How to read ForeFurlongs
A clock-led figure. It asks: how fast was the run after comparing the horse to suitable winning-time pars, beaten distance and carried weight?
A pounds-style performance rating. It asks: what did that run look worth in handicap terms after class, distance, timing, weight and finish are translated onto a familiar rating scale?
The practical betting read. A positive edge means our rating says the horse has recently run above today's official mark; a negative edge asks for improvement.
We show the ingredients and scale for transparency, but the internal weightings, caps and calibration checks remain proprietary to ForeFurlongs.
The main trust number. Use this with the status badge first. It tells you how clean the overall read is after model agreement, race rank, separation from rivals, evidence quality and cautions.
The raw horse-level attraction score. It blends ability, current mark, race fit, pace setup, distance intelligence, draw confidence, benchmark fit, commentary signals and calibration. It explains the strength underneath the decision read, but it is not the first number to use in isolation.
Our own weight-adjusted clock figure for each horse's previous runs. It compares the run against comparable winning-time pars, accounts for beaten distance where needed, then makes a capped carried-weight adjustment including jockey claims. Use it like an independent speed rating: 110+ is elite, 100-109 is fast, 90-99 is solid, 80-89 is below par and under 80 is a caution.
ForeFurlongs Rating is our pounds-style performance rating. It translates a previous run into a handicap-friendly number using race class, beaten distance, timing strength, weight carried and jockey claims. The simplest read is FFR versus today's OR: a positive number suggests the horse has recently performed above its current mark.
A compact decision layer checking whether a horse is likely to repeat or improve on its ability today. It blends SpeedScore variance, bounce risk, hidden sectional upgrade, ability ceiling against par and recent improvement curve. It nudges decision confidence lightly; it does not overrule the main model.
FFR is the main ForeFurlongs performance rating. Where a current card rating is available it can support the read, but the race scan now prioritises our own FFR and historic rating evidence instead of relying on one external number.
A race-level score measuring how bet-friendly the whole race looks: top-horse strength, separation from the field, tactical clarity, model agreement and likely chaos.
Tier 1 is the strongest shortlist, Tier 2 is a supported secondary shortlist and lower tiers need more restraint. A tier is a research priority, not a guarantee or a staking instruction.
A rare badge for runners where all six independent evidence layers agree and the wider race checks are supportive. Treat it as a prompt for a careful price and staking review, not an automatic bet.
A readable percentage for today's specific setup. It combines trip and ground, class benchmark, projected pace shape, track and draw evidence, and the handicap mark. It measures suitability today, not overall ability.
A transparent read of whether today's placement makes sense from observable evidence: trip profile, class benchmark, official mark, trainer/jockey setup and recent run clues. It does not claim private stable intent.
Compares today's official rating with our ForeFurlongs Rating first. A positive FFR edge suggests the horse has already run above its current mark; a stiff mark means the available figures ask for improvement. Historic rating evidence is only used as a fallback where FFR evidence is missing.
Flags recent runs where the bare finishing position may be misleading, such as traffic trouble, a close defeat outside the places, a positive finishing signal or an RPR above the official mark.
Measures how well a horse appears suited to today's trip using previous distance evidence, timing repeatability and distance-specific performance. Higher grades mean stronger evidence for today's distance.
A plain-English label for the race's likely shape, such as pace-pressure sprint, controlled tactical race or high-variance betting race.
Flags how messy the race looks. Large fields, several pace rivals, weak model alignment and compressed scores increase chaos.
Shows how many independent model layers agree: DEI, benchmark, memory, pace, commentary and pace/finish fit.
Compares the horse's ability evidence against what has historically been required to win this course/distance race type.
A small confidence modifier from draw-bias evidence. It is capped so it cannot overrule ability; it only nudges confidence up or down.
Uses race setup details such as going detail, rail movements, stalls, rating band, headgear, wind surgery, past-result flags, quotes and spotlight notes. These are treated as context first, with only tiny capped score nudges where the signal is reliable.
Indicates whether the horse appears improving, stable or regressing based on recent form, comments, memory profile and finishing signals.
An estimated historical par for the race based on course/distance timing data where available. If unavailable, the timing layer is still developing.
Translates sectional data into plain language. Early speed means the horse tends to use energy early; late-speed profile means the stored evidence shows ability late; balanced means no obvious early or late bias. The today fit label tells you whether today's projected pace helps that profile.
FSP% is finishing speed percentage. Above 100% means the horse finished faster than its overall race speed; 102%+ is a positive late-speed signal and 105%+ is strong. The recent sectional cards show the last recorded split, race time, finishing position, beaten margin, hidden-run boost and finishing ability, so users can see whether the sectional angle is repeatable or just one isolated run.
Shows the last recorded RPR against the horse's OR. RPR is the performance figure from that run; OR is the handicap mark. The visual helps users spot improving performances, falling marks and potentially workable handicap positions.
A familiar form scan with the most recent run first. Winning tiles glow green and placed efforts blue. Open the full table beneath it for conditions, SP, OR, RPR, TS, beaten distance and the ForeFurlongs timing read.