ForeFurlongs Intelligence

Bet Races

The ForeFurlongs trading-desk view: only the races where the environment looks supportive, the field is not too compressed, the pace map helps the main profile and the contextual edge is clear.

2:45 | Chepstow

2:45 | Chepstow | 5f

Class 4 | Good To Firm | Trade Centre Group Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 76 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosLow
Average OR741 rated runner | Top OR 74: Delighfully Hot
Winning par58.83s1 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick: 7.8) Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Delighfully Hot leads the contextual model at 36.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +18.5 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 58.83s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 8 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
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Compare
Delighfully HotRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 47.0
2-2-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
24-07-2026
SandownClass 4 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP13/2
JockeySean Levey
OR--
FFR55
SS--
06-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result2 btn 4.8L
SP11/1
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR--
FFR69
SS--
03-06-2026
NottinghamClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result9 btn 1L
SP40/1
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR--
FFR82
SS--
 9st 2lb 1 OR 74 82 +8lb 2 5/2 +19.6 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 58% 59% 0/6 -- D Well treated +8 PRICE DEPENDENT
KokumiRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 16.2
2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
14-07-2026
BeverleyClass 4 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result2 btn 7L
SP15/2
JockeyDaniel Tudhope
OR--
FFR62
SS--
 9st 2lb 7 OR -- 62 -- 0 13 -0.9 Freshened up Same trip Solid field -- 50% 55% 0/6 -- D Developing WATCH ONLY
Sioux MoonRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 15.2
3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-07-2026
LeicesterClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result3 btn 2L
SP18/1
JockeyStevie Donohoe
OR--
FFR70
SS--
 9st 2lb 5 OR -- 70 -- 0 10.5 -1.9 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
MarzadRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 14.5
3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
06-08-2026
ChepstowClass 4 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result3 btn 8L
SP25/1
JockeyLewis Edmunds
OR--
FFR48
SS--
 9st 2lb 6 OR -- 48 -- 0 100/1 -2.7 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 48% 50% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Rogue DakotaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
06-08-2026
ChepstowClass 4 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result2 btn 3L
SP13/2
JockeyHarry Davies
OR--
FFR74
SS--
 9st 2lb 4 OR -- 74 -- 0 8 +1.1 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 50% 55% 0/6 -- D Developing WATCH ONLY
Impulsive SpiritRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 10.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 3 OR -- -- -- 0 25/1 -7.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Solid field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Happy EnoughRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.2
4-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
21-07-2026
SalisburyClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result4 btn 2.8L
SP12/1
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR--
FFR66
SS--
16-05-2026
NewmarketClass 2 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result7 btn 0.8L
SP4/1
JockeyEdward Greatrex
OR--
FFR56
SS--
 9st 2lb 2 OR -- 56 -- 0 28/1 -7.9 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 48% 49% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Soeur De FlashRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.0
3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-07-2026
WindsorClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP10/1
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR--
FFR71
SS--
 9st 2lb 8 OR -- 71 -- 0 2.34 +0.1 Freshened up Down in trip Solid field -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Main Context Fit Delighfully Hot

Delighfully Hot profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Kokumi

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Delighfully Hot Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 47.0
PRICE DEPENDENT
Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Best of a weak race 47.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +8lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-2-9
FFR82 / +8lb
Speed--
Franked2
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 5/2
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Sandown Solid effort 24-07-2026
2 Wolverhampton (AW) Solid effort 06-07-2026
9 Nottingham Troubled run 03-06-2026
Race form proof Some franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating2
0winners since
1placers since
3evidence pts
07-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Charcoal Diva (GB), Dreams Galore (IRE), Elpeeare (IRE)

Later placers

Roxelina (GB) (06-08-2026)

06-03-2026 | Nottingham Finished 9
Beat named rivals

Miss U Gino (GB)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement0/6
FFR82
Speed--
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+8lb ahead of mark
FFR 82 pounds scale
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score36.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DLOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 58% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 52%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Fast Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood To Firm
Similar-ground runs1/3
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Fast
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Fast 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
All-weather 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 59% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 44%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 76%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Conservative mark read gives +8lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 74 | Latest FFR 82 | Best FFR 82 | Public mark read +8
Hidden Run DetectorWorth a second look
  • Run 3: traffic trouble may have hidden the finishing position.
Trainer James Owen
Jockey Billy Loughnane
Age 2
Draw 1
OR 74
Avg OR 74
OR vs Field 0
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 922
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile3
DEID
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
03-06-2026 Nottingham Good 9 1:2.55 62.5
06-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 2 1:2.81 62.8
24-07-2026 Sandown Good To Firm 2 1:2.71 62.7
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 49% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 25 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP13/2
OwnerMrs S Nicholls
Pedigree

Too Darn Hot × Reassure (Oasis Dream)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
24-07-2026 Sandown 2 0.3 Neutral finish
06-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 2 4.8 Neutral finish
03-06-2026 Nottingham 9 1 Run faded
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs3
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par58.83s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:2.55 | 1:2.81 | 1:2.71
Recent positions9 | 2 | 2
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
24-07-2026 Sandown | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 4 2 13/2 -- -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
06-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 4 2 11/1 -- -- -- 4.8 -- GREY - no timing read
03-06-2026 Nottingham | 5f | Good | Class 4 9 40/1 -- -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Well treated

Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 80 and winning TS par is around 53. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Kokumi Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 16.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 16.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form2
FFR62 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Trip move Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 13
Sioux Moon Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 15.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 15.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3
FFR70 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 10.5
Marzad Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 14.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 14.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3
FFR48 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 100/1
Rogue Dakota Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form2
FFR74 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 8
Impulsive Spirit Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 10.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 10.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw3
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 25/1
Happy Enough Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 9.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 9.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-7
FFR56 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground2/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw2
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 28/1
Soeur De Flash Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3
FFR71 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw8
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 2.34
3:15 | Chepstow

3:15 | Chepstow | 7f

Class 3 | Good To Firm | Bailey Family Investments / EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 75 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosLow
Average OR811 rated runner | Top OR 81: Avionics
Winning par1m 22.38s20 race course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick: 7.8) Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Avionics leads the contextual model at 33.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +16.5 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 1m 22.38s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 6 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
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Compare
AvionicsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 41.0
6-2-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-08-2026
Ffos LasClass 3 | 7.5f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result6 btn 2.5L
SP3/1
JockeyEbrahim Nader
OR83
FFR75
SS--
11-07-2026
SalisburyClass 3 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result2 btn 3.2L
SP12/1
JockeyCallum Hutchinson
OR--
FFR86
SS--
02-06-2026
PontefractClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 1.8L
SP7/4
JockeyDaniel Tudhope
OR--
FFR69
SS--
 9st 7lb 5 OR 81 69 -12lb 15 5/1 +19.7 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 48% 50% 0/6 -- D Stiff -9 CAUTION PROFILE
Grove StreetRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.0
2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-07-2026
SandownClass 3 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP16/1
JockeyJoe Leavy
OR--
FFR92
SS--
 9st 7lb 1 OR -- 92 -- 0 8/11 +3.2 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 47% 54% 0/6 -- D Developing WATCH ONLY
It's A DreamRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.2
9-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
15-06-2026
WindsorClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result9 btn 2.5L
SP40/1
JockeyBen Ffrench Davis
OR--
FFR53
SS--
23-05-2026
WindsorClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 10lb
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP40/1
JockeyBen Ffrench Davis
OR--
FFR35
SS--
 9st 7lb 6 OR -- 35 -- 0 50/1 -6.8 Layoff check Big step up Solid field -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
La BassetteRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.2
10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-07-2026
GoodwoodClass 2 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result10 btn 0.1L
SP28/1
JockeyP J McDonald
OR--
FFR79
SS--
 9st 2lb 3 OR -- 79 -- 0 8.2 -6.8 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 49% 53% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
TalamonRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 7lb 4 OR -- -- -- 0 5.7 -2.1 Rest developing Trip move developing Solid field -- 52% 54% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Highland FrostRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 7lb 2 OR -- -- -- 0 40/1 -7.1 Rest developing Trip move developing Solid field -- 47% 52% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Main Context Fit Avionics

Avionics profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Grove Street

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Avionics Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 41.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Best of a weak race 41.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form6-2-4
FFR69 / -12lb
Speed--
Franked15
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 5/1
Grove Street Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 9.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 9.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form2
FFR92 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 8/11
It's A Dream Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9-5
FFR35 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassUp in class
Draw6
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 50/1
La Bassette Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10
FFR79 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw3
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 8.2
Talamon Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 7.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw4
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 5.7
Highland Frost Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Watch only 7.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw2
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 40/1
5:45 | Roscommon

5:45 | Roscommon | 7.5f

| Good | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden

Race Confidence 73 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR72.52 rated runners | Top OR 75: Cashel Queen
Winning par1m 32.11s576 race distance-only sample | approximate
SetupGOOD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Cashel Queen leads the contextual model at 32.2
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +9.0 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 1m 32.11s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 12 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Cashel QueenRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 51.0
4-2-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
17-07-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP4/1
JockeyGavin Ryan
OR--
FFR63
SS--
02-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP3/1
JockeyGavin Ryan
OR--
FFR74
SS--
11-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 7f | Soft
Wgt8st 13lb
Result3 btn 4L
SP4/1
JockeyGavin Ryan
OR--
FFR67
SS--
 9st 2lb 5 OR 75 67 -8lb 0 10 +21.4 Freshened up Down in trip Solid field -- 45% 47% 0/6 -- E Stiff -5 WATCH ONLY
Eighteenth SmilesRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 35.0
3-12-5-5-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt9st 4lb
Result3 btn 1.8L
SP12/1
JockeyDeclan McDonogh
OR72
FFR46
SS--
11-07-2026
Navan-- | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result12 btn 2L
SP14/1
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR74
FFR57
SS--
31-05-2026
Listowel (IRE)-- | 6.5f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result5 btn 2L
SP33/1
JockeyDeclan McDonogh
OR--
FFR52
SS--
18-05-2026
RedcarClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP9/2
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR--
FFR42
SS--
03-05-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 5f | Soft
Wgt9st 5lb
Result5 btn 0.2L
SP10/1
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR--
FFR62
SS--
 9st 7lb 3 OR 70 62 -8lb 4 4.8 +12.4 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 45% 51% 0/6 -- E Stiff -8 WATCH ONLY
Someday SomewhereRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 21.0
4-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-08-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt8st 10lb
Result4 btn 3.8L
SP7/2
JockeyW J Lee
OR--
FFR48
SS--
16-07-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 6.5f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result3 btn 1.8L
SP9/1
JockeyW J Lee
OR--
FFR63
SS--
 9st 2lb 2 OR -- 63 -- 0 7.4 +8.7 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 48% 54% 1/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Honey DeuceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.0
9-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
09-07-2026
Leopardstown-- | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result9 btn 3.5L
SP25/1
JockeyAndrew Slattery
OR--
FFR49
SS--
04-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 7f | Soft
Wgt9st 2lb
Result6 btn 3L
SP14/1
JockeySeamie Heffernan
OR--
FFR37
SS--
 9st 2lb 1 OR -- 37 -- 2 20/1 -1.8 Freshened up Down in trip Solid field -- 48% 48% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Green SparkleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.0
10-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
09-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result10 btn 1L
SP50/1
JockeyJ M Sheridan
OR--
FFR57
SS--
19-07-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result9 btn 0.5L
SP14/1
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR--
FFR38
SS--
 9st 2lb 12 OR -- 38 -- 0 40/1 -3.8 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 48% 53% 1/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Matavai BayRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 6.2
6-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-08-2026
Sligo (IRE)-- | 6f | Yielding
Wgt9st 2lb
Result6 btn 3.5L
SP66/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR--
FFR36
SS--
25-07-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result10 btn 3.2L
SP33/1
JockeyBen Coen
OR--
FFR55
SS--
 9st 2lb 8 OR -- 55 -- 0 110/1 -4.6 Standard rest Up in trip Solid field -- 48% 52% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Luca BrillanteRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 5.0
7-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
09-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP125/1
JockeyChris Hayes
OR--
FFR39
SS--
09-05-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result6 btn 11L
SP33/1
JockeyChris Hayes
OR--
FFR59
SS--
 9st 2lb 9 OR -- 59 -- 0 9.4 +0.7 Standard rest Up in trip Solid field -- 48% 53% 1/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Prince Of PeppardRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 4.5
6-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
22-07-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result6 btn 1.8L
SP50/1
JockeyBen Coen
OR--
FFR47
SS--
26-06-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result9 btn 0.3L
SP100/1
JockeyBen Coen
OR--
FFR55
SS--
 9st 7lb 4 OR -- 55 -- 0 11/2 -6.3 Standard rest Up in trip Solid field -- 48% 46% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Pints Of GloryRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 2.0
6-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
06-08-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result6 btn 2.2L
SP50/1
JockeyGary Carroll
OR--
FFR55
SS--
15-07-2026
Killarney (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result4 btn 6L
SP10/1
JockeyColin Keane
OR--
FFR59
SS--
 9st 7lb 10 OR -- 59 -- 0 9/1 -6.3 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 50% 56% 1/6 -- D Developing WATCH ONLY
Nando RoyaleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 1.0
3-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-06-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 7.5f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result3 btn 2.8L
SP10/1
JockeyRobert Whearty
OR--
FFR60
SS--
12-06-2026
Fairyhouse (IRE)-- | 6f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP80/1
JockeyRobert Whearty
OR--
FFR66
SS--
 9st 7lb 7 OR -- 66 -- 0 7.6 +0.2 Freshened up Same trip Solid field -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Captain James CookRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 0.5
7-12
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
08-07-2026
Fairyhouse-- | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP8/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR--
FFR34
SS--
03-06-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 6f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 7lb
Result12 btn 1.2L
SP100/30
JockeyRyan Moore
OR--
FFR51
SS--
 9st 7lb 6 OR -- 51 -- 2 10/1 -10.3 Freshened up Up in trip Solid field -- 48% 48% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
HypiradonRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 0.5
6-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-08-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 5lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP80/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR--
FFR48
SS--
16-07-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP66/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR--
FFR61
SS--
 9st 7lb 11 OR -- 61 -- 0 28/1 -10.3 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 48% 53% 1/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Main Context Fit Cashel Queen

Cashel Queen profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Eighteenth Smiles

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Cashel Queen Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 51.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 51.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-2-3
FFR67 / -8lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw5
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 10
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4 Down Royal (IRE) Competitive 17-07-2026
2 Bellewstown (IRE) Solid effort 02-07-2026
3 Leopardstown (IRE) Solid effort 11-06-2026
Race form proof Some franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating0
0winners since
0placers since
2evidence pts
07-02-2026 | Bellewstown (IRE) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Caoch The Piper (IRE), Cloughleagh Bridge (IRE), Ippy (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement0/6
FFR67
Speed--
ConditionsCaution
PlacementCaution
FFR vs OR-8lb below mark
FFR 67 pounds scale
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score32.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI ELOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -8lb | peak -1lb treated as ceiling | public read -5lb
Today's conditions match 45% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Class Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs2/3
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Good 2 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 47% Intent unclear
Trip evidence 24%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 37%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questionsCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -8lb | peak -1lb treated as ceiling | public read -5lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -8lb | peak -1lb treated as ceiling | public read -5lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 75 | Latest FFR 67 | Best FFR 74 | Public mark read -5
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
Jockey Paddy Harnett(5)
Age 2
Draw 5
OR 75
Avg OR 72.5
OR vs Field +2.5
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 324
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance7f
Runs at profile2
DEIE
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
11-06-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) Soft 3 1:38.12 98.1
17-07-2026 Down Royal (IRE) Good 4 1:29.84 89.8
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF 44% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 32 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window
Ground timing match 1/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP4/1
OwnerBarry Fowler
Pedigree

Supremacy × Kendannemarie (Kendargent)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-07-2026 Down Royal (IRE) 4 1.2 Neutral finish
02-07-2026 Bellewstown (IRE) 2 1.2 Neutral finish
11-06-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) 3 4 Neutral finish
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 32.11s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:38.12 | 1:29.84
Recent positions3 | 4
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-07-2026 Down Royal (IRE) | 7f | Good | -- 4 4/1 -- -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
02-07-2026 Bellewstown (IRE) | 8f | Good | -- 2 3/1 -- -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
11-06-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) | 7f | Soft | -- 3 4/1 -- -- -- 4 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -8lb | peak -1lb treated as ceiling | public read -5lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 94.2 and winning TS par is around 52.6. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Eighteenth Smiles Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 35.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 35.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-12-5-5-5
FFR62 / -8lb
Speed--
Franked4
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw3
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 4.8
Someday Somewhere Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 21.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 21.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-3
FFR63 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw2
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 7.4
Honey Deuce Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 9.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 9.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9-6
FFR37 / --
Speed--
Franked2
Ground1/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw1
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 20/1
Green Sparkle Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10-9
FFR38 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground2/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw12
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 40/1
Matavai Bay Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 6.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 6.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-10
FFR55 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw8
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 110/1
Luca Brillante Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 5.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 5.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-6
FFR59 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground2/2 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw9
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 9.4
Prince Of Peppard Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 4.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 4.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-9
FFR55 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground2/2 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw4
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 11/2
Pints Of Glory Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 2.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 2.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form6-4
FFR59 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground2/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw10
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 9/1
Nando Royale Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 1.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 1.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-6
FFR66 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw7
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Trip move Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 7.6
Captain James Cook Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 0.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 0.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-12
FFR51 / --
Speed--
Franked2
Ground2/2 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw6
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 10/1
Hypiradon Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 0.5
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 0.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-10
FFR61 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw11
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 28/1
5:52 | Lingfield (AW)

5:52 | Lingfield (AW) | 6f

Class 6 | Standard | Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Race Confidence 73 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR56.410 rated runners | Top OR 60: Diamond Dreamer
Winning par1m 11.85s69 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupPOLYTRACK: STANDARD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-60 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Happier leads the contextual model at 37.0
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +8.0 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 1m 11.85s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 10 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
HappierRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 54.0
1-1-7-9-4-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
12-08-2026
Ffos LasClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result1
SP9/2
JockeyJack Doughty
OR55
FFR38
SS89
31-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result1
SP7/4F
JockeyJack Doughty
OR50
FFR55
SS95
21-07-2026
SalisburyClass 6 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 4lb
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP9/1
JockeyMr Harry Hoyles
OR50
FFR35
SS99
29-06-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result9 btn 2.2L
SP17/2
JockeyTom Marquand
OR52
FFR47
SS84
15-06-2026
WetherbyClass 6 | 5.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 8lb
Result4 btn 2.2L
SP6/1
JockeySam James
OR54
FFR67
SS102
01-06-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 4lb
Result11 btn 0.5L
SP66/1
JockeyDougie Costello
OR55
FFR66
SS93
 9st 9lb 5 OR 55 66 +11lb 54 9/4 +13.4 Quick return Up in trip Modest field -- 59% 69% 2/6 93 D Well treated +12 PRICE DEPENDENT
Balon d'OrRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 44.8
4-8-4-6-7-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 4lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP33/1
JockeyPaddy Bradley
OR60
FFR74
SS96
09-07-2026
Epsom DownsClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result8 btn 3L
SP22/1
JockeyTyler Heard
OR62
FFR73
SS98
04-06-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP18/1
JockeyPaddy Bradley
OR63
FFR71
SS97
20-04-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP12/1
JockeyJames Glennon
OR65
FFR59
SS99
24-01-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.5L
SP25/1
JockeyPaddy Bradley
OR67
FFR58
SS96
31-12-2025
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 1.5L
SP50/1
JockeyPaddy Bradley
OR69
FFR55
SS96
 9st 7lb 1 OR 58 55 -3lb 65 13/2 +4.6 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 53% 57% 2/6 96 D Near mark +0 WATCH ONLY
Due DateRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 31.8
2-6-7-7-12-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-07-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP9/1
JockeyKieran O'Neill
OR55
FFR71
SS92
06-05-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt9st 6lb
Result6 btn 1.5L
SP33/1
JockeyGeorge Wood
OR57
FFR69
SS92
17-04-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP28/1
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR60
FFR72
SS98
04-04-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 1.2L
SP40/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR62
FFR67
SS98
25-03-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result12 btn 2.2L
SP80/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR64
FFR51
SS96
03-03-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result8 btn 2.2L
SP50/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR66
FFR63
SS93
 9st 5lb 2 OR 56 63 +7lb 35 9.4 +4.6 Freshened up Same trip Modest field -- 62% 65% 2/6 93 A Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Express TrainRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 17.8
7-9-3-6-7-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result7 btn 1.8L
SP50/1
JockeyRobert Havlin
OR63
FFR63
SS104
30-01-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result9 btn 1L
SP14/1
JockeyP J McDonald
OR67
FFR68
SS92
16-01-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 1L
SP14/1
JockeyAlfie Redman
OR68
FFR67
SS99
02-01-2026
Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 8L
SP25/1
JockeyAlfie Redman
OR72
FFR82
SS93
10-12-2025
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result7 btn 4L
SP9/1
JockeyCallum Hutchinson
OR75
FFR69
SS99
28-09-2025
Santa Anita (USA)-- | 1m1f | Fast
Wgt--
Result6 btn 3.8L
SP28/1
JockeyHector I Berrios
OR--
FFR38
SS97
 9st 9lb 3 OR 60 38 -22lb 57 18/1 -5.9 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 55% 52% 1/6 97 A Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
PorfinRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 16.8
5-5-4-5-4-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
13-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 0.8L
SP12/1
JockeyGrace McEntee
OR46
FFR64
SS100
28-06-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result5 btn 1.8L
SP22/1
JockeyConnor Planas
OR48
FFR77
SS99
05-06-2026
BathClass 6 | 5.5f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result4 btn 2.2L
SP22/1
JockeyGrace McEntee
OR49
FFR72
SS90
30-04-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP5/1
JockeyConnor Planas
OR51
FFR52
SS100
25-02-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1L
SP7/2
JockeyConnor Planas
OR52
FFR51
SS100
23-02-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result10 btn 3.5L
SP10/1
JockeyConnor Planas
OR52
FFR52
SS96
 8st 9lb 6 OR 46 52 +6lb 46 16/1 -8.6 Quick return Same trip Modest field -- 60% 66% 1/6 96 B Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Diamond DreamerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 16.0
6-7-3-6-2-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-06-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result6 btn 1L
SP3/1
JockeySean Levey
OR65
FFR77
SS92
11-05-2026
WindsorClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result7 btn 3.2L
SP18/1
JockeyKieran Shoemark
OR66
FFR85
SS88
27-04-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.2L
SP10/1
JockeyKieran Shoemark
OR66
FFR67
SS98
26-03-2026
Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 4.5L
SP7/2
JockeyDaniel Muscutt
OR67
FFR76
SS102
05-03-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP5/2
JockeySean Levey
OR66
FFR47
SS94
14-02-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP11/1
JockeyDaniel Muscutt
OR67
FFR51
SS91
 9st 9lb 10 OR 60 51 -9lb 30 11 -4.1 Freshened up Up in trip Modest field -- 54% 59% 2/6 91 A Stiff -6 WATCH ONLY
Dashing DonkeyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 15.8
9-4-12-5-10-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 11lb
Result9 btn 2.8L
SP9/1
JockeyJosephine Gordon
OR57
FFR78
SS101
04-06-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP4/1
JockeyMarco Ghiani
OR58
FFR69
SS98
11-04-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 1m | Good
Wgt--
Result12 btn 1L
SP5/1
JockeyGeorgia Dobie
OR60
FFR75
SS101
04-03-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP11/1
JockeyAlistair Rawlinson
OR62
FFR64
SS100
04-01-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result10 btn 0.2L
SP14/1
JockeyGeorgia Dobie
OR63
FFR55
SS100
17-12-2025
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP9/2
JockeyPierre-Louis Jamin
OR64
FFR38
SS94
 9st 4lb 4 OR 55 38 -17lb 65 4/1 -7.9 Standard rest Down in trip Modest field -- 47% 49% 1/6 94 D Stiff -14 CAUTION PROFILE
Peregrine FalconRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 14.8
6-3-5-3-2-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-07-2026
MusselburghClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result6 btn 7.5L
SP22/1
JockeyHarry Burns
OR61
FFR76
SS96
04-06-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 6lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP7/2
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR62
FFR80
SS102
21-05-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt8st 12lb
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP22/1
JockeyRyan Kavanagh
OR64
FFR80
SS103
14-02-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.1L
SP5/2
JockeyRyan Kavanagh
OR64
FFR47
SS102
09-02-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 3L
SP17/2
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR64
FFR62
SS95
08-12-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.2L
SP12/1
JockeyCian Horgan
OR65
FFR31
SS95
 9st 8lb 8 OR 59 31 -28lb 58 18/1 +4.1 Standard rest Up in trip Modest field -- 46% 43% 0/6 95 D Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
AlashosRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 13.8
7-4-1-8-4-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
22-06-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 12lb
Result7 btn 0.2L
SP5/1
JockeyHarry Vigors
OR58
FFR72
SS101
23-05-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP20/1
JockeyRowan Scott
OR58
FFR78
SS95
30-04-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP7/1
JockeyWilliam Carson
OR52
FFR65
SS100
25-03-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result8 btn 0.5L
SP14/1
JockeyRobert Havlin
OR53
FFR80
SS102
04-03-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP4/1
JockeyJack Dace
OR53
FFR57
SS91
04-02-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP8/1
JockeyRobert Havlin
OR55
FFR43
SS99
 9st 6lb 7 OR 57 43 -14lb 61 15/2 +5.4 Freshened up Same trip Modest field -- 48% 50% 0/6 99 C Stiff -11 CAUTION PROFILE
Big BardRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.0
6-11-9-1-7-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
10-06-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 6f | Soft
Wgt8st 12lb
Result6 btn 3.2L
SP16/1
JockeyJude Fernandes
OR60
FFR69
SS92
08-04-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result11 btn 0.5L
SP40/1
JockeyJude Fernandes
OR62
FFR54
SS98
02-03-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result9 btn 0.8L
SP22/1
JockeyPaddy Bradley
OR62
FFR77
SS80
28-01-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result1
SP17/2
JockeyMiss Ella Smart
OR60
FFR62
SS93
18-12-2025
Chelmsford (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 3.2L
SP33/1
JockeyJude Fernandes
OR62
FFR64
SS94
30-10-2025
BathClass 6 | 5f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result6 btn 1L
SP14/1
JockeyToby Moore
OR63
FFR36
SS97
 9st 7lb 9 OR 58 36 -22lb 36 14/1 -5.6 Layoff check Same trip Modest field -- 54% 53% 2/6 97 A Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Happier

Happier profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Balon d'Or

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Happier Context profile
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 54.0
PRICE DEPENDENT
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Best of a weak race 54.0 confidence
Why consider23 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form1-1-7-9-4-11
FFR66 / +11lb
Speed93
Franked54
Ground2/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 9/4
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Ffos Las Strong run 12-08-2026
1 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 31-07-2026
7 Salisbury Competitive 21-07-2026
9 Windsor Run faded 29-06-2026
4 Wetherby Competitive 15-06-2026
11 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 01-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating54
5winners since
4placers since
14evidence pts
06-01-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 11
Race produced winner

Reputation (IRE), Rosemarys Rose (IRE)

Later placers

Good Karma (GB) (03-03-2026), Lessay (IRE) (05-08-2026)

08-12-2025 | Hamilton Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Fortunate Star (IRE), Hard Nut (IRE), Sixcor (GB)

Race produced winner

Fortunate Star (IRE), Thornaby Pearl (GB)

08-05-2025 | Catterick Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Azucena (IRE), Brazen Belle (GB), Doralee (GB)

Race produced winner

Doralee (GB)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement2/6
FFR66
Speed93
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+11lb ahead of mark
FFR 66 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
93 Par 100
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score37.0Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 59% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 52%
Class 55%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Pace shape
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 20 0W / 5P Peak rating 73
Good 7 2W / 3P Peak rating 68
Fast 6 1W / 2P Peak rating 76
All-weather 5 2W / 3P Peak rating 70
Placement evidence 69% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 60%
Class fit 57%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
23 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 55 | Latest FFR 66 | Best FFR 67 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Martin Keighley
Jockey Toby Moore(7)
Age 6
Draw 5
OR 55
Avg OR 56.4
OR vs Field -1.4
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 49611
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.0
Variance Reliable 6.4% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 1.8 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile23
DEID
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
28-10-2025 Catterick Soft 9 1:19.31 79.3
03-12-2025 Lingfield (AW) Standard 2 1:11.42 71.4
15-12-2025 Lingfield (AW) Standard 6 1:13.14 73.1
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+1.0 micro score
Trainer RTF 64% Yard in a positive recent rhythm
Freshness 6 days Quick return
Micro score +1.0 trainer RTF positive at 64%; recent distance evidence matches today's ground; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP9/2
OwnerMartin Keighley Racing Club
Pedigree

Profitable × Joy For Life (Pivotal)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
12-08-2026 Ffos Las 1 0 Neutral finish
31-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 1 0 Neutral finish
21-07-2026 Salisbury 7 0.3 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
01-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 55
15-06-2026 | Wetherby
Rating -- OR 54
29-06-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 52
21-07-2026 | Salisbury
Rating -- OR 50
31-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 50
12-08-2026 | Ffos Las
Rating -- OR 55
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs23
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 11.85s
Last win at trip1:11.50 | Redcar | 29-05-2023
Recent times1:19.31 | 1:11.42 | 1:13.14
Recent positions9 | 2 | 6
Winning contextvs par -0.35s
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
12-08-2026 Ffos Las | 5f | Good | Class 6 1 9/2 55 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
31-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 6 1 7/4F 50 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
21-07-2026 Salisbury | 7f | Good To Firm | Class 6 7 9/1 50 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
29-06-2026 Windsor | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 9 17/2 52 -- -- 2.2 -- GREY - no timing read
15-06-2026 Wetherby | 5.5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 4 6/1 54 -- -- 2.2 -- GREY - no timing read
01-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 6 11 66/1 55 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Well treated

Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 65.4 and winning TS par is around 48.1. Runner versus par: rating edge +0.6. Benchmark fit: 1.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Balon d'Or Context profile
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 44.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Watch only 44.8 confidence
Why consider19 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form4-8-4-6-7-6
FFR55 / -3lb
Speed96
Franked65
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 13/2
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4 Lingfield (AW) Competitive 04-08-2026
8 Epsom Downs Competitive 09-07-2026
4 Lingfield (AW) Competitive 04-06-2026
6 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 20-04-2026
7 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 24-01-2026
6 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 31-12-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Strong franked form

Proof rating65
6winners since
4placers since
15evidence pts
08-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Express Train (IRE), Federal Envoy (IRE), Havana Sky (GB)

Race produced winner

Style King (IRE), Twilight Madness (GB)

Later placers

Elvetham (IRE) (06-05-2026), Reposado (GB) (03-06-2026)

06-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Desdemona (GB), Diamond Dreamer (GB), Style King (IRE)

Race produced winner

Desdemona (GB), Style King (IRE)

Later placers

Diamond Dreamer (GB) (03-05-2026)

09-12-2025 | Chester Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Count dOrsay (IRE), Giant (GB), Hallowed Time (IRE)

Race produced winner

South Shore (GB), Twirler (GB)

Later placers

Giant (GB) (04-07-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement2/6
FFR55
Speed96
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-3lb near mark
FFR 55 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
96 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score28.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DHIGH
Mark readNear markLatest -3lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +0lb
Today's conditions match 53% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 52%
Class 55%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 58%
Best fit Handicap Question Pace shape
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs5/6
Best similar rating58
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 10 1W / 3P Peak rating 87
Good 9 2W / 3P Peak rating 86
Fast 5 0W / 1P Peak rating 90
All-weather 13 0W / 1P Peak rating 87
Placement evidence 57% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 60%
Class fit 57%
Mark room 52%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 50%
19 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest -3lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +0lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest -3lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +0lb

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 58 | Latest FFR 55 | Best FFR 74 | Public mark read 0
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Simon Dow
Jockey Paddy Bradley
Age 5
Draw 1
OR 58
Avg OR 56.4
OR vs Field +1.6
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form -76484
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +0.8
Variance Very steady 1.3% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -1 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile19
DEID
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
31-12-2025 Lingfield (AW) Standard 6 1:11.78 71.8
09-07-2026 Epsom Good To Firm 8 1:10.23 70.2
04-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 4 1:11.13 71.1
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 19% Yard has been quiet recently
Freshness 14 days Recent fitness window
Micro score -0.8 trainer RTF cold at 19%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP33/1
OwnerSnell And Fox Partnership
Pedigree

Kodiac × Usra (Requinto)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.3L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
04-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 4 0.5 Neutral finish
09-07-2026 Epsom Downs 8 3 Neutral finish
04-06-2026 Lingfield (AW) 4 0.3 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 3 runs with an official OR.
31-12-2025 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating 58 OR 69
24-01-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating 57 OR 67
20-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating 56 OR 65
04-06-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 63
09-07-2026 | Epsom Downs
Rating -- OR 62
04-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 60
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs19
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 11.85s
Last win at trip1:15.50 | Chester | 12-09-2025
Recent times1:11.78 | 1:10.23 | 1:11.13
Recent positions6 | 8 | 4
Winning contextvs par +3.65s | OR 65
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
04-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 6 4 33/1 60 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
09-07-2026 Epsom Downs | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 8 22/1 62 -- -- 3 -- GREY - no timing read
04-06-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 6 4 18/1 63 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
20-04-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 6 6 12/1 65 56 31 0.5 0:59.49 GOLD - faster than par
24-01-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 5 7 25/1 67 57 44 0.5 0:59.09 GOLD - faster than par
31-12-2025 Lingfield (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 6 50/1 69 58 56 1.5 1:11.78 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Near mark

Latest -3lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +0lb.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 65.4 and winning TS par is around 48.1. Runner versus par: rating edge +0.6. Benchmark fit: 1.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Due Date Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 31.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Watch only 31.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkClass benchmark is a concern
Form2-6-7-7-12-8
FFR63 / +7lb
Speed93
Franked35
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw2
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Rating edge Odds: 9.4
Express Train Distance specialist
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 17.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 17.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form7-9-3-6-7-6
FFR38 / -22lb
Speed97
Franked57
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw3
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Mark Odds: 18/1
Porfin Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 16.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 16.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkClass benchmark is a concern
Form5-5-4-5-4-10
FFR52 / +6lb
Speed96
Franked46
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt8st 9lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Rating edge Odds: 16/1
Diamond Dreamer Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 16.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Watch only 16.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form6-7-3-6-2-3
FFR51 / -9lb
Speed91
Franked30
Ground3/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw10
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 11
Dashing Donkey Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 15.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 15.8 confidence
Why consider13 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkClass benchmark is a concern
Form9-4-12-5-10-4
FFR38 / -17lb
Speed94
Franked65
Ground3/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Mark Odds: 4/1
Peregrine Falcon Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 14.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Watch only 14.8 confidence
Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form6-3-5-3-2-6
FFR31 / -28lb
Speed95
Franked58
Ground2/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw8
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 18/1
Alashos Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 13.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Watch only 13.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (C)
Main checkClass benchmark is a concern
Form7-4-1-8-4-4
FFR43 / -14lb
Speed99
Franked61
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 15/2
Big Bard Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 3.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Watch only 3.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkClass benchmark is a concern
Form6-11-9-1-7-6
FFR36 / -22lb
Speed97
Franked36
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw9
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Mark Odds: 14/1
3:33 | Lingfield (AW)

3:33 | Lingfield (AW) | 12f

Class 6 | Standard | attheraces.com/marketmovers Classified Stakes

Race Confidence 69 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR47.710 rated runners | Top OR 50: Someone's Wish
Winning par2m 33.15s48 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupPOLYTRACK: STANDARD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-50 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Foinix leads the contextual model at 35.2
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +7.0 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 2m 33.15s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 10 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
FoinixRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 58.0
1-2-3-7-7-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
11-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 12f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result1
SP9/1
JockeyFinley Marsh
OR46
FFR76
SS56
06-08-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 12f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 3.5L
SP11/10F
JockeyFinley Marsh
OR46
FFR67
SS64
22-06-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 12f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result3 btn 3.5L
SP7/2
JockeyDylan Hogan
OR47
FFR50
SS84
09-06-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP28/1
JockeyDylan Hogan
OR48
FFR56
SS82
25-03-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 1m4f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 4L
SP33/1
JockeyFinley Marsh
OR49
FFR59
SS95
16-03-2026
PlumptonClass 5 | 2m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result5 btn 13L
SP33/1
JockeyRichie McLernon
OR83
FFR68
SS94
 10st 0lb 6 OR 46 68 +22lb 8 10/3 +13 Quick return Same trip Weak field -- 60% 64% 1/6 94 B Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Fighting PoetRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 32.2
2-9-8-6-13-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
11-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 12f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP80/1
JockeyRobert Havlin
OR45
FFR51
SS95
21-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 14f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result9 btn 4.2L
SP100/1
JockeyMiss Delphi Parkinson
OR46
FFR27
SS106
01-07-2026
EpsomClass 6 | 12f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result8 btn 13L
SP66/1
JockeyRobert Havlin
OR48
FFR26
SS72
22-06-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 12f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result6 btn 3.5L
SP22/1
JockeySean D Bowen
OR48
FFR24
SS110
09-06-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result13 btn 3.8L
SP16/1
JockeySean D Bowen
OR50
FFR24
SS104
07-05-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP33/1
JockeyCallum Hutchinson
OR51
FFR64
SS96
 9st 9lb 5 OR 45 64 +19lb 31 8 +6 Quick return Same trip Weak field -- 55% 61% 1/6 96 D Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Douglas DcRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 21.8
2-5-5-7-9-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-08-2026
LingfieldClass 6 | 11.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result2 btn 5.5L
SP6/1
JockeyMarco Ghiani
OR48
FFR68
SS93
13-07-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 12f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 1.8L
SP16/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR49
FFR31
SS101
21-06-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 12f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result5 btn 1.5L
SP8/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR50
FFR44
SS92
05-06-2026
BathClass 6 | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result7 btn 1.5L
SP16/1
JockeyGina Mangan
OR52
FFR44
SS102
07-05-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 11.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result9 btn 6.5L
SP14/1
JockeyMatthew Lloyd Slater
OR53
FFR53
SS79
06-11-2025
NewburyClass 3 | 2m½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result11 btn 29L
SP40/1
JockeyFreddie Mitchell
OR106
FFR54
SS71
 9st 9lb 10 OR 47 54 +7lb 12 5/1 -0.5 Standard rest Down in trip Weak field -- 55% 57% 0/6 71 D Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Pride EyeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 19.8
4-4-7-11-1-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
28-07-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 12lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP11/1
JockeyChristian Howarth
OR52
FFR61
SS91
04-07-2026
NottinghamClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 11lb
Result4 btn 0.1L
SP25/1
JockeyMikey Sheehy
OR53
FFR80
SS89
02-03-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP12/1
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR54
FFR58
SS89
20-01-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result11 btn 4.2L
SP10/1
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR54
FFR67
SS97
06-01-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP66/1
JockeyPaul Mulrennan
OR52
FFR53
SS91
16-12-2025
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result11 btn 0.5L
SP14/1
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR55
FFR50
SS96
 9st 9lb 8 OR 50 50 +0lb 42 13/2 -2.5 Standard rest Big step up Weak field -- 50% 43% 0/6 96 E Workable +6 CAUTION PROFILE
Someone's WishRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 19.5
11-9-6-8-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
08-06-2026
PontefractClass 6 | 17f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result11 btn 7.5L
SP80/1
JockeyJames Sullivan
OR52
FFR82
SS102
29-05-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 12f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result9 btn 5.5L
SP16/1
JockeyMr Lucas Murphy
OR54
FFR77
SS94
23-04-2026
PerthClass 4 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result--
SP33/1
JockeyHarry Cobden
OR108
FFR69
SS99
21-03-2026
Navan-- | 2m1f | Soft To Heavy
Wgt--
Result6 btn 6L
SP33/1
JockeyPaddy Cleary
OR113
FFR111
SS91
18-01-2026
Thurles-- | 2m | Yielding
Wgt--
Result8 btn 2L
SP28/1
JockeyJordan Gainford
OR106
FFR36
SS94
27-12-2025
Leopardstown-- | 2m | Yielding
Wgt--
Result8 btn 1.8L
SP28/1
JockeySam Ewing
OR111
FFR20
SS72
 9st 9lb 3 OR 50 20 -30lb 23 18/1 +1.7 Layoff check Big drop back Weak field -- 44% 36% 1/6 72 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Snooker McCrewRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 16.8
6-5-7-1-9-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
21-07-2026
SalisburyClass 6 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 3lb
Result6 btn 2.5L
SP17/2
JockeyMiss Aimee Jones
OR49
FFR77
SS97
11-07-2026
SalisburyClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result5 btn 7.5L
SP28/1
JockeyAlfie Redman
OR51
FFR64
SS38
27-08-2024
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 1.8L
SP11/2
JockeyLiam Keniry
OR60
FFR78
SS104
22-08-2024
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP12/1
JockeyLiam Keniry
OR54
FFR63
SS98
18-07-2024
ChepstowClass 6 | 1m2f | Good
Wgt--
Result9 btn 8.5L
SP9/1
JockeyLiam Keniry
OR58
FFR26
SS97
25-06-2024
NewburyClass 5 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result5 btn 5L
SP33/1
JockeyJosephine Gordon
OR60
FFR49
SS94
 9st 9lb 4 OR 50 49 -1lb 44 9.8 -5.5 Standard rest Big step up Weak field -- 46% 45% 0/6 94 E Near mark +2 CAUTION PROFILE
Star SuepremeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 16.8
5-11-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
27-07-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 12lb
Result5 btn 3.2L
SP125/1
JockeyLewis Edmunds
OR--
FFR62
SS87
20-01-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result11 btn 14L
SP200/1
JockeyTyler Heard
OR--
FFR51
SS73
06-01-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 2L
SP50/1
JockeyLewis Edmunds
OR--
FFR63
SS--
 9st 0lb 9 OR 50 63 +13lb 2 18 -5.5 Standard rest Big step up Weak field -- 52% 50% 0/6 73 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Charles MorinRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 16.0
11-6-10-3-5-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
13-07-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 12f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result11 btn 1.2L
SP7/2
JockeyPaddy Bradley
OR50
FFR85
SS98
10-06-2026
FontwellClass 5 | 19f | Good
Wgt10st 12lb
Result6 btn 1.5L
SP22/1
JockeySean Houlihan
OR79
FFR66
SS95
18-05-2026
LingfieldClass 6 | 16.5f | Good
Wgt8st 8lb
Result10 btn 1.2L
SP11/2
JockeyJames Glennon
OR52
FFR76
SS97
27-04-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 2m | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP15/2
JockeyJames Glennon
OR53
FFR25
SS100
27-03-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 2m | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP6/1
JockeyRhys Clutterbuck
OR54
FFR83
SS82
16-03-2026
PlumptonClass 5 | 2m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP8/1
JockeySean Houlihan
OR81
FFR35
SS95
 9st 9lb 7 OR 50 35 -15lb 1 5.2 +5.5 Freshened up Same trip Weak field -- 45% 40% 0/6 95 D Stiff -12 CAUTION PROFILE
Churchill's SpiritRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.8
5-3-4-6-9-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
28-07-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 11.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 13lb
Result5 btn 2.2L
SP16/1
JockeyLaura Pearson
OR45
FFR67
SS93
07-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 8.5f | Standard
Wgt8st 13lb
Result3 btn 5.5L
SP25/1
JockeyCharles Bishop
OR45
FFR60
SS88
11-06-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 10f | Soft
Wgt8st 10lb
Result4 btn 10L
SP9/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR46
FFR64
SS88
08-12-2025
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.2L
SP250/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR--
FFR33
SS--
03-11-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result9 btn 0.3L
SP12/1
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR--
FFR48
SS--
22-10-2025
NewmarketClass 4 | 7f | Good
Wgt--
Result9 btn 4.5L
SP6/1
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR--
FFR54
SS--
 9st 0lb 2 OR 45 54 +9lb 27 18/1 +2 Standard rest Down in trip Weak field -- 52% 51% 0/6 88 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Summer EveningRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.2
8-8-9-4-21-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
11-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 10f | Standard
Wgt9st 0lb
Result8 btn 0.1L
SP28/1
JockeyTyler Heard
OR45
FFR70
SS85
08-07-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 6 | 8f | Standard / Slow
Wgt8st 4lb
Result8 btn 0.5L
SP40/1
JockeyTyler Heard
OR46
FFR50
SS87
18-06-2026
LingfieldClass 6 | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result9 btn 9.5L
SP10/1
JockeyDarragh Keenan
OR47
FFR71
SS91
05-04-2026
BathClass 4 | 1m2f | Good
Wgt--
Result4 btn 11L
SP80/1
JockeyAshley Lewis
OR48
FFR23
SS95
29-03-2026
DoncasterClass 5 | 1m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result21 btn 1L
SP16/1
JockeyMiss Louise Chance
OR49
FFR33
SS73
25-02-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 1m4f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP25/1
JockeyMiss Louise Chance
OR48
FFR54
SS92
 9st 9lb 1 OR 44 54 +10lb 3 22/1 -14 Quick return Big step up Weak field -- 52% 52% 0/6 92 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Foinix

Foinix profiles as a unclear with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Fighting Poet

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Foinix Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 58.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Best of a weak race 58.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkClass benchmark is a concern
Form1-2-3-7-7-5
FFR68 / +22lb
Speed94
Franked8
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt10st 0lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 10/3
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Lingfield (AW) Finished well 11-08-2026
2 Brighton Solid effort 06-08-2026
3 Brighton Finished well 22-06-2026
7 Brighton Troubled run 09-06-2026
7 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 25-03-2026
5 Plumpton Below best 16-03-2026
Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating8
1winners since
0placers since
6evidence pts
08-06-2026 | Brighton Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Alex The Great (IRE), Dogged (GB), Lady Lauren (IRE)

01-06-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 8
Beat named rivals

Come To Pass (IRE), West Wickham (GB)

Race produced winner

Ignition (IRE)

08-12-2025 | Lingfield Finished 2
Beat named rivals

A Bit Iffy (IRE), Aoifes Thunder (IRE), Dizziwizzbang (GB)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR68
Speed94
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+22lb ahead of mark
FFR 68 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
94 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score35.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest +22lb | peak +30lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 35%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating42
Best ground bandTesting
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 71
Good 4 0W / 0P Peak rating 59
Fast 15 3W / 9P Peak rating 61
All-weather 30 2W / 7P Peak rating 63
Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 94%
Class fit 14%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Proven trip profile (B)20 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concern
Mark read Latest +22lb | peak +30lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +22lb | peak +30lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 46 | Latest FFR 68 | Best FFR 76 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Jim & Suzi Best
Jockey Finley Marsh
Age 6
Draw 6
OR 46
Avg OR 47.7
OR vs Field -1.7
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 877321
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Volatile; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Improving

confidence nudge -0.2
Variance Volatile 18.2% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -5.2 vs par
Curve Improving Trend 2
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m4f
Runs at profile20
DEIB
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
22-06-2026 Brighton Good To Firm 3 2:34.61 154.6
06-08-2026 Brighton Good To Firm 2 2:33.64 153.6
11-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 1 2:33.37 153.4
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 19% Yard has been quiet recently
Freshness 7 days Recent fitness window
Micro score -0.8 trainer RTF cold at 19%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: b; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearbDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP9/1
OwnerM Robinson Jack Pook Jeanette May
Pedigree

Phoenix Reach × Yeah Baby Yeah (Art Connoisseur)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.3L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
11-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 1 0 Fast finish
06-08-2026 Brighton 2 3.5 Neutral finish
22-06-2026 Brighton 3 3.5 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 2 runs with an official OR.
16-03-2026 | Plumpton
Rating 71 OR 83
25-03-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating 42 OR 49
09-06-2026 | Brighton
Rating -- OR 48
22-06-2026 | Brighton
Rating -- OR 47
06-08-2026 | Brighton
Rating -- OR 46
11-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 46
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs20
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par2m 33.15s
Last win at trip-- | Lingfield (AW) | 11-08-2026
Recent times2:34.61 | 2:33.64 | 2:33.37
Recent positions3 | 2 | 1
Winning contextOR 46 | weight 9-9
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
11-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 12f | Standard | Class 6 1 9/1 46 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
06-08-2026 Brighton | 12f | Good To Firm | Class 6 2 11/10F 46 -- -- 3.5 -- GREY - no timing read
22-06-2026 Brighton | 12f | Good To Firm | Class 6 3 7/2 47 -- -- 3.5 -- GREY - no timing read
09-06-2026 Brighton | 10f | Good | Class 6 7 28/1 48 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
25-03-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 1m4f | Standard | Class 6 7 33/1 49 42 22 4 2:35.78 AMBER - competitive
16-03-2026 Plumpton | 2m | Good To Soft | Class 5 5 33/1 83 71 41 13 4:03.44 GREY - below benchmark
Handicap Well treated

Latest +22lb | peak +30lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score -3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 64.6 and winning TS par is around 45.4. Runner versus par: rating edge -10.6. Benchmark fit: -3.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Fighting Poet Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 32.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Watch only 32.2 confidence
Why consider18 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkClass benchmark is a concern
Form2-9-8-6-13-4
FFR64 / +19lb
Speed96
Franked31
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Rating edge Odds: 8
Douglas Dc Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 21.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 21.8 confidence
Why consider12 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkClass benchmark is a concern
Form2-5-5-7-9-11
FFR54 / +7lb
Speed71
Franked12
Ground1/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw10
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: Mark Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 5/1
Pride Eye Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 19.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 19.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-4-7-11-1-11
FFR50 / +0lb
Speed96
Franked42
Ground0/2 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw8
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 13/2
Someone's Wish Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 19.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 19.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form11-9-6-8-8
FFR20 / -30lb
Speed72
Franked23
Ground3/3 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassSame class
Draw3
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: FFR Odds: 18/1
Snooker McCrew Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 16.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 16.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-5-7-1-9-5
FFR49 / -1lb
Speed94
Franked44
Ground0/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 9.8
Star Suepreme Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 16.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 16.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-11-4
FFR63 / +13lb
Speed73
Franked2
Ground0/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassDown in class
Draw9
Wgt9st 0lb
Best angle: Mark Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 18
Charles Morin Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 16.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 16.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkClass benchmark is a concern
Form11-6-10-3-5-4
FFR35 / -15lb
Speed95
Franked1
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 5.2
Churchill's Spirit Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-3-4-6-9-9
FFR54 / +9lb
Speed88
Franked27
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw2
Wgt9st 0lb
Best angle: Mark Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 18/1
Summer Evening Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8-8-9-4-21-6
FFR54 / +10lb
Speed92
Franked3
Ground2/2 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 22/1
5:20 | Lingfield (AW)

5:20 | Lingfield (AW) | 7f

Class 6 | Standard | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified Stakes (Div II)

Race Confidence 69 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR4711 rated runners | Top OR 50: Rovinia
Winning par1m 24.85s73 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupPOLYTRACK: STANDARD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-50 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Rovinia leads the contextual model at 32.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Winning-time par: 1m 24.85s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 11 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
RoviniaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 46.5
2-2-2-5-9-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-08-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result2 btn 0.1L
SP11/4
JockeyOwen Lewis
OR50
FFR46
SS102
22-07-2026
LingfieldClass 6 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result2 btn 2.8L
SP11/4F
JockeyOwen Lewis
OR50
FFR31
SS96
27-06-2026
LingfieldClass 6 | 7.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP9/1
JockeyOwen Lewis
OR48
FFR55
SS102
29-05-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP14/1
JockeyLuke Catton
OR51
FFR63
SS96
26-05-2026
BathClass 6 | 10f | Firm
Wgt8st 4lb
Result9 btn 2L
SP33/1
JockeyAshley Lewis
OR51
FFR57
SS72
12-05-2026
BathClass 6 | 8f | Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result8 btn 0.3L
SP28/1
JockeyDavid Probert
OR54
FFR63
SS99
 9st 9lb 1 OR 50 63 +13lb 26 2/1 +13.6 Standard rest Down in trip Weak field -- 57% 62% 1/6 99 C Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
VitallineRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 45.0
9-9-1-5-8-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt8st 10lb
Result9 btn 2.2L
SP20/1
JockeyJosephine Gordon
OR52
FFR77
SS92
05-07-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt8st 6lb
Result9 btn 0.3L
SP20/1
JockeyJosephine Gordon
OR53
FFR66
SS102
26-06-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt9st 1lb
Result1
SP20/1
JockeyJosephine Gordon
OR47
FFR54
SS95
02-06-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 0.1L
SP12/1
JockeyJosephine Gordon
OR49
FFR66
SS86
27-04-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result8 btn 2.2L
SP20/1
JockeyRay Dawson
OR50
FFR36
SS102
08-04-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP40/1
JockeyCallum Shepherd
OR51
FFR22
SS93
 9st 9lb 3 OR 50 22 -28lb 9 11/1 +18.1 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 52% 50% 1/6 93 B Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Chloe's CourageRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 44.8
5-4-3-9-6-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
07-08-2026
MusselburghClass 6 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result5 btn 0.8L
SP10/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR51
FFR79
SS92
28-07-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result4 btn 2.5L
SP11/4
JockeyDarragh Keenan
OR51
FFR66
SS101
17-07-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 5 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 4lb
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP16/1
JockeyAlice Bond
OR52
FFR58
SS98
22-01-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result9 btn 2.2L
SP10/1
JockeyDarragh Keenan
OR53
FFR65
SS99
12-01-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP6/1
JockeyDarragh Keenan
OR53
FFR46
SS93
22-12-2025
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.2L
SP12/1
JockeyDarragh Keenan
OR51
FFR55
SS92
 9st 9lb 10 OR 49 55 +6lb 62 7/1 +11.1 Standard rest Same trip Weak field -- 59% 64% 1/6 92 C Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
No NewsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 26.2
8-2-7-9-2-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-07-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 9lb
Result8 btn 2.2L
SP20/1
JockeyJonny Peate
OR47
FFR81
SS72
07-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 0lb
Result2 btn 1L
SP28/1
JockeyJonny Peate
OR45
FFR76
SS90
21-05-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 1lb
Result7 btn 1.2L
SP28/1
JockeyJonny Peate
OR47
FFR57
SS97
06-10-2025
YarmouthClass 6 | 6f | Good
Wgt--
Result9 btn 4.2L
SP10/1
JockeyKieran Shoemark
OR48
FFR38
SS108
04-09-2025
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP12/1
JockeyGeorge Wood
OR46
FFR60
SS94
15-08-2025
YarmouthClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP20/1
JockeyOliver Carmichael
OR42
FFR36
SS87
 9st 9lb 9 OR 46 36 -10lb 28 18.5 +2.6 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 51% 50% 1/6 87 B Stiff -7 CAUTION PROFILE
Crown The FutureRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 18.0
4-13-7-3-4-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
21-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt8st 10lb
Result4 btn 4.8L
SP25/1
JockeyMolly Gunn
OR52
FFR73
SS81
06-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 8.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 1lb
Result13 btn 23L
SP15/2
JockeySilvestre De Sousa
OR54
FFR72
SS94
16-03-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 1m½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 1.2L
SP7/1
JockeyWilliam Carson
OR55
FFR70
SS99
12-02-2026
Chelmsford (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP11/8
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR55
FFR66
SS96
12-01-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP11/8F
JockeyNeil Callan
OR57
FFR19
SS92
02-12-2025
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP8/15F
JockeyJack Callan
OR57
FFR36
SS88
 9st 4lb 6 OR 50 36 -14lb 33 12 +6.1 Standard rest Same trip Weak field -- 47% 50% 0/6 88 C Stiff -11 CAUTION PROFILE
HorusRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 14.2
8-6-7-9-4-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
08-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result8 btn 1.2L
SP33/1
JockeyJames Glennon
OR46
FFR70
SS99
09-06-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result6 btn 1.2L
SP16/1
JockeyJames Glennon
OR47
FFR79
SS97
30-04-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 1L
SP9/1
JockeyKieren Fox
OR49
FFR65
SS94
25-03-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result9 btn 0.8L
SP20/1
JockeyJames Glennon
OR51
FFR67
SS98
19-01-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP15/2
JockeyHollie Doyle
OR52
FFR53
SS89
04-01-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP16/1
JockeyKyle McHugh
OR54
FFR40
SS93
 9st 9lb 4 OR 44 40 -4lb 33 25/1 -4.9 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 46% 43% 1/6 93 D Near mark -1 CAUTION PROFILE
Power CutRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.2
8-6-5-5-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
07-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt8st 8lb
Result8 btn 3.2L
SP5/2J
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR45
FFR65
SS88
28-04-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP14/1
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR46
FFR62
SS86
03-03-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 4.8L
SP125/1
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR--
FFR66
SS89
29-11-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP150/1
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR--
FFR67
SS87
27-10-2025
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 2.5L
SP50/1
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR--
FFR36
SS--
 9st 4lb 2 OR 43 36 -7lb 6 8.4 -6.9 Freshened up Up in trip Weak field -- 45% 40% 0/6 87 D Stiff -4 CAUTION PROFILE
MegaphoneRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.8
6-5-9-11-4-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
17-08-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP4/1
JockeyKieran O'Neill
OR50
FFR75
SS92
30-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 3lb
Result5 btn 0.2L
SP80/1
JockeyChristian Howarth
OR52
FFR72
SS94
21-05-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 3lb
Result9 btn 0.5L
SP33/1
JockeyMikkel Mortensen
OR54
FFR22
SS92
07-05-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result11 btn 2L
SP12/1
JockeyTyler Heard
OR55
FFR33
SS92
23-04-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP12/1
JockeyKieran ONeill
OR57
FFR50
SS96
17-04-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP80/1
JockeyMikkel Mortensen
OR57
FFR45
SS97
 9st 9lb 8 OR 50 45 -5lb 8 5/1 +2.8 Quick return Big step up Weak field -- 53% 48% 0/6 97 D Near mark -2 CAUTION PROFILE
RuizRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 6.2
6-5-6-10-11-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-08-2026
LingfieldClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result6 btn 20L
SP25/1
JockeyTyler Heard
OR40
FFR56
SS42
06-07-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 0lb
Result5 btn 3.8L
SP50/1
JockeyPaddy Bradley
OR45
FFR42
SS71
18-06-2026
LingfieldClass 6 | 10f | Good
Wgt8st 11lb
Result6 btn 3.5L
SP200/1
JockeyAlec Voikhansky
OR40
FFR21
SS--
04-06-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 8f | Standard
Wgt8st 9lb
Result10 btn 9.5L
SP66/1
JockeyTyler Heard
OR45
FFR39
SS--
04-05-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt9st 6lb
Result11 btn 2.8L
SP200/1
JockeyPaddy Bradley
OR--
FFR36
SS--
05-09-2025
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result9 btn 20L
SP300/1
JockeyPaddy Bradley
OR--
FFR24
SS--
 9st 4lb 5 OR 40 24 -16lb 13 50/1 -12.9 Standard rest Big drop back Weak field -- 39% 32% 0/6 71 E Stiff -13 CAUTION PROFILE
Dupont CircleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 5.0
7-13-7-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
22-06-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 12f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result7 btn 75L
SP66/1
JockeyKieren Fox
OR50
FFR56
SS81
09-06-2026
SalisburyClass 4 | 7f | Soft
Wgt10st 0lb
Result13 btn 17L
SP200/1
JockeyGeorgia Dobie
OR--
FFR49
SS--
12-05-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 4 | 8f | Standard
Wgt10st 2lb
Result7 btn 1.5L
SP300/1
JockeyKieren Fox
OR--
FFR41
SS--
11-12-2025
Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result10 btn 3.8L
SP125/1
JockeyGeorgia Dobie
OR--
FFR25
SS--
 9st 9lb 11 OR 48 25 -23lb 6 18/1 -14.2 Freshened up Big drop back Weak field -- 43% 40% 0/6 81 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Regal GuestRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.8
6-6-7-6-10-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-08-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP18/1
JockeySilvestre De Sousa
OR48
FFR53
SS87
08-07-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result6 btn 8L
SP50/1
JockeyHarry Burns
OR52
FFR59
SS94
28-05-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result7 btn 8L
SP66/1
JockeyHarry Burns
OR57
FFR36
SS78
16-05-2026
NewmarketClass 5 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 2L
SP40/1
JockeyJoe Bradnam
OR62
FFR24
SS72
28-02-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result10 btn 9.5L
SP28/1
JockeyJ F Egan
OR67
FFR26
SS88
27-06-2025
YarmouthClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt--
Result5 btn 18L
SP11/1
JockeyCallum Shepherd
OR67
FFR44
SS--
 9st 9lb 7 OR 47 44 -3lb 2 18.5 -15.4 Standard rest Big step up Weak field -- 43% 41% 0/6 88 E Near mark +0 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Rovinia

Rovinia profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Vitalline

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Rovinia Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 46.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Best of a weak race 46.5 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkClass benchmark is a concern
Form2-2-2-5-9-8
FFR63 / +13lb
Speed99
Franked26
Ground2/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Rating edge Odds: 2/1
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Brighton Solid effort 05-08-2026
2 Lingfield Solid effort 22-07-2026
2 Lingfield Solid effort 27-06-2026
5 Brighton Run faded 29-05-2026
9 Bath Competitive 26-05-2026
8 Bath Competitive 12-05-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating26
2winners since
2placers since
10evidence pts
04-07-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Maybe Soon (IRE), My Shagaf (IRE), Seapearl (GB)

08-05-2026 | Brighton Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Aspire To Glory (IRE), Celebrating Ethel (IRE), First Encounter (GB)

Race produced winner

Celebrating Ethel (IRE)

Later placers

River Wharfe (GB) (08-06-2026)

05-03-2026 | Salisbury Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Alyara (GB), Beau Jardine (IRE)

Race produced winner

Beau Jardine (IRE)

Later placers

Sub Thirteen (GB) (07-08-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR63
Speed99
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+13lb ahead of mark
FFR 63 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
99 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score32.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CLOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 57% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 35%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather No recent all-weather sample; best evidence is on fast ground
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read No recent all-weather sample; best evidence is on fast ground Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 51
Good 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 52
Fast 8 0W / 4P Peak rating 53
All-weather 8 1W / 2P Peak rating 59
Placement evidence 62% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 68%
Class fit 14%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concern
Mark read Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 50 | Latest FFR 63 | Best FFR 63 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Roger Teal
Jockey Marco Ghiani
Age 4
Draw 1
OR 50
Avg OR 47
OR vs Field +3
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 895222
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Predictive caution

Variable; High bounce risk; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge -2.5
Variance Variable 10.9% volatility
Bounce High bounce risk Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 1.6 vs par
Curve Edging forward Trend 1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance7f
Runs at profile4
DEIC
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
25-11-2025 Lingfield (AW) Standard 5 1:25.82 85.8
07-04-2026 Southwell (AW) Standard 6 1:28.52 88.5
22-07-2026 Lingfield Good To Firm 2 1:23.27 83.3
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 43% Trainer form is steady
Freshness 13 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP11/4
OwnerLauren Adams Christopher Petts
Pedigree

Legends Of War × Windlass (Teofilo)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
05-08-2026 Brighton 2 0.1 Neutral finish
22-07-2026 Lingfield 2 2.8 Neutral finish
27-06-2026 Lingfield 2 0.3 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
12-05-2026 | Bath
Rating -- OR 54
26-05-2026 | Bath
Rating -- OR 51
29-05-2026 | Brighton
Rating -- OR 51
27-06-2026 | Lingfield
Rating -- OR 48
22-07-2026 | Lingfield
Rating -- OR 50
05-08-2026 | Brighton
Rating -- OR 50
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs4
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 24.85s
Last win at trip1:26.22 | Kempton (AW) | 08-10-2025
Recent times1:25.82 | 1:28.52 | 1:23.27
Recent positions5 | 6 | 2
Winning contextvs par +1.37s | OR 53
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
05-08-2026 Brighton | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 6 2 11/4 50 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
22-07-2026 Lingfield | 7f | Good To Firm | Class 6 2 11/4F 50 -- -- 2.8 -- GREY - no timing read
27-06-2026 Lingfield | 7.5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 2 9/1 48 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
29-05-2026 Brighton | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 6 5 14/1 51 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
26-05-2026 Bath | 10f | Firm | Class 6 9 33/1 51 -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
12-05-2026 Bath | 8f | Firm | Class 6 8 28/1 54 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Well treated

Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score -3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 63.3 and winning TS par is around 45.8. Runner versus par: rating edge -11.3. Benchmark fit: -3.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Vitalline Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 45.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Best of a weak race 45.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkClass benchmark is a concern
Form9-9-1-5-8-6
FFR22 / -28lb
Speed93
Franked9
Ground3/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw3
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: FFR Odds: 11/1
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
9 Lingfield (AW) Competitive 04-08-2026
9 Southwell (AW) Competitive 05-07-2026
1 Newcastle (AW) Strong run 26-06-2026
5 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 02-06-2026
8 Lingfield (AW) Competitive 27-04-2026
6 Kempton (AW) Finished well 08-04-2026
Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating9
2winners since
2placers since
7evidence pts
04-08-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Arnaz (GB), Big Bard (GB), Just Jump (IRE)

07-05-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 9
Beat named rivals

Suhub (GB)

08-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 9
Beat named rivals

Havana Sky (GB)

Race produced winner

Style King (IRE), Twilight Madness (GB)

Later placers

Elvetham (IRE) (06-05-2026), Reposado (GB) (03-06-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR22
Speed93
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-28lb below mark
FFR 22 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
93 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score37.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BHIGH
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -28lb | peak +27lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb
Today's conditions match 52% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 45%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs6/6
Best similar rating51
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 35
Good 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 59
Fast 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 59
All-weather 38 4W / 11P Peak rating 65
Placement evidence 50% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 94%
Class fit 27%
Mark room 4%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Proven trip profile (B)26 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concernCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -28lb | peak +27lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -28lb | peak +27lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 50 | Latest FFR 22 | Best FFR 77 | Public mark read -16
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Keiran Burke
Jockey Josephine Gordon
Age 8
Draw 3
OR 50
Avg OR 47
OR vs Field +3
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 685199
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.0
Variance Reliable 5.8% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 1.8 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance7f
Runs at profile26
DEIB
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
27-04-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 8 1:26.62 86.6
02-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 5 1:28.91 88.9
05-07-2026 Southwell (AW) Standard 9 1:30.32 90.3
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 13% Yard has been quiet recently
Freshness 14 days Recent fitness window
Micro score -0.8 trainer RTF cold at 13%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: tv; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgeartvDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP20/1
OwnerMrs Michelle Anne Crook
Pedigree

Due Diligence × Vitta's Touch (Touch Gold)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.8L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
04-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 9 2.2 Neutral finish
05-07-2026 Southwell (AW) 9 0.3 Neutral finish
26-06-2026 Newcastle (AW) 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 2 runs with an official OR.
08-04-2026 | Kempton (AW)
Rating 51 OR 51
27-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating 39 OR 50
02-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 49
26-06-2026 | Newcastle (AW)
Rating -- OR 47
05-07-2026 | Southwell (AW)
Rating -- OR 53
04-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 52
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs26
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 24.85s
Last win at trip1:26.15 | Kempton (AW) | 04-03-2026
Recent times1:26.62 | 1:28.91 | 1:30.32
Recent positions8 | 5 | 9
Winning contextvs par +1.3s | OR 47
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
04-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 6 9 20/1 52 -- -- 2.2 -- GREY - no timing read
05-07-2026 Southwell (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 5 9 20/1 53 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
26-06-2026 Newcastle (AW) | 6f | Standard To Slow | Class 6 1 20/1 47 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
02-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 6 5 12/1 49 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
27-04-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 6 8 20/1 50 39 16 2.2 1:26.62 AMBER - competitive
08-04-2026 Kempton (AW) | 6f | Standard To Slow | Class 6 6 40/1 51 51 44 0.8 1:12.57 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -28lb | peak +27lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score -1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 63.3 and winning TS par is around 45.8. Runner versus par: rating edge -8.3. Benchmark fit: -1.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Chloe's Courage Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 44.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Watch only 44.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (C)
Main checkClass benchmark is a concern
Form5-4-3-9-6-2
FFR55 / +6lb
Speed92
Franked62
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw10
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Rating edge Odds: 7/1
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
5 Musselburgh Finished well 07-08-2026
4 Yarmouth Competitive 28-07-2026
3 Newmarket (July) Solid effort 17-07-2026
9 Southwell (AW) Run faded 22-01-2026
6 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 12-01-2026
2 Lingfield (AW) Strong run 22-12-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating62
6winners since
10placers since
10evidence pts
10-06-2025 | Yarmouth Finished 3
Beat named rivals

College Witch (GB), I Can Imagine (IRE), Mr Phillips (GB)

Race produced winner

Cameley Days (GB), Top Biller (GB)

Later placers

Due Date (GB) (07-04-2026), I Can Imagine (IRE) (06-11-2025)

12-04-2025 | Chelmsford (AW) Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Bad Habits (IRE), Cill Mocheallog (IRE), Diligent Henry (GB)

Race produced winner

Diligent Henry (GB), Nubough (IRE)

Later placers

Bad Habits (IRE) (02-06-2026), Cill Mocheallog (IRE) (12-12-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR55
Speed92
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+6lb ahead of mark
FFR 55 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
92 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score30.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest +6lb | peak +30lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 59% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 35%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 58%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs3/6
Best similar rating59
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 37
Good 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 52
Fast 5 0W / 3P Peak rating 51
All-weather 9 1W / 4P Peak rating 59
Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 78%
Class fit 14%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 70%
Recent evidence 68%
Proven trip profile (C)13 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concern
Mark read Latest +6lb | peak +30lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +6lb | peak +30lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 49 | Latest FFR 55 | Best FFR 79 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer John Ryan
Jockey Darragh Keenan
Age 4
Draw 10
OR 49
Avg OR 47
OR vs Field +2
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form -69345
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Cooling

confidence nudge +0.8
Variance Very steady 3.6% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 0.6 vs par
Curve Cooling Trend -1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance7f
Runs at profile13
DEIC
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
22-01-2026 Southwell (AW) Standard 9 1:30.51 90.5
17-07-2026 Newmarket (July) Good To Firm 3 1:26.95 87
07-08-2026 Musselburgh Good 5 1:30.60 90.6
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF 14% Yard has been quiet recently
Freshness 11 days Recent fitness window
Micro score -0.8 trainer RTF cold at 14%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP10/1
OwnerGerry Mcgladery
Pedigree

Iffraaj × Desert Shine (Green Desert)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.3L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
07-08-2026 Musselburgh 5 0.8 Fast finish
28-07-2026 Yarmouth 4 2.5 Neutral finish
17-07-2026 Newmarket (July) 3 0.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 3 runs with an official OR.
22-12-2025 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating 59 OR 51
12-01-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating 46 OR 53
22-01-2026 | Southwell (AW)
Rating 26 OR 53
17-07-2026 | Newmarket (July)
Rating -- OR 52
28-07-2026 | Yarmouth
Rating -- OR 51
07-08-2026 | Musselburgh
Rating -- OR 51
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs13
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 24.85s
Last win at trip1:24.90 | Chelmsford (AW) | 04-12-2025
Recent times1:30.51 | 1:26.95 | 1:30.60
Recent positions9 | 3 | 5
Winning contextvs par +0.05s | OR 45
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
07-08-2026 Musselburgh | 7f | Good | Class 6 5 10/1 51 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
28-07-2026 Yarmouth | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 6 4 11/4 51 -- -- 2.5 -- GREY - no timing read
17-07-2026 Newmarket (July) | 7f | Good To Firm | Class 5 3 16/1 52 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
22-01-2026 Southwell (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 6 9 10/1 53 26 19 2.2 1:30.05 GREY - below benchmark
12-01-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 6 6 6/1 53 46 22 0.8 1:26.50 AMBER - competitive
22-12-2025 Lingfield (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 6 2 12/1 51 59 39 0.2 1:25.06 GREEN - within 1% of par
Handicap Well treated

Latest +6lb | peak +30lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score -3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 63.3 and winning TS par is around 45.8. Runner versus par: rating edge -13.3. Benchmark fit: -3.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
No News Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 26.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 26.2 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkClass benchmark is a concern
Form8-2-7-9-2-4
FFR36 / -10lb
Speed87
Franked28
Ground2/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw9
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Rating edge Odds: 18.5
Crown The Future Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 18.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Best of a weak race 18.0 confidence
Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form4-13-7-3-4-5
FFR36 / -14lb
Speed88
Franked33
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 12
Horus Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 14.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 14.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkClass benchmark is a concern
Form8-6-7-9-4-6
FFR40 / -4lb
Speed93
Franked33
Ground1/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Rating edge Odds: 25/1
Power Cut Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 12.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkClass benchmark is a concern
Form8-6-5-5-6
FFR36 / -7lb
Speed87
Franked6
Ground3/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw2
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 8.4
Megaphone Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 9.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 9.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkClass benchmark is a concern
Form6-5-9-11-4-3
FFR45 / -5lb
Speed97
Franked8
Ground3/3 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw8
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 5/1
Ruiz Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 6.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 6.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-5-6-10-11-9
FFR24 / -16lb
Speed71
Franked13
Ground2/2 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 50/1
Dupont Circle Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 5.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 5.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-13-7-10
FFR25 / -23lb
Speed81
Franked6
Ground0/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassSame class
Draw11
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 18/1
Regal Guest Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 3.8 confidence
Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-6-7-6-10-5
FFR44 / -3lb
Speed88
Franked2
Ground2/3 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 18.5
3:00 | Lingfield (AW)

3:00 | Lingfield (AW) | 6f

Class 4 | Standard | Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 66 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR53.84 rated runners | Top OR 65: Past Passion
Winning par1m 11.33s33 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupPOLYTRACK: STANDARD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Past Passion leads the contextual model at 30.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +7.8 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 1m 11.33s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 10 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Past PassionRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 39.2
14-2-3-2-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
18-07-2026
NewburyClass 2 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 4lb
Result14 btn 0.1L
SP100/1
JockeyTyler Heard
OR65
FFR75
SS92
02-07-2026
NottinghamClass 4 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 7lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP14/1
JockeyRowan Scott
OR64
FFR90
SS--
17-06-2026
Ffos LasClass 5 | 5f | Soft
Wgt8st 13lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP11/4
JockeyCallum Hutchinson
OR--
FFR66
SS--
08-05-2026
AscotClass 2 | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result2 btn 4L
SP18/1
JockeyHollie Doyle
OR--
FFR80
SS--
17-04-2026
BathClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.2L
SP18/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR--
FFR65
SS--
 9st 2lb 8 OR 65 65 +0lb 26 6/1 +14 Freshened up Up in trip Weak field -- 54% 55% 0/6 92 D Workable +6 CAUTION PROFILE
Last DandelionRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 23.5
5-4-11-3-5-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
25-07-2026
LingfieldClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP17/2
JockeyPat Cosgrave
OR66
FFR65
SS82
15-07-2026
BathClass 5 | 5f | Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP11/4F
JockeyJack Doughty
OR66
FFR86
SS--
26-06-2026
YarmouthClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 13lb
Result11 btn 1.5L
SP11/2
JockeySean Levey
OR67
FFR78
SS--
04-06-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP9/1
JockeyMarco Ghiani
OR--
FFR33
SS--
15-05-2026
NewmarketClass 2 | 6f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result5 btn 0.1L
SP200/1
JockeyGrace McEntee
OR--
FFR65
SS--
30-04-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result10 btn 1.2L
SP66/1
JockeyRay Dawson
OR--
FFR40
SS--
 9st 2lb 1 OR 62 40 -22lb 21 11/1 +4.5 Standard rest Same trip Weak field -- 48% 46% 0/6 82 D Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
PertinentRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 19.8
9-9-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
18-07-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 4 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 10lb
Result9 btn 8L
SP500/1
JockeyGrace McEntee
OR--
FFR32
SS--
08-06-2026
LeicesterClass 4 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result9 btn 15L
SP250/1
JockeyJonny Peate
OR--
FFR43
SS--
09-05-2026
LeicesterClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 13lb
Result10 btn 4.2L
SP66/1
JockeyGrace McEntee
OR--
FFR42
SS--
 9st 2lb 10 OR 28 42 +14lb 0 150/1 +3 Freshened up Down in trip Weak field -- 53% 58% 0/6 -- E Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
It'sbeenemotionalRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 16.0
8-7-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
25-06-2026
LeicesterClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 13lb
Result8 btn 3.2L
SP7/1
JockeyLewis Edmunds
OR--
FFR72
SS--
04-06-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result7 btn 2.5L
SP4/1
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR--
FFR53
SS--
20-05-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt8st 10lb
Result4 btn 1L
SP9/1
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR--
FFR34
SS--
 9st 2lb 6 OR 60 34 -26lb 2 22 +6.2 Freshened up Up in trip Weak field -- 48% 46% 0/6 -- D Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
EnrichedRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
13-12-2-7-1-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
09-05-2026
MorphettvilleClass 1 | 6f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result13 btn 0.1L
SP30/1
JockeyChad Schofield
OR99
FFR81
SS99
21-03-2026
RosehillClass 1 | 5½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result12 btn 0.1L
SP15/1
JockeyCraig A Williams
OR99
FFR84
SS98
28-02-2026
RandwickClass 1 | 6½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP13/2
JockeyZac Lloyd
OR98
FFR96
SS103
31-01-2026
RosehillClass 1 | 6f | Good
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.8L
SP11/2
JockeyTommy Berry
OR98
FFR97
SS99
12-04-2025
Randwick (AUS)-- | 6f | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP18/5
JockeyTommy Berry
OR--
FFR93
SS98
22-03-2025
Rosehill (AUS)-- | 6f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 2L
SP13/1
JockeyTommy Berry
OR--
FFR91
SS98
 9st 2lb 3 OR -- 91 -8lb 0 11/2 -4.8 Rest developing Same trip Weak field -- 47% 51% 0/6 98 UNKNOWN Stiff -5 WATCH ONLY
Mystic UnicornRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.2
9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result9 btn 0.3L
SP66/1
JockeyDarragh Keenan
OR--
FFR60
SS--
 9st 2lb 4 OR -- 60 -- 0 70/1 -8.5 Standard rest Down in trip Weak field -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
NightspellRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.2
4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
15-07-2026
LingfieldClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result4 btn 3L
SP22/1
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR--
FFR64
SS--
 9st 2lb 7 OR -- 64 -- 0 35/1 -8.5 Freshened up Same trip Weak field -- 46% 49% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Polly The SniperRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.5
5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-08-2026
WindsorClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 10lb
Result5 btn 1.5L
SP66/1
JockeyWilliam Cox
OR--
FFR62
SS--
 9st 2lb 9 OR -- 62 -- 2 20/1 -9.3 Standard rest Same trip Weak field -- 46% 49% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
RomotosoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 1.0
3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-08-2026
DoncasterClass 4 | 6.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result3 btn 0.2L
SP9/2
JockeyTaylor Fisher
OR--
FFR76
SS--
 9st 2lb 2 OR -- 76 -- 2 5/6 +3 Standard rest Down in trip Weak field -- 48% 54% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Musical ForceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 1.0
3-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
21-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt8st 13lb
Result3 btn 2.8L
SP11/1
JockeyKaiya Fraser
OR--
FFR61
SS--
18-06-2026
YarmouthClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result9 btn 0.5L
SP22/1
JockeyBenoit De La Sayette
OR--
FFR74
SS--
 9st 2lb 5 OR -- 74 -- 0 10.5 +0.5 Standard rest Down in trip Weak field -- 48% 50% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Main Context Fit Past Passion

Past Passion profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 0/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Last Dandelion

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Past Passion Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 39.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 39.2 confidence
Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Form14-2-3-2-7
FFR65 / +0lb
Speed92
Franked26
Ground0/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw8
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 6/1
Last Dandelion Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 23.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 23.5 confidence
Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form5-4-11-3-5-10
FFR40 / -22lb
Speed82
Franked21
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw1
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 11/1
Pertinent Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 19.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 19.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9-9-10
FFR42 / +14lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw10
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Mark Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 150/1
It'sbeenemotional Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 16.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Best of a weak race 16.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form8-7-4
FFR34 / -26lb
Speed--
Franked2
Ground2/2 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw6
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 22
Enriched Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form13-12-2-7-1-2
FFR91 / -8lb
Speed98
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw3
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 11/2
Mystic Unicorn Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9
FFR60 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 70/1
Nightspell Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4
FFR64 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Trip move Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 35/1
Polly The Sniper Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5
FFR62 / --
Speed--
Franked2
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw9
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 20/1
Romotoso Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 1.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 1.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3
FFR76 / --
Speed--
Franked2
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw2
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 5/6
Musical Force Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 1.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 1.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-9
FFR74 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 10.5
7:45 | Roscommon

7:45 | Roscommon | 12f

| Good | District Speciality Coffee Maiden

Race Confidence 65 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR812 rated runners | Top OR 85: Sunny South West
Winning par2m 34.00s2067 race distance-only sample | approximate
SetupGOOD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • De Vega Queen leads the contextual model at 23.2
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Moderate edge over next best: +5.0
  • Winning-time par: 2m 34.00s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 16 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
De Vega QueenRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 29.2
5-4-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
13-07-2026
Killarney-- | 11.5f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result5 btn 3.5L
SP14/1
JockeyAndrew Slattery
OR--
FFR78
SS97
19-05-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 12f | Soft To Heavy
Wgt9st 0lb
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP20/1
JockeySeamie Heffernan
OR--
FFR67
SS--
09-04-2026
Gowran Park-- | 1m1½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.3L
SP25/1
JockeySeamie Heffernan
OR--
FFR47
SS--
 9st 3lb 5 OR 77 47 -30lb 0 18.5 +17 Freshened up Down in trip Solid field -- 45% 45% 0/6 97 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
AlmazannRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 20.2
2-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
10-05-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 12f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result2 btn 2.2L
SP15/8
JockeyChris Hayes
OR--
FFR85
SS100
24-04-2026
Cork-- | 1m2½f | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.2L
SP9/4F
JockeyChris Hayes
OR--
FFR75
SS--
 9st 8lb 7 OR -- 75 -- 0 3.85 +9 Layoff check Same trip Solid field -- 50% 55% 1/6 100 D Developing WATCH ONLY
PossumRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.0
8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-06-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 12f | Yielding
Wgt9st 1lb
Result8 btn 1.2L
SP10/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR--
FFR57
SS--
 9st 3lb 12 OR -- 57 -- 0 25/1 +4.8 Layoff check Same trip Solid field -- 48% 50% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
SalaminaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.8
11-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
14-08-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result11 btn 1L
SP50/1
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR--
FFR35
SS--
12-08-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result11 btn 3L
SP14/1
JockeyDeclan McDonogh
OR--
FFR36
SS--
 9st 3lb 10 OR -- 36 -- 0 125/1 +1.5 Quick return Up in trip Solid field -- 48% 49% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
VeneriniRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.8
8-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-05-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Yielding
Wgt8st 12lb
Result8 btn 7.5L
SP100/1
JockeyHugh Horgan
OR--
FFR61
SS85
15-04-2026
Leopardstown-- | 1m | Yielding To Soft
Wgt--
Result10 btn 1.8L
SP300/1
JockeyHugh Horgan
OR--
FFR37
SS--
 9st 3lb 8 OR -- 37 -- 0 200/1 +1.5 Layoff check Big step up Solid field -- 48% 49% 0/6 85 E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Magnum CorRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 6.2
4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
06-08-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP15/8
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR--
FFR66
SS--
 9st 8lb 15 OR -- 66 -- 0 5/6 0 Standard rest Big step up Solid field -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Daily WonderRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 5.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 8lb 9 OR -- -- -- 0 80/1 -1.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Solid field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Purple BanditRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 5.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 8lb 4 OR -- -- -- 0 19.5 -1.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Solid field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
MichinagaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 4.2
9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
06-08-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result9 btn 0.2L
SP125/1
JockeyRory Mulligan
OR--
FFR37
SS--
 9st 8lb 3 OR -- 37 -- 0 100/1 -2 Standard rest Big step up Solid field -- 48% 54% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
One Cool CountyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 4.0
9-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
12-08-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result9 btn 5.5L
SP250/1
JockeyConor Cusack
OR--
FFR40
SS--
13-07-2026
Killarney-- | 11.5f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 9.5L
SP66/1
JockeyLuke McAteer
OR--
FFR37
SS--
 9st 8lb 6 OR -- 37 -- 0 200/1 -2.2 Quick return Big step up Solid field -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
TeoestRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.8
6-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
19-07-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 12f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 4.2L
SP40/1
JockeyDeclan McDonogh
OR--
FFR59
SS--
26-05-2026
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)-- | 12f | Standard
Wgt9st 8lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP22/1
JockeyAndrew Slattery
OR--
FFR60
SS--
 9st 8lb 14 OR -- 60 -- 0 21 -2.5 Freshened up Same trip Solid field -- 48% 48% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
My Girl JersieRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.2
16-9-9-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-08-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result16 btn 5.5L
SP300/1
JockeyRobert Whearty
OR--
FFR53
SS70
27-10-2025
Galway-- | 1m½f | Soft To Heavy
Wgt--
Result9 btn 1.5L
SP250/1
JockeyRobert Whearty
OR--
FFR50
SS65
20-10-2025
Gowran Park-- | 1m½f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result9 btn 0.5L
SP300/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR--
FFR54
SS74
09-10-2025
Thurles (IRE)-- | 1m | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result9 btn 17L
SP66/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR--
FFR34
SS--
 9st 3lb 13 OR -- 34 -- 16 200/1 -3 Standard rest Big step up Solid field -- 48% 54% 0/6 74 E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Sunny South WestRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 2.8
2-2-2-6-4-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 12f | Yielding
Wgt11st 12lb
Result2 btn 7.5L
SP4/1
JockeyMr Derek O'Connor
OR--
FFR107
SS106
14-07-2026
Killarney (IRE)-- | 14f | Good
Wgt11st 12lb
Result2 btn 1.5L
SP2/1
JockeyMr D O'Connor
OR--
FFR90
SS100
05-02-2026
Thurles-- | 2m4½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 24L
SP100/30
JockeyPhillip Enright
OR118
FFR87
SS118
29-12-2025
Leopardstown-- | 2m4½f | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result6 btn 3.2L
SP11/2
JockeyEoin Staples
OR119
FFR85
SS97
22-07-2025
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 2m1½f | Good
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1.8L
SPEvensF
JockeyPhillip Enright
OR--
FFR82
SS91
11-07-2025
Cork (IRE)-- | 2m1f | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP5/4F
JockeyPhillip Enright
OR--
FFR71
SS97
 10st 3lb 1 OR 85 71 -14lb 38 7.6 +12 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 48% 49% 0/6 97 D Stiff -11 CAUTION PROFILE
Swing StreetRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 2.2
6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
22-06-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 16L
SP33/1
JockeyBen Coen
OR--
FFR39
SS--
 9st 8lb 16 OR -- 39 -- 0 125/1 -4 Freshened up Big step up Solid field -- 48% 48% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Sea Celia's StarRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only -7.0
8-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-06-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 13f | Soft
Wgt9st 9lb
Result8 btn 3.8L
SP80/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR--
FFR72
SS79
10-05-2026
HoppegartenClass 1 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result10 btn 16L
SP37/1
JockeySean Byrne
OR--
FFR40
SS--
 10st 3lb 11 OR -- 40 -- 0 150/1 -13.2 Freshened up Down in trip Solid field -- 48% 52% 0/6 79 E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Ben LomondRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only -10.0
9-11-8-3-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
15-09-2025
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 1m4f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result9 btn 11L
SP150/1
JockeyMillie Wonnacott
OR--
FFR111
SS94
21-08-2025
Newton AbbotClass 5 | 2m2½f | Good
Wgt--
Result11 btn 5.5L
SP66/1
JockeyHarry Reed
OR87
FFR84
SS84
17-07-2025
WorcesterClass 5 | 2m4f | Good
Wgt--
Result8 btn 11L
SP28/1
JockeyHarry Reed
OR92
FFR88
SS105
25-06-2025
WorcesterClass 4 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 22L
SP14/1
JockeyHarry Reed
OR--
FFR63
SS75
07-06-2025
WorcesterClass 4 | 2m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result3 btn 3L
SP14/1
JockeyHarry Reed
OR--
FFR67
SS80
07-05-2025
Newton AbbotClass 4 | 2m1f | Good
Wgt--
Result--
SP12/1
JockeyHarry Reed
OR--
FFR57
SS76
 10st 3lb 2 OR -- 57 -20lb 10 200/1 -16.2 Long absence Same trip Solid field -- 45% 38% 0/6 76 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit De Vega Queen

De Vega Queen profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Almazann

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
De Vega Queen Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 29.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 29.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-4-6
FFR47 / -30lb
Speed97
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw5
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 18.5
Almazann Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 20.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Best of a weak race 20.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form2-2
FFR75 / --
Speed100
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw7
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 3.85
Possum Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 11.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8
FFR57 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw12
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: Trip move Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 25/1
Salamina Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form11-11
FFR36 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw10
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 125/1
Venerini Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8-10
FFR37 / --
Speed85
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassClass move developing
Draw8
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 200/1
Magnum Cor Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 6.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 6.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4
FFR66 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassClass move developing
Draw15
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 5/6
Daily Wonder Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 5.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 5.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw9
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 80/1
Purple Bandit Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 5.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 5.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw4
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 19.5
Michinaga Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 4.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 4.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9
FFR37 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassClass move developing
Draw3
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 100/1
One Cool County Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 4.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 4.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9-6
FFR37 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassClass move developing
Draw6
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 200/1
Teoest Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 3.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-4
FFR60 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw14
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Trip move Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 21
My Girl Jersie Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 3.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form16-9-9-9
FFR34 / --
Speed74
Franked16
Ground0/2 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassClass move developing
Draw13
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 200/1
Sunny South West Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 2.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Best of a weak race 2.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form2-2-2-6-4-1
FFR71 / -14lb
Speed97
Franked38
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw1
Wgt10st 3lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 7.6
Swing Street Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 2.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 2.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6
FFR39 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassClass move developing
Draw16
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 125/1
Sea Celia's Star Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence --
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only -7.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8-10
FFR40 / --
Speed79
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw11
Wgt10st 3lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 150/1
Ben Lomond Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence --
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only -10.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9-11-8-3-3
FFR57 / -20lb
Speed76
Franked10
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw2
Wgt10st 3lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 200/1