m2f
Runs at profile13
DEID
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
27-02-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 4 2:7.08 127.1
20-04-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 4 2:5.30 125.3
17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 3 2:5.04 125
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.5 micro score
Trainer RTF 37% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 82 days Standard layoff
Micro score +0.5 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; headgear declared: ht
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearhtDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP7/1
OwnerMrs M Elliott
Pedigree

Kessaar × Belle Diva (Dark Angel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 3 0.3 Neutral finish
27-05-2026 Kempton (AW) 5 2.8 Neutral finish
20-04-2026 Lingfield (AW) 4 0.1 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 4 runs with an official OR.
02-01-2026 | Chelmsford (AW)
Rating 29 OR 66
24-01-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating 60 OR 63
27-02-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating 64 OR 61
20-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating 65 OR 61
27-05-2026 | Kempton (AW)
Rating -- OR 61
17-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 60
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Forca Timao
PRICE DEPENDENT
DEID
Benchmark3
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Forca Timao profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 07.16s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs13
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par2m 07.16s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times2:7.08 | 2:5.30 | 2:5.04
Recent positions4 | 4 | 3
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 10f | Standard | Class 6 3 7/1 60 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
27-05-2026 Kempton (AW) | 8f | Standard To Slow | Class 5 5 25/1 61 -- -- 2.8 -- GREY - no timing read
20-04-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 1m2f | Standard | Class 5 4 22/1 61 65 32 0.1 2:05.30 GOLD - faster than par
27-02-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 1m2f | Standard | Class 6 4 17/2 61 64 46 0.5 2:07.08 GOLD - faster than par
24-01-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 1m4f | Standard | Class 6 6 33/1 63 60 54 2.2 2:32.88 GREY - below benchmark
02-01-2026 Chelmsford (AW) | 1m6f | Standard | Class 5 5 40/1 66 29 2 8 3:06.17 GREY - below benchmark
Premium runner profile Bergamo Gold 5:00 | Lingfield (AW) | 10f
Quality CTier 3 price dependentMarginal edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 59.8
PRICE DEPENDENT
Runs Today 5:00 | Lingfield (AW) | 10f

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement2/6
FFR56
Speed94
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-4lb below mark
FFR 56 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
94 Par 100
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeShortlist profileThere is useful evidence, but the horse still needs normal price, risk and race checks.
Model score30.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BMEDIUM
Mark readNear markLatest -4lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read -1lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
5 Lingfield (AW) Competitive 17-08-2026
4 Leicester Steady run 14-07-2026
8 Redcar Steady run 18-05-2026
9 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 30-04-2026
2 Lingfield (AW) Finished well 14-04-2026
3 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 30-03-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating19
2winners since
2placers since
10evidence pts
02-08-2026 | Chelmsford (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Berkshire Schmokin (IRE), Bosh Soldier (GB), Let Her Go (IRE)

03-05-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Akrivos (IRE), Bradbury (IRE), Chilliconcarneigh (IRE)

Race produced winner

Bradbury (IRE)

02-03-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Curated (IRE), Flying Macs (GB), Hamish Leek (GB)

Race produced winner

Lexington Express (IRE)

Later placers

Popty Ping (GB) (05-07-2026), Silver State (IRE) (06-06-2026)

Today's conditions match 58% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 55%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 58%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Pace shape
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs4/6
Best similar rating68
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Fast 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 11 2W / 5P Peak rating 68
Placement evidence 62% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 86%
Class fit 58%
Mark room 49%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 50%
Proven trip profile (B)6 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence is mixed
Mark read Latest -4lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read -1lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest -4lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read -1lb

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 60 | Latest FFR 56 | Best FFR 76 | Public mark read -1
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +0.8
Variance Very steady 3.2% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -0.5 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Charlie Johnston
Jockey Callum Shepherd
Age 3
Draw 8
OR 60
Avg OR 57.6
OR vs Field +2.4
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 132984
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m2f
Runs at profile6
DEIB
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
18-05-2026 Redcar Good 8 2:7.78 127.8
14-07-2026 Leicester Good To Firm 4 2:10.23 130.2
17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 5 2:5.42 125.4
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF 45% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 34 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP4/1
OwnerKingsley Park 41
Pedigree

Ten Sovereigns × Bergamask (Kingmambo)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 3.8L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 5 1 Neutral finish
14-07-2026 Leicester 4 4 Neutral finish
18-05-2026 Redcar 8 6.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 3 runs with an official OR.
30-03-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 65 OR 64
14-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating 68 OR 64
30-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating 33 OR 65
18-05-2026 | Redcar
Rating -- OR 64
14-07-2026 | Leicester
Rating -- OR 62
17-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 60
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Bergamo Gold
PRICE DEPENDENT
DEIB
Benchmark1
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Bergamo Gold profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 07.16s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs6
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par2m 07.16s
Last win at trip2:07.24 | Lingfield (AW) | 05-03-2026
Recent times2:7.78 | 2:10.23 | 2:5.42
Recent positions8 | 4 | 5
Winning contextvs par +0.08s | OR 55
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 10f | Standard | Class 6 5 4/1 60 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
14-07-2026 Leicester | 10f | Good To Firm | Class 5 4 10/1 62 -- -- 4 -- GREY - no timing read
18-05-2026 Redcar | 10f | Good | Class 5 8 16/1 64 -- -- 6.5 -- GREY - no timing read
30-04-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 1m2f | Standard | Class 5 9 6/1 65 33 22 8 2:08.12 GREEN - within 1% of par
14-04-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 1m2f | Standard | Class 6 2 9/2 64 68 23 1.2 2:08.67 AMBER - competitive
30-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 1m1½f | Standard | Class 6 3 5/2 64 65 28 0.3 2:02.79 GOLD - faster than par
Premium runner profile Optician 8:10 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 12f
Quality CTier 3 price dependentDominant edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 63.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 8:10 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 12f

Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR60
Speed103
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR-15lb below mark
FFR 60 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
103 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting profile, but FFR sits below today's mark Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score51.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BHIGH
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -15lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
9 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 17-08-2026
2 Redcar Solid effort 29-07-2026
5 York Competitive 10-07-2026
1 Doncaster Strong run 14-06-2026
10 Thirsk Troubled run 31-05-2026
4 Southwell (AW) Run faded 11-04-2026
Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating18
2winners since
2placers since
6evidence pts
02-11-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Kitty Foyle (IRE), Kolisi (IRE), Path To Dubai (GB)

01-04-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Lexington Knight (IRE), Parramount (GB), Saligo Bay (IRE)

Race produced winner

Lexington Knight (IRE), Wonder (GB)

Later placers

Roaring Legend (FR) (09-12-2025), Saligo Bay (IRE) (09-11-2025)

Today's conditions match 56% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 65%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating79
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 5 1W / 2P Peak rating 65
Good 4 0W / 1P Peak rating 80
Fast 6 0W / 3P Peak rating 80
All-weather 20 2W / 7P Peak rating 83
Placement evidence 66% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 94%
Class fit 76%
Mark room 16%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (B)20 similar-trip runs recordedClass benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -15lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -15lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 75 | Latest FFR 60 | Best FFR 82 | Public mark read -12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Edging forward

confidence nudge +2.8
Variance Reliable 5.4% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 6.9 vs par
Curve Edging forward Trend 1
Trainer Michael Herrington
Jockey David Probert
Age 6
Draw 1
OR 75
Avg OR 71.3
OR vs Field +3.7
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form -40152
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m4f
Runs at profile20
DEIB
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
14-06-2026 Doncaster Good To Soft 1 2:31.31 151.3
10-07-2026 York Good To Firm 5 2:33.47 153.5
17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 9 2:42.90 162.9
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF 49% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 19 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP7/1
OwnerMichael Herrington Racing Club
Pedigree

Expert Eye × Starlit Sands (Oasis Dream)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distanceBeaten favouriteMarket expected more last time
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 9 0.1 Neutral finish
29-07-2026 Redcar 2 5 Neutral finish
10-07-2026 York 5 2 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 1 runs with an official OR.
11-04-2026 | Southwell (AW)
Rating 79 OR 75
31-05-2026 | Thirsk
Rating -- OR 74
14-06-2026 | Doncaster
Rating -- OR 72
10-07-2026 | York
Rating -- OR 75
29-07-2026 | Redcar
Rating -- OR 75
17-08-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 75
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Optician
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIB
Benchmark3
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Optician profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 39.36s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs20
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par2m 39.36s
Last win at trip-- | Doncaster | 14-06-2026
Recent times2:31.31 | 2:33.47 | 2:42.90
Recent positions1 | 5 | 9
Winning contextOR 72 | weight 9-10
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 12f | Standard | Class 5 9 7/1 75 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
29-07-2026 Redcar | 10f | Good To Firm | Class 5 2 7/2C 75 -- -- 5 -- GREY - no timing read
10-07-2026 York | 12f | Good To Firm | Class 4 5 13/2 75 -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
14-06-2026 Doncaster | 12f | Good To Soft | Class 5 1 9/2 72 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
31-05-2026 Thirsk | 12f | Good | Class 4 10 22/1 74 -- -- 6 -- GREY - no timing read
11-04-2026 Southwell (AW) | 1m3f | Standard | Class 5 4 18/1 75 79 42 0.8 2:24.96 GOLD - faster than par
Premium runner profile Trojan Truth 7:55 | Windsor | 11.5f
Quality CTier 3 price dependentClear but not dominant+6 more signals
Decision Confidence 60.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 7:55 | Windsor | 11.5f

Matchbook Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR50
Speed98
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-10lb below mark
FFR 50 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
98 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting profile, but FFR sits below today's mark Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score32.3Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CLOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -10lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -7lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
5 Windsor Competitive 17-08-2026
2 Ffos Las Solid effort 28-07-2026
3 Leicester Solid effort 14-07-2026
6 Doncaster Competitive 20-06-2026
2 Chepstow Run faded 29-05-2026
6 Leicester Competitive 09-05-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating25
3winners since
7placers since
12evidence pts
05-12-2025 | Windsor Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Graecia (IRE), Most Wanted (IRE)

Later placers

Golden Circet (IRE) (02-04-2026), Most Wanted (IRE) (07-07-2026)

07-11-2025 | Chepstow Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Douglas Dc (IRE), Spectacular Style (GB), Sweet Nightingale (GB)

Later placers

Douglas Dc (IRE) (08-04-2026), Sweet Nightingale (GB) (04-05-2026)

06-02-2025 | Windsor Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Bond Spirit (GB), Devizes (IRE), Fravanco (GB)

Race produced winner

Jimmy Mark (IRE), Regally Blonde (GB)

Later placers

Fravanco (GB) (08-04-2025), Stintino Sunset (GB) (07-02-2025)

Today's conditions match 50% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 62%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 34%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw
Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood To Firm
Similar-ground runs5/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 49
Good 4 0W / 1P Peak rating 58
Fast 18 6W / 9P Peak rating 67
All-weather 12 0W / 4P Peak rating 70
Placement evidence 59% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 58%
Class fit 72%
Mark room 31%
Stable setup 58%
Recent evidence 76%
Class benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -10lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -7lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -10lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -7lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 60 | Latest FFR 50 | Best FFR 64 | Public mark read -7
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Very steady 2% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 3 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Ed de Giles
Jockey Owen Lewis(5)
Age 7
Draw 2
OR 60
Avg OR 53.2
OR vs Field +6.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form -62632
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m3½f
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m3½f
Runs at profile4
DEIC
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
03-06-2024 Windsor Good To Firm 1 2:29.79 149.8
02-06-2025 Windsor Good To Firm 1 2:28.45 148.4
17-08-2026 Windsor Good To Firm 5 2:33.55 153.6
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 37% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 20 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: b; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearbDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP10/1
OwnerWoodham Walter Partnership
Pedigree

Ulysses × Verity (Redoute's Choice)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Windsor 5 2.2 Neutral finish
28-07-2026 Ffos Las 2 0.1 Neutral finish
14-07-2026 Leicester 3 2 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
09-05-2026 | Leicester
Rating -- OR 63
29-05-2026 | Chepstow
Rating -- OR 61
20-06-2026 | Doncaster
Rating -- OR 62
14-07-2026 | Leicester
Rating -- OR 61
28-07-2026 | Ffos Las
Rating -- OR 60
17-08-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 60
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Trojan Truth
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIC
Benchmark2.55
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Trojan Truth profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 2/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 29.11s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs4
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par2m 29.11s
Last win at trip2:28.45 | Windsor | 02-06-2025
Recent times2:29.79 | 2:28.45 | 2:33.55
Recent positions1 | 1 | 5
Winning contextvs par -0.66s | OR 55
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Windsor | 11.5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 5 10/1 60 -- -- 2.2 -- GREY - no timing read
28-07-2026 Ffos Las | 12f | Good | Class 6 2 33/1 60 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
14-07-2026 Leicester | 12f | Good To Firm | Class 6 3 17/2 61 -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
20-06-2026 Doncaster | 12f | Good To Firm | Class 5 6 10/1 62 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
29-05-2026 Chepstow | 12f | Good To Firm | Class 6 2 6/1 61 -- -- 2.5 -- GREY - no timing read
09-05-2026 Leicester | 12f | Good To Firm | Class 5 6 25/1 63 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Egotistical 4:00 | Lingfield (AW) | 6f
Quality CTier 3 price dependentStrong edge+6 more signals
Decision Confidence 59.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 4:00 | Lingfield (AW) | 6f

Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR58
Speed100
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-11lb below mark
FFR 58 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
100 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting profile, but FFR sits below today's mark Main riskDraw data is a negative nudge
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score49.0Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CMEDIUM
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -11lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Lingfield (AW) Solid effort 17-08-2026
4 Yarmouth Run faded 26-06-2026
7 Pontefract Run faded 02-06-2026
1 Redcar Strong run 30-04-2026
3 Nottingham Run faded 18-04-2026
2 Newcastle (AW) Solid effort 20-01-2026
Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating18
1winners since
1placers since
4evidence pts
06-02-2026 | Pontefract Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Storm Esme (GB)

Race produced winner

Saucy Jane (GB)

Later placers

D Flawless (IRE) (01-04-2026)

Today's conditions match 50% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 55%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 42%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating69
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 2 0W / 1P Peak rating 75
Fast 2 1W / 1P Peak rating --
All-weather 3 0W / 3P Peak rating 69
Placement evidence 52% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 70%
Class fit 59%
Mark room 28%
Stable setup 62%
Recent evidence 42%
6 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidenceRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Mark read Latest -11lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -11lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 69 | Latest FFR 58 | Best FFR 88 | Public mark read -8
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge +2.0
Variance Reliable 5.5% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 0 vs par
Curve Edging forward Trend 1
Trainer Roger Varian
Jockey Ross Coakley
Age 3
Draw 5
OR 69
Avg OR 67.8
OR vs Field +1.2
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form -23174
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile6
DEIC
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
02-06-2026 Pontefract Good 7 1:16.61 76.6
26-06-2026 Yarmouth Good To Firm 4 1:12.11 72.1
17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 2 1:11.42 71.4
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+1.0 micro score
Trainer RTF 73% Yard in a positive recent rhythm
Freshness 52 days Standard layoff
Micro score +1.0 trainer RTF hot at 73%; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP5/2
OwnerVarian Racing Xi
Pedigree

Acclamation × Self Centred (Medicean)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this tripBeaten favouriteMarket expected more last time
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 2 6 Neutral finish
26-06-2026 Yarmouth 4 0.5 Run faded
02-06-2026 Pontefract 7 0.8 Run faded
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 2 earlier runs were unrated.
20-01-2026 | Newcastle (AW)
Rating 69 OR Unrated
18-04-2026 | Nottingham
Rating 75 OR Unrated
30-04-2026 | Redcar
Rating -- OR 70
02-06-2026 | Pontefract
Rating -- OR 71
26-06-2026 | Yarmouth
Rating -- OR 70
17-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 69
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Egotistical
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIC
Benchmark1
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Egotistical profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 2/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 11.64s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs6
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par1m 11.64s
Last win at trip1:10.10 | Redcar | 30-04-2026
Recent times1:16.61 | 1:12.11 | 1:11.42
Recent positions7 | 4 | 2
Winning contextvs par -1.54s | OR 70
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 2 5/2 69 -- -- 6 -- GREY - no timing read
26-06-2026 Yarmouth | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 5 4 13/8F 70 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
02-06-2026 Pontefract | 6f | Good | Class 5 7 2/1F 71 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
30-04-2026 Redcar | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 1 13/8 70 -- 49 0 1:10.10 GOLD - faster than par
18-04-2026 Nottingham | 6f | Good | Class 4 3 4/1 -- 75 64 0.1 1:14.61 GREY - below benchmark
20-01-2026 Newcastle (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 4 2 11/1 -- 69 56 0.5 0:59.64 GOLD - faster than par
Premium runner profile Keldeo 7:10 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f
Quality CTier 3 price dependentClear but not dominant+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 54.8
WATCH ONLY
Runs Today 7:10 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f

Follow @attheraces On X Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement2/6
FFR67
Speed96
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR-2lb near mark
FFR 67 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
96 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score34.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AMEDIUM
Mark readNear markLatest -2lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read +1lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 17-08-2026
9 Chester Competitive 25-07-2026
2 Beverley Solid effort 16-06-2026
4 Ripon Run faded 03-06-2026
4 Carlisle Steady run 18-05-2026
4 Pontefract Run faded 29-04-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating22
2winners since
8placers since
12evidence pts
04-08-2026 | Catterick Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Fillys Last Lady (GB), Fizzy Cristal (GB), Indys Angel (GB)

Later placers

Indy's Angel (GB) (07-08-2026)

06-03-2026 | Ripon Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Beattie Is Back (GB), Blazing Son (GB), Cairdeas (GB)

Later placers

Beattie Is Back (GB) (08-06-2026), Blazing Son (GB) (07-05-2026)

09-09-2025 | Catterick Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Albegone (GB), Betweenthesticks (GB), Chuti Manika (IRE)

Race produced winner

Betweenthesticks (GB), Military Girl (IRE)

Later placers

Albegone (GB) (02-06-2026), Desert Champion (IRE) (02-10-2025)

Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 58%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 8 2W / 3P Peak rating 80
Good 14 3W / 5P Peak rating 81
Fast 5 0W / 4P Peak rating 79
All-weather 6 0W / 1P Peak rating 85
Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 42%
Mark room 55%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Proven trip profile (A)6 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest -2lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read +1lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest -2lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read +1lb

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 69 | Latest FFR 67 | Best FFR 76 | Public mark read +1
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Reliable 7.6% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 8 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Ollie Pears
Jockey Harry Russell
Age 5
Draw 4
OR 69
Avg OR 66.4
OR vs Field +2.6
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 144429
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile6
DEIA
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
08-04-2026 Catterick Good 1 1:11.59 71.6
03-06-2026 Ripon Good 4 1:11.66 71.7
17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 4 1:14.24 74.2
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF 32% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 23 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP16/1
OwnerOwnaracehorse O Pears And Tt Racing Ltd
Pedigree

Land Force × Kept Under Wraps (Clodovil)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this tripBeaten favouriteMarket expected more last time
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.7L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 4 0.3 Neutral finish
25-07-2026 Chester 9 0.2 Neutral finish
16-06-2026 Beverley 2 1.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
29-04-2026 | Pontefract
Rating -- OR 73
18-05-2026 | Carlisle
Rating -- OR 72
03-06-2026 | Ripon
Rating -- OR 71
16-06-2026 | Beverley
Rating -- OR 70
25-07-2026 | Chester
Rating -- OR 70
17-08-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 69
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Keldeo
WATCH ONLY
DEIA
Benchmark0
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Keldeo profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 13.84s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs6
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par1m 13.84s
Last win at trip1:11.59 | Catterick | 08-04-2026
Recent times1:11.59 | 1:11.66 | 1:14.24
Recent positions1 | 4 | 4
Winning contextvs par -2.25s | OR 69
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 4 16/1 69 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
25-07-2026 Chester | 5f | Good | Class 5 9 7/2F 70 -- -- 0.2 -- GREY - no timing read
16-06-2026 Beverley | 5f | Good | Class 5 2 6/1 70 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
03-06-2026 Ripon | 6f | Good | Class 5 4 10/1 71 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
18-05-2026 Carlisle | 5f | Good | Class 5 4 8/1 72 -- -- 5.5 -- GREY - no timing read
29-04-2026 Pontefract | 5f | Good | Class 5 4 5/2F 73 -- 47 0.5 1:03.87 GOLD - faster than par
Premium runner profile Stellarmasterpiece 2:15 | Catterick | 12f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyMarginal edge+6 more signals
Decision Confidence 36.8
PRICE DEPENDENT
Runs Today 2:15 | Catterick | 12f

Download The Raceday Ready App Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement2/6
FFR81
Speed109
ConditionsPositive fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+18lb ahead of mark
FFR 81 pounds scale
SpeedScoreabove par
109 Par 100
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score38.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI A+HIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest +18lb | peak +41lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Catterick Finished well 17-08-2026
1 Stratford Strong run 19-07-2026
1 Stratford Strong run 30-06-2026
1 Stratford Strong run 30-05-2026
6 Catterick Competitive 11-05-2026
3 Catterick Solid effort 22-04-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating26
2winners since
2placers since
10evidence pts
04-08-2026 | Catterick Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Ebony Maw (GB), Its Only Fun (IRE), Nakatomi (IRE)

06-10-2025 | Catterick Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Cavallo Pazzo (IRE), Laudable (GB), Paper Doll (IRE)

Race produced winner

Paper Doll (IRE)

Later placers

Time Tells All (IRE) (04-12-2025)

09-09-2025 | Catterick Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Throne Hall (GB), Victoria Legend (IRE)

Race produced winner

Twoforthegutter (IRE)

Later placers

Bollin Neil (GB) (01-01-2026)

Today's conditions match 68% Positive conditions match
Trip / ground 96%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 58%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs3/6
Best similar rating69
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 10 0W / 3P Peak rating 68
Good 9 4W / 5P Peak rating 70
Fast 5 4W / 4P Peak rating 71
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 74% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 44%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 70%
Recent evidence 68%
Proven trip profile (A+)11 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +18lb | peak +41lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +18lb | peak +41lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 63 | Latest FFR 81 | Best FFR 104 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +2.8
Variance Reliable 6.8% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Big ceiling edge 16.7 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Micky Hammond
Jockey Miss Becky Smith
Age 6
Draw 3
OR 63
Avg OR 63.7
OR vs Field -0.7
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 15-436
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m4f
Runs at profile11
DEIA+
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
18-08-2025 Catterick Good To Firm 1 2:37.68 157.7
08-04-2026 Catterick Good 4 2:34.76 154.8
17-08-2026 Catterick Good 1 2:40.80 160.8
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 37% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 29 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP7/2
OwnerM H O G
Pedigree

Cloth Of Stars × Sister Dam's (Mastercraftsman)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Catterick 1 0 Fast finish
19-07-2026 Stratford 1 0 Neutral finish
30-06-2026 Stratford 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 1 runs with an official OR.
22-04-2026 | Catterick
Rating 69 OR 65
11-05-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 64
30-05-2026 | Stratford
Rating -- OR 71
30-06-2026 | Stratford
Rating -- OR 77
19-07-2026 | Stratford
Rating -- OR 85
17-08-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 63
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Stellarmasterpiece
PRICE DEPENDENT
DEIA+
Benchmark0
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Stellarmasterpiece profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A+. Model alignment is 2/6. Draw data adds a small confidence boost. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 36.63s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs11
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par2m 36.63s
Last win at trip-- | Catterick | 17-08-2026
Recent times2:37.68 | 2:34.76 | 2:40.80
Recent positions1 | 4 | 1
Winning contextOR 63 | weight 10-9
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Catterick | 12f | Good | Class 5 1 7/2 63 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
19-07-2026 Stratford | 18.5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 1 10/11F 85 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
30-06-2026 Stratford | 18.5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 1 4/1 77 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
30-05-2026 Stratford | 16.5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 1 5/4F 71 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
11-05-2026 Catterick | 16f | Good | Class 6 6 15/2 64 -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
22-04-2026 Catterick | 1m6f | Good | Class 6 3 5/1 65 69 64 2 2:59.79 GREY - below benchmark
Premium runner profile Classy Clarets 4:45 | Catterick | 7f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyMarginal edge+6 more signals
Decision Confidence 38.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 4:45 | Catterick | 7f

Racing Again 26th August Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR71
Speed100
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+2lb near mark
FFR 71 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
100 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score29.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI A+HIGH
Mark readNear markLatest FFR read +2lb versus today's OR
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Catterick Solid effort 17-08-2026
1 Hamilton Strong run 16-07-2026
1 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 14-07-2026
1 Catterick Strong run 08-07-2026
1 Musselburgh Strong run 30-06-2026
5 Catterick Competitive 22-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating9
1winners since
2placers since
8evidence pts
07-08-2026 | Catterick Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Coconut Bay (GB), Filey Beach (IRE), Groundsman (IRE)

06-06-2026 | Musselburgh Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Fear And Fast (GB), Hard Nut (IRE), Sixcor (GB)

Later placers

Albegone (GB) (04-08-2026)

03-06-2026 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

A Lady Forever (GB), Desert Master (GB), Doralee (GB)

Race produced winner

Doralee (GB)

Later placers

Desert Master (GB) (06-06-2026)

Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 96%
Class 37%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 34%
Handicap 58%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 3 0W / 0P Peak rating 52
Good 15 2W / 8P Peak rating 73
Fast 8 2W / 3P Peak rating 64
All-weather 20 4W / 8P Peak rating 71
Placement evidence 62% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 16%
Mark room 58%
Stable setup 58%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (A+)14 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueClass benchmark is a concern
Mark read Latest FFR read +2lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest FFR read +2lb versus today's OR

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 69 | Latest FFR 71 | Best FFR 71 | Public mark read +2
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Very steady 4.2% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 1 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Iain Jardine
Jockey Shay Farmer(5)
Age 5
Draw 7
OR 69
Avg OR 67.3
OR vs Field +1.7
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 451111
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance7f
Runs at profile14
DEIA+
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
08-07-2026 Catterick Good To Firm 1 1:23.12 83.1
14-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 1 1:28.59 88.6
17-08-2026 Catterick Good 2 1:26.84 86.8
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 32% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 32 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: h; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearhDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP12/1
OwnerDanny Coyles
Pedigree

Cotai Glory × Hope And Faith (Zebedee)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Catterick 2 1.2 Neutral finish
16-07-2026 Hamilton 1 0 Neutral finish
14-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
22-06-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 55
30-06-2026 | Musselburgh
Rating -- OR 55
08-07-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 55
14-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 58
16-07-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 58
17-08-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 69
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Classy Clarets
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIA+
Benchmark-2.55
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Classy Clarets profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A+. Model alignment is 2/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 26.14s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs14
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 26.14s
Last win at trip-- | Wolverhampton (AW) | 14-07-2026
Recent times1:23.12 | 1:28.59 | 1:26.84
Recent positions1 | 1 | 2
Winning contextOR 58 | weight 9-8
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Catterick | 7f | Good | Class 5 2 12/1 69 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
16-07-2026 Hamilton | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 1 1/1F 58 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
14-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 6 1 4/7F 58 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
08-07-2026 Catterick | 7f | Good To Firm | Class 6 1 4/1 55 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
30-06-2026 Musselburgh | 7f | Good | Class 6 1 2/1F 55 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
22-06-2026 Catterick | 7f | Good To Firm | Class 6 5 9/1 55 -- -- 0.2 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Thornaby Pearl 5:20 | Windsor | 5f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyClear but not dominant+6 more signals
Decision Confidence 32.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 5:20 | Windsor | 5f

Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Apprentice Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR77
Speed110
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+9lb ahead of mark
FFR 77 pounds scale
SpeedScoreabove par
110 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score38.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI A+HIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Windsor Strong run 17-08-2026
3 Newmarket (July) Finished well 08-08-2026
1 Musselburgh Strong run 31-07-2026
1 Hamilton Strong run 11-07-2026
2 Hamilton Solid effort 25-06-2026
4 Nottingham Run faded 11-06-2026
Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating8
1winners since
0placers since
6evidence pts
08-08-2026 | Newmarket (July) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Loleeta (GB), Merrimack (GB), Our Planet (IRE)

06-08-2026 | Pontefract Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Forever Noah (GB), Isla Bella (GB), Knicks (IRE)

08-12-2025 | Hamilton Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Fortunate Star (IRE), Happier (IRE), Hard Nut (IRE)

Race produced winner

Fortunate Star (IRE)

Today's conditions match 62% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 96%
Class 45%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 34%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw
Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood To Firm
Similar-ground runs3/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 20 2W / 4P Peak rating 82
Good 9 3W / 6P Peak rating 74
Fast 7 1W / 3P Peak rating 75
All-weather 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 64
Placement evidence 68% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 29%
Mark room 79%
Stable setup 58%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (A+)23 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +9lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concern
Mark read Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 68 | Latest FFR 77 | Best FFR 77 | Public mark read +9
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Variable; High bounce risk; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Improving

confidence nudge -0.8
Variance Variable 12.9% volatility
Bounce High bounce risk Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Big ceiling edge 13.3 vs par
Curve Improving Trend 2
Trainer Adrian Nicholls
Jockey Jake Dickson(5)
Age 8
Draw 8
OR 68
Avg OR 64.9
OR vs Field +3.1
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 142113
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile23
DEIA+
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
31-07-2026 Musselburgh Good 1 0:59.01 59
08-08-2026 Newmarket (July) Good To Firm 3 0:59.17 59.2
17-08-2026 Windsor Good To Firm 1 0:58.22 58.2
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 45% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 9 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP100/30J
OwnerIngleby Bloodstock Limited
Pedigree

Pearl Secret × Juncea (Elnadim)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Windsor 1 0 Neutral finish
08-08-2026 Newmarket (July) 3 0.3 Fast finish
31-07-2026 Musselburgh 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
11-06-2026 | Nottingham
Rating -- OR 59
25-06-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 61
11-07-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 62
31-07-2026 | Musselburgh
Rating -- OR 64
08-08-2026 | Newmarket (July)
Rating -- OR 67
17-08-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 68
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Thornaby Pearl
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIA+
Benchmark-1
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Thornaby Pearl profiles as a unclear with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A+. Model alignment is 2/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 59.28s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs23
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par59.28s
Last win at trip-- | Windsor | 17-08-2026
Recent times0:59.01 | 0:59.17 | 0:58.22
Recent positions1 | 3 | 1
Winning contextOR 68 | weight 9-7
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Windsor | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 1 100/30J 68 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
08-08-2026 Newmarket (July) | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 3 9/2 67 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
31-07-2026 Musselburgh | 5f | Good | Class 6 1 11/2 64 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
11-07-2026 Hamilton | 5f | Good | Class 6 1 7/2 62 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
25-06-2026 Hamilton | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 2 9/4 61 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
11-06-2026 Nottingham | 5f | Soft | Class 6 4 3/1 59 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Le Rouge Chinois 3:30 | Lingfield (AW) | 16f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyStrong edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 49.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 3:30 | Lingfield (AW) | 16f

Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR64
Speed90
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+9lb ahead of mark
FFR 64 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
90 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score43.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI EVERY_LOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest +9lb | peak +29lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Lingfield (AW) Solid effort 17-08-2026
2 Yarmouth Finished well 05-08-2026
13 Longchamp Competitive 23-04-2026
7 Chantilly Steady run 18-11-2025
3 Chantilly Solid effort 31-10-2025
7 Saint-Cloud (FR) Competitive 03-10-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating7
0winners since
7placers since
8evidence pts
08-05-2026 | Yarmouth Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Cloudy Rose (GB), Fornido (GB), Highland Harvey (IRE)

Later placers

Spaceage Love Song (IRE) (07-08-2026)

07-08-2025 | Chantilly (FR) Finished 7
Later placers

Monty (FR) (11-11-2025)

01-07-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Green Team (FR), Its A Love Thing (GB), Lawmans Blis (IRE)

Later placers

Alfheim (IRE) (02-08-2025), Blue Sky Boy (IRE) (01-11-2025)

Today's conditions match 58% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 38%
Class 65%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs3/6
Best similar rating72
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 5 0W / 0P Peak rating 89
Good 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Fast 3 1W / 2P Peak rating 79
All-weather 20 0W / 7P Peak rating 78
Placement evidence 68% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 35%
Class fit 75%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Class benchmark supports the placementConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueTrip evidence still asks questions
Mark read Latest +9lb | peak +29lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +9lb | peak +29lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 55 | Latest FFR 64 | Best FFR 84 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Cooling

confidence nudge +0.8
Variance Reliable 5.7% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 6.8 vs par
Curve Cooling Trend -1
Trainer Michael Appleby
Jockey Oisin Murphy
Age 6
Draw 2
OR 55
Avg OR 50
OR vs Field +5
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 81802
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance1m7f
Runs at profile1
DEIE
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
23-04-2026 Longchamp (FR) Good To Soft 13 3:17.51 197.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF 28% Yard has been quiet recently
Freshness 12 days Recent fitness window
Micro score -0.2 trainer RTF quiet at 28%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 0/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP13/8
OwnerMagna Carter Bloodstock
Pedigree

Hurricane Red × La Petite Chinoise (Dr Fong)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 2 0.5 Neutral finish
05-08-2026 Yarmouth 2 2 Fast finish
23-04-2026 Longchamp 13 1.8 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 3 earlier runs were unrated.
03-10-2025 | Saint-Cloud (FR)
Rating 82 OR Unrated
31-10-2025 | Chantilly
Rating 72 OR Unrated
18-11-2025 | Chantilly
Rating 68 OR Unrated
23-04-2026 | Longchamp
Rating -- OR 58
05-08-2026 | Yarmouth
Rating -- OR 55
17-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 55
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Le Rouge Chinois
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIE
Benchmark3
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Le Rouge Chinois profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 3m 26.74s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par3m 26.74s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times3:17.51
Recent positions13
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 16f | Standard | Class 6 2 13/8 55 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
05-08-2026 Yarmouth | 14f | Good To Firm | Class 6 2 9/2 55 -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
23-04-2026 Longchamp | 1m7f | Good To Soft | -- 13 45/1 58 -- 33 1.8 3:17.16 GOLD - faster than par
18-11-2025 Chantilly | 1m5½f | Standard | -- 7 28/1 -- 68 22 7.5 2:58.53 GOLD - faster than par
31-10-2025 Chantilly | 2m | Standard | -- 3 8/1 -- 72 52 0.2 3:30.29 AMBER - competitive
03-10-2025 Saint-Cloud (FR) | 1m6f | Soft | -- 7 50/1 -- 82 21 0.5 3:11.02 GOLD - faster than par
Premium runner profile Miss Rainbow 3:15 | Catterick | 6f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyStrong edge+6 more signals
Decision Confidence 46.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 3:15 | Catterick | 6f

Chapman Milestones Celebration, Thank You NHS Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement3/6
FFR24
Speed96
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-38lb below mark
FFR 24 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
96 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score48.3Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -38lb | peak +5lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
8 Catterick Run faded 17-08-2026
1 Catterick Strong run 04-08-2026
4 Thirsk Competitive 24-07-2026
3 Catterick Solid effort 22-07-2026
3 Carlisle Solid effort 09-07-2026
11 Newcastle (AW) Competitive 26-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating5
0winners since
4placers since
8evidence pts
04-08-2026 | Catterick Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Fillys Last Lady (GB), Fizzy Cristal (GB), Indys Angel (GB)

Later placers

Indy's Angel (GB) (07-08-2026)

06-05-2026 | Thirsk Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Aurora's Doublesix (IRE), Beerwah (IRE), Harry Mole (GB)

Later placers

Harry Mole (GB) (08-08-2026)

08-04-2026 | Catterick Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Barmyblade (IRE), Battenburg Belle (IRE), Call Glory (IRE)

Later placers

Battenburg Belle (IRE) (04-07-2026), Call Glory (IRE) (03-06-2026)

Today's conditions match 56% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 62%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 42%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good Has experience, but limited strong evidence
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read Has experience, but limited strong evidence Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 10 0W / 2P Peak rating 65
Good 12 4W / 8P Peak rating 64
Fast 6 1W / 4P Peak rating 64
All-weather 12 1W / 3P Peak rating 63
Placement evidence 56% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 72%
Mark room 4%
Stable setup 62%
Recent evidence 42%
Proven trip profile (A)12 similar-trip runs recordedClass benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidenceRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Mark read Latest -38lb | peak +5lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -38lb | peak +5lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 62 | Latest FFR 24 | Best FFR 67 | Public mark read -16
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Reliable 5.1% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 6.7 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Tracy Waggott
Jockey Barry McHugh
Age 5
Draw 9
OR 62
Avg OR 60.3
OR vs Field +1.7
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 103341
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile12
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
30-04-2026 Redcar Good To Firm 5 0:58.40 58.4
05-06-2026 Thirsk Good 1 0:58.65 58.6
26-06-2026 Newcastle (AW) Standard To Slow 11 1:0.28 60.3
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 45% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 13 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: v; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearvDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP8/1
OwnerThe Outrageous Partnership
Pedigree

Holy Roman Emperor × Allegrina (Barathea)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.3L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Catterick 8 6.5 Run faded
04-08-2026 Catterick 1 0 Neutral finish
24-07-2026 Thirsk 4 0.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
26-06-2026 | Newcastle (AW)
Rating -- OR 62
09-07-2026 | Carlisle
Rating -- OR 61
22-07-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 60
24-07-2026 | Thirsk
Rating -- OR 60
04-08-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 58
17-08-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 62
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Miss Rainbow
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIA
Benchmark2.55
PaceUnclear
ConsensusMIXED

Miss Rainbow profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 3/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 12.20s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs12
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 12.20s
Last win at trip-- | Catterick | 04-08-2026
Recent times0:58.40 | 0:58.65 | 1:0.28
Recent positions5 | 1 | 11
Winning contextOR 58 | weight 9-11
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Catterick | 6f | Good | Class 6 8 8/1 62 -- -- 6.5 -- GREY - no timing read
04-08-2026 Catterick | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 6 1 5/2 58 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
24-07-2026 Thirsk | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 5 4 5/2 60 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
22-07-2026 Catterick | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 6 3 7/4F 60 -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
09-07-2026 Carlisle | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 6 3 9/1 61 -- -- 2.5 -- GREY - no timing read
26-06-2026 Newcastle (AW) | 5f | Standard To Slow | Class 5 11 16/1 62 -- -- 2.5 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Saliko 7:55 | Windsor | 11.5f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyClear but not dominant+6 more signals
Decision Confidence 44.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 7:55 | Windsor | 11.5f

Matchbook Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR49
Speed91
ConditionsCaution
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-11lb below mark
FFR 49 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
91 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeContext over ratingsThe raw rating/mark view is a caution, but other layers such as field edge, recent form, benchmark or memory keep it interesting.
Model score29.3Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI EVERY_LOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -11lb | peak +6lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
6 Windsor Run faded 17-08-2026
6 Windsor Competitive 20-07-2026
6 Nottingham Competitive 04-07-2026
11 Wolverhampton (AW) Steady run 16-06-2026
4 Windsor Competitive 01-06-2026
9 Nottingham Competitive 19-05-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating19
1winners since
5placers since
8evidence pts
06-01-2026 | Windsor Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Brodie's Boy (FR), Gretna Dreams (IRE), Grey Fox (IRE)

Later placers

Brodies Boy (FR) (01-03-2026), Fast Steps (IRE) (05-04-2026)

09-08-2025 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 6
Race produced winner

Nuptown Girl (GB)

Later placers

Meleri (GB) (04-10-2025)

Today's conditions match 49% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 38%
Class 62%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 58%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Class Question Handicap
Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood To Firm
Similar-ground runs4/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 3 1W / 1P Peak rating 79
Good 3 1W / 2P Peak rating 70
Fast 7 0W / 1P Peak rating 70
All-weather 5 0W / 2P Peak rating 79
Placement evidence 54% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 38%
Class fit 76%
Mark room 28%
Stable setup 70%
Recent evidence 58%
Class benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questionsCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -11lb | peak +6lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -11lb | peak +6lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 60 | Latest FFR 49 | Best FFR 66 | Public mark read -8
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Regressing

confidence nudge +0.8
Variance Reliable 8.1% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Big ceiling edge 12.1 vs par
Curve Regressing Trend -2
Trainer Jack Jones
Jockey Tom Marquand
Age 4
Draw 5
OR 60
Avg OR 53.2
OR vs Field +6.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 794066
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m3½f
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance1m3½f
Runs at profile1
DEIE
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
17-08-2026 Windsor Good To Firm 6 2:33.59 153.6
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 62% Yard in a positive recent rhythm
Freshness 28 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 trainer RTF positive at 62%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p
Ground timing match 1/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP13/2
OwnerThe Twilight Zone Syndicate
Pedigree

Kameko × Saliyna (Linamix)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.6L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Windsor 6 0.2 Run faded
20-07-2026 Windsor 6 0.2 Neutral finish
04-07-2026 Nottingham 6 1.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
19-05-2026 | Nottingham
Rating -- OR 70
01-06-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 68
16-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 68
04-07-2026 | Nottingham
Rating -- OR 65
20-07-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 62
17-08-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 60
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Saliko
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIE
Benchmark2.55
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Saliko profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 2/6. Draw data adds a small confidence boost. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 29.11s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par2m 29.11s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times2:33.59
Recent positions6
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Windsor | 11.5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 6 13/2 60 -- -- 0.2 -- GREY - no timing read
20-07-2026 Windsor | 10f | Good To Firm | Class 6 6 25/1 62 -- -- 0.2 -- GREY - no timing read
04-07-2026 Nottingham | 10f | Good To Firm | Class 5 6 7/1 65 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
16-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 9.5f | Standard | Class 5 11 12/1 68 -- -- 4 -- GREY - no timing read
01-06-2026 Windsor | 10f | Good To Firm | Class 5 4 28/1 68 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
19-05-2026 Nottingham | 8.5f | Good To Soft | Class 5 9 14/1 70 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Jm Jhingree 3:15 | Catterick | 6f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyFragile profile+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 42.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 3:15 | Catterick | 6f

Chapman Milestones Celebration, Thank You NHS Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement3/6
FFR25
Speed90
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-40lb below mark
FFR 25 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
90 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeContext over ratingsThe raw rating/mark view is a caution, but other layers such as field edge, recent form, benchmark or memory keep it interesting.
Model score26.6Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -40lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
9 Catterick Run faded 17-08-2026
11 Hamilton Run faded 01-08-2026
3 Hamilton Solid effort 17-07-2026
8 Ayr Competitive 13-07-2026
1 Hamilton Strong run 25-06-2026
7 Hamilton Competitive 17-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating37
3winners since
8placers since
14evidence pts
01-04-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Blinky (IRE), Counsel (GB), Dorney Lake (GB)

Race produced winner

Dorney Lake (GB)

Later placers

Ziggys Triton (IRE) (03-04-2026)

08-01-2026 | Hamilton Finished 11
Race produced winner

Little Mi Mi (IRE), Thunderstorm Katie (GB)

Later placers

Hundred Caps (GB) (03-04-2026), Iris Dancer (GB) (04-07-2026)

08-08-2025 | Musselburgh Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Al Hussar (GB), Bonito Cavalo (GB), Protest Rally (IRE)

Later placers

Al Hussar (GB) (04-04-2026), Our Absent Friends (IRE) (03-05-2026)

Today's conditions match 56% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 54%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 12 2W / 3P Peak rating 77
Good 9 1W / 1P Peak rating 77
Fast 9 1W / 3P Peak rating 78
All-weather 4 1W / 1P Peak rating 77
Placement evidence 54% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 60%
Mark room 4%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 42%
Proven trip profile (A)33 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidenceRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Mark read Latest -40lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -40lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 65 | Latest FFR 25 | Best FFR 74 | Public mark read -16
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Cooling

confidence nudge +0.8
Variance Reliable 5.4% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 8 vs par
Curve Cooling Trend -1
Trainer Ewan Whillans
Jockey P J McDonald
Age 4
Draw 6
OR 65
Avg OR 60.3
OR vs Field +4.7
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 671830
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile33
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
13-07-2026 Ayr Good To Firm 8 0:57.52 57.5
17-07-2026 Hamilton Good To Firm 3 0:58.22 58.2
01-08-2026 Hamilton Good 11 0:58.48 58.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 40% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 16 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP28/1
OwnerAim Equestrian Ltd
Pedigree

Dandy Man × La Pergola (Penny's Picnic)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.7L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Catterick 9 4.5 Neutral finish
01-08-2026 Hamilton 11 2 Run faded
17-07-2026 Hamilton 3 1.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
17-06-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 66
25-06-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 64
13-07-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 66
17-07-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 66
01-08-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 66
17-08-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 65
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Jm Jhingree
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIA
Benchmark0.85
PaceUnclear
ConsensusMIXED

Jm Jhingree profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 3/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 12.20s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs33
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 12.20s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times0:57.52 | 0:58.22 | 0:58.48
Recent positions8 | 3 | 11
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Catterick | 6f | Good | Class 6 9 28/1 65 -- -- 4.5 -- GREY - no timing read
01-08-2026 Hamilton | 5f | Good | Class 5 11 20/1 66 -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
17-07-2026 Hamilton | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 4 3 16/1 66 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
13-07-2026 Ayr | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 8 20/1 66 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
25-06-2026 Hamilton | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 1 14/1 64 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
17-06-2026 Hamilton | 5f | Good To Soft | Class 4 7 80/1 66 -- -- 2.2 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Evocative Spark 4:45 | Catterick | 7f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyClear but not dominant+6 more signals
Decision Confidence 41.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 4:45 | Catterick | 7f

Racing Again 26th August Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR34
Speed107
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-36lb below mark
FFR 34 pounds scale
SpeedScoreabove par
107 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score36.9Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -36lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
9 Catterick Steady run 17-08-2026
7 Haydock Competitive 07-08-2026
4 Catterick Competitive 30-05-2026
1 Catterick Strong run 21-05-2026
7 Doncaster Competitive 02-05-2026
1 Catterick Strong run 22-04-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating10
1winners since
3placers since
9evidence pts
04-08-2026 | Catterick Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Coconut Bay (GB), Crocodile Power (IRE), Dr Rio (FR)

Later placers

Coconut Bay (GB) (07-08-2026)

08-07-2026 | Haydock Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Criminal Shore (IRE), Invincible Ruby (IRE), Raffles Angel (GB)

02-05-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 9
Beat named rivals

Bajan Bandit (GB), Finn Ironside (GB)

Race produced winner

Studious (IRE)

Later placers

Bajan Bandit (GB) (07-07-2026), Marry The Night (GB) (04-05-2026)

Today's conditions match 56% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 45%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 58%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs4/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 11 2W / 6P Peak rating 90
Good 13 3W / 5P Peak rating 80
Fast 5 0W / 1P Peak rating 82
All-weather 20 1W / 2P Peak rating 85
Placement evidence 55% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 26%
Mark room 4%
Stable setup 70%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (A)22 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueClass benchmark is a concernCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -36lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -36lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 70 | Latest FFR 34 | Best FFR 89 | Public mark read -16
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Improving

confidence nudge +3.8
Variance Reliable 6.5% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 9.8 vs par
Curve Improving Trend 2
Trainer John David Riches
Jockey Ethan Tindall(5)
Age 7
Draw 6
OR 70
Avg OR 67.3
OR vs Field +2.7
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 117147
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance7f
Runs at profile22
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
02-05-2026 Doncaster Good To Firm 7 1:25.81 85.8
07-08-2026 Haydock Good 7 1:29.22 89.2
17-08-2026 Catterick Good 9 1:29.59 89.6
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF 29% Yard has been quiet recently
Freshness 10 days Recent fitness window
Micro score -0.2 trainer RTF quiet at 29%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: v; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearvDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP9/1
OwnerJ R Racing
Pedigree

Frankel × Hyper Dream (Oasis Dream)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.7L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Catterick 9 4.2 Neutral finish
07-08-2026 Haydock 7 0.8 Neutral finish
30-05-2026 Catterick 4 0.1 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
22-04-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 64
02-05-2026 | Doncaster
Rating -- OR 67
21-05-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 67
30-05-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 71
07-08-2026 | Haydock
Rating -- OR 71
17-08-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 70
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Evocative Spark
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIA
Benchmark-0.85
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Evocative Spark profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 2/6. Draw data adds a small confidence boost. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 26.14s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs22
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 26.14s
Last win at trip1:24.49 | Catterick | 22-04-2026
Recent times1:25.81 | 1:29.22 | 1:29.59
Recent positions7 | 7 | 9
Winning contextvs par -1.65s | OR 64
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Catterick | 7f | Good | Class 5 9 9/1 70 -- -- 4.2 -- GREY - no timing read
07-08-2026 Haydock | 7f | Good | Class 5 7 33/1 71 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
30-05-2026 Catterick | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 5 4 11/8F 71 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
21-05-2026 Catterick | 6f | Good | Class 5 1 4/1 67 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
02-05-2026 Doncaster | 7f | Good To Firm | Class 5 7 4/1 67 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
22-04-2026 Catterick | 7f | Good | Class 5 1 100/30 64 -- 54 0 1:24.49 GOLD - faster than par
Premium runner profile Canaria Queen 4:15 | Catterick | 5f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyMarginal edge+6 more signals
Decision Confidence 36.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 4:15 | Catterick | 5f

racingtv.com Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR63
Speed103
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR-5lb below mark
FFR 63 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
103 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score29.9Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI A+HIGH
Mark readNear markLatest -5lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -2lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Catterick Solid effort 17-08-2026
8 Thirsk Competitive 01-08-2026
2 Thirsk Solid effort 24-07-2026
5 Ripon Competitive 06-07-2026
5 Hamilton Competitive 17-06-2026
1 Hamilton Finished well 10-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating30
3winners since
1placers since
11evidence pts
04-07-2026 | Pontefract Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Harb (GB), Kitaab (GB), Lucius Aurelius (GB)

07-06-2026 | Ripon Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Goyard (IRE), South Parade (IRE), Tees Aggregates (IRE)

Race produced winner

South Parade (IRE), Vince L'Amour (IRE)

05-05-2026 | Ayr Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Fear And Fast (GB), Harb (GB), Royal Duke (GB)

Race produced winner

Wee Mary (IRE)

Later placers

Royal Duke (GB) (06-06-2026)

Today's conditions match 62% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 96%
Class 45%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 58%
Handicap 58%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs3/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 21 3W / 8P Peak rating 73
Good 20 3W / 10P Peak rating 74
Fast 6 1W / 3P Peak rating 64
All-weather 3 0W / 0P Peak rating 65
Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 29%
Mark room 46%
Stable setup 70%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (A+)28 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueClass benchmark is a concern
Mark read Latest -5lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -2lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest -5lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -2lb

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 68 | Latest FFR 63 | Best FFR 77 | Public mark read -2
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; Mild bounce watch; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Improving

confidence nudge +2.8
Variance Very steady 4.8% volatility
Bounce Mild bounce watch Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 2.6 vs par
Curve Improving Trend 2
Trainer Tim Easterby
Jockey Duran Fentiman
Age 6
Draw 2
OR 68
Avg OR 65.1
OR vs Field +2.9
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 215528
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile28
DEIA+
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
06-07-2026 Ripon Good 5 0:58.51 58.5
01-08-2026 Thirsk Good 8 0:58.35 58.4
17-08-2026 Catterick Good 2 0:59.27 59.3
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 31% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 16 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP13/2
OwnerThe Senators
Pedigree

Pastoral Pursuits × Gran Canaria Queen (Compton Place)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Catterick 2 4 Neutral finish
01-08-2026 Thirsk 8 0.8 Fast finish
24-07-2026 Thirsk 2 1.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
10-06-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 62
17-06-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 67
06-07-2026 | Ripon
Rating -- OR 68
24-07-2026 | Thirsk
Rating -- OR 67
01-08-2026 | Thirsk
Rating -- OR 68
17-08-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 68
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Canaria Queen
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIA+
Benchmark-0.85
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Canaria Queen profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A+. Model alignment is 2/6. Draw data adds a small confidence boost. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 59.34s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs28
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par59.34s
Last win at trip-- | Hamilton | 10-06-2026
Recent times0:58.51 | 0:58.35 | 0:59.27
Recent positions5 | 8 | 2
Winning contextOR 62 | weight 9-2
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Catterick | 5f | Good | Class 5 2 13/2 68 -- -- 4 -- GREY - no timing read
01-08-2026 Thirsk | 5f | Good | Class 4 8 11/1 68 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
24-07-2026 Thirsk | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 5 2 11/1 67 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
06-07-2026 Ripon | 5f | Good | Class 4 5 14/1 68 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
17-06-2026 Hamilton | 5f | Good To Soft | Class 4 5 13/2 67 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
10-06-2026 Hamilton | 5f | Good To Soft | Class 5 1 4/1 62 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Seed Ya Later 6:40 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyStrong edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 36.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 6:40 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f

Cavani Sprint In Style Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Open racecard
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR52
Speed92
ConditionsCaution
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-15lb below mark
FFR 52 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
92 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score39.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI ELOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -15lb | peak +22lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 17-08-2026
3 Lingfield Finished well 01-08-2026
7 Newbury Steady run 18-07-2026
6 Nottingham Competitive 02-07-2026
3 Bath Solid effort 12-05-2026
1 Musselburgh Strong run 26-04-2026
Race form proof Positive franked form

Some form support

Proof rating36
2winners since
3placers since
6evidence pts
07-02-2026 | Nottingham Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Wait Geordie (GB)

Race produced winner

Undercover Affair (IRE), Wait Geordie (GB)

Later placers

Havana Gift (GB) (06-06-2026), Holi Scarlett (IRE) (06-05-2026)

08-01-2026 | Lingfield Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Il Capo (IRE), Knock Three Times (IRE), Miss Moneypit (GB)

Today's conditions match 48% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 38%
Class 65%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Class Question Handicap
Ground evidence All-weather Has experience, but limited strong evidence
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Has experience, but limited strong evidence Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 2 1W / 2P Peak rating 76
Fast 4 0W / 2P Peak rating --
All-weather 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 51% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 24%
Class fit 80%
Mark room 16%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 68%
Class benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueTrip evidence still asks questionsCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -15lb | peak +22lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -15lb | peak +22lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 67 | Latest FFR 52 | Best FFR 89 | Public mark read -12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge -0.8
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -3.3 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Jack Channon
Jockey George Bass
Age 2
Draw 6
OR 67
Avg OR 67.5
OR vs Field -0.5
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 213673
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile2
DEIE
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
01-08-2026 Lingfield Good To Firm 3 1:11.35 71.3
17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 4 1:16.38 76.4
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF 41% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 16 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: h
Ground timing match 1/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearhDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP11/2
OwnerWalsh Kelly Quesnel Partner
Pedigree

Bungle Inthejungle × Mulberry Seed (Belardo)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 4 2.8 Neutral finish
01-08-2026 Lingfield 3 1.2 Fast finish
18-07-2026 Newbury 7 3.2 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 1 earlier run was unrated.
26-04-2026 | Musselburgh
Rating 71 OR Unrated
02-07-2026 | Nottingham
Rating -- OR 69
18-07-2026 | Newbury
Rating -- OR 67
01-08-2026 | Lingfield
Rating -- OR 67
17-08-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 67
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Seed Ya Later
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIE
Benchmark3
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Seed Ya Later profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 13.84s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 13.84s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:11.35 | 1:16.38
Recent positions3 | 4
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 4 11/2 67 -- -- 2.8 -- GREY - no timing read
01-08-2026 Lingfield | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 5 3 13/2 67 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
18-07-2026 Newbury | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 2 7 100/1 67 -- -- 3.2 -- GREY - no timing read
02-07-2026 Nottingham | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 4 6 11/2 69 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
12-05-2026 Bath | 5f | Firm | Class 5 3 15/8F -- -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
26-04-2026 Musselburgh | 5f | Good | Class 3 1 13/8F -- 71 37 0 1:00.99 GOLD - faster than par
Premium runner profile Hectic 7:10 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyStrong edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 33.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 7:10 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f

Follow @attheraces On X Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR46
Speed96
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-21lb below mark
FFR 46 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
96 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score38.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -21lb | peak +6lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
9 Wolverhampton (AW) Steady run 17-08-2026
3 Southwell (AW) Finished well 06-08-2026
5 Chester Competitive 12-06-2026
7 Pontefract Competitive 08-06-2026
14 Ascot Competitive 09-05-2026
4 Pontefract Competitive 21-04-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating12
1winners since
2placers since
8evidence pts
06-08-2026 | Pontefract Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Call Me Betty (IRE), Great (GB), Just Queen High (IRE)

08-06-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Cairdeas (GB), Court Drive (IRE), Daytona Lady (IRE)

Race produced winner

Pickersgill (IRE)

Later placers

Moostar (GB) (04-08-2026)

03-06-2026 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Al Muqdad (GB), Bobby Joe Leg (GB), Ey Up Its Jazz (GB)

Later placers

Lessay (IRE) (05-08-2026)

Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence All-weather Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 12 0W / 2P Peak rating 97
Good 8 1W / 2P Peak rating 86
Fast 5 0W / 0P Peak rating 75
All-weather 7 1W / 3P Peak rating 82
Placement evidence 56% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 42%
Mark room 4%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 68%
Proven trip profile (A)16 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -21lb | peak +6lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -21lb | peak +6lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 67 | Latest FFR 46 | Best FFR 73 | Public mark read -16
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Cooling

confidence nudge +1.5
Variance Very steady 3.5% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 7.5 vs par
Curve Cooling Trend -1
Trainer Liam Bailey
Jockey Stevie Donohoe
Age 6
Draw 9
OR 67
Avg OR 66.4
OR vs Field +0.6
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 440753
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile16
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
08-06-2026 Pontefract Good 7 1:15.56 75.6
06-08-2026 Southwell (AW) Standard 3 1:13.39 73.4
17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 9 1:15.33 75.3
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 45% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 11 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP4/1
OwnerMrs Ailsa Stirling
Pedigree

Massaat × Ceedwell (Exceed And Excel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 9 3.2 Neutral finish
06-08-2026 Southwell (AW) 3 0.8 Fast finish
12-06-2026 Chester 5 0.1 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
21-04-2026 | Pontefract
Rating -- OR 73
09-05-2026 | Ascot
Rating -- OR 72
08-06-2026 | Pontefract
Rating -- OR 69
12-06-2026 | Chester
Rating -- OR 69
06-08-2026 | Southwell (AW)
Rating -- OR 67
17-08-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 67
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Hectic
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIA
Benchmark0
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Hectic profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 13.84s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs16
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 13.84s
Last win at trip1:10.65 | Ripon | 04-06-2025
Recent times1:15.56 | 1:13.39 | 1:15.33
Recent positions7 | 3 | 9
Winning contextvs par -3.19s | OR 72
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 9 4/1 67 -- -- 3.2 -- GREY - no timing read
06-08-2026 Southwell (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 3 14/1 67 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
12-06-2026 Chester | 7f | Good To Soft | Class 4 5 20/1 69 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
08-06-2026 Pontefract | 6f | Good | Class 5 7 16/1 69 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
09-05-2026 Ascot | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 14 33/1 72 -- -- 2.2 -- GREY - no timing read
21-04-2026 Pontefract | 6f | Good | Class 5 4 15/2 73 -- 51 1.5 1:17.28 GREY - below benchmark
Premium runner profile Our Absent Friends 4:15 | Catterick | 5f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyMarginal edge+6 more signals
Decision Confidence 31.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 4:15 | Catterick | 5f

racingtv.com Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR78
Speed88
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+9lb ahead of mark
FFR 78 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
88 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score31.6Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Catterick Strong run 17-08-2026
9 Thirsk Run faded 14-08-2026
1 Catterick Strong run 15-07-2026
9 Ayr Competitive 13-07-2026
7 Ayr Competitive 05-07-2026
3 Catterick Solid effort 22-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating21
3winners since
4placers since
8evidence pts
02-06-2026 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Blue Force (IRE), Catch Cunningham (IRE), D Flawless (IRE)

Later placers

Lion's House (GB) (08-08-2026)

07-05-2026 | Ayr Finished 7
Later placers

Woohoo (IRE) (08-07-2026)

03-05-2026 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Albegone (GB), Blue Force (IRE), Castan (GB)

Race produced winner

Castan (GB), Dark Kestrel (IRE)

Later placers

Albegone (GB) (02-06-2026), Water Of Leith (IRE) (07-05-2026)

Today's conditions match 61% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 45%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 34%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs3/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 11 4W / 5P Peak rating 89
Good 15 1W / 7P Peak rating 80
Fast 6 1W / 3P Peak rating 83
All-weather 21 2W / 7P Peak rating 81
Placement evidence 66% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 33%
Mark room 79%
Stable setup 58%
Recent evidence 58%
Proven trip profile (A)50 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +9lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concern
Mark read Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 69 | Latest FFR 78 | Best FFR 78 | Public mark read +9
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Regressing

confidence nudge -0.2
Variance Reliable 6.4% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 7.6 vs par
Curve Regressing Trend -2
Trainer Tristan Davidson
Jockey David Allan
Age 8
Draw 4
OR 69
Avg OR 65.1
OR vs Field +3.9
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 637919
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile50
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
15-07-2026 Catterick Good To Firm 1 0:58.00 58
14-08-2026 Thirsk Good 9 0:58.52 58.5
17-08-2026 Catterick Good 1 0:58.60 58.6
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.5 micro score
Trainer RTF 44% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 3 days Quick return
Micro score +0.5 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP7/2
OwnerR W Hislop
Pedigree

Camacho × Practicallyperfect (King Charlemagne)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.5L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Catterick 1 0 Neutral finish
14-08-2026 Thirsk 9 1.5 Run faded
15-07-2026 Catterick 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
22-06-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 64
05-07-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 63
13-07-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 63
15-07-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 63
14-08-2026 | Thirsk
Rating -- OR 69
17-08-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 69
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Our Absent Friends
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIA
Benchmark-0.85
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Our Absent Friends profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 2/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 59.34s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs50
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par59.34s
Last win at trip-- | Catterick | 17-08-2026
Recent times0:58.00 | 0:58.52 | 0:58.60
Recent positions1 | 9 | 1
Winning contextOR 69 | weight 9-13
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Catterick | 5f | Good | Class 5 1 7/2 69 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
14-08-2026 Thirsk | 5f | Good | Class 4 9 50/1 69 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
15-07-2026 Catterick | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 1 9/4 63 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
13-07-2026 Ayr | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 9 12/1 63 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
05-07-2026 Ayr | 5f | Good | Class 5 7 5/2F 63 -- -- 2.2 -- GREY - no timing read
22-06-2026 Catterick | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 3 6/1 64 -- -- 0.2 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Spanish Hustle 2:15 | Catterick | 12f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyFragile profile+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 46.8
WATCH ONLY
Runs Today 2:15 | Catterick | 12f

Download The Raceday Ready App Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement3/6
FFR59
Speed92
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR-5lb below mark
FFR 59 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
92 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score23.3Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AMEDIUM
Mark readNear markLatest -5lb | peak +10lb treated as ceiling | public read -2lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
5 Catterick Competitive 17-08-2026
5 Hamilton Competitive 01-08-2026
6 Hamilton Steady run 11-07-2026
6 Ayr Competitive 19-06-2026
12 Thirsk Steady run 31-05-2026
10 Hamilton Steady run 17-05-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating21
3winners since
4placers since
11evidence pts
08-01-2026 | Hamilton Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Eroico (IRE), Gentle Warrior (IRE), High Point (IRE)

Later placers

Gallus Norman (GB) (06-04-2026), Wootton's Gal (GB) (06-03-2026)

07-12-2025 | Hamilton Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Ancient Myth (IRE), Tafsir (USA), Two Auld Pals (IRE)

Later placers

Tafsir (USA) (08-12-2025)

06-05-2025 | Hamilton Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Ebony Maw (GB), Model Approach (IRE), Sea Legend (FR)

Race produced winner

Ebony Maw (GB), Model Approach (IRE)

Later placers

Dreams Adozen (FR) (10-06-2025)

Today's conditions match 61% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 55%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 58%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Pace shape
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs5/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 14 4W / 6P Peak rating 79
Good 16 2W / 6P Peak rating 81
Fast 5 1W / 2P Peak rating 74
All-weather 3 0W / 0P Peak rating 72
Placement evidence 68% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 62%
Mark room 46%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 68%
Proven trip profile (A)9 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest -5lb | peak +10lb treated as ceiling | public read -2lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest -5lb | peak +10lb treated as ceiling | public read -2lb

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 64 | Latest FFR 59 | Best FFR 74 | Public mark read -2
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Cooling

confidence nudge +0.8
Variance Reliable 5.4% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 7 vs par
Curve Cooling Trend -1
Trainer Jim Goldie
Jockey Miss Kayleigh Williams(5)
Age 8
Draw 2
OR 64
Avg OR 63.7
OR vs Field +0.3
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form -665
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m4f
Runs at profile9
DEIA
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
18-10-2025 Catterick Good 8 2:41.87 161.9
31-05-2026 Thirsk Good 12 2:38.94 158.9
17-08-2026 Catterick Good 5 2:42.26 162.3
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF 31% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 16 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP12/1
OwnerJohnnie Delta Racing
Pedigree

Pearl Secret × Dos Lunas (Galileo)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.9L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Catterick 5 0.3 Neutral finish
01-08-2026 Hamilton 5 1.8 Fast finish
11-07-2026 Hamilton 6 3.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
17-05-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 74
31-05-2026 | Thirsk
Rating -- OR 73
19-06-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 71
11-07-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 69
01-08-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 67
17-08-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 64
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Spanish Hustle
WATCH ONLY
DEIA
Benchmark1.05
PaceUnclear
ConsensusMIXED

Spanish Hustle profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 3/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 36.63s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs9
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par2m 36.63s
Last win at trip2:37.27 | Hamilton | 18-07-2025
Recent times2:41.87 | 2:38.94 | 2:42.26
Recent positions8 | 12 | 5
Winning contextvs par +0.64s | OR 73
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Catterick | 12f | Good | Class 5 5 12/1 64 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
01-08-2026 Hamilton | 13f | Good | Class 4 5 40/1 67 -- -- 1.8 -- GREY - no timing read
11-07-2026 Hamilton | 11f | Good | Class 5 6 7/1 69 -- -- 3.5 -- GREY - no timing read
19-06-2026 Ayr | 10f | Soft | Class 4 6 50/1 71 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
31-05-2026 Thirsk | 12f | Good | Class 4 12 80/1 73 -- -- 13 -- GREY - no timing read
17-05-2026 Hamilton | 13f | Good | Class 3 10 80/1 74 -- -- 6 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Austrian Theory 2:15 | Catterick | 12f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyFragile profile+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 44.8
WATCH ONLY
Runs Today 2:15 | Catterick | 12f

Download The Raceday Ready App Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement2/6
FFR75
Speed108
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+5lb ahead of mark
FFR 75 pounds scale
SpeedScoreabove par
108 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score35.5Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI ELOW
Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +5lb versus today's OR
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3 Catterick Finished well 17-08-2026
5 Newcastle (AW) Competitive 25-07-2026
8 Carlisle Competitive 24-06-2026
5 York Competitive 12-06-2026
7 Ripon Steady run 28-05-2026
9 Hamilton Steady run 15-05-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Strong franked form

Proof rating66
5winners since
10placers since
14evidence pts
07-12-2025 | York Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Ancient Rome (USA), Auld Toon Loon (IRE), Brioni (FR)

Race produced winner

Erzindjan (IRE)

Later placers

Qitaal (GB) (07-05-2026)

05-08-2025 | Chester Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Arcadian Nights (GB), Box To Box (IRE), Deboras Dream (IRE)

Race produced winner

Paddy The Squire (GB), Paradoxical (IRE)

Later placers

Fouroneohfever (IRE) (02-02-2026), Giorgio M (IRE) (12-08-2025)

08-07-2025 | Chepstow Finished 10
Beat named rivals

Qitaal (GB), Rogue Impact (GB)

Race produced winner

Manila Thriller (GB), Salamanca City (IRE)

Later placers

City Of Delight (USA) (05-02-2026), Crowd Quake (GB) (07-11-2025)

Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 38%
Class 58%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs4/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 14 1W / 4P Peak rating 98
Good 11 0W / 4P Peak rating 93
Fast 12 1W / 2P Peak rating 100
All-weather 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 93
Placement evidence 61% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 24%
Class fit 78%
Mark room 67%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 68%
Class benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueTrip evidence still asks questions
Mark read Latest FFR read +5lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +5lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 70 | Latest FFR 75 | Best FFR 75 | Public mark read +5
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; Mild bounce watch; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Improving

confidence nudge +2.8
Variance Reliable 6.3% volatility
Bounce Mild bounce watch Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 7.7 vs par
Curve Improving Trend 2
Trainer Tim Easterby
Jockey Mr Thomas Easterby(3)
Age 7
Draw 5
OR 70
Avg OR 63.7
OR vs Field +6.3
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 597585
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.
Profile distance1m4f
Runs at profile3
DEIE
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
09-11-2024 Doncaster Soft 20 2:43.49 163.5
22-08-2025 York Good To Firm 10 2:34.00 154
17-08-2026 Catterick Good 3 2:41.13 161.1
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 31% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 23 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP9/4F
OwnerThe Wolf Pack 2 And Partner
Pedigree

Awtaad × Cedar Sea (Persian Bold)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Catterick 3 0.5 Fast finish
25-07-2026 Newcastle (AW) 5 0.5 Neutral finish
24-06-2026 Carlisle 8 0.3 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
15-05-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 79
28-05-2026 | Ripon
Rating -- OR 77
12-06-2026 | York
Rating -- OR 74
24-06-2026 | Carlisle
Rating -- OR 74
25-07-2026 | Newcastle (AW)
Rating -- OR 72
17-08-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 70
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Austrian Theory
WATCH ONLY
DEIE
Benchmark1.75
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Austrian Theory profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 36.63s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs3
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par2m 36.63s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times2:43.49 | 2:34.00 | 2:41.13
Recent positions20 | 10 | 3
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Catterick | 12f | Good | Class 5 3 9/4F 70 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
25-07-2026 Newcastle (AW) | 12.5f | Standard / Slow | Class 4 5 50/1 72 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
24-06-2026 Carlisle | 11f | Good To Firm | Class 4 8 20/1 74 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
12-06-2026 York | 10.5f | Good | Class 4 5 18/1 74 -- -- 2.2 -- GREY - no timing read
28-05-2026 Ripon | 10f | Good | Class 3 7 20/1 77 -- -- 4.5 -- GREY - no timing read
15-05-2026 Hamilton | 9f | Good | Class 4 9 4/1 79 -- -- 6 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Pershalla 7:55 | Windsor | 11.5f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyClear but not dominant+6 more signals
Decision Confidence 43.8
WATCH ONLY
Runs Today 7:55 | Windsor | 11.5f

Matchbook Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement2/6
FFR69
Speed99
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+9lb ahead of mark
FFR 69 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
99 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score30.1Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI ELOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Windsor Finished well 17-08-2026
-- Sandown Steady run 29-07-2026
7 Sandown Competitive 23-07-2026
5 Brighton Competitive 07-07-2026
9 Kempton (AW) Competitive 10-06-2026
7 Windsor Competitive 11-05-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating10
1winners since
5placers since
8evidence pts
04-08-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Dotties Star (GB), Dubai Immo (IRE), Fiddlers Green (IRE)

Later placers

Maywedance (IRE) (07-08-2026)

07-07-2026 | Brighton Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Annexation (FR), Voix De Bocelli (GB)

03-04-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 12
Race produced winner

Sonnerie Power (FR)

Later placers

Jodhpur Blue (FR) (02-08-2026), Lilly Lux (FR) (01-06-2026)

Today's conditions match 52% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 38%
Class 54%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 34%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Track / draw
Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood To Firm
Similar-ground runs5/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 52
Good 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 71
Fast 5 1W / 1P Peak rating --
All-weather 6 1W / 2P Peak rating 70
Placement evidence 60% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 24%
Class fit 59%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 58%
Recent evidence 68%
Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueTrip evidence still asks questions
Mark read Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 60 | Latest FFR 69 | Best FFR 72 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Very steady 4.4% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 0.2 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Amanda Perrett
Jockey Cieren Fallon
Age 4
Draw 1
OR 60
Avg OR 53.2
OR vs Field +6.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 279575
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m3f
Runs at profile2
DEIE
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
04-03-2026 Kempton (AW) Standard To Slow 12 2:24.23 144.2
10-06-2026 Kempton (AW) Standard To Slow 9 2:24.30 144.3
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF 31% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 19 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: h
Ground timing match 0/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearhDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP4/1
OwnerPershalla Partnership
Pedigree

Persian King × Hulcote (Frankel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.6L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Windsor 1 0 Fast finish
29-07-2026 Sandown -- -- Neutral finish
23-07-2026 Sandown 7 1.2 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
11-05-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 65
10-06-2026 | Kempton (AW)
Rating -- OR 64
07-07-2026 | Brighton
Rating -- OR 63
23-07-2026 | Sandown
Rating -- OR 62
29-07-2026 | Sandown
Rating -- OR 62
17-08-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 60
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Pershalla
WATCH ONLY
DEIE
Benchmark0.85
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Pershalla profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 2/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 29.11s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par2m 29.11s
Last win at trip-- | Windsor | 17-08-2026
Recent times2:24.23 | 2:24.30
Recent positions12 | 9
Winning contextOR 60 | weight 9-12
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Windsor | 11.5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 1 4/1 60 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
29-07-2026 Sandown | 10f | Good To Firm | Class 5 -- 28/1 62 -- -- -- -- GREY - no timing read
23-07-2026 Sandown | 10f | Good To Firm | Class 5 7 14/1 62 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
07-07-2026 Brighton | 10f | Good To Firm | Class 6 5 11/1 63 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
10-06-2026 Kempton (AW) | 11f | Standard To Slow | Class 6 9 12/1 64 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
11-05-2026 Windsor | 11.5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 7 14/1 65 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Tiger Tulip 7:10 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyFragile profile+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 39.2
WATCH ONLY
Runs Today 7:10 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f

Follow @attheraces On X Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement2/6
FFR58
Speed98
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-11lb below mark
FFR 58 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
98 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score26.5Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -11lb | peak +14lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
7 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 17-08-2026
8 Bath Competitive 05-06-2026
6 Windsor Competitive 04-05-2026
9 Goodwood Steady run 02-05-2026
2 Newmarket Solid effort 31-10-2025
10 Ascot Run faded 04-10-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating28
4winners since
6placers since
11evidence pts
06-05-2026 | Bath Finished 8
Beat named rivals

Lazzar (IRE), The Flying Seagull (IRE)

05-04-2026 | Windsor Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Addictive (IRE), Land Of Magic (GB), Lazzar (IRE)

Race produced winner

Golden Long (AUS), Land Of Magic (GB)

Later placers

Amazonian Dream (IRE) (02-07-2026), Bold Impact (IRE) (06-06-2026)

05-02-2026 | Goodwood Finished 9
Race produced winner

Rory Rocket (GB), Serenity Dream (IRE)

Later placers

Faustus (GB) (07-07-2026), Sandscreendeliverd (GB) (07-06-2026)

Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence All-weather Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 5 0W / 2P Peak rating 81
Good 8 2W / 3P Peak rating 83
Fast 2 0W / 1P Peak rating 82
All-weather 9 1W / 2P Peak rating 74
Placement evidence 57% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 40%
Mark room 28%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 50%
Proven trip profile (A)19 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concernCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -11lb | peak +14lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -11lb | peak +14lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 69 | Latest FFR 58 | Best FFR 83 | Public mark read -8
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Variable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +1.2
Variance Variable 9.2% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Big ceiling edge 12.6 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Heather Main
Jockey Luke Morris
Age 5
Draw 6
OR 69
Avg OR 66.4
OR vs Field +2.6
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 02-968
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile19
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
24-09-2025 Goodwood Good To Soft 4 1:12.13 72.1
04-05-2026 Windsor Good To Firm 6 1:12.68 72.7
17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 7 1:14.70 74.7
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.5 micro score
Trainer RTF 28% Yard has been quiet recently
Freshness 73 days Standard layoff
Micro score -0.5 trainer RTF quiet at 28%; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP12/1
OwnerKon Wilton Wetumpka Racing
Pedigree

Aclaim × Byroness (Byron)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 7 2 Neutral finish
05-06-2026 Bath 8 0.5 Neutral finish
04-05-2026 Windsor 6 0.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 2 runs with an official OR.
04-10-2025 | Ascot
Rating 58 OR 75
31-10-2025 | Newmarket
Rating 71 OR 73
02-05-2026 | Goodwood
Rating -- OR 73
04-05-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 73
05-06-2026 | Bath
Rating -- OR 71
17-08-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 69
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Tiger Tulip
WATCH ONLY
DEIA
Benchmark0
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Tiger Tulip profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 13.84s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs19
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 13.84s
Last win at trip1:10.47 | Newbury | 12-06-2025
Recent times1:12.13 | 1:12.68 | 1:14.70
Recent positions4 | 6 | 7
Winning contextvs par -3.37s | OR 69
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 7 12/1 69 -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
05-06-2026 Bath | 5.5f | Good | Class 5 8 5/1 71 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
04-05-2026 Windsor | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 6 9/2 73 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
02-05-2026 Goodwood | 5f | Good | Class 5 9 100/30F 73 -- -- 13 -- GREY - no timing read
31-10-2025 Newmarket | 5f | Good | Class 4 2 100/30F 73 71 64 3 1:00.44 GOLD - faster than par
04-10-2025 Ascot | 5f | Soft | Class 2 10 12/1 75 58 48 2.5 1:4.91 GOLD - faster than par