Racecards Pro | ForeFurlongs

2:15 | Catterick

2:15 | Catterick | 12f

Class 5 | Good | Download The Raceday Ready App Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 36 WATCH ONLY

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR63.77 rated runners | Top OR 70: Austrian Theory

Winning par2m 36.63s1 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 7.4)

Stalls 6f - Centre; Remainder - Inside | Rail No rail note | Band 0-70 | Weather Overcast & Showers

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Spanish Hustle leads the contextual model at 23.3
Decision type: Watch only - Needs more proof
Winning-time par: 2m 36.63s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 7 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Spanish HustleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	46.8	5-5-6-6-12-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 12f \| Good Wgt10st 5lb Result5 btn 0.3L SP12/1 JockeyMiss Kayleigh Williams OR64 FFR50 SS102 01-08-2026 HamiltonClass 4 \| 13f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result5 btn 1.8L SP40/1 JockeyKaiya Fraser OR67 FFR39 SS107 11-07-2026 HamiltonClass 5 \| 11f \| Good Wgt9st 11lb Result6 btn 3.5L SP7/1 JockeyRhys Elliott OR69 FFR60 SS97 19-06-2026 AyrClass 4 \| 10f \| Soft Wgt8st 11lb Result6 btn 1L SP50/1 JockeyAmie Waugh OR71 FFR58 SS100 31-05-2026 ThirskClass 4 \| 12f \| Good Wgt8st 6lb Result12 btn 13L SP80/1 JockeyRhys Elliott OR73 FFR74 SS92 17-05-2026 HamiltonClass 3 \| 13f \| Good Wgt8st 2lb Result10 btn 6L SP80/1 JockeyRhys Elliott OR74 FFR59 SS92	10st 10lb	2	OR 64	59	-5lb	21	1000	-13.1	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	61%	68%	3/6	92	A	Near mark -2	WATCH ONLY
2	Austrian TheoryRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	44.8	3-5-8-5-7-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 12f \| Good Wgt10st 13lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP9/4F JockeyMr Thomas Easterby OR70 FFR48 SS93 25-07-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 4 \| 12.5f \| Standard / Slow Wgt9st 3lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP50/1 JockeyJake Dickson OR72 FFR73 SS100 24-06-2026 CarlisleClass 4 \| 11f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result8 btn 0.3L SP20/1 JockeyJake Dickson OR74 FFR70 SS88 12-06-2026 YorkClass 4 \| 10.5f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result5 btn 2.2L SP18/1 JockeyDavid Allan OR74 FFR45 SS97 28-05-2026 RiponClass 3 \| 10f \| Good Wgt8st 10lb Result7 btn 4.5L SP20/1 JockeyCam Hardie OR77 FFR74 SS97 15-05-2026 HamiltonClass 4 \| 9f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result9 btn 6L SP4/1 JockeyOisin Orr OR79 FFR75 SS108	11st 2lb	5	OR 70	75	+5lb	66	16/1	-0.9	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	55%	61%	2/6	108	E	Workable +5	WATCH ONLY
3	MarinerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	37.5	4-1-4-3-9-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 12f \| Good Wgt10st 11lb Result4 btn 6.5L SP9/1 JockeyMr Jamie Neild OR65 FFR50 SS106 01-08-2026 DoncasterClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result1 SP7/4 JockeyJude Fernandes OR62 FFR38 SS100 23-07-2026 DoncasterClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result4 btn 1L SP13/2 JockeyJack Callan OR62 FFR56 SS98 25-06-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 8.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result3 btn 2.2L SP9/2 JockeyJude Fernandes OR63 FFR56 SS99 12-06-2026 ChesterClass 5 \| 7.5f \| Soft Wgt9st 4lb Result9 btn 1.8L SP40/1 JockeyGeorge Wood OR65 FFR66 SS97 18-05-2026 RedcarClass 5 \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result8 btn 1L SP7/1 JockeyDarragh Keenan OR66 FFR61 SS98	10st 11lb	1	OR 65	61	-4lb	42	100/1	+9.2	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	50%	54%	2/6	98	E	Near mark -1	PRICE DEPENDENT
4	StellarmasterpieceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	36.8	1-1-1-1-6-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 12f \| Good Wgt10st 9lb Result1 SP7/2 JockeyMiss Becky Smith OR63 FFR83 SS99 19-07-2026 StratfordClass 5 \| 18.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt11st 3lb Result1 SP10/11F JockeySean Bowen OR85 FFR52 SS114 30-06-2026 StratfordClass 5 \| 18.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 7lb Result1 SP4/1 JockeySean Bowen OR77 FFR103 SS100 30-05-2026 StratfordClass 5 \| 16.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 10lb Result1 SP5/4F JockeySean Bowen OR71 FFR102 SS100 11-05-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 16f \| Good Wgt9st 11lb Result6 btn 2L SP15/2 JockeyAiden Brookes OR64 FFR104 SS117 22-04-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 1m6f \| Good Wgt-- Result3 btn 2L SP5/1 JockeyAiden Brookes OR65 FFR81 SS109	10st 9lb	3	OR 63	81	+18lb	26	5.8	+2.3	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	68%	74%	2/6	109	A+	Well treated +12	PRICE DEPENDENT
5	Star StartRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	28.0	2-1-2-3-5-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 12lb Result2 btn 1.5L SP9/2 JockeyMiss Charli Parker OR57 FFR39 SS96 05-08-2026 PontefractClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 6lb Result1 SP11/4F JockeyMiss Charli Parker OR55 FFR56 SS92 28-07-2026 BeverleyClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 3lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP5/2F JockeyMiss Charli Parker OR55 FFR61 SS96 14-07-2026 BeverleyClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP17/2 JockeyJames Sullivan OR55 FFR65 SS83 29-06-2026 PontefractClass 5 \| 10f \| Good Wgt10st 0lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP16/1 JockeyMiss Charli Parker OR57 FFR70 SS97 09-05-2026 LeicesterClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result8 btn 3.2L SP9/1 JockeyJames Sullivan OR59 FFR74 SS97	10st 3lb	4	OR 57	74	+17lb	39	1000	+8.5	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	59%	64%	1/6	97	D	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
6	ShahbazRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	26.8	6-6-6-4-2-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 12f \| Good Wgt10st 6lb Result6 btn 12L SP20/1 JockeyMiss Brodie Hampson OR60 FFR72 SS101 03-08-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 10lb Result6 btn 1L SP12/1 JockeyMiss Brodie Hampson OR62 FFR80 SS98 16-07-2026 EpsomClass 4 \| 12f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result6 btn 9.5L SP14/1 JockeyMiss Brodie Hampson OR64 FFR78 SS95 14-02-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.8L SP5/1 JockeyMiss Brodie Hampson OR65 FFR59 SS90 02-02-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 1L SP11/8F JockeyMiss Brodie Hampson OR64 FFR62 SS99 03-01-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 1m3f \| Standard Wgt-- Result8 btn 0.8L SP66/1 JockeyWilliam Cox OR67 FFR37 SS97	10st 6lb	6	OR 60	37	-23lb	11	50/1	-11.8	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	51%	2/6	97	D	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Super HitRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	24.8	7-3-1-3-1-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 12f \| Good Wgt10st 13lb Result7 btn 29L SP100/30 JockeyMr Henry Callan OR67 FFR42 SS92 01-08-2026 DoncasterClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result3 btn 4.8L SP6/5F JockeyChristian Howarth OR67 FFR76 SS100 20-07-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result1 SP3/1 JockeyRossa Ryan OR64 FFR60 SS100 07-07-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP13/8F JockeyChristian Howarth OR62 FFR67 SS99 01-07-2026 EpsomClass 5 \| 10f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result1 SP9/1 JockeyChristian Howarth OR62 FFR52 SS101 19-06-2026 RedcarClass 6 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result4 btn 1L SP5/1 JockeyJason Hart OR63 FFR39 SS101	10st 13lb	7	OR 67	39	-28lb	35	1000	+5.8	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	45%	41%	1/6	101	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Spanish Hustle

Spanish Hustle profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 3/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Austrian Theory

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Spanish Hustle Distance specialist

Model agreement 3/6

Mixed agreement

Decision Confidence 46.8

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.

Watch only 46.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form5-5-6-6-12-10

FFR59 / -5lb

Speed92

Franked21

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt10st 10lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

5 Catterick Competitive 17-08-2026

5 Hamilton Competitive 01-08-2026

6 Hamilton Steady run 11-07-2026

6 Ayr Competitive 19-06-2026

12 Thirsk Steady run 31-05-2026

10 Hamilton Steady run 17-05-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating21

3winners since

4placers since

11evidence pts

08-01-2026 | Hamilton Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Eroico (IRE), Gentle Warrior (IRE), High Point (IRE)

Later placers

Gallus Norman (GB) (06-04-2026), Wootton's Gal (GB) (06-03-2026)

07-12-2025 | Hamilton Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Ancient Myth (IRE), Tafsir (USA), Two Auld Pals (IRE)

Later placers

Tafsir (USA) (08-12-2025)

06-05-2025 | Hamilton Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Ebony Maw (GB), Model Approach (IRE), Sea Legend (FR)

Race produced winner

Ebony Maw (GB), Model Approach (IRE)

Later placers

Dreams Adozen (FR) (10-06-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.

Status WATCH ONLY

Agreement3/6

FFR59

Speed92

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR-5lb below mark

FFR 59 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

92 Par 100

Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score23.3Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI AMEDIUM

Mark readNear markLatest -5lb | peak +10lb treated as ceiling | public read -2lb

Today's conditions match 61% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 55%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 58%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Pace shape

Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs5/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandTesting

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 14 4W / 6P Peak rating 79

Good 16 2W / 6P Peak rating 81

Fast 5 1W / 2P Peak rating 74

All-weather 3 0W / 0P Peak rating 72

Placement evidence 68% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 62%

Mark room 46%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 68%

Proven trip profile (A)9 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest -5lb | peak +10lb treated as ceiling | public read -2lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest -5lb | peak +10lb treated as ceiling | public read -2lb

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 64 | Latest FFR 59 | Best FFR 74 | Public mark read -2

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Jim Goldie

Jockey Miss Kayleigh Williams(5)

Age 8

Draw 2

OR 64

Avg OR 63.7

OR vs Field +0.3

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form -665

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Cooling

confidence nudge +0.8

Variance Reliable 5.4% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 7 vs par

Curve Cooling Trend -1

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance1m4f

Runs at profile9

DEIA

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
18-10-2025	Catterick	Good	8	2:41.87	161.9
31-05-2026	Thirsk	Good	12	2:38.94	158.9
17-08-2026	Catterick	Good	5	2:42.26	162.3

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 31% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 16 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP12/1

OwnerJohnnie Delta Racing

Pedigree

Pearl Secret × Dos Lunas (Galileo)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.9L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Catterick	5	0.3	Neutral finish
01-08-2026	Hamilton	5	1.8	Fast finish
11-07-2026	Hamilton	6	3.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

17-05-2026 | Hamilton

Rating -- OR 74

31-05-2026 | Thirsk

Rating -- OR 73

19-06-2026 | Ayr

Rating -- OR 71

11-07-2026 | Hamilton

Rating -- OR 69

01-08-2026 | Hamilton

Rating -- OR 67

17-08-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 64

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs9

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Winning-time par2m 36.63s

Last win at trip2:37.27 | Hamilton | 18-07-2025

Recent times2:41.87 | 2:38.94 | 2:42.26

Recent positions8 | 12 | 5

Winning contextvs par +0.64s | OR 73

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Catterick \| 12f \| Good \| Class 5	5	12/1	64	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
01-08-2026	Hamilton \| 13f \| Good \| Class 4	5	40/1	67	--	--	1.8	--	GREY - no timing read
11-07-2026	Hamilton \| 11f \| Good \| Class 5	6	7/1	69	--	--	3.5	--	GREY - no timing read
19-06-2026	Ayr \| 10f \| Soft \| Class 4	6	50/1	71	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
31-05-2026	Thirsk \| 12f \| Good \| Class 4	12	80/1	73	--	--	13	--	GREY - no timing read
17-05-2026	Hamilton \| 13f \| Good \| Class 3	10	80/1	74	--	--	6	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Near mark

Latest -5lb | peak +10lb treated as ceiling | public read -2lb.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 68 and winning TS par is around 49. Runner versus par: rating edge +3.0. Benchmark fit: 1.1.

Model agreement 3/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Austrian Theory Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 44.8

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 44.8 confidence

Why considerClass benchmark supports the placement

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3-5-8-5-7-9

FFR75 / +5lb

Speed108

Franked66

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt11st 2lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

3 Catterick Finished well 17-08-2026

5 Newcastle (AW) Competitive 25-07-2026

8 Carlisle Competitive 24-06-2026

5 York Competitive 12-06-2026

7 Ripon Steady run 28-05-2026

9 Hamilton Steady run 15-05-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Strong franked form

Proof rating66

5winners since

10placers since

14evidence pts

07-12-2025 | York Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Ancient Rome (USA), Auld Toon Loon (IRE), Brioni (FR)

Race produced winner

Erzindjan (IRE)

Later placers

Qitaal (GB) (07-05-2026)

05-08-2025 | Chester Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Arcadian Nights (GB), Box To Box (IRE), Deboras Dream (IRE)

Race produced winner

Paddy The Squire (GB), Paradoxical (IRE)

Later placers

Fouroneohfever (IRE) (02-02-2026), Giorgio M (IRE) (12-08-2025)

08-07-2025 | Chepstow Finished 10

Beat named rivals

Qitaal (GB), Rogue Impact (GB)

Race produced winner

Manila Thriller (GB), Salamanca City (IRE)

Later placers

City Of Delight (USA) (05-02-2026), Crowd Quake (GB) (07-11-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Status WATCH ONLY

Agreement2/6

FFR75

Speed108

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR+5lb ahead of mark

FFR 75 pounds scale

SpeedScoreabove par

108 Par 100

Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score35.5Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI ELOW

Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +5lb versus today's OR

Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 38%

Class 58%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 76%

Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground

Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs4/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 14 1W / 4P Peak rating 98

Good 11 0W / 4P Peak rating 93

Fast 12 1W / 2P Peak rating 100

All-weather 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 93

Placement evidence 61% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 24%

Class fit 78%

Mark room 67%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 68%

Class benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueTrip evidence still asks questions

Mark read Latest FFR read +5lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +5lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 70 | Latest FFR 75 | Best FFR 75 | Public mark read +5

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Tim Easterby

Jockey Mr Thomas Easterby(3)

Age 7

Draw 5

OR 70

Avg OR 63.7

OR vs Field +6.3

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 597585

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; Mild bounce watch; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Improving

confidence nudge +2.8

Variance Reliable 6.3% volatility

Bounce Mild bounce watch Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 7.7 vs par

Curve Improving Trend 2

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.

Profile distance1m4f

Runs at profile3

DEIE

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
09-11-2024	Doncaster	Soft	20	2:43.49	163.5
22-08-2025	York	Good To Firm	10	2:34.00	154
17-08-2026	Catterick	Good	3	2:41.13	161.1

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 31% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 23 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP9/4F

OwnerThe Wolf Pack 2 And Partner

Pedigree

Awtaad × Cedar Sea (Persian Bold)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.4L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Catterick	3	0.5	Fast finish
25-07-2026	Newcastle (AW)	5	0.5	Neutral finish
24-06-2026	Carlisle	8	0.3	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

15-05-2026 | Hamilton

Rating -- OR 79

28-05-2026 | Ripon

Rating -- OR 77

12-06-2026 | York

Rating -- OR 74

24-06-2026 | Carlisle

Rating -- OR 74

25-07-2026 | Newcastle (AW)

Rating -- OR 72

17-08-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 70

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs3

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par2m 36.63s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times2:43.49 | 2:34.00 | 2:41.13

Recent positions20 | 10 | 3

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Catterick \| 12f \| Good \| Class 5	3	9/4F	70	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
25-07-2026	Newcastle (AW) \| 12.5f \| Standard / Slow \| Class 4	5	50/1	72	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
24-06-2026	Carlisle \| 11f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	8	20/1	74	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
12-06-2026	York \| 10.5f \| Good \| Class 4	5	18/1	74	--	--	2.2	--	GREY - no timing read
28-05-2026	Ripon \| 10f \| Good \| Class 3	7	20/1	77	--	--	4.5	--	GREY - no timing read
15-05-2026	Hamilton \| 9f \| Good \| Class 4	9	4/1	79	--	--	6	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Workable mark

Latest FFR read +5lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 2

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 68 and winning TS par is around 49. Runner versus par: rating edge +11.0. Benchmark fit: 1.8.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Mariner Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 37.5

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 37.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-1-4-3-9-8

FFR61 / -4lb

Speed98

Franked42

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt10st 11lb

Stellarmasterpiece Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 36.8

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Watch only 36.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A+)

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form1-1-1-1-6-3

FFR81 / +18lb

Speed109

Franked26

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt10st 9lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Catterick Finished well 17-08-2026

1 Stratford Strong run 19-07-2026

1 Stratford Strong run 30-06-2026

1 Stratford Strong run 30-05-2026

6 Catterick Competitive 11-05-2026

3 Catterick Solid effort 22-04-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating26

2winners since

2placers since

10evidence pts

04-08-2026 | Catterick Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Ebony Maw (GB), Its Only Fun (IRE), Nakatomi (IRE)

06-10-2025 | Catterick Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Cavallo Pazzo (IRE), Laudable (GB), Paper Doll (IRE)

Race produced winner

Paper Doll (IRE)

Later placers

Time Tells All (IRE) (04-12-2025)

09-09-2025 | Catterick Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Throne Hall (GB), Victoria Legend (IRE)

Race produced winner

Twoforthegutter (IRE)

Later placers

Bollin Neil (GB) (01-01-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement2/6

FFR81

Speed109

ConditionsPositive fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+18lb ahead of mark

FFR 81 pounds scale

SpeedScoreabove par

109 Par 100

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score38.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI A+HIGH

Mark readWell treatedLatest +18lb | peak +41lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Today's conditions match 68% Positive conditions match

Trip / ground 96%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 58%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Class

Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating69

Best ground bandGood

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 10 0W / 3P Peak rating 68

Good 9 4W / 5P Peak rating 70

Fast 5 4W / 4P Peak rating 71

All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Placement evidence 74% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 44%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 70%

Recent evidence 68%

Proven trip profile (A+)11 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest +18lb | peak +41lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +18lb | peak +41lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 63 | Latest FFR 81 | Best FFR 104 | Public mark read +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Micky Hammond

Jockey Miss Becky Smith

Age 6

Draw 3

OR 63

Avg OR 63.7

OR vs Field -0.7

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 15-436

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +2.8

Variance Reliable 6.8% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Big ceiling edge 16.7 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance1m4f

Runs at profile11

DEIA+

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
18-08-2025	Catterick	Good To Firm	1	2:37.68	157.7
08-04-2026	Catterick	Good	4	2:34.76	154.8
17-08-2026	Catterick	Good	1	2:40.80	160.8

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 37% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 29 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP7/2

OwnerM H O G

Pedigree

Cloth Of Stars × Sister Dam's (Mastercraftsman)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0L

Date	Course	Pos	Finish
17-08-2026	Catterick	1	Fast finish
19-07-2026	Stratford	1	Neutral finish
30-06-2026	Stratford	1	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 1 runs with an official OR.

22-04-2026 | Catterick

Rating 69 OR 65

11-05-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 64

30-05-2026 | Stratford

Rating -- OR 71

30-06-2026 | Stratford

Rating -- OR 77

19-07-2026 | Stratford

Rating -- OR 85

17-08-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 63

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs11

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par2m 36.63s

Last win at trip-- | Catterick | 17-08-2026

Recent times2:37.68 | 2:34.76 | 2:40.80

Recent positions1 | 4 | 1

Winning contextOR 63 | weight 10-9

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Catterick \| 12f \| Good \| Class 5	1	7/2	63	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
19-07-2026	Stratford \| 18.5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	1	10/11F	85	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
30-06-2026	Stratford \| 18.5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	1	4/1	77	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
30-05-2026	Stratford \| 16.5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	1	5/4F	71	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
11-05-2026	Catterick \| 16f \| Good \| Class 6	6	15/2	64	--	--	2	--	GREY - no timing read
22-04-2026	Catterick \| 1m6f \| Good \| Class 6	3	5/1	65	69	64	2	2:59.79	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Well treated

Latest +18lb | peak +41lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 68 and winning TS par is around 49. Runner versus par: rating edge -3.0. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Star Start Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 28.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Best of a weak race 28.0 confidence

Why consider6 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-1-2-3-5-8

FFR74 / +17lb

Speed97

Franked39

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt10st 3lb

Shahbaz Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 26.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 26.8 confidence

Why consider11 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form6-6-6-4-2-8

FFR37 / -23lb

Speed97

Franked11

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt10st 6lb

Super Hit Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 24.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 24.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7-3-1-3-1-4

FFR39 / -28lb

Speed101

Franked35

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt10st 13lb

2:30 | Lingfield (AW)

2:30 | Lingfield (AW) | 8f

Class 5 | Standard | Free Bets On attheraces.com Nursery Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 47 WATCH ONLY

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR655 rated runners | Top OR 70: Pequenita

Winning par1m 37.96s82 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupPOLYTRACK: STANDARD

Stalls 5f & 1m - Outside; Remainder - Inside | Rail No rail note | Band 0-75 | Weather Cloudy

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Pequenita leads the contextual model at 30.8
Decision type: Watch only - Needs more proof
Winning-time par: 1m 37.96s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 5 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	PequenitaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	31.0	2-3-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 8lb Result2 btn 2L SP10/11F JockeyOisin Murphy OR70 FFR80 SS-- 09-07-2026 CarlisleClass 3 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 5.5L SP4/1 JockeyPaul Mulrennan OR-- FFR79 SS-- 10-06-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 3 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 1.8L SP11/4F JockeyOisin Murphy OR-- FFR70 SS--	9st 8lb	3	OR 70	70	+0lb	0	5/2	-5.3	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	55%	53%	1/6	--	D	Workable +6	CAUTION PROFILE
2	Poppy FoxyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	22.0	1-2-5-1-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 8lb Result1 SP15/2 JockeySaffie Osborne OR70 FFR49 SS-- 07-07-2026 PontefractClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP6/4F JockeyKieran Shoemark OR65 FFR85 SS-- 30-06-2026 SalisburyClass 2 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP16/1 JockeyJack Doughty OR66 FFR90 SS-- 13-06-2026 ChesterClass 4 \| 7f \| Good To Soft Wgt8st 13lb Result1 SP100/30F JockeyJack Doughty OR-- FFR64 SS-- 31-05-2026 NottinghamClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result6 btn 1.8L SP10/1 JockeySaffie Osborne OR-- FFR77 SS--	9st 8lb	4	OR 70	77	+7lb	0	9.6	+8.2	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	57%	64%	1/6	--	D	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Little MesterRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	18.0	5-3-6-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 5lb Result5 btn 1.8L SP18/1 JockeyJack Doughty OR67 FFR87 SS-- 07-08-2026 BrightonClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result3 btn 2.2L SP7/2 JockeyJack Doughty OR-- FFR54 SS-- 23-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result6 btn 3.2L SP9/4 JockeyJack Doughty OR-- FFR66 SS-- 04-07-2026 LeicesterClass 3 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result4 btn 0.8L SP50/1 JockeyJack Doughty OR-- FFR58 SS--	9st 5lb	6	OR 67	58	-9lb	1	290	-6.8	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	44%	47%	1/6	--	E	Stiff -6	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Magical LifeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	16.0	4-1-3-4-5-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt8st 9lb Result4 btn 0.8L SP11/2 JockeyWilliam Cox OR51 FFR62 SS43 10-08-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 8f \| Standard / Slow Wgt8st 11lb Result1 SP3/1J JockeyDavid Egan OR51 FFR54 SS85 28-07-2026 Ffos LasClass 6 \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt8st 8lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP16/1 JockeyWilliam Cox OR50 FFR49 SS82 14-07-2026 LeicesterClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 4lb Result4 btn 2L SP12/1 JockeyAshley Lewis OR51 FFR59 SS-- 02-07-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt7st 11lb Result5 btn 1.2L SP100/1 JockeyOlivia Tubb OR54 FFR65 SS-- 21-04-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 3L SP150/1 JockeyKieran ONeill OR-- FFR59 SS--	8st 9lb	1	OR 51	59	+8lb	6	66/1	+12.7	Quick return	Same trip	Modest field	--	57%	59%	0/6	82	C	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
5	ParadingRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	9.2	3-2-3-2-5-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 5lb Result3 btn 2L SP11/4 JockeyPat Dobbs OR67 FFR81 SS93 28-07-2026 Ffos LasClass 6 \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP10/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR65 FFR65 SS-- 07-07-2026 BrightonClass 4 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result3 btn 1.5L SP11/2 JockeyFinley Marsh OR66 FFR72 SS-- 26-05-2026 LeicesterClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result2 btn 0.8L SP5/2 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR-- FFR61 SS-- 11-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 1.2L SP18/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR-- FFR63 SS-- 25-04-2026 LeicesterClass 2 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result10 btn 0.5L SP14/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR-- FFR65 SS--	9st 5lb	2	OR 67	65	-2lb	2	66/1	-8.8	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	49%	55%	0/6	93	E	Near mark +1	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Pequenita

Pequenita profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Poppy Foxy

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Pequenita Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 31.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 31.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-3-4

FFR70 / +0lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 8lb

Poppy Foxy Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 22.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 22.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form1-2-5-1-6

FFR77 / +7lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 8lb

Little Mester Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 18.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 18.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5-3-6-4

FFR58 / -9lb

Speed--

Franked1

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 5lb

Magical Life Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 16.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 16.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form4-1-3-4-5-4

FFR59 / +8lb

Speed82

Franked6

Ground2/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt8st 9lb

Parading Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 9.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 9.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3-2-3-2-5-10

FFR65 / -2lb

Speed93

Franked2

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 5lb

2:45 | Catterick

2:45 | Catterick | 6f

Class 6 | Good | Well-Earned Retirement Neal Kidd Nursery Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 62 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR598 rated runners | Top OR 65: Harry's Pop

Winning par1m 12.20s9 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 7.4)

Stalls 6f - Centre; Remainder - Inside | Rail No rail note | Band 0-65 | Weather Overcast & Showers

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Aura Of Melania leads the contextual model at 33.6
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Moderate edge over next best: +3.4
Winning-time par: 1m 12.20s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 8 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Aura Of MelaniaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	53.0	2-3-5-4-4-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result2 btn 2L SP7/2 JockeyOisin McSweeney OR63 FFR45 SS-- 27-07-2026 RiponClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 11lb Result3 btn 0.1L SP14/1 JockeyOisin McSweeney OR63 FFR78 SS-- 14-07-2026 LeicesterClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP8/1 JockeyOisin McSweeney OR65 FFR61 SS-- 25-06-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 6L SP25/1 JockeyOisin McSweeney OR-- FFR50 SS-- 15-06-2026 WetherbyClass 3 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 0.8L SP25/1 JockeyKevin Stott OR-- FFR68 SS-- 28-05-2026 RiponClass 4 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result6 btn 2.2L SP28/1 JockeyOisin McSweeney OR-- FFR59 SS--	9st 7lb	4	OR 63	59	-4lb	0	130	+12.7	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	53%	53%	1/6	--	D	Near mark -1	WATCH ONLY
2	Cheeky ChescaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	23.2	3-9-7-7-3-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 5lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP13/2 JockeyDavid Allan OR61 FFR72 SS90 01-08-2026 DoncasterClass 4 \| 6.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 11lb Result9 btn 3.5L SP50/1 JockeyJake Dickson OR62 FFR64 SS-- 15-07-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result7 btn 1.2L SP3/1 JockeyDavid Allan OR64 FFR33 SS-- 25-06-2026 NottinghamClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 9lb Result7 btn 4.5L SP5/2F JockeyJake Dickson OR66 FFR43 SS-- 17-06-2026 HamiltonClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Soft Wgt8st 10lb Result3 btn 2.5L SP100/30 JockeyDavid Allan OR-- FFR44 SS-- 04-06-2026 WetherbyClass 5 \| 5.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 10lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP5/2F JockeyDavid Allan OR-- FFR55 SS--	9st 5lb	1	OR 61	55	-6lb	2	66/1	+0.9	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	46%	52%	0/6	90	D	Stiff -3	WATCH ONLY
3	So TemptingRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	12.0	5-2-6-6-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt8st 11lb Result5 btn 2.2L SP13/2 JockeyP J McDonald OR53 FFR62 SS-- 24-07-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 5lb Result2 btn 0.2L SP13/2 JockeyAshley Lewis OR52 FFR68 SS-- 09-07-2026 NewburyClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result6 btn 1.2L SP80/1 JockeyPierre-Louis Jamin OR-- FFR50 SS-- 23-06-2026 NewburyClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 10lb Result6 btn 1.8L SP14/1 JockeyAlec Voikhansky OR-- FFR61 SS-- 20-05-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt8st 10lb Result8 btn 0.5L SP33/1 JockeyAlec Voikhansky OR-- FFR43 SS--	8st 11lb	8	OR 53	43	-10lb	0	1000	+9.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	46%	53%	0/6	--	D	Stiff -7	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Harry's PopRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	4.0	1-4-4-11-4-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result1 SP2/1F JockeySam James OR65 FFR58 SS-- 03-08-2026 NottinghamClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 1.8L SP20/1 JockeyStevie Donohoe OR67 FFR87 SS-- 23-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result4 btn 0.1L SP25/1 JockeyStevie Donohoe OR-- FFR31 SS-- 01-07-2026 BathClass 5 \| 5.5f \| Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result11 btn 2.8L SP7/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR-- FFR63 SS-- 12-06-2026 ChesterClass 2 \| 6f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 4lb Result4 btn 2L SP100/30 JockeyPierre-Louis Jamin OR-- FFR65 SS-- 23-05-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result7 btn 0.1L SP11/1 JockeyRowan Scott OR-- FFR67 SS--	9st 9lb	5	OR 65	67	+2lb	21	9/4	-1.6	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	55%	57%	0/6	--	E	Well treated +8	WATCH ONLY
5	Eevee StarRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	7-8-5-5-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result7 btn 2.2L SP14/1 JockeyOisin Orr OR63 FFR78 SS-- 24-07-2026 ThirskClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result8 btn 1L SP12/1 JockeyRyan Sexton OR65 FFR74 SS-- 03-07-2026 BeverleyClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 0.3L SP9/1 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR-- FFR50 SS-- 09-06-2026 CarlisleClass 3 \| 5f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 1.5L SP5/2 JockeyConnor Beasley OR-- FFR44 SS-- 17-05-2026 RiponClass 4 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 0.2L SP15/2 JockeyOisin Orr OR-- FFR38 SS--	9st 7lb	7	OR 63	38	-25lb	0	100/1	-2.1	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	46%	45%	0/6	--	D	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
6	AthosRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	6-7-5-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt8st 11lb Result6 btn 0.1L SP8/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR53 FFR55 SS-- 23-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 4lb Result7 btn 0.5L SP100/1 JockeyM. P. Sheehy OR-- FFR60 SS-- 25-06-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 1L SP33/1 JockeyOisin Orr OR-- FFR47 SS-- 13-06-2026 YorkClass 3 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result6 btn 12L SP66/1 JockeyOisin Orr OR-- FFR43 SS--	8st 11lb	6	OR 53	43	-10lb	0	22/1	-4.7	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	43%	44%	1/6	--	D	Stiff -7	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Soldier's EchoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	4-6-9-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result4 btn 0.3L SP9/1 JockeyShane Gray OR59 FFR59 SS-- 20-07-2026 BeverleyClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result6 btn 5.5L SP40/1 JockeyCieren Fallon OR-- FFR52 SS-- 10-07-2026 ChesterClass 4 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result9 btn 4L SP40/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR-- FFR36 SS-- 01-07-2026 BathClass 5 \| 5.5f \| Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result7 btn 0.1L SP12/1 JockeyJoe Leavy OR-- FFR52 SS--	9st 3lb	3	OR 59	52	-7lb	2	1000	-7.2	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	42%	42%	0/6	--	E	Stiff -4	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Invicta RoseRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	8-6-5-6-7-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt8st 13lb Result8 btn 9.5L SP14/1 JockeyBilly Garritty OR55 FFR49 SS-- 22-07-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result6 btn 3L SP11/1 JockeyHector Crouch OR58 FFR63 SS-- 09-07-2026 NewburyClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 2L SP33/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR-- FFR41 SS-- 27-06-2026 ChepstowClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result6 btn 2.2L SP18/1 JockeyNicola Currie OR-- FFR61 SS-- 13-06-2026 ChesterClass 4 \| 7f \| Good To Soft Wgt8st 13lb Result7 btn 1.2L SP11/2 JockeyPierre-Louis Jamin OR-- FFR37 SS-- 09-06-2026 SalisburyClass 5 \| 6f \| Soft Wgt8st 13lb Result4 btn 6L SP16/1 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR-- FFR22 SS--	8st 13lb	2	OR 55	22	-33lb	0	65	-7.5	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	42%	36%	0/6	--	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Aura Of Melania

Aura Of Melania profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Cheeky Chesca

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Aura Of Melania Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 53.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Best of a weak race 53.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form2-3-5-4-4-6

FFR59 / -4lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 7lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

2 Catterick Solid effort 17-08-2026

3 Ripon Solid effort 27-07-2026

5 Leicester Competitive 14-07-2026

4 Newcastle (AW) Steady run 25-06-2026

4 Wetherby Competitive 15-06-2026

6 Ripon Competitive 28-05-2026

Franked form Not franked yet

No strong named-rival evidence from recent races yet.

Proof rating0

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Status WATCH ONLY

Agreement1/6

FFR59

Speed--

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-4lb below mark

FFR 59 pounds scale

Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score33.6Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI DLOW

Mark readNear markLatest -4lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read -1lb

Today's conditions match 53% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 52%

Class 54%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 58%

Best fit Handicap Question Pace shape

Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandGood

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 2 0W / 1P Peak rating --

Fast 3 0W / 1P Peak rating --

All-weather 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Placement evidence 53% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 44%

Class fit 56%

Mark room 49%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 50%

Trainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest -4lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read -1lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest -4lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read -1lb

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 63 | Latest FFR 59 | Best FFR 78 | Public mark read -1

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Roger Fell

Jockey Oisin McSweeney

Age 2

Draw 4

OR 63

Avg OR 59

OR vs Field +4

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 64453

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0

Variance Developing Consistency developing

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 6f

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile3

DEID

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
28-05-2026	Ripon	Good	6	1:14.24	74.2
27-07-2026	Ripon	Good To Firm	3	1:12.08	72.1
17-08-2026	Catterick	Good	2	1:14.41	74.4

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 35% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 21 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP7/2

OwnerIan Buckley

Pedigree

Naval Crown × When In Doubt (Montjeu)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Catterick	2	2	Neutral finish
27-07-2026	Ripon	3	0.1	Neutral finish
14-07-2026	Leicester	5	0.8	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

14-07-2026 | Leicester

Rating -- OR 65

27-07-2026 | Ripon

Rating -- OR 63

17-08-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 63

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs3

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par1m 12.20s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times1:14.24 | 1:12.08 | 1:14.41

Recent positions6 | 3 | 2

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Catterick \| 6f \| Good \| Class 6	2	7/2	63	--	--	2	--	GREY - no timing read
27-07-2026	Ripon \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	3	14/1	63	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
14-07-2026	Leicester \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	5	8/1	65	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read
25-06-2026	Newcastle (AW) \| 7f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 4	4	25/1	--	--	--	6	--	GREY - no timing read
15-06-2026	Wetherby \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 3	4	25/1	--	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read
28-05-2026	Ripon \| 6f \| Good \| Class 4	6	28/1	--	--	--	2.2	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Near mark

Latest -4lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read -1lb.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 66.3 and winning TS par is around 44.9. Runner versus par: rating edge +0.7. Benchmark fit: 0.8.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Cheeky Chesca Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 23.2

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 23.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form3-9-7-7-3-2

FFR55 / -6lb

Speed90

Franked2

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 5lb

So Tempting Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 12.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Best of a weak race 12.0 confidence

Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form5-2-6-6-8

FFR43 / -10lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt8st 11lb

Harry's Pop Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 4.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 4.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +8lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form1-4-4-11-4-7

FFR67 / +2lb

Speed--

Franked21

Ground0/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 9lb

Eevee Star Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form7-8-5-5-3

FFR38 / -25lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground2/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 7lb

Athos Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form6-7-5-6

FFR43 / -10lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt8st 11lb

Soldier's Echo Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-6-9-7

FFR52 / -7lb

Speed--

Franked2

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 3lb

Invicta Rose Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8-6-5-6-7-4

FFR22 / -33lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt8st 13lb

3:00 | Lingfield (AW)

3:00 | Lingfield (AW) | 8f

Class 5 | Standard | Singapore Pools Trophy Race Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 71 SHORTLIST RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR663 rated runners | Top OR 72: Itica

Winning par1m 37.96s82 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupPOLYTRACK: STANDARD

Stalls 5f & 1m - Outside; Remainder - Inside | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather Cloudy

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Rapide Vega leads the contextual model at 32.0
Decision type: Shortlist profile - Worth a deeper look
Clearer top profile: +6.2 gap to nearest rival
Winning-time par: 1m 37.96s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 10 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Rapide VegaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleShortlist profile	58.0	1-5-2-8-5-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 5lb Result1 SP2/1 JockeyM. P. Sheehy OR68 FFR73 SS86 30-06-2026 Roscommon (IRE)-- \| 10.5f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result5 btn 2.2L SP11/2 JockeyShane Foley OR70 FFR76 SS90 12-06-2026 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 9.5f \| Yielding Wgt9st 5lb Result2 btn 12L SP4/1 JockeyKeithen Kennedy OR71 FFR42 SS102 29-05-2026 Down Royal (IRE)-- \| 10.5f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result8 btn 2L SP12/1 JockeyScott McCullagh OR74 FFR54 SS-- 22-04-2026 Gowran Park-- \| 1m \| Soft Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.5L SP12/1 JockeyShane Foley OR-- FFR64 SS-- 27-10-2025 Galway-- \| 7f \| Soft To Heavy Wgt-- Result4 btn 2.5L SP6/1 JockeyShane Foley OR-- FFR76 SS--	9st 5lb	2	OR 68	76	+8lb	40	11/4	+20.4	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	60%	64%	0/6	102	C	Well treated +8	PRICE DEPENDENT
2	Barbuda BayRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	40.8	3-5-11-6-8-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 0lb Result3 btn 1L SP33/1 JockeyDougie Costello OR58 FFR81 SS96 01-08-2026 DoncasterClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP20/1 JockeyDougie Costello OR60 FFR75 SS95 13-06-2026 BathClass 6 \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result11 btn 0.3L SP25/1 JockeyDarragh Keenan OR62 FFR75 SS95 27-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 4 \| 1m2f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 4L SP14/1 JockeyHollie Doyle OR65 FFR24 SS92 06-04-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 1m \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result8 btn 1L SP9/4 JockeyRossa Ryan OR-- FFR47 SS-- 24-09-2025 GoodwoodClass 2 \| 7f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result10 btn 2L SP13/2 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR-- FFR66 SS--	9st 0lb	10	OR 58	66	+8lb	26	1000	+14.1	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	55%	61%	1/6	92	E	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Gallant PioneerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	4.0	5-6-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 5lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP100/1 JockeyThomas Greatrex OR-- FFR41 SS-- 23-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result6 btn 0.3L SP40/1 JockeyHarry Vigors OR-- FFR59 SS-- 28-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 3lb Result5 btn 1.2L SP33/1 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR-- FFR61 SS--	9st 5lb	5	OR --	61	--	0	220	-4.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	54%	1/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
4	Lady BlitzleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	4.0	2-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result2 btn 2.2L SP200/1 JockeyNicola Currie OR-- FFR41 SS-- 05-08-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 8f \| Standard / Slow Wgt8st 8lb Result10 btn 4L SP300/1 JockeyRose Dawes OR-- FFR69 SS--	9st 2lb	6	OR --	69	--	0	500	-6.7	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	53%	1/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
5	IticaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	6-5-2-12 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result6 btn 0.1L SP9/4 JockeyOisin Murphy OR72 FFR73 SS88 20-01-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.3L SP4/1 JockeyNicola Currie OR-- FFR82 SS101 26-11-2025 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.5L SP15/8F JockeyP J McDonald OR-- FFR70 SS90 06-11-2025 Chelmsford (AW)Class 2 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result12 btn 2.2L SP20/1 JockeyKieran ONeill OR-- FFR58 SS--	9st 7lb	3	OR 72	58	-14lb	4	25/1	+5.8	Long absence	Same trip	Modest field	--	45%	44%	0/6	90	E	Stiff -11	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Justice CourtRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	8-2-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result8 btn 0.5L SP6/4F JockeySaffie Osborne OR-- FFR82 SS92 01-08-2026 LingfieldClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP9/2 JockeyWilliam Carver OR-- FFR73 SS-- 03-12-2025 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.5L SP9/2 JockeySaffie Osborne OR-- FFR52 SS--	9st 7lb	7	OR --	52	--	22	33/1	+0.6	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	49%	1/6	92	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Au PointRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 0lb Result10 btn 1.5L SP80/1 JockeyCallum Shepherd OR-- FFR32 SS--	9st 0lb	1	OR --	32	--	0	1000	-2.6	Rest developing	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	54%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
8	InspectreRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	4-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 5lb Result4 btn 1.2L SP200/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR-- FFR42 SS-- 23-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 0lb Result10 btn 3.2L SP66/1 JockeyBen Pollard OR-- FFR62 SS--	9st 5lb	4	OR --	62	--	0	440	-8.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	55%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
9	MarchmontRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result9 btn 11L SP25/1 JockeyKieran Shoemark OR-- FFR33 SS--	9st 7lb	9	OR --	33	--	0	1000	-9.4	Rest developing	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	54%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
10	NascondinoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result7 btn 1.5L SP20/1 JockeyEbrahim Nader OR-- FFR54 SS--	9st 7lb	8	OR --	54	--	0	110	-9.4	Rest developing	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	50%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Rapide Vega

Rapide Vega profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Barbuda Bay

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Rapide Vega Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 58.0

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Shortlist profile 58.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +8lb room

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form1-5-2-8-5-4

FFR76 / +8lb

Speed102

Franked40

Ground1/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 5lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Lingfield (AW) Strong run 17-08-2026

5 Roscommon (IRE) Competitive 30-06-2026

2 Gowran Park (IRE) Finished well 12-06-2026

8 Down Royal (IRE) Run faded 29-05-2026

5 Gowran Park Troubled run 22-04-2026

4 Galway Competitive 27-10-2025

Race form proof Positive franked form

Some form support

Proof rating40

5winners since

1placers since

5evidence pts

05-05-2025 | Curragh (IRE) Finished 11

Beat named rivals

Heart And A Half (IRE), Kc Bear (IRE), Vincent Square (GB)

Race produced winner

Andab (IRE), Enthusiastically (IRE)

Later placers

Gavoo (IRE) (08-03-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement0/6

FFR76

Speed102

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+8lb ahead of mark

FFR 76 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

102 Par 100

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance evidence is thin

Decision typeShortlist profileThere is useful evidence, but the horse still needs normal price, risk and race checks.

Model score32.0Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI CLOW

Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR

Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Class

Ground evidence All-weather Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandTesting

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 75

Good 3 0W / 0P Peak rating 58

Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 1 1W / 1P Peak rating --

Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 68%

Class fit 50%

Mark room 76%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

Conservative mark read gives +8lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 68 | Latest FFR 76 | Best FFR 76 | Public mark read +8

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Adrian Keatley

Jockey M. P. Sheehy

Age 3

Draw 2

OR 68

Avg OR 66

OR vs Field +2

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 4-5825

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; Mild bounce watch; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Improving

confidence nudge +2.0

Variance Reliable 7.2% volatility

Bounce Mild bounce watch Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 1.9 vs par

Curve Improving Trend 2

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance1m

Runs at profile2

DEIC

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
22-04-2026	Gowran Park (IRE)	Soft	5	1:43.85	103.8
17-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	1	1:36.41	96.4

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.0 micro score

Trainer RTF 41% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 48 days Standard layoff

Micro score +0.0 No extra micro-intel adjustment

Ground timing match 1/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP2/1

OwnerEric Koh

Pedigree

Lucky Vega × Kirk's Dancer (Dunkirk)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 4.7L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	1	0	Neutral finish
30-06-2026	Roscommon (IRE)	5	2.2	Neutral finish
12-06-2026	Gowran Park (IRE)	2	12	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 2 earlier runs were unrated.

27-10-2025 | Galway

Rating 69 OR Unrated

22-04-2026 | Gowran Park

Rating 75 OR Unrated

29-05-2026 | Down Royal (IRE)

Rating -- OR 74

12-06-2026 | Gowran Park (IRE)

Rating -- OR 71

30-06-2026 | Roscommon (IRE)

Rating -- OR 70

17-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating -- OR 68

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Trip evidence building

Similar-trip runs2

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par1m 37.96s

Last win at trip-- | Lingfield (AW) | 17-08-2026

Recent times1:43.85 | 1:36.41

Recent positions5 | 1

Winning contextOR 68 | weight 9-5

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 8f \| Standard \| Class 5	1	2/1	68	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
30-06-2026	Roscommon (IRE) \| 10.5f \| Good \| --	5	11/2	70	--	--	2.2	--	GREY - no timing read
12-06-2026	Gowran Park (IRE) \| 9.5f \| Yielding \| --	2	4/1	71	--	--	12	--	GREY - no timing read
29-05-2026	Down Royal (IRE) \| 10.5f \| Good \| --	8	12/1	74	--	--	2	--	GREY - no timing read
22-04-2026	Gowran Park \| 1m \| Soft \| --	5	12/1	--	75	68	0.5	1:43.85	GREY - below benchmark
27-10-2025	Galway \| 7f \| Soft To Heavy \| --	4	6/1	--	69	4	2.5	1:38.73	GREEN - within 1% of par

Handicap Well treated

Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 77.2 and winning TS par is around 52.9. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Barbuda Bay Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 40.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 40.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3-5-11-6-8-10

FFR66 / +8lb

Speed92

Franked26

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw10

Wgt9st 0lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

3 Lingfield (AW) Finished well 17-08-2026

5 Doncaster Competitive 01-08-2026

11 Bath Competitive 13-06-2026

6 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 27-04-2026

8 Kempton (AW) Run faded 06-04-2026

10 Goodwood Competitive 24-09-2025

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating26

1winners since

5placers since

10evidence pts

04-06-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 8

Beat named rivals

Guesstimate (GB), Midnight Media (GB)

Race produced winner

Midnight Media (GB)

Later placers

Freda (IRE) (01-07-2026), Miss Mambo (IRE) (08-06-2026)

08-01-2026 | Doncaster Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Back From Dubai (IRE), Groundsman (IRE), Magic Lady Mae (IRE)

Later placers

Mister McGregor (IRE) (03-02-2026), Sir David (FR) (06-08-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR66

Speed92

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR+8lb ahead of mark

FFR 66 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

92 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score25.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI ELOW

Mark readWell treatedLatest +8lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 38%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating60

Best ground bandTesting

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 60

Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Fast 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 4 0W / 2P Peak rating 64

Placement evidence 61% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 24%

Class fit 50%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 76%

Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questions

Mark read Latest +8lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +8lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 58 | Latest FFR 66 | Best FFR 81 | Public mark read +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Roger Teal

Jockey Dougie Costello

Age 3

Draw 10

OR 58

Avg OR 66

OR vs Field -8

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 0-8605

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +0.8

Variance Very steady 1.8% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Below requirement -3.9 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance1m

Runs at profile3

DEIE

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
06-04-2026	Kempton (AW)	Standard To Slow	8	1:41.30	101.3
13-06-2026	Bath	Good	11	1:44.03	104
17-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	3	1:36.95	97

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 43% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 16 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: b

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearbFirst-time aid today

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP33/1

OwnerThe Antiguan Family Syndicate

Pedigree

Starman × Emaratiya Ana (Excellent Art)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.7L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	3	1	Fast finish
01-08-2026	Doncaster	5	0.8	Neutral finish
13-06-2026	Bath	11	0.3	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 1 runs with an official OR. 2 earlier runs were unrated.

24-09-2025 | Goodwood

Rating 60 OR Unrated

06-04-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating 52 OR Unrated

27-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 60 OR 65

13-06-2026 | Bath

Rating -- OR 62

01-08-2026 | Doncaster

Rating -- OR 60

17-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating -- OR 58

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs3

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par1m 37.96s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times1:41.30 | 1:44.03 | 1:36.95

Recent positions8 | 11 | 3

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 8f \| Standard \| Class 5	3	33/1	58	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
01-08-2026	Doncaster \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	5	20/1	60	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read
13-06-2026	Bath \| 8f \| Good \| Class 6	11	25/1	62	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
27-04-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 1m2f \| Standard \| Class 4	6	14/1	65	60	17	4	2:08.88	GREY - below benchmark
06-04-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 1m \| Standard To Slow \| Class 4	8	9/4	--	52	41	1	1:41.11	GREY - below benchmark
24-09-2025	Goodwood \| 7f \| Good To Soft \| Class 2	10	13/2	--	60	23	2	1:30.01	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Well treated

Latest +8lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 77.2 and winning TS par is around 52.9. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Gallant Pioneer Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 4.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 4.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5-6-5

FFR61 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 5lb

Lady Blitzle Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 4.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 4.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form2-10

FFR69 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground2/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 2lb

Itica Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6-5-2-12

FFR58 / -14lb

Speed90

Franked4

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 7lb

Justice Court Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8-2-3

FFR52 / --

Speed92

Franked22

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 7lb

Au Point Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form10

FFR32 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 0lb

Inspectre Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-10

FFR62 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 5lb

Marchmont Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form9

FFR33 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw9

Wgt9st 7lb

Nascondino Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7

FFR54 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 7lb

3:15 | Catterick

3:15 | Catterick | 6f

Class 6 | Good | Chapman Milestones Celebration, Thank You NHS Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 58 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR60.39 rated runners | Top OR 65: Jm Jhingree

Winning par1m 12.20s9 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 7.4)

Stalls 6f - Centre; Remainder - Inside | Rail No rail note | Band 0-65 | Weather Overcast & Showers

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Daytona Lady leads the contextual model at 29.8
Decision type: Shortlist profile - Worth a deeper look
Winning-time par: 1m 12.20s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 9 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Daytona LadyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleShortlist profile	62.8	2-7-7-6-2-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 11lb Result2 btn 0.1L SP11/1 JockeyJames Sullivan OR63 FFR52 SS92 06-08-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 4lb Result7 btn 0.1L SP25/1 JockeyJames Sullivan OR65 FFR73 SS96 06-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 6lb Result7 btn 1L SP100/30 JockeyLewis Edmunds OR67 FFR61 SS98 08-06-2026 PontefractClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt8st 12lb Result6 btn 1L SP7/1 JockeyJames Sullivan OR64 FFR53 SS101 01-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 3lb Result2 btn 0.2L SP12/1 JockeyJames Sullivan OR64 FFR56 SS101 21-05-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 1.5L SP100/30F JockeyJoanna Mason OR64 FFR65 SS102	9st 11lb	8	OR 63	65	+2lb	16	15	-1.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	64%	74%	2/6	102	B	Well treated +8	PRICE DEPENDENT
2	Miss RainbowRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	46.8	8-1-4-3-3-11 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 10lb Result8 btn 6.5L SP8/1 JockeyBarry McHugh OR62 FFR32 SS96 04-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 11lb Result1 SP5/2 JockeyConnor Beasley OR58 FFR57 SS99 24-07-2026 ThirskClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result4 btn 0.5L SP5/2 JockeyWilliam Pyle OR60 FFR58 SS101 22-07-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result3 btn 2L SP7/4F JockeyWilliam Pyle OR60 FFR62 SS91 09-07-2026 CarlisleClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 12lb Result3 btn 2.5L SP9/1 JockeyBarry McHugh OR61 FFR67 SS107 26-06-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard To Slow Wgt8st 10lb Result11 btn 2.5L SP16/1 JockeyBarry McHugh OR62 FFR24 SS96	9st 10lb	9	OR 62	24	-38lb	5	12	+17.1	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	56%	56%	3/6	96	A	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Jm JhingreeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleContext over ratings	42.8	9-11-3-8-1-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 13lb Result9 btn 4.5L SP28/1 JockeyP J McDonald OR65 FFR44 SS108 01-08-2026 HamiltonClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 0lb Result11 btn 2L SP20/1 JockeyGreg Fairley OR66 FFR69 SS98 17-07-2026 HamiltonClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result3 btn 1.5L SP16/1 JockeyGreg Fairley OR66 FFR53 SS96 13-07-2026 AyrClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result8 btn 0.5L SP20/1 JockeyWilliam Pyle OR66 FFR74 SS100 25-06-2026 HamiltonClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 1lb Result1 SP14/1 JockeyRowan Scott OR64 FFR44 SS96 17-06-2026 HamiltonClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Soft Wgt8st 11lb Result7 btn 2.2L SP80/1 JockeyAiden Brookes OR66 FFR25 SS90	9st 13lb	6	OR 65	25	-40lb	37	42	-4.6	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	56%	54%	3/6	90	A	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Good KarmaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	31.8	4-3-2-1-4-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 5lb Result4 btn 4.2L SP9/2 JockeyEthan Tindall OR62 FFR69 SS96 22-07-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 11lb Result3 btn 1.8L SP7/2 JockeySean Kirrane OR62 FFR74 SS91 15-06-2026 CarlisleClass 6 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result2 btn 0.8L SP6/1 JockeySean Kirrane OR60 FFR66 SS97 01-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result1 SP10/1 JockeyEthan Tindall OR58 FFR63 SS102 17-04-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.5L SP3/1 JockeyEthan Tindall OR59 FFR59 SS94 10-04-2026 ThirskClass 6 \| 7f \| Good Wgt-- Result7 btn 1L SP100/30F JockeySean Kirrane OR59 FFR43 SS95	9st 10lb	4	OR 62	43	-19lb	34	6.2	+13.6	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	49%	1/6	95	D	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
5	QuercusRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	29.8	1-5-6-5-12-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 10lb Result1 SP12/1 JockeyShane Gray OR62 FFR81 SS95 15-07-2026 CatterickClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP40/1 JockeyShane Gray OR64 FFR61 SS106 30-05-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 7lb Result6 btn 3.5L SP8/1 JockeyConor Whiteley OR65 FFR74 SS101 20-04-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.5L SP15/2 JockeyConor Whiteley OR54 FFR41 SS101 01-11-2025 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result12 btn 2L SP28/1 JockeyZak Wheatley OR56 FFR70 SS90 27-08-2025 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result1 SP6/1 JockeyOisin McSweeney OR60 FFR67 SS103	9st 10lb	2	OR 62	67	+5lb	71	17	-7.9	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	53%	56%	1/6	103	E	Well treated +11	WATCH ONLY
6	Papa Don't PreachRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	28.8	6-2-3-9-3-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result6 btn 1.5L SP6/1 JockeyWilliam Pyle OR56 FFR80 SS101 02-08-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result2 btn 0.2L SP11/10F JockeyBilly Loughnane OR55 FFR71 SS90 18-07-2026 DoncasterClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result3 btn 0.8L SP2/1F JockeyWilliam Pyle OR56 FFR44 SS96 09-05-2026 NottinghamClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt8st 10lb Result9 btn 0.8L SP17/2 JockeyAlec Voikhansky OR57 FFR68 SS103 18-04-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.5L SP100/30F JockeyWilliam Pyle OR57 FFR65 SS109 28-03-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.5L SP16/1 JockeyOliver Stammers OR58 FFR36 SS92	9st 4lb	1	OR 56	36	-20lb	28	7.8	-1.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	49%	53%	1/6	92	C	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
7	One Of Our OwnRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	20.8	5-6-3-6-1-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP14/1 JockeyAndrew Mullen OR59 FFR70 SS91 17-07-2026 PontefractClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result6 btn 1.2L SP11/1 JockeyDavid Allan OR60 FFR67 SS96 26-05-2026 RedcarClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 11lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP13/2 JockeyMiss Amy Milburn OR60 FFR52 SS110 18-05-2026 RedcarClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result6 btn 0.8L SP7/1 JockeyKaiya Fraser OR60 FFR65 SS97 07-05-2026 RedcarClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result1 SP100/30F JockeyCieren Fallon OR54 FFR39 SS106 20-04-2026 RedcarClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result4 btn 1.5L SP10/1 JockeyHollie Doyle OR55 FFR41 SS90	9st 7lb	5	OR 59	41	-18lb	18	19	-4.9	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	47%	1/6	90	D	Stiff -15	CAUTION PROFILE
8	BarmybladeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	12.5	7-4-1-10-1-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 5lb Result7 btn 1L SP5/1 JockeyDavid Allan OR57 FFR63 SS104 04-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 10lb Result4 btn 0.5L SP9/1 JockeySean Kirrane OR57 FFR66 SS85 22-07-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result1 SP13/2 JockeyDavid Allan OR54 FFR33 SS83 14-07-2026 BeverleyClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result10 btn 0.2L SP9/2J JockeyDavid Allan OR54 FFR66 SS87 01-07-2026 ThirskClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result1 SP9/1 JockeyDavid Allan OR50 FFR47 SS82 17-06-2026 RiponClass 6 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result2 btn 1L SP5/1 JockeySean Kirrane OR50 FFR31 SS100	9st 5lb	3	OR 57	31	-26lb	23	6/1	-2.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	49%	45%	0/6	100	C	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
9	Edmond HalleyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	3-3-5-7-11-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 5lb Result3 btn 2.8L SP9/4F JockeyOisin Orr OR57 FFR68 SS100 10-08-2026 AyrClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 4lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP3/1F JockeyCian Horgan OR57 FFR56 SS95 15-07-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP6/1 JockeyCian Horgan OR58 FFR66 SS95 25-04-2026 Navan-- \| 5f \| Good To Yielding Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.8L SP25/1 JockeyJoseph Harnett OR63 FFR49 SS92 01-04-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result11 btn 13L SP16/1 JockeyDeclan McDonogh OR63 FFR57 SS80 22-03-2026 Naas-- \| 6f \| Soft Wgt-- Result10 btn 0.1L SP25/1 JockeyGary Carroll OR65 FFR58 SS91	9st 5lb	7	OR 57	58	+1lb	48	3.75	-8.3	Quick return	Same trip	Modest field	--	50%	52%	0/6	91	E	Workable +7	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Daytona Lady

Daytona Lady profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 2/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Miss Rainbow

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Daytona Lady Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 62.8

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Shortlist profile 62.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form2-7-7-6-2-4

FFR65 / +2lb

Speed102

Franked16

Ground0/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 11lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

2 Catterick Solid effort 17-08-2026

7 Southwell (AW) Competitive 06-08-2026

7 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 06-07-2026

6 Pontefract Finished well 08-06-2026

2 Wolverhampton (AW) Solid effort 01-06-2026

4 Southwell (AW) Competitive 21-05-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating16

1winners since

4placers since

10evidence pts

06-08-2026 | Pontefract Finished 6

Beat named rivals

Call Me Betty (IRE), Great (GB), Hectic (GB)

08-06-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 7

Beat named rivals

Moostar (GB), Ottawa (GB), Pickersgill (IRE)

Race produced winner

Pickersgill (IRE)

Later placers

Moostar (GB) (04-08-2026)

07-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 7

Beat named rivals

Dark Kestrel (IRE), Dutch Finale (GB), Maharajas Express (GB)

Later placers

Baba Reza (GB) (06-08-2026), Candy Warhol (USA) (05-07-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement2/6

FFR65

Speed102

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+2lb near mark

FFR 65 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

102 Par 100

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDraw data is a negative nudge

Decision typeShortlist profileThere is useful evidence, but the horse still needs normal price, risk and race checks.

Model score29.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BMEDIUM

Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR

Today's conditions match 64% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 62%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 42%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandGood

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 6 1W / 3P Peak rating 73

Fast 4 0W / 1P Peak rating 72

All-weather 40 5W / 15P Peak rating 81

Placement evidence 74% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 86%

Class fit 76%

Mark room 76%

Stable setup 62%

Recent evidence 68%

Proven trip profile (B)5 similar-trip runs recordedClass benchmark supports the placementConservative mark read gives +8lb roomNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 63 | Latest FFR 65 | Best FFR 73 | Public mark read +8

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Ruth Carr

Jockey James Sullivan

Age 6

Draw 8

OR 63

Avg OR 60.3

OR vs Field +2.7

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 342677

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge +2.8

Variance Very steady 3.6% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 1.8 vs par

Curve Edging forward Trend 1

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.

Profile distance5f

Runs at profile5

DEIB

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
24-05-2022	Newcastle (AW)	Standard To Slow	2	1:2.49	62.5
25-06-2022	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	6	1:1.13	61.1
01-10-2022	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	3	1:1.28	61.3

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 25% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 11 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.8 trainer RTF quiet at 25%; no recent matched-ground timing evidence; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP11/1

OwnerEric Broadwith And Mrs Ruth Carr

Pedigree

Bungle Inthejungle × Roseau City (Cityscape)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.4L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Catterick	2	0.1	Neutral finish
06-08-2026	Southwell (AW)	7	0.1	Neutral finish
06-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	7	1	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

21-05-2026 | Southwell (AW)

Rating -- OR 64

01-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 64

08-06-2026 | Pontefract

Rating -- OR 64

06-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 67

06-08-2026 | Southwell (AW)

Rating -- OR 65

17-08-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 63

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs5

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Winning-time par1m 12.20s

Last win at trip1:13.36 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 21-04-2026

Recent times1:2.49 | 1:1.13 | 1:1.28

Recent positions2 | 6 | 3

Winning contextvs par +1.16s | OR 62

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Catterick \| 6f \| Good \| Class 6	2	11/1	63	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
06-08-2026	Southwell (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	7	25/1	65	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
06-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	7	100/30	67	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
08-06-2026	Pontefract \| 6f \| Good \| Class 5	6	7/1	64	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
01-06-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	2	12/1	64	--	--	0.2	--	GREY - no timing read
21-05-2026	Southwell (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	4	100/30F	64	--	--	1.5	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Well treated

Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 66.3 and winning TS par is around 44.9. Runner versus par: rating edge +5.7. Benchmark fit: 2.5.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Miss Rainbow Distance specialist

Model agreement 3/6

Mixed agreement

Decision Confidence 46.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.

Best of a weak race 46.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form8-1-4-3-3-11

FFR24 / -38lb

Speed96

Franked5

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw9

Wgt9st 10lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

8 Catterick Run faded 17-08-2026

1 Catterick Strong run 04-08-2026

4 Thirsk Competitive 24-07-2026

3 Catterick Solid effort 22-07-2026

3 Carlisle Solid effort 09-07-2026

11 Newcastle (AW) Competitive 26-06-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating5

0winners since

4placers since

8evidence pts

04-08-2026 | Catterick Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Fillys Last Lady (GB), Fizzy Cristal (GB), Indys Angel (GB)

Later placers

Indy's Angel (GB) (07-08-2026)

06-05-2026 | Thirsk Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Aurora's Doublesix (IRE), Beerwah (IRE), Harry Mole (GB)

Later placers

Harry Mole (GB) (08-08-2026)

08-04-2026 | Catterick Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Barmyblade (IRE), Battenburg Belle (IRE), Call Glory (IRE)

Later placers

Battenburg Belle (IRE) (04-07-2026), Call Glory (IRE) (03-06-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement3/6

FFR24

Speed96

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-38lb below mark

FFR 24 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

96 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score48.3Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI AHIGH

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -38lb | peak +5lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Today's conditions match 56% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 62%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 42%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence Good Has experience, but limited strong evidence

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandFast

Read Has experience, but limited strong evidence Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 10 0W / 2P Peak rating 65

Good 12 4W / 8P Peak rating 64

Fast 6 1W / 4P Peak rating 64

All-weather 12 1W / 3P Peak rating 63

Placement evidence 56% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 72%

Mark room 4%

Stable setup 62%

Recent evidence 42%

Proven trip profile (A)12 similar-trip runs recordedClass benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidenceRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Mark read Latest -38lb | peak +5lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -38lb | peak +5lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 62 | Latest FFR 24 | Best FFR 67 | Public mark read -16

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Tracy Waggott

Jockey Barry McHugh

Age 5

Draw 9

OR 62

Avg OR 60.3

OR vs Field +1.7

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 103341

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Reliable 5.1% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 6.7 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance5f

Runs at profile12

DEIA

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
30-04-2026	Redcar	Good To Firm	5	0:58.40	58.4
05-06-2026	Thirsk	Good	1	0:58.65	58.6
26-06-2026	Newcastle (AW)	Standard To Slow	11	1:0.28	60.3

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 45% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 13 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: v; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearvDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP8/1

OwnerThe Outrageous Partnership

Pedigree

Holy Roman Emperor × Allegrina (Barathea)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.3L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Catterick	8	6.5	Run faded
04-08-2026	Catterick	1	0	Neutral finish
24-07-2026	Thirsk	4	0.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

26-06-2026 | Newcastle (AW)

Rating -- OR 62

09-07-2026 | Carlisle

Rating -- OR 61

22-07-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 60

24-07-2026 | Thirsk

Rating -- OR 60

04-08-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 58

17-08-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 62

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs12

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 12.20s

Last win at trip-- | Catterick | 04-08-2026

Recent times0:58.40 | 0:58.65 | 1:0.28

Recent positions5 | 1 | 11

Winning contextOR 58 | weight 9-11

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Catterick \| 6f \| Good \| Class 6	8	8/1	62	--	--	6.5	--	GREY - no timing read
04-08-2026	Catterick \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	1	5/2	58	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
24-07-2026	Thirsk \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	4	5/2	60	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
22-07-2026	Catterick \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	3	7/4F	60	--	--	2	--	GREY - no timing read
09-07-2026	Carlisle \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	3	9/1	61	--	--	2.5	--	GREY - no timing read
26-06-2026	Newcastle (AW) \| 5f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 5	11	16/1	62	--	--	2.5	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -38lb | peak +5lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score 3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 66.3 and winning TS par is around 44.9. Runner versus par: rating edge +3.7. Benchmark fit: 2.5.

Model agreement 3/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Jm Jhingree Distance specialist

Model agreement 3/6

Mixed agreement

Decision Confidence 42.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.

Context over ratings 42.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form9-11-3-8-1-7

FFR25 / -40lb

Speed90

Franked37

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 13lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

9 Catterick Run faded 17-08-2026

11 Hamilton Run faded 01-08-2026

3 Hamilton Solid effort 17-07-2026

8 Ayr Competitive 13-07-2026

1 Hamilton Strong run 25-06-2026

7 Hamilton Competitive 17-06-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating37

3winners since

8placers since

14evidence pts

01-04-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Blinky (IRE), Counsel (GB), Dorney Lake (GB)

Race produced winner

Dorney Lake (GB)

Later placers

Ziggys Triton (IRE) (03-04-2026)

08-01-2026 | Hamilton Finished 11

Race produced winner

Little Mi Mi (IRE), Thunderstorm Katie (GB)

Later placers

Hundred Caps (GB) (03-04-2026), Iris Dancer (GB) (04-07-2026)

08-08-2025 | Musselburgh Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Al Hussar (GB), Bonito Cavalo (GB), Protest Rally (IRE)

Later placers

Al Hussar (GB) (04-04-2026), Our Absent Friends (IRE) (03-05-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement3/6

FFR25

Speed90

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-40lb below mark

FFR 25 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

90 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeContext over ratingsThe raw rating/mark view is a caution, but other layers such as field edge, recent form, benchmark or memory keep it interesting.

Model score26.6Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI AHIGH

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -40lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Today's conditions match 56% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 54%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandFast

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 12 2W / 3P Peak rating 77

Good 9 1W / 1P Peak rating 77

Fast 9 1W / 3P Peak rating 78

All-weather 4 1W / 1P Peak rating 77

Placement evidence 54% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 60%

Mark room 4%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 42%

Proven trip profile (A)33 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidenceRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Mark read Latest -40lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -40lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 65 | Latest FFR 25 | Best FFR 74 | Public mark read -16

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Ewan Whillans

Jockey P J McDonald

Age 4

Draw 6

OR 65

Avg OR 60.3

OR vs Field +4.7

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 671830

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Cooling

confidence nudge +0.8

Variance Reliable 5.4% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 8 vs par

Curve Cooling Trend -1

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance5f

Runs at profile33

DEIA

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
13-07-2026	Ayr	Good To Firm	8	0:57.52	57.5
17-07-2026	Hamilton	Good To Firm	3	0:58.22	58.2
01-08-2026	Hamilton	Good	11	0:58.48	58.5

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 40% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 16 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP28/1

OwnerAim Equestrian Ltd

Pedigree

Dandy Man × La Pergola (Penny's Picnic)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.7L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Catterick	9	4.5	Neutral finish
01-08-2026	Hamilton	11	2	Run faded
17-07-2026	Hamilton	3	1.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

17-06-2026 | Hamilton

Rating -- OR 66

25-06-2026 | Hamilton

Rating -- OR 64

13-07-2026 | Ayr

Rating -- OR 66

17-07-2026 | Hamilton

Rating -- OR 66

01-08-2026 | Hamilton

Rating -- OR 66

17-08-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 65

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs33

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 12.20s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times0:57.52 | 0:58.22 | 0:58.48

Recent positions8 | 3 | 11

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Catterick \| 6f \| Good \| Class 6	9	28/1	65	--	--	4.5	--	GREY - no timing read
01-08-2026	Hamilton \| 5f \| Good \| Class 5	11	20/1	66	--	--	2	--	GREY - no timing read
17-07-2026	Hamilton \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	3	16/1	66	--	--	1.5	--	GREY - no timing read
13-07-2026	Ayr \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	8	20/1	66	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
25-06-2026	Hamilton \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	1	14/1	64	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
17-06-2026	Hamilton \| 5f \| Good To Soft \| Class 4	7	80/1	66	--	--	2.2	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -40lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 66.3 and winning TS par is around 44.9. Runner versus par: rating edge +2.7. Benchmark fit: 0.8.

Model agreement 3/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Good Karma Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 31.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Best of a weak race 31.8 confidence

Why consider7 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form4-3-2-1-4-7

FFR43 / -19lb

Speed95

Franked34

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 10lb

Quercus Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 29.8

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 29.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +11lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form1-5-6-5-12-1

FFR67 / +5lb

Speed103

Franked71

Ground0/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 10lb

Papa Don't Preach Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 28.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 28.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (C)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form6-2-3-9-3-5

FFR36 / -20lb

Speed92

Franked28

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 4lb

One Of Our Own Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 20.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 20.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form5-6-3-6-1-4

FFR41 / -18lb

Speed90

Franked18

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 7lb

Barmyblade Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 12.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 12.5 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (C)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form7-4-1-10-1-2

FFR31 / -26lb

Speed100

Franked23

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 5lb

Edmond Halley Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3-3-5-7-11-10

FFR58 / +1lb

Speed91

Franked48

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 5lb

3:30 | Lingfield (AW)

3:30 | Lingfield (AW) | 16f

Class 6 | Standard | Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 62 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR505 rated runners | Top OR 55: Le Rouge Chinois

Winning par3m 26.74s24 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupPOLYTRACK: STANDARD

Stalls 5f & 1m - Outside; Remainder - Inside | Rail No rail note | Band 0-60 | Weather Cloudy

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Belle Of Kt leads the contextual model at 38.0
Decision type: Watch only - Needs more proof
Winning-time par: 3m 26.74s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 5 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Belle Of KtRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	49.8	3-1-1-1-1-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 16f \| Standard Wgt9st 13lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP4/7F JockeyMillie Wonnacott OR54 FFR60 SS96 15-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 13f \| Standard Wgt9st 3lb Result1 SP11/8F JockeyMillie Wonnacott OR54 FFR65 SS103 12-08-2026 Ffos LasClass 6 \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result1 SP4/1 JockeyMillie Wonnacott OR54 FFR69 SS100 31-07-2026 BathClass 6 \| 14f \| Firm Wgt10st 6lb Result1 SP2/1 JockeyMiss Scarlett Dorricott OR48 FFR66 SS93 23-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt8st 11lb Result1 SP15/2 JockeyMillie Wonnacott OR48 FFR67 SS99 13-07-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result3 btn 2L SP15/2 JockeyTaylor Fisher OR48 FFR63 SS96	10st 4lb	6	OR 54	63	+9lb	18	1.74	+5.7	Quick return	Same trip	Weak field	--	60%	66%	1/6	96	C	Well treated +12	PRICE DEPENDENT
2	Le Rouge ChinoisRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	49.0	2-2-13-7-3-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 16f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP13/8 JockeyOisin Murphy OR55 FFR84 SS92 05-08-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 14f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result2 btn 2L SP9/2 JockeyTom Marquand OR55 FFR82 SS100 23-04-2026 Longchamp-- \| 1m7f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result13 btn 1.8L SP45/1 JockeyJacky Nicoleau OR58 FFR69 SS107 18-11-2025 Chantilly-- \| 1m5½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 7.5L SP28/1 JockeyJacky Nicoleau OR-- FFR64 SS100 31-10-2025 Chantilly-- \| 2m \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.2L SP8/1 JockeyFabrice Veron OR-- FFR63 SS96 03-10-2025 Saint-Cloud (FR)-- \| 1m6f \| Soft Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.5L SP50/1 JockeyFabrice Veron OR-- FFR64 SS90	9st 9lb	2	OR 55	64	+9lb	7	2.9	+11.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	58%	68%	2/6	90	E	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Regally BlondeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	33.8	1-5-4-3-6-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 16f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result1 SP33/1 JockeySaffie Osborne OR48 FFR41 SS106 05-08-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 14f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result5 btn 0.2L SP17/2 JockeySaffie Osborne OR49 FFR50 SS96 17-07-2026 NottinghamClass 5 \| 18f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 8lb Result4 btn 0.8L SP7/1 JockeyHarry Davies OR51 FFR50 SS100 04-07-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 14f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 11lb Result3 btn 7.5L SP8/1 JockeyJonny Peate OR53 FFR63 SS94 01-06-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result6 btn 4L SP14/1 JockeyHector Crouch OR55 FFR57 SS90 18-05-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 16.5f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result5 btn 3L SP10/1 JockeyHector Crouch OR57 FFR66 SS90	9st 2lb	1	OR 48	66	+18lb	33	70	-5.5	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	60%	63%	1/6	90	B	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
4	FornidoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	19.0	4-6-4-4-4-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 16f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 3.8L SP22/1 JockeyNicola Currie OR48 FFR80 SS90 05-08-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 14f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result6 btn 0.3L SP28/1 JockeySeamus Cronin OR50 FFR67 SS94 27-03-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 2m \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.8L SP10/1 JockeyKieren Fox OR50 FFR67 SS101 13-03-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 1m6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.5L SP11/1 JockeyJames Glennon OR51 FFR68 SS91 07-02-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 1m6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 1L SP8/1 JockeyJames Glennon OR52 FFR54 SS85 17-01-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 2m \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.3L SP25/1 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR50 FFR54 SS82	9st 2lb	5	OR 48	54	+6lb	32	48	-7	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	57%	55%	1/6	82	C	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Star Of JupiterRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	15.8	5-2-4-6-5-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 16f \| Standard Wgt8st 13lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP25/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR45 FFR71 SS104 04-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 16f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 9lb Result2 btn 7L SP14/1 JockeyWilliam Pyle OR45 FFR55 SS98 25-06-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 14f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 9lb Result4 btn 6L SP4/1 JockeyHarry Davies OR46 FFR46 SS102 10-06-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 14f \| Soft Wgt8st 9lb Result6 btn 3L SP7/2 JockeyZac Lloyd OR46 FFR36 SS100 19-05-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 6 \| 16.5f \| Standard Wgt8st 8lb Result5 btn 1.5L SP9/2 JockeyHope Regan OR46 FFR53 SS98 30-04-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 1m6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 7L SP18/1 JockeyMr Jack Loughnane OR46 FFR53 SS90	8st 13lb	3	OR 45	53	+8lb	15	60	-4.5	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	55%	56%	1/6	90	D	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Belle Of Kt

Belle Of Kt profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Le Rouge Chinois

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Belle Of Kt Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 49.8

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Watch only 49.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-1-1-1-1-3

FFR63 / +9lb

Speed96

Franked18

Ground1/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt10st 4lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

3 Lingfield (AW) Solid effort 17-08-2026

1 Lingfield (AW) Strong run 15-08-2026

1 Ffos Las Strong run 12-08-2026

1 Bath Strong run 31-07-2026

1 Southwell (AW) Strong run 23-07-2026

3 Lingfield (AW) Solid effort 13-07-2026

Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating18

1winners since

2placers since

7evidence pts

03-02-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Arenas Del Tiempo (GB), Billy Bathgate (GB), Charlie Darling (FR)

Race produced winner

Charlie Darling (FR)

Later placers

Queensland Boy (IRE) (03-07-2026)

12-02-2025 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Everest (GB), Imperial Decision (GB), Marine (IRE)

Later placers

Everest (GB) (06-10-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement1/6

FFR63

Speed96

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+9lb ahead of mark

FFR 63 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

96 Par 100

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score38.0Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI CLOW

Mark readWell treatedLatest +9lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Class

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs4/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 3 1W / 2P Peak rating --

Fast 1 1W / 1P Peak rating --

All-weather 14 3W / 10P Peak rating 56

Placement evidence 66% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 58%

Class fit 41%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 76%

Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concern

Mark read Latest +9lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +9lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 54 | Latest FFR 63 | Best FFR 69 | Public mark read +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer J S Moore

Jockey Millie Wonnacott(5)

Age 5

Draw 6

OR 54

Avg OR 50

OR vs Field +4

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 731111

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Very steady 3.3% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 3.1 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m6f

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance1m6f

Runs at profile2

DEIC

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
17-02-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	2	3:4.65	184.7
31-07-2026	Bath	Firm	1	3:9.81	189.8

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.0 micro score

Trainer RTF 48% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 2 days Quick return

Micro score +0.0 API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP4/7F

OwnerH Maye

Pedigree

Postponed × So Belle (Singspiel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course winHas won at this course

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.2L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	3	0.5	Neutral finish
15-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	1	0	Fast finish
12-08-2026	Ffos Las	1	0	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

13-07-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating -- OR 48

23-07-2026 | Southwell (AW)

Rating -- OR 48

31-07-2026 | Bath

Rating -- OR 48

12-08-2026 | Ffos Las

Rating -- OR 54

15-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating -- OR 54

17-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating -- OR 54

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Trip evidence building

Similar-trip runs2

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par3m 26.74s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times3:4.65 | 3:9.81

Recent positions2 | 1

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 16f \| Standard \| Class 6	3	4/7F	54	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
15-08-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 13f \| Standard \| Class 6	1	11/8F	54	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
12-08-2026	Ffos Las \| 12f \| Good \| Class 6	1	4/1	54	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
31-07-2026	Bath \| 14f \| Firm \| Class 6	1	2/1	48	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
23-07-2026	Southwell (AW) \| 12f \| Standard \| Class 6	1	15/2	48	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
13-07-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 12f \| Standard \| Class 6	3	15/2	48	--	--	2	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Well treated

Latest +9lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 65 and winning TS par is around 42.3. Runner versus par: rating edge -4.0. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Le Rouge Chinois Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 49.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 49.0 confidence

Why considerClass benchmark supports the placement

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form2-2-13-7-3-7

FFR64 / +9lb

Speed90

Franked7

Ground0/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 9lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

2 Lingfield (AW) Solid effort 17-08-2026

2 Yarmouth Finished well 05-08-2026

13 Longchamp Competitive 23-04-2026

7 Chantilly Steady run 18-11-2025

3 Chantilly Solid effort 31-10-2025

7 Saint-Cloud (FR) Competitive 03-10-2025

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating7

0winners since

7placers since

8evidence pts

08-05-2026 | Yarmouth Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Cloudy Rose (GB), Fornido (GB), Highland Harvey (IRE)

Later placers

Spaceage Love Song (IRE) (07-08-2026)

07-08-2025 | Chantilly (FR) Finished 7

Later placers

Monty (FR) (11-11-2025)

01-07-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Green Team (FR), Its A Love Thing (GB), Lawmans Blis (IRE)

Later placers

Alfheim (IRE) (02-08-2025), Blue Sky Boy (IRE) (01-11-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR64

Speed90

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+9lb ahead of mark

FFR 64 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

90 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score43.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI EVERY_LOW

Mark readWell treatedLatest +9lb | peak +29lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Today's conditions match 58% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 38%

Class 65%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating72

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 5 0W / 0P Peak rating 89

Good 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Fast 3 1W / 2P Peak rating 79

All-weather 20 0W / 7P Peak rating 78

Placement evidence 68% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 35%

Class fit 75%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 76%

Class benchmark supports the placementConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueTrip evidence still asks questions

Mark read Latest +9lb | peak +29lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +9lb | peak +29lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 55 | Latest FFR 64 | Best FFR 84 | Public mark read +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Michael Appleby

Jockey Oisin Murphy

Age 6

Draw 2

OR 55

Avg OR 50

OR vs Field +5

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 81802

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Cooling

confidence nudge +0.8

Variance Reliable 5.7% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 6.8 vs par

Curve Cooling Trend -1

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.

Profile distance1m7f

Runs at profile1

DEIE

ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
23-04-2026	Longchamp (FR)	Good To Soft	13	3:17.51	197.5

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 28% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 12 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.2 trainer RTF quiet at 28%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 0/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP13/8

OwnerMagna Carter Bloodstock

Pedigree

Hurricane Red × La Petite Chinoise (Dr Fong)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.4L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	2	0.5	Neutral finish
05-08-2026	Yarmouth	2	2	Fast finish
23-04-2026	Longchamp	13	1.8	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 3 earlier runs were unrated.

03-10-2025 | Saint-Cloud (FR)

Rating 82 OR Unrated

31-10-2025 | Chantilly

Rating 72 OR Unrated

18-11-2025 | Chantilly

Rating 68 OR Unrated

23-04-2026 | Longchamp

Rating -- OR 58

05-08-2026 | Yarmouth

Rating -- OR 55

17-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating -- OR 55

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Trip evidence building

Similar-trip runs1

ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Winning-time par3m 26.74s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times3:17.51

Recent positions13

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 16f \| Standard \| Class 6	2	13/8	55	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
05-08-2026	Yarmouth \| 14f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	2	9/2	55	--	--	2	--	GREY - no timing read
23-04-2026	Longchamp \| 1m7f \| Good To Soft \| --	13	45/1	58	--	33	1.8	3:17.16	GOLD - faster than par
18-11-2025	Chantilly \| 1m5½f \| Standard \| --	7	28/1	--	68	22	7.5	2:58.53	GOLD - faster than par
31-10-2025	Chantilly \| 2m \| Standard \| --	3	8/1	--	72	52	0.2	3:30.29	AMBER - competitive
03-10-2025	Saint-Cloud (FR) \| 1m6f \| Soft \| --	7	50/1	--	82	21	0.5	3:11.02	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Well treated

Latest +9lb | peak +29lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 65 and winning TS par is around 42.3. Runner versus par: rating edge +4.0. Benchmark fit: 3.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Regally Blonde Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 33.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Watch only 33.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form1-5-4-3-6-5

FFR66 / +18lb

Speed90

Franked33

Ground0/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 2lb

Fornido Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 19.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Watch only 19.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form4-6-4-4-4-2

FFR54 / +6lb

Speed82

Franked32

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 2lb

Star Of Jupiter Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 15.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Watch only 15.8 confidence

Why consider6 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form5-2-4-6-5-2

FFR53 / +8lb

Speed90

Franked15

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt8st 13lb

3:45 | Catterick

3:45 | Catterick | 5f

Class 4 | Good | Constant Security Services Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 76 SHORTLIST RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR64.73 rated runners | Top OR 70: Night Shining

Winning par58.41s3 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 7.4)

Stalls 6f - Centre; Remainder - Inside | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather Overcast & Showers

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Night Shining leads the contextual model at 32.8
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Clearer top profile: +12.2 gap to nearest rival
Winning-time par: 58.41s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 6 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Night ShiningRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	45.0	2-3-4-4-4-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result2 btn 8.5L SP4/7F JockeyPat Cosgrave OR70 FFR80 SS92 03-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 0.8L SP4/5F JockeyBilly Loughnane OR72 FFR82 SS98 02-07-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 7lb Result4 btn 0.3L SP4/1 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR73 FFR71 SS-- 30-05-2026 ChesterClass 4 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 0.5L SP6/1 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR-- FFR60 SS-- 30-04-2026 YarmouthClass 4 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.5L SP8/1 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR-- FFR79 SS-- 10-07-2025 Newmarket (July)Class 2 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result6 btn 3.2L SP9/2 JockeyRyan Moore OR-- FFR59 SS--	9st 2lb	1	OR 70	59	-11lb	23	40/1	+17.9	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	49%	52%	0/6	98	D	Stiff -8	CAUTION PROFILE
2	Star NoirRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	34.0	1-4-7-4-3-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result1 SP100/30 JockeyBilly Garritty OR62 FFR84 SS98 02-06-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 0.5L SP7/4F JockeyJoanna Mason OR64 FFR68 SS105 04-05-2026 BeverleyClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 1lb Result7 btn 1.2L SP7/1 JockeyBilly Garritty OR67 FFR74 SS103 22-11-2025 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 1.5L SP2/1F JockeyBilly Garritty OR69 FFR50 SS87 28-10-2025 CatterickClass 5 \| 5f \| Soft Wgt-- Result3 btn 4L SP4/5F JockeyBilly Garritty OR71 FFR57 SS95 16-09-2025 RedcarClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.5L SP11/2 JockeyBilly Garritty OR-- FFR88 SS--	9st 7lb	5	OR 62	88	+26lb	18	4/1	+5.7	Layoff check	Same trip	Modest field	--	57%	67%	0/6	95	C	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Rocktoun HeartRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.0	6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result6 btn 26L SP80/1 JockeyPaul Mulrennan OR-- FFR47 SS--	9st 4lb	2	OR --	47	--	0	1000	-8.1	Rest developing	Same trip	Modest field	--	49%	55%	1/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
4	Miss TinoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	3.0	5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 0.1L SP80/1 JockeyBarry McHugh OR-- FFR47 SS--	9st 2lb	4	OR --	47	--	0	1000	-7.1	Rest developing	Same trip	Modest field	--	44%	52%	1/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
5	Top LadRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	3-7-10-9-3-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result3 btn 2.8L SP22/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR62 FFR69 SS98 10-07-2026 ChesterClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt8st 12lb Result7 btn 9L SP50/1 JockeyLewis Chalkley OR65 FFR75 SS89 15-04-2026 BeverleyClass 5 \| 7½f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result10 btn 5.5L SP12/1 JockeyBilly Garritty OR67 FFR64 SS86 22-11-2025 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 2.5L SP11/2 JockeyBilly Garritty OR69 FFR66 SS68 05-11-2025 MusselburghClass 2 \| 7f \| Soft Wgt-- Result3 btn 1.5L SP22/1 JockeyBilly Garritty OR-- FFR34 SS92 28-10-2025 CatterickClass 5 \| 5f \| Soft Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.8L SP10/1 JockeyLewis Chalkley OR-- FFR49 SS99	9st 7lb	6	OR 62	49	-13lb	41	100/1	-2.1	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	44%	46%	0/6	99	D	Stiff -10	CAUTION PROFILE
6	PreferredRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	4-3-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 3L SP9/2 JockeyP J McDonald OR-- FFR75 SS90 23-01-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.8L SP17/2 JockeyDarragh Keenan OR-- FFR78 SS93 08-01-2026 Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.8L SP33/1 JockeySean D Bowen OR-- FFR46 SS--	9st 2lb	3	OR --	46	--	22	1000	-6.3	Long absence	Same trip	Modest field	--	44%	52%	0/6	93	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Night Shining

Night Shining profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 0/6. Draw data adds a small confidence boost. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Star Noir

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Night Shining Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 45.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 45.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form2-3-4-4-4-6

FFR59 / -11lb

Speed98

Franked23

Ground2/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 2lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

2 Catterick Solid effort 17-08-2026

3 Windsor Solid effort 03-08-2026

4 Kempton (AW) Competitive 02-07-2026

4 Chester Competitive 30-05-2026

4 Yarmouth Run faded 30-04-2026

6 Newmarket (July) Run faded 10-07-2025

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating23

2winners since

3placers since

8evidence pts

08-03-2026 | Windsor Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Flagraiser (GB), Just Dreaming (GB), Yazoo (GB)

07-02-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Arctic Wind (GB), Concert (GB), Echo Of Faith (IRE)

Race produced winner

Evenepoel (IRE), Our Guy (IRE)

Later placers

Arctic Wind (GB) (06-04-2026), Trinculo (GB) (05-04-2026)

07-10-2025 | Newmarket (July) Finished 6

Beat named rivals

Lady Lucky Vegas (IRE), Princess Billyboy (IRE)

Later placers

Enamorus (IRE) (07-04-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement0/6

FFR59

Speed98

ConditionsCaution

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-11lb below mark

FFR 59 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

98 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance evidence is thin

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score32.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI DLOW

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -11lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb

Today's conditions match 49% Conditions ask questions

Trip / ground 52%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 58%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Track / draw Question Handicap

Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandFast

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 2 0W / 1P Peak rating --

Fast 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 62

All-weather 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Placement evidence 52% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 44%

Class fit 50%

Mark room 28%

Stable setup 70%

Recent evidence 68%

Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -11lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -11lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 70 | Latest FFR 59 | Best FFR 82 | Public mark read -8

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer George Boughey

Jockey Pat Cosgrave

Age 3

Draw 1

OR 70

Avg OR 64.7

OR vs Field +5.3

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 6-4443

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Edging forward

confidence nudge +0.2

Variance Developing Consistency developing

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Below requirement -2.1 vs par

Curve Edging forward Trend 1

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance5f

Runs at profile2

DEID

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
03-08-2026	Windsor	Good To Firm	3	1:0.28	60.3
17-08-2026	Catterick	Good	2	1:0.39	60.4

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 55% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 14 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: t; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgeartDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP4/7F

OwnerLady Bamford

Pedigree

Dark Angel × Extricate (Exceed And Excel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Beaten favouriteMarket expected more last time

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 3.2L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Catterick	2	8.5	Fast finish
03-08-2026	Windsor	3	0.8	Neutral finish
02-07-2026	Kempton (AW)	4	0.3	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 1 earlier run was unrated.

10-07-2025 | Newmarket (July)

Rating 62 OR Unrated

02-07-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating -- OR 73

03-08-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 72

17-08-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 70

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Trip evidence building

Similar-trip runs2

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par58.41s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times1:0.28 | 1:0.39

Recent positions3 | 2

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Catterick \| 5f \| Good \| Class 4	2	4/7F	70	--	--	8.5	--	GREY - no timing read
03-08-2026	Windsor \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	3	4/5F	72	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read
02-07-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 5	4	4/1	73	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
30-05-2026	Chester \| 7f \| Good \| Class 4	4	6/1	--	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
30-04-2026	Yarmouth \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	4	8/1	--	--	50	0.5	1:25.15	GREY - below benchmark
10-07-2025	Newmarket (July) \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 2	6	9/2	--	62	44	3.2	1:13.54	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -11lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 86 and winning TS par is around 55. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Star Noir Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 34.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Watch only 34.0 confidence

Why consider7 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form1-4-7-4-3-2

FFR88 / +26lb

Speed95

Franked18

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 7lb

Rocktoun Heart Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 8.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 8.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6

FFR47 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 4lb

Miss Tino Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 3.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 3.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5

FFR47 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 2lb

Top Lad Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form3-7-10-9-3-4

FFR49 / -13lb

Speed99

Franked41

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 7lb

Preferred Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-3-4

FFR46 / --

Speed93

Franked22

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 2lb

4:00 | Lingfield (AW)

4:00 | Lingfield (AW) | 6f

Class 5 | Standard | Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 66 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR67.85 rated runners | Top OR 69: Egotistical

Winning par1m 11.64s68 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupPOLYTRACK: STANDARD

Stalls 5f & 1m - Outside; Remainder - Inside | Rail No rail note | Band 0-70 | Weather Cloudy

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Egotistical leads the contextual model at 49.0
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Clearer top profile: +9.2 gap to nearest rival
Winning-time par: 1m 11.64s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 5 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	EgotisticalRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	59.0	2-4-7-1-3-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result2 btn 6L SP5/2 JockeyRoss Coakley OR69 FFR88 SS87 26-06-2026 YarmouthClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 0.5L SP13/8F JockeyJack Mitchell OR70 FFR83 SS100 02-06-2026 PontefractClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result7 btn 0.8L SP2/1F JockeyRay Dawson OR71 FFR88 SS97 30-04-2026 RedcarClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result1 SP13/8 JockeyRowan Scott OR70 FFR51 SS100 18-04-2026 NottinghamClass 4 \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.1L SP4/1 JockeyRay Dawson OR-- FFR65 SS-- 20-01-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 4 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.5L SP11/1 JockeyRowan Scott OR-- FFR58 SS--	9st 9lb	5	OR 69	58	-11lb	18	1000	+19	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	50%	52%	2/6	100	C	Stiff -8	CAUTION PROFILE
2	Veil Of CloudsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	28.0	1-3-5-2-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result1 SP4/7F JockeyCallum Shepherd OR69 FFR66 SS-- 17-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 3lb Result3 btn 0.8L SP2/1F JockeyRobert Havlin OR69 FFR79 SS-- 02-07-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt8st 13lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP11/8F JockeyBilly Loughnane OR-- FFR72 SS-- 18-06-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result2 btn 2L SP4/1 JockeyHarry Davies OR-- FFR64 SS-- 04-06-2026 WetherbyClass 4 \| 5.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP5/4F JockeyHarry Davies OR-- FFR77 SS--	9st 9lb	4	OR 69	77	+8lb	17	4/6	+9.8	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	58%	63%	0/6	--	C	Well treated +10	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Dark BrunetteRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	24.0	3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP9/1 JockeyOisin Murphy OR69 FFR56 SS--	9st 9lb	1	OR 69	56	-13lb	0	1000	-5	Layoff check	Same trip	Modest field	--	45%	44%	0/6	--	E	Stiff -13	CAUTION PROFILE
4	TronidoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	5.0	5-7-11-4-1-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 11lb Result5 btn 7L SP14/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR68 FFR76 SS103 09-07-2026 Epsom DownsClass 5 \| 8.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 13lb Result7 btn 12L SP15/2 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR70 FFR67 SS87 29-06-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt10st 2lb Result11 btn 2L SP9/1 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR70 FFR75 SS90 07-06-2026 GoodwoodClass 4 \| 7f \| Soft Wgt8st 9lb Result4 btn 0.5L SP11/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR71 FFR46 SS96 19-05-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result1 SP100/30F JockeyPaddy Bradley OR64 FFR36 SS93 28-04-2026 EpsomClass 4 \| 1m½f \| Good Wgt-- Result8 btn 2L SP28/1 JockeyHollie Doyle OR66 FFR38 SS97	9st 11lb	2	OR 68	38	-30lb	12	1000	-10.8	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	43%	1/6	97	D	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Bessie WallisRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	4-4-5-5-6-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt8st 13lb Result4 btn 1.5L SP40/1 JockeySeamus Cronin OR64 FFR83 SS84 08-06-2026 LeicesterClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 5lb Result4 btn 0.8L SP11/2 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR66 FFR71 SS92 18-05-2026 LingfieldClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP12/1 JockeySean Levey OR68 FFR65 SS96 30-04-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result5 btn 5.5L SP12/1 JockeyRossa Ryan OR70 FFR61 SS88 01-12-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 2.2L SP11/1 JockeyPierre-Louis Jamin OR71 FFR59 SS88 27-10-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP9/2 JockeyCieren Fallon OR-- FFR49 SS--	9st 4lb	3	OR 64	49	-15lb	19	1000	-13	Layoff check	Same trip	Modest field	--	47%	41%	0/6	88	D	Stiff -12	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Egotistical

Egotistical profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 2/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Veil Of Clouds

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Egotistical Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 59.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Best of a weak race 59.0 confidence

Why consider6 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form2-4-7-1-3-2

FFR58 / -11lb

Speed100

Franked18

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 9lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

2 Lingfield (AW) Solid effort 17-08-2026

4 Yarmouth Run faded 26-06-2026

7 Pontefract Run faded 02-06-2026

1 Redcar Strong run 30-04-2026

3 Nottingham Run faded 18-04-2026

2 Newcastle (AW) Solid effort 20-01-2026

Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating18

1winners since

1placers since

4evidence pts

06-02-2026 | Pontefract Finished 7

Beat named rivals

Storm Esme (GB)

Race produced winner

Saucy Jane (GB)

Later placers

D Flawless (IRE) (01-04-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR58

Speed100

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-11lb below mark

FFR 58 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

100 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting profile, but FFR sits below today's mark Main riskDraw data is a negative nudge

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score49.0Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI CMEDIUM

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -11lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb

Today's conditions match 50% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 55%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 42%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating69

Best ground bandGood

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 2 0W / 1P Peak rating 75

Fast 2 1W / 1P Peak rating --

All-weather 3 0W / 3P Peak rating 69

Placement evidence 52% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 70%

Class fit 59%

Mark room 28%

Stable setup 62%

Recent evidence 42%

6 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidenceRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Mark read Latest -11lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -11lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 69 | Latest FFR 58 | Best FFR 88 | Public mark read -8

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Roger Varian

Jockey Ross Coakley

Age 3

Draw 5

OR 69

Avg OR 67.8

OR vs Field +1.2

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form -23174

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge +2.0

Variance Reliable 5.5% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 0 vs par

Curve Edging forward Trend 1

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile6

DEIC

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
02-06-2026	Pontefract	Good	7	1:16.61	76.6
26-06-2026	Yarmouth	Good To Firm	4	1:12.11	72.1
17-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	2	1:11.42	71.4

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+1.0 micro score

Trainer RTF 73% Yard in a positive recent rhythm

Freshness 52 days Standard layoff

Micro score +1.0 trainer RTF hot at 73%; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP5/2

OwnerVarian Racing Xi

Pedigree

Acclamation × Self Centred (Medicean)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this tripBeaten favouriteMarket expected more last time

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.4L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	2	6	Neutral finish
26-06-2026	Yarmouth	4	0.5	Run faded
02-06-2026	Pontefract	7	0.8	Run faded

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 2 earlier runs were unrated.

20-01-2026 | Newcastle (AW)

Rating 69 OR Unrated

18-04-2026 | Nottingham

Rating 75 OR Unrated

30-04-2026 | Redcar

Rating -- OR 70

02-06-2026 | Pontefract

Rating -- OR 71

26-06-2026 | Yarmouth

Rating -- OR 70

17-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating -- OR 69

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs6

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Winning-time par1m 11.64s

Last win at trip1:10.10 | Redcar | 30-04-2026

Recent times1:16.61 | 1:12.11 | 1:11.42

Recent positions7 | 4 | 2

Winning contextvs par -1.54s | OR 70

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	2	5/2	69	--	--	6	--	GREY - no timing read
26-06-2026	Yarmouth \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	4	13/8F	70	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
02-06-2026	Pontefract \| 6f \| Good \| Class 5	7	2/1F	71	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read
30-04-2026	Redcar \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	1	13/8	70	--	49	0	1:10.10	GOLD - faster than par
18-04-2026	Nottingham \| 6f \| Good \| Class 4	3	4/1	--	75	64	0.1	1:14.61	GREY - below benchmark
20-01-2026	Newcastle (AW) \| 5f \| Standard \| Class 4	2	11/1	--	69	56	0.5	0:59.64	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -11lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 78.5 and winning TS par is around 54.3. Runner versus par: rating edge +1.5. Benchmark fit: 1.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Veil Of Clouds Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 28.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 28.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +10lb room

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form1-3-5-2-5

FFR77 / +8lb

Speed--

Franked17

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 9lb

Dark Brunette Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 24.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 24.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3

FFR56 / -13lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 9lb

Tronido Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 5.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 5.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form5-7-11-4-1-8

FFR38 / -30lb

Speed97

Franked12

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 11lb

Bessie Wallis Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form4-4-5-5-6-1

FFR49 / -15lb

Speed88

Franked19

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 4lb

4:15 | Catterick

4:15 | Catterick | 5f

Class 5 | Good | racingtv.com Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 66 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR65.111 rated runners | Top OR 70: Tees Aggregates

Winning par59.34s13 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 7.4)

Stalls 6f - Centre; Remainder - Inside | Rail No rail note | Band 0-70 | Weather Overcast & Showers

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Cheerleader leads the contextual model at 32.2
Decision type: Watch only - Needs more proof
Winning-time par: 59.34s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 11 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	CheerleaderRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	48.2	3-3-4-9-8-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt8st 12lb Result3 btn 1L SP9/1 JockeyAndrew Mullen OR54 FFR77 SS84 27-07-2026 RiponClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result3 btn 0.2L SP5/2 JockeyWarren Fentiman OR54 FFR70 SS102 07-07-2026 PontefractClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result4 btn 1.5L SP22/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR56 FFR44 SS115 05-06-2026 ThirskClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 5lb Result9 btn 1L SP22/1 JockeyJack Garritty OR59 FFR62 SS81 18-08-2025 CatterickClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result8 btn 0.5L SP10/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR61 FFR62 SS94 04-08-2025 RiponClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result2 btn 2.8L SP17/2 JockeyWarren Fentiman OR62 FFR57 SS95	8st 12lb	3	OR 54	57	+3lb	12	110	+3.6	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	62%	66%	1/6	95	B	Well treated +9	CAUTION PROFILE
2	Tees AggregatesRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleContext over ratings	44.8	10-14-7-1-3-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt10st 0lb Result10 btn 0.8L SP11/2 JockeyJack Garritty OR70 FFR71 SS114 25-07-2026 YorkClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt11st 4lb Result14 btn 1.5L SP40/1 JockeyBrendan Powell OR72 FFR61 SS88 06-07-2026 RiponClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result7 btn 0.5L SP11/1 JockeyJack Nicholls OR73 FFR76 SS106 22-06-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result1 SP15/8 JockeyJack Nicholls OR68 FFR68 SS94 10-06-2026 HamiltonClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 4lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP7/2 JockeyJack Nicholls OR69 FFR54 SS95 28-05-2026 RiponClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP4/1 JockeyJack Nicholls OR70 FFR34 SS99	10st 0lb	8	OR 70	34	-36lb	29	1000	+3.7	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	50%	55%	1/6	99	B	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Staniel CayRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	39.0	4-3-1-4-5-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result4 btn 0.8L SP100/30F JockeyOisin Orr OR66 FFR71 SS87 13-05-2026 YarmouthClass 5 \| 5f \| Soft Wgt9st 3lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP11/10F JockeyDavid Egan OR67 FFR74 SS97 18-04-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result1 SP6/1 JockeyRowan Scott OR60 FFR76 SS96 30-03-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.1L SP7/2 JockeyKieran Shoemark OR62 FFR79 SS97 25-02-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 2L SP5/2 JockeyKyle Strydom OR-- FFR57 SS97 27-08-2025 CatterickClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result4 btn 1.8L SP5/1 JockeyDavid Egan OR-- FFR55 SS--	9st 8lb	1	OR 66	55	-11lb	0	190	+11.9	Layoff check	Same trip	Modest field	--	54%	61%	0/6	97	B	Stiff -8	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Canaria QueenRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	36.8	2-8-2-5-5-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 12lb Result2 btn 4L SP13/2 JockeyDuran Fentiman OR68 FFR77 SS92 01-08-2026 ThirskClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result8 btn 0.8L SP11/1 JockeyDuran Fentiman OR68 FFR62 SS91 24-07-2026 ThirskClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 12lb Result2 btn 1.5L SP11/1 JockeyDuran Fentiman OR67 FFR71 SS99 06-07-2026 RiponClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 1.5L SP14/1 JockeyDuran Fentiman OR68 FFR71 SS97 17-06-2026 HamiltonClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Soft Wgt8st 12lb Result5 btn 1.5L SP13/2 JockeyDuran Fentiman OR67 FFR63 SS90 10-06-2026 HamiltonClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 2lb Result1 SP4/1 JockeyDuran Fentiman OR62 FFR63 SS103	9st 12lb	2	OR 68	63	-5lb	30	20/1	+1.3	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	62%	64%	2/6	103	A+	Near mark -2	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Our Absent FriendsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	31.8	1-9-1-9-7-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 13lb Result1 SP7/2 JockeyDavid Allan OR69 FFR67 SS103 14-08-2026 ThirskClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt8st 12lb Result9 btn 1.5L SP50/1 JockeyShane Gray OR69 FFR50 SS97 15-07-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 0lb Result1 SP9/4 JockeyJason Hart OR63 FFR50 SS108 13-07-2026 AyrClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result9 btn 0.3L SP12/1 JockeyShane Gray OR63 FFR68 SS98 05-07-2026 AyrClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt10st 9lb Result7 btn 2.2L SP5/2F JockeyMiss Amy Collier OR63 FFR51 SS105 22-06-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result3 btn 0.2L SP6/1 JockeyShane Gray OR64 FFR78 SS88	9st 13lb	4	OR 69	78	+9lb	21	5.5	+3.1	Quick return	Same trip	Modest field	--	61%	66%	2/6	88	A	Well treated +9	CAUTION PROFILE
6	BeaumadierRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	27.8	8-5-5-2-3-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 5lb Result8 btn 0.3L SP10/1 JockeyHope Regan OR68 FFR80 SS100 27-07-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP15/2 JockeyHope Regan OR70 FFR67 SS99 11-07-2026 ChesterClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP20/1 JockeyHope Regan OR71 FFR70 SS105 02-07-2026 NottinghamClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result2 btn 1L SP8/1 JockeyHope Regan OR71 FFR61 SS100 16-06-2026 ThirskClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 0lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP40/1 JockeyHope Regan OR72 FFR66 SS100 24-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 2L SP7/2 JockeyJack Callan OR73 FFR34 SS99	9st 12lb	6	OR 68	34	-34lb	31	100/1	-2.8	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	47%	52%	1/6	99	C	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Miss BrazenRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	27.0	5-5-6-3-1-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 13lb Result5 btn 2.5L SP22/1 JockeyBilly Garritty OR69 FFR72 SS90 16-06-2026 BeverleyClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP13/2 JockeyLewis Chalkley OR70 FFR77 SS100 05-06-2026 MusselburghClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt8st 7lb Result6 btn 2L SP22/1 JockeyLewis Chalkley OR71 FFR71 SS106 12-05-2026 BeverleyClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 0.2L SP14/1 JockeyLewis Chalkley OR70 FFR67 SS91 18-04-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result1 SP5/1 JockeyLewis Chalkley OR65 FFR58 SS96 17-10-2025 RedcarClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result8 btn 1L SP11/1 JockeyDale Swift OR67 FFR48 SS93	9st 13lb	9	OR 69	48	-21lb	67	33/1	-4.6	Layoff check	Same trip	Modest field	--	50%	50%	1/6	93	B	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
8	BetweenthesticksRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	23.8	6-4-3-2-6-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 12lb Result6 btn 0.8L SP8/1 JockeyJames Sullivan OR68 FFR32 SS102 05-08-2026 PontefractClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 12lb Result4 btn 1.2L SP4/1 JockeyJames Sullivan OR68 FFR51 SS105 07-07-2026 PontefractClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt10st 0lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP7/2 JockeyJames Sullivan OR69 FFR73 SS109 29-06-2026 PontefractClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt10st 1lb Result2 btn 1L SP10/1 JockeyJames Sullivan OR69 FFR70 SS89 03-06-2026 RiponClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result6 btn 2.2L SP13/2 JockeyJames Sullivan OR70 FFR66 SS101 22-05-2026 PontefractClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 5lb Result9 btn 0.8L SP8/1 JockeyJames Sullivan OR71 FFR45 SS102	9st 12lb	7	OR 68	45	-23lb	1	50/1	-2.3	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	52%	52%	2/6	102	A	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
9	Emperor's SonRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	23.8	9-10-1-4-9-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt10st 0lb Result9 btn 1L SP20/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR70 FFR78 SS100 04-07-2026 Newmarket (July)Class 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 10lb Result10 btn 0.2L SP20/1 JockeyWarren Fentiman OR70 FFR74 SS98 17-06-2026 HamiltonClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result1 SP15/2 JockeyOisin Orr OR68 FFR66 SS103 08-06-2026 PontefractClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 0.3L SP9/1 JockeyOisin McSweeney OR68 FFR78 SS96 06-02-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 2.2L SP5/1 JockeyWarren Fentiman OR70 FFR65 SS99 31-01-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.3L SP13/2 JockeyWarren Fentiman OR70 FFR35 SS102	10st 0lb	11	OR 70	35	-35lb	8	1000	-3.3	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	52%	56%	2/6	102	A	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
10	Invincible CrownRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	16.8	11-4-4-1-2-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result11 btn 2L SP22/1 JockeyTom Eaves OR58 FFR59 SS102 03-08-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result4 btn 1.2L SP9/4 JockeyTom Eaves OR59 FFR62 SS104 15-07-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 11lb Result4 btn 0.8L SP18/1 JockeyJames Sullivan OR60 FFR68 SS98 30-06-2026 MusselburghClass 6 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 12lb Result1 SP4/1 JockeyJames Sullivan OR56 FFR53 SS103 25-06-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result2 btn 0.8L SP5/2J JockeyJames Sullivan OR56 FFR48 SS97 16-06-2026 ThirskClass 6 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result4 btn 0L SP18/1 JockeyWilliam Pyle OR56 FFR31 SS94	9st 2lb	10	OR 58	31	-27lb	16	100/1	-3.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	47%	46%	1/6	94	B	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
11	Irish DancerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	14.8	7-3-8-3-2-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 0lb Result7 btn 2.8L SP12/1 JockeyZak Wheatley OR56 FFR43 SS101 24-07-2026 ThirskClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP5/1 JockeyHope Regan OR58 FFR62 SS97 15-07-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result8 btn 0.2L SP20/1 JockeyZak Wheatley OR58 FFR53 SS102 25-06-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result3 btn 2.2L SP5/2J JockeyZak Wheatley OR57 FFR43 SS111 16-06-2026 ThirskClass 6 \| 5f \| Good Wgt8st 13lb Result2 btn 0.1L SP28/1 JockeyZak Wheatley OR57 FFR58 SS97 05-06-2026 ThirskClass 6 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result8 btn 0.5L SP17/2 JockeyHarry Smith OR59 FFR34 SS92	9st 0lb	5	OR 56	34	-22lb	39	100/1	-7.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	47%	48%	1/6	92	B	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Cheerleader

Cheerleader profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 1/6. Draw data adds a small confidence boost. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Tees Aggregates

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Cheerleader Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 48.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 48.2 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-3-4-9-8-2

FFR57 / +3lb

Speed95

Franked12

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt8st 12lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

3 Catterick Solid effort 17-08-2026

3 Ripon Solid effort 27-07-2026

4 Pontefract Competitive 07-07-2026

9 Thirsk Competitive 05-06-2026

8 Catterick Troubled run 18-08-2025

2 Ripon Solid effort 04-08-2025

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating12

1winners since

5placers since

10evidence pts

07-07-2026 | Pontefract Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Brave Empire (IRE), Dandy Dinmont (IRE), Storm Call (IRE)

Later placers

Betweenthesticks (GB) (05-08-2026)

06-05-2026 | Thirsk Finished 9

Beat named rivals

Fille Unique (IRE), Star Marian (GB)

Later placers

Pull The Rug (IRE) (08-06-2026), Startling (GB) (08-08-2026)

07-05-2025 | Beverley Finished 7

Beat named rivals

Angelic Bugler (IRE), Invincible Crown (IRE)

Race produced winner

Brazilian Belle (IRE)

Later placers

Juno Star (IRE) (01-02-2026), Lady Roxby (GB) (04-06-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR57

Speed95

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+3lb near mark

FFR 57 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

95 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score32.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BHIGH

Mark readWell treatedLatest +3lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +9lb

Today's conditions match 62% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 37%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 58%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Class

Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs4/6

Best similar rating66

Best ground bandFast

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 2 1W / 1P Peak rating 66

Good 6 0W / 3P Peak rating 66

Fast 6 1W / 3P Peak rating 60

All-weather 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 50

Placement evidence 66% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 16%

Mark room 79%

Stable setup 70%

Recent evidence 68%

Proven trip profile (B)15 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +9lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concern

Mark read Latest +3lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +9lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +3lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +9lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 54 | Latest FFR 57 | Best FFR 77 | Public mark read +9

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Tina Jackson

Jockey Andrew Mullen

Age 4

Draw 3

OR 54

Avg OR 65.1

OR vs Field -11.1

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 28-943

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Variable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +1.2

Variance Variable 11.8% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Big ceiling edge 14.7 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.

Profile distance5f

Runs at profile15

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
07-07-2026	Pontefract	Good	4	1:2.38	62.4
27-07-2026	Ripon	Good To Firm	3	0:59.00	59
17-08-2026	Catterick	Good	3	0:59.43	59.4

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 56% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 21 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP9/1

OwnerDerek Caroline Thompson

Pedigree

Dandy Man × Sleepless (Shalaa)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.9L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Catterick	3	1	Neutral finish
27-07-2026	Ripon	3	0.2	Neutral finish
07-07-2026	Pontefract	4	1.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 2 runs with an official OR.

04-08-2025 | Ripon

Rating 66 OR 62

18-08-2025 | Catterick

Rating 48 OR 61

05-06-2026 | Thirsk

Rating -- OR 59

07-07-2026 | Pontefract

Rating -- OR 56

27-07-2026 | Ripon

Rating -- OR 54

17-08-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 54

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs15

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par59.34s

Last win at trip0:59.24 | Catterick | 30-05-2025

Recent times1:2.38 | 0:59.00 | 0:59.43

Recent positions4 | 3 | 3

Winning contextvs par -0.1s | OR 54

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Catterick \| 5f \| Good \| Class 5	3	9/1	54	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
27-07-2026	Ripon \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	3	5/2	54	--	--	0.2	--	GREY - no timing read
07-07-2026	Pontefract \| 5f \| Good \| Class 5	4	22/1	56	--	--	1.5	--	GREY - no timing read
05-06-2026	Thirsk \| 5f \| Good \| Class 5	9	22/1	59	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
18-08-2025	Catterick \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	8	10/1	61	48	26	0.5	0:59.98	AMBER - competitive
04-08-2025	Ripon \| 5f \| Good \| Class 5	2	17/2	62	66	48	2.8	0:59.33	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Well treated

Latest +3lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +9lb.

Benchmark Fit score -3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 76.8 and winning TS par is around 48.6. Runner versus par: rating edge -14.8. Benchmark fit: -2.5.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Tees Aggregates Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 44.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Context over ratings 44.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form10-14-7-1-3-3

FFR34 / -36lb

Speed99

Franked29

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt10st 0lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

10 Catterick Competitive 17-08-2026

14 York Competitive 25-07-2026

7 Ripon Competitive 06-07-2026

1 Catterick Strong run 22-06-2026

3 Hamilton Run faded 10-06-2026

3 Ripon Finished well 28-05-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating29

3winners since

2placers since

12evidence pts

04-07-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Brazilian Belle (IRE), Smooth Silesie (IRE), Toomuchforme (GB)

07-06-2026 | Ripon Finished 7

Beat named rivals

Goyard (IRE), Vince L'amour (IRE)

Race produced winner

South Parade (IRE), Vince L'Amour (IRE)

05-04-2026 | Bath Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Aces Wild (IRE), Smooth Silesie (IRE)

Race produced winner

Diomed Spirit (GB)

Later placers

Over Spiced (GB) (08-06-2026), Toolatetonegotiate (GB) (03-05-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR34

Speed99

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-36lb below mark

FFR 34 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

99 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeContext over ratingsThe raw rating/mark view is a caution, but other layers such as field edge, recent form, benchmark or memory keep it interesting.

Model score32.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BHIGH

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -36lb | peak +6lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Today's conditions match 50% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 34%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandTesting

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 4 0W / 2P Peak rating 74

Good 11 0W / 3P Peak rating 71

Fast 10 4W / 5P Peak rating 81

All-weather 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 69

Placement evidence 55% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 44%

Mark room 4%

Stable setup 58%

Recent evidence 76%

Proven trip profile (B)25 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -36lb | peak +6lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -36lb | peak +6lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 70 | Latest FFR 34 | Best FFR 76 | Public mark read -16

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Adrian Nicholls

Jockey Jack Garritty

Age 4

Draw 8

OR 70

Avg OR 65.1

OR vs Field +4.9

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 533170

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +2.8

Variance Reliable 8.8% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Big ceiling edge 14 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance5f

Runs at profile25

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
06-07-2026	Ripon	Good	7	0:58.59	58.6
25-07-2026	York	Good To Firm	14	1:1.02	61
17-08-2026	Catterick	Good	10	1:0.89	60.9

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 45% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 23 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP11/2

OwnerIngleby Bloodstock Ltd The Ivy League

Pedigree

Earthlight × Club Prive (Acclamation)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.9L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Catterick	10	0.8	Neutral finish
25-07-2026	York	14	1.5	Neutral finish
06-07-2026	Ripon	7	0.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

28-05-2026 | Ripon

Rating -- OR 70

10-06-2026 | Hamilton

Rating -- OR 69

22-06-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 68

06-07-2026 | Ripon

Rating -- OR 73

25-07-2026 | York

Rating -- OR 72

17-08-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 70

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs25

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par59.34s

Last win at trip-- | Catterick | 22-06-2026

Recent times0:58.59 | 1:1.02 | 1:0.89

Recent positions7 | 14 | 10

Winning contextOR 68 | weight 9-2

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Catterick \| 5f \| Good \| Class 5	10	11/2	70	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read
25-07-2026	York \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	14	40/1	72	--	--	1.5	--	GREY - no timing read
06-07-2026	Ripon \| 5f \| Good \| Class 4	7	11/1	73	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
22-06-2026	Catterick \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	1	15/8	68	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
10-06-2026	Hamilton \| 5f \| Good To Soft \| Class 5	3	7/2	69	--	--	1.2	--	GREY - no timing read
28-05-2026	Ripon \| 5f \| Good \| Class 5	3	4/1	70	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -36lb | peak +6lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 76.8 and winning TS par is around 48.6. Runner versus par: rating edge -2.8. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Staniel Cay Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 39.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Best of a weak race 39.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form4-3-1-4-5-4

FFR55 / -11lb

Speed97

Franked0

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 8lb

Canaria Queen Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 36.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 36.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A+)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-8-2-5-5-1

FFR63 / -5lb

Speed103

Franked30

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 12lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

2 Catterick Solid effort 17-08-2026

8 Thirsk Competitive 01-08-2026

2 Thirsk Solid effort 24-07-2026

5 Ripon Competitive 06-07-2026

5 Hamilton Competitive 17-06-2026

1 Hamilton Finished well 10-06-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating30

3winners since

1placers since

11evidence pts

04-07-2026 | Pontefract Finished 6

Beat named rivals

Harb (GB), Kitaab (GB), Lucius Aurelius (GB)

07-06-2026 | Ripon Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Goyard (IRE), South Parade (IRE), Tees Aggregates (IRE)

Race produced winner

South Parade (IRE), Vince L'Amour (IRE)

05-05-2026 | Ayr Finished 6

Beat named rivals

Fear And Fast (GB), Harb (GB), Royal Duke (GB)

Race produced winner

Wee Mary (IRE)

Later placers

Royal Duke (GB) (06-06-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR63

Speed103

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR-5lb below mark

FFR 63 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

103 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score29.9Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI A+HIGH

Mark readNear markLatest -5lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -2lb

Today's conditions match 62% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 96%

Class 45%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 58%

Handicap 58%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Class

Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandFast

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 21 3W / 8P Peak rating 73

Good 20 3W / 10P Peak rating 74

Fast 6 1W / 3P Peak rating 64

All-weather 3 0W / 0P Peak rating 65

Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 29%

Mark room 46%

Stable setup 70%

Recent evidence 76%

Proven trip profile (A+)28 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueClass benchmark is a concern

Mark read Latest -5lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -2lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest -5lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -2lb

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 68 | Latest FFR 63 | Best FFR 77 | Public mark read -2

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Tim Easterby

Jockey Duran Fentiman

Age 6

Draw 2

OR 68

Avg OR 65.1

OR vs Field +2.9

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 215528

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; Mild bounce watch; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Improving

confidence nudge +2.8

Variance Very steady 4.8% volatility

Bounce Mild bounce watch Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 2.6 vs par

Curve Improving Trend 2

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance5f

Runs at profile28

DEIA+

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
06-07-2026	Ripon	Good	5	0:58.51	58.5
01-08-2026	Thirsk	Good	8	0:58.35	58.4
17-08-2026	Catterick	Good	2	0:59.27	59.3

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 31% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 16 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP13/2

OwnerThe Senators

Pedigree

Pastoral Pursuits × Gran Canaria Queen (Compton Place)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.1L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Catterick	2	4	Neutral finish
01-08-2026	Thirsk	8	0.8	Fast finish
24-07-2026	Thirsk	2	1.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

10-06-2026 | Hamilton

Rating -- OR 62

17-06-2026 | Hamilton

Rating -- OR 67

06-07-2026 | Ripon

Rating -- OR 68

24-07-2026 | Thirsk

Rating -- OR 67

01-08-2026 | Thirsk

Rating -- OR 68

17-08-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 68

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs28

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par59.34s

Last win at trip-- | Hamilton | 10-06-2026

Recent times0:58.51 | 0:58.35 | 0:59.27

Recent positions5 | 8 | 2

Winning contextOR 62 | weight 9-2

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Catterick \| 5f \| Good \| Class 5	2	13/2	68	--	--	4	--	GREY - no timing read
01-08-2026	Thirsk \| 5f \| Good \| Class 4	8	11/1	68	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read
24-07-2026	Thirsk \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	2	11/1	67	--	--	1.5	--	GREY - no timing read
06-07-2026	Ripon \| 5f \| Good \| Class 4	5	14/1	68	--	--	1.5	--	GREY - no timing read
17-06-2026	Hamilton \| 5f \| Good To Soft \| Class 4	5	13/2	67	--	--	1.5	--	GREY - no timing read
10-06-2026	Hamilton \| 5f \| Good To Soft \| Class 5	1	4/1	62	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Near mark

Latest -5lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -2lb.

Benchmark Fit score -1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 76.8 and winning TS par is around 48.6. Runner versus par: rating edge -7.8. Benchmark fit: -0.8.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Our Absent Friends Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 31.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 31.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form1-9-1-9-7-3

FFR78 / +9lb

Speed88

Franked21

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 13lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Catterick Strong run 17-08-2026

9 Thirsk Run faded 14-08-2026

1 Catterick Strong run 15-07-2026

9 Ayr Competitive 13-07-2026

7 Ayr Competitive 05-07-2026

3 Catterick Solid effort 22-06-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating21

3winners since

4placers since

8evidence pts

02-06-2026 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Blue Force (IRE), Catch Cunningham (IRE), D Flawless (IRE)

Later placers

Lion's House (GB) (08-08-2026)

07-05-2026 | Ayr Finished 7

Later placers

Woohoo (IRE) (08-07-2026)

03-05-2026 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Albegone (GB), Blue Force (IRE), Castan (GB)

Race produced winner

Castan (GB), Dark Kestrel (IRE)

Later placers

Albegone (GB) (02-06-2026), Water Of Leith (IRE) (07-05-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR78

Speed88

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+9lb ahead of mark

FFR 78 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

88 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score31.6Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI AHIGH

Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR

Today's conditions match 61% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 45%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 34%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandFast

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 11 4W / 5P Peak rating 89

Good 15 1W / 7P Peak rating 80

Fast 6 1W / 3P Peak rating 83

All-weather 21 2W / 7P Peak rating 81

Placement evidence 66% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 33%

Mark room 79%

Stable setup 58%

Recent evidence 58%

Proven trip profile (A)50 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +9lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concern

Mark read Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 69 | Latest FFR 78 | Best FFR 78 | Public mark read +9

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Tristan Davidson

Jockey David Allan

Age 8

Draw 4

OR 69

Avg OR 65.1

OR vs Field +3.9

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 637919

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Regressing

confidence nudge -0.2

Variance Reliable 6.4% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 7.6 vs par

Curve Regressing Trend -2

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance5f

Runs at profile50

DEIA

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
15-07-2026	Catterick	Good To Firm	1	0:58.00	58
14-08-2026	Thirsk	Good	9	0:58.52	58.5
17-08-2026	Catterick	Good	1	0:58.60	58.6

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.5 micro score

Trainer RTF 44% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 3 days Quick return

Micro score +0.5 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP7/2

OwnerR W Hislop

Pedigree

Camacho × Practicallyperfect (King Charlemagne)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.5L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Catterick	1	0	Neutral finish
14-08-2026	Thirsk	9	1.5	Run faded
15-07-2026	Catterick	1	0	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

22-06-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 64

05-07-2026 | Ayr

Rating -- OR 63

13-07-2026 | Ayr

Rating -- OR 63

15-07-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 63

14-08-2026 | Thirsk

Rating -- OR 69

17-08-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 69

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs50

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par59.34s

Last win at trip-- | Catterick | 17-08-2026

Recent times0:58.00 | 0:58.52 | 0:58.60

Recent positions1 | 9 | 1

Winning contextOR 69 | weight 9-13

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Catterick \| 5f \| Good \| Class 5	1	7/2	69	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
14-08-2026	Thirsk \| 5f \| Good \| Class 4	9	50/1	69	--	--	1.5	--	GREY - no timing read
15-07-2026	Catterick \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	1	9/4	63	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
13-07-2026	Ayr \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	9	12/1	63	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
05-07-2026	Ayr \| 5f \| Good \| Class 5	7	5/2F	63	--	--	2.2	--	GREY - no timing read
22-06-2026	Catterick \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	3	6/1	64	--	--	0.2	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Well treated

Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score -1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 76.8 and winning TS par is around 48.6. Runner versus par: rating edge -5.8. Benchmark fit: -0.8.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Beaumadier Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 27.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Watch only 27.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (C)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form8-5-5-2-3-4

FFR34 / -34lb

Speed99

Franked31

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 12lb

Miss Brazen Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 27.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Watch only 27.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form5-5-6-3-1-8

FFR48 / -21lb

Speed93

Franked67

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw9

Wgt9st 13lb

Betweenthesticks Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 23.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Watch only 23.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form6-4-3-2-6-9

FFR45 / -23lb

Speed102

Franked1

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 12lb

Emperor's Son Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 23.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Watch only 23.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form9-10-1-4-9-6

FFR35 / -35lb

Speed102

Franked8

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw11

Wgt10st 0lb

Invincible Crown Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 16.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Watch only 16.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form11-4-4-1-2-4

FFR31 / -27lb

Speed94

Franked16

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw10

Wgt9st 2lb

Irish Dancer Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 14.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Watch only 14.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form7-3-8-3-2-8

FFR34 / -22lb

Speed92

Franked39

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 0lb

4:30 | Lingfield (AW)

4:30 | Lingfield (AW) | 5f

Class 6 | Standard | Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 69 SHORTLIST RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR49.86 rated runners | Top OR 54: Star Marian

Winning par58.72s56 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupPOLYTRACK: STANDARD

Stalls 5f & 1m - Outside; Remainder - Inside | Rail No rail note | Band 0-55 | Weather Cloudy

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Star Marian leads the contextual model at 21.2
Decision type: Watch only - Needs more proof
Winning-time par: 58.72s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 6 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Star MarianRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	34.5	6-5-11-8-5-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result6 btn 2.2L SP9/1 JockeyOisin Murphy OR54 FFR85 SS101 03-08-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result5 btn 2.2L SP14/1 JockeyRossa Ryan OR57 FFR70 SS80 05-06-2026 ThirskClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt8st 13lb Result11 btn 4.5L SP28/1 JockeyOisin Orr OR60 FFR42 SS82 18-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 1lb Result8 btn 2L SP22/1 JockeyLewis Edmunds OR63 FFR30 SS78 21-04-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 2.2L SP11/2 JockeyDavid Egan OR65 FFR41 SS94 31-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP12/1 JockeyRossa Ryan OR59 FFR40 SS95	9st 9lb	5	OR 54	40	-14lb	6	1000	-2.6	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	53%	51%	0/6	95	B	Stiff -11	WATCH ONLY
2	Pure PassionRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	33.0	1-2-1-11-3-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result1 SP1/2F JockeyJack Doughty OR54 FFR73 SS97 13-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 4lb Result2 btn 2.2L SP13/2 JockeyChloe Lyons OR54 FFR72 SS94 05-08-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result1 SP7/2 JockeyChloe Lyons OR50 FFR41 SS95 23-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result11 btn 2.5L SP33/1 JockeyPat Cosgrave OR-- FFR66 SS88 30-01-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 2.8L SP16/1 JockeyJack Dace OR-- FFR58 SS85 02-01-2026 Chelmsford (AW)Class 4 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.8L SP40/1 JockeyJack Dace OR-- FFR67 SS--	9st 9lb	2	OR 54	67	+13lb	10	6/4	+16.6	Quick return	Same trip	Weak field	--	59%	66%	0/6	85	C	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
3	SaeculamationRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	15.0	2-3-8-6-6-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 0lb Result2 btn 0.8L SP5/1 JockeyKieran Shoemark OR45 FFR54 SS90 30-07-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result3 btn 1L SP11/1 JockeyClifford Lee OR46 FFR36 SS92 14-07-2026 LeicesterClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result8 btn 3.2L SP20/1 JockeySaffie Osborne OR47 FFR48 SS88 30-06-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result6 btn 0.3L SP16/1 JockeySaffie Osborne OR48 FFR41 SS90 09-06-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt8st 13lb Result6 btn 3.2L SP17/2 JockeyJack Callan OR48 FFR48 SS98 26-05-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 0lb Result4 btn 0.8L SP9/1 JockeyJack Callan OR49 FFR61 SS106	9st 0lb	1	OR 45	61	+16lb	29	22	+6.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	55%	54%	0/6	106	D	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Dusk DamselRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	4-9-5-14-2-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 4lb Result4 btn 1.8L SP14/1 JockeyMillie Wonnacott OR54 FFR68 SS90 21-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 6lb Result9 btn 2.8L SP25/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR57 FFR73 SS94 02-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 1L SP22/1 JockeyTaylor Fisher OR59 FFR20 SS93 14-05-2026 SalisburyClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result14 btn 13L SP20/1 JockeyTaylor Fisher OR59 FFR49 SS90 28-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 1.5L SP18/1 JockeyTaylor Fisher OR59 FFR24 SS-- 27-03-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 1.8L SP66/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR-- FFR49 SS--	9st 9lb	3	OR 54	49	-5lb	12	200	-5.6	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	48%	50%	0/6	90	E	Near mark -2	CAUTION PROFILE
5	MariselleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	5-9-7-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 1lb Result5 btn 0.1L SP12/1 JockeyCallum Shepherd OR46 FFR61 SS-- 14-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result9 btn 2.5L SP125/1 JockeyPat Cosgrave OR-- FFR44 SS-- 04-07-2026 NottinghamClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result7 btn 3.2L SP25/1 JockeyTom Eaves OR-- FFR33 SS-- 18-06-2026 LingfieldClass 4 \| 6f \| Good Wgt8st 13lb Result4 btn 0.8L SP16/1 JockeyPat Cosgrave OR-- FFR47 SS--	9st 1lb	4	OR 46	47	+1lb	0	1000	-6.6	Freshened up	Same trip	Weak field	--	50%	46%	0/6	--	E	Workable +7	CAUTION PROFILE
6	MimimeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	3-7-8-10-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 1lb Result3 btn 2L SP22/1 JockeySaffie Osborne OR46 FFR50 SS-- 04-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 10lb Result7 btn 0.1L SP40/1 JockeyConor Whiteley OR48 FFR41 SS-- 21-07-2026 NottinghamClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result8 btn 2.2L SP50/1 JockeyRay Dawson OR-- FFR44 SS-- 18-06-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result10 btn 2.8L SP125/1 JockeyAlistair Rawlinson OR-- FFR35 SS-- 25-05-2026 LeicesterClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 12lb Result7 btn 2.8L SP18/1 JockeyAlistair Rawlinson OR-- FFR55 SS--	9st 1lb	6	OR 46	55	+9lb	14	1000	-8.1	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	55%	56%	0/6	--	D	Well treated +9	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Star Marian

Star Marian profiles as a unclear with a regression risk trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Pure Passion

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Star Marian Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 34.5

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 34.5 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form6-5-11-8-5-1

FFR40 / -14lb

Speed95

Franked6

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 9lb

Pure Passion Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 33.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 33.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (C)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form1-2-1-11-3-4

FFR67 / +13lb

Speed85

Franked10

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 9lb

Saeculamation Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 15.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Best of a weak race 15.0 confidence

Why consider7 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-3-8-6-6-4

FFR61 / +16lb

Speed106

Franked29

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 0lb

Dusk Damsel Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-9-5-14-2-7

FFR49 / -5lb

Speed90

Franked12

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 9lb

Mariselle Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5-9-7-4

FFR47 / +1lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 1lb

Mimime Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +9lb room

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-7-8-10-7

FFR55 / +9lb

Speed--

Franked14

Ground1/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 1lb

4:45 | Catterick

4:45 | Catterick | 7f

Class 5 | Good | Racing Again 26th August Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 65 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR67.39 rated runners | Top OR 70: Evocative Spark

Winning par1m 26.14s14 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 7.3)

Stalls 6f - Centre; Remainder - Inside | Rail No rail note | Band 0-70 | Weather Overcast & Showers

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Black Storm leads the contextual model at 35.8
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Winning-time par: 1m 26.14s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 9 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Black StormRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	50.5	1-3-3-5-2-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 10lb Result1 SP11/4 JockeyOisin Orr OR66 FFR62 SS106 08-08-2026 AyrClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 13lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP13/2 JockeyGreg Fairley OR67 FFR82 SS97 09-07-2026 CarlisleClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 1lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP2/1F JockeyJason Hart OR68 FFR59 SS98 19-06-2026 AyrClass 5 \| 7f \| Soft Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP7/2 JockeyRyan Sexton OR69 FFR73 SS106 06-06-2026 MusselburghClass 4 \| 7f \| Good Wgt8st 11lb Result2 btn 0.1L SP13/2 JockeyGreg Fairley OR68 FFR66 SS95 18-05-2026 CarlisleClass 5 \| 7f \| Soft Wgt9st 4lb Result4 btn 2.8L SP4/1 JockeyDaniel Tudhope OR69 FFR77 SS100	9st 10lb	2	OR 66	77	+11lb	12	4.4	+7.2	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	61%	64%	1/6	100	B	Well treated +12	WATCH ONLY
2	Carolus MagnusRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	45.0	8-2-1-6-2-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 11lb Result8 btn 1.8L SP16/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR67 FFR59 SS84 28-07-2026 BeverleyClass 5 \| 7.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 12lb Result2 btn 2L SP100/30 JockeyJoanna Mason OR66 FFR85 SS79 22-06-2026 MusselburghClass 6 \| 7f \| Good Wgt10st 2lb Result1 SP11/2 JockeyBilly Garritty OR64 FFR43 SS102 29-05-2026 CarlisleClass 6 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result6 btn 0.5L SP7/2 JockeyJoanna Mason OR65 FFR68 SS104 29-04-2026 MusselburghClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.3L SP12/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR64 FFR70 SS91 16-12-2025 Newcastle (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result10 btn 4.2L SP15/2 JockeyJoanna Mason OR64 FFR37 SS103	9st 11lb	5	OR 67	37	-30lb	67	190	+11.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	54%	51%	1/6	103	B	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Vince Le PrinceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	44.5	3-11-2-10-3-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result3 btn 1L SP11/4 JockeyDavid Allan OR65 FFR59 SS105 08-08-2026 RedcarClass 4 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result11 btn 0.3L SP40/1 JockeyDuran Fentiman OR66 FFR67 SS102 22-07-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 13lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP100/30F JockeyDavid Allan OR64 FFR42 SS98 01-07-2026 ThirskClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result10 btn 1.8L SP6/1 JockeyDavid Allan OR66 FFR65 SS101 11-06-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 8lb Result3 btn 1.5L SP2/1F JockeyDavid Allan OR67 FFR48 SS109 18-05-2026 CarlisleClass 5 \| 7f \| Soft Wgt9st 3lb Result5 btn 1.2L SP8/1 JockeySean Kirrane OR68 FFR68 SS106	9st 9lb	4	OR 65	68	+3lb	1	1000	+2.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	62%	63%	1/6	106	B	Workable +3	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Evocative SparkRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	41.0	9-7-4-1-7-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result9 btn 4.2L SP9/1 JockeyEthan Tindall OR70 FFR89 SS103 07-08-2026 HaydockClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result7 btn 0.8L SP33/1 JockeySean Kirrane OR71 FFR47 SS94 30-05-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result4 btn 0.1L SP11/8F JockeyLuke Morris OR71 FFR77 SS94 21-05-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result1 SP4/1 JockeySean Kirrane OR67 FFR56 SS94 02-05-2026 DoncasterClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result7 btn 0.1L SP4/1 JockeyEthan Tindall OR67 FFR57 SS110 22-04-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt-- Result1 SP100/30 JockeyEthan Tindall OR64 FFR34 SS107	10st 0lb	6	OR 70	34	-36lb	10	1000	+8.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	56%	55%	2/6	107	A	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Classy ClaretsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	38.8	2-1-1-1-1-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result2 btn 1.2L SP12/1 JockeyShay Farmer OR69 FFR57 SS89 16-07-2026 HamiltonClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result1 SP1/1F JockeyJack Nicholls OR58 FFR67 SS96 14-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 8lb Result1 SP4/7F JockeyBilly Loughnane OR58 FFR67 SS101 08-07-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result1 SP4/1 JockeyJack Nicholls OR55 FFR67 SS98 30-06-2026 MusselburghClass 6 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result1 SP2/1F JockeyJack Nicholls OR55 FFR67 SS100 22-06-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 0.2L SP9/1 JockeyDavid Nolan OR55 FFR71 SS100	9st 13lb	7	OR 69	71	+2lb	9	1000	+0.7	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	55%	62%	2/6	100	A+	Near mark +2	CAUTION PROFILE
6	WillolarupiRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	16.2	5-4-3-5-5-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP18/1 JockeyZak Wheatley OR65 FFR94 SS104 17-07-2026 PontefractClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result4 btn 6.5L SP22/1 JockeyZak Wheatley OR67 FFR70 SS91 06-10-2025 PontefractClass 5 \| 6f \| Soft Wgt-- Result3 btn 0L SP20/1 JockeyZak Wheatley OR68 FFR75 SS126 25-08-2025 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 1.5L SP7/2F JockeyZak Wheatley OR69 FFR79 SS93 06-08-2025 PontefractClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result5 btn 1.8L SP5/1 JockeyZak Wheatley OR70 FFR48 SS95 16-07-2025 CatterickClass 4 \| 7f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.5L SP12/1 JockeyZak Wheatley OR71 FFR63 SS101	9st 9lb	1	OR 65	63	-2lb	77	50/1	-0.1	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	47%	44%	1/6	101	E	Near mark +1	CAUTION PROFILE
7	FolkeneRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.2	4-10-4-6-7-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt10st 0lb Result4 btn 1L SP33/1 JockeyOisin McSweeney OR70 FFR81 SS98 04-06-2026 WetherbyClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 13lb Result10 btn 14L SP13/2 JockeyJoanna Mason OR72 FFR77 SS78 26-04-2026 WetherbyClass 4 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result4 btn 1.5L SP12/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR73 FFR80 SS106 29-03-2026 DoncasterClass 4 \| 7f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.8L SP20/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR75 FFR83 SS93 22-10-2025 NewmarketClass 3 \| 1m \| Good Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.3L SP11/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR77 FFR33 SS100 23-09-2025 BeverleyClass 4 \| 7½f \| Soft Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.1L SP33/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR79 FFR65 SS95	10st 0lb	8	OR 70	65	-5lb	32	1000	-11.3	Layoff check	Same trip	Modest field	--	56%	56%	2/6	95	A	Near mark -2	CAUTION PROFILE
8	RunninsonofagunRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	6-2-2-3-1-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 12lb Result6 btn 0.1L SP5/2F JockeyJack Garritty OR68 FFR58 SS103 08-08-2026 AyrClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 13lb Result2 btn 1.8L SP4/1F JockeyJack Garritty OR67 FFR66 SS98 27-07-2026 AyrClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 2lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP8/15F JockeyJason Hart OR65 FFR70 SS96 20-07-2026 AyrClass 5 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP9/4J JockeyJason Hart OR60 FFR65 SS105 13-07-2026 AyrClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result1 SP2/1F JockeyJason Hart OR60 FFR72 SS95 15-06-2026 CarlisleClass 6 \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 5lb Result5 btn 0.3L SP5/2F JockeyRowan Scott OR60 FFR63 SS91	9st 12lb	3	OR 68	63	-5lb	7	1000	-6.6	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	47%	48%	0/6	91	E	Near mark -2	CAUTION PROFILE
9	No ReturnRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	7-5-5-4-4-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 10lb Result7 btn 8L SP33/1 JockeyP J McDonald OR66 FFR73 SS88 04-07-2026 CarlisleClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt10st 8lb Result5 btn 0.3L SP7/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR68 FFR76 SS101 10-06-2026 HamiltonClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 1L SP10/1 JockeyConnor Beasley OR70 FFR63 SS94 18-05-2026 LingfieldClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result4 btn 2.5L SP11/2 JockeyHector Crouch OR72 FFR66 SS92 22-04-2026 CatterickClass 4 \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result4 btn 3.2L SP10/1 JockeyJason Hart OR75 FFR66 SS95 27-03-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result8 btn 0.2L SP14/1 JockeyCallum Shepherd OR77 FFR42 SS98	9st 10lb	10	OR 66	42	-24lb	28	1000	-12.1	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	41%	30%	0/6	98	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Black Storm

Black Storm profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 1/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Carolus Magnus

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Black Storm Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 50.5

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Best of a weak race 50.5 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Form1-3-3-5-2-4

FFR77 / +11lb

Speed100

Franked12

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 10lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Catterick Strong run 17-08-2026

3 Ayr Run faded 08-08-2026

3 Carlisle Solid effort 09-07-2026

5 Ayr Run faded 19-06-2026

2 Musselburgh Solid effort 06-06-2026

4 Carlisle Competitive 18-05-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating12

1winners since

3placers since

9evidence pts

08-08-2026 | Ayr Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Circle Of Trust (IRE), Highfield Viking (GB), Milford Grange (GB)

06-06-2026 | Musselburgh Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Abduction (FR), Mae Amor (IRE), Modern Times (GB)

Later placers

Abduction (FR) (07-06-2026)

08-09-2025 | Ayr Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Chiefman (GB), John L Sullivan (IRE), Judgment Call (GB)

Race produced winner

Native Honey (IRE)

Later placers

Judgment Call (GB) (01-04-2026), Keep Warm (GB) (07-10-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Status WATCH ONLY

Agreement1/6

FFR77

Speed100

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+11lb ahead of mark

FFR 77 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

100 Par 100

Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskDraw data is a negative nudge

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score35.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BHIGH

Mark readWell treatedLatest +11lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Today's conditions match 61% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 42%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandGood

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 76

Good 8 1W / 5P Peak rating 73

Fast 2 0W / 2P Peak rating 70

All-weather 6 1W / 2P Peak rating 83

Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 43%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 62%

Recent evidence 34%

Proven trip profile (B)15 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Mark read Latest +11lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +11lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 66 | Latest FFR 77 | Best FFR 82 | Public mark read +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Katie Scott

Jockey Oisin Orr

Age 5

Draw 2

OR 66

Avg OR 67.3

OR vs Field -1.3

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 442533

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +2.5

Variance Very steady 4.4% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 6.3 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile15

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
09-07-2026	Carlisle	Good To Firm	3	1:25.53	85.5
08-08-2026	Ayr	Good	3	1:28.32	88.3
17-08-2026	Catterick	Good	1	1:26.63	86.6

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 12% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 9 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.2 trainer RTF cold at 12%; recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: b; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearbDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP11/4

OwnerUrsa Major Racing Ltd

Pedigree

Ten Sovereigns × Active Approach (New Approach)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.5L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Catterick	1	0	Neutral finish
08-08-2026	Ayr	3	1.2	Run faded
09-07-2026	Carlisle	3	0.3	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

18-05-2026 | Carlisle

Rating -- OR 69

06-06-2026 | Musselburgh

Rating -- OR 68

19-06-2026 | Ayr

Rating -- OR 69

09-07-2026 | Carlisle

Rating -- OR 68

08-08-2026 | Ayr

Rating -- OR 67

17-08-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 66

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs15

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 26.14s

Last win at trip-- | Catterick | 17-08-2026

Recent times1:25.53 | 1:28.32 | 1:26.63

Recent positions3 | 3 | 1

Winning contextOR 66 | weight 9-10

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Catterick \| 7f \| Good \| Class 5	1	11/4	66	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
08-08-2026	Ayr \| 7f \| Good \| Class 5	3	13/2	67	--	--	1.2	--	GREY - no timing read
09-07-2026	Carlisle \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	3	2/1F	68	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
19-06-2026	Ayr \| 7f \| Soft \| Class 5	5	7/2	69	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
06-06-2026	Musselburgh \| 7f \| Good \| Class 4	2	13/2	68	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
18-05-2026	Carlisle \| 7f \| Soft \| Class 5	4	4/1	69	--	--	2.8	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Well treated

Latest +11lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 78.2 and winning TS par is around 56.2. Runner versus par: rating edge -3.2. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Carolus Magnus Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 45.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Best of a weak race 45.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form8-2-1-6-2-10

FFR37 / -30lb

Speed103

Franked67

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 11lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

8 Catterick Competitive 17-08-2026

2 Beverley Solid effort 28-07-2026

1 Musselburgh Strong run 22-06-2026

6 Carlisle Run faded 29-05-2026

2 Musselburgh Solid effort 29-04-2026

10 Newcastle (AW) Run faded 16-12-2025

Race form proof Strongly franked

Strong franked form

Proof rating67

9winners since

3placers since

15evidence pts

09-11-2025 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Auroras Doublesix (IRE), Golborne (GB), Mwafaq (IRE)

Race produced winner

Enpassant (IRE), Mwafaq (IRE)

08-08-2025 | Musselburgh Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Coconut Bay (GB), Highland Olly (GB), Superior Council (IRE)

Race produced winner

Coconut Bay (GB), Highland Olly (GB)

Later placers

Tommys Promise (GB) (07-09-2025)

11-05-2025 | Musselburgh Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Coconut Bay (GB), Emerald Army (IRE), Jkr Cobbler (IRE)

Race produced winner

Coconut Bay (GB), Emerald Army (IRE)

Later placers

Blufferonthebus (IRE) (07-03-2026), John L Sullivan (IRE) (08-09-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR37

Speed103

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-30lb below mark

FFR 37 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

103 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score39.9Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BHIGH

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -30lb | peak +18lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Today's conditions match 54% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 45%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 58%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs4/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 5 0W / 1P Peak rating 84

Good 10 2W / 4P Peak rating 79

Fast 5 0W / 1P Peak rating 87

All-weather 9 0W / 1P Peak rating 89

Placement evidence 51% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 26%

Mark room 4%

Stable setup 70%

Recent evidence 58%

Proven trip profile (B)16 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concernCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -30lb | peak +18lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -30lb | peak +18lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 67 | Latest FFR 37 | Best FFR 85 | Public mark read -16

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Michael & David Easterby

Jockey Joanna Mason

Age 8

Draw 5

OR 67

Avg OR 67.3

OR vs Field -0.3

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 0-2612

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Variable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Improving

confidence nudge +1.5

Variance Variable 10.4% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 3.7 vs par

Curve Improving Trend 2

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile16

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
29-05-2026	Carlisle	Good	6	1:30.14	90.1
22-06-2026	Musselburgh	Good	1	1:26.28	86.3
17-08-2026	Catterick	Good	8	1:28.88	88.9

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 35% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 20 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP16/1

OwnerUrsa Major Racing Ltd Easterby

Pedigree

Holy Roman Emperor × Izola (Beat Hollow)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.3L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Catterick	8	1.8	Neutral finish
28-07-2026	Beverley	2	2	Neutral finish
22-06-2026	Musselburgh	1	0	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 1 runs with an official OR.

16-12-2025 | Newcastle (AW)

Rating 41 OR 64

29-04-2026 | Musselburgh

Rating -- OR 64

29-05-2026 | Carlisle

Rating -- OR 65

22-06-2026 | Musselburgh

Rating -- OR 64

28-07-2026 | Beverley

Rating -- OR 66

17-08-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 67

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs16

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 26.14s

Last win at trip-- | Musselburgh | 22-06-2026

Recent times1:30.14 | 1:26.28 | 1:28.88

Recent positions6 | 1 | 8

Winning contextOR 64 | weight 10-2

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Catterick \| 7f \| Good \| Class 5	8	16/1	67	--	--	1.8	--	GREY - no timing read
28-07-2026	Beverley \| 7.5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	2	100/30	66	--	--	2	--	GREY - no timing read
22-06-2026	Musselburgh \| 7f \| Good \| Class 6	1	11/2	64	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
29-05-2026	Carlisle \| 7f \| Good \| Class 6	6	7/2	65	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
29-04-2026	Musselburgh \| 7f \| Good \| Class 5	2	12/1	64	--	44	0.3	1:27.82	AMBER - competitive
16-12-2025	Newcastle (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 6	10	15/2	64	41	2	4.2	1:30.01	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -30lb | peak +18lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score -1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 78.2 and winning TS par is around 56.2. Runner versus par: rating edge -9.2. Benchmark fit: -0.8.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Vince Le Prince Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 44.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 44.5 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-11-2-10-3-5

FFR68 / +3lb

Speed106

Franked1

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 9lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

3 Catterick Solid effort 17-08-2026

11 Redcar Competitive 08-08-2026

2 Catterick Solid effort 22-07-2026

10 Thirsk Competitive 01-07-2026

3 Catterick Run faded 11-06-2026

5 Carlisle Competitive 18-05-2026

Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating1

0winners since

1placers since

4evidence pts

08-08-2026 | Redcar Finished 11

Beat named rivals

Amidst The Chaos (IRE), Harry The Rogue (IRE), Mr Mistoffelees (IRE)

04-08-2026 | Catterick Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Coconut Bay (GB), Crocodile Power (IRE), Dr Rio (FR)

Later placers

Coconut Bay (GB) (07-08-2026)

05-07-2026 | Redcar Finished 7

Beat named rivals

Tropez Power (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR68

Speed106

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR+3lb near mark

FFR 68 pounds scale

SpeedScoreabove par

106 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score30.9Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BHIGH

Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +3lb versus today's OR

Today's conditions match 62% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 45%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 58%

Handicap 76%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Class

Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandGood

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 13 2W / 7P Peak rating 83

Good 17 1W / 7P Peak rating 83

Fast 10 1W / 4P Peak rating 81

All-weather 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 39

Placement evidence 63% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 30%

Mark room 61%

Stable setup 70%

Recent evidence 58%

Proven trip profile (B)38 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concern

Mark read Latest FFR read +3lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +3lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 65 | Latest FFR 68 | Best FFR 68 | Public mark read +3

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Tim Easterby

Jockey David Allan

Age 6

Draw 4

OR 65

Avg OR 67.3

OR vs Field -2.3

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 753020

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +2.5

Variance Very steady 3.5% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 8.7 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile38

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
01-07-2026	Thirsk	Good To Firm	10	1:26.75	86.8
22-07-2026	Catterick	Good To Firm	2	1:24.56	84.6
17-08-2026	Catterick	Good	3	1:27.00	87

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 31% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 9 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: tp; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgeartpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP11/4

OwnerReality Partnerships V

Pedigree

Iffraaj × Crecy (Refuse To Bend)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.5L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Catterick	3	1	Neutral finish
08-08-2026	Redcar	11	0.3	Neutral finish
22-07-2026	Catterick	2	0.3	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

18-05-2026 | Carlisle

Rating -- OR 68

11-06-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 67

01-07-2026 | Thirsk

Rating -- OR 66

22-07-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 64

08-08-2026 | Redcar

Rating -- OR 66

17-08-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 65

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs38

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 26.14s

Last win at trip1:33.11 | Catterick | 19-10-2024

Recent times1:26.75 | 1:24.56 | 1:27.00

Recent positions10 | 2 | 3

Winning contextvs par +6.97s | OR 73

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Catterick \| 7f \| Good \| Class 5	3	11/4	65	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
08-08-2026	Redcar \| 8f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	11	40/1	66	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
22-07-2026	Catterick \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	2	100/30F	64	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
01-07-2026	Thirsk \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	10	6/1	66	--	--	1.8	--	GREY - no timing read
11-06-2026	Catterick \| 7f \| Good To Soft \| Class 5	3	2/1F	67	--	--	1.5	--	GREY - no timing read
18-05-2026	Carlisle \| 7f \| Soft \| Class 5	5	8/1	68	--	--	1.2	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Workable mark

Latest FFR read +3lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score -1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 78.2 and winning TS par is around 56.2. Runner versus par: rating edge -7.2. Benchmark fit: -0.8.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Evocative Spark Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 41.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Best of a weak race 41.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form9-7-4-1-7-1

FFR34 / -36lb

Speed107

Franked10

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt10st 0lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

9 Catterick Steady run 17-08-2026

7 Haydock Competitive 07-08-2026

4 Catterick Competitive 30-05-2026

1 Catterick Strong run 21-05-2026

7 Doncaster Competitive 02-05-2026

1 Catterick Strong run 22-04-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating10

1winners since

3placers since

9evidence pts

04-08-2026 | Catterick Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Coconut Bay (GB), Crocodile Power (IRE), Dr Rio (FR)

Later placers

Coconut Bay (GB) (07-08-2026)

08-07-2026 | Haydock Finished 7

Beat named rivals

Criminal Shore (IRE), Invincible Ruby (IRE), Raffles Angel (GB)

02-05-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 9

Beat named rivals

Bajan Bandit (GB), Finn Ironside (GB)

Race produced winner

Studious (IRE)

Later placers

Bajan Bandit (GB) (07-07-2026), Marry The Night (GB) (04-05-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR34

Speed107

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-36lb below mark

FFR 34 pounds scale

SpeedScoreabove par

107 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score36.9Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI AHIGH

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -36lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Today's conditions match 56% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 45%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 58%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs4/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandGood

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 11 2W / 6P Peak rating 90

Good 13 3W / 5P Peak rating 80

Fast 5 0W / 1P Peak rating 82

All-weather 20 1W / 2P Peak rating 85

Placement evidence 55% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 26%

Mark room 4%

Stable setup 70%

Recent evidence 76%

Proven trip profile (A)22 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueClass benchmark is a concernCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -36lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -36lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 70 | Latest FFR 34 | Best FFR 89 | Public mark read -16

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer John David Riches

Jockey Ethan Tindall(5)

Age 7

Draw 6

OR 70

Avg OR 67.3

OR vs Field +2.7

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 117147

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Improving

confidence nudge +3.8

Variance Reliable 6.5% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 9.8 vs par

Curve Improving Trend 2

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile22

DEIA

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
02-05-2026	Doncaster	Good To Firm	7	1:25.81	85.8
07-08-2026	Haydock	Good	7	1:29.22	89.2
17-08-2026	Catterick	Good	9	1:29.59	89.6

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 29% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 10 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.2 trainer RTF quiet at 29%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: v; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearvDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP9/1

OwnerJ R Racing

Pedigree

Frankel × Hyper Dream (Oasis Dream)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.7L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Catterick	9	4.2	Neutral finish
07-08-2026	Haydock	7	0.8	Neutral finish
30-05-2026	Catterick	4	0.1	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

22-04-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 64

02-05-2026 | Doncaster

Rating -- OR 67

21-05-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 67

30-05-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 71

07-08-2026 | Haydock

Rating -- OR 71

17-08-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 70

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs22

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 26.14s

Last win at trip1:24.49 | Catterick | 22-04-2026

Recent times1:25.81 | 1:29.22 | 1:29.59

Recent positions7 | 7 | 9

Winning contextvs par -1.65s | OR 64

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Catterick \| 7f \| Good \| Class 5	9	9/1	70	--	--	4.2	--	GREY - no timing read
07-08-2026	Haydock \| 7f \| Good \| Class 5	7	33/1	71	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read
30-05-2026	Catterick \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	4	11/8F	71	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
21-05-2026	Catterick \| 6f \| Good \| Class 5	1	4/1	67	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
02-05-2026	Doncaster \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	7	4/1	67	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
22-04-2026	Catterick \| 7f \| Good \| Class 5	1	100/30	64	--	54	0	1:24.49	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -36lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score -1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 78.2 and winning TS par is around 56.2. Runner versus par: rating edge -9.2. Benchmark fit: -0.8.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Classy Clarets Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 38.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 38.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A+)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-1-1-1-1-5

FFR71 / +2lb

Speed100

Franked9

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 13lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

2 Catterick Solid effort 17-08-2026

1 Hamilton Strong run 16-07-2026

1 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 14-07-2026

1 Catterick Strong run 08-07-2026

1 Musselburgh Strong run 30-06-2026

5 Catterick Competitive 22-06-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating9

1winners since

2placers since

8evidence pts

07-08-2026 | Catterick Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Coconut Bay (GB), Filey Beach (IRE), Groundsman (IRE)

06-06-2026 | Musselburgh Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Fear And Fast (GB), Hard Nut (IRE), Sixcor (GB)

Later placers

Albegone (GB) (04-08-2026)

03-06-2026 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 3

Beat named rivals

A Lady Forever (GB), Desert Master (GB), Doralee (GB)

Race produced winner

Doralee (GB)

Later placers

Desert Master (GB) (06-06-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR71

Speed100

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR+2lb near mark

FFR 71 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

100 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score29.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI A+HIGH

Mark readNear markLatest FFR read +2lb versus today's OR

Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 96%

Class 37%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 34%

Handicap 58%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandGood

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 3 0W / 0P Peak rating 52

Good 15 2W / 8P Peak rating 73

Fast 8 2W / 3P Peak rating 64

All-weather 20 4W / 8P Peak rating 71

Placement evidence 62% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 16%

Mark room 58%

Stable setup 58%

Recent evidence 76%

Proven trip profile (A+)14 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueClass benchmark is a concern

Mark read Latest FFR read +2lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest FFR read +2lb versus today's OR

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 69 | Latest FFR 71 | Best FFR 71 | Public mark read +2

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Iain Jardine

Jockey Shay Farmer(5)

Age 5

Draw 7

OR 69

Avg OR 67.3

OR vs Field +1.7

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 451111

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Very steady 4.2% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 1 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile14

DEIA+

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
08-07-2026	Catterick	Good To Firm	1	1:23.12	83.1
14-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	1	1:28.59	88.6
17-08-2026	Catterick	Good	2	1:26.84	86.8

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 32% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 32 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: h; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearhDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP12/1

OwnerDanny Coyles

Pedigree

Cotai Glory × Hope And Faith (Zebedee)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.4L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Catterick	2	1.2	Neutral finish
16-07-2026	Hamilton	1	0	Neutral finish
14-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	1	0	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

22-06-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 55

30-06-2026 | Musselburgh

Rating -- OR 55

08-07-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 55

14-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 58

16-07-2026 | Hamilton

Rating -- OR 58

17-08-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 69

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs14

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 26.14s

Last win at trip-- | Wolverhampton (AW) | 14-07-2026

Recent times1:23.12 | 1:28.59 | 1:26.84

Recent positions1 | 1 | 2

Winning contextOR 58 | weight 9-8

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Catterick \| 7f \| Good \| Class 5	2	12/1	69	--	--	1.2	--	GREY - no timing read
16-07-2026	Hamilton \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	1	1/1F	58	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
14-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 6	1	4/7F	58	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
08-07-2026	Catterick \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	1	4/1	55	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
30-06-2026	Musselburgh \| 7f \| Good \| Class 6	1	2/1F	55	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
22-06-2026	Catterick \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	5	9/1	55	--	--	0.2	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Near mark

Latest FFR read +2lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score -3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 78.2 and winning TS par is around 56.2. Runner versus par: rating edge -16.2. Benchmark fit: -2.5.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Willolarupi Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 16.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 16.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5-4-3-5-5-6

FFR63 / -2lb

Speed101

Franked77

Ground2/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 9lb

Folkene Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 8.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Watch only 8.2 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form4-10-4-6-7-9

FFR65 / -5lb

Speed95

Franked32

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt10st 0lb

Runninsonofagun Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6-2-2-3-1-5

FFR63 / -5lb

Speed91

Franked7

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 12lb

No Return Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7-5-5-4-4-8

FFR42 / -24lb

Speed98

Franked28

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw10

Wgt9st 10lb

5:00 | Lingfield (AW)

5:00 | Lingfield (AW) | 10f

Class 6 | Standard | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 69 SHORTLIST RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR57.68 rated runners | Top OR 60: Forca Timao

Winning par2m 07.16s77 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupPOLYTRACK: STANDARD

Stalls 5f & 1m - Outside; Remainder - Inside | Rail No rail note | Band 0-60 | Weather Cloudy

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Forca Timao leads the contextual model at 32.5
Decision type: Shortlist profile - Worth a deeper look
Winning-time par: 2m 07.16s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 8 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

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1	Forca TimaoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleShortlist profile	63.0	3-5-4-4-6-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 10f \| Standard Wgt9st 5lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP7/1 JockeyAlfie Redman OR60 FFR60 SS95 27-05-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 8f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 1lb Result5 btn 2.8L SP25/1 JockeyMatthew Lloyd Slater OR61 FFR75 SS102 20-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 1m2f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.1L SP22/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR61 FFR76 SS87 27-02-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 1m2f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.5L SP17/2 JockeyLuke Catton OR61 FFR83 SS101 24-01-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 2.2L SP33/1 JockeyThomas Greatrex OR63 FFR60 SS100 02-01-2026 Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 \| 1m6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 8L SP40/1 JockeyThomas Greatrex OR66 FFR62 SS102	9st 12lb	3	OR 60	62	+2lb	5	17/2	+5.9	Layoff check	Same trip	Modest field	--	61%	69%	2/6	102	D	Well treated +8	PRICE DEPENDENT
2	Bergamo GoldRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleShortlist profile	59.8	5-4-8-9-2-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 10f \| Standard Wgt9st 5lb Result5 btn 1L SP4/1 JockeyCallum Shepherd OR60 FFR73 SS89 14-07-2026 LeicesterClass 5 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result4 btn 4L SP10/1 JockeyJason Hart OR62 FFR76 SS100 18-05-2026 RedcarClass 5 \| 10f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result8 btn 6.5L SP16/1 JockeyJason Hart OR64 FFR63 SS94 30-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 1m2f \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 8L SP6/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR65 FFR33 SS94 14-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 1m2f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 1.2L SP9/2 JockeyCallum Shepherd OR64 FFR59 SS95 30-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 1m1½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.3L SP5/2 JockeyJason Hart OR64 FFR56 SS94	9st 5lb	8	OR 60	56	-4lb	19	160	+3.7	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	58%	62%	2/6	94	B	Near mark -1	PRICE DEPENDENT
3	Hove RangerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	42.8	1-3-5-1-2-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 10f \| Standard Wgt8st 13lb Result1 SP3/1 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR54 FFR71 SS87 30-06-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP13/8F JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR55 FFR75 SS84 12-06-2026 GoodwoodClass 5 \| 10f \| Soft Wgt8st 10lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP13/2 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR56 FFR77 SS94 25-02-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result1 SP4/1 JockeyTom Queally OR54 FFR53 SS95 14-01-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 1.8L SP10/1 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR54 FFR58 SS90 31-12-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 1L SP150/1 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR-- FFR65 SS--	8st 13lb	2	OR 54	65	+11lb	2	5/1	+16.4	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	60%	62%	0/6	90	C	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
4	UzincsoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	39.8	4-3-4-11-4-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 10f \| Standard Wgt9st 11lb Result4 btn 1.2L SP11/2 JockeyM. P. Sheehy OR59 FFR72 SS97 10-06-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 11f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 3lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP11/1 JockeyDavid Egan OR59 FFR74 SS105 20-05-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 12f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 0.3L SP11/1 JockeyDavid Egan OR60 FFR69 SS99 08-04-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 1m4f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result11 btn 0.8L SP11/1 JockeyDavid Egan OR61 FFR61 SS100 02-12-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 1m2f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 1.8L SP7/1 JockeyNeil Callan OR62 FFR57 SS100 03-11-2025 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 1m4f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.8L SP17/2 JockeyNeil Callan OR63 FFR59 SS96	9st 11lb	7	OR 59	59	+0lb	30	7.4	-3.1	Layoff check	Same trip	Modest field	--	57%	63%	2/6	96	D	Workable +6	WATCH ONLY
5	Beta ReaderRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	23.0	6-8-3-7-9-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 10f \| Standard Wgt9st 8lb Result6 btn 1.2L SP33/1 JockeyGeorgia Dobie OR56 FFR71 SS103 01-07-2026 EpsomClass 5 \| 10f \| Good Wgt9st 0lb Result8 btn 6L SP40/1 JockeyRose Dawes OR58 FFR69 SS101 07-05-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result3 btn 2.5L SP25/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR59 FFR72 SS96 01-04-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 1m \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result7 btn 2L SP40/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR60 FFR55 SS87 27-02-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 1m2f \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.2L SP11/1 JockeyTyrese Cameron OR60 FFR38 SS98 12-02-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 1m2f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.2L SP8/1 JockeyTyrese Cameron OR59 FFR53 SS97	9st 8lb	1	OR 56	53	-3lb	33	55	-0.1	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	49%	45%	1/6	97	E	Near mark +0	WATCH ONLY
6	Boston RunRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	16.0	2-4-6-6-11-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 10f \| Standard Wgt9st 4lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP5/2F JockeyOisin Murphy OR52 FFR61 SS104 04-08-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 5L SP10/1 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR55 FFR61 SS101 16-07-2026 EpsomClass 5 \| 8.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result6 btn 1.8L SP33/1 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR57 FFR73 SS92 03-01-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 1m4f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result6 btn 1L SP50/1 JockeyJ F Egan OR60 FFR52 SS86 17-12-2025 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 1m \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result11 btn 1.2L SP150/1 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR64 FFR42 SS91 01-12-2025 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 1m \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result8 btn 2L SP66/1 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR67 FFR63 SS97	9st 4lb	5	OR 52	63	+11lb	29	18/1	-5.3	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	56%	57%	1/6	97	E	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Twilight GlowRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	15.8	7-8-6-8-5-14 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 10f \| Standard Wgt9st 5lb Result7 btn 6L SP12/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR60 FFR43 SS88 16-07-2026 EpsomClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result8 btn 2.5L SP9/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR63 FFR51 SS88 29-06-2026 Ffos LasClass 5 \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result6 btn 1.8L SP5/1 JockeyJack Doughty OR65 FFR60 SS94 15-06-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result8 btn 0.3L SP16/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR68 FFR54 SS93 05-06-2026 GoodwoodClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 6lb Result5 btn 0.2L SP4/1 JockeyOlivia Tubb OR70 FFR40 SS95 08-05-2026 AscotClass 4 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result14 btn 1.8L SP33/1 JockeyCharles Bishop OR73 FFR40 SS--	9st 5lb	4	OR 60	40	-20lb	14	1000	-6.3	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	46%	42%	1/6	95	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Six BlueRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	8-10-5-5-6-13 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 10f \| Standard Wgt9st 12lb Result8 btn 0.5L SP33/1 JockeyKieran Shoemark OR60 FFR42 SS66 08-07-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 8f \| Standard / Slow Wgt9st 6lb Result10 btn 7.5L SP50/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR62 FFR79 SS85 11-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 3 \| 9.5f \| Standard Wgt10st 2lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP250/1 JockeySean D Bowen OR-- FFR73 SS37 27-04-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 3 \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 3L SP150/1 JockeySean D Bowen OR-- FFR77 SS92 30-03-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 3 \| 1m3f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result6 btn 1.2L SP300/1 JockeySean D Bowen OR-- FFR23 SS94 07-03-2026 HerefordClass 5 \| 2m \| Good Wgt-- Result13 btn 34L SP300/1 JockeyFinn Lambert OR-- FFR39 SS--	9st 12lb	6	OR 60	39	-21lb	2	100/1	-11.3	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	48%	1/6	94	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Forca Timao

Forca Timao profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Bergamo Gold

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Forca Timao Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 63.0

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Shortlist profile 63.0 confidence

Why consider13 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form3-5-4-4-6-5

FFR62 / +2lb

Speed102

Franked5

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 12lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

3 Lingfield (AW) Solid effort 17-08-2026

5 Kempton (AW) Competitive 27-05-2026

4 Lingfield (AW) Finished well 20-04-2026

4 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 27-02-2026

6 Lingfield (AW) Competitive 24-01-2026

5 Chelmsford (AW) Run faded 02-01-2026

Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating5

0winners since

4placers since

4evidence pts

01-02-2026 | Chelmsford (AW) Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Spectacular Style (GB)

09-08-2025 | Windsor Finished 13

Later placers

Graham (GB) (03-10-2025), Naasma (IRE) (06-09-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement2/6

FFR62

Speed102

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+2lb near mark

FFR 62 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

102 Par 100

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeShortlist profileThere is useful evidence, but the horse still needs normal price, risk and race checks.

Model score32.5Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI DHIGH

Mark readWell treatedLatest +2lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb

Today's conditions match 61% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 52%

Class 65%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Pace shape

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs6/6

Best similar rating65

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 69

Good 4 0W / 0P Peak rating 96

Fast 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 93

All-weather 20 1W / 3P Peak rating 96

Placement evidence 69% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 60%

Class fit 76%

Mark room 76%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 68%

13 similar-trip runs recordedClass benchmark supports the placementConservative mark read gives +8lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest +2lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +2lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 60 | Latest FFR 62 | Best FFR 83 | Public mark read +8

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Mark Pattinson

Jockey Alfie Redman(7)

Age 6

Draw 3

OR 60

Avg OR 57.6

OR vs Field +2.4

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form -56445

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge +2.0

Variance Reliable 5.4% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 2.4 vs par

Curve Edging forward Trend 1

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance1m2f

Runs at profile13

DEID

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
27-02-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	4	2:7.08	127.1
20-04-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	4	2:5.30	125.3
17-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	3	2:5.04	125

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.5 micro score

Trainer RTF 37% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 82 days Standard layoff

Micro score +0.5 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; headgear declared: ht

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearhtDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP7/1

OwnerMrs M Elliott

Pedigree

Kessaar × Belle Diva (Dark Angel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.1L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	3	0.3	Neutral finish
27-05-2026	Kempton (AW)	5	2.8	Neutral finish
20-04-2026	Lingfield (AW)	4	0.1	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 4 runs with an official OR.

02-01-2026 | Chelmsford (AW)

Rating 29 OR 66

24-01-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 60 OR 63

27-02-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 64 OR 61

20-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 65 OR 61

27-05-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating -- OR 61

17-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating -- OR 60

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs13

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par2m 07.16s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times2:7.08 | 2:5.30 | 2:5.04

Recent positions4 | 4 | 3

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 10f \| Standard \| Class 6	3	7/1	60	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
27-05-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 8f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 5	5	25/1	61	--	--	2.8	--	GREY - no timing read
20-04-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 1m2f \| Standard \| Class 5	4	22/1	61	65	32	0.1	2:05.30	GOLD - faster than par
27-02-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 1m2f \| Standard \| Class 6	4	17/2	61	64	46	0.5	2:07.08	GOLD - faster than par
24-01-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 1m4f \| Standard \| Class 6	6	33/1	63	60	54	2.2	2:32.88	GREY - below benchmark
02-01-2026	Chelmsford (AW) \| 1m6f \| Standard \| Class 5	5	40/1	66	29	2	8	3:06.17	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Well treated

Latest +2lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb.

Benchmark Fit score 3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 62.8 and winning TS par is around 33.2. Runner versus par: rating edge +4.2. Benchmark fit: 3.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Bergamo Gold Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 59.8

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Shortlist profile 59.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkRecent evidence is mixed

Form5-4-8-9-2-3

FFR56 / -4lb

Speed94

Franked19

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 5lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

5 Lingfield (AW) Competitive 17-08-2026

4 Leicester Steady run 14-07-2026

8 Redcar Steady run 18-05-2026

9 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 30-04-2026

2 Lingfield (AW) Finished well 14-04-2026

3 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 30-03-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating19

2winners since

2placers since

10evidence pts

02-08-2026 | Chelmsford (AW) Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Berkshire Schmokin (IRE), Bosh Soldier (GB), Let Her Go (IRE)

03-05-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Akrivos (IRE), Bradbury (IRE), Chilliconcarneigh (IRE)

Race produced winner

Bradbury (IRE)

02-03-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Curated (IRE), Flying Macs (GB), Hamish Leek (GB)

Race produced winner

Lexington Express (IRE)

Later placers

Popty Ping (GB) (05-07-2026), Silver State (IRE) (06-06-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement2/6

FFR56

Speed94

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-4lb below mark

FFR 56 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

94 Par 100

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeShortlist profileThere is useful evidence, but the horse still needs normal price, risk and race checks.

Model score30.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BMEDIUM

Mark readNear markLatest -4lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read -1lb

Today's conditions match 58% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 55%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 58%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Pace shape

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs4/6

Best similar rating68

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Fast 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 11 2W / 5P Peak rating 68

Placement evidence 62% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 86%

Class fit 58%

Mark room 49%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 50%

Proven trip profile (B)6 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence is mixed

Mark read Latest -4lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read -1lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest -4lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read -1lb

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 60 | Latest FFR 56 | Best FFR 76 | Public mark read -1

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Charlie Johnston

Jockey Callum Shepherd

Age 3

Draw 8

OR 60

Avg OR 57.6

OR vs Field +2.4

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 132984

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +0.8

Variance Very steady 3.2% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Below requirement -0.5 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance1m2f

Runs at profile6

DEIB

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
18-05-2026	Redcar	Good	8	2:7.78	127.8
14-07-2026	Leicester	Good To Firm	4	2:10.23	130.2
17-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	5	2:5.42	125.4

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 45% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 34 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP4/1

OwnerKingsley Park 41

Pedigree

Ten Sovereigns × Bergamask (Kingmambo)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 3.8L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	5	1	Neutral finish
14-07-2026	Leicester	4	4	Neutral finish
18-05-2026	Redcar	8	6.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 3 runs with an official OR.

30-03-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 65 OR 64

14-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 68 OR 64

30-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 33 OR 65

18-05-2026 | Redcar

Rating -- OR 64

14-07-2026 | Leicester

Rating -- OR 62

17-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating -- OR 60

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs6

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Winning-time par2m 07.16s

Last win at trip2:07.24 | Lingfield (AW) | 05-03-2026

Recent times2:7.78 | 2:10.23 | 2:5.42

Recent positions8 | 4 | 5

Winning contextvs par +0.08s | OR 55

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 10f \| Standard \| Class 6	5	4/1	60	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
14-07-2026	Leicester \| 10f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	4	10/1	62	--	--	4	--	GREY - no timing read
18-05-2026	Redcar \| 10f \| Good \| Class 5	8	16/1	64	--	--	6.5	--	GREY - no timing read
30-04-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 1m2f \| Standard \| Class 5	9	6/1	65	33	22	8	2:08.12	GREEN - within 1% of par
14-04-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 1m2f \| Standard \| Class 6	2	9/2	64	68	23	1.2	2:08.67	AMBER - competitive
30-03-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 1m1½f \| Standard \| Class 6	3	5/2	64	65	28	0.3	2:02.79	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Near mark

Latest -4lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read -1lb.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 62.8 and winning TS par is around 33.2. Runner versus par: rating edge +1.2. Benchmark fit: 1.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Hove Ranger Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 42.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 42.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Form1-3-5-1-2-6

FFR65 / +11lb

Speed90

Franked2

Ground1/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt8st 13lb

Uzincso Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 39.8

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 39.8 confidence

Why consider12 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form4-3-4-11-4-7

FFR59 / +0lb

Speed96

Franked30

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 11lb

Beta Reader Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 23.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 23.0 confidence

Why consider9 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6-8-3-7-9-2

FFR53 / -3lb

Speed97

Franked33

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 8lb

Boston Run Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 16.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 16.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form2-4-6-6-11-8

FFR63 / +11lb

Speed97

Franked29

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 4lb

Twilight Glow Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 15.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 15.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7-8-6-8-5-14

FFR40 / -20lb

Speed95

Franked14

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 5lb

Six Blue Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerClass benchmark supports the placement

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8-10-5-5-6-13

FFR39 / -21lb

Speed94

Franked2

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 12lb

5:10 | Wolverhampton (AW)

5:10 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f

Class 5 | Standard | Cavani Style & Speed Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 47 WATCH ONLY

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR65.610 rated runners | Top OR 70: So Sassy

Winning par1m 28.59s149 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupTAPETA: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-70 | Weather Mostly Cloudy

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
So Sassy leads the contextual model at 42.8
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Winning-time par: 1m 28.59s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 10 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	So SassyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	48.5	1-1-5-5-4-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt10st 0lb Result1 SP3/1F JockeyKaiya Fraser OR70 FFR56 SS100 17-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 12lb Result1 SP6/1 JockeyKaiya Fraser OR66 FFR83 SS92 05-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP6/1 JockeyGeorge Wood OR68 FFR85 SS99 03-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.1L SP14/1 JockeyGeorge Wood OR69 FFR68 SS76 02-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.5L SP9/1 JockeyHector Crouch OR70 FFR78 SS101 07-02-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 14L SP7/1 JockeyHector Crouch OR72 FFR78 SS99	10st 0lb	3	OR 70	78	+8lb	9	4.7	+13.6	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	60%	64%	1/6	99	C	Well treated +12	PRICE DEPENDENT
2	Ziggy's QueenRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	37.8	9-5-6-5-8-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 11lb Result9 btn 0.8L SP20/1 JockeyHarry Russell OR67 FFR55 SS97 24-07-2026 ThirskClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 1L SP10/1 JockeyEthan Tindall OR69 FFR67 SS97 08-07-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 10lb Result6 btn 2L SP11/1 JockeyEthan Tindall OR72 FFR61 SS100 22-06-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 10lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP11/1 JockeyEthan Tindall OR73 FFR47 SS99 30-05-2026 CarlisleClass 3 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 10lb Result8 btn 1.8L SP40/1 JockeyEthan Tindall OR74 FFR59 SS100 16-05-2026 ThirskClass 3 \| 7f \| Good Wgt8st 5lb Result9 btn 4.2L SP18/1 JockeyWarren Fentiman OR75 FFR43 SS95	9st 11lb	10	OR 67	43	-24lb	17	100/1	-4.9	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	53%	50%	1/6	95	B	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Dream IllusionRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	30.8	2-8-4-2-12-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 10lb Result2 btn 1.8L SP13/2 JockeyDylan Hogan OR66 FFR81 SS99 06-08-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 13lb Result8 btn 0.3L SP100/30 JockeyJason Hart OR67 FFR43 SS88 08-07-2026 YarmouthClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 0lb Result4 btn 0.1L SP11/2 JockeyDylan Hogan OR68 FFR75 SS96 04-06-2026 WetherbyClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP20/1 JockeyJason Hart OR68 FFR68 SS89 15-05-2026 NewmarketClass 5 \| 8f \| Good Wgt10st 2lb Result12 btn 0.8L SP11/1 JockeyDylan Hogan OR68 FFR52 SS91 29-04-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 1L SP4/1 JockeyDylan Hogan OR67 FFR70 SS96	9st 10lb	9	OR 66	70	+4lb	10	9.4	+1.1	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	57%	59%	1/6	96	D	Well treated +10	CAUTION PROFILE
4	RedredrobinRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	27.8	8-2-9-8-6-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 3lb Result8 btn 3.2L SP28/1 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR59 FFR69 SS101 05-08-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 12lb Result2 btn 2.2L SP20/1 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR59 FFR64 SS93 14-07-2026 Ffos LasClass 5 \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result9 btn 1.5L SP28/1 JockeyJ F Egan OR62 FFR27 SS90 29-05-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result8 btn 3.5L SP22/1 JockeyBen Ffrench Davis OR65 FFR33 SS94 29-04-2026 BathClass 5 \| 1m \| Firm Wgt-- Result6 btn 12L SP18/1 JockeyLewis Edmunds OR67 FFR60 SS95 10-07-2025 EpsomClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.2L SP9/2 JockeyWilliam Carson OR69 FFR44 SS95	9st 3lb	7	OR 59	44	-15lb	34	66/1	-0.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	52%	53%	1/6	95	B	Stiff -12	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Angels' ShareRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	23.5	3-3-5-8-9-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 4lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP100/30 JockeyMarco Ghiani OR65 FFR74 SS82 31-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 5lb Result3 btn 2L SP100/30 JockeyCieren Fallon OR66 FFR34 SS95 08-07-2026 YarmouthClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 2L SP11/1 JockeyCieren Fallon OR69 FFR34 SS101 13-06-2026 LeicesterClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 5lb Result8 btn 0.8L SP28/1 JockeyDaniel Muscutt OR72 FFR61 SS102 21-05-2026 HaydockClass 5 \| 6f \| Soft Wgt9st 9lb Result9 btn 1.2L SP10/1 JockeyRossa Ryan OR75 FFR67 SS82 30-04-2026 YarmouthClass 4 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result8 btn 4L SP10/1 JockeyCieren Fallon OR77 FFR65 SS99	9st 4lb	8	OR 65	65	+0lb	4	66/1	-2.9	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	60%	60%	2/6	99	A	Workable +6	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Amelia's JoyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	22.8	7-3-1-2-5-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 11lb Result7 btn 0.8L SP11/2 JockeyDavid Probert OR67 FFR66 SS101 22-07-2026 LeicesterClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result3 btn 2L SP5/2 JockeyDavid Probert OR68 FFR51 SS99 04-07-2026 LeicesterClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result1 SP5/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR63 FFR74 SS101 15-06-2026 CarlisleClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 10lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP8/1 JockeyConnor Beasley OR62 FFR77 SS104 06-06-2026 DoncasterClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result5 btn 0.3L SP6/1 JockeySean Levey OR63 FFR69 SS96 21-05-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 1.2L SP6/1 JockeyGeorge Wood OR63 FFR55 SS100	9st 11lb	4	OR 67	55	-12lb	7	100/1	+14.1	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	54%	56%	2/6	100	A	Stiff -9	CAUTION PROFILE
7	EspanitaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	12.8	6-1-6-9-8-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 5lb Result6 btn 1L SP15/2 JockeyOliver Stammers OR66 FFR66 SS100 31-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result1 SP20/1 JockeyOliver Stammers OR63 FFR54 SS95 06-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 8.5f \| Standard Wgt9st 1lb Result6 btn 1.2L SP14/1 JockeyJack Callan OR65 FFR32 SS93 09-06-2026 CarlisleClass 5 \| 9f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 6lb Result9 btn 11L SP15/2 JockeyRowan Scott OR67 FFR53 SS-- 19-05-2026 NottinghamClass 5 \| 8.5f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 2lb Result8 btn 2.2L SP18/1 JockeyOliver Stammers OR68 FFR76 SS-- 04-05-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 5lb Result5 btn 1.2L SP6/4F JockeyCieren Fallon OR70 FFR56 SS--	9st 5lb	1	OR 66	56	-10lb	5	100/1	-1.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	52%	54%	1/6	93	A	Stiff -7	CAUTION PROFILE
8	HamaleelRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	7.5	5-3-6-2-3-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 0lb Result5 btn 0.1L SP14/1 JockeyToby Moore OR68 FFR73 SS74 17-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 8lb Result3 btn 3L SP14/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR69 FFR70 SS98 29-06-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 1lb Result6 btn 0.8L SP6/1 JockeyHarry Vigors OR69 FFR71 SS83 04-06-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt8st 10lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP16/1 JockeyHarry Vigors OR67 FFR59 SS96 04-05-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP11/2 JockeyLuke Morris OR67 FFR64 SS99 25-03-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 1m \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result5 btn 1.2L SP10/1 JockeyHollie Doyle OR67 FFR59 SS92	9st 7lb	6	OR 68	59	-9lb	14	100/1	-4.4	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	47%	52%	0/6	92	D	Stiff -6	CAUTION PROFILE
9	Celtic ArrowRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	10-5-2-2-4-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 5lb Result10 btn 0.3L SP10/1 JockeyRyan Sexton OR66 FFR83 SS98 01-08-2026 DoncasterClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP11/2 JockeyRyan Sexton OR67 FFR79 SS93 01-07-2026 ThirskClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP20/1 JockeyRyan Sexton OR66 FFR79 SS93 11-03-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 4 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 3L SP6/1 JockeyCam Hardie OR-- FFR73 SS-- 24-02-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 1.8L SP16/1 JockeyCam Hardie OR-- FFR65 SS-- 04-02-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 2.2L SP22/1 JockeyRowan Scott OR-- FFR40 SS--	9st 5lb	5	OR 66	40	-26lb	34	66/1	-1.9	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	44%	42%	0/6	93	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
10	South Coast StarRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	4-10-1-7-6-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 1lb Result4 btn 1.8L SP14/1 JockeyRobert Havlin OR62 FFR77 SS88 03-07-2026 DoncasterClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result10 btn 2.5L SP16/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR62 FFR62 SS92 02-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 3lb Result1 SP9/2 JockeyOisin Murphy OR53 FFR41 SS93 21-05-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result7 btn 1.5L SP11/2 JockeyJack Nicholls OR55 FFR66 SS96 30-03-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result6 btn 1.8L SP7/1 JockeyHarry Vigors OR56 FFR46 SS93 16-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.5L SP12/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR55 FFR59 SS94	9st 1lb	2	OR 62	59	-3lb	35	100/1	-12.4	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	54%	59%	0/6	94	B	Near mark +0	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit So Sassy

So Sassy profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Ziggy's Queen

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

So Sassy Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 48.5

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 48.5 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form1-1-5-5-4-7

FFR78 / +8lb

Speed99

Franked9

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt10st 0lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 17-08-2026

1 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 17-07-2026

5 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 05-05-2026

5 Lingfield (AW) Troubled run 03-04-2026

4 Wolverhampton (AW) Finished well 02-03-2026

7 Southwell (AW) Troubled run 07-02-2026

Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating9

0winners since

7placers since

6evidence pts

05-05-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Court Drive (IRE)

Later placers

Moostar (GB) (06-05-2026)

04-03-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Dandy Khan (IRE), Elizabetty (IRE), Handle With Care (GB)

Later placers

Bella Bisbee (GB) (06-04-2026), Cool Molly (IRE) (05-07-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement1/6

FFR78

Speed99

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+8lb ahead of mark

FFR 78 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

99 Par 100

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance evidence is thin

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score42.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI CLOW

Mark readWell treatedLatest +8lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Class

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs6/6

Best similar rating73

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 71

Fast 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 70

All-weather 13 3W / 6P Peak rating 76

Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 68%

Class fit 41%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concern

Mark read Latest +8lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +8lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 70 | Latest FFR 78 | Best FFR 85 | Public mark read +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer James Fanshawe

Jockey Kaiya Fraser

Age 4

Draw 3

OR 70

Avg OR 65.6

OR vs Field +4.4

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 274551

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Variable; Mild bounce watch; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge -0.5

Variance Variable 9.4% volatility

Bounce Mild bounce watch Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 1.1 vs par

Curve Edging forward Trend 1

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile4

DEIC

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
03-04-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	5	1:24.31	84.3
17-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	1	1:28.43	88.4
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	1	1:28.53	88.5

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 57% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 31 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: v; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearvDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP3/1F

OwnerMy Racing Manager Friends

Pedigree

Bated Breath × If So (Iffraaj)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.2L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	1	0	Neutral finish
17-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	1	0	Neutral finish
05-05-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	5	0.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 2 runs with an official OR.

07-02-2026 | Southwell (AW)

Rating -- OR 72

02-03-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 71 OR 70

03-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 73 OR 69

05-05-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 68

17-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 66

17-08-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 70

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs4

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par1m 28.59s

Last win at trip-- | Wolverhampton (AW) | 17-08-2026

Recent times1:24.31 | 1:28.43 | 1:28.53

Recent positions5 | 1 | 1

Winning contextOR 70 | weight 10-0

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 5	1	3/1F	70	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
17-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 5	1	6/1	66	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
05-05-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	5	6/1	68	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
03-04-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 4	5	14/1	69	73	55	0.1	1:24.31	GOLD - faster than par
02-03-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	4	9/1	70	71	40	0.5	1:13.51	GOLD - faster than par
07-02-2026	Southwell (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	7	7/1	72	--	--	14	1:19.42	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Well treated

Latest +8lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 77.2 and winning TS par is around 52.6. Runner versus par: rating edge -4.2. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Ziggy's Queen Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 37.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 37.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form9-5-6-5-8-9

FFR43 / -24lb

Speed95

Franked17

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw10

Wgt9st 11lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

9 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 17-08-2026

5 Thirsk Competitive 24-07-2026

6 Catterick Competitive 08-07-2026

5 Catterick Run faded 22-06-2026

8 Carlisle Competitive 30-05-2026

9 Thirsk Steady run 16-05-2026

Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating17

2winners since

0placers since

6evidence pts

02-07-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Court Drive (IRE), Handle With Care (GB), Mereside Diva (IRE)

04-03-2026 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 7

Beat named rivals

Bridgets View (GB), Fouette (IRE), Powdering (IRE)

Race produced winner

Brazilian Rose (IRE), Callianassa (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR43

Speed95

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-24lb below mark

FFR 43 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

95 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score24.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BMEDIUM

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -24lb | peak +0lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Today's conditions match 53% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence All-weather Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 5 1W / 1P Peak rating 83

Good 8 0W / 2P Peak rating 83

Fast 10 0W / 3P Peak rating 78

All-weather 12 3W / 8P Peak rating 81

Placement evidence 50% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 86%

Class fit 41%

Mark room 4%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 50%

Proven trip profile (B)7 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concernCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidenceRecent evidence is mixed

Mark read Latest -24lb | peak +0lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -24lb | peak +0lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 67 | Latest FFR 43 | Best FFR 67 | Public mark read -16

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Richard & Peter Fahey

Jockey Harry Russell

Age 5

Draw 10

OR 67

Avg OR 65.6

OR vs Field +1.4

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 798565

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +0.8

Variance Very steady 1.6% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Below requirement -0.4 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile7

DEIB

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
22-06-2026	Catterick	Good To Firm	5	1:24.55	84.5
08-07-2026	Catterick	Good To Firm	6	1:25.22	85.2
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	9	1:30.28	90.3

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 39% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 24 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: ht; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearhtDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP20/1

OwnerMiddleham Park Racing Cxvii

Pedigree

Invincible Spirit × Iron Lady (Exceed And Excel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course winHas won at this courseDistance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.3L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	9	0.8	Neutral finish
24-07-2026	Thirsk	5	1	Neutral finish
08-07-2026	Catterick	6	2	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

16-05-2026 | Thirsk

Rating -- OR 75

30-05-2026 | Carlisle

Rating -- OR 74

22-06-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 73

08-07-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 72

24-07-2026 | Thirsk

Rating -- OR 69

17-08-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 67

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs7

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Winning-time par1m 28.59s

Last win at trip1:24.01 | Lingfield (AW) | 27-02-2026

Recent times1:24.55 | 1:25.22 | 1:30.28

Recent positions5 | 6 | 9

Winning contextvs par -4.58s | OR 73

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 5	9	20/1	67	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read
24-07-2026	Thirsk \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	5	10/1	69	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
08-07-2026	Catterick \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	6	11/1	72	--	--	2	--	GREY - no timing read
22-06-2026	Catterick \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	5	11/1	73	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
30-05-2026	Carlisle \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 3	8	40/1	74	--	--	1.8	--	GREY - no timing read
16-05-2026	Thirsk \| 7f \| Good \| Class 3	9	18/1	75	--	--	4.2	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -24lb | peak +0lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 77.2 and winning TS par is around 52.6. Runner versus par: rating edge -4.2. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Dream Illusion Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 30.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 30.8 confidence

Why consider18 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-8-4-2-12-2

FFR70 / +4lb

Speed96

Franked10

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw9

Wgt9st 10lb

Redredrobin Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 27.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 27.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form8-2-9-8-6-9

FFR44 / -15lb

Speed95

Franked34

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 3lb

Angels' Share Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 23.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 23.5 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-3-5-8-9-8

FFR65 / +0lb

Speed99

Franked4

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 4lb

Amelia's Joy Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 22.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Best of a weak race 22.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form7-3-1-2-5-4

FFR55 / -12lb

Speed100

Franked7

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 11lb

Espanita Distance specialist

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 12.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 12.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form6-1-6-9-8-5

FFR56 / -10lb

Speed93

Franked5

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 5lb

Hamaleel Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 7.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 7.5 confidence

Why consider8 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form5-3-6-2-3-5

FFR59 / -9lb

Speed92

Franked14

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 7lb

Celtic Arrow Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form10-5-2-2-4-3

FFR40 / -26lb

Speed93

Franked34

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 5lb

South Coast Star Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form4-10-1-7-6-2

FFR59 / -3lb

Speed94

Franked35

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 1lb

5:20 | Windsor

5:20 | Windsor | 5f

Class 5 | Good To Firm | Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Apprentice Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 48 WATCH ONLY

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR64.99 rated runners | Top OR 70: South Shore

Winning par59.28s18 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupGOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick: 7)

Stalls 5f, 6f, 1m2f & 1m3f - Centre; 1m - Inside | Rail No rail note | Band 0-70 | Weather Mostly Cloudy

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
South Shore leads the contextual model at 40.8
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Winning-time par: 59.28s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 9 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	South ShoreRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	43.5	2-2-1-1-3-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 11lb Result2 btn 0.2L SP100/30J JockeyConor Whiteley OR70 FFR78 SS97 15-07-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 4lb Result2 btn 1.2L SP11/8F JockeyMarco Ghiani OR62 FFR52 SS97 06-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt10st 0lb Result1 SP13/8F JockeyMarco Ghiani OR55 FFR68 SS97 29-06-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result1 SP15/8F JockeyMarco Ghiani OR55 FFR68 SS109 27-05-2026 BeverleyClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result3 btn 1.8L SP15/8 JockeyWilliam Pyle OR56 FFR62 SS100 28-04-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.1L SP7/2 JockeyJames Sullivan OR57 FFR74 SS101	10st 0lb	2	OR 70	74	+4lb	26	5	+6.7	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	61%	65%	1/6	101	C	Well treated +8	CAUTION PROFILE
2	Kiss And RunRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	43.5	5-8-7-3-5-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 12lb Result5 btn 1.8L SP11/2 JockeyMason Paetel OR68 FFR73 SS100 27-07-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 11lb Result8 btn 0.8L SP11/4F JockeyMason Paetel OR70 FFR69 SS99 13-07-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result7 btn 1.2L SP9/1 JockeyKaiya Fraser OR71 FFR69 SS94 27-06-2026 LingfieldClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP5/1 JockeyGrace McEntee OR72 FFR60 SS109 12-06-2026 SandownClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP15/2 JockeyOisin Murphy OR74 FFR59 SS101 18-05-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP17/2 JockeyTaylor Fisher OR72 FFR61 SS101	9st 12lb	4	OR 68	61	-7lb	56	25/1	+6.7	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	50%	56%	1/6	101	C	Stiff -4	CAUTION PROFILE
3	So SmartRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	34.8	7-3-1-3-4-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result7 btn 0.3L SP28/1 JockeyAshley Lewis OR62 FFR69 SS94 24-07-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result3 btn 1L SP3/1 JockeyRyan Kavanagh OR58 FFR53 SS97 16-07-2026 ChepstowClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result1 SP100/30 JockeyRyan Kavanagh OR58 FFR47 SS102 17-06-2026 Ffos LasClass 6 \| 5f \| Soft Wgt9st 7lb Result3 btn 4L SP7/2 JockeyAshley Lewis OR59 FFR77 SS91 06-06-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 5f \| Soft Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 1L SP9/4F JockeyCieren Fallon OR60 FFR56 SS91 29-05-2026 ChepstowClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 5lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP9/1 JockeyAshley Lewis OR60 FFR56 SS96	9st 6lb	5	OR 62	56	-6lb	42	200	-2.3	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	47%	52%	1/6	96	C	Stiff -3	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Thornaby PearlRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	32.2	1-3-1-1-2-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result1 SP100/30J JockeyJake Dickson OR68 FFR51 SS91 08-08-2026 Newmarket (July)Class 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 12lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP9/2 JockeyOliver Carmichael OR67 FFR63 SS94 31-07-2026 MusselburghClass 6 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result1 SP11/2 JockeyJake Dickson OR64 FFR68 SS113 11-07-2026 HamiltonClass 6 \| 5f \| Good Wgt10st 0lb Result1 SP7/2 JockeyJack Nicholls OR62 FFR67 SS78 25-06-2026 HamiltonClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP9/4 JockeyJack Nicholls OR61 FFR71 SS88 11-06-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 5f \| Soft Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 1.5L SP3/1 JockeyOliver Carmichael OR59 FFR77 SS110	9st 12lb	8	OR 68	77	+9lb	8	6.6	+4.7	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	62%	68%	2/6	110	A+	Well treated +9	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Sunlit SeaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleTight decision	29.8	3-2-1-1-4-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result3 btn 1L SP6/1 JockeyPoppy Scott OR66 FFR36 SS87 08-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 4lb Result2 btn 1.2L SP6/5F JockeyLuke Morris OR66 FFR56 SS89 24-07-2026 ThirskClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result1 SP9/4F JockeyPoppy Scott OR57 FFR67 SS95 15-07-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result1 SP5/4F JockeyJack Gilligan OR57 FFR67 SS95 28-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 5lb Result4 btn 1.8L SP8/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR58 FFR71 SS89 15-06-2026 CarlisleClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 5lb Result8 btn 2.2L SP10/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR59 FFR68 SS94	9st 8lb	1	OR 66	68	+2lb	35	8.6	+8.7	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	64%	68%	1/6	94	A	Workable +5	CAUTION PROFILE
6	MukerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	29.8	8-11-10-4-6-17 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 12lb Result8 btn 2.2L SP6/1 JockeyAlex Jary OR68 FFR37 SS97 01-08-2026 ThirskClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result11 btn 1L SP25/1 JockeyFaye McManoman OR72 FFR59 SS94 10-07-2026 YorkClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result10 btn 1.2L SP22/1 JockeyAlex Jary OR73 FFR66 SS95 02-07-2026 NottinghamClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result4 btn 0.5L SP7/2 JockeyFinlay Bassett OR73 FFR44 SS104 20-06-2026 RedcarClass 3 \| 5f \| Good Wgt8st 1lb Result6 btn 4.8L SP28/1 JockeyAlex Jary OR76 FFR50 SS43 31-05-2026 ThirskClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 0lb Result17 btn 4.5L SP18/1 JockeyAlex Jary OR79 FFR49 SS98	9st 12lb	6	OR 68	49	-19lb	39	1000	-13.8	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	54%	52%	2/6	98	A	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Trust SergeiRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	15.8	4-9-3-1-2-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 7lb Result4 btn 1L SP11/1 JockeyCharlie Tucker OR56 FFR71 SS111 30-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 13lb Result9 btn 4.2L SP66/1 JockeyJonny Peate OR56 FFR61 SS84 10-07-2026 ChesterClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 5lb Result3 btn 1L SP15/2 JockeyJonny Peate OR54 FFR67 SS98 28-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 8lb Result1 SP9/2 JockeyJonny Peate OR54 FFR50 SS97 05-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 8lb Result2 btn 1.2L SP7/2 JockeyJonny Peate OR54 FFR32 SS100 23-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.2L SP2/1F JockeyJonny Peate OR55 FFR63 SS98	9st 0lb	9	OR 56	63	+7lb	53	1000	+6.2	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	54%	57%	1/6	98	C	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Too Darn GoodRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	4.8	6-1-5-3-7-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result6 btn 0.5L SP15/2 JockeyTaryn Langley OR67 FFR60 SS91 27-07-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 12lb Result1 SP11/1 JockeyTaryn Langley OR64 FFR43 SS90 07-07-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result5 btn 1L SP9/2 JockeyRob Hornby OR65 FFR75 SS97 19-06-2026 GoodwoodClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt8st 11lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP18/1 JockeyThomas Greatrex OR66 FFR34 SS85 22-05-2026 BathClass 5 \| 5.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result7 btn 5.5L SP13/2 JockeyNicola Currie OR68 FFR75 SS96 04-05-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result6 btn 1.8L SP9/4F JockeyRob Hornby OR70 FFR57 SS92	9st 9lb	7	OR 67	57	-10lb	56	1000	+0.7	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	51%	55%	1/6	92	A	Stiff -7	CAUTION PROFILE
9	Bellini SpiritRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	9-3-18-8-7-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result9 btn 3.5L SP40/1 JockeyHarry Burns OR59 FFR80 SS86 02-08-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result3 btn 0.2L SP33/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR60 FFR62 SS99 08-05-2026 AscotClass 4 \| 6f \| Good Wgt8st 7lb Result18 btn 3.8L SP150/1 JockeyNicola Currie OR64 FFR67 SS77 05-04-2026 BathClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result8 btn 0.1L SP28/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR66 FFR37 SS85 21-02-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 4 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 1L SP50/1 JockeyKieran ONeill OR-- FFR52 SS-- 09-10-2025 Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 2.8L SP40/1 JockeyDylan Hogan OR-- FFR36 SS--	9st 1lb	3	OR 59	36	-23lb	3	95	-17.3	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	43%	31%	0/6	85	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit South Shore

South Shore profiles as a unclear with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 1/6. Draw data adds a small confidence boost. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Kiss And Run

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

South Shore Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 43.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Best of a weak race 43.5 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (C)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-2-1-1-3-5

FFR74 / +4lb

Speed101

Franked26

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt10st 0lb

Kiss And Run Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 43.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 43.5 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (C)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form5-8-7-3-5-2

FFR61 / -7lb

Speed101

Franked56

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 12lb

So Smart Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 34.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 34.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (C)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form7-3-1-3-4-3

FFR56 / -6lb

Speed96

Franked42

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 6lb

Thornaby Pearl Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 32.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 32.2 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A+)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form1-3-1-1-2-4

FFR77 / +9lb

Speed110

Franked8

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 12lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Windsor Strong run 17-08-2026

3 Newmarket (July) Finished well 08-08-2026

1 Musselburgh Strong run 31-07-2026

1 Hamilton Strong run 11-07-2026

2 Hamilton Solid effort 25-06-2026

4 Nottingham Run faded 11-06-2026

Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating8

1winners since

0placers since

6evidence pts

08-08-2026 | Newmarket (July) Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Loleeta (GB), Merrimack (GB), Our Planet (IRE)

06-08-2026 | Pontefract Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Forever Noah (GB), Isla Bella (GB), Knicks (IRE)

08-12-2025 | Hamilton Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Fortunate Star (IRE), Happier (IRE), Hard Nut (IRE)

Race produced winner

Fortunate Star (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR77

Speed110

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+9lb ahead of mark

FFR 77 pounds scale

SpeedScoreabove par

110 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score38.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI A+HIGH

Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR

Today's conditions match 62% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 96%

Class 45%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 34%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandFast

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 20 2W / 4P Peak rating 82

Good 9 3W / 6P Peak rating 74

Fast 7 1W / 3P Peak rating 75

All-weather 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 64

Placement evidence 68% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 29%

Mark room 79%

Stable setup 58%

Recent evidence 76%

Proven trip profile (A+)23 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +9lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concern

Mark read Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 68 | Latest FFR 77 | Best FFR 77 | Public mark read +9

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Adrian Nicholls

Jockey Jake Dickson(5)

Age 8

Draw 8

OR 68

Avg OR 64.9

OR vs Field +3.1

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 142113

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Variable; High bounce risk; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Improving

confidence nudge -0.8

Variance Variable 12.9% volatility

Bounce High bounce risk Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Big ceiling edge 13.3 vs par

Curve Improving Trend 2

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance5f

Runs at profile23

DEIA+

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
31-07-2026	Musselburgh	Good	1	0:59.01	59
08-08-2026	Newmarket (July)	Good To Firm	3	0:59.17	59.2
17-08-2026	Windsor	Good To Firm	1	0:58.22	58.2

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 45% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 9 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP100/30J

OwnerIngleby Bloodstock Limited

Pedigree

Pearl Secret × Juncea (Elnadim)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.1L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Windsor	1	0	Neutral finish
08-08-2026	Newmarket (July)	3	0.3	Fast finish
31-07-2026	Musselburgh	1	0	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

11-06-2026 | Nottingham

Rating -- OR 59

25-06-2026 | Hamilton

Rating -- OR 61

11-07-2026 | Hamilton

Rating -- OR 62

31-07-2026 | Musselburgh

Rating -- OR 64

08-08-2026 | Newmarket (July)

Rating -- OR 67

17-08-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 68

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs23

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par59.28s

Last win at trip-- | Windsor | 17-08-2026

Recent times0:59.01 | 0:59.17 | 0:58.22

Recent positions1 | 3 | 1

Winning contextOR 68 | weight 9-7

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Windsor \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	1	100/30J	68	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
08-08-2026	Newmarket (July) \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	3	9/2	67	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
31-07-2026	Musselburgh \| 5f \| Good \| Class 6	1	11/2	64	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
11-07-2026	Hamilton \| 5f \| Good \| Class 6	1	7/2	62	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
25-06-2026	Hamilton \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	2	9/4	61	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
11-06-2026	Nottingham \| 5f \| Soft \| Class 6	4	3/1	59	--	--	1.5	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Well treated

Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score -1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 79.3 and winning TS par is around 60.8. Runner versus par: rating edge -7.3. Benchmark fit: -1.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Sunlit Sea Distance specialist

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 29.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Tight decision 29.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-2-1-1-4-8

FFR68 / +2lb

Speed94

Franked35

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 8lb

Muker Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 29.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 29.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form8-11-10-4-6-17

FFR49 / -19lb

Speed98

Franked39

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 12lb

Trust Sergei Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 15.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 15.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form4-9-3-1-2-6

FFR63 / +7lb

Speed98

Franked53

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw9

Wgt9st 0lb

Too Darn Good Distance specialist

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 4.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 4.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form6-1-5-3-7-6

FFR57 / -10lb

Speed92

Franked56

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 9lb

Bellini Spirit Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form9-3-18-8-7-2

FFR36 / -23lb

Speed85

Franked3

Ground2/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 1lb

5:40 | Wolverhampton (AW)

5:40 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f

Class 4 | Standard | Race And Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 77 SHORTLIST RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR59.52 rated runners | Top OR 65: Forest Berry

Winning par1m 28.52s54 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupTAPETA: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather Mostly Cloudy

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Forest Berry leads the contextual model at 38.2
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Clearer top profile: +17.0 gap to nearest rival
Winning-time par: 1m 28.52s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 8 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Forest BerryRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	41.0	1-4-2-4-2-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result1 SP9/4F JockeyLuke Morris OR65 FFR73 SS87 01-08-2026 DoncasterClass 4 \| 6.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 4L SP4/1 JockeyJames Sullivan OR66 FFR80 SS-- 24-07-2026 ChepstowClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP2/1F JockeyDylan Hogan OR66 FFR76 SS-- 04-06-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 0.3L SP15/2 JockeyLuke Morris OR-- FFR73 SS-- 21-05-2026 ChepstowClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Soft Wgt8st 13lb Result2 btn 1L SP8/1 JockeyDylan Hogan OR-- FFR64 SS-- 30-04-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.5L SP11/1 JockeyDylan Hogan OR-- FFR86 SS--	9st 2lb	6	OR 65	86	+21lb	22	4/1	+21.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	58%	61%	1/6	87	D	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
2	Clear HorizonRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	25.0	4-6-10-5-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt8st 11lb Result4 btn 2L SP18/1 JockeyOlivia Tubb OR54 FFR60 SS-- 28-07-2026 Ffos LasClass 6 \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt9st 0lb Result6 btn 0.3L SP11/2 JockeyRob Hornby OR56 FFR69 SS-- 09-07-2026 NewburyClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result10 btn 0.3L SP14/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR-- FFR50 SS-- 23-06-2026 NewburyClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 10lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP11/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR-- FFR44 SS-- 04-06-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result7 btn 1L SP25/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR-- FFR58 SS--	9st 2lb	5	OR 54	58	+4lb	22	1000	+4.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	55%	58%	0/6	--	E	Well treated +10	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Steamy WonderRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	6.0	7-3-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result7 btn 6.5L SP33/1 JockeyStevie Donohoe OR-- FFR48 SS-- 04-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 1.8L SP18/1 JockeyStevie Donohoe OR-- FFR75 SS-- 23-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt8st 13lb Result7 btn 1.2L SP50/1 JockeyStevie Donohoe OR-- FFR44 SS--	9st 2lb	2	OR --	44	--	0	200	+0.9	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	48%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Pon Pon DaliaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	6.0	2-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result2 btn 1L SP5/2 JockeyMarco Ghiani OR-- FFR65 SS-- 01-08-2026 DoncasterClass 4 \| 6.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 0.3L SP12/1 JockeyJack Gilligan OR-- FFR81 SS--	9st 2lb	8	OR --	81	--	2	4.5	-3.3	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	50%	57%	1/6	--	D	Developing	WATCH ONLY
5	Eagle StormRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	6.0	3-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 6L SP13/2 JockeyDaniel Muscutt OR-- FFR57 SS-- 01-08-2026 DoncasterClass 4 \| 6.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result8 btn 0.8L SP11/1 JockeyOisin Orr OR-- FFR65 SS--	9st 2lb	3	OR --	65	--	2	33/1	-7.3	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	54%	1/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
6	HalconRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	6-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result6 btn 1.2L SP4/1 JockeySean Kirrane OR-- FFR76 SS-- 17-06-2026 RiponClass 4 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP80/1 JockeySean Kirrane OR-- FFR45 SS--	9st 2lb	7	OR --	45	--	0	1000	-0.1	Layoff check	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	47%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Heavenly ParoleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result8 btn 3.5L SP16/1 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR-- FFR44 SS--	9st 2lb	9	OR --	44	--	0	200	-7.8	Rest developing	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	50%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
8	TheftRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	5-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 4.2L SP8/1 JockeyDarragh Keenan OR-- FFR57 SS-- 01-08-2026 DoncasterClass 4 \| 6.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 11lb Result7 btn 0.2L SP9/1 JockeyLiam Wright OR-- FFR48 SS--	9st 2lb	1	OR --	48	--	2	1000	-8.1	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	50%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Forest Berry

Forest Berry profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Clear Horizon

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Forest Berry Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 41.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Best of a weak race 41.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Form1-4-2-4-2-7

FFR86 / +21lb

Speed87

Franked22

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 2lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 17-08-2026

4 Doncaster Run faded 01-08-2026

2 Chepstow Solid effort 24-07-2026

4 Lingfield (AW) Competitive 04-06-2026

2 Chepstow Solid effort 21-05-2026

7 Kempton (AW) Troubled run 30-04-2026

Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating22

1winners since

2placers since

7evidence pts

06-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Clear Horizon (GB), Deja Vu Diva (GB), Dun Eideann (GB)

Race produced winner

Potters Margot (GB)

Later placers

Dun Eideann (GB) (08-04-2026)

08-01-2026 | Doncaster Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Autumn Jewel (GB), Bearing In Time (IRE), Cheeky Chesca (IRE)

Later placers

Cheeky Chesca (IRE) (06-04-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR86

Speed87

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR+21lb ahead of mark

FFR 86 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

87 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskDistance evidence is thin

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score38.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI DVERY_LOW

Mark readWell treatedLatest +21lb | peak +21lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Today's conditions match 58% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 52%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Class

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandTesting

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --

Good 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Fast 2 0W / 1P Peak rating --

All-weather 3 1W / 1P Peak rating --

Placement evidence 61% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 57%

Class fit 50%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 42%

Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Mark read Latest +21lb | peak +21lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +21lb | peak +21lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 65 | Latest FFR 86 | Best FFR 86 | Public mark read +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Sir Mark Prescott Bt

Jockey Luke Morris

Age 2

Draw 6

OR 65

Avg OR 59.5

OR vs Field +5.5

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 72424

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Needs a new peak; Stable

confidence nudge -1.5

Variance Developing Consistency developing

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Needs a new peak -13.4 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile1

DEID

ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	1	1:29.82	89.8

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+1.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 72% Yard in a positive recent rhythm

Freshness 16 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +1.2 trainer RTF hot at 72%; recent run fitness window

Ground timing match 1/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP9/4F

OwnerStrawberry Fields Stud

Pedigree

Waldgeist × Jubliant Girl (Henrythenavigator)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.4L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	1	0	Neutral finish
01-08-2026	Doncaster	4	4	Run faded
24-07-2026	Chepstow	2	0.3	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

24-07-2026 | Chepstow

Rating -- OR 66

01-08-2026 | Doncaster

Rating -- OR 66

17-08-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 65

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Trip evidence building

Similar-trip runs1

ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Winning-time par1m 28.52s

Last win at trip-- | Wolverhampton (AW) | 17-08-2026

Recent times1:29.82

Recent positions1

Winning contextOR 65 | weight 9-2

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 4	1	9/4F	65	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
01-08-2026	Doncaster \| 6.5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	4	4/1	66	--	--	4	--	GREY - no timing read
24-07-2026	Chepstow \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	2	2/1F	66	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
04-06-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 4	4	15/2	--	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
21-05-2026	Chepstow \| 6f \| Good To Soft \| Class 4	2	8/1	--	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
30-04-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 4	7	11/1	--	--	14	0.5	1:15.24	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Well treated

Latest +21lb | peak +21lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 83.4 and winning TS par is around 55.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Clear Horizon Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 25.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 25.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +10lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-6-10-5-7

FFR58 / +4lb

Speed--

Franked22

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 2lb

Steamy Wonder Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 6.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 6.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7-3-7

FFR44 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground2/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 2lb

Pon Pon Dalia Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 6.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 6.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete

Form2-5

FFR81 / --

Speed--

Franked2

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 2lb

Eagle Storm Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 6.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 6.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3-8

FFR65 / --

Speed--

Franked2

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 2lb

Halcon Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6-3

FFR45 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 2lb

Heavenly Parole Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8

FFR44 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw9

Wgt9st 2lb

Theft Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5-7

FFR48 / --

Speed--

Franked2

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 2lb

5:55 | Windsor

5:55 | Windsor | 6f

Class 4 | Good To Firm | Play The Matchbook Match 6 Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 59 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR60.54 rated runners | Top OR 82: Mithaaly

Winning par1m 11.85s22 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupGOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick: 7)

Stalls 5f, 6f, 1m2f & 1m3f - Centre; 1m - Inside | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather Mostly Cloudy

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Mithaaly leads the contextual model at 32.8
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Winning-time par: 1m 11.85s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 11 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	MithaalyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	45.0	1-2-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result1 SP4/9F JockeyBilly Loughnane OR82 FFR82 SS-- 28-07-2026 YarmouthClass 3 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP8/11F JockeyBilly Loughnane OR-- FFR93 SS-- 13-07-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result2 btn 0.8L SP17/2 JockeyTom Marquand OR-- FFR87 SS--	9st 7lb	11	OR 82	87	+5lb	1.52	+19.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	60%	65%	0/6	--	C	Well treated +11	WATCH ONLY
2	Fairy WellRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	42.0	2-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result-- SP100/30 JockeyRossa Ryan OR71 FFR83 SS-- 29-07-2026 LeicesterClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result2 btn 2.5L SP11/8 JockeyKevin Stott OR-- FFR77 SS-- 02-07-2026 NottinghamClass 3 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 1.2L SP14/1 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR-- FFR82 SS--	9st 2lb	2	OR 71	82	+11lb	1000	+21.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	56%	60%	0/6	--	D	Well treated +12	WATCH ONLY
3	Trust HavanaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	32.0	6-7-6-8-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result6 btn 1.8L SP300/1 JockeyGrace McEntee OR51 FFR69 SS-- 24-07-2026 ThirskClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 10lb Result7 btn 1.8L SP33/1 JockeyJonny Peate OR52 FFR61 SS-- 27-06-2026 ChesterClass 4 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result6 btn 3L SP250/1 JockeySean D Bowen OR-- FFR45 SS-- 12-06-2026 ChesterClass 2 \| 6f \| Good To Soft Wgt8st 10lb Result8 btn 8L SP66/1 JockeyGina Mangan OR-- FFR46 SS-- 30-05-2026 ChesterClass 2 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result10 btn 0.8L SP80/1 JockeyGina Mangan OR-- FFR49 SS--	9st 2lb	6	OR 51	49	-2lb	1000	+8.9	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	49%	0/6	--	E	Near mark +1	WATCH ONLY
4	Trust In FarRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	8-10-6-7-11-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 9lb Result8 btn 5.5L SP300/1 JockeyCharlie Tucker OR38 FFR52 SS-- 30-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt8st 13lb Result10 btn 18L SP300/1 JockeySean D Bowen OR38 FFR41 SS-- 24-07-2026 ThirskClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result6 btn 8L SP200/1 JockeyJonny Peate OR38 FFR63 SS-- 12-06-2026 ChesterClass 2 \| 6f \| Good To Soft Wgt8st 10lb Result7 btn 0.8L SP400/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR-- FFR45 SS-- 30-05-2026 ChesterClass 4 \| 6f \| Good Wgt8st 13lb Result11 btn 0.5L SP250/1 JockeyGina Mangan OR-- FFR30 SS-- 22-05-2026 HaydockClass 3 \| 6f \| Good To Soft Wgt8st 11lb Result9 btn 27L SP80/1 JockeyBen Ffrench Davis OR-- FFR42 SS--	9st 2lb	4	OR 38	42	+4lb	1000	+3.9	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	53%	60%	0/6	--	E	Well treated +10	CAUTION PROFILE
5	HemustbeanangelRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	3-3-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 2.2L SP100/1 JockeyOwen Lewis OR-- FFR58 SS-- 25-07-2026 SalisburyClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 5.5L SP50/1 JockeyOwen Lewis OR-- FFR57 SS-- 29-06-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result9 btn 0.5L SP33/1 JockeyCallum Hutchinson OR-- FFR63 SS--	9st 7lb	5	OR --	63	--	300	-3.6	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	46%	47%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Arthur CarrotRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result2 btn 4.8L SP22/1 JockeyRay Dawson OR-- FFR71 SS--	9st 7lb	10	OR --	71	--	1000	-7.3	Rest developing	Same trip	Modest field	--	50%	54%	0/6	--	D	Developing	WATCH ONLY
7	Lion Of GodRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	7-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result7 btn 0.5L SP33/1 JockeyTom Marquand OR-- FFR44 SS-- 25-06-2026 Newmarket (July)Class 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result6 btn 1.5L SP33/1 JockeyHector Crouch OR-- FFR48 SS--	9st 7lb	8	OR --	48	--	100/1	-8.1	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	45%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Best YetRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	10-11 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result10 btn 0.5L SP100/1 JockeyCieren Fallon OR-- FFR55 SS-- 14-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 3 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result11 btn 3L SP40/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR-- FFR42 SS--	9st 2lb	1	OR --	42	--	230	-8.1	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	46%	51%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
9	Motion CarriedRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result9 btn 1L SP100/1 JockeySean Levey OR-- FFR44 SS--	9st 7lb	9	OR --	44	--	190	-8.3	Rest developing	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	50%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
10	AstraliteRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	5-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 1.2L SP7/1 JockeyLewis Edmunds OR-- FFR83 SS-- 25-07-2026 AscotClass 2 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 1L SP33/1 JockeyCieren Fallon OR-- FFR56 SS--	9st 7lb	7	OR --	56	--	100/1	-9.1	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	46%	47%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
11	NobelosRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result4 btn 1.5L SP12/1 JockeyHector Crouch OR-- FFR59 SS--	9st 7lb	3	OR --	59	--	66/1	-9.3	Rest developing	Same trip	Modest field	--	46%	49%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY

Main Context Fit Mithaaly

Mithaaly profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Fairy Well

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Mithaaly Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 45.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 45.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +11lb room

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form1-2-2

FFR87 / +5lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground2/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw11

Wgt9st 7lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Windsor Strong run 17-08-2026

2 Yarmouth Solid effort 28-07-2026

2 Windsor Solid effort 13-07-2026

Franked form Not franked yet

No strong named-rival evidence from recent races yet.

Proof rating0

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Status WATCH ONLY

Agreement0/6

FFR87

Speed--

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+5lb ahead of mark

FFR 87 pounds scale

Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskDistance evidence is thin

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score32.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI CLOW

Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +11lb versus today's OR

Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Class

Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs3/3

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandFast

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Fast 3 1W / 3P Peak rating --

All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Placement evidence 65% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 68%

Class fit 50%

Mark room 85%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

Conservative mark read gives +11lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest FFR read +11lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +11lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 82 | Latest FFR 87 | Best FFR 93 | Public mark read +11

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer George Boughey

Jockey Billy Loughnane

Age 2

Draw 11

OR 82

Avg OR 60.5

OR vs Field +21.5

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 22

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0

Variance Developing Consistency developing

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile2

DEIC

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
13-07-2026	Windsor	Good To Firm	2	1:12.78	72.8
17-08-2026	Windsor	Good To Firm	1	1:10.77	70.8

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 55% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 20 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP4/9F

OwnerShadwell Estate Company Ltd

Pedigree

Perfect Power × Perfect Muse (Oasis Dream)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Beaten favouriteMarket expected more last time

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.4L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Windsor	1	0	Neutral finish
28-07-2026	Yarmouth	2	0.5	Neutral finish
13-07-2026	Windsor	2	0.8	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

17-08-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 82

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Trip evidence building

Similar-trip runs2

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par1m 11.85s

Last win at trip-- | Windsor | 17-08-2026

Recent times1:12.78 | 1:10.77

Recent positions2 | 1

Winning contextOR 82 | weight 9-7

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Windsor \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	1	4/9F	82	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
28-07-2026	Yarmouth \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 3	2	8/11F	--	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
13-07-2026	Windsor \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	2	17/2	--	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Well treated

Latest FFR read +11lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 85.7 and winning TS par is around 66.9. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Fairy Well Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 42.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 42.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form2-4

FFR82 / +11lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 2lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

-- Windsor Steady run 17-08-2026

2 Leicester Solid effort 29-07-2026

4 Nottingham Competitive 02-07-2026

Race form proof Some franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating0

0winners since

0placers since

1evidence pts

07-02-2026 | Nottingham Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Bearly Blue (IRE), Chiwara (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Status WATCH ONLY

Agreement0/6

FFR82

Speed--

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR+11lb ahead of mark

FFR 82 pounds scale

Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskDistance evidence is thin

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score34.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI DLOW

Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR

Today's conditions match 56% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 52%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 42%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs3/3

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandFast

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Fast 3 0W / 1P Peak rating --

All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Placement evidence 60% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 44%

Class fit 50%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 62%

Recent evidence 58%

Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 71 | Latest FFR 82 | Best FFR 83 | Public mark read +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Jane Chapple-Hyam

Jockey Rossa Ryan

Age 2

Draw 2

OR 71

Avg OR 60.5

OR vs Field +10.5

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 42

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0

Variance Developing Consistency developing

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile3

DEID

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
02-07-2026	Nottingham	Good To Firm	4	1:14.37	74.4
29-07-2026	Leicester	Good To Firm	2	1:12.61	72.6
17-08-2026	Windsor	Good To Firm	PU	-	--

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 45% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 19 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP100/30

OwnerMr P. W. Harris

Pedigree

Dark Angel × Gypsy Spirit (Gregorian)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.9L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Windsor	--	--	Neutral finish
29-07-2026	Leicester	2	2.5	Neutral finish
02-07-2026	Nottingham	4	1.2	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

17-08-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 71

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs3

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par1m 11.85s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times1:14.37 | 1:12.61 | -

Recent positions4 | 2 | PU

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Windsor \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	--	100/30	71	--	--	--	--	GREY - no timing read
29-07-2026	Leicester \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	2	11/8	--	--	--	2.5	--	GREY - no timing read
02-07-2026	Nottingham \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 3	4	14/1	--	--	--	1.2	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Well treated

Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 85.7 and winning TS par is around 66.9. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Trust Havana Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 32.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 32.0 confidence

Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6-7-6-8-10

FFR49 / -2lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 2lb

Trust In Far Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why consider6 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8-10-6-7-11-9

FFR42 / +4lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 2lb

Hemustbeanangel Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3-3-9

FFR63 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 7lb

Arthur Carrot Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete

Form2

FFR71 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw10

Wgt9st 7lb

Lion Of God Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7-6

FFR48 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground2/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 7lb

Best Yet Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form10-11

FFR42 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 2lb

Motion Carried Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form9

FFR44 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw9

Wgt9st 7lb

Astralite Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5-5

FFR56 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground2/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 7lb

Nobelos Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4

FFR59 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 7lb

6:10 | Wolverhampton (AW)

6:10 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f

Class 5 | Standard | Cavani Sprint In Style Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Race Confidence 41 WATCH ONLY

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR68.510 rated runners | Top OR 75: Margaret's Pearl

Winning par1m 13.84s115 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupTAPETA: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-75 | Weather Mostly Cloudy

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Wondervision leads the contextual model at 31.0
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Winning-time par: 1m 13.84s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 10 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

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1	WondervisionRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	37.0	1-3-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 3lb Result1 SP4/1C JockeyGeorge Bass OR69 FFR90 SS-- 23-05-2026 GoodwoodClass 3 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 1.8L SP6/4F JockeyTom Marquand OR-- FFR72 SS-- 08-05-2026 AscotClass 2 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP9/4 JockeyTom Marquand OR-- FFR76 SS--	9st 3lb	2	OR 69	76	+7lb	2	20/1	+7.5	Layoff check	Same trip	Modest field	--	61%	67%	1/6	--	C	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
2	Sable IslandRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	33.5	5-5-6-7-3-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt8st 10lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP33/1 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR62 FFR78 SS85 22-07-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 2L SP11/2 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR65 FFR58 SS-- 08-07-2026 YarmouthClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 11lb Result6 btn 0.2L SP18/1 JockeyMason Paetel OR68 FFR73 SS-- 12-06-2026 YorkClass 2 \| 5f \| Good Wgt8st 11lb Result7 btn 2L SP25/1 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR-- FFR59 SS-- 26-05-2026 BathClass 5 \| 5.5f \| Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 1.5L SP7/2 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR-- FFR48 SS-- 29-04-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 4 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.2L SP33/1 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR-- FFR65 SS--	8st 10lb	8	OR 62	65	+3lb	0	40/1	+7.8	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	58%	61%	2/6	85	E	Well treated +9	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Sydney GraceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	29.0	2-1-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP11/2 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR73 FFR66 SS-- 09-06-2026 CarlisleClass 3 \| 5f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 2lb Result1 SP5/1 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR-- FFR96 SS-- 20-05-2026 YarmouthClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result6 btn 0.3L SP16/1 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR-- FFR73 SS--	9st 7lb	6	OR 73	73	+0lb	0	7.4	+6.5	Layoff check	Same trip	Modest field	--	56%	61%	0/6	--	D	Workable +6	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Margaret's PearlRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	27.2	8-4-5-10-1-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result8 btn 0.5L SP33/1 JockeyClifford Lee OR75 FFR75 SS87 04-07-2026 Deauville (FR)-- \| 7f \| Good To Soft Wgt8st 10lb Result4 btn 6.5L SP25/1 JockeyClifford Lee OR-- FFR80 SS94 25-06-2026 Newmarket (July)Class 1 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP100/1 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR69 FFR76 SS-- 15-05-2026 YorkClass 1 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 0lb Result10 btn 22L SP33/1 JockeyJason Hart OR-- FFR104 SS-- 21-04-2026 PontefractClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result1 SP11/2 JockeyJason Hart OR-- FFR44 SS-- 06-04-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.3L SP20/1 JockeyGeorge Wood OR-- FFR59 SS--	9st 9lb	10	OR 75	59	-16lb	14	48	+2.8	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	51%	52%	1/6	94	D	Stiff -13	CAUTION PROFILE
5	LolaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	10.0	10-4-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt8st 10lb Result10 btn 3.2L SP80/1 JockeyPierre-Louis Jamin OR62 FFR56 SS-- 06-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 1L SP12/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR-- FFR63 SS-- 01-06-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 2L SP14/1 JockeyAlec Voikhansky OR-- FFR46 SS--	8st 10lb	9	OR 62	46	-16lb	11	1000	+4.3	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	44%	43%	1/6	--	E	Stiff -13	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Nascent StarRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.0	9-2-16-4-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 1lb Result9 btn 0.2L SP4/1C JockeyRobert Havlin OR67 FFR66 SS-- 05-08-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard / Slow Wgt9st 8lb Result2 btn 0.8L SP7/2 JockeyRobert Havlin OR65 FFR64 SS-- 18-07-2026 NewburyClass 2 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 12lb Result16 btn 0.2L SP100/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR65 FFR65 SS-- 27-06-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result4 btn 1L SP9/2 JockeyRoss Coakley OR-- FFR62 SS-- 11-06-2026 NottinghamClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Soft Wgt8st 13lb Result4 btn 0.3L SP11/4J JockeyMason Paetel OR-- FFR56 SS--	9st 1lb	3	OR 67	56	-11lb	0	33/1	+1.3	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	47%	49%	0/6	--	D	Stiff -8	CAUTION PROFILE
7	HorndeanRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	6-4-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result6 btn 0.2L SP4/1C JockeyDaniel Tudhope OR68 FFR68 SS-- 15-07-2026 YarmouthClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result4 btn 2.8L SP7/2 JockeyPat Cosgrave OR-- FFR69 SS-- 22-06-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result3 btn 2.2L SP20/1 JockeyPat Cosgrave OR-- FFR66 SS--	9st 2lb	5	OR 68	66	-2lb	0	33/1	-6.2	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	49%	46%	0/6	--	D	Near mark +1	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Royal TitanRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	3-5-7-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 1lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP13/2 JockeyMarco Ghiani OR67 FFR54 SS-- 25-07-2026 ChesterClass 3 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP33/1 JockeyRay Dawson OR-- FFR76 SS-- 14-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 3 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result7 btn 1L SP300/1 JockeyJack Gilligan OR-- FFR76 SS-- 06-07-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 3 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result9 btn 0.1L SP18/1 JockeyHector Crouch OR-- FFR70 SS--	9st 1lb	4	OR 67	70	+3lb	0	18/1	-7.2	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	52%	49%	0/6	--	E	Well treated +9	CAUTION PROFILE
9	Green TitanRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	4-6-2-11 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 3lb Result4 btn 0.1L SP11/2 JockeyJack Callan OR69 FFR51 SS-- 25-06-2026 LeicesterClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result6 btn 0.2L SP11/10F JockeyBilly Loughnane OR-- FFR68 SS-- 09-06-2026 SalisburyClass 5 \| 6f \| Soft Wgt9st 4lb Result2 btn 2L SP12/1 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR-- FFR50 SS-- 21-05-2026 ChepstowClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 7lb Result11 btn 2.8L SP100/30F JockeyBilly Loughnane OR-- FFR69 SS--	9st 3lb	1	OR 69	69	+0lb	0	7.6	-7.5	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	46%	40%	0/6	--	E	Near mark +0	CAUTION PROFILE
10	MenhaalRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	7-4-5-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result7 btn 1.8L SP14/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR73 FFR65 SS-- 06-08-2026 SandownClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result4 btn 2.5L SP11/2 JockeyDavid Probert OR-- FFR71 SS-- 03-06-2026 NottinghamClass 4 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 0.3L SP6/5F JockeySaffie Osborne OR-- FFR59 SS-- 15-05-2026 NewburyClass 4 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result7 btn 1.2L SP10/11F JockeyBilly Loughnane OR-- FFR61 SS--	9st 7lb	7	OR 73	61	-12lb	1	50	-9.2	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	47%	43%	0/6	--	D	Stiff -9	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Wondervision

Wondervision profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Sable Island

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Wondervision Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 37.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 37.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkRecent evidence is mixed

Form1-3-3

FFR76 / +7lb

Speed--

Franked2

Ground1/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 3lb

Sable Island Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 33.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 33.5 confidence

Why considerClass benchmark supports the placement

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5-5-6-7-3-3

FFR65 / +3lb

Speed85

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt8st 10lb

Sydney Grace Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 29.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 29.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form2-1-6

FFR73 / +0lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 7lb

Margaret's Pearl Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 27.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 27.2 confidence

Why considerClass benchmark supports the placement

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form8-4-5-10-1-4

FFR59 / -16lb

Speed94

Franked14

Ground1/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw10

Wgt9st 9lb

Lola Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 10.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 10.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form10-4-3

FFR46 / -16lb

Speed--

Franked11

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw9

Wgt8st 10lb

Nascent Star Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 8.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 8.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form9-2-16-4-4

FFR56 / -11lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground2/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 1lb

Horndean Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form6-4-3

FFR66 / -2lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 2lb

Royal Titan Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +9lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3-5-7-9

FFR70 / +3lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 1lb

Green Titan Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-6-2-11

FFR69 / +0lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 3lb

Menhaal Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form7-4-5-7

FFR61 / -12lb

Speed--

Franked1

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 7lb

6:25 | Windsor

6:25 | Windsor | 5f

Class 4 | Good To Firm | Bet £20 Get £40 In Free Bets At matchbook.com Nursery Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 25 WATCH ONLY

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR80.45 rated runners | Top OR 86: Sky Secret

Winning par58.99s13 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupGOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick: 7)

Stalls 5f, 6f, 1m2f & 1m3f - Centre; 1m - Inside | Rail No rail note | Band 0-85 | Weather Mostly Cloudy

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Sky Secret leads the contextual model at 42.3
Decision type: Context over ratings - Ratings caution
Winning-time par: 58.99s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 5 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

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1	Sky SecretRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleContext over ratings	44.2	5-12-5-1-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 10lb Result5 btn 0.2L SP13/8F JockeyRossa Ryan OR86 FFR89 SS98 31-07-2026 GoodwoodClass 2 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result12 btn 0.5L SP12/1 JockeyJack Nicholls OR87 FFR76 SS-- 18-07-2026 NewburyClass 2 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result5 btn 1.5L SP9/1 JockeyP J McDonald OR85 FFR94 SS-- 09-05-2026 LeicesterClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result1 SP6/5F JockeyJack Nicholls OR-- FFR80 SS-- 25-04-2026 LeicesterClass 2 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result4 btn 1.2L SP15/8F JockeyRob Hornby OR-- FFR78 SS--	9st 10lb	1	OR 86	78	-8lb	0	6/1	+1.1	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	55%	60%	2/6	98	C	Stiff -5	CAUTION PROFILE
2	Magic EffortRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	29.2	2-21-4-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result2 btn 0.8L SP12/1 JockeyTom Marquand OR81 FFR96 SS99 17-06-2026 AscotClass 1 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result21 btn 2.2L SP125/1 JockeyBenoit De La Sayette OR-- FFR67 SS-- 22-05-2026 GoodwoodClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result4 btn 1.2L SP7/2 JockeyMason Paetel OR-- FFR72 SS-- 15-04-2026 NewmarketClass 2 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result1 SP20/1 JockeyBenoit De La Sayette OR-- FFR82 SS--	9st 5lb	3	OR 81	82	+1lb	0	14.5	+3.8	Layoff check	Same trip	Solid field	--	61%	66%	1/6	99	C	Workable +7	PRICE DEPENDENT
3	EnvisionRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	28.0	4-8-22-1-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result4 btn 0.3L SP5/2 JockeyCieren Fallon OR80 FFR69 SS-- 29-07-2026 GoodwoodClass 2 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result8 btn 0.3L SP40/1 JockeyCieren Fallon OR80 FFR76 SS-- 17-06-2026 AscotClass 1 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result22 btn 0.5L SP150/1 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR-- FFR72 SS-- 01-06-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result1 SP2/1 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR-- FFR85 SS-- 16-05-2026 ThirskClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 2.8L SP5/1 JockeyHarry Davies OR-- FFR78 SS--	9st 4lb	5	OR 80	78	-2lb	13	7/2	-9	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	54%	61%	0/6	--	B	Near mark +1	WATCH ONLY
4	Black Velvet BoyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleTight decision	14.0	1-1-3-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result1 SP6/1 JockeyJason Hart OR77 FFR42 SS-- 28-07-2026 BeverleyClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result1 SP7/2 JockeyJason Hart OR-- FFR58 SS-- 20-07-2026 BeverleyClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP28/1 JockeyJames Sullivan OR-- FFR77 SS-- 02-05-2026 ThirskClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result7 btn 0.3L SP16/1 JockeyBen Robinson OR-- FFR86 SS--	9st 1lb	2	OR 77	86	+9lb	18	8.6	+4.5	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	60%	64%	0/6	--	C	Well treated +9	PRICE DEPENDENT
5	Paper ViewRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	3-9-1-1-5-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP4/1 JockeySean Levey OR78 FFR91 SS97 31-07-2026 GoodwoodClass 2 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result9 btn 0.8L SP14/1 JockeyJoe Leavy OR73 FFR60 SS-- 27-07-2026 RiponClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result1 SP5/2 JockeyJoe Leavy OR73 FFR77 SS-- 18-07-2026 NottinghamClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result1 SP7/2 JockeyDougie Costello OR69 FFR77 SS-- 22-05-2026 BathClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 2.5L SP8/1 JockeyJoe Leavy OR-- FFR87 SS-- 07-05-2026 ChesterClass 2 \| 5.5f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 1.2L SP11/2 JockeySean Levey OR-- FFR79 SS--	9st 2lb	6	OR 78	79	+1lb	32	5/1	-0.5	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	52%	53%	0/6	97	D	Workable +7	PRICE DEPENDENT

Main Context Fit Sky Secret

Sky Secret profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 2/6. Draw data adds a small confidence boost. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Magic Effort

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Sky Secret Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 44.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Context over ratings 44.2 confidence

Why considerClass benchmark supports the placement

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form5-12-5-1-4

FFR78 / -8lb

Speed98

Franked0

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 10lb

Magic Effort Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 29.2

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 29.2 confidence

Why considerClass benchmark supports the placement

Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Form2-21-4-1

FFR82 / +1lb

Speed99

Franked0

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 5lb

Envision Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 28.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 28.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form4-8-22-1-4

FFR78 / -2lb

Speed--

Franked13

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 4lb

Black Velvet Boy Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 14.0

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Tight decision 14.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +9lb room

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form1-1-3-7

FFR86 / +9lb

Speed--

Franked18

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 1lb

Paper View Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Form3-9-1-1-5-5

FFR79 / +1lb

Speed97

Franked32

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 2lb

6:40 | Wolverhampton (AW)

6:40 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f

Class 5 | Standard | Cavani Sprint In Style Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Race Confidence 61 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR67.58 rated runners | Top OR 73: Angel Ang

Winning par1m 13.84s115 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupTAPETA: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-75 | Weather Mostly Cloudy

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Seed Ya Later leads the contextual model at 39.2
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Winning-time par: 1m 13.84s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 8 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

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1	Seed Ya LaterRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	36.2	4-3-7-6-3-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 3lb Result4 btn 2.8L SP11/2 JockeyGeorge Bass OR67 FFR89 SS97 01-08-2026 LingfieldClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 10lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP13/2 JockeyRose Dawes OR67 FFR63 SS92 18-07-2026 NewburyClass 2 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 4lb Result7 btn 3.2L SP100/1 JockeyRose Dawes OR67 FFR63 SS-- 02-07-2026 NottinghamClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 12lb Result6 btn 0.3L SP11/2 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR69 FFR80 SS-- 12-05-2026 BathClass 5 \| 5f \| Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result3 btn 1L SP15/8F JockeyEdward Greatrex OR-- FFR69 SS-- 26-04-2026 MusselburghClass 3 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result1 SP13/8F JockeyEdward Greatrex OR-- FFR52 SS--	9st 3lb	6	OR 67	52	-15lb	36	1000	+11	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	51%	2/6	92	E	Stiff -12	CAUTION PROFILE
2	Cailin AineRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	33.2	8-4-1-4-4-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 6lb Result8 btn 1.2L SP10/1 JockeySean Kirrane OR70 FFR77 SS93 12-06-2026 YorkClass 2 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 0lb Result4 btn 1.2L SP6/1 JockeyDavid Allan OR-- FFR88 SS-- 21-05-2026 MusselburghClass 2 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result1 SPEvensF JockeyConnor Beasley OR-- FFR71 SS-- 16-05-2026 ThirskClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt8st 13lb Result4 btn 1L SP13/8F JockeyDavid Allan OR-- FFR106 SS-- 06-05-2026 ChesterClass 2 \| 5f \| Good Wgt8st 13lb Result4 btn 1.8L SP50/1 JockeyDavid Allan OR-- FFR87 SS-- 20-04-2026 RedcarClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.1L SP18/1 JockeyDavid Allan OR-- FFR34 SS--	9st 6lb	1	OR 70	34	-36lb	2	1000	+16.8	Layoff check	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	46%	1/6	93	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Invincible IsaacRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	17.0	3-1-6-5-9-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 3lb Result3 btn 2.8L SP3/1J JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR67 FFR76 SS82 05-08-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard / Slow Wgt9st 5lb Result1 SP9/1 JockeyRossa Ryan OR62 FFR65 SS93 02-07-2026 NottinghamClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 10lb Result6 btn 0.5L SP9/1 JockeyJack Callan OR64 FFR83 SS83 05-06-2026 BathClass 2 \| 5.5f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP50/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR-- FFR51 SS-- 30-04-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result9 btn 3.5L SP40/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR-- FFR66 SS-- 08-04-2026 NottinghamClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result4 btn 1L SP8/1 JockeyKieran ONeill OR-- FFR60 SS--	9st 3lb	2	OR 67	60	-7lb	8	66/1	+4.5	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	49%	57%	0/6	83	C	Stiff -4	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Angel AngRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	14.0	5-4-10-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 1.2L SP16/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR73 FFR86 SS-- 27-07-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result4 btn 1.2L SP33/1 JockeyRyan Kavanagh OR-- FFR37 SS-- 01-07-2026 BathClass 5 \| 5.5f \| Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result10 btn 3L SP9/4 JockeyPat Cosgrave OR-- FFR65 SS-- 16-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 4lb Result1 SP33/1 JockeyPat Cosgrave OR-- FFR49 SS--	9st 9lb	8	OR 73	49	-24lb	2	200	-2.5	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	49%	48%	0/6	--	C	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Trust YourselfRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	7.0	1-6-11-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt8st 11lb Result1 SP4/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR61 FFR54 SS-- 27-06-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result6 btn 0.1L SP50/1 JockeyJack Mitchell OR-- FFR41 SS-- 03-06-2026 NottinghamClass 4 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result11 btn 1.5L SP22/1 JockeyClifford Lee OR-- FFR58 SS-- 09-05-2026 AscotClass 3 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result10 btn 0.5L SP50/1 JockeyJames Doyle OR-- FFR75 SS--	8st 11lb	9	OR 61	75	+14lb	2	5.2	-7.2	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	59%	59%	0/6	--	C	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Rex RegumRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	7.0	2-3-8-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 5lb Result2 btn 1.8L SP3/1J JockeyClifford Lee OR69 FFR51 SS-- 27-07-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 11lb Result3 btn 0.8L SP50/1 JockeyMolly Keegan-Price OR-- FFR62 SS-- 13-07-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result8 btn 0.3L SP6/1 JockeyJack Mitchell OR-- FFR68 SS-- 23-05-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result9 btn 0.8L SP5/2F JockeyKaiya Fraser OR-- FFR69 SS--	9st 5lb	5	OR 69	69	+0lb	0	38	-8	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	49%	45%	0/6	--	D	Near mark +0	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Unbeatable FameRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	1.0	7-3-6-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 1lb Result7 btn 8L SP33/1 JockeyCam Hardie OR65 FFR34 SS-- 08-08-2026 AyrClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result3 btn 2.5L SP28/1 JockeyJack Garritty OR-- FFR53 SS-- 01-08-2026 ThirskClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result6 btn 2.5L SP40/1 JockeyOisin McSweeney OR-- FFR62 SS-- 20-07-2026 BeverleyClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result7 btn 2.5L SP33/1 JockeyCam Hardie OR-- FFR34 SS--	9st 1lb	4	OR 65	34	-31lb	11	1000	-5	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	44%	35%	0/6	--	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Greek StreetRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	6-6-2-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 4lb Result6 btn 0.3L SP17/2 JockeyKaiya Fraser OR68 FFR58 SS80 23-05-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result6 btn 0.3L SP4/1 JockeyKaiya Fraser OR-- FFR75 SS89 30-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 3L SP33/1 JockeyKaiya Fraser OR-- FFR53 SS-- 08-04-2026 NottinghamClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result5 btn 13L SP5/1 JockeyGeorge Wood OR-- FFR47 SS--	9st 4lb	3	OR 68	47	-21lb	0	1000	-9.7	Layoff check	Same trip	Modest field	--	45%	34%	0/6	89	D	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Seed Ya Later

Seed Ya Later profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Cailin Aine

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Seed Ya Later Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 36.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Best of a weak race 36.2 confidence

Why considerClass benchmark supports the placement

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-3-7-6-3-1

FFR52 / -15lb

Speed92

Franked36

Ground1/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 3lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

4 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 17-08-2026

3 Lingfield Finished well 01-08-2026

7 Newbury Steady run 18-07-2026

6 Nottingham Competitive 02-07-2026

3 Bath Solid effort 12-05-2026

1 Musselburgh Strong run 26-04-2026

Race form proof Positive franked form

Some form support

Proof rating36

2winners since

3placers since

6evidence pts

07-02-2026 | Nottingham Finished 6

Beat named rivals

Wait Geordie (GB)

Race produced winner

Undercover Affair (IRE), Wait Geordie (GB)

Later placers

Havana Gift (GB) (06-06-2026), Holi Scarlett (IRE) (06-05-2026)

08-01-2026 | Lingfield Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Il Capo (IRE), Knock Three Times (IRE), Miss Moneypit (GB)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR52

Speed92

ConditionsCaution

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-15lb below mark

FFR 52 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

92 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score39.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI ELOW

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -15lb | peak +22lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb

Today's conditions match 48% Conditions ask questions

Trip / ground 38%

Class 65%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Class Question Handicap

Ground evidence All-weather Has experience, but limited strong evidence

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandGood

Read Has experience, but limited strong evidence Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 2 1W / 2P Peak rating 76

Fast 4 0W / 2P Peak rating --

All-weather 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Placement evidence 51% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 24%

Class fit 80%

Mark room 16%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 68%

Class benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueTrip evidence still asks questionsCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -15lb | peak +22lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -15lb | peak +22lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 67 | Latest FFR 52 | Best FFR 89 | Public mark read -12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Jack Channon

Jockey George Bass

Age 2

Draw 6

OR 67

Avg OR 67.5

OR vs Field -0.5

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 213673

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge -0.8

Variance Developing Consistency developing

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Below requirement -3.3 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile2

DEIE

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
01-08-2026	Lingfield	Good To Firm	3	1:11.35	71.3
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	4	1:16.38	76.4

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 41% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 16 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: h

Ground timing match 1/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearhDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP11/2

OwnerWalsh Kelly Quesnel Partner

Pedigree

Bungle Inthejungle × Mulberry Seed (Belardo)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.4L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	4	2.8	Neutral finish
01-08-2026	Lingfield	3	1.2	Fast finish
18-07-2026	Newbury	7	3.2	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 1 earlier run was unrated.

26-04-2026 | Musselburgh

Rating 71 OR Unrated

02-07-2026 | Nottingham

Rating -- OR 69

18-07-2026 | Newbury

Rating -- OR 67

01-08-2026 | Lingfield

Rating -- OR 67

17-08-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 67

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Trip evidence building

Similar-trip runs2

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par1m 13.84s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times1:11.35 | 1:16.38

Recent positions3 | 4

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	4	11/2	67	--	--	2.8	--	GREY - no timing read
01-08-2026	Lingfield \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	3	13/2	67	--	--	1.2	--	GREY - no timing read
18-07-2026	Newbury \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 2	7	100/1	67	--	--	3.2	--	GREY - no timing read
02-07-2026	Nottingham \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	6	11/2	69	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
12-05-2026	Bath \| 5f \| Firm \| Class 5	3	15/8F	--	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
26-04-2026	Musselburgh \| 5f \| Good \| Class 3	1	13/8F	--	71	37	0	1:00.99	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -15lb | peak +22lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 78.9 and winning TS par is around 53.4. Runner versus par: rating edge +6.1. Benchmark fit: 3.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Cailin Aine Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 33.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 33.2 confidence

Why considerClass benchmark supports the placement

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8-4-1-4-4-3

FFR34 / -36lb

Speed93

Franked2

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 6lb

Invincible Isaac Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 17.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 17.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-1-6-5-9-4

FFR60 / -7lb

Speed83

Franked8

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 3lb

Angel Ang Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 14.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 14.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form5-4-10-1

FFR49 / -24lb

Speed--

Franked2

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 9lb

Trust Yourself Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 7.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 7.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form1-6-11-10

FFR75 / +14lb

Speed--

Franked2

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw9

Wgt8st 11lb

Rex Regum Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 7.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 7.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-3-8-9

FFR69 / +0lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 5lb

Unbeatable Fame Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 1.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 1.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7-3-6-7

FFR34 / -31lb

Speed--

Franked11

Ground1/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 1lb

Greek Street Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form6-6-2-5

FFR47 / -21lb

Speed89

Franked0

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 4lb

6:55 | Windsor

6:55 | Windsor | 6f

Class 4 | Good To Firm | #Matchbook Loves Racing Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 50 WATCH ONLY

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR79.68 rated runners | Top OR 87: Ray Mon Dough

Winning par1m 11.85s22 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupGOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick: 7)

Stalls 5f, 6f, 1m2f & 1m3f - Centre; 1m - Inside | Rail No rail note | Band 0-85 | Weather Mostly Cloudy

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Under The Twilight leads the contextual model at 49.8
Decision type: Shortlist profile - Worth a deeper look
Winning-time par: 1m 11.85s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 8 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

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1	Under The TwilightRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleShortlist profile	57.0	1-2-1-4-4-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result1 SP7/2 JockeyHarry Davies OR80 FFR81 SS96 29-07-2026 GoodwoodClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 10lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP13/2 JockeyHarry Davies OR78 FFR86 SS82 13-07-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result1 SP6/1 JockeyHarry Davies OR73 FFR54 SS100 13-06-2026 LeicesterClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 11lb Result4 btn 3L SP3/1 JockeyLiam Wright OR75 FFR87 SS99 11-05-2026 WindsorClass 3 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 10lb Result4 btn 0.3L SP4/1 JockeyMarco Ghiani OR77 FFR84 SS96 25-04-2026 LeicesterClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result2 btn 3.5L SP100/30 JockeyRossa Ryan OR77 FFR87 SS97	9st 7lb	1	OR 80	87	+7lb	60	15/2	+10.9	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	64%	74%	3/6	97	A+	Workable +7	PRICE DEPENDENT
2	BuccabayRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	42.5	5-3-7-3-2-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP10/1 JockeyHarry Vigors OR79 FFR84 SS101 20-07-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 0lb Result3 btn 0.8L SP7/1 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR80 FFR82 SS105 20-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 1.5L SP10/1 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR81 FFR87 SS99 04-03-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result3 btn 1.5L SP5/6F JockeyBilly Loughnane OR82 FFR81 SS96 14-01-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.5L SP6/5F JockeyEdward Greatrex OR81 FFR79 SS106 01-01-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.5L SP4/1 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR81 FFR78 SS107	9st 6lb	6	OR 79	78	-1lb	42	14.5	-7.1	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	57%	63%	1/6	107	B	Near mark +2	WATCH ONLY
3	Amazonian DreamRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	35.8	4-7-1-2-2-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result4 btn 0.2L SP12/1 JockeyLewis Edmunds OR76 FFR76 SS97 27-07-2026 WindsorClass 3 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result7 btn 0.2L SP100/30F JockeyOisin Murphy OR73 FFR71 SS96 20-07-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result1 SP7/4F JockeyOisin Murphy OR72 FFR80 SS98 13-07-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result2 btn 1.5L SP7/2J JockeyOisin Murphy OR72 FFR87 SS94 29-06-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 13lb Result2 btn 1.5L SP5/1 JockeyOisin Murphy OR72 FFR82 SS95 15-06-2026 WindsorClass 3 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 7lb Result7 btn 1L SP33/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR74 FFR80 SS102	9st 3lb	8	OR 76	80	+4lb	26	70	+6.9	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	63%	68%	1/6	102	B	Well treated +10	PRICE DEPENDENT
4	WaistcoatRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	33.8	6-1-10-9-1-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result6 btn 1L SP10/1 JockeyJack Mitchell OR80 FFR85 SS100 23-07-2026 NewburyClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 2lb Result1 SP5/1 JockeyJack Mitchell OR74 FFR85 SS104 09-05-2026 AscotClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result10 btn 0.2L SP12/1 JockeyJack Mitchell OR75 FFR72 SS95 21-01-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result9 btn 1.2L SP5/1 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR74 FFR63 SS101 11-01-2026 Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP11/2 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR69 FFR78 SS98 10-12-2025 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.3L SP5/1 JockeyJack Mitchell OR67 FFR76 SS99	9st 7lb	3	OR 80	76	-4lb	61	80	-11.1	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	55%	57%	2/6	99	A	Near mark -1	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Ray Mon DoughRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	32.2	8-1-6-2-6-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 3lb Result8 btn 2.8L SP6/4F JockeyHector Crouch OR87 FFR86 SS105 09-08-2026 LeicesterClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 11lb Result1 SP13/8 JockeyHector Crouch OR87 FFR75 SS95 25-07-2026 ChesterClass 3 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result6 btn 0.5L SP10/1 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR90 FFR78 SS-- 18-05-2026 LingfieldClass 4 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 11lb Result2 btn 2.8L SP5/1 JockeyHector Crouch OR90 FFR74 SS-- 30-04-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result6 btn 2.5L SP5/4F JockeyHector Crouch OR-- FFR87 SS-- 04-11-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP2/1 JockeyKieran Shoemark OR-- FFR68 SS--	10st 3lb	7	OR 87	68	-19lb	20	1000	+12.9	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	60%	69%	2/6	95	A	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Tenbob TommyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	27.8	2-3-1-1-8-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result2 btn 0.2L SP8/1 JockeyCharles Bishop OR77 FFR75 SS103 07-08-2026 BrightonClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 12lb Result3 btn 0.2L SP11/1 JockeyCharles Bishop OR77 FFR73 SS103 13-04-2026 LeicesterClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result1 SP7/2 JockeyCharles Bishop OR74 FFR87 SS98 12-01-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP2/1J JockeyCharles Bishop OR69 FFR86 SS93 22-12-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result8 btn 0.5L SP7/2F JockeyCharles Bishop OR70 FFR78 SS99 10-12-2025 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.1L SP13/8F JockeyCharles Bishop OR71 FFR83 SS100	9st 4lb	2	OR 77	83	+6lb	14	11.5	+0.9	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	56%	62%	1/6	100	C	Well treated +10	CAUTION PROFILE
7	LequintoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	25.8	3-5-2-1-3-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result3 btn 0.2L SP17/2 JockeyRossa Ryan OR77 FFR67 SS100 07-08-2026 BrightonClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 12lb Result5 btn 0.3L SP14/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR77 FFR74 SS95 20-07-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 11lb Result2 btn 1.2L SP3/1 JockeyMarco Ghiani OR77 FFR78 SS102 29-06-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 13lb Result1 SP4/1 JockeyMarco Ghiani OR72 FFR82 SS99 12-06-2026 SandownClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result3 btn 0.8L SP4/1 JockeyRossa Ryan OR72 FFR73 SS91 05-06-2026 BathClass 5 \| 5.5f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP5/1 JockeyMatthew Lloyd Slater OR72 FFR81 SS94	9st 4lb	4	OR 77	81	+4lb	1	22/1	-0.6	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	59%	64%	2/6	94	A	Workable +5	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Righthere RightnowRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	14.8	7-11-3-13-10-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result7 btn 0.1L SP9/1 JockeyGeorge Wood OR81 FFR81 SS96 11-07-2026 NewmarketClass 3 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result11 btn 8.5L SP17/2 JockeySaffie Osborne OR81 FFR69 SS100 15-06-2026 WindsorClass 3 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP7/2J JockeySaffie Osborne OR81 FFR68 SS101 06-03-2026 Meydan-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt-- Result13 btn 1L SP17/2 JockeyGeorge Wood OR83 FFR90 SS101 06-02-2026 Meydan-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result10 btn 1.5L SP13/2 JockeySaffie Osborne OR85 FFR52 SS91 16-01-2026 Meydan-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result4 btn 1.2L SP14/1 JockeySaffie Osborne OR86 FFR74 SS90	9st 8lb	5	OR 81	74	-7lb	0	110	-13.1	Freshened up	Same trip	Solid field	--	47%	55%	1/6	90	D	Stiff -4	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Under The Twilight

Under The Twilight profiles as a unclear with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A+. Model alignment is 3/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Buccabay

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Under The Twilight Distance specialist

Model agreement 3/6

Mixed agreement

Decision Confidence 57.0

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.

Shortlist profile 57.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A+)

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form1-2-1-4-4-2

FFR87 / +7lb

Speed97

Franked60

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 7lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Windsor Strong run 17-08-2026

2 Goodwood Solid effort 29-07-2026

1 Windsor Strong run 13-07-2026

4 Leicester Competitive 13-06-2026

4 Windsor Competitive 11-05-2026

2 Leicester Troubled run 25-04-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating60

7winners since

2placers since

14evidence pts

09-12-2025 | Salisbury Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Monsieur Kodi (IRE), Wodao (FR), Zouky (GB)

Race produced winner

Monsieur Kodi (IRE)

06-12-2025 | Newbury Finished 7

Beat named rivals

Abbey Heights (GB), Cajetan (GB), Coup De Force (GB)

Race produced winner

Many A Star (IRE), Mesaafi (GB)

Later placers

Cajetan (GB) (02-03-2026)

11-03-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 7

Beat named rivals

Bear Force One (GB), Jax Edge (GB), Mythical Phoenix (IRE)

Race produced winner

Jax Edge (GB), Papa Cocktail (IRE)

Later placers

Top Juggler (IRE) (07-12-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement3/6

FFR87

Speed97

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+7lb ahead of mark

FFR 87 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

97 Par 100

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDraw data is a negative nudge

Decision typeShortlist profileThere is useful evidence, but the horse still needs normal price, risk and race checks.

Model score49.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI A+HIGH

Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +7lb versus today's OR

Today's conditions match 64% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 96%

Class 55%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 42%

Handicap 76%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs5/6

Best similar rating76

Best ground bandFast

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 8 2W / 2P Peak rating 95

Good 9 0W / 3P Peak rating 98

Fast 13 4W / 8P Peak rating 91

All-weather 6 0W / 0P Peak rating 81

Placement evidence 74% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 60%

Mark room 73%

Stable setup 62%

Recent evidence 76%

Proven trip profile (A+)27 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest FFR read +7lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +7lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 80 | Latest FFR 87 | Best FFR 87 | Public mark read +7

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Michael Blake

Jockey Harry Davies

Age 8

Draw 1

OR 80

Avg OR 79.6

OR vs Field +0.4

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 624412

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.0

Variance Reliable 6.2% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 0.4 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile27

DEIA+

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
13-07-2026	Windsor	Good To Firm	1	1:11.34	71.3
29-07-2026	Goodwood	Good To Firm	2	1:10.53	70.5
17-08-2026	Windsor	Good To Firm	1	1:10.87	70.9

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 47% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 19 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP7/2

OwnerRoger Gould

Pedigree

Twilight Son × Rococoa (Zebedee)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.1L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Windsor	1	0	Neutral finish
29-07-2026	Goodwood	2	0.3	Neutral finish
13-07-2026	Windsor	1	0	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 1 runs with an official OR.

25-04-2026 | Leicester

Rating 76 OR 77

11-05-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 77

13-06-2026 | Leicester

Rating -- OR 75

13-07-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 73

29-07-2026 | Goodwood

Rating -- OR 78

17-08-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 80

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs27

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 11.85s

Last win at trip-- | Windsor | 17-08-2026

Recent times1:11.34 | 1:10.53 | 1:10.87

Recent positions1 | 2 | 1

Winning contextOR 80 | weight 9-7

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Windsor \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	1	7/2	80	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
29-07-2026	Goodwood \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	2	13/2	78	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
13-07-2026	Windsor \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	1	6/1	73	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
13-06-2026	Leicester \| 6f \| Good \| Class 5	4	3/1	75	--	--	3	--	GREY - no timing read
11-05-2026	Windsor \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 3	4	4/1	77	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
25-04-2026	Leicester \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	2	100/30	77	76	49	3.5	1:11.62	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Workable mark

Latest FFR read +7lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 85.7 and winning TS par is around 66.9. Runner versus par: rating edge +2.3. Benchmark fit: 1.

Model agreement 3/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Buccabay Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 42.5

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 42.5 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkRecent evidence is mixed

Form5-3-7-3-2-5

FFR78 / -1lb

Speed107

Franked42

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 6lb

Amazonian Dream Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 35.8

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Best of a weak race 35.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form4-7-1-2-2-7

FFR80 / +4lb

Speed102

Franked26

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 3lb

Waistcoat Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 33.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Watch only 33.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form6-1-10-9-1-2

FFR76 / -4lb

Speed99

Franked61

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 7lb

Ray Mon Dough Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 32.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Best of a weak race 32.2 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form8-1-6-2-6-1

FFR68 / -19lb

Speed95

Franked20

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt10st 3lb

Tenbob Tommy Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 27.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 27.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (C)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-3-1-1-8-9

FFR83 / +6lb

Speed100

Franked14

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 4lb

Lequinto Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 25.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 25.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-5-2-1-3-3

FFR81 / +4lb

Speed94

Franked1

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 4lb

Righthere Rightnow Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 14.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Watch only 14.8 confidence

Why consider10 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form7-11-3-13-10-4

FFR74 / -7lb

Speed90

Franked0

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 8lb

7:10 | Wolverhampton (AW)

7:10 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f

Class 5 | Standard | Follow @attheraces On X Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 66 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR66.410 rated runners | Top OR 69: Keldeo

Winning par1m 13.84s115 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupTAPETA: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-70 | Weather Mostly Cloudy

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Keldeo leads the contextual model at 34.2
Decision type: Watch only - Needs more proof
Winning-time par: 1m 13.84s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 10 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	KeldeoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	54.8	4-9-2-4-4-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 0.3L SP16/1 JockeyHarry Russell OR69 FFR76 SS88 25-07-2026 ChesterClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt10st 0lb Result9 btn 0.2L SP7/2F JockeyHarry Russell OR70 FFR52 SS107 16-06-2026 BeverleyClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result2 btn 1.5L SP6/1 JockeyHarry Russell OR70 FFR54 SS91 03-06-2026 RiponClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 5lb Result4 btn 0.1L SP10/1 JockeyHarry Russell OR71 FFR70 SS99 18-05-2026 CarlisleClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result4 btn 5.5L SP8/1 JockeyCam Hardie OR72 FFR59 SS108 29-04-2026 PontefractClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.5L SP5/2F JockeyHarry Russell OR73 FFR67 SS96	9st 9lb	4	OR 69	67	-2lb	22	21	+5.7	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	60%	64%	2/6	96	A	Near mark +1	WATCH ONLY
2	Style KingRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	44.8	2-2-1-3-5-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 5lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP5/2F JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR65 FFR42 SS108 04-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP15/8F JockeyMarco Ghiani OR63 FFR55 SS91 06-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt8st 13lb Result1 SP12/1 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR60 FFR59 SS98 28-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 4lb Result3 btn 0.8L SP100/30 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR60 FFR75 SS100 04-06-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 1.2L SP11/4F JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR63 FFR63 SS96 28-05-2026 YarmouthClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 1lb Result8 btn 0.2L SP33/1 JockeyRose Dawes OR63 FFR73 SS98	9st 5lb	5	OR 65	73	+8lb	28	4	+15.2	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	62%	62%	1/6	98	B	Well treated +10	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Dicko The LegendRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	39.8	3-6-5-4-3-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP3/1 JockeyDaniel Tudhope OR67 FFR72 SS95 24-07-2026 YorkClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result6 btn 1.2L SP15/2 JockeyBilly Garritty OR69 FFR68 SS90 17-07-2026 PontefractClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 1.2L SP13/2 JockeyJack Garritty OR69 FFR72 SS100 09-07-2026 DoncasterClass 5 \| 5.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt11st 2lb Result4 btn 0.5L SP4/1J JockeyMiss Amy Collier OR69 FFR45 SS96 08-06-2026 PontefractClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP13/2 JockeyDaniel Tudhope OR69 FFR65 SS100 25-05-2026 RedcarClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 9lb Result6 btn 0.3L SP9/1 JockeyBilly Garritty OR71 FFR69 SS103	9st 7lb	10	OR 67	69	+2lb	25	4.6	+0.7	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	60%	65%	1/6	103	B	Workable +5	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Tiger TulipRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	39.2	7-8-6-9-2-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result7 btn 2L SP12/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR69 FFR73 SS113 05-06-2026 BathClass 5 \| 5.5f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result8 btn 0.5L SP5/1 JockeyJoe Leavy OR71 FFR83 SS98 04-05-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result6 btn 0.5L SP9/2 JockeySaffie Osborne OR73 FFR34 SS97 02-05-2026 GoodwoodClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result9 btn 13L SP100/30F JockeyCieren Fallon OR73 FFR64 SS107 31-10-2025 NewmarketClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result2 btn 3L SP100/30F JockeyKevin Stott OR73 FFR48 SS83 04-10-2025 AscotClass 2 \| 5f \| Soft Wgt-- Result10 btn 2.5L SP12/1 JockeyGrace McEntee OR75 FFR58 SS98	9st 9lb	6	OR 69	58	-11lb	28	16	-2	Layoff check	Same trip	Modest field	--	55%	57%	2/6	98	A	Stiff -8	WATCH ONLY
5	HecticRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	33.5	9-3-5-7-14-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result9 btn 3.2L SP4/1 JockeyStevie Donohoe OR67 FFR72 SS100 06-08-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 6lb Result3 btn 0.8L SP14/1 JockeyJack Garritty OR67 FFR45 SS108 12-06-2026 ChesterClass 4 \| 7f \| Good To Soft Wgt10st 2lb Result5 btn 0.1L SP20/1 JockeyMiss Pippa Brown OR69 FFR59 SS98 08-06-2026 PontefractClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result7 btn 0.3L SP16/1 JockeyBilly Garritty OR69 FFR73 SS100 09-05-2026 AscotClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result14 btn 2.2L SP33/1 JockeyClifford Lee OR72 FFR70 SS100 21-04-2026 PontefractClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result4 btn 1.5L SP15/2 JockeyBilly Garritty OR73 FFR46 SS96	9st 7lb	9	OR 67	46	-21lb	12	6.2	+10.2	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	55%	56%	2/6	96	A	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Blue ForceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	28.8	1-9-6-3-6-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 1lb Result1 SP25/1 JockeyCam Hardie OR61 FFR76 SS96 29-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt8st 6lb Result9 btn 2L SP28/1 JockeyEthan Tindall OR63 FFR77 SS104 13-04-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.8L SP7/1 JockeyCam Hardie OR64 FFR83 SS95 04-04-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 1L SP9/2 JockeySean D Bowen OR65 FFR77 SS102 05-03-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.3L SP14/1 JockeyCam Hardie OR66 FFR32 SS100 20-02-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.2L SP33/1 JockeyCam Hardie OR67 FFR76 SS103	9st 1lb	7	OR 61	76	+15lb	39	30	-0.5	Layoff check	Same trip	Modest field	--	62%	60%	2/6	103	A	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Maharajas ExpressRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	27.8	8-1-6-9-7-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result8 btn 0.5L SP12/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR67 FFR73 SS101 25-07-2026 ChesterClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result1 SP8/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR64 FFR55 SS99 11-07-2026 ChesterClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result6 btn 0.2L SP6/1 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR67 FFR45 SS110 06-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 6lb Result9 btn 1.5L SP17/2 JockeyDavid Egan OR67 FFR60 SS97 18-05-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result7 btn 1.5L SP10/1 JockeyTom Marquand OR69 FFR77 SS87 27-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 2L SP9/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR70 FFR55 SS89	9st 7lb	8	OR 67	55	-12lb	35	16.5	+5.7	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	47%	52%	1/6	89	C	Stiff -9	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Travel AgentRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	27.8	5-7-5-4-2-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 0.1L SP6/1 JockeyRobert Havlin OR69 FFR80 SS94 17-07-2026 Newmarket (July)Class 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 12lb Result7 btn 1.2L SP20/1 JockeyPat Cosgrave OR69 FFR73 SS94 11-06-2026 YarmouthClass 5 \| 5f \| Soft Wgt9st 5lb Result5 btn 7.5L SP14/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR71 FFR60 SS101 28-05-2026 YarmouthClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result4 btn 0L SP10/1 JockeyPat Cosgrave OR71 FFR37 SS103 18-05-2026 LingfieldClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP15/2 JockeyWilliam Carson OR71 FFR44 SS97 27-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP6/5F JockeyCharles Bishop OR68 FFR66 SS91	9st 9lb	2	OR 69	66	-3lb	37	8.2	-5.3	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	59%	59%	2/6	91	A	Near mark +0	CAUTION PROFILE
9	Bill PlumbRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	1.8	10-6-8-6-3-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result10 btn 4L SP25/1 JockeyDaniel Muscutt OR67 FFR92 SS99 21-04-2026 YarmouthClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result6 btn 3.8L SP18/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR69 FFR87 SS115 20-02-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result8 btn 0.3L SP22/1 JockeyDaniel Muscutt OR70 FFR71 SS106 11-01-2026 Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 1.2L SP16/1 JockeyGrace McEntee OR71 FFR72 SS94 07-11-2025 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.2L SP15/2 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR71 FFR76 SS94 13-10-2025 YarmouthClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result1 SP11/4J JockeyBilly Loughnane OR69 FFR34 SS106	9st 7lb	3	OR 67	34	-33lb	70	40/1	-9.5	Layoff check	Same trip	Modest field	--	54%	50%	2/6	106	A	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
10	In The CityRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	6-11-5-4-3-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 3lb Result6 btn 0.5L SP80/1 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR63 FFR84 SS68 27-07-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result11 btn 19L SP50/1 JockeyRose Dawes OR67 FFR74 SS99 29-05-2026 ChepstowClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 30L SP25/1 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR71 FFR49 SS98 12-05-2026 BathClass 4 \| 5.5f \| Firm Wgt10st 2lb Result4 btn 15L SP5/2 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR74 FFR35 SS96 23-07-2025 LeicesterClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result3 btn 3L SP2/1 JockeyCharles Bishop OR75 FFR32 SS95 05-07-2025 NottinghamClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.3L SP13/8F JockeyEdward Greatrex OR77 FFR63 SS--	9st 3lb	1	OR 63	63	+0lb	54	150	-20.3	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	50%	43%	0/6	95	E	Workable +6	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Keldeo

Keldeo profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Style King

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Keldeo Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 54.8

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 54.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form4-9-2-4-4-4

FFR67 / -2lb

Speed96

Franked22

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 9lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

4 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 17-08-2026

9 Chester Competitive 25-07-2026

2 Beverley Solid effort 16-06-2026

4 Ripon Run faded 03-06-2026

4 Carlisle Steady run 18-05-2026

4 Pontefract Run faded 29-04-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating22

2winners since

8placers since

12evidence pts

04-08-2026 | Catterick Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Fillys Last Lady (GB), Fizzy Cristal (GB), Indys Angel (GB)

Later placers

Indy's Angel (GB) (07-08-2026)

06-03-2026 | Ripon Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Beattie Is Back (GB), Blazing Son (GB), Cairdeas (GB)

Later placers

Beattie Is Back (GB) (08-06-2026), Blazing Son (GB) (07-05-2026)

09-09-2025 | Catterick Finished 7

Beat named rivals

Albegone (GB), Betweenthesticks (GB), Chuti Manika (IRE)

Race produced winner

Betweenthesticks (GB), Military Girl (IRE)

Later placers

Albegone (GB) (02-06-2026), Desert Champion (IRE) (02-10-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Status WATCH ONLY

Agreement2/6

FFR67

Speed96

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR-2lb near mark

FFR 67 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

96 Par 100

Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score34.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI AMEDIUM

Mark readNear markLatest -2lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read +1lb

Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 58%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Class

Ground evidence All-weather Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandGood

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 8 2W / 3P Peak rating 80

Good 14 3W / 5P Peak rating 81

Fast 5 0W / 4P Peak rating 79

All-weather 6 0W / 1P Peak rating 85

Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 42%

Mark room 55%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

Proven trip profile (A)6 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest -2lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read +1lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest -2lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read +1lb

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 69 | Latest FFR 67 | Best FFR 76 | Public mark read +1

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Ollie Pears

Jockey Harry Russell

Age 5

Draw 4

OR 69

Avg OR 66.4

OR vs Field +2.6

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 144429

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Reliable 7.6% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 8 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile6

DEIA

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
08-04-2026	Catterick	Good	1	1:11.59	71.6
03-06-2026	Ripon	Good	4	1:11.66	71.7
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	4	1:14.24	74.2

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 32% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 23 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP16/1

OwnerOwnaracehorse O Pears And Tt Racing Ltd

Pedigree

Land Force × Kept Under Wraps (Clodovil)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this tripBeaten favouriteMarket expected more last time

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.7L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	4	0.3	Neutral finish
25-07-2026	Chester	9	0.2	Neutral finish
16-06-2026	Beverley	2	1.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

29-04-2026 | Pontefract

Rating -- OR 73

18-05-2026 | Carlisle

Rating -- OR 72

03-06-2026 | Ripon

Rating -- OR 71

16-06-2026 | Beverley

Rating -- OR 70

25-07-2026 | Chester

Rating -- OR 70

17-08-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 69

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs6

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Winning-time par1m 13.84s

Last win at trip1:11.59 | Catterick | 08-04-2026

Recent times1:11.59 | 1:11.66 | 1:14.24

Recent positions1 | 4 | 4

Winning contextvs par -2.25s | OR 69

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	4	16/1	69	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
25-07-2026	Chester \| 5f \| Good \| Class 5	9	7/2F	70	--	--	0.2	--	GREY - no timing read
16-06-2026	Beverley \| 5f \| Good \| Class 5	2	6/1	70	--	--	1.5	--	GREY - no timing read
03-06-2026	Ripon \| 6f \| Good \| Class 5	4	10/1	71	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
18-05-2026	Carlisle \| 5f \| Good \| Class 5	4	8/1	72	--	--	5.5	--	GREY - no timing read
29-04-2026	Pontefract \| 5f \| Good \| Class 5	4	5/2F	73	--	47	0.5	1:03.87	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Near mark

Latest -2lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read +1lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 78.9 and winning TS par is around 53.4. Runner versus par: rating edge -3.9. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Style King Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 44.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Best of a weak race 44.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-2-1-3-5-8

FFR73 / +8lb

Speed98

Franked28

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 5lb

Dicko The Legend Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 39.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 39.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-6-5-4-3-6

FFR69 / +2lb

Speed103

Franked25

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw10

Wgt9st 7lb

Tiger Tulip Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 39.2

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 39.2 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form7-8-6-9-2-10

FFR58 / -11lb

Speed98

Franked28

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 9lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

7 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 17-08-2026

8 Bath Competitive 05-06-2026

6 Windsor Competitive 04-05-2026

9 Goodwood Steady run 02-05-2026

2 Newmarket Solid effort 31-10-2025

10 Ascot Run faded 04-10-2025

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating28

4winners since

6placers since

11evidence pts

06-05-2026 | Bath Finished 8

Beat named rivals

Lazzar (IRE), The Flying Seagull (IRE)

05-04-2026 | Windsor Finished 6

Beat named rivals

Addictive (IRE), Land Of Magic (GB), Lazzar (IRE)

Race produced winner

Golden Long (AUS), Land Of Magic (GB)

Later placers

Amazonian Dream (IRE) (02-07-2026), Bold Impact (IRE) (06-06-2026)

05-02-2026 | Goodwood Finished 9

Race produced winner

Rory Rocket (GB), Serenity Dream (IRE)

Later placers

Faustus (GB) (07-07-2026), Sandscreendeliverd (GB) (07-06-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Status WATCH ONLY

Agreement2/6

FFR58

Speed98

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-11lb below mark

FFR 58 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

98 Par 100

Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score26.5Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI AHIGH

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -11lb | peak +14lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb

Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence All-weather Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandTesting

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 5 0W / 2P Peak rating 81

Good 8 2W / 3P Peak rating 83

Fast 2 0W / 1P Peak rating 82

All-weather 9 1W / 2P Peak rating 74

Placement evidence 57% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 40%

Mark room 28%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 50%

Proven trip profile (A)19 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concernCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -11lb | peak +14lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -11lb | peak +14lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 69 | Latest FFR 58 | Best FFR 83 | Public mark read -8

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Heather Main

Jockey Luke Morris

Age 5

Draw 6

OR 69

Avg OR 66.4

OR vs Field +2.6

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 02-968

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Variable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +1.2

Variance Variable 9.2% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Big ceiling edge 12.6 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile19

DEIA

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
24-09-2025	Goodwood	Good To Soft	4	1:12.13	72.1
04-05-2026	Windsor	Good To Firm	6	1:12.68	72.7
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	7	1:14.70	74.7

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.5 micro score

Trainer RTF 28% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 73 days Standard layoff

Micro score -0.5 trainer RTF quiet at 28%; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP12/1

OwnerKon Wilton Wetumpka Racing

Pedigree

Aclaim × Byroness (Byron)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	7	2	Neutral finish
05-06-2026	Bath	8	0.5	Neutral finish
04-05-2026	Windsor	6	0.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 2 runs with an official OR.

04-10-2025 | Ascot

Rating 58 OR 75

31-10-2025 | Newmarket

Rating 71 OR 73

02-05-2026 | Goodwood

Rating -- OR 73

04-05-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 73

05-06-2026 | Bath

Rating -- OR 71

17-08-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 69

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs19

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 13.84s

Last win at trip1:10.47 | Newbury | 12-06-2025

Recent times1:12.13 | 1:12.68 | 1:14.70

Recent positions4 | 6 | 7

Winning contextvs par -3.37s | OR 69

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	7	12/1	69	--	--	2	--	GREY - no timing read
05-06-2026	Bath \| 5.5f \| Good \| Class 5	8	5/1	71	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
04-05-2026	Windsor \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	6	9/2	73	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
02-05-2026	Goodwood \| 5f \| Good \| Class 5	9	100/30F	73	--	--	13	--	GREY - no timing read
31-10-2025	Newmarket \| 5f \| Good \| Class 4	2	100/30F	73	71	64	3	1:00.44	GOLD - faster than par
04-10-2025	Ascot \| 5f \| Soft \| Class 2	10	12/1	75	58	48	2.5	1:4.91	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -11lb | peak +14lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 78.9 and winning TS par is around 53.4. Runner versus par: rating edge -4.9. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Hectic Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 33.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Best of a weak race 33.5 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form9-3-5-7-14-4

FFR46 / -21lb

Speed96

Franked12

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw9

Wgt9st 7lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

9 Wolverhampton (AW) Steady run 17-08-2026

3 Southwell (AW) Finished well 06-08-2026

5 Chester Competitive 12-06-2026

7 Pontefract Competitive 08-06-2026

14 Ascot Competitive 09-05-2026

4 Pontefract Competitive 21-04-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating12

1winners since

2placers since

8evidence pts

06-08-2026 | Pontefract Finished 7

Beat named rivals

Call Me Betty (IRE), Great (GB), Just Queen High (IRE)

08-06-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Cairdeas (GB), Court Drive (IRE), Daytona Lady (IRE)

Race produced winner

Pickersgill (IRE)

Later placers

Moostar (GB) (04-08-2026)

03-06-2026 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Al Muqdad (GB), Bobby Joe Leg (GB), Ey Up Its Jazz (GB)

Later placers

Lessay (IRE) (05-08-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR46

Speed96

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-21lb below mark

FFR 46 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

96 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score38.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI AHIGH

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -21lb | peak +6lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence All-weather Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 12 0W / 2P Peak rating 97

Good 8 1W / 2P Peak rating 86

Fast 5 0W / 0P Peak rating 75

All-weather 7 1W / 3P Peak rating 82

Placement evidence 56% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 42%

Mark room 4%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 68%

Proven trip profile (A)16 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -21lb | peak +6lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -21lb | peak +6lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 67 | Latest FFR 46 | Best FFR 73 | Public mark read -16

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Liam Bailey

Jockey Stevie Donohoe

Age 6

Draw 9

OR 67

Avg OR 66.4

OR vs Field +0.6

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 440753

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Cooling

confidence nudge +1.5

Variance Very steady 3.5% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 7.5 vs par

Curve Cooling Trend -1

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile16

DEIA

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
08-06-2026	Pontefract	Good	7	1:15.56	75.6
06-08-2026	Southwell (AW)	Standard	3	1:13.39	73.4
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	9	1:15.33	75.3

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 45% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 11 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP4/1

OwnerMrs Ailsa Stirling

Pedigree

Massaat × Ceedwell (Exceed And Excel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.4L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	9	3.2	Neutral finish
06-08-2026	Southwell (AW)	3	0.8	Fast finish
12-06-2026	Chester	5	0.1	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

21-04-2026 | Pontefract

Rating -- OR 73

09-05-2026 | Ascot

Rating -- OR 72

08-06-2026 | Pontefract

Rating -- OR 69

12-06-2026 | Chester

Rating -- OR 69

06-08-2026 | Southwell (AW)

Rating -- OR 67

17-08-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 67

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs16

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 13.84s

Last win at trip1:10.65 | Ripon | 04-06-2025

Recent times1:15.56 | 1:13.39 | 1:15.33

Recent positions7 | 3 | 9

Winning contextvs par -3.19s | OR 72

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	9	4/1	67	--	--	3.2	--	GREY - no timing read
06-08-2026	Southwell (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	3	14/1	67	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read
12-06-2026	Chester \| 7f \| Good To Soft \| Class 4	5	20/1	69	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
08-06-2026	Pontefract \| 6f \| Good \| Class 5	7	16/1	69	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
09-05-2026	Ascot \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	14	33/1	72	--	--	2.2	--	GREY - no timing read
21-04-2026	Pontefract \| 6f \| Good \| Class 5	4	15/2	73	--	51	1.5	1:17.28	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -21lb | peak +6lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 78.9 and winning TS par is around 53.4. Runner versus par: rating edge -3.9. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Blue Force Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 28.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 28.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form1-9-6-3-6-5

FFR76 / +15lb

Speed103

Franked39

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 1lb

Maharajas Express Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 27.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 27.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (C)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form8-1-6-9-7-4

FFR55 / -12lb

Speed89

Franked35

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 7lb

Travel Agent Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 27.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 27.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form5-7-5-4-2-1

FFR66 / -3lb

Speed91

Franked37

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 9lb

Bill Plumb Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 1.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 1.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form10-6-8-6-3-1

FFR34 / -33lb

Speed106

Franked70

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 7lb

In The City Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6-11-5-4-3-2

FFR63 / +0lb

Speed95

Franked54

Ground1/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 3lb

7:25 | Windsor

7:25 | Windsor | 6f

Class 6 | Good To Firm | Matchbook Betting Exchange Supporting Uk Racing Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 53 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR49.812 rated runners | Top OR 55: Yes Waliim

Winning par1m 12.13s10 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupGOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick: 7)

Stalls 5f, 6f, 1m2f & 1m3f - Centre; 1m - Inside | Rail No rail note | Band 0-55 | Weather Mostly Cloudy

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Sisters In The Sky leads the contextual model at 26.7
Decision type: Watch only - Needs more proof
Winning-time par: 1m 12.13s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 12 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Sisters In The SkyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	39.8	4-3-2-9-4-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result4 btn 0.5L SP12/1 JockeyRossa Ryan OR46 FFR60 SS96 31-07-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result3 btn 0.1L SP9/1 JockeyDylan Hogan OR45 FFR58 SS97 01-07-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Firm Wgt8st 9lb Result2 btn 3L SP25/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR45 FFR43 SS100 13-06-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 0lb Result9 btn 0.3L SP16/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR46 FFR54 SS97 05-06-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result4 btn 0.1L SP9/2 JockeyAshley Lewis OR46 FFR64 SS92 22-05-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result3 btn 1.5L SP14/1 JockeyRossa Ryan OR46 FFR51 SS100	9st 3lb	7	OR 46	51	+5lb	7	17	+4.8	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	60%	61%	1/6	100	B	Well treated +11	CAUTION PROFILE
2	Jackie BrownRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleTight decision	36.8	6-1-2-3-5-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result6 btn 0.5L SP3/1J JockeyDavid Egan OR48 FFR74 SS93 31-07-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result1 SP15/8F JockeyFinley Marsh OR48 FFR50 SS95 17-07-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP9/4F JockeyHarry Davies OR45 FFR61 SS100 29-06-2026 Ffos LasClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP10/1 JockeyDavid Egan OR45 FFR63 SS102 05-06-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 0.3L SP5/2 JockeyFinley Marsh OR42 FFR67 SS98 28-01-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 1.2L SP10/1 JockeySeamie Heffernan OR49 FFR50 SS100	9st 5lb	10	OR 48	50	+2lb	48	9/2	+13.5	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	59%	66%	1/6	100	B	Well treated +8	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Yes WaliimRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	22.8	2-1-6-4-7-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result2 btn 2L SP4/1 JockeyOliver Hoodless OR55 FFR57 SS84 11-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt8st 10lb Result1 SP13/2 JockeyOliver Hoodless OR55 FFR29 SS92 31-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 8.5f \| Standard Wgt8st 3lb Result6 btn 4.5L SP8/1 JockeyLaura Coughlan OR57 FFR58 SS89 23-06-2026 NewburyClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 12lb Result4 btn 1.8L SP14/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR59 FFR33 SS-- 09-06-2026 SalisburyClass 6 \| 6f \| Soft Wgt8st 13lb Result7 btn 3L SP22/1 JockeyOliver Hoodless OR61 FFR65 SS-- 18-05-2026 LingfieldClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt8st 10lb Result6 btn 0.5L SP18/1 JockeyOliver Hoodless OR64 FFR57 SS--	9st 9lb	9	OR 55	57	+2lb	63	6.2	+11.6	Quick return	Same trip	Weak field	--	52%	50%	0/6	89	E	Well treated +8	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Symbol Of HopeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	15.8	7-2-3-4-8-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result7 btn 0.1L SP18/1 JockeyRay Dawson OR46 FFR58 SS92 31-07-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result2 btn 0.1L SP17/2 JockeyCallum Hutchinson OR44 FFR44 SS95 15-07-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5f \| Firm Wgt8st 8lb Result3 btn 1L SP13/2 JockeyAshley Lewis OR45 FFR46 SS98 01-07-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Firm Wgt8st 4lb Result4 btn 1L SP12/1 JockeyAshley Lewis OR45 FFR57 SS90 13-06-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 0lb Result8 btn 0.3L SP25/1 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR46 FFR64 SS93 05-06-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result3 btn 0.2L SP16/1 JockeyAshley Lewis OR44 FFR49 SS87	9st 3lb	5	OR 46	49	+3lb	24	1000	+1.8	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	55%	56%	1/6	87	D	Well treated +9	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Manhattan ChuteRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	14.0	9-2-1-9-11-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result9 btn 1.2L SP3/1J JockeySean Levey OR52 FFR59 SS89 07-08-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result2 btn 1.2L SP12/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR52 FFR21 SS98 14-07-2026 LeicesterClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result1 SP11/2 JockeySean Levey OR50 FFR24 SS83 07-07-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result9 btn 1.5L SP22/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR50 FFR67 SS90 07-05-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result11 btn 4L SP50/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR52 FFR61 SS90 26-03-2026 Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 8L SP50/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR57 FFR38 SS86	9st 9lb	6	OR 52	38	-14lb	9	1000	+7	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	52%	53%	0/6	86	B	Stiff -11	CAUTION PROFILE
6	NzuriRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	13.5	1-5-4-4-7-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result1 SP40/1 JockeyRose Dawes OR55 FFR29 SS86 31-07-2026 BathClass 5 \| 5.5f \| Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result5 btn 0.3L SP15/2 JockeyGina Mangan OR57 FFR51 SS87 14-07-2026 LeicesterClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result4 btn 0.2L SP100/30 JockeyRose Dawes OR61 FFR62 SS-- 09-07-2026 NewburyClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 8lb Result4 btn 1.5L SP80/1 JockeyRose Dawes OR59 FFR53 SS-- 16-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt8st 9lb Result7 btn 1.5L SP20/1 JockeyRose Dawes OR61 FFR58 SS-- 18-05-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result10 btn 0.5L SP25/1 JockeyGeorge Bass OR62 FFR69 SS--	9st 9lb	2	OR 55	69	+14lb	6	65	-0	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	64%	71%	1/6	87	A	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Caitlin GRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	9.0	5-1-4-5-7-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP14/1 JockeyGrace McEntee OR51 FFR43 SS86 02-08-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result1 SP22/1 JockeyGrace McEntee OR41 FFR41 SS55 22-07-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 0.1L SP100/1 JockeyGrace McEntee OR41 FFR26 SS73 07-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 8.5f \| Standard Wgt8st 13lb Result5 btn 7L SP50/1 JockeyGrace McEntee OR42 FFR52 SS-- 10-06-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 8f \| Soft Wgt8st 12lb Result7 btn 1L SP40/1 JockeyBenoit De La Sayette OR42 FFR66 SS-- 26-05-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 0lb Result9 btn 0.2L SP50/1 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR46 FFR53 SS--	9st 5lb	4	OR 51	53	+2lb	4	21	+6.3	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	52%	52%	0/6	73	E	Well treated +8	CAUTION PROFILE
8	GeemannRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.0	3-3-5-10-11-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result3 btn 1L SP22/1 JockeyTaylor Fisher OR54 FFR72 SS87 09-08-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result3 btn 1L SP9/1 JockeyTaylor Fisher OR54 FFR57 SS81 01-07-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result5 btn 0.3L SP12/1 JockeyTaylor Fisher OR57 FFR23 SS90 05-06-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result10 btn 0.5L SP25/1 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR60 FFR54 SS88 30-09-2025 BathClass 6 \| 5½f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result11 btn 0.8L SP9/1 JockeyTaylor Fisher OR63 FFR59 SS-- 03-09-2025 BathClass 5 \| 5½f \| Soft Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.8L SP100/1 JockeyTaylor Fisher OR-- FFR57 SS--	9st 8lb	8	OR 54	57	+3lb	17	33/1	-0.2	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	55%	59%	0/6	88	E	Well treated +9	CAUTION PROFILE
9	Sundiata KeitaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	12-4-2-5-9-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result12 btn 21L SP8/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR50 FFR64 SS97 09-08-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result4 btn 1L SP7/2J JockeyCharlie Tucker OR50 FFR59 SS106 24-07-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 8lb Result2 btn 1L SP25/1 JockeyWilliam Cox OR50 FFR38 SS91 08-07-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result5 btn 7.5L SP16/1 JockeyCharles Bishop OR53 FFR59 SS91 09-10-2025 BathClass 6 \| 5½f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.3L SP16/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR56 FFR51 SS95 18-09-2025 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result8 btn 1L SP25/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR58 FFR21 SS94	9st 7lb	1	OR 50	21	-29lb	35	1000	-5.7	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	42%	35%	0/6	94	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
10	ReporterRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	11-6-7-13-6-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result11 btn 0.3L SP33/1 JockeyWilliam Carver OR49 FFR74 SS97 07-08-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result6 btn 0.3L SP12/1 JockeyWilliam Carver OR50 FFR70 SS101 21-07-2026 SalisburyClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result7 btn 3.8L SP25/1 JockeyWilliam Carver OR54 FFR58 SS99 05-04-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result13 btn 2L SP18/1 JockeyCharles Bishop OR57 FFR32 SS96 20-03-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.3L SP12/1 JockeyCharles Bishop OR58 FFR46 SS93 29-09-2025 BrightonClass 6 \| 5½f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result4 btn 1L SP11/1 JockeyGeorge Bass OR60 FFR30 SS85	9st 6lb	11	OR 49	30	-19lb	44	1000	-10.5	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	44%	41%	1/6	85	D	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
11	Just King HighRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	8-7-6-5-4-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result8 btn 2.2L SP13/2 JockeyTom Marquand OR45 FFR68 SS92 08-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result7 btn 0.8L SP9/4 JockeyCallum Shepherd OR45 FFR55 SS91 29-06-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 12lb Result6 btn 0.5L SP14/1 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR46 FFR47 SS101 22-06-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 9lb Result5 btn 0.2L SP16/1 JockeyPhoebe Edwards OR46 FFR50 SS98 21-05-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 1lb Result4 btn 1.5L SP9/2 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR47 FFR45 SS91 25-04-2026 LeicesterClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.5L SP12/1 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR48 FFR40 SS95	9st 2lb	3	OR 45	40	-5lb	11	1000	-13.2	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	49%	50%	0/6	95	D	Near mark -2	CAUTION PROFILE
12	Rainbow SorbetRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	10-10-6-7-4-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result10 btn 1L SP125/1 JockeyAshley Lewis OR46 FFR60 SS90 08-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result10 btn 3.5L SP125/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR48 FFR50 SS86 14-07-2026 LeicesterClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result6 btn 2.5L SP22/1 JockeySean Levey OR53 FFR25 SS82 07-07-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result7 btn 4.5L SP100/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR51 FFR34 SS-- 29-05-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 2.8L SP25/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR52 FFR26 SS-- 20-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 1.2L SP250/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR-- FFR32 SS--	9st 3lb	12	OR 46	32	-14lb	10	250	-15.2	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	39%	35%	1/6	82	E	Stiff -11	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Sisters In The Sky

Sisters In The Sky profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Jackie Brown

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Sisters In The Sky Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 39.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 39.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form4-3-2-9-4-3

FFR51 / +5lb

Speed100

Franked7

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 3lb

Jackie Brown Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 36.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Tight decision 36.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form6-1-2-3-5-9

FFR50 / +2lb

Speed100

Franked48

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw10

Wgt9st 5lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

6 Windsor Finished well 17-08-2026

1 Bath Strong run 31-07-2026

2 Nottingham Solid effort 17-07-2026

3 Ffos Las Solid effort 29-06-2026

5 Bath Run faded 05-06-2026

9 Dundalk (AW) Run faded 28-01-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating48

4winners since

8placers since

14evidence pts

06-05-2026 | Bath Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Coco Hill (IRE), Payforanother Daay (GB), Rokuni (IRE)

Race produced winner

Dion Baker (IRE)

Later placers

Rokuni (IRE) (07-08-2026)

12-12-2025 | Dundalk (AW) Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Fort Star (IRE), Hezahunk (IRE), Im Spartacus (IRE)

Race produced winner

I'm Spartacus (IRE)

Later placers

Masked Angel (IRE) (03-06-2026), Steel Magnolia (IRE) (08-03-2026)

06-06-2025 | Fairyhouse (IRE) Finished 16

Beat named rivals

Feature This (IRE), Magna Beauty (IRE)

Race produced winner

Carrigans Grove (IRE), Step Back In Time (IRE)

Later placers

Alex Belardo (IRE) (06-01-2026), Hezahunk (IRE) (04-11-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR50

Speed100

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+2lb near mark

FFR 50 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

100 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeTight decisionThe top runner is only narrowly ahead, so comparison with the next few in the race matters.

Model score35.4Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BHIGH

Mark readWell treatedLatest +2lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb

Today's conditions match 59% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 45%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 34%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 11 0W / 2P Peak rating 59

Good 7 1W / 2P Peak rating 62

Fast 4 1W / 2P Peak rating 45

All-weather 10 1W / 4P Peak rating 56

Placement evidence 66% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 26%

Mark room 76%

Stable setup 58%

Recent evidence 76%

Proven trip profile (B)21 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +8lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concern

Mark read Latest +2lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +2lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 48 | Latest FFR 50 | Best FFR 74 | Public mark read +8

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Adrian Wintle

Jockey David Egan

Age 6

Draw 10

OR 48

Avg OR 49.8

OR vs Field -1.8

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 695321

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Very steady 3.3% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 1.8 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile21

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
13-01-2026	Dundalk (AW) (IRE)	Standard	6	1:14.00	74
29-06-2026	Ffos Las	Good	3	1:12.21	72.2
17-08-2026	Windsor	Good To Firm	6	1:11.94	71.9

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 29% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 17 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 trainer RTF quiet at 29%; recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: t; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgeartDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP3/1J

OwnerAdrian Wintle

Pedigree

Smooth Daddy × Patty Paige (Haatef)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.3L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Windsor	6	0.5	Fast finish
31-07-2026	Bath	1	0	Neutral finish
17-07-2026	Nottingham	2	0.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 1 runs with an official OR.

28-01-2026 | Dundalk (AW)

Rating 40 OR 49

05-06-2026 | Bath

Rating -- OR 42

29-06-2026 | Ffos Las

Rating -- OR 45

17-07-2026 | Nottingham

Rating -- OR 45

31-07-2026 | Bath

Rating -- OR 48

17-08-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 48

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs21

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 12.13s

Last win at trip1:13.68 | Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | 22-11-2024

Recent times1:14.00 | 1:12.21 | 1:11.94

Recent positions6 | 3 | 6

Winning contextvs par +1.55s | OR 51

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Windsor \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	6	3/1J	48	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
31-07-2026	Bath \| 5.5f \| Firm \| Class 6	1	15/8F	48	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
17-07-2026	Nottingham \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	2	9/4F	45	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
29-06-2026	Ffos Las \| 6f \| Good \| Class 6	3	10/1	45	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
05-06-2026	Bath \| 5.5f \| Good \| Class 6	5	5/2	42	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
28-01-2026	Dundalk (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| --	9	10/1	49	40	35	1.2	1:26.90	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Well treated

Latest +2lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb.

Benchmark Fit score -1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 63.1 and winning TS par is around 50.3. Runner versus par: rating edge -9.1. Benchmark fit: -0.8.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Yes Waliim Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 22.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 22.8 confidence

Why consider7 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form2-1-6-4-7-6

FFR57 / +2lb

Speed89

Franked63

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw9

Wgt9st 9lb

Symbol Of Hope Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 15.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 15.8 confidence

Why consider22 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form7-2-3-4-8-3

FFR49 / +3lb

Speed87

Franked24

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 3lb

Manhattan Chute Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 14.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Best of a weak race 14.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form9-2-1-9-11-7

FFR38 / -14lb

Speed86

Franked9

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 9lb

Nzuri Distance specialist

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 13.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 13.5 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form1-5-4-4-7-10

FFR69 / +14lb

Speed87

Franked6

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 9lb

Caitlin G Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 9.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 9.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +8lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5-1-4-5-7-9

FFR53 / +2lb

Speed73

Franked4

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 5lb

Geemann Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 8.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 8.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +9lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3-3-5-10-11-6

FFR57 / +3lb

Speed88

Franked17

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 8lb

Sundiata Keita Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why consider7 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form12-4-2-5-9-8

FFR21 / -29lb

Speed94

Franked35

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 7lb

Reporter Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why consider8 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form11-6-7-13-6-4

FFR30 / -19lb

Speed85

Franked44

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw11

Wgt9st 6lb

Just King High Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why consider7 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form8-7-6-5-4-9

FFR40 / -5lb

Speed95

Franked11

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 2lb

Rainbow Sorbet Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form10-10-6-7-4-7

FFR32 / -14lb

Speed82

Franked10

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw12

Wgt9st 3lb

7:40 | Wolverhampton (AW)

7:40 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 5f

Class 6 | Standard | Book Hotel And Conferencing At Wolverhampton Classified Stakes

Race Confidence 70 SHORTLIST RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR47.99 rated runners | Top OR 50: Let's Go Hugo

Winning par1m 01.38s124 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupTAPETA: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-50 | Weather Mostly Cloudy

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Let's Go Hugo leads the contextual model at 42.8
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Clearer top profile: +13.8 gap to nearest rival
Winning-time par: 1m 01.38s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 9 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Let's Go HugoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	55.0	1-4-3-8-10-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 4lb Result1 SP4/1 JockeyTom Kiely-Marshall OR50 FFR67 SS100 08-08-2026 RedcarClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 0.8L SP8/1 JockeyHarry Russell OR50 FFR41 SS102 25-07-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard / Slow Wgt9st 0lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP5/1 JockeyTom Kiely-Marshall OR51 FFR47 SS97 26-05-2026 RedcarClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 4lb Result8 btn 2.5L SP20/1 JockeyMiss Chelsea Brooks OR53 FFR54 SS99 07-05-2026 RedcarClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result10 btn 1L SP16/1 JockeyTom Kiely-Marshall OR55 FFR55 SS100 22-04-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result7 btn 1.5L SP9/1 JockeyTom Kiely-Marshall OR56 FFR66 SS97	9st 9lb	7	OR 50	66	+16lb	20	6.4	+19.3	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	62%	70%	1/6	97	B	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
2	AlafdhalRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleContext over ratings	45.8	7-6-5-6-7-12 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result7 btn 0.8L SP7/2F JockeyDaniel Muscutt OR50 FFR65 SS96 05-08-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt11st 0lb Result6 btn 5.5L SP11/2 JockeyMr Henry Callan OR53 FFR34 SS96 17-07-2026 Newmarket (July)Class 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 4lb Result5 btn 0.1L SP33/1 JockeyMegan Smith OR54 FFR49 SS98 28-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 10lb Result6 btn 1L SP18/1 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR56 FFR58 SS100 10-06-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 6f \| Soft Wgt9st 3lb Result7 btn 1.2L SP50/1 JockeyGrace McEntee OR58 FFR29 SS92 10-02-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result12 btn 0.3L SP50/1 JockeyConnor Planas OR59 FFR42 SS95	9st 9lb	3	OR 50	42	-8lb	39	5.2	+1.8	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	50%	56%	1/6	95	B	Stiff -5	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Jungle DanceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	40.0	2-7-7-9-5-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result2 btn 2L SP13/2 JockeyClifford Lee OR50 FFR77 SS86 21-02-2026 Chelmsford (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.8L SP40/1 JockeyJonny Peate OR53 FFR70 SS103 22-11-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.8L SP12/1 JockeyHarry Davies OR55 FFR60 SS99 08-11-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 2.5L SP20/1 JockeyJohn Fahy OR57 FFR69 SS94 16-09-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.8L SP3/1F JockeyClifford Lee OR58 FFR68 SS95 02-09-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 3L SP50/1 JockeyClifford Lee OR59 FFR59 SS96	9st 9lb	2	OR 50	59	+9lb	65	9.2	+5.6	Long absence	Same trip	Weak field	--	62%	62%	0/6	96	B	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
4	RajeteriatRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	21.8	3-7-12-3-2-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result3 btn 1.5L SP12/1 JockeyJack Callan OR50 FFR73 SS90 07-08-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result7 btn 15L SP22/1 JockeyJosephine Gordon OR52 FFR74 SS92 22-06-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result12 btn 7L SP28/1 JockeyCharles Bishop OR56 FFR74 SS99 07-01-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 1L SP16/5 JockeyJosephine Gordon OR58 FFR21 SS101 22-12-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 3.8L SP9/1 JockeyJosephine Gordon OR58 FFR25 SS97 25-11-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 1.5L SP9/1 JockeyJosephine Gordon OR60 FFR53 SS100	9st 9lb	5	OR 50	53	+3lb	31	16	+5.3	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	57%	59%	0/6	100	D	Well treated +9	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Mister McGregorRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	5-8-9-3-2-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 1.5L SP9/2 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR47 FFR25 SS99 01-08-2026 DoncasterClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result8 btn 1L SP22/1 JockeyKieran O'Neill OR48 FFR59 SS96 10-07-2026 ChesterClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt8st 11lb Result9 btn 2.5L SP40/1 JockeyFaye McManoman OR48 FFR59 SS96 27-06-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result3 btn 0.8L SP11/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR48 FFR32 SS98 02-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result2 btn 2.8L SP12/1 JockeyRobert Havlin OR46 FFR41 SS92 19-05-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 1lb Result9 btn 3.2L SP33/1 JockeyFaye McManoman OR47 FFR47 SS88	9st 9lb	6	OR 47	47	+0lb	46	6.4	-1.2	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	53%	54%	0/6	88	D	Workable +6	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Our Hero MattyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	8-6-5-3-11-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result8 btn 1.8L SP20/1 JockeyStevie Donohoe OR48 FFR60 SS87 04-08-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result6 btn 3L SP33/1 JockeyBarry McHugh OR50 FFR21 SS94 14-07-2026 BeverleyClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 1L SP12/1 JockeyBarry McHugh OR52 FFR60 SS84 22-06-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result3 btn 0.8L SP18/1 JockeyBarry McHugh OR52 FFR51 SS90 19-05-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 0lb Result11 btn 2.2L SP12/1 JockeyBen Robinson OR55 FFR36 SS89 18-04-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result10 btn 0.1L SP16/1 JockeyBen Robinson OR57 FFR36 SS89	9st 7lb	4	OR 48	36	-12lb	6	27	-2.2	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	45%	45%	0/6	89	D	Stiff -9	CAUTION PROFILE
7	MegaphoneRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	6-5-9-11-4-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result6 btn 0.1L SP4/1 JockeyKieran O'Neill OR50 FFR75 SS92 30-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 3lb Result5 btn 0.2L SP80/1 JockeyChristian Howarth OR52 FFR72 SS94 21-05-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 3lb Result9 btn 0.5L SP33/1 JockeyMikkel Mortensen OR54 FFR22 SS92 07-05-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result11 btn 2L SP12/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR55 FFR33 SS92 23-04-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.8L SP12/1 JockeyKieran ONeill OR57 FFR50 SS96 17-04-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.8L SP80/1 JockeyMikkel Mortensen OR57 FFR45 SS97	9st 9lb	9	OR 50	45	-5lb	8	5.9	-5.7	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	56%	57%	0/6	97	B	Near mark -2	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Battle PointRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	4-5-7-7-5-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 0.3L SP12/1 JockeyRobert Havlin OR43 FFR64 SS104 31-07-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 0.3L SP40/1 JockeyGina Mangan OR43 FFR46 SS94 30-06-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result7 btn 0.3L SP66/1 JockeyAlexandra Egan OR43 FFR46 SS98 09-06-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result7 btn 2.8L SP40/1 JockeyJames Glennon OR43 FFR47 SS96 29-05-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP11/1 JockeyLaura Coughlan OR45 FFR59 SS92 30-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result10 btn 0.5L SP13/2 JockeyGina Mangan OR46 FFR51 SS93	9st 9lb	8	OR 43	51	+8lb	59	18/1	-10.2	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	55%	56%	1/6	93	D	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
9	She Went WhooshRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	9-6-10-8-8-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 6lb Result9 btn 14L SP28/1 JockeyChristian Howarth OR43 FFR54 SS97 01-07-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Firm Wgt8st 9lb Result6 btn 1L SP25/1 JockeyKieran O'Neill OR45 FFR43 SS94 21-06-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result10 btn 0.5L SP80/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR45 FFR40 SS87 09-06-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result8 btn 1.5L SP12/1 JockeyChristian Howarth OR46 FFR23 SS93 01-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 6lb Result8 btn 1L SP20/1 JockeyChristian Howarth OR46 FFR38 SS97 22-05-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 9lb Result2 btn 2.8L SP25/1 JockeyMikkel Mortensen OR46 FFR24 SS92	9st 9lb	1	OR 43	24	-19lb	42	40/1	-12.9	Freshened up	Same trip	Weak field	--	45%	40%	0/6	92	D	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Let's Go Hugo

Let's Go Hugo profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Alafdhal

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Let's Go Hugo Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 55.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Best of a weak race 55.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form1-4-3-8-10-7

FFR66 / +16lb

Speed97

Franked20

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 9lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 17-08-2026

4 Redcar Competitive 08-08-2026

3 Newcastle (AW) Solid effort 25-07-2026

8 Redcar Competitive 26-05-2026

10 Redcar Competitive 07-05-2026

7 Catterick Competitive 22-04-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating20

4winners since

4placers since

10evidence pts

08-08-2026 | Redcar Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Bust A Moon (GB), Gwen Tennyson (IRE), Up The Monk (GB)

05-07-2026 | Redcar Finished 10

Beat named rivals

Sadiiki (GB), She's A Dark Horse (GB)

Later placers

Indy's Angel (GB) (07-08-2026), Mister Sky Blue (IRE) (08-07-2026)

04-02-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 8

Beat named rivals

Arlington (GB), Isla Bella (GB), Jeany May (GB)

Race produced winner

Arlington (GB), Auntie Jo (GB)

Later placers

Colors Of Freedom (GB) (03-07-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR66

Speed97

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+16lb ahead of mark

FFR 66 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

97 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score42.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BHIGH

Mark readWell treatedLatest +16lb | peak +17lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Today's conditions match 62% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 45%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Class

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 60

Good 8 0W / 1P Peak rating 69

Fast 12 0W / 4P Peak rating 72

All-weather 23 3W / 9P Peak rating 75

Placement evidence 70% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 31%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 68%

Proven trip profile (B)44 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concern

Mark read Latest +16lb | peak +17lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +16lb | peak +17lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 50 | Latest FFR 66 | Best FFR 67 | Public mark read +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Ollie Pears

Jockey Tom Kiely-Marshall(5)

Age 6

Draw 7

OR 50

Avg OR 47.9

OR vs Field +2.1

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 870834

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Very steady 1.9% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 2.4 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.

Profile distance5f

Runs at profile44

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
25-07-2026	Newcastle (AW)	Standard / Slow	3	1:2.18	62.2
08-08-2026	Redcar	Good To Firm	4	0:57.85	57.9
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	1	1:1.72	61.7

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 32% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 9 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP4/1

OwnerOwnaracehorse Keates And West

Pedigree

Unfortunately × Barbieri (Encosta De Lago)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.4L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	1	0	Neutral finish
08-08-2026	Redcar	4	0.8	Neutral finish
25-07-2026	Newcastle (AW)	3	0.3	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

22-04-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 56

07-05-2026 | Redcar

Rating -- OR 55

26-05-2026 | Redcar

Rating -- OR 53

25-07-2026 | Newcastle (AW)

Rating -- OR 51

08-08-2026 | Redcar

Rating -- OR 50

17-08-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 50

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs44

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 01.38s

Last win at trip-- | Wolverhampton (AW) | 17-08-2026

Recent times1:2.18 | 0:57.85 | 1:1.72

Recent positions3 | 4 | 1

Winning contextOR 50 | weight 9-4

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 5f \| Standard \| Class 6	1	4/1	50	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
08-08-2026	Redcar \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	4	8/1	50	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read
25-07-2026	Newcastle (AW) \| 5f \| Standard / Slow \| Class 6	3	5/1	51	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
26-05-2026	Redcar \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	8	20/1	53	--	--	2.5	--	GREY - no timing read
07-05-2026	Redcar \| 6f \| Good \| Class 6	10	16/1	55	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
22-04-2026	Catterick \| 5f \| Good \| Class 6	7	9/1	56	--	24	1.5	0:59.91	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Well treated

Latest +16lb | peak +17lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score -1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 64.1 and winning TS par is around 49.3. Runner versus par: rating edge -6.1. Benchmark fit: -1.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Alafdhal Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 45.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Context over ratings 45.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form7-6-5-6-7-12

FFR42 / -8lb

Speed95

Franked39

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 9lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

7 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 17-08-2026

6 Yarmouth Run faded 05-08-2026

5 Newmarket (July) Competitive 17-07-2026

6 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 28-06-2026

7 Yarmouth Competitive 10-06-2026

12 Lingfield (AW) Troubled run 10-02-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating39

4winners since

14placers since

12evidence pts

08-05-2026 | Yarmouth Finished 6

Beat named rivals

Coiled (IRE)

Later placers

Indy's Angel (GB) (07-08-2026)

04-07-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 10

Beat named rivals

Outer Edge (GB), Some Nightmare (IRE), State Of Madness (GB)

Race produced winner

Nubough (IRE), State Of Madness (GB)

Later placers

Autumn Angel (IRE) (01-06-2026), Bomb Squad (IRE) (02-08-2025)

01-06-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 10

Beat named rivals

Himawari (GB)

Race produced winner

Basholo (IRE), Maharajas Express (GB)

Later placers

Apache Star (IRE) (02-11-2025), Buraback (IRE) (03-11-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR42

Speed95

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-8lb below mark

FFR 42 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

95 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeContext over ratingsThe raw rating/mark view is a caution, but other layers such as field edge, recent form, benchmark or memory keep it interesting.

Model score25.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BHIGH

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -8lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read -5lb

Today's conditions match 50% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 35%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Class

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating45

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 11 0W / 3P Peak rating 78

Good 3 0W / 0P Peak rating 68

Fast 6 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 48 5W / 14P Peak rating 85

Placement evidence 56% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 14%

Mark room 37%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 68%

Proven trip profile (B)30 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueClass benchmark is a concernCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -8lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read -5lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -8lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read -5lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 50 | Latest FFR 42 | Best FFR 65 | Public mark read -5

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Phil McEntee

Jockey Daniel Muscutt

Age 8

Draw 3

OR 50

Avg OR 47.9

OR vs Field +2.1

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 707656

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Very steady 2.6% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 0.1 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance5f

Runs at profile30

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
14-01-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	5	0:58.32	58.3
27-01-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	7	1:2.73	62.7
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	7	1:2.76	62.8

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 13% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 12 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.8 trainer RTF cold at 13%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: v; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearvDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP7/2F

OwnerRed 23 Racing

Pedigree

Lope De Vega × Afdhaad (Nayef)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.1L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	7	0.8	Neutral finish
05-08-2026	Yarmouth	6	5.5	Run faded
17-07-2026	Newmarket (July)	5	0.1	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 1 runs with an official OR.

10-02-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 45 OR 59

10-06-2026 | Yarmouth

Rating -- OR 58

28-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 56

17-07-2026 | Newmarket (July)

Rating -- OR 54

05-08-2026 | Yarmouth

Rating -- OR 53

17-08-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 50

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs30

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 01.38s

Last win at trip1:02.08 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 13-12-2025

Recent times0:58.32 | 1:2.73 | 1:2.76

Recent positions5 | 7 | 7

Winning contextvs par +0.7s | OR 58

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 5f \| Standard \| Class 6	7	7/2F	50	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read
05-08-2026	Yarmouth \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	6	11/2	53	--	--	5.5	--	GREY - no timing read
17-07-2026	Newmarket (July) \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	5	33/1	54	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
28-06-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	6	18/1	56	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
10-06-2026	Yarmouth \| 6f \| Soft \| Class 6	7	50/1	58	--	--	1.2	--	GREY - no timing read
10-02-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	12	50/1	59	45	37	0.3	1:12.82	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -8lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read -5lb.

Benchmark Fit score -3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 64.1 and winning TS par is around 49.3. Runner versus par: rating edge -10.1. Benchmark fit: -3.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Jungle Dance Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 40.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 40.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-7-7-9-5-2

FFR59 / +9lb

Speed96

Franked65

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 9lb

Rajeteriat Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 21.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 21.8 confidence

Why consider16 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-7-12-3-2-5

FFR53 / +3lb

Speed100

Franked31

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 9lb

Mister McGregor Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why consider8 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form5-8-9-3-2-9

FFR47 / +0lb

Speed88

Franked46

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 9lb

Our Hero Matty Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why consider8 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form8-6-5-3-11-10

FFR36 / -12lb

Speed89

Franked6

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 7lb

Megaphone Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form6-5-9-11-4-3

FFR45 / -5lb

Speed97

Franked8

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw9

Wgt9st 9lb

Battle Point Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why consider32 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form4-5-7-7-5-10

FFR51 / +8lb

Speed93

Franked59

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 9lb

She Went Whoosh Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why consider25 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form9-6-10-8-8-2

FFR24 / -19lb

Speed92

Franked42

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 9lb

7:55 | Windsor

7:55 | Windsor | 11.5f

Class 6 | Good To Firm | Matchbook Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 53 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR53.29 rated runners | Top OR 60: Trojan Truth

Winning par2m 29.11s8 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupGOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick: 7)

Stalls 5f, 6f, 1m2f & 1m3f - Centre; 1m - Inside | Rail No rail note | Band 0-60 | Weather Mostly Cloudy

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Trojan Truth leads the contextual model at 32.3
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Winning-time par: 2m 29.11s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 9 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Trojan TruthRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	60.8	5-2-3-6-2-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 2.2L SP10/1 JockeyOwen Lewis OR60 FFR62 SS101 28-07-2026 Ffos LasClass 6 \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result2 btn 0.1L SP33/1 JockeyOwen Lewis OR60 FFR62 SS103 14-07-2026 LeicesterClass 6 \| 12f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result3 btn 2L SP17/2 JockeyDarragh Keenan OR61 FFR53 SS100 20-06-2026 DoncasterClass 5 \| 12f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result6 btn 1L SP10/1 JockeyPat Cosgrave OR62 FFR48 SS97 29-05-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 12f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 10lb Result2 btn 2.5L SP6/1 JockeyOlivia Tubb OR61 FFR64 SS101 09-05-2026 LeicesterClass 5 \| 12f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 11lb Result6 btn 1L SP25/1 JockeyOwen Lewis OR63 FFR50 SS98	9st 12lb	2	OR 60	50	-10lb	25	1000	+7.2	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	50%	59%	2/6	98	C	Stiff -7	CAUTION PROFILE
2	SalikoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleContext over ratings	44.8	6-6-6-11-4-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 12lb Result6 btn 0.2L SP13/2 JockeyTom Marquand OR60 FFR55 SS92 20-07-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result6 btn 0.2L SP25/1 JockeySaffie Osborne OR62 FFR66 SS111 04-07-2026 NottinghamClass 5 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result6 btn 1.5L SP7/1 JockeyRowan Scott OR65 FFR33 SS99 16-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 9.5f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result11 btn 4L SP12/1 JockeyJack Mitchell OR68 FFR47 SS103 01-06-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result4 btn 0.1L SP28/1 JockeySaffie Osborne OR68 FFR53 SS112 19-05-2026 NottinghamClass 5 \| 8.5f \| Good To Soft Wgt10st 2lb Result9 btn 0.3L SP14/1 JockeyHector Crouch OR70 FFR49 SS91	9st 12lb	5	OR 60	49	-11lb	19	1000	+4.2	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	49%	54%	2/6	91	E	Stiff -8	CAUTION PROFILE
3	PershallaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	43.8	1-7-5-9-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 12lb Result1 SP4/1 JockeyCieren Fallon OR60 FFR60 SS88 29-07-2026 SandownClass 5 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result-- SP28/1 JockeyRobert Havlin OR62 FFR35 SS100 23-07-2026 SandownClass 5 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 12lb Result7 btn 1.2L SP14/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR62 FFR54 SS100 07-07-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 0.3L SP11/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR63 FFR62 SS94 10-06-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 11f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 8lb Result9 btn 0.5L SP12/1 JockeyKieran Shoemark OR64 FFR72 SS100 11-05-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 11lb Result7 btn 1L SP14/1 JockeyKieran Shoemark OR65 FFR69 SS99	9st 12lb	1	OR 60	69	+9lb	10	5/1	+5	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	52%	60%	2/6	99	E	Well treated +12	WATCH ONLY
4	Guinness LadRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	32.5	4-8-3-1-2-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result4 btn 1.2L SP4/1 JockeyTaylor Fisher OR52 FFR69 SS103 20-07-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 5lb Result8 btn 0.8L SP4/1 JockeyAshley Lewis OR52 FFR58 SS71 08-06-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good To Soft Wgt10st 0lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP11/10F JockeyTaylor Fisher OR49 FFR67 SS95 01-06-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result1 SP7/2 JockeyTaylor Fisher OR49 FFR58 SS95 23-05-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result2 btn 3.2L SP13/2 JockeyAlistair Rawlinson OR49 FFR45 SS94 28-01-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 1m \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.5L SP22/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR50 FFR54 SS94	9st 4lb	3	OR 52	54	+2lb	27	14/1	+13.7	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	57%	62%	0/6	94	C	Well treated +8	PRICE DEPENDENT
5	Highland HarveyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	24.8	3-3-1-2-5-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result3 btn 1.8L SP9/4F JockeyRay Dawson OR52 FFR75 SS60 05-08-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 14f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result3 btn 0.1L SP6/4F JockeyBilly Loughnane OR52 FFR51 SS100 15-07-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result1 SP6/5F JockeyRay Dawson OR46 FFR61 SS95 22-06-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 12f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result2 btn 2.2L SP6/4F JockeyWilliam Carson OR46 FFR67 SS93 13-06-2026 BathClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP11/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR47 FFR61 SS103 15-02-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 6 \| 1m4½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.1L SP5/2 JockeyConnor Planas OR45 FFR59 SS92	9st 4lb	8	OR 52	59	+7lb	13	65	+16.7	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	60%	66%	0/6	92	C	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Risk Averse RebelRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	8-2-3-3-5-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 11lb Result8 btn 4.2L SP11/2 JockeyGrace McEntee OR53 FFR71 SS95 25-07-2026 ChesterClass 5 \| 12.5f \| Good Wgt8st 2lb Result2 btn 0.1L SP12/1 JockeyGrace McEntee OR49 FFR65 SS93 16-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt9st 3lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP3/1 JockeyGina Mangan OR49 FFR61 SS92 02-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt8st 12lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP18/1 JockeyGina Mangan OR49 FFR58 SS93 24-04-2026 DoncasterClass 5 \| 1m2f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result5 btn 4.5L SP11/1 JockeySean D Bowen OR50 FFR71 SS93 30-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 1m1½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 1L SP11/2 JockeyGina Mangan OR50 FFR33 SS92	8st 11lb	6	OR 53	33	-20lb	50	1000	-1.7	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	46%	44%	0/6	92	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Mister PretentiousRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	2-12-8-11-11-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt7st 11lb Result2 btn 1.2L SP50/1 JockeyIsobelle Chalmers OR45 FFR60 SS87 13-07-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt8st 4lb Result12 btn 0.3L SP80/1 JockeyJude Fernandes OR40 FFR65 SS99 30-05-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 9lb Result8 btn 1L SP50/1 JockeyJack Dace OR46 FFR39 SS-- 11-05-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 6lb Result11 btn 0.5L SP250/1 JockeyJack Dace OR-- FFR30 SS-- 07-10-2025 BrightonClass 5 \| 1m \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result11 btn 2.5L SP250/1 JockeyJack Dace OR-- FFR31 SS-- 24-09-2025 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 1m \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result10 btn 9.5L SP200/1 JockeyJack Dace OR-- FFR59 SS--	8st 4lb	9	OR 45	59	+14lb	24	65	-12.9	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	55%	58%	0/6	99	D	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Judge FrankRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	7-8-8-8-7-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 12lb Result7 btn 3L SP25/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR45 FFR64 SS102 24-07-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result8 btn 6L SP11/2 JockeyCharles Bishop OR46 FFR39 SS100 15-06-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result8 btn 1L SP10/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR47 FFR29 SS100 06-06-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 8f \| Soft Wgt9st 3lb Result8 btn 3L SP4/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR49 FFR41 SS98 23-05-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result7 btn 0.8L SP9/1 JockeyMillie Wonnacott OR51 FFR31 SS92 17-04-2026 BathClass 6 \| 1m \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.2L SP9/1 JockeyCharles Bishop OR53 FFR43 SS98	8st 12lb	4	OR 45	43	-2lb	41	1000	-13.9	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	48%	50%	1/6	98	E	Near mark +1	CAUTION PROFILE
9	Mix De GrisRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	9-5-4-4-6-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result9 btn 21L SP50/1 JockeyRose Dawes OR52 FFR82 SS101 31-03-2025 NewcastleClass 5 \| 2m1f \| Good Wgt-- Result5 btn 24L SP15/2 JockeyAlan Doyle OR91 FFR84 SS88 07-03-2025 AyrClass 5 \| 2m \| Soft Wgt-- Result4 btn 3.2L SP4/1 JockeyConner McCann OR93 FFR84 SS96 13-02-2025 NewcastleClass 5 \| 2m1f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.5L SP28/1 JockeyConner McCann OR93 FFR70 SS81 20-01-2025 AyrClass 5 \| 2m \| Soft Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.5L SP10/1 JockeyJack Power OR95 FFR71 SS73 13-12-2024 DoncasterClass 4 \| 2m½f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.5L SP12/1 JockeyJack Power OR-- FFR21 SS83	9st 4lb	7	OR 52	21	-31lb	28	200	-18.4	Long absence	Same trip	Weak field	--	44%	39%	0/6	83	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Trojan Truth

Trojan Truth profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 2/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Saliko

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Trojan Truth Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 60.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Best of a weak race 60.8 confidence

Why considerClass benchmark supports the placement

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form5-2-3-6-2-6

FFR50 / -10lb

Speed98

Franked25

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 12lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

5 Windsor Competitive 17-08-2026

2 Ffos Las Solid effort 28-07-2026

3 Leicester Solid effort 14-07-2026

6 Doncaster Competitive 20-06-2026

2 Chepstow Run faded 29-05-2026

6 Leicester Competitive 09-05-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating25

3winners since

7placers since

12evidence pts

05-12-2025 | Windsor Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Graecia (IRE), Most Wanted (IRE)

Later placers

Golden Circet (IRE) (02-04-2026), Most Wanted (IRE) (07-07-2026)

07-11-2025 | Chepstow Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Douglas Dc (IRE), Spectacular Style (GB), Sweet Nightingale (GB)

Later placers

Douglas Dc (IRE) (08-04-2026), Sweet Nightingale (GB) (04-05-2026)

06-02-2025 | Windsor Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Bond Spirit (GB), Devizes (IRE), Fravanco (GB)

Race produced winner

Jimmy Mark (IRE), Regally Blonde (GB)

Later placers

Fravanco (GB) (08-04-2025), Stintino Sunset (GB) (07-02-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR50

Speed98

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-10lb below mark

FFR 50 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

98 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting profile, but FFR sits below today's mark Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score32.3Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI CLOW

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -10lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -7lb

Today's conditions match 50% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 62%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 34%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs5/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandGood

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 49

Good 4 0W / 1P Peak rating 58

Fast 18 6W / 9P Peak rating 67

All-weather 12 0W / 4P Peak rating 70

Placement evidence 59% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 58%

Class fit 72%

Mark room 31%

Stable setup 58%

Recent evidence 76%

Class benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -10lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -7lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -10lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -7lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 60 | Latest FFR 50 | Best FFR 64 | Public mark read -7

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Ed de Giles

Jockey Owen Lewis(5)

Age 7

Draw 2

OR 60

Avg OR 53.2

OR vs Field +6.8

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form -62632

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Very steady 2% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 3 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m3½f

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance1m3½f

Runs at profile4

DEIC

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
03-06-2024	Windsor	Good To Firm	1	2:29.79	149.8
02-06-2025	Windsor	Good To Firm	1	2:28.45	148.4
17-08-2026	Windsor	Good To Firm	5	2:33.55	153.6

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 37% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 20 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: b; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearbDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP10/1

OwnerWoodham Walter Partnership

Pedigree

Ulysses × Verity (Redoute's Choice)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.4L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Windsor	5	2.2	Neutral finish
28-07-2026	Ffos Las	2	0.1	Neutral finish
14-07-2026	Leicester	3	2	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

09-05-2026 | Leicester

Rating -- OR 63

29-05-2026 | Chepstow

Rating -- OR 61

20-06-2026 | Doncaster

Rating -- OR 62

14-07-2026 | Leicester

Rating -- OR 61

28-07-2026 | Ffos Las

Rating -- OR 60

17-08-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 60

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs4

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par2m 29.11s

Last win at trip2:28.45 | Windsor | 02-06-2025

Recent times2:29.79 | 2:28.45 | 2:33.55

Recent positions1 | 1 | 5

Winning contextvs par -0.66s | OR 55

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Windsor \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	5	10/1	60	--	--	2.2	--	GREY - no timing read
28-07-2026	Ffos Las \| 12f \| Good \| Class 6	2	33/1	60	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
14-07-2026	Leicester \| 12f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	3	17/2	61	--	--	2	--	GREY - no timing read
20-06-2026	Doncaster \| 12f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	6	10/1	62	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
29-05-2026	Chepstow \| 12f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	2	6/1	61	--	--	2.5	--	GREY - no timing read
09-05-2026	Leicester \| 12f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	6	25/1	63	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -10lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -7lb.

Benchmark Fit score 3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 60.6 and winning TS par is around 52.8. Runner versus par: rating edge +3.4. Benchmark fit: 2.5.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Saliko Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 44.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Context over ratings 44.8 confidence

Why considerClass benchmark supports the placement

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6-6-6-11-4-9

FFR49 / -11lb

Speed91

Franked19

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 12lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

6 Windsor Run faded 17-08-2026

6 Windsor Competitive 20-07-2026

6 Nottingham Competitive 04-07-2026

11 Wolverhampton (AW) Steady run 16-06-2026

4 Windsor Competitive 01-06-2026

9 Nottingham Competitive 19-05-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating19

1winners since

5placers since

8evidence pts

06-01-2026 | Windsor Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Brodie's Boy (FR), Gretna Dreams (IRE), Grey Fox (IRE)

Later placers

Brodies Boy (FR) (01-03-2026), Fast Steps (IRE) (05-04-2026)

09-08-2025 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 6

Race produced winner

Nuptown Girl (GB)

Later placers

Meleri (GB) (04-10-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR49

Speed91

ConditionsCaution

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-11lb below mark

FFR 49 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

91 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)

Decision typeContext over ratingsThe raw rating/mark view is a caution, but other layers such as field edge, recent form, benchmark or memory keep it interesting.

Model score29.3Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI EVERY_LOW

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -11lb | peak +6lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb

Today's conditions match 49% Conditions ask questions

Trip / ground 38%

Class 62%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 58%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Class Question Handicap

Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs4/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandFast

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 3 1W / 1P Peak rating 79

Good 3 1W / 2P Peak rating 70

Fast 7 0W / 1P Peak rating 70

All-weather 5 0W / 2P Peak rating 79

Placement evidence 54% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 38%

Class fit 76%

Mark room 28%

Stable setup 70%

Recent evidence 58%

Class benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questionsCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -11lb | peak +6lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -11lb | peak +6lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 60 | Latest FFR 49 | Best FFR 66 | Public mark read -8

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Jack Jones

Jockey Tom Marquand

Age 4

Draw 5

OR 60

Avg OR 53.2

OR vs Field +6.8

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 794066

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Regressing

confidence nudge +0.8

Variance Reliable 8.1% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Big ceiling edge 12.1 vs par

Curve Regressing Trend -2

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m3½f

No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.

Profile distance1m3½f

Runs at profile1

DEIE

ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
17-08-2026	Windsor	Good To Firm	6	2:33.59	153.6

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 62% Yard in a positive recent rhythm

Freshness 28 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 trainer RTF positive at 62%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p

Ground timing match 1/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP13/2

OwnerThe Twilight Zone Syndicate

Pedigree

Kameko × Saliyna (Linamix)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.6L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Windsor	6	0.2	Run faded
20-07-2026	Windsor	6	0.2	Neutral finish
04-07-2026	Nottingham	6	1.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

19-05-2026 | Nottingham

Rating -- OR 70

01-06-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 68

16-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 68

04-07-2026 | Nottingham

Rating -- OR 65

20-07-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 62

17-08-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 60

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Trip evidence building

Similar-trip runs1

ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Winning-time par2m 29.11s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times2:33.59

Recent positions6

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Windsor \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	6	13/2	60	--	--	0.2	--	GREY - no timing read
20-07-2026	Windsor \| 10f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	6	25/1	62	--	--	0.2	--	GREY - no timing read
04-07-2026	Nottingham \| 10f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	6	7/1	65	--	--	1.5	--	GREY - no timing read
16-06-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 9.5f \| Standard \| Class 5	11	12/1	68	--	--	4	--	GREY - no timing read
01-06-2026	Windsor \| 10f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	4	28/1	68	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
19-05-2026	Nottingham \| 8.5f \| Good To Soft \| Class 5	9	14/1	70	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -11lb | peak +6lb treated as ceiling | public read -8lb.

Benchmark Fit score 3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 60.6 and winning TS par is around 52.8. Runner versus par: rating edge +5.4. Benchmark fit: 2.5.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Pershalla Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 43.8

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 43.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form1-7-5-9-7

FFR69 / +9lb

Speed99

Franked10

Ground0/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 12lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Windsor Finished well 17-08-2026

-- Sandown Steady run 29-07-2026

7 Sandown Competitive 23-07-2026

5 Brighton Competitive 07-07-2026

9 Kempton (AW) Competitive 10-06-2026

7 Windsor Competitive 11-05-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating10

1winners since

5placers since

8evidence pts

04-08-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Dotties Star (GB), Dubai Immo (IRE), Fiddlers Green (IRE)

Later placers

Maywedance (IRE) (07-08-2026)

07-07-2026 | Brighton Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Annexation (FR), Voix De Bocelli (GB)

03-04-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 12

Race produced winner

Sonnerie Power (FR)

Later placers

Jodhpur Blue (FR) (02-08-2026), Lilly Lux (FR) (01-06-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Status WATCH ONLY

Agreement2/6

FFR69

Speed99

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR+9lb ahead of mark

FFR 69 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

99 Par 100

Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score30.1Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI ELOW

Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR

Today's conditions match 52% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 38%

Class 54%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 34%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs5/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandFast

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 52

Good 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 71

Fast 5 1W / 1P Peak rating --

All-weather 6 1W / 2P Peak rating 70

Placement evidence 60% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 24%

Class fit 59%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 58%

Recent evidence 68%

Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueTrip evidence still asks questions

Mark read Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 60 | Latest FFR 69 | Best FFR 72 | Public mark read +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Amanda Perrett

Jockey Cieren Fallon

Age 4

Draw 1

OR 60

Avg OR 53.2

OR vs Field +6.8

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 279575

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Very steady 4.4% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 0.2 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance1m3f

Runs at profile2

DEIE

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
04-03-2026	Kempton (AW)	Standard To Slow	12	2:24.23	144.2
10-06-2026	Kempton (AW)	Standard To Slow	9	2:24.30	144.3

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 31% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 19 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: h

Ground timing match 0/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearhDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP4/1

OwnerPershalla Partnership

Pedigree

Persian King × Hulcote (Frankel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.6L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Windsor	1	0	Fast finish
29-07-2026	Sandown	--	--	Neutral finish
23-07-2026	Sandown	7	1.2	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

11-05-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 65

10-06-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating -- OR 64

07-07-2026 | Brighton

Rating -- OR 63

23-07-2026 | Sandown

Rating -- OR 62

29-07-2026 | Sandown

Rating -- OR 62

17-08-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 60

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Trip evidence building

Similar-trip runs2

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par2m 29.11s

Last win at trip-- | Windsor | 17-08-2026

Recent times2:24.23 | 2:24.30

Recent positions12 | 9

Winning contextOR 60 | weight 9-12

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Windsor \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	1	4/1	60	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
29-07-2026	Sandown \| 10f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	--	28/1	62	--	--	--	--	GREY - no timing read
23-07-2026	Sandown \| 10f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	7	14/1	62	--	--	1.2	--	GREY - no timing read
07-07-2026	Brighton \| 10f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	5	11/1	63	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
10-06-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 11f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 6	9	12/1	64	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
11-05-2026	Windsor \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	7	14/1	65	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Well treated

Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 60.6 and winning TS par is around 52.8. Runner versus par: rating edge +2.4. Benchmark fit: 0.8.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Guinness Lad Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 32.5

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Best of a weak race 32.5 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +8lb room

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form4-8-3-1-2-5

FFR54 / +2lb

Speed94

Franked27

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 4lb

Highland Harvey Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 24.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Best of a weak race 24.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-3-1-2-5-3

FFR59 / +7lb

Speed92

Franked13

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 4lb

Risk Averse Rebel Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8-2-3-3-5-4

FFR33 / -20lb

Speed92

Franked50

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt8st 11lb

Mister Pretentious Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-12-8-11-11-10

FFR59 / +14lb

Speed99

Franked24

Ground2/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw9

Wgt8st 4lb

Judge Frank Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7-8-8-8-7-7

FFR43 / -2lb

Speed98

Franked41

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt8st 12lb

Mix De Gris Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form9-5-4-4-6-5

FFR21 / -31lb

Speed83

Franked28

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 4lb

8:10 | Wolverhampton (AW)

8:10 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 12f

Class 5 | Standard | Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 72 SHORTLIST RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR71.310 rated runners | Top OR 75: Optician

Winning par2m 39.36s58 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupTAPETA: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-75 | Weather Mostly Cloudy

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Optician leads the contextual model at 51.2
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Clearer top profile: +13.0 gap to nearest rival
Winning-time par: 2m 39.36s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 10 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	OpticianRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	63.0	9-2-5-1-10-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt10st 2lb Result9 btn 0.1L SP7/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR75 FFR82 SS100 29-07-2026 RedcarClass 5 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 2lb Result2 btn 5L SP7/2C JockeyJack Nicholls OR75 FFR52 SS93 10-07-2026 YorkClass 4 \| 12f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result5 btn 2L SP13/2 JockeyConor Whiteley OR75 FFR77 SS91 14-06-2026 DoncasterClass 5 \| 12f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 10lb Result1 SP9/2 JockeyConor Whiteley OR72 FFR68 SS99 31-05-2026 ThirskClass 4 \| 12f \| Good Wgt8st 12lb Result10 btn 6L SP22/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR74 FFR66 SS107 11-04-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 1m3f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.8L SP18/1 JockeyDylan Hogan OR75 FFR60 SS103	10st 2lb	1	OR 75	60	-15lb	18	1000	+24.1	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	56%	66%	2/6	103	B	Stiff -12	CAUTION PROFILE
2	James ChoiceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	23.0	2-2-6-3-4-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt9st 4lb Result2 btn 0.2L SP5/4F JockeyEdward Greatrex OR72 FFR78 SS98 27-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 11f \| Standard Wgt9st 8lb Result2 btn 1.5L SP7/1 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR69 FFR72 SS93 02-07-2026 NewburyClass 5 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result6 btn 1.8L SP33/1 JockeyCharles Bishop OR71 FFR70 SS86 16-10-2025 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 6L SP11/1 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR-- FFR63 SS-- 02-10-2025 SalisburyClass 4 \| 1m \| Good Wgt-- Result4 btn 4.5L SP11/2 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR-- FFR72 SS-- 29-08-2025 SandownClass 4 \| 7f \| Soft Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.5L SP40/1 JockeyCieren Fallon OR-- FFR73 SS--	9st 4lb	2	OR 72	73	+1lb	63	2.42	+11.1	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	57%	61%	1/6	86	D	Workable +6	CAUTION PROFILE
3	JosephRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	20.0	3-4-4-13-1-13 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result3 btn 1.5L SP18/1 JockeyJack Callan OR68 FFR60 SS103 31-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt10st 1lb Result4 btn 0.3L SP25/1 JockeyJack Gilligan OR69 FFR87 SS103 06-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 9.5f \| Standard Wgt9st 8lb Result4 btn 1.5L SP14/1 JockeyJack Callan OR70 FFR31 SS87 27-05-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 8f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 10lb Result13 btn 0.3L SP10/1 JockeyDonagh Murphy OR70 FFR64 SS88 28-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 1m2f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP100/30F JockeyBilly Loughnane OR67 FFR62 SS89 18-04-2026 NottinghamClass 5 \| 1m2f \| Good Wgt-- Result13 btn 5.5L SP18/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR67 FFR71 SS101	9st 9lb	9	OR 68	71	+3lb	27	25/1	-6.9	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	57%	60%	1/6	101	D	Well treated +9	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Serious LookRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	19.8	8-5-5-1-2-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt9st 12lb Result8 btn 1L SP28/1 JockeyRobert Havlin OR71 FFR77 SS106 06-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 9.5f \| Standard Wgt9st 6lb Result5 btn 0.3L SP16/1 JockeyZoe Lewis OR72 FFR86 SS100 30-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 1m1½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.3L SP10/1 JockeyRobert Havlin OR72 FFR80 SS101 02-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 1m½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP5/1 JockeyRobert Havlin OR69 FFR84 SS106 30-12-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 1m1½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 3L SP22/1 JockeyZoe Lewis OR69 FFR63 SS90 15-12-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 1m½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 2L SP6/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR69 FFR60 SS101	9st 12lb	11	OR 71	60	-11lb	22	75	+4.1	Freshened up	Same trip	Solid field	--	44%	41%	1/6	101	E	Stiff -8	CAUTION PROFILE
5	SigliosaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	17.8	6-3-5-3-5-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt10st 1lb Result6 btn 0.5L SP22/1 JockeyJason Watson OR74 FFR68 SS95 06-10-2025 Killarney (IRE)-- \| 1m \| Soft To Heavy Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.1L SP100/30 JockeyColin Keane OR75 FFR78 SS97 07-08-2025 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 1m1f \| Good Wgt-- Result5 btn 2.2L SP22/1 JockeyColin Keane OR-- FFR76 SS92 14-07-2025 Killarney (IRE)-- \| 1m3½f \| Yielding To Soft Wgt-- Result3 btn 1.2L SP7/1 JockeyColin Keane OR-- FFR75 SS99 23-06-2025 Ballinrobe (IRE)-- \| 1m1½f \| Good Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.2L SP18/1 JockeySeamie Heffernan OR-- FFR79 SS102 02-06-2025 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 1m1½f \| Good Wgt-- Result5 btn 5.5L SP28/1 JockeySeamie Heffernan OR-- FFR66 SS--	10st 1lb	10	OR 74	66	-8lb	32	260	-1.7	Long absence	Same trip	Solid field	--	46%	49%	1/6	102	E	Stiff -5	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Pure MoonRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	17.5	10-7-2-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result10 btn 0.3L SP16/1 JockeyClifford Lee OR75 FFR67 SS76 30-04-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 4 \| 1m3f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 1.2L SP4/7F JockeyJack Mitchell OR-- FFR88 SS99 05-04-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 4 \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.2L SP5/4F JockeyEdward Greatrex OR-- FFR74 SS93 23-10-2025 NottinghamClass 5 \| 1m½f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result2 btn 6L SP18/1 JockeyJack Mitchell OR-- FFR57 SS--	9st 7lb	3	OR 75	57	-18lb	4	110	+3.3	Layoff check	Same trip	Solid field	--	45%	37%	0/6	93	E	Stiff -15	CAUTION PROFILE
7	VaguerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	14.0	5-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt10st 1lb Result5 btn 1L SP12/1 JockeyDaniel Muscutt OR74 FFR50 SS-- 05-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 4 \| 11f \| Standard Wgt8st 13lb Result8 btn 0.3L SP12/1 JockeyArron D'Arcy OR77 FFR68 SS--	10st 1lb	6	OR 74	68	-6lb	0	1000	-5.9	Freshened up	Same trip	Solid field	--	42%	41%	0/6	--	E	Stiff -6	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Prince Of CalypsoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.5	1-3-7-3-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt9st 4lb Result1 SP3/1 JockeyDaniel Tudhope OR72 FFR71 SS80 27-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 11f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP12/1 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR70 FFR71 SS-- 01-07-2026 ThirskClass 4 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result7 btn 3L SP8/1 JockeyCian Horgan OR-- FFR44 SS-- 11-06-2026 NottinghamClass 4 \| 8.5f \| Soft Wgt9st 4lb Result3 btn 1L SP7/1 JockeyP J McDonald OR-- FFR70 SS-- 04-09-2025 HaydockClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt-- Result3 btn 1L SP6/1 JockeyCallum Rodriguez OR-- FFR76 SS--	9st 4lb	4	OR 72	76	+4lb	28	7/1	+4.6	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	56%	53%	0/6	80	D	Workable +4	CAUTION PROFILE
9	Pace AttackRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	4-11-6-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt8st 13lb Result4 btn 0.5L SP11/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR67 FFR82 SS97 28-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 4 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result11 btn 4.2L SP12/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR-- FFR67 SS88 08-04-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 1m \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.8L SP33/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR-- FFR59 SS79 25-03-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 1m \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.5L SP66/1 JockeyDylan Hogan OR-- FFR67 SS--	8st 13lb	8	OR 67	67	+0lb	2	80/1	-15.2	Layoff check	Same trip	Solid field	--	52%	52%	0/6	79	E	Workable +6	CAUTION PROFILE
10	Choir BoyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.0	7-4-5-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt8st 11lb Result7 btn 1.2L SP80/1 JockeyCam Hardie OR65 FFR67 SS82 09-01-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 3 \| 1m2f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 16L SP50/1 JockeyCam Hardie OR-- FFR71 SS91 19-12-2025 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 3.2L SP11/2 JockeyCam Hardie OR-- FFR69 SS88 11-10-2025 Naas (IRE)-- \| 1m \| Yielding Wgt-- Result5 btn 5.5L SP8/1 JockeyRonan Whelan OR-- FFR60 SS--	8st 11lb	7	OR 65	60	-5lb	2	270	-17.2	Long absence	Same trip	Solid field	--	46%	39%	0/6	88	E	Near mark -2	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Optician

Optician profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger James Choice

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Optician Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 63.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Best of a weak race 63.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form9-2-5-1-10-4

FFR60 / -15lb

Speed103

Franked18

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt10st 2lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

9 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 17-08-2026

2 Redcar Solid effort 29-07-2026

5 York Competitive 10-07-2026

1 Doncaster Strong run 14-06-2026

10 Thirsk Troubled run 31-05-2026

4 Southwell (AW) Run faded 11-04-2026

Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating18

2winners since

2placers since

6evidence pts

02-11-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Kitty Foyle (IRE), Kolisi (IRE), Path To Dubai (GB)

01-04-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Lexington Knight (IRE), Parramount (GB), Saligo Bay (IRE)

Race produced winner

Lexington Knight (IRE), Wonder (GB)

Later placers

Roaring Legend (FR) (09-12-2025), Saligo Bay (IRE) (09-11-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR60

Speed103

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR-15lb below mark

FFR 60 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

103 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting profile, but FFR sits below today's mark Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score51.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BHIGH

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -15lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb

Today's conditions match 56% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 65%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating79

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 5 1W / 2P Peak rating 65

Good 4 0W / 1P Peak rating 80

Fast 6 0W / 3P Peak rating 80

All-weather 20 2W / 7P Peak rating 83

Placement evidence 66% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 76%

Mark room 16%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 76%

Proven trip profile (B)20 similar-trip runs recordedClass benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -15lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -15lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 75 | Latest FFR 60 | Best FFR 82 | Public mark read -12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Michael Herrington

Jockey David Probert

Age 6

Draw 1

OR 75

Avg OR 71.3

OR vs Field +3.7

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form -40152

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Edging forward

confidence nudge +2.8

Variance Reliable 5.4% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 6.9 vs par

Curve Edging forward Trend 1

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance1m4f

Runs at profile20

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
14-06-2026	Doncaster	Good To Soft	1	2:31.31	151.3
10-07-2026	York	Good To Firm	5	2:33.47	153.5
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	9	2:42.90	162.9

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 49% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 19 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP7/1

OwnerMichael Herrington Racing Club

Pedigree

Expert Eye × Starlit Sands (Oasis Dream)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distanceBeaten favouriteMarket expected more last time

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.4L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	9	0.1	Neutral finish
29-07-2026	Redcar	2	5	Neutral finish
10-07-2026	York	5	2	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 1 runs with an official OR.

11-04-2026 | Southwell (AW)

Rating 79 OR 75

31-05-2026 | Thirsk

Rating -- OR 74

14-06-2026 | Doncaster

Rating -- OR 72

10-07-2026 | York

Rating -- OR 75

29-07-2026 | Redcar

Rating -- OR 75

17-08-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 75

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs20

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par2m 39.36s

Last win at trip-- | Doncaster | 14-06-2026

Recent times2:31.31 | 2:33.47 | 2:42.90

Recent positions1 | 5 | 9

Winning contextOR 72 | weight 9-10

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-08-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 12f \| Standard \| Class 5	9	7/1	75	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
29-07-2026	Redcar \| 10f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	2	7/2C	75	--	--	5	--	GREY - no timing read
10-07-2026	York \| 12f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	5	13/2	75	--	--	2	--	GREY - no timing read
14-06-2026	Doncaster \| 12f \| Good To Soft \| Class 5	1	9/2	72	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
31-05-2026	Thirsk \| 12f \| Good \| Class 4	10	22/1	74	--	--	6	--	GREY - no timing read
11-04-2026	Southwell (AW) \| 1m3f \| Standard \| Class 5	4	18/1	75	79	42	0.8	2:24.96	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -15lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 79.7 and winning TS par is around 54.5. Runner versus par: rating edge +4.3. Benchmark fit: 3.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

James Choice Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 23.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 23.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form2-2-6-3-4-6

FFR73 / +1lb

Speed86

Franked63

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 4lb

Joseph Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 20.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 20.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +9lb room

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-4-4-13-1-13

FFR71 / +3lb

Speed101

Franked27

Ground2/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw9

Wgt9st 9lb

Serious Look Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 19.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 19.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8-5-5-1-2-6

FFR60 / -11lb

Speed101

Franked22

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw11

Wgt9st 12lb

Sigliosa Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 17.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 17.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6-3-5-3-5-5

FFR66 / -8lb

Speed102

Franked32

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw10

Wgt10st 1lb

Pure Moon Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 17.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 17.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form10-7-2-2

FFR57 / -18lb

Speed93

Franked4

Ground2/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 7lb

Vaguer Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 14.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 14.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5-8

FFR68 / -6lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt10st 1lb

Prince Of Calypso Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 8.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 8.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Form1-3-7-3-3

FFR76 / +4lb

Speed80

Franked28

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 4lb

Pace Attack Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-11-6-7

FFR67 / +0lb

Speed79

Franked2

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt8st 13lb

Choir Boy Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7-4-5-5

FFR60 / -5lb

Speed88

Franked2

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt8st 11lb