Top Horses | ForeFurlongs

Premium runner profile King's Hand 3:15 | Yarmouth | 10f

Quality ATier 1 strong bet profileStrong edge+6 more signals

Decision Confidence 87.0

BACKABLE PROFILE

Runs Today 3:15 | Yarmouth | 10f

QuinnBet Free Bet For Second To The SP Favourite Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Open racecard

Decision read High-conviction profile where several independent layers agree.

Status BACKABLE PROFILE

Agreement5/6

FFR76

Speed99

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+1lb near mark

FFR 76 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

99 Par 100

FSP%finished strongly

114.6% 100% par

Best reasonClean current evidence; stake only if price is acceptable Main riskDraw data is a negative nudge

Model Score45.8raw

Agreement5/6

FFR76+1lb vs OR

SpeedScore99Solid figure

Trip / GroundDEI AMEDIUM

HandicapWorkable mark+10lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; Hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge +4.0

Variance Reliable 5.2% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Hidden upgrade Upgrade 10

Ceiling Par capable 3.6 vs par

Curve Edging forward Trend 1

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

2 Yarmouth Finished well 28-05-2026

1 Lingfield Strong run 18-05-2026

4 Kempton (AW) Run faded 18-03-2026

2 Lingfield (AW) Strong run 28-02-2026

1 Lingfield (AW) Finished well 29-01-2026

3 Lingfield (AW) Solid effort 17-01-2026

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 4 subsequent winner(s), 4 subsequent placer(s)

13

28-05-2026 | Yarmouth Finished 2

Beat: Harlington (FR), Man Of Desert (GB)

18-05-2026 | Lingfield Finished 1

Beat: Dancing Tiger (IRE), Bobacious (GB), Oman (IRE) | Oman (IRE) won next/later | Dancing Tiger (IRE) placed next/later, Premier (FR) placed next/later

18-03-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 4

Beat: Annexation (FR), Muy Muy Loco (IRE), Arths Gold (GB) | Arths Gold (GB) won next/later, Now The Eagle (FR) won next/later | Solanna (GB) placed next/later, Tortured Soul (GB) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 61% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 55%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 34%

Handicap 76%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Fast Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandGood

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 1 1W / 1P Peak rating 78

Fast 2 0W / 1P Peak rating 55

All-weather 10 1W / 4P Peak rating 76

Placement evidence 73% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 42%

Mark room 82%

Stable setup 64%

Recent evidence 76%

Proven trip profile (A)6 similar-trip runs recordedFFR vs OR gives +10lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read FFR vs OR: +10lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Workable mark +10lb FFR vs OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 75 | FFR 76 | Best FFR 85 | FFR edge +10

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Joseph Parr

Jockey Jack Mitchell

Age 4

Draw 6

OR 75

Avg OR 73.4

OR vs Field +1.6

Rating 68

TS 57

Form 312412

Run Style Closer

Pace & Finish Fit Late-speed profile

Evidence 5 runs | HIGH confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotLate-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Late-speed profile Strong

FSP% last 3 114.6% Strong finish

Today pace fit Small positive Small positive

Final 2f Very fast finish Strong finish 22.60s recorded | FSP 114.6%

Evidence 3/3+ FSP evidence Last-three sectional pattern available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance1m2f

Runs at profile6

DEIA

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
28-02-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	2	2:6.07	126.1
18-05-2026	Lingfield	Good	1	2:8.21	128.2
28-05-2026	Yarmouth	Good To Firm	2	2:10.34	130.3

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 20% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 21 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.2 trainer RTF cold at 20%; recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: h; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

Headgearh | Declared equipment WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP15/8 OwnerJ E Parr

Sire Kingman Dam Entity Damsire Shamardal

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

Took keen hold - midfield - headway to lead after 2f - headed and weakened from over 1f out (jockey said gelding ran too free)(op 10/3 tchd 5/2)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.1L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
28-05-2026	Yarmouth	2	0.8	Fast finish
18-05-2026	Lingfield	1	0	Fast finish
18-03-2026	Kempton (AW)	4	2.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 4 of 5 runs with an official OR.

17-01-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 69 OR 66

29-01-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 74 OR 65

28-02-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 76 OR 69

18-03-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating 68 OR 69

18-05-2026 | Lingfield

Rating 78 OR 69

28-05-2026 | Yarmouth

Rating -- OR 74

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence King's Hand

BACKABLE PROFILE

DEIA

Benchmark1.05

PaceCloser

ConsensusELITE

King's Hand profiles as a closer with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 5/6. Draw data is a slight caution. Hold-up profile may be pace-compromised

Winning Time Par 2m 08.09s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip6 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityMEDIUM

Last 3 trip times: 2:6.07 | 2:8.21 | 2:10.34

Last 3 trip positions: 2 | 1 | 2

Approx winning time2m 08.09s

Last win at trip2:08.21 | Lingfield | 18-05-2026

Last distance win context: vs par +0.12s | OR 69 | weight --

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
28-05-2026	Yarmouth \| 10f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	2	15/8	74	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read
18-05-2026	Lingfield \| 1m2f \| Good \| Class 5	1	9/2	69	78	57	0	2:08.21	GREEN - within 1% of par
18-03-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 1m3f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 5	4	11/4	69	68	31	2.5	2:23.83	GREY - below benchmark
28-02-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 1m2f \| Standard \| Class 5	2	13/8F	69	76	37	1	2:06.07	GOLD - faster than par
29-01-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 1m2f \| Standard \| Class 5	1	9/4J	65	74	--	0	2:09.47	AMBER - competitive
17-01-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 1m2f \| Standard \| Class 5	3	7/2	66	69	57	2.5	2:04.89	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Workable mark

+10lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 83 and winning TS par is around 37. Runner versus par: rating edge -7.0 | TS edge +20.0. Benchmark fit: 1.1.

Model agreement 5/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

YARMOUTH 1m2f (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 179 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Took keen hold - midfield - headway to lead after 2f - headed and weakened from over 1f out (jockey said gelding ran too free)(op 10/3 tchd 5/2)

Premium runner profile Wild Clary 3:25 | Ripon | 6f

Quality ATier 1 strong bet profileDominant edge+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 84.0

BACKABLE PROFILE

Runs Today 3:25 | Ripon | 6f

Ripon Races Ladies' Day Handicap

Open racecard

Decision read High-conviction profile where several independent layers agree.

Status BACKABLE PROFILE

Agreement4/6

FFR87

Speed109

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementStrong setup

FFR vs OR+0lb near mark

FFR 87 pounds scale

SpeedScoreabove par

109 Par 100

FSP%even finish

99.7% 100% par

Best reasonClean current evidence; stake only if price is acceptable Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Model Score46.5raw

Agreement4/6

FFR87+0lb vs OR

SpeedScore109Fast figure

Trip / GroundDEI BHIGH

HandicapWell handicapped+15lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; Possible upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Improving

confidence nudge +4.0

Variance Reliable 8.8% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Possible upgrade Upgrade 4.1

Ceiling Big ceiling edge 20.8 vs par

Curve Improving Trend 2

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Newbury Strong run 11-06-2026

3 Carlisle Solid effort 30-05-2026

2 Ripon Strong run 16-04-2026

4 Kempton (AW) Run faded 28-03-2026

2 Haydock Troubled run 27-09-2025

2 Yarmouth Run faded 17-09-2025

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 1 subsequent winner(s), 2 subsequent placer(s)

9

11-06-2026 | Newbury Finished 1

Beat: Kiniro (GB), Pressure's On (FR), Never Just A Dream (IRE)

30-05-2026 | Carlisle Finished 3

Beat: Rousing Encore (IRE), Jordan Electrics (GB), Fivethousandtoone (IRE)

16-04-2026 | Ripon Finished 2

Beat: American Style (GB), Roberto Caro (IRE), Modern Times (GB) | Rock Opera (GB) won next/later | Almarada Prince (IRE) placed next/later, Fortamour (IRE) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 63% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 59%

Pace shape 40%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 90%

Best fit Handicap Question Pace shape

Ground evidence Good No recent good sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs0/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read No recent good sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 4 1W / 4P Peak rating 88

Good 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 78

Fast 5 0W / 4P Peak rating 79

All-weather 4 1W / 2P Peak rating 82

Placement evidence 76% Strong placement evidence

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 43%

Mark room 97%

Stable setup 68%

Recent evidence 76%

Proven trip profile (B)12 similar-trip runs recordedFFR vs OR gives +15lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read FFR vs OR: +15lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well handicapped +15lb FFR vs OR

Our pounds-style FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 87 | FFR 87 | Best FFR 102 | FFR edge +15

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Richard Hannon

Jockey Kevin Stott

Age 4

Draw 2

OR 87

Avg OR 86.6

OR vs Field +0.4

Rating 88

TS 83

Form 2-4231

Run Style Front-runner

Pace & Finish Fit Sustained speed

Evidence 7 runs | HIGH confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotSustained-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Sustained speed Strong

FSP% last 3 99.7% Evenly paced

Today pace fit Small positive Small positive

Final 2f Not recorded Timing evidence developing No final-2f timing

Evidence 3/3+ FSP evidence Last-three sectional pattern available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile12

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
16-04-2026	Ripon	Good To Soft	2	1:11.65	71.7
30-05-2026	Carlisle	Good To Firm	3	1:11.63	71.6
11-06-2026	Newbury	Good To Soft	1	1:13.03	73

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 56% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 7 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNone | No headgear declared WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP11/8F OwnerHollywood Racing & Barnane Stud

Sire Dark Angel Dam Chrysanthemum Damsire Danehill Dancer

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

Raced near side - in touch with leaders - headway and pressed leaders over 1f out - went second inside final furlong - kept on final 110yds - just held - 2nd of 10 in group(op 13/2)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.2L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
11-06-2026	Newbury	1	0	Neutral finish
30-05-2026	Carlisle	3	0.3	Neutral finish
16-04-2026	Ripon	2	0.3	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 3 of 4 runs with an official OR.

17-09-2025 | Yarmouth

Rating 86 OR 78

27-09-2025 | Haydock

Rating 87 OR 80

28-03-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating 80 OR 82

16-04-2026 | Ripon

Rating 88 OR 81

30-05-2026 | Carlisle

Rating -- OR 82

11-06-2026 | Newbury

Rating -- OR 82

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Wild Clary

BACKABLE PROFILE

DEIB

Benchmark1.8

PaceFront-runner

ConsensusSTRONG

Wild Clary profiles as a front-runner with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 4/6. Strong/sustained finisher in a pace-pressure race

Winning Time Par 1m 10.70s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip12 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityHIGH

Last 3 trip times: 1:11.65 | 1:11.63 | 1:13.03

Last 3 trip positions: 2 | 3 | 1

Approx winning time1m 10.70s

Last win at trip-- | Newbury | 11-06-2026

Last distance win context: vs par -- | OR 82 | weight 9-6

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
11-06-2026	Newbury \| 6f \| Good To Soft \| Class 4	1	11/8F	82	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
30-05-2026	Carlisle \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 3	3	13/2	82	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
16-04-2026	Ripon \| 6f \| Good To Soft \| Class 4	2	6/1	81	88	83	0.3	1:11.65	AMBER - competitive
28-03-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 3	4	7/1	82	80	66	1.2	1:12.33	AMBER - competitive
27-09-2025	Haydock \| 6f \| Good To Soft \| Class 3	2	8/1	80	87	--	1.5	1:11.95	AMBER - competitive
17-09-2025	Yarmouth \| 6f \| Soft \| Class 4	2	10/1	78	86	61	0.2	1:15.34	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Well handicapped

+15lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 2

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 96.7 and winning TS par is around 71.2. Runner versus par: rating edge -8.7 | TS edge +11.8. Benchmark fit: 1.8.

Model agreement 4/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

RIPON 6f (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 263 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Raced near side - in touch with leaders - headway and pressed leaders over 1f out - went second inside final furlong - kept on final 110yds - just held...

Premium runner profile Silver Trumpet 8:00 | Southwell (AW) | 7f

Quality ATier 1 strong bet profileStrong edge+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 77.2

BACKABLE PROFILE

Runs Today 8:00 | Southwell (AW) | 7f

Monday 31st August Family Fun Day Confined Handicap (No Win Since The 2025 Flat Turf Season)

Open racecard

Decision read High-conviction profile where several independent layers agree.

Status BACKABLE PROFILE

Agreement5/6

FFR80

Speed97

ConditionsPositive fit

PlacementStrong setup

FFR vs OR+5lb ahead of mark

FFR 80 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

97 Par 100

FSP%even finish

100.3% 100% par

Best reasonClean current evidence; stake only if price is acceptable Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Model Score42.8raw

Agreement5/6

FFR80+5lb vs OR

SpeedScore97Solid figure

Trip / GroundDEI AHIGH

HandicapWell handicapped+16lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Variable; No bounce signal; Possible upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +1.2

Variance Variable 9.1% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Possible upgrade Upgrade 4

Ceiling Ceiling edge 6.9 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

7 York Troubled run 23-05-2026

3 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 27-04-2026

4 Southwell (AW) Run faded 09-04-2026

5 Newmarket Run faded 01-11-2025

2 Epsom Strong run 28-09-2025

7 Epsom Run faded 25-08-2025

Franked form Positive form

Positive form | 0 subsequent winner(s), 3 subsequent placer(s)

5

23-05-2026 | York Finished 7

Beat: Jersey Maverick (IRE), Pulsar Star (GB), Highfield Viking (GB) | Beale Street (GB) placed next/later, It Just Takes Time (IRE) placed next/later

27-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 3

Beat: Kings Vanity (GB), Tiger Crusade (FR), Freddies Star (IRE) | El Matador (IRE) placed next/later

09-04-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 4

Beat: Gunlock (USA), Shimmering Spin (USA)

Today's conditions match 72% Positive conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 70%

Pace shape 60%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 90%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw

Ground evidence All-weather Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating78

Best ground bandTesting

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 4 0W / 2P Peak rating 85

Good 7 2W / 2P Peak rating 84

Fast 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 79

All-weather 12 0W / 3P Peak rating 84

Placement evidence 78% Strong placement evidence

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 72%

Mark room 100%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 50%

Proven trip profile (A)18 similar-trip runs recordedClass benchmark supports the placementFFR vs OR gives +16lb roomNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read FFR vs OR: +16lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well handicapped +16lb FFR vs OR

Our pounds-style FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 75 | FFR 80 | Best FFR 91 | FFR edge +16

Hidden Run DetectorWorth a second look

Latest run: traffic trouble may have hidden the finishing position.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton

Jockey Edward Greatrex

Age 5

Draw 8

OR 75

Avg OR 69.4

OR vs Field +5.6

Rating 78

TS 57

Form 25-437

Run Style Prominent

Pace & Finish Fit Late-speed profile

Evidence 11 runs | HIGH confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotLate-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Late-speed profile Strong

FSP% last 3 100.3% Evenly paced

Today pace fit Positive today Positive today

Final 2f Not recorded Timing evidence developing No final-2f timing

Evidence 3/3+ FSP evidence Last-three sectional pattern available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile18

DEIA

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
01-11-2025	Newmarket	Good To Soft	5	1:27.34	87.3
27-04-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	3	1:24.51	84.5
23-05-2026	York	Good	7	1:25.77	85.8

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 51% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 26 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

Headgearp | Declared equipment WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP33/1 OwnerAustin, June & Jonny Allison

Sire Advertise Dam Cherubic Damsire Dark Angel

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

Soon pressed leader - no extra final 110yds(op 15/2)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.8L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
23-05-2026	York	7	0.1	Fast finish
27-04-2026	Lingfield (AW)	3	2.2	Neutral finish
09-04-2026	Southwell (AW)	4	3	Run faded

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 6 runs with an official OR.

25-08-2025 | Epsom

Rating 22 OR 79

28-09-2025 | Epsom

Rating 85 OR 78

01-11-2025 | Newmarket

Rating 80 OR 80

09-04-2026 | Southwell (AW)

Rating 74 OR 79

27-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 78 OR 78

23-05-2026 | York

Rating 74 OR 77

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Silver Trumpet

BACKABLE PROFILE

DEIA

Benchmark4

PaceProminent

ConsensusELITE

Silver Trumpet profiles as a prominent with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 5/6. Balanced setup suits adaptable/prominent profile

Winning Time Par 1m 28.25s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip18 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityHIGH

Last 3 trip times: 1:27.34 | 1:24.51 | 1:25.77

Last 3 trip positions: 5 | 3 | 7

Approx winning time1m 28.25s

Last win at trip1:22.07 | Epsom | 15-08-2025

Last distance win context: vs par -6.18s | OR 70 | weight --

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
23-05-2026	York \| 7f \| Good \| Class 4	7	33/1	77	74	66	0.1	1:25.77	GOLD - faster than par
27-04-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 4	3	6/1	78	78	57	2.2	1:24.51	GOLD - faster than par
09-04-2026	Southwell (AW) \| 1m \| Standard \| Class 4	4	5/1	79	74	38	3	1:41.49	GREY - below benchmark
01-11-2025	Newmarket \| 7f \| Good To Soft \| Class 4	5	6/1	80	80	53	0.3	1:27.29	GOLD - faster than par
28-09-2025	Epsom \| 7f \| Good To Soft \| Class 4	2	7/1	78	85	67	0.5	1:24.83	GOLD - faster than par
25-08-2025	Epsom \| 7f \| Good \| Class 4	7	11/8F	79	22	5	16	1:27.82	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Well handicapped

+16lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 4

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 78.8 and winning TS par is around 46.6. Runner versus par: rating edge -0.8 | TS edge +10.4. Benchmark fit: 4.

Model agreement 5/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

SOUTHWELL 7f (AW): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 1685 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Soon pressed leader - no extra final 110yds(op 15/2)

Premium runner profile Sweet William 4:15 | Ascot | 20f

Quality ATier 1 strong bet profileStrong edge+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 72.0

BACKABLE PROFILE

Runs Today 4:15 | Ascot | 20f

Gold Cup (Group 1)

Open racecard

Decision read High-conviction profile where several independent layers agree.

Status BACKABLE PROFILE

Agreement4/6

FFR121

Speed100

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+4lb near mark

FFR 121 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

100 Par 100

FSP%even finish

100.3% 100% par

Best reasonClean current evidence; stake only if price is acceptable Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used

Model Score53.9raw

Agreement4/6

FFR121+4lb vs OR

SpeedScore100Fast figure

Trip / GroundDEI CLOW

HandicapNear ceiling+4lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; Hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge +4.0

Variance Very steady 3.5% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Hidden upgrade Upgrade 7.1

Ceiling Par capable 3.9 vs par

Curve Edging forward Trend 1

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

2 Sandown Finished well 28-05-2026

1 Ascot Strong run 01-05-2026

2 Ascot Strong run 18-10-2025

1 Doncaster Troubled run 12-09-2025

2 York Run faded 22-08-2025

3 Goodwood Finished well 29-07-2025

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 4 subsequent winner(s), 2 subsequent placer(s)

10

28-05-2026 | Sandown Finished 2

Beat: Lazy Griff (GER), Epic Poet (IRE), Paradias (GER)

01-05-2026 | Ascot Finished 1

Beat: Caballo De Mar (IRE), Miss Alpilles (GB), Dubai Future (GB) | Caballo De Mar (IRE) won next/later, Dubai Future (GB) won next/later | Miss Alpilles (GB) placed next/later, Tabletalk (IRE) placed next/later

18-10-2025 | Ascot Finished 2

Beat: Al Qareem (IRE), Stay True (IRE), Saratoga (IRE) | Al Qareem (IRE) won next/later, Saratoga (IRE) won next/later

Today's conditions match 56% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 65%

Pace shape 40%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 58%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Pace shape

Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating119

Best ground bandFast

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 8 4W / 8P Peak rating 118

Good 5 1W / 5P Peak rating 120

Fast 7 2W / 6P Peak rating 119

All-weather 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 87

Placement evidence 71% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 58%

Class fit 86%

Mark room 64%

Stable setup 68%

Recent evidence 76%

Class benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read FFR vs OR: +4lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Near ceiling +4lb FFR vs OR

The horse may need to reproduce a strong effort to stay ahead of today's mark.

Today's OR 117 | FFR 121 | Best FFR 121 | FFR edge +4

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer John & Thady Gosden

Jockey Robert Havlin

Age 7

Draw 9

OR 117

Avg OR 113.9

OR vs Field +3.1

Rating 119

TS 110

Form 212-12

Run Style Front-runner

Pace & Finish Fit Late-speed profile

Evidence 6 runs | HIGH confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotLate-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Late-speed profile Strong

FSP% last 3 100.3% Evenly paced

Today pace fit Small positive Small positive

Final 2f Around par finish Evenly paced 25.65s recorded | FSP 100.3%

Evidence 3/3+ FSP evidence Last-three sectional pattern available.

Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 2m2f

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance2m2f

Runs at profile3

DEIC

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
15-09-2023	Doncaster	Soft	2	4:5.86	245.9
13-09-2024	Doncaster	Good To Soft	1	3:54.17	234.2
12-09-2025	Doncaster	Good To Soft	1	3:52.24	232.2

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 68% Yard in a positive recent rhythm

Freshness 21 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 trainer RTF positive at 68%; no recent matched-ground timing evidence; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: v; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

Headgearv | Declared equipment WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP8/13F OwnerNormandie Stud Ltd

Sire Sea The Stars Dam Gale Force Damsire Shirocco

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course winHas won at this courseBeaten favouriteMarket expected more last time

Race comment

Slowly into stride - soon midfield - headway halfway - pushed along and went second over 2f out - led narrowly and ridden 1f out - kept on and just did enough(op 4/5 tchd 10/11)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

3/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.6L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
28-05-2026	Sandown	2	0.3	Fast finish
01-05-2026	Ascot	1	0	Fast finish
18-10-2025	Ascot	2	1.5	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 4 of 5 runs with an official OR.

29-07-2025 | Goodwood

Rating 114 OR 116

22-08-2025 | York

Rating 116 OR 115

12-09-2025 | Doncaster

Rating 117 OR 115

18-10-2025 | Ascot

Rating 120 OR 115

01-05-2026 | Ascot

Rating 119 OR 117

28-05-2026 | Sandown

Rating -- OR 117

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Sweet William

BACKABLE PROFILE

DEIC

Benchmark3.15

PaceFront-runner

ConsensusSTRONG

Sweet William profiles as a front-runner with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 4/6. Hold-up profile in a projected pace-pressure race

Winning Time Par 4m 18.02s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip3 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityLOW

Last 3 trip times: 4:5.86 | 3:54.17 | 3:52.24

Last 3 trip positions: 2 | 1 | 1

Approx winning time4m 18.02s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win found in stored history

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
28-05-2026	Sandown \| 16f \| Good \| Class 1	2	8/13F	117	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
01-05-2026	Ascot \| 2m \| Good To Firm \| Class 1	1	5/6F	117	119	110	0	3:24.97	GOLD - faster than par
18-10-2025	Ascot \| 2m \| Good \| Class 1	2	5/2	115	120	121	1.5	3:22.54	GOLD - faster than par
12-09-2025	Doncaster \| 2m2f \| Good To Soft \| Class 1	1	10/11F	115	117	106	0	3:52.24	GOLD - faster than par
22-08-2025	York \| 2m½f \| Good To Firm \| Class 1	2	3/1	115	116	86	1.2	3:29.29	GOLD - faster than par
29-07-2025	Goodwood \| 2m \| Good \| Class 1	3	4/1	116	114	92	2.5	3:28.61	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Near ceiling

+4lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 121.3 and winning TS par is around 100.7. Runner versus par: rating edge +10.7 | TS edge +9.3. Benchmark fit: 3.1.

Model agreement 4/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

ASCOT 2m4f (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 20 (MEDIUM confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Slowly into stride - soon midfield - headway halfway - pushed along and went second over 2f out - led narrowly and ridden 1f out - kept on and just did...

Premium runner profile Cosi Bello 6:10 | Ascot | 7f

Quality BTier 2 shortlistDominant edge+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 76.0

BACKABLE PROFILE

Runs Today 6:10 | Ascot | 7f

Buckingham Palace Stakes (Handicap)

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status BACKABLE PROFILE

Agreement5/6

FFR97

Speed100

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+0lb near mark

FFR 97 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

100 Par 100

FSP%finished strongly

103.4% 100% par

Best reasonStrong score and current evidence; price still matters Main riskDistance evidence is thin

Model Score66.9raw

Agreement5/6

FFR97+0lb vs OR

SpeedScore100Fast figure

Trip / GroundDEI CLOW

HandicapNear ceiling+0lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; Possible upgrade; Ceiling edge; Edging forward

confidence nudge +4.0

Variance Reliable 8.6% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Possible upgrade Upgrade 5.4

Ceiling Ceiling edge 9.9 vs par

Curve Edging forward Trend 1

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Haydock Troubled run 25-04-2026

4 Ascot Competitive 26-07-2025

2 Chester Finished well 28-06-2025

1 Kempton (AW) Finished well 21-05-2025

1 Chelmsford (AW) Finished well 18-04-2025

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 5 subsequent winner(s), 6 subsequent placer(s)

29

25-04-2026 | Haydock Finished 1

Beat: Sarab Star (GB), Great Acclaim (GB), Cerulean Bay (IRE) | Cerulean Bay (IRE) placed next/later, Great Acclaim (GB) placed next/later

26-07-2025 | Ascot Finished 4

Beat: Talis Evolvere (IRE), Cogitate (IRE), Supido (FR) | Bullet Point (GB) won next/later, Dukes Command (GB) won next/later | Bopedro (FR) placed next/later, Cogitate (IRE) placed next/later

28-06-2025 | Chester Finished 2

Beat: Milford (GB), Perfect Part (IRE), Royalty Bay (IRE) | Mayday Malone (GB) won next/later, Royalty Bay (IRE) won next/later | Catalyse (IRE) placed next/later, Gallant (FR) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 62% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 77%

Pace shape 60%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 58%

Best fit Class Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Fast Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs1/5

Best similar rating103

Best ground bandFast

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 2 0W / 1P Peak rating 100

Fast 1 1W / 1P Peak rating 103

All-weather 2 2W / 2P Peak rating 94

Placement evidence 72% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 68%

Class fit 100%

Mark room 52%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 76%

Class benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read FFR vs OR: +0lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Near ceiling +0lb FFR vs OR

The horse may need to reproduce a strong effort to stay ahead of today's mark.

Today's OR 97 | FFR 97 | Best FFR 97 | FFR edge 0

Hidden Run DetectorWorth a second look

Latest run: traffic trouble may have hidden the finishing position.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Charlie Fellowes

Jockey Paddy Bradley

Age 4

Draw 26

OR 97

Avg OR 97.9

OR vs Field -0.9

Rating 103

TS 97

Form 1124-1

Run Style Midfield

Pace & Finish Fit Late-speed profile

Evidence 3 runs | MEDIUM confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotLate-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Late-speed profile Strong

FSP% last 3 103.4% Finished well

Today pace fit Positive today Positive today

Final 2f Fast finish Finished well 23.31s recorded | FSP 103.4%

Evidence 3/3+ FSP evidence Last-three sectional pattern available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile4

DEIC

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
21-05-2025	Kempton (AW)	Standard To Slow	1	1:24.11	84.1
28-06-2025	Chester	Good	2	1:25.27	85.3
25-04-2026	Haydock	Good To Firm	1	1:28.63	88.6

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.5 micro score

Trainer RTF 37% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 54 days Standard layoff

Micro score +0.5 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNone | No headgear declared WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP5/2F OwnerBedford House Racing Iiii

Sire Bated Breath Dam Fauran Damsire Shamardal

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

In touch with leaders - waiting for room over 2f out - short of room and hampered rival when headway over 1f out - ridden to lead inside final 110yds - kept on(op 11/4 tchd 3/1)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

3/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.1L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
25-04-2026	Haydock	1	0	Fast finish
26-07-2025	Ascot	4	3	Fast finish
28-06-2025	Chester	2	0.2	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 3 runs with an official OR. 2 earlier runs were unrated.

18-04-2025 | Chelmsford (AW)

Rating 88 OR Unrated

21-05-2025 | Kempton (AW)

Rating 94 OR Unrated

28-06-2025 | Chester

Rating 100 OR 93

26-07-2025 | Ascot

Rating 95 OR 95

25-04-2026 | Haydock

Rating 103 OR 95

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Cosi Bello

BACKABLE PROFILE

DEIC

Benchmark5.4

PaceMidfield

ConsensusELITE

Cosi Bello profiles as a midfield with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 5/6. Strong/sustained finisher in a pace-pressure race

Winning Time Par 1m 25.60s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip4 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityLOW

Last 3 trip times: 1:24.11 | 1:25.27 | 1:28.63

Last 3 trip positions: 1 | 2 | 1

Approx winning time1m 25.60s

Last win at trip1:28.63 | Haydock | 25-04-2026

Last distance win context: vs par +3.03s | OR 95 | weight --

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
25-04-2026	Haydock \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 2	1	5/2F	95	103	97	0	1:28.63	GREY - below benchmark
26-07-2025	Ascot \| 1m \| Good \| Class 2	4	13/2	95	95	42	3	1:41.94	GREY - below benchmark
28-06-2025	Chester \| 7f \| Good \| Class 3	2	2/1F	93	100	77	0.2	1:25.28	GOLD - faster than par
21-05-2025	Kempton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 5	1	1/2F	--	94	86	0	1:24.11	GOLD - faster than par
18-04-2025	Chelmsford (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 2	1	11/2	--	88	44	0	1:26.55	AMBER - competitive

Handicap Near ceiling

+0lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 5

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 104.9 and winning TS par is around 84.8. Runner versus par: rating edge +9.1 | TS edge +12.2. Benchmark fit: 5.4.

Model agreement 5/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

ASCOT 7f (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 47 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

In touch with leaders - waiting for room over 2f out - short of room and hampered rival when headway over 1f out - ridden to lead inside final 110yds -...

Premium runner profile Twilight Calls 2:40 | Yarmouth | 5f

Quality BTier 2 shortlistClear but not dominant+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 80.5

PRICE DEPENDENT

Runs Today 2:40 | Yarmouth | 5f

QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement4/6

FFR87

Speed97

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR+3lb near mark

FFR 87 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

97 Par 100

FSP%faded late

97.3% 100% par

Best reasonRecent form and class support, but not a full-stake profile Main riskTop of the market is compressed

Model Score39.4raw

Agreement4/6

FFR87+3lb vs OR

SpeedScore97Solid figure

Trip / GroundDEI BHIGH

HandicapNear ceiling+3lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; Hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +2.5

Variance Very steady 2.7% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Hidden upgrade Upgrade 7

Ceiling Below requirement -1.9 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Sandown Strong run 12-06-2026

6 Newcastle (AW) Run faded 27-03-2026

8 Meydan Run faded 06-03-2026

5 Meydan Competitive 20-02-2026

6 Meydan Run faded 06-02-2026

12 Meydan Competitive 02-01-2026

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 3 subsequent winner(s), 3 subsequent placer(s)

12

12-06-2026 | Sandown Finished 1

Beat: Lipsink (IRE), Over Spiced (GB), Good Earth (IRE)

27-03-2026 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 6

Beat: Andesite (GB), Sergeant Wilko (IRE), Hockney (GB) | Badri (GB) won next/later, Hockney (GB) won next/later | Andesite (GB) placed next/later, Mister Bluebird (GB) placed next/later

06-03-2026 | Meydan Finished 8

Beat: Rappers Delight (GB), Jouncy (GB), Almutanabbi (USA) | Billy Webster (IRE) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 63% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 51%

Pace shape 75%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 58%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Fast No recent fast sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs0/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read No recent fast sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 5 0W / 0P Peak rating 104

Good 9 1W / 1P Peak rating 116

Fast 8 0W / 0P Peak rating 110

All-weather 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 79

Placement evidence 61% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 34%

Mark room 61%

Stable setup 76%

Recent evidence 42%

Proven trip profile (B)18 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concernRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Mark read FFR vs OR: +3lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Near ceiling +3lb FFR vs OR

The horse may need to reproduce a strong effort to stay ahead of today's mark.

Today's OR 84 | FFR 87 | Best FFR 87 | FFR edge +3

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Richard Spencer

Jockey Silvestre De Sousa

Age 8

Draw 5

OR 84

Avg OR 82.5

OR vs Field +1.5

Rating 79

TS 74

Form 65861

Run Style Closer

Pace & Finish Fit Balanced

Evidence 3 runs | MEDIUM confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotBalanced finishing profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Balanced Steady

FSP% last 3 97.3% Late effort faded

Today pace fit Neutral Neutral

Final 2f Not recorded Timing evidence developing No final-2f timing

Evidence 3/3+ FSP evidence Last-three sectional pattern available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance5f

Runs at profile18

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
17-06-2025	Ascot	Good To Firm	18	1:1.10	61.1
20-02-2026	Meydan (UAE)	Good	5	0:57.58	57.6
12-06-2026	Sandown	Good	1	1:3.89	63.9

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+1.5 micro score

Trainer RTF 72% Yard in a positive recent rhythm

Freshness 6 days Quick return

Micro score +1.5 trainer RTF hot at 72%; recent distance evidence matches today's ground; headgear declared: v; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

Headgearv | Declared equipment WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP5/2J OwnerPhil Cunningham

Sire Twilight Son Dam Zawiyah Damsire Invincible Spirit

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

Raced near side - midfield - switched left 2f out - headway from over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong - 4th of 8 in group(op 10/1)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.2L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
12-06-2026	Sandown	1	0	Neutral finish
27-03-2026	Newcastle (AW)	6	0.5	Neutral finish
06-03-2026	Meydan	8	0.2	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 5 runs with an official OR.

02-01-2026 | Meydan

Rating 64 OR 93

06-02-2026 | Meydan

Rating 79 OR 88

20-02-2026 | Meydan

Rating 78 OR 85

06-03-2026 | Meydan

Rating 71 OR 84

27-03-2026 | Newcastle (AW)

Rating 79 OR 82

12-06-2026 | Sandown

Rating -- OR 80

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Twilight Calls

PRICE DEPENDENT

DEIB

Benchmark0.35

PaceCloser

ConsensusSTRONG

Twilight Calls profiles as a closer with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 4/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 00.32s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip18 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityHIGH

Last 3 trip times: 1:1.10 | 0:57.58 | 1:3.89

Last 3 trip positions: 18 | 5 | 1

Approx winning time1m 00.32s

Last win at trip-- | Sandown | 12-06-2026

Last distance win context: vs par -- | OR 80 | weight 9-9

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
12-06-2026	Sandown \| 5f \| Good \| Class 4	1	5/2J	80	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
27-03-2026	Newcastle (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 3	6	9/1	82	79	71	0.5	1:13.08	GREY - below benchmark
06-03-2026	Meydan \| 6f \| Good \| --	8	17/2	84	71	41	0.2	1:11.99	GREY - below benchmark
20-02-2026	Meydan \| 5f \| Good \| --	5	12/1	85	78	74	0.8	0:57.58	GOLD - faster than par
06-02-2026	Meydan \| 6f \| Good \| --	6	16/1	88	79	52	0.8	1:11.63	GREY - below benchmark
02-01-2026	Meydan \| 6f \| Good \| --	12	30/1	93	64	52	1	1:11.09	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Near ceiling

+3lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 88.7 and winning TS par is around 70.3. Runner versus par: rating edge -9.7 | TS edge +3.7. Benchmark fit: 0.3.

Model agreement 4/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

YARMOUTH 5f (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 118 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Raced near side - midfield - switched left 2f out - headway from over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong - 4th of 8 in group(op 10/1)

Premium runner profile Ribenska 8:00 | Southwell (AW) | 7f

Quality BTier 2 shortlistStrong edge+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 74.3

PRICE DEPENDENT

Runs Today 8:00 | Southwell (AW) | 7f

Monday 31st August Family Fun Day Confined Handicap (No Win Since The 2025 Flat Turf Season)

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement4/6

FFR79

Speed101

ConditionsPositive fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+7lb ahead of mark

FFR 79 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

101 Par 100

FSP%faded late

94.2% 100% par

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Model Score37.8raw

Agreement4/6

FFR79+7lb vs OR

SpeedScore101Fast figure

Trip / GroundDEI CMEDIUM

HandicapWell handicapped+13lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; Possible upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge +3.3

Variance Reliable 5.9% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Possible upgrade Upgrade 5.2

Ceiling Par capable 4.2 vs par

Curve Edging forward Trend 1

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

9 Kempton (AW) Run faded 06-05-2026

2 Southwell (AW) Run faded 15-04-2026

7 Newmarket Run faded 31-10-2025

7 Ascot Below best 03-10-2025

1 Lingfield (AW) Strong run 08-09-2025

2 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 21-08-2025

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 5 subsequent winner(s), 5 subsequent placer(s)

17

06-05-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 9

Beat: Notimeforchitchat (IRE), Iconic Times (GB), Receipt (GB) | Blue Prince (IRE) won next/later, Silca Bay (GB) won next/later | Im Workin On It (GB) placed next/later

15-04-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 2

Beat: Beckon (GB), Bee My Honey (IRE), Vencedora (IRE) | Cool Molly (IRE) placed next/later, Homestrait (IRE) placed next/later

31-10-2025 | Newmarket Finished 7

Beat: Thats My Boy Luke (GB), Sea Suite (IRE), McKenna (IRE) | Kokanee (IRE) won next/later, Play Me (GB) won next/later | Apache Green (GB) placed next/later, Post Rider (GB) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 67% Positive conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 70%

Pace shape 60%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 90%

Best fit Handicap Question Track / draw

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs4/6

Best similar rating78

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 65

Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 47

Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 7 1W / 4P Peak rating 78

Placement evidence 67% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 70%

Class fit 64%

Mark room 91%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 42%

6 similar-trip runs recordedFFR vs OR gives +13lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Mark read FFR vs OR: +13lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well handicapped +13lb FFR vs OR

Our pounds-style FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 72 | FFR 79 | Best FFR 85 | FFR edge +13

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Charlie Fellowes

Jockey Clifford Lee

Age 4

Draw 4

OR 72

Avg OR 69.4

OR vs Field +2.6

Rating 74

TS 70

Form 177-29

Run Style Midfield

Pace & Finish Fit Sustained speed

Evidence 7 runs | HIGH confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotSustained-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Sustained speed Strong

FSP% last 3 94.2% Late effort faded

Today pace fit Positive today Positive today

Final 2f Slow finish Late effort faded 23.43s recorded | FSP 94.2%

Evidence 3/3+ FSP evidence Last-three sectional pattern available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile6

DEIC

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
03-10-2025	Ascot	Good To Soft	7	1:32.04	92
15-04-2026	Southwell (AW)	Standard	2	1:27.28	87.3
06-05-2026	Kempton (AW)	Standard To Slow	9	1:26.25	86.2

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 37% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 43 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNone | No headgear declared WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP13/2 OwnerNewmarket Racing Club Hqvi

Sire Ribchester Dam Preobrajenska Damsire Paco Boy

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

Midfield - in touch with leaders and waiting for room 2f out - switched left and headway from over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong - no extra final 110yds(tchd 11/1)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 3.4L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
06-05-2026	Kempton (AW)	9	0.5	Run faded
15-04-2026	Southwell (AW)	2	2.2	Fast finish
31-10-2025	Newmarket	7	7.5	Run faded

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 6 runs with an official OR.

21-08-2025 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 74 OR 78

08-09-2025 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 78 OR 76

03-10-2025 | Ascot

Rating 65 OR 76

31-10-2025 | Newmarket

Rating 47 OR 75

15-04-2026 | Southwell (AW)

Rating 74 OR 73

06-05-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating 68 OR 73

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Ribenska

PRICE DEPENDENT

DEIC

Benchmark4

PaceMidfield

ConsensusSTRONG

Ribenska profiles as a midfield with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 4/6. Balanced setup suits adaptable/prominent profile

Winning Time Par 1m 28.25s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip6 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityMEDIUM

Last 3 trip times: 1:32.04 | 1:27.28 | 1:26.25

Last 3 trip positions: 7 | 2 | 9

Approx winning time1m 28.25s

Last win at trip1:25.08 | Lingfield (AW) | 08-09-2025

Last distance win context: vs par -3.17s | OR 76 | weight --

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
06-05-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 4	9	13/2	73	68	54	0.5	1:26.08	GOLD - faster than par
15-04-2026	Southwell (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 5	2	12/1	73	74	70	2.2	1:27.20	GOLD - faster than par
31-10-2025	Newmarket \| 1m \| Good \| Class 5	7	11/1	75	47	30	7.5	1:43.09	GREY - below benchmark
03-10-2025	Ascot \| 7f \| Good To Soft \| Class 4	7	18/1	76	65	54	3.2	1:32.19	GREY - below benchmark
08-09-2025	Lingfield (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 5	1	1/16F	76	78	25	0	1:25.08	GOLD - faster than par
21-08-2025	Lingfield (AW) \| 1m \| Standard \| Class 5	2	11/4	78	74	60	2.5	1:37.90	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Well handicapped

+13lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 4

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 78.8 and winning TS par is around 46.6. Runner versus par: rating edge -4.8 | TS edge +23.4. Benchmark fit: 4.

Model agreement 4/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

SOUTHWELL 7f (AW): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 1685 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Midfield - in touch with leaders and waiting for room 2f out - switched left and headway from over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong - no extra fina...

Premium runner profile The Wizard Of Eye 6:10 | Ascot | 7f

Quality BTier 2 shortlistDominant edge+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 62.0

PRICE DEPENDENT

Runs Today 6:10 | Ascot | 7f

Buckingham Palace Stakes (Handicap)

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement4/6

FFR102

Speed109

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR-2lb near mark

FFR 102 pounds scale

SpeedScoreabove par

109 Par 100

FSP%finished strongly

102.5% 100% par

Best reasonRecent form and class support, but not a full-stake profile Main riskRace shape is high variance

Model Score51.8raw

Agreement4/6

FFR102-2lb vs OR

SpeedScore109Fast figure

Trip / GroundDEI AHIGH

HandicapMark looks stiff-2lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; Possible upgrade; Ceiling edge; Improving

confidence nudge +4.0

Variance Very steady 3.5% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Possible upgrade Upgrade 5.2

Ceiling Ceiling edge 9 vs par

Curve Improving Trend 2

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Ascot Strong run 09-05-2026

9 Kempton (AW) Competitive 03-11-2025

3 Newcastle (AW) Strong run 28-09-2025

11 Ascot Run faded 07-09-2024

6 Ascot Finished well 22-06-2024

1 Ascot Strong run 11-05-2024

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 7 subsequent winner(s), 4 subsequent placer(s)

30

09-05-2026 | Ascot Finished 1

Beat: Great Acclaim (GB), Tribal Chief (FR), Golden Mind (IRE) | Serengeti (FR) won next/later | Nostrum (GB) placed next/later, Ten Pounds (IRE) placed next/later

03-11-2025 | Kempton (AW) Finished 9

Beat: Real Gain (IRE), Streets Of Gold (IRE), Dutch Kingdom (IRE) | Chancellor (GB) won next/later, Kingdom Come (IRE) won next/later | Back In Black (IRE) placed next/later

28-09-2025 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 3

Beat: Telemark (IRE), Streets Of Gold (IRE), Grand Traverse (IRE) | Golden Mind (IRE) won next/later, Havana Pusey (GB) won next/later | Akkadian Thunder (GB) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 58% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 65%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence Fast Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating104

Best ground bandGood

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 4 0W / 0P Peak rating 104

Good 4 2W / 2P Peak rating 111

Fast 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 104

All-weather 3 0W / 2P Peak rating 111

Placement evidence 75% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 86%

Mark room 46%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 76%

Proven trip profile (A)13 similar-trip runs recordedClass benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read FFR vs OR: -2lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff -2lb FFR vs OR

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 104 | FFR 102 | Best FFR 102 | FFR edge -2

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Tom Clover

Jockey Neil Callan

Age 7

Draw 29

OR 104

Avg OR 97.9

OR vs Field +6.1

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 0/39-1

Run Style Unclear

Pace & Finish Fit Late-speed profile

Evidence 2 runs | LOW confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotLate-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Late-speed profile Strong

FSP% Sectionals developing Needs 3 recorded FSP runs

Today pace fit Small positive Small positive

Final 2f Not recorded Timing evidence developing No final-2f timing

Evidence 2/3 FSP runs recorded FSP read hidden until three recorded runs are available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile13

DEIA

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
28-09-2025	Newcastle (AW)	Standard	3	1:26.97	87
03-11-2025	Kempton (AW)	Standard To Slow	9	1:25.80	85.8
09-05-2026	Ascot	Good	1	1:24.81	84.8

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 42% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 40 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

Headgearp | Declared equipment WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP20/1 OwnerR Humphrey O Humphrey A Favell

Sire Galileo Gold Dam Prom Dress Damsire Mount Nelson

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.6L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
09-05-2026	Ascot	1	0	Fast finish
03-11-2025	Kempton (AW)	9	0.8	Neutral finish
28-09-2025	Newcastle (AW)	3	1	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 4 of 6 runs with an official OR.

11-05-2024 | Ascot

Rating 109 OR 99

22-06-2024 | Ascot

Rating 104 OR 102

07-09-2024 | Ascot

Rating 95 OR 102

28-09-2025 | Newcastle (AW)

Rating 106 OR 100

03-11-2025 | Kempton (AW)

Rating 90 OR 100

09-05-2026 | Ascot

Rating 111 OR 99

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence The Wizard Of Eye

PRICE DEPENDENT

DEIA

Benchmark3

PaceUnclear

ConsensusSTRONG

The Wizard Of Eye profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 4/6. Strong/sustained finisher in a pace-pressure race

Winning Time Par 1m 25.60s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip13 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityHIGH

Last 3 trip times: 1:26.97 | 1:25.80 | 1:24.81

Last 3 trip positions: 3 | 9 | 1

Approx winning time1m 25.60s

Last win at trip1:24.81 | Ascot | 09-05-2026

Last distance win context: vs par -0.79s | OR 99 | weight --

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
09-05-2026	Ascot \| 7f \| Good \| Class 2	1	20/1	99	111	102	0	1:24.81	GOLD - faster than par
03-11-2025	Kempton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 2	9	18/1	100	90	70	0.8	1:25.54	GOLD - faster than par
28-09-2025	Newcastle (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 2	3	13/2	100	106	73	1	1:27.03	AMBER - competitive
07-09-2024	Ascot \| 7f \| Soft \| Class 2	11	9/2F	102	95	70	2	1:31.28	GREY - below benchmark
22-06-2024	Ascot \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 1	6	11/1	102	104	88	0.3	1:13.15	GOLD - faster than par
11-05-2024	Ascot \| 7f \| Good \| Class 2	1	7/1	99	109	72	0	1:26.58	AMBER - competitive

Handicap Mark looks stiff

-2lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 104.9 and winning TS par is around 84.8. Runner versus par: rating edge +13.1. Benchmark fit: 3.

Model agreement 4/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

ASCOT 7f (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 47 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

No latest race comment available.

Premium runner profile Qitaal 2:50 | Ripon | 10f

Quality BTier 2 shortlistStrong edge+6 more signals

Decision Confidence 82.0

PRICE DEPENDENT

Runs Today 2:50 | Ripon | 10f

Grantley Hall Handicap

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement5/6

FFR76

Speed106

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+1lb near mark

FFR 76 pounds scale

SpeedScoreabove par

106 Par 100

FSP%finished strongly

107.8% 100% par

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance evidence is thin

Model Score46.4raw

Agreement5/6

FFR76+1lb vs OR

SpeedScore106Fast figure

Trip / GroundDEI DLOW

HandicapWell handicapped+15lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; Possible upgrade; Par capable; Improving

confidence nudge +4.0

Variance Very steady 3% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Possible upgrade Upgrade 4.9

Ceiling Par capable 5.8 vs par

Curve Improving Trend 2

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

5 Hamilton Competitive 04-06-2026

2 Leicester Troubled run 25-05-2026

4 Hamilton Run faded 15-05-2026

7 Nottingham Run faded 08-04-2026

4 Chelmsford (AW) Run faded 12-03-2026

7 Lingfield (AW) Finished well 27-02-2026

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 1 subsequent winner(s), 4 subsequent placer(s)

8

04-06-2026 | Hamilton Finished 5

Beat: Mr Lincoln (GB), Tee Aitch Aye (IRE), Penelope's Sister (IRE) | Pearl Eye (GB) placed next/later

25-05-2026 | Leicester Finished 2

Beat: Mythical Bird (IRE), Alta Rica (GB), Hamadhan (IRE) | Hamadhan (IRE) placed next/later

15-05-2026 | Hamilton Finished 4

Beat: Draupnir (GB), Naturalia (GB), Flying Fletcher (GB) | Sanafi Zabeel (FR) won next/later | Draupnir (GB) placed next/later, Flying Fletcher (GB) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 64% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 52%

Class 88%

Pace shape 55%

Track / draw 34%

Handicap 90%

Best fit Handicap Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating81

Best ground bandFast

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 12 1W / 4P Peak rating 93

Good 10 0W / 1P Peak rating 95

Fast 5 0W / 1P Peak rating 87

All-weather 4 0W / 1P Peak rating 86

Placement evidence 72% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 44%

Class fit 100%

Mark room 97%

Stable setup 60%

Recent evidence 58%

Class benchmark supports the placementFFR vs OR gives +15lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read FFR vs OR: +15lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well handicapped +15lb FFR vs OR

Our pounds-style FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 75 | FFR 76 | Best FFR 90 | FFR edge +15

Hidden Run DetectorWorth a second look

Run 2: traffic trouble may have hidden the finishing position.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Charlie Johnston

Jockey Connor Beasley

Age 7

Draw 1

OR 75

Avg OR 70.9

OR vs Field +4.1

Rating 74

TS 68

Form 747425

Run Style Front-runner

Pace & Finish Fit Sustained speed

Evidence 10 runs | HIGH confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotSustained-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Sustained speed Strong

FSP% last 3 107.8% Strong finish

Today pace fit Positive today Positive today

Final 2f Very fast finish Strong finish 23.37s recorded | FSP 107.8%

Evidence 3/3+ FSP evidence Last-three sectional pattern available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance1m1f

Runs at profile2

DEID

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
15-05-2026	Hamilton	Good	4	1:55.81	115.8
04-06-2026	Hamilton	Good	5	1:58.75	118.8

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 42% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 14 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNone | No headgear declared WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP7/2 OwnerKingsley Park 47 - Ready To Run

Sire Iffraaj Dam Qaafeya Damsire New Approach

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

Led early - headed and pressed leader after 1f - disputed lead over 4f out - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 11/2 and tchd 13/2)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
04-06-2026	Hamilton	5	0.8	Neutral finish
25-05-2026	Leicester	2	2	Fast finish
15-05-2026	Hamilton	4	0.1	Run faded

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 3 of 5 runs with an official OR.

27-02-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 82 OR 81

12-03-2026 | Chelmsford (AW)

Rating 80 OR 80

08-04-2026 | Nottingham

Rating 74 OR 79

15-05-2026 | Hamilton

Rating 81 OR 77

25-05-2026 | Leicester

Rating 80 OR 76

04-06-2026 | Hamilton

Rating -- OR 76

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Qitaal

PRICE DEPENDENT

DEID

Benchmark7.65

PaceFront-runner

ConsensusELITE

Qitaal profiles as a front-runner with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 5/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 04.09s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip2 Trip experience building ReliabilityLOW

Last 3 trip times: 1:55.81 | 1:58.75

Last 3 trip positions: 4 | 5

Approx winning time2m 04.09s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win found in stored history

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
04-06-2026	Hamilton \| 9f \| Good \| Class 4	5	7/2	76	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read
25-05-2026	Leicester \| 1m2f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	2	9/4F	76	80	48	2	2:06.10	AMBER - competitive
15-05-2026	Hamilton \| 1m1f \| Good \| Class 4	4	4/1	77	81	69	0.1	1:55.81	GOLD - faster than par
08-04-2026	Nottingham \| 1m2f \| Good \| Class 4	7	9/2	79	74	58	0.1	2:11.92	GREY - below benchmark
12-03-2026	Chelmsford (AW) \| 1m2f \| Standard \| Class 3	4	12/1	80	80	68	2.2	2:04.37	GREEN - within 1% of par
27-02-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 1m2f \| Standard \| Class 2	7	20/1	81	82	61	0.8	2:04.08	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Well handicapped

+15lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 8

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 76 and winning TS par is around 53.6. Runner versus par: rating edge +9.9 | TS edge +14.3. Benchmark fit: 7.7.

Model agreement 5/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

RIPON 1m2f (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 95 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Led early - headed and pressed leader after 1f - disputed lead over 4f out - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 11/2 and tchd 13/2)

Premium runner profile Apache Outlaw 5:10 | Leopardstown | 7f

Quality BTier 2 shortlistDominant edge+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 82.0

PRICE DEPENDENT

Runs Today 5:10 | Leopardstown | 7f

BOYLE Sports Money Back If 2nd To SP Fav Handicap

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement5/6

FFR64

Speed99

ConditionsPositive fit

PlacementStrong setup

FFR vs OR-6lb below mark

FFR 64 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

99 Par 100

FSP%even finish

100.1% 100% par

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskRace shape is high variance

Model Score36.3raw

Agreement5/6

FFR64-6lb vs OR

SpeedScore99Solid figure

Trip / GroundDEI AHIGH

HandicapWell handicapped+20lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; Possible upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +4.0

Variance Very steady 4.6% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Possible upgrade Upgrade 5.8

Ceiling Ceiling edge 8 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

6 Listowel (IRE) Competitive 31-05-2026

11 Lingfield (AW) Competitive 03-04-2026

8 Dundalk (AW) Competitive 20-02-2026

6 Newcastle (AW) Run faded 06-02-2026

3 Dundalk (AW) Solid effort 16-01-2026

4 Dundalk (AW) Competitive 17-12-2025

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 4 subsequent winner(s), 5 subsequent placer(s)

20

31-05-2026 | Listowel (IRE) Finished 6

Beat: Alfred Tennyson (IRE), Mint Man (GB), Altimara (IRE) | Alfred Tennyson (IRE) placed next/later

03-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 11

Betsen (GB) won next/later, Justcallmepete (GB) won next/later | Accrual (GB) placed next/later, Carbine Harvester (FR) placed next/later

20-02-2026 | Dundalk (AW) Finished 8

Beat: Little Queenie (IRE), Prairie Girl (IRE) | Clonmacash (GB) won next/later | Alfred Tennyson (IRE) placed next/later, Collective Power (IRE) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 70% Positive conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 57%

Pace shape 60%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 90%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 11 0W / 2P Peak rating 96

Good 18 1W / 2P Peak rating 101

Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 15 3W / 7P Peak rating 104

Placement evidence 77% Strong placement evidence

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 63%

Mark room 100%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

Proven trip profile (A)10 similar-trip runs recordedFFR vs OR gives +20lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read FFR vs OR: +20lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well handicapped +20lb FFR vs OR

Our pounds-style FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 70 | FFR 64 | Best FFR 90 | FFR edge +20

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Adrian McGuinness

Jockey Leigh Roche

Age 6

Draw 11

OR 70

Avg OR 67.5

OR vs Field +2.5

Rating 80

TS 81

Form -36806

Run Style Midfield

Pace & Finish Fit Late-speed profile

Evidence 14 runs | HIGH confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotLate-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Late-speed profile Strong

FSP% last 3 100.1% Evenly paced

Today pace fit Positive today Positive today

Final 2f Around par finish Evenly paced 23.09s recorded | FSP 100.1%

Evidence 3/3+ FSP evidence Last-three sectional pattern available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile10

DEIA

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
07-08-2025	Chepstow	Good To Soft	10	1:23.46	83.5
17-12-2025	Dundalk (AW) (IRE)	Standard	4	1:26.34	86.3
16-01-2026	Dundalk (AW) (IRE)	Standard	3	1:25.09	85.1

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 31% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 18 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

Headgearp | Declared equipment WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP7/1 OwnerDooley Thoroughbreds & J Fairhurst

Sire Churchill Dam Focus Of Attention Damsire Intense Focus

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

Slowly away - towards rear throughout (jockey said gelding accelerated the gate and was slowly as a result)(tchd 12/1)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.7L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
31-05-2026	Listowel (IRE)	6	0.5	Neutral finish
03-04-2026	Lingfield (AW)	11	1.5	Neutral finish
20-02-2026	Dundalk (AW)	8	0.1	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 5 runs with an official OR.

17-12-2025 | Dundalk (AW)

Rating 99 OR 96

16-01-2026 | Dundalk (AW)

Rating 95 OR 94

06-02-2026 | Newcastle (AW)

Rating 91 OR 93

20-02-2026 | Dundalk (AW)

Rating 82 OR 92

03-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 80 OR 90

31-05-2026 | Listowel (IRE)

Rating -- OR 73

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Apache Outlaw

PRICE DEPENDENT

DEIA

Benchmark1.57

PaceMidfield

ConsensusELITE

Apache Outlaw profiles as a midfield with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 5/6. Strong/sustained finisher in a pace-pressure race

Winning Time Par 1m 29.26s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip10 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityHIGH

Last 3 trip times: 1:23.46 | 1:26.34 | 1:25.09

Last 3 trip positions: 10 | 4 | 3

Approx winning time1m 29.26s

Last win at trip1:25.86 | Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | 18-12-2024

Last distance win context: vs par -3.4s | OR 94 | weight --

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
31-05-2026	Listowel (IRE) \| 6.5f \| Good \| --	6	7/1	73	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
03-04-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 3	11	14/1	90	80	67	1.5	1:10.80	GOLD - faster than par
20-02-2026	Dundalk (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| --	8	9/2	92	82	33	0.1	1:14.20	GOLD - faster than par
06-02-2026	Newcastle (AW) \| 5f \| Standard \| Class 3	6	12/1	93	91	81	0.1	0:57.83	GOLD - faster than par
16-01-2026	Dundalk (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| --	3	9/1	94	95	68	1.2	1:25.09	GOLD - faster than par
17-12-2025	Dundalk (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| --	4	22/1	96	99	67	0.5	1:26.34	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Well handicapped

+20lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 2

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 93 and winning TS par is around 61.7. Runner versus par: rating edge +2.0 | TS edge +19.3. Benchmark fit: 1.6.

Model agreement 5/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

LEOPARDSTOWN 7f (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 328 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Slowly away - towards rear throughout (jockey said gelding accelerated the gate and was slowly as a result)(tchd 12/1)

Premium runner profile My Love Is King 5:35 | Ascot | 10f

Quality BTier 2 shortlistStrong edge+6 more signals

Decision Confidence 74.0

PRICE DEPENDENT

Runs Today 5:35 | Ascot | 10f

Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3)

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement4/6

FFR98

Speed98

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR+2lb near mark

FFR 98 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

98 Par 100

FSP%finished strongly

105.7% 100% par

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used

Model Score53.1raw

Agreement4/6

FFR98+2lb vs OR

SpeedScore98Solid figure

Trip / GroundDEI DLOW

HandicapNear ceiling+2lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; Hidden upgrade; Par capable; Improving

confidence nudge +4.0

Variance Reliable 8.8% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Hidden upgrade Upgrade 7.1

Ceiling Par capable 1.8 vs par

Curve Improving Trend 2

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

2 Newmarket Run faded 01-05-2026

2 Newbury Solid effort 17-04-2026

1 Newcastle (AW) Strong run 17-11-2025

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 1 subsequent winner(s), 2 subsequent placer(s)

7

01-05-2026 | Newmarket Finished 2

Beat: Archers Bay (IRE), Lyneham (IRE), Poseidons Warrior (IRE)

17-04-2026 | Newbury Finished 2

Beat: Joulany (IRE), Shabab Al Ahli (GB), Sahara King (GB) | Maltese Cross (FR) won next/later | Barrister (GB) placed next/later, Easwrith Destiny (GB) placed next/later

17-11-2025 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 1

Beat: Ilraawi (GB), Arc La Shari (GB), A Boy Named Mary (IRE)

Today's conditions match 51% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 52%

Class 53%

Pace shape 25%

Track / draw 66%

Handicap 58%

Best fit Track / draw Question Pace shape

Ground evidence Fast Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs1/3

Best similar rating103

Best ground bandFast

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 97

Fast 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 103

All-weather 1 1W / 1P Peak rating 81

Placement evidence 51% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 44%

Class fit 43%

Mark room 58%

Stable setup 70%

Recent evidence 42%

Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Mark read FFR vs OR: +2lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Near ceiling +2lb FFR vs OR

The horse may need to reproduce a strong effort to stay ahead of today's mark.

Today's OR 96 | FFR 98 | Best FFR 98 | FFR edge +2

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer John & Thady Gosden

Jockey Robert Havlin

Age 3

Draw 6

OR 96

Avg OR 104

OR vs Field -8

Rating 103

TS 104

Form 1-22

Run Style Front-runner

Pace & Finish Fit Late-speed profile

Evidence 1 runs | LOW confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotLate-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Late-speed profile Strong

FSP% Sectionals developing Needs 3 recorded FSP runs

Today pace fit Small positive Small positive

Final 2f Not recorded Timing evidence developing No final-2f timing

Evidence 1/3 FSP runs recorded FSP read hidden until three recorded runs are available.

Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m2f

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance1m2f

Runs at profile2

DEID

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
17-04-2026	Newbury	Good	2	2:6.10	126.1
01-05-2026	Newmarket	Good To Firm	2	2:4.13	124.1

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+1.0 micro score

Trainer RTF 66% Yard in a positive recent rhythm

Freshness 48 days Standard layoff

Micro score +1.0 trainer RTF positive at 66%; recent distance evidence matches today's ground; headgear declared: p

Ground timing match 2/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

Headgearp | First-time aid today WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP100/30 OwnerNormandie Stud Ltd

Sire Kingman Dam Fallen In Love Damsire Galileo

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

Raced centre - in touch with leaders - headway and joined winner over 1f out - no extra inside final 110yds(op 11/4 tchd 5/2)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.8L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
01-05-2026	Newmarket	2	2	Fast finish
17-04-2026	Newbury	2	0.3	Fast finish
17-11-2025	Newcastle (AW)	1	0	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 1 runs with an official OR. 2 earlier runs were unrated.

17-11-2025 | Newcastle (AW)

Rating 81 OR Unrated

17-04-2026 | Newbury

Rating 97 OR Unrated

01-05-2026 | Newmarket

Rating 103 OR 95

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence My Love Is King

PRICE DEPENDENT

DEID

Benchmark0.6

PaceFront-runner

ConsensusSTRONG

My Love Is King profiles as a front-runner with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 4/6. Draw data adds a small confidence boost. Strong/sustained finisher in a pace-pressure race

Winning Time Par 2m 03.92s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip2 Trip experience building ReliabilityLOW

Last 3 trip times: 2:6.10 | 2:4.13

Last 3 trip positions: 2 | 2

Approx winning time2m 03.92s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win found in stored history

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
01-05-2026	Newmarket \| 1m2f \| Good To Firm \| Class 1	2	100/30	95	103	85	2	2:04.13	GREEN - within 1% of par
17-04-2026	Newbury \| 1m2f \| Good \| Class 2	2	16/1	--	97	104	0.3	2:06.10	AMBER - competitive
17-11-2025	Newcastle (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 5	1	4/6F	--	81	--	0	1:32.36	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Near ceiling

+2lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 119.3 and winning TS par is around 96.1. Runner versus par: rating edge -5.3 | TS edge +7.8. Benchmark fit: 0.6.

Model agreement 4/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

ASCOT 1m2f (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 98 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Raced centre - in touch with leaders - headway and joined winner over 1f out - no extra inside final 110yds(op 11/4 tchd 5/2)

Premium runner profile Mountbatten 7:00 | Southwell (AW) | 12f

Quality BTier 2 shortlistDominant edge+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 74.0

PRICE DEPENDENT

Runs Today 7:00 | Southwell (AW) | 12f

Lionel Henry James Memorial Handicap

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement4/6

FFR86

Speed94

ConditionsPositive fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+26lb ahead of mark

FFR 86 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

94 Par 100

FSP%finished strongly

106.6% 100% par

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)

Model Score53.0raw

Agreement4/6

FFR86+26lb vs OR

SpeedScore94Solid figure

Trip / GroundDEI EVERY_LOW

HandicapWell handicapped+34lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; Possible upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +1.2

Variance Reliable 6.6% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Possible upgrade Upgrade 5

Ceiling Below requirement -2.7 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

8 Jebel Ali Competitive 15-02-2026

13 Meydan Troubled run 23-01-2026

7 Lingfield (AW) Competitive 22-12-2025

10 Meydan Run faded 19-12-2025

7 Southwell (AW) Run faded 12-12-2025

8 Abu Dhabi Run faded 06-12-2025

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 5 subsequent winner(s), 4 subsequent placer(s)

23

15-02-2026 | Jebel Ali Finished 8

Beat: Local Dynasty (IRE), Qareeb (USA)

23-01-2026 | Meydan Finished 13

Beat: Apollo One (GB), Witness Stand (GB) | Elnajmm (GB) won next/later, Khanjar (IRE) won next/later | Andreas Vesalius (IRE) placed next/later, Apollo One (GB) placed next/later

22-12-2025 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 7

Beat: Lux Aeterna (GB), Jerseygeordie (GB), Buckland Belle (GB) | Buckland Belle (GB) won next/later, Felix Gem (GB) won next/later | Del Corso (GB) placed next/later, Guildmaster (IRE) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 65% Positive conditions match

Trip / ground 38%

Class 95%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 90%

Best fit Class Question Trip / ground

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating78

Best ground bandTesting

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 2 1W / 1P Peak rating 100

Good 12 3W / 3P Peak rating 96

Fast 2 0W / 1P Peak rating 94

All-weather 4 0W / 0P Peak rating 78

Placement evidence 71% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 38%

Class fit 100%

Mark room 100%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 50%

Class benchmark supports the placementFFR vs OR gives +34lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedTrip evidence still asks questions

Mark read FFR vs OR: +34lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well handicapped +34lb FFR vs OR

Our pounds-style FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 60 | FFR 86 | Best FFR 94 | FFR edge +34

Hidden Run DetectorWorth a second look

Run 2: traffic trouble may have hidden the finishing position.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Sir Mark Prescott Bt

Jockey Stevie Donohoe

Age 2

Draw 2

OR 60

Avg OR 55.7

OR vs Field +4.3

Rating 78

TS 67

Form 877-

Run Style Midfield

Pace & Finish Fit Late-speed profile

Evidence 3 runs | MEDIUM confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotLate-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Late-speed profile Strong

FSP% last 3 106.6% Strong finish

Today pace fit Small positive Small positive

Final 2f Very fast finish Strong finish 23.49s recorded | FSP 106.6%

Evidence 3/3+ FSP evidence Last-three sectional pattern available.

Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m

No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.

Profile distance1m

Runs at profile1

DEIE

ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
22-12-2025	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	7	1:40.19	100.2

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.5 micro score

Trainer RTF 67% Yard in a positive recent rhythm

Freshness 178 days Freshness caution

Micro score +0.5 trainer RTF positive at 67%; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNone | No headgear declared WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP22/1 OwnerHalo Racing Services

Sire Japan Dam Monami Damsire Sholokhov

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

HC1Recorded profile signal

Race comment

Always behind

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.7L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
15-02-2026	Jebel Ali	8	1.2	Neutral finish
23-01-2026	Meydan	13	3	Neutral finish
22-12-2025	Lingfield (AW)	7	0.8	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 4 runs with an official OR. 2 earlier runs were unrated.

06-12-2025 | Abu Dhabi

Rating 96 OR 97

12-12-2025 | Southwell (AW)

Rating 13 OR Unrated

19-12-2025 | Meydan

Rating 100 OR 97

22-12-2025 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 57 OR Unrated

23-01-2026 | Meydan

Rating 73 OR 97

15-02-2026 | Jebel Ali

Rating 78 OR 97

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Mountbatten

PRICE DEPENDENT

DEIE

Benchmark9

PaceMidfield

ConsensusSTRONG

Mountbatten profiles as a midfield with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 4/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 38.81s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip1 Trip experience building ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Last 3 trip times: 1:40.19

Last 3 trip positions: 7

Approx winning time2m 38.81s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win found in stored history

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
15-02-2026	Jebel Ali \| 1m \| Standard \| Class 1	8	22/1	97	78	--	1.2	1:39.00	GOLD - faster than par
23-01-2026	Meydan \| 7f \| Good \| Class 1	13	60/1	97	73	67	3	1:24.86	GOLD - faster than par
22-12-2025	Lingfield (AW) \| 1m \| Standard \| Class 5	7	400/1	--	57	29	0.8	1:40.19	GOLD - faster than par
19-12-2025	Meydan \| 7f \| Yielding \| Class 1	10	70/1	97	100	98	0.2	1:23.76	GOLD - faster than par
12-12-2025	Southwell (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 5	7	66/1	--	13	--	1.2	1:33.25	GOLD - faster than par
06-12-2025	Abu Dhabi \| 7f \| Good \| Class 1	8	25/1	97	96	--	1.2	1:22.64	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Well handicapped

+34lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 9

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 65.5 and winning TS par is around 37.3. Runner versus par: rating edge +12.5 | TS edge +29.7. Benchmark fit: 9.

Model agreement 4/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

SOUTHWELL 1m4f (AW): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 538 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Always behind

Premium runner profile Town Queen 8:30 | Southwell (AW) | 6f

Quality BTier 2 shortlistDominant edge+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 74.0

PRICE DEPENDENT

Runs Today 8:30 | Southwell (AW) | 6f

Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement4/6

FFR79

Speed100

ConditionsPositive fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+4lb near mark

FFR 79 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

1 Par 100

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance evidence is thin

Model Score47.2raw

Agreement4/6

FFR79+4lb vs OR

SpeedScore100Solid figure

Trip / GroundDEI DVERY_LOW

HandicapWell handicapped+12lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge -0.8

Variance Developing Consistency developing

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Below requirement -0.2 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

2 Chester Solid effort 30-05-2026

2 Thirsk Solid effort 02-05-2026

2 Pontefract Solid effort 21-04-2026

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 3 subsequent winner(s), 2 subsequent placer(s)

8

30-05-2026 | Chester Finished 2

Beat: Imelda (IRE), Night Shining (IRE), Navona Grey (GB) | Lucky Luna (IRE) won next/later, Machadadorp (GB) won next/later

02-05-2026 | Thirsk Finished 2

Beat: Distant Shore (GB), Porth Eilian (GB), Perfect Ruler (GB) | Porth Eilian (GB) won next/later | Distant Shore (GB) placed next/later

21-04-2026 | Pontefract Finished 2

Beat: Reader (GB), Elemma (IRE) | Lady Youmzain (IRE) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 69% Positive conditions match

Trip / ground 52%

Class 65%

Pace shape 90%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 90%

Best fit Pace shape Question Track / draw

Ground evidence All-weather No recent all-weather sample; best evidence is on fast ground

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs0/3

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandFast

Read No recent all-weather sample; best evidence is on fast ground Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 2 0W / 2P Peak rating --

Fast 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 76

All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Placement evidence 67% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 52%

Class fit 50%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 68%

Recent evidence 76%

FFR vs OR gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read FFR vs OR: +12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well handicapped +12lb FFR vs OR

Our pounds-style FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 75 | FFR 79 | Best FFR 87 | FFR edge +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer K R Burke

Jockey Clifford Lee

Age 3

Draw 4

OR 75

Avg OR 81

OR vs Field -6

Rating 76

TS 65

Form 222

Run Style Front-runner

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile1

DEID

ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
21-04-2026	Pontefract	Good	2	1:17.73	77.7

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 48% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 19 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 0/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNone | No headgear declared WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SPEvensF OwnerJaber Abdullah

Sire Blue Point Dam Madly Truly Damsire Malibu Moon

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Beaten favouriteMarket expected more last time

Race comment

Led - headed inside final furlong - kept on(op 6/4 tchd 11/8)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
30-05-2026	Chester	2	1.8	Neutral finish
02-05-2026	Thirsk	2	0.3	Fast finish
21-04-2026	Pontefract	2	1	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 1 earlier run was unrated.

02-05-2026 | Thirsk

Rating 76 OR Unrated

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Town Queen

PRICE DEPENDENT

DEID

Benchmark3

PaceFront-runner

ConsensusSTRONG

Town Queen profiles as a front-runner with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 4/6. Possible lone-leader setup

Winning Time Par 1m 14.39s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip1 Trip experience building ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Last 3 trip times: 1:17.73

Last 3 trip positions: 2

Approx winning time1m 14.39s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win found in stored history

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
30-05-2026	Chester \| 7f \| Good \| Class 4	2	EvensF	--	--	--	1.8	--	GREY - no timing read
02-05-2026	Thirsk \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	2	7/4F	--	76	65	0.3	1:26.45	GREY - below benchmark
21-04-2026	Pontefract \| 6f \| Good \| Class 4	2	7/2	--	--	45	1	1:17.73	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Well handicapped

+12lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 84.8 and winning TS par is around 54.3. Runner versus par: rating edge -8.8 | TS edge +10.7. Benchmark fit: 3.

Model agreement 4/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

SOUTHWELL 6f (AW): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 1564 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Led - headed inside final furlong - kept on(op 6/4 tchd 11/8)

Premium runner profile Celestra 3:50 | Yarmouth | 8f

Quality BTier 2 shortlistDominant edge+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 74.0

PRICE DEPENDENT

Runs Today 3:50 | Yarmouth | 8f

quinnbet.com Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement4/6

FFR82

Speed92

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR+2lb near mark

FFR 82 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

92 Par 100

FSP%even finish

100.8% 100% par

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used

Model Score43.8raw

Agreement4/6

FFR82+2lb vs OR

SpeedScore92Solid figure

Trip / GroundDEI DVERY_LOW

HandicapWorkable mark+9lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; Hidden upgrade; Par capable; Cooling

confidence nudge +2.8

Variance Very steady 3.8% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Hidden upgrade Upgrade 9.8

Ceiling Par capable 2.8 vs par

Curve Cooling Trend -1

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

3 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 11-05-2026

2 Beverley Solid effort 15-04-2026

2 Newmarket (July) Solid effort 18-07-2025

2 Haydock Finished well 04-07-2025

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 4 subsequent winner(s), 3 subsequent placer(s)

12

11-05-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 3

Beat: Hot Silk (GB), Six Blue (GB), Musical Accord (GB) | Wild Violet (FR) won next/later

15-04-2026 | Beverley Finished 2

Beat: Lovers Leap (IRE), Sierra Sue (IRE), Yorkies Dream (GB) | Lillie Margot (GB) won next/later, Lovers Leap (IRE) won next/later | Wadacre Geisha (GB) placed next/later

18-07-2025 | Newmarket (July) Finished 2

Beat: Quadrillion (GB), Stay Sharp (GB), Sporty Socks (GB) | Stay Sharp (GB) won next/later | Quadrillion (GB) placed next/later, Sporty Socks (GB) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 64% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 52%

Class 50%

Pace shape 90%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 76%

Best fit Pace shape Question Class

Ground evidence Fast Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs1/4

Best similar rating79

Best ground bandTesting

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 82

Good 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 75

Fast 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 79

All-weather 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 74

Placement evidence 59% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 52%

Class fit 35%

Mark room 79%

Stable setup 68%

Recent evidence 58%

FFR vs OR gives +9lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concern

Mark read FFR vs OR: +9lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Workable mark +9lb FFR vs OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 80 | FFR 82 | Best FFR 89 | FFR edge +9

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer John & Thady Gosden

Jockey Benoit De La Sayette

Age 3

Draw 9

OR 80

Avg OR 80

OR vs Field 0

Rating 82

TS 56

Form 22-23

Run Style Front-runner

Pace & Finish Fit Late-speed profile

Evidence 2 runs | LOW confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotLate-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Late-speed profile Strong

FSP% Sectionals developing Needs 3 recorded FSP runs

Today pace fit Small positive Small positive

Final 2f Not recorded Timing evidence developing No final-2f timing

Evidence 2/3 FSP runs recorded FSP read hidden until three recorded runs are available.

Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m½f

No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.

Profile distance1m½f

Runs at profile1

DEID

ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
15-04-2026	Beverley	Good To Soft	2	1:47.14	107.1

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 64% Yard in a positive recent rhythm

Freshness 38 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 trainer RTF positive at 64%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 0/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

Headgearp | First-time aid today WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP30/100F OwnerPrince A A Faisal

Sire Kingman Dam Savaanah Damsire Olden Times

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Beaten favouriteMarket expected more last time

Race comment

Led - faced challenge over 2f out - headed inside final furlong - soon ridden and rallied - kept on and just held(op 8/15 tchd 4/9)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.6L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
11-05-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	3	1.5	Run faded
15-04-2026	Beverley	2	0.2	Fast finish
18-07-2025	Newmarket (July)	2	0.2	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 1 runs with an official OR. 3 earlier runs were unrated.

04-07-2025 | Haydock

Rating 75 OR Unrated

18-07-2025 | Newmarket (July)

Rating 79 OR Unrated

15-04-2026 | Beverley

Rating 82 OR Unrated

11-05-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 74 OR 81

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Celestra

PRICE DEPENDENT

DEID

Benchmark0

PaceFront-runner

ConsensusSTRONG

Celestra profiles as a front-runner with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 4/6. Possible lone-leader setup

Winning Time Par 2m 01.52s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip1 Trip experience building ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Last 3 trip times: 1:47.14

Last 3 trip positions: 2

Approx winning time2m 01.52s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win found in stored history

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
11-05-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 1m1½f \| Standard \| Class 3	3	30/100F	81	74	11	1.5	2:02.35	GREEN - within 1% of par
15-04-2026	Beverley \| 1m½f \| Good To Soft \| Class 4	2	1/2F	--	82	56	0.2	1:47.13	GOLD - faster than par
18-07-2025	Newmarket (July) \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	2	15/8	--	79	45	0.2	1:26.48	GOLD - faster than par
04-07-2025	Haydock \| 7f \| Good \| Class 3	2	9/2	--	75	14	1.5	1:30.72	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Workable mark

+9lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 89.1 and winning TS par is around 54.8. Runner versus par: rating edge -7.1 | TS edge +1.2. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 4/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

YARMOUTH 1m (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 271 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Led - faced challenge over 2f out - headed inside final furlong - soon ridden and rallied - kept on and just held(op 8/15 tchd 4/9)

Premium runner profile Sir Benji 6:20 | Leopardstown | 8f

Quality BTier 2 shortlistStrong edge+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 61.2

PRICE DEPENDENT

Runs Today 6:20 | Leopardstown | 8f

BOYLE Sports Home Of The Early Payout Rated Race

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement4/6

FFR80

Speed99

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-6lb below mark

FFR 80 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

99 Par 100

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used

Model Score51.6raw

Agreement4/6

FFR80-6lb vs OR

SpeedScore99Solid figure

Trip / GroundDEI DVERY_LOW

HandicapNear ceiling+4lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +0.2

Variance Developing Consistency developing

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 5.1 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

3 Roscommon Run faded 11-05-2026

1 Navan Finished well 30-03-2026

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 3 subsequent winner(s), 2 subsequent placer(s)

8

11-05-2026 | Roscommon Finished 3

Beat: Rebel Ascendant (GB), Elzaam Express (IRE)

30-03-2026 | Navan Finished 1

Beat: Forty Six A (IRE), Karrygrant (IRE), Trojan Fighter (GB) | Lord Aus (IRE) won next/later, Sweet Baby Zou (GB) won next/later | Karrygrant (IRE) placed next/later, Maxminelli (IRE) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 56% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 52%

Class 53%

Pace shape 65%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 58%

Best fit Pace shape Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs1/2

Best similar rating84

Best ground bandTesting

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 1 1W / 1P Peak rating 89

Good 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 84

Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Placement evidence 56% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 52%

Class fit 47%

Mark room 64%

Stable setup 76%

Recent evidence 42%

Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Mark read FFR vs OR: +4lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Near ceiling +4lb FFR vs OR

The horse may need to reproduce a strong effort to stay ahead of today's mark.

Today's OR 86 | FFR 80 | Best FFR 90 | FFR edge +4

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Gavin Cromwell

Jockey Robert Whearty

Age 3

Draw 6

OR 86

Avg OR 81.4

OR vs Field +4.6

Rating 89

TS 87

Form 13

Run Style Closer

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m2f

No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.

Profile distance1m2f

Runs at profile1

DEID

ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
30-03-2026	Navan (IRE)	Heavy	1	2:20.80	140.8

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 42% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 38 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window

Ground timing match 0/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNone | No headgear declared WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP5/1 OwnerBrendan Rogers

Sire Sottsass Dam Boundless Joy Damsire Montjeu

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

Took keen hold - held up in rear - ran green when headway towards near side 3f out - ridden to lead inside final furlong - kept on well(op 20/1)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.8L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
11-05-2026	Roscommon	3	3.5	Fast finish
30-03-2026	Navan	1	0	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 2 earlier runs were unrated.

30-03-2026 | Navan

Rating 89 OR Unrated

11-05-2026 | Roscommon

Rating 84 OR Unrated

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Sir Benji

PRICE DEPENDENT

DEID

Benchmark0.63

PaceCloser

ConsensusSTRONG

Sir Benji profiles as a closer with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 4/6. Possible lone-leader setup

Winning Time Par 1m 40.98s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip1 Trip experience building ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Last 3 trip times: 2:20.80

Last 3 trip positions: 1

Approx winning time1m 40.98s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win found in stored history

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
11-05-2026	Roscommon \| 1m2½f \| Good \| --	3	5/1	--	84	25	3.5	2:17.94	GREY - below benchmark
30-03-2026	Navan \| 1m2f \| Heavy \| --	1	14/1	--	89	87	0	2:20.80	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Near ceiling

+4lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 92.3 and winning TS par is around 83.3. Runner versus par: rating edge -3.3 | TS edge +3.7. Benchmark fit: 0.6.

Model agreement 4/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

LEOPARDSTOWN 1m (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 313 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Took keen hold - held up in rear - ran green when headway towards near side 3f out - ridden to lead inside final furlong - kept on well(op 20/1)

Premium runner profile Organise 4:50 | Ascot | 8f

Quality BTier 2 shortlistDominant edge+6 more signals

Decision Confidence 74.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Runs Today 4:50 | Ascot | 8f

Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings)

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement4/6

FFR94

Speed100

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR-7lb below mark

FFR 94 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

1 Par 100

FSP%finished strongly

107.2% 100% par

Best reasonInteresting profile, but FFR sits below today's mark Main riskDistance evidence is thin

Model Score65.2raw

Agreement4/6

FFR94-7lb vs OR

SpeedScore100Solid figure

Trip / GroundDEI CLOW

HandicapMark looks stiff-7lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; Hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Edging forward

confidence nudge +3.8

Variance Very steady 0.9% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Hidden upgrade Upgrade 9.2

Ceiling Below requirement -0.3 vs par

Curve Edging forward Trend 1

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

2 Sandown Strong run 24-04-2026

1 Yarmouth Strong run 11-04-2026

1 Southwell (AW) Strong run 26-11-2025

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 6 subsequent winner(s), 3 subsequent placer(s)

17

24-04-2026 | Sandown Finished 2

Beat: Nobody Knows (IRE), Capall Rasa (IRE), Suspended Sentence (FR)

11-04-2026 | Yarmouth Finished 1

Beat: Weheedd (IRE), Outback Heat (GB), Ya Karim (IRE) | Hengest (GB) won next/later, Outback Heat (GB) won next/later | Ya Karim (IRE) placed next/later

26-11-2025 | Southwell (AW) Finished 1

Beat: The Stone Power (GB), Breathe Easy (IRE), Big Money (GB) | Barbury Boy (GB) won next/later, Breathe Easy (IRE) won next/later | John Harrison (GB) placed next/later, Rogue Invincible (IRE) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 53% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 88%

Pace shape 40%

Track / draw 34%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Class Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Fast No recent fast sample; best evidence is on good ground

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs0/3

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandGood

Read No recent fast sample; best evidence is on good ground Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 2 1W / 2P Peak rating 104

Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 1 1W / 1P Peak rating 95

Placement evidence 66% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 63%

Class fit 100%

Mark room 31%

Stable setup 60%

Recent evidence 76%

Class benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read FFR vs OR: -7lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff -7lb FFR vs OR

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 101 | FFR 94 | Best FFR 94 | FFR edge -7

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer John & Thady Gosden

Jockey James Doyle

Age 3

Draw 9

OR 101

Avg OR 93.9

OR vs Field +7.1

Rating 104

TS 88

Form 1-12

Run Style Front-runner

Pace & Finish Fit Late-speed profile

Evidence 1 runs | LOW confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotLate-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Late-speed profile Strong

FSP% Sectionals developing Needs 3 recorded FSP runs

Today pace fit Small positive Small positive

Final 2f Not recorded Timing evidence developing No final-2f timing

Evidence 1/3 FSP runs recorded FSP read hidden until three recorded runs are available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance1m

Runs at profile2

DEIC

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
11-04-2026	Yarmouth	Good	1	1:38.45	98.5
24-04-2026	Sandown	Good	2	1:43.66	103.7

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+1.0 micro score

Trainer RTF 68% Yard in a positive recent rhythm

Freshness 55 days Standard layoff

Micro score +1.0 trainer RTF positive at 68%; recent distance evidence matches today's ground; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

Headgearp | First-time aid today WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP10/11F OwnerWathnan Racing

Sire Night Of Thunder Dam Maid To Dream Damsire Oasis Dream

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this tripBeaten favouriteMarket expected more last time

Race comment

Took keen hold - briefly led - soon steadied and in touch with leaders - ridden and led again over 1f out - headed inside final 110yds - kept on(tchd 5/6)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.2L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
24-04-2026	Sandown	2	0.5	Fast finish
11-04-2026	Yarmouth	1	0	Fast finish
26-11-2025	Southwell (AW)	1	0	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 1 runs with an official OR. 2 earlier runs were unrated.

26-11-2025 | Southwell (AW)

Rating 95 OR Unrated

11-04-2026 | Yarmouth

Rating 91 OR Unrated

24-04-2026 | Sandown

Rating 104 OR 97

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Organise

CAUTION PROFILE

DEIC

Benchmark7.65

PaceFront-runner

ConsensusSTRONG

Organise profiles as a front-runner with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 4/6. Draw data is a slight caution. Strong/sustained finisher in a pace-pressure race

Winning Time Par 1m 39.77s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip2 Trip experience building ReliabilityLOW

Last 3 trip times: 1:38.45 | 1:43.66

Last 3 trip positions: 1 | 2

Approx winning time1m 39.77s

Last win at trip1:38.45 | Yarmouth | 11-04-2026

Last distance win context: vs par -1.32s | OR Unrated | weight --

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
24-04-2026	Sandown \| 1m \| Good \| Class 2	2	10/11F	97	104	88	0.5	1:43.66	GREY - below benchmark
11-04-2026	Yarmouth \| 1m \| Good \| Class 4	1	8/15F	--	91	58	0	1:38.45	GOLD - faster than par
26-11-2025	Southwell (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 4	1	11/10F	--	95	65	0	1:27.86	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Mark looks stiff

-7lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 8

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 104.7 and winning TS par is around 78.4. Runner versus par: rating edge +11.3 | TS edge +9.6. Benchmark fit: 7.7.

Model agreement 4/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

ASCOT 1m (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 123 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Took keen hold - briefly led - soon steadied and in touch with leaders - ridden and led again over 1f out - headed inside final 110yds - kept on(tchd 5/6)

Premium runner profile God Of Power 6:20 | Leopardstown | 8f

Quality BTier 2 shortlistDominant edge+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 74.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Runs Today 6:20 | Leopardstown | 8f

BOYLE Sports Home Of The Early Payout Rated Race

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement4/6

FFR77

Speed101

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-11lb below mark

FFR 77 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

101 Par 100

FSP%faded late

96.6% 100% par

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskDistance evidence is thin

Model Score59.6raw

Agreement4/6

FFR77-11lb vs OR

SpeedScore101Fast figure

Trip / GroundDEI DLOW

HandicapMark looks stiff-1lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; Possible upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +3.0

Variance Very steady 4% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Possible upgrade Upgrade 5.2

Ceiling Par capable 4.4 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

2 Listowel (IRE) Solid effort 31-05-2026

1 Limerick Strong run 25-04-2026

9 Dundalk (AW) Run faded 05-12-2025

4 Dundalk (AW) Competitive 21-11-2025

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 2 subsequent winner(s), 5 subsequent placer(s)

13

31-05-2026 | Listowel (IRE) Finished 2

Beat: Thread Of Gold (IRE), Satoyama (GER), Sursum Corda (IRE) | Tim Toe (IRE) placed next/later

25-04-2026 | Limerick Finished 1

Beat: Dark Leader (IRE), Zenford (IRE), Big Cypress (GB) | Oro Blanco (IRE) won next/later | Absoluteassignment (IRE) placed next/later, Big Cypress (GB) placed next/later

05-12-2025 | Dundalk (AW) Finished 9

Beat: Tariff (IRE), Sea Of Dubka (IRE), Swift Charm (IRE) | Fallacy (USA) won next/later | Abbotsford (GB) placed next/later, Lonely Island (FR) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 56% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 52%

Class 51%

Pace shape 90%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Pace shape Question Handicap

Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs1/4

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandTesting

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 1 1W / 1P Peak rating 91

Good 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --

Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 78

Placement evidence 57% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 44%

Class fit 49%

Mark room 49%

Stable setup 68%

Recent evidence 76%

Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read FFR vs OR: -1lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff -1lb FFR vs OR

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 88 | FFR 77 | Best FFR 87 | FFR edge -1

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Andrew Slattery

Jockey Andrew Slattery

Age 3

Draw 2

OR 88

Avg OR 81.4

OR vs Field +6.6

Rating 91

TS 84

Form 49-12

Run Style Front-runner

Pace & Finish Fit Balanced

Evidence 2 runs | LOW confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotBalanced finishing profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Balanced Steady

FSP% Sectionals developing Needs 3 recorded FSP runs

Today pace fit Neutral Neutral

Final 2f Not recorded Timing evidence developing No final-2f timing

Evidence 2/3 FSP runs recorded FSP read hidden until three recorded runs are available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance1m

Runs at profile3

DEID

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
21-11-2025	Dundalk (AW) (IRE)	Standard	4	1:38.77	98.8
05-12-2025	Dundalk (AW) (IRE)	Standard	9	1:41.32	101.3
31-05-2026	Listowel (IRE)	Good	2	1:43.02	103

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 46% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 18 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNone | No headgear declared WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP7/2 OwnerDamien Moore

Sire Lope De Vega Dam Sharqawiyah Damsire Dubawi

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

Prominent - went second halfway - led 2f out - soon clear with one other - ridden and kept on final 110yds(op 11/10)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.5L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
31-05-2026	Listowel (IRE)	2	0.5	Neutral finish
25-04-2026	Limerick	1	0	Fast finish
05-12-2025	Dundalk (AW)	9	1	Run faded

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 3 earlier runs were unrated.

21-11-2025 | Dundalk (AW)

Rating 78 OR Unrated

05-12-2025 | Dundalk (AW)

Rating 44 OR Unrated

25-04-2026 | Limerick

Rating 91 OR Unrated

31-05-2026 | Listowel (IRE)

Rating -- OR 80

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence God Of Power

CAUTION PROFILE

DEID

Benchmark0.32

PaceFront-runner

ConsensusSTRONG

God Of Power profiles as a front-runner with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 4/6. Possible lone-leader setup

Winning Time Par 1m 40.98s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip3 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityLOW

Last 3 trip times: 1:38.77 | 1:41.32 | 1:43.02

Last 3 trip positions: 4 | 9 | 2

Approx winning time1m 40.98s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win found in stored history

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
31-05-2026	Listowel (IRE) \| 8f \| Good \| --	2	7/2	80	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
25-04-2026	Limerick \| 7f \| Yielding \| --	1	9/4	--	91	84	0	1:36.44	GOLD - faster than par
05-12-2025	Dundalk (AW) \| 1m \| Standard \| --	9	6/4F	--	44	36	1	1:41.32	GREEN - within 1% of par
21-11-2025	Dundalk (AW) \| 1m \| Standard \| --	4	9/2	--	78	66	0.5	1:38.77	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Mark looks stiff

-1lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 92.3 and winning TS par is around 83.3. Runner versus par: rating edge -1.3 | TS edge +0.7. Benchmark fit: 0.3.

Model agreement 4/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

LEOPARDSTOWN 1m (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 313 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Prominent - went second halfway - led 2f out - soon clear with one other - ridden and kept on final 110yds(op 11/10)

Premium runner profile Brunel Nation 8:00 | Southwell (AW) | 7f

Quality BTier 2 shortlistStrong edge+3 more signals

Decision Confidence 74.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Runs Today 8:00 | Southwell (AW) | 7f

Monday 31st August Family Fun Day Confined Handicap (No Win Since The 2025 Flat Turf Season)

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement4/6

FFR67

Speed93

ConditionsPositive fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR-6lb below mark

FFR 67 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

93 Par 100

FSP%finished strongly

107.5% 100% par

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Model Score39.0raw

Agreement4/6

FFR67-6lb vs OR

SpeedScore93Solid figure

Trip / GroundDEI ----

HandicapWell handicapped+15lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; Possible upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +3.0

Variance Very steady 4.9% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Possible upgrade Upgrade 4.9

Ceiling Par capable 2 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

7 Leicester Run faded 13-04-2026

7 Lingfield (AW) Below best 27-03-2026

5 Kempton (AW) Run faded 25-02-2026

2 Lingfield (AW) Strong run 21-01-2026

12 Chelmsford (AW) Competitive 18-12-2025

9 Wolverhampton (AW) Troubled run 24-11-2025

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 3 subsequent winner(s), 2 subsequent placer(s)

8

13-04-2026 | Leicester Finished 7

Mission Command (IRE) won next/later, This Farh (GB) won next/later | Albeseeingyer (GB) placed next/later

27-03-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 7

Beat: No Return (IRE), Spirit Lead Me (IRE)

25-02-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 5

Nikovo (GB) won next/later | Popmaster (IRE) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 65% Positive conditions match

Trip / ground 50%

Class 75%

Pace shape 60%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 90%

Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs5/6

Best similar rating81

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 5 0W / 1P Peak rating 86

Good 4 0W / 1P Peak rating 88

Fast 1 1W / 1P Peak rating 87

All-weather 10 0W / 1P Peak rating 85

Placement evidence 66% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 50%

Class fit 84%

Mark room 97%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 34%

Class benchmark supports the placementFFR vs OR gives +15lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Mark read FFR vs OR: +15lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well handicapped +15lb FFR vs OR

Our pounds-style FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 73 | FFR 67 | Best FFR 88 | FFR edge +15

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Richard Hughes

Jockey NON-RUNNER

Age 5

Draw 7

OR 73

Avg OR 69.4

OR vs Field +3.6

Rating 56

TS 70

Form 0-2577

Run Style Midfield

Pace & Finish Fit Sustained speed

Evidence 5 runs | HIGH confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotSustained-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Sustained speed Strong

FSP% last 3 107.5% Strong finish

Today pace fit Positive today Positive today

Final 2f Very fast finish Strong finish 22.37s recorded | FSP 107.5%

Evidence 3/3+ FSP evidence Last-three sectional pattern available.

Distance Timing Evidence Timing profile developing

No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.

Profile distance--

Runs at profile--

DEI--

ReliabilityDeveloping

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
No recent timed distance efforts are available for this runner.

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.0 micro score

Trainer RTF 43% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 66 days Standard layoff

Micro score +0.0 headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match -- Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

Headgearp | Declared equipment WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP16/1 OwnerR Lane, L Watson & J Langridge

Sire Sioux Nation Dam Dalakania Damsire Dalakhani

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

In touch with leaders - dropped to rear 2f out - soon weakened(op 9/1)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 5.4L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
13-04-2026	Leicester	7	4.2	Run faded
27-03-2026	Lingfield (AW)	7	4.5	Neutral finish
25-02-2026	Kempton (AW)	5	7.5	Run faded

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 6 runs with an official OR.

24-11-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 62 OR 79

18-12-2025 | Chelmsford (AW)

Rating 65 OR 78

21-01-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 81 OR 75

25-02-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating 56 OR 76

27-03-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 63 OR 76

13-04-2026 | Leicester

Rating 56 OR 75

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Brunel Nation

CAUTION PROFILE

DEI

Benchmark5

PaceMidfield

ConsensusSTRONG

Brunel Nation profiles as a midfield with a stable trajectory. Model alignment is 4/6. Balanced setup suits adaptable/prominent profile

Winning Time Par 1m 28.25s

Today's conditions record

Exact distance/going history is not available yet. This section is ready for the next database layer.

Approx winning time1m 28.25s

Last win at trip1:25.95 | Newmarket | 21-09-2024

Last distance win context: vs par -2.3s | OR 80 | weight --

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
13-04-2026	Leicester \| 7f \| Good \| Class 5	7	16/1	75	56	26	4.2	1:26.40	GOLD - faster than par
27-03-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 4	7	13/2	76	63	33	4.5	1:25.21	GOLD - faster than par
25-02-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 3	5	14/1	76	56	19	7.5	1:27.47	GOLD - faster than par
21-01-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 4	2	11/1	75	81	70	0.3	1:24.16	GOLD - faster than par
18-12-2025	Chelmsford (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 4	12	16/1	78	65	45	0.5	1:27.78	GOLD - faster than par
24-11-2025	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 4	9	25/1	79	62	52	4	1:27.97	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Well handicapped

+15lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 5

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 78.8 and winning TS par is around 46.6. Runner versus par: rating edge +2.2 | TS edge +23.4. Benchmark fit: 5.

Model agreement 4/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

SOUTHWELL 7f (AW): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 1685 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

In touch with leaders - dropped to rear 2f out - soon weakened(op 9/1)

Premium runner profile Knights Gold 4:25 | Yarmouth | 8f

Quality BTier 2 shortlistClear but not dominant+6 more signals

Decision Confidence 74.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Runs Today 4:25 | Yarmouth | 8f

Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement4/6

FFR71

Speed103

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR-9lb below mark

FFR 71 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

103 Par 100

FSP%finished strongly

104% 100% par

Best reasonInteresting profile, but FFR sits below today's mark Main riskDraw data is a negative nudge

Model Score38.3raw

Agreement4/6

FFR71-9lb vs OR

SpeedScore103Fast figure

Trip / GroundDEI AMEDIUM

HandicapWorkable mark+10lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; Hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +4.0

Variance Reliable 8.9% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Hidden upgrade Upgrade 6.6

Ceiling Big ceiling edge 24 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

3 Newbury Solid effort 01-06-2026

9 Newmarket Finished well 16-05-2026

5 Epsom Competitive 28-04-2026

10 Doncaster Competitive 29-03-2026

9 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 07-03-2026

7 Goodwood Finished well 12-10-2025

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 2 subsequent winner(s), 3 subsequent placer(s)

7

01-06-2026 | Newbury Finished 3

Beat: Classic Encounter (IRE), Herculeus (GB), Electrifarhh (GB)

16-05-2026 | Newmarket Finished 9

Beat: Wheres Freddy (IRE), Phone Tag (GB), Indian Spirit (IRE) | Twisting Physics (GB) placed next/later

28-04-2026 | Epsom Finished 5

Beat: Kaleido (GB), Tribal Rhythm (GB), Tronido (GB) | Sweet Reward (IRE) won next/later, Tronido (GB) won next/later | Amused (IRE) placed next/later, Organ (GB) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 64% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 62%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 42%

Handicap 76%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Fast Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandGood

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 4 1W / 2P Peak rating 90

Good 6 0W / 1P Peak rating 87

Fast 5 2W / 4P Peak rating 88

All-weather 6 1W / 2P Peak rating 80

Placement evidence 66% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 51%

Mark room 82%

Stable setup 62%

Recent evidence 34%

Proven trip profile (A)9 similar-trip runs recordedFFR vs OR gives +10lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Mark read FFR vs OR: +10lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Workable mark +10lb FFR vs OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 80 | FFR 71 | Best FFR 90 | FFR edge +10

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole

Jockey Jack Doughty

Age 4

Draw 1

OR 80

Avg OR 76.8

OR vs Field +3.2

Rating 82

TS 72

Form -90593

Run Style Midfield

Pace & Finish Fit Late-speed profile

Evidence 9 runs | HIGH confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotLate-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Late-speed profile Strong

FSP% last 3 104.0% Finished well

Today pace fit Small positive Small positive

Final 2f Fast finish Finished well 24.37s recorded | FSP 104.0%

Evidence 3/3+ FSP evidence Last-three sectional pattern available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance1m

Runs at profile9

DEIA

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
12-10-2025	Goodwood	Good	7	1:39.28	99.3
16-05-2026	Newmarket	Good	9	1:37.66	97.7
01-06-2026	Newbury	Good To Firm	3	1:37.10	97.1

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 54% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 17 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

Headgearp | Declared equipment WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP9/1 OwnerA J Spratt

Sire Dark Angel Dam Samira Gold Damsire Gold Away

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

In rear - switched right and some headway over 1f out - never on terms(op 17/2)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.7L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
01-06-2026	Newbury	3	1.8	Neutral finish
16-05-2026	Newmarket	9	1.5	Fast finish
28-04-2026	Epsom	5	1.8	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 5 runs with an official OR.

12-10-2025 | Goodwood

Rating 87 OR 86

07-03-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 80 OR 86

29-03-2026 | Doncaster

Rating 73 OR 85

28-04-2026 | Epsom

Rating 82 OR 84

16-05-2026 | Newmarket

Rating 74 OR 83

01-06-2026 | Newbury

Rating -- OR 81

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Knights Gold

CAUTION PROFILE

DEIA

Benchmark2.55

PaceMidfield

ConsensusSTRONG

Knights Gold profiles as a midfield with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 4/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 01.52s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip9 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityMEDIUM

Last 3 trip times: 1:39.28 | 1:37.66 | 1:37.10

Last 3 trip positions: 7 | 9 | 3

Approx winning time2m 01.52s

Last win at trip1:41.40 | Ascot | 11-07-2025

Last distance win context: vs par -20.12s | OR 80 | weight --

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
01-06-2026	Newbury \| 8f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	3	9/1	81	--	--	1.8	--	GREY - no timing read
16-05-2026	Newmarket \| 1m \| Good \| Class 4	9	20/1	83	74	66	1.5	1:37.66	GOLD - faster than par
28-04-2026	Epsom \| 1m½f \| Good \| Class 4	5	9/1	84	82	72	1.8	1:46.72	GOLD - faster than par
29-03-2026	Doncaster \| 1m2f \| Good To Soft \| Class 3	10	11/1	85	73	50	1.8	2:16.09	GREY - below benchmark
07-03-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 1m½f \| Standard \| Class 2	9	50/1	86	80	59	2.5	1:47.50	GOLD - faster than par
12-10-2025	Goodwood \| 1m \| Good \| Class 2	7	18/1	86	87	56	0.5	1:39.39	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Workable mark

+10lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 89.1 and winning TS par is around 54.8. Runner versus par: rating edge -7.1 | TS edge +17.2. Benchmark fit: 2.5.

Model agreement 4/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

YARMOUTH 1m (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 271 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

In rear - switched right and some headway over 1f out - never on terms(op 17/2)

Premium runner profile Michaela's Boy 2:40 | Yarmouth | 5f

Quality BTier 2 shortlistMarginal edge+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 67.3

CAUTION PROFILE

Runs Today 2:40 | Yarmouth | 5f

QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement5/6

FFR71

Speed87

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR-12lb below mark

FFR 71 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

87 Par 100

FSP%finished strongly

105.1% 100% par

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Model Score37.7raw

Agreement5/6

FFR71-12lb vs OR

SpeedScore87Speed caution

Trip / GroundDEI BHIGH

HandicapNear ceiling+5lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; Hidden upgrade; Par capable; Regressing

confidence nudge +1.3

Variance Very steady 4.5% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Hidden upgrade Upgrade 6.3

Ceiling Par capable 0 vs par

Curve Regressing Trend -2

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

7 Yarmouth Run faded 13-05-2026

6 Nottingham Troubled run 26-04-2026

5 Chelmsford (AW) Run faded 21-02-2026

2 Lingfield (AW) Strong run 31-01-2026

1 Lingfield (AW) Strong run 12-01-2026

6 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 15-12-2025

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 3 subsequent winner(s), 5 subsequent placer(s)

13

13-05-2026 | Yarmouth Finished 7

Existent (GB) placed next/later

26-04-2026 | Nottingham Finished 6

Beat: Desert Cop (GB), Muker (IRE), Smart Vision (GB) | Desert Cop (GB) placed next/later, Nogo's Dream (GB) placed next/later

21-02-2026 | Chelmsford (AW) Finished 5

Beat: The Thames Boatman (GB), Mr Lightside (IRE), Accrual (GB) | Fidelius (GB) won next/later, Moulin Booj (IRE) won next/later | Accrual (GB) placed next/later, Albasheer (IRE) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 61% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 62%

Pace shape 55%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 58%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Fast No recent fast sample; best evidence is on good ground

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs0/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandGood

Read No recent fast sample; best evidence is on good ground Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 3 0W / 0P Peak rating 64

Good 8 0W / 2P Peak rating 102

Fast 6 0W / 3P Peak rating 97

All-weather 15 3W / 7P Peak rating 96

Placement evidence 67% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 71%

Mark room 67%

Stable setup 68%

Recent evidence 34%

Proven trip profile (B)38 similar-trip runs recordedClass benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Mark read FFR vs OR: +5lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Near ceiling +5lb FFR vs OR

The horse may need to reproduce a strong effort to stay ahead of today's mark.

Today's OR 83 | FFR 71 | Best FFR 88 | FFR edge +5

Hidden Run DetectorWorth a second look

Run 2: traffic trouble may have hidden the finishing position.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Robert Cowell

Jockey Marco Ghiani

Age 6

Draw 2

OR 83

Avg OR 82.5

OR vs Field +0.5

Rating 86

TS 81

Form -12567

Run Style Front-runner

Pace & Finish Fit Late-speed profile

Evidence 15 runs | HIGH confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotLate-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Late-speed profile Strong

FSP% last 3 105.1% Strong finish

Today pace fit Positive today Positive today

Final 2f Very fast finish Strong finish 21.89s recorded | FSP 105.1%

Evidence 3/3+ FSP evidence Last-three sectional pattern available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance5f

Runs at profile38

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
21-02-2026	Chelmsford (AW)	Standard	5	0:59.12	59.1
26-04-2026	Nottingham	Good	6	0:59.52	59.5
13-05-2026	Yarmouth	Good To Soft	7	1:4.08	64.1

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 27% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 36 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.2 trainer RTF quiet at 27%; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNone | No headgear declared WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP12/1 OwnerS Geraghty

Sire Ribchester Dam Joyce Compton Damsire Tamayuz

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

Prominent - outpaced over 2f out - rallying when bit short of room over 1f out - kept on when in the clear inside final furlong(op 11/1 tchd 7/1)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.8L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
13-05-2026	Yarmouth	7	1.5	Run faded
26-04-2026	Nottingham	6	0.3	Neutral finish
21-02-2026	Chelmsford (AW)	5	0.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 6 runs with an official OR.

15-12-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 62 OR 83

12-01-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 89 OR 80

31-01-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 92 OR 85

21-02-2026 | Chelmsford (AW)

Rating 85 OR 86

26-04-2026 | Nottingham

Rating 86 OR 86

13-05-2026 | Yarmouth

Rating 62 OR 85

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Michaela's Boy

CAUTION PROFILE

DEIB

Benchmark2.45

PaceFront-runner

ConsensusELITE

Michaela's Boy profiles as a front-runner with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 5/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 00.32s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip38 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityHIGH

Last 3 trip times: 0:59.12 | 0:59.52 | 1:4.08

Last 3 trip positions: 5 | 6 | 7

Approx winning time1m 00.32s

Last win at trip0:58.04 | Lingfield (AW) | 12-01-2026

Last distance win context: vs par -2.28s | OR 80 | weight --

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
13-05-2026	Yarmouth \| 5f \| Good To Soft \| Class 3	7	12/1	85	62	43	1.5	1:03.95	GREY - below benchmark
26-04-2026	Nottingham \| 5f \| Good \| Class 3	6	15/2	86	86	60	0.3	0:59.52	GOLD - faster than par
21-02-2026	Chelmsford (AW) \| 5f \| Standard \| Class 2	5	4/1	86	85	55	0.5	0:59.12	GOLD - faster than par
31-01-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 5f \| Standard \| Class 4	2	4/1	85	92	81	0.3	0:57.88	GOLD - faster than par
12-01-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 5f \| Standard \| Class 4	1	5/2J	80	89	65	0	0:58.04	GOLD - faster than par
15-12-2025	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 5f \| Standard \| Class 4	6	4/1	83	62	36	4.8	1:01.01	AMBER - competitive

Handicap Near ceiling

+5lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 2

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 88.7 and winning TS par is around 70.3. Runner versus par: rating edge +3.3 | TS edge +10.7. Benchmark fit: 2.5.

Model agreement 5/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

YARMOUTH 5f (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 118 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Prominent - outpaced over 2f out - rallying when bit short of room over 1f out - kept on when in the clear inside final furlong(op 11/1 tchd 7/1)

Premium runner profile Mr Cool 4:38 | Ripon | 6f

Quality BTier 2 shortlistStrong edge+6 more signals

Decision Confidence 67.1

CAUTION PROFILE

Runs Today 4:38 | Ripon | 6f

Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Handicap

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement5/6

FFR55

Speed99

ConditionsPositive fit

PlacementStrong setup

FFR vs OR-10lb below mark

FFR 55 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

99 Par 100

FSP%finished strongly

106.5% 100% par

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskTop of the market is compressed

Model Score44.7raw

Agreement5/6

FFR55-10lb vs OR

SpeedScore99Solid figure

Trip / GroundDEI CHIGH

HandicapWell handicapped+22lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; Possible upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +3.1

Variance Very steady 2.2% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Possible upgrade Upgrade 5.5

Ceiling Par capable 0.6 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

7 Pontefract Run faded 02-06-2026

4 Happy Valley Run faded 27-05-2026

6 Ayr Run faded 20-05-2026

3 Sha Tin Troubled run 03-05-2026

5 Doncaster Run faded 02-05-2026

3 Sha Tin Strong run 06-04-2026

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 3 subsequent winner(s), 2 subsequent placer(s)

9

02-06-2026 | Pontefract Finished 7

Beat: Dashing Dick (IRE), Bravo Zulu (IRE) | Alpha Capture (IRE) won next/later

27-05-2026 | Happy Valley Finished 4

Beat: Romantic Laos (NZ), Prestige Ricky (GB), Beauty Viva (GB) | Legend Winner (AUS) won next/later

20-05-2026 | Ayr Finished 6

Beat: Maui Breeze (GB), Royal Blaze (GB), Elizabeth Bay (GB) | Roaring Ralph (GB) won next/later | Novak (GB) placed next/later, Royal Blaze (GB) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 68% Positive conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 79%

Pace shape 60%

Track / draw 42%

Handicap 90%

Best fit Handicap Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating61

Best ground bandTesting

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 4 0W / 1P Peak rating 75

Good 15 3W / 10P Peak rating 85

Fast 8 0W / 1P Peak rating 71

All-weather 12 0W / 5P Peak rating 84

Placement evidence 77% Strong placement evidence

Trip evidence 78%

Class fit 93%

Mark room 100%

Stable setup 62%

Recent evidence 50%

Proven trip profile (C)18 similar-trip runs recordedClass benchmark supports the placementFFR vs OR gives +22lb roomRecent evidence is mixed

Mark read FFR vs OR: +22lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well handicapped +22lb FFR vs OR

Our pounds-style FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 65 | FFR 55 | Best FFR 87 | FFR edge +22

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Charlie Johnston

Jockey Connor Beasley

Age 4

Draw 4

OR 65

Avg OR 60.4

OR vs Field +4.6

Rating 61

TS 64

Form 472567

Run Style Prominent

Pace & Finish Fit Sustained speed

Evidence 9 runs | HIGH confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotSustained-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Sustained speed Strong

FSP% last 3 106.5% Strong finish

Today pace fit Positive today Positive today

Final 2f Very fast finish Strong finish 23.20s recorded | FSP 106.5%

Evidence 3/3+ FSP evidence Last-three sectional pattern available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile18

DEIC

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
01-01-2026	Southwell (AW)	Standard	12	1:15.96	76
21-01-2026	Kempton (AW)	Standard To Slow	6	1:12.84	72.8
02-06-2026	Pontefract	Good	7	1:16.22	76.2

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 42% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 16 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNone | No headgear declared WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP17/2 OwnerMiddleham Park Racing IX

Sire Kodiac Dam Moojha Damsire Forest Wildcat

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

Prominent on inner - not clear run and switched left over 1f out - challenging inside final furlong - kept on

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
02-06-2026	Pontefract	7	0.3	Run faded
27-05-2026	Happy Valley	4	1.8	Fast finish
20-05-2026	Ayr	6	0.8	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 3 of 4 runs with an official OR.

06-04-2026 | Sha Tin

Rating 61 OR 56

02-05-2026 | Doncaster

Rating 63 OR 70

03-05-2026 | Sha Tin

Rating 61 OR 55

20-05-2026 | Ayr

Rating 71 OR 69

27-05-2026 | Happy Valley

Rating -- OR 56

02-06-2026 | Pontefract

Rating -- OR 67

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Mr Cool

CAUTION PROFILE

DEIC

Benchmark5.95

PaceProminent

ConsensusELITE

Mr Cool profiles as a prominent with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 5/6. Draw data is a slight caution. Balanced setup suits adaptable/prominent profile

Winning Time Par 1m 12.00s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip18 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityHIGH

Last 3 trip times: 1:15.96 | 1:12.84 | 1:16.22

Last 3 trip positions: 12 | 6 | 7

Approx winning time1m 12.00s

Last win at trip1:11.70 | Ripon | 18-06-2025

Last distance win context: vs par -0.3s | OR 77 | weight --

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
02-06-2026	Pontefract \| 6f \| Good \| Class 4	7	17/2	67	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
27-05-2026	Happy Valley \| 1m \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	4	5/1	56	--	28	1.8	1:39.65	GREY - below benchmark
20-05-2026	Ayr \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	6	14/1	69	71	52	0.8	1:28.83	GREY - below benchmark
03-05-2026	Sha Tin \| 1m1f \| Soft \| Class 4	3	2/1F	55	61	--	0.1	1:50.23	GREY - below benchmark
02-05-2026	Doncaster \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	5	11/1	70	63	53	2	1:25.67	GREY - below benchmark
06-04-2026	Sha Tin \| 1m \| Good \| Class 4	3	27/10F	56	61	43	0.2	1:35.93	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Well handicapped

+22lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 6

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 69.9 and winning TS par is around 53. Runner versus par: rating edge +4.1 | TS edge +11.0. Benchmark fit: 6.

Model agreement 5/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

RIPON 6f (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 263 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Prominent on inner - not clear run and switched left over 1f out - challenging inside final furlong - kept on

Premium runner profile English Oak 6:10 | Ascot | 7f

Quality BTier 2 shortlistStrong edge+6 more signals

Decision Confidence 60.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Runs Today 6:10 | Ascot | 7f

Buckingham Palace Stakes (Handicap)

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement4/6

FFR95

Speed96

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR-8lb below mark

FFR 95 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

96 Par 100

FSP%finished strongly

105.6% 100% par

Best reasonInteresting profile, but FFR sits below today's mark Main riskRace shape is high variance

Model Score45.7raw

Agreement4/6

FFR95-8lb vs OR

SpeedScore96Solid figure

Trip / GroundDEI BHIGH

HandicapMark looks stiff-5lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; Possible upgrade; Ceiling edge; Edging forward

confidence nudge +3.8

Variance Reliable 6.1% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Possible upgrade Upgrade 4.1

Ceiling Ceiling edge 9.9 vs par

Curve Edging forward Trend 1

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

6 Meydan Finished well 06-03-2026

1 Meydan Strong run 13-02-2026

1 Meydan Troubled run 16-01-2026

13 Goodwood Competitive 29-07-2025

2 Hamilton Strong run 17-07-2025

25 Ascot Run faded 19-06-2025

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 4 subsequent winner(s), 5 subsequent placer(s)

14

06-03-2026 | Meydan Finished 6

Beat: Vafortino (IRE), Witness Stand (GB), Khanjar (IRE) | Fort Payne (FR) won next/later | Andreas Vesalius (IRE) placed next/later, Audience (GB) placed next/later

13-02-2026 | Meydan Finished 1

Beat: Hallasan (GB), Cavallo Bay (GB), Bombay Bazaar (GB) | Native Approach (GB) won next/later | Cavallo Bay (GB) placed next/later, Indian Springs (IRE) placed next/later

16-01-2026 | Meydan Finished 1

Beat: Laneqash (GB), First Sight (GB), War Socks (GB) | Mostabshir (GB) won next/later, Vercors (IRE) won next/later | War Socks (GB) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 53% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 71%

Pace shape 40%

Track / draw 42%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence Fast Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating61

Best ground bandGood

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 3 1W / 2P Peak rating 109

Good 10 2W / 6P Peak rating 106

Fast 7 2W / 2P Peak rating 117

All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Placement evidence 71% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 85%

Mark room 37%

Stable setup 64%

Recent evidence 76%

Proven trip profile (B)12 similar-trip runs recordedClass benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read FFR vs OR: -5lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff -5lb FFR vs OR

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 103 | FFR 95 | Best FFR 98 | FFR edge -5

Hidden Run DetectorWorth a second look

Run 3: traffic trouble may have hidden the finishing position.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Hamad Al Jehani

Jockey Faleh Bughenaim

Age 6

Draw 10

OR 103

Avg OR 97.9

OR vs Field +5.1

Rating 102

TS 94

Form 20-116

Run Style Front-runner

Pace & Finish Fit Late-speed profile

Evidence 2 runs | LOW confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotLate-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Late-speed profile Strong

FSP% Sectionals developing Needs 3 recorded FSP runs

Today pace fit Small positive Small positive

Final 2f Not recorded Timing evidence developing No final-2f timing

Evidence 2/3 FSP runs recorded FSP read hidden until three recorded runs are available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile12

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
19-06-2025	Ascot	Good To Firm	25	1:27.28	87.3
13-02-2026	Meydan (UAE)	Good	1	1:23.84	83.8
06-03-2026	Meydan (UAE)	Good	6	1:23.69	83.7

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.5 micro score

Trainer RTF 50% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 104 days Standard layoff

Micro score +0.5 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNone | No headgear declared WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP9/2 OwnerWathnan Racing

Sire Wootton Bassett Dam Forest Crown Damsire Royal Applause

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

Towards rear - headway over 1f out - kept on final 110yds - not pace to challenge

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

3/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.1L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
06-03-2026	Meydan	6	0.3	Fast finish
13-02-2026	Meydan	1	0	Fast finish
16-01-2026	Meydan	1	0	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 3 of 6 runs with an official OR.

19-06-2025 | Ascot

Rating 61 OR 100

17-07-2025 | Hamilton

Rating 103 OR 97

29-07-2025 | Goodwood

Rating 89 OR 97

16-01-2026 | Meydan

Rating 103 OR 97

13-02-2026 | Meydan

Rating 106 OR 100

06-03-2026 | Meydan

Rating 102 OR 103

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence English Oak

CAUTION PROFILE

DEIB

Benchmark4.2

PaceFront-runner

ConsensusSTRONG

English Oak profiles as a front-runner with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 4/6. Draw data is a slight caution. Strong/sustained finisher in a pace-pressure race

Winning Time Par 1m 25.60s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip12 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityHIGH

Last 3 trip times: 1:27.28 | 1:23.84 | 1:23.69

Last 3 trip positions: 25 | 1 | 6

Approx winning time1m 25.60s

Last win at trip1:23.84 | Meydan | 13-02-2026

Last distance win context: vs par -1.76s | OR 100 | weight --

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
06-03-2026	Meydan \| 7f \| Good \| Class 1	6	9/2	103	102	90	0.3	1:23.69	GOLD - faster than par
13-02-2026	Meydan \| 7f \| Good \| --	1	11/4F	100	106	94	0	1:23.84	GOLD - faster than par
16-01-2026	Meydan \| 1m \| Good \| --	1	17/2	97	103	89	0	1:35.51	GREY - below benchmark
29-07-2025	Goodwood \| 1m2f \| Good \| Class 2	13	12/1	97	89	67	0.3	2:7.17	GREY - below benchmark
17-07-2025	Hamilton \| 1m½f \| Good \| Class 2	2	17/2	97	103	100	2	1:44.10	GREY - below benchmark
19-06-2025	Ascot \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 2	25	5/1	100	61	49	2.2	1:27.95	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Mark looks stiff

-5lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 4

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 104.9 and winning TS par is around 84.8. Runner versus par: rating edge +5.1 | TS edge +9.2. Benchmark fit: 4.2.

Model agreement 4/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

ASCOT 7f (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 47 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Towards rear - headway over 1f out - kept on final 110yds - not pace to challenge

Premium runner profile Bone Marra 9:00 | Southwell (AW) | 6f

Quality BTier 2 shortlistStrong edge+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 60.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Runs Today 9:00 | Southwell (AW) | 6f

Golf And Gallop Southwell Golf Club Handicap

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement4/6

FFR75

Speed94

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-8lb below mark

FFR 75 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

94 Par 100

FSP%finished strongly

105.9% 100% par

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)

Model Score45.2raw

Agreement4/6

FFR75-8lb vs OR

SpeedScore94Solid figure

Trip / GroundDEI ELOW

HandicapWorkable mark+7lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; Possible upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +1.1

Variance Reliable 7.7% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Possible upgrade Upgrade 4.2

Ceiling Below requirement -0.1 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

14 Goodwood Competitive 23-05-2026

2 Lingfield (AW) Troubled run 28-04-2026

1 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 08-11-2025

3 Leicester Run faded 10-08-2025

3 Salisbury Solid effort 23-07-2025

19 Ascot Steady run 17-06-2025

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 4 subsequent winner(s), 6 subsequent placer(s)

14

23-05-2026 | Goodwood Finished 14

Beat: Cool Molly (IRE), Aqua Bear (IRE), Goodwood Galaxy (GB) | Ironwill (IRE) placed next/later, Strength Of Spirit (IRE) placed next/later

28-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 2

Beat: Alasrae (GB), Merlier (IRE), Comprador (GB) | Akabusi (GB) won next/later, Manly Fireball (IRE) won next/later | Alasrae (GB) placed next/later, Comprador (GB) placed next/later

08-11-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 1

Beat: Jackabi (FR), Chale Chalo (IRE), Exotic Baby (GB) | Chale Chalo (IRE) won next/later | Balthamos (GB) placed next/later, Jackabi (FR) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 57% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 38%

Class 70%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 76%

Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating80

Best ground bandGood

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 65

Fast 3 0W / 2P Peak rating 61

All-weather 3 2W / 3P Peak rating 80

Placement evidence 59% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 24%

Class fit 74%

Mark room 73%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

Class benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questions

Mark read FFR vs OR: +7lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Workable mark +7lb FFR vs OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 83 | FFR 75 | Best FFR 90 | FFR edge +7

Hidden Run DetectorWorth a second look

Run 2: traffic trouble may have hidden the finishing position.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Ollie Sangster

Jockey Stevie Donohoe

Age 3

Draw 8

OR 83

Avg OR 80.4

OR vs Field +2.6

Rating No rating yet

TS 64

Form 331-20

Run Style Midfield

Pace & Finish Fit Late-speed profile

Evidence 4 runs | MEDIUM confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotLate-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Late-speed profile Strong

FSP% last 3 105.9% Strong finish

Today pace fit Small positive Small positive

Final 2f Very fast finish Strong finish 23.33s recorded | FSP 105.9%

Evidence 3/3+ FSP evidence Last-three sectional pattern available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile3

DEIE

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
17-06-2025	Ascot	Good To Firm	19	1:16.93	76.9
23-07-2025	Salisbury	Good To Firm	3	1:16.38	76.4
28-04-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	2	1:12.47	72.5

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 26% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 26 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.2 trainer RTF quiet at 26%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: t

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

Headgeart | Declared equipment WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP28/1 OwnerPompey Ventures 3

Sire Starman Dam Pyrenean Queen Damsire Zoffany

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

Midfield - dropped to rear over 2f out - headway on inner over 1f out - not clear run inside final furlong - kept on and went second towards finish (jockey said gelding was denied a clear run approaching 1f out)(op 12/1 tchd 10/1)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.9L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
23-05-2026	Goodwood	14	1.2	Neutral finish
28-04-2026	Lingfield (AW)	2	1.5	Fast finish
08-11-2025	Wolverhampton (AW)	1	0	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 4 runs with an official OR. 1 earlier run was unrated.

17-06-2025 | Ascot

Rating 39 OR Unrated

23-07-2025 | Salisbury

Rating 61 OR 81

10-08-2025 | Leicester

Rating 48 OR 80

08-11-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 80 OR 78

28-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating -- OR 83

23-05-2026 | Goodwood

Rating 65 OR 84

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Bone Marra

CAUTION PROFILE

DEIE

Benchmark4

PaceMidfield

ConsensusSTRONG

Bone Marra profiles as a midfield with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 4/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 14.39s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip3 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityLOW

Last 3 trip times: 1:16.93 | 1:16.38 | 1:12.47

Last 3 trip positions: 19 | 3 | 2

Approx winning time1m 14.39s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win found in stored history

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
23-05-2026	Goodwood \| 7f \| Good \| Class 2	14	28/1	84	65	46	1.2	1:27.38	GREY - below benchmark
28-04-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 4	2	11/1	83	--	64	1.5	1:12.47	GOLD - faster than par
08-11-2025	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 4	1	10/1	78	80	47	0	1:28.47	GREY - below benchmark
10-08-2025	Leicester \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	3	9/2	80	48	56	8	1:24.48	GREY - below benchmark
23-07-2025	Salisbury \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	3	9/2	81	61	27	4	1:16.56	GREY - below benchmark
17-06-2025	Ascot \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 1	19	50/1	--	39	29	9.5	1:17.63	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Workable mark

+7lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 4

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 84.8 and winning TS par is around 54.3. Runner versus par: TS edge +9.7. Benchmark fit: 4.

Model agreement 4/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

SOUTHWELL 6f (AW): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 1564 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Midfield - dropped to rear over 2f out - headway on inner over 1f out - not clear run inside final furlong - kept on and went second towards finish (joc...

Premium runner profile Sarafina Mshairi 6:30 | Southwell (AW) | 5f

Quality CTier 3 price dependentStrong edge+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 81.4

PRICE DEPENDENT

Runs Today 6:30 | Southwell (AW) | 5f

Ladies Day Sunday 16th August Fillies' Handicap

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement3/6

FFR73

Speed102

ConditionsPositive fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+8lb ahead of mark

FFR 73 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

102 Par 100

FSP%finished strongly

110.1% 100% par

Best reasonRecent form and class support, but not a full-stake profile Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used

Model Score36.8raw

Agreement3/6

FFR73+8lb vs OR

SpeedScore102Fast figure

Trip / GroundDEI AMEDIUM

HandicapWell handicapped+20lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; Mild bounce watch; Hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge +3.4

Variance Very steady 4.8% volatility

Bounce Mild bounce watch Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Hidden upgrade Upgrade 6.7

Ceiling Par capable 1.7 vs par

Curve Edging forward Trend 1

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

9 Windsor Competitive 18-05-2026

1 Southwell (AW) Strong run 07-10-2025

5 Chester Finished well 12-09-2025

3 Newmarket (July) Finished well 15-08-2025

2 Windsor Run faded 26-07-2025

5 Newbury Run faded 03-07-2025

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 4 subsequent winner(s), 6 subsequent placer(s)

16

18-05-2026 | Windsor Finished 9

Beat: General Assembly (IRE) | Jax Edge (GB) won next/later | Al Barez (GB) placed next/later, Lequinto (IRE) placed next/later

07-10-2025 | Southwell (AW) Finished 1

Beat: After Love (IRE), Addarella (IRE), Unico (GB) | Addarella (IRE) won next/later | After Love (IRE) placed next/later, Unico (GB) placed next/later

12-09-2025 | Chester Finished 5

Beat: Twirler (GB), Winter Crown (GB), Hallowed Time (IRE) | Twirler (GB) won next/later, Winter Crown (GB) won next/later | Count dOrsay (IRE) placed next/later, Giant (GB) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 66% Positive conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 90%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Class

Ground evidence All-weather Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating69

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 66

Fast 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 67

All-weather 6 2W / 4P Peak rating 69

Placement evidence 72% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 88%

Class fit 50%

Mark room 100%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

Proven trip profile (A)6 similar-trip runs recordedFFR vs OR gives +20lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read FFR vs OR: +20lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well handicapped +20lb FFR vs OR

Our pounds-style FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 65 | FFR 73 | Best FFR 85 | FFR edge +20

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Edward Smyth-Osbourne

Jockey Harry Vigors(7)

Age 4

Draw 4

OR 65

Avg OR 63.2

OR vs Field +1.8

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 2351-9

Run Style Unclear

Pace & Finish Fit Late-speed profile

Evidence 11 runs | HIGH confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotLate-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Late-speed profile Strong

FSP% last 3 110.1% Strong finish

Today pace fit Small positive Small positive

Final 2f Very fast finish Strong finish 25.16s recorded | FSP 110.1%

Evidence 3/3+ FSP evidence Last-three sectional pattern available.

Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 5f

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance5f

Runs at profile6

DEIA

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
24-02-2025	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	1	1:1.93	61.9
03-07-2025	Newbury	Good To Firm	5	1:1.38	61.4
18-05-2026	Windsor	Good	9	0:59.93	59.9

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 40% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 31 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNone | No headgear declared WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP11/1 OwnerRectory Farm Racing Partnership

Sire Cable Bay Dam Sarabi Mshairi Damsire Poet's Voice

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course winHas won at this courseDistance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.5L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
18-05-2026	Windsor	9	2.2	Neutral finish
07-10-2025	Southwell (AW)	1	0	Fast finish
12-09-2025	Chester	5	2.2	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 3 of 6 runs with an official OR.

03-07-2025 | Newbury

Rating 60 OR 62

26-07-2025 | Windsor

Rating 66 OR 61

15-08-2025 | Newmarket (July)

Rating 67 OR 63

12-09-2025 | Chester

Rating 59 OR 64

07-10-2025 | Southwell (AW)

Rating 69 OR 63

18-05-2026 | Windsor

Rating 46 OR 67

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Sarafina Mshairi

PRICE DEPENDENT

DEIA

Benchmark0

PaceUnclear

ConsensusMIXED

Sarafina Mshairi profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 3/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 58.41s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip6 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityMEDIUM

Last 3 trip times: 1:1.93 | 1:1.38 | 0:59.93

Last 3 trip positions: 1 | 5 | 9

Approx winning time58.41s

Last win at trip1:1.93 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 24-02-2025

Last distance win context: vs par +3.52s | OR 58 | weight --

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
18-05-2026	Windsor \| 5f \| Good \| Class 5	9	11/1	67	46	29	2.2	0:59.93	GREY - below benchmark
07-10-2025	Southwell (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	1	7/1	63	69	2	0	1:16.89	GREY - below benchmark
12-09-2025	Chester \| 6f \| Good \| Class 5	5	7/2	64	59	24	2.2	1:16.50	GREY - below benchmark
15-08-2025	Newmarket (July) \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	3	5/2F	63	67	50	0.1	1:12.76	GREY - below benchmark
26-07-2025	Windsor \| 6f \| Good \| Class 5	2	15/8F	61	66	43	0.5	1:12.26	GREY - below benchmark
03-07-2025	Newbury \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	5	13/2	62	60	54	0.5	1:1.49	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Well handicapped

+20lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 78.1 and winning TS par is around 56.9. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 3/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

SOUTHWELL 5f (AW): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 986 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

No latest race comment available.

Premium runner profile Havana Blast 2:40 | Yarmouth | 5f

Quality CTier 3 price dependentMarginal edge+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 79.8

PRICE DEPENDENT

Runs Today 2:40 | Yarmouth | 5f

QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement3/6

FFR90

Speed104

ConditionsPositive fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+7lb ahead of mark

FFR 90 pounds scale

SpeedScoreabove par

104 Par 100

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Model Score35.2raw

Agreement3/6

FFR90+7lb vs OR

SpeedScore104Fast figure

Trip / GroundDEI BMEDIUM

HandicapWell handicapped+13lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge +2.8

Variance Very steady 3.1% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 5.8 vs par

Curve Edging forward Trend 1

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

3 Kempton (AW) Run faded 20-05-2026

2 Wolverhampton (AW) Troubled run 17-04-2026

10 Newcastle (AW) Run faded 27-03-2026

6 Kempton (AW) Finished well 07-09-2024

1 Chelmsford (AW) Finished well 31-08-2024

4 Sandown Competitive 31-07-2024

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 4 subsequent winner(s), 5 subsequent placer(s)

16

20-05-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 3

Beat: Irish Nectar (GB), Amazonian Dream (IRE), Hunky Dory (GB) | Charlie Mason (GB) won next/later | Hierarchy (IRE) placed next/later

17-04-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 2

Beat: Alondra (GB), Ziggys Missile (IRE), Accrual (GB) | Accrual (GB) placed next/later, Alondra (GB) placed next/later

27-03-2026 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 10

Beat: Blinky (IRE), Vingegaard (IRE) | Kinetic Force (GB) won next/later, Master Of My Fate (IRE) won next/later | Almarada Prince (IRE) placed next/later, Pixie Diva (GB) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 66% Positive conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 50%

Pace shape 60%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 90%

Best fit Handicap Question Class

Ground evidence Fast Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating73

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 3 0W / 2P Peak rating 74

Fast 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 73

All-weather 5 1W / 3P Peak rating 90

Placement evidence 69% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 86%

Class fit 42%

Mark room 91%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

Proven trip profile (B)7 similar-trip runs recordedFFR vs OR gives +13lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence is mixed

Mark read FFR vs OR: +13lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well handicapped +13lb FFR vs OR

Our pounds-style FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 83 | FFR 90 | Best FFR 96 | FFR edge +13

Hidden Run DetectorWorth a second look

Run 2: traffic trouble may have hidden the finishing position.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer James Fanshawe

Jockey Daniel Muscutt

Age 4

Draw 4

OR 83

Avg OR 82.5

OR vs Field +0.5

Rating 85

TS 69

Form 16/023

Run Style Midfield

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance5f

Runs at profile7

DEIB

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
31-08-2024	Chelmsford (AW)	Standard	1	0:58.65	58.6
27-03-2026	Newcastle (AW)	Standard	10	1:0.30	60.3
17-04-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	2	1:0.73	60.7

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 52% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 29 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.2 no recent matched-ground timing evidence; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: ht; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

Headgearht | Declared equipment WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP9/2 OwnerJustwow

Sire Havana Grey Dam Bhangra Damsire Showcasing

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

Took keen hold - towards rear - bit short of room over 2f out - headway over 1f out - went second inside final furlong - no match for winner(op 11/2)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
20-05-2026	Kempton (AW)	3	0.2	Fast finish
17-04-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	2	2.2	Fast finish
27-03-2026	Newcastle (AW)	10	0.5	Run faded

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 4 of 6 runs with an official OR.

31-07-2024 | Sandown

Rating 73 OR 77

31-08-2024 | Chelmsford (AW)

Rating 85 OR 76

07-09-2024 | Kempton (AW)

Rating 90 OR 84

27-03-2026 | Newcastle (AW)

Rating 79 OR 85

17-04-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 85 OR 82

20-05-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating 87 OR 82

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Havana Blast

PRICE DEPENDENT

DEIB

Benchmark0

PaceMidfield

ConsensusMIXED

Havana Blast profiles as a midfield with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 3/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 1m 00.32s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip7 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityMEDIUM

Last 3 trip times: 0:58.65 | 1:0.30 | 1:0.73

Last 3 trip positions: 1 | 10 | 2

Approx winning time1m 00.32s

Last win at trip0:58.65 | Chelmsford (AW) | 31-08-2024

Last distance win context: vs par -1.67s | OR 76 | weight --

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
20-05-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 4	3	9/2	82	87	69	0.2	1:11.73	GREY - below benchmark
17-04-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 5f \| Standard \| Class 4	2	7/1	82	85	69	2.2	1:00.73	GREEN - within 1% of par
27-03-2026	Newcastle (AW) \| 5f \| Standard \| Class 4	10	10/1	85	79	66	0.5	1:00.30	GOLD - faster than par
07-09-2024	Kempton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 1	6	22/1	84	90	74	0.3	1:12.63	GREY - below benchmark
31-08-2024	Chelmsford (AW) \| 5f \| Standard \| Class 5	1	5/2	76	85	66	0	0:58.65	GOLD - faster than par
31-07-2024	Sandown \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	4	8/1	77	73	66	0.3	1:0.24	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Well handicapped

+13lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 88.7 and winning TS par is around 70.3. Runner versus par: rating edge -3.7 | TS edge -1.3. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 3/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

YARMOUTH 5f (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 118 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Took keen hold - towards rear - bit short of room over 2f out - headway over 1f out - went second inside final furlong - no match for winner(op 11/2)

Premium runner profile Goal Exceeded 5:10 | Leopardstown | 7f

Quality CTier 3 price dependentStrong edge+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 74.0

PRICE DEPENDENT

Runs Today 5:10 | Leopardstown | 7f

BOYLE Sports Money Back If 2nd To SP Fav Handicap

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement3/6

FFR84

Speed106

ConditionsPositive fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+18lb ahead of mark

FFR 84 pounds scale

SpeedScoreabove par

106 Par 100

FSP%even finish

98.6% 100% par

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskRace shape is high variance

Model Score32.6raw

Agreement3/6

FFR84+18lb vs OR

SpeedScore106Fast figure

Trip / GroundDEI BHIGH

HandicapWell handicapped+23lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; Possible upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +4.0

Variance Reliable 7% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Possible upgrade Upgrade 4.8

Ceiling Big ceiling edge 17.4 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

3 Cork Run faded 19-05-2026

10 Curragh Run faded 19-04-2026

2 Leopardstown Finished well 15-04-2026

6 Curragh Run faded 02-11-2025

8 Curragh Finished well 16-10-2025

5 Curragh (IRE) Run faded 04-10-2025

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 4 subsequent winner(s), 4 subsequent placer(s)

18

19-05-2026 | Cork Finished 3

Beat: Brewing (GB), Gleneagle Bay (IRE), Send Harry (IRE) | Gleneagle Bay (IRE) won next/later

19-04-2026 | Curragh Finished 10

Beat: Smoke Them Out (IRE), Lahore Da King (IRE), Mickey The Steel (GB) | Jon Riggens (IRE) won next/later, L L Koulsty (IRE) won next/later | Earls (IRE) placed next/later, Hexagonal (IRE) placed next/later

15-04-2026 | Leopardstown Finished 2

Beat: Greek Flower (IRE), Sennas Girl (IRE), Chester Nimitz (IRE) | Anvika (IRE) placed next/later, Hugos Girl (IRE) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 74% Positive conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 51%

Pace shape 100%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 90%

Best fit Pace shape Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Good No recent good sample; best evidence is on testing ground

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs0/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandTesting

Read No recent good sample; best evidence is on testing ground Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 12 1W / 3P Peak rating 85

Good 8 1W / 2P Peak rating 85

Fast 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 77

All-weather 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 80

Placement evidence 69% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 33%

Mark room 100%

Stable setup 76%

Recent evidence 42%

Proven trip profile (B)11 similar-trip runs recordedFFR vs OR gives +23lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concernRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Mark read FFR vs OR: +23lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well handicapped +23lb FFR vs OR

Our pounds-style FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 66 | FFR 84 | Best FFR 89 | FFR edge +23

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Adrian McGuinness

Jockey Adam Caffrey

Age 5

Draw 4

OR 66

Avg OR 67.5

OR vs Field -1.5

Rating 58

TS 70

Form 86-203

Run Style Closer

Pace & Finish Fit Balanced

Evidence 6 runs | HIGH confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotBalanced finishing profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Balanced Steady

FSP% last 3 98.6% Evenly paced

Today pace fit Neutral Neutral

Final 2f Not recorded Timing evidence developing No final-2f timing

Evidence 3/3+ FSP evidence Last-three sectional pattern available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile11

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
15-04-2026	Leopardstown (IRE)	Yielding To Soft	2	1:30.90	90.9
19-04-2026	Curragh (IRE)	Soft	10	1:32.30	92.3
19-05-2026	Cork (IRE)	Soft To Heavy	3	1:30.48	90.5

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 31% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 30 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.2 no recent matched-ground timing evidence; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: t; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

Headgeart | Declared equipment WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP3/1J OwnerMs H McGuinness/Martin W White/Declan Sheridan/Breen White

Sire Iffraaj Dam Twinkle Twinkle Damsire Exceed And Excel

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this tripBeaten favouriteMarket expected more last time

Race comment

Towards rear - headway on near side of group 2f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 3/1)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.8L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
19-05-2026	Cork	3	1	Neutral finish
19-04-2026	Curragh	10	1	Neutral finish
15-04-2026	Leopardstown	2	0.5	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 6 runs with an official OR.

04-10-2025 | Curragh (IRE)

Rating 61 OR 72

16-10-2025 | Curragh

Rating 66 OR 70

02-11-2025 | Curragh

Rating 64 OR 68

15-04-2026 | Leopardstown

Rating 73 OR 67

19-04-2026 | Curragh

Rating 58 OR 67

19-05-2026 | Cork

Rating 73 OR 69

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Goal Exceeded

PRICE DEPENDENT

DEIB

Benchmark0.32

PaceCloser

ConsensusMIXED

Goal Exceeded profiles as a closer with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 3/6. Strong/sustained finisher in a pace-pressure race

Winning Time Par 1m 29.26s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip11 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityHIGH

Last 3 trip times: 1:30.90 | 1:32.30 | 1:30.48

Last 3 trip positions: 2 | 10 | 3

Approx winning time1m 29.26s

Last win at trip1:26.09 | Curragh (IRE) | 24-05-2025

Last distance win context: vs par -3.17s | OR 73 | weight --

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
19-05-2026	Cork \| 7f \| Soft To Heavy \| --	3	3/1J	69	73	63	1	1:30.48	AMBER - competitive
19-04-2026	Curragh \| 7f \| Soft \| --	10	100/30	67	58	35	1	1:32.30	GREY - below benchmark
15-04-2026	Leopardstown \| 7f \| Yielding To Soft \| --	2	11/2	67	73	70	0.5	1:30.90	AMBER - competitive
02-11-2025	Curragh \| 7f \| Heavy \| --	6	14/1	68	64	33	0.2	1:32.95	GREY - below benchmark
16-10-2025	Curragh \| 7f \| Yielding \| --	8	9/1	70	66	25	0.2	1:31.99	GREY - below benchmark
04-10-2025	Curragh (IRE) \| 6f \| Soft To Heavy \| --	5	13/2	72	61	48	0.5	1:16.26	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Well handicapped

+23lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 93 and winning TS par is around 61.7. Runner versus par: rating edge -20.0 | TS edge +8.3. Benchmark fit: 0.3.

Model agreement 3/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

LEOPARDSTOWN 7f (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 328 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Towards rear - headway on near side of group 2f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 3/1)

Premium runner profile Rogue Empire 7:10 | Lingfield | 16.5f

Quality CTier 3 price dependentDominant edge+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 71.0

PRICE DEPENDENT

Runs Today 7:10 | Lingfield | 16.5f

Free Tips At chracingclub.com Handicap

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement3/6

FFR79

Speed114

ConditionsPositive fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+13lb ahead of mark

FFR 79 pounds scale

SpeedScoreabove par

114 Par 100

FSP%faded late

95.9% 100% par

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance evidence is thin

Model Score46.8raw

Agreement3/6

FFR79+13lb vs OR

SpeedScore114Elite clock figure

Trip / GroundDEI CLOW

HandicapWell handicapped+23lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Variable; High bounce risk; Hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Improving

confidence nudge +1.9

Variance Variable 10.2% volatility

Bounce High bounce risk Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Hidden upgrade Upgrade 6.8

Ceiling Big ceiling edge 14.1 vs par

Curve Improving Trend 2

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Kempton (AW) Finished well 10-06-2026

1 Lingfield Strong run 18-05-2026

3 Kempton (AW) Run faded 04-05-2026

6 Chelmsford (AW) Troubled run 09-10-2025

3 Kempton (AW) Run faded 18-09-2025

3 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 04-09-2025

Franked form Positive form

Positive form | 1 subsequent winner(s), 2 subsequent placer(s)

4

10-06-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 1

Beat: Vilaine Verlaine (GB), Tarbat Ness (GB), Karthon (GB)

18-05-2026 | Lingfield Finished 1

Beat: Balgowan (IRE), Golden Samba (GB), Smokey Malone (GB) | Smokey Malone (GB) placed next/later

04-05-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 3

Beat: Crackergee (GB), Karthon (GB), Capone (GER) | Crackergee (GB) won next/later | Now The Eagle (FR) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 71% Positive conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 50%

Pace shape 100%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 90%

Best fit Pace shape Question Class

Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating70

Best ground bandGood

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 2 1W / 1P Peak rating 70

Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 6 1W / 4P Peak rating 70

Placement evidence 73% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 68%

Class fit 50%

Mark room 100%

Stable setup 72%

Recent evidence 76%

FFR vs OR gives +23lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read FFR vs OR: +23lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well handicapped +23lb FFR vs OR

Our pounds-style FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 66 | FFR 79 | Best FFR 89 | FFR edge +23

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Roger Teal

Jockey Owen Lewis(5)

Age 4

Draw 3

OR 66

Avg OR 70.3

OR vs Field -4.3

Rating 60

TS --

Form 36-311

Run Style Front-runner

Pace & Finish Fit Late-speed profile

Evidence 4 runs | MEDIUM confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotLate-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Late-speed profile Strong

FSP% last 3 95.9% Late effort faded

Today pace fit Neutral Neutral

Final 2f Slow finish Late effort faded 22.53s recorded | FSP 95.9%

Evidence 3/3+ FSP evidence Last-three sectional pattern available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance2m

Runs at profile4

DEIC

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
18-09-2025	Kempton (AW)	Standard To Slow	3	3:32.48	212.5
04-05-2026	Kempton (AW)	Standard To Slow	3	3:40.21	220.2
10-06-2026	Kempton (AW)	Standard To Slow	1	3:37.50	217.5

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 40% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 8 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.2 no recent matched-ground timing evidence; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNone | No headgear declared WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP5/1 OwnerThe Idle B's

Sire Time Test Dam Magic Meg Damsire Raven's Pass

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

Led - edged left and headed over 1f out - no extra inside final furlong(op 18/1)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.2L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
10-06-2026	Kempton (AW)	1	0	Fast finish
18-05-2026	Lingfield	1	0	Fast finish
04-05-2026	Kempton (AW)	3	3.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 3 of 5 runs with an official OR.

04-09-2025 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 68 OR 65

18-09-2025 | Kempton (AW)

Rating 70 OR 64

09-10-2025 | Chelmsford (AW)

Rating 40 OR 64

04-05-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating 60 OR 62

18-05-2026 | Lingfield

Rating 70 OR 60

10-06-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating -- OR 66

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Rogue Empire

PRICE DEPENDENT

DEIC

Benchmark0

PaceFront-runner

ConsensusMIXED

Rogue Empire profiles as a front-runner with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 3/6. Possible lone-leader setup

Winning Time Par Awaiting timing benchmark

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip4 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityLOW

Last 3 trip times: 3:32.48 | 3:40.21 | 3:37.50

Last 3 trip positions: 3 | 3 | 1

Approx winning timeAwaiting timing benchmark

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win found in stored history

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
10-06-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 16f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 5	1	5/1	66	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
18-05-2026	Lingfield \| 2m½f \| Good \| Class 6	1	4/1	60	70	64	0	3:35.80	GREY - no timing read
04-05-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 2m \| Standard To Slow \| Class 5	3	14/1	62	60	--	3.5	3:40.00	GREY - no timing read
09-10-2025	Chelmsford (AW) \| 1m6f \| Standard \| Class 6	6	4/1	64	40	35	2	3:3.11	GREY - no timing read
18-09-2025	Kempton (AW) \| 2m \| Standard To Slow \| Class 5	3	15/2	64	70	--	0.5	3:32.48	GREY - no timing read
04-09-2025	Lingfield (AW) \| 2m \| Standard \| Class 6	3	12/1	65	68	4	0.1	3:32.28	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Well handicapped

+23lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Benchmark evidence is still developing for this course, class, going and distance profile.

Model agreement 3/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

Track DNA is still developing for this course and distance.

Latest evidence Run comment

Led - edged left and headed over 1f out - no extra inside final furlong(op 18/1)

Premium runner profile Rogue Encore 4:25 | Yarmouth | 8f

Quality CTier 3 price dependentClear but not dominant+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 67.6

PRICE DEPENDENT

Runs Today 4:25 | Yarmouth | 8f

Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap

Open racecard

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement5/6

FFR78

Speed97

ConditionsPositive fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR-3lb near mark

FFR 78 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

97 Par 100

FSP%finished strongly

106.4% 100% par

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Model Score32.5raw

Agreement5/6

FFR78-3lb vs OR

SpeedScore97Solid figure

Trip / GroundDEI AHIGH

HandicapWell handicapped+13lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; Possible upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +3.6

Variance Very steady 3.9% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Possible upgrade Upgrade 4.5

Ceiling Ceiling edge 6.9 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

14 Newcastle (AW) Run faded 03-04-2026

9 Newcastle (AW) Troubled run 27-03-2026

10 Southwell (AW) Run faded 20-02-2026

5 Newcastle (AW) Competitive 16-01-2026

1 Newcastle (AW) Strong run 28-09-2025

7 Ripon Run faded 25-08-2025

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 3 subsequent winner(s), 6 subsequent placer(s)

16

03-04-2026 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 14

Shafdar (IRE) won next/later | Blue Rc (IRE) placed next/later, Storm Star (GB) placed next/later

27-03-2026 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 9

Beat: Degale (GB), Brewing (GB), Maestro Bernstein (IRE) | Degale (GB) placed next/later, Flying Fletcher (GB) placed next/later

20-02-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 10

Beat: Unassuming (FR), Londoner (IRE) | Angel Hunter (GB) won next/later, Londoner (IRE) won next/later | Dingle (IRE) placed next/later, Dosman (GB) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 71% Positive conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 62%

Pace shape 60%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 90%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Fast No recent fast sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs0/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read No recent fast sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 66

Good 4 0W / 2P Peak rating 86

Fast 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 75

All-weather 14 3W / 4P Peak rating 93

Placement evidence 73% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 67%

Mark room 91%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 42%

Proven trip profile (A)17 similar-trip runs recordedFFR vs OR gives +13lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Mark read FFR vs OR: +13lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well handicapped +13lb FFR vs OR

Our pounds-style FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 81 | FFR 78 | Best FFR 94 | FFR edge +13

Hidden Run DetectorWorth a second look

Run 2: traffic trouble may have hidden the finishing position.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Peter Chapple-Hyam

Jockey Benoit De La Sayette

Age 5

Draw 7

OR 81

Avg OR 76.8

OR vs Field +4.2

Rating 70

TS 62

Form 1-5090

Run Style Prominent

Pace & Finish Fit Sustained speed

Evidence 10 runs | HIGH confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotSustained-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Sustained speed Strong

FSP% last 3 106.4% Strong finish

Today pace fit Positive today Positive today

Final 2f Very fast finish Strong finish 25.75s recorded | FSP 106.4%

Evidence 3/3+ FSP evidence Last-three sectional pattern available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance1m

Runs at profile17

DEIA

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
20-02-2026	Southwell (AW)	Standard	10	1:41.42	101.4
27-03-2026	Newcastle (AW)	Standard	9	1:41.13	101.1
03-04-2026	Newcastle (AW)	Standard	14	1:42.00	102

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.0 micro score

Trainer RTF 67% Yard in a positive recent rhythm

Freshness 76 days Standard layoff

Micro score +0.0 trainer RTF positive at 67%; no recent matched-ground timing evidence; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

Headgearp | Declared equipment WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP50/1 OwnerThe Rogues Gallery

Sire Kodiac Dam Encore L'Amour Damsire Azamour

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

Prominent - weakened from over 2f out(op 33/1)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.6L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
03-04-2026	Newcastle (AW)	14	3	Run faded
27-03-2026	Newcastle (AW)	9	0.8	Run faded
20-02-2026	Southwell (AW)	10	1	Run faded

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 6 runs with an official OR.

25-08-2025 | Ripon

Rating 75 OR 85

28-09-2025 | Newcastle (AW)

Rating 93 OR 84

16-01-2026 | Newcastle (AW)

Rating 90 OR 87

20-02-2026 | Southwell (AW)

Rating 80 OR 86

27-03-2026 | Newcastle (AW)

Rating 78 OR 85

03-04-2026 | Newcastle (AW)

Rating 70 OR 85

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Rogue Encore

PRICE DEPENDENT

DEIA

Benchmark2.55

PaceProminent

ConsensusELITE

Rogue Encore profiles as a prominent with a regression risk trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 5/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Winning Time Par 2m 01.52s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip17 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityHIGH

Last 3 trip times: 1:41.42 | 1:41.13 | 1:42.00

Last 3 trip positions: 10 | 9 | 14

Approx winning time2m 01.52s

Last win at trip1:39.94 | Newcastle (AW) | 28-09-2025

Last distance win context: vs par -21.58s | OR 84 | weight --

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
03-04-2026	Newcastle (AW) \| 1m \| Standard \| Class 2	14	50/1	85	70	25	3	1:42.00	GOLD - faster than par
27-03-2026	Newcastle (AW) \| 1m \| Standard \| Class 4	9	4/1	85	78	62	0.8	1:41.13	GOLD - faster than par
20-02-2026	Southwell (AW) \| 1m \| Standard \| Class 3	10	16/1	86	80	57	1	1:41.17	GOLD - faster than par
16-01-2026	Newcastle (AW) \| 1m \| Standard \| Class 2	5	18/1	87	90	52	0.3	1:39.40	GOLD - faster than par
28-09-2025	Newcastle (AW) \| 1m \| Standard \| Class 4	1	11/2	84	93	82	0	1:39.94	GOLD - faster than par
25-08-2025	Ripon \| 1m \| Good \| Class 2	7	8/1	85	75	49	1.5	1:38.84	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Well handicapped

+13lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 89.1 and winning TS par is around 54.8. Runner versus par: rating edge +0.9 | TS edge +7.2. Benchmark fit: 2.5.

Model agreement 5/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

YARMOUTH 1m (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 271 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Prominent - weakened from over 2f out(op 33/1)

Premium runner profile Great Acclaim 6:10 | Ascot | 7f

Quality CTier 3 price dependentClear but not dominant+5 more signals

Decision Confidence 63.0

PRICE DEPENDENT

Runs Today 6:10 | Ascot | 7f

Buckingham Palace Stakes (Handicap)

Open racecard

Decision read Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement5/6

FFR100

Speed108

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementStrong setup

FFR vs OR+0lb near mark

FFR 100 pounds scale

SpeedScoreabove par

108 Par 100

FSP%finished strongly

104.6% 100% par

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskRace shape is high variance

Model Score38.0raw

Agreement5/6

FFR100+0lb vs OR

SpeedScore108Fast figure

Trip / GroundDEI AMEDIUM

HandicapNear ceiling+1lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; Mild bounce watch; Hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Improving

confidence nudge +4.0

Variance Reliable 7% volatility

Bounce Mild bounce watch Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Hidden upgrade Upgrade 6

Ceiling Big ceiling edge 14.7 vs par

Curve Improving Trend 2

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

2 Ascot Finished well 09-05-2026

3 Haydock Strong run 25-04-2026

16 Doncaster Run faded 28-03-2026

14 Ascot Run faded 18-10-2025

4 Ascot Troubled run 04-10-2025

2 Ascot Strong run 06-09-2025

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 3 subsequent winner(s), 5 subsequent placer(s)

13

09-05-2026 | Ascot Finished 2

Beat: Tribal Chief (FR), Golden Mind (IRE), Royal Zabeel (IRE) | Serengeti (FR) won next/later | Nostrum (GB) placed next/later, Ten Pounds (IRE) placed next/later

25-04-2026 | Haydock Finished 3

Beat: Cerulean Bay (IRE), Khafiz (IRE), Darkness (FR) | Cerulean Bay (IRE) placed next/later

28-03-2026 | Doncaster Finished 16

Beat: Anno Domini (GB), Tarkhan (GER), Mirabeau (GB) | Mirabeau (GB) won next/later, Rogue Diplomat (IRE) won next/later | Christian David (IRE) placed next/later, Eternal Force (GB) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 64% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 71%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 58%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Pace shape

Ground evidence Fast Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating104

Best ground bandFast

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 6 1W / 2P Peak rating 105

Good 6 2W / 3P Peak rating 107

Fast 12 3W / 8P Peak rating 104

All-weather 2 0W / 1P Peak rating 97

Placement evidence 77% Strong placement evidence

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 87%

Mark room 55%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 76%

Proven trip profile (A)9 similar-trip runs recordedClass benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read FFR vs OR: +1lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Near ceiling +1lb FFR vs OR

The horse may need to reproduce a strong effort to stay ahead of today's mark.

Today's OR 100 | FFR 100 | Best FFR 101 | FFR edge +1

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton

Jockey Charles Bishop

Age 5

Draw 23

OR 100

Avg OR 97.9

OR vs Field +2.1

Rating 104

TS 99

Form 40-032

Run Style Prominent

Pace & Finish Fit Late-speed profile

Evidence 6 runs | HIGH confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotLate-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Late-speed profile Strong

FSP% last 3 104.6% Finished well

Today pace fit Small positive Small positive

Final 2f Not recorded Timing evidence developing No final-2f timing

Evidence 3/3+ FSP evidence Last-three sectional pattern available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile9

DEIA

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
04-10-2025	Ascot	Soft	4	1:31.49	91.5
25-04-2026	Haydock	Good To Firm	3	1:28.71	88.7
09-05-2026	Ascot	Good	2	1:24.98	85

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 53% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 40 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: v; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

Headgearv | Declared equipment WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP12/1 OwnerG Owen

Sire Aclaim Dam Freedom Spirit Damsire Muhaarar

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

In touch with leaders - steady headway over 3f out - pressed leaders over 2f out - led over 1f out - headed inside final furlong - lost second inside final 110yds - kept on(op 11/2)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.4L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
09-05-2026	Ascot	2	1	Fast finish
25-04-2026	Haydock	3	0.3	Fast finish
28-03-2026	Doncaster	16	3	Run faded

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 4 of 6 runs with an official OR.

06-09-2025 | Ascot

Rating 105 OR 97

04-10-2025 | Ascot

Rating 104 OR 100

18-10-2025 | Ascot

Rating 91 OR 100

28-03-2026 | Doncaster

Rating 88 OR 100

25-04-2026 | Haydock

Rating 104 OR 98

09-05-2026 | Ascot

Rating 107 OR 98

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Great Acclaim

PRICE DEPENDENT

DEIA

Benchmark4.2

PaceProminent

ConsensusELITE

Great Acclaim profiles as a prominent with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 5/6. Strong/sustained finisher in a pace-pressure race

Winning Time Par 1m 25.60s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip9 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityMEDIUM

Last 3 trip times: 1:31.49 | 1:28.71 | 1:24.98

Last 3 trip positions: 4 | 3 | 2

Approx winning time1m 25.60s

Last win at trip1:21.24 | Chepstow | 07-08-2025

Last distance win context: vs par -4.36s | OR 94 | weight --

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
09-05-2026	Ascot \| 7f \| Good \| Class 2	2	12/1	98	107	99	1	1:24.98	GOLD - faster than par
25-04-2026	Haydock \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 2	3	6/1	98	104	99	0.3	1:28.71	GREY - below benchmark
28-03-2026	Doncaster \| 1m \| Good To Soft \| Class 2	16	50/1	100	88	71	3	1:42.80	GREY - below benchmark
18-10-2025	Ascot \| 1m \| Good \| Class 2	14	25/1	100	91	70	1	1:40.72	GREY - below benchmark
04-10-2025	Ascot \| 7f \| Soft \| Class 2	4	16/1	100	104	86	0.5	1:31.49	GREY - below benchmark
06-09-2025	Ascot \| 7f \| Good To Soft \| Class 2	2	11/1	97	105	83	1.5	1:27.29	AMBER - competitive

Handicap Near ceiling

+1lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 4

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 104.9 and winning TS par is around 84.8. Runner versus par: rating edge +6.1 | TS edge +14.2. Benchmark fit: 4.2.

Model agreement 5/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

ASCOT 7f (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 47 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

In touch with leaders - steady headway over 3f out - pressed leaders over 2f out - led over 1f out - headed inside final furlong - lost second inside fi...

Premium runner profile Blue Courvoisier 4:50 | Ascot | 8f

Quality CTier 3 price dependentClear but not dominant+6 more signals

Decision Confidence 61.0

PRICE DEPENDENT

Runs Today 4:50 | Ascot | 8f

Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings)

Open racecard

Decision read Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement4/6

FFR104

Speed100

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+12lb ahead of mark

FFR 104 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

1 Par 100

FSP%finished strongly

105.9% 100% par

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance evidence is thin

Model Score37.5raw

Agreement4/6

FFR104+12lb vs OR

SpeedScore100Fast figure

Trip / GroundDEI CLOW

HandicapWell handicapped+12lb FFR vs OR

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; Hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Edging forward

confidence nudge +4.0

Variance Very steady 5% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run Hidden upgrade Upgrade 8.7

Ceiling Ceiling edge 8 vs par

Curve Edging forward Trend 1

Context match Conditions, placement, handicap and recent form

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Carlisle Strong run 30-05-2026

4 Ascot Run faded 08-05-2026

2 Newmarket Strong run 14-04-2026

2 Bath Run faded 30-09-2025

1 Leicester Finished well 09-09-2025

Franked form Strongly franked

Strongly franked | 2 subsequent winner(s), 2 subsequent placer(s)

11

30-05-2026 | Carlisle Finished 1

Beat: Langstone (GB), Crest Of Fire (IRE), Princling (GB)

14-04-2026 | Newmarket Finished 2

Beat: St Anton (IRE), Arbaawy (GB), Luzon Heights (GB) | St Anton (IRE) won next/later, Were Goosers (IRE) won next/later | Akho Mezzna (FR) placed next/later, Arbaawy (GB) placed next/later

Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 71%

Pace shape 40%

Track / draw 34%

Handicap 90%

Best fit Handicap Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs2/5

Best similar rating73

Best ground bandGood

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 3 1W / 2P Peak rating 87

Fast 2 1W / 2P Peak rating 73

All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Placement evidence 67% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 63%

Class fit 84%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 60%

Recent evidence 42%

Class benchmark supports the placementFFR vs OR gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Mark read FFR vs OR: +12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well handicapped +12lb FFR vs OR

Our pounds-style FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 92 | FFR 104 | Best FFR 104 | FFR edge +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Technical evidence Sectionals, timing, ratings trend and full run table

Trainer Clive Cox

Jockey Saffie Osborne

Age 3

Draw 1

OR 92

Avg OR 93.9

OR vs Field -1.9

Rating 87

TS 83

Form 12-241

Run Style Front-runner

Pace & Finish Fit Late-speed profile

Evidence 1 runs | LOW confidence

Pace & Finish SnapshotLate-speed profile

Visual first | technical detail below

Finish profile Late-speed profile Strong

FSP% Sectionals developing Needs 3 recorded FSP runs

Today pace fit Small positive Small positive

Final 2f Not recorded Timing evidence developing No final-2f timing

Evidence 1/3 FSP runs recorded FSP read hidden until three recorded runs are available.

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance1m

Runs at profile4

DEIC

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
14-04-2026	Newmarket	Good	2	1:38.71	98.7
08-05-2026	Ascot	Good	4	1:41.49	101.5
30-05-2026	Carlisle	Good To Firm	1	1:37.51	97.5

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 47% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 19 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNone | No headgear declared WindNo wind surgery flag Latest SP5/1 OwnerA D Spence & I Madueke

Sire Sea The Stars Dam Priceless Damsire Exceed And Excel

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

Took keen hold - led narrowly - ridden and headed over 1f out - kept on(op 13/2)

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.4L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
30-05-2026	Carlisle	1	0	Neutral finish
08-05-2026	Ascot	4	0.8	Neutral finish
14-04-2026	Newmarket	2	0.5	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 2 runs with an official OR. 2 earlier runs were unrated.

09-09-2025 | Leicester

Rating 76 OR Unrated

30-09-2025 | Bath

Rating 73 OR Unrated

14-04-2026 | Newmarket

Rating 87 OR 82

08-05-2026 | Ascot

Rating 84 OR 83

30-05-2026 | Carlisle

Rating -- OR 83

Open full intelligence read

ForeFurlongs Intelligence Blue Courvoisier

PRICE DEPENDENT

DEIC

Benchmark4.25

PaceFront-runner

ConsensusSTRONG

Blue Courvoisier profiles as a front-runner with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 4/6. Draw data is a slight caution. Strong/sustained finisher in a pace-pressure race

Winning Time Par 1m 39.77s

Today's distance intelligence

Runs at/similar trip4 ✓ Experienced at trip ReliabilityLOW

Last 3 trip times: 1:38.71 | 1:41.49 | 1:37.51

Last 3 trip positions: 2 | 4 | 1

Approx winning time1m 39.77s

Last win at trip-- | Carlisle | 30-05-2026

Last distance win context: vs par -- | OR 83 | weight 8-7

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
30-05-2026	Carlisle \| 8f \| Good To Firm \| Class 2	1	5/1	83	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
08-05-2026	Ascot \| 1m \| Good \| Class 4	4	9/4F	83	84	60	0.8	1:41.49	AMBER - competitive
14-04-2026	Newmarket \| 1m \| Good \| Class 4	2	11/2	82	87	83	0.5	1:38.71	GOLD - faster than par
30-09-2025	Bath \| 1m \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	2	11/8	--	73	57	3.5	1:40.81	AMBER - competitive
09-09-2025	Leicester \| 7f \| Good \| Class 4	1	6/1	--	76	68	0	1:22.58	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Well handicapped

+12lb FFR vs OR.

Benchmark Fit score 4

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 104.7 and winning TS par is around 78.4. Runner versus par: rating edge +4.3 | TS edge +4.6. Benchmark fit: 4.2.

Model agreement 4/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Track profile Race setup read

ASCOT 1m (Turf): late-speed profiles favoured | draw impact unclear. Sample size 123 (HIGH confidence).

Latest evidence Run comment

Took keen hold - led narrowly - ridden and headed over 1f out - kept on(op 13/2)