ForeFurlongs Intelligence

Top Horses

Individual horse profiles ranked by contextual opportunity. These are not standalone tips -- each profile should still be viewed through the race environment.

TodayMon 14 Sep | 30 horses TomorrowTue 15 Sep | 30 horses
Premium runner profile Catton Lady 4:51 | Thirsk | 8f
Quality CTier 3 price dependentClear but not dominant+6 more signals
Decision Confidence 52.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 4:51 | Thirsk | 8f

Join Racing TV Today Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR61
Speed100
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-8lb below mark
FFR 61 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
100 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting profile, but FFR sits below today's mark Main riskDraw data is a negative nudge
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score45.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AMEDIUM
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -8lb | peak +14lb treated as ceiling | public read -5lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4 Ripon Competitive 01-09-2026
1 Ayr Strong run 10-08-2026
2 Beverley Solid effort 03-07-2026
5 Beverley Troubled run 15-04-2026
2 Thirsk Run faded 15-09-2025
8 Southwell (AW) Run faded 17-08-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating40
8winners since
10placers since
12evidence pts
07-03-2026 | Beverley Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Blufferonthebus (IRE)

Later placers

Blufferonthebus (IRE) (06-08-2026), Midnight Strike (IRE) (09-05-2026)

09-01-2026 | Ripon Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Bellasio (IRE), Donna Nook (GB), Garden Oasis (GB)

Race produced winner

Bellasio (IRE), Donna Nook (GB)

Later placers

Garden Oasis (GB) (08-05-2026), Kiss Me My Love (IRE) (05-02-2026)

07-05-2025 | Carlisle Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Alazwar (IRE), Clear Angel (GB), Contrast (IRE)

Race produced winner

Alazwar (IRE), Bellasio (IRE)

Later placers

Destinado (GB) (06-06-2025), Milteye (GB) (04-08-2025)

Today's conditions match 54% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 42%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good No recent good sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read No recent good sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 13 2W / 6P Peak rating 75
Good 5 1W / 2P Peak rating 77
Fast 4 0W / 3P Peak rating 73
All-weather 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 53
Placement evidence 60% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 41%
Mark room 37%
Stable setup 62%
Recent evidence 58%
Proven trip profile (A)5 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concernCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -8lb | peak +14lb treated as ceiling | public read -5lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -8lb | peak +14lb treated as ceiling | public read -5lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 69 | Latest FFR 61 | Best FFR 83 | Public mark read -5
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Variable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +1.2
Variance Variable 13.4% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Big ceiling edge 14.3 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Michael & David Easterby
Jockey Joanna Mason
Age 5
Draw 4
OR 69
Avg OR 67.7
OR vs Field +1.3
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 2-5214
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.
Profile distance7f
Runs at profile5
DEIA
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
29-10-2024 Catterick Soft 5 1:31.59 91.6
17-08-2025 Southwell (AW) Standard 8 1:28.90 88.9
10-08-2026 Ayr Good To Soft 1 1:31.26 91.3
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF 48% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 13 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP11/2
OwnerW H Mrs J A Tinning Mrs C Wallis
Pedigree

Time Test × Soodad (King's Best)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
01-09-2026 Ripon 4 0.1 Neutral finish
10-08-2026 Ayr 1 0 Neutral finish
03-07-2026 Beverley 2 4.2 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 3 runs with an official OR.
17-08-2025 | Southwell (AW)
Rating 53 OR 66
15-09-2025 | Thirsk
Rating 73 OR 65
15-04-2026 | Beverley
Rating 69 OR 66
03-07-2026 | Beverley
Rating -- OR 65
10-08-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 65
01-09-2026 | Ripon
Rating -- OR 69
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Catton Lady
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIA
Benchmark0
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Catton Lady profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 2/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 40.95s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs5
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par1m 40.95s
Last win at trip1:40.39 | Carlisle | 16-06-2025
Recent times1:31.59 | 1:28.90 | 1:31.26
Recent positions5 | 8 | 1
Winning contextvs par -0.56s | OR 63
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
01-09-2026 Ripon | 8f | Soft | Class 5 4 11/2 69 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
10-08-2026 Ayr | 7f | Good To Soft | Class 6 1 12/1 65 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
03-07-2026 Beverley | 8.5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 2 5/2 65 -- -- 4.2 -- GREY - no timing read
15-04-2026 Beverley | 1m½f | Good To Soft | Class 5 5 17/2 66 69 38 0.1 1:48.28 GREY - below benchmark
15-09-2025 Thirsk | 1m | Soft | Class 5 2 9/2 65 73 36 2 1:44.03 GREY - below benchmark
17-08-2025 Southwell (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 4 8 40/1 66 53 33 2.8 1:28.90 GOLD - faster than par
Premium runner profile Lamlash Bay 3:51 | Thirsk | 6f
Quality CTier 3 price dependentStrong edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 52.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 3:51 | Thirsk | 6f

Sapphire Selling Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR40
Speed94
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-24lb below mark
FFR 40 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
94 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score34.6Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AMEDIUM
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -24lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
9 Beverley Competitive 12-08-2026
5 Doncaster Competitive 23-07-2026
1 Ripon Strong run 06-07-2026
5 Doncaster Competitive 26-06-2026
4 Catterick Run faded 11-06-2026
4 Southwell (AW) Competitive 18-12-2025
Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating26
5winners since
2placers since
6evidence pts
07-06-2026 | Ripon Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Brash (IRE), Havana Oaks (GB), Hvar (GB)

11-04-2025 | Redcar Finished 14
Beat named rivals

Vietnorm (IRE)

Race produced winner

Brave Traveller (GB), Cape Ashizuri (IRE)

Later placers

Keep An Eye On It (GB) (04-02-2026), Real Jack (GB) (09-08-2026)

Today's conditions match 56% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 54%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 2 1W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 3 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 61
Placement evidence 57% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 57%
Mark room 4%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Proven trip profile (A)6 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -24lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -24lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 64 | Latest FFR 40 | Best FFR 73 | Public mark read -16
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Edging forward

confidence nudge +0.2
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -5.5 vs par
Curve Edging forward Trend 1
Trainer Michael & David Easterby
Jockey Billy Garritty
Age 3
Draw 7
OR 64
Avg OR 57.1
OR vs Field +6.9
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form -45159
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile6
DEIA
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
26-06-2026 Doncaster Good To Firm 5 1:10.81 70.8
06-07-2026 Ripon Good 1 1:12.02 72
23-07-2026 Doncaster Good To Firm 5 1:12.35 72.3
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 48% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 33 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP13/2
OwnerMick David Easterby 50 Racing
Pedigree

Harry Angel × Inagh River (Fasliyev)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.2L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
12-08-2026 Beverley 9 2.8 Neutral finish
23-07-2026 Doncaster 5 0.8 Neutral finish
06-07-2026 Ripon 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 1 earlier run was unrated.
18-12-2025 | Southwell (AW)
Rating 61 OR Unrated
26-06-2026 | Doncaster
Rating -- OR 63
06-07-2026 | Ripon
Rating -- OR 62
23-07-2026 | Doncaster
Rating -- OR 67
12-08-2026 | Beverley
Rating -- OR 66
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Lamlash Bay
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIA
Benchmark0.85
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Lamlash Bay profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 11.67s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs6
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par1m 11.67s
Last win at trip-- | Ripon | 06-07-2026
Recent times1:10.81 | 1:12.02 | 1:12.35
Recent positions5 | 1 | 5
Winning contextOR 62 | weight 8-13
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
12-08-2026 Beverley | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 9 13/2 66 -- -- 2.8 -- GREY - no timing read
23-07-2026 Doncaster | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 5 5 10/1 67 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
06-07-2026 Ripon | 6f | Good | Class 6 1 9/2 62 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
26-06-2026 Doncaster | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 6 5 14/1 63 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
11-06-2026 Catterick | 6f | Good To Soft | Class 4 4 20/1 -- -- -- 3.8 -- GREY - no timing read
18-12-2025 Southwell (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 4 80/1 -- 61 48 1.2 1:15.65 GREY - below benchmark
Premium runner profile Newfangled 1:42 | Windsor | 8f
Quality DTier 4 watch onlyFragile profile+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 58.8
PRICE DEPENDENT
Runs Today 1:42 | Windsor | 8f

Matchbook Signup - Get 20% Back On Losses Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement2/6
FFR76
Speed102
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+4lb near mark
FFR 76 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
102 Par 100
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeShortlist profileThere is useful evidence, but the horse still needs normal price, risk and race checks.
Model score27.1Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest +4lb | peak +18lb treated as ceiling | public read +10lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4 Wolverhampton (AW) Finished well 07-09-2026
6 Brighton Competitive 05-08-2026
4 Windsor Competitive 13-07-2026
6 Ascot Competitive 10-07-2026
3 Windsor Run faded 25-05-2026
1 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 27-04-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating21
2winners since
7placers since
14evidence pts
09-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Chalk Mountain (GB), Commander Of Life (IRE), Dixieland Blues (GB)

Later placers

Helm Rock (GB) (05-09-2026), Song N Dance (GB) (05-09-2026)

08-05-2026 | Brighton Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Giant (GB), Here I Bow (FR), Play Me (GB)

Race produced winner

Play Me (GB)

Later placers

Giant (GB) (04-07-2026), Tex (FR) (05-09-2026)

06-11-2025 | Kempton (AW) Finished 12
Beat named rivals

Landing Board (IRE)

Race produced winner

Port Road (USA)

Later placers

Berry Clever (GB) (04-06-2026), Giant (GB) (09-12-2025)

Today's conditions match 63% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 51%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Pace shape
Ground evidence Testing No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 53
Good 7 1W / 2P Peak rating 78
Fast 9 1W / 6P Peak rating 79
All-weather 14 4W / 7P Peak rating 81
Placement evidence 72% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 94%
Class fit 52%
Mark room 82%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 68%
Proven trip profile (B)20 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +10lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +4lb | peak +18lb treated as ceiling | public read +10lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +4lb | peak +18lb treated as ceiling | public read +10lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 72 | Latest FFR 76 | Best FFR 90 | Public mark read +10
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge +2.8
Variance Very steady 3.2% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 2.4 vs par
Curve Edging forward Trend 1
Trainer Jonathan Portman
Jockey Rob Hornby
Age 5
Draw 4
OR 72
Avg OR 69.2
OR vs Field +2.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 136464
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile20
DEIB
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
10-07-2026 Ascot Good To Firm 6 1:39.94 99.9
13-07-2026 Windsor Good To Firm 4 1:41.43 101.4
05-08-2026 Brighton Good To Firm 6 1:38.07 98.1
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF 40% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 7 days Recent fitness window
Micro score -0.2 no recent matched-ground timing evidence; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP16/1
OwnerBerkeley Racing
Pedigree

New Bay × Dangle (Desert Style)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
07-09-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 4 0.3 Fast finish
05-08-2026 Brighton 6 1.2 Neutral finish
13-07-2026 Windsor 4 2.8 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 1 runs with an official OR.
27-04-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 81 OR 74
25-05-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 76
10-07-2026 | Ascot
Rating -- OR 76
13-07-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 76
05-08-2026 | Brighton
Rating -- OR 74
07-09-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 72
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Newfangled
PRICE DEPENDENT
DEIB
Benchmark0.32
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Newfangled profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 07.40s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs20
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par2m 07.40s
Last win at trip1:35.16 | Brighton | 29-09-2025
Recent times1:39.94 | 1:41.43 | 1:38.07
Recent positions6 | 4 | 6
Winning contextvs par -32.24s | OR 71
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
07-09-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 8.5f | Standard | Class 4 4 16/1 72 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
05-08-2026 Brighton | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 4 6 9/1 74 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
13-07-2026 Windsor | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 4 4 13/2 76 -- -- 2.8 -- GREY - no timing read
10-07-2026 Ascot | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 4 6 9/2 76 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
25-05-2026 Windsor | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 3 3 12/1 76 -- -- 4.5 -- GREY - no timing read
27-04-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 1m1½f | Standard | Class 4 1 13/2 74 81 43 0 1:59.64 GOLD - faster than par
Premium runner profile National Honour 6:30 | Kempton (AW) | 7f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyDominant edge+4 more signals
Decision Confidence 47.0
PRICE DEPENDENT
Runs Today 6:30 | Kempton (AW) | 7f

Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Open racecard
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement0/6
FFR97
Speed--
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+13lb ahead of mark
FFR 97 pounds scale
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score38.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DVERY_LOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Thirsk Strong run 14-08-2026
2 Newmarket (July) Solid effort 31-07-2026
Franked form Not franked yet

No strong named-rival evidence from recent races yet.

Proof rating0
Today's conditions match 58% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 52%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather No recent all-weather sample; best evidence is on good ground
TodayStandard / Slow
Similar-ground runs0/2
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read No recent all-weather sample; best evidence is on good ground Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 1 1W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 68% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 57%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 84 | Latest FFR 97 | Best FFR 97 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Charlie Appleby
Jockey Toby Moore(7)
Age 2
Draw 7
OR 84
Avg OR 84
OR vs Field 0
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 21
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance7f
Runs at profile1
DEID
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
14-08-2026 Thirsk Good 1 1:26.70 86.7
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 69% Yard in a positive recent rhythm
Freshness 31 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 trainer RTF positive at 69%; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 0/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP1/5F
OwnerGodolphin
Pedigree

Wootton Bassett × Nationalista (Nathaniel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
14-08-2026 Thirsk 1 0 Neutral finish
31-07-2026 Newmarket (July) 2 2 Neutral finish
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence National Honour
PRICE DEPENDENT
DEID
Benchmark0
PaceUnclear
ConsensusWEAK

National Honour profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 26.46s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par1m 26.46s
Last win at trip-- | Thirsk | 14-08-2026
Recent times1:26.70
Recent positions1
Winning contextweight 9-7
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
14-08-2026 Thirsk | 7f | Good | Class 3 1 1/5F -- -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
31-07-2026 Newmarket (July) | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 2 13/8F -- -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Tralee Girl 2:30 | Sedgefield | 17f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyDominant edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 45.0
PRICE DEPENDENT
Runs Today 2:30 | Sedgefield | 17f

Fairlight Studios Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)

Open racecard
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement1/6
FFR111
Speed128
ConditionsCaution
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-4lb below mark
FFR 111 pounds scale
SpeedScoreabove par
128 Par 100
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score38.5Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DLOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest FFR read -4lb versus today's OR
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Fakenham Run faded 06-04-2026
4 Doncaster Run faded 24-01-2026
2 Newbury Finished well 28-11-2025
3 Wetherby Solid effort 31-10-2025
7 Newmarket (July) Run faded 16-08-2025
4 Southwell (AW) Run faded 13-07-2025
Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating2
0winners since
2placers since
5evidence pts
04-06-2026 | Fakenham Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Fitzroy Gardens (IRE), Subtle Glance (GB), Whatcombe (IRE)

05-12-2025 | Windsor Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Maywedance (IRE), Mrembo (GB), Shady Bay (IRE)

Later placers

Maywedance (IRE) (07-08-2026), Mrembo (GB) (05-04-2026)

Today's conditions match 48% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 52%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating107
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 3 0W / 2P Peak rating 109
Good 2 0W / 2P Peak rating 107
Fast 2 1W / 1P Peak rating 71
All-weather 4 1W / 3P Peak rating 82
Placement evidence 52% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 44%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 40%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidenceRecent evidence is mixed
Mark read Latest FFR read -4lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest FFR read -4lb versus today's OR

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 115 | Latest FFR 111 | Best FFR 111 | Public mark read -4
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Volatile; High bounce risk; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Improving

confidence nudge -0.5
Variance Volatile 20.2% volatility
Bounce High bounce risk Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Big ceiling edge 27.6 vs par
Curve Improving Trend 2
Jumps intelligence Mixed jumps read

Enough evidence to assess, but not a clear jumps edge.

Hurdle profile 58 +0.0 model nudge
Code evidence1 runsHurdle
Completion100%
Jumping rhythm100% error clues
StaminaStamina mixedTrip and finish comments
GroundGround not a jumps concernTesting-ground evidence
Trainer Dan Skelton
Jockey Harry Skelton
Age 4
Draw 0
OR 115
Avg OR 115
OR vs Field 0
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 3242-
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance2m
Runs at profile2
DEID
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
31-10-2025 Wetherby Good 3 3:49.98 230
06-04-2026 Fakenham Good 2 3:46.80 226.8
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.5 micro score
Trainer RTF 44% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 161 days Freshness caution
Micro score +0.5 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP1/4F
OwnerDermot Hanafin
Pedigree

Camelot × Debdebdeb (Teofilo)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Beaten favouriteMarket expected more last time
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 6.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
06-04-2026 Fakenham 2 1.8 Neutral finish
24-01-2026 Doncaster 4 10 Run faded
28-11-2025 Newbury 2 6.5 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 4 runs with an official OR. 2 earlier runs were unrated.
13-07-2025 | Southwell (AW)
Rating 82 OR 77
16-08-2025 | Newmarket (July)
Rating 71 OR 76
31-10-2025 | Wetherby
Rating 107 OR Unrated
28-11-2025 | Newbury
Rating 109 OR Unrated
24-01-2026 | Doncaster
Rating 80 OR 120
06-04-2026 | Fakenham
Rating 90 OR 118
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Tralee Girl
PRICE DEPENDENT
DEID
Benchmark0
PaceUnclear
ConsensusWEAK

Tralee Girl profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 4m 01.65s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par4m 01.65s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times3:49.98 | 3:46.80
Recent positions3 | 2
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
06-04-2026 Fakenham | 2m | Good | Class 4 2 1/4F 118 90 83 1.8 3:46.80 GOLD - faster than par
24-01-2026 Doncaster | 2m½f | Soft | Class 1 4 11/2 120 80 32 10 4:16.01 GREY - below benchmark
28-11-2025 Newbury | 2m½f | Soft | Class 1 2 3/1 -- 109 70 6.5 4:10.66 GREY - below benchmark
31-10-2025 Wetherby | 2m | Good | Class 1 3 14/1 -- 107 83 4.5 3:49.98 GOLD - faster than par
16-08-2025 Newmarket (July) | 1m6f | Good To Firm | Class 3 7 9/1 76 71 31 5 3:4.16 GOLD - faster than par
13-07-2025 Southwell (AW) | 1m3f | Standard To Slow | Class 3 4 14/1 77 82 43 0.3 2:23.88 GOLD - faster than par
Premium runner profile Guadalevin 7:00 | Kempton (AW) | 6f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyDominant edge+4 more signals
Decision Confidence 43.0
PRICE DEPENDENT
Runs Today 7:00 | Kempton (AW) | 6f

Unibet More Extra Place Races EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Open racecard
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement1/6
FFR81
Speed--
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+1lb near mark
FFR 81 pounds scale
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score37.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DVERY_LOW
Mark readWorkable markLatest +1lb | peak +24lb treated as ceiling | public read +7lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Carlisle Solid effort 19-08-2026
6 Sandown Competitive 23-07-2026
4 Ascot Competitive 11-07-2026
2 Kempton (AW) Solid effort 10-06-2026
3 Southwell (AW) Solid effort 21-05-2026
Franked form Not franked yet

No strong named-rival evidence from recent races yet.

Proof rating0
Today's conditions match 56% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 52%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard / Slow
Similar-ground runs2/5
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Good 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Fast 2 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 2 0W / 2P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 60% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 52%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 73%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +1lb | peak +24lb treated as ceiling | public read +7lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest +1lb | peak +24lb treated as ceiling | public read +7lb

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 80 | Latest FFR 81 | Best FFR 104 | Public mark read +7
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Charlie Fellowes
Jockey Daniel Muscutt
Age 2
Draw 2
OR 80
Avg OR 80
OR vs Field 0
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 32462
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile1
DEID
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
19-08-2026 Carlisle Good To Soft 2 1:16.25 76.2
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 62% Yard in a positive recent rhythm
Freshness 26 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 trainer RTF positive at 62%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: h; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 0/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearhFirst-time aid today
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP6/5F
OwnerAndrew Julia Turner
Pedigree

State Of Rest × Creme Anglaise (Motivator)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Beaten favouriteMarket expected more last time
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.2L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
19-08-2026 Carlisle 2 0.8 Neutral finish
23-07-2026 Sandown 6 1.2 Neutral finish
11-07-2026 Ascot 4 1.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
11-07-2026 | Ascot
Rating -- OR 75
23-07-2026 | Sandown
Rating -- OR 75
19-08-2026 | Carlisle
Rating -- OR 84
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Guadalevin
PRICE DEPENDENT
DEID
Benchmark0
PaceUnclear
ConsensusWEAK

Guadalevin profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 12.79s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par1m 12.79s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:16.25
Recent positions2
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
19-08-2026 Carlisle | 6f | Good To Soft | Class 4 2 6/5F 84 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
23-07-2026 Sandown | 7f | Good To Firm | Class 1 6 50/1 75 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
11-07-2026 Ascot | 7f | Good To Firm | Class 2 4 20/1 75 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
10-06-2026 Kempton (AW) | 7f | Standard To Slow | Class 3 2 3/1 -- -- -- 2.2 -- GREY - no timing read
21-05-2026 Southwell (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 4 3 9/4 -- -- -- 0.2 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Zarakerjack 4:12 | Windsor | 11.5f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyMarginal edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 36.8
PRICE DEPENDENT
Runs Today 4:12 | Windsor | 11.5f

Bet £20 Get £40 In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement2/6
FFR111
Speed97
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+40lb ahead of mark
FFR 111 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
97 Par 100
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score36.4Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI EVERY_LOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest +40lb | peak +40lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
-- Fakenham Run faded 13-03-2026
3 Kempton Run faded 27-12-2025
2 Kempton Run faded 24-11-2025
3 Kempton (AW) Strong run 10-10-2025
4 Windsor Finished well 08-09-2025
5 Newmarket (July) Run faded 08-08-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating58
4winners since
10placers since
15evidence pts
02-12-2025 | Kempton (AW) Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Guinness Lad (IRE), Jack Langley (GB), Lovely Jubly (GB)

Race produced winner

Advancing (GB), Guinness Lad (IRE)

Later placers

Final Night (GB) (05-02-2026), Jack Langley (GB) (01-03-2026)

10-10-2025 | Kempton (AW) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Cayman Dancer (GB), Kingkeer (GB), Laplander (GB)

Race produced winner

Tortured Soul (GB)

Later placers

Kingmaker (IRE) (06-12-2025), Nelson Gate (IRE) (01-03-2026)

09-08-2025 | Windsor Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Artavian (GB), Forca Timao (IRE), Graham (GB)

Later placers

Graham (GB) (03-10-2025), Kotari (FR) (03-09-2026)

Today's conditions match 56% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 38%
Class 54%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground
Ground evidence Testing Has experience, but limited strong evidence
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Has experience, but limited strong evidence Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 4 1W / 3P Peak rating 99
Fast 3 0W / 2P Peak rating 77
All-weather 4 0W / 1P Peak rating 78
Placement evidence 62% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 38%
Class fit 65%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 50%
Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedTrip evidence still asks questionsRecent evidence is mixed
Mark read Latest +40lb | peak +40lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +40lb | peak +40lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 71 | Latest FFR 111 | Best FFR 111 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Reliable 5.6% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 7.2 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Gary & Josh Moore
Jockey Laura Pearson
Age 4
Draw 3
OR 71
Avg OR 78.9
OR vs Field -7.9
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 32543-
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m3½f
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance1m3½f
Runs at profile1
DEIE
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
08-09-2025 Windsor Good 4 2:27.12 147.1
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.5 micro score
Trainer RTF 38% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 185 days Freshness caution
Micro score -0.5 freshness caution after 185 days off
Ground timing match 1/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP11/4
OwnerThe Fat Jockey Partnership
Pedigree

Zarak × Villanelle (Kingman)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 10.2L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
13-03-2026 Fakenham -- -- Run faded
27-12-2025 Kempton 3 6.5 Run faded
24-11-2025 Kempton 2 14 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 3 runs with an official OR. 2 earlier runs were unrated.
08-08-2025 | Newmarket (July)
Rating 69 OR 73
08-09-2025 | Windsor
Rating 77 OR 72
10-10-2025 | Kempton (AW)
Rating 78 OR 72
24-11-2025 | Kempton
Rating 99 OR Unrated
27-12-2025 | Kempton
Rating 95 OR Unrated
13-03-2026 | Fakenham
Rating -- OR 105
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Zarakerjack
PRICE DEPENDENT
DEIE
Benchmark0.94
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Zarakerjack profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 34.72s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par2m 34.72s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times2:27.12
Recent positions4
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
13-03-2026 Fakenham | 2m | Good To Soft | Class 4 -- 11/4 105 -- -- -- - GREY - no timing read
27-12-2025 Kempton | 2m | Good | Class 2 3 7/2 -- 95 56 6.5 3:53.13 GREY - below benchmark
24-11-2025 Kempton | 2m | Good | Class 4 2 100/30 -- 99 70 14 3:55.94 GREY - below benchmark
10-10-2025 Kempton (AW) | 1m4f | Standard To Slow | Class 5 3 15/2 72 78 59 0.3 2:32.88 GOLD - faster than par
08-09-2025 Windsor | 1m3½f | Good | Class 5 4 4/1F 72 77 63 0.2 2:27.15 GOLD - faster than par
08-08-2025 Newmarket (July) | 1m2f | Good To Firm | Class 5 5 7/1 73 69 58 2.2 2:6.37 GOLD - faster than par
Premium runner profile Darkened Edge 5:12 | Windsor | 5f
Quality DTier 4 watch onlyStrong edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 57.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 5:12 | Windsor | 5f

Neverland Drone Show At Windsor Racecourse Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR65
Speed102
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+5lb ahead of mark
FFR 65 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
102 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeShortlist profileThere is useful evidence, but the horse still needs normal price, risk and race checks.
Model score38.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +10lb versus today's OR
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Windsor Solid effort 24-08-2026
1 Bath Strong run 15-07-2026
1 Chepstow Strong run 03-07-2026
4 Bath Competitive 13-06-2026
3 Bath Solid effort 13-05-2026
8 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 08-09-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating42
4winners since
8placers since
14evidence pts
07-03-2026 | Chepstow Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Bama Lama (GB), Banana (GB), Daley T (IRE)

Later placers

Daley T (IRE) (01-08-2026), Rogue Rebellion (GB) (05-04-2026)

08-11-2025 | Windsor Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Colorada Dancer (GB), Jungle Dance (IRE), Kranjcar (IRE)

Race produced winner

Gogo Yubari (GB), Secret Handsheikh (GB)

Later placers

Cabeza De Llave (GB) (09-11-2025), Colorada Dancer (GB) (02-12-2025)

07-11-2025 | Chepstow Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Gogo Yubari (GB), Secret Handsheikh (GB)

Race produced winner

Gogo Yubari (GB), Secret Handsheikh (GB)

Later placers

Banana (GB) (10-11-2025), Savannah Smiles (IRE) (06-05-2026)

Today's conditions match 62% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 45%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Testing No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 45
Good 6 0W / 4P Peak rating 59
Fast 13 4W / 9P Peak rating 59
All-weather 4 0W / 1P Peak rating 55
Placement evidence 69% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 94%
Class fit 26%
Mark room 82%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (B)23 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +10lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concern
Mark read Latest FFR read +10lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +10lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 60 | Latest FFR 65 | Best FFR 70 | Public mark read +10
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Very steady 3.6% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 5.5 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Christopher Mason
Jockey Gina Mangan
Age 6
Draw 2
OR 60
Avg OR 59.8
OR vs Field +0.2
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form -34112
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile23
DEIB
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
03-07-2026 Chepstow Good To Firm 1 0:58.66 58.7
15-07-2026 Bath Firm 1 1:0.36 60.4
24-08-2026 Windsor Good To Firm 2 1:1.14 61.1
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF 50% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 21 days Recent fitness window
Micro score -0.2 no recent matched-ground timing evidence; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP7/1
OwnerChris Mason Racing
Pedigree

Cable Bay × Edge Of Light (Xaar)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
24-08-2026 Windsor 2 0.2 Fast finish
15-07-2026 Bath 1 0 Neutral finish
03-07-2026 Chepstow 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 1 runs with an official OR.
08-09-2025 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating 44 OR 53
13-05-2026 | Bath
Rating -- OR 52
13-06-2026 | Bath
Rating -- OR 51
03-07-2026 | Chepstow
Rating -- OR 50
15-07-2026 | Bath
Rating -- OR 56
24-08-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 59
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Darkened Edge
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIB
Benchmark-0.94
PaceUnclear
ConsensusWEAK

Darkened Edge profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 00.30s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs23
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 00.30s
Last win at trip-- | Bath | 15-07-2026
Recent times0:58.66 | 1:0.36 | 1:1.14
Recent positions1 | 1 | 2
Winning contextOR 56 | weight 9-7
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
24-08-2026 Windsor | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 2 7/1 59 -- -- 0.2 -- GREY - no timing read
15-07-2026 Bath | 5f | Firm | Class 6 1 5/4F 56 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
03-07-2026 Chepstow | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 1 6/4F 50 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
13-06-2026 Bath | 5f | Good | Class 6 4 4/1 51 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
13-05-2026 Bath | 5f | Firm | Class 6 3 3/1 52 -- -- 1.8 -- GREY - no timing read
08-09-2025 Lingfield (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 6 8 15/2 53 44 38 0.8 0:58.49 GOLD - faster than par
Premium runner profile Dream Of Ithaca 2:21 | Thirsk | 12f
Quality DTier 4 watch onlyStrong edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 55.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 2:21 | Thirsk | 12f

Constant Security Services Apprentice Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR66
Speed102
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+11lb ahead of mark
FFR 66 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
102 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score35.4Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CLOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest +11lb | peak +20lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Ffos Las Strong run 21-08-2026
1 Brighton Strong run 06-08-2026
8 Windsor Steady run 08-06-2026
5 Windsor Competitive 23-05-2026
5 Kempton (AW) Steady run 06-05-2026
4 Beverley Troubled run 23-04-2026
Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating0
0winners since
0placers since
4evidence pts
06-08-2026 | Windsor Finished 8
Beat named rivals

Clough (IRE), Lawn Ranger (GB), Majestic Leo (IRE)

08-06-2026 | Brighton Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Alex The Great (IRE), Dogged (GB), Foinix (GB)

05-06-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Blue Birdie (IRE), Emerald Reine (GB), Joanna Hiffernan (GB)

Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 48%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 4 0W / 0P Peak rating 37
Good 1 1W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 3 1W / 1P Peak rating 46
All-weather 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 63% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 68%
Class fit 35%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concern
Mark read Latest +11lb | peak +20lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +11lb | peak +20lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 55 | Latest FFR 66 | Best FFR 75 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Variable; Mild bounce watch; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Improving

confidence nudge +0.5
Variance Variable 10.5% volatility
Bounce Mild bounce watch Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 1.7 vs par
Curve Improving Trend 2
Trainer John Gallagher
Jockey Liam Wright
Age 3
Draw 12
OR 55
Avg OR 48.7
OR vs Field +6.3
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 455811
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m4f
Runs at profile2
DEIC
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
06-08-2026 Brighton Good To Firm 1 2:33.06 153.1
21-08-2026 Ffos Las Good 1 2:36.83 156.8
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 35% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 24 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP6/1
OwnerAndrew Bell And Michael Wright
Pedigree

Ulysses × Dream Of Wunders (Cape Cross)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.3L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
21-08-2026 Ffos Las 1 0 Fast finish
06-08-2026 Brighton 1 0 Neutral finish
08-06-2026 Windsor 8 4 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 1 runs with an official OR.
23-04-2026 | Beverley
Rating 46 OR 50
06-05-2026 | Kempton (AW)
Rating -- OR 49
23-05-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 49
08-06-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 49
06-08-2026 | Brighton
Rating -- OR 47
21-08-2026 | Ffos Las
Rating -- OR 52
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Dream Of Ithaca
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIC
Benchmark-0.35
PaceUnclear
ConsensusWEAK

Dream Of Ithaca profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 37.15s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par2m 37.15s
Last win at trip-- | Ffos Las | 21-08-2026
Recent times2:33.06 | 2:36.83
Recent positions1 | 1
Winning contextOR 52 | weight 8-9
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
21-08-2026 Ffos Las | 12f | Good | Class 6 1 6/1 52 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
06-08-2026 Brighton | 12f | Good To Firm | Class 6 1 15/8 47 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
08-06-2026 Windsor | 11.5f | Good To Soft | Class 6 8 12/1 49 -- -- 4 -- GREY - no timing read
23-05-2026 Windsor | 11.5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 5 40/1 49 -- -- 1.8 -- GREY - no timing read
06-05-2026 Kempton (AW) | 11f | Standard To Slow | Class 4 5 66/1 49 -- -- 4 -- GREY - no timing read
23-04-2026 Beverley | 1m2f | Good To Firm | Class 6 4 50/1 50 46 38 1.5 2:05.38 GOLD - faster than par
Premium runner profile Faustus 5:12 | Windsor | 5f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyStrong edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 51.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 5:12 | Windsor | 5f

Neverland Drone Show At Windsor Racecourse Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR66
Speed98
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+8lb ahead of mark
FFR 66 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
98 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score35.3Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Windsor Strong run 24-08-2026
5 Brighton Run faded 05-08-2026
2 Brighton Solid effort 07-07-2026
6 Newbury Competitive 02-07-2026
2 Windsor Solid effort 22-06-2026
7 Newbury Competitive 01-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating22
3winners since
2placers since
10evidence pts
05-09-2026 | Lingfield Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Birkenhead (GB), Desert Champion (IRE), My Boy Harry (GB)

07-07-2026 | Brighton Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Honour Your Dreams (FR), Kento (GB), Too Darn Good (IRE)

Race produced winner

Rory Rocket (GB), Too Darn Good (IRE)

Later placers

Kento (GB) (04-09-2026)

08-05-2026 | Brighton Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Pop Dancer (IRE)

Race produced winner

Kento (GB)

Later placers

Coast (GB) (07-07-2026)

Today's conditions match 62% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 45%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Testing No recent testing sample; best evidence is on fast ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on fast ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 11 1W / 4P Peak rating 84
Good 8 1W / 1P Peak rating 87
Fast 17 3W / 8P Peak rating 88
All-weather 6 0W / 0P Peak rating 73
Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 94%
Class fit 26%
Mark room 76%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Proven trip profile (B)58 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +8lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concern
Mark read Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 58 | Latest FFR 66 | Best FFR 66 | Public mark read +8
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Edging forward

confidence nudge +1.0
Variance Reliable 7.6% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -0.9 vs par
Curve Edging forward Trend 1
Trainer Rachel Cook & John Bridger
Jockey Jack Mitchell
Age 8
Draw 6
OR 58
Avg OR 59.8
OR vs Field -1.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 726251
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile58
DEIB
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
22-06-2026 Windsor Good To Firm 2 0:58.61 58.6
02-07-2026 Newbury Good To Firm 6 1:1.43 61.4
24-08-2026 Windsor Good To Firm 1 1:1.11 61.1
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 24% Yard has been quiet recently
Freshness 21 days Recent fitness window
Micro score -0.8 trainer RTF quiet at 24%; no recent matched-ground timing evidence; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP9/2
OwnerP Cook
Pedigree

Mayson × Israfel (Dark Angel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 3.9L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
24-08-2026 Windsor 1 0 Neutral finish
05-08-2026 Brighton 5 4.2 Run faded
07-07-2026 Brighton 2 7.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
01-06-2026 | Newbury
Rating -- OR 60
22-06-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 57
02-07-2026 | Newbury
Rating -- OR 57
07-07-2026 | Brighton
Rating -- OR 58
05-08-2026 | Brighton
Rating -- OR 57
24-08-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 56
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Faustus
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIB
Benchmark-0.94
PaceUnclear
ConsensusWEAK

Faustus profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 00.30s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs58
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 00.30s
Last win at trip-- | Windsor | 24-08-2026
Recent times0:58.61 | 1:1.43 | 1:1.11
Recent positions2 | 6 | 1
Winning contextOR 56 | weight 9-3
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
24-08-2026 Windsor | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 1 9/2 56 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
05-08-2026 Brighton | 5.5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 5 85/40F 57 -- -- 4.2 -- GREY - no timing read
07-07-2026 Brighton | 5.5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 2 2/1F 58 -- -- 7.5 -- GREY - no timing read
02-07-2026 Newbury | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 6 11/4 57 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
22-06-2026 Windsor | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 2 14/1 57 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
01-06-2026 Newbury | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 7 15/2 60 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Novak 5:21 | Thirsk | 7f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyStrong edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 49.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 5:21 | Thirsk | 7f

Bowel Cancer Screening Programme Saves Lives Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR67
Speed109
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+2lb near mark
FFR 67 pounds scale
SpeedScoreabove par
109 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score42.1Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest +2lb | peak +29lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Musselburgh Strong run 25-08-2026
2 Ayr Solid effort 10-08-2026
4 Ayr Competitive 27-07-2026
4 Ayr Finished well 19-06-2026
3 Hamilton Troubled run 10-06-2026
6 Auteuil (FR) Steady run 30-05-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating19
1winners since
4placers since
10evidence pts
02-06-2026 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Anthropologist (GB), Born A Rebel (GB), Lerwick (GB)

Later placers

Born A Rebel (GB) (08-06-2026), Golden Strike (IRE) (03-06-2026)

05-05-2026 | Ayr Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Eve's Boy (GB), Penelope's Sister (IRE)

Race produced winner

Starliner (IRE)

Later placers

Donna Nook (GB) (01-09-2026)

03-01-2026 | Auteuil Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Alhunter (FR), Depro (GER), LAu Revoir (FR)

Today's conditions match 62% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 47%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 11 0W / 5P Peak rating 106
Good 13 3W / 5P Peak rating 84
Fast 6 1W / 3P Peak rating 83
All-weather 46 5W / 17P Peak rating 81
Placement evidence 65% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 94%
Class fit 32%
Mark room 76%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Proven trip profile (B)64 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +8lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concern
Mark read Latest +2lb | peak +29lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +2lb | peak +29lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 65 | Latest FFR 67 | Best FFR 94 | Public mark read +8
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; Mild bounce watch; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Improving

confidence nudge +2.8
Variance Reliable 6.4% volatility
Bounce Mild bounce watch Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 9.3 vs par
Curve Improving Trend 2
Trainer Iain Jardine
Jockey Shay Farmer(5)
Age 7
Draw 3
OR 65
Avg OR 64.2
OR vs Field +0.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 234421
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance7f
Runs at profile64
DEIB
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
19-06-2026 Ayr Soft 4 1:32.47 92.5
10-08-2026 Ayr Good To Soft 2 1:31.44 91.4
25-08-2026 Musselburgh Good 1 1:26.17 86.2
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 32% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 20 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP7/2
OwnerMrs Francesca Mitchell
Pedigree

Mastercraftsman × Parknasilla (Dutch Art)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.8L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
25-08-2026 Musselburgh 1 0 Neutral finish
10-08-2026 Ayr 2 1 Neutral finish
27-07-2026 Ayr 4 1.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
30-05-2026 | Auteuil (FR)
Rating -- OR 142
10-06-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 64
19-06-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 64
27-07-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 63
10-08-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 61
25-08-2026 | Musselburgh
Rating -- OR 62
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Novak
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIB
Benchmark-0.6
PaceUnclear
ConsensusWEAK

Novak profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 26.93s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs64
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 26.93s
Last win at trip-- | Musselburgh | 25-08-2026
Recent times1:32.47 | 1:31.44 | 1:26.17
Recent positions4 | 2 | 1
Winning contextOR 62 | weight 9-6
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
25-08-2026 Musselburgh | 7f | Good | Class 6 1 7/2 62 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
10-08-2026 Ayr | 7f | Good To Soft | Class 6 2 7/1 61 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
27-07-2026 Ayr | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 6 4 9/2 63 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
19-06-2026 Ayr | 7f | Soft | Class 5 4 100/30 64 -- -- 2.5 -- GREY - no timing read
10-06-2026 Hamilton | 6f | Good To Soft | Class 5 3 11/2 64 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
30-05-2026 Auteuil (FR) | 20.5f | Very Soft | -- 6 6/4F 142 -- -- 3.5 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Thankuappreciate 3:42 | Windsor | 6f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyMarginal edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 46.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 3:42 | Windsor | 6f

Ivor Laws Memorial Race Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR78
Speed102
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+9lb ahead of mark
FFR 78 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
102 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score31.4Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest +9lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
5 Southwell (AW) Troubled run 11-04-2026
4 Southwell (AW) Run faded 11-03-2026
3 Chelmsford (AW) Solid effort 26-02-2026
1 Southwell (AW) Strong run 11-02-2026
4 Southwell (AW) Run faded 06-01-2026
4 Southwell (AW) Finished well 18-12-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Elite franked form

Proof rating85
13winners since
11placers since
15evidence pts
01-06-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Glory Fighter (GB), Havechatma (GB), Insuspense (GB)

Race produced winner

Brazilian Belle (IRE), Castan (GB)

07-12-2025 | York Finished 10
Beat named rivals

Emperors Son (IRE), Frank The Spark (GB), Good Earth (IRE)

Race produced winner

Emperors Son (IRE), Fiscal Policy (IRE)

Later placers

Aberama Gold (GB) (10-12-2025), Filly One (IRE) (01-01-2026)

09-09-2025 | Catterick Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Albegone (GB), Betweenthesticks (GB), Chuti Manika (IRE)

Race produced winner

Betweenthesticks (GB), Keldeo (GB)

Later placers

Albegone (GB) (02-06-2026), Desert Champion (IRE) (02-10-2025)

Today's conditions match 62% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 44%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Testing No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 11 0W / 5P Peak rating 84
Good 7 0W / 1P Peak rating 86
Fast 8 0W / 3P Peak rating 84
All-weather 14 3W / 7P Peak rating 85
Placement evidence 65% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 94%
Class fit 25%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 50%
Proven trip profile (B)15 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concern
Mark read Latest +9lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +9lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 69 | Latest FFR 78 | Best FFR 85 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorWorth a second look
  • Latest run: traffic trouble may have hidden the finishing position.
Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge +2.8
Variance Very steady 3.8% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 3.6 vs par
Curve Edging forward Trend 1
Trainer Tony Carroll
Jockey Billy Loughnane
Age 6
Draw 6
OR 69
Avg OR 67.3
OR vs Field +1.7
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form -41345
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile15
DEIB
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
06-08-2025 Pontefract Good To Firm 5 1:16.16 76.2
11-02-2026 Southwell (AW) Standard 1 1:14.74 74.7
11-04-2026 Southwell (AW) Standard 5 1:14.22 74.2
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.5 micro score
Trainer RTF 32% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 156 days Freshness caution
Micro score -0.5 no recent matched-ground timing evidence; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP7/1
OwnerMiss Tracey Mann John Pinckney
Pedigree

Fountain Of Youth × Illusions (Toronado)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.2L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
11-04-2026 Southwell (AW) 5 1.8 Neutral finish
11-03-2026 Southwell (AW) 4 0.8 Run faded
26-02-2026 Chelmsford (AW) 3 1 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 3 of 6 runs with an official OR.
18-12-2025 | Southwell (AW)
Rating 57 OR 71
06-01-2026 | Southwell (AW)
Rating 67 OR 69
11-02-2026 | Southwell (AW)
Rating 76 OR 67
26-02-2026 | Chelmsford (AW)
Rating 72 OR 71
11-03-2026 | Southwell (AW)
Rating 73 OR 71
11-04-2026 | Southwell (AW)
Rating 64 OR 70
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Thankuappreciate
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIB
Benchmark-1.05
PaceUnclear
ConsensusWEAK

Thankuappreciate profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 12.48s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs15
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 12.48s
Last win at trip1:14.74 | Southwell (AW) | 11-02-2026
Recent times1:16.16 | 1:14.74 | 1:14.22
Recent positions5 | 1 | 5
Winning contextvs par +2.26s | OR 67
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
11-04-2026 Southwell (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 5 7/1 70 64 55 1.8 1:14.05 AMBER - competitive
11-03-2026 Southwell (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 5 4 11/1 71 73 53 0.8 1:27.34 GREY - below benchmark
26-02-2026 Chelmsford (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 5 3 9/1 71 72 34 1 1:26.53 GREY - below benchmark
11-02-2026 Southwell (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 1 28/1 67 76 41 0 1:14.74 GREY - below benchmark
06-01-2026 Southwell (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 5 4 7/1 69 67 51 0.5 0:58.96 GOLD - faster than par
18-12-2025 Southwell (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 5 4 13/2 71 57 44 1 0:59.56 GOLD - faster than par
Premium runner profile Silky Robin 3:42 | Windsor | 6f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyClear but not dominant+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 39.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 3:42 | Windsor | 6f

Ivor Laws Memorial Race Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR70
Speed100
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+3lb near mark
FFR 70 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
100 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score34.7Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3 Newmarket (July) Finished well 01-08-2026
1 Brighton Strong run 22-06-2026
1 Lingfield Strong run 19-05-2026
5 Southwell (AW) Run faded 02-04-2026
5 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 16-03-2026
6 Wolverhampton (AW) Troubled run 13-03-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating38
6winners since
4placers since
10evidence pts
02-08-2026 | Chelmsford (AW) Finished 8
Later placers

Invincible Melody (IRE) (02-09-2026)

04-02-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Arlington (GB), Auntie Jo (GB), Isla Bella (GB)

Race produced winner

Arlington (GB), Auntie Jo (GB)

Later placers

Colors Of Freedom (GB) (03-07-2026), Let's Go Hugo (IRE) (09-02-2026)

08-01-2026 | Newmarket (July) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Angel Summer (IRE), Dottie Diamond (GB), Tuscan Point (IRE)

Race produced winner

Merrimack (GB)

Later placers

Tuscan Point (IRE) (05-09-2026)

Today's conditions match 64% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 44%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence Testing No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 1W / 1P Peak rating 70
Good 2 1W / 1P Peak rating 62
Fast 9 3W / 4P Peak rating 68
All-weather 19 0W / 6P Peak rating 74
Placement evidence 69% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 25%
Mark room 79%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (A)13 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +9lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concern
Mark read Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 67 | Latest FFR 70 | Best FFR 76 | Public mark read +9
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.0
Variance Reliable 6.1% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 4.1 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Brian Toomey
Jockey Tom Marquand
Age 5
Draw 3
OR 67
Avg OR 67.3
OR vs Field -0.3
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 655113
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile13
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
29-09-2025 Southwell (AW) Standard 5 1:14.77 74.8
13-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 6 1:14.22 74.2
16-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 5 1:13.85 73.8
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF 54% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 44 days Recent fitness window
Micro score -0.2 no recent matched-ground timing evidence; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: b; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearbDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP6/1
OwnerVinny Ted Racing Syndicate
Pedigree

Exceed And Excel × Shaya (Invincible Spirit)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.2L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
01-08-2026 Newmarket (July) 3 0.5 Fast finish
22-06-2026 Brighton 1 0 Fast finish
19-05-2026 Lingfield 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 3 runs with an official OR.
13-03-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 64 OR 62
16-03-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 58 OR 62
02-04-2026 | Southwell (AW)
Rating 59 OR 60
19-05-2026 | Lingfield
Rating -- OR 59
22-06-2026 | Brighton
Rating -- OR 64
01-08-2026 | Newmarket (July)
Rating -- OR 68
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Silky Robin
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIA
Benchmark-1.05
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Silky Robin profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 12.48s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs13
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 12.48s
Last win at trip1:10.98 | Lingfield | 21-06-2025
Recent times1:14.77 | 1:14.22 | 1:13.85
Recent positions5 | 6 | 5
Winning contextvs par -1.5s | OR 58
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
01-08-2026 Newmarket (July) | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 3 6/1 68 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
22-06-2026 Brighton | 5.5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 1 5/2F 64 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
19-05-2026 Lingfield | 5f | Good | Class 6 1 5/1 59 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
02-04-2026 Southwell (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 6 5 14/1 60 59 44 1 0:58.59 GOLD - faster than par
16-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 5 14/1 62 58 39 1.2 1:13.85 AMBER - competitive
13-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 6 6 25/1 62 64 46 0.1 1:14.22 AMBER - competitive
Premium runner profile Unionville 6:00 | Kempton (AW) | 8f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyStrong edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 34.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 6:00 | Kempton (AW) | 8f

Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement0/6
FFR77
Speed98
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+8lb ahead of mark
FFR 77 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
98 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score39.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CLOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Kempton (AW) Strong run 02-09-2026
4 Kempton (AW) Competitive 19-08-2026
3 Sandown Solid effort 24-07-2026
8 Kempton (AW) Competitive 02-07-2026
8 Windsor Steady run 08-06-2026
7 Kempton (AW) Below best 08-04-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating26
2winners since
2placers since
9evidence pts
06-08-2026 | Windsor Finished 8
Beat named rivals

Charlie Boyo (IRE), Exhibitioning (GB)

04-08-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Return Of The Gods (IRE)

Race produced winner

Return Of The Gods (IRE)

Later placers

Hallo Spaceboy (GB) (05-08-2026)

09-02-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Bundok (GB), Chapman's Peak (GB), Orange Emperor (IRE)

Race produced winner

Superstorm (GB)

Later placers

Bundok (GB) (09-09-2026)

Today's conditions match 59% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 45%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard / Slow
Similar-ground runs4/6
Best similar rating56
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 3 0W / 0P Peak rating 68
Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 43
Fast 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
All-weather 6 2W / 3P Peak rating 72
Placement evidence 57% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 58%
Class fit 26%
Mark room 76%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Conservative mark read gives +8lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concern
Mark read Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 69 | Latest FFR 77 | Best FFR 77 | Public mark read +8
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Variable; Bounce watch; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Edging forward

confidence nudge -0.8
Variance Variable 9.1% volatility
Bounce Bounce watch Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 7.4 vs par
Curve Edging forward Trend 1
Trainer Michael Attwater
Jockey Owen Lewis(5)
Age 3
Draw 6
OR 69
Avg OR 65.3
OR vs Field +3.7
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 788341
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 7f
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance7f
Runs at profile3
DEIC
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
24-07-2026 Sandown Good To Firm 3 1:30.98 91
19-08-2026 Kempton (AW) Standard / Slow 4 1:27.82 87.8
02-09-2026 Kempton (AW) Standard / Slow 1 1:27.38 87.4
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF 19% Yard has been quiet recently
Freshness 12 days Recent fitness window
Micro score -0.2 trainer RTF cold at 19%; recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP12/1
OwnerDare To Dream Racing
Pedigree

Havana Grey × Ebrah (Singspiel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course winHas won at this course
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.6L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
02-09-2026 Kempton (AW) 1 0 Neutral finish
19-08-2026 Kempton (AW) 4 0.3 Fast finish
24-07-2026 Sandown 3 1.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 1 runs with an official OR.
08-04-2026 | Kempton (AW)
Rating 56 OR 76
08-06-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 75
02-07-2026 | Kempton (AW)
Rating -- OR 72
24-07-2026 | Sandown
Rating -- OR 69
19-08-2026 | Kempton (AW)
Rating -- OR 67
02-09-2026 | Kempton (AW)
Rating -- OR 67
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Unionville
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIC
Benchmark-0.94
PaceUnclear
ConsensusWEAK

Unionville profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 39.93s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs3
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 39.93s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:30.98 | 1:27.82 | 1:27.38
Recent positions3 | 4 | 1
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
02-09-2026 Kempton (AW) | 7f | Standard / Slow | Class 5 1 12/1 67 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
19-08-2026 Kempton (AW) | 7f | Standard / Slow | Class 5 4 22/1 67 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
24-07-2026 Sandown | 7f | Good To Firm | Class 5 3 28/1 69 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
02-07-2026 Kempton (AW) | 6f | Standard To Slow | Class 5 8 33/1 72 -- -- 0.2 -- GREY - no timing read
08-06-2026 Windsor | 6f | Good To Soft | Class 5 8 22/1 75 -- -- 5 -- GREY - no timing read
08-04-2026 Kempton (AW) | 6f | Standard To Slow | Class 4 7 28/1 76 56 52 3.2 1:12.93 GOLD - faster than par
Premium runner profile Happier 8:30 | Kempton (AW) | 6f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyDominant edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 51.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 8:30 | Kempton (AW) | 6f

Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: top of the market is compressed.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR64
Speed93
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+4lb near mark
FFR 64 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
93 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskTop of the market is compressed
Decision typeTight decisionThe top runner is only narrowly ahead, so comparison with the next few in the race matters.
Model score43.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CHIGH
Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +7lb versus today's OR
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4 Ripon Competitive 31-08-2026
2 Lingfield (AW) Finished well 18-08-2026
1 Ffos Las Strong run 12-08-2026
1 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 31-07-2026
7 Salisbury Competitive 21-07-2026
9 Windsor Run faded 29-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating54
5winners since
5placers since
14evidence pts
06-01-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 11
Race produced winner

Reputation (IRE), Rosemarys Rose (IRE)

Later placers

Amaysmont (GB) (06-09-2026), Good Karma (GB) (03-03-2026)

08-12-2025 | Hamilton Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Fortunate Star (IRE), Hard Nut (IRE), Sixcor (GB)

Race produced winner

Fortunate Star (IRE), Thornaby Pearl (GB)

08-05-2025 | Catterick Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Azucena (IRE), Brazen Belle (GB), Doralee (GB)

Race produced winner

Doralee (GB)

Today's conditions match 57% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 45%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard / Slow
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 21 0W / 5P Peak rating 73
Good 7 2W / 3P Peak rating 68
Fast 6 1W / 2P Peak rating 76
All-weather 6 2W / 4P Peak rating 70
Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 78%
Class fit 26%
Mark room 73%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (C)24 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueClass benchmark is a concern
Mark read Latest FFR read +7lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +7lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 60 | Latest FFR 64 | Best FFR 67 | Public mark read +7
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.0
Variance Reliable 6.4% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 1.8 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Martin Keighley
Jockey Toby Moore(7)
Age 6
Draw 4
OR 60
Avg OR 54.7
OR vs Field +5.3
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 961124
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile24
DEIC
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
03-12-2025 Lingfield (AW) Standard 2 1:11.42 71.4
15-12-2025 Lingfield (AW) Standard 6 1:13.14 73.1
18-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 2 1:10.26 70.3
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 42% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 14 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP13/2
OwnerMartin Keighley Racing Club
Pedigree

Profitable × Joy For Life (Pivotal)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.2L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
31-08-2026 Ripon 4 0.5 Neutral finish
18-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 2 0.2 Fast finish
12-08-2026 Ffos Las 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
29-06-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 52
21-07-2026 | Salisbury
Rating -- OR 50
31-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 50
12-08-2026 | Ffos Las
Rating -- OR 55
18-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 55
31-08-2026 | Ripon
Rating -- OR 61
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Happier
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIC
Benchmark-0.94
PaceUnclear
ConsensusWEAK

Happier profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 12.79s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs24
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 12.79s
Last win at trip1:11.50 | Redcar | 29-05-2023
Recent times1:11.42 | 1:13.14 | 1:10.26
Recent positions2 | 6 | 2
Winning contextvs par -1.29s
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
31-08-2026 Ripon | 5f | Soft | Class 5 4 13/2 61 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
18-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 6 2 3/1 55 -- -- 0.2 -- GREY - no timing read
12-08-2026 Ffos Las | 5f | Good | Class 6 1 9/2 55 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
31-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 6 1 7/4F 50 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
21-07-2026 Salisbury | 7f | Good To Firm | Class 6 7 9/1 50 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
29-06-2026 Windsor | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 9 17/2 52 -- -- 2.2 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Phantom Watch 1:42 | Windsor | 8f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyStrong edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 48.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 1:42 | Windsor | 8f

Matchbook Signup - Get 20% Back On Losses Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR64
Speed96
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-11lb below mark
FFR 64 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
96 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score48.7Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CLOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -11lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
5 Haydock Finished well 08-08-2026
2 Newmarket (July) Solid effort 26-06-2026
1 Newmarket (July) Finished well 19-06-2026
4 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 30-01-2026
3 Southwell (AW) Solid effort 28-12-2025
2 Wolverhampton (AW) Solid effort 29-11-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating31
5winners since
6placers since
10evidence pts
08-08-2026 | Haydock Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Golden Mabel (GB)

07-03-2025 | Newbury Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Aba Maajid (IRE), Goldwork (GB), Kalokalo (IRE)

Race produced winner

Kalokalo (IRE), Sea Cookie (IRE)

Later placers

Goldwork (GB) (04-08-2026)

08-02-2025 | Goodwood Finished 10
Beat named rivals

My Old Mate (IRE), Receding (IRE)

Race produced winner

Evanesco (GB), Ghost Mode (IRE)

Later placers

Arbaawy (GB) (10-04-2025), Aspect Island (GB) (10-10-2025)

Today's conditions match 51% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 54%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Testing No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 52
Good 3 1W / 2P Peak rating 72
Fast 2 0W / 2P Peak rating 72
All-weather 5 0W / 2P Peak rating 66
Placement evidence 60% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 63%
Class fit 67%
Mark room 28%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -11lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -11lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 75 | Latest FFR 64 | Best FFR 79 | Public mark read -8
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +0.8
Variance Very steady 3.4% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -1.9 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Hugo Palmer
Jockey David Probert
Age 3
Draw 5
OR 75
Avg OR 69.2
OR vs Field +5.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 3-4125
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile4
DEIC
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
19-06-2026 Newmarket (July) Good 1 1:37.97 98
26-06-2026 Newmarket (July) Good To Firm 2 1:38.62 98.6
08-08-2026 Haydock Good 5 1:41.80 101.8
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 47% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 37 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: v; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearvDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP3/1
OwnerAmbrose Racing Club Ltd
Pedigree

Mohaather × Abhasana (Hawk Wing)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
3/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
08-08-2026 Haydock 5 0.3 Fast finish
26-06-2026 Newmarket (July) 2 1 Fast finish
19-06-2026 Newmarket (July) 1 0 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 3 runs with an official OR.
29-11-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 66 OR 70
28-12-2025 | Southwell (AW)
Rating 66 OR 71
30-01-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 59 OR 70
19-06-2026 | Newmarket (July)
Rating -- OR 68
26-06-2026 | Newmarket (July)
Rating -- OR 74
08-08-2026 | Haydock
Rating -- OR 75
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Phantom Watch
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIC
Benchmark0.94
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Phantom Watch profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 07.40s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs4
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par2m 07.40s
Last win at trip-- | Newmarket (July) | 19-06-2026
Recent times1:37.97 | 1:38.62 | 1:41.80
Recent positions1 | 2 | 5
Winning contextOR 68 | weight 9-7
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
08-08-2026 Haydock | 8f | Good | Class 5 5 3/1 75 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
26-06-2026 Newmarket (July) | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 5 2 8/13F 74 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
19-06-2026 Newmarket (July) | 8f | Good | Class 5 1 17/2 68 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
30-01-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 1m1½f | Standard | Class 5 4 6/1 70 59 47 1.2 2:01.79 GOLD - faster than par
28-12-2025 Southwell (AW) | 1m | Standard | Class 4 3 13/2 71 66 29 0.3 1:43.56 GOLD - faster than par
29-11-2025 Wolverhampton (AW) | 1m½f | Standard | Class 5 2 7/2 70 66 9 1.5 1:52.15 GOLD - faster than par
Premium runner profile Red Hat Eagle 5:21 | Thirsk | 7f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyStrong edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 47.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 5:21 | Thirsk | 7f

Bowel Cancer Screening Programme Saves Lives Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR73
Speed93
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+3lb near mark
FFR 73 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
93 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score36.4Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DMEDIUM
Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Lingfield (AW) Finished well 20-08-2026
5 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 08-08-2026
7 Ascot Competitive 11-07-2026
4 Yarmouth Competitive 26-06-2026
5 Yarmouth Finished well 18-06-2026
5 Lingfield Steady run 30-05-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating60
8winners since
7placers since
14evidence pts
08-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Arantes Nascimento (GB), Bold Suitor (GB)

Race produced winner

Bold Suitor (GB)

Later placers

Arantes Nascimento (GB) (06-09-2026)

10-12-2024 | Chelmsford (AW) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Berkshire Nugget (IRE), Charming Whisper (GB), Dutch Decoy (GB)

Race produced winner

Charming Whisper (GB), Dutch Decoy (GB)

Later placers

Eagle Day (IRE) (02-01-2025), Great Blasket (IRE) (08-06-2026)

06-12-2024 | Kempton (AW) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Capuchinero (GB), Francesi (IRE), Ivasecret (IRE)

Race produced winner

Capuchinero (GB), Dembe (GB)

Later placers

LArgent (FR) (09-12-2024), Yeoman (GB) (02-08-2025)

Today's conditions match 56% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 52%
Class 53%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Handicap Question Pace shape
Ground evidence Good No recent good sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read No recent good sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 55
Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 87
Fast 8 1W / 2P Peak rating 91
All-weather 15 3W / 9P Peak rating 91
Placement evidence 62% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 52%
Class fit 53%
Mark room 64%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
8 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 70 | Latest FFR 73 | Best FFR 74 | Public mark read +4
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Cooling

confidence nudge +0.8
Variance Very steady 2.7% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 0.5 vs par
Curve Cooling Trend -1
Trainer William Knight
Jockey Cieren Fallon
Age 6
Draw 4
OR 70
Avg OR 64.2
OR vs Field +5.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 554752
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance7f
Runs at profile8
DEID
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
11-07-2026 Ascot Good To Firm 7 1:25.28 85.3
08-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 5 1:24.75 84.8
20-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 2 1:22.53 82.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 61% Yard in a positive recent rhythm
Freshness 25 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 trainer RTF positive at 61%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: tp; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgeartpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP4/1J
OwnerPmg Partnership
Pedigree

Gleneagles × Sabaweeya (Street Cry)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Beaten favouriteMarket expected more last time
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.6L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
20-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 2 1.2 Fast finish
08-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 5 0.3 Run faded
11-07-2026 Ascot 7 0.3 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
30-05-2026 | Lingfield
Rating -- OR 77
18-06-2026 | Yarmouth
Rating -- OR 75
26-06-2026 | Yarmouth
Rating -- OR 75
11-07-2026 | Ascot
Rating -- OR 73
08-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 72
20-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 70
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Red Hat Eagle
CAUTION PROFILE
DEID
Benchmark0.6
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Red Hat Eagle profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 26.93s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs8
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par1m 26.93s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:25.28 | 1:24.75 | 1:22.53
Recent positions7 | 5 | 2
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
20-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 5 2 4/1J 70 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
08-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 4 5 8/1 72 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
11-07-2026 Ascot | 7f | Good To Firm | Class 4 7 12/1 73 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
26-06-2026 Yarmouth | 7f | Good To Firm | Class 5 4 20/1 75 -- -- 1.8 -- GREY - no timing read
18-06-2026 Yarmouth | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 4 5 10/1 75 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
30-05-2026 Lingfield | 9f | Good To Firm | Class 4 5 13/2 77 -- -- 4.2 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Sax Avoidance 8:00 | Kempton (AW) | 11f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyStrong edge+4 more signals
Decision Confidence 47.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 8:00 | Kempton (AW) | 11f

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Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR76
Speed--
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+12lb ahead of mark
FFR 76 pounds scale
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score41.1Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CLOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Salisbury Strong run 11-09-2026
3 Lingfield (AW) Finished well 25-08-2026
4 Windsor Steady run 13-08-2026
5 Nottingham Steady run 17-07-2026
Franked form Not franked yet

No strong named-rival evidence from recent races yet.

Proof rating0
Today's conditions match 59% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 45%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayStandard / Slow
Similar-ground runs1/4
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 1W / 1P Peak rating --
Good 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Fast 2 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 65% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 68%
Class fit 26%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concern
Mark read Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 64 | Latest FFR 76 | Best FFR 77 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Charlie Pike
Jockey Kieren Fox
Age 3
Draw 1
OR 64
Avg OR 65.4
OR vs Field -1.4
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 5431
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m2f
Runs at profile4
DEIC
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
13-08-2026 Windsor Good To Firm 4 2:8.29 128.3
25-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 3 2:6.30 126.3
11-09-2026 Salisbury Soft 1 2:15.55 135.6
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.0 micro score
Trainer RTF 39% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 3 days Quick return
Micro score +0.0 No extra micro-intel adjustment
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP22/1
OwnerRc Vip Syndicate Iii
Pedigree

Saxon Warrior × Spindrift (Hard Spun)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 5L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
11-09-2026 Salisbury 1 0 Neutral finish
25-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 3 3 Fast finish
13-08-2026 Windsor 4 12 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
11-09-2026 | Salisbury
Rating -- OR 64
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Sax Avoidance
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIC
Benchmark-0.94
PaceUnclear
ConsensusWEAK

Sax Avoidance profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 21.67s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs4
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par2m 21.67s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times2:8.29 | 2:6.30 | 2:15.55
Recent positions4 | 3 | 1
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
11-09-2026 Salisbury | 10f | Soft | Class 5 1 22/1 64 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
25-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 10f | Standard | Class 4 3 40/1 -- -- -- 3 -- GREY - no timing read
13-08-2026 Windsor | 10f | Good To Firm | Class 3 4 150/1 -- -- -- 12 -- GREY - no timing read
17-07-2026 Nottingham | 10f | Good To Firm | Class 4 5 40/1 -- -- -- 35 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Seacole 3:12 | Windsor | 11.5f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyStrong edge+4 more signals
Decision Confidence 46.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 3:12 | Windsor | 11.5f

Kim Smith Memorial Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement0/6
FFR62
Speed--
ConditionsCaution
PlacementCaution
FFR vs OR-13lb below mark
FFR 62 pounds scale
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score33.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI ELOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -13lb | peak +14lb treated as ceiling | public read -10lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
7 Kempton (AW) Run faded 26-08-2026
2 Ffos Las Solid effort 28-07-2026
4 Yarmouth Competitive 08-07-2026
2 Nottingham Finished well 20-06-2026
Race form proof Some franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating2
0winners since
1placers since
2evidence pts
07-08-2026 | Yarmouth Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Hollywell Stream (IRE), Traveling Man (GB)

Later placers

Waterford Castle (IRE) (05-09-2026)

Today's conditions match 45% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Class Question Handicap
Ground evidence Testing No recent testing sample; best evidence is on good ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/4
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on good ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 2 0W / 2P Peak rating --
Fast 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 49% Intent unclear
Trip evidence 30%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 22%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questionsCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -13lb | peak +14lb treated as ceiling | public read -10lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -13lb | peak +14lb treated as ceiling | public read -10lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 75 | Latest FFR 62 | Best FFR 89 | Public mark read -10
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Ralph Beckett
Jockey Rossa Ryan
Age 3
Draw 1
OR 75
Avg OR 75
OR vs Field 0
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 2427
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m4f
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m4f
Runs at profile2
DEIE
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
28-07-2026 Ffos Las Good 2 2:42.33 162.3
26-08-2026 Kempton (AW) Standard / Slow 7 2:36.24 156.2
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 63% Yard in a positive recent rhythm
Freshness 19 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 trainer RTF positive at 63%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p
Ground timing match 1/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpFirst-time aid today
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP16/1
OwnerMarcstown Ltd
Pedigree

Sea The Stars × Crimean Queen (Iffraaj)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 6.7L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
26-08-2026 Kempton (AW) 7 6 Run faded
28-07-2026 Ffos Las 2 13 Neutral finish
08-07-2026 Yarmouth 4 1.2 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
26-08-2026 | Kempton (AW)
Rating -- OR 77
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Seacole
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIE
Benchmark0
PaceUnclear
ConsensusWEAK

Seacole profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 34.72s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par2m 34.72s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times2:42.33 | 2:36.24
Recent positions2 | 7
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
26-08-2026 Kempton (AW) | 12f | Standard / Slow | Class 4 7 16/1 77 -- -- 6 -- GREY - no timing read
28-07-2026 Ffos Las | 12f | Good | Class 3 2 5/2 -- -- -- 13 -- GREY - no timing read
08-07-2026 Yarmouth | 10f | Good To Firm | Class 3 4 22/1 -- -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
20-06-2026 Nottingham | 10f | Good | Class 3 2 11/4 -- -- -- 3 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Knightmare 5:30 | Kempton (AW) | 8f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyDominant edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 45.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 5:30 | Kempton (AW) | 8f

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Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR47
Speed100
ConditionsCaution
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-7lb below mark
FFR 47 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
100 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score40.1Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CLOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -7lb | peak +13lb treated as ceiling | public read -4lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
5 Chepstow Competitive 29-08-2026
2 Ffos Las Solid effort 28-07-2026
1 Chepstow Strong run 24-07-2026
2 Wolverhampton (AW) Solid effort 07-07-2026
2 Bath Solid effort 01-07-2026
2 Ffos Las Solid effort 23-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating17
2winners since
3placers since
10evidence pts
02-09-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Amaysmont (GB), Appetiser (IRE), Boomtown Lad (IRE)

Later placers

Amaysmont (GB) (06-09-2026), Pessoa (GB) (03-09-2026)

07-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Caitlin G (GB), Churchill's Spirit (IRE), King's Courtier (GB)

05-04-2026 | Bath Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Beaune (IRE), Bohemian Breeze (IRE), Buck Barrow (GB)

Race produced winner

Bohemian Breeze (IRE), Buck Barrow (GB)

Later placers

Maywedance (IRE) (07-08-2026)

Today's conditions match 49% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 66%
Class 41%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence All-weather Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayStandard / Slow
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 5 0W / 2P Peak rating 44
Fast 5 1W / 4P Peak rating 58
All-weather 12 0W / 3P Peak rating 67
Placement evidence 50% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 63%
Class fit 22%
Mark room 40%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concernCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -7lb | peak +13lb treated as ceiling | public read -4lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -7lb | peak +13lb treated as ceiling | public read -4lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 54 | Latest FFR 47 | Best FFR 67 | Public mark read -4
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Variable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Improving

confidence nudge +0.5
Variance Variable 9.6% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -0.5 vs par
Curve Improving Trend 2
Trainer David Evans
Jockey Miss Amy Tucker(7)
Age 4
Draw 2
OR 54
Avg OR 50.2
OR vs Field +3.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 222125
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile4
DEIC
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
01-07-2026 Bath Firm 2 1:40.45 100.5
24-07-2026 Chepstow Good To Firm 1 1:33.30 93.3
28-07-2026 Ffos Las Good 2 1:43.53 103.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF 33% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 16 days Recent fitness window
Micro score -0.2 no recent matched-ground timing evidence; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: b; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearbDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP100/30
OwnerDave Emma Evans
Pedigree

Mehmas × French Battle (Declaration Of War)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.3L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
29-08-2026 Chepstow 5 3 Neutral finish
28-07-2026 Ffos Las 2 1 Neutral finish
24-07-2026 Chepstow 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
23-06-2026 | Ffos Las
Rating -- OR 50
01-07-2026 | Bath
Rating -- OR 49
07-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 49
24-07-2026 | Chepstow
Rating -- OR 50
28-07-2026 | Ffos Las
Rating -- OR 50
29-08-2026 | Chepstow
Rating -- OR 54
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Knightmare
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIC
Benchmark-1.62
PaceUnclear
ConsensusWEAK

Knightmare profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 39.93s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs4
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 39.93s
Last win at trip-- | Chepstow | 24-07-2026
Recent times1:40.45 | 1:33.30 | 1:43.53
Recent positions2 | 1 | 2
Winning contextOR 50 | weight 9-6
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
29-08-2026 Chepstow | 10f | Good To Soft | Class 6 5 100/30 54 -- -- 3 -- GREY - no timing read
28-07-2026 Ffos Las | 8f | Good | Class 6 2 6/5F 50 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
24-07-2026 Chepstow | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 6 1 9/4F 50 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
07-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 8.5f | Standard | Class 6 2 EvensF 49 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
01-07-2026 Bath | 8f | Firm | Class 6 2 3/1J 49 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
23-06-2026 Ffos Las | 10f | Good | Class 6 2 6/1 50 -- -- 3.8 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile Lovely Jubly 5:30 | Kempton (AW) | 8f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyClear but not dominant+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 42.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 5:30 | Kempton (AW) | 8f

Bet @racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR64
Speed94
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+9lb ahead of mark
FFR 64 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
94 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score27.4Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AMEDIUM
Mark readWell treatedLatest +9lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Kempton (AW) Strong run 08-07-2026
8 Kempton (AW) Run faded 10-12-2025
6 Bath Run faded 30-10-2025
1 Bath Strong run 20-10-2025
10 Lingfield (AW) Competitive 30-08-2025
11 Lingfield Troubled run 02-08-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating27
2winners since
10placers since
12evidence pts
07-08-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Chico Dulce (GB), Gladiadora (IRE), Luminous Approach (IRE)

Later placers

Platinum Prince (GB) (09-08-2026)

02-12-2025 | Kempton (AW) Finished 8
Beat named rivals

Guinness Lad (IRE), Jack Langley (GB), Megalithic (IRE)

Race produced winner

Advancing (GB), Guinness Lad (IRE)

Later placers

Final Night (GB) (05-02-2026), Jack Langley (GB) (01-03-2026)

12-10-2025 | Kempton (AW) Finished 8
Beat named rivals

Ballybaymoonshiner (FR), Candle Of Time (GB), Just King High (IRE)

Later placers

Adace (GB) (09-11-2025), Dr Ali (IRE) (03-12-2025)

Today's conditions match 64% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 41%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard / Slow
Similar-ground runs3/6
Best similar rating43
Best ground bandTesting
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 1W / 1P Peak rating 54
Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 8 1W / 1P Peak rating 51
Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 22%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 42%
Proven trip profile (A)6 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concernRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Mark read Latest +9lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +9lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 55 | Latest FFR 64 | Best FFR 78 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Reliable 7.2% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -2.7 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Michael Attwater
Jockey Owen Lewis
Age 5
Draw 7
OR 55
Avg OR 50.2
OR vs Field +4.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 0168-1
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile6
DEIA
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
20-10-2025 Bath Heavy 1 1:48.22 108.2
30-10-2025 Bath Heavy 6 1:47.56 107.6
08-07-2026 Kempton (AW) Standard / Slow 1 1:42.26 102.3
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-1.0 micro score
Trainer RTF 19% Yard has been quiet recently
Freshness 68 days Standard layoff
Micro score -1.0 trainer RTF cold at 19%; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP40/1
OwnerCanisbay Bloodstock
Pedigree

Harry Angel × Plover (Oasis Dream)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.9L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
08-07-2026 Kempton (AW) 1 0 Neutral finish
10-12-2025 Kempton (AW) 8 3.8 Run faded
30-10-2025 Bath 6 1.8 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 4 runs with an official OR.
02-08-2025 | Lingfield
Rating -- OR 48
30-08-2025 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating 43 OR 45
20-10-2025 | Bath
Rating 54 OR 46
30-10-2025 | Bath
Rating 32 OR 50
10-12-2025 | Kempton (AW)
Rating 41 OR 51
08-07-2026 | Kempton (AW)
Rating -- OR 50
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Lovely Jubly
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIA
Benchmark-1.62
PaceUnclear
ConsensusWEAK

Lovely Jubly profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 39.93s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs6
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par1m 39.93s
Last win at trip-- | Kempton (AW) | 08-07-2026
Recent times1:48.22 | 1:47.56 | 1:42.26
Recent positions1 | 6 | 1
Winning contextOR 50 | weight 8-8
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
08-07-2026 Kempton (AW) | 8f | Standard / Slow | Class 6 1 40/1 50 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
10-12-2025 Kempton (AW) | 7f | Standard To Slow | Class 6 8 16/1 51 41 20 3.8 1:27.89 GOLD - faster than par
30-10-2025 Bath | 1m | Heavy | Class 6 6 8/1 50 32 13 1.8 1:47.56 GREY - below benchmark
20-10-2025 Bath | 1m | Heavy | Class 6 1 66/1 46 54 9 0 1:48.22 GREY - below benchmark
30-08-2025 Lingfield (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 6 10 40/1 45 43 30 0.3 1:25.71 GOLD - faster than par
02-08-2025 Lingfield | 1m2f | Good | Class 6 11 40/1 48 -- -- 27 2:16.92 GREY - below benchmark
Premium runner profile Mbappe 5:30 | Kempton (AW) | 8f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyMarginal edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 41.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 5:30 | Kempton (AW) | 8f

Bet @racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR48
Speed97
ConditionsCaution
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-6lb below mark
FFR 48 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
97 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score21.1Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CHIGH
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -6lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
7 Bath Competitive 02-09-2026
5 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 15-08-2026
6 Bath Competitive 15-07-2026
7 Nottingham Competitive 25-06-2026
6 Kempton (AW) Finished well 04-02-2026
1 Kempton (AW) Strong run 28-01-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating40
3winners since
10placers since
15evidence pts
02-04-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Berning Hot (IRE), Brinton (GB), Marchetti (IRE)

Race produced winner

Port Noir (GB)

Later placers

Age Of Time (FR) (03-05-2026), Berning Hot (IRE) (05-06-2026)

09-02-2026 | Bath Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Amathus (IRE), Havana Club (GB), Malakai Kite (IRE)

Later placers

Amathus (IRE) (05-04-2026), Buckland Belle (GB) (07-03-2026)

04-07-2025 | Kempton (AW) Finished 13
Race produced winner

Chifa (IRE), Strike (GB)

Later placers

Berry Clever (GB) (04-06-2026)

Today's conditions match 49% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 66%
Class 41%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard / Slow
Similar-ground runs3/6
Best similar rating66
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 66
Fast 7 2W / 2P Peak rating 71
All-weather 18 1W / 6P Peak rating 75
Placement evidence 52% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 78%
Class fit 22%
Mark room 43%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 50%
Proven trip profile (C)12 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concernCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidenceRecent evidence is mixed
Mark read Latest -6lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -6lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 54 | Latest FFR 48 | Best FFR 80 | Public mark read -3
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Very steady 3.4% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 4.5 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Mark Loughnane
Jockey Donagh Murphy
Age 5
Draw 10
OR 54
Avg OR 50.2
OR vs Field +3.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 167657
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile12
DEIC
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
15-07-2026 Bath Firm 6 1:41.42 101.4
15-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 5 1:41.32 101.3
02-09-2026 Bath Good 7 1:41.58 101.6
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF 27% Yard has been quiet recently
Freshness 12 days Recent fitness window
Micro score -0.2 trainer RTF quiet at 27%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP40/1
OwnerLaurence Bellman
Pedigree

Blue Point × Rive Gauche (Fastnet Rock)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.6L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
02-09-2026 Bath 7 0.2 Neutral finish
15-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 5 1 Run faded
15-07-2026 Bath 6 0.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 2 runs with an official OR.
28-01-2026 | Kempton (AW)
Rating 66 OR 58
04-02-2026 | Kempton (AW)
Rating 61 OR 63
25-06-2026 | Nottingham
Rating -- OR 61
15-07-2026 | Bath
Rating -- OR 60
15-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 58
02-09-2026 | Bath
Rating -- OR 56
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Mbappe
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIC
Benchmark-1.62
PaceUnclear
ConsensusWEAK

Mbappe profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 39.93s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs12
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 39.93s
Last win at trip1:41.12 | Kempton (AW) | 28-01-2026
Recent times1:41.42 | 1:41.32 | 1:41.58
Recent positions6 | 5 | 7
Winning contextvs par +1.19s | OR 58
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
02-09-2026 Bath | 8f | Good | Class 6 7 40/1 56 -- -- 0.2 -- GREY - no timing read
15-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 8f | Standard | Class 6 5 33/1 58 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
15-07-2026 Bath | 8f | Firm | Class 6 6 13/2 60 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
25-06-2026 Nottingham | 8.5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 7 22/1 61 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
04-02-2026 Kempton (AW) | 1m | Standard To Slow | Class 6 6 3/1 63 61 24 0.5 1:40.95 AMBER - competitive
28-01-2026 Kempton (AW) | 1m | Standard To Slow | Class 6 1 11/10F 58 66 48 0 1:41.12 AMBER - competitive
Premium runner profile Electric Bass 4:42 | Windsor | 11.5f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyStrong edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 41.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 4:42 | Windsor | 11.5f

Nsi Fire & Security Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR55
Speed102
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+0lb near mark
FFR 55 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
102 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score34.7Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DLOW
Mark readWorkable markLatest +0lb | peak +24lb treated as ceiling | public read +6lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4 Bath Competitive 02-09-2026
3 Chepstow Solid effort 16-07-2026
5 Chepstow Competitive 06-06-2026
2 Bath Solid effort 12-05-2026
2 Southwell (AW) Strong run 28-04-2026
5 Southwell (AW) Run faded 19-12-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating14
1winners since
6placers since
12evidence pts
06-06-2026 | Chepstow Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Bug Boy (IRE), Marinakis (IRE), Port Of Entry (IRE)

Later placers

Marinakis (IRE) (02-08-2026)

09-02-2026 | Bath Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Amathus (IRE), Eagle Day (IRE), Galactic Glow (IRE)

Later placers

Amathus (IRE) (05-04-2026), Buckland Belle (GB) (07-03-2026)

09-08-2025 | Windsor Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Angelica K (GB), Chelsea Annie (IRE), Dance Recital (IRE)

Race produced winner

Ignition (IRE)

Later placers

Just Adair (GB) (06-01-2026)

Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 52%
Class 44%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Testing Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 0W / 1P Peak rating 59
Good 4 0W / 2P Peak rating 62
Fast 2 0W / 2P Peak rating --
All-weather 7 0W / 3P Peak rating 64
Placement evidence 51% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 44%
Class fit 25%
Mark room 70%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 50%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concern
Mark read Latest +0lb | peak +24lb treated as ceiling | public read +6lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest +0lb | peak +24lb treated as ceiling | public read +6lb

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 55 | Latest FFR 55 | Best FFR 79 | Public mark read +6
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +2.5
Variance Very steady 4.2% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 8 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Roger Teal
Jockey Jack Mitchell
Age 4
Draw 1
OR 55
Avg OR 51.1
OR vs Field +3.9
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form -22534
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m3½f
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m3½f
Runs at profile2
DEID
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
08-09-2025 Windsor Good 2 2:27.28 147.3
12-05-2026 Bath Firm 2 2:29.59 149.6
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 62% Yard in a positive recent rhythm
Freshness 12 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 trainer RTF positive at 62%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: t
Ground timing match 1/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgeartFirst-time aid today
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP15/2
OwnerRoger Cheetham Jane Maggs
Pedigree

Cable Bay × Bassinet (Stravinsky)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
02-09-2026 Bath 4 0.8 Neutral finish
16-07-2026 Chepstow 3 0.1 Neutral finish
06-06-2026 Chepstow 5 2.2 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 2 runs with an official OR.
19-12-2025 | Southwell (AW)
Rating 63 OR 58
28-04-2026 | Southwell (AW)
Rating 63 OR 57
12-05-2026 | Bath
Rating -- OR 57
06-06-2026 | Chepstow
Rating -- OR 57
16-07-2026 | Chepstow
Rating -- OR 56
02-09-2026 | Bath
Rating -- OR 56
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Electric Bass
CAUTION PROFILE
DEID
Benchmark-1.05
PaceUnclear
ConsensusWEAK

Electric Bass profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 34.72s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par2m 34.72s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times2:27.28 | 2:29.59
Recent positions2 | 2
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
02-09-2026 Bath | 8f | Good | Class 6 4 15/2 56 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
16-07-2026 Chepstow | 10f | Good To Firm | Class 6 3 3/1 56 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
06-06-2026 Chepstow | 12f | Soft | Class 6 5 100/30 57 -- -- 2.2 -- GREY - no timing read
12-05-2026 Bath | 11.5f | Firm | Class 6 2 13/8J 57 -- -- 3.8 -- GREY - no timing read
28-04-2026 Southwell (AW) | 1m4f | Standard | Class 6 2 8/1 57 63 40 2.8 2:38.10 AMBER - competitive
19-12-2025 Southwell (AW) | 1m6f | Standard | Class 6 5 5/1 58 63 51 1.8 3:06.80 GREY - below benchmark
Premium runner profile Wodao 3:51 | Thirsk | 6f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyClear but not dominant+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 41.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 3:51 | Thirsk | 6f

Sapphire Selling Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR50
Speed99
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-14lb below mark
FFR 50 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
99 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score25.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DHIGH
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -14lb | peak +17lb treated as ceiling | public read -11lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
9 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 01-06-2026
6 Wolverhampton (AW) Finished well 19-01-2026
9 Chelmsford (AW) Below best 02-01-2026
5 Kempton (AW) Run faded 10-12-2025
4 Southwell (AW) Competitive 26-11-2025
6 Chelmsford (AW) Competitive 06-11-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating45
5winners since
3placers since
10evidence pts
01-02-2026 | Chelmsford (AW) Finished 9
Race produced winner

Arantes Nascimento (GB)

06-01-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 9
Beat named rivals

Iconic Times (GB), Teardrops (GB)

Race produced winner

Iconic Times (GB), Initial Blue (IRE)

Later placers

Daytona Lady (IRE) (04-05-2026), Giorgio M (IRE) (02-07-2026)

09-12-2025 | Salisbury Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Monsieur Kodi (IRE), Zouky (GB)

Race produced winner

Monsieur Kodi (IRE)

Today's conditions match 52% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 52%
Class 71%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Class Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good No recent good sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read No recent good sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 11 0W / 4P Peak rating 111
Good 3 0W / 0P Peak rating 85
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 9 0W / 0P Peak rating 94
Placement evidence 58% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 60%
Class fit 93%
Mark room 19%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 50%
20 similar-trip runs recordedClass benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -14lb | peak +17lb treated as ceiling | public read -11lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -14lb | peak +17lb treated as ceiling | public read -11lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 64 | Latest FFR 50 | Best FFR 81 | Public mark read -11
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge +2.0
Variance Reliable 6.4% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 4.6 vs par
Curve Edging forward Trend 1
Trainer Steph Hollinshead
Jockey Dougie Costello
Age 6
Draw 5
OR 64
Avg OR 57.1
OR vs Field +6.9
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 45-969
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile20
DEID
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
10-12-2025 Kempton (AW) Standard To Slow 5 1:12.27 72.3
19-01-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 6 1:13.98 74
01-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 9 1:14.10 74.1
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.5 micro score
Trainer RTF 33% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 105 days Standard layoff
Micro score -0.5 no recent matched-ground timing evidence; headgear declared: v
Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearvFirst-time aid today
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP40/1
OwnerBlue And Tangerine Partnership
Pedigree

Showcasing × Dadao (Intello)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
01-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 9 0.8 Run faded
19-01-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 6 0.8 Fast finish
02-01-2026 Chelmsford (AW) 9 4.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 5 runs with an official OR.
06-11-2025 | Chelmsford (AW)
Rating 68 OR 80
26-11-2025 | Southwell (AW)
Rating 74 OR 77
10-12-2025 | Kempton (AW)
Rating 69 OR 75
02-01-2026 | Chelmsford (AW)
Rating 22 OR 72
19-01-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 65 OR 69
01-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 67
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Wodao
CAUTION PROFILE
DEID
Benchmark4.25
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Wodao profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 11.67s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs20
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 11.67s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:12.27 | 1:13.98 | 1:14.10
Recent positions5 | 6 | 9
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
01-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 9 40/1 67 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
19-01-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 6 25/1 69 65 42 0.8 1:13.98 GREY - below benchmark
02-01-2026 Chelmsford (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 5 9 7/1 72 22 8 4.5 1:28.20 GREY - below benchmark
10-12-2025 Kempton (AW) | 6f | Standard To Slow | Class 5 5 12/1 75 69 64 0.5 1:12.12 GREEN - within 1% of par
26-11-2025 Southwell (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 4 4 11/1 77 74 43 0.3 1:14.79 GREY - below benchmark
06-11-2025 Chelmsford (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 4 6 18/1 80 68 40 1 1:12.45 AMBER - competitive
Premium runner profile Offiah's Boy 4:42 | Windsor | 11.5f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyStrong edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 40.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 4:42 | Windsor | 11.5f

Nsi Fire & Security Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR49
Speed91
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-6lb below mark
FFR 49 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
91 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score37.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AMEDIUM
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -6lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
5 Bath Steady run 02-09-2026
3 Epsom Finished well 14-08-2026
1 Lingfield Strong run 04-08-2026
2 Bath Solid effort 31-07-2026
6 Bath Competitive 15-07-2026
5 Bath Steady run 01-07-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating25
4winners since
5placers since
12evidence pts
08-04-2026 | Lingfield Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Amber Honey (GB), D Day Major Winter (GB), Gert Lush (IRE)

Later placers

Gert Lush (IRE) (05-09-2026)

09-02-2026 | Bath Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Jodhpur Blue (FR)

Race produced winner

Belle Amie (SWE)

Later placers

Douglas Dc (IRE) (08-04-2026), Jodhpur Blue (FR) (08-03-2026)

01-02-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 10
Race produced winner

Eutropia (GB), Latin (IRE)

Later placers

Ciotog (IRE) (06-02-2026), Seraphic (IRE) (05-04-2026)

Today's conditions match 54% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 44%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Testing No recent testing sample; best evidence is on fast ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on fast ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 5 0W / 0P Peak rating 49
Good 7 0W / 0P Peak rating 57
Fast 17 5W / 10P Peak rating 64
All-weather 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 56
Placement evidence 60% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 88%
Class fit 25%
Mark room 43%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (A)6 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueClass benchmark is a concernCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -6lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -6lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 55 | Latest FFR 49 | Best FFR 67 | Public mark read -3
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Predictive caution

Variable; Bounce watch; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge -2.5
Variance Variable 9.4% volatility
Bounce Bounce watch Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 1.7 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Joe Tickle
Jockey Taylor Fisher
Age 5
Draw 2
OR 55
Avg OR 51.1
OR vs Field +3.9
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 562135
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m3½f
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m3½f
Runs at profile6
DEIA
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
01-07-2026 Bath Firm 5 2:29.75 149.8
15-07-2026 Bath Firm 6 2:29.53 149.5
02-09-2026 Bath Good 5 2:34.85 154.8
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF 34% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 12 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP6/1
OwnerThe Legacy Group Racing Club
Pedigree

Le Brivido × Zerka (Invincible Spirit)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.8L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
02-09-2026 Bath 5 3.2 Fast finish
14-08-2026 Epsom 3 2.2 Fast finish
04-08-2026 Lingfield 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
01-07-2026 | Bath
Rating -- OR 54
15-07-2026 | Bath
Rating -- OR 52
31-07-2026 | Bath
Rating -- OR 51
04-08-2026 | Lingfield
Rating -- OR 51
14-08-2026 | Epsom
Rating -- OR 52
02-09-2026 | Bath
Rating -- OR 56
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Offiah's Boy
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIA
Benchmark-1.05
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Offiah's Boy profiles as a unclear with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 34.72s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs6
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par2m 34.72s
Last win at trip2:29.29 | Bath | 01-08-2025
Recent times2:29.75 | 2:29.53 | 2:34.85
Recent positions5 | 6 | 5
Winning contextvs par -5.43s | OR 54
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
02-09-2026 Bath | 11.5f | Good | Class 6 5 6/1 56 -- -- 3.2 -- GREY - no timing read
14-08-2026 Epsom | 10f | Good To Firm | Class 6 3 4/1 52 -- -- 2.2 -- GREY - no timing read
04-08-2026 Lingfield | 9f | Good To Firm | Class 6 1 5/6F 51 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
31-07-2026 Bath | 10f | Firm | Class 6 2 100/30 51 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
15-07-2026 Bath | 11.5f | Firm | Class 6 6 17/2 52 -- -- 0.2 -- GREY - no timing read
01-07-2026 Bath | 11.5f | Firm | Class 6 5 11/1 54 -- -- 8.5 -- GREY - no timing read
Premium runner profile The Childe Of Hale 5:21 | Thirsk | 7f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyStrong edge+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 40.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 5:21 | Thirsk | 7f

Bowel Cancer Screening Programme Saves Lives Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR68
Speed92
ConditionsPositive fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+3lb near mark
FFR 68 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
92 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score32.5Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AMEDIUM
Mark readWell treatedLatest +3lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +9lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Redcar Strong run 09-09-2026
5 Doncaster Finished well 15-08-2026
10 Ripon Steady run 03-06-2026
9 Haydock Competitive 25-04-2026
6 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 04-11-2025
10 Newcastle (AW) Competitive 17-10-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating30
3winners since
9placers since
12evidence pts
09-09-2026 | Redcar Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Black Rock Beauty (IRE), Bleep Test (GB), Camera Shy (IRE)

06-03-2026 | Ripon Finished 10
Beat named rivals

Superfortress (IRE), Travis (GB)

Race produced winner

Barley (IRE), Jesmond Dawn (IRE)

Later placers

Avatar Jet (IRE) (05-07-2026), Donna Nook (GB) (05-05-2026)

11-04-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Bajan Bandit (GB), King Of Speed (IRE), Prodigal Son (GB)

Race produced winner

King Of Speed (IRE)

Later placers

Bajan Bandit (GB) (07-07-2026), Ernies Valentine (GB) (12-08-2025)

Today's conditions match 65% Positive conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 3 1W / 1P Peak rating 76
Good 4 1W / 1P Peak rating 70
Fast 3 0W / 0P Peak rating 68
All-weather 4 0W / 1P Peak rating 72
Placement evidence 74% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 48%
Mark room 79%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (A)6 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +9lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +3lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +9lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +3lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +9lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 65 | Latest FFR 68 | Best FFR 80 | Public mark read +9
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Variable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Regressing

confidence nudge -0.8
Variance Variable 10.6% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Big ceiling edge 20.2 vs par
Curve Regressing Trend -2
Trainer Ivan Furtado
Jockey Tom Eaves
Age 4
Draw 11
OR 65
Avg OR 64.2
OR vs Field +0.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 6-9051
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance7f
Runs at profile6
DEIA
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
17-10-2025 Newcastle (AW) Standard 10 1:27.05 87
15-08-2026 Doncaster Good To Firm 5 1:26.33 86.3
09-09-2026 Redcar Good 1 1:23.54 83.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.5 micro score
Trainer RTF 40% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 5 days Quick return
Micro score +0.5 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP9/2
OwnerThe Good Racing Company Ltd Partner
Pedigree

Havana Grey × Dame Helen (Royal Applause)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
09-09-2026 Redcar 1 0 Neutral finish
15-08-2026 Doncaster 5 0.1 Fast finish
03-06-2026 Ripon 10 3.2 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 3 runs with an official OR.
17-10-2025 | Newcastle (AW)
Rating 60 OR 72
04-11-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 72 OR 71
25-04-2026 | Haydock
Rating 62 OR 70
03-06-2026 | Ripon
Rating -- OR 68
15-08-2026 | Doncaster
Rating -- OR 66
09-09-2026 | Redcar
Rating -- OR 65
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence The Childe Of Hale
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIA
Benchmark0
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

The Childe Of Hale profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 26.93s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs6
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par1m 26.93s
Last win at trip-- | Redcar | 09-09-2026
Recent times1:27.05 | 1:26.33 | 1:23.54
Recent positions10 | 5 | 1
Winning contextOR 65 | weight 10-0
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
09-09-2026 Redcar | 7f | Good | Class 6 1 9/2 65 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
15-08-2026 Doncaster | 7f | Good To Firm | Class 5 5 16/1 66 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
03-06-2026 Ripon | 8f | Good | Class 5 10 16/1 68 -- -- 3.2 -- GREY - no timing read
25-04-2026 Haydock | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 5 9 7/1 70 62 21 0.5 1:14.29 GOLD - faster than par
04-11-2025 Wolverhampton (AW) | 1m½f | Standard | Class 5 6 9/1 71 72 58 0.2 1:48.48 GREY - below benchmark
17-10-2025 Newcastle (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 5 10 100/30F 72 60 50 0.8 1:27.05 GREEN - within 1% of par
Premium runner profile Sunrise At Dawn 2:51 | Thirsk | 6f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyClear but not dominant+6 more signals
Decision Confidence 40.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 2:51 | Thirsk | 6f

Patrick Hibbert-Foy Memorial Nursery Handicap Stakes

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR50
Speed104
ConditionsCaution
PlacementCaution
FFR vs OR-6lb below mark
FFR 50 pounds scale
SpeedScoreabove par
104 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score24.4Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DLOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -6lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Catterick Solid effort 15-07-2026
6 Carlisle Run faded 15-06-2026
8 Chester Competitive 07-05-2026
5 Beverley Finished well 15-04-2026
Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating34
3winners since
0placers since
5evidence pts
05-07-2026 | Chester Finished 8
Beat named rivals

Andalnade (IRE), Koodini (IRE)

Race produced winner

Caturra Lights (GB), Penny Capri (IRE)

Today's conditions match 45% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 52%
Class 54%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 34%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Class Question Track / draw
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs2/4
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 64
Good 2 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Fast 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 49% Intent unclear
Trip evidence 44%
Class fit 57%
Mark room 43%
Stable setup 58%
Recent evidence 42%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidenceRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Mark read Latest -6lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -6lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 56 | Latest FFR 50 | Best FFR 82 | Public mark read -3
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +0.2
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 4 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Craig Lidster
Jockey Tom Eaves
Age 2
Draw 8
OR 56
Avg OR 53.9
OR vs Field +2.1
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 5862
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile2
DEID
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
15-06-2026 Carlisle Good 6 1:15.14 75.1
15-07-2026 Catterick Good To Firm 2 1:13.65 73.7
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.5 micro score
Trainer RTF 14% Yard has been quiet recently
Freshness 61 days Standard layoff
Micro score -0.5 trainer RTF cold at 14%; recent distance evidence matches today's ground
Ground timing match 2/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP2/1C
OwnerPeter Onslow
Pedigree

Tasleet × Quica (Heeraat)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.5L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
15-07-2026 Catterick 2 4.8 Neutral finish
15-06-2026 Carlisle 6 1.2 Run faded
07-05-2026 Chester 8 1.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 1 earlier run was unrated.
15-04-2026 | Beverley
Rating 64 OR Unrated
15-07-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 57
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Sunrise At Dawn
CAUTION PROFILE
DEID
Benchmark0.85
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Sunrise At Dawn profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 2/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 11.67s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 11.67s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:15.14 | 1:13.65
Recent positions6 | 2
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
15-07-2026 Catterick | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 6 2 2/1C 57 -- -- 4.8 -- GREY - no timing read
15-06-2026 Carlisle | 6f | Good | Class 4 6 7/1 -- -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
07-05-2026 Chester | 5.5f | Good | Class 2 8 16/1 -- -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
15-04-2026 Beverley | 5f | Good To Soft | Class 5 5 33/1 -- 64 37 0.8 1:04.04 GOLD - faster than par
Premium runner profile Great Bedwyn 4:12 | Windsor | 11.5f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyFragile profile+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 38.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 4:12 | Windsor | 11.5f

Bet £20 Get £40 In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR55
Speed97
ConditionsCaution
PlacementCaution
FFR vs OR-26lb below mark
FFR 55 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
97 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score34.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI EVERY_LOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -26lb | peak +2lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
7 Epsom Competitive 31-08-2026
3 Newbury Solid effort 15-08-2026
3 York Solid effort 10-07-2026
8 Thirsk Competitive 31-05-2026
2 York Solid effort 13-05-2026
8 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 03-04-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Strong franked form

Proof rating67
5winners since
4placers since
14evidence pts
04-03-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 8
Beat named rivals

Eupator (FR), Hitched (IRE), Penzance (GB)

Race produced winner

Cristo (GB)

Later placers

Londoner (IRE) (03-07-2026), Night Breeze (IRE) (07-04-2026)

03-02-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Charging Thunder (GB), Dramatic Star (GB), Legendary Day (GB)

Race produced winner

Nolton Cross (IRE), Son Of Man (IRE)

07-12-2025 | Newmarket (July) Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Atlantic Sunset (IRE), No More Bolero (GB)

Race produced winner

Asgard's Captain (IRE)

Later placers

No More Bolero (GB) (09-12-2025)

Today's conditions match 46% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 38%
Class 57%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Class Question Handicap
Ground evidence Testing Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 4 0W / 0P Peak rating 90
Good 7 2W / 4P Peak rating 91
Fast 8 1W / 4P Peak rating 95
All-weather 12 1W / 5P Peak rating 93
Placement evidence 47% Intent unclear
Trip evidence 35%
Class fit 77%
Mark room 4%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 50%
Class benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedTrip evidence still asks questionsCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -26lb | peak +2lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -26lb | peak +2lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 81 | Latest FFR 55 | Best FFR 83 | Public mark read -16
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Very steady 3.1% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 3.4 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Richard Hannon
Jockey Sean Levey
Age 6
Draw 4
OR 81
Avg OR 78.9
OR vs Field +2.1
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 828337
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance1m3f
Runs at profile1
DEIE
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
29-08-2024 Southwell (AW) Standard 8 2:20.56 140.6
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF 44% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 14 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window
Ground timing match 0/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP20/1
OwnerMartin Hughes
Pedigree

Showcasing × Mistress Quickly (Mastercraftsman)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.2L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
31-08-2026 Epsom 7 2.2 Neutral finish
15-08-2026 Newbury 3 0.8 Neutral finish
10-07-2026 York 3 0.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 1 runs with an official OR.
03-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating 83 OR 84
13-05-2026 | York
Rating -- OR 83
31-05-2026 | Thirsk
Rating -- OR 86
10-07-2026 | York
Rating -- OR 85
15-08-2026 | Newbury
Rating -- OR 84
31-08-2026 | Epsom
Rating -- OR 83
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Great Bedwyn
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIE
Benchmark1.57
PaceUnclear
ConsensusFRAGILE

Great Bedwyn profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 34.72s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par2m 34.72s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times2:20.56
Recent positions8
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
31-08-2026 Epsom | 12f | Good To Soft | Class 4 7 20/1 83 -- -- 2.2 -- GREY - no timing read
15-08-2026 Newbury | 12f | Good To Firm | Class 4 3 3/1 84 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
10-07-2026 York | 10.5f | Good To Firm | Class 4 3 13/2 85 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
31-05-2026 Thirsk | 12f | Good | Class 4 8 9/4F 86 -- -- 2.5 -- GREY - no timing read
13-05-2026 York | 12f | Good | Class 4 2 11/2 83 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
03-04-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 1m2f | Standard | Class 3 8 9/2 84 83 30 0.8 2:06.62 GOLD - faster than par
Premium runner profile Mertoun 1:42 | Windsor | 8f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyClear but not dominant+5 more signals
Decision Confidence 38.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 1:42 | Windsor | 8f

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Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement0/6
FFR67
Speed88
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-5lb below mark
FFR 67 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
88 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting profile, but the current SpeedScore is light Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score37.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BMEDIUM
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest FFR read -3lb versus today's OR
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4 Newmarket (July) Competitive 20-08-2026
4 Newmarket (July) Competitive 31-07-2026
1 Carlisle Strong run 04-07-2026
1 Windsor Strong run 22-06-2026
2 Windsor Solid effort 25-05-2026
9 Leicester Competitive 13-04-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating7
0winners since
5placers since
8evidence pts
07-04-2026 | Carlisle Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Book Of Life (GB), Captain Pickles (IRE), Misemerald (IRE)

Later placers

Misemerald (IRE) (08-07-2026)

10-02-2025 | Salisbury Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Phantom Shadow (FR), Sergei Breeze (GB)

Later placers

Atalanta Mist (GB) (06-05-2026), Battosai (IRE) (07-03-2026)

Today's conditions match 53% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Testing No recent testing sample; best evidence is on good ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on good ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 25
Good 3 1W / 1P Peak rating 56
Fast 4 1W / 2P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 59% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 86%
Class fit 40%
Mark room 43%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Proven trip profile (B)5 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concernCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read -3lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest FFR read -3lb versus today's OR

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 72 | Latest FFR 67 | Best FFR 69 | Public mark read -3
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; Mild bounce watch; No hidden upgrade; Needs a new peak; Improving

confidence nudge +0.2
Variance Reliable 6.1% volatility
Bounce Mild bounce watch Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Needs a new peak -11.9 vs par
Curve Improving Trend 2
Trainer Jane Chapple-Hyam
Jockey Rossa Ryan
Age 3
Draw 8
OR 72
Avg OR 69.2
OR vs Field +2.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 921144
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile5
DEIB
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
04-07-2026 Carlisle Good 1 1:40.55 100.5
31-07-2026 Newmarket (July) Good To Firm 4 1:38.99 99
20-08-2026 Newmarket (July) Good To Firm 4 1:38.53 98.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF 38% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 25 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP7/2
OwnerMr P. W. Harris
Pedigree

Oasis Dream × Dubious Affair (Frankel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.3L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
20-08-2026 Newmarket (July) 4 0.3 Neutral finish
31-07-2026 Newmarket (July) 4 0.5 Neutral finish
04-07-2026 Carlisle 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 1 earlier run was unrated.
13-04-2026 | Leicester
Rating 34 OR Unrated
25-05-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 50
22-06-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 52
04-07-2026 | Carlisle
Rating -- OR 62
31-07-2026 | Newmarket (July)
Rating -- OR 73
20-08-2026 | Newmarket (July)
Rating -- OR 73
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Mertoun
CAUTION PROFILE
DEIB
Benchmark0
PaceUnclear
ConsensusWEAK

Mertoun profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 07.40s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs5
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par2m 07.40s
Last win at trip-- | Carlisle | 04-07-2026
Recent times1:40.55 | 1:38.99 | 1:38.53
Recent positions1 | 4 | 4
Winning contextOR 62 | weight 10-7
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
20-08-2026 Newmarket (July) | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 5 4 7/2 73 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
31-07-2026 Newmarket (July) | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 5 4 11/8F 73 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
04-07-2026 Carlisle | 8f | Good | Class 6 1 4/6F 62 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
22-06-2026 Windsor | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 6 1 8/11F 52 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
25-05-2026 Windsor | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 6 2 3/1 50 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
13-04-2026 Leicester | 7f | Good | Class 4 9 40/1 -- 34 13 1 1:27.22 GOLD - faster than par
Premium runner profile Crazee In Havana 2:12 | Windsor | 5f
Quality ETier 4 watch onlyStrong edge+4 more signals
Decision Confidence 38.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Runs Today 2:12 | Windsor | 5f

Matchbook Betting Exchange Supporting UK Racing EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Open racecard
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR68
Speed--
ConditionsCaution
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-11lb below mark
FFR 68 pounds scale
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score31.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DLOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -11lb | peak +0lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb
Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Chepstow Finished well 29-08-2026
2 Sandown Solid effort 06-08-2026
6 Ascot Competitive 25-07-2026
Race form proof Some franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating2
0winners since
1placers since
2evidence pts
08-06-2026 | Sandown Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Beach Noir (IRE), Catching Dreams (GB), Champagne Charlee (IRE)

Later placers

Pulse Of Fire (GB) (09-09-2026)

Today's conditions match 48% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 52%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Testing Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs1/3
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Good 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Fast 2 0W / 1P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 53% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 44%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 28%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -11lb | peak +0lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -11lb | peak +0lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 79 | Latest FFR 68 | Best FFR 79 | Public mark read -8
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Deeper evidence Speed, timing, jumps, ratings and full run table
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing
Curve Stable Trend 0
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton
Jockey Charles Bishop
Age 2
Draw 2
OR 79
Avg OR 76.8
OR vs Field +2.2
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 622
Run Style Unclear
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile2
DEID
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
06-08-2026 Sandown Good To Firm 2 1:2.41 62.4
29-08-2026 Chepstow Good To Soft 2 1:3.10 63.1
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF 44% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 16 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window
Ground timing match 1/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP2/1
OwnerNorman Court Stud
Pedigree

Havana Grey × Crazee Diamond (Rock Of Gibraltar)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 3.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
29-08-2026 Chepstow 2 5.5 Fast finish
06-08-2026 Sandown 2 2.2 Neutral finish
25-07-2026 Ascot 6 1.5 Neutral finish
Open full intelligence read
ForeFurlongs Intelligence Crazee In Havana
CAUTION PROFILE
DEID
Benchmark0
PaceUnclear
ConsensusWEAK

Crazee In Havana profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 00.30s
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 00.30s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:2.41 | 1:3.10
Recent positions2 | 2
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
29-08-2026 Chepstow | 5f | Good To Soft | Class 4 2 2/1 -- -- -- 5.5 -- GREY - no timing read
06-08-2026 Sandown | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 4 2 4/1 -- -- -- 2.2 -- GREY - no timing read
25-07-2026 Ascot | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 2 6 10/1 -- -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read