ForeFurlongs Intelligence

Bet Races

The ForeFurlongs trading-desk view: only the races where the environment looks supportive, the field is not too compressed, the pace map helps the main profile and the contextual edge is clear.

3:17 | Yarmouth

3:17 | Yarmouth | 6f

Class 2 | Good To Soft | British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 76 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosLow
Average OR781 rated runner | Top OR 78: I Am Royal
Winning par1m 14.66s1 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD TO SOFT (GoingStick: 4.8) Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • I Am Royal leads the contextual model at 36.2
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +17.0 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 1m 14.66s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 7 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
I Am RoyalRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 47.0
2-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 0.8L
SP11/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR--
FFR81
SS--
24-08-2026
BrightonClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result3 btn 0.1L
SP6/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR--
FFR82
SS--
 9st 7lb 1 OR 78 82 +4lb 0 1.07 +19.5 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 56% 60% 0/6 -- D Workable +4 PRICE DEPENDENT
Channel IslandsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
2-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
27-08-2026
Ffos LasClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 0.2L
SP40/1
JockeyDarragh Keenan
OR--
FFR56
SS--
11-07-2026
SalisburyClass 3 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result5 btn 5L
SP50/1
JockeyGeorge Downing
OR--
FFR84
SS--
 9st 7lb 3 OR -- 84 -- 0 1.07 +2.5 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 50% 59% 0/6 -- D Developing WATCH ONLY
Bad DreamsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 7lb 4 OR -- -- -- 0 1.07 -4.8 Rest developing Trip move developing Solid field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Caturra RockRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 7lb 2 OR -- -- -- 0 1.07 -4.8 Rest developing Trip move developing Solid field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
If You LikeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 7lb 7 OR -- -- -- 0 1.07 -5.8 Rest developing Trip move developing Solid field -- 48% 52% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Scenic BlueRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.5
9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-08-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt8st 11lb
Result9 btn 5.5L
SP125/1
JockeyKyle McHugh
OR--
FFR41
SS--
 9st 7lb 6 OR -- 41 -- 0 1.07 -7.2 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 46% 53% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Flick Of An EyeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 5.0
3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-08-2026
NewburyClass 4 | 6.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP15/2
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR--
FFR81
SS--
 9st 7lb 5 OR -- 81 -- 0 1.07 +0.5 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 46% 50% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Main Context Fit I Am Royal

I Am Royal profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Channel Islands

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
I Am Royal Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 47.0
PRICE DEPENDENT
Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Best of a weak race 47.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-3
FFR82 / +4lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw1
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Kempton (AW) Solid effort 02-09-2026
3 Brighton Solid effort 24-08-2026
Race form proof Some franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating0
0winners since
0placers since
2evidence pts
09-02-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Agent Rose (IRE), Al Widyan (GB), Asgar (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement0/6
FFR82
Speed--
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+4lb near mark
FFR 82 pounds scale
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score36.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DLOW
Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 56% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 52%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Testing No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/2
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Fast 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
All-weather 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 60% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 44%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 64%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 78 | Latest FFR 82 | Best FFR 82 | Public mark read +4
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Richard Hughes
Jockey Billy Loughnane
Age 2
Draw 1
OR 78
Avg OR 78
OR vs Field 0
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 32
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile2
DEID
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
24-08-2026 Brighton Good To Firm 3 1:9.77 69.8
02-09-2026 Kempton (AW) Standard / Slow 2 1:14.15 74.2
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 13 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window
Ground timing match 0/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP11/1
OwnerMr Jaber Abdullah
Pedigree

Kodiac × Royal Rose (Exceed And Excel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.5L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
02-09-2026 Kempton (AW) 2 0.8 Neutral finish
24-08-2026 Brighton 3 0.1 Neutral finish
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 14.66s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:9.77 | 1:14.15
Recent positions3 | 2
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
02-09-2026 Kempton (AW) | 6f | Standard / Slow | Class 4 2 11/1 -- -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
24-08-2026 Brighton | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 3 6/1 -- -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Workable mark

Latest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 89 and winning TS par is around 64. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Channel Islands Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form2-5
FFR84 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw3
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Bad Dreams Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw4
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Caturra Rock Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw2
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
If You Like Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Watch only 11.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw7
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Scenic Blue Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 9.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 9.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9
FFR41 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw6
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Flick Of An Eye Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 5.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 5.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3
FFR81 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw5
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
1:53 | Redcar

1:53 | Redcar | 5f

Class 4 | Good | racingtv.com Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 75 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosLow
Average OR861 rated runner | Top OR 86: Blake's Monarch
Winning par57.83s2 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 7.1) Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Blake's Monarch leads the contextual model at 28.0
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +8.0 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 57.83s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 8 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Blake's MonarchRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 52.0
10-6-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-06-2026
AscotClass 1 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result10 btn 0.1L
SP150/1
JockeySilvestre De Sousa
OR--
FFR74
SS--
30-05-2026
ChesterClass 2 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result6 btn 0.3L
SP10/1
JockeySilvestre De Sousa
OR--
FFR84
SS--
11-05-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 0.1L
SP10/1
JockeyDavid Probert
OR--
FFR90
SS--
 9st 3lb 2 OR 86 90 +4lb 0 1.15 +16.7 Layoff check Same trip Strong field -- 50% 50% 0/6 -- E Workable +4 WATCH ONLY
MugheerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 44.0
1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-08-2026
CatterickClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result1
SP1/1F
JockeyClifford Lee
OR--
FFR87
SS--
 9st 7lb 8 OR -- 87 -- 0 1.15 +8.7 Standard rest Same trip Strong field -- 54% 62% 1/6 -- D Developing WATCH ONLY
Muve OnRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 10.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 0lb 7 OR -- -- -- 0 1.15 +2.7 Rest developing Trip move developing Strong field -- 53% 55% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
CyberspaceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.2
5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-09-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP20/1
JockeyPaul Mulrennan
OR--
FFR62
SS--
 9st 3lb 1 OR -- 62 -- 2 1.15 -4.1 Standard rest Same trip Strong field -- 44% 52% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Regal AdventureRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.0
7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
10-04-2026
ThirskClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt--
Result7 btn 14L
SP50/1
JockeyAndrew Mullen
OR--
FFR59
SS76
 9st 3lb 4 OR -- 59 -- 0 1.15 -4.3 Long absence Same trip Strong field -- 44% 49% 0/6 76 E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
MaluleeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 6.2
12-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
ThirskClass 2 | 6f | Good To Soft
Wgt8st 7lb
Result12 btn 3L
SP250/1
JockeyEthan Tindall
OR--
FFR31
SS--
28-07-2026
BeverleyClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result11 btn 1.5L
SP14/1
JockeySean Kirrane
OR--
FFR59
SS--
 8st 9lb 3 OR -- 59 -- 0 1.15 -5.1 Standard rest Down in trip Strong field -- 44% 54% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Rum PointRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 4.5
11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
ThirskClass 2 | 6f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 4lb
Result11 btn 14L
SP18/1
JockeyZak Wheatley
OR--
FFR60
SS--
 9st 6lb 6 OR -- 60 -- 0 1.15 -6.8 Standard rest Down in trip Strong field -- 51% 54% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
PaphosRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.5
5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
24-08-2026
MusselburghClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result5 btn 0.8L
SP11/2
JockeyZak Wheatley
OR--
FFR69
SS--
 9st 6lb 5 OR -- 69 -- 0 1.15 -7.8 Standard rest Same trip Strong field -- 44% 45% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Blake's Monarch

Blake's Monarch profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 0/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Mugheer

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Blake's Monarch Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 52.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 52.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10-6-2
FFR90 / +4lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw2
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
10 Ascot Run faded 20-06-2026
6 Chester Competitive 30-05-2026
2 Wolverhampton (AW) Solid effort 11-05-2026
Franked form Not franked yet

No strong named-rival evidence from recent races yet.

Proof rating0
Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement0/6
FFR90
Speed--
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+4lb near mark
FFR 90 pounds scale
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score28.0Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI EVERY_LOW
Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 50% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 34%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Handicap Question Track / draw
Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs1/3
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Fast 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 50% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 35%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 64%
Stable setup 58%
Recent evidence 42%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questionsRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Mark read Latest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 86 | Latest FFR 90 | Best FFR 90 | Public mark read +4
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Ivan Furtado
Jockey Jason Hart
Age 2
Draw 2
OR 86
Avg OR 86
OR vs Field 0
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 260
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile1
DEIE
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
20-06-2026 Ascot Good To Firm 10 1:0.59 60.6
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.0 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 87 days Standard layoff
Micro score +0.0 headgear declared: t; wind surgery noted
Ground timing match 1/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgeartFirst-time aid today
WindFirst run after wind surgery
Latest SP150/1
OwnerThe Good Racing Co Ltd Partners
Pedigree

Ten Sovereigns × Glencross (Gleneagles)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.2L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
20-06-2026 Ascot 10 0.1 Neutral finish
30-05-2026 Chester 6 0.3 Neutral finish
11-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 2 0.1 Neutral finish
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par57.83s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:0.59
Recent positions10
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
20-06-2026 Ascot | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 1 10 150/1 -- -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
30-05-2026 Chester | 6f | Good | Class 2 6 10/1 -- -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
11-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 2 10/1 -- -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Workable mark

Latest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 94 and winning TS par is around 52.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Mugheer Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 44.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Best of a weak race 44.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form1
FFR87 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw8
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.15
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Catterick Finished well 26-08-2026
Franked form Not franked yet

No strong named-rival evidence from recent races yet.

Proof rating0
Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR87
Speed--
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs ORperformance rating
FFR 87 pounds scale
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score20.0Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DVERY_LOW
Mark readEvidence developing--
Today's conditions match 54% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 52%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 66%
Handicap 50%
Best fit Track / draw Question Class
Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs1/1
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 1 1W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 62% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 57%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 50%
Stable setup 74%
Recent evidence 76%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Mark read Mark edge unavailable Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Evidence developing --

There is not enough official-mark evidence to make a firm handicap judgement.

Today's OR Unrated | Latest FFR 87 | Best FFR 87 | Public mark read --
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer K. R. Burke
Jockey Clifford Lee
Age 2
Draw 8
OR Unrated
Avg OR 86
OR vs Field --
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 1
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile1
DEID
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
26-08-2026 Catterick Good 1 0:59.12 59.1
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 20 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP1/1F
OwnerAbdulrazaq Mohamdi
Pedigree

Soldier's Call × Sounds Of April (Exceed And Excel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
26-08-2026 Catterick 1 0 Fast finish
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par57.83s
Last win at trip-- | Catterick | 26-08-2026
Recent times0:59.12
Recent positions1
Winning contextweight 9-1
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
26-08-2026 Catterick | 5f | Good | Class 4 1 1/1F -- -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Evidence developing

--.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 94 and winning TS par is around 52.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Muve On Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 10.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 10.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw7
Wgt9st 0lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Cyberspace Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5
FFR62 / --
Speed--
Franked2
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Regal Adventure Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7
FFR59 / --
Speed76
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Malulee Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 6.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 6.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form12-11
FFR59 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw3
Wgt8st 9lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Rum Point Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 4.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 4.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form11
FFR60 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw6
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Paphos Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 3.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5
FFR69 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
6:00 | Wolverhampton (AW)

6:00 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f

Class 4 | Standard | Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 73 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR62.52 rated runners | Top OR 67: Ennoble
Winning par1m 13.49s56 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupTAPETA: STANDARD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Dusk Damsel leads the contextual model at 35.2
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +19.0 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 1m 13.49s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 12 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Dusk DamselRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 50.0
2-4-9-5-14-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt8st 11lb
Result2 btn 2.8L
SP40/1
JockeyMillie Wonnacott
OR52
FFR73
SS90
17-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 4lb
Result4 btn 1.8L
SP14/1
JockeyMillie Wonnacott
OR54
FFR20
SS94
21-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 6lb
Result9 btn 2.8L
SP25/1
JockeyDavid Probert
OR57
FFR49
SS93
02-06-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 1L
SP22/1
JockeyTaylor Fisher
OR59
FFR24
SS90
14-05-2026
SalisburyClass 6 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result14 btn 13L
SP20/1
JockeyTaylor Fisher
OR59
FFR49
SS--
28-04-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 1.5L
SP18/1
JockeyTaylor Fisher
OR59
FFR76
SS--
 9st 0lb 1 OR 58 76 +18lb 14 1.13 +24 Standard rest Down in trip Modest field -- 55% 61% 0/6 90 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
EnnobleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 16.2
4-5-6-3-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 4lb
Result4 btn 1L
SP14/1
JockeyHarry Russell
OR71
FFR75
SS97
03-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result5 btn 0.2L
SP4/1
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR75
FFR80
SS97
16-05-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result--
SP5/1
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR77
FFR69
SS90
22-10-2025
Navan-- | 5f | Soft
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.3L
SP6/4F
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR78
FFR77
SS90
30-09-2025
Cork (IRE)-- | 5f | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP100/30
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR--
FFR49
SS--
27-06-2025
Curragh (IRE)-- | 6f | Good
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.2L
SP14/1
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR--
FFR57
SS--
 9st 5lb 12 OR 67 57 -10lb 26 1.13 +5 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 48% 45% 0/6 90 D Stiff -7 CAUTION PROFILE
Not That GuyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 14.2
2-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
24-10-2025
NewburyClass 4 | 6½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 4.2L
SP4/1
JockeyOisin Orr
OR--
FFR84
SS115
26-09-2025
HaydockClass 4 | 6f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result5 btn 4.8L
SP18/1
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR--
FFR80
SS99
 9st 5lb 7 OR -- 80 -- 0 1.13 +3 Long absence Trip move developing Modest field -- 48% 52% 0/6 99 E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
CoilltedudeisbackRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
3-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
22-07-2026
LingfieldClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result3 btn 7L
SP25/1
JockeyPat Cosgrave
OR--
FFR33
SS--
14-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result10 btn 2.8L
SP66/1
JockeyM. P. Sheehy
OR--
FFR48
SS--
 9st 5lb 10 OR -- 48 -- 0 1.13 +0.8 Freshened up Same trip Modest field -- 48% 50% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Red MelodyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 10.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 5 OR -- -- -- 0 1.13 -1.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Modest field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Flag Of NationsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 5lb 2 OR -- -- -- 0 1.13 -2.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Modest field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Sir ChopsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 5lb 8 OR -- -- -- 0 1.13 -2.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Modest field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Iron DomeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.2
4-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
16-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 1L
SP17/2
JockeyP J McDonald
OR--
FFR80
SS98
29-09-2025
Remington Park (USA)-- | 1m1f | Fast
Wgt--
Result2 btn 3.2L
SP43/10
JockeyJose L Ortiz
OR--
FFR67
SS--
 9st 5lb 9 OR -- 67 -- 0 1.13 -3 Freshened up Same trip Modest field -- 48% 54% 0/6 98 E Developing WATCH ONLY
OddjobRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 4.0
5-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
16-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP4/1
JockeyKieran Shoemark
OR--
FFR63
SS--
07-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt8st 13lb
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP14/1
JockeyAshley Lewis
OR--
FFR58
SS--
 9st 5lb 4 OR -- 58 -- 0 1.13 -2.8 Freshened up Same trip Modest field -- 48% 54% 1/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Beautiful RumourRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 1.2
4-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-09-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 2.5L
SP150/1
JockeyKieran O'Neill
OR--
FFR44
SS--
16-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 10lb
Result9 btn 8L
SP80/1
JockeyKieran O'Neill
OR--
FFR47
SS--
 9st 7lb 11 OR -- 47 -- 2 1.13 -10 Standard rest Up in trip Modest field -- 48% 50% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
InkberrowRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 1.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 0lb 6 OR -- -- -- 0 1.13 +1.8 Rest developing Trip move developing Modest field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Blazing GadenRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only -1.8
4-9-5-5-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 6lb
Result4 btn 16L
SP500/1
JockeyDougie Costello
OR--
FFR55
SS65
16-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 10lb
Result9 btn 15L
SP500/1
JockeyDougie Costello
OR--
FFR93
SS75
27-05-2026
Newton AbbotClass 5 | 18.5f | Good
Wgt10st 5lb
Result5 btn 7L
SP25/1
JockeyDavid Noonan
OR74
FFR97
SS57
17-05-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 16.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 2lb
Result--
SP11/1
JockeyTom Bellamy
OR72
FFR80
SS110
22-04-2026
TauntonClass 5 | 2m½f | Good
Wgt--
Result5 btn 10L
SP40/1
JockeyJames Turner
OR74
FFR44
SS--
02-03-2026
SouthwellClass 5 | 2m | Soft
Wgt--
Result6 btn 12L
SP20/1
JockeyFinn Lambert
OR73
FFR47
SS--
 9st 7lb 3 OR -- 47 +6lb 18 1.13 -13 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 55% 56% 0/6 110 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Dusk Damsel

Dusk Damsel profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Ennoble

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Dusk Damsel Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 50.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 50.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form2-4-9-5-14-2
FFR76 / +18lb
Speed90
Franked14
Ground1/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 0lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Lingfield (AW) Solid effort 01-09-2026
4 Lingfield (AW) Competitive 17-08-2026
9 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 21-07-2026
5 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 02-06-2026
14 Salisbury Steady run 14-05-2026
2 Lingfield (AW) Solid effort 28-04-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating14
1winners since
3placers since
10evidence pts
03-03-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Clouds Of Gold (GB), Cracking Anna (GB), Militzie (GB)

Later placers

Espanita (IRE) (09-03-2026), Galileo Charm (GB) (02-07-2026)

06-02-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Inclusive (GB), Power Of Chora (IRE), Warriors Choice (GB)

Race produced winner

Musical Soldier (IRE)

09-01-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

For Ever Hopefull (IRE), Garth Spirit (GB), Miraflores (GB)

Later placers

Nothing But Love (GB) (08-06-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement0/6
FFR76
Speed90
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+18lb ahead of mark
FFR 76 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
90 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score35.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI ELOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest +18lb | peak +18lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs5/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 8 0W / 2P Peak rating 57
Placement evidence 61% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 24%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questions
Mark read Latest +18lb | peak +18lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +18lb | peak +18lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 58 | Latest FFR 76 | Best FFR 76 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer J S Moore
Jockey Millie Wonnacott(5)
Age 3
Draw 1
OR 58
Avg OR 62.5
OR vs Field -4.5
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 205942
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +0.8
Variance Very steady 2% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -6 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile2
DEIE
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
28-04-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 2 1:13.71 73.7
14-05-2026 Salisbury Good 14 1:23.42 83.4
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 14 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window
Ground timing match 1/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP40/1
OwnerMs H N Pinniger And Partner
Pedigree

Twilight Son × Visala (Exceed And Excel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.5L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
01-09-2026 Lingfield (AW) 2 2.8 Neutral finish
17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 4 1.8 Fast finish
21-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 9 2.8 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
28-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 59
14-05-2026 | Salisbury
Rating -- OR 59
02-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 59
21-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 57
17-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 54
01-09-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 52
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 13.49s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:13.71 | 1:23.42
Recent positions2 | 14
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
01-09-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 4 2 40/1 52 -- -- 2.8 -- GREY - no timing read
17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 6 4 14/1 54 -- -- 1.8 -- GREY - no timing read
21-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 6 9 25/1 57 -- -- 2.8 -- GREY - no timing read
02-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 6 5 22/1 59 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
14-05-2026 Salisbury | 6f | Good | Class 6 14 20/1 59 -- -- 13 -- GREY - no timing read
28-04-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 6 2 18/1 59 -- 42 1.5 1:13.71 GREEN - within 1% of par
Handicap Well treated

Latest +18lb | peak +18lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 84.1 and winning TS par is around 61.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Ennoble Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 16.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 16.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form4-5-6-3-7
FFR57 / -10lb
Speed90
Franked26
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw12
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Not That Guy Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 14.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 14.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form2-5
FFR80 / --
Speed99
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripTrip move developing
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Coilltedudeisback Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-10
FFR48 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw10
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: Trip move Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Red Melody Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 10.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 10.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw5
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Flag Of Nations Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 9.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 9.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw2
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Sir Chops Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 9.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 9.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw8
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Iron Dome Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-2
FFR67 / --
Speed98
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw9
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Oddjob Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 4.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 4.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-4
FFR58 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: Trip move Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Beautiful Rumour Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 1.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 1.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-9
FFR47 / --
Speed--
Franked2
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw11
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Inkberrow Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 1.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 1.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw6
Wgt9st 0lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Blazing Gaden Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence --
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only -1.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-9-5-5-6
FFR47 / +6lb
Speed110
Franked18
Ground2/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw3
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
5:13 | Punchestown

5:13 | Punchestown | 9f

0-60 | Good | Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (Div II)

Race Confidence 72 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR50.917 rated runners | Top OR 60: Casheldale Lass
Winning par1m 51.11s1054 race distance-only sample | approximate
SetupGOOD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-60 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Casheldale Lass leads the contextual model at 22.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Winning-time par: 1m 51.11s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 17 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Casheldale LassRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 58.0
3-8-12-8-2-16
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
08-08-2026
Wexford (IRE)-- | 17f | Good
Wgt10st 9lb
Result3 btn 3.5L
SP14/1
JockeyConor Smithers
OR--
FFR66
SS81
12-07-2026
Sligo-- | 17.5f | Good
Wgt11st 0lb
Result8 btn 1.8L
SP9/1
JockeySean O'Keeffe
OR--
FFR75
SS97
24-06-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 11f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result12 btn 0.3L
SP6/1
JockeyPatrick McGettigan
OR63
FFR51
SS92
28-05-2026
Fairyhouse (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result8 btn 0.1L
SP11/4F
JockeyPatrick McGettigan
OR64
FFR56
SS90
15-05-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt8st 4lb
Result2 btn 0.2L
SP15/2
JockeyPatrick McGettigan
OR61
FFR81
SS92
25-04-2026
Navan-- | 1m2f | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result16 btn 0.5L
SP14/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR62
FFR101
SS90
 10st 2lb 1 OR 60 101 +41lb 21 1.05 +9.4 Freshened up Big drop back Weak field -- 60% 68% 1/6 90 C Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Nephin MountainRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 36.8
3-1-5-6-1-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP10/1
JockeyTerry Casey
OR57
FFR52
SS89
27-08-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 4lb
Result1
SP11/1
JockeyWesley Joyce
OR53
FFR78
SS81
12-08-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 9lb
Result5 btn 1.5L
SP10/1
JockeyTerry Casey
OR54
FFR56
SS87
02-08-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 8.5f | Yielding
Wgt8st 0lb
Result6 btn 1.8L
SP16/1
JockeyTerry Casey
OR55
FFR63
SS92
20-07-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Yielding
Wgt8st 6lb
Result1
SP11/2
JockeyTerry Casey
OR51
FFR78
SS87
17-07-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 13f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result5 btn 0.8L
SP18/1
JockeyWesley Joyce
OR51
FFR69
SS91
 9st 8lb 13 OR 58 69 +11lb 28 1.05 +17.9 Standard rest Down in trip Weak field -- 55% 61% 0/6 91 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Believe BelieveRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 30.5
2-8-10-9-6-13
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-05-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP5/4F
JockeySam Coen
OR57
FFR49
SS65
27-10-2025
Galway-- | 7f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result8 btn 0.3L
SP4/1F
JockeyJamie Powell
OR58
FFR64
SS87
20-10-2025
Gowran Park-- | 7f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP14/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR60
FFR67
SS96
04-10-2025
Curragh (IRE)-- | 7f | Soft To Heavy
Wgt--
Result9 btn 2.8L
SP66/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR--
FFR72
SS91
28-09-2025
Curragh (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt--
Result6 btn 2.2L
SP100/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR--
FFR72
SS94
31-08-2025
Tipperary (IRE)-- | 7½f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result13 btn 2L
SP16/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR--
FFR77
SS--
 9st 7lb 15 OR 57 77 +20lb 35 1.05 +6.7 Long absence Up in trip Weak field -- 58% 63% 1/6 94 D Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
Tero d'RosaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 28.0
6-4-6-6-1-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 11f | Good
Wgt8st 12lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP8/1
JockeyShane Markey
OR61
FFR83
SS84
12-07-2026
Dundalk (AW)-- | 12f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP9/2
JockeyPatrick McGettigan
OR62
FFR81
SS98
12-06-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 7lb
Result6 btn 1.5L
SP7/1
JockeyDonagh O'Connor
OR63
FFR71
SS93
12-05-2026
Killarney (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt10st 4lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP3/1F
JockeyShane Foley
OR62
FFR71
SS90
08-05-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 11lb
Result1
SP6/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR55
FFR71
SS98
19-11-2025
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m2½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 4.2L
SP11/8F
JockeyShane Foley
OR54
FFR65
SS102
 10st 1lb 8 OR 59 65 +6lb 34 1.05 +3.4 Standard rest Big drop back Weak field -- 60% 66% 1/6 102 C Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
Medieval NightRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 15.8
5-2-6-7-4-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt9st 11lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP10/1
JockeyReese Holohan
OR59
FFR52
SS98
12-08-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 12lb
Result2 btn 1.8L
SP6/1
JockeyW J Lee
OR56
FFR74
SS93
22-07-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result6 btn 1.8L
SP16/1
JockeyJared Huggan
OR57
FFR60
SS101
15-07-2026
Killarney (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result7 btn 1.8L
SP12/1
JockeyChris Hayes
OR56
FFR66
SS97
09-07-2026
Leopardstown-- | 9f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP22/1
JockeyJ M Sheridan
OR56
FFR76
SS92
30-06-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 7.5f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result10 btn 0.5L
SP9/1
JockeyChris Hayes
OR56
FFR71
SS86
 9st 12lb 17 OR 56 71 +15lb 10 1.05 +2.4 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 58% 65% 0/6 86 D Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
GlamazonRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 15.2
10-3-9-4-8-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-08-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt9st 9lb
Result10 btn 0.1L
SP5/1C
JockeyDarragh O'Sullivan
OR60
FFR46
SS105
14-08-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 10lb
Result3 btn 1.8L
SP14/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR60
FFR39
SS94
15-07-2026
Killarney (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result9 btn 1.2L
SP11/2
JockeyShane Foley
OR63
FFR64
SS97
03-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP6/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR64
FFR53
SS102
04-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Soft To Heavy
Wgt9st 9lb
Result8 btn 0.2L
SP15/2
JockeyScott McCullagh
OR65
FFR72
SS94
24-05-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 2lb
Result11 btn 1.5L
SP22/1
JockeyKeithen Kennedy
OR73
FFR51
SS95
 9st 8lb 16 OR 58 51 -7lb 31 1.05 +1.9 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 48% 53% 0/6 95 D Stiff -4 CAUTION PROFILE
AutocratRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.8
8-9-10-16-10-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-09-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 13f | Good
Wgt8st 8lb
Result8 btn 2L
SP14/1
JockeyPatrick McGettigan
OR43
FFR79
SS89
20-07-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 13f | Good To Yielding
Wgt8st 11lb
Result9 btn 2.8L
SP40/1
JockeyMel Sheridan
OR48
FFR42
SS90
11-07-2026
Navan-- | 10f | Good
Wgt8st 12lb
Result10 btn 2.2L
SP12/1
JockeyMel Sheridan
OR52
FFR38
SS103
15-05-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 13f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result16 btn 2.5L
SP12/1
JockeyLuke McAteer
OR56
FFR44
SS107
03-05-2026
Sligo (IRE)-- | 14f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt9st 9lb
Result10 btn 1.5L
SP9/2
JockeyJamie Orr
OR60
FFR36
SS102
20-03-2026
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m2½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 1.8L
SP13/2
JockeyColin Keane
OR71
FFR60
SS96
 8st 10lb 5 OR 40 60 +20lb 15 1.05 +0.9 Standard rest Big drop back Weak field -- 55% 60% 1/6 96 E Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
KeilahRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.8
15-10-5-7-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result15 btn 2.2L
SP14/1
JockeyJ M Sheridan
OR54
FFR78
SS113
12-08-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result10 btn 0.8L
SP25/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR58
FFR48
SS96
12-07-2026
Sligo-- | 17.5f | Good
Wgt10st 11lb
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP14/1
JockeyPhillip Enright
OR103
FFR83
SS98
12-05-2026
Sligo (IRE)-- | 18f | Good
Wgt11st 7lb
Result7 btn 4.8L
SP16/1
JockeyPhillip Enright
OR104
FFR96
SS89
03-05-2026
Sligo (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt9st 11lb
Result7 btn 5.5L
SP8/1
JockeyG B Noonan
OR60
FFR58
SS99
28-09-2025
Curragh (IRE)-- | 1m2f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result--
SP15/2
JockeyMr M N Sharpe
OR61
FFR38
SS109
 9st 10lb 3 OR 54 38 -16lb 35 1.05 -9.6 Standard rest Down in trip Weak field -- 50% 52% 1/6 109 C Stiff -13 CAUTION PROFILE
Eldorado GloryRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.2
13-9-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result13 btn 2.8L
SP150/1
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR--
FFR49
SS--
20-08-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result9 btn 0.3L
SP66/1
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR--
FFR47
SS--
15-08-2026
Dundalk (IRE)-- | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 1lb
Result6 btn 4.2L
SP66/1
JockeyMel Sheridan
OR--
FFR36
SS--
 9st 2lb 12 OR 52 36 -16lb 15 1.05 -2.1 Standard rest Big step up Weak field -- 45% 49% 1/6 -- E Stiff -13 CAUTION PROFILE
Gloriously GlamRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.0
9-12-2-5-8-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt9st 9lb
Result9 btn 0.3L
SP10/1
JockeyColin Keane
OR65
FFR65
SS96
01-08-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 11lb
Result12 btn 3.8L
SP25/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR67
FFR44
SS86
03-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 11lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP4/1F
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR69
FFR61
SS98
19-06-2026
Limerick (IRE)-- | 8f | Soft
Wgt8st 13lb
Result5 btn 1.8L
SP12/1
JockeyGabriella Hill
OR72
FFR78
SS102
12-06-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 0lb
Result8 btn 6L
SP12/1
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR76
FFR37
SS82
28-05-2026
Fairyhouse (IRE)-- | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 13lb
Result3 btn 4L
SP5/4F
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR77
FFR46
SS103
 10st 2lb 11 OR 60 46 -14lb 59 1.05 +2.9 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 45% 46% 1/6 103 E Stiff -11 CAUTION PROFILE
Dress DanceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.2
7-12-13-13-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result7 btn 0.2L
SP33/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR52
FFR65
SS92
19-05-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Soft To Heavy
Wgt9st 10lb
Result12 btn 2.8L
SP22/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR54
FFR60
SS88
11-10-2025
Naas (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result13 btn 1L
SP150/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR--
FFR62
SS86
16-09-2025
Punchestown (IRE)-- | 1m1½f | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result13 btn 1.8L
SP40/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR--
FFR45
SS--
19-04-2025
Cork (IRE)-- | 1m | Soft
Wgt--
Result5 btn 3.2L
SP28/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR--
FFR67
SS--
 9st 6lb 7 OR 50 67 +17lb 41 1.05 -6.1 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 55% 57% 0/6 86 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
De SongbirdRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.2
15-26-7-7-11-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt8st 6lb
Result15 btn 2.2L
SP50/1
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR49
FFR68
SS88
22-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 6f | Good
Wgt8st 6lb
Result26 btn 0.5L
SP40/1
JockeyWesley Joyce
OR54
FFR48
SS93
14-07-2026
Killarney (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result7 btn 1L
SP16/1
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR58
FFR38
SS--
04-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Soft To Heavy
Wgt8st 12lb
Result7 btn 2.5L
SP33/1
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR61
FFR60
SS--
15-05-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result11 btn 0.2L
SP100/1
JockeyJames Ryan
OR--
FFR30
SS--
27-04-2026
Naas-- | 1m2½f | Good
Wgt--
Result6 btn 9L
SP200/1
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR--
FFR42
SS--
 8st 11lb 10 OR 47 42 -5lb 38 1.05 -6.1 Standard rest Down in trip Weak field -- 49% 48% 0/6 93 E Near mark -2 CAUTION PROFILE
Pinball WizardRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.0
8-11-7-12-7-14
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result8 btn 0.3L
SP20/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR47
FFR60
SS88
02-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result11 btn 1.5L
SP14/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR50
FFR75
SS102
01-06-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt9st 7lb
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP14/1
JockeyJessica O'Gorman
OR50
FFR68
SS98
07-11-2025
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result12 btn 0.1L
SP28/1
JockeySam Coen
OR52
FFR59
SS90
14-10-2025
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)-- | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 2L
SP28/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR54
FFR54
SS99
26-09-2025
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)-- | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result14 btn 5.5L
SP8/1
JockeyRoss Coakley
OR56
FFR50
SS97
 8st 12lb 4 OR 42 50 +8lb 15 1.05 -4.1 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 55% 60% 1/6 97 E Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
Peig SayersRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 6.2
10-10-8-14-13-22
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
14-08-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP33/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR44
FFR56
SS95
22-07-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP33/1
JockeyDarragh O'Sullivan
OR47
FFR72
SS92
08-07-2026
Fairyhouse-- | 7f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result8 btn 4.2L
SP50/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR52
FFR42
SS84
12-05-2026
Killarney (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 13lb
Result14 btn 2L
SP33/1
JockeyW J Lee
OR57
FFR42
SS79
24-04-2026
Cork-- | 1m | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result13 btn 0.8L
SP33/1
JockeyBen Coen
OR58
FFR59
SS95
21-10-2025
Curragh-- | 1m | Heavy
Wgt--
Result22 btn 16L
SP66/1
JockeyBen Coen
OR61
FFR58
SS--
 8st 10lb 9 OR 40 58 +18lb 31 1.05 -7.1 Freshened up Up in trip Weak field -- 55% 64% 0/6 95 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
HastilyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 4.0
9-13-14-15-16-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
24-07-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 4lb
Result9 btn 1L
SP11/1
JockeyJulian Pietropaolo
OR41
FFR74
SS92
12-06-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt8st 13lb
Result13 btn 5.5L
SP125/1
JockeyKillian Leonard
OR43
FFR31
SS98
30-05-2026
Tramore (IRE)-- | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 5lb
Result14 btn 49L
SP300/1
JockeyDylan Robinson
OR--
FFR32
SS89
20-05-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt8st 13lb
Result15 btn 1L
SP66/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR48
FFR63
SS100
09-05-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 4lb
Result16 btn 0.2L
SP33/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR51
FFR33
SS83
17-10-2025
Dundalk (AW)-- | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result9 btn 2L
SP9/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR50
FFR52
SS98
 8st 10lb 6 OR 40 52 +12lb 34 1.05 -6.3 Freshened up Big step up Weak field -- 55% 58% 1/6 98 E Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
Mullacurry MaidRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.2
9-17-5-9-8-15
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
15-08-2026
Tramore (IRE)-- | 12f | Good To Yielding
Wgt10st 0lb
Result9 btn 51L
SP66/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR56
FFR56
SS79
09-07-2026
Leopardstown-- | 9f | Good
Wgt10st 1lb
Result17 btn 0.1L
SP50/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR59
FFR57
SS78
11-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 7f | Soft
Wgt9st 13lb
Result5 btn 3.8L
SP300/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR--
FFR64
SS92
14-11-2025
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m2½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result9 btn 0.8L
SP400/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR--
FFR41
SS--
21-10-2025
Curragh-- | 1m4f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result8 btn 13L
SP300/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR--
FFR35
SS--
11-10-2025
Naas (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result15 btn 3L
SP100/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR--
FFR39
SS--
 9st 7lb 14 OR 51 39 -12lb 17 1.05 -10.1 Freshened up Big drop back Weak field -- 45% 47% 0/6 92 E Stiff -9 CAUTION PROFILE
Miss AmericanaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 2.8
3-7-2-9-9-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt8st 13lb
Result3 btn 1L
SP6/1
JockeyKeithen Kennedy
OR43
FFR86
SS93
12-06-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt8st 13lb
Result7 btn 1.5L
SP4/1
JockeyJ M Sheridan
OR43
FFR75
SS96
05-06-2026
Fairyhouse (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt8st 11lb
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP16/5F
JockeyShane Foley
OR41
FFR67
SS94
22-04-2026
Gowran Park-- | 7f | Soft
Wgt--
Result9 btn 1.2L
SP5/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR43
FFR74
SS100
12-04-2026
Leopardstown-- | 1m | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result9 btn 0.3L
SP7/2F
JockeyDeclan McDonogh
OR41
FFR60
SS96
09-04-2026
Gowran Park-- | 1m | Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.1L
SP8/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR41
FFR74
SS90
 8st 12lb 2 OR 42 74 +32lb 24 1.05 +5.9 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 55% 63% 1/6 90 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Casheldale Lass

Casheldale Lass profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Nephin Mountain

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Casheldale Lass Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 58.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 58.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form3-8-12-8-2-16
FFR101 / +41lb
Speed90
Franked21
Ground2/2 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw1
Wgt10st 2lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3 Wexford (IRE) Finished well 08-08-2026
8 Sligo Competitive 12-07-2026
12 Naas (IRE) Run faded 24-06-2026
8 Fairyhouse (IRE) Run faded 28-05-2026
2 Leopardstown (IRE) Solid effort 15-05-2026
16 Navan Competitive 25-04-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating21
3winners since
6placers since
12evidence pts
08-08-2026 | Wexford (IRE) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Ballyhahill (IRE), Felicity Smoak (IRE), Shakita (IRE)

05-09-2025 | Ballinrobe (IRE) Finished 12
Beat named rivals

All Told (IRE), Brosna Green (IRE)

Race produced winner

Faoladh (IRE)

Later placers

Amplitude (IRE) (05-08-2026), Cinammon Coco (IRE) (08-11-2025)

10-06-2025 | Killarney (IRE) Finished 7
Beat named rivals

De Boode (IRE), Report To Station (IRE), Staywitherjohnny (IRE)

Race produced winner

Justenzia (IRE), Obscenity (IRE)

Later placers

De Boode (IRE) (07-12-2025), Ribee (IRE) (04-03-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR101
Speed90
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+41lb ahead of mark
FFR 101 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
90 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting profile, but the current SpeedScore is light Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score22.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CLOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest +41lb | peak +41lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs5/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 4 0W / 0P Peak rating 60
Good 8 2W / 4P Peak rating 68
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 68% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 58%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +41lb | peak +41lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +41lb | peak +41lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 60 | Latest FFR 101 | Best FFR 101 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Andrew Kinirons
Jockey Jack Kearney(3)
Age 4
Draw 1
OR 60
Avg OR 50.9
OR vs Field +9.1
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 7-0280
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Reliable 5.3% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -2.9 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m1½f
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m1½f
Runs at profile2
DEIC
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
09-05-2025 Ballinrobe (IRE) Good 12 2:13.58 133.6
02-06-2025 Gowran Park (IRE) Good 1 2:3.12 123.1
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 38 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP14/1
OwnerSean Gary Murphy
Pedigree

Raven's Pass × Owega Dale (Refuse To Bend)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.9L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
08-08-2026 Wexford (IRE) 3 3.5 Fast finish
12-07-2026 Sligo 8 1.8 Neutral finish
24-06-2026 Naas (IRE) 12 0.3 Run faded
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 1 runs with an official OR.
25-04-2026 | Navan
Rating 46 OR 62
15-05-2026 | Leopardstown (IRE)
Rating -- OR 61
28-05-2026 | Fairyhouse (IRE)
Rating -- OR 64
24-06-2026 | Naas (IRE)
Rating -- OR 63
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 51.11s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times2:13.58 | 2:3.12
Recent positions12 | 1
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
08-08-2026 Wexford (IRE) | 17f | Good | -- 3 14/1 -- -- -- 3.5 -- GREY - no timing read
12-07-2026 Sligo | 17.5f | Good | -- 8 9/1 -- -- -- 1.8 -- GREY - no timing read
24-06-2026 Naas (IRE) | 11f | Good | -- 12 6/1 63 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
28-05-2026 Fairyhouse (IRE) | 10f | Good | -- 8 11/4F 64 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
15-05-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) | 10f | Good | -- 2 15/2 61 -- -- 0.2 -- GREY - no timing read
25-04-2026 Navan | 1m2f | Good To Yielding | -- 16 14/1 62 46 22 0.5 2:11.62 GREY - below benchmark
Handicap Well treated

Latest +41lb | peak +41lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 103.6 and winning TS par is around 59.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Nephin Mountain Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 36.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 36.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-1-5-6-1-5
FFR69 / +11lb
Speed91
Franked28
Ground1/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw13
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Believe Believe Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 30.5
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 30.5 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-8-10-9-6-13
FFR77 / +20lb
Speed94
Franked35
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw15
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Tero d'Rosa Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 28.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 28.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form6-4-6-6-1-2
FFR65 / +6lb
Speed102
Franked34
Ground2/3 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw8
Wgt10st 1lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Medieval Night Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 15.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 15.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form5-2-6-7-4-10
FFR71 / +15lb
Speed86
Franked10
Ground3/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw17
Wgt9st 12lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Glamazon Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 15.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 15.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form10-3-9-4-8-11
FFR51 / -7lb
Speed95
Franked31
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw16
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Autocrat Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 12.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8-9-10-16-10-7
FFR60 / +20lb
Speed96
Franked15
Ground0/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw5
Wgt8st 10lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Keilah Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 11.8 confidence
Why considerRecent evidence contains a positive run clue
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form15-10-5-7-7
FFR38 / -16lb
Speed109
Franked35
Ground3/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw3
Wgt9st 10lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.05
Eldorado Glory Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 11.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form13-9-6
FFR36 / -16lb
Speed--
Franked15
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassClass move developing
Draw12
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.05
Gloriously Glam Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 9.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 9.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9-12-2-5-8-3
FFR46 / -14lb
Speed103
Franked59
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw11
Wgt10st 2lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Dress Dance Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-12-13-13-5
FFR67 / +17lb
Speed86
Franked41
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw7
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
De Songbird Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.2 confidence
Why considerRecent form includes a win/place signal
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form15-26-7-7-11-6
FFR42 / -5lb
Speed93
Franked38
Ground2/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw10
Wgt8st 11lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Pinball Wizard Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8-11-7-12-7-14
FFR50 / +8lb
Speed97
Franked15
Ground0/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw4
Wgt8st 12lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Peig Sayers Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 6.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 6.2 confidence
Why consider8 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10-10-8-14-13-22
FFR58 / +18lb
Speed95
Franked31
Ground3/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw9
Wgt8st 10lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Hastily Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 4.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 4.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9-13-14-15-16-9
FFR52 / +12lb
Speed98
Franked34
Ground0/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassClass move developing
Draw6
Wgt8st 10lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Mullacurry Maid Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 3.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9-17-5-9-8-15
FFR39 / -12lb
Speed92
Franked17
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw14
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Miss Americana Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 2.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 2.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-7-2-9-9-2
FFR74 / +32lb
Speed90
Franked24
Ground0/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw2
Wgt8st 12lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
8:00 | Wolverhampton (AW)

8:00 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 5f

Class 6 | Standard | Get Raceday Ready Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 72 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR56.810 rated runners | Top OR 60: Victor Cee
Winning par1m 01.38s124 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupTAPETA: STANDARD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-60 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Dragon God leads the contextual model at 35.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +9.5 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 1m 01.38s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 10 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Dragon GodRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 53.0
3-3-1-3-2-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
24-08-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result3 btn 1.5L
SP11/2
JockeyTom Marquand
OR56
FFR52
SS96
07-08-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 12lb
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP11/4
JockeyCharles Bishop
OR53
FFR63
SS89
02-08-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result1
SP7/2
JockeyTom Marquand
OR53
FFR65
SS98
16-07-2026
ChepstowClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 11lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP9/4
JockeyMyla Coppins
OR54
FFR67
SS96
27-06-2026
ChepstowClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP5/1
JockeyRowan Scott
OR53
FFR59
SS90
04-06-2026
WetherbyClass 6 | 5.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 1.8L
SP11/2
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR55
FFR58
SS98
 9st 6lb 6 OR 56 58 +2lb 28 1.13 +12.8 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 63% 71% 0/6 98 B Well treated +8 CAUTION PROFILE
Henery HawkRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 49.8
2-7-3-5-3-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 3lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP4/1
JockeyTom Kiely-Marshall
OR56
FFR40
SS90
10-08-2026
AyrClass 6 | 6f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 9lb
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP12/1
JockeyDavid Allan
OR57
FFR53
SS102
27-07-2026
AyrClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 10lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP7/1
JockeyConnor Beasley
OR58
FFR49
SS98
16-07-2026
HamiltonClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 12lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP16/1
JockeyDavid Allan
OR59
FFR62
SS101
06-07-2026
AyrClass 6 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result3 btn 1.8L
SP33/1
JockeyKaiya Fraser
OR59
FFR47
SS98
26-06-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard To Slow
Wgt8st 8lb
Result10 btn 1.5L
SP33/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR60
FFR63
SS103
 9st 8lb 9 OR 58 63 +5lb 12 1.13 +3.3 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 63% 68% 2/6 103 A Workable +5 WATCH ONLY
BananaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 45.8
3-4-2-10-2-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
25-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP4/1
JockeyKieran O'Neill
OR49
FFR75
SS96
05-08-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP13/8F
JockeyTaryn Langley
OR50
FFR81
SS96
03-07-2026
ChepstowClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 1.8L
SP5/2
JockeyKieran O'Neill
OR50
FFR60
SS98
30-10-2025
BathClass 6 | 5f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result10 btn 2L
SP14/1
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR50
FFR59
SS101
11-10-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.8L
SP7/2J
JockeyKieran ONeill
OR48
FFR57
SS103
04-10-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP18/1
JockeyCharlie Bennett
OR50
FFR60
SS93
 8st 12lb 8 OR 48 60 +12lb 22 1.13 +3.3 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 60% 72% 1/6 93 C Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
BasholoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 20.8
6-10-4-8-4-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
27-04-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 1.2L
SP12/1
JockeyZak Wheatley
OR60
FFR72
SS97
28-03-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result10 btn 1.5L
SP40/1
JockeyStevie Donohoe
OR62
FFR71
SS94
02-03-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP14/1
JockeyJason Hart
OR63
FFR77
SS98
09-02-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result8 btn 0.3L
SP25/1
JockeyZak Wheatley
OR65
FFR74
SS103
13-01-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1.8L
SP50/1
JockeyZak Wheatley
OR66
FFR65
SS102
02-01-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 4L
SP33/1
JockeyZak Wheatley
OR66
FFR69
SS98
 9st 8lb 1 OR 58 69 +11lb 22 1.13 -7 Long absence Same trip Modest field -- 65% 69% 2/6 98 A Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
Little JaybeeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 20.0
2-2-3-3-9-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
10-09-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP11/2
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR58
FFR57
SS84
28-08-2026
Ffos LasClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP3/1
JockeyJoe Leavy
OR58
FFR42
SS100
12-08-2026
Ffos LasClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP9/1
JockeyJ F Egan
OR60
FFR54
SS92
03-08-2026
NottinghamClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result3 btn 2.8L
SP5/1
JockeyKieran Shoemark
OR60
FFR55
SS90
15-06-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result9 btn 0.2L
SP16/1
JockeySean Levey
OR65
FFR64
SS97
18-05-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 6lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP22/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR68
FFR63
SS89
 9st 7lb 2 OR 58 63 +5lb 34 1.13 +3 Quick return Same trip Modest field -- 61% 68% 0/6 89 B Workable +6 CAUTION PROFILE
Love AliveRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 18.0
5-3-11-3-6-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-08-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 1L
SP3/1
JockeyAlistair Rawlinson
OR61
FFR71
SS87
24-07-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result3 btn 1.8L
SP18/1
JockeyAlistair Rawlinson
OR62
FFR50
SS84
25-06-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard To Slow
Wgt8st 13lb
Result11 btn 2L
SP40/1
JockeyRhys Elliott
OR65
FFR61
SS82
08-06-2026
LeicesterClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result3 btn 0.1L
SP18/1
JockeyJack Dace
OR66
FFR30
SS94
25-05-2026
RedcarClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result6 btn 3L
SP14/1
JockeyAndrew Mullen
OR68
FFR64
SS94
13-03-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result9 btn 2L
SP14/1
JockeyJack Dace
OR69
FFR52
SS94
 9st 8lb 10 OR 59 52 -7lb 20 1.13 -2.7 Freshened up Down in trip Modest field -- 53% 60% 0/6 94 B Stiff -4 CAUTION PROFILE
Sheik YerboutiRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 15.2
7-3-11-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
12-08-2026
Ffos LasClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result7 btn 4L
SP18/1
JockeyAshley Lewis
OR59
FFR61
SS82
16-06-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 8lb
Result3 btn 2.5L
SP200/1
JockeyAshley Lewis
OR--
FFR43
SS--
23-05-2026
SalisburyClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt10st 2lb
Result11 btn 5.5L
SP200/1
JockeyJack Doughty
OR--
FFR71
SS--
11-02-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 1m | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result8 btn 0.8L
SP150/1
JockeyEdward Greatrex
OR--
FFR25
SS--
 9st 6lb 3 OR 56 25 -31lb 0 1.13 -7.7 Freshened up Same trip Modest field -- 48% 48% 0/6 82 D Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Victor CeeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.8
7-3-5-7-8-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-07-2026
EpsomClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result7 btn 8L
SP28/1
JockeyTyler Heard
OR63
FFR77
SS100
15-07-2026
YarmouthClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result3 btn 1L
SP13/2
JockeyConnor Planas
OR64
FFR45
SS91
16-06-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 5lb
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP11/1
JockeyConnor Planas
OR66
FFR35
SS92
26-05-2026
LingfieldClass 5 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result7 btn 11L
SP28/1
JockeyJ F Egan
OR70
FFR62
SS96
15-05-2026
NewmarketClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result8 btn 3.5L
SP12/1
JockeyJ F Egan
OR73
FFR69
SS95
22-04-2026
CatterickClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP13/2
JockeyJ F Egan
OR74
FFR35
SS95
 9st 9lb 7 OR 60 35 -25lb 37 1.13 +0 Freshened up Down in trip Modest field -- 48% 48% 0/6 95 D Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Koffee And KaleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.8
4-6-4-7-5-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
24-08-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP11/2
JockeyHector Crouch
OR61
FFR35
SS93
13-08-2026
WindsorClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP4/1
JockeySilvestre De Sousa
OR63
FFR62
SS97
30-07-2026
EpsomClass 6 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP17/2
JockeyDaniel Muscutt
OR65
FFR55
SS100
09-07-2026
DoncasterClass 5 | 5.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 5lb
Result7 btn 0.2L
SP22/1
JockeyMr Kenny Roussety
OR67
FFR55
SS95
25-06-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard To Slow
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 1L
SP15/2
JockeyTom Marquand
OR70
FFR56
SS101
13-06-2026
LeicesterClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result7 btn 4L
SP12/1
JockeyRoss Coakley
OR72
FFR57
SS89
 9st 9lb 4 OR 60 57 -3lb 34 1.13 -3.7 Standard rest Down in trip Modest field -- 55% 61% 0/6 89 C Near mark +0 CAUTION PROFILE
Harry MoleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 6.0
4-3-3-2-2-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
27-08-2026
CarlisleClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP7/2F
JockeyDougie Costello
OR56
FFR48
SS92
08-08-2026
AyrClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result3 btn 2.5L
SP11/2
JockeyDougie Costello
OR57
FFR63
SS87
25-07-2026
ChesterClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP9/2
JockeyGeorge Wood
OR57
FFR63
SS99
13-06-2026
BathClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 10lb
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP11/4F
JockeyDougie Costello
OR56
FFR71
SS90
05-06-2026
ThirskClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP9/1
JockeyDougie Costello
OR54
FFR52
SS--
18-05-2026
CarlisleClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 5lb
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP22/1
JockeyFaye McManoman
OR57
FFR57
SS--
 9st 5lb 5 OR 55 57 +2lb 1 1.13 -1.2 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 58% 59% 0/6 90 D Well treated +8 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Dragon God

Dragon God profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Henery Hawk

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Dragon God Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 53.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Best of a weak race 53.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form3-3-1-3-2-5
FFR58 / +2lb
Speed98
Franked28
Ground0/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3 Windsor Finished well 24-08-2026
3 Brighton Solid effort 07-08-2026
1 Yarmouth Strong run 02-08-2026
3 Chepstow Solid effort 16-07-2026
2 Chepstow Solid effort 27-06-2026
5 Wetherby Run faded 04-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating28
2winners since
5placers since
12evidence pts
08-07-2026 | Brighton Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Bated Breeze (IRE), Kodi K (IRE), Mart (GB)

Later placers

Bated Breeze (IRE) (09-07-2026)

05-07-2026 | Windsor Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Barnsnape Boy (GB), Hello Luna (FR), Honour Your Dreams (FR)

Race produced winner

Barnsnape Boy (GB)

Later placers

Hello Luna (FR) (04-08-2026), Manhattan Chute (IRE) (08-07-2026)

04-05-2026 | Bath Finished 9
Beat named rivals

Call Time (IRE), Reporter (GB), Symbol Of Hope (GB)

Race produced winner

Secret Handsheikh (GB)

Later placers

Symbol Of Hope (GB) (06-05-2026), The Feminine Urge (IRE) (07-09-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement0/6
FFR58
Speed98
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+2lb near mark
FFR 58 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
98 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score35.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BMEDIUM
Mark readWell treatedLatest +2lb | peak +11lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb
Today's conditions match 63% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather No recent all-weather sample; best evidence is on fast ground
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read No recent all-weather sample; best evidence is on fast ground Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 65
Fast 8 1W / 7P Peak rating 59
All-weather 5 0W / 0P Peak rating 65
Placement evidence 71% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 86%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 76%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (B)6 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +8lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +2lb | peak +11lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +2lb | peak +11lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 56 | Latest FFR 58 | Best FFR 67 | Public mark read +8
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Jack Morland
Jockey George Wood
Age 4
Draw 6
OR 56
Avg OR 56.8
OR vs Field -0.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 523133
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Edging forward

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Very steady 4.1% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -1.7 vs par
Curve Edging forward Trend 1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile6
DEIB
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
16-07-2026 Chepstow Good To Firm 3 0:58.31 58.3
02-08-2026 Yarmouth Good To Firm 1 1:0.37 60.4
24-08-2026 Windsor Good To Firm 3 1:1.40 61.4
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 22 days Recent fitness window
Micro score -0.2 no recent matched-ground timing evidence; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: t; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgeartDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP11/2
OwnerNaser Alrashidi
Pedigree

Territories × Afrodita (Montjeu)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.8L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
24-08-2026 Windsor 3 1.5 Fast finish
07-08-2026 Brighton 3 0.8 Neutral finish
02-08-2026 Yarmouth 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
04-06-2026 | Wetherby
Rating -- OR 55
27-06-2026 | Chepstow
Rating -- OR 53
16-07-2026 | Chepstow
Rating -- OR 54
02-08-2026 | Yarmouth
Rating -- OR 53
07-08-2026 | Brighton
Rating -- OR 53
24-08-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 56
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs6
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par1m 01.38s
Last win at trip-- | Yarmouth | 02-08-2026
Recent times0:58.31 | 1:0.37 | 1:1.40
Recent positions3 | 1 | 3
Winning contextOR 53 | weight 9-7
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
24-08-2026 Windsor | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 3 11/2 56 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
07-08-2026 Brighton | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 6 3 11/4 53 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
02-08-2026 Yarmouth | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 1 7/2 53 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
16-07-2026 Chepstow | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 3 9/4 54 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
27-06-2026 Chepstow | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 2 5/1 53 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
04-06-2026 Wetherby | 5.5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 5 11/2 55 -- -- 1.8 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Well treated

Latest +2lb | peak +11lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 64.1 and winning TS par is around 49.3. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Henery Hawk Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 49.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 49.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-7-3-5-3-10
FFR63 / +5lb
Speed103
Franked12
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw9
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Wolverhampton (AW) Solid effort 01-09-2026
7 Ayr Run faded 10-08-2026
3 Ayr Solid effort 27-07-2026
5 Hamilton Competitive 16-07-2026
3 Ayr Solid effort 06-07-2026
10 Newcastle (AW) Competitive 26-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating12
1winners since
3placers since
10evidence pts
04-09-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Coolagh Magic (GB), Neptune Legend (IRE), Some Nightmare (IRE)

Later placers

Kento (GB) (06-09-2026), Some Nightmare (IRE) (08-09-2026)

01-09-2026 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Arlington (GB), Auntie Jo (GB), Desert Master (GB)

03-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Colors Of Freedom (GB), Colour Code (IRE), Port Hedland (GB)

Race produced winner

Washington Heir (GB)

Later placers

Kento (GB) (07-07-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement2/6
FFR63
Speed103
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+5lb ahead of mark
FFR 63 pounds scale
SpeedScoreabove par
103 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score26.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +5lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 63% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 4 0W / 0P Peak rating 60
Good 7 0W / 1P Peak rating 54
Fast 9 0W / 2P Peak rating 64
All-weather 37 5W / 15P Peak rating 74
Placement evidence 68% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 67%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Proven trip profile (A)49 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +5lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +5lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 58 | Latest FFR 63 | Best FFR 63 | Public mark read +5
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Linda Perratt
Jockey Kaiya Fraser
Age 7
Draw 9
OR 58
Avg OR 56.8
OR vs Field +1.2
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 35372
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge +2.8
Variance Very steady 4.5% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 3 vs par
Curve Edging forward Trend 1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile49
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
16-07-2026 Hamilton Good To Firm 5 0:58.69 58.7
27-07-2026 Ayr Good To Firm 3 0:58.84 58.8
01-09-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 2 1:0.50 60.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 14 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP4/1
OwnerMiss L A Perratt
Pedigree

Heeraat × Rosecomb (Rip Van Winkle)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.3L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
01-09-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 2 0.3 Neutral finish
10-08-2026 Ayr 7 0.3 Run faded
27-07-2026 Ayr 3 0.3 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
26-06-2026 | Newcastle (AW)
Rating -- OR 60
06-07-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 59
16-07-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 59
27-07-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 58
10-08-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 57
01-09-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 56
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs49
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 01.38s
Last win at trip1:00.91 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 27-04-2026
Recent times0:58.69 | 0:58.84 | 1:0.50
Recent positions5 | 3 | 2
Winning contextvs par -0.47s | OR 54
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
01-09-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 6 2 4/1 56 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
10-08-2026 Ayr | 6f | Good To Soft | Class 6 7 12/1 57 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
27-07-2026 Ayr | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 3 7/1 58 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
16-07-2026 Hamilton | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 5 16/1 59 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
06-07-2026 Ayr | 6f | Good | Class 6 3 33/1 59 -- -- 1.8 -- GREY - no timing read
26-06-2026 Newcastle (AW) | 5f | Standard To Slow | Class 5 10 33/1 60 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Workable mark

Latest FFR read +5lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 64.1 and winning TS par is around 49.3. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Banana Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 45.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 45.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (C)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form3-4-2-10-2-4
FFR60 / +12lb
Speed93
Franked22
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw8
Wgt8st 12lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3 Lingfield (AW) Finished well 25-08-2026
4 Yarmouth Competitive 05-08-2026
2 Chepstow Solid effort 03-07-2026
10 Bath Run faded 30-10-2025
2 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 11-10-2025
4 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 04-10-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating22
2winners since
7placers since
12evidence pts
08-05-2026 | Yarmouth Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Charging Bull (IRE), Chiedozie (GB)

Later placers

Charging Bull (IRE) (04-09-2026)

07-03-2026 | Chepstow Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Bama Lama (GB), Daley T (IRE), River Edge (GB)

Later placers

Daley T (IRE) (01-08-2026), Rogue Rebellion (GB) (05-04-2026)

03-12-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Alshimali (IRE), Autumn Angel (IRE), Mehmo (IRE)

Race produced winner

Ramon Di Loria (IRE), Vitalline (GB)

Later placers

Autumn Angel (IRE) (01-06-2026), Piperstown (IRE) (02-09-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR60
Speed93
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+12lb ahead of mark
FFR 60 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
93 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score26.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest +12lb | peak +33lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs3/6
Best similar rating54
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 53
Good 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 55
Fast 8 2W / 6P Peak rating 57
All-weather 37 0W / 11P Peak rating 55
Placement evidence 72% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 78%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (C)24 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +12lb | peak +33lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +12lb | peak +33lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 48 | Latest FFR 60 | Best FFR 81 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Scott Dixon
Jockey Kieran O'Neill
Age 7
Draw 8
OR 48
Avg OR 56.8
OR vs Field -8.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 20-243
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Cooling

confidence nudge +0.8
Variance Very steady 3.4% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 3.4 vs par
Curve Cooling Trend -1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile24
DEIC
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
03-07-2026 Chepstow Good To Firm 2 0:58.95 59
05-08-2026 Yarmouth Good To Firm 4 1:1.27 61.3
25-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 3 0:59.69 59.7
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 21 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: tp; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgeartpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP4/1
OwnerAmphitheatre Racing Limited
Pedigree

Aclaim × Bazzana (Zebedee)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.9L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
25-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 3 0.3 Fast finish
05-08-2026 Yarmouth 4 0.5 Neutral finish
03-07-2026 Chepstow 2 1.8 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 3 runs with an official OR.
04-10-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 49 OR 50
11-10-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 54 OR 48
30-10-2025 | Bath
Rating 24 OR 50
03-07-2026 | Chepstow
Rating -- OR 50
05-08-2026 | Yarmouth
Rating -- OR 50
25-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 49
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs24
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 01.38s
Last win at trip0:57.94 | Chepstow | 11-07-2025
Recent times0:58.95 | 1:1.27 | 0:59.69
Recent positions2 | 4 | 3
Winning contextvs par -3.44s | OR 50
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
25-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 6 3 4/1 49 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
05-08-2026 Yarmouth | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 4 13/8F 50 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
03-07-2026 Chepstow | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 2 5/2 50 -- -- 1.8 -- GREY - no timing read
30-10-2025 Bath | 5f | Heavy | Class 6 10 14/1 50 24 7 2 1:05.35 GREY - below benchmark
11-10-2025 Wolverhampton (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 6 2 7/2J 48 54 49 0.8 1:0.84 GOLD - faster than par
04-10-2025 Wolverhampton (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 6 4 18/1 50 49 39 0.5 1:1.21 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Well treated

Latest +12lb | peak +33lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 64.1 and winning TS par is around 49.3. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Basholo Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 20.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 20.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Form6-10-4-8-4-5
FFR69 / +11lb
Speed98
Franked22
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Little Jaybee Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 20.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 20.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-2-3-3-9-6
FFR63 / +5lb
Speed89
Franked34
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw2
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Love Alive Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 18.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 18.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form5-3-11-3-6-9
FFR52 / -7lb
Speed94
Franked20
Ground1/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw10
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Sheik Yerbouti Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 15.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 15.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form7-3-11-8
FFR25 / -31lb
Speed82
Franked0
Ground1/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw3
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Victor Cee Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 8.8 confidence
Why consider6 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form7-3-5-7-8-3
FFR35 / -25lb
Speed95
Franked37
Ground1/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw7
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Koffee And Kale Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 7.8 confidence
Why consider6 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form4-6-4-7-5-7
FFR57 / -3lb
Speed89
Franked34
Ground1/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Harry Mole Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 6.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 6.0 confidence
Why consider7 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form4-3-3-2-2-5
FFR57 / +2lb
Speed90
Franked1
Ground0/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
8:30 | Wolverhampton (AW)

8:30 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 14f

Class 6 | Standard | Download The Racecourse App Raceday-Ready Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 71 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosLow
Average OR48.49 rated runners | Top OR 55: Le Rouge Chinois
Winning par3m 04.89s42 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupTAPETA: STANDARD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-55 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Clipsham Noble leads the contextual model at 36.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Moderate edge over next best: +5.5
  • Winning-time par: 3m 04.89s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 9 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Clipsham NobleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 41.0
3-4-1-6-4-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 12f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP6/1
JockeyLiam Wright
OR51
FFR66
SS98
09-08-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP4/1
JockeyLiam Wright
OR51
FFR59
SS93
22-07-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 12lb
Result1
SP13/2
JockeyLiam Wright
OR49
FFR50
SS94
07-07-2026
PontefractClass 6 | 12f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result6 btn 1.5L
SP9/2
JockeyLiam Wright
OR50
FFR65
SS96
25-06-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 12f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result4 btn 1L
SP5/1
JockeyLiam Wright
OR50
FFR55
SS87
25-05-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 12f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 11lb
Result1
SP13/2
JockeyLiam Wright
OR46
FFR63
SS98
 9st 4lb 2 OR 50 63 +13lb 3 1.13 +12.1 Standard rest Big step up Weak field -- 65% 74% 1/6 98 A Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Dinah MyteRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 39.8
1-6-6-3-2-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
08-09-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 10f | Good To Soft
Wgt8st 11lb
Result1
SP11/2
JockeyWilliam Pyle
OR48
FFR50
SS92
28-08-2026
Ffos LasClass 6 | 8f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 9lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP2/1F
JockeyDylan Hogan
OR49
FFR69
SS109
11-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 12f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP9/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR49
FFR53
SS111
28-07-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 12lb
Result3 btn 2.8L
SP5/1
JockeyDarragh Keenan
OR49
FFR58
SS91
04-07-2026
NottinghamClass 5 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 4lb
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP7/1
JockeyWilliam Pyle
OR49
FFR53
SS91
15-06-2026
ChepstowClass 6 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP5/2F
JockeyGeorge Bass
OR48
FFR66
SS99
 9st 2lb 7 OR 48 66 +18lb 28 1.13 +6.6 Quick return Big step up Weak field -- 55% 64% 1/6 99 E Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
Sumatran TigerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 34.8
9-2-4-5-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
16-05-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 5lb
Result--
SP25/1
JockeyHarry Bannister
OR91
FFR67
SS99
28-11-2025
DoncasterClass 5 | 2m3½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result9 btn 0.8L
SP20/1
JockeyFinn Lambert
OR93
FFR70
SS89
02-11-2025
HuntingdonClass 4 | 2m3½f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 3.8L
SP14/1
JockeyFinn Lambert
OR--
FFR100
SS94
06-10-2025
StratfordClass 4 | 2m½f | Good
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.1L
SP150/1
JockeyFinn Lambert
OR--
FFR92
SS110
01-08-2025
BathClass 6 | 1m3½f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP80/1
JockeyAdam Wedge
OR54
FFR76
SS90
08-09-2024
Les Landes (JER)-- | 1m6f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP100/30
JockeyRaul Da Silva
OR--
FFR100
SS97
 9st 4lb 9 OR 50 100 +50lb 65 1.13 +0.8 Long absence Big drop back Weak field -- 60% 65% 0/6 97 C Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Le Rouge ChinoisRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 29.8
3-2-2-13-7-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 14f | Standard
Wgt10st 0lb
Result3 btn 2.2L
SP9/4
JockeySilvestre De Sousa
OR56
FFR82
SS92
17-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 16f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP13/8
JockeyOisin Murphy
OR55
FFR69
SS100
05-08-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 14f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 2L
SP9/2
JockeyTom Marquand
OR55
FFR64
SS107
23-04-2026
Longchamp-- | 1m7f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result13 btn 1.8L
SP45/1
JockeyJacky Nicoleau
OR58
FFR63
SS100
18-11-2025
Chantilly-- | 1m5½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 7.5L
SP28/1
JockeyJacky Nicoleau
OR--
FFR64
SS96
31-10-2025
Chantilly-- | 2m | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.2L
SP8/1
JockeyFabrice Veron
OR--
FFR52
SS90
 9st 9lb 1 OR 55 52 -3lb 31 1.13 +0.1 Standard rest Same trip Weak field -- 49% 51% 1/6 90 E Near mark +0 CAUTION PROFILE
Echo ValleyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 29.0
2-4-7-10-7-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
18-06-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 12f | Standard
Wgt9st 0lb
Result2 btn 4.8L
SP40/1
JockeyTyler Heard
OR51
FFR73
SS89
29-05-2026
ChepstowClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result4 btn 6L
SP22/1
JockeyWilliam Carver
OR53
FFR71
SS88
13-05-2026
BathClass 6 | 10f | Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result7 btn 0.2L
SP80/1
JockeyWilliam Carver
OR55
FFR61
SS80
18-04-2026
NottinghamClass 4 | 1m½f | Good
Wgt--
Result10 btn 1.8L
SP400/1
JockeyWilliam Carver
OR--
FFR43
SS--
17-02-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 1m1½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 3L
SP200/1
JockeyTyler Heard
OR--
FFR45
SS--
19-01-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 3 | 1m3f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.5L
SP33/1
JockeyCallum Hutchinson
OR--
FFR55
SS--
 8st 11lb 5 OR 51 55 +4lb 0 1.13 +6.3 Layoff check Big step up Weak field -- 58% 65% 0/6 80 D Well treated +10 CAUTION PROFILE
SaxophonicRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 27.0
4-4-6-8-3-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
21-08-2026
Ffos LasClass 6 | 12f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP9/2
JockeyLuke Morris
OR52
FFR65
SS95
23-07-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 11f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result4 btn 2.5L
SP9/2
JockeyRowan Scott
OR54
FFR79
SS91
23-05-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 11.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP16/1
JockeyJack Dace
OR56
FFR62
SS88
30-04-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 6 | 1m4f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result8 btn 0.1L
SP4/1
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR58
FFR49
SS103
04-02-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 1m2f | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 2.2L
SP11/2
JockeyRowan Scott
OR59
FFR51
SS83
27-12-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 1m½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result10 btn 3.2L
SP50/1
JockeyRowan Scott
OR--
FFR56
SS--
 8st 10lb 4 OR 50 56 +6lb 25 1.13 +4.6 Standard rest Big step up Weak field -- 55% 60% 1/6 83 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
D Day Major WinterRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 13.2
4-5-8-6-7-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-08-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 12f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP12/1
JockeyDavid Probert
OR44
FFR56
SS95
04-08-2026
LingfieldClass 6 | 9f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result5 btn 3.2L
SP9/2
JockeyHarry Davies
OR45
FFR60
SS97
08-07-2026
ChepstowClass 6 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result8 btn 14L
SP100/1
JockeyWilliam Cox
OR50
FFR27
SS77
22-06-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 10lb
Result6 btn 10L
SP12/1
JockeyFinley Marsh
OR52
FFR24
SS97
18-09-2025
Kempton (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.5L
SP4/1
JockeyDavid Egan
OR54
FFR45
SS88
12-08-2025
LingfieldClass 6 | 1m2f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result8 btn 18L
SP5/1
JockeyWilliam Carver
OR55
FFR54
SS92
 9st 0lb 6 OR 44 54 +10lb 13 1.13 -11.4 Standard rest Big step up Weak field -- 55% 58% 0/6 92 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Pink WallsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 10.2
4-8-12
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
25-08-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 22f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 5lb
Result--
SP150/1
JockeyKevin Brogan
OR60
FFR112
SS66
12-07-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 22f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 5lb
Result4 btn 10L
SP100/1
JockeyKevin Brogan
OR62
FFR71
SS87
16-06-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 16.5f | Good
Wgt10st 5lb
Result8 btn 8L
SP200/1
JockeyKevin Brogan
OR69
FFR108
SS90
08-05-2026
Market RasenClass 4 | 16.5f | Good
Wgt10st 8lb
Result--
SP300/1
JockeyLewis Stones
OR--
FFR62
SS89
19-04-2026
StratfordClass 4 | 2m½f | Good
Wgt--
Result12 btn 1.8L
SP250/1
JockeyLewis Stones
OR--
FFR62
SS94
04-04-2026
HaydockClass 4 | 1m7½f | Good
Wgt--
Result--
SP250/1
JockeyShane Quinlan
OR--
FFR98
SS83
 9st 0lb 3 OR 38 98 +60lb 12 1.13 -14.4 Standard rest Big drop back Weak field -- 55% 54% 0/6 83 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
This RibRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 2.2
6-4-5-11-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-08-2026
CatterickClass 6 | 14f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP12/1
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR52
FFR55
SS88
29-07-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 12f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP7/1
JockeyLaura Pearson
OR56
FFR72
SS84
06-07-2026
AyrClass 5 | 13f | Good
Wgt8st 8lb
Result5 btn 2.5L
SP33/1
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR58
FFR37
SS75
16-06-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 8.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 3lb
Result11 btn 0.8L
SP40/1
JockeyMiss Kayleigh McCammon
OR61
FFR63
SS--
21-05-2026
HaydockClass 5 | 7f | Soft
Wgt9st 1lb
Result--
SP18/1
JockeyDavid Egan
OR61
FFR35
SS--
18-10-2025
CatterickClass 5 | 7f | Good
Wgt--
Result6 btn 5L
SP22/1
JockeyWilliam Pyle
OR--
FFR56
SS--
 8st 10lb 8 OR 50 56 +6lb 3 1.13 -4.4 Standard rest Same trip Weak field -- 55% 58% 0/6 75 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Clipsham Noble

Clipsham Noble profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Dinah Myte

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Clipsham Noble Distance specialist
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 41.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 41.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form3-4-1-6-4-1
FFR63 / +13lb
Speed98
Franked3
Ground0/3 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw2
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Dinah Myte Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 39.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 39.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form1-6-6-3-2-4
FFR66 / +18lb
Speed99
Franked28
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Sumatran Tiger Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 34.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 34.8 confidence
Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form9-2-4-5-4
FFR100 / +50lb
Speed97
Franked65
Ground0/3 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassDown in class
Draw9
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Le Rouge Chinois Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 29.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 29.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-2-2-13-7-3
FFR52 / -3lb
Speed90
Franked31
Ground2/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Echo Valley Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 29.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 29.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +10lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-4-7-10-7-7
FFR55 / +4lb
Speed80
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt8st 11lb
Best angle: Mark Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Saxophonic Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 27.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 27.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-4-6-8-3-10
FFR56 / +6lb
Speed83
Franked25
Ground1/2 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt8st 10lb
Best angle: Mark Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
D Day Major Winter Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 13.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 13.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-5-8-6-7-8
FFR54 / +10lb
Speed92
Franked13
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt9st 0lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Pink Walls Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 10.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 10.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-8-12
FFR98 / +60lb
Speed83
Franked12
Ground2/2 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassDown in class
Draw3
Wgt9st 0lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
This Rib Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 2.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 2.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-4-5-11-6
FFR56 / +6lb
Speed75
Franked3
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw8
Wgt8st 10lb
Best angle: Mark Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
1:40 | Punchestown

1:40 | Punchestown | 8f

| Good | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden

Race Confidence 70 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR85.73 rated runners | Top OR 96: Exceptionally
Winning par1m 53.87s6509 race distance-only sample | approximate
SetupGOOD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Exceptionally leads the contextual model at 37.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Moderate edge over next best: +5.5
  • Winning-time par: 1m 53.87s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 16 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
ExceptionallyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 47.0
4-3-3-12
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)Class 1 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP12/1
JockeyWayne Lordan
OR--
FFR34
SS--
09-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP8/1
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR--
FFR73
SS--
16-07-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 11lb
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP18/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR--
FFR63
SS--
28-06-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt8st 11lb
Result12 btn 0.3L
SP16/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR--
FFR111
SS--
 9st 2lb 4 OR 96 111 +15lb 0 1.05 +22.5 Standard rest Same trip Strong field -- 58% 60% 1/6 -- D Well treated +12 PRICE DEPENDENT
LustedRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 24.0
6-7-5-12
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-08-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt8st 8lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP14/1
JockeyAndrew Slattery
OR75
FFR34
SS--
23-08-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP250/1
JockeyAndrew Slattery
OR--
FFR61
SS--
15-08-2026
Dundalk (IRE)-- | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP200/1
JockeySeamie Heffernan
OR--
FFR59
SS--
23-07-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 7.5f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result12 btn 6L
SP66/1
JockeyAndrew Slattery
OR--
FFR68
SS--
 9st 2lb 3 OR 75 68 -7lb 0 1.05 +9 Standard rest Same trip Strong field -- 45% 43% 0/6 -- E Stiff -7 CAUTION PROFILE
Silver KissRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 19.0
3-3-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result3 btn 1.5L
SP6/5F
JockeyChris Hayes
OR--
FFR69
SS--
28-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 2lb
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP9/2
JockeyChris Hayes
OR--
FFR73
SS--
08-07-2026
Fairyhouse-- | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP20/1
JockeyChris Hayes
OR--
FFR69
SS--
 9st 2lb 14 OR 86 69 -17lb 2 1.05 +17 Standard rest Up in trip Strong field -- 48% 48% 0/6 -- D Stiff -14 CAUTION PROFILE
WunderschonRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 18.2
3-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 7.5f | Yielding
Wgt8st 8lb
Result3 btn 3.2L
SP40/1
JockeyKeithen Kennedy
OR--
FFR55
SS--
28-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt8st 11lb
Result7 btn 1L
SP80/1
JockeyKeithen Kennedy
OR--
FFR67
SS--
 9st 2lb 6 OR -- 67 -- 0 1.05 +3 Standard rest Down in trip Strong field -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Angels Have WingsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
16-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 9f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP16/1
JockeyGavin Ryan
OR--
FFR73
SS--
 9st 2lb 16 OR -- 73 -- 0 1.05 -3.2 Freshened up Down in trip Strong field -- 48% 54% 1/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Cross Of StarsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 8 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -3.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Strong field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Eagles VoiceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 2 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -3.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Strong field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
HaritaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 5 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -3.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Strong field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
RunningupthillRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 9 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -3.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Strong field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Soldier's CharmRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 11 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -3.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Strong field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
WhytemontellaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 10 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -3.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Strong field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
BeachRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.0
8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
19-07-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 11lb
Result8 btn 1L
SP22/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR--
FFR59
SS--
 9st 2lb 12 OR -- 59 -- 0 1.05 -4.2 Freshened up Up in trip Strong field -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
The Good WifeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.0
6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
28-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 2lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP4/1
JockeyW J Lee
OR--
FFR59
SS--
 9st 2lb 1 OR -- 59 -- 0 1.05 -4.2 Freshened up Up in trip Strong field -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Mother's CallRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.0
10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 2lb
Result10 btn 0.2L
SP80/1
JockeyLuke McAteer
OR--
FFR38
SS--
 9st 2lb 15 OR -- 38 -- 18 1.05 -6.2 Standard rest Up in trip Strong field -- 48% 54% 1/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Ever My TreasureRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.2
11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-08-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result11 btn 7L
SP80/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR--
FFR40
SS--
 9st 2lb 7 OR -- 40 -- 0 1.05 -7 Standard rest Up in trip Strong field -- 48% 52% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Bex NoirRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.5
13
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
15-08-2026
Dundalk (IRE)-- | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result13 btn 0.5L
SP300/1
JockeyRobert Whearty
OR--
FFR32
SS--
 9st 2lb 13 OR -- 32 -- 0 1.05 -7.7 Freshened up Same trip Strong field -- 48% 52% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Exceptionally

Exceptionally profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Lusted

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Exceptionally Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 47.0
PRICE DEPENDENT
Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Best of a weak race 47.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form4-3-3-12
FFR111 / +15lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground2/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw4
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4 Curragh (IRE) Finished well 29-08-2026
3 Curragh (IRE) Solid effort 09-08-2026
3 Leopardstown (IRE) Solid effort 16-07-2026
12 Curragh (IRE) Competitive 28-06-2026
Race form proof Some franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating0
0winners since
0placers since
2evidence pts
08-09-2026 | Curragh (IRE) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Admired Beauty (IRE), Chattering Classes (IRE), Darlene (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement1/6
FFR111
Speed--
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+15lb ahead of mark
FFR 111 pounds scale
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score37.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DLOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest +15lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 58% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 52%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs3/4
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 3 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 60% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 44%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 50%
Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +15lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +15lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 96 | Latest FFR 111 | Best FFR 111 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer A P O'Brien
Jockey Wayne Lordan
Age 2
Draw 4
OR 96
Avg OR 85.7
OR vs Field +10.3
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 334
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile2
DEID
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
16-07-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) Good 3 1:43.69 103.7
29-08-2026 Curragh (IRE) Good 4 1:39.59 99.6
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 17 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window
Ground timing match 2/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP12/1
OwnerMrs John Magnier Michael Tabor Derrick Smith
Pedigree

Into Mischief × Together Forever (Galileo)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.7L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
29-08-2026 Curragh (IRE) 4 1.2 Fast finish
09-08-2026 Curragh (IRE) 3 0.5 Neutral finish
16-07-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) 3 0.5 Neutral finish
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 53.87s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:43.69 | 1:39.59
Recent positions3 | 4
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
29-08-2026 Curragh (IRE) | 8f | Good | Class 1 4 12/1 -- -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
09-08-2026 Curragh (IRE) | 7f | Good To Firm | -- 3 8/1 -- -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
16-07-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) | 8f | Good | -- 3 18/1 -- -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
28-06-2026 Curragh (IRE) | 7f | Good | -- 12 16/1 -- -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Well treated

Latest +15lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 96.2 and winning TS par is around 58.4. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Lusted Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 24.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 24.0 confidence
Why considerNo standout positive placement signal yet
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-7-5-12
FFR68 / -7lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw3
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Silver Kiss Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 19.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 19.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form3-3-3
FFR69 / -17lb
Speed--
Franked2
Ground1/2 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw14
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Wunderschon Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 18.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 18.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-7
FFR67 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw6
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Angels Have Wings Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5
FFR73 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw16
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Cross Of Stars Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw8
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Eagles Voice Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw2
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Harita Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw5
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Runningupthill Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw9
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Soldier's Charm Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw11
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Whytemontella Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw10
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Beach Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 11.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8
FFR59 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw12
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
The Good Wife Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 11.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6
FFR59 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw1
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Mother's Call Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 9.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 9.0 confidence
Why considerRecent evidence contains a positive run clue
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10
FFR38 / --
Speed--
Franked18
Ground0/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw15
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Ever My Treasure Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form11
FFR40 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw7
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Bex Noir Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form13
FFR32 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw13
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
3:40 | Punchestown

3:40 | Punchestown | 9f

| Good | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden

Race Confidence 70 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR74.65 rated runners | Top OR 77: Fleur De Provence
Winning par1m 51.11s1054 race distance-only sample | approximate
SetupGOOD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Fleur De Provence leads the contextual model at 38.0
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +6.2 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 1m 51.11s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 17 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Fleur De ProvenceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 38.0
9-2-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 10f | Soft
Wgt9st 3lb
Result9 btn 3.5L
SP5/4F
JockeyChris Hayes
OR80
FFR84
SS98
20-05-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 3lb
Result2 btn 0.1L
SP11/4
JockeyChris Hayes
OR--
FFR77
SS--
22-03-2026
Naas-- | 1m | Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP16/1
JockeyChris Hayes
OR--
FFR37
SS--
 9st 3lb 10 OR 77 37 -40lb 2 1.05 +25.3 Layoff check Down in trip Solid field -- 45% 45% 1/6 98 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Port ArthurRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 36.2
5-3-4-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-08-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result5 btn 2.5L
SP8/1
JockeyWayne Lordan
OR79
FFR70
SS82
03-08-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result3 btn 2.5L
SP18/1
JockeyW J Lee
OR--
FFR77
SS95
16-10-2025
Curragh-- | 6f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP15/2
JockeyW J Lee
OR--
FFR67
SS--
18-09-2025
Naas (IRE)-- | 6f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt--
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP9/1
JockeyW J Lee
OR--
FFR60
SS--
 9st 8lb 1 OR 76 60 -16lb 2 1.05 +14.6 Standard rest Up in trip Solid field -- 45% 43% 1/6 95 E Stiff -13 CAUTION PROFILE
XirivellaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 33.0
3-3-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result3 btn 4L
SP22/1
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR--
FFR51
SS--
03-08-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP40/1
JockeyColin Keane
OR--
FFR75
SS--
04-07-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result6 btn 1.2L
SP16/1
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR--
FFR67
SS--
 9st 3lb 12 OR 72 67 -5lb 4 1.05 +19.1 Standard rest Up in trip Solid field -- 52% 55% 1/6 -- D Near mark -2 WATCH ONLY
SalibaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 14.0
5-6-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-08-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 8.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result5 btn 1L
SP13/2
JockeyScott McCullagh
OR--
FFR63
SS--
24-06-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 0.3L
SP6/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR--
FFR67
SS--
05-05-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result3 btn 3.5L
SP22/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR--
FFR65
SS--
 9st 8lb 11 OR 77 65 -12lb 34 1.05 +14.6 Freshened up Down in trip Solid field -- 45% 49% 0/6 -- E Stiff -10 CAUTION PROFILE
SunburnRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-01-2024
Deauville (FR)-- | -- | Standard
Wgt--
Result--
SP36/5
JockeyCesar Belmont
OR--
FFR78
SS--
 9st 3lb 6 OR -- 78 -- 0 1.05 -0.7 Rest developing Trip move developing Solid field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Ballysax BooRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.0
9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
25-07-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result9 btn 2L
SP300/1
JockeyJames Ryan
OR--
FFR42
SS--
 9st 3lb 13 OR -- 42 -- 0 1.05 -1.7 Freshened up Up in trip Solid field -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
PattyandselmaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.2
10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP250/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR--
FFR45
SS--
 9st 3lb 7 OR -- 45 -- 8 1.05 -4.4 Standard rest Up in trip Solid field -- 48% 52% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Senna's GirlRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.2
5-13-3-4-21-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
12-06-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Yielding
Wgt10st 3lb
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP28/1
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR73
FFR91
SS92
17-05-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 6lb
Result13 btn 1.5L
SP14/1
JockeyRory Mulligan
OR76
FFR52
SS96
25-04-2026
Limerick-- | 1m | Yielding
Wgt--
Result3 btn 1.8L
SP5/1
JockeyRory Mulligan
OR77
FFR83
SS110
15-04-2026
Leopardstown-- | 7f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP40/1
JockeyDiego Lima
OR78
FFR83
SS72
15-03-2026
Curragh-- | 1m | Heavy
Wgt--
Result21 btn 0.8L
SP50/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR84
FFR33
SS105
02-11-2025
Curragh-- | 7f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP14/1
JockeyWayne Hassett
OR68
FFR78
SS99
 9st 9lb 14 OR 71 78 +7lb 49 1.05 +3.3 Layoff check Down in trip Solid field -- 55% 64% 1/6 99 E Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
Back StraightRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.2
2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
16-09-2025
Punchestown (IRE)-- | 1m | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP9/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR--
FFR81
SS93
 9st 8lb 3 OR -- 81 -- 0 1.05 +1.3 Long absence Up in trip Solid field -- 50% 59% 1/6 93 D Developing WATCH ONLY
Block CapitalsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 8lb 5 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -5.7 Rest developing Trip move developing Solid field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Forest FantasyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 8lb 16 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -5.7 Rest developing Trip move developing Solid field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Matties PointRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.2
12-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
06-08-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result12 btn 0.8L
SP100/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR--
FFR45
SS--
12-07-2026
Dundalk (AW)-- | 10.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 8lb
Result4 btn 11L
SP20/1
JockeyW J Lee
OR--
FFR36
SS--
 9st 8lb 17 OR -- 36 -- 0 1.05 -9.4 Freshened up Same trip Solid field -- 48% 52% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Swing StreetRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.2
11-9-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result11 btn 2.5L
SP300/1
JockeyScott McCullagh
OR--
FFR39
SS--
18-08-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 12f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result9 btn 18L
SP150/1
JockeyW J Lee
OR--
FFR38
SS--
22-06-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 16L
SP33/1
JockeyBen Coen
OR--
FFR38
SS--
 9st 8lb 4 OR -- 38 -- 15 1.05 -9.4 Standard rest Big step up Solid field -- 48% 56% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
BrigerbadRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.2
8-13
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
25-08-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result8 btn 1.2L
SP250/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR--
FFR35
SS--
24-07-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 8lb
Result13 btn 7L
SP66/1
JockeyDonagh O'Connor
OR--
FFR39
SS--
 9st 8lb 15 OR -- 39 -- 0 1.05 -9.4 Standard rest Up in trip Solid field -- 48% 52% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
One Cool CountyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 2.2
10-9-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
18-08-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 12f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result10 btn 1.8L
SP250/1
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR--
FFR40
SS--
12-08-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result9 btn 5.5L
SP250/1
JockeyConor Cusack
OR--
FFR37
SS--
13-07-2026
Killarney-- | 11.5f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 9.5L
SP66/1
JockeyLuke McAteer
OR--
FFR36
SS--
 9st 8lb 9 OR -- 36 -- 0 1.05 -10.4 Standard rest Big drop back Solid field -- 48% 52% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Vico RoadRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 2.0
5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result5 btn 1.8L
SP50/1
JockeyGary Carroll
OR--
FFR60
SS--
 9st 8lb 8 OR -- 60 -- 2 1.05 -5.7 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 48% 51% 1/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Helen's BlazeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only -3.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 9lb 2 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -15.7 Rest developing Trip move developing Solid field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Main Context Fit Fleur De Provence

Fleur De Provence profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Port Arthur

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Fleur De Provence Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 38.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Best of a weak race 38.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9-2-2
FFR37 / -40lb
Speed98
Franked2
Ground1/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw10
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.05
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
9 Leopardstown (IRE) Steady run 04-06-2026
2 Gowran Park (IRE) Solid effort 20-05-2026
2 Naas Solid effort 22-03-2026
Race form proof Some franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating2
0winners since
1placers since
2evidence pts
06-04-2026 | Leopardstown (IRE) Finished 9
Beat named rivals

An Cailleach (GB), Path To Peace (USA), Ventriloquist (IRE)

Later placers

Donna Time (IRE) (07-04-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR37
Speed98
ConditionsCaution
PlacementCaution
FFR vs OR-40lb below mark
FFR 37 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
98 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score38.0Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI ELOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -40lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb
Today's conditions match 45% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Class Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good No recent good sample; best evidence is on testing ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs0/3
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read No recent good sample; best evidence is on testing ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 3 0W / 2P Peak rating 82
Good 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 45% Intent unclear
Trip evidence 30%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 4%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questionsCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -40lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -40lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 77 | Latest FFR 37 | Best FFR 84 | Public mark read -16
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer D K Weld
Jockey Chris Hayes
Age 3
Draw 10
OR 77
Avg OR 74.6
OR vs Field +2.4
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 229
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge -0.8
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -2.4 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile2
DEIE
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
22-03-2026 Naas (IRE) Soft 2 1:52.62 112.6
20-05-2026 Gowran Park (IRE) Good To Yielding 2 1:42.86 102.9
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.0 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 103 days Standard layoff
Micro score +0.0 headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpFirst-time aid today
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP5/4F
OwnerMoyglare Stud Farm
Pedigree

Gleneagles × Princess Highway (Street Cry)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Beaten favouriteMarket expected more last time
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.6L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
04-06-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) 9 3.5 Neutral finish
20-05-2026 Gowran Park (IRE) 2 0.1 Neutral finish
22-03-2026 Naas 2 1.2 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 1 earlier run was unrated.
22-03-2026 | Naas
Rating 82 OR Unrated
04-06-2026 | Leopardstown (IRE)
Rating -- OR 80
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 51.11s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:52.62 | 1:42.86
Recent positions2 | 2
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
04-06-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) | 10f | Soft | -- 9 5/4F 80 -- -- 3.5 -- GREY - no timing read
20-05-2026 Gowran Park (IRE) | 8f | Good To Yielding | -- 2 11/4 -- -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
22-03-2026 Naas | 1m | Soft | -- 2 16/1 -- 82 45 1.2 1:52.62 AMBER - competitive
Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -40lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 103.6 and winning TS par is around 59.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Port Arthur Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 36.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 36.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-3-4-3
FFR60 / -16lb
Speed95
Franked2
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw1
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
5 Leopardstown (IRE) Competitive 20-08-2026
3 Naas (IRE) Finished well 03-08-2026
4 Curragh Run faded 16-10-2025
3 Naas (IRE) Solid effort 18-09-2025
Race form proof Some franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating2
0winners since
1placers since
2evidence pts
08-03-2026 | Naas (IRE) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Michael's Well (IRE), Tolebi (FR)

Later placers

Likedbymike (IRE) (07-04-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR60
Speed95
ConditionsCaution
PlacementCaution
FFR vs OR-16lb below mark
FFR 60 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
95 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score27.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI EVERY_LOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -16lb | peak +1lb treated as ceiling | public read -13lb
Today's conditions match 45% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Class Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs1/4
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 71
Good 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 43% Intent unclear
Trip evidence 38%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 13%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 50%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedTrip evidence still asks questionsCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -16lb | peak +1lb treated as ceiling | public read -13lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -16lb | peak +1lb treated as ceiling | public read -13lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 76 | Latest FFR 60 | Best FFR 77 | Public mark read -13
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer M C Grassick
Jockey W J Lee
Age 3
Draw 1
OR 76
Avg OR 74.6
OR vs Field +1.4
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 34-35
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Developing; Mild bounce watch; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Improving

confidence nudge +0.2
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce Mild bounce watch Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -4.6 vs par
Curve Improving Trend 2
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile1
DEIE
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
20-08-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) Good To Yielding 5 1:43.46 103.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 26 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window
Ground timing match 1/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP8/1
OwnerJoseph E Keeling Aidan Gleeson M C Grassick
Pedigree

Australia × Vestavia (Alhaarth)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.8L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
20-08-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) 5 2.5 Neutral finish
03-08-2026 Naas (IRE) 3 2.5 Fast finish
16-10-2025 Curragh 4 0.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 2 earlier runs were unrated.
18-09-2025 | Naas (IRE)
Rating 71 OR Unrated
16-10-2025 | Curragh
Rating 71 OR Unrated
20-08-2026 | Leopardstown (IRE)
Rating -- OR 79
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par1m 51.11s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:43.46
Recent positions5
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
20-08-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) | 8f | Good To Yielding | -- 5 8/1 79 -- -- 2.5 -- GREY - no timing read
03-08-2026 Naas (IRE) | 6f | Good | -- 3 18/1 -- -- -- 2.5 -- GREY - no timing read
16-10-2025 Curragh | 6f | Yielding | -- 4 15/2 -- 71 55 0.5 1:16.70 GOLD - faster than par
18-09-2025 Naas (IRE) | 6f | Yielding To Soft | -- 3 9/1 -- 71 23 1.2 1:18.59 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -16lb | peak +1lb treated as ceiling | public read -13lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 103.6 and winning TS par is around 59.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Xirivella Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 33.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 33.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form3-3-6
FFR67 / -5lb
Speed--
Franked4
Ground3/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw12
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Saliba Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 14.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 14.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-6-3
FFR65 / -12lb
Speed--
Franked34
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw11
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Sunburn Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR78 / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw6
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Ballysax Boo Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 11.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9
FFR42 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw13
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Pattyandselma Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10
FFR45 / --
Speed--
Franked8
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw7
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Senna's Girl Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-13-3-4-21-2
FFR78 / +7lb
Speed99
Franked49
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw14
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Back Straight Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 7.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form2
FFR81 / --
Speed93
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw3
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Block Capitals Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 7.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw5
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Forest Fantasy Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 7.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw16
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Matties Point Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 3.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form12-4
FFR36 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw17
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Trip move Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Swing Street Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 3.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form11-9-6
FFR38 / --
Speed--
Franked15
Ground0/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassClass move developing
Draw4
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Brigerbad Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 3.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8-13
FFR39 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw15
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
One Cool County Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 2.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 2.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10-9-6
FFR36 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw9
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Vico Road Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 2.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 2.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5
FFR60 / --
Speed--
Franked2
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw8
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Helen's Blaze Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence --
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only -3.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw2
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
4:40 | Punchestown

4:40 | Punchestown | 9f

0-60 | Good | Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (Div I)

Race Confidence 69 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR46.817 rated runners | Top OR 60: Ohmali
Winning par1m 51.11s1054 race distance-only sample | approximate
SetupGOOD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-60 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Signor Ferrari leads the contextual model at 21.2
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Winning-time par: 1m 51.11s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 17 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Signor FerrariRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 48.8
5-6-3-4-7-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 11f | Good
Wgt8st 12lb
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP14/1
JockeyConor Cusack
OR61
FFR73
SS97
20-07-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 6lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP33/1
JockeyChris Hayes
OR61
FFR74
SS104
27-05-2025
Tipperary (IRE)-- | 1m1f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt--
Result3 btn 3.5L
SP15/2
JockeyLuke McAteer
OR68
FFR77
SS94
28-03-2025
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)-- | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP5/2F
JockeyWayne Hassett
OR71
FFR76
SS98
14-03-2025
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)-- | 1m2½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP6/1
JockeyLuke McAteer
OR72
FFR63
SS95
21-02-2025
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)-- | 1m2½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.3L
SP4/1
JockeyNicola Burns
OR72
FFR67
SS96
 10st 0lb 9 OR 58 67 +9lb 58 1.05 +8.4 Standard rest Big drop back Weak field -- 55% 59% 1/6 96 E Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
Patrick StreetRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 43.0
4-1-5-5-6-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
11-08-2026
HamiltonClass 6 | 12f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result4 btn 1.8L
SP15/8F
JockeyYudish Geerdharry
OR50
FFR99
SS83
08-08-2026
AyrClass 6 | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result1
SP11/2
JockeyM. P. Sheehy
OR50
FFR94
SS84
24-07-2026
Kilbeggan (IRE)-- | 19f | Good
Wgt10st 10lb
Result5 btn 1.5L
SP7/1
JockeyDaniel King
OR82
FFR60
SS101
20-06-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 13f | Soft
Wgt9st 1lb
Result5 btn 4L
SP7/2J
JockeyNicola Burns
OR50
FFR75
SS93
30-05-2026
Tramore (IRE)-- | 22f | Good
Wgt11st 1lb
Result6 btn 0.2L
SP9/1
JockeySean O'Keeffe
OR83
FFR68
SS94
13-05-2026
Punchestown (IRE)-- | 16f | Good To Yielding
Wgt10st 10lb
Result3 btn 5L
SP12/1
JockeySean O'Keeffe
OR81
FFR58
SS95
 9st 7lb 11 OR 51 58 +7lb 11 1.05 +10.4 Freshened up Big drop back Weak field -- 55% 59% 1/6 95 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Arizona StarRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 40.2
5-8-3-6-11-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt8st 8lb
Result5 btn 0.8L
SP7/1
JockeyWesley Joyce
OR45
FFR63
SS75
30-08-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt8st 13lb
Result8 btn 0.8L
SP13/2
JockeyTerry Casey
OR50
FFR35
SS72
08-07-2026
Fairyhouse-- | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result3 btn 1.8L
SP33/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR53
FFR46
SS84
20-06-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Soft
Wgt9st 0lb
Result6 btn 3L
SP66/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR56
FFR61
SS--
18-05-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 12f | Yielding
Wgt9st 0lb
Result11 btn 2L
SP80/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR58
FFR53
SS--
03-04-2026
Curragh-- | 1m2f | Soft To Heavy
Wgt--
Result3 btn 18L
SP400/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR--
FFR58
SS--
 8st 7lb 17 OR 43 58 +15lb 21 1.05 +15.9 Standard rest Down in trip Weak field -- 55% 60% 1/6 84 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Rockbury LadRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 33.0
6-9-7-12-6-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
12-08-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 10lb
Result6 btn 2.2L
SP10/1
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR54
FFR41
SS92
12-07-2026
Dundalk (AW)-- | 8f | Standard
Wgt10st 1lb
Result9 btn 0.3L
SP11/2
JockeyColin Keane
OR59
FFR63
SS89
03-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result7 btn 1L
SP28/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR56
FFR54
SS98
02-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result12 btn 0.2L
SP12/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR56
FFR57
SS102
18-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 1lb
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP14/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR59
FFR65
SS104
11-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Soft
Wgt10st 1lb
Result10 btn 2.8L
SP25/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR59
FFR60
SS99
 9st 8lb 2 OR 52 60 +8lb 48 1.05 +0.4 Freshened up Down in trip Weak field -- 63% 68% 1/6 99 B Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
RampageRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 27.0
2-5-8-7-13-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt8st 5lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP13/2
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR42
FFR55
SS98
25-08-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt8st 7lb
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP11/2
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR43
FFR47
SS94
15-08-2026
Dundalk (IRE)-- | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 1lb
Result8 btn 3.2L
SP11/1
JockeyJames Ryan
OR45
FFR66
SS78
12-07-2026
Dundalk (AW)-- | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 4lb
Result7 btn 0.8L
SP12/1
JockeyRobert Whearty
OR48
FFR50
SS83
02-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result13 btn 1.8L
SP5/1
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR51
FFR64
SS96
18-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result11 btn 1L
SP13/2
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR54
FFR75
SS96
 8st 12lb 4 OR 42 75 +33lb 24 1.05 +4.9 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 63% 73% 1/6 96 B Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
SpiritofthedawnRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 18.2
2-11-11-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP40/1
JockeyRobert Whearty
OR48
FFR51
SS69
05-05-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 3lb
Result11 btn 8.5L
SP125/1
JockeyRobert Whearty
OR--
FFR62
SS88
19-04-2026
Curragh-- | 6f | Soft
Wgt--
Result11 btn 0.3L
SP66/1
JockeyRobert Whearty
OR--
FFR35
SS--
12-06-2025
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 7f | Soft
Wgt--
Result11 btn 15L
SP10/1
JockeyWesley Joyce
OR--
FFR74
SS--
 8st 13lb 16 OR 49 74 +25lb 39 1.05 +5.4 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 58% 63% 0/6 88 D Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Curious JaneRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 13.2
9-5-5-9-11-12
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 12f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 0lb
Result9 btn 3L
SP33/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR43
FFR64
SS91
05-08-2026
Sligo (IRE)-- | 13.5f | Yielding
Wgt8st 2lb
Result5 btn 2L
SP16/1
JockeyRory Mulligan
OR45
FFR59
SS89
20-07-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Yielding
Wgt8st 10lb
Result5 btn 2.8L
SP18/1
JockeyNathan Crosse
OR48
FFR58
SS85
18-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 8lb
Result9 btn 1.2L
SP50/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR49
FFR64
SS--
25-04-2026
Limerick-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result11 btn 1.8L
SP300/1
JockeyJack Kearney
OR--
FFR55
SS--
28-01-2026
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m2½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result12 btn 5.5L
SP150/1
JockeyWayne Hassett
OR--
FFR48
SS--
 8st 7lb 7 OR 40 48 +8lb 3 1.05 +0.4 Standard rest Big drop back Weak field -- 55% 61% 0/6 85 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Duchess AnneRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.8
8-2-4-6-14-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result8 btn 1.2L
SP9/2
JockeyGary Carroll
OR43
FFR74
SS96
25-07-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good
Wgt8st 6lb
Result2 btn 2.2L
SP9/2
JockeyOrla Tynan
OR40
FFR59
SS87
22-07-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result4 btn 0.1L
SP22/1
JockeyOrla Tynan
OR40
FFR61
SS95
20-10-2025
Gowran Park-- | 1m1½f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result6 btn 17L
SP150/1
JockeyGary Carroll
OR43
FFR70
SS99
08-10-2025
Navan (IRE)-- | 1m2f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result14 btn 3.5L
SP18/1
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR47
FFR71
SS87
06-09-2025
Navan (IRE)-- | 1m2f | Good
Wgt--
Result11 btn 0.3L
SP25/1
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR50
FFR62
SS85
 8st 11lb 10 OR 41 62 +21lb 53 1.05 -0.1 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 55% 58% 0/6 85 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Chloe's BoyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.2
9-13-10-6-13-14
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result9 btn 0.5L
SP50/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR53
FFR34
SS--
27-08-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 14f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result13 btn 0.3L
SP50/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR58
FFR35
SS--
01-08-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 8.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP150/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR--
FFR53
SS--
17-07-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP250/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR--
FFR50
SS--
08-07-2026
Fairyhouse-- | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result13 btn 3L
SP300/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR--
FFR50
SS--
24-06-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result14 btn 1.5L
SP150/1
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR--
FFR58
SS--
 9st 0lb 12 OR 50 58 +8lb 18 1.05 -1.6 Standard rest Down in trip Weak field -- 55% 61% 0/6 -- E Well treated +8 WATCH ONLY
TullyeskerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.2
12-8-8-12-17
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
25-08-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 0lb
Result12 btn 0.1L
SP33/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR43
FFR56
SS79
01-07-2026
Fairyhouse (IRE)-- | 8.5f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result8 btn 0.8L
SP80/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR44
FFR60
SS85
12-11-2025
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result8 btn 4.5L
SP125/1
JockeySeamie Heffernan
OR--
FFR61
SS84
27-10-2025
Galway-- | 7f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result12 btn 2.5L
SP300/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR--
FFR52
SS--
27-09-2025
Curragh (IRE)-- | 1m2f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt--
Result17 btn 5.5L
SP300/1
JockeyRoss Coakley
OR--
FFR48
SS--
 8st 10lb 3 OR 40 48 +8lb 30 1.05 -4.6 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 55% 60% 0/6 84 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
The Monday ClubRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.2
14-5-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
06-08-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result14 btn 1.2L
SP150/1
JockeyDiego Lima
OR--
FFR44
SS--
24-07-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result5 btn 1.5L
SP28/1
JockeyDiego Lima
OR--
FFR50
SS--
22-06-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result5 btn 5L
SP33/1
JockeyLuke McAteer
OR--
FFR34
SS--
 9st 0lb 1 OR 50 34 -16lb 0 1.05 -5.6 Freshened up Same trip Weak field -- 45% 44% 0/6 -- E Stiff -13 CAUTION PROFILE
Churchill GaleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.2
19-8-6-4-9-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result19 btn 2.8L
SP50/1
JockeyJames Ryan
OR44
FFR64
SS85
05-11-2025
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m2½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result8 btn 0.3L
SP28/1
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR50
FFR73
SS87
29-09-2025
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 1m3f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP22/1
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR51
FFR80
SS91
16-09-2025
Punchestown (IRE)-- | 1m1½f | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP40/1
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR52
FFR82
SS96
02-09-2025
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 1m | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result9 btn 0.8L
SP66/1
JockeyRobert Whearty
OR55
FFR80
SS98
08-08-2025
Tipperary (IRE)-- | 7½f | Good
Wgt--
Result7 btn 2.2L
SP9/1
JockeyJames Ryan
OR58
FFR32
SS98
 8st 12lb 8 OR 42 32 -10lb 31 1.05 -5.6 Standard rest Down in trip Weak field -- 45% 48% 1/6 98 E Stiff -7 CAUTION PROFILE
IdomythingRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 6.2
8-10-6-13-7-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
08-09-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 12f | Soft
Wgt8st 0lb
Result8 btn 2L
SP10/1
JockeyShay Wallace
OR40
FFR68
SS86
03-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 12f | Good
Wgt8st 11lb
Result10 btn 1.5L
SP--
JockeyRory Cleary
OR41
FFR60
SS101
20-06-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 13f | Soft
Wgt8st 12lb
Result6 btn 0.3L
SP25/1
JockeyGavin Ryan
OR42
FFR39
SS84
07-06-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 13f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result13 btn 1L
SP33/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR45
FFR60
SS82
18-05-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 12f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt9st 3lb
Result7 btn 1.5L
SP14/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR47
FFR49
SS96
22-04-2026
Gowran Park-- | 1m5½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result8 btn 2.5L
SP50/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR48
FFR45
SS92
 8st 10lb 15 OR 40 45 +5lb 9 1.05 -6.6 Quick return Big drop back Weak field -- 55% 63% 0/6 92 E Well treated +11 CAUTION PROFILE
AnnacroftRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 4.0
5-12-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
12-07-2026
Dundalk (AW)-- | 10.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 4lb
Result5 btn 12L
SP150/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR--
FFR37
SS--
03-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 11lb
Result12 btn 4.8L
SP125/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR--
FFR36
SS--
20-06-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 13f | Soft
Wgt9st 1lb
Result9 btn 27L
SP66/1
JockeyJack Kearney
OR--
FFR40
SS--
 8st 13lb 6 OR 43 40 -3lb 16 1.05 -8.8 Layoff check Down in trip Weak field -- 45% 51% 0/6 -- E Stiff -3 WATCH ONLY
LohengrinRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 1.8
2-3-7-8-13-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
10-09-2026
Laytown (IRE)-- | 7f | Standard
Wgt10st 5lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP100/30F
JockeyColin Keane
OR48
FFR49
SS94
27-08-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 7lb
Result3 btn 0.1L
SP16/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR45
FFR49
SS104
25-08-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 2lb
Result7 btn 1.8L
SP16/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR45
FFR61
SS54
12-08-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result8 btn 0.5L
SP28/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR47
FFR58
SS32
22-07-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result13 btn 0.5L
SP33/1
JockeyYudish Geerdharry
OR50
FFR74
SS91
03-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result10 btn 3L
SP20/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR53
FFR79
SS85
 9st 4lb 5 OR 48 79 +31lb 23 1.05 +4.7 Quick return Big step up Weak field -- 55% 61% 1/6 85 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
OhmaliRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 0.8
10-5-10-10-2-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-08-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 12f | Yielding
Wgt9st 7lb
Result10 btn 1.8L
SP10/1
JockeyBen Coen
OR63
FFR59
SS101
06-08-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP10/1
JockeyBen Coen
OR63
FFR72
SS110
24-06-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 11f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP12/1
JockeyPaddy Harnett
OR63
FFR48
SS103
10-06-2026
Limerick (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt9st 7lb
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP5/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR63
FFR60
SS104
15-05-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result2 btn 3L
SP7/1
JockeyPaddy Harnett
OR64
FFR67
SS105
08-04-2026
Gowran Park-- | 1m1½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result11 btn 2L
SP9/2
JockeyW J Lee
OR65
FFR47
SS86
 10st 2lb 13 OR 60 47 -13lb 29 1.05 -3.6 Standard rest Big drop back Weak field -- 45% 50% 1/6 86 E Stiff -10 CAUTION PROFILE
Pure GraniteRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only -1.5
6-13-19-6-11-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
19-11-2025
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m2½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP25/1
JockeyWayne Hassett
OR51
FFR54
SS73
05-11-2025
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m2½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result13 btn 0.8L
SP28/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR54
FFR56
SS80
16-10-2025
Curragh-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result19 btn 1.2L
SP80/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR56
FFR69
SS97
06-10-2025
Killarney (IRE)-- | 1m | Soft To Heavy
Wgt--
Result6 btn 3L
SP100/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR--
FFR62
SS90
16-06-2024
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt--
Result11 btn 1L
SP100/1
JockeyRobert Whearty
OR--
FFR64
SS92
13-05-2024
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 7½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result9 btn 4.5L
SP14/1
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR--
FFR83
SS101
 9st 2lb 14 OR 46 83 +37lb 21 1.05 -14.3 Long absence Up in trip Weak field -- 55% 64% 0/6 101 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Signor Ferrari

Signor Ferrari profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Patrick Street

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Signor Ferrari Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 48.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 48.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-6-3-4-7-6
FFR67 / +9lb
Speed96
Franked58
Ground0/2 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw9
Wgt10st 0lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
5 Naas (IRE) Competitive 23-08-2026
6 Ballinrobe (IRE) Competitive 20-07-2026
3 Tipperary (IRE) Solid effort 27-05-2025
4 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Competitive 28-03-2025
7 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Run faded 14-03-2025
6 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Run faded 21-02-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating58
9winners since
2placers since
10evidence pts
07-10-2024 | Fairyhouse (IRE) Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Chou Chou (IRE), Guest Star (GB), Kilbarry Jack (IRE)

Race produced winner

Chou Chou (IRE), Latin (IRE)

Later placers

Tartaraghan (IRE) (08-06-2025)

12-04-2024 | Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Finished 10
Beat named rivals

Boomerang Bill (IRE), Dear Daphne (IRE), The Expert (GB)

Race produced winner

Clonmacash (GB), Comfort Line (IRE)

Later placers

Dear Daphne (IRE) (09-11-2024)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR67
Speed96
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+9lb ahead of mark
FFR 67 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
96 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score21.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI ELOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest +9lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground
Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 8 0W / 1P Peak rating 69
Good 5 2W / 3P Peak rating 76
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 15 2W / 2P Peak rating 73
Placement evidence 59% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 24%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 68%
Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueTrip evidence still asks questions
Mark read Latest +9lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +9lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 58 | Latest FFR 67 | Best FFR 77 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer P J F Murphy
Jockey Conor Cusack(7)
Age 5
Draw 9
OR 58
Avg OR 46.8
OR vs Field +11.2
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 743-65
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Very steady 3.2% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 3.8 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m1f
Runs at profile2
DEIE
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
30-06-2024 Curragh (IRE) Yielding 7 1:53.58 113.6
27-05-2025 Tipperary (IRE) Yielding To Soft 3 2:5.91 125.9
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 23 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window
Ground timing match 0/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP14/1
OwnerDorothy Heffernan
Pedigree

Invincible Army × Altogether (King's Best)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.7L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
23-08-2026 Naas (IRE) 5 1.2 Neutral finish
20-07-2026 Ballinrobe (IRE) 6 0.5 Neutral finish
27-05-2025 Tipperary (IRE) 3 3.5 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 4 runs with an official OR.
21-02-2025 | Dundalk (AW) (IRE)
Rating 66 OR 72
14-03-2025 | Dundalk (AW) (IRE)
Rating 67 OR 72
28-03-2025 | Dundalk (AW) (IRE)
Rating 55 OR 71
27-05-2025 | Tipperary (IRE)
Rating 48 OR 68
20-07-2026 | Ballinrobe (IRE)
Rating -- OR 61
23-08-2026 | Naas (IRE)
Rating -- OR 61
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 51.11s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:53.58 | 2:5.91
Recent positions7 | 3
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
23-08-2026 Naas (IRE) | 11f | Good | -- 5 14/1 61 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
20-07-2026 Ballinrobe (IRE) | 9.5f | Good To Yielding | -- 6 33/1 61 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
27-05-2025 Tipperary (IRE) | 1m1f | Yielding To Soft | -- 3 15/2 68 48 35 3.5 2:5.91 GREY - below benchmark
28-03-2025 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | 7f | Standard | -- 4 5/2F 71 55 38 0.5 1:28.02 GOLD - faster than par
14-03-2025 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | 1m2½f | Standard | -- 7 6/1 72 67 35 0.3 2:18.68 GREY - below benchmark
21-02-2025 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | 1m2½f | Standard | -- 6 4/1 72 66 53 0.3 2:19.97 GREY - below benchmark
Handicap Well treated

Latest +9lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 103.6 and winning TS par is around 59.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Patrick Street Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 43.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 43.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-1-5-5-6-3
FFR58 / +7lb
Speed95
Franked11
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw11
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4 Hamilton Competitive 11-08-2026
1 Ayr Strong run 08-08-2026
5 Kilbeggan (IRE) Competitive 24-07-2026
5 Down Royal (IRE) Steady run 20-06-2026
6 Tramore (IRE) Competitive 30-05-2026
3 Punchestown (IRE) Solid effort 13-05-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating11
2winners since
4placers since
8evidence pts
04-09-2026 | Gowran Park Finished 9
Beat named rivals

Broadchurch (IRE), Deuteronomy (IRE), Fantasy Fara (IRE)

08-08-2026 | Ayr Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Falaise Blanc (FR), Flying Moonlight (IRE), Golden Valour (GB)

04-11-2025 | Ballinrobe (IRE) Finished 15
Race produced winner

He Who Dares (IRE), Holy See (IRE)

Later placers

Arch Empire (FR) (05-12-2025), Euro Maker (IRE) (04-06-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR58
Speed95
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+7lb ahead of mark
FFR 58 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
95 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score23.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI EVERY_LOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest +7lb | peak +48lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs4/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 23 2W / 7P Peak rating 84
Good 10 1W / 1P Peak rating 81
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 5 0W / 0P Peak rating 63
Placement evidence 59% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 35%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questions
Mark read Latest +7lb | peak +48lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +7lb | peak +48lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 51 | Latest FFR 58 | Best FFR 99 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Andrew Kinirons
Jockey Jack Kearney(3)
Age 7
Draw 11
OR 51
Avg OR 46.8
OR vs Field +4.2
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 91514
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge +2.0
Variance Reliable 6.9% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 1.3 vs par
Curve Edging forward Trend 1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance1m1f
Runs at profile1
DEIE
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
22-06-2023 Leopardstown (IRE) Good 9 1:56.53 116.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 35 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: t; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgeartDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP15/8F
OwnerPaul D Mulligan
Pedigree

Heeraat × Obsessive Secret (Grand Lodge)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Beaten favouriteMarket expected more last time
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
11-08-2026 Hamilton 4 1.8 Neutral finish
08-08-2026 Ayr 1 0 Fast finish
24-07-2026 Kilbeggan (IRE) 5 1.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
13-05-2026 | Punchestown (IRE)
Rating -- OR 81
30-05-2026 | Tramore (IRE)
Rating -- OR 83
20-06-2026 | Down Royal (IRE)
Rating -- OR 50
24-07-2026 | Kilbeggan (IRE)
Rating -- OR 82
08-08-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 50
11-08-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 50
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par1m 51.11s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:56.53
Recent positions9
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
11-08-2026 Hamilton | 12f | Good | Class 6 4 15/8F 50 -- -- 1.8 -- GREY - no timing read
08-08-2026 Ayr | 10f | Good | Class 6 1 11/2 50 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
24-07-2026 Kilbeggan (IRE) | 19f | Good | -- 5 7/1 82 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
20-06-2026 Down Royal (IRE) | 13f | Soft | -- 5 7/2J 50 -- -- 4 -- GREY - no timing read
30-05-2026 Tramore (IRE) | 22f | Good | -- 6 9/1 83 -- -- 0.2 -- GREY - no timing read
13-05-2026 Punchestown (IRE) | 16f | Good To Yielding | -- 3 12/1 81 -- -- 5 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Well treated

Latest +7lb | peak +48lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 103.6 and winning TS par is around 59.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Arizona Star Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 40.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 40.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-8-3-6-11-3
FFR58 / +15lb
Speed84
Franked21
Ground2/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw17
Wgt8st 7lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
5 Navan (IRE) Finished well 05-09-2026
8 Cork (IRE) Finished well 30-08-2026
3 Fairyhouse Solid effort 08-07-2026
6 Down Royal (IRE) Competitive 20-06-2026
11 Roscommon (IRE) Competitive 18-05-2026
3 Curragh Finished well 03-04-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating21
2winners since
3placers since
11evidence pts
07-08-2026 | Fairyhouse Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Akissfromarose (IRE), Henry Hudson (GB), Mare Crisium (IRE)

09-05-2026 | Navan (IRE) Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Ballaghkeen (IRE), Borora Aura (IRE), Captain Con (IRE)

Race produced winner

Nibras Rainbow (IRE)

Later placers

Borora Aura (IRE) (05-08-2026)

04-03-2026 | Curragh Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Aravalli (IRE), Mistress Of Tyrone (IRE), Nathema (GB)

Race produced winner

Aravalli (IRE)

Later placers

Chablis Rock (IRE) (09-08-2026), Stellar Moment (IRE) (06-04-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR58
Speed84
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+15lb ahead of mark
FFR 58 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
84 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score28.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI ELOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest +15lb | peak +20lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 6 0W / 1P Peak rating 38
Good 2 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 60% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 30%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 68%
Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueTrip evidence still asks questions
Mark read Latest +15lb | peak +20lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +15lb | peak +20lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 43 | Latest FFR 58 | Best FFR 63 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Michael Mulvany
Jockey Reserve 1
Age 3
Draw 17
OR 43
Avg OR 46.8
OR vs Field -3.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 306385
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Reliable; Bounce watch; No hidden upgrade; Needs a new peak; Improving

confidence nudge -0.8
Variance Reliable 6.5% volatility
Bounce Bounce watch Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Needs a new peak -16.5 vs par
Curve Improving Trend 2
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m2f
Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.
Profile distance1m2f
Runs at profile3
DEIE
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
03-04-2026 Curragh (IRE) Soft To Heavy 3 2:26.58 146.6
08-07-2026 Fairyhouse (IRE) Good 3 2:7.35 127.3
05-09-2026 Navan (IRE) Good 5 2:7.66 127.7
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 10 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP7/1
OwnerRaymond Mcmahon
Pedigree

Arizona × Bequia (Helmet)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
05-09-2026 Navan (IRE) 5 0.8 Fast finish
30-08-2026 Cork (IRE) 8 0.8 Fast finish
08-07-2026 Fairyhouse 3 1.8 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 1 earlier run was unrated.
03-04-2026 | Curragh
Rating 38 OR Unrated
18-05-2026 | Roscommon (IRE)
Rating -- OR 58
20-06-2026 | Down Royal (IRE)
Rating -- OR 56
08-07-2026 | Fairyhouse
Rating -- OR 53
30-08-2026 | Cork (IRE)
Rating -- OR 50
05-09-2026 | Navan (IRE)
Rating -- OR 45
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs3
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 51.11s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times2:26.58 | 2:7.35 | 2:7.66
Recent positions3 | 3 | 5
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
05-09-2026 Navan (IRE) | 10f | Good | -- 5 7/1 45 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
30-08-2026 Cork (IRE) | 8f | Yielding | -- 8 13/2 50 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
08-07-2026 Fairyhouse | 10f | Good | -- 3 33/1 53 -- -- 1.8 -- GREY - no timing read
20-06-2026 Down Royal (IRE) | 10.5f | Soft | -- 6 66/1 56 -- -- 3 -- GREY - no timing read
18-05-2026 Roscommon (IRE) | 12f | Yielding | -- 11 80/1 58 -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
03-04-2026 Curragh | 1m2f | Soft To Heavy | -- 3 400/1 -- 38 24 18 2:26.58 GREY - below benchmark
Handicap Well treated

Latest +15lb | peak +20lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 103.6 and winning TS par is around 59.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Rockbury Lad Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 33.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 33.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form6-9-7-12-6-10
FFR60 / +8lb
Speed99
Franked48
Ground2/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw2
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Rampage Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 27.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 27.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-5-8-7-13-11
FFR75 / +33lb
Speed96
Franked24
Ground3/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw4
Wgt8st 12lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Spiritofthedawn Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 18.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 18.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-11-11-11
FFR74 / +25lb
Speed88
Franked39
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw16
Wgt8st 13lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Curious Jane Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 13.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 13.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9-5-5-9-11-12
FFR48 / +8lb
Speed85
Franked3
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw7
Wgt8st 7lb
Best angle: Mark Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Duchess Anne Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 12.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8-2-4-6-14-11
FFR62 / +21lb
Speed85
Franked53
Ground2/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw10
Wgt8st 11lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Chloe's Boy Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 11.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +8lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9-13-10-6-13-14
FFR58 / +8lb
Speed--
Franked18
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw12
Wgt9st 0lb
Best angle: Mark Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Tullyesker Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form12-8-8-12-17
FFR48 / +8lb
Speed84
Franked30
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw3
Wgt8st 10lb
Best angle: Mark Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
The Monday Club Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form14-5-5
FFR34 / -16lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw1
Wgt9st 0lb
Best angle: Trip move Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Churchill Gale Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form19-8-6-4-9-7
FFR32 / -10lb
Speed98
Franked31
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw8
Wgt8st 12lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Idomything Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 6.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 6.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +11lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8-10-6-13-7-8
FFR45 / +5lb
Speed92
Franked9
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw15
Wgt8st 10lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Annacroft Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 4.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 4.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-12-9
FFR40 / -3lb
Speed--
Franked16
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw6
Wgt8st 13lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Lohengrin Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 1.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 1.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form2-3-7-8-13-10
FFR79 / +31lb
Speed85
Franked23
Ground3/3 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassClass move developing
Draw5
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Ohmali Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 0.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 0.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10-5-10-10-2-11
FFR47 / -13lb
Speed86
Franked29
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw13
Wgt10st 2lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Pure Granite Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence --
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only -1.5 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-13-19-6-11-9
FFR83 / +37lb
Speed101
Franked21
Ground0/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw14
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
5:18 | Yarmouth

5:18 | Yarmouth | 5f

Class 4 | Good To Soft | Winning Experience With Moulton Racing Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 69 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosLow
Average OR75.17 rated runners | Top OR 81: Sea Cookie
Winning par1m 02.33s5 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD TO SOFT (GoingStick: 4.8) Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-80 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Diomed Duke leads the contextual model at 44.2
  • Decision type: Shortlist profile - Worth a deeper look
  • Clearer top profile: +9.8 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 1m 02.33s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 7 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Diomed DukeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleShortlist profile 56.0
1-3-1-2-5-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-09-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 4 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 1lb
Result1
SP6/4F
JockeyOlivia Haines
OR76
FFR72
SS111
22-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP3/1
JockeyOlivia Haines
OR76
FFR62
SS102
25-07-2026
LingfieldClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result1
SP11/8F
JockeyOlivia Haines
OR71
FFR77
SS97
17-07-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 4 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result2 btn 2L
SP100/30
JockeyRay Dawson
OR72
FFR76
SS97
20-06-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 0lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP9/2
JockeyRob Hornby
OR74
FFR81
SS103
01-06-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result5 btn 0.8L
SP6/1
JockeyMarco Ghiani
OR76
FFR86
SS103
 9st 12lb 5 OR 80 86 +6lb 59 1.05 +13.7 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 63% 69% 2/6 103 A Workable +6 PRICE DEPENDENT
Fiorella PrincessRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 53.8
2-6-2-3-5-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 10lb
Result2 btn 0.1L
SP5/2F
JockeyCharles Bishop
OR67
FFR74
SS91
08-04-2026
NottinghamClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt--
Result6 btn 2.2L
SP13/2
JockeyHollie Doyle
OR69
FFR74
SS88
26-03-2026
Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 2.2L
SP12/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR69
FFR76
SS96
26-02-2026
Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 3.2L
SP28/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR70
FFR81
SS97
24-01-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1.8L
SP9/1
JockeyHector Crouch
OR71
FFR74
SS100
08-01-2026
Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP33/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR70
FFR74
SS96
 9st 2lb 7 OR 70 74 +4lb 36 1.03 +1.7 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 60% 64% 1/6 96 C Well treated +10 WATCH ONLY
Sea CookieRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 35.2
11-2-12-1-1-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
22-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result11 btn 0.8L
SP18/1
JockeyNeil Callan
OR83
FFR80
SS96
09-08-2026
LeicesterClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 8lb
Result2 btn 4.8L
SP11/8F
JockeyNeil Callan
OR84
FFR88
SS95
09-07-2026
NewmarketClass 2 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 3lb
Result12 btn 0.2L
SP18/1
JockeyJack Callan
OR84
FFR88
SS--
20-06-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result1
SP7/2
JockeyNeil Callan
OR79
FFR73
SS--
01-06-2026
NewburyClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result1
SPEvensF
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR--
FFR72
SS--
10-08-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP3/1
JockeyNeil Callan
OR--
FFR65
SS--
 9st 12lb 2 OR 81 65 -16lb 2 1.06 -4.3 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 55% 55% 2/6 95 A Stiff -13 WATCH ONLY
Twilight FunRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 31.8
2-8-4-6-14-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
14-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP18/1
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR78
FFR90
SS104
20-06-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 13lb
Result8 btn 2L
SP11/1
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR79
FFR63
SS98
28-05-2026
YarmouthClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result4 btn 2L
SP12/1
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR80
FFR68
SS96
13-05-2026
YarmouthClass 3 | 5f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 2lb
Result6 btn 3.2L
SP12/1
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR82
FFR58
SS111
27-03-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 3 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result14 btn 4.5L
SP16/1
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR83
FFR58
SS97
21-02-2026
Chelmsford (AW)Class 2 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP11/4F
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR83
FFR84
SS83
 9st 6lb 3 OR 74 84 +10lb 62 1.03 +0.5 Layoff check Down in trip Solid field -- 65% 69% 2/6 83 A Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Courageous SiouxRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 31.2
1-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-07-2026
NottinghamClass 4 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result1
SP5/2
JockeyGeorgia Dobie
OR--
FFR77
SS92
12-04-2025
ThirskClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1.8L
SP10/1
JockeyFrederick Larson
OR--
FFR86
SS--
 9st 2lb 1 OR 71 86 +15lb 12 1.03 +4 Layoff check Same trip Solid field -- 60% 66% 0/6 92 C Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Creative QueenRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 24.8
6-2-3-7-7-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-09-2026
HaydockClass 4 | 5f | Heavy
Wgt9st 4lb
Result6 btn 0.3L
SP7/1
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR73
FFR86
SS99
14-08-2026
YarmouthClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 0.1L
SP15/2
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR72
FFR52
SS96
03-08-2026
RiponClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result3 btn 1L
SP7/2
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR72
FFR64
SS102
09-07-2026
CarlisleClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result7 btn 2.5L
SP17/2
JockeyPaul Mulrennan
OR74
FFR64
SS--
23-06-2026
NewburyClass 5 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result7 btn 1.5L
SP11/2
JockeyTom Marquand
OR75
FFR74
SS--
13-05-2026
YarmouthClass 4 | 6f | Soft
Wgt9st 2lb
Result1
SP5/4F
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR71
FFR76
SS--
 9st 4lb 6 OR 73 76 +3lb 14 1.03 -3.3 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 55% 59% 1/6 102 E Well treated +9 WATCH ONLY
Lil BrotherRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 18.2
4-7-5-9-4-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-08-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 6f | Soft
Wgt9st 8lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP17/2
JockeySaffie Osborne
OR79
FFR86
SS94
07-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result7 btn 4.5L
SP125/1
JockeyKyle McHugh
OR82
FFR84
SS97
01-12-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1L
SP12/1
JockeyKyle McHugh
OR84
FFR78
SS93
10-10-2025
YorkClass 3 | 5f | Good
Wgt--
Result9 btn 0.3L
SP8/1
JockeyAshley Lewis
OR85
FFR75
SS96
26-09-2025
HaydockClass 3 | 5f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP3/1F
JockeyHollie Doyle
OR85
FFR57
SS90
18-08-2025
WindsorClass 4 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result1
SP4/1
JockeyTrevor Whelan
OR81
FFR63
SS90
 9st 8lb 4 OR 77 63 -14lb 46 1.03 -12.3 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 55% 57% 1/6 90 A Stiff -11 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Diomed Duke

Diomed Duke profiles as a unclear with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Fiorella Princess

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Diomed Duke Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 56.0
PRICE DEPENDENT
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Shortlist profile 56.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form1-3-1-2-5-5
FFR86 / +6lb
Speed103
Franked59
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt9st 12lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Lingfield (AW) Strong run 03-09-2026
3 Newmarket (July) Solid effort 22-08-2026
1 Lingfield Strong run 25-07-2026
2 Newmarket (July) Solid effort 17-07-2026
5 Newmarket (July) Run faded 20-06-2026
5 Windsor Competitive 01-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating59
10winners since
2placers since
14evidence pts
09-03-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Forager (GB), Toolatetonegotiate (GB), Truly Glamorous (GB)

Race produced winner

Wyle Cop (USA)

Later placers

Toolatetonegotiate (GB) (05-04-2026)

06-01-2026 | Windsor Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Cressida Wildes (GB), HK Fourteen (IRE), Wheels Of Fire (IRE)

Race produced winner

Moulin Booj (IRE), Solar Edge (GB)

06-06-2024 | Chelmsford (AW) Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Adelaide Bay (GB), Enchanted Eye (GB), Flor Do Rio (IRE)

Race produced winner

Adelaide Bay (GB), Brian (IRE)

Later placers

Enchanted Eye (GB) (09-11-2024)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement2/6
FFR86
Speed103
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+6lb ahead of mark
FFR 86 pounds scale
SpeedScoreabove par
103 Par 100
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeShortlist profileThere is useful evidence, but the horse still needs normal price, risk and race checks.
Model score44.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 63% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence Testing No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 0W / 1P Peak rating 80
Good 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 80
Fast 9 3W / 5P Peak rating 85
All-weather 3 1W / 1P Peak rating 73
Placement evidence 69% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 70%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Proven trip profile (A)12 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 80 | Latest FFR 86 | Best FFR 86 | Public mark read +6
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Stuart Williams
Jockey Olivia Haines(7)
Age 4
Draw 5
OR 80
Avg OR 75.1
OR vs Field +4.9
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 552131
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +2.5
Variance Very steady 4.6% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 10.6 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile12
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
25-07-2026 Lingfield Good To Firm 1 0:57.05 57
22-08-2026 Newmarket (July) Good 3 0:58.92 58.9
03-09-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 1 0:57.76 57.8
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 12 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: t; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgeartDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP6/4F
OwnerDiomed Racing
Pedigree

Mayson × Three Little Birds (Dandy Man)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.3L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
03-09-2026 Lingfield (AW) 1 0 Neutral finish
22-08-2026 Newmarket (July) 3 0.8 Fast finish
25-07-2026 Lingfield 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
01-06-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 76
20-06-2026 | Newmarket (July)
Rating -- OR 74
17-07-2026 | Newmarket (July)
Rating -- OR 72
25-07-2026 | Lingfield
Rating -- OR 71
22-08-2026 | Newmarket (July)
Rating -- OR 76
03-09-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 76
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs12
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 02.33s
Last win at trip-- | Lingfield (AW) | 03-09-2026
Recent times0:57.05 | 0:58.92 | 0:57.76
Recent positions1 | 3 | 1
Winning contextOR 76 | weight 9-1
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
03-09-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 4 1 6/4F 76 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
22-08-2026 Newmarket (July) | 5f | Good | Class 4 3 3/1 76 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
25-07-2026 Lingfield | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 1 11/8F 71 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
17-07-2026 Newmarket (July) | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 4 2 100/30 72 -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
20-06-2026 Newmarket (July) | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 5 9/2 74 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
01-06-2026 Windsor | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 4 5 6/1 76 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Workable mark

Latest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 85.2 and winning TS par is around 63.6. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Fiorella Princess Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 53.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 53.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (C)
Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Form2-6-2-3-5-2
FFR74 / +4lb
Speed96
Franked36
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw7
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.03
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Lingfield (AW) Solid effort 20-08-2026
6 Nottingham Run faded 08-04-2026
2 Chelmsford (AW) Finished well 26-03-2026
3 Chelmsford (AW) Solid effort 26-02-2026
5 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 24-01-2026
2 Chelmsford (AW) Run faded 08-01-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating36
2winners since
7placers since
14evidence pts
04-08-2026 | Nottingham Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Spendmore Lane (GB)

Later placers

Albegone (GB) (09-09-2026), Komorkis (IRE) (06-08-2026)

01-08-2026 | Chelmsford (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Diamond Dreamer (GB), General Assembly (IRE), Lequinto (IRE)

Race produced winner

Mumayaz (IRE)

Later placers

General Assembly (IRE) (02-09-2026), Merrimack (GB) (06-09-2026)

01-08-2025 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Atherstone Beau (GB), Blinky (IRE), Dandy Magic (IRE)

Race produced winner

Startling (GB)

Later placers

Atherstone Beau (GB) (03-12-2025), Fallen Soldier (IRE) (03-08-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR74
Speed96
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+4lb near mark
FFR 74 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
96 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score32.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +10lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Testing No recent testing sample; best evidence is on good ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on good ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 1W / 1P Peak rating 76
Good 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 70
Fast 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 67
All-weather 14 1W / 9P Peak rating 75
Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 78%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 82%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 42%
Proven trip profile (C)15 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +10lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Mark read Latest FFR read +10lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +10lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 70 | Latest FFR 74 | Best FFR 81 | Public mark read +10
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Robert Cowell
Jockey Billy Loughnane
Age 4
Draw 7
OR 70
Avg OR 75.1
OR vs Field -5.1
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 253262
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +0.8
Variance Very steady 4.1% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -0.1 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile15
DEIC
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
26-03-2026 Chelmsford (AW) Standard 2 0:58.85 58.9
08-04-2026 Nottingham Good 6 1:1.15 61.1
20-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 2 0:57.70 57.7
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 26 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP5/2F
OwnerS A Herbert
Pedigree

Sands Of Mali × Elegant Drama (Dandy Man)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this tripBeaten favouriteMarket expected more last time
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.5L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
20-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 2 0.1 Neutral finish
08-04-2026 Nottingham 6 2.2 Run faded
26-03-2026 Chelmsford (AW) 2 2.2 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 5 runs with an official OR.
08-01-2026 | Chelmsford (AW)
Rating 74 OR 70
24-01-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating 64 OR 71
26-02-2026 | Chelmsford (AW)
Rating 62 OR 70
26-03-2026 | Chelmsford (AW)
Rating 71 OR 69
08-04-2026 | Nottingham
Rating 63 OR 69
20-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 67
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs15
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 02.33s
Last win at trip1:5.83 | Sandown | 17-09-2025
Recent times0:58.85 | 1:1.15 | 0:57.70
Recent positions2 | 6 | 2
Winning contextvs par +3.5s | OR 64
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
20-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 5 2 5/2F 67 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
08-04-2026 Nottingham | 5f | Good | Class 5 6 13/2 69 63 33 2.2 1:01.15 GOLD - faster than par
26-03-2026 Chelmsford (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 5 2 12/1 69 71 58 2.2 0:58.85 GOLD - faster than par
26-02-2026 Chelmsford (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 5 3 28/1 70 62 51 3.2 0:59.34 GOLD - faster than par
24-01-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 5 5 9/1 71 64 50 1.8 0:58.96 GOLD - faster than par
08-01-2026 Chelmsford (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 5 2 33/1 70 74 39 1.2 1:00.75 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Well treated

Latest FFR read +10lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 85.2 and winning TS par is around 63.6. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Sea Cookie Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 35.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 35.2 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form11-2-12-1-1-2
FFR65 / -16lb
Speed95
Franked2
Ground1/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw2
Wgt9st 12lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.06
Twilight Fun Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 31.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Watch only 31.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Form2-8-4-6-14-3
FFR84 / +10lb
Speed83
Franked62
Ground1/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw3
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: DEI Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.03
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Wolverhampton (AW) Solid effort 14-07-2026
8 Newmarket (July) Run faded 20-06-2026
4 Yarmouth Run faded 28-05-2026
6 Yarmouth Steady run 13-05-2026
14 Newcastle (AW) Run faded 27-03-2026
3 Chelmsford (AW) Solid effort 21-02-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating62
7winners since
6placers since
15evidence pts
02-06-2026 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Abduction (FR), Arnhem (IRE), Bright (IRE)

Race produced winner

Dorney Lake (GB)

Later placers

Abduction (FR) (07-06-2026), Fortamour (IRE) (05-08-2026)

12-04-2025 | Chelmsford (AW) Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Ancient Times (GB), Cherry Cobbler (GB), Cressida Wildes (GB)

Race produced winner

Almaty Star (IRE), Ancient Times (GB)

Later placers

Cressida Wildes (GB) (06-06-2025), Havana Rum (IRE) (07-10-2025)

05-10-2024 | Nottingham Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Agnes Grey (IRE), Agostino (GB), Newyorkstateofmind (GB)

Race produced winner

Agnes Grey (IRE), Harry's Halo (IRE)

Later placers

Agostino (GB) (09-08-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR84
Speed83
ConditionsPositive fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+10lb ahead of mark
FFR 84 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
83 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score31.0Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest +10lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 65% Positive conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence Testing Has experience, but limited strong evidence
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Has experience, but limited strong evidence Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 26
Good 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 71
Fast 3 0W / 0P Peak rating 78
All-weather 15 4W / 8P Peak rating 87
Placement evidence 69% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 42%
Proven trip profile (A)15 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Mark read Latest +10lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +10lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 74 | Latest FFR 84 | Best FFR 90 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Chelsea Banham
Jockey Joey Haynes
Age 6
Draw 3
OR 74
Avg OR 75.1
OR vs Field -1.1
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 306482
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Regressing

confidence nudge -0.2
Variance Reliable 8.7% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 11.2 vs par
Curve Regressing Trend -2
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile15
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
04-12-2025 Chelmsford (AW) Standard 4 0:58.81 58.8
21-02-2026 Chelmsford (AW) Standard 3 0:59.00 59
13-05-2026 Yarmouth Good To Soft 6 1:3.81 63.8
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.0 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 63 days Standard layoff
Micro score +0.0 headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP18/1
OwnerMatt Bartram
Pedigree

Twilight Son × Sweet Applause (Acclamation)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course winHas won at this courseDistance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
14-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 2 0.3 Neutral finish
20-06-2026 Newmarket (July) 8 2 Run faded
28-05-2026 Yarmouth 4 2 Run faded
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 2 runs with an official OR.
21-02-2026 | Chelmsford (AW)
Rating 85 OR 83
27-03-2026 | Newcastle (AW)
Rating 29 OR 83
13-05-2026 | Yarmouth
Rating -- OR 82
28-05-2026 | Yarmouth
Rating -- OR 80
20-06-2026 | Newmarket (July)
Rating -- OR 79
14-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 78
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs15
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 02.33s
Last win at trip0:57.71 | Chelmsford (AW) | 13-02-2025
Recent times0:58.81 | 0:59.00 | 1:3.81
Recent positions4 | 3 | 6
Winning contextvs par -4.62s | OR 76
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
14-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 4 2 18/1 78 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
20-06-2026 Newmarket (July) | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 8 11/1 79 -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
28-05-2026 Yarmouth | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 4 12/1 80 -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
13-05-2026 Yarmouth | 5f | Good To Soft | Class 3 6 12/1 82 -- -- 3.2 -- GREY - no timing read
27-03-2026 Newcastle (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 3 14 16/1 83 29 21 4.5 1:15.75 GREY - below benchmark
21-02-2026 Chelmsford (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 2 3 11/4F 83 85 55 1.2 0:59.00 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Well treated

Latest +10lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 85.2 and winning TS par is around 63.6. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Courageous Sioux Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 31.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 31.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form1-5
FFR86 / +15lb
Speed92
Franked12
Ground1/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.03
Creative Queen Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 24.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 24.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +9lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-2-3-7-7-1
FFR76 / +3lb
Speed102
Franked14
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.03
Lil Brother Distance specialist
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 18.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 18.2 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form4-7-5-9-4-1
FFR63 / -14lb
Speed90
Franked46
Ground2/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.03
2:00 | Uttoxeter

2:00 | Uttoxeter | 23.5f

Class 4 | Good | Support Scropton Riding For The Disabled Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race

Race Confidence 67 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosLow
Average OR108.68 rated runners | Top OR 114: Imperial Data
Winning par5m 55.56s13 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-120 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Harry leads the contextual model at 35.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +6.2 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 5m 55.56s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 8 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
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HarryRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 45.2
3-4-1-2-1-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-09-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 20f | Good
Wgt10st 13lb
Result3 btn 10L
SP7/1
JockeyRian Corcoran
OR110
FFR98
SS93
23-08-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 4lb
Result4 btn 7.5L
SP16/1
JockeyRian Corcoran
OR110
FFR101
SS119
15-07-2026
Clairefontaine (FR)-- | 19.5f | Soft
Wgt11st 4lb
Result1
SP9/4
JockeyFrancesco Mula
OR--
FFR81
SS109
12-11-2023
Auteuil (FR)-- | 2m5½f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result2 btn 20L
SP15/1
JockeyNicolas Gauffenic
OR--
FFR110
SS109
10-06-2023
Auteuil (FR)-- | 2m2f | Very Soft
Wgt--
Result1
SP23/5
JockeyNicolas Gauffenic
OR--
FFR95
SS90
21-05-2023
Auteuil (FR)-- | 2m3½f | Very Soft
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP14/1
JockeyNicolas Gauffenic
OR--
FFR98
SS--
 11st 7lb 0 OR 107 98 -9lb 9 1.15 +11.6 Standard rest Big step up Elite field 80 48% 52% 0/6 90 D Stiff -6 CAUTION PROFILE
Betty's TiaraRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 41.8
1-8-9-7-6-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
19-08-2026
WorcesterClass 5 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 10lb
Result1
SP28/1
JockeyBen Jones
OR100
FFR87
SS108
24-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 24f | Good
Wgt11st 9lb
Result8 btn 0.5L
SP16/1
JockeyBeau Morgan
OR100
FFR86
SS92
01-07-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 6lb
Result9 btn 11L
SP12/1
JockeyBen Jones
OR104
FFR74
SS107
22-05-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 11lb
Result7 btn 21L
SP12/1
JockeyBen Jones
OR107
FFR72
SS98
13-12-2025
DoncasterClass 4 | 3m½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result6 btn 10L
SP9/1
JockeyBen Jones
OR110
FFR70
SS106
23-11-2025
ExeterClass 4 | 2m7f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 2.2L
SP9/2
JockeyElliott England
OR110
FFR105
SS94
 11st 4lb 0 OR 104 105 +1lb 55 1.15 +5.3 Standard rest Down in trip Elite field 68 57% 67% 0/6 94 B Near mark +1 WATCH ONLY
Crystal GlanceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 29.5
1-3-5-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
24-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 4 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 10lb
Result--
SP8/1
JockeyToby Wynne
OR112
FFR102
SS96
26-06-2026
Bangor-on-DeeClass 3 | 19.5f | Good
Wgt11st 4lb
Result--
SP11/10F
JockeyJack Tudor
OR112
FFR90
SS56
23-05-2026
Bangor-on-DeeClass 4 | 19.5f | Good
Wgt11st 8lb
Result1
SP9/2
JockeyToby Wynne
OR104
FFR85
SS90
24-11-2025
LudlowClass 5 | 3m | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 9.5L
SP100/30
JockeyBen Smith
OR105
FFR116
SS111
27-10-2025
Bangor-on-DeeClass 4 | 2m3½f | Good
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1.5L
SP7/2J
JockeyToby Wynne
OR106
FFR120
SS95
01-10-2025
WarwickClass 3 | 2m5f | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP85/40F
JockeyToby Wynne
OR107
FFR111
SS95
 11st 10lb 0 OR 110 111 +1lb 17 1.15 +0.3 Freshened up Big step up Elite field 80 53% 57% 1/6 95 E Workable +7 WATCH ONLY
TorrentRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 25.5
3-3-5-4-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-08-2026
StratfordClass 4 | 22f | Good To Firm
Wgt11st 7lb
Result3 btn 8L
SP5/1
JockeyDavid Noonan
OR109
FFR122
SS76
24-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 4 | 23.5f | Good
Wgt11st 13lb
Result3 btn 2L
SP15/2
JockeyDavid Noonan
OR109
FFR101
SS95
23-05-2026
Bangor-on-DeeClass 4 | 19.5f | Good
Wgt12st 0lb
Result5 btn 0.2L
SP9/1
JockeyDavid Noonan
OR110
FFR113
SS104
02-05-2026
UttoxeterClass 3 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 0lb
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP17/2
JockeyDavid Noonan
OR111
FFR102
SS95
02-04-2026
ChepstowClass 4 | 2m3½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result6 btn 5.5L
SP15/2
JockeyMurray Dodd
OR113
FFR110
SS88
27-01-2026
ChepstowClass 3 | 2m3½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result--
SP16/1
JockeyJames Davies
OR115
FFR101
SS123
 11st 7lb 0 OR 107 101 -6lb 28 1.15 +1.6 Standard rest Up in trip Elite field 77 45% 53% 0/6 123 E Stiff -3 WATCH ONLY
Pike RoadRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 14.2
7-7-2-4-6-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 2 | 23.5f | Good
Wgt10st 6lb
Result7 btn 8L
SP11/1
JockeyFreddie Keighley
OR113
FFR94
SS108
01-07-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 6lb
Result7 btn 4.8L
SP100/30F
JockeyFreddie Keighley
OR109
FFR84
SS122
06-06-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 11lb
Result2 btn 3L
SP5/1
JockeyFreddie Keighley
OR112
FFR87
SS116
05-05-2026
HerefordClass 4 | 19.5f | Good
Wgt11st 3lb
Result4 btn 10L
SP13/2
JockeyFreddie Keighley
OR114
FFR111
SS108
02-02-2026
SouthwellClass 4 | 2m4½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result6 btn 11L
SP4/1
JockeyFreddie Keighley
OR116
FFR82
SS95
01-01-2026
CheltenhamClass 2 | 3m | Good
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1.5L
SP14/1
JockeyFreddie Keighley
OR118
FFR91
SS94
 11st 12lb 0 OR 112 91 -21lb 43 1.15 -3.9 Freshened up Same trip Elite field 72 45% 44% 0/6 94 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Billy Boi BlueRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 13.5
5-1-6-6-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 10lb
Result5 btn 4.2L
SP9/1
JockeyKielan Woods
OR109
FFR121
SS140
24-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 4 | 23.5f | Good
Wgt11st 13lb
Result1
SP28/1
JockeyKielan Woods
OR109
FFR104
SS78
10-07-2026
WorcesterClass 2 | 20f | Good
Wgt9st 11lb
Result6 btn 34L
SP20/1
JockeyIsabelle Ryder
OR112
FFR76
SS108
13-06-2026
HexhamClass 4 | 23.5f | Good
Wgt11st 13lb
Result6 btn 1L
SP18/1
JockeyDavid Bass
OR116
FFR90
SS102
19-05-2026
HuntingdonClass 3 | 25f | Good To Firm
Wgt11st 5lb
Result5 btn 14L
SP14/1
JockeyNick Slatter
OR119
FFR116
SS93
17-04-2026
AyrClass 3 | 3m½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result--
SP33/1
JockeySam Twiston-Davies
OR122
FFR96
SS87
 11st 13lb 0 OR 113 96 -17lb 41 1.15 +0.6 Standard rest Down in trip Elite field 80 45% 42% 0/6 87 E Stiff -14 CAUTION PROFILE
Imperial DataRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.2
6-8-4-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
CartmelClass 2 | 25.5f | Good To Soft
Wgt11st 7lb
Result6 btn 24L
SP12/1
JockeyRichie McLernon
OR118
FFR105
SS118
13-06-2026
HexhamClass 3 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 7lb
Result--
SP50/1
JockeyEllis Collier
OR122
FFR79
SS87
25-05-2026
CartmelClass 2 | 25.5f | Good
Wgt11st 5lb
Result8 btn 4.2L
SP18/1
JockeyEllis Collier
OR125
FFR121
SS93
09-05-2026
HexhamClass 3 | 20f | Soft
Wgt11st 7lb
Result--
SP40/1
JockeyEllis Collier
OR127
FFR92
SS97
05-10-2025
UttoxeterClass 3 | 2m7½f | Good
Wgt--
Result4 btn 14L
SP6/1
JockeyRichie McLernon
OR128
FFR121
SS102
25-09-2025
PerthClass 2 | 3m | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP8/1
JockeyRichie McLernon
OR128
FFR98
SS88
 12st 0lb 0 OR 114 98 -16lb 52 1.15 -11.2 Standard rest Big drop back Elite field 70 45% 40% 1/6 88 E Stiff -13 CAUTION PROFILE
CinnodinRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.5
10-2-1-5-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
19-08-2026
WorcesterClass 5 | 23f | Good
Wgt12st 0lb
Result10 btn 0.5L
SP14/1
JockeyGavin Sheehan
OR104
FFR112
SS110
23-06-2026
Newton AbbotClass 4 | 26.5f | Good
Wgt11st 12lb
Result--
SP9/2
JockeyGavin Sheehan
OR104
FFR82
SS79
24-05-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 23.5f | Good
Wgt12st 0lb
Result2 btn 0.8L
SP5/2
JockeyJonathan Burke
OR102
FFR105
SS93
02-05-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 23.5f | Good
Wgt11st 10lb
Result1
SP5/1
JockeyGavin Sheehan
OR96
FFR103
SS76
21-10-2025
ExeterClass 5 | 2m7f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result5 btn 6L
SP13/2
JockeyGavin Sheehan
OR100
FFR110
SS128
02-10-2025
SouthwellClass 4 | 2m4½f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 2.2L
SP4/1
JockeyGavin Sheehan
OR--
FFR71
SS96
 11st 2lb 0 OR 102 71 -31lb 35 1.15 -4.4 Standard rest Down in trip Elite field 80 45% 44% 1/6 96 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Harry

Harry profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Betty's Tiara

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Harry Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 45.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 45.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form3-4-1-2-1-7
FFR98 / -9lb
Speed90
Franked9
Ground0/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 7lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3 Worcester Finished well 04-09-2026
4 Worcester Steady run 23-08-2026
1 Clairefontaine (FR) Strong run 15-07-2026
2 Auteuil (FR) Run faded 12-11-2023
1 Auteuil (FR) Strong run 10-06-2023
7 Auteuil (FR) Competitive 21-05-2023
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating9
1winners since
1placers since
8evidence pts
09-04-2026 | Worcester Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Charlus (IRE), Jaytee (GB), Queens Venture (IRE)

11-12-2023 | Auteuil (FR) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Free Lord DAnjou (FR), Full Time (FR), Fundam (FR)

Later placers

Inside Montlioux (FR) (11-11-2025)

06-10-2023 | Auteuil (FR) Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Assad Lawal (FR), Cima Well (FR), Forza (FR)

Race produced winner

Hamandio (FR)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement0/6
FFR98
Speed90
ConditionsCaution
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-9lb below mark
FFR 98 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
90 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score35.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DVERY_LOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -9lb | peak +3lb treated as ceiling | public read -6lb
Today's conditions match 48% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 52%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 6 2W / 4P Peak rating 131
Good 2 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 52% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 52%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 34%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidenceRecent evidence is mixed
Mark read Latest -9lb | peak +3lb treated as ceiling | public read -6lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -9lb | peak +3lb treated as ceiling | public read -6lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 107 | Latest FFR 98 | Best FFR 110 | Public mark read -6
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Jumps intelligence Strong jumps profile

Clean completion, suitable code and stamina evidence support the runner.

Hurdle profile 80 +1.5 model nudge
Code evidence4 runsHurdle
Completion100%
Jumping rhythm0% error clues
StaminaStamina mixedTrip and finish comments
GroundGround not a jumps concernTesting-ground evidence
Trainer David Pipe
Jockey Rian Corcoran(3)
Age 9
Draw 0
OR 107
Avg OR 108.6
OR vs Field -1.6
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form /71143
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Variable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Regressing

confidence nudge -0.8
Variance Variable 10.5% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Big ceiling edge 18.6 vs par
Curve Regressing Trend -2
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 2m5½f
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance2m5½f
Runs at profile1
DEID
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
12-11-2023 Auteuil (FR) Heavy 2 5:31.34 331.3
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 11 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: b
Ground timing match 0/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearbDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP7/1
OwnerDavid Pipe Racing Club
Pedigree

Maxios × Ajdo (Doyen)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 5.8L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
04-09-2026 Worcester 3 10 Fast finish
23-08-2026 Worcester 4 7.5 Neutral finish
15-07-2026 Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 3 earlier runs were unrated.
21-05-2023 | Auteuil (FR)
Rating 124 OR Unrated
10-06-2023 | Auteuil (FR)
Rating 131 OR Unrated
12-11-2023 | Auteuil (FR)
Rating 106 OR Unrated
23-08-2026 | Worcester
Rating -- OR 110
04-09-2026 | Worcester
Rating -- OR 110
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par5m 55.56s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times5:31.34
Recent positions2
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
04-09-2026 Worcester | 20f | Good | Class 4 3 7/1 110 -- -- 10 -- GREY - no timing read
23-08-2026 Worcester | 20f | Good | Class 4 4 16/1 110 -- -- 7.5 -- GREY - no timing read
15-07-2026 Clairefontaine (FR) | 19.5f | Soft | -- 1 9/4 -- -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
12-11-2023 Auteuil (FR) | 2m5½f | Heavy | -- 2 15/1 -- 106 -- 20 5:30.34 GOLD - faster than par
10-06-2023 Auteuil (FR) | 2m2f | Very Soft | -- 1 23/5 -- 131 -- 0 4:9.02 GOLD - faster than par
21-05-2023 Auteuil (FR) | 2m3½f | Very Soft | -- 7 14/1 -- 124 -- 0.3 4:27.63 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -9lb | peak +3lb treated as ceiling | public read -6lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 112.8 and winning TS par is around 87.4. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Betty's Tiara Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 41.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Watch only 41.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form1-8-9-7-6-4
FFR105 / +1lb
Speed94
Franked55
Ground3/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw0
Wgt11st 4lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Worcester Strong run 19-08-2026
8 Uttoxeter Competitive 24-07-2026
9 Worcester Steady run 01-07-2026
7 Worcester Steady run 22-05-2026
6 Doncaster Run faded 13-12-2025
4 Exeter Run faded 23-11-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating55
5winners since
4placers since
14evidence pts
07-01-2026 | Worcester Finished 9
Beat named rivals

Quick Sharpener (IRE)

Race produced winner

Duel Au Soleil (FR), I Am The Moon (GB)

Later placers

Atreides (IRE) (09-06-2026), Axel Bleue (GB) (06-06-2026)

09-11-2025 | Uttoxeter Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Bertie The Rebel (GB), De Temps En Temps (IRE), Fairlawn Skipper (GB)

Race produced winner

Fairlawn Skipper (GB)

06-09-2025 | Southwell Finished 2
Beat named rivals

At Mangan Bridge (IRE), Final Straw (IRE), Little Dipper (GB)

Race produced winner

Final Straw (IRE), Sea Thrift (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement0/6
FFR105
Speed94
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+1lb near mark
FFR 105 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
94 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score29.5Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BMEDIUM
Mark readNear markLatest FFR read +1lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 57% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 58%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs4/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 12 1W / 3P Peak rating 109
Good 10 2W / 6P Peak rating 111
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 67% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 86%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 55%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (B)5 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +1lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest FFR read +1lb versus today's OR

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 104 | Latest FFR 105 | Best FFR 105 | Public mark read +1
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Jumps intelligence Positive jumps read

The jumps profile is more helpful than harmful.

Hurdle profile 68 +0.8 model nudge
Code evidence6 runsHurdle
Completion100%
Jumping rhythm67% error clues
StaminaStamina mixedTrip and finish comments
GroundGround not a jumps concernTesting-ground evidence
Trainer Ben Pauling
Jockey Callum Pritchard(3)
Age 8
Draw 0
OR 104
Avg OR 108.6
OR vs Field -4.6
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 6-7981
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Cooling

confidence nudge +0.8
Variance Reliable 6.3% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 8.4 vs par
Curve Cooling Trend -1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance2m7f
Runs at profile5
DEIB
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
22-05-2026 Worcester Good 7 5:52.50 352.5
01-07-2026 Worcester Good 9 6:21.00 381
19-08-2026 Worcester Good 1 5:44.88 344.9
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 27 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: tb; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgeartbDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP28/1
OwnerMrs Emma Palmer
Pedigree

Kayf Tara × Burgundy Betty (Presenting)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 3.8L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
19-08-2026 Worcester 1 0 Neutral finish
24-07-2026 Uttoxeter 8 0.5 Neutral finish
01-07-2026 Worcester 9 11 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 2 runs with an official OR.
23-11-2025 | Exeter
Rating 99 OR 110
13-12-2025 | Doncaster
Rating 97 OR 110
22-05-2026 | Worcester
Rating -- OR 107
01-07-2026 | Worcester
Rating -- OR 104
24-07-2026 | Uttoxeter
Rating -- OR 100
19-08-2026 | Worcester
Rating -- OR 100
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs5
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par5m 55.56s
Last win at trip5:48.00 | Uttoxeter | 11-09-2025
Recent times5:52.50 | 6:21.00 | 5:44.88
Recent positions7 | 9 | 1
Winning contextvs par -7.56s | OR 106
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
19-08-2026 Worcester | 23f | Good | Class 5 1 28/1 100 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
24-07-2026 Uttoxeter | 24f | Good | Class 5 8 16/1 100 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
01-07-2026 Worcester | 23f | Good | Class 4 9 12/1 104 -- -- 11 -- GREY - no timing read
22-05-2026 Worcester | 23f | Good | Class 4 7 12/1 107 -- -- 21 -- GREY - no timing read
13-12-2025 Doncaster | 3m½f | Good To Soft | Class 4 6 9/1 110 97 84 10 6:14.35 GREY - below benchmark
23-11-2025 Exeter | 2m7f | Good To Soft | Class 4 4 9/2 110 99 72 2.2 5:58.59 GREEN - within 1% of par
Handicap Near mark

Latest FFR read +1lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 112.8 and winning TS par is around 87.4. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Crystal Glance Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 29.5
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 29.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form1-3-5-3
FFR111 / +1lb
Speed95
Franked17
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 10lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Torrent Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 25.5
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 25.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-3-5-4-6
FFR101 / -6lb
Speed123
Franked28
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Pike Road Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 14.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 14.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-7-2-4-6-5
FFR91 / -21lb
Speed94
Franked43
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw0
Wgt11st 12lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Billy Boi Blue Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 13.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 13.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-1-6-6-5
FFR96 / -17lb
Speed87
Franked41
Ground2/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 13lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Imperial Data Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-8-4-3
FFR98 / -16lb
Speed88
Franked52
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassDown in class
Draw0
Wgt12st 0lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.15
Cinnodin Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 3.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10-2-1-5-2
FFR71 / -31lb
Speed96
Franked35
Ground2/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw0
Wgt11st 2lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.15
2:53 | Redcar

2:53 | Redcar | 8f

Class 5 | Good | Marske Fabrication And Engineering Straight Mile Handicap Stakes (Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Series Qual.)

Race Confidence 67 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR66.213 rated runners | Top OR 70: Ephron
Winning par1m 38.77s5 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 7.1) Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-70 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Ephron leads the contextual model at 41.2
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +11.8 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 1m 38.77s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 13 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
EphronRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 34.0
6-1-7-2-5-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
19-08-2026
CarlisleClass 5 | 8f | Soft
Wgt9st 10lb
Result6 btn 5.5L
SP5/1
JockeyConnor Beasley
OR70
FFR83
SS82
01-08-2026
HamiltonClass 5 | 8.5f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result1
SP11/1
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR67
FFR58
SS92
29-06-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 10f | Good
Wgt10st 4lb
Result7 btn 0.5L
SP11/4
JockeyMiss Amy Collier
OR68
FFR70
SS87
09-06-2026
CarlisleClass 5 | 9f | Good To Soft
Wgt8st 13lb
Result2 btn 1.5L
SP4/1
JockeyJake Dickson
OR67
FFR46
SS102
22-05-2026
HaydockClass 5 | 10f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 1lb
Result5 btn 0.8L
SP11/2
JockeySaffie Osborne
OR67
FFR75
SS--
30-04-2026
RedcarClass 6 | 1m | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result1
SP11/2
JockeyConnor Beasley
OR60
FFR44
SS--
 9st 9lb 11 OR 70 44 -26lb 37 1.15 +19.2 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 45% 44% 1/6 102 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Henry HalflightRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 32.8
8-1-7-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-04-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result8 btn 3.2L
SP33/1
JockeyBilly Garritty
OR71
FFR79
SS94
12-03-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP18/1
JockeyBilly Garritty
OR--
FFR74
SS95
15-02-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 1L
SP22/1
JockeyBen Robinson
OR--
FFR82
SS87
31-01-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 3.8L
SP80/1
JockeyBilly Garritty
OR--
FFR67
SS92
 9st 9lb 8 OR 70 67 -3lb 22 1.15 +7.4 Long absence Up in trip Modest field -- 55% 59% 0/6 92 C Near mark +0 CAUTION PROFILE
PisanelloRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 32.8
7-2-1-1-1-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
09-09-2026
RedcarClass 6 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result7 btn 1.2L
SP6/1
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR61
FFR48
SS98
09-08-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 10lb
Result2 btn 2.2L
SP4/1
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR61
FFR67
SS88
01-08-2026
HamiltonClass 6 | 9f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result1
SP11/10F
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR55
FFR66
SS100
29-07-2026
RedcarClass 6 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result1
SP4/1
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR52
FFR67
SS101
19-07-2026
RedcarClass 6 | 9f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result1
SP10/1
JockeyMark Winn
OR52
FFR60
SS96
25-06-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 12f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP10/1
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR53
FFR48
SS95
 9st 5lb 5 OR 61 48 -13lb 2 1.15 +4.9 Quick return Same trip Modest field -- 45% 50% 1/6 95 E Stiff -10 CAUTION PROFILE
Just TypicalRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 25.8
4-4-3-4-8-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 5lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP7/2J
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR61
FFR80
SS101
06-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP100/30J
JockeyRyan Kavanagh
OR62
FFR47
SS96
08-07-2026
ChepstowClass 6 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP1/1F
JockeyRyan Kavanagh
OR63
FFR67
SS97
26-06-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP9/1
JockeyRyan Kavanagh
OR64
FFR60
SS98
10-06-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 8f | Standard To Slow
Wgt8st 9lb
Result8 btn 1.2L
SP40/1
JockeyRyan Kavanagh
OR66
FFR66
SS98
10-01-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 0.2L
SP4/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR67
FFR60
SS100
 9st 4lb 13 OR 60 60 +0lb 25 1.15 -0.8 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 56% 63% 1/6 100 D Workable +6 WATCH ONLY
Shadow RunRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 23.0
6-5-2-10-4-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-08-2026
BeverleyClass 4 | 7.5f | Soft
Wgt8st 11lb
Result6 btn 1.5L
SP28/1
JockeyChristian Howarth
OR71
FFR84
SS88
14-08-2026
ThirskClass 4 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result5 btn 1.5L
SP14/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR72
FFR76
SS79
01-08-2026
DoncasterClass 4 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 10lb
Result2 btn 1.5L
SP18/1
JockeyKieran O'Neill
OR72
FFR48
SS88
03-06-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 5f | Good To Yielding
Wgt8st 2lb
Result10 btn 1L
SP12/1
JockeyKeithen Kennedy
OR76
FFR79
SS99
04-04-2026
Cork-- | 5f | Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP11/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR74
FFR64
SS97
22-03-2026
Naas-- | 5f | Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP13/2
JockeyColin Keane
OR70
FFR60
SS--
 9st 8lb 10 OR 69 60 -9lb 43 1.15 +1.7 Standard rest Down in trip Modest field -- 45% 47% 1/6 97 E Stiff -6 WATCH ONLY
Cosmos RajRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 22.0
4-1-4-4-6-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
RiponClass 5 | 10f | Soft
Wgt9st 4lb
Result4 btn 2.2L
SP9/2
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR66
FFR49
SS100
22-08-2026
RedcarClass 5 | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result1
SP20/1
JockeyBilly Garritty
OR63
FFR43
SS89
05-08-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 8lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP10/1
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR65
FFR41
SS95
01-08-2026
DoncasterClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result4 btn 5L
SP7/1
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR65
FFR60
SS85
16-07-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result6 btn 0.2L
SP40/1
JockeyMark Winn
OR69
FFR78
SS90
29-06-2026
PontefractClass 4 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result6 btn 5L
SP66/1
JockeyMark Winn
OR72
FFR64
SS82
 9st 10lb 7 OR 66 64 -2lb 13 1.15 -0.8 Standard rest Big drop back Modest field -- 49% 54% 1/6 82 E Near mark +1 CAUTION PROFILE
BowoodRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 20.5
7-12-3-7-5-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 6lb
Result7 btn 1.5L
SP8/1
JockeyElle-May Croot
OR72
FFR87
SS104
25-07-2026
YorkClass 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 13lb
Result12 btn 19L
SP40/1
JockeyElle-May Croot
OR74
FFR65
SS98
19-07-2026
RedcarClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result3 btn 2L
SP28/1
JockeyElle-May Croot
OR74
FFR67
SS103
26-06-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 8f | Standard To Slow
Wgt9st 7lb
Result7 btn 0.5L
SP33/1
JockeyElle-May Croot
OR76
FFR62
SS98
05-06-2026
DoncasterClass 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 11lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP33/1
JockeyElle-May Croot
OR78
FFR40
SS66
06-02-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 3L
SP16/1
JockeyElle-May Croot
OR78
FFR53
SS110
 10st 0lb 9 OR 70 53 -17lb 46 1.15 -1.8 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 45% 44% 1/6 110 E Stiff -14 CAUTION PROFILE
VivianaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 20.2
6-7-2-4-5-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 5lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP10/1
JockeyOliver Carmichael
OR63
FFR63
SS85
19-08-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 1lb
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP10/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR62
FFR48
SS98
11-08-2026
CarlisleClass 6 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP7/2
JockeyOisin Orr
OR62
FFR46
SS--
14-07-2026
BeverleyClass 5 | 7.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result4 btn 6L
SP13/2
JockeyP J McDonald
OR64
FFR65
SS--
22-06-2026
MusselburghClass 6 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result5 btn 2.2L
SP7/1
JockeyJason Hart
OR65
FFR60
SS--
04-06-2026
WetherbyClass 4 | 5.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP15/2
JockeyJason Hart
OR--
FFR63
SS--
 9st 1lb 3 OR 62 63 +1lb 37 1.15 +1.2 Standard rest Up in trip Modest field -- 56% 59% 0/6 98 D Workable +3 WATCH ONLY
Law Of DesignRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 17.8
2-5-5-5-9-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
ChepstowClass 2 | 8f | Good To Soft
Wgt8st 5lb
Result2 btn 3.8L
SP28/1
JockeyWilliam Cox
OR64
FFR77
SS104
18-08-2026
ChepstowClass 6 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP11/4F
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR65
FFR87
SS96
25-07-2026
ChesterClass 4 | 7.5f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result5 btn 2L
SP28/1
JockeyRyan Kavanagh
OR68
FFR41
SS98
10-07-2026
ChesterClass 5 | 7f | Good
Wgt10st 2lb
Result5 btn 1L
SP10/1
JockeyHarry Davies
OR70
FFR62
SS90
07-04-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 2 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result9 btn 0.2L
SP33/1
JockeyCharles Bishop
OR73
FFR55
SS100
12-02-2026
Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 3.2L
SP22/1
JockeyEdward Greatrex
OR75
FFR93
SS102
 9st 8lb 12 OR 64 93 +29lb 33 1.15 +0.2 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 65% 72% 1/6 102 A Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Legacy RockRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 13.8
6-6-6-2-1-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 3.8L
SP5/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR69
FFR76
SS99
20-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 13lb
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP9/1
JockeyToby Moore
OR71
FFR78
SS86
30-06-2026
SalisburyClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result6 btn 1L
SP7/1
JockeyDavid Probert
OR72
FFR62
SS90
31-05-2026
NottinghamClass 6 | 8.5f | Good
Wgt9st 11lb
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP6/5F
JockeyJack Callan
OR70
FFR54
SS89
23-05-2026
WindsorClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result1
SP9/4F
JockeyJack Callan
OR65
FFR58
SS103
04-05-2026
WindsorClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result1
SP11/2
JockeyHollie Doyle
OR62
FFR56
SS--
 9st 6lb 6 OR 67 56 -11lb 45 1.15 -8.3 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 45% 47% 0/6 103 E Stiff -8 CAUTION PROFILE
Blue Boy JuniorRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.2
5-4-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
16-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 4lb
Result5 btn 3.2L
SP14/1
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR--
FFR75
SS96
18-05-2026
CarlisleClass 4 | 7f | Soft
Wgt9st 4lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP100/30
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR--
FFR70
SS--
18-04-2026
ThirskClass 4 | 7f | Good
Wgt--
Result4 btn 3.2L
SP6/1
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR--
FFR60
SS--
 9st 8lb 2 OR 69 60 -9lb 0 1.15 -9.8 Freshened up Same trip Modest field -- 45% 45% 0/6 96 E Stiff -6 CAUTION PROFILE
Harswell RubyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.8
13-4-4-2-5-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
14-08-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result13 btn 0.8L
SP11/2
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR72
FFR79
SS114
29-07-2026
RedcarClass 5 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 0lb
Result4 btn 1.8L
SP7/2C
JockeyJack Callan
OR73
FFR68
SS92
16-07-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result4 btn 5.5L
SP13/8F
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR70
FFR74
SS90
07-07-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 11lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP3/1J
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR70
FFR54
SS94
24-06-2026
CarlisleClass 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 10lb
Result5 btn 1.5L
SP7/2F
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR71
FFR58
SS99
13-06-2026
YorkClass 4 | 9f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP12/1
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR72
FFR30
SS101
 10st 0lb 1 OR 70 30 -40lb 40 1.15 -4.8 Freshened up Same trip Modest field -- 45% 42% 1/6 101 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Mount KingRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.8
6-4-9-2-1-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-08-2026
BeverleyClass 5 | 8.5f | Soft
Wgt9st 5lb
Result6 btn 1.2L
SP13/2
JockeyDavid Allan
OR64
FFR62
SS104
22-08-2026
RedcarClass 4 | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP16/1
JockeyJake Dickson
OR65
FFR67
SS95
14-08-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result9 btn 0.8L
SP11/1
JockeyDavid Allan
OR65
FFR72
SS96
26-07-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 11lb
Result2 btn 1.5L
SP7/2J
JockeyDavid Allan
OR65
FFR32
SS97
17-07-2026
PontefractClass 6 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 11lb
Result1
SP9/2
JockeyDavid Allan
OR62
FFR75
SS92
07-07-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP33/1
JockeyDavid Allan
OR62
FFR60
SS98
 9st 7lb 4 OR 63 60 -3lb 22 1.15 -8.3 Standard rest Down in trip Modest field -- 49% 49% 1/6 98 E Near mark +0 WATCH ONLY
Main Context Fit Ephron

Ephron profiles as a unclear with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Henry Halflight

Nearest contextual rival.

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Ephron Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 34.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 34.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-1-7-2-5-1
FFR44 / -26lb
Speed102
Franked37
Ground1/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw11
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.15
Henry Halflight Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 32.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Best of a weak race 32.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form8-1-7-2
FFR67 / -3lb
Speed92
Franked22
Ground0/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw8
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Pisanello Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 32.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 32.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-2-1-1-1-6
FFR48 / -13lb
Speed95
Franked2
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw5
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.15
Just Typical Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 25.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 25.8 confidence
Why consider11 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form4-4-3-4-8-5
FFR60 / +0lb
Speed100
Franked25
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw13
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Shadow Run Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 23.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 23.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-5-2-10-4-2
FFR60 / -9lb
Speed97
Franked43
Ground3/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw10
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Cosmos Raj Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 22.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 22.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-1-4-4-6-6
FFR64 / -2lb
Speed82
Franked13
Ground1/3 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 10lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.15
Bowood Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 20.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 20.5 confidence
Why consider16 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-12-3-7-5-6
FFR53 / -17lb
Speed110
Franked46
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw9
Wgt10st 0lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.15
Viviana Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 20.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 20.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form6-7-2-4-5-6
FFR63 / +1lb
Speed98
Franked37
Ground1/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw3
Wgt9st 1lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Law Of Design Distance specialist
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 17.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 17.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-5-5-5-9-5
FFR93 / +29lb
Speed102
Franked33
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw12
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Legacy Rock Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 13.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 13.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-6-6-2-1-1
FFR56 / -11lb
Speed103
Franked45
Ground0/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Blue Boy Junior Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 12.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-4-4
FFR60 / -9lb
Speed96
Franked0
Ground1/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw2
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Harswell Ruby Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 9.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 9.8 confidence
Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form13-4-4-2-5-4
FFR30 / -40lb
Speed101
Franked40
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt10st 0lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.15
Mount King Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-4-9-2-1-5
FFR60 / -3lb
Speed98
Franked22
Ground2/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15