1:42 | Windsor
1:42 | Windsor | 8f
Race Confidence
56
CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR69.212 rated runners | Top OR 75: Phantom Watch
Winning par2m 07.40s0 race course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD TO SOFT, Good in places
Stalls 5f, 6f, 1m2f & 1m3f - Centre; 1m - Inside | Rail No rail note | Band 0-75 | Weather Mostly Cloudy
Race Snapshot
What the model sees
- Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
- Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
- Newfangled leads the contextual model at 27.1
- Decision type: Shortlist profile - Worth a deeper look
- Winning-time par: 2m 07.40s
Race shape
Slow-tempo positioning race
No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 12 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Race Scan + Compare
Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle
Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
| Compare | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NewfangledRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleShortlist profile | 58.8 |
4-6-4-6-3-1
Last-six snapshot
FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
07-09-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 8.5f | Standard
Wgt8st 10lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP16/1
JockeyRowan Scott
OR72
FFR90
SS96
05-08-2026
BrightonClass 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 10lb
Result6 btn 1.2L
SP9/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR74
FFR79
SS95
13-07-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 12lb
Result4 btn 2.8L
SP13/2
JockeyRob Hornby
OR76
FFR72
SS99
10-07-2026
AscotClass 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP9/2
JockeyOlivia Tubb
OR76
FFR72
SS98
25-05-2026
WindsorClass 3 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 9lb
Result3 btn 4.5L
SP12/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR76
FFR67
SS92
27-04-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 1m1½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP13/2
JockeyDaniel Tudhope
OR74
FFR76
SS102
|
9st 11lb | 4 | OR 72 | 76 | +4lb | 21 | 5.9 | -5.1 | Quick return | Down in trip | Modest field | -- | 63% | 72% | 2/6 | 102 | B | Well treated +10 | PRICE DEPENDENT | |
| Phantom WatchRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race | 48.8 |
5-2-1-4-3-2
Last-six snapshot
FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
08-08-2026
HaydockClass 5 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP3/1
JockeyLiam Wright
OR75
FFR79
SS98
26-06-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 11lb
Result2 btn 1L
SP8/13F
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR74
FFR78
SS97
19-06-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 5 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result1
SP17/2
JockeyDaniel Tudhope
OR68
FFR71
SS94
30-01-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 1m1½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP6/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR70
FFR79
SS91
28-12-2025
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP13/2
JockeyJason Watson
OR71
FFR74
SS89
29-11-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 1m½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 1.5L
SP7/2
JockeyJason Watson
OR70
FFR64
SS96
|
9st 9lb | 5 | OR 75 | 64 | -11lb | 31 | 18.5 | +16.5 | Freshened up | Same trip | Modest field | -- | 51% | 60% | 2/6 | 96 | C | Stiff -8 | CAUTION PROFILE | |
| KnowledgeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only | 43.2 |
3-5-8-8-5-1
Last-six snapshot
FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 9.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 8lb
Result3 btn 2.2L
SP2/1
JockeyHarry Davies
OR74
FFR84
SS87
13-07-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result5 btn 1.8L
SP28/1
JockeyHarry Davies
OR76
FFR74
SS96
19-06-2026
RedcarClass 4 | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result8 btn 19L
SP33/1
JockeySean D Bowen
OR79
FFR65
SS--
30-05-2026
ChesterClass 4 | 10.5f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result8 btn 0.8L
SP18/1
JockeyHarry Davies
OR81
FFR45
SS--
11-04-2026
YarmouthClass 3 | 1m2f | Good
Wgt--
Result5 btn 2L
SP17/2
JockeyJames Doyle
OR--
FFR66
SS--
17-01-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 3 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP15/2
JockeyHarry Davies
OR--
FFR66
SS--
|
9st 6lb | 1 | OR 72 | 66 | -6lb | 27 | 18.5 | +0.9 | Standard rest | Down in trip | Modest field | -- | 51% | 60% | 1/6 | 96 | C | Stiff -3 | WATCH ONLY | |
| Marsh BenhamRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only | 40.0 |
1-4-6-1-2-6
Last-six snapshot
FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
10-09-2026
EpsomClass 5 | 8.5f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 6lb
Result1
SP10/1
JockeyJack Callan
OR69
FFR66
SS88
23-08-2026
BrightonClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 0lb
Result4 btn 1.8L
SP3/1
JockeyBenoit de la Sayette
OR70
FFR70
SS91
21-08-2026
SalisburyClass 5 | 8f | Good
Wgt11st 2lb
Result6 btn 5L
SP4/1
JockeyMr Simon Walker
OR70
FFR78
SS94
23-07-2026
SandownClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 13lb
Result1
SP20/1
JockeyBenoit de la Sayette
OR66
FFR39
SS101
30-06-2026
BrightonClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result2 btn 1.5L
SP18/1
JockeyJack Callan
OR66
FFR68
SS100
01-12-2025
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 1m | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result6 btn 4L
SP25/1
JockeyCharles Bishop
OR67
FFR77
SS89
|
9st 12lb | 11 | OR 69 | 77 | +8lb | 24 | 6 | -5.9 | Quick return | Down in trip | Modest field | -- | 66% | 75% | 3/6 | 89 | A | Well treated +9 | WATCH ONLY | |
| MertounRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only | 38.2 |
4-4-1-1-2-9
Last-six snapshot
FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 8lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP7/2
JockeyRob Hornby
OR73
FFR65
SS76
31-07-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP11/8F
JockeyAlexandra Egan
OR73
FFR65
SS81
04-07-2026
CarlisleClass 6 | 8f | Good
Wgt10st 7lb
Result1
SP4/6F
JockeyAlexandra Egan
OR62
FFR66
SS88
22-06-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result1
SP8/11F
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR52
FFR69
SS--
25-05-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result2 btn 0.1L
SP3/1
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR50
FFR68
SS--
13-04-2026
LeicesterClass 4 | 7f | Good
Wgt--
Result9 btn 1L
SP40/1
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR--
FFR67
SS--
|
9st 6lb | 8 | OR 72 | 67 | -5lb | 7 | 6 | +5.1 | Standard rest | Same trip | Modest field | -- | 53% | 59% | 0/6 | 88 | B | Stiff -3 | CAUTION PROFILE | |
| Maria Da SilvaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only | 36.0 |
4-1-1-6-23
Last-six snapshot
FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
18-02-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 1m | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result4 btn 2.8L
SP11/1
JockeyNicola Currie
OR71
FFR67
SS81
06-02-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP7/4F
JockeyJason Watson
OR67
FFR75
SS96
13-01-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP8/1
JockeyNicola Currie
OR--
FFR83
SS89
03-12-2025
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 1.8L
SP8/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR--
FFR87
SS104
04-10-2025
NewmarketClass 2 | 7f | Good
Wgt--
Result23 btn 13L
SP66/1
JockeyNicola Currie
OR--
FFR79
SS102
|
9st 5lb | 6 | OR 71 | 79 | +8lb | 54 | 32 | +2.3 | Long absence | Same trip | Modest field | -- | 60% | 65% | 0/6 | 102 | C | Well treated +12 | WATCH ONLY | |
| Kiani KingRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only | 23.2 |
1-3-6-9-4-4
Last-six snapshot
FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result1
SP3/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR63
FFR73
SS93
27-07-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result3 btn 2.2L
SP9/4F
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR63
FFR75
SS93
21-05-2026
HaydockClass 5 | 7f | Soft
Wgt9st 5lb
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP22/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR65
FFR48
SS--
04-05-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt9st 6lb
Result9 btn 0.5L
SP16/1
JockeyDavid Probert
OR--
FFR52
SS--
17-04-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP25/1
JockeyCallum Hutchinson
OR--
FFR57
SS--
03-03-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP6/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR--
FFR76
SS--
|
9st 1lb | 7 | OR 67 | 76 | +9lb | 8 | 6.6 | +4.7 | Standard rest | Same trip | Modest field | -- | 60% | 65% | 1/6 | 93 | C | Well treated +9 | CAUTION PROFILE | |
| Virtue PatienceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only | 20.8 |
4-7-4-6-3-5
Last-six snapshot
FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-09-2026
SalisburyClass 5 | 8f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 0.1L
SP6/1
JockeyCharlie Tucker
OR63
FFR80
SS98
01-06-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result7 btn 1.2L
SP11/4F
JockeyDavid Probert
OR65
FFR80
SS91
15-05-2026
NewburyClass 5 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result4 btn 3.5L
SP11/2
JockeyMyla Coppins
OR67
FFR80
SS94
30-04-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 1L
SP7/1
JockeyDavid Probert
OR68
FFR61
SS102
03-01-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 1m | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP2/1F
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR68
FFR50
SS97
08-12-2025
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 0.8L
SP10/1
JockeyKieran Shoemark
OR70
FFR47
SS99
|
9st 0lb | 3 | OR 61 | 47 | -14lb | 29 | 26 | -6.9 | Standard rest | Same trip | Modest field | -- | 48% | 50% | 1/6 | 99 | D | Stiff -11 | CAUTION PROFILE | |
| RibenskaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only | 17.0 |
6-3-9-2-7-7
Last-six snapshot
FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-08-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 1lb
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP6/1
JockeyCallum Shepherd
OR72
FFR74
SS88
18-06-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 6lb
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP9/2
JockeyClifford Lee
OR72
FFR60
SS100
06-05-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard To Slow
Wgt9st 2lb
Result9 btn 0.5L
SP13/2
JockeyPaddy Bradley
OR73
FFR85
SS99
15-04-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 2.2L
SP12/1
JockeyPaddy Bradley
OR73
FFR65
SS94
31-10-2025
NewmarketClass 5 | 1m | Good
Wgt--
Result7 btn 7.5L
SP11/1
JockeyKieran Shoemark
OR75
FFR70
SS88
03-10-2025
AscotClass 4 | 7f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result7 btn 3.2L
SP18/1
JockeyMr Paul Hainey
OR76
FFR76
SS104
|
9st 10lb | 2 | OR 71 | 76 | +5lb | 14 | 22 | -5.5 | Standard rest | Up in trip | Modest field | -- | 59% | 65% | 1/6 | 104 | D | Well treated +11 | CAUTION PROFILE | |
| SquiffyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only | 13.2 |
4-1-4
Last-six snapshot
FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
11-05-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 8.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 10lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP9/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR62
FFR72
SS97
13-12-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP4/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR--
FFR84
SS100
28-11-2025
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 7L
SP50/1
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR--
FFR70
SS--
|
9st 0lb | 13 | OR 61 | 70 | +9lb | 0 | 130 | -0.6 | Long absence | Down in trip | Modest field | -- | 54% | 58% | 1/6 | 100 | E | Well treated +12 | CAUTION PROFILE | |
| Crafty BlueRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race | 4.0 |
2-2-1-9-9-9
Last-six snapshot
FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-08-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 6f | Soft
Wgt9st 1lb
Result2 btn 1.5L
SP4/1
JockeyJoe Leavy
OR72
FFR60
SS86
08-08-2026
HaydockClass 5 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP5/1
JockeySean Levey
OR69
FFR34
SS98
22-07-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result1
SP6/1
JockeySean Levey
OR65
FFR34
SS87
19-06-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 5 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result9 btn 5L
SP14/1
JockeyAlec Voikhansky
OR70
FFR67
SS--
06-05-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 8f | Standard To Slow
Wgt9st 7lb
Result9 btn 48L
SP40/1
JockeyJoe Leavy
OR73
FFR75
SS--
17-04-2026
BathClass 5 | 1m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result9 btn 2.2L
SP9/2
JockeyTyrese Cameron
OR73
FFR80
SS--
|
9st 6lb | 9 | OR 72 | 80 | +8lb | 13 | 12 | +12.1 | Standard rest | Big step up | Modest field | -- | 55% | 58% | 0/6 | 87 | E | Well treated +8 | CAUTION PROFILE | |
| AmusedRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only | 0.0 |
6-7-2-2-10-11
Last-six snapshot
FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
EpsomClass 5 | 8.5f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 2L
SP7/2J
JockeyLuke Catton
OR70
FFR34
SS89
25-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 4lb
Result7 btn 0.8L
SP9/4F
JockeyDonagh Murphy
OR70
FFR43
SS95
06-08-2026
SandownClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result2 btn 1L
SP11/2
JockeyCallum Rodriguez
OR69
FFR74
SS86
23-07-2026
SandownClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 0lb
Result2 btn 0.8L
SP25/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR67
FFR71
SS100
03-07-2026
SandownClass 4 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result10 btn 66L
SP40/1
JockeyPaddy Bradley
OR69
FFR56
SS100
09-06-2026
BrightonClass 5 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result11 btn 0.5L
SP14/1
JockeyPat Cosgrave
OR70
FFR61
SS86
|
9st 7lb | 12 | OR 68 | 61 | -7lb | 30 | 25 | -17.4 | Standard rest | Down in trip | Modest field | -- | 48% | 52% | 0/6 | 86 | D | Stiff -4 | CAUTION PROFILE |
Main Context Fit
Newfangled
Newfangled profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape
Main Danger
Phantom Watch
Nearest contextual rival.
View full racecard intelligence
Newfangled
Context profile
Model agreement
2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence
58.8
PRICE DEPENDENT
Model agreement
2/6
Fragile agreement
Quick read
Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Shortlist profile
58.8
confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form4-6-4-6-3-1
FFR76 / +4lb
Speed102
Franked21
Ground0/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw4
Wgt9st 11lb
Last 6 Finishing Positions
Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4
Wolverhampton (AW)
Finished well
07-09-2026
6
Brighton
Competitive
05-08-2026
4
Windsor
Competitive
13-07-2026
6
Ascot
Competitive
10-07-2026
3
Windsor
Run faded
25-05-2026
1
Wolverhampton (AW)
Strong run
27-04-2026
Race form proof
Strongly franked
Form strength unproven
Proof rating21
2winners since
7placers since
14evidence pts
09-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Finished 4
Beat named rivals
Chalk Mountain (GB), Commander Of Life (IRE), Dixieland Blues (GB)
Later placers
Helm Rock (GB) (05-09-2026), Song N Dance (GB) (05-09-2026)
08-05-2026 | Brighton
Finished 6
Beat named rivals
Giant (GB), Here I Bow (FR), Play Me (GB)
Race produced winner
Play Me (GB)
Later placers
Giant (GB) (04-07-2026), Tex (FR) (05-09-2026)
06-11-2025 | Kempton (AW)
Finished 12
Beat named rivals
Landing Board (IRE)
Race produced winner
Port Road (USA)
Later placers
Berry Clever (GB) (04-06-2026), Giant (GB) (09-12-2025)
Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read
Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status
PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement2/6
FFR76
Speed102
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+4lb near mark
FFR 76
pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
102
Par 100
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation
Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeShortlist profileThere is useful evidence, but the horse still needs normal price, risk and race checks.
Model score27.1Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest +4lb | peak +18lb treated as ceiling | public read +10lb
Today's conditions match
63%
Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground
78%
Class
51%
Pace shape
50%
Track / draw
50%
Handicap
86%
Best fit Handicap
Question Pace shape
Ground evidence
Testing
No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground
Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing
3
0W / 1P
Peak rating 53
Good
7
1W / 2P
Peak rating 78
Fast
9
1W / 6P
Peak rating 79
All-weather
14
4W / 7P
Peak rating 81
Placement evidence
72%
Positive placement clues
Trip evidence
94%
Class fit
52%
Mark room
82%
Stable setup
66%
Recent evidence
68%
Proven trip profile (B)20 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +10lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +4lb | peak +18lb treated as ceiling | public read +10lb
Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity
Well treated
Latest +4lb | peak +18lb treated as ceiling | public read +10lb
Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.
Today's OR 72 | Latest FFR 76 | Best FFR 90 | Public mark read +10Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged
No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.
Predictive edge
Predictive support
Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward
confidence nudge
+2.8
Variance
Very steady
3.2% volatility
Bounce
No bounce signal
Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run
No hidden upgrade
Upgrade 0
Ceiling
Par capable
2.4 vs par
Curve
Edging forward
Trend 1
Pace & Finish Fit
No clear style
Evidence
Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence
Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile20
DEIB
ReliabilityHIGH
| Date | Course | Going | Pos | Time | Secs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07-2026 | Ascot | Good To Firm | 6 | 1:39.94 | 99.9 |
| 13-07-2026 | Windsor | Good To Firm | 4 | 1:41.43 | 101.4 |
| 05-08-2026 | Brighton | Good To Firm | 6 | 1:38.07 | 98.1 |
Extra Intelligence
Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF
40%
Trainer form is steady
Freshness
7 days
Recent fitness window
Micro score
-0.2
no recent matched-ground timing evidence; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match
0/3
Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP16/1
OwnerBerkeley Racing
Pedigree
New Bay × Dangle (Desert Style)
Profile Signals
Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Market note
No verified market note available.
Model impact
Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.
Recent Evidence
Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish
Avg beaten 1.4L
| Date | Course | Pos | Beaten | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 4 | 0.3 | Fast finish |
| 05-08-2026 | Brighton | 6 | 1.2 | Neutral finish |
| 13-07-2026 | Windsor | 4 | 2.8 | Neutral finish |
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 1 runs with an official OR.
27-04-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
25-05-2026 | Windsor
10-07-2026 | Ascot
13-07-2026 | Windsor
05-08-2026 | Brighton
07-09-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs20
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par2m 07.40s
Last win at trip1:35.16 | Brighton | 29-09-2025
Recent times1:39.94 | 1:41.43 | 1:38.07
Recent positions6 | 4 | 6
Winning contextvs par -32.24s | OR 71
Last 6 runs
| Date | Conditions | Result | SP | OR | Rating | TS | Beaten | Time | FF Timing Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 8.5f | Standard | Class 4 | 4 | 16/1 | 72 | -- | -- | 0.3 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 05-08-2026 | Brighton | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 4 | 6 | 9/1 | 74 | -- | -- | 1.2 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 13-07-2026 | Windsor | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 4 | 4 | 13/2 | 76 | -- | -- | 2.8 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 10-07-2026 | Ascot | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 4 | 6 | 9/2 | 76 | -- | -- | 0.5 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 25-05-2026 | Windsor | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 3 | 3 | 12/1 | 76 | -- | -- | 4.5 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 27-04-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 1m1½f | Standard | Class 4 | 1 | 13/2 | 74 | 81 | 43 | 0 | 1:59.64 | GOLD - faster than par |
Handicap
Well treated
Latest +4lb | peak +18lb treated as ceiling | public read +10lb.
Benchmark
Fit score 0
Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 76.8 and winning TS par is around 54.8. Runner versus par: rating edge +0.1. Benchmark fit: 0.3.
Model agreement
2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Phantom Watch
Context profile
Model agreement
2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence
48.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Model agreement
2/6
Fragile agreement
Quick read
Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Best of a weak race
48.8
confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form5-2-1-4-3-2
FFR64 / -11lb
Speed96
Franked31
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt9st 9lb
Last 6 Finishing Positions
Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
5
Haydock
Finished well
08-08-2026
2
Newmarket (July)
Solid effort
26-06-2026
1
Newmarket (July)
Finished well
19-06-2026
4
Wolverhampton (AW)
Competitive
30-01-2026
3
Southwell (AW)
Solid effort
28-12-2025
2
Wolverhampton (AW)
Solid effort
29-11-2025
Race form proof
Strongly franked
Form strength unproven
Proof rating31
5winners since
6placers since
10evidence pts
08-08-2026 | Haydock
Finished 5
Beat named rivals
Golden Mabel (GB)
07-03-2025 | Newbury
Finished 3
Beat named rivals
Aba Maajid (IRE), Goldwork (GB), Kalokalo (IRE)
Race produced winner
Kalokalo (IRE), Sea Cookie (IRE)
Later placers
Goldwork (GB) (04-08-2026)
08-02-2025 | Goodwood
Finished 10
Beat named rivals
My Old Mate (IRE), Receding (IRE)
Race produced winner
Evanesco (GB), Ghost Mode (IRE)
Later placers
Arbaawy (GB) (10-04-2025), Aspect Island (GB) (10-10-2025)
Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read
Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Status
CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR64
Speed96
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-11lb below mark
FFR 64
pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
96
Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning
Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score48.7Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CLOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -11lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb
Today's conditions match
51%
Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground
66%
Class
54%
Pace shape
50%
Track / draw
50%
Handicap
36%
Best fit Trip / ground
Question Handicap
Ground evidence
Testing
No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground
Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing
1
0W / 0P
Peak rating 52
Good
3
1W / 2P
Peak rating 72
Fast
2
0W / 2P
Peak rating 72
All-weather
5
0W / 2P
Peak rating 66
Placement evidence
60%
Neutral placement read
Trip evidence
63%
Class fit
67%
Mark room
28%
Stable setup
66%
Recent evidence
76%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -11lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb
Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity
Mark looks stiff
Latest -11lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb
Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.
Today's OR 75 | Latest FFR 64 | Best FFR 79 | Public mark read -8Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged
No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.
Predictive edge
Small positive nudge
Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable
confidence nudge
+0.8
Variance
Very steady
3.4% volatility
Bounce
No bounce signal
Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run
No hidden upgrade
Upgrade 0
Ceiling
Below requirement
-1.9 vs par
Curve
Stable
Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit
No clear style
Evidence
Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence
Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile4
DEIC
ReliabilityLOW
| Date | Course | Going | Pos | Time | Secs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19-06-2026 | Newmarket (July) | Good | 1 | 1:37.97 | 98 |
| 26-06-2026 | Newmarket (July) | Good To Firm | 2 | 1:38.62 | 98.6 |
| 08-08-2026 | Haydock | Good | 5 | 1:41.80 | 101.8 |
Extra Intelligence
Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF
47%
Trainer form is steady
Freshness
37 days
Recent fitness window
Micro score
+0.8
recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: v; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match
2/3
Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearvDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP3/1
OwnerAmbrose Racing Club Ltd
Pedigree
Mohaather × Abhasana (Hawk Wing)
Profile Signals
Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment
No recent race comment available.
Market note
No verified market note available.
Model impact
Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.
Recent Evidence
Last 3 runs
3/3 fast finish
Avg beaten 0.4L
| Date | Course | Pos | Beaten | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08-2026 | Haydock | 5 | 0.3 | Fast finish |
| 26-06-2026 | Newmarket (July) | 2 | 1 | Fast finish |
| 19-06-2026 | Newmarket (July) | 1 | 0 | Fast finish |
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 3 runs with an official OR.
29-11-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW)
28-12-2025 | Southwell (AW)
30-01-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
19-06-2026 | Newmarket (July)
26-06-2026 | Newmarket (July)
08-08-2026 | Haydock
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs4
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par2m 07.40s
Last win at trip-- | Newmarket (July) | 19-06-2026
Recent times1:37.97 | 1:38.62 | 1:41.80
Recent positions1 | 2 | 5
Winning contextOR 68 | weight 9-7
Last 6 runs
| Date | Conditions | Result | SP | OR | Rating | TS | Beaten | Time | FF Timing Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08-2026 | Haydock | 8f | Good | Class 5 | 5 | 3/1 | 75 | -- | -- | 0.3 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 26-06-2026 | Newmarket (July) | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 5 | 2 | 8/13F | 74 | -- | -- | 1 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 19-06-2026 | Newmarket (July) | 8f | Good | Class 5 | 1 | 17/2 | 68 | -- | -- | 0 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 30-01-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 1m1½f | Standard | Class 5 | 4 | 6/1 | 70 | 59 | 47 | 1.2 | 2:01.79 | GOLD - faster than par |
| 28-12-2025 | Southwell (AW) | 1m | Standard | Class 4 | 3 | 13/2 | 71 | 66 | 29 | 0.3 | 1:43.56 | GOLD - faster than par |
| 29-11-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 1m½f | Standard | Class 5 | 2 | 7/2 | 70 | 66 | 9 | 1.5 | 1:52.15 | GOLD - faster than par |
Handicap
Mark looks stiff
Latest -11lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb.
Benchmark
Fit score 1
Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 76.8 and winning TS par is around 54.8. Runner versus par: rating edge +6.1. Benchmark fit: 0.9.
Model agreement
2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Knowledge
Context profile
Model agreement
1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence
43.2
WATCH ONLY
Model agreement
1/6
Low agreement
Quick read
Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only
43.2
confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form3-5-8-8-5-1
FFR66 / -6lb
Speed96
Franked27
Ground0/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 6lb
Last 6 Finishing Positions
Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3
Wolverhampton (AW)
Solid effort
01-09-2026
5
Windsor
Competitive
13-07-2026
8
Redcar
Steady run
19-06-2026
8
Chester
Competitive
30-05-2026
5
Yarmouth
Run faded
11-04-2026
1
Southwell (AW)
Strong run
17-01-2026
Race form proof
Positive franked form
Form strength unproven
Proof rating27
2winners since
1placers since
5evidence pts
09-01-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Finished 3
Beat named rivals
Lux Aeterna (GB), Silken Bay (IRE), Variety Act (GER)
Race produced winner
Lucky Luna (IRE), Silken Bay (IRE)
Later placers
Booziebrunch (IRE) (04-02-2026)
Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read
Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Status
WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR66
Speed96
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-6lb below mark
FFR 66
pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
96
Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile
Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score33.1Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CLOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -6lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb
Today's conditions match
51%
Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground
66%
Class
51%
Pace shape
50%
Track / draw
50%
Handicap
36%
Best fit Trip / ground
Question Handicap
Ground evidence
Testing
No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground
Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing
0
0W / 0P
Peak rating --
Good
3
0W / 0P
Peak rating 65
Fast
1
0W / 0P
Peak rating --
All-weather
2
1W / 2P
Peak rating 75
Placement evidence
60%
Neutral placement read
Trip evidence
68%
Class fit
54%
Mark room
43%
Stable setup
66%
Recent evidence
68%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -6lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb
Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity
Mark looks stiff
Latest -6lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb
Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.
Today's OR 72 | Latest FFR 66 | Best FFR 84 | Public mark read -3Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged
No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.
Predictive edge
Small positive nudge
Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Edging forward
confidence nudge
+0.2
Variance
Developing
Consistency developing
Bounce
No bounce signal
Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run
No hidden upgrade
Upgrade 0
Ceiling
Below requirement
-4.5 vs par
Curve
Edging forward
Trend 1
Pace & Finish Fit
No clear style
Evidence
Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence
Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile2
DEIC
ReliabilityLOW
| Date | Course | Going | Pos | Time | Secs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17-01-2026 | Southwell (AW) | Standard | 1 | 1:43.66 | 103.7 |
| 13-07-2026 | Windsor | Good To Firm | 5 | 1:41.72 | 101.7 |
Extra Intelligence
Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF
62%
Yard in a positive recent rhythm
Freshness
13 days
Recent fitness window
Micro score
+0.8
trainer RTF positive at 62%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: v; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match
0/2
Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearvDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP2/1
OwnerHighclere Thoroughbred Racing Walnut
Pedigree
Sea The Stars × Bespangled (Dubawi)
Profile Signals
Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment
No recent race comment available.
Market note
No verified market note available.
Model impact
Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.
Recent Evidence
Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish
Avg beaten 7.7L
| Date | Course | Pos | Beaten | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-09-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 3 | 2.2 | Fast finish |
| 13-07-2026 | Windsor | 5 | 1.8 | Neutral finish |
| 19-06-2026 | Redcar | 8 | 19 | Neutral finish |
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 2 earlier runs were unrated.
17-01-2026 | Southwell (AW)
11-04-2026 | Yarmouth
30-05-2026 | Chester
19-06-2026 | Redcar
13-07-2026 | Windsor
01-09-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par2m 07.40s
Last win at trip1:43.66 | Southwell (AW) | 17-01-2026
Recent times1:43.66 | 1:41.72
Recent positions1 | 5
Winning contextvs par -23.74s
Last 6 runs
| Date | Conditions | Result | SP | OR | Rating | TS | Beaten | Time | FF Timing Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-09-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 9.5f | Standard | Class 5 | 3 | 2/1 | 74 | -- | -- | 2.2 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 13-07-2026 | Windsor | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 4 | 5 | 28/1 | 76 | -- | -- | 1.8 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 19-06-2026 | Redcar | 10f | Good | Class 4 | 8 | 33/1 | 79 | -- | -- | 19 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 30-05-2026 | Chester | 10.5f | Good | Class 4 | 8 | 18/1 | 81 | -- | -- | 0.8 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 11-04-2026 | Yarmouth | 1m2f | Good | Class 3 | 5 | 17/2 | -- | 65 | 52 | 2 | 2:10.64 | GREY - below benchmark |
| 17-01-2026 | Southwell (AW) | 1m | Standard | Class 3 | 1 | 15/2 | -- | 75 | 23 | 0 | 1:43.66 | GOLD - faster than par |
Handicap
Mark looks stiff
Latest -6lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb.
Benchmark
Fit score 0
Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 76.8 and winning TS par is around 54.8. Runner versus par: rating edge +1.1. Benchmark fit: 0.3.
Model agreement
1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Marsh Benham
Distance specialist
Model agreement
3/6
Mixed agreement
Decision Confidence
40.0
WATCH ONLY
Model agreement
3/6
Mixed agreement
Quick read
Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.
Watch only
40.0
confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form1-4-6-1-2-6
FFR77 / +8lb
Speed89
Franked24
Ground1/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw11
Wgt9st 12lb
Last 6 Finishing Positions
Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1
Epsom
Strong run
10-09-2026
4
Brighton
Competitive
23-08-2026
6
Salisbury
Run faded
21-08-2026
1
Sandown
Strong run
23-07-2026
2
Brighton
Solid effort
30-06-2026
6
Kempton (AW)
Run faded
01-12-2025
Race form proof
Strongly franked
Form strength unproven
Proof rating24
3winners since
8placers since
11evidence pts
04-12-2025 | Brighton
Finished 6
Later placers
Shaw Park (IRE) (09-01-2026)
07-10-2025 | Epsom
Finished 7
Beat named rivals
Buy The Dip (GB), Silver Nightfall (GB), Virtue Patience (GB)
Later placers
Buy The Dip (GB) (06-01-2026), Golden Circet (IRE) (10-10-2025)
06-09-2025 | Brighton
Finished 6
Beat named rivals
Cooperation (IRE), Twirler (GB), Under Curfew (GB)
Race produced winner
Kracking (GB), Time Patrol (GB)
Later placers
Bint Havana Gold (GB) (05-06-2026), Cooperation (IRE) (09-11-2025)
Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read
Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.
Status
WATCH ONLY
Agreement3/6
FFR77
Speed89
ConditionsPositive fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+8lb ahead of mark
FFR 77
pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
89
Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile
Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score26.3Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match
66%
Positive conditions match
Trip / ground
90%
Class
51%
Pace shape
50%
Track / draw
50%
Handicap
86%
Best fit Trip / ground
Question Pace shape
Ground evidence
Testing
Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground
Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing
13
5W / 7P
Peak rating 79
Good
13
1W / 1P
Peak rating 77
Fast
13
2W / 7P
Peak rating 73
All-weather
2
0W / 0P
Peak rating 61
Placement evidence
75%
Positive placement clues
Trip evidence
100%
Class fit
52%
Mark room
79%
Stable setup
66%
Recent evidence
76%
Proven trip profile (A)29 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +9lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR
Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity
Well treated
Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR
Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.
Today's OR 69 | Latest FFR 77 | Best FFR 78 | Public mark read +9Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged
No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.
Predictive edge
Neutral predictive read
Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Cooling
confidence nudge
+0.0
Variance
Reliable
5.1% volatility
Bounce
No bounce signal
Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run
No hidden upgrade
Upgrade 0
Ceiling
Par capable
0.6 vs par
Curve
Cooling
Trend -1
Pace & Finish Fit
No clear style
Evidence
Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence
Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile29
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
| Date | Course | Going | Pos | Time | Secs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23-07-2026 | Sandown | Good To Firm | 1 | 1:45.40 | 105.4 |
| 21-08-2026 | Salisbury | Good | 6 | 1:49.49 | 109.5 |
| 23-08-2026 | Brighton | Good To Firm | 4 | 1:35.24 | 95.2 |
Extra Intelligence
Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.0 micro score
Trainer RTF
59%
Trainer form is steady
Freshness
4 days
Quick return
Micro score
+0.0
API past-result flags present
Ground timing match
1/3
Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP10/1
OwnerThe Red House Racing Club
Pedigree
Galileo Gold × Zelie Martin (Invincible Spirit)
Profile Signals
Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment
No recent race comment available.
Market note
No verified market note available.
Model impact
Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.
Recent Evidence
Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish
Avg beaten 2.3L
| Date | Course | Pos | Beaten | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09-2026 | Epsom | 1 | 0 | Neutral finish |
| 23-08-2026 | Brighton | 4 | 1.8 | Neutral finish |
| 21-08-2026 | Salisbury | 6 | 5 | Run faded |
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 1 runs with an official OR.
01-12-2025 | Kempton (AW)
30-06-2026 | Brighton
23-07-2026 | Sandown
21-08-2026 | Salisbury
23-08-2026 | Brighton
10-09-2026 | Epsom
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs29
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par2m 07.40s
Last win at trip-- | Sandown | 23-07-2026
Recent times1:45.40 | 1:49.49 | 1:35.24
Recent positions1 | 6 | 4
Winning contextOR 66 | weight 9-13
Last 6 runs
| Date | Conditions | Result | SP | OR | Rating | TS | Beaten | Time | FF Timing Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09-2026 | Epsom | 8.5f | Good To Soft | Class 5 | 1 | 10/1 | 69 | -- | -- | 0 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 23-08-2026 | Brighton | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 5 | 4 | 3/1 | 70 | -- | -- | 1.8 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 21-08-2026 | Salisbury | 8f | Good | Class 5 | 6 | 4/1 | 70 | -- | -- | 5 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 23-07-2026 | Sandown | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 5 | 1 | 20/1 | 66 | -- | -- | 0 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 30-06-2026 | Brighton | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 5 | 2 | 18/1 | 66 | -- | -- | 1.5 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 01-12-2025 | Kempton (AW) | 1m | Standard To Slow | Class 5 | 6 | 25/1 | 67 | 56 | 34 | 4 | 1:42.86 | GOLD - faster than par |
Handicap
Well treated
Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR.
Benchmark
Fit score 0
Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 76.8 and winning TS par is around 54.8. Runner versus par: rating edge +0.1. Benchmark fit: 0.3.
Model agreement
3/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Mertoun
Context profile
Model agreement
0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence
38.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Model agreement
0/6
Low agreement
Quick read
Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Watch only
38.2
confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkClass benchmark is a concern
Form4-4-1-1-2-9
FFR67 / -5lb
Speed88
Franked7
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw8
Wgt9st 6lb
Last 6 Finishing Positions
Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4
Newmarket (July)
Competitive
20-08-2026
4
Newmarket (July)
Competitive
31-07-2026
1
Carlisle
Strong run
04-07-2026
1
Windsor
Strong run
22-06-2026
2
Windsor
Solid effort
25-05-2026
9
Leicester
Competitive
13-04-2026
Race form proof
Strongly franked
Form strength unproven
Proof rating7
0winners since
5placers since
8evidence pts
07-04-2026 | Carlisle
Finished 1
Beat named rivals
Book Of Life (GB), Captain Pickles (IRE), Misemerald (IRE)
Later placers
Misemerald (IRE) (08-07-2026)
10-02-2025 | Salisbury
Finished 6
Beat named rivals
Phantom Shadow (FR), Sergei Breeze (GB)
Later placers
Atalanta Mist (GB) (06-05-2026), Battosai (IRE) (07-03-2026)
Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read
Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status
CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement0/6
FFR67
Speed88
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-5lb below mark
FFR 67
pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
88
Par 100
Best reasonInteresting profile, but the current SpeedScore is light
Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score37.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BMEDIUM
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest FFR read -3lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match
53%
Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground
78%
Class
50%
Pace shape
50%
Track / draw
50%
Handicap
36%
Best fit Trip / ground
Question Handicap
Ground evidence
Testing
No recent testing sample; best evidence is on good ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on good ground
Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing
1
0W / 0P
Peak rating 25
Good
3
1W / 1P
Peak rating 56
Fast
4
1W / 2P
Peak rating --
All-weather
0
0W / 0P
Peak rating --
Placement evidence
59%
Neutral placement read
Trip evidence
86%
Class fit
40%
Mark room
43%
Stable setup
66%
Recent evidence
58%
Proven trip profile (B)5 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concernCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read -3lb versus today's OR
Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity
Mark looks stiff
Latest FFR read -3lb versus today's OR
Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.
Today's OR 72 | Latest FFR 67 | Best FFR 69 | Public mark read -3Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged
No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.
Predictive edge
Small positive nudge
Reliable; Mild bounce watch; No hidden upgrade; Needs a new peak; Improving
confidence nudge
+0.2
Variance
Reliable
6.1% volatility
Bounce
Mild bounce watch
Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run
No hidden upgrade
Upgrade 0
Ceiling
Needs a new peak
-11.9 vs par
Curve
Improving
Trend 2
Pace & Finish Fit
No clear style
Evidence
Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence
Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile5
DEIB
ReliabilityMEDIUM
| Date | Course | Going | Pos | Time | Secs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07-2026 | Carlisle | Good | 1 | 1:40.55 | 100.5 |
| 31-07-2026 | Newmarket (July) | Good To Firm | 4 | 1:38.99 | 99 |
| 20-08-2026 | Newmarket (July) | Good To Firm | 4 | 1:38.53 | 98.5 |
Extra Intelligence
Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF
38%
Trainer form is steady
Freshness
25 days
Recent fitness window
Micro score
+0.2
recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match
1/3
Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP7/2
OwnerMr P. W. Harris
Pedigree
Oasis Dream × Dubious Affair (Frankel)
Profile Signals
Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment
No recent race comment available.
Market note
No verified market note available.
Model impact
Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.
Recent Evidence
Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish
Avg beaten 0.3L
| Date | Course | Pos | Beaten | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20-08-2026 | Newmarket (July) | 4 | 0.3 | Neutral finish |
| 31-07-2026 | Newmarket (July) | 4 | 0.5 | Neutral finish |
| 04-07-2026 | Carlisle | 1 | 0 | Neutral finish |
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 1 earlier run was unrated.
13-04-2026 | Leicester
25-05-2026 | Windsor
22-06-2026 | Windsor
04-07-2026 | Carlisle
31-07-2026 | Newmarket (July)
20-08-2026 | Newmarket (July)
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs5
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par2m 07.40s
Last win at trip-- | Carlisle | 04-07-2026
Recent times1:40.55 | 1:38.99 | 1:38.53
Recent positions1 | 4 | 4
Winning contextOR 62 | weight 10-7
Last 6 runs
| Date | Conditions | Result | SP | OR | Rating | TS | Beaten | Time | FF Timing Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20-08-2026 | Newmarket (July) | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 5 | 4 | 7/2 | 73 | -- | -- | 0.3 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 31-07-2026 | Newmarket (July) | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 5 | 4 | 11/8F | 73 | -- | -- | 0.5 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 04-07-2026 | Carlisle | 8f | Good | Class 6 | 1 | 4/6F | 62 | -- | -- | 0 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 22-06-2026 | Windsor | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 6 | 1 | 8/11F | 52 | -- | -- | 0 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 25-05-2026 | Windsor | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 6 | 2 | 3/1 | 50 | -- | -- | 0.1 | -- | GREY - no timing read |
| 13-04-2026 | Leicester | 7f | Good | Class 4 | 9 | 40/1 | -- | 34 | 13 | 1 | 1:27.22 | GOLD - faster than par |
Handicap
Mark looks stiff
Latest FFR read -3lb versus today's OR.
Benchmark
Fit score 0
Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 76.8 and winning TS par is around 54.8. Runner versus par: rating edge -4.8. Benchmark fit: 0.
Model agreement
0/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Maria Da Silva
Context profile
Model agreement
0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence
36.0
WATCH ONLY
Model agreement
0/6
Low agreement
Quick read
Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only
36.0
confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form4-1-1-6-23
FFR79 / +8lb
Speed102
Franked54
Ground0/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt9st 5lb
Kiani King
Context profile
Model agreement
1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence
23.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Model agreement
1/6
Low agreement
Quick read
Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only
23.2
confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (C)
Main checkClass benchmark is a concern
Form1-3-6-9-4-4
FFR76 / +9lb
Speed93
Franked8
Ground0/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 1lb
Virtue Patience
Context profile
Model agreement
1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence
20.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Model agreement
1/6
Low agreement
Quick read
Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only
20.8
confidence
Why consider9 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form4-7-4-6-3-5
FFR47 / -14lb
Speed99
Franked29
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw3
Wgt9st 0lb
Ribenska
Context profile
Model agreement
1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence
17.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Model agreement
1/6
Low agreement
Quick read
Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only
17.0
confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +11lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form6-3-9-2-7-7
FFR76 / +5lb
Speed104
Franked14
Ground1/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw2
Wgt9st 10lb
Squiffy
Context profile
Model agreement
1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence
13.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Model agreement
1/6
Low agreement
Quick read
Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only
13.2
confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-1-4
FFR70 / +9lb
Speed100
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw13
Wgt9st 0lb
Crafty Blue
Context profile
Model agreement
0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence
4.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Model agreement
0/6
Low agreement
Quick read
Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race
4.0
confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +8lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form2-2-1-9-9-9
FFR80 / +8lb
Speed87
Franked13
Ground2/3 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassDown in class
Draw9
Wgt9st 6lb
Amused
Context profile
Model agreement
0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence
--
CAUTION PROFILE
Model agreement
0/6
Low agreement
Quick read
Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only
0.0
confidence
Why consider6 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form6-7-2-2-10-11
FFR61 / -7lb
Speed86
Franked30
Ground0/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw12
Wgt9st 7lb
No recent race comment available.