Tomorrow's Racecards | ForeFurlongs

2:15 | Chepstow

2:15 | Chepstow | 12f

Class 6 | Good To Firm | Community Engagement Programme Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 43 WATCH ONLY

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR59.52 rated runners | Top OR 62: Hope Rising

Winning par2m 39.39s3 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupGOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick: 7.8)

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-65 | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Hope Rising leads the contextual model at 41.4
Decision type: Watch only - Needs more proof
Moderate edge over next best: +4.5
Winning-time par: 2m 39.39s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 2 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Hope RisingRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	38.8	1-1-4-2-2-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 11-08-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 16f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 12lb Result1 SP2/7F JockeyHarry Vigors OR55 FFR101 SS94 04-08-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result1 SP2/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR55 FFR122 SS99 15-07-2026 BathClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Firm Wgt9st 11lb Result4 btn 0.5L SP5/1 JockeyCharles Bishop OR55 FFR78 SS111 28-06-2026 UttoxeterClass 4 \| 16f \| Good Wgt11st 10lb Result2 btn 77L SP5/2 JockeyGavin Sheehan OR116 FFR58 SS91 30-05-2026 StratfordClass 3 \| 18.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt11st 9lb Result2 btn 1L SP85/40F JockeyGavin Sheehan OR114 FFR67 SS110 07-05-2026 HuntingdonClass 4 \| 19.5f \| Good Wgt11st 11lb Result3 btn 1L SP4/1 JockeyGavin Sheehan OR116 FFR68 SS100	9st 9lb	2	OR 62	68	+6lb	2	1.21	+2.2	Quick return	Big drop back	Modest field	--	55%	61%	1/6	100	E	Well treated +12	PRICE DEPENDENT
2	Sneaky BlinderRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	27.0	3-7-5-9-1-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 29-06-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 16f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 8lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP10/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR57 FFR57 SS102 11-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 14f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result7 btn 2.8L SP33/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR58 FFR79 SS99 03-05-2026 SalisburyClass 6 \| 14f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 11lb Result5 btn 2.5L SP6/1 JockeyRose Dawes OR58 FFR62 SS95 27-03-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 2m \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.5L SP14/1 JockeyRose Dawes OR58 FFR39 SS87 02-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 2m½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP9/2 JockeyRose Dawes OR56 FFR36 SS94 08-02-2026 Chelmsford (AW)Class 6 \| 1m6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 20L SP9/2 JockeyLuke Morris OR56 FFR63 SS80	9st 4lb	1	OR 57	63	+6lb	15	5.3	-2.2	Freshened up	Big drop back	Modest field	--	62%	64%	1/6	80	B	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Hope Rising

Hope Rising profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Sneaky Blinder

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Hope Rising Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 38.8

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 38.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form1-1-4-2-2-3

FFR68 / +6lb

Speed100

Franked2

Ground1/1 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 9lb

Sneaky Blinder Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 27.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Watch only 27.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-7-5-9-1-7

FFR63 / +6lb

Speed80

Franked15

Ground0/3 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 4lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

3 Kempton (AW) Solid effort 29-06-2026

7 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 11-05-2026

5 Salisbury Competitive 03-05-2026

9 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 27-03-2026

1 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 02-03-2026

7 Chelmsford (AW) Below best 08-02-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating15

2winners since

2placers since

8evidence pts

02-08-2026 | Chelmsford (AW) Finished 7

Later placers

Apache Eagle (GB) (05-08-2026)

05-03-2026 | Salisbury Finished 5

Race produced winner

Laravie (IRE)

03-02-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Arenas Del Tiempo (GB), Belle Of Kt (GB), Billy Bathgate (GB)

Race produced winner

Charlie Darling (FR)

Later placers

Queensland Boy (IRE) (03-07-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR63

Speed80

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+6lb ahead of mark

FFR 63 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

80 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score36.9Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BMEDIUM

Mark readWell treatedLatest +6lb | peak +22lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Today's conditions match 62% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 47%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Class

Ground evidence Fast Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 5 0W / 0P Peak rating 55

Good 3 1W / 1P Peak rating 57

Fast 8 0W / 5P Peak rating 59

All-weather 25 5W / 10P Peak rating 63

Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 86%

Class fit 29%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 50%

Proven trip profile (B)6 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concernRecent evidence is mixed

Mark read Latest +6lb | peak +22lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +6lb | peak +22lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 57 | Latest FFR 63 | Best FFR 79 | Public mark read +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Robert Stephens

Jockey Billy Loughnane

Age 5

Draw 1

OR 57

Avg OR 59.5

OR vs Field -2.5

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 719573

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Regressing

confidence nudge -1.0

Variance Reliable 8% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 2.5 vs par

Curve Regressing Trend -2

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance1m4f

Runs at profile6

DEIB

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
21-05-2025	Kempton (AW)	Standard To Slow	6	2:34.60	154.6
07-06-2025	Chepstow	Soft	10	2:58.17	178.2
26-08-2025	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	3	2:33.31	153.3

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.5 micro score

Trainer RTF 41% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 50 days Standard layoff

Micro score -0.5 no recent matched-ground timing evidence; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP10/1

OwnerM Duthie T Moynihan

Pedigree

Magna Grecia × Nouvelle Voie (Olympic Glory)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.9L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
29-06-2026	Kempton (AW)	3	0.3	Neutral finish
11-05-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	7	2.8	Neutral finish
03-05-2026	Salisbury	5	2.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 3 runs with an official OR.

08-02-2026 | Chelmsford (AW)

Rating 18 OR 56

02-03-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 63 OR 56

27-03-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 55 OR 58

03-05-2026 | Salisbury

Rating -- OR 58

11-05-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 58

29-06-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating -- OR 57

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs6

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Winning-time par2m 39.39s

Last win at trip2:34.49 | Kempton (AW) | 29-01-2025

Recent times2:34.60 | 2:58.17 | 2:33.31

Recent positions6 | 10 | 3

Winning contextvs par -4.9s | OR 53

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
29-06-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 16f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 6	3	10/1	57	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
11-05-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 14f \| Standard \| Class 6	7	33/1	58	--	--	2.8	--	GREY - no timing read
03-05-2026	Salisbury \| 14f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	5	6/1	58	--	--	2.5	--	GREY - no timing read
27-03-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 2m \| Standard \| Class 6	9	14/1	58	55	--	0.5	3:35.32	GREY - below benchmark
02-03-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 2m½f \| Standard \| Class 6	1	9/2	56	63	9	0	3:43.50	GREY - below benchmark
08-02-2026	Chelmsford (AW) \| 1m6f \| Standard \| Class 6	7	9/2	56	18	--	20	3:09.55	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Well treated

Latest +6lb | peak +22lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score -1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 66.3 and winning TS par is around 15.5. Runner versus par: rating edge -8.3. Benchmark fit: -0.6.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

2:30 | Lingfield (AW)

2:30 | Lingfield (AW) | 16f

Class 5 | Standard | Follow @AtTheRaces On Instagram Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 52 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR64.58 rated runners | Top OR 70: Circuit Breaker

Winning par3m 24.57s14 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupPOLYTRACK: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-70 | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Circuit Breaker leads the contextual model at 39.5
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Winning-time par: 3m 24.57s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 8 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Circuit BreakerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	51.2	4-6-3-6-6-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 15-06-2026 CarlisleClass 5 \| 14f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result4 btn 1.2L SP9/2 JockeyDaniel Tudhope OR72 FFR84 SS95 08-05-2026 AscotClass 4 \| 16f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result6 btn 0.8L SP16/1 JockeyHarry Burns OR74 FFR69 SS100 03-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 4 \| 2m \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 2.2L SP18/1 JockeyKieran Shoemark OR74 FFR81 SS101 03-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 1m6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 2.5L SP11/1 JockeyCieren Fallon OR75 FFR87 SS76 01-02-2026 Market RasenClass 4 \| 2m7f \| Soft Wgt-- Result6 btn 17L SP10/1 JockeyKevin Brogan OR111 FFR72 SS101 06-01-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 2m½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.5L SP5/2 JockeyJack Dace OR75 FFR68 SS109	11st 2lb	4	OR 70	68	-2lb	16	13/8	+10.3	Layoff check	Big step up	Modest field	--	52%	56%	2/6	109	E	Near mark +1	PRICE DEPENDENT
2	Diamond BayRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleTight decision	35.0	2-4-5-7-6-14 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 23-07-2026 NewburyClass 5 \| 16f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 2lb Result2 btn 1.2L SP8/1 JockeyKieran Shoemark OR66 FFR66 SS96 18-06-2026 LingfieldClass 5 \| 16.5f \| Good Wgt9st 5lb Result4 btn 0.8L SP13/2 JockeyAlec Voikhansky OR68 FFR70 SS101 31-05-2026 NottinghamClass 5 \| 14f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP10/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR70 FFR68 SS99 01-05-2026 GoodwoodClass 4 \| 14f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result7 btn 1.8L SP14/1 JockeyDaniel Muscutt OR73 FFR70 SS98 17-04-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 1m6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 6L SP10/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR76 FFR55 SS96 03-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 4 \| 2m \| Standard Wgt-- Result14 btn 29L SP9/1 JockeySean Levey OR78 FFR74 SS84	10st 12lb	7	OR 66	74	+8lb	39	7/2	+12.1	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	68%	74%	3/6	84	A	Well treated +8	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Further MeasureRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	35.0	5-7-4-4-1-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 27-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 14f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 0.1L SP16/1 JockeyKieran O'Neill OR62 FFR74 SS98 10-06-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 16f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 0lb Result7 btn 3.5L SP9/1 JockeyAlfie Redman OR63 FFR77 SS99 19-05-2026 LingfieldClass 5 \| 11.5f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result4 btn 2L SP13/2 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR64 FFR82 SS90 24-02-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 2m½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.8L SP11/2 JockeyKieran ONeill OR64 FFR65 SS85 11-02-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 2m \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result1 SP11/4J JockeyAlfie Redman OR62 FFR44 SS93 22-01-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 1m6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.8L SP22/1 JockeyCallum Shepherd OR63 FFR65 SS100	10st 6lb	2	OR 60	65	+5lb	52	14/1	-4.8	Standard rest	Big step up	Modest field	--	62%	63%	1/6	100	B	Well treated +11	CAUTION PROFILE
4	BenvoyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	29.2	4-1-9-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 16-04-2026 HerefordClass 4 \| 2m \| Good Wgt-- Result4 btn 20L SP14/1 JockeyGavin Sheehan OR114 FFR77 SS114 06-03-2026 ExeterClass 4 \| 2m½f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result-- SP25/1 JockeyGavin Sheehan OR115 FFR87 SS96 08-01-2026 TauntonClass 3 \| 2m3f \| Good Wgt-- Result-- SP9/1 JockeyGavin Sheehan OR116 FFR98 SS76 22-12-2025 HuntingdonClass 4 \| 2m \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result1 SP14/1 JockeyGavin Sheehan OR113 FFR122 SS95 07-12-2025 HuntingdonClass 3 \| 2m \| Soft Wgt-- Result9 btn 2.5L SP22/1 JockeyGavin Sheehan OR116 FFR111 SS98 11-10-2025 ChepstowClass 2 \| 2m \| Good Wgt-- Result8 btn 20L SP16/1 JockeyJonathan Burke OR118 FFR84 SS102	11st 0lb	6	OR 68	84	+16lb	30	10/1	+0.9	Long absence	Same trip	Modest field	--	57%	53%	1/6	102	D	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
5	BeauneRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	18.8	4-3-4-7-8-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 04-08-2026 Ffos LasClass 6 \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result4 btn 5.5L SP11/2 JockeyHarry Vigors OR57 FFR78 SS93 21-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 14f \| Standard Wgt10st 9lb Result3 btn 7.5L SP4/1 JockeyMiss Jessica Llewellyn OR58 FFR38 SS97 29-06-2026 Ffos LasClass 6 \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result4 btn 1L SP7/1 JockeyAlexandra Egan OR59 FFR58 SS98 29-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt10st 1lb Result7 btn 1.2L SP12/1 JockeyMiss Jessica Llewellyn OR60 FFR56 SS96 04-05-2026 BathClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result8 btn 2.2L SP4/1 JockeyCallum Hutchinson OR60 FFR53 SS100 21-04-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP5/4F JockeyDavid Probert OR56 FFR29 SS92	10st 2lb	1	OR 56	29	-27lb	18	9/1	+0.5	Standard rest	Big step up	Modest field	--	42%	35%	1/6	92	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Roland GarrosRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	17.2	4-3-5-10-7-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 12-08-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 12f \| Standard / Slow Wgt9st 7lb Result4 btn 3.5L SP18/1 JockeyAlexandra Egan OR68 FFR89 SS98 05-08-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 16f \| Standard / Slow Wgt9st 8lb Result3 btn 2.2L SP28/1 JockeyAlexandra Egan OR68 FFR65 SS97 01-07-2026 WorcesterClass 5 \| 20f \| Good Wgt11st 6lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP16/1 JockeyJack Quinlan OR88 FFR61 SS84 13-06-2026 UttoxeterClass 5 \| 20f \| Good Wgt11st 10lb Result10 btn 13L SP18/1 JockeyJack Quinlan OR92 FFR85 SS104 23-04-2026 BeverleyClass 5 \| 1m4f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result7 btn 18L SP15/2 JockeyJason Hart OR68 FFR69 SS115 08-04-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 1m4f \| Good Wgt-- Result1 SP11/4 JockeyJason Hart OR65 FFR60 SS95	11st 0lb	5	OR 68	60	-8lb	18	7.2	-2.1	Quick return	Big step up	Modest field	--	44%	45%	1/6	95	E	Stiff -5	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Wise CounsellorRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	16.5	6-14-8-7-6-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 23-06-2026 Newton AbbotClass 5 \| 18.5f \| Good Wgt10st 5lb Result6 btn 6L SP18/1 JockeyCaoilin Quinn OR80 FFR66 SS93 08-05-2026 ChesterClass 4 \| 12.5f \| Good Wgt8st 11lb Result14 btn 10L SP100/1 JockeyJoe Bradnam OR72 FFR70 SS92 23-03-2026 KemptonClass 4 \| 2m \| Good Wgt-- Result8 btn 7L SP200/1 JockeyRex Dingle OR-- FFR64 SS87 18-03-2026 HuntingdonClass 4 \| 2m \| Good Wgt-- Result7 btn 6.5L SP250/1 JockeyCaoilin Quinn OR-- FFR75 SS68 10-01-2026 KemptonClass 3 \| 2m \| Good Wgt-- Result6 btn 22L SP250/1 JockeyCaoilin Quinn OR-- FFR40 SS67 18-09-2025 Chelmsford (AW)Class 4 \| 1m2f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 9L SP15/2 JockeyP J McDonald OR75 FFR63 SS87	11st 0lb	3	OR 68	63	-5lb	17	30/1	-12.7	Freshened up	Big drop back	Modest field	--	49%	46%	0/6	87	E	Near mark -2	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Flamingo RoseRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	2.2	8-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 13-07-2025 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 2m½f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result8 btn 5L SP11/1 JockeyLiam Wright OR61 FFR82 SS100 08-07-2025 LingfieldClass 6 \| 2m½f \| Good Wgt-- Result1 SP22/1 JockeyLiam Wright OR57 FFR68 SS93	10st 6lb	8	OR 60	68	+8lb	4	18.5	-4.3	Long absence	Same trip	Modest field	--	55%	55%	0/6	93	D	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Circuit Breaker

Circuit Breaker profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Diamond Bay

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Circuit Breaker Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 51.2

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 51.2 confidence

Why considerClass benchmark supports the placement

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-6-3-6-6-2

FFR68 / -2lb

Speed109

Franked16

Ground0/1 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt11st 2lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

4 Carlisle Competitive 15-06-2026

6 Ascot Competitive 08-05-2026

3 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 03-04-2026

6 Wolverhampton (AW) Troubled run 03-03-2026

6 Market Rasen Run faded 01-02-2026

2 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 06-01-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating16

5winners since

0placers since

8evidence pts

05-08-2026 | Ascot Finished 6

Beat named rivals

Aajej (GB), Educator (GB), Expressionless (GB)

01-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Bashful Boy (IRE), Fascinating Shadow (IRE), Hill Station (FR)

04-03-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Appier (IRE), Charlies Choice (GB), Dance Time (GB)

Race produced winner

Appier (IRE), Arc Zoosve (GB)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement2/6

FFR68

Speed109

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-2lb near mark

FFR 68 pounds scale

SpeedScoreabove par

109 Par 100

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score39.5Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI EVERY_LOW

Mark readNear markLatest -2lb | peak +17lb treated as ceiling | public read +1lb

Today's conditions match 52% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 38%

Class 62%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 58%

Best fit Class Question Trip / ground

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating83

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 8 1W / 3P Peak rating 112

Good 4 1W / 1P Peak rating 112

Fast 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 85

All-weather 10 1W / 5P Peak rating 94

Placement evidence 56% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 38%

Class fit 73%

Mark room 55%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 50%

Class benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedTrip evidence still asks questions

Mark read Latest -2lb | peak +17lb treated as ceiling | public read +1lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest -2lb | peak +17lb treated as ceiling | public read +1lb

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 70 | Latest FFR 68 | Best FFR 87 | Public mark read +1

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill

Jockey Mr Simon Walker

Age 6

Draw 4

OR 70

Avg OR 64.5

OR vs Field +5.5

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form -26364

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Variable; Bounce watch; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Improving

confidence nudge +0.2

Variance Variable 10.4% volatility

Bounce Bounce watch Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 8.8 vs par

Curve Improving Trend 2

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m7½f

No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.

Profile distance1m7½f

Runs at profile1

DEIE

ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
04-12-2024	Haydock	Soft	3	4:3.60	243.6

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.0 micro score

Trainer RTF 49% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 64 days Standard layoff

Micro score +0.0 API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 0/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP9/2

OwnerTanzanite

Pedigree

Nathaniel × Australian Queen (Fastnet Rock)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.4L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
15-06-2026	Carlisle	4	1.2	Neutral finish
08-05-2026	Ascot	6	0.8	Neutral finish
03-04-2026	Lingfield (AW)	3	2.2	Run faded

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 4 runs with an official OR.

06-01-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 83 OR 75

01-02-2026 | Market Rasen

Rating 82 OR 111

03-03-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 72 OR 75

03-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 75 OR 74

08-05-2026 | Ascot

Rating -- OR 74

15-06-2026 | Carlisle

Rating -- OR 72

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Trip evidence building

Similar-trip runs1

ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Winning-time par3m 24.57s

Last win at trip3:31.93 | Kempton (AW) | 09-09-2023

Recent times4:3.60

Recent positions3

Winning contextvs par +7.36s | OR 83

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
15-06-2026	Carlisle \| 14f \| Good \| Class 5	4	9/2	72	--	--	1.2	--	GREY - no timing read
08-05-2026	Ascot \| 16f \| Good \| Class 4	6	16/1	74	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read
03-04-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 2m \| Standard \| Class 4	3	18/1	74	75	67	2.2	3:21.73	GOLD - faster than par
03-03-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 1m6f \| Standard \| Class 4	6	11/1	75	72	65	2.5	3:01.14	GOLD - faster than par
01-02-2026	Market Rasen \| 2m7f \| Soft \| Class 4	6	10/1	111	82	61	17	6:18.72	GREY - below benchmark
06-01-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 2m½f \| Standard \| Class 5	2	5/2	75	83	43	0.5	3:42.16	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Near mark

Latest -2lb | peak +17lb treated as ceiling | public read +1lb.

Benchmark Fit score 3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 77.9 and winning TS par is around 53.1. Runner versus par: rating edge +4.1. Benchmark fit: 2.5.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Diamond Bay Distance specialist

Model agreement 3/6

Mixed agreement

Decision Confidence 35.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.

Tight decision 35.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form2-4-5-7-6-14

FFR74 / +8lb

Speed84

Franked39

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt10st 12lb

Further Measure Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 35.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Watch only 35.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form5-7-4-4-1-4

FFR65 / +5lb

Speed100

Franked52

Ground3/3 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt10st 6lb

Benvoy Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 29.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Watch only 29.2 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form4-1-9-8

FFR84 / +16lb

Speed102

Franked30

Ground0/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassDown in class

Draw6

Wgt11st 0lb

Beaune Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 18.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 18.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-3-4-7-8-1

FFR29 / -27lb

Speed92

Franked18

Ground1/1 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassUp in class

Draw1

Wgt10st 2lb

Roland Garros Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 17.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 17.2 confidence

Why consider6 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-3-5-10-7-1

FFR60 / -8lb

Speed95

Franked18

Ground1/3 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt11st 0lb

Wise Counsellor Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 16.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 16.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6-14-8-7-6-4

FFR63 / -5lb

Speed87

Franked17

Ground0/3 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt11st 0lb

Flamingo Rose Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 2.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Watch only 2.2 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form8-1

FFR68 / +8lb

Speed93

Franked4

Ground2/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt10st 6lb

2:45 | Chepstow

2:45 | Chepstow | 5f

Class 4 | Good To Firm | Trade Centre Group Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 76 SHORTLIST RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR741 rated runner | Top OR 74: Delighfully Hot

Winning par58.83s1 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupGOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick: 7.8)

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Delighfully Hot leads the contextual model at 36.8
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Clearer top profile: +18.5 gap to nearest rival
Winning-time par: 58.83s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 8 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Delighfully HotRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	47.0	2-2-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 24-07-2026 SandownClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP13/2 JockeySean Levey OR-- FFR55 SS-- 06-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result2 btn 4.8L SP11/1 JockeyCieren Fallon OR-- FFR69 SS-- 03-06-2026 NottinghamClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result9 btn 1L SP40/1 JockeyCieren Fallon OR-- FFR82 SS--	9st 2lb	1	OR 74	82	+8lb	2	5/2	+19.6	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	58%	59%	0/6	--	D	Well treated +8	PRICE DEPENDENT
2	KokumiRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	16.2	2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 14-07-2026 BeverleyClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result2 btn 7L SP15/2 JockeyDaniel Tudhope OR-- FFR62 SS--	9st 2lb	7	OR --	62	--	0	13	-0.9	Freshened up	Same trip	Solid field	--	50%	55%	0/6	--	D	Developing	WATCH ONLY
3	Sioux MoonRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	15.2	3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 29-07-2026 LeicesterClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 2L SP18/1 JockeyStevie Donohoe OR-- FFR70 SS--	9st 2lb	5	OR --	70	--	0	10.5	-1.9	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	48%	51%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
4	MarzadRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	14.5	3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 06-08-2026 ChepstowClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 8L SP25/1 JockeyLewis Edmunds OR-- FFR48 SS--	9st 2lb	6	OR --	48	--	0	100/1	-2.7	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	48%	50%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Rogue DakotaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	12.0	2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 06-08-2026 ChepstowClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result2 btn 3L SP13/2 JockeyHarry Davies OR-- FFR74 SS--	9st 2lb	4	OR --	74	--	0	8	+1.1	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	50%	55%	0/6	--	D	Developing	WATCH ONLY
6	Impulsive SpiritRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	10.0	-- Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.	9st 2lb	3	OR --	--	--	0	25/1	-7.2	Rest developing	Trip move developing	Solid field	--	50%	53%	0/6	--	UNKNOWN	Developing	WATCH ONLY
7	Happy EnoughRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	9.2	4-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 21-07-2026 SalisburyClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 2.8L SP12/1 JockeyRossa Ryan OR-- FFR66 SS-- 16-05-2026 NewmarketClass 2 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result7 btn 0.8L SP4/1 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR-- FFR56 SS--	9st 2lb	2	OR --	56	--	0	28/1	-7.9	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	48%	49%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
8	Soeur De FlashRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.0	3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 20-07-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP10/1 JockeyRossa Ryan OR-- FFR71 SS--	9st 2lb	8	OR --	71	--	0	2.34	+0.1	Freshened up	Down in trip	Solid field	--	48%	51%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY

Main Context Fit Delighfully Hot

Delighfully Hot profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Kokumi

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Delighfully Hot Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 47.0

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Best of a weak race 47.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +8lb room

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form2-2-9

FFR82 / +8lb

Speed--

Franked2

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 2lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

2 Sandown Solid effort 24-07-2026

2 Wolverhampton (AW) Solid effort 06-07-2026

9 Nottingham Troubled run 03-06-2026

Race form proof Some franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating2

0winners since

1placers since

3evidence pts

07-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Charcoal Diva (GB), Dreams Galore (IRE), Elpeeare (IRE)

Later placers

Roxelina (GB) (06-08-2026)

06-03-2026 | Nottingham Finished 9

Beat named rivals

Miss U Gino (GB)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement0/6

FFR82

Speed--

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR+8lb ahead of mark

FFR 82 pounds scale

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance evidence is thin

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score36.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI DLOW

Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR

Today's conditions match 58% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 52%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Class

Ground evidence Fast Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs1/3

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandFast

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Fast 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --

All-weather 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --

Placement evidence 59% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 44%

Class fit 50%

Mark room 76%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

Conservative mark read gives +8lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 74 | Latest FFR 82 | Best FFR 82 | Public mark read +8

Hidden Run DetectorWorth a second look

Run 3: traffic trouble may have hidden the finishing position.

Trainer James Owen

Jockey Billy Loughnane

Age 2

Draw 1

OR 74

Avg OR 74

OR vs Field 0

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 922

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0

Variance Developing Consistency developing

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance5f

Runs at profile3

DEID

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
03-06-2026	Nottingham	Good	9	1:2.55	62.5
06-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	2	1:2.81	62.8
24-07-2026	Sandown	Good To Firm	2	1:2.71	62.7

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 49% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 25 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP13/2

OwnerMrs S Nicholls

Pedigree

Too Darn Hot × Reassure (Oasis Dream)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
24-07-2026	Sandown	2	0.3	Neutral finish
06-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	2	4.8	Neutral finish
03-06-2026	Nottingham	9	1	Run faded

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs3

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par58.83s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times1:2.55 | 1:2.81 | 1:2.71

Recent positions9 | 2 | 2

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
24-07-2026	Sandown \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	2	13/2	--	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
06-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 5f \| Standard \| Class 4	2	11/1	--	--	--	4.8	--	GREY - no timing read
03-06-2026	Nottingham \| 5f \| Good \| Class 4	9	40/1	--	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Well treated

Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 80 and winning TS par is around 53. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Kokumi Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 16.2

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 16.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete

Form2

FFR62 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 2lb

Sioux Moon Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 15.2

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 15.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3

FFR70 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 2lb

Marzad Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 14.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 14.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3

FFR48 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 2lb

Rogue Dakota Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 12.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 12.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete

Form2

FFR74 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 2lb

Impulsive Spirit Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 10.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 10.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete

Form--

FFR-- / --

Speed--

Franked0

GroundGround evidence developing

TripTrip move developing

ClassClass move developing

Draw3

Wgt9st 2lb

Happy Enough Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 9.2

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 9.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-7

FFR56 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground2/2 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 2lb

Soeur De Flash Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 8.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 8.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3

FFR71 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassUp in class

Draw8

Wgt9st 2lb

3:00 | Lingfield (AW)

3:00 | Lingfield (AW) | 6f

Class 4 | Standard | Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 66 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR53.84 rated runners | Top OR 65: Past Passion

Winning par1m 11.33s33 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupPOLYTRACK: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Past Passion leads the contextual model at 30.8
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Clearer top profile: +7.8 gap to nearest rival
Winning-time par: 1m 11.33s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 10 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Past PassionRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	39.2	14-2-3-2-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 18-07-2026 NewburyClass 2 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 4lb Result14 btn 0.1L SP100/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR65 FFR75 SS92 02-07-2026 NottinghamClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 7lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP14/1 JockeyRowan Scott OR64 FFR90 SS-- 17-06-2026 Ffos LasClass 5 \| 5f \| Soft Wgt8st 13lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP11/4 JockeyCallum Hutchinson OR-- FFR66 SS-- 08-05-2026 AscotClass 2 \| 5f \| Good Wgt8st 10lb Result2 btn 4L SP18/1 JockeyHollie Doyle OR-- FFR80 SS-- 17-04-2026 BathClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.2L SP18/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR-- FFR65 SS--	9st 2lb	8	OR 65	65	+0lb	26	6/1	+14	Freshened up	Up in trip	Weak field	--	54%	55%	0/6	92	D	Workable +6	CAUTION PROFILE
2	Last DandelionRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	23.5	5-4-11-3-5-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 25-07-2026 LingfieldClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 0.3L SP17/2 JockeyPat Cosgrave OR66 FFR65 SS82 15-07-2026 BathClass 5 \| 5f \| Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 0.2L SP11/4F JockeyJack Doughty OR66 FFR86 SS-- 26-06-2026 YarmouthClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result11 btn 1.5L SP11/2 JockeySean Levey OR67 FFR78 SS-- 04-06-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP9/1 JockeyMarco Ghiani OR-- FFR33 SS-- 15-05-2026 NewmarketClass 2 \| 6f \| Good Wgt8st 10lb Result5 btn 0.1L SP200/1 JockeyGrace McEntee OR-- FFR65 SS-- 30-04-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result10 btn 1.2L SP66/1 JockeyRay Dawson OR-- FFR40 SS--	9st 2lb	1	OR 62	40	-22lb	21	11/1	+4.5	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	48%	46%	0/6	82	D	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
3	PertinentRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	19.8	9-9-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 18-07-2026 Newmarket (July)Class 4 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 10lb Result9 btn 8L SP500/1 JockeyGrace McEntee OR-- FFR32 SS-- 08-06-2026 LeicesterClass 4 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result9 btn 15L SP250/1 JockeyJonny Peate OR-- FFR43 SS-- 09-05-2026 LeicesterClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result10 btn 4.2L SP66/1 JockeyGrace McEntee OR-- FFR42 SS--	9st 2lb	10	OR 28	42	+14lb	0	150/1	+3	Freshened up	Down in trip	Weak field	--	53%	58%	0/6	--	E	Well treated +12	WATCH ONLY
4	It'sbeenemotionalRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	16.0	8-7-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 25-06-2026 LeicesterClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result8 btn 3.2L SP7/1 JockeyLewis Edmunds OR-- FFR72 SS-- 04-06-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result7 btn 2.5L SP4/1 JockeyJack Mitchell OR-- FFR53 SS-- 20-05-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt8st 10lb Result4 btn 1L SP9/1 JockeyJack Mitchell OR-- FFR34 SS--	9st 2lb	6	OR 60	34	-26lb	2	22	+6.2	Freshened up	Up in trip	Weak field	--	48%	46%	0/6	--	D	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
5	EnrichedRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	12.0	13-12-2-7-1-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 09-05-2026 MorphettvilleClass 1 \| 6f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result13 btn 0.1L SP30/1 JockeyChad Schofield OR99 FFR81 SS99 21-03-2026 RosehillClass 1 \| 5½f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result12 btn 0.1L SP15/1 JockeyCraig A Williams OR99 FFR84 SS98 28-02-2026 RandwickClass 1 \| 6½f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result2 btn 1.2L SP13/2 JockeyZac Lloyd OR98 FFR96 SS103 31-01-2026 RosehillClass 1 \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.8L SP11/2 JockeyTommy Berry OR98 FFR97 SS99 12-04-2025 Randwick (AUS)-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result1 SP18/5 JockeyTommy Berry OR-- FFR93 SS98 22-03-2025 Rosehill (AUS)-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result2 btn 2L SP13/1 JockeyTommy Berry OR-- FFR91 SS98	9st 2lb	3	OR --	91	-8lb	0	11/2	-4.8	Rest developing	Same trip	Weak field	--	47%	51%	0/6	98	UNKNOWN	Stiff -5	WATCH ONLY
6	Mystic UnicornRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.2	9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 04-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result9 btn 0.3L SP66/1 JockeyDarragh Keenan OR-- FFR60 SS--	9st 2lb	4	OR --	60	--	0	70/1	-8.5	Standard rest	Down in trip	Weak field	--	48%	51%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
7	NightspellRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.2	4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 15-07-2026 LingfieldClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 3L SP22/1 JockeyJack Mitchell OR-- FFR64 SS--	9st 2lb	7	OR --	64	--	0	35/1	-8.5	Freshened up	Same trip	Weak field	--	46%	49%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
8	Polly The SniperRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	7.5	5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 03-08-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 10lb Result5 btn 1.5L SP66/1 JockeyWilliam Cox OR-- FFR62 SS--	9st 2lb	9	OR --	62	--	2	20/1	-9.3	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	46%	49%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
9	RomotosoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	1.0	3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 01-08-2026 DoncasterClass 4 \| 6.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 0.2L SP9/2 JockeyTaylor Fisher OR-- FFR76 SS--	9st 2lb	2	OR --	76	--	2	5/6	+3	Standard rest	Down in trip	Weak field	--	48%	54%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
10	Musical ForceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	1.0	3-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 21-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt8st 13lb Result3 btn 2.8L SP11/1 JockeyKaiya Fraser OR-- FFR61 SS-- 18-06-2026 YarmouthClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result9 btn 0.5L SP22/1 JockeyBenoit De La Sayette OR-- FFR74 SS--	9st 2lb	5	OR --	74	--	0	10.5	+0.5	Standard rest	Down in trip	Weak field	--	48%	50%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY

Main Context Fit Past Passion

Past Passion profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 0/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Last Dandelion

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Past Passion Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 39.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Best of a weak race 39.2 confidence

Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Form14-2-3-2-7

FFR65 / +0lb

Speed92

Franked26

Ground0/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassDown in class

Draw8

Wgt9st 2lb

Last Dandelion Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 23.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 23.5 confidence

Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form5-4-11-3-5-10

FFR40 / -22lb

Speed82

Franked21

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassUp in class

Draw1

Wgt9st 2lb

Pertinent Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 19.8

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 19.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form9-9-10

FFR42 / +14lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground0/2 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw10

Wgt9st 2lb

It'sbeenemotional Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 16.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 16.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form8-7-4

FFR34 / -26lb

Speed--

Franked2

Ground2/2 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassUp in class

Draw6

Wgt9st 2lb

Enriched Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 12.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 12.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form13-12-2-7-1-2

FFR91 / -8lb

Speed98

Franked0

GroundGround evidence developing

TripSame trip

ClassDown in class

Draw3

Wgt9st 2lb

Mystic Unicorn Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 8.2

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 8.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form9

FFR60 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 2lb

Nightspell Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 8.2

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 8.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4

FFR64 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 2lb

Polly The Sniper Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 7.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 7.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5

FFR62 / --

Speed--

Franked2

Ground0/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassUp in class

Draw9

Wgt9st 2lb

Romotoso Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 1.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 1.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3

FFR76 / --

Speed--

Franked2

Ground0/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 2lb

Musical Force Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 1.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 1.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3-9

FFR74 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 2lb

3:15 | Chepstow

3:15 | Chepstow | 7f

Class 3 | Good To Firm | Bailey Family Investments / EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 75 SHORTLIST RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR811 rated runner | Top OR 81: Avionics

Winning par1m 22.38s20 race course/distance/going sample

SetupGOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick: 7.8)

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Avionics leads the contextual model at 33.8
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Clearer top profile: +16.5 gap to nearest rival
Winning-time par: 1m 22.38s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 6 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

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Compare
1	AvionicsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	41.0	6-2-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 04-08-2026 Ffos LasClass 3 \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result6 btn 2.5L SP3/1 JockeyEbrahim Nader OR83 FFR75 SS-- 11-07-2026 SalisburyClass 3 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result2 btn 3.2L SP12/1 JockeyCallum Hutchinson OR-- FFR86 SS-- 02-06-2026 PontefractClass 4 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result4 btn 1.8L SP7/4 JockeyDaniel Tudhope OR-- FFR69 SS--	9st 7lb	5	OR 81	69	-12lb	15	5/1	+19.7	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	48%	50%	0/6	--	D	Stiff -9	CAUTION PROFILE
2	Grove StreetRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	9.0	2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 29-07-2026 SandownClass 3 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP16/1 JockeyJoe Leavy OR-- FFR92 SS--	9st 7lb	1	OR --	92	--	0	8/11	+3.2	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	47%	54%	0/6	--	D	Developing	WATCH ONLY
3	It's A DreamRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	7.2	9-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 15-06-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result9 btn 2.5L SP40/1 JockeyBen Ffrench Davis OR-- FFR53 SS-- 23-05-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 10lb Result5 btn 1.2L SP40/1 JockeyBen Ffrench Davis OR-- FFR35 SS--	9st 7lb	6	OR --	35	--	0	50/1	-6.8	Layoff check	Big step up	Solid field	--	48%	51%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
4	La BassetteRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	7.2	10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 30-07-2026 GoodwoodClass 2 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result10 btn 0.1L SP28/1 JockeyP J McDonald OR-- FFR79 SS--	9st 2lb	3	OR --	79	--	0	8.2	-6.8	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	49%	53%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
5	TalamonRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	7.0	-- Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.	9st 7lb	4	OR --	--	--	0	5.7	-2.1	Rest developing	Trip move developing	Solid field	--	52%	54%	0/6	--	UNKNOWN	Developing	WATCH ONLY
6	Highland FrostRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	7.0	-- Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.	9st 7lb	2	OR --	--	--	0	40/1	-7.1	Rest developing	Trip move developing	Solid field	--	47%	52%	0/6	--	UNKNOWN	Developing	WATCH ONLY

Main Context Fit Avionics

Avionics profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Grove Street

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Avionics Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 41.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 41.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form6-2-4

FFR69 / -12lb

Speed--

Franked15

Ground1/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 7lb

Grove Street Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 9.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 9.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete

Form2

FFR92 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 7lb

It's A Dream Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 7.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 7.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form9-5

FFR35 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassUp in class

Draw6

Wgt9st 7lb

La Bassette Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 7.2

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 7.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form10

FFR79 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassDown in class

Draw3

Wgt9st 2lb

Talamon Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 7.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 7.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete

Form--

FFR-- / --

Speed--

Franked0

GroundGround evidence developing

TripTrip move developing

ClassClass move developing

Draw4

Wgt9st 7lb

Highland Frost Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 7.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Watch only 7.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete

Form--

FFR-- / --

Speed--

Franked0

GroundGround evidence developing

TripTrip move developing

ClassClass move developing

Draw2

Wgt9st 7lb

3:33 | Lingfield (AW)

3:33 | Lingfield (AW) | 12f

Class 6 | Standard | attheraces.com/marketmovers Classified Stakes

Race Confidence 69 SHORTLIST RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR47.710 rated runners | Top OR 50: Someone's Wish

Winning par2m 33.15s48 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupPOLYTRACK: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-50 | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Foinix leads the contextual model at 35.2
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Clearer top profile: +7.0 gap to nearest rival
Winning-time par: 2m 33.15s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 10 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	FoinixRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	58.0	1-2-3-7-7-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 11-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result1 SP9/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR46 FFR76 SS56 06-08-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 12f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result2 btn 3.5L SP11/10F JockeyFinley Marsh OR46 FFR67 SS64 22-06-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 12f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result3 btn 3.5L SP7/2 JockeyDylan Hogan OR47 FFR50 SS84 09-06-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 10f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result7 btn 0.3L SP28/1 JockeyDylan Hogan OR48 FFR56 SS82 25-03-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 4L SP33/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR49 FFR59 SS95 16-03-2026 PlumptonClass 5 \| 2m \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result5 btn 13L SP33/1 JockeyRichie McLernon OR83 FFR68 SS94	10st 0lb	6	OR 46	68	+22lb	8	10/3	+13	Quick return	Same trip	Weak field	--	60%	64%	1/6	94	B	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
2	Fighting PoetRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	32.2	2-9-8-6-13-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 11-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP80/1 JockeyRobert Havlin OR45 FFR51 SS95 21-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 14f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result9 btn 4.2L SP100/1 JockeyMiss Delphi Parkinson OR46 FFR27 SS106 01-07-2026 EpsomClass 6 \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 5lb Result8 btn 13L SP66/1 JockeyRobert Havlin OR48 FFR26 SS72 22-06-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 12f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result6 btn 3.5L SP22/1 JockeySean D Bowen OR48 FFR24 SS110 09-06-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 10f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result13 btn 3.8L SP16/1 JockeySean D Bowen OR50 FFR24 SS104 07-05-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result4 btn 0.8L SP33/1 JockeyCallum Hutchinson OR51 FFR64 SS96	9st 9lb	5	OR 45	64	+19lb	31	8	+6	Quick return	Same trip	Weak field	--	55%	61%	1/6	96	D	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Douglas DcRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	21.8	2-5-5-7-9-11 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 04-08-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result2 btn 5.5L SP6/1 JockeyMarco Ghiani OR48 FFR68 SS93 13-07-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 1.8L SP16/1 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR49 FFR31 SS101 21-06-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 12f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result5 btn 1.5L SP8/1 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR50 FFR44 SS92 05-06-2026 BathClass 6 \| 10f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result7 btn 1.5L SP16/1 JockeyGina Mangan OR52 FFR44 SS102 07-05-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result9 btn 6.5L SP14/1 JockeyMatthew Lloyd Slater OR53 FFR53 SS79 06-11-2025 NewburyClass 3 \| 2m½f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result11 btn 29L SP40/1 JockeyFreddie Mitchell OR106 FFR54 SS71	9st 9lb	10	OR 47	54	+7lb	12	5/1	-0.5	Standard rest	Down in trip	Weak field	--	55%	57%	0/6	71	D	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Pride EyeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	19.8	4-4-7-11-1-11 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 28-07-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 12lb Result4 btn 1.2L SP11/1 JockeyChristian Howarth OR52 FFR61 SS91 04-07-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 11lb Result4 btn 0.1L SP25/1 JockeyMikey Sheehy OR53 FFR80 SS89 02-03-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 1m \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.3L SP12/1 JockeyJack Mitchell OR54 FFR58 SS89 20-01-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result11 btn 4.2L SP10/1 JockeyRossa Ryan OR54 FFR67 SS97 06-01-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP66/1 JockeyPaul Mulrennan OR52 FFR53 SS91 16-12-2025 Newcastle (AW)Class 6 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result11 btn 0.5L SP14/1 JockeyJack Mitchell OR55 FFR50 SS96	9st 9lb	8	OR 50	50	+0lb	42	13/2	-2.5	Standard rest	Big step up	Weak field	--	50%	43%	0/6	96	E	Workable +6	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Someone's WishRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	19.5	11-9-6-8-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 08-06-2026 PontefractClass 6 \| 17f \| Good Wgt8st 10lb Result11 btn 7.5L SP80/1 JockeyJames Sullivan OR52 FFR82 SS102 29-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result9 btn 5.5L SP16/1 JockeyMr Lucas Murphy OR54 FFR77 SS94 23-04-2026 PerthClass 4 \| 2m \| Good Wgt-- Result-- SP33/1 JockeyHarry Cobden OR108 FFR69 SS99 21-03-2026 Navan-- \| 2m1f \| Soft To Heavy Wgt-- Result6 btn 6L SP33/1 JockeyPaddy Cleary OR113 FFR111 SS91 18-01-2026 Thurles-- \| 2m \| Yielding Wgt-- Result8 btn 2L SP28/1 JockeyJordan Gainford OR106 FFR36 SS94 27-12-2025 Leopardstown-- \| 2m \| Yielding Wgt-- Result8 btn 1.8L SP28/1 JockeySam Ewing OR111 FFR20 SS72	9st 9lb	3	OR 50	20	-30lb	23	18/1	+1.7	Layoff check	Big drop back	Weak field	--	44%	36%	1/6	72	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Snooker McCrewRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	16.8	6-5-7-1-9-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 21-07-2026 SalisburyClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 3lb Result6 btn 2.5L SP17/2 JockeyMiss Aimee Jones OR49 FFR77 SS97 11-07-2026 SalisburyClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result5 btn 7.5L SP28/1 JockeyAlfie Redman OR51 FFR64 SS38 27-08-2024 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 1.8L SP11/2 JockeyLiam Keniry OR60 FFR78 SS104 22-08-2024 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP12/1 JockeyLiam Keniry OR54 FFR63 SS98 18-07-2024 ChepstowClass 6 \| 1m2f \| Good Wgt-- Result9 btn 8.5L SP9/1 JockeyLiam Keniry OR58 FFR26 SS97 25-06-2024 NewburyClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result5 btn 5L SP33/1 JockeyJosephine Gordon OR60 FFR49 SS94	9st 9lb	4	OR 50	49	-1lb	44	9.8	-5.5	Standard rest	Big step up	Weak field	--	46%	45%	0/6	94	E	Near mark +2	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Star SuepremeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	16.8	5-11-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 27-07-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 12lb Result5 btn 3.2L SP125/1 JockeyLewis Edmunds OR-- FFR62 SS87 20-01-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result11 btn 14L SP200/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR-- FFR51 SS73 06-01-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 2L SP50/1 JockeyLewis Edmunds OR-- FFR63 SS--	9st 0lb	9	OR 50	63	+13lb	2	18	-5.5	Standard rest	Big step up	Weak field	--	52%	50%	0/6	73	E	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Charles MorinRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	16.0	11-6-10-3-5-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 13-07-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result11 btn 1.2L SP7/2 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR50 FFR85 SS98 10-06-2026 FontwellClass 5 \| 19f \| Good Wgt10st 12lb Result6 btn 1.5L SP22/1 JockeySean Houlihan OR79 FFR66 SS95 18-05-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 16.5f \| Good Wgt8st 8lb Result10 btn 1.2L SP11/2 JockeyJames Glennon OR52 FFR76 SS97 27-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 2m \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.5L SP15/2 JockeyJames Glennon OR53 FFR25 SS100 27-03-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 2m \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.3L SP6/1 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR54 FFR83 SS82 16-03-2026 PlumptonClass 5 \| 2m \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result4 btn 1.2L SP8/1 JockeySean Houlihan OR81 FFR35 SS95	9st 9lb	7	OR 50	35	-15lb	1	5.2	+5.5	Freshened up	Same trip	Weak field	--	45%	40%	0/6	95	D	Stiff -12	CAUTION PROFILE
9	Churchill's SpiritRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.8	5-3-4-6-9-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 28-07-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 11.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result5 btn 2.2L SP16/1 JockeyLaura Pearson OR45 FFR67 SS93 07-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 8.5f \| Standard Wgt8st 13lb Result3 btn 5.5L SP25/1 JockeyCharles Bishop OR45 FFR60 SS88 11-06-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 10f \| Soft Wgt8st 10lb Result4 btn 10L SP9/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR46 FFR64 SS88 08-12-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.2L SP250/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR-- FFR33 SS-- 03-11-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.3L SP12/1 JockeyJack Mitchell OR-- FFR48 SS-- 22-10-2025 NewmarketClass 4 \| 7f \| Good Wgt-- Result9 btn 4.5L SP6/1 JockeyRossa Ryan OR-- FFR54 SS--	9st 0lb	2	OR 45	54	+9lb	27	18/1	+2	Standard rest	Down in trip	Weak field	--	52%	51%	0/6	88	E	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
10	Summer EveningRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.2	8-8-9-4-21-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 11-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 10f \| Standard Wgt9st 0lb Result8 btn 0.1L SP28/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR45 FFR70 SS85 08-07-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 8f \| Standard / Slow Wgt8st 4lb Result8 btn 0.5L SP40/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR46 FFR50 SS87 18-06-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 10f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result9 btn 9.5L SP10/1 JockeyDarragh Keenan OR47 FFR71 SS91 05-04-2026 BathClass 4 \| 1m2f \| Good Wgt-- Result4 btn 11L SP80/1 JockeyAshley Lewis OR48 FFR23 SS95 29-03-2026 DoncasterClass 5 \| 1m \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result21 btn 1L SP16/1 JockeyMiss Louise Chance OR49 FFR33 SS73 25-02-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.5L SP25/1 JockeyMiss Louise Chance OR48 FFR54 SS92	9st 9lb	1	OR 44	54	+10lb	3	22/1	-14	Quick return	Big step up	Weak field	--	52%	52%	0/6	92	E	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Foinix

Foinix profiles as a unclear with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Fighting Poet

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Foinix Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 58.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Best of a weak race 58.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form1-2-3-7-7-5

FFR68 / +22lb

Speed94

Franked8

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt10st 0lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Lingfield (AW) Finished well 11-08-2026

2 Brighton Solid effort 06-08-2026

3 Brighton Finished well 22-06-2026

7 Brighton Troubled run 09-06-2026

7 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 25-03-2026

5 Plumpton Below best 16-03-2026

Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating8

1winners since

0placers since

6evidence pts

08-06-2026 | Brighton Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Alex The Great (IRE), Dogged (GB), Lady Lauren (IRE)

01-06-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 8

Beat named rivals

Come To Pass (IRE), West Wickham (GB)

Race produced winner

Ignition (IRE)

08-12-2025 | Lingfield Finished 2

Beat named rivals

A Bit Iffy (IRE), Aoifes Thunder (IRE), Dizziwizzbang (GB)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR68

Speed94

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+22lb ahead of mark

FFR 68 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

94 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score35.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BHIGH

Mark readWell treatedLatest +22lb | peak +30lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 35%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Class

Ground evidence All-weather Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating42

Best ground bandTesting

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 71

Good 4 0W / 0P Peak rating 59

Fast 15 3W / 9P Peak rating 61

All-weather 30 2W / 7P Peak rating 63

Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 14%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

Proven trip profile (B)20 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concern

Mark read Latest +22lb | peak +30lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +22lb | peak +30lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 46 | Latest FFR 68 | Best FFR 76 | Public mark read +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Jim & Suzi Best

Jockey Finley Marsh

Age 6

Draw 6

OR 46

Avg OR 47.7

OR vs Field -1.7

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 877321

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Volatile; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Improving

confidence nudge -0.2

Variance Volatile 18.2% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Below requirement -5.2 vs par

Curve Improving Trend 2

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance1m4f

Runs at profile20

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
22-06-2026	Brighton	Good To Firm	3	2:34.61	154.6
06-08-2026	Brighton	Good To Firm	2	2:33.64	153.6
11-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	1	2:33.37	153.4

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 19% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 7 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.8 trainer RTF cold at 19%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: b; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearbDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP9/1

OwnerM Robinson Jack Pook Jeanette May

Pedigree

Phoenix Reach × Yeah Baby Yeah (Art Connoisseur)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.3L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
11-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	1	0	Fast finish
06-08-2026	Brighton	2	3.5	Neutral finish
22-06-2026	Brighton	3	3.5	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 2 runs with an official OR.

16-03-2026 | Plumpton

Rating 71 OR 83

25-03-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 42 OR 49

09-06-2026 | Brighton

Rating -- OR 48

22-06-2026 | Brighton

Rating -- OR 47

06-08-2026 | Brighton

Rating -- OR 46

11-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating -- OR 46

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs20

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par2m 33.15s

Last win at trip-- | Lingfield (AW) | 11-08-2026

Recent times2:34.61 | 2:33.64 | 2:33.37

Recent positions3 | 2 | 1

Winning contextOR 46 | weight 9-9

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
11-08-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 12f \| Standard \| Class 6	1	9/1	46	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
06-08-2026	Brighton \| 12f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	2	11/10F	46	--	--	3.5	--	GREY - no timing read
22-06-2026	Brighton \| 12f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	3	7/2	47	--	--	3.5	--	GREY - no timing read
09-06-2026	Brighton \| 10f \| Good \| Class 6	7	28/1	48	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
25-03-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 1m4f \| Standard \| Class 6	7	33/1	49	42	22	4	2:35.78	AMBER - competitive
16-03-2026	Plumpton \| 2m \| Good To Soft \| Class 5	5	33/1	83	71	41	13	4:03.44	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Well treated

Latest +22lb | peak +30lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score -3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 64.6 and winning TS par is around 45.4. Runner versus par: rating edge -10.6. Benchmark fit: -3.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Fighting Poet Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 32.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 32.2 confidence

Why consider18 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-9-8-6-13-4

FFR64 / +19lb

Speed96

Franked31

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 9lb

Douglas Dc Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 21.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 21.8 confidence

Why consider12 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-5-5-7-9-11

FFR54 / +7lb

Speed71

Franked12

Ground1/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw10

Wgt9st 9lb

Pride Eye Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 19.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 19.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-4-7-11-1-11

FFR50 / +0lb

Speed96

Franked42

Ground0/2 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 9lb

Someone's Wish Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 19.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 19.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form11-9-6-8-8

FFR20 / -30lb

Speed72

Franked23

Ground3/3 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 9lb

Snooker McCrew Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 16.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 16.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6-5-7-1-9-5

FFR49 / -1lb

Speed94

Franked44

Ground0/1 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 9lb

Star Suepreme Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 16.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 16.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5-11-4

FFR63 / +13lb

Speed73

Franked2

Ground0/1 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassDown in class

Draw9

Wgt9st 0lb

Charles Morin Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 16.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 16.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form11-6-10-3-5-4

FFR35 / -15lb

Speed95

Franked1

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 9lb

Churchill's Spirit Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 8.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 8.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5-3-4-6-9-9

FFR54 / +9lb

Speed88

Franked27

Ground0/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 0lb

Summer Evening Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 8.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 8.2 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8-8-9-4-21-6

FFR54 / +10lb

Speed92

Franked3

Ground2/2 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 9lb

3:50 | Chepstow

3:50 | Chepstow | 8f

Class 6 | Good To Firm | Trade Centre Wales Handicap Stakes (Chepstow Mile Series Qualifier)

Race Confidence 54 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR598 rated runners | Top OR 65: Look Back Smiling

Winning par1m 34.22s10 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupGOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick: 7.8)

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-65 | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Rating leads the contextual model at 37.6
Decision type: Shortlist profile - Worth a deeper look
Winning-time par: 1m 34.22s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 8 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	RatingRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleShortlist profile	62.8	5-3-5-5-1-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 24-07-2026 ChepstowClass 5 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 12lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP11/2 JockeyAshley Lewis OR63 FFR62 SS104 16-07-2026 ChepstowClass 5 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 6lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP17/2 JockeyAshley Lewis OR63 FFR67 SS98 27-06-2026 ChepstowClass 5 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 12lb Result5 btn 0.1L SP15/2 JockeyWilliam Carson OR64 FFR46 SS98 14-06-2026 SalisburyClass 5 \| 8f \| Good Wgt8st 12lb Result5 btn 3L SP9/1 JockeyAshley Lewis OR64 FFR63 SS104 26-05-2026 BathClass 6 \| 8f \| Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result1 SPEvensF JockeyAshley Lewis OR62 FFR68 SS101 22-05-2026 BathClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP11/2 JockeyWilliam Carson OR62 FFR63 SS100	9st 6lb	2	OR 62	63	+1lb	67	6.6	+8.5	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	59%	69%	2/6	100	C	Workable +6	PRICE DEPENDENT
2	Look Back SmilingRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	46.8	7-3-4-10-9-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 21-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 9.5f \| Standard Wgt8st 11lb Result7 btn 0.1L SP28/1 JockeyAlexandra Egan OR65 FFR76 SS98 08-07-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 8f \| Standard / Slow Wgt9st 8lb Result3 btn 0.1L SP15/2 JockeyOisin Murphy OR64 FFR77 SS96 05-06-2026 GoodwoodClass 5 \| 9f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 10lb Result4 btn 4.2L SP17/2 JockeyMason Paetel OR66 FFR64 SS96 05-04-2026 BathClass 5 \| 1m \| Good Wgt-- Result10 btn 0.8L SP20/1 JockeyDougie Costello OR68 FFR56 SS93 22-11-2025 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.3L SP17/2 JockeyDaniel Muscutt OR70 FFR62 SS103 08-11-2025 DoncasterClass 4 \| 7f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.8L SP5/1J JockeyAlfie Gee OR73 FFR63 SS92	9st 9lb	8	OR 65	63	-2lb	10	3.95	+12.4	Standard rest	Down in trip	Modest field	--	53%	67%	2/6	92	D	Near mark +1	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Risen AgainRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	43.0	2-6-6-11-12-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 02-08-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result2 btn 3.5L SP12/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR61 FFR75 SS92 04-06-2026 Ffos LasClass 5 \| 12f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 4lb Result6 btn 24L SP16/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR64 FFR61 SS100 07-05-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result6 btn 0.5L SP40/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR66 FFR63 SS99 05-04-2026 BathClass 5 \| 1m \| Good Wgt-- Result11 btn 1.5L SP28/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR68 FFR50 SS96 21-02-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 1m5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result12 btn 3.2L SP33/1 JockeyCharles Bishop OR70 FFR36 SS79 18-10-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 1m1½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.3L SP14/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR71 FFR60 SS91	9st 4lb	1	OR 60	60	+0lb	5	11/2	+7.2	Standard rest	Big drop back	Modest field	--	58%	66%	2/6	91	D	Workable +6	CAUTION PROFILE
4	AjradRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	38.5	5-3-5-6-5-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 09-08-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 1L SP5/1 JockeyGeorge Wood OR53 FFR66 SS107 16-07-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP11/2 JockeyLewis Edmunds OR54 FFR52 SS102 15-06-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP5/1 JockeyDarragh Keenan OR55 FFR49 SS95 29-05-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result6 btn 0.2L SP13/2 JockeyLewis Edmunds OR57 FFR50 SS97 06-05-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 3lb Result5 btn 0.1L SP33/1 JockeyLewis Edmunds OR59 FFR60 SS97 17-04-2026 BathClass 6 \| 1m \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result6 btn 2.5L SP7/1 JockeyPierre-Louis Jamin OR60 FFR51 SS98	8st 11lb	4	OR 53	51	-2lb	18	6/1	+2.3	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	62%	62%	2/6	98	A	Near mark +1	CAUTION PROFILE
5	ScarfoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	29.8	6-2-2-3-1-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 09-08-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 12lb Result6 btn 0.3L SP11/2 JockeyCharlie Tucker OR49 FFR26 SS109 16-07-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 9lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP9/1 JockeyCharlie Tucker OR48 FFR65 SS99 23-06-2026 Ffos LasClass 6 \| 8f \| Good Wgt8st 12lb Result2 btn 1.8L SP13/2 JockeyCharlie Tucker OR48 FFR57 SS88 15-06-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 8f \| Good Wgt8st 9lb Result3 btn 1.5L SP5/1 JockeyCharlie Tucker OR48 FFR60 SS95 06-06-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 8f \| Soft Wgt8st 7lb Result1 SP13/2 JockeyZoe Lewis OR46 FFR61 SS93 11-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 8.5f \| Standard Wgt8st 7lb Result9 btn 0.8L SP80/1 JockeyZoe Lewis OR46 FFR46 SS93	8st 7lb	5	OR 49	46	-3lb	18	12.5	-3.9	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	55%	56%	1/6	93	C	Near mark +0	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Counting CardsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	26.8	8-12-9-4-7-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 14-07-2026 Ffos LasClass 5 \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result8 btn 2.2L SP33/1 JockeyWilliam Cox OR67 FFR78 SS99 18-05-2026 CarlisleClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 6lb Result12 btn 1L SP9/2F JockeyCallum Rodriguez OR70 FFR73 SS101 29-04-2026 MusselburghClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.1L SP12/1 JockeyClifford Lee OR73 FFR78 SS92 12-01-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 2.8L SP9/2 JockeyCallum Rodriguez OR75 FFR68 SS97 20-12-2025 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.8L SP5/2F JockeyCallum Rodriguez OR75 FFR41 SS94 23-10-2025 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 2.2L SP7/2 JockeyCallum Rodriguez OR75 FFR34 SS96	9st 8lb	3	OR 64	34	-30lb	0	28/1	-5.3	Freshened up	Down in trip	Modest field	--	53%	50%	1/6	96	D	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Law Of DesignRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	16.8	5-5-9-5-8-11 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 25-07-2026 ChesterClass 4 \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 2L SP28/1 JockeyRyan Kavanagh OR68 FFR75 SS104 10-07-2026 ChesterClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt10st 2lb Result5 btn 1L SP10/1 JockeyHarry Davies OR70 FFR73 SS96 07-04-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 2 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.2L SP33/1 JockeyCharles Bishop OR73 FFR77 SS98 12-02-2026 Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 3.2L SP22/1 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR75 FFR87 SS90 23-01-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result8 btn 0.2L SP12/1 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR77 FFR41 SS100 20-12-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result11 btn 2.2L SP20/1 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR78 FFR62 SS102	9st 9lb	7	OR 65	62	-3lb	32	10/3	-8	Standard rest	Down in trip	Modest field	--	47%	49%	1/6	102	E	Near mark +0	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Bobby DasslerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	16.2	7-7-3-1-8-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 28-07-2026 Ffos LasClass 6 \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result7 btn 8.5L SP66/1 JockeyEbrahim Nader OR55 FFR51 SS106 08-07-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result7 btn 8.5L SP7/1 JockeyRyan Kavanagh OR56 FFR26 SS98 17-06-2026 Ffos LasClass 6 \| 8f \| Soft Wgt9st 7lb Result3 btn 11L SP3/1 JockeyMason Paetel OR56 FFR66 SS92 15-06-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result1 SP12/1 JockeyMason Paetel OR52 FFR36 SS95 05-06-2026 BathClass 6 \| 10f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result8 btn 9L SP12/1 JockeyWilliam Cox OR53 FFR30 SS86 26-05-2026 BathClass 6 \| 10f \| Firm Wgt8st 6lb Result4 btn 0.5L SP18/1 JockeyMason Paetel OR53 FFR41 SS94	8st 12lb	6	OR 54	41	-13lb	14	20/1	-12.9	Standard rest	Big drop back	Modest field	--	42%	45%	1/6	94	D	Stiff -10	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Rating

Rating profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Look Back Smiling

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Rating Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 62.8

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Shortlist profile 62.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (C)

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form5-3-5-5-1-3

FFR63 / +1lb

Speed100

Franked67

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassDown in class

Draw2

Wgt9st 6lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

5 Chepstow Competitive 24-07-2026

3 Chepstow Solid effort 16-07-2026

5 Chepstow Competitive 27-06-2026

5 Salisbury Competitive 14-06-2026

1 Bath Strong run 26-05-2026

3 Bath Run faded 22-05-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Strong franked form

Proof rating67

8winners since

12placers since

15evidence pts

11-08-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 5

Beat named rivals

A Pint Of Bear (IRE), Fools Rush In (IRE), Monsieur Patat (GB)

Race produced winner

Fools Rush In (IRE), Rainwater (GB)

Later placers

Monsieur Patat (GB) (05-06-2026), Romanovich (IRE) (03-12-2025)

09-05-2025 | Kempton (AW) Finished 9

Race produced winner

Three Yorkshiremen (IRE)

Later placers

Brodies Boy (FR) (01-03-2026), Detroit Lion (IRE) (04-08-2025)

12-01-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Boujee Gold (GB), Dingwall (GB), Guinness Lad (IRE)

Race produced winner

Boujee Gold (GB), Guinness Lad (IRE)

Later placers

Dingwall (GB) (12-04-2025), Revich (IRE) (06-05-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement2/6

FFR63

Speed100

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+1lb near mark

FFR 63 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

100 Par 100

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeShortlist profileThere is useful evidence, but the horse still needs normal price, risk and race checks.

Model score37.6Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI CHIGH

Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR

Today's conditions match 59% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 54%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 76%

Best fit Handicap Question Pace shape

Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs5/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandFast

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 2 0W / 2P Peak rating 62

Good 9 0W / 4P Peak rating 77

Fast 13 1W / 6P Peak rating 77

All-weather 8 1W / 3P Peak rating 76

Placement evidence 69% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 78%

Class fit 60%

Mark room 70%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 68%

Proven trip profile (C)11 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 62 | Latest FFR 63 | Best FFR 68 | Public mark read +6

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Grace Harris

Jockey Rossa Ryan

Age 5

Draw 2

OR 62

Avg OR 59

OR vs Field +3

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 315535

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Very steady 2.4% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 4.2 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.

Profile distance1m

Runs at profile11

DEIC

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
27-06-2026	Chepstow	Good To Firm	5	1:36.23	96.2
16-07-2026	Chepstow	Good To Firm	3	1:33.62	93.6
24-07-2026	Chepstow	Good To Firm	5	1:34.01	94

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 41% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 25 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP11/2

OwnerPark Lane Accountants Ltd

Pedigree

Profitable × Savoy Showgirl (Kyllachy)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.5L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
24-07-2026	Chepstow	5	0.8	Neutral finish
16-07-2026	Chepstow	3	0.5	Neutral finish
27-06-2026	Chepstow	5	0.1	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

22-05-2026 | Bath

Rating -- OR 62

26-05-2026 | Bath

Rating -- OR 62

14-06-2026 | Salisbury

Rating -- OR 64

27-06-2026 | Chepstow

Rating -- OR 64

16-07-2026 | Chepstow

Rating -- OR 63

24-07-2026 | Chepstow

Rating -- OR 63

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs11

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 34.22s

Last win at trip-- | Bath | 26-05-2026

Recent times1:36.23 | 1:33.62 | 1:34.01

Recent positions5 | 3 | 5

Winning contextOR 62 | weight 9-6

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
24-07-2026	Chepstow \| 8f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	5	11/2	63	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read
16-07-2026	Chepstow \| 8f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	3	17/2	63	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
27-06-2026	Chepstow \| 8f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	5	15/2	64	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
14-06-2026	Salisbury \| 8f \| Good \| Class 5	5	9/1	64	--	--	3	--	GREY - no timing read
26-05-2026	Bath \| 8f \| Firm \| Class 6	1	EvensF	62	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
22-05-2026	Bath \| 8f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	3	11/2	62	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Workable mark

Latest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 62.1 and winning TS par is around 50. Runner versus par: rating edge +2.9. Benchmark fit: 0.8.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Look Back Smiling Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 46.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Best of a weak race 46.8 confidence

Why consider22 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form7-3-4-10-9-6

FFR63 / -2lb

Speed92

Franked10

Ground1/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassDown in class

Draw8

Wgt9st 9lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

7 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 21-07-2026

3 Kempton (AW) Solid effort 08-07-2026

4 Goodwood Steady run 05-06-2026

10 Bath Run faded 05-04-2026

9 Newcastle (AW) Competitive 22-11-2025

6 Doncaster Competitive 08-11-2025

Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating10

1winners since

1placers since

6evidence pts

07-08-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Beau Jardine (IRE), Cherry Hill (GB), Devious Devan (IRE)

06-05-2026 | Goodwood Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Bizou (GB), Platinum Prince (GB), Trooper (GER)

Race produced winner

Bizou (GB)

04-05-2026 | Bath Finished 10

Beat named rivals

Risen Again (FR)

Later placers

The Hare Rail (IRE) (05-07-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR63

Speed92

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR-2lb near mark

FFR 63 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

92 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score41.5Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI DHIGH

Mark readNear markLatest -2lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read +1lb

Today's conditions match 53% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 52%

Class 71%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 34%

Handicap 58%

Best fit Class Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Fast No recent fast sample; best evidence is on good ground

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs0/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandGood

Read No recent fast sample; best evidence is on good ground Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 29 2W / 8P Peak rating 95

Good 4 0W / 0P Peak rating 76

Fast 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 71

All-weather 9 1W / 4P Peak rating 74

Placement evidence 67% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 60%

Class fit 93%

Mark room 55%

Stable setup 58%

Recent evidence 68%

22 similar-trip runs recordedClass benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest -2lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read +1lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest -2lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read +1lb

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 65 | Latest FFR 63 | Best FFR 77 | Public mark read +1

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Neil Mulholland

Jockey Tom Marquand

Age 6

Draw 8

OR 65

Avg OR 59

OR vs Field +6

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 9-0437

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Cooling

confidence nudge +0.8

Variance Very steady 3.8% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 3.3 vs par

Curve Cooling Trend -1

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance1m

Runs at profile22

DEID

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
22-11-2025	Newcastle (AW)	Standard	9	1:40.94	100.9
05-04-2026	Bath	Good	10	1:43.56	103.6
08-07-2026	Kempton (AW)	Standard / Slow	3	1:41.23	101.2

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 38% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 28 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP28/1

OwnerGiddy Up Racing Club

Pedigree

Fast Company × Portico (Pivotal)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.5L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
21-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	7	0.1	Neutral finish
08-07-2026	Kempton (AW)	3	0.1	Neutral finish
05-06-2026	Goodwood	4	4.2	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 3 runs with an official OR.

08-11-2025 | Doncaster

Rating 58 OR 73

22-11-2025 | Newcastle (AW)

Rating 63 OR 70

05-04-2026 | Bath

Rating 49 OR 68

05-06-2026 | Goodwood

Rating -- OR 66

08-07-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating -- OR 64

21-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 65

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs22

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 34.22s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times1:40.94 | 1:43.56 | 1:41.23

Recent positions9 | 10 | 3

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
21-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 9.5f \| Standard \| Class 5	7	28/1	65	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
08-07-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 8f \| Standard / Slow \| Class 6	3	15/2	64	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
05-06-2026	Goodwood \| 9f \| Good To Soft \| Class 5	4	17/2	66	--	--	4.2	--	GREY - no timing read
05-04-2026	Bath \| 1m \| Good \| Class 5	10	20/1	68	49	21	0.8	1:43.56	GREY - below benchmark
22-11-2025	Newcastle (AW) \| 1m \| Standard \| Class 5	9	17/2	70	63	52	0.3	1:40.94	GREY - below benchmark
08-11-2025	Doncaster \| 7f \| Heavy \| Class 4	6	5/1J	73	58	50	0.8	1:33.65	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Near mark

Latest -2lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read +1lb.

Benchmark Fit score 4

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 62.1 and winning TS par is around 50. Runner versus par: rating edge +11.9. Benchmark fit: 4.2.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Risen Again Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 43.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Best of a weak race 43.0 confidence

Why considerClass benchmark supports the placement

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form2-6-6-11-12-6

FFR60 / +0lb

Speed91

Franked5

Ground2/3 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 4lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

2 Yarmouth Solid effort 02-08-2026

6 Ffos Las Steady run 04-06-2026

6 Windsor Competitive 07-05-2026

11 Bath Competitive 05-04-2026

12 Lingfield (AW) Below best 21-02-2026

6 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 18-10-2025

Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating5

0winners since

4placers since

6evidence pts

05-07-2026 | Windsor Finished 6

Beat named rivals

Canopus (IRE), Crimson Road (IRE), Dutch Kingdom (IRE)

Later placers

The Hare Rail (IRE) (07-07-2026)

04-05-2026 | Bath Finished 11

Later placers

Look Back Smiling (IRE) (07-08-2026), The Hare Rail (IRE) (05-07-2026)

06-04-2026 | Ffos Las Finished 6

Later placers

Premier (FR) (07-05-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR60

Speed91

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+0lb near mark

FFR 60 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

91 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting profile, but the current SpeedScore is light Main riskDistance evidence is thin

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score36.3Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI DLOW

Mark readWorkable markLatest +0lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +6lb

Today's conditions match 58% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 52%

Class 62%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 76%

Best fit Handicap Question Pace shape

Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 4 0W / 1P Peak rating 78

Fast 8 1W / 5P Peak rating 80

All-weather 12 0W / 4P Peak rating 76

Placement evidence 66% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 44%

Class fit 73%

Mark room 70%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 76%

Class benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest +0lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +6lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest +0lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +6lb

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 60 | Latest FFR 60 | Best FFR 75 | Public mark read +6

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer John & Rhys Flint

Jockey William Carson

Age 5

Draw 1

OR 60

Avg OR 59

OR vs Field +1

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form -662

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0

Variance Reliable 7.7% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Below requirement -0.4 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance1m

Runs at profile4

DEID

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
29-12-2024	Southwell (AW)	Standard	6	1:43.35	103.3
05-04-2026	Bath	Good	11	1:43.81	103.8
07-05-2026	Windsor	Good To Firm	6	1:42.76	102.8

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 21% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 16 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.2 trainer RTF quiet at 21%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP12/1

OwnerBurnham P D Ltd

Pedigree

No Nay Never × Easter Lily (Galileo)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 9.3L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
02-08-2026	Yarmouth	2	3.5	Fast finish
04-06-2026	Ffos Las	6	24	Neutral finish
07-05-2026	Windsor	6	0.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 3 runs with an official OR.

18-10-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 66 OR 71

21-02-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 58 OR 70

05-04-2026 | Bath

Rating 46 OR 68

07-05-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 66

04-06-2026 | Ffos Las

Rating -- OR 64

02-08-2026 | Yarmouth

Rating -- OR 61

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs4

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par1m 34.22s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times1:43.35 | 1:43.81 | 1:42.76

Recent positions6 | 11 | 6

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
02-08-2026	Yarmouth \| 10f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	2	12/1	61	--	--	3.5	--	GREY - no timing read
04-06-2026	Ffos Las \| 12f \| Good To Soft \| Class 5	6	16/1	64	--	--	24	--	GREY - no timing read
07-05-2026	Windsor \| 8f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	6	40/1	66	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
05-04-2026	Bath \| 1m \| Good \| Class 5	11	28/1	68	46	17	1.5	1:43.81	GREY - below benchmark
21-02-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 1m5f \| Standard \| Class 5	12	33/1	70	58	--	3.2	2:55.86	GREY - below benchmark
18-10-2025	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 1m1½f \| Standard \| Class 5	6	14/1	71	66	28	0.3	2:01.78	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Workable mark

Latest +0lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +6lb.

Benchmark Fit score 3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 62.1 and winning TS par is around 50. Runner versus par: rating edge +3.9. Benchmark fit: 2.5.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Ajrad Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 38.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 38.5 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form5-3-5-6-5-6

FFR51 / -2lb

Speed98

Franked18

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt8st 11lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

5 Chepstow Competitive 09-08-2026

3 Chepstow Solid effort 16-07-2026

5 Chepstow Run faded 15-06-2026

6 Chepstow Run faded 29-05-2026

5 Kempton (AW) Competitive 06-05-2026

6 Bath Competitive 17-04-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating18

2winners since

4placers since

10evidence pts

05-06-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Bonnita (GB), Future Cutlet (IRE), Luminous Warrior (IRE)

07-11-2025 | Chepstow Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Al Shabab (FR), Alices Impact (GB), Big Bug (IRE)

Race produced winner

Celebrating Ethel (IRE), Too Much Trevor (GB)

Later placers

Al Shabab (FR) (03-03-2026), Oasis Sunrise (IRE) (07-03-2026)

02-10-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 7

Beat named rivals

Dodgy Bob (GB), Miss Calculation (IRE), Morning Suit (IRE)

Later placers

Bernie The Bear (IRE) (03-06-2026), You Are Everything (FR) (01-11-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR51

Speed98

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-2lb near mark

FFR 51 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

98 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score31.4Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI AHIGH

Mark readNear markLatest -2lb | peak +13lb treated as ceiling | public read +1lb

Today's conditions match 62% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 45%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 66%

Handicap 58%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Class

Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandTesting

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 7 1W / 2P Peak rating 67

Good 6 2W / 3P Peak rating 67

Fast 9 1W / 4P Peak rating 60

All-weather 25 1W / 1P Peak rating 68

Placement evidence 62% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 32%

Mark room 55%

Stable setup 74%

Recent evidence 50%

Proven trip profile (A)15 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concern

Mark read Latest -2lb | peak +13lb treated as ceiling | public read +1lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest -2lb | peak +13lb treated as ceiling | public read +1lb

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 53 | Latest FFR 51 | Best FFR 66 | Public mark read +1

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Rod Millman

Jockey Lewis Edmunds

Age 8

Draw 4

OR 53

Avg OR 59

OR vs Field -6

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 656535

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +2.5

Variance Very steady 3.9% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 6.6 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance1m

Runs at profile15

DEIA

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
17-04-2026	Bath	Good To Soft	6	1:46.01	106
15-06-2026	Chepstow	Good	5	1:35.75	95.8
09-08-2026	Chepstow	Good To Firm	5	1:34.93	94.9

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 36% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 9 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP5/1

OwnerCanisbay Bloodstock

Pedigree

New Approach × Princess Cammie (Camacho)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.9L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
09-08-2026	Chepstow	5	1	Neutral finish
16-07-2026	Chepstow	3	1.2	Neutral finish
15-06-2026	Chepstow	5	0.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 1 runs with an official OR.

17-04-2026 | Bath

Rating 42 OR 60

06-05-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating -- OR 59

29-05-2026 | Chepstow

Rating -- OR 57

15-06-2026 | Chepstow

Rating -- OR 55

16-07-2026 | Chepstow

Rating -- OR 54

09-08-2026 | Chepstow

Rating -- OR 53

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs15

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 34.22s

Last win at trip1:44.64 | Bath | 03-09-2025

Recent times1:46.01 | 1:35.75 | 1:34.93

Recent positions6 | 5 | 5

Winning contextvs par +10.42s | OR 60

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
09-08-2026	Chepstow \| 8f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	5	5/1	53	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
16-07-2026	Chepstow \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	3	11/2	54	--	--	1.2	--	GREY - no timing read
15-06-2026	Chepstow \| 8f \| Good \| Class 6	5	5/1	55	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
29-05-2026	Chepstow \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	6	13/2	57	--	--	0.2	--	GREY - no timing read
06-05-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 6	5	33/1	59	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
17-04-2026	Bath \| 1m \| Good To Soft \| Class 6	6	7/1	60	42	10	2.5	1:45.82	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Near mark

Latest -2lb | peak +13lb treated as ceiling | public read +1lb.

Benchmark Fit score -1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 62.1 and winning TS par is around 50. Runner versus par: rating edge -6.1. Benchmark fit: -0.8.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Scarfo Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 29.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 29.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (C)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form6-2-2-3-1-9

FFR46 / -3lb

Speed93

Franked18

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt8st 7lb

Counting Cards Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 26.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 26.8 confidence

Why considerClass benchmark supports the placement

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form8-12-9-4-7-2

FFR34 / -30lb

Speed96

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassDown in class

Draw3

Wgt9st 8lb

Law Of Design Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 16.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 16.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5-5-9-5-8-11

FFR62 / -3lb

Speed102

Franked32

Ground0/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassDown in class

Draw7

Wgt9st 9lb

Bobby Dassler Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 16.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Watch only 16.2 confidence

Why consider18 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form7-7-3-1-8-4

FFR41 / -13lb

Speed94

Franked14

Ground2/3 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt8st 12lb

4:08 | Lingfield (AW)

4:08 | Lingfield (AW) | 8f

Class 6 | Standard | Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 40 WATCH ONLY

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR567 rated runners | Top OR 60: Perfect Ruler

Winning par1m 38.22s89 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupPOLYTRACK: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-60 | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Grey Sands leads the contextual model at 37.5
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Winning-time par: 1m 38.22s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 7 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Grey SandsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	39.0	5-7-3-1-2-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 22-06-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 1L SP14/1 JockeyGina Mangan OR58 FFR57 SS91 18-05-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 11.5f \| Good Wgt8st 10lb Result7 btn 9.5L SP25/1 JockeyGina Mangan OR61 FFR78 SS95 14-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 1m2f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 1L SP5/4F JockeyDavid Probert OR62 FFR83 SS77 23-01-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP11/8F JockeyRossa Ryan OR51 FFR73 SS100 13-01-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 5.5L SP10/1 JockeyNathan Crosse OR51 FFR37 SS101 19-11-2025 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 12L SP125/1 JockeyDeclan McDonogh OR-- FFR41 SS95	9st 6lb	5	OR 57	41	-16lb	13	17/2	+8.5	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	50%	48%	1/6	95	C	Stiff -13	CAUTION PROFILE
2	My Old MateRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	38.8	1-1-2-8-9-11 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 10-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result1 SP8/15F JockeyBilly Loughnane OR59 FFR66 SS97 27-06-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result1 SP7/4 JockeyJude Fernandes OR54 FFR62 SS90 08-06-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 7lb Result2 btn 0.2L SP9/2 JockeyTom Queally OR53 FFR49 SS86 25-05-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result8 btn 0.2L SP18/1 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR55 FFR64 SS94 14-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.8L SP15/2 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR57 FFR66 SS-- 19-09-2025 NewburyClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result11 btn 0.5L SP25/1 JockeyTom Queally OR-- FFR67 SS--	10st 0lb	1	OR 59	67	+8lb	19	10/11	+13.8	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	68%	76%	2/6	94	A	Well treated +8	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Perfect RulerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	26.2	5-5-4-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 18-05-2026 RedcarClass 6 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP3/1F JockeyCieren Fallon OR60 FFR71 SS85 02-05-2026 ThirskClass 4 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 5L SP11/4 JockeyOisin Orr OR-- FFR77 SS94 08-11-2025 DoncasterClass 4 \| 6f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.8L SP7/2 JockeyJames Doyle OR-- FFR60 SS-- 03-07-2025 HaydockClass 3 \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.1L SP11/4 JockeyDaniel Tudhope OR-- FFR57 SS--	9st 9lb	7	OR 60	57	-3lb	31	9/2	-3	Layoff check	Up in trip	Modest field	--	49%	46%	1/6	94	E	Near mark +0	WATCH ONLY
4	VenturingRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	18.8	8-4-4-9-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 04-08-2026 Ffos LasClass 6 \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt9st 10lb Result8 btn 25L SP80/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR65 FFR63 SS89 02-07-2026 NewburyClass 5 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result4 btn 14L SP14/1 JockeyDavid Egan OR66 FFR59 SS82 13-02-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 4.2L SP6/1 JockeyBen Coen OR-- FFR68 SS87 18-10-2025 Leopardstown-- \| 7f \| Yielding To Soft Wgt-- Result9 btn 4.2L SP16/1 JockeyPaddy Harnett OR-- FFR36 SS-- 22-09-2025 Listowel (IRE)-- \| 1m \| Heavy Wgt-- Result7 btn 3L SP25/1 JockeyPaddy Harnett OR-- FFR25 SS--	9st 9lb	2	OR 60	25	-35lb	17	25/1	-10.2	Standard rest	Down in trip	Modest field	--	45%	41%	0/6	87	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Ernie McCrewRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	18.2	5-5-4-7-6-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 06-08-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 3.5L SP6/1 JockeyAshley Lewis OR51 FFR50 SS95 21-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 8.5f \| Standard Wgt8st 4lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP14/1 JockeyDonagh Murphy OR52 FFR45 SS-- 06-07-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 1L SP25/1 JockeyTaylor Fisher OR54 FFR24 SS-- 03-07-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result7 btn 2.5L SP20/1 JockeyDonagh Murphy OR54 FFR47 SS-- 06-06-2026 LingfieldClass 4 \| 7.5f \| Soft Wgt9st 3lb Result6 btn 8L SP20/1 JockeyGeorgia Dobie OR-- FFR44 SS-- 19-05-2026 LingfieldClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result4 btn 2.5L SP33/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR-- FFR39 SS--	8st 12lb	4	OR 49	39	-10lb	9	20	-5.7	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	45%	46%	1/6	95	E	Stiff -7	CAUTION PROFILE
6	HenfieldRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	17.8	1-2-8-9-10-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 13-07-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 0lb Result1 SP7/2F JockeyDavid Probert OR46 FFR48 SS85 06-07-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 1lb Result2 btn 3.8L SP22/1 JockeyRobert Havlin OR46 FFR51 SS64 18-06-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 10f \| Good Wgt8st 11lb Result8 btn 0.3L SP11/1 JockeyDylan Hogan OR48 FFR48 SS66 25-05-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result9 btn 0.2L SP40/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR50 FFR34 SS-- 05-09-2025 AscotClass 4 \| 1m \| Soft Wgt-- Result10 btn 25L SP500/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR-- FFR55 SS-- 21-06-2025 LingfieldClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result8 btn 25L SP33/1 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR-- FFR65 SS--	9st 0lb	3	OR 51	65	+14lb	15	13/2	+14.3	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	59%	62%	1/6	66	C	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Ten CuidadoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	11.2	12-10-7-4-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 08-07-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 8f \| Standard / Slow Wgt9st 4lb Result12 btn 6.5L SP125/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR60 FFR64 SS85 31-12-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result10 btn 3.5L SP50/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR66 FFR77 SS96 15-12-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 9L SP6/1 JockeyGeorge Bass OR-- FFR55 SS79 03-11-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 2.2L SP20/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR-- FFR62 SS89 11-04-2025 NewburyClass 4 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result10 btn 3.5L SP80/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR-- FFR21 SS--	9st 5lb	6	OR 56	21	-35lb	15	40/1	-17.7	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	44%	38%	0/6	89	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Grey Sands

Grey Sands profiles as a unclear with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger My Old Mate

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Grey Sands Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 39.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Best of a weak race 39.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form5-7-3-1-2-7

FFR41 / -16lb

Speed95

Franked13

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 6lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

5 Windsor Competitive 22-06-2026

7 Windsor Steady run 18-05-2026

3 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 14-04-2026

1 Southwell (AW) Finished well 23-01-2026

2 Dundalk (AW) Run faded 13-01-2026

7 Dundalk (AW) Steady run 19-11-2025

Race form proof Some franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating13

1winners since

0placers since

2evidence pts

11-07-2025 | Dundalk (AW) Finished 13

Race produced winner

Minella Rockett (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR41

Speed95

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementCaution

FFR vs OR-16lb below mark

FFR 41 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

95 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskDistance evidence is thin

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score37.5Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI CLOW

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -16lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read -13lb

Today's conditions match 50% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs4/6

Best similar rating65

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Fast 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 6 1W / 3P Peak rating 65

Placement evidence 48% Intent unclear

Trip evidence 68%

Class fit 43%

Mark room 13%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 50%

Trainer and jockey setup recordedCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -16lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read -13lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -16lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read -13lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 57 | Latest FFR 41 | Best FFR 83 | Public mark read -13

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls

Jockey Alfie Redman(7)

Age 3

Draw 5

OR 57

Avg OR 56

OR vs Field +1

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form -21375

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.0

Variance Reliable 8.5% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 1.3 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance1m

Runs at profile4

DEIC

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
13-01-2026	Dundalk (AW) (IRE)	Standard	2	1:40.04	100
23-01-2026	Southwell (AW)	Standard	1	1:41.45	101.5
22-06-2026	Windsor	Good To Firm	5	1:44.48	104.5

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.5 micro score

Trainer RTF 55% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 57 days Standard layoff

Micro score +0.5 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; headgear declared: tp; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgeartpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP14/1

OwnerP J Andrews

Pedigree

Blue Point × The Tempest (Mastercraftsman)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 3.8L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
22-06-2026	Windsor	5	1	Neutral finish
18-05-2026	Windsor	7	9.5	Neutral finish
14-04-2026	Lingfield (AW)	3	1	Run faded

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 3 of 3 runs with an official OR. 1 earlier run was unrated.

19-11-2025 | Dundalk (AW)

Rating 12 OR Unrated

13-01-2026 | Dundalk (AW)

Rating 52 OR 51

23-01-2026 | Southwell (AW)

Rating 65 OR 51

14-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 64 OR 62

18-05-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 61

22-06-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 58

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs4

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par1m 38.22s

Last win at trip1:41.45 | Southwell (AW) | 23-01-2026

Recent times1:40.04 | 1:41.45 | 1:44.48

Recent positions2 | 1 | 5

Winning contextvs par +3.23s | OR 51

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
22-06-2026	Windsor \| 8f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	5	14/1	58	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
18-05-2026	Windsor \| 11.5f \| Good \| Class 5	7	25/1	61	--	--	9.5	--	GREY - no timing read
14-04-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 1m2f \| Standard \| Class 6	3	5/4F	62	64	19	1	2:08.84	GREY - below benchmark
23-01-2026	Southwell (AW) \| 1m \| Standard \| Class 6	1	11/8F	51	65	56	0	1:41.45	GREY - below benchmark
13-01-2026	Dundalk (AW) \| 1m \| Standard \| --	2	10/1	51	52	38	5.5	1:40.04	AMBER - competitive
19-11-2025	Dundalk (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| --	7	125/1	--	12	--	12	1:32.20	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -16lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read -13lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 65.2 and winning TS par is around 48.8. Runner versus par: rating edge -3.2. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

My Old Mate Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 38.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Best of a weak race 38.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form1-1-2-8-9-11

FFR67 / +8lb

Speed94

Franked19

Ground0/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt10st 0lb

Perfect Ruler Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 26.2

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 26.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5-5-4-5

FFR57 / -3lb

Speed94

Franked31

Ground0/2 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 9lb

Venturing Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 18.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 18.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8-4-4-9-7

FFR25 / -35lb

Speed87

Franked17

Ground1/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 9lb

Ernie McCrew Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 18.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 18.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5-5-4-7-6-4

FFR39 / -10lb

Speed95

Franked9

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt8st 12lb

Henfield Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 17.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 17.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form1-2-8-9-10-8

FFR65 / +14lb

Speed66

Franked15

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 0lb

Ten Cuidado Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 11.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 11.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form12-10-7-4-10

FFR21 / -35lb

Speed89

Franked15

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 5lb

4:25 | Chepstow

4:25 | Chepstow | 7f

Class 5 | Good To Firm | Trade Centre Uk Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 48 WATCH ONLY

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR67.67 rated runners | Top OR 74: Evie Ross

Winning par1m 22.53s4 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupGOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick: 7.8)

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-75 | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Espona Bay leads the contextual model at 50.9
Decision type: Tight decision - Rivals close
Compressed top end: Honky Tonk Girl close enough to respect
Winning-time par: 1m 22.53s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 7 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Espona BayRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleTight decision	48.8	1-5-3-3-1-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 06-08-2026 ChepstowClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result1 SP5/1 JockeyChristian Howarth OR65 FFR79 SS97 25-07-2026 LingfieldClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 10lb Result5 btn 1.8L SP2/1F JockeyKieran O'Neill OR66 FFR76 SS102 17-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt8st 5lb Result3 btn 1L SP8/1 JockeyKieran O'Neill OR67 FFR70 SS95 15-06-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP9/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR67 FFR77 SS95 18-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 4lb Result1 SP10/1 JockeyKieran O'Neill OR65 FFR65 SS102 21-03-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 2.2L SP5/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR66 FFR76 SS100	9st 5lb	5	OR 70	76	+6lb	16	8.8	+10.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	66%	75%	3/6	100	A	Well treated +9	PRICE DEPENDENT
2	Honky Tonk GirlRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	45.5	1-3-4-9-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 31-07-2026 BathClass 5 \| 5.5f \| Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result1 SP5/6F JockeyMason Paetel OR57 FFR63 SS-- 21-07-2026 NottinghamClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result3 btn 1.5L SP8/1 JockeySaffie Osborne OR-- FFR52 SS-- 14-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 1.2L SP9/2 JockeyRay Dawson OR-- FFR48 SS-- 05-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 0lb Result9 btn 1.2L SP11/2 JockeyDaniel Muscutt OR-- FFR78 SS-- 13-06-2026 BathClass 5 \| 5.5f \| Good Wgt9st 0lb Result5 btn 0.1L SP16/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR-- FFR75 SS--	8st 12lb	7	OR 63	75	+12lb	4	5.2	+5	Standard rest	Up in trip	Modest field	--	53%	54%	0/6	--	E	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Rogue ExileRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	27.0	1-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 01-08-2026 LingfieldClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result1 SP1/3F JockeyHarry Davies OR-- FFR68 SS-- 15-07-2026 YarmouthClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result2 btn 2.5L SP3/1 JockeyHarry Davies OR-- FFR78 SS--	9st 8lb	2	OR 73	78	+5lb	0	3.5	-2.1	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	55%	56%	1/6	--	C	Workable +5	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Evie RossRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	26.8	5-5-9-6-1-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 03-07-2026 ChepstowClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result5 btn 0.2L SP7/1 JockeyJack Nicholls OR75 FFR63 SS85 30-05-2026 ChesterClass 4 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result5 btn 1L SP20/1 JockeyHector Crouch OR77 FFR81 SS93 06-05-2026 ChesterClass 3 \| 6f \| Good Wgt8st 13lb Result9 btn 0.5L SP28/1 JockeyRossa Ryan OR79 FFR73 SS91 29-08-2025 SalisburyClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.3L SP15/2 JockeyTom Marquand OR-- FFR77 SS-- 19-08-2025 ChepstowClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result1 SP28/1 JockeyHector Crouch OR-- FFR69 SS-- 05-08-2025 NewburyClass 4 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result9 btn 1.2L SP18/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR-- FFR76 SS--	9st 9lb	1	OR 74	76	+2lb	15	11/2	-11.7	Freshened up	Up in trip	Modest field	--	51%	54%	1/6	91	E	Workable +7	WATCH ONLY
5	Von TrotterRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	15.8	1-2-6-7-10-14 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 01-08-2026 DoncasterClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result1 SP100/30 JockeyOliver Stammers OR60 FFR47 SS98 18-07-2026 RiponClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result2 btn 2.8L SP10/1 JockeyBilly Garritty OR60 FFR43 SS98 27-06-2026 YorkClass 4 \| 6f \| Good Wgt8st 5lb Result6 btn 4L SP100/1 JockeyJames Sullivan OR65 FFR36 SS102 19-06-2026 RedcarClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result7 btn 3.8L SP10/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR69 FFR50 SS-- 05-06-2026 ThirskClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result10 btn 1.2L SP11/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR72 FFR57 SS-- 15-05-2026 YorkClass 3 \| 5f \| Good Wgt8st 7lb Result14 btn 1.5L SP12/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR74 FFR68 SS--	9st 2lb	3	OR 67	68	+1lb	10	4.5	+8.8	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	54%	61%	0/6	102	D	Near mark +1	PRICE DEPENDENT
6	Name The DayRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	7.0	4-10-1-9-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 28-07-2026 Ffos LasClass 5 \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 8L SP25/1 JockeyCallum Hutchinson OR75 FFR74 SS-- 17-07-2026 NewburyClass 5 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result10 btn 28L SP25/1 JockeyCharles Bishop OR75 FFR43 SS-- 03-07-2026 ChepstowClass 4 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result1 SP20/1 JockeyCallum Hutchinson OR-- FFR86 SS-- 18-06-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result9 btn 0.5L SP14/1 JockeySean D Bowen OR-- FFR33 SS-- 01-06-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 0.8L SP18/1 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR-- FFR49 SS--	9st 5lb	4	OR 70	49	-21lb	0	40/1	-10.8	Standard rest	Down in trip	Modest field	--	49%	45%	0/6	--	D	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Too Much TrevorRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	2.8	3-7-1-4-4-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 09-08-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result3 btn 3.2L SP14/1 JockeyAshley Lewis OR56 FFR64 SS96 24-07-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 11lb Result7 btn 0.8L SP11/2 JockeyAshley Lewis OR53 FFR54 SS98 16-07-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result1 SP10/1 JockeyAshley Lewis OR54 FFR56 SS105 08-07-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 9lb Result4 btn 0.3L SP5/2 JockeyOlivia Tubb OR54 FFR66 SS104 15-06-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt8st 12lb Result4 btn 0.3L SP15/8J JockeyOlivia Tubb OR54 FFR45 SS99 06-06-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 6f \| Soft Wgt8st 8lb Result1 SP5/1 JockeyOlivia Tubb OR50 FFR56 SS100	8st 10lb	6	OR 56	56	+0lb	11	16/1	+0.5	Standard rest	Down in trip	Modest field	--	57%	59%	0/6	100	C	Workable +6	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Espona Bay

Espona Bay profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 3/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Honky Tonk Girl

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Espona Bay Distance specialist

Model agreement 3/6

Mixed agreement

Decision Confidence 48.8

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.

Tight decision 48.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form1-5-3-3-1-3

FFR76 / +6lb

Speed100

Franked16

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 5lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Chepstow Strong run 06-08-2026

5 Lingfield Competitive 25-07-2026

3 Wolverhampton (AW) Solid effort 17-07-2026

3 Windsor Solid effort 15-06-2026

1 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 18-05-2026

3 Newcastle (AW) Run faded 21-03-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating16

2winners since

4placers since

12evidence pts

08-06-2026 | Chepstow Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Clementines Star (GB), Fullstop (IRE), Grand Vista (IRE)

Later placers

Grand Vista (IRE) (07-08-2026)

03-05-2026 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Elizabetty (IRE), Fille Unique (IRE), Lina Codina (GB)

Later placers

Elizabetty (IRE) (02-06-2026), Marra Donna (IRE) (02-06-2026)

07-08-2025 | Lingfield Finished 6

Beat named rivals

Arjack (GB), Karakula Dancer (GB)

Race produced winner

Karakula Dancer (GB), Legacy Rock (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement3/6

FFR76

Speed100

ConditionsPositive fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+6lb ahead of mark

FFR 76 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

100 Par 100

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeTight decisionThe top runner is only narrowly ahead, so comparison with the next few in the race matters.

Model score50.9Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI AMEDIUM

Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR

Today's conditions match 66% Positive conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 53%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Pace shape

Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 55

Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 59

Fast 3 1W / 2P Peak rating --

All-weather 7 1W / 6P Peak rating 64

Placement evidence 75% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 55%

Mark room 79%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 76%

Proven trip profile (A)5 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +9lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 70 | Latest FFR 76 | Best FFR 79 | Public mark read +9

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Scott Dixon

Jockey Kieran O'Neill

Age 3

Draw 5

OR 70

Avg OR 67.6

OR vs Field +2.4

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 313351

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Very steady 2.8% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 1.5 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile5

DEIA

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
18-05-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	1	1:28.60	88.6
17-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	3	1:28.21	88.2
06-08-2026	Chepstow	Good To Firm	1	1:21.86	81.9

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 31% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 12 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP5/1

OwnerAmphitheatre Racing Limited

Pedigree

New Bay × Grammata (Twilight Son)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.9L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
06-08-2026	Chepstow	1	0	Neutral finish
25-07-2026	Lingfield	5	1.8	Neutral finish
17-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	3	1	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 1 runs with an official OR.

21-03-2026 | Newcastle (AW)

Rating 64 OR 66

18-05-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 65

15-06-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 67

17-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 67

25-07-2026 | Lingfield

Rating -- OR 66

06-08-2026 | Chepstow

Rating -- OR 65

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs5

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Winning-time par1m 22.53s

Last win at trip-- | Chepstow | 06-08-2026

Recent times1:28.60 | 1:28.21 | 1:21.86

Recent positions1 | 3 | 1

Winning contextOR 65 | weight 9-1

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
06-08-2026	Chepstow \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	1	5/1	65	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
25-07-2026	Lingfield \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	5	2/1F	66	--	--	1.8	--	GREY - no timing read
17-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 4	3	8/1	67	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
15-06-2026	Windsor \| 8f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	3	9/1	67	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
18-05-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 5	1	10/1	65	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
21-03-2026	Newcastle (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	3	5/1	66	64	60	2.2	1:13.71	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Well treated

Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 79.2 and winning TS par is around 43.2. Runner versus par: rating edge +0.8. Benchmark fit: 0.6.

Model agreement 3/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Honky Tonk Girl Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 45.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 45.5 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form1-3-4-9-5

FFR75 / +12lb

Speed--

Franked4

Ground0/1 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt8st 12lb

Rogue Exile Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 27.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 27.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form1-2

FFR78 / +5lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground2/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 8lb

Evie Ross Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 26.8

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 26.8 confidence

Why considerClass benchmark supports the placement

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5-5-9-6-1-9

FFR76 / +2lb

Speed91

Franked15

Ground1/1 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassDown in class

Draw1

Wgt9st 9lb

Von Trotter Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 15.8

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 15.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form1-2-6-7-10-14

FFR68 / +1lb

Speed102

Franked10

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassUp in class

Draw3

Wgt9st 2lb

Name The Day Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 7.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 7.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form4-10-1-9-4

FFR49 / -21lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 5lb

Too Much Trevor Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 2.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 2.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (C)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-7-1-4-4-1

FFR56 / +0lb

Speed100

Franked11

Ground3/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassUp in class

Draw6

Wgt8st 10lb

4:45 | Lingfield (AW)

4:45 | Lingfield (AW) | 7f

Class 6 | Standard | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified Stakes (Div I)

Race Confidence 60 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR46.212 rated runners | Top OR 50: Mademoiselle Belle

Winning par1m 24.85s73 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupPOLYTRACK: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-50 | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Mademoiselle Belle leads the contextual model at 39.2
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Compressed top end: Edergole's Gift close enough to respect
Winning-time par: 1m 24.85s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 12 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Mademoiselle BelleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	37.8	8-9-3-6-2-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 21-07-2026 SalisburyClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 11lb Result8 btn 2.5L SP33/1 JockeyCharlie Tucker OR54 FFR73 SS98 22-06-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 12lb Result9 btn 0.1L SP22/1 JockeyCharlie Tucker OR56 FFR77 SS91 30-05-2026 CatterickClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result3 btn 1.8L SP3/1 JockeyFaye McManoman OR57 FFR48 SS96 09-05-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result6 btn 0.8L SP7/1 JockeyBen Robinson OR58 FFR53 SS100 26-04-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result2 btn 1L SP12/1 JockeyBen Robinson OR57 FFR34 SS102 13-04-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.5L SP12/1 JockeyBen Robinson OR59 FFR23 SS99	9st 4lb	2	OR 50	23	-27lb	74	19.5	+20.4	Standard rest	Big step up	Weak field	--	48%	44%	1/6	99	D	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
2	Edergole's GiftRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	35.8	4-5-9-6-11-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 08-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 0.3L SP9/1 JockeyGeorge Wood OR48 FFR72 SS102 22-07-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 1.2L SP15/2 JockeyDarragh Keenan OR50 FFR73 SS87 25-05-2026 LeicesterClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result9 btn 0.3L SP28/1 JockeyDarragh Keenan OR52 FFR72 SS91 28-04-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result6 btn 1.5L SP14/1 JockeyMason Paetel OR54 FFR34 SS94 14-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result11 btn 0.1L SP20/1 JockeyConnor Planas OR56 FFR50 SS100 28-02-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 1L SP28/1 JockeyJack Gilligan OR57 FFR58 SS108	9st 9lb	8	OR 46	58	+12lb	24	9.4	+2.4	Standard rest	Up in trip	Weak field	--	62%	67%	2/6	108	A	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
3	ZaltallaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	29.8	3-3-2-8-4-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 13-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP13/8F JockeyDavid Probert OR50 FFR62 SS96 22-07-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result3 btn 1L SP3/1 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR47 FFR73 SS95 13-07-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP9/2 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR47 FFR62 SS100 29-01-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result8 btn 1L SP17/2 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR49 FFR64 SS93 10-01-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.2L SP11/4 JockeyNeil Callan OR50 FFR54 SS94 22-12-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 3L SP14/1 JockeyNeil Callan OR52 FFR57 SS92	9st 9lb	10	OR 50	57	+7lb	26	9/4	+17.6	Quick return	Up in trip	Weak field	--	57%	60%	1/6	92	D	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Victory SoundRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	24.8	6-3-3-7-10-15 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 14-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 1lb Result6 btn 3.5L SP8/1 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR51 FFR66 SS43 29-06-2026 Ffos LasClass 5 \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt8st 12lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP9/2 JockeyGina Mangan OR51 FFR74 SS83 01-06-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt8st 5lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP22/1 JockeyBen Ffrench Davis OR52 FFR71 SS84 27-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 1.2L SP25/1 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR55 FFR59 SS90 14-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result10 btn 1L SP40/1 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR60 FFR69 SS100 29-03-2026 DoncasterClass 4 \| 7f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result15 btn 1L SP80/1 JockeyTom Kiely-Marshall OR65 FFR38 SS94	9st 9lb	1	OR 50	38	-12lb	37	5.8	+13.4	Freshened up	Same trip	Weak field	--	52%	51%	0/6	94	B	Stiff -9	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Dora VitaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	15.2	8-3-5-13-6-11 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 03-08-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result8 btn 5.5L SP33/1 JockeyJonny Peate OR46 FFR56 SS91 22-07-2026 LeicesterClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP33/1 JockeyCallum Hutchinson OR46 FFR70 SS93 22-06-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 9lb Result5 btn 3.5L SP40/1 JockeySean D Bowen OR49 FFR20 SS90 25-05-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result13 btn 0.8L SP66/1 JockeySean D Bowen OR52 FFR45 SS91 27-04-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.3L SP40/1 JockeySean D Bowen OR54 FFR54 SS89 14-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result11 btn 1.5L SP25/1 JockeyRobert Havlin OR57 FFR28 SS96	9st 4lb	9	OR 45	28	-17lb	2	33/1	-3.6	Standard rest	Big drop back	Weak field	--	45%	38%	0/6	96	D	Stiff -14	CAUTION PROFILE
6	She's CraftyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	15.0	5-8-2-5-4-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 30-06-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 8lb Result5 btn 2L SP6/1 JockeyAlexandra Egan OR52 FFR71 SS90 26-05-2026 LeicesterClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result8 btn 3.8L SP3/1 JockeyColin Keane OR54 FFR76 SS78 19-05-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 7f \| Good Wgt8st 12lb Result2 btn 6L SP9/1 JockeyMason Paetel OR54 FFR73 SS89 21-04-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 1m \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result5 btn 3.5L SP3/1J JockeyJack Mitchell OR55 FFR48 SS96 13-04-2026 LeicesterClass 6 \| 7f \| Good Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.2L SP33/1 JockeyCallum Shepherd OR55 FFR28 SS97 30-12-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 1m½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.1L SP22/1 JockeyCallum Shepherd OR60 FFR37 SS100	9st 4lb	5	OR 49	37	-12lb	15	10.5	+13.1	Freshened up	Down in trip	Weak field	--	48%	47%	0/6	100	D	Stiff -9	CAUTION PROFILE
7	MauryRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	10.8	7-9-8-4-1-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 07-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 1lb Result7 btn 0.1L SP11/2 JockeyGeorgia Dobie OR47 FFR63 SS91 22-06-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result9 btn 1.8L SP25/1 JockeyKieren Fox OR48 FFR78 SS97 19-05-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result8 btn 7L SP6/1 JockeyKieren Fox OR48 FFR58 SS90 08-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt8st 11lb Result4 btn 0.1L SP18/5 JockeyKieren Fox OR48 FFR24 SS95 25-03-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP17/2 JockeyKieren Fox OR45 FFR22 SS94 04-11-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 1L SP22/1 JockeyGeorgia Dobie OR46 FFR47 SS95	9st 9lb	3	OR 46	47	+1lb	8	13/1	-8.1	Freshened up	Up in trip	Weak field	--	60%	61%	1/6	95	A	Workable +7	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Hold The PressRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	7.8	7-10-11-4-7-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 12-02-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 2L SP40/1 JockeyJude Fernandes OR46 FFR72 SS94 23-09-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result10 btn 1.5L SP25/1 JockeyOliver Carmichael OR47 FFR58 SS87 30-08-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result11 btn 1.5L SP14/1 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR47 FFR74 SS94 12-08-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.1L SP40/1 JockeyOliver Carmichael OR46 FFR65 SS95 12-06-2025 YarmouthClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result7 btn 4.2L SP20/1 JockeyJay Mackay OR45 FFR68 SS98 16-05-2025 NewmarketClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.2L SP100/1 JockeyOlivia Haines OR51 FFR70 SS95	9st 9lb	11	OR 45	70	+25lb	3	30/1	-14.9	Long absence	Same trip	Weak field	--	60%	64%	1/6	95	B	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
9	RaqraaqRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	2.8	5-8-12-3-6-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 13-07-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 1.5L SP11/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR48 FFR70 SS97 29-06-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result8 btn 2.8L SP40/1 JockeyTyrese Cameron OR50 FFR68 SS99 19-05-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result12 btn 6L SP16/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR50 FFR76 SS99 25-03-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.3L SP7/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR50 FFR21 SS96 02-03-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 1m \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result6 btn 2.5L SP18/1 JockeyCharles Bishop OR52 FFR47 SS97 22-12-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.5L SP4/1J JockeyCharles Bishop OR53 FFR50 SS95	9st 9lb	6	OR 46	50	+4lb	84	10/1	-6.1	Freshened up	Down in trip	Weak field	--	55%	58%	1/6	95	D	Well treated +10	CAUTION PROFILE
10	CoiledRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	2.8	7-11-10-11-8-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 05-08-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 0lb Result7 btn 4.5L SP80/1 JockeyMr Harry Rimell OR45 FFR52 SS89 26-07-2026 PontefractClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result11 btn 7.5L SP40/1 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR45 FFR55 SS71 07-07-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result10 btn 1.5L SP40/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR41 FFR21 SS84 29-06-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result11 btn 11L SP40/1 JockeyCallum Hutchinson OR46 FFR23 SS97 23-06-2025 ChepstowClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result8 btn 4.2L SP40/1 JockeyRyan Kavanagh OR45 FFR21 SS80 14-06-2025 LeicesterClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result8 btn 22L SP40/1 JockeyChristian Howarth OR46 FFR25 SS85	9st 9lb	12	OR 36	25	-11lb	27	125/1	-16.1	Standard rest	Up in trip	Weak field	--	42%	42%	0/6	85	E	Stiff -8	CAUTION PROFILE
11	TurpinRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	2.5	3-5-9-5-7-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 28-07-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result3 btn 3L SP11/2 JockeyPat Cosgrave OR49 FFR71 SS76 13-07-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP4/1 JockeyPat Cosgrave OR49 FFR36 SS76 01-07-2026 EpsomClass 5 \| 10f \| Good Wgt8st 7lb Result9 btn 7.5L SP22/1 JockeyConnor Planas OR51 FFR53 SS94 09-06-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 10f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 1.5L SP14/1 JockeyPat Cosgrave OR53 FFR31 SS96 19-05-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result7 btn 3L SP11/2 JockeyPat Cosgrave OR55 FFR57 SS86 30-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 1.2L SP11/1 JockeyPat Cosgrave OR58 FFR53 SS98	9st 9lb	7	OR 48	53	+5lb	6	5/1	+3.4	Standard rest	Down in trip	Weak field	--	52%	48%	0/6	98	E	Well treated +11	CAUTION PROFILE
12	MirafloresRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	-2.8	9-10-4-6-7-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 05-08-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 9lb Result9 btn 7.5L SP100/1 JockeyRyan Kavanagh OR45 FFR60 SS100 21-07-2026 SalisburyClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 0lb Result10 btn 9L SP50/1 JockeyMr Michael Try OR45 FFR69 SS96 25-02-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.3L SP14/1 JockeyRyan Kavanagh OR45 FFR73 SS89 12-02-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.5L SP40/1 JockeyKieran ONeill OR44 FFR71 SS95 19-01-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.8L SP100/1 JockeyKieran ONeill OR46 FFR24 SS96 10-01-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result8 btn 2.5L SP33/1 JockeyKieran ONeill OR45 FFR22 SS96	9st 9lb	4	OR 43	22	-21lb	24	110/1	-21.6	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	42%	38%	0/6	96	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Mademoiselle Belle

Mademoiselle Belle profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Edergole's Gift

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Mademoiselle Belle Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 37.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Best of a weak race 37.8 confidence

Why consider14 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form8-9-3-6-2-9

FFR23 / -27lb

Speed99

Franked74

Ground0/3 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 4lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

8 Salisbury Competitive 21-07-2026

9 Windsor Competitive 22-06-2026

3 Catterick Solid effort 30-05-2026

6 Nottingham Competitive 09-05-2026

2 Nottingham Run faded 26-04-2026

9 Newcastle (AW) Competitive 13-04-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Strong franked form

Proof rating74

7winners since

8placers since

15evidence pts

01-01-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Maynora (GB), Mereside Princess (IRE), Rogue Rebellion (GB)

Race produced winner

Dartrey (IRE), Maynora (GB)

Later placers

Rogue Rebellion (GB) (07-01-2026), Tafah (IRE) (02-06-2026)

08-09-2025 | Ayr Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Golden Havana (IRE), Ishimentor (IRE), Kwidsin (GB)

Race produced winner

Panthere Noir (GB)

Later placers

Bye Law (IRE) (06-05-2026), Golden Havana (IRE) (06-02-2026)

09-06-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Dinamo (IRE), Oasis Diamond (GB), Tamather (GB)

Race produced winner

Guernsey Angel (GB), Mwaki (GB)

Later placers

Dragon Spin (GB) (04-05-2026), Pull The Rug (IRE) (08-06-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR23

Speed99

ConditionsCaution

PlacementCaution

FFR vs OR-27lb below mark

FFR 23 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

99 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score39.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI DHIGH

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -27lb | peak +27lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Today's conditions match 48% Conditions ask questions

Trip / ground 52%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence All-weather Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating48

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 55

Good 3 0W / 2P Peak rating 58

Fast 4 0W / 1P Peak rating 38

All-weather 15 1W / 7P Peak rating 60

Placement evidence 44% Intent unclear

Trip evidence 60%

Class fit 41%

Mark room 4%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 50%

14 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concernCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -27lb | peak +27lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -27lb | peak +27lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 50 | Latest FFR 23 | Best FFR 77 | Public mark read -16

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Max Comley

Jockey Finley Marsh

Age 3

Draw 2

OR 50

Avg OR 46.2

OR vs Field +3.8

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 926398

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Very steady 3.6% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 2.2 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 6f

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile14

DEID

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
26-04-2026	Nottingham	Good	2	1:13.90	73.9
30-05-2026	Catterick	Good To Firm	3	1:13.25	73.2
22-06-2026	Windsor	Good To Firm	9	1:14.08	74.1

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 27% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 28 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.8 trainer RTF quiet at 27%; no recent matched-ground timing evidence; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p

Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP33/1

OwnerThe B Sides Syndicate

Pedigree

Coulsty × Melabelle (Style Vendome)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.5L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
21-07-2026	Salisbury	8	2.5	Neutral finish
22-06-2026	Windsor	9	0.1	Neutral finish
30-05-2026	Catterick	3	1.8	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 2 runs with an official OR.

13-04-2026 | Newcastle (AW)

Rating 48 OR 59

26-04-2026 | Nottingham

Rating 58 OR 57

09-05-2026 | Nottingham

Rating -- OR 58

30-05-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 57

22-06-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 56

21-07-2026 | Salisbury

Rating -- OR 54

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs14

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 24.85s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times1:13.90 | 1:13.25 | 1:14.08

Recent positions2 | 3 | 9

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
21-07-2026	Salisbury \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	8	33/1	54	--	--	2.5	--	GREY - no timing read
22-06-2026	Windsor \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	9	22/1	56	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
30-05-2026	Catterick \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	3	3/1	57	--	--	1.8	--	GREY - no timing read
09-05-2026	Nottingham \| 5f \| Good \| Class 6	6	7/1	58	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read
26-04-2026	Nottingham \| 6f \| Good \| Class 6	2	12/1	57	58	57	1	1:13.90	GOLD - faster than par
13-04-2026	Newcastle (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	9	12/1	59	48	45	0.5	1:12.89	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -27lb | peak +27lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 63.3 and winning TS par is around 45.8. Runner versus par: rating edge -4.3. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Edergole's Gift Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 35.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 35.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form4-5-9-6-11-3

FFR58 / +12lb

Speed108

Franked24

Ground1/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 9lb

Zaltalla Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 29.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Best of a weak race 29.8 confidence

Why consider16 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-3-2-8-4-9

FFR57 / +7lb

Speed92

Franked26

Ground2/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassSame class

Draw10

Wgt9st 9lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

3 Lingfield (AW) Solid effort 13-08-2026

3 Lingfield Solid effort 22-07-2026

2 Lingfield (AW) Solid effort 13-07-2026

8 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 29-01-2026

4 Lingfield (AW) Troubled run 10-01-2026

9 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 22-12-2025

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating26

2winners since

7placers since

12evidence pts

08-12-2025 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Apples Angel (IRE), Ashford Hill (GB), Buttercross Flyer (IRE)

Later placers

Ashford Hill (GB) (06-01-2026)

01-09-2025 | Chelmsford (AW) Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Adace (GB), Triggered (IRE)

Race produced winner

Adace (GB), Rising Force (IRE)

12-08-2025 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 6

Beat named rivals

Mighty Real (GB), Rainbow Sign (GB), Reel Power (GB)

Later placers

First Encounter (GB) (09-09-2025), Kondratiev Wave (IRE) (02-12-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR57

Speed92

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR+7lb ahead of mark

FFR 57 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

92 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score36.5Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI DHIGH

Mark readWell treatedLatest +7lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Today's conditions match 57% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 52%

Class 45%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Class

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs5/6

Best similar rating47

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 4 0W / 1P Peak rating 67

Good 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Fast 6 0W / 1P Peak rating 58

All-weather 19 1W / 6P Peak rating 70

Placement evidence 60% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 60%

Class fit 26%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

16 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concern

Mark read Latest +7lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +7lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 50 | Latest FFR 57 | Best FFR 73 | Public mark read +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Gary & Josh Moore

Jockey Tom Queally

Age 5

Draw 10

OR 50

Avg OR 46.2

OR vs Field +3.8

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form -48233

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Very steady 2.7% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 0.1 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile16

DEID

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
10-01-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	4	1:26.29	86.3
29-01-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	8	1:26.64	86.6
22-07-2026	Lingfield	Good To Firm	3	1:23.44	83.4

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.5 micro score

Trainer RTF 41% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 5 days Quick return

Micro score +0.5 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP13/8F

OwnerGill East

Pedigree

Zelzal × Litianinne (Invincible Spirit)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distanceBeaten favouriteMarket expected more last time

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.5L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
13-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	3	0.3	Neutral finish
22-07-2026	Lingfield	3	1	Neutral finish
13-07-2026	Lingfield (AW)	2	0.3	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 3 runs with an official OR.

22-12-2025 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 33 OR 52

10-01-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 47 OR 50

29-01-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 31 OR 49

13-07-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating -- OR 47

22-07-2026 | Lingfield

Rating -- OR 47

13-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating -- OR 50

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs16

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 24.85s

Last win at trip1:26.01 | Lingfield (AW) | 12-08-2025

Recent times1:26.29 | 1:26.64 | 1:23.44

Recent positions4 | 8 | 3

Winning contextvs par +1.16s | OR 52

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
13-08-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	3	13/8F	50	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
22-07-2026	Lingfield \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	3	3/1	47	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
13-07-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 8f \| Standard \| Class 6	2	9/2	47	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
29-01-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 6	8	17/2	49	31	18	1	1:26.64	AMBER - competitive
10-01-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 6	4	11/4	50	47	38	0.2	1:26.29	AMBER - competitive
22-12-2025	Lingfield (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 6	9	14/1	52	33	17	3	1:26.53	AMBER - competitive

Handicap Well treated

Latest +7lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score -1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 63.3 and winning TS par is around 45.8. Runner versus par: rating edge -9.3. Benchmark fit: -1.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Victory Sound Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 24.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Best of a weak race 24.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form6-3-3-7-10-15

FFR38 / -12lb

Speed94

Franked37

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 9lb

Dora Vita Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 15.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 15.2 confidence

Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form8-3-5-13-6-11

FFR28 / -17lb

Speed96

Franked2

Ground3/3 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassSame class

Draw9

Wgt9st 4lb

She's Crafty Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 15.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 15.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form5-8-2-5-4-7

FFR37 / -12lb

Speed100

Franked15

Ground0/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 4lb

Maury Distance specialist

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 10.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 10.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form7-9-8-4-1-9

FFR47 / +1lb

Speed95

Franked8

Ground2/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 9lb

Hold The Press Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 7.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 7.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form7-10-11-4-7-4

FFR70 / +25lb

Speed95

Franked3

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw11

Wgt9st 9lb

Raqraaq Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 2.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 2.8 confidence

Why consider6 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form5-8-12-3-6-7

FFR50 / +4lb

Speed95

Franked84

Ground3/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 9lb

Coiled Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 2.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 2.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7-11-10-11-8-8

FFR25 / -11lb

Speed85

Franked27

Ground0/2 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassSame class

Draw12

Wgt9st 9lb

Turpin Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 2.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 2.5 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +11lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3-5-9-5-7-5

FFR53 / +5lb

Speed98

Franked6

Ground1/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 9lb

Miraflores Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only -2.8 confidence

Why consider10 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form9-10-4-6-7-8

FFR22 / -21lb

Speed96

Franked24

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 9lb

5:00 | Chepstow

5:00 | Chepstow | 6f

Class 6 | Good To Firm | Saxon Automobiles Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 59 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR58.610 rated runners | Top OR 64: Le Beau Garcon

Winning par1m 10.57s10 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupGOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick: 7.8)

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-65 | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Calafrio leads the contextual model at 38.2
Decision type: Watch only - Needs more proof
Winning-time par: 1m 10.57s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 10 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	CalafrioRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	52.5	1-5-5-1-9-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 29-07-2026 LeicesterClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result1 SP2/1 JockeyBenoit de la Sayette OR58 FFR76 SS93 03-01-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result5 btn 1L SP13/8F JockeyOisin Murphy OR59 FFR70 SS97 27-11-2025 Chelmsford (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.1L SPEvensF JockeyNeil Callan OR59 FFR86 SS98 05-11-2025 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result1 SP17/2 JockeyNeil Callan OR53 FFR72 SS108 02-07-2025 ThirskClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.1L SP11/4F JockeyOisin Murphy OR54 FFR75 SS96 19-06-2025 WetherbyClass 6 \| 5½f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.3L SP100/30 JockeyRhys Elliott OR55 FFR67 SS97	9st 8lb	9	OR 63	67	+4lb	46	6.2	+8	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	64%	67%	1/6	97	B	Well treated +10	PRICE DEPENDENT
2	Connie's RoseRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleContext over ratings	48.8	4-4-4-2-7-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 31-07-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 3L SP5/2 JockeyWilliam Carson OR65 FFR63 SS86 16-07-2026 ChepstowClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result4 btn 1L SP7/2 JockeyKieran O'Neill OR66 FFR57 SS98 30-06-2026 SalisburyClass 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 2.5L SP11/2 JockeyRay Dawson OR66 FFR73 SS106 15-06-2026 ChepstowClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP11/2 JockeyWilliam Carson OR65 FFR59 SS91 06-06-2026 ChepstowClass 4 \| 7f \| Soft Wgt8st 8lb Result7 btn 0.5L SP11/2 JockeySaffie Osborne OR65 FFR68 SS86 29-05-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP9/2 JockeyRossa Ryan OR63 FFR48 SS95	9st 8lb	7	OR 63	48	-15lb	20	17/2	-4.5	Standard rest	Down in trip	Modest field	--	57%	61%	2/6	95	B	Stiff -12	CAUTION PROFILE
3	BenaventeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	45.8	1-8-3-2-4-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 27-03-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP10/1 JockeyJulian Pietropaolo OR71 FFR73 SS93 20-03-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result8 btn 2.8L SP20/1 JockeyColin Keane OR72 FFR82 SS100 13-03-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m2½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 2L SP4/1 JockeyReese Holohan OR72 FFR84 SS95 27-02-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.3L SP8/1 JockeyJulian Pietropaolo OR69 FFR73 SS93 20-02-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 2.5L SP10/1 JockeyColin Keane OR70 FFR70 SS89 13-02-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.3L SP10/1 JockeyReese Holohan OR72 FFR85 SS96	9st 4lb	1	OR 59	85	+26lb	30	9.8	+19.5	Long absence	Down in trip	Modest field	--	56%	68%	2/6	96	E	Well treated +12	PRICE DEPENDENT
4	Zoulu WarriorRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleContext over ratings	45.8	7-14-7-4-1-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 16-07-2026 ChepstowClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result7 btn 2.8L SP9/1 JockeySaffie Osborne OR66 FFR79 SS94 19-06-2026 Newmarket (July)Class 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 0lb Result14 btn 2.2L SP28/1 JockeyHarry Vigors OR68 FFR84 SS98 20-02-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 1.2L SP10/1 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR69 FFR77 SS96 19-01-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.8L SP9/4F JockeyBilly Loughnane OR69 FFR74 SS104 27-12-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP11/4F JockeyBilly Loughnane OR65 FFR28 SS100 18-12-2025 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP7/2F JockeySaffie Osborne OR63 FFR50 SS94	9st 8lb	10	OR 63	50	-13lb	51	22/1	-9.7	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	55%	61%	2/6	94	B	Stiff -10	CAUTION PROFILE
5	ArnazRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	39.5	1-8-7-8-7-12 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 09-08-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result1 SP9/1 JockeyHope Regan OR54 FFR50 SS92 01-08-2026 DoncasterClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result8 btn 3.2L SP7/1 JockeyOisin Orr OR56 FFR74 SS97 30-06-2026 Ffos LasClass 6 \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt9st 11lb Result7 btn 1.2L SP18/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR59 FFR25 SS90 19-05-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result8 btn 2.5L SP18/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR62 FFR44 SS98 08-04-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.5L SP14/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR64 FFR43 SS72 20-02-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result12 btn 20L SP33/1 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR66 FFR66 SS101	8st 13lb	8	OR 54	66	+12lb	22	9/4	+13.3	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	60%	70%	2/6	101	D	Well treated +12	PRICE DEPENDENT
6	Savannah SmilesRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	34.8	6-2-1-3-2-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 24-07-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result6 btn 0.3L SP7/2 JockeyHarry Vigors OR65 FFR64 SS95 16-07-2026 ChepstowClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 13lb Result2 btn 2L SP13/8F JockeyAshley Lewis OR65 FFR67 SS86 27-06-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result1 SP2/1F JockeyHarry Vigors OR61 FFR66 SS94 15-06-2026 ChepstowClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result3 btn 1.8L SP12/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR62 FFR67 SS88 05-06-2026 BathClass 5 \| 5.5f \| Good Wgt8st 7lb Result2 btn 2L SP28/1 JockeyAshley Lewis OR62 FFR69 SS95 29-04-2026 BathClass 5 \| 5½f \| Firm Wgt-- Result6 btn 5L SP18/1 JockeyRossa Ryan OR64 FFR48 SS94	9st 9lb	5	OR 64	48	-16lb	34	9/1	+14.5	Standard rest	Up in trip	Modest field	--	54%	56%	2/6	94	A	Stiff -13	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Some NightmareRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	32.8	3-7-3-3-4-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 09-08-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 12lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP13/2 JockeyJude Fernandes OR49 FFR46 SS94 31-07-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result7 btn 0.3L SP100/30 JockeyWilliam Carson OR50 FFR62 SS96 16-07-2026 ChepstowClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 5lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP16/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR50 FFR58 SS97 27-06-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP5/2 JockeyWilliam Carson OR51 FFR69 SS98 15-06-2026 ChepstowClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt8st 1lb Result4 btn 0.2L SP18/1 JockeyMyla Coppins OR52 FFR54 SS97 06-06-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 5f \| Soft Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 1.2L SP9/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR53 FFR54 SS102	8st 8lb	6	OR 49	54	+5lb	38	10/1	-8.6	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	59%	62%	1/6	102	B	Well treated +11	CAUTION PROFILE
8	VapeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	16.0	6-4-10-11-2-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 16-07-2026 ChepstowClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 8lb Result6 btn 0.2L SP50/1 JockeyCharlie Tucker OR60 FFR80 SS97 17-06-2026 Ffos LasClass 6 \| 5f \| Soft Wgt9st 5lb Result4 btn 4.5L SP28/1 JockeyCharlie Tucker OR61 FFR72 SS95 29-05-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 13lb Result10 btn 4L SP28/1 JockeyCharlie Tucker OR62 FFR53 SS92 20-09-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result11 btn 4.5L SP8/1 JockeyCharlie Tucker OR63 FFR20 SS99 02-09-2025 ChepstowClass 5 \| 6f \| Soft Wgt-- Result2 btn 2.2L SP9/2 JockeyCharlie Tucker OR63 FFR31 SS84 19-08-2025 ChepstowClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result1 SP9/4 JockeyCharlie Tucker OR59 FFR56 SS84	9st 2lb	4	OR 57	56	-1lb	54	20/1	-17.7	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	56%	66%	2/6	84	B	Near mark +2	CAUTION PROFILE
9	Le Beau GarconRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	14.8	6-9-10-5-4-11 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 05-08-2026 PontefractClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 11lb Result6 btn 0.1L SP12/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR67 FFR60 SS99 28-07-2026 BeverleyClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 13lb Result9 btn 0.5L SP8/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR67 FFR62 SS95 16-06-2026 ThirskClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result10 btn 0.5L SP11/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR72 FFR50 SS90 11-06-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 2.8L SP7/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR72 FFR39 SS92 08-05-2026 RiponClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 0.2L SP10/1 JockeyLewis Chalkley OR74 FFR51 SS110 29-09-2025 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result11 btn 3.5L SP16/1 JockeyBilly Garritty OR75 FFR53 SS91	9st 9lb	3	OR 64	53	-11lb	15	12/1	-14.5	Standard rest	Up in trip	Modest field	--	44%	52%	2/6	91	E	Stiff -8	CAUTION PROFILE
10	MarisittaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.8	2-5-1-6-5-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 09-08-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result2 btn 2.2L SP11/2 JockeyAlexandra Egan OR50 FFR70 SS97 14-07-2026 LeicesterClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP4/1F JockeyWilliam Carson OR50 FFR71 SS98 27-06-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result1 SP18/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR45 FFR42 SS90 06-06-2026 ChepstowClass 6 \| 8f \| Soft Wgt8st 9lb Result6 btn 0.8L SP9/1 JockeyTaryn Langley OR46 FFR65 SS90 17-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 1m1½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 2.2L SP18/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR42 FFR57 SS97 23-02-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 2.2L SP50/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR46 FFR57 SS96	8st 9lb	2	OR 50	57	+7lb	27	9/1	-0.6	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	55%	62%	0/6	96	C	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Calafrio

Calafrio profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 1/6. Draw data adds a small confidence boost. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Connie's Rose

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Calafrio Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 52.5

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Watch only 52.5 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Form1-5-5-1-9-6

FFR67 / +4lb

Speed97

Franked46

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw9

Wgt9st 8lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Leicester Strong run 29-07-2026

5 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 03-01-2026

5 Chelmsford (AW) Run faded 27-11-2025

1 Kempton (AW) Finished well 05-11-2025

9 Thirsk Run faded 02-07-2025

6 Wetherby Troubled run 19-06-2025

Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating46

4winners since

9placers since

15evidence pts

01-03-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Addarella (IRE), Bint Havana Gold (GB), Griselda (IRE)

Later placers

Addarella (IRE) (03-07-2026), Bint Havana Gold (GB) (05-06-2026)

04-12-2025 | Thirsk Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Arlington (GB), Athollblair Boy (IRE), Azucena (IRE)

Race produced winner

Arlington (GB), Emerald Army (IRE)

Later placers

Canaria Queen (GB) (05-12-2025), Masterclass (GB) (08-12-2025)

06-07-2025 | Doncaster Finished 6

Beat named rivals

Little Muddy (GB), Sir Benedict (IRE), Woodleigh (IRE)

Race produced winner

Beaumadier (IRE), Ishe Worth Agamble (GB)

Later placers

Papa Dont Preach (IRE) (03-08-2025), Wrath Of Hector (GB) (10-08-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement1/6

FFR67

Speed97

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+4lb near mark

FFR 67 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

97 Par 100

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score38.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BHIGH

Mark readWell treatedLatest +4lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +10lb

Today's conditions match 64% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 58%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Class

Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating57

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 5 0W / 1P Peak rating 57

Good 5 0W / 1P Peak rating 52

Fast 5 2W / 3P Peak rating 63

All-weather 11 1W / 3P Peak rating 65

Placement evidence 67% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 48%

Mark room 82%

Stable setup 70%

Recent evidence 42%

Proven trip profile (B)19 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +10lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Mark read Latest +4lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +10lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +4lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +10lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 63 | Latest FFR 67 | Best FFR 86 | Public mark read +10

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer George Baker

Jockey Benoit de la Sayette

Age 5

Draw 9

OR 63

Avg OR 58.6

OR vs Field +4.4

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 915-51

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +2.5

Variance Very steady 4.8% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 8.2 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile19

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
27-11-2025	Chelmsford (AW)	Standard	5	1:12.60	72.6
03-01-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard To Slow	5	1:12.30	72.3
29-07-2026	Leicester	Good To Firm	1	1:13.59	73.6

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 46% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 20 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: tp; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgeartpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP2/1

OwnerThe Invisible Man Partnership

Pedigree

Le Brivido × Fire Orchid (Lethal Force)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.4L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
29-07-2026	Leicester	1	0	Neutral finish
03-01-2026	Lingfield (AW)	5	1	Run faded
27-11-2025	Chelmsford (AW)	5	0.1	Run faded

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 5 runs with an official OR.

19-06-2025 | Wetherby

Rating 57 OR 55

02-07-2025 | Thirsk

Rating 46 OR 54

05-11-2025 | Kempton (AW)

Rating 65 OR 53

27-11-2025 | Chelmsford (AW)

Rating 57 OR 59

03-01-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 55 OR 59

29-07-2026 | Leicester

Rating -- OR 58

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs19

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 10.57s

Last win at trip-- | Leicester | 29-07-2026

Recent times1:12.60 | 1:12.30 | 1:13.59

Recent positions5 | 5 | 1

Winning contextOR 58 | weight 9-9

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
29-07-2026	Leicester \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	1	2/1	58	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
03-01-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 6f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 5	5	13/8F	59	55	36	1	1:12.19	AMBER - competitive
27-11-2025	Chelmsford (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	5	EvensF	59	57	51	0.1	1:12.60	GREY - below benchmark
05-11-2025	Kempton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 6	1	17/2	53	65	53	0	1:11.28	AMBER - competitive
02-07-2025	Thirsk \| 6f \| Good \| Class 6	9	11/4F	54	46	44	0.1	1:11.77	AMBER - competitive
19-06-2025	Wetherby \| 5½f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	6	100/30	55	57	50	0.3	1:5.82	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Well treated

Latest +4lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +10lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 64 and winning TS par is around 45.9. Runner versus par: rating edge -1.0. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Connie's Rose Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 48.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Context over ratings 48.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form4-4-4-2-7-2

FFR48 / -15lb

Speed95

Franked20

Ground1/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 8lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

4 Bath Competitive 31-07-2026

4 Chepstow Competitive 16-07-2026

4 Salisbury Competitive 30-06-2026

2 Chepstow Solid effort 15-06-2026

7 Chepstow Run faded 06-06-2026

2 Chepstow Solid effort 29-05-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating20

5winners since

3placers since

10evidence pts

06-06-2026 | Chepstow Finished 7

Beat named rivals

Bela Sonata (GB), Racingbreaks Ryder (IRE), Receipt (GB)

10-09-2025 | Bath Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Emporess (IRE), Moes Legacy (GB), Papabella (GB)

Later placers

Kiss And Run (GB) (06-12-2025), Toolatetonegotiate (GB) (05-04-2026)

08-05-2025 | Newbury Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Alondra (GB), Bang On The Bell (GB), Dapperling (IRE)

Race produced winner

Aces Wild (IRE), Alondra (GB)

Later placers

Bang On The Bell (GB) (05-10-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR48

Speed95

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-15lb below mark

FFR 48 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

95 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeContext over ratingsThe raw rating/mark view is a caution, but other layers such as field edge, recent form, benchmark or memory keep it interesting.

Model score25.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BHIGH

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -15lb | peak +10lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb

Today's conditions match 57% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 62%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 58%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence Fast Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs4/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandGood

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 24 4W / 10P Peak rating 79

Good 16 2W / 10P Peak rating 83

Fast 20 2W / 11P Peak rating 80

All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Placement evidence 61% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 75%

Mark room 16%

Stable setup 70%

Recent evidence 50%

Proven trip profile (B)20 similar-trip runs recordedClass benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -15lb | peak +10lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -15lb | peak +10lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 63 | Latest FFR 48 | Best FFR 73 | Public mark read -12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Grace Harris

Jockey Rossa Ryan

Age 7

Draw 7

OR 63

Avg OR 58.6

OR vs Field +4.4

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 272444

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Reliable 7.6% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 6.1 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile20

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
02-09-2025	Chepstow	Soft	1	1:15.88	75.9
22-09-2025	Leicester	Good To Soft	8	1:12.77	72.8
16-07-2026	Chepstow	Good To Firm	4	1:9.44	69.4

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 41% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 18 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: tp; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgeartpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP5/2

OwnerPaul Ann De Weck

Pedigree

Adaay × Sing So Sweetly (Harbour Watch)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.2L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
31-07-2026	Bath	4	3	Neutral finish
16-07-2026	Chepstow	4	1	Neutral finish
30-06-2026	Salisbury	4	2.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

29-05-2026 | Chepstow

Rating -- OR 63

06-06-2026 | Chepstow

Rating -- OR 65

15-06-2026 | Chepstow

Rating -- OR 65

30-06-2026 | Salisbury

Rating -- OR 66

16-07-2026 | Chepstow

Rating -- OR 66

31-07-2026 | Bath

Rating -- OR 65

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs20

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 10.57s

Last win at trip1:15.88 | Chepstow | 02-09-2025

Recent times1:15.88 | 1:12.77 | 1:9.44

Recent positions1 | 8 | 4

Winning contextvs par +5.31s | OR 65

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
31-07-2026	Bath \| 5.5f \| Firm \| Class 6	4	5/2	65	--	--	3	--	GREY - no timing read
16-07-2026	Chepstow \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	4	7/2	66	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
30-06-2026	Salisbury \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	4	11/2	66	--	--	2.5	--	GREY - no timing read
15-06-2026	Chepstow \| 5f \| Good \| Class 5	2	11/2	65	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
06-06-2026	Chepstow \| 7f \| Soft \| Class 4	7	11/2	65	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
29-05-2026	Chepstow \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	2	9/2	63	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -15lb | peak +10lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 64 and winning TS par is around 45.9. Runner versus par: rating edge +5.0. Benchmark fit: 2.5.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Benavente Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 45.8

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 45.8 confidence

Why considerClass benchmark supports the placement

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form1-8-3-2-4-6

FFR85 / +26lb

Speed96

Franked30

Ground1/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw1

Wgt9st 4lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Dundalk (AW) Finished well 27-03-2026

8 Dundalk (AW) Run faded 20-03-2026

3 Dundalk (AW) Run faded 13-03-2026

2 Dundalk (AW) Strong run 27-02-2026

4 Dundalk (AW) Competitive 20-02-2026

6 Dundalk (AW) Run faded 13-02-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating30

3winners since

1placers since

11evidence pts

11-12-2025 | Dundalk (AW) Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Albion Power (IRE), Brosna Green (IRE), Georg Zhukov (IRE)

Later placers

Rock Etoile (IRE) (06-01-2026)

12-10-2025 | Dundalk (AW) Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Carslake (GB), Fleetfootsoldier (IRE), Joy Pain And Sky (IRE)

Race produced winner

Porsche Lad (IRE), Timandi (IRE)

01-10-2025 | Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Finished 6

Beat named rivals

Duplantis (IRE), Is That Love (IRE), Ivasecret (IRE)

Race produced winner

Shoot To Kill (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement2/6

FFR85

Speed96

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+26lb ahead of mark

FFR 85 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

96 Par 100

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score49.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI ELOW

Mark readWell treatedLatest +26lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Today's conditions match 56% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 38%

Class 71%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 34%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Track / draw

Ground evidence Fast No recent fast sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs0/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read No recent fast sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 53

Good 9 0W / 0P Peak rating 85

Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 38 5W / 15P Peak rating 93

Placement evidence 68% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 24%

Class fit 93%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 58%

Recent evidence 76%

Class benchmark supports the placementConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueTrip evidence still asks questions

Mark read Latest +26lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +26lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 59 | Latest FFR 85 | Best FFR 85 | Public mark read +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Gary Brown

Jockey Nicola Currie

Age 8

Draw 1

OR 59

Avg OR 58.6

OR vs Field +0.4

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 642381

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Very steady 3.7% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 0 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile3

DEIE

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
08-06-2020	Naas (IRE)	Good To Firm	7	1:12.26	72.3
16-10-2022	Naas (IRE)	Soft	14	1:16.84	76.8
09-12-2022	Dundalk (AW) (IRE)	Standard	7	1:13.43	73.4

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.5 micro score

Trainer RTF 30% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 144 days Freshness caution

Micro score -0.5 trainer RTF quiet at 30%

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP10/1

OwnerTmc Services Limited

Pedigree

Twilight Son × Galapagar (Miswaki)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.6L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
27-03-2026	Dundalk (AW)	1	0	Fast finish
20-03-2026	Dundalk (AW)	8	2.8	Run faded
13-03-2026	Dundalk (AW)	3	2	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 3 of 6 runs with an official OR.

13-02-2026 | Dundalk (AW)

Rating 68 OR 72

20-02-2026 | Dundalk (AW)

Rating 71 OR 70

27-02-2026 | Dundalk (AW)

Rating 75 OR 69

13-03-2026 | Dundalk (AW)

Rating 67 OR 72

20-03-2026 | Dundalk (AW)

Rating 65 OR 72

27-03-2026 | Dundalk (AW)

Rating 80 OR 71

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs3

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par1m 10.57s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times1:12.26 | 1:16.84 | 1:13.43

Recent positions7 | 14 | 7

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
27-03-2026	Dundalk (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| --	1	10/1	71	80	51	0	1:27.80	GREY - below benchmark
20-03-2026	Dundalk (AW) \| 1m4f \| Standard \| --	8	20/1	72	65	--	2.8	2:40.44	GREY - below benchmark
13-03-2026	Dundalk (AW) \| 1m2½f \| Standard \| --	3	4/1	72	67	24	2	2:20.07	GREY - below benchmark
27-02-2026	Dundalk (AW) \| 1m4f \| Standard \| --	2	8/1	69	75	36	0.3	2:37.94	GREY - below benchmark
20-02-2026	Dundalk (AW) \| 1m4f \| Standard \| --	4	10/1	70	71	40	2.5	2:35.87	GREY - below benchmark
13-02-2026	Dundalk (AW) \| 1m \| Standard \| --	6	10/1	72	68	15	0.3	1:41.80	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Well treated

Latest +26lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 4

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 64 and winning TS par is around 45.9. Runner versus par: rating edge +13.0. Benchmark fit: 4.2.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Zoulu Warrior Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 45.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Context over ratings 45.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form7-14-7-4-1-1

FFR50 / -13lb

Speed94

Franked51

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassDown in class

Draw10

Wgt9st 8lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

7 Chepstow Competitive 16-07-2026

14 Newmarket (July) Competitive 19-06-2026

7 Southwell (AW) Run faded 20-02-2026

4 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 19-01-2026

1 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 27-12-2025

1 Southwell (AW) Strong run 18-12-2025

Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating51

4winners since

9placers since

15evidence pts

12-08-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Buraback (IRE), Cali Case (GB), Crocodile Power (IRE)

Race produced winner

Sioux Warrior (IRE)

Later placers

Buraback (IRE) (03-11-2025), Crocodile Power (IRE) (09-09-2025)

09-08-2025 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 8

Beat named rivals

Cash In (GB), Fumbleinthejungle (GB), Project Black (GB)

Race produced winner

Startling (GB)

Later placers

Desert Master (GB) (06-06-2026), Masterclass (GB) (08-12-2025)

11-04-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Good Earth (IRE), Lucky Man (IRE), Pickering Castle (GB)

Race produced winner

Lucky Man (IRE), Simply Blue (GB)

Later placers

Good Earth (IRE) (10-11-2025), Pickering Castle (GB) (06-07-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR50

Speed94

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-13lb below mark

FFR 50 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

94 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeContext over ratingsThe raw rating/mark view is a caution, but other layers such as field edge, recent form, benchmark or memory keep it interesting.

Model score20.6Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BHIGH

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -13lb | peak +21lb treated as ceiling | public read -10lb

Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 54%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 58%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence Fast Has experience, but limited strong evidence

TodayGood To Firm

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Has experience, but limited strong evidence Today Fast

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 4 1W / 1P Peak rating 63

Fast 2 0W / 1P Peak rating 69

All-weather 10 2W / 4P Peak rating 74

Placement evidence 61% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 59%

Mark room 22%

Stable setup 70%

Recent evidence 58%

Proven trip profile (B)11 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -13lb | peak +21lb treated as ceiling | public read -10lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -13lb | peak +21lb treated as ceiling | public read -10lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 63 | Latest FFR 50 | Best FFR 84 | Public mark read -10

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Heather Main

Jockey Lewis Edmunds

Age 4

Draw 10

OR 63

Avg OR 58.6

OR vs Field +4.4

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 1-4707

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Very steady 3.5% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 3.8 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile11

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
20-02-2026	Southwell (AW)	Standard	7	1:15.91	75.9
19-06-2026	Newmarket (July)	Good	14	1:13.95	74
16-07-2026	Chepstow	Good To Firm	7	1:10.44	70.4

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 28% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 33 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.2 trainer RTF quiet at 28%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP9/1

OwnerLlewelyn Runeckles And Wetumpka Racing

Pedigree

Zoustar × Serendipitously (Kodiac)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course winHas won at this courseDistance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.1L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
16-07-2026	Chepstow	7	2.8	Neutral finish
19-06-2026	Newmarket (July)	14	2.2	Neutral finish
20-02-2026	Southwell (AW)	7	1.2	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 4 runs with an official OR.

18-12-2025 | Southwell (AW)

Rating 70 OR 63

27-12-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 74 OR 65

19-01-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 68 OR 69

20-02-2026 | Southwell (AW)

Rating 64 OR 69

19-06-2026 | Newmarket (July)

Rating -- OR 68

16-07-2026 | Chepstow

Rating -- OR 66

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs11

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 10.57s

Last win at trip1:13.23 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 27-12-2025

Recent times1:15.91 | 1:13.95 | 1:10.44

Recent positions7 | 14 | 7

Winning contextvs par +2.66s | OR 65

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
16-07-2026	Chepstow \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	7	9/1	66	--	--	2.8	--	GREY - no timing read
19-06-2026	Newmarket (July) \| 6f \| Good \| Class 5	14	28/1	68	--	--	2.2	--	GREY - no timing read
20-02-2026	Southwell (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	7	10/1	69	64	31	1.2	1:15.76	GREY - below benchmark
19-01-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	4	9/4F	69	68	45	0.8	1:13.81	GREY - below benchmark
27-12-2025	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	1	11/4F	65	74	64	0	1:13.23	GREY - below benchmark
18-12-2025	Southwell (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	1	7/2F	63	70	40	0	1:15.55	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -13lb | peak +21lb treated as ceiling | public read -10lb.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 64 and winning TS par is around 45.9. Runner versus par: rating edge +2.0. Benchmark fit: 0.8.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Arnaz Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 39.5

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Best of a weak race 39.5 confidence

Why consider14 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form1-8-7-8-7-12

FFR66 / +12lb

Speed101

Franked22

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt8st 13lb

Savannah Smiles Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 34.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Best of a weak race 34.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form6-2-1-3-2-6

FFR48 / -16lb

Speed94

Franked34

Ground3/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 9lb

Some Nightmare Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 32.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Watch only 32.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-7-3-3-4-5

FFR54 / +5lb

Speed102

Franked38

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt8st 8lb

Vape Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 16.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Watch only 16.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form6-4-10-11-2-1

FFR56 / -1lb

Speed84

Franked54

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassDown in class

Draw4

Wgt9st 2lb

Le Beau Garcon Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 14.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 14.8 confidence

Why considerClass benchmark supports the placement

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6-9-10-5-4-11

FFR53 / -11lb

Speed91

Franked15

Ground1/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassDown in class

Draw3

Wgt9st 9lb

Marisitta Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 8.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 8.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (C)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-5-1-6-5-7

FFR57 / +7lb

Speed96

Franked27

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt8st 9lb

5:10 | Roscommon

5:10 | Roscommon | 10.5f

| Good | QuinnBet Apprentice Optional Claiming Race

Race Confidence 64 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR66.411 rated runners | Top OR 73: Kashel Spring

Winning par2m 14.42s432 race distance-only sample | approximate

SetupGOOD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Forlio leads the contextual model at 36.8
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Moderate edge over next best: +4.0
Winning-time par: 2m 14.42s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 11 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	ForlioRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	55.0	11-18-1-4-3-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 08-08-2026 Kilbeggan (IRE)-- \| 19f \| Good Wgt11st 12lb Result11 btn 55L SP18/1 JockeyKeith Donoghue OR-- FFR80 SS112 29-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 16.5f \| Yielding Wgt9st 0lb Result18 btn 3.5L SP25/1 JockeyReese Holohan OR73 FFR88 SS100 07-07-2026 Tramore-- \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 10lb Result1 SP5/1 JockeyColin Keane OR62 FFR71 SS87 24-06-2026 Naas (IRE)-- \| 11f \| Good Wgt8st 13lb Result4 btn 0.2L SP20/1 JockeySadhbh Tormey OR62 FFR81 SS90 06-06-2026 Punchestown (IRE)-- \| 19f \| Good To Yielding Wgt11st 5lb Result3 btn 18L SP80/1 JockeyBenjamin P Kennedy OR-- FFR32 SS95 30-05-2026 Listowel (IRE)-- \| 16.5f \| Good Wgt11st 12lb Result10 btn 1.2L SP80/1 JockeyKevin Sexton OR-- FFR67 SS94	9st 0lb	1	OR 72	67	-5lb	22	8.4	+12.5	Standard rest	Big drop back	Modest field	--	53%	56%	1/6	94	C	Near mark -2	CAUTION PROFILE
2	LoingseoirRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	52.8	3-4-6-4-4-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 28-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 8.5f \| Yielding Wgt9st 7lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP11/1 JockeyJack Cleary OR68 FFR73 SS92 20-07-2026 Ballinrobe (IRE)-- \| 9.5f \| Good To Yielding Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 0.5L SP10/1 JockeyJack Cleary OR69 FFR63 SS105 08-07-2026 Fairyhouse-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result6 btn 4L SP16/1 JockeyJack Cleary OR70 FFR70 SS100 11-06-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Soft Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 0.1L SP12/1 JockeyJack Cleary OR70 FFR57 SS96 04-06-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Soft Wgt8st 3lb Result4 btn 3.8L SP14/1 JockeyE E Ryan OR70 FFR67 SS97 25-04-2026 Limerick-- \| 1m \| Yielding Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.2L SP14/1 JockeyHugh Horgan OR73 FFR73 SS93	10st 2lb	3	OR 69	73	+4lb	19	11/1	+8.5	Standard rest	Big step up	Modest field	--	59%	59%	1/6	93	B	Workable +4	CAUTION PROFILE
3	DarkdeserthighwayRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	24.8	2-6-8-10-3-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 06-08-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 9f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result2 btn 0.2L SP9/2F JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR62 FFR83 SS93 03-08-2026 Naas (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result6 btn 0.1L SP33/1 JockeyJamie Powell OR62 FFR82 SS99 15-07-2026 Killarney (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt10st 2lb Result8 btn 1.5L SP22/1 JockeyJamie Powell OR64 FFR40 SS101 03-07-2026 Bellewstown (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 10lb Result10 btn 1.8L SP14/1 JockeyColin Keane OR66 FFR58 SS104 13-03-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.5L SP4/1 JockeyColin Keane OR72 FFR71 SS99 16-01-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.3L SP8/1 JockeyLeigh Roche OR73 FFR78 SS96	10st 2lb	6	OR 68	78	+10lb	36	9/2	+5.5	Standard rest	Up in trip	Modest field	--	53%	58%	1/6	96	E	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Bucaneer's SpiritRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	24.0	4-9-2-4-3-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 28-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 8.5f \| Yielding Wgt9st 6lb Result4 btn 0.8L SP14/1 JockeySam Coen OR67 FFR69 SS102 20-07-2026 Ballinrobe (IRE)-- \| 9.5f \| Good To Yielding Wgt9st 8lb Result9 btn 1L SP8/1 JockeySam Coen OR68 FFR75 SS99 03-07-2026 Bellewstown (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 10lb Result2 btn 1.8L SP9/2F JockeyGary Carroll OR66 FFR65 SS93 18-06-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 10lb Result4 btn 1.8L SP8/1 JockeyAdam Caffrey OR66 FFR75 SS90 10-06-2026 Limerick (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Yielding Wgt9st 8lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP7/1 JockeyGary Carroll OR64 FFR57 SS88 18-05-2026 Roscommon (IRE)-- \| 7.5f \| Good To Yielding Wgt9st 5lb Result3 btn 0.8L SP9/2 JockeySam Coen OR66 FFR70 SS100	9st 9lb	4	OR 67	70	+3lb	47	11/2	+6.5	Standard rest	Big step up	Modest field	--	53%	50%	1/6	100	E	Well treated +8	CAUTION PROFILE
5	HexagonalRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	19.8	7-13-1-11-6-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 07-08-2026 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result7 btn 1L SP11/1 JockeyReese Holohan OR69 FFR55 SS87 31-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 14f \| Yielding To Soft Wgt9st 6lb Result13 btn 19L SP16/1 JockeyReese Holohan OR69 FFR66 SS88 25-07-2026 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 9.5f \| Good Wgt9st 11lb Result1 SP10/1 JockeyReese Holohan OR59 FFR41 SS99 14-07-2026 Killarney (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 5lb Result11 btn 2L SP6/1 JockeyChris Hayes OR61 FFR81 SS94 03-07-2026 Bellewstown (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result6 btn 0.8L SP9/2 JockeyKeithen Kennedy OR63 FFR34 SS91 18-06-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result9 btn 0.3L SP10/1 JockeyJ M Sheridan OR64 FFR58 SS97	9st 2lb	2	OR 68	58	-10lb	9	18	-4.5	Standard rest	Big step up	Modest field	--	43%	38%	0/6	97	E	Stiff -7	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Concert PartyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	17.8	13-5-9-9-7-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 05-08-2026 Sligo (IRE)-- \| 10.5f \| Yielding Wgt9st 8lb Result13 btn 2.8L SP14/1 JockeyJ M Sheridan OR71 FFR68 SS89 20-07-2026 Ballinrobe (IRE)-- \| 9.5f \| Good To Yielding Wgt9st 3lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP20/1 JockeyAlan Casey OR75 FFR93 SS87 14-07-2026 Killarney (IRE)-- \| 11.5f \| Good Wgt8st 7lb Result9 btn 3.8L SP80/1 JockeyMel Sheridan OR77 FFR75 SS95 18-04-2026 Bellewstown-- \| 2m1f \| Yielding Wgt-- Result9 btn 1.8L SP15/2 JockeyDaniel King OR98 FFR45 SS79 02-04-2026 Clonmel-- \| 2m \| Soft Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.1L SP20/1 JockeyDaniel King OR99 FFR59 SS110 29-01-2026 Thurles-- \| 2m \| Heavy Wgt-- Result9 btn 1.2L SP150/1 JockeyPhilip Donovan OR-- FFR34 SS78	9st 1lb	9	OR 64	34	-30lb	25	50/1	-6.5	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	49%	44%	1/6	78	C	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Kashel SpringRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	16.8	6-5-10-13-11-15 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 20-07-2026 Ballinrobe (IRE)-- \| 9.5f \| Good To Yielding Wgt9st 10lb Result6 btn 2.8L SP11/2 JockeyJ M Sheridan OR77 FFR70 SS103 07-07-2026 Tramore-- \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 11lb Result5 btn 1.2L SP80/1 JockeyAlan Casey OR79 FFR51 SS93 31-03-2026 Limerick-- \| 2m \| Soft Wgt-- Result10 btn 2.8L SP66/1 JockeyD G Hogan OR-- FFR48 SS84 07-03-2026 Gowran Park-- \| 2m \| Heavy Wgt-- Result13 btn 0.5L SP200/1 JockeyD G Hogan OR-- FFR67 SS46 25-01-2026 Naas-- \| 2m \| Heavy Wgt-- Result11 btn 2.8L SP200/1 JockeyPhilip Donovan OR-- FFR64 SS41 27-12-2025 Leopardstown-- \| 2m \| Yielding Wgt-- Result15 btn 6L SP150/1 JockeySean OKeeffe OR-- FFR53 SS78	9st 5lb	8	OR 73	53	-20lb	26	20/1	+1.5	Freshened up	Up in trip	Modest field	--	43%	32%	1/6	78	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
8	She's IdealRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	14.8	1-1-7-7-8-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 12-08-2026 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 9.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 11lb Result1 SP11/4 JockeySam Coen OR60 FFR67 SS96 20-07-2026 Ballinrobe (IRE)-- \| 9.5f \| Good To Yielding Wgt8st 10lb Result1 SP13/2 JockeyLeigh Roche OR55 FFR47 SS92 11-07-2026 Limerick-- \| 12.5f \| Good Wgt9st 5lb Result7 btn 1L SP9/2 JockeySadhbh Tormey OR56 FFR44 SS89 11-06-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 9f \| Soft Wgt8st 7lb Result7 btn 4L SP8/1 JockeyLeigh Roche OR59 FFR62 SS94 05-06-2026 Fairyhouse (IRE)-- \| 10f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result8 btn 1L SP4/1 JockeyReese Holohan OR57 FFR79 SS95 28-05-2026 Fairyhouse (IRE)-- \| 10f \| Good Wgt8st 9lb Result3 btn 2.2L SP6/1 JockeySadhbh Tormey OR58 FFR81 SS98	9st 0lb	5	OR 66	81	+15lb	17	5/2	+6.8	Quick return	Up in trip	Modest field	--	53%	49%	0/6	98	E	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
9	MoyassrRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	14.8	14-16-6-5-1-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 06-08-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 9f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result14 btn 0.1L SP33/1 JockeyReese Holohan OR65 FFR65 SS99 28-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 8.5f \| Yielding Wgt9st 10lb Result16 btn 0.5L SP33/1 JockeyLuke McAteer OR66 FFR81 SS93 15-07-2026 Killarney (IRE)-- \| 14.5f \| Good Wgt9st 11lb Result6 btn 0.3L SP14/1 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR67 FFR38 SS102 11-06-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 9f \| Soft Wgt8st 5lb Result5 btn 12L SP9/1 JockeyJulian Pietropaolo OR68 FFR68 SS104 28-05-2026 Fairyhouse (IRE)-- \| 10f \| Good Wgt8st 11lb Result1 SP8/1 JockeyReese Holohan OR60 FFR34 SS99 15-05-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt8st 12lb Result5 btn 0.1L SP17/2 JockeyAdam Grant OR61 FFR50 SS84	9st 0lb	11	OR 63	50	-13lb	20	13.5	-9.5	Standard rest	Up in trip	Modest field	--	46%	49%	1/6	84	D	Stiff -10	CAUTION PROFILE
10	KakoriRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	13.8	3-6-9-21-5-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 10-06-2026 Limerick (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Good To Yielding Wgt10st 2lb Result3 btn 0.1L SP7/2 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR66 FFR73 SS88 25-04-2026 Navan-- \| 1m5f \| Good To Yielding Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.1L SP14/1 JockeyJ M Sheridan OR66 FFR80 SS94 11-04-2026 Bellewstown-- \| 1m \| Soft Wgt-- Result9 btn 1.2L SP11/2 JockeyJ M Sheridan OR66 FFR41 SS100 15-03-2026 Curragh-- \| 1m \| Heavy Wgt-- Result21 btn 3.8L SP9/2F JockeyDeclan McDonogh OR67 FFR58 SS51 20-10-2025 Gowran Park-- \| 7f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result5 btn 3L SP9/1 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR67 FFR84 SS83 29-09-2025 Down Royal (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Yielding Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.2L SP11/1 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR-- FFR78 SS99	10st 2lb	10	OR 67	78	+11lb	30	10.5	+0.8	Layoff check	Down in trip	Modest field	--	53%	51%	1/6	99	E	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
11	Phidias OvationRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	2.5	16-7-12-8-15 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 12-06-2026 Fairyhouse (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 11lb Result16 btn 11L SP66/1 JockeyN G McCullagh OR55 FFR51 SS70 12-05-2026 Killarney (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result7 btn 2L SP150/1 JockeyRobbie Colgan OR59 FFR62 SS87 25-04-2026 Limerick-- \| 1m \| Yielding Wgt-- Result12 btn 0.8L SP200/1 JockeyN G McCullagh OR-- FFR65 SS92 05-11-2025 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result8 btn 1L SP50/1 JockeyRory Cleary OR-- FFR51 SS-- 11-10-2025 Naas (IRE)-- \| 1m \| Yielding Wgt-- Result15 btn 8.5L SP28/1 JockeyW J Lee OR-- FFR34 SS--	10st 2lb	7	OR 53	34	-19lb	28	50/1	-21.7	Layoff check	Down in trip	Modest field	--	43%	36%	0/6	92	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Forlio

Forlio profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Loingseoir

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Forlio Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 55.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Best of a weak race 55.0 confidence

Why consider8 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form11-18-1-4-3-10

FFR67 / -5lb

Speed94

Franked22

Ground1/3 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassClass move developing

Draw1

Wgt9st 0lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

11 Kilbeggan (IRE) Steady run 08-08-2026

18 Galway (IRE) Steady run 29-07-2026

1 Tramore Strong run 07-07-2026

4 Naas (IRE) Run faded 24-06-2026

3 Punchestown (IRE) Troubled run 06-06-2026

10 Listowel (IRE) Competitive 30-05-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating22

2winners since

2placers since

10evidence pts

08-08-2026 | Kilbeggan (IRE) Finished 11

Beat named rivals

Back Swath (IRE), Marilyns Poet (IRE)

07-07-2026 | Tramore Finished 1

Beat named rivals

A Pretty Penny (IRE), Devine Genius (FR), Eastern Blue Bird (IRE)

Race produced winner

A Pretty Penny (IRE)

Later placers

Glendower (GB) (05-08-2026)

06-06-2026 | Punchestown (IRE) Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Angelo Dundee (IRE), Backinbusiness (IRE), Little Big John (IRE)

Race produced winner

Rosenborg (FR)

Later placers

Frankie's Freebie (IRE) (07-06-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR67

Speed94

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-5lb below mark

FFR 67 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

94 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score36.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI CMEDIUM

Mark readNear markLatest -5lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read -2lb

Today's conditions match 53% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 42%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 58%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Class

Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs4/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandGood

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 15 2W / 4P Peak rating 71

Good 9 1W / 1P Peak rating 63

Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 2 0W / 1P Peak rating 64

Placement evidence 56% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 70%

Class fit 23%

Mark room 46%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 76%

8 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concern

Mark read Latest -5lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read -2lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest -5lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read -2lb

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 72 | Latest FFR 67 | Best FFR 88 | Public mark read -2

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Paul W Flynn

Jockey Nicola Burns(2)

Age 7

Draw 1

OR 72

Avg OR 66.4

OR vs Field +5.6

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form -58410

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Reliable 8.2% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 11.7 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance1m2f

Runs at profile8

DEIC

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
08-10-2025	Navan (IRE)	Yielding	1	2:13.63	133.6
19-10-2025	Leopardstown (IRE)	Heavy	9	2:21.17	141.2
25-04-2026	Navan (IRE)	Good To Yielding	5	2:10.46	130.5

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 52% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 10 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: b; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearbDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP18/1

OwnerBhoys On Tour Syndicate

Pedigree

Mayson × Lady Hen (Efisio)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 19.5L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
08-08-2026	Kilbeggan (IRE)	11	55	Neutral finish
29-07-2026	Galway (IRE)	18	3.5	Neutral finish
07-07-2026	Tramore	1	0	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

24-06-2026 | Naas (IRE)

Rating -- OR 62

07-07-2026 | Tramore

Rating -- OR 62

29-07-2026 | Galway (IRE)

Rating -- OR 73

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs8

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Winning-time par2m 14.42s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times2:13.63 | 2:21.17 | 2:10.46

Recent positions1 | 9 | 5

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
08-08-2026	Kilbeggan (IRE) \| 19f \| Good \| --	11	18/1	--	--	--	55	--	GREY - no timing read
29-07-2026	Galway (IRE) \| 16.5f \| Yielding \| --	18	25/1	73	--	--	3.5	--	GREY - no timing read
07-07-2026	Tramore \| 12f \| Good \| --	1	5/1	62	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
24-06-2026	Naas (IRE) \| 11f \| Good \| --	4	20/1	62	--	--	0.2	--	GREY - no timing read
06-06-2026	Punchestown (IRE) \| 19f \| Good To Yielding \| --	3	80/1	--	--	--	18	--	GREY - no timing read
30-05-2026	Listowel (IRE) \| 16.5f \| Good \| --	10	80/1	--	--	--	1.2	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Near mark

Latest -5lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read -2lb.

Benchmark Fit score -2

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 97.6 and winning TS par is around 59.8. Runner versus par: rating edge -25.6. Benchmark fit: -1.5.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Loingseoir Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 52.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Best of a weak race 52.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-4-6-4-4-7

FFR73 / +4lb

Speed93

Franked19

Ground1/3 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassClass move developing

Draw3

Wgt10st 2lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

3 Galway (IRE) Solid effort 28-07-2026

4 Ballinrobe (IRE) Competitive 20-07-2026

6 Fairyhouse Steady run 08-07-2026

4 Leopardstown (IRE) Competitive 11-06-2026

4 Leopardstown (IRE) Finished well 04-06-2026

7 Limerick Competitive 25-04-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating19

4winners since

3placers since

9evidence pts

07-08-2026 | Fairyhouse Finished 6

Beat named rivals

Belle Nuit (IRE), Carrigans Grove (IRE), Chester Nimitz (IRE)

06-04-2026 | Leopardstown (IRE) Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Dark Viper (GB), Eddie G (IRE), Flaming Rib (IRE)

Later placers

Mehman (GB) (02-06-2026)

09-10-2025 | Cork (IRE) Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Burford Beauty (IRE), Deuteronomy (IRE), Hutton Glen (IRE)

Race produced winner

Deuteronomy (IRE), Lough Leane (IRE)

Later placers

Perry Mason (GB) (05-03-2026), Wrist Art (IRE) (08-03-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR73

Speed93

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR+4lb near mark

FFR 73 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

93 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score32.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BHIGH

Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR

Today's conditions match 59% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 42%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 76%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Class

Ground evidence Good Has experience, but limited strong evidence

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandTesting

Read Has experience, but limited strong evidence Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 36 1W / 8P Peak rating 93

Good 6 1W / 2P Peak rating 74

Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 78

Placement evidence 59% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 23%

Mark room 64%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 50%

Proven trip profile (B)15 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concern

Mark read Latest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 69 | Latest FFR 73 | Best FFR 73 | Public mark read +4

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer M C Grassick

Jockey Jack Cleary

Age 10

Draw 3

OR 69

Avg OR 66.4

OR vs Field +2.6

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 744643

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Cooling

confidence nudge +0.8

Variance Very steady 4.6% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 5.1 vs par

Curve Cooling Trend -1

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance1m2f

Runs at profile15

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
29-05-2025	Fairyhouse (IRE)	Yielding	5	2:10.65	130.7
28-06-2025	Curragh (IRE)	Good	6	2:10.01	130
28-09-2025	Curragh (IRE)	Yielding	8	2:15.09	135.1

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 43% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 21 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: t; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgeartDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP11/1

OwnerW Keeling M C Grassick Mrs M J Grassick

Pedigree

Henrythenavigator × Only Exception (Jeremy)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course winHas won at this courseDistance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.7L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
28-07-2026	Galway (IRE)	3	0.5	Neutral finish
20-07-2026	Ballinrobe (IRE)	4	0.5	Neutral finish
08-07-2026	Fairyhouse	6	4	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 1 runs with an official OR.

25-04-2026 | Limerick

Rating 68 OR 73

04-06-2026 | Leopardstown (IRE)

Rating -- OR 70

11-06-2026 | Leopardstown (IRE)

Rating -- OR 70

08-07-2026 | Fairyhouse

Rating -- OR 70

20-07-2026 | Ballinrobe (IRE)

Rating -- OR 69

28-07-2026 | Galway (IRE)

Rating -- OR 68

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs15

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par2m 14.42s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times2:10.65 | 2:10.01 | 2:15.09

Recent positions5 | 6 | 8

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
28-07-2026	Galway (IRE) \| 8.5f \| Yielding \| --	3	11/1	68	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
20-07-2026	Ballinrobe (IRE) \| 9.5f \| Good To Yielding \| --	4	10/1	69	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
08-07-2026	Fairyhouse \| 7f \| Good \| --	6	16/1	70	--	--	4	--	GREY - no timing read
11-06-2026	Leopardstown (IRE) \| 7f \| Soft \| --	4	12/1	70	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
04-06-2026	Leopardstown (IRE) \| 7f \| Soft \| --	4	14/1	70	--	--	3.8	--	GREY - no timing read
25-04-2026	Limerick \| 1m \| Yielding \| --	7	14/1	73	68	53	0.2	1:52.70	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Workable mark

Latest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score -2

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 97.6 and winning TS par is around 59.8. Runner versus par: rating edge -20.6. Benchmark fit: -1.5.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Darkdeserthighway Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 24.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 24.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form2-6-8-10-3-3

FFR78 / +10lb

Speed96

Franked36

Ground0/1 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw6

Wgt10st 2lb

Bucaneer's Spirit Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 24.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 24.0 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +8lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-9-2-4-3-3

FFR70 / +3lb

Speed100

Franked47

Ground1/2 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassClass move developing

Draw4

Wgt9st 9lb

Hexagonal Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 19.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 19.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7-13-1-11-6-9

FFR58 / -10lb

Speed97

Franked9

Ground0/2 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassClass move developing

Draw2

Wgt9st 2lb

Concert Party Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 17.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 17.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form13-5-9-9-7-9

FFR34 / -30lb

Speed78

Franked25

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw9

Wgt9st 1lb

Kashel Spring Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 16.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 16.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6-5-10-13-11-15

FFR53 / -20lb

Speed78

Franked26

Ground1/1 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw8

Wgt9st 5lb

She's Ideal Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 14.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 14.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form1-1-7-7-8-3

FFR81 / +15lb

Speed98

Franked17

Ground2/2 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw5

Wgt9st 0lb

Moyassr Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 14.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 14.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form14-16-6-5-1-5

FFR50 / -13lb

Speed84

Franked20

Ground1/1 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw11

Wgt9st 0lb

Kakori Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 13.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 13.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3-6-9-21-5-6

FFR78 / +11lb

Speed99

Franked30

Ground0/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw10

Wgt10st 2lb

Phidias Ovation Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 2.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 2.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form16-7-12-8-15

FFR34 / -19lb

Speed92

Franked28

Ground1/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw7

Wgt10st 2lb

5:20 | Lingfield (AW)

5:20 | Lingfield (AW) | 7f

Class 6 | Standard | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified Stakes (Div II)

Race Confidence 69 SHORTLIST RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR4711 rated runners | Top OR 50: Rovinia

Winning par1m 24.85s73 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupPOLYTRACK: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-50 | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Rovinia leads the contextual model at 32.8
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Winning-time par: 1m 24.85s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 11 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	RoviniaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	46.5	2-2-2-5-9-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 05-08-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result2 btn 0.1L SP11/4 JockeyOwen Lewis OR50 FFR46 SS102 22-07-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result2 btn 2.8L SP11/4F JockeyOwen Lewis OR50 FFR31 SS96 27-06-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 7.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP9/1 JockeyOwen Lewis OR48 FFR55 SS102 29-05-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP14/1 JockeyLuke Catton OR51 FFR63 SS96 26-05-2026 BathClass 6 \| 10f \| Firm Wgt8st 4lb Result9 btn 2L SP33/1 JockeyAshley Lewis OR51 FFR57 SS72 12-05-2026 BathClass 6 \| 8f \| Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result8 btn 0.3L SP28/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR54 FFR63 SS99	9st 9lb	1	OR 50	63	+13lb	26	2/1	+13.6	Standard rest	Down in trip	Weak field	--	57%	62%	1/6	99	C	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
2	VitallineRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	45.0	9-9-1-5-8-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 04-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt8st 10lb Result9 btn 2.2L SP20/1 JockeyJosephine Gordon OR52 FFR77 SS92 05-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt8st 6lb Result9 btn 0.3L SP20/1 JockeyJosephine Gordon OR53 FFR66 SS102 26-06-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 1lb Result1 SP20/1 JockeyJosephine Gordon OR47 FFR54 SS95 02-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 0.1L SP12/1 JockeyJosephine Gordon OR49 FFR66 SS86 27-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result8 btn 2.2L SP20/1 JockeyRay Dawson OR50 FFR36 SS102 08-04-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.8L SP40/1 JockeyCallum Shepherd OR51 FFR22 SS93	9st 9lb	3	OR 50	22	-28lb	9	11/1	+18.1	Standard rest	Up in trip	Weak field	--	52%	50%	1/6	93	B	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Chloe's CourageRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	44.8	5-4-3-9-6-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 07-08-2026 MusselburghClass 6 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP10/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR51 FFR79 SS92 28-07-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result4 btn 2.5L SP11/4 JockeyDarragh Keenan OR51 FFR66 SS101 17-07-2026 Newmarket (July)Class 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 4lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP16/1 JockeyAlice Bond OR52 FFR58 SS98 22-01-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 2.2L SP10/1 JockeyDarragh Keenan OR53 FFR65 SS99 12-01-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.8L SP6/1 JockeyDarragh Keenan OR53 FFR46 SS93 22-12-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.2L SP12/1 JockeyDarragh Keenan OR51 FFR55 SS92	9st 9lb	10	OR 49	55	+6lb	62	7/1	+11.1	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	59%	64%	1/6	92	C	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
4	No NewsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	26.2	8-2-7-9-2-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 31-07-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard / Slow Wgt9st 9lb Result8 btn 2.2L SP20/1 JockeyJonny Peate OR47 FFR81 SS72 07-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 0lb Result2 btn 1L SP28/1 JockeyJonny Peate OR45 FFR76 SS90 21-05-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 1lb Result7 btn 1.2L SP28/1 JockeyJonny Peate OR47 FFR57 SS97 06-10-2025 YarmouthClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result9 btn 4.2L SP10/1 JockeyKieran Shoemark OR48 FFR38 SS108 04-09-2025 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.3L SP12/1 JockeyGeorge Wood OR46 FFR60 SS94 15-08-2025 YarmouthClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.3L SP20/1 JockeyOliver Carmichael OR42 FFR36 SS87	9st 9lb	9	OR 46	36	-10lb	28	18.5	+2.6	Standard rest	Up in trip	Weak field	--	51%	50%	1/6	87	B	Stiff -7	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Crown The FutureRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	18.0	4-13-7-3-4-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 21-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt8st 10lb Result4 btn 4.8L SP25/1 JockeyMolly Gunn OR52 FFR73 SS81 06-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 8.5f \| Standard Wgt9st 1lb Result13 btn 23L SP15/2 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR54 FFR72 SS94 16-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 1m½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 1.2L SP7/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR55 FFR70 SS99 12-02-2026 Chelmsford (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 1.2L SP11/8 JockeyCieren Fallon OR55 FFR66 SS96 12-01-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 1.2L SP11/8F JockeyNeil Callan OR57 FFR19 SS92 02-12-2025 Newcastle (AW)Class 6 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.3L SP8/15F JockeyJack Callan OR57 FFR36 SS88	9st 4lb	6	OR 50	36	-14lb	33	12	+6.1	Standard rest	Same trip	Weak field	--	47%	50%	0/6	88	C	Stiff -11	CAUTION PROFILE
6	HorusRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	14.2	8-6-7-9-4-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 08-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result8 btn 1.2L SP33/1 JockeyJames Glennon OR46 FFR70 SS99 09-06-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result6 btn 1.2L SP16/1 JockeyJames Glennon OR47 FFR79 SS97 30-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 1L SP9/1 JockeyKieren Fox OR49 FFR65 SS94 25-03-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.8L SP20/1 JockeyJames Glennon OR51 FFR67 SS98 19-01-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.5L SP15/2 JockeyHollie Doyle OR52 FFR53 SS89 04-01-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.8L SP16/1 JockeyKyle McHugh OR54 FFR40 SS93	9st 9lb	4	OR 44	40	-4lb	33	25/1	-4.9	Standard rest	Up in trip	Weak field	--	46%	43%	1/6	93	D	Near mark -1	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Power CutRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	12.2	8-6-5-5-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 07-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt8st 8lb Result8 btn 3.2L SP5/2J JockeyJoey Haynes OR45 FFR65 SS88 28-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.5L SP14/1 JockeyJoey Haynes OR46 FFR62 SS86 03-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 4.8L SP125/1 JockeyJoey Haynes OR-- FFR66 SS89 29-11-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.3L SP150/1 JockeyJoey Haynes OR-- FFR67 SS87 27-10-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 2.5L SP50/1 JockeyJoey Haynes OR-- FFR36 SS--	9st 4lb	2	OR 43	36	-7lb	6	8.4	-6.9	Freshened up	Up in trip	Weak field	--	45%	40%	0/6	87	D	Stiff -4	CAUTION PROFILE
8	MegaphoneRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	9.8	6-5-9-11-4-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result6 btn 0.1L SP4/1 JockeyKieran O'Neill OR50 FFR75 SS92 30-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 3lb Result5 btn 0.2L SP80/1 JockeyChristian Howarth OR52 FFR72 SS94 21-05-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 3lb Result9 btn 0.5L SP33/1 JockeyMikkel Mortensen OR54 FFR22 SS92 07-05-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result11 btn 2L SP12/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR55 FFR33 SS92 23-04-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.8L SP12/1 JockeyKieran ONeill OR57 FFR50 SS96 17-04-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.8L SP80/1 JockeyMikkel Mortensen OR57 FFR45 SS97	9st 9lb	8	OR 50	45	-5lb	8	5/1	+2.8	Quick return	Big step up	Weak field	--	53%	48%	0/6	97	D	Near mark -2	CAUTION PROFILE
9	RuizRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	6.2	6-5-6-10-11-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 01-08-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result6 btn 20L SP25/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR40 FFR56 SS42 06-07-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 0lb Result5 btn 3.8L SP50/1 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR45 FFR42 SS71 18-06-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 10f \| Good Wgt8st 11lb Result6 btn 3.5L SP200/1 JockeyAlec Voikhansky OR40 FFR21 SS-- 04-06-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt8st 9lb Result10 btn 9.5L SP66/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR45 FFR39 SS-- 04-05-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 6lb Result11 btn 2.8L SP200/1 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR-- FFR36 SS-- 05-09-2025 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result9 btn 20L SP300/1 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR-- FFR24 SS--	9st 4lb	5	OR 40	24	-16lb	13	50/1	-12.9	Standard rest	Big drop back	Weak field	--	39%	32%	0/6	71	E	Stiff -13	CAUTION PROFILE
10	Dupont CircleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	5.0	7-13-7-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 22-06-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 12f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result7 btn 75L SP66/1 JockeyKieren Fox OR50 FFR56 SS81 09-06-2026 SalisburyClass 4 \| 7f \| Soft Wgt10st 0lb Result13 btn 17L SP200/1 JockeyGeorgia Dobie OR-- FFR49 SS-- 12-05-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 4 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt10st 2lb Result7 btn 1.5L SP300/1 JockeyKieren Fox OR-- FFR41 SS-- 11-12-2025 Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result10 btn 3.8L SP125/1 JockeyGeorgia Dobie OR-- FFR25 SS--	9st 9lb	11	OR 48	25	-23lb	6	18/1	-14.2	Freshened up	Big drop back	Weak field	--	43%	40%	0/6	81	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
11	Regal GuestRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	3.8	6-6-7-6-10-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 02-08-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result6 btn 0.5L SP18/1 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR48 FFR53 SS87 08-07-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result6 btn 8L SP50/1 JockeyHarry Burns OR52 FFR59 SS94 28-05-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result7 btn 8L SP66/1 JockeyHarry Burns OR57 FFR36 SS78 16-05-2026 NewmarketClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result6 btn 2L SP40/1 JockeyJoe Bradnam OR62 FFR24 SS72 28-02-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result10 btn 9.5L SP28/1 JockeyJ F Egan OR67 FFR26 SS88 27-06-2025 YarmouthClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result5 btn 18L SP11/1 JockeyCallum Shepherd OR67 FFR44 SS--	9st 9lb	7	OR 47	44	-3lb	2	18.5	-15.4	Standard rest	Big step up	Weak field	--	43%	41%	0/6	88	E	Near mark +0	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Rovinia

Rovinia profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Vitalline

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Rovinia Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 46.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 46.5 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-2-2-5-9-8

FFR63 / +13lb

Speed99

Franked26

Ground2/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 9lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

2 Brighton Solid effort 05-08-2026

2 Lingfield Solid effort 22-07-2026

2 Lingfield Solid effort 27-06-2026

5 Brighton Run faded 29-05-2026

9 Bath Competitive 26-05-2026

8 Bath Competitive 12-05-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating26

2winners since

2placers since

10evidence pts

04-07-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 6

Beat named rivals

Maybe Soon (IRE), My Shagaf (IRE), Seapearl (GB)

08-05-2026 | Brighton Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Aspire To Glory (IRE), Celebrating Ethel (IRE), First Encounter (GB)

Race produced winner

Celebrating Ethel (IRE)

Later placers

River Wharfe (GB) (08-06-2026)

05-03-2026 | Salisbury Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Alyara (GB), Beau Jardine (IRE)

Race produced winner

Beau Jardine (IRE)

Later placers

Sub Thirteen (GB) (07-08-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR63

Speed99

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR+13lb ahead of mark

FFR 63 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

99 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance evidence is thin

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score32.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI CLOW

Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR

Today's conditions match 57% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 35%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Class

Ground evidence All-weather No recent all-weather sample; best evidence is on fast ground

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs0/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandFast

Read No recent all-weather sample; best evidence is on fast ground Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 51

Good 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 52

Fast 8 0W / 4P Peak rating 53

All-weather 8 1W / 2P Peak rating 59

Placement evidence 62% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 68%

Class fit 14%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 76%

Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concern

Mark read Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 50 | Latest FFR 63 | Best FFR 63 | Public mark read +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Roger Teal

Jockey Marco Ghiani

Age 4

Draw 1

OR 50

Avg OR 47

OR vs Field +3

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 895222

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Predictive caution

Variable; High bounce risk; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge -2.5

Variance Variable 10.9% volatility

Bounce High bounce risk Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 1.6 vs par

Curve Edging forward Trend 1

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile4

DEIC

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
25-11-2025	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	5	1:25.82	85.8
07-04-2026	Southwell (AW)	Standard	6	1:28.52	88.5
22-07-2026	Lingfield	Good To Firm	2	1:23.27	83.3

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 43% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 13 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP11/4

OwnerLauren Adams Christopher Petts

Pedigree

Legends Of War × Windlass (Teofilo)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.1L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
05-08-2026	Brighton	2	0.1	Neutral finish
22-07-2026	Lingfield	2	2.8	Neutral finish
27-06-2026	Lingfield	2	0.3	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

12-05-2026 | Bath

Rating -- OR 54

26-05-2026 | Bath

Rating -- OR 51

29-05-2026 | Brighton

Rating -- OR 51

27-06-2026 | Lingfield

Rating -- OR 48

22-07-2026 | Lingfield

Rating -- OR 50

05-08-2026 | Brighton

Rating -- OR 50

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs4

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par1m 24.85s

Last win at trip1:26.22 | Kempton (AW) | 08-10-2025

Recent times1:25.82 | 1:28.52 | 1:23.27

Recent positions5 | 6 | 2

Winning contextvs par +1.37s | OR 53

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
05-08-2026	Brighton \| 8f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	2	11/4	50	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
22-07-2026	Lingfield \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	2	11/4F	50	--	--	2.8	--	GREY - no timing read
27-06-2026	Lingfield \| 7.5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	2	9/1	48	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
29-05-2026	Brighton \| 8f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	5	14/1	51	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
26-05-2026	Bath \| 10f \| Firm \| Class 6	9	33/1	51	--	--	2	--	GREY - no timing read
12-05-2026	Bath \| 8f \| Firm \| Class 6	8	28/1	54	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Well treated

Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score -3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 63.3 and winning TS par is around 45.8. Runner versus par: rating edge -11.3. Benchmark fit: -3.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Vitalline Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 45.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Best of a weak race 45.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form9-9-1-5-8-6

FFR22 / -28lb

Speed93

Franked9

Ground3/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 9lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

9 Lingfield (AW) Competitive 04-08-2026

9 Southwell (AW) Competitive 05-07-2026

1 Newcastle (AW) Strong run 26-06-2026

5 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 02-06-2026

8 Lingfield (AW) Competitive 27-04-2026

6 Kempton (AW) Finished well 08-04-2026

Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating9

2winners since

2placers since

7evidence pts

04-08-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 6

Beat named rivals

Arnaz (GB), Big Bard (GB), Just Jump (IRE)

07-05-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 9

Beat named rivals

Suhub (GB)

08-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 9

Beat named rivals

Havana Sky (GB)

Race produced winner

Style King (IRE), Twilight Madness (GB)

Later placers

Elvetham (IRE) (06-05-2026), Reposado (GB) (03-06-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR22

Speed93

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-28lb below mark

FFR 22 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

93 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score37.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BHIGH

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -28lb | peak +27lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Today's conditions match 52% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 45%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs6/6

Best similar rating51

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 35

Good 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 59

Fast 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 59

All-weather 38 4W / 11P Peak rating 65

Placement evidence 50% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 27%

Mark room 4%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

Proven trip profile (B)26 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concernCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -28lb | peak +27lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -28lb | peak +27lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 50 | Latest FFR 22 | Best FFR 77 | Public mark read -16

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Keiran Burke

Jockey Josephine Gordon

Age 8

Draw 3

OR 50

Avg OR 47

OR vs Field +3

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 685199

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.0

Variance Reliable 5.8% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 1.8 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile26

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
27-04-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	8	1:26.62	86.6
02-06-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	5	1:28.91	88.9
05-07-2026	Southwell (AW)	Standard	9	1:30.32	90.3

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 13% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 14 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.8 trainer RTF cold at 13%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: tv; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgeartvDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP20/1

OwnerMrs Michelle Anne Crook

Pedigree

Due Diligence × Vitta's Touch (Touch Gold)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.8L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
04-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	9	2.2	Neutral finish
05-07-2026	Southwell (AW)	9	0.3	Neutral finish
26-06-2026	Newcastle (AW)	1	0	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 2 runs with an official OR.

08-04-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating 51 OR 51

27-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 39 OR 50

02-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 49

26-06-2026 | Newcastle (AW)

Rating -- OR 47

05-07-2026 | Southwell (AW)

Rating -- OR 53

04-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating -- OR 52

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs26

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 24.85s

Last win at trip1:26.15 | Kempton (AW) | 04-03-2026

Recent times1:26.62 | 1:28.91 | 1:30.32

Recent positions8 | 5 | 9

Winning contextvs par +1.3s | OR 47

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
04-08-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	9	20/1	52	--	--	2.2	--	GREY - no timing read
05-07-2026	Southwell (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 5	9	20/1	53	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
26-06-2026	Newcastle (AW) \| 6f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 6	1	20/1	47	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
02-06-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 6	5	12/1	49	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
27-04-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 6	8	20/1	50	39	16	2.2	1:26.62	AMBER - competitive
08-04-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 6	6	40/1	51	51	44	0.8	1:12.57	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -28lb | peak +27lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score -1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 63.3 and winning TS par is around 45.8. Runner versus par: rating edge -8.3. Benchmark fit: -1.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Chloe's Courage Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 44.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 44.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (C)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form5-4-3-9-6-2

FFR55 / +6lb

Speed92

Franked62

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw10

Wgt9st 9lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

5 Musselburgh Finished well 07-08-2026

4 Yarmouth Competitive 28-07-2026

3 Newmarket (July) Solid effort 17-07-2026

9 Southwell (AW) Run faded 22-01-2026

6 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 12-01-2026

2 Lingfield (AW) Strong run 22-12-2025

Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating62

6winners since

10placers since

10evidence pts

10-06-2025 | Yarmouth Finished 3

Beat named rivals

College Witch (GB), I Can Imagine (IRE), Mr Phillips (GB)

Race produced winner

Cameley Days (GB), Top Biller (GB)

Later placers

Due Date (GB) (07-04-2026), I Can Imagine (IRE) (06-11-2025)

12-04-2025 | Chelmsford (AW) Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Bad Habits (IRE), Cill Mocheallog (IRE), Diligent Henry (GB)

Race produced winner

Diligent Henry (GB), Nubough (IRE)

Later placers

Bad Habits (IRE) (02-06-2026), Cill Mocheallog (IRE) (12-12-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR55

Speed92

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+6lb ahead of mark

FFR 55 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

92 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score30.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI CHIGH

Mark readWell treatedLatest +6lb | peak +30lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Today's conditions match 59% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 35%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 58%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Class

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating59

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 37

Good 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 52

Fast 5 0W / 3P Peak rating 51

All-weather 9 1W / 4P Peak rating 59

Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 78%

Class fit 14%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 70%

Recent evidence 68%

Proven trip profile (C)13 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concern

Mark read Latest +6lb | peak +30lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +6lb | peak +30lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 49 | Latest FFR 55 | Best FFR 79 | Public mark read +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer John Ryan

Jockey Darragh Keenan

Age 4

Draw 10

OR 49

Avg OR 47

OR vs Field +2

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form -69345

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Cooling

confidence nudge +0.8

Variance Very steady 3.6% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 0.6 vs par

Curve Cooling Trend -1

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile13

DEIC

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
22-01-2026	Southwell (AW)	Standard	9	1:30.51	90.5
17-07-2026	Newmarket (July)	Good To Firm	3	1:26.95	87
07-08-2026	Musselburgh	Good	5	1:30.60	90.6

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 14% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 11 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.8 trainer RTF cold at 14%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP10/1

OwnerGerry Mcgladery

Pedigree

Iffraaj × Desert Shine (Green Desert)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.3L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
07-08-2026	Musselburgh	5	0.8	Fast finish
28-07-2026	Yarmouth	4	2.5	Neutral finish
17-07-2026	Newmarket (July)	3	0.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 3 runs with an official OR.

22-12-2025 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 59 OR 51

12-01-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 46 OR 53

22-01-2026 | Southwell (AW)

Rating 26 OR 53

17-07-2026 | Newmarket (July)

Rating -- OR 52

28-07-2026 | Yarmouth

Rating -- OR 51

07-08-2026 | Musselburgh

Rating -- OR 51

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs13

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 24.85s

Last win at trip1:24.90 | Chelmsford (AW) | 04-12-2025

Recent times1:30.51 | 1:26.95 | 1:30.60

Recent positions9 | 3 | 5

Winning contextvs par +0.05s | OR 45

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
07-08-2026	Musselburgh \| 7f \| Good \| Class 6	5	10/1	51	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read
28-07-2026	Yarmouth \| 8f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	4	11/4	51	--	--	2.5	--	GREY - no timing read
17-07-2026	Newmarket (July) \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	3	16/1	52	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
22-01-2026	Southwell (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 6	9	10/1	53	26	19	2.2	1:30.05	GREY - below benchmark
12-01-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 6	6	6/1	53	46	22	0.8	1:26.50	AMBER - competitive
22-12-2025	Lingfield (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 6	2	12/1	51	59	39	0.2	1:25.06	GREEN - within 1% of par

Handicap Well treated

Latest +6lb | peak +30lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score -3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 63.3 and winning TS par is around 45.8. Runner versus par: rating edge -13.3. Benchmark fit: -3.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

No News Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 26.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 26.2 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form8-2-7-9-2-4

FFR36 / -10lb

Speed87

Franked28

Ground2/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassSame class

Draw9

Wgt9st 9lb

Crown The Future Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 18.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Best of a weak race 18.0 confidence

Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form4-13-7-3-4-5

FFR36 / -14lb

Speed88

Franked33

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 4lb

Horus Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 14.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 14.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form8-6-7-9-4-6

FFR40 / -4lb

Speed93

Franked33

Ground1/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 9lb

Power Cut Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 12.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Watch only 12.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form8-6-5-5-6

FFR36 / -7lb

Speed87

Franked6

Ground3/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 4lb

Megaphone Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 9.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 9.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form6-5-9-11-4-3

FFR45 / -5lb

Speed97

Franked8

Ground3/3 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 9lb

Ruiz Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 6.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 6.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6-5-6-10-11-9

FFR24 / -16lb

Speed71

Franked13

Ground2/2 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 4lb

Dupont Circle Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 5.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 5.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7-13-7-10

FFR25 / -23lb

Speed81

Franked6

Ground0/1 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassSame class

Draw11

Wgt9st 9lb

Regal Guest Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 3.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 3.8 confidence

Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6-6-7-6-10-5

FFR44 / -3lb

Speed88

Franked2

Ground2/3 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 9lb

5:30 | Wolverhampton (AW)

5:30 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 9.5f

Class 4 | Standard | Download The At The Races App EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 30 WATCH ONLY

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR--0 rated runners | No official ratings yet

Winning par2m 00.20s33 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupTAPETA: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Franschhoek leads the contextual model at 16.2
Decision type: Watch only - Needs more proof
Winning-time par: 2m 00.20s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 6 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	FranschhoekRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	17.2	3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 25-03-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 1m \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.8L SP9/2 JockeyKaiya Fraser OR-- FFR87 SS99	9st 7lb	1	OR --	87	--	0	1/1	+5.5	Long absence	Up in trip	Field strength developing	--	48%	54%	1/6	99	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
2	Why Not MeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	13.5	2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 27-11-2025 Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 3.2L SP11/2 JockeyMarco Ghiani OR-- FFR73 SS89	9st 5lb	4	OR --	73	--	0	4/1	+7.8	Long absence	Big step up	Field strength developing	--	50%	59%	0/6	89	D	Developing	WATCH ONLY
3	AstridRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.2	7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 20-04-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 1.5L SP7/1 JockeyRobert Havlin OR-- FFR69 SS102	9st 0lb	6	OR --	69	--	0	16/1	-2.5	Layoff check	Up in trip	Field strength developing	--	48%	48%	0/6	102	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
4	SueshineRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	7.5	7-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 13-09-2025 BathClass 4 \| 1m \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result7 btn 4L SP125/1 JockeyBen Ffrench Davis OR-- FFR53 SS74 09-08-2025 LingfieldClass 5 \| 7½f \| Good Wgt-- Result7 btn 18L SP33/1 JockeyBen Ffrench Davis OR-- FFR66 SS87	9st 0lb	5	OR --	66	--	6	200/1	-3.2	Long absence	Up in trip	Field strength developing	--	48%	48%	0/6	87	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
5	SaifoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	7.2	7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 09-07-2026 DoncasterClass 2 \| 12f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result7 btn 2.5L SP40/1 JockeySean Levey OR-- FFR85 SS--	9st 7lb	2	OR --	85	--	0	4.1	-3.5	Freshened up	Big drop back	Field strength developing	--	48%	51%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
6	State ExpressRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	6.5	4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 05-08-2026 YarmouthClass 4 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result4 btn 6L SP17/2 JockeyTom Marquand OR-- FFR46 SS--	9st 5lb	3	OR --	46	--	0	33/1	-4.2	Standard rest	Down in trip	Field strength developing	--	48%	51%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Franschhoek

Franschhoek profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Why Not Me

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Franschhoek Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 17.2

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 17.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3

FFR87 / --

Speed99

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 7lb

Why Not Me Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 13.5

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Best of a weak race 13.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete

Form2

FFR73 / --

Speed89

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassUp in class

Draw4

Wgt9st 5lb

Astrid Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 8.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 8.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7

FFR69 / --

Speed102

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassUp in class

Draw6

Wgt9st 0lb

Sueshine Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 7.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 7.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7-7

FFR66 / --

Speed87

Franked6

Ground0/1 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 0lb

Saifo Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 7.2

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 7.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7

FFR85 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassDown in class

Draw2

Wgt9st 7lb

State Express Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 6.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 6.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4

FFR46 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 5lb

5:45 | Roscommon

5:45 | Roscommon | 7.5f

| Good | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden

Race Confidence 73 SHORTLIST RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR72.52 rated runners | Top OR 75: Cashel Queen

Winning par1m 32.11s576 race distance-only sample | approximate

SetupGOOD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Cashel Queen leads the contextual model at 32.2
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Clearer top profile: +9.0 gap to nearest rival
Winning-time par: 1m 32.11s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 12 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Cashel QueenRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	51.0	4-2-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-07-2026 Down Royal (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 1.2L SP4/1 JockeyGavin Ryan OR-- FFR63 SS-- 02-07-2026 Bellewstown (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt8st 13lb Result2 btn 1.2L SP3/1 JockeyGavin Ryan OR-- FFR74 SS-- 11-06-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Soft Wgt8st 13lb Result3 btn 4L SP4/1 JockeyGavin Ryan OR-- FFR67 SS--	9st 2lb	5	OR 75	67	-8lb	0	10	+21.4	Freshened up	Down in trip	Solid field	--	45%	47%	0/6	--	E	Stiff -5	WATCH ONLY
2	Eighteenth SmilesRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	35.0	3-12-5-5-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 30-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Yielding To Soft Wgt9st 4lb Result3 btn 1.8L SP12/1 JockeyDeclan McDonogh OR72 FFR46 SS-- 11-07-2026 Navan-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result12 btn 2L SP14/1 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR74 FFR57 SS-- 31-05-2026 Listowel (IRE)-- \| 6.5f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result5 btn 2L SP33/1 JockeyDeclan McDonogh OR-- FFR52 SS-- 18-05-2026 RedcarClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 1.2L SP9/2 JockeyCieren Fallon OR-- FFR42 SS-- 03-05-2026 Cork (IRE)-- \| 5f \| Soft Wgt9st 5lb Result5 btn 0.2L SP10/1 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR-- FFR62 SS--	9st 7lb	3	OR 70	62	-8lb	4	4.8	+12.4	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	45%	51%	0/6	--	E	Stiff -8	WATCH ONLY
3	Someday SomewhereRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	21.0	4-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 02-08-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Yielding Wgt8st 10lb Result4 btn 3.8L SP7/2 JockeyW J Lee OR-- FFR48 SS-- 16-07-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 6.5f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result3 btn 1.8L SP9/1 JockeyW J Lee OR-- FFR63 SS--	9st 2lb	2	OR --	63	--	0	7.4	+8.7	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	48%	54%	1/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
4	Honey DeuceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	9.0	9-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 09-07-2026 Leopardstown-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result9 btn 3.5L SP25/1 JockeyAndrew Slattery OR-- FFR49 SS-- 04-06-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Soft Wgt9st 2lb Result6 btn 3L SP14/1 JockeySeamie Heffernan OR-- FFR37 SS--	9st 2lb	1	OR --	37	--	2	20/1	-1.8	Freshened up	Down in trip	Solid field	--	48%	48%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Green SparkleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	7.0	10-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 09-08-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result10 btn 1L SP50/1 JockeyJ M Sheridan OR-- FFR57 SS-- 19-07-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result9 btn 0.5L SP14/1 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR-- FFR38 SS--	9st 2lb	12	OR --	38	--	0	40/1	-3.8	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	48%	53%	1/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Matavai BayRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	6.2	6-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 05-08-2026 Sligo (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Yielding Wgt9st 2lb Result6 btn 3.5L SP66/1 JockeyRory Cleary OR-- FFR36 SS-- 25-07-2026 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result10 btn 3.2L SP33/1 JockeyBen Coen OR-- FFR55 SS--	9st 2lb	8	OR --	55	--	0	110/1	-4.6	Standard rest	Up in trip	Solid field	--	48%	52%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
7	Luca BrillanteRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	5.0	7-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 09-08-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result7 btn 0.3L SP125/1 JockeyChris Hayes OR-- FFR39 SS-- 09-05-2026 Naas (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result6 btn 11L SP33/1 JockeyChris Hayes OR-- FFR59 SS--	9st 2lb	9	OR --	59	--	0	9.4	+0.7	Standard rest	Up in trip	Solid field	--	48%	53%	1/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
8	Prince Of PeppardRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	4.5	6-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 22-07-2026 Naas (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result6 btn 1.8L SP50/1 JockeyBen Coen OR-- FFR47 SS-- 26-06-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result9 btn 0.3L SP100/1 JockeyBen Coen OR-- FFR55 SS--	9st 7lb	4	OR --	55	--	0	11/2	-6.3	Standard rest	Up in trip	Solid field	--	48%	46%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
9	Pints Of GloryRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	2.0	6-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 06-08-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 5lb Result6 btn 2.2L SP50/1 JockeyGary Carroll OR-- FFR55 SS-- 15-07-2026 Killarney (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 0lb Result4 btn 6L SP10/1 JockeyColin Keane OR-- FFR59 SS--	9st 7lb	10	OR --	59	--	0	9/1	-6.3	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	50%	56%	1/6	--	D	Developing	WATCH ONLY
10	Nando RoyaleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	1.0	3-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 30-06-2026 Roscommon (IRE)-- \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt8st 13lb Result3 btn 2.8L SP10/1 JockeyRobert Whearty OR-- FFR60 SS-- 12-06-2026 Fairyhouse (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt8st 13lb Result6 btn 0.8L SP80/1 JockeyRobert Whearty OR-- FFR66 SS--	9st 7lb	7	OR --	66	--	0	7.6	+0.2	Freshened up	Same trip	Solid field	--	48%	51%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
11	Captain James CookRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.5	7-12 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 08-07-2026 Fairyhouse-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 0lb Result7 btn 0.3L SP8/1 JockeyJack Cleary OR-- FFR34 SS-- 03-06-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good To Yielding Wgt9st 7lb Result12 btn 1.2L SP100/30 JockeyRyan Moore OR-- FFR51 SS--	9st 7lb	6	OR --	51	--	2	10/1	-10.3	Freshened up	Up in trip	Solid field	--	48%	48%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
12	HypiradonRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	0.5	6-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 02-08-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Yielding Wgt9st 5lb Result6 btn 0.5L SP80/1 JockeyRory Cleary OR-- FFR48 SS-- 16-07-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result10 btn 0.3L SP66/1 JockeyRory Cleary OR-- FFR61 SS--	9st 7lb	11	OR --	61	--	0	28/1	-10.3	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	48%	53%	1/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY

Main Context Fit Cashel Queen

Cashel Queen profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Eighteenth Smiles

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Cashel Queen Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 51.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 51.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-2-3

FFR67 / -8lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/2 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw5

Wgt9st 2lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

4 Down Royal (IRE) Competitive 17-07-2026

2 Bellewstown (IRE) Solid effort 02-07-2026

3 Leopardstown (IRE) Solid effort 11-06-2026

Race form proof Some franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating0

0winners since

0placers since

2evidence pts

07-02-2026 | Bellewstown (IRE) Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Caoch The Piper (IRE), Cloughleagh Bridge (IRE), Ippy (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Status WATCH ONLY

Agreement0/6

FFR67

Speed--

ConditionsCaution

PlacementCaution

FFR vs OR-8lb below mark

FFR 67 pounds scale

Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score32.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI ELOW

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -8lb | peak -1lb treated as ceiling | public read -5lb

Today's conditions match 45% Conditions ask questions

Trip / ground 38%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Class Question Handicap

Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs2/3

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandGood

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --

Good 2 0W / 1P Peak rating --

Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Placement evidence 47% Intent unclear

Trip evidence 24%

Class fit 50%

Mark room 37%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questionsCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -8lb | peak -1lb treated as ceiling | public read -5lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -8lb | peak -1lb treated as ceiling | public read -5lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 75 | Latest FFR 67 | Best FFR 74 | Public mark read -5

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Donnacha Aidan O'Brien

Jockey Paddy Harnett(5)

Age 2

Draw 5

OR 75

Avg OR 72.5

OR vs Field +2.5

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 324

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0

Variance Developing Consistency developing

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile2

DEIE

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
11-06-2026	Leopardstown (IRE)	Soft	3	1:38.12	98.1
17-07-2026	Down Royal (IRE)	Good	4	1:29.84	89.8

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 44% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 32 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window

Ground timing match 1/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP4/1

OwnerBarry Fowler

Pedigree

Supremacy × Kendannemarie (Kendargent)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.1L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
17-07-2026	Down Royal (IRE)	4	1.2	Neutral finish
02-07-2026	Bellewstown (IRE)	2	1.2	Neutral finish
11-06-2026	Leopardstown (IRE)	3	4	Neutral finish

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Trip evidence building

Similar-trip runs2

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par1m 32.11s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times1:38.12 | 1:29.84

Recent positions3 | 4

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
17-07-2026	Down Royal (IRE) \| 7f \| Good \| --	4	4/1	--	--	--	1.2	--	GREY - no timing read
02-07-2026	Bellewstown (IRE) \| 8f \| Good \| --	2	3/1	--	--	--	1.2	--	GREY - no timing read
11-06-2026	Leopardstown (IRE) \| 7f \| Soft \| --	3	4/1	--	--	--	4	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -8lb | peak -1lb treated as ceiling | public read -5lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 94.2 and winning TS par is around 52.6. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Eighteenth Smiles Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 35.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 35.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3-12-5-5-5

FFR62 / -8lb

Speed--

Franked4

Ground0/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw3

Wgt9st 7lb

Someday Somewhere Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 21.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 21.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-3

FFR63 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw2

Wgt9st 2lb

Honey Deuce Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 9.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 9.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form9-6

FFR37 / --

Speed--

Franked2

Ground1/2 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw1

Wgt9st 2lb

Green Sparkle Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 7.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 7.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form10-9

FFR38 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground2/2 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw12

Wgt9st 2lb

Matavai Bay Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 6.2

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 6.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6-10

FFR55 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw8

Wgt9st 2lb

Luca Brillante Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 5.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 5.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7-6

FFR59 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground2/2 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw9

Wgt9st 2lb

Prince Of Peppard Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 4.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 4.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6-9

FFR55 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground2/2 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw4

Wgt9st 7lb

Pints Of Glory Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 2.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Watch only 2.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete

Form6-4

FFR59 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground2/2 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw10

Wgt9st 7lb

Nando Royale Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 1.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 1.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3-6

FFR66 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw7

Wgt9st 7lb

Captain James Cook Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 0.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7-12

FFR51 / --

Speed--

Franked2

Ground2/2 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw6

Wgt9st 7lb

Hypiradon Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 0.5

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 0.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6-10

FFR61 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/2 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw11

Wgt9st 7lb

5:52 | Lingfield (AW)

5:52 | Lingfield (AW) | 6f

Class 6 | Standard | Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Race Confidence 73 SHORTLIST RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR56.410 rated runners | Top OR 60: Diamond Dreamer

Winning par1m 11.85s69 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupPOLYTRACK: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-60 | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Happier leads the contextual model at 37.0
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Clearer top profile: +8.0 gap to nearest rival
Winning-time par: 1m 11.85s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 10 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	HappierRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	54.0	1-1-7-9-4-11 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 12-08-2026 Ffos LasClass 6 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result1 SP9/2 JockeyJack Doughty OR55 FFR38 SS89 31-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result1 SP7/4F JockeyJack Doughty OR50 FFR55 SS95 21-07-2026 SalisburyClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 4lb Result7 btn 0.3L SP9/1 JockeyMr Harry Hoyles OR50 FFR35 SS99 29-06-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result9 btn 2.2L SP17/2 JockeyTom Marquand OR52 FFR47 SS84 15-06-2026 WetherbyClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result4 btn 2.2L SP6/1 JockeySam James OR54 FFR67 SS102 01-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 4lb Result11 btn 0.5L SP66/1 JockeyDougie Costello OR55 FFR66 SS93	9st 9lb	5	OR 55	66	+11lb	54	9/4	+13.4	Quick return	Up in trip	Modest field	--	59%	69%	2/6	93	D	Well treated +12	PRICE DEPENDENT
2	Balon d'OrRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	44.8	4-8-4-6-7-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 04-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 4lb Result4 btn 0.5L SP33/1 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR60 FFR74 SS96 09-07-2026 Epsom DownsClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result8 btn 3L SP22/1 JockeyTyler Heard OR62 FFR73 SS98 04-06-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result4 btn 0.3L SP18/1 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR63 FFR71 SS97 20-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.5L SP12/1 JockeyJames Glennon OR65 FFR59 SS99 24-01-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.5L SP25/1 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR67 FFR58 SS96 31-12-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 1.5L SP50/1 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR69 FFR55 SS96	9st 7lb	1	OR 58	55	-3lb	65	13/2	+4.6	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	53%	57%	2/6	96	D	Near mark +0	WATCH ONLY
3	Due DateRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	31.8	2-6-7-7-12-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 04-07-2026 LeicesterClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP9/1 JockeyKieran O'Neill OR55 FFR71 SS92 06-05-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 6lb Result6 btn 1.5L SP33/1 JockeyGeorge Wood OR57 FFR69 SS92 17-04-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.3L SP28/1 JockeyCieren Fallon OR60 FFR72 SS98 04-04-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 1.2L SP40/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR62 FFR67 SS98 25-03-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result12 btn 2.2L SP80/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR64 FFR51 SS96 03-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result8 btn 2.2L SP50/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR66 FFR63 SS93	9st 5lb	2	OR 56	63	+7lb	35	9.4	+4.6	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	62%	65%	2/6	93	A	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Express TrainRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	17.8	7-9-3-6-7-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 04-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result7 btn 1.8L SP50/1 JockeyRobert Havlin OR63 FFR63 SS104 30-01-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 1L SP14/1 JockeyP J McDonald OR67 FFR68 SS92 16-01-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 1L SP14/1 JockeyAlfie Redman OR68 FFR67 SS99 02-01-2026 Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 8L SP25/1 JockeyAlfie Redman OR72 FFR82 SS93 10-12-2025 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result7 btn 4L SP9/1 JockeyCallum Hutchinson OR75 FFR69 SS99 28-09-2025 Santa Anita (USA)-- \| 1m1f \| Fast Wgt-- Result6 btn 3.8L SP28/1 JockeyHector I Berrios OR-- FFR38 SS97	9st 9lb	3	OR 60	38	-22lb	57	18/1	-5.9	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	55%	52%	1/6	97	A	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
5	PorfinRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	16.8	5-5-4-5-4-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 13-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP12/1 JockeyGrace McEntee OR46 FFR64 SS100 28-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 1.8L SP22/1 JockeyConnor Planas OR48 FFR77 SS99 05-06-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5.5f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 2.2L SP22/1 JockeyGrace McEntee OR49 FFR72 SS90 30-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.3L SP5/1 JockeyConnor Planas OR51 FFR52 SS100 25-02-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 1L SP7/2 JockeyConnor Planas OR52 FFR51 SS100 23-02-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result10 btn 3.5L SP10/1 JockeyConnor Planas OR52 FFR52 SS96	8st 9lb	6	OR 46	52	+6lb	46	16/1	-8.6	Quick return	Same trip	Modest field	--	60%	66%	1/6	96	B	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Diamond DreamerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	16.0	6-7-3-6-2-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 04-06-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result6 btn 1L SP3/1 JockeySean Levey OR65 FFR77 SS92 11-05-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result7 btn 3.2L SP18/1 JockeyKieran Shoemark OR66 FFR85 SS88 27-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.2L SP10/1 JockeyKieran Shoemark OR66 FFR67 SS98 26-03-2026 Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 4.5L SP7/2 JockeyDaniel Muscutt OR67 FFR76 SS102 05-03-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.5L SP5/2 JockeySean Levey OR66 FFR47 SS94 14-02-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 1.2L SP11/1 JockeyDaniel Muscutt OR67 FFR51 SS91	9st 9lb	10	OR 60	51	-9lb	30	11	-4.1	Freshened up	Up in trip	Modest field	--	54%	59%	2/6	91	A	Stiff -6	WATCH ONLY
7	Dashing DonkeyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	15.8	9-4-12-5-10-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 30-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 11lb Result9 btn 2.8L SP9/1 JockeyJosephine Gordon OR57 FFR78 SS101 04-06-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 1.5L SP4/1 JockeyMarco Ghiani OR58 FFR69 SS98 11-04-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 1m \| Good Wgt-- Result12 btn 1L SP5/1 JockeyGeorgia Dobie OR60 FFR75 SS101 04-03-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.3L SP11/1 JockeyAlistair Rawlinson OR62 FFR64 SS100 04-01-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result10 btn 0.2L SP14/1 JockeyGeorgia Dobie OR63 FFR55 SS100 17-12-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.8L SP9/2 JockeyPierre-Louis Jamin OR64 FFR38 SS94	9st 4lb	4	OR 55	38	-17lb	65	4/1	-7.9	Standard rest	Down in trip	Modest field	--	47%	49%	1/6	94	D	Stiff -14	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Peregrine FalconRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	14.8	6-3-5-3-2-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 31-07-2026 MusselburghClass 6 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result6 btn 7.5L SP22/1 JockeyHarry Burns OR61 FFR76 SS96 04-06-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 6lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP7/2 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR62 FFR80 SS102 21-05-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt8st 12lb Result5 btn 1.2L SP22/1 JockeyRyan Kavanagh OR64 FFR80 SS103 14-02-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.1L SP5/2 JockeyRyan Kavanagh OR64 FFR47 SS102 09-02-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 3L SP17/2 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR64 FFR62 SS95 08-12-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.2L SP12/1 JockeyCian Horgan OR65 FFR31 SS95	9st 8lb	8	OR 59	31	-28lb	58	18/1	+4.1	Standard rest	Up in trip	Modest field	--	46%	43%	0/6	95	D	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
9	AlashosRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	13.8	7-4-1-8-4-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 22-06-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 12lb Result7 btn 0.2L SP5/1 JockeyHarry Vigors OR58 FFR72 SS101 23-05-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 0.5L SP20/1 JockeyRowan Scott OR58 FFR78 SS95 30-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP7/1 JockeyWilliam Carson OR52 FFR65 SS100 25-03-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result8 btn 0.5L SP14/1 JockeyRobert Havlin OR53 FFR80 SS102 04-03-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.2L SP4/1 JockeyJack Dace OR53 FFR57 SS91 04-02-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.5L SP8/1 JockeyRobert Havlin OR55 FFR43 SS99	9st 6lb	7	OR 57	43	-14lb	61	15/2	+5.4	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	50%	0/6	99	C	Stiff -11	CAUTION PROFILE
10	Big BardRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	3.0	6-11-9-1-7-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 10-06-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 6f \| Soft Wgt8st 12lb Result6 btn 3.2L SP16/1 JockeyJude Fernandes OR60 FFR69 SS92 08-04-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result11 btn 0.5L SP40/1 JockeyJude Fernandes OR62 FFR54 SS98 02-03-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.8L SP22/1 JockeyPaddy Bradley OR62 FFR77 SS80 28-01-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result1 SP17/2 JockeyMiss Ella Smart OR60 FFR62 SS93 18-12-2025 Chelmsford (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 3.2L SP33/1 JockeyJude Fernandes OR62 FFR64 SS94 30-10-2025 BathClass 6 \| 5f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result6 btn 1L SP14/1 JockeyToby Moore OR63 FFR36 SS97	9st 7lb	9	OR 58	36	-22lb	36	14/1	-5.6	Layoff check	Same trip	Modest field	--	54%	53%	2/6	97	A	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Happier

Happier profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Balon d'Or

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Happier Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 54.0

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Best of a weak race 54.0 confidence

Why consider23 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form1-1-7-9-4-11

FFR66 / +11lb

Speed93

Franked54

Ground2/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 9lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Ffos Las Strong run 12-08-2026

1 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 31-07-2026

7 Salisbury Competitive 21-07-2026

9 Windsor Run faded 29-06-2026

4 Wetherby Competitive 15-06-2026

11 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 01-06-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating54

5winners since

4placers since

14evidence pts

06-01-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 11

Race produced winner

Reputation (IRE), Rosemarys Rose (IRE)

Later placers

Good Karma (GB) (03-03-2026), Lessay (IRE) (05-08-2026)

08-12-2025 | Hamilton Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Fortunate Star (IRE), Hard Nut (IRE), Sixcor (GB)

Race produced winner

Fortunate Star (IRE), Thornaby Pearl (GB)

08-05-2025 | Catterick Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Azucena (IRE), Brazen Belle (GB), Doralee (GB)

Race produced winner

Doralee (GB)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement2/6

FFR66

Speed93

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+11lb ahead of mark

FFR 66 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

93 Par 100

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score37.0Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI DHIGH

Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR

Today's conditions match 59% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 52%

Class 55%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Pace shape

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandGood

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 20 0W / 5P Peak rating 73

Good 7 2W / 3P Peak rating 68

Fast 6 1W / 2P Peak rating 76

All-weather 5 2W / 3P Peak rating 70

Placement evidence 69% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 60%

Class fit 57%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 76%

23 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 55 | Latest FFR 66 | Best FFR 67 | Public mark read +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Martin Keighley

Jockey Toby Moore(7)

Age 6

Draw 5

OR 55

Avg OR 56.4

OR vs Field -1.4

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 49611

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.0

Variance Reliable 6.4% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 1.8 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile23

DEID

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
28-10-2025	Catterick	Soft	9	1:19.31	79.3
03-12-2025	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	2	1:11.42	71.4
15-12-2025	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	6	1:13.14	73.1

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+1.0 micro score

Trainer RTF 64% Yard in a positive recent rhythm

Freshness 6 days Quick return

Micro score +1.0 trainer RTF positive at 64%; recent distance evidence matches today's ground; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP9/2

OwnerMartin Keighley Racing Club

Pedigree

Profitable × Joy For Life (Pivotal)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.1L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
12-08-2026	Ffos Las	1	0	Neutral finish
31-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	1	0	Neutral finish
21-07-2026	Salisbury	7	0.3	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.

01-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 55

15-06-2026 | Wetherby

Rating -- OR 54

29-06-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 52

21-07-2026 | Salisbury

Rating -- OR 50

31-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 50

12-08-2026 | Ffos Las

Rating -- OR 55

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs23

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 11.85s

Last win at trip1:11.50 | Redcar | 29-05-2023

Recent times1:19.31 | 1:11.42 | 1:13.14

Recent positions9 | 2 | 6

Winning contextvs par -0.35s

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
12-08-2026	Ffos Las \| 5f \| Good \| Class 6	1	9/2	55	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
31-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 5f \| Standard \| Class 6	1	7/4F	50	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
21-07-2026	Salisbury \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	7	9/1	50	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
29-06-2026	Windsor \| 5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	9	17/2	52	--	--	2.2	--	GREY - no timing read
15-06-2026	Wetherby \| 5.5f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	4	6/1	54	--	--	2.2	--	GREY - no timing read
01-06-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 6	11	66/1	55	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Well treated

Latest FFR read +12lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 65.4 and winning TS par is around 48.1. Runner versus par: rating edge +0.6. Benchmark fit: 1.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Balon d'Or Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 44.8

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 44.8 confidence

Why consider19 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form4-8-4-6-7-6

FFR55 / -3lb

Speed96

Franked65

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 7lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

4 Lingfield (AW) Competitive 04-08-2026

8 Epsom Downs Competitive 09-07-2026

4 Lingfield (AW) Competitive 04-06-2026

6 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 20-04-2026

7 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 24-01-2026

6 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 31-12-2025

Race form proof Strongly franked

Strong franked form

Proof rating65

6winners since

4placers since

15evidence pts

08-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Express Train (IRE), Federal Envoy (IRE), Havana Sky (GB)

Race produced winner

Style King (IRE), Twilight Madness (GB)

Later placers

Elvetham (IRE) (06-05-2026), Reposado (GB) (03-06-2026)

06-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Desdemona (GB), Diamond Dreamer (GB), Style King (IRE)

Race produced winner

Desdemona (GB), Style King (IRE)

Later placers

Diamond Dreamer (GB) (03-05-2026)

09-12-2025 | Chester Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Count dOrsay (IRE), Giant (GB), Hallowed Time (IRE)

Race produced winner

South Shore (GB), Twirler (GB)

Later placers

Giant (GB) (04-07-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Status WATCH ONLY

Agreement2/6

FFR55

Speed96

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-3lb near mark

FFR 55 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

96 Par 100

Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score28.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI DHIGH

Mark readNear markLatest -3lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +0lb

Today's conditions match 53% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 52%

Class 55%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 58%

Best fit Handicap Question Pace shape

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs5/6

Best similar rating58

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 10 1W / 3P Peak rating 87

Good 9 2W / 3P Peak rating 86

Fast 5 0W / 1P Peak rating 90

All-weather 13 0W / 1P Peak rating 87

Placement evidence 57% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 60%

Class fit 57%

Mark room 52%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 50%

19 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest -3lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +0lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest -3lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +0lb

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 58 | Latest FFR 55 | Best FFR 74 | Public mark read 0

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Simon Dow

Jockey Paddy Bradley

Age 5

Draw 1

OR 58

Avg OR 56.4

OR vs Field +1.6

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form -76484

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +0.8

Variance Very steady 1.3% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Below requirement -1 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile19

DEID

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
31-12-2025	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	6	1:11.78	71.8
09-07-2026	Epsom	Good To Firm	8	1:10.23	70.2
04-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	4	1:11.13	71.1

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 19% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 14 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.8 trainer RTF cold at 19%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP33/1

OwnerSnell And Fox Partnership

Pedigree

Kodiac × Usra (Requinto)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.3L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
04-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	4	0.5	Neutral finish
09-07-2026	Epsom Downs	8	3	Neutral finish
04-06-2026	Lingfield (AW)	4	0.3	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 3 runs with an official OR.

31-12-2025 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 58 OR 69

24-01-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 57 OR 67

20-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 56 OR 65

04-06-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating -- OR 63

09-07-2026 | Epsom Downs

Rating -- OR 62

04-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating -- OR 60

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs19

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 11.85s

Last win at trip1:15.50 | Chester | 12-09-2025

Recent times1:11.78 | 1:10.23 | 1:11.13

Recent positions6 | 8 | 4

Winning contextvs par +3.65s | OR 65

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
04-08-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	4	33/1	60	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
09-07-2026	Epsom Downs \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	8	22/1	62	--	--	3	--	GREY - no timing read
04-06-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 5f \| Standard \| Class 6	4	18/1	63	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
20-04-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 5f \| Standard \| Class 6	6	12/1	65	56	31	0.5	0:59.49	GOLD - faster than par
24-01-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 5f \| Standard \| Class 5	7	25/1	67	57	44	0.5	0:59.09	GOLD - faster than par
31-12-2025	Lingfield (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	6	50/1	69	58	56	1.5	1:11.78	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Near mark

Latest -3lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +0lb.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 65.4 and winning TS par is around 48.1. Runner versus par: rating edge +0.6. Benchmark fit: 1.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Due Date Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 31.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 31.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-6-7-7-12-8

FFR63 / +7lb

Speed93

Franked35

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 5lb

Express Train Distance specialist

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 17.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 17.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form7-9-3-6-7-6

FFR38 / -22lb

Speed97

Franked57

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 9lb

Porfin Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 16.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 16.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form5-5-4-5-4-10

FFR52 / +6lb

Speed96

Franked46

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt8st 9lb

Diamond Dreamer Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 16.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Watch only 16.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form6-7-3-6-2-3

FFR51 / -9lb

Speed91

Franked30

Ground3/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassSame class

Draw10

Wgt9st 9lb

Dashing Donkey Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 15.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Watch only 15.8 confidence

Why consider13 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form9-4-12-5-10-4

FFR38 / -17lb

Speed94

Franked65

Ground3/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 4lb

Peregrine Falcon Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 14.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Watch only 14.8 confidence

Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form6-3-5-3-2-6

FFR31 / -28lb

Speed95

Franked58

Ground2/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 8lb

Alashos Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 13.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 13.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (C)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form7-4-1-8-4-4

FFR43 / -14lb

Speed99

Franked61

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 6lb

Big Bard Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 3.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Watch only 3.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form6-11-9-1-7-6

FFR36 / -22lb

Speed97

Franked36

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw9

Wgt9st 7lb

6:00 | Wolverhampton (AW)

6:00 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f

Class 4 | Standard | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 17 WATCH ONLY

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR--0 rated runners | No official ratings yet

Winning par1m 28.52s54 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupTAPETA: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Brazilian Blitz leads the contextual model at 9.0
Decision type: Watch only - Needs more proof
Winning-time par: 1m 28.52s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 12 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Brazilian BlitzRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	9.0	9-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 27-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 2 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 1lb Result9 btn 1.5L SP66/1 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR-- FFR49 SS-- 25-06-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 7lb Result7 btn 3.2L SP17/2 JockeyJonny Peate OR-- FFR63 SS--	9st 4lb	10	OR --	63	--	0	150/1	+0.5	Standard rest	Same trip	Field strength developing	--	48%	45%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
2	Dark DetectiveRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.5	-- Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.	9st 7lb	9	OR --	--	--	0	30/1	+0	Rest developing	Trip move developing	Field strength developing	--	50%	53%	0/6	--	UNKNOWN	Developing	WATCH ONLY
3	BackmeifyoucanRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.2	8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 23-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result8 btn 1L SP28/1 JockeyJason Hart OR-- FFR44 SS--	9st 7lb	3	OR --	44	--	0	22/1	-0.2	Standard rest	Up in trip	Field strength developing	--	48%	51%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
4	L B Double URun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.2	6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 23-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result6 btn 4.2L SP17/2 JockeyPierre-Louis Jamin OR-- FFR50 SS--	9st 7lb	6	OR --	50	--	0	17/2	-0.2	Standard rest	Up in trip	Field strength developing	--	48%	51%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
5	MaliquiRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.0	-- Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.	9st 7lb	8	OR --	--	--	0	4.3	+2.5	Rest developing	Trip move developing	Field strength developing	--	50%	53%	0/6	--	UNKNOWN	Developing	WATCH ONLY
6	Arlecchino's MoonRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.0	8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 29-06-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 4lb Result8 btn 1.5L SP28/1 JockeyGeorge Bass OR-- FFR44 SS--	9st 7lb	11	OR --	44	--	0	70/1	-0.5	Freshened up	Same trip	Field strength developing	--	48%	50%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
7	Spes Durat AvorumRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	5.5	9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 02-08-2026 YarmouthClass 2 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result9 btn 3.5L SP80/1 JockeyJonny Peate OR-- FFR62 SS--	9st 7lb	1	OR --	62	--	11	110/1	-3	Standard rest	Same trip	Field strength developing	--	48%	54%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
8	April's LuckRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	5.5	12 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 10-08-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard / Slow Wgt9st 2lb Result12 btn 3.2L SP40/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR-- FFR39 SS--	9st 2lb	2	OR --	39	--	0	125/1	-3	Standard rest	Same trip	Field strength developing	--	48%	52%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
9	Chaise LongueRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleTight decision	4.0	5-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 08-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 4 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 3.5L SP12/1 JockeyJason Watson OR-- FFR53 SS-- 09-07-2026 Epsom DownsClass 4 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result8 btn 0.5L SP18/1 JockeyJack Doughty OR-- FFR63 SS--	9st 2lb	7	OR --	63	--	0	18	+3.8	Standard rest	Down in trip	Field strength developing	--	48%	54%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
10	Without FailRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	3.2	10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 10-08-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard / Slow Wgt9st 7lb Result10 btn 0.3L SP40/1 JockeyRoss Coakley OR-- FFR46 SS--	9st 7lb	12	OR --	46	--	0	40/1	-5.2	Standard rest	Same trip	Field strength developing	--	48%	55%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
11	JavelotRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	2.2	4-7-6-16 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 02-08-2026 YarmouthClass 2 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result4 btn 4.2L SP13/2 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR-- FFR78 SS114 10-04-2025 Auteuil (FR)-- \| 2m2½f \| Very Soft Wgt-- Result7 btn 1.2L SP68/10 JockeyTheo Chevillard OR-- FFR89 SS85 24-03-2025 Compiegne (FR)-- \| 2m3½f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result6 btn 3L SP37/10 JockeyTheo Chevillard OR-- FFR108 SS83 30-10-2024 Auteuil (FR)-- \| 2m2½f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result-- SP21/1 JockeyLudovic Philipperon OR-- FFR87 SS116 03-10-2024 Compiegne (FR)-- \| 2m2f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result16 btn 5L SP44/1 JockeyLudovic Philipperon OR-- FFR82 SS95 21-04-2024 Auteuil (FR)-- \| -- \| Heavy Wgt-- Result-- SP37/10 JockeyFrancesco Mula OR-- FFR86 SS90	9st 7lb	5	OR --	86	--	15	2.72	+2.8	Standard rest	Same trip	Field strength developing	--	48%	54%	0/6	90	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
12	PeaberryRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	1.0	5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 27-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 2 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 4lb Result5 btn 1.2L SP20/1 JockeySean Levey OR-- FFR88 SS--	9st 7lb	4	OR --	88	--	0	3/1	+2.3	Standard rest	Same trip	Field strength developing	--	48%	50%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY

Main Context Fit Brazilian Blitz

Brazilian Blitz profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Dark Detective

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Brazilian Blitz Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 9.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 9.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form9-7

FFR63 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground2/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassDown in class

Draw10

Wgt9st 4lb

Dark Detective Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 8.5

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 8.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete

Form--

FFR-- / --

Speed--

Franked0

GroundGround evidence developing

TripTrip move developing

ClassClass move developing

Draw9

Wgt9st 7lb

Backmeifyoucan Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 8.2

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 8.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8

FFR44 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassUp in class

Draw3

Wgt9st 7lb

L B Double U Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 8.2

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 8.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6

FFR50 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassUp in class

Draw6

Wgt9st 7lb

Maliqui Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 8.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 8.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete

Form--

FFR-- / --

Speed--

Franked0

GroundGround evidence developing

TripTrip move developing

ClassClass move developing

Draw8

Wgt9st 7lb

Arlecchino's Moon Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 8.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 8.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8

FFR44 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw11

Wgt9st 7lb

Spes Durat Avorum Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 5.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 5.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form9

FFR62 / --

Speed--

Franked11

Ground0/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassDown in class

Draw1

Wgt9st 7lb

April's Luck Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 5.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 5.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form12

FFR39 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 2lb

Chaise Longue Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 4.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Tight decision 4.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5-8

FFR63 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 2lb

Without Fail Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 3.2

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 3.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form10

FFR46 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw12

Wgt9st 7lb

Javelot Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 2.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 2.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-7-6-16

FFR86 / --

Speed90

Franked15

Ground0/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassDown in class

Draw5

Wgt9st 7lb

Peaberry Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 1.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 1.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5

FFR88 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassDown in class

Draw4

Wgt9st 7lb

6:15 | Roscommon

6:15 | Roscommon | 7.5f

| Good | Irish EBF Auction Series Race

Race Confidence 53 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR86.73 rated runners | Top OR 92: Seven Nation Army

Winning par1m 32.11s576 race distance-only sample | approximate

SetupGOOD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Oristown Boy leads the contextual model at 31.2
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Winning-time par: 1m 32.11s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 9 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Oristown BoyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	47.0	1-4-13 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 02-08-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Yielding Wgt8st 8lb Result1 SP15/2 JockeyRory Mulligan OR-- FFR32 SS-- 19-06-2026 Down Royal (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Soft Wgt8st 9lb Result4 btn 0.3L SP80/1 JockeyYudish Geerdharry OR-- FFR73 SS-- 12-06-2026 Fairyhouse (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt8st 13lb Result13 btn 1L SP66/1 JockeySiobhan Rutledge OR-- FFR80 SS--	9st 4lb	8	OR 84	80	-4lb	0	12	+11	Standard rest	Down in trip	Strong field	--	49%	55%	1/6	--	C	Stiff -4	CAUTION PROFILE
2	Sword Of StateRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	27.0	1-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 25-07-2026 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt8st 10lb Result1 SP18/1 JockeyRory Cleary OR-- FFR63 SS-- 19-07-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result7 btn 0.5L SP200/1 JockeyRory Cleary OR-- FFR79 SS--	9st 1lb	3	OR --	79	--	0	5/1	+2	Standard rest	Down in trip	Strong field	--	52%	53%	0/6	--	C	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Lars SoldierRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	23.2	2-4-3-5-1-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 24-07-2026 Cork (IRE)-- \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result2 btn 1.2L SP11/1 JockeyWesley Joyce OR86 FFR60 SS76 19-07-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 3.5L SP7/2 JockeyWesley Joyce OR86 FFR84 SS94 28-05-2026 Fairyhouse (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result3 btn 1.5L SP2/1 JockeyWesley Joyce OR-- FFR59 SS-- 24-05-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 5lb Result5 btn 3L SP33/1 JockeyWesley Joyce OR-- FFR63 SS-- 03-04-2026 Curragh-- \| 5f \| Soft To Heavy Wgt-- Result1 SP18/1 JockeyWesley Joyce OR-- FFR66 SS-- 15-03-2026 Curragh-- \| 5f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result4 btn 4.5L SP16/1 JockeyWesley Joyce OR-- FFR74 SS--	9st 4lb	7	OR 84	74	-10lb	19	12	+16	Standard rest	Big step up	Strong field	--	45%	50%	0/6	94	E	Stiff -7	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Seven Nation ArmyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	17.0	1-2-6-8-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 30-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Yielding To Soft Wgt9st 11lb Result1 SP13/8F JockeyJ M Sheridan OR79 FFR53 SS-- 19-07-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result2 btn 0.2L SP8/1 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR74 FFR38 SS-- 19-05-2026 Cork (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Soft Wgt9st 9lb Result6 btn 2.2L SP22/1 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR-- FFR58 SS-- 16-05-2026 Navan (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 5lb Result8 btn 0.1L SP28/1 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR-- FFR76 SS-- 11-05-2026 Roscommon (IRE)-- \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt9st 0lb Result8 btn 0.8L SP17/2 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR-- FFR81 SS--	9st 12lb	5	OR 92	81	-11lb	0	4.9	+17.5	Standard rest	Down in trip	Strong field	--	46%	45%	0/6	--	D	Stiff -11	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Emotional HedgingRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	13.8	2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 05-08-2026 Sligo (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Yielding Wgt9st 1lb Result2 btn 1L SP11/1 JockeyGary Carroll OR-- FFR74 SS--	9st 1lb	4	OR --	74	--	0	8.4	-6.5	Standard rest	Up in trip	Strong field	--	49%	50%	0/6	--	D	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Noble AgendaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	13.5	1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 19-06-2026 Down Royal (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Soft Wgt8st 13lb Result1 SP12/1 JockeyRory Mulligan OR-- FFR79 SS--	9st 8lb	6	OR --	79	--	0	8.2	-6.8	Freshened up	Down in trip	Strong field	--	49%	51%	0/6	--	D	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Gabby HayesRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	7.8	9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 02-08-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Yielding Wgt8st 13lb Result9 btn 0.5L SP40/1 JockeySiobhan Rutledge OR-- FFR46 SS--	8st 13lb	1	OR --	46	--	0	80/1	-12.5	Standard rest	Down in trip	Strong field	--	46%	45%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Grit And GloryRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	3.8	12 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 16-07-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result12 btn 1.2L SP14/1 JockeyW J Lee OR-- FFR41 SS--	9st 1lb	2	OR --	41	--	0	40/1	-16.5	Freshened up	Down in trip	Strong field	--	46%	46%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
9	Green DreamerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	2.0	1-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 23-07-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result1 SP5/1 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR-- FFR68 SS-- 13-07-2026 Killarney-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 1.8L SP33/1 JockeyDeclan McDonogh OR-- FFR81 SS--	9st 10lb	9	OR --	81	--	0	2/1	-4	Standard rest	Down in trip	Strong field	--	52%	51%	0/6	--	C	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Oristown Boy

Oristown Boy profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Sword Of State

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Oristown Boy Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 47.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 47.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form1-4-13

FFR80 / -4lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground0/2 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw8

Wgt9st 4lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Galway (IRE) Finished well 02-08-2026

4 Down Royal (IRE) Finished well 19-06-2026

13 Fairyhouse (IRE) Run faded 12-06-2026

Race form proof Some franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating0

0winners since

0placers since

2evidence pts

08-02-2026 | Galway (IRE) Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Dakota Jack (IRE), Gabby Hayes (IRE), Hypiradon (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR80

Speed--

ConditionsCaution

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-4lb below mark

FFR 80 pounds scale

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance evidence is thin

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score31.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI CLOW

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest FFR read -4lb versus today's OR

Today's conditions match 49% Conditions ask questions

Trip / ground 66%

Class 42%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs1/3

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandTesting

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 2 1W / 1P Peak rating --

Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Placement evidence 55% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 68%

Class fit 23%

Mark room 40%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 76%

Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concernCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest FFR read -4lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest FFR read -4lb versus today's OR

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 84 | Latest FFR 80 | Best FFR 80 | Public mark read -4

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Joseph Anthony Murray

Jockey Rory Mulligan(5)

Age 2

Draw 8

OR 84

Avg OR 86.7

OR vs Field -2.7

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 41

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0

Variance Developing Consistency developing

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile2

DEIC

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
19-06-2026	Down Royal (IRE)	Soft	4	1:33.27	93.3
02-08-2026	Galway (IRE)	Yielding	1	1:28.99	89

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 28% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 16 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.2 trainer RTF quiet at 28%; recent run fitness window

Ground timing match 0/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP15/2

OwnerKilberry & Trim Partnership

Pedigree

Inns Of Court × Billie Eria (Tamayuz)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.4L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
02-08-2026	Galway (IRE)	1	0	Fast finish
19-06-2026	Down Royal (IRE)	4	0.3	Fast finish
12-06-2026	Fairyhouse (IRE)	13	1	Run faded

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Trip evidence building

Similar-trip runs2

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par1m 32.11s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times1:33.27 | 1:28.99

Recent positions4 | 1

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
02-08-2026	Galway (IRE) \| 7f \| Yielding \| --	1	15/2	--	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
19-06-2026	Down Royal (IRE) \| 7f \| Soft \| --	4	80/1	--	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
12-06-2026	Fairyhouse (IRE) \| 6f \| Good \| --	13	66/1	--	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest FFR read -4lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score -2

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 94.2 and winning TS par is around 52.6. Runner versus par: rating edge -30.2. Benchmark fit: -1.5.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Sword Of State Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 27.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 27.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form1-7

FFR79 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground2/2 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw3

Wgt9st 1lb

Lars Soldier Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 23.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 23.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form2-4-3-5-1-4

FFR74 / -10lb

Speed94

Franked19

Ground3/3 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassClass move developing

Draw7

Wgt9st 4lb

Seven Nation Army Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 17.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 17.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form1-2-6-8-8

FFR81 / -11lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw5

Wgt9st 12lb

Emotional Hedging Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 13.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Watch only 13.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2

FFR74 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw4

Wgt9st 1lb

Noble Agenda Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 13.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 13.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form1

FFR79 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw6

Wgt9st 8lb

Gabby Hayes Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 7.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 7.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form9

FFR46 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw1

Wgt8st 13lb

Grit And Glory Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 3.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 3.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form12

FFR41 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw2

Wgt9st 1lb

Green Dreamer Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 2.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Watch only 2.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form1-5

FFR81 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground2/2 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw9

Wgt9st 10lb

6:22 | Lingfield (AW)

6:22 | Lingfield (AW) | 6f

Class 6 | Standard | Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Race Confidence 51 WATCH ONLY

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR56.79 rated runners | Top OR 60: Twilight Madness

Winning par1m 11.85s69 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupPOLYTRACK: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-60 | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Walking On Clouds leads the contextual model at 35.8
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Winning-time par: 1m 11.85s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 9 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Walking On CloudsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	56.0	1-7-1-3-5-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 07-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result1 SP6/1 JockeyJoey Haynes OR55 FFR64 SS84 11-06-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 6f \| Soft Wgt9st 5lb Result7 btn 2L SP9/2 JockeyJoey Haynes OR51 FFR75 SS93 01-06-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 1lb Result1 SP9/2 JockeyCallum Hutchinson OR47 FFR74 SS96 30-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.5L SP9/2 JockeyJoey Haynes OR48 FFR66 SS94 24-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.5L SP15/8F JockeyJoey Haynes OR50 FFR41 SS100 24-02-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 3.5L SP28/1 JockeyJoey Haynes OR54 FFR67 SS97	9st 7lb	3	OR 58	67	+9lb	17	6	+6.4	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	65%	71%	2/6	97	A	Well treated +12	WATCH ONLY
2	Court Of SessionRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleContext over ratings	42.8	6-8-1-7-12-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 11-06-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 6f \| Soft Wgt9st 10lb Result6 btn 0.5L SP4/1 JockeyJack Callan OR59 FFR63 SS99 10-06-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 6f \| Soft Wgt9st 4lb Result8 btn 2.2L SP5/1 JockeyCieren Fallon OR59 FFR65 SS93 03-06-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result1 SP14/1 JockeyCieren Fallon OR55 FFR47 SS99 06-05-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 3lb Result7 btn 1L SP33/1 JockeyConnor Planas OR57 FFR67 SS96 10-04-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result12 btn 1L SP25/1 JockeyConnor Planas OR58 FFR27 SS94 28-03-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result10 btn 1.5L SP33/1 JockeyGrace McEntee OR60 FFR48 SS94	9st 7lb	8	OR 58	48	-10lb	30	8/1	+2.1	Layoff check	Same trip	Modest field	--	49%	54%	1/6	94	C	Stiff -7	WATCH ONLY
3	Chasing GoldRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	37.8	2-4-1-3-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 23-07-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP11/2 JockeyDaniel Muscutt OR58 FFR77 SS95 22-06-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result4 btn 2L SP12/1 JockeyTaylor Fisher OR58 FFR80 SS96 11-06-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 6f \| Soft Wgt9st 8lb Result1 SP11/2 JockeyTaylor Fisher OR54 FFR63 SS95 19-05-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 5f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 8lb Result-- SP14/1 JockeyDarragh Keenan OR54 FFR68 SS101 17-12-2025 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.3L SP100/30 JockeyDaniel Muscutt OR53 FFR46 SS96 15-12-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.2L SP9/1 JockeyDaniel Muscutt OR53 FFR63 SS103	9st 8lb	4	OR 59	63	+4lb	68	5.7	+2.9	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	63%	67%	0/6	103	B	Well treated +10	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Von KrolockRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	36.8	2-6-1-3-2-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 29-07-2026 LeicesterClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result2 btn 2L SP11/2 JockeyChristian Howarth OR56 FFR77 SS93 25-04-2026 LeicesterClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.1L SP100/30F JockeyChristian Howarth OR57 FFR77 SS95 06-04-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP9/2 JockeyHector Crouch OR51 FFR80 SS100 17-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.3L SP6/1 JockeyCallum Shepherd OR51 FFR83 SS104 11-03-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 1.8L SP11/1 JockeyChristian Howarth OR51 FFR70 SS102 23-02-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 1L SP11/2 JockeyAshley Lewis OR51 FFR58 SS96	9st 5lb	1	OR 56	58	+2lb	31	9/2	+7.9	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	57%	58%	1/6	96	C	Well treated +8	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Henry TudorRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	36.8	3-7-8-9-9-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 08-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 9lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP16/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR46 FFR79 SS91 14-07-2026 LeicesterClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result7 btn 1L SP11/2 JockeyAshley Lewis OR48 FFR62 SS97 30-06-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result8 btn 0.2L SP50/1 JockeyAshley Lewis OR51 FFR43 SS96 29-05-2026 BrightonClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result9 btn 0.1L SP25/1 JockeyJason Watson OR52 FFR28 SS92 11-03-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.1L SP16/1 JockeyDonagh Murphy OR52 FFR51 SS94 26-02-2026 Chelmsford (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP13/2 JockeyAshley Lewis OR46 FFR59 SS94	8st 9lb	6	OR 46	59	+13lb	28	11/1	+3.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	64%	66%	2/6	94	A	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
6	UnicoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	36.0	9-8-8-3-4-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 09-06-2026 SalisburyClass 5 \| 6f \| Soft Wgt8st 5lb Result9 btn 2L SP25/1 JockeySam Hitchcott OR57 FFR83 SS90 06-05-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 2lb Result8 btn 2.8L SP28/1 JockeyTaryn Langley OR58 FFR71 SS97 20-12-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result8 btn 1.2L SP10/1 JockeyHarry Davies OR59 FFR78 SS102 27-10-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.3L SP11/2 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR60 FFR69 SS85 07-10-2025 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.3L SP10/1 JockeyHarry Davies OR61 FFR38 SS102 15-09-2025 BrightonClass 6 \| 5½f \| Soft Wgt-- Result1 SP5/1 JockeyHarry Davies OR57 FFR33 SS92	9st 4lb	7	OR 55	33	-22lb	32	18/1	-2.4	Layoff check	Same trip	Modest field	--	52%	57%	2/6	92	B	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
7	WoolridgeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	29.8	9-3-8-8-2-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 20-06-2026 DoncasterClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result9 btn 1L SP25/1 JockeyChristian Howarth OR62 FFR81 SS102 01-05-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt8st 13lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP50/1 JockeyLaura Coughlan OR63 FFR81 SS90 10-03-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result8 btn 2.8L SP33/1 JockeyTaryn Langley OR65 FFR68 SS92 02-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result8 btn 0.5L SP17/2 JockeyKieran ONeill OR65 FFR70 SS98 09-01-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 2.5L SP10/1 JockeyJulian Pietropaolo OR65 FFR68 SS101 10-12-2025 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 5f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 1.2L SP3/1 JockeyW J Lee OR66 FFR41 SS94	9st 9lb	5	OR 60	41	-19lb	58	12/1	+2.1	Freshened up	Same trip	Modest field	--	49%	46%	1/6	94	D	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Twilight MadnessRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	14.8	6-12-8-9-1-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 04-08-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 0lb Result6 btn 1.8L SP33/1 JockeyCharlie Tucker OR63 FFR78 SS100 17-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt8st 11lb Result12 btn 2.2L SP50/1 JockeyCharlie Tucker OR65 FFR77 SS100 17-04-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result8 btn 6L SP7/1 JockeyAlistair Rawlinson OR66 FFR72 SS101 08-04-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.8L SP11/8F JockeyAshley Lewis OR66 FFR58 SS93 05-04-2026 BathClass 6 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result1 SP18/5 JockeyAlistair Rawlinson OR62 FFR31 SS101 16-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.1L SP9/1 JockeyAlistair Rawlinson OR63 FFR42 SS88	9st 9lb	2	OR 60	42	-18lb	20	14/1	-13.1	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	50%	52%	1/6	88	C	Stiff -15	CAUTION PROFILE
9	My Mate KevRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	12.8	7-6-5-12-9-12 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 19-05-2026 LingfieldClass 6 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 5lb Result7 btn 0.1L SP6/4F JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR59 FFR63 SS88 07-05-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result6 btn 0.2L SP6/4F JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR61 FFR63 SS90 21-04-2026 YarmouthClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.3L SP4/1 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR63 FFR71 SS96 29-03-2026 DoncasterClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result12 btn 2L SP8/1 JockeyMarco Ghiani OR65 FFR81 SS92 23-10-2025 Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.5L SP12/1 JockeyCieren Fallon OR68 FFR51 SS103 16-09-2025 YarmouthClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result12 btn 0.5L SP16/1 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR71 FFR37 SS109	9st 7lb	9	OR 58	37	-21lb	30	9/2	-9.4	Layoff check	Down in trip	Modest field	--	53%	50%	2/6	109	A	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Walking On Clouds

Walking On Clouds profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Court Of Session

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Walking On Clouds Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 56.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Best of a weak race 56.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form1-7-1-3-5-9

FFR67 / +9lb

Speed97

Franked17

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 7lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 07-07-2026

7 Yarmouth Competitive 11-06-2026

1 Lingfield (AW) Strong run 01-06-2026

3 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 30-04-2026

5 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 24-03-2026

9 Southwell (AW) Troubled run 24-02-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating17

1winners since

6placers since

11evidence pts

07-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Amaysmont (GB), Dr Ali (IRE), Dreamcrafter (FR)

Later placers

Dr Ali (IRE) (08-08-2026), Hellcat (GB) (05-08-2026)

01-07-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 7

Race produced winner

Sanditon (IRE)

Later placers

Henry Tudor (GB) (08-08-2026)

06-01-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Ashford Hill (GB), Dreamcrafter (FR), Griselda (IRE)

Later placers

Jackson Street (IRE) (08-01-2026), Southbank (IRE) (07-01-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Status WATCH ONLY

Agreement2/6

FFR67

Speed97

ConditionsPositive fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+9lb ahead of mark

FFR 67 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

97 Par 100

Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score35.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI AHIGH

Mark readWell treatedLatest +9lb | peak +17lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Today's conditions match 65% Positive conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Class

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs5/6

Best similar rating50

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 3 0W / 0P Peak rating 78

Good 1 1W / 1P Peak rating 89

Fast 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 83

All-weather 33 6W / 12P Peak rating 90

Placement evidence 71% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 43%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

Proven trip profile (A)35 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest +9lb | peak +17lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +9lb | peak +17lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 58 | Latest FFR 67 | Best FFR 75 | Public mark read +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Chelsea Banham

Jockey Joey Haynes

Age 7

Draw 3

OR 58

Avg OR 56.7

OR vs Field +1.3

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 953171

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.0

Variance Reliable 5.2% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 0.1 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile35

DEIA

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
01-06-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	1	1:11.69	71.7
11-06-2026	Yarmouth	Soft	7	1:17.10	77.1
07-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	1	1:14.16	74.2

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 48% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 42 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: b; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearbDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP6/1

OwnerPower Geneva (Equine) Ltd

Pedigree

Gale Force Ten × Aglaia (Invincible Spirit)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.7L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
07-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	1	0	Neutral finish
11-06-2026	Yarmouth	7	2	Neutral finish
01-06-2026	Lingfield (AW)	1	0	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 2 runs with an official OR.

24-02-2026 | Southwell (AW)

Rating 39 OR 54

24-03-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 50 OR 50

30-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating -- OR 48

01-06-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating -- OR 47

11-06-2026 | Yarmouth

Rating -- OR 51

07-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 55

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs35

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 11.85s

Last win at trip-- | Wolverhampton (AW) | 07-07-2026

Recent times1:11.69 | 1:17.10 | 1:14.16

Recent positions1 | 7 | 1

Winning contextOR 55 | weight 9-9

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
07-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	1	6/1	55	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
11-06-2026	Yarmouth \| 6f \| Soft \| Class 6	7	9/2	51	--	--	2	--	GREY - no timing read
01-06-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	1	9/2	47	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
30-04-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	3	9/2	48	--	38	0.5	1:12.45	GREEN - within 1% of par
24-03-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	5	15/8F	50	50	45	0.5	1:13.99	GREY - below benchmark
24-02-2026	Southwell (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	9	28/1	54	39	32	3.5	1:15.98	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Well treated

Latest +9lb | peak +17lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 65.4 and winning TS par is around 48.1. Runner versus par: rating edge -3.4. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Court Of Session Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 42.8

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Context over ratings 42.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (C)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form6-8-1-7-12-10

FFR48 / -10lb

Speed94

Franked30

Ground0/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 7lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

6 Yarmouth Competitive 11-06-2026

8 Yarmouth Competitive 10-06-2026

1 Nottingham Finished well 03-06-2026

7 Kempton (AW) Competitive 06-05-2026

12 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 10-04-2026

10 Southwell (AW) Run faded 28-03-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating30

3winners since

4placers since

13evidence pts

05-06-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 7

Beat named rivals

Lethal Blast (GB), Man On A Mission (GB), Unico (GB)

Race produced winner

Fletcher's Flight (IRE)

Later placers

Man On A Mission (GB) (02-08-2026)

02-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Diligent Henry (GB), Fistral Beach (IRE), Just King High (IRE)

Later placers

Bad Habits (IRE) (05-08-2026), Rain Cap (GB) (04-06-2026)

02-04-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 6

Beat named rivals

Adace (GB), Prefer The Sister (IRE), Pure Artistry (IRE)

Race produced winner

Prefer The Sister (IRE), Sanditon (IRE)

Later placers

Romanovich (IRE) (05-04-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Status WATCH ONLY

Agreement1/6

FFR48

Speed94

ConditionsCaution

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-10lb below mark

FFR 48 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

94 Par 100

Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeContext over ratingsThe raw rating/mark view is a caution, but other layers such as field edge, recent form, benchmark or memory keep it interesting.

Model score31.5Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI CHIGH

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -10lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -7lb

Today's conditions match 49% Conditions ask questions

Trip / ground 66%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 42%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating45

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 4 0W / 0P Peak rating 61

Good 6 1W / 3P Peak rating 65

Fast 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 64

All-weather 30 2W / 6P Peak rating 97

Placement evidence 54% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 78%

Class fit 43%

Mark room 31%

Stable setup 62%

Recent evidence 58%

Proven trip profile (C)13 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -10lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -7lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -10lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -7lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 58 | Latest FFR 48 | Best FFR 67 | Public mark read -7

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Phil McEntee

Jockey Cieren Fallon

Age 7

Draw 8

OR 58

Avg OR 56.7

OR vs Field +1.3

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 7186

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +0.8

Variance Very steady 2.4% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Below requirement -1.2 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile13

DEIC

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
03-06-2026	Nottingham	Good	1	1:15.50	75.5
10-06-2026	Yarmouth	Soft	8	1:14.61	74.6
11-06-2026	Yarmouth	Soft	6	1:16.70	76.7

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-1.5 micro score

Trainer RTF 13% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 68 days Standard layoff

Micro score -1.5 trainer RTF cold at 13%; no recent matched-ground timing evidence; headgear declared: v; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearvDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP4/1

OwnerMichelle Hancox

Pedigree

Iffraaj × Sibilance (Bated Breath)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course winHas won at this courseDistance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.9L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
11-06-2026	Yarmouth	6	0.5	Neutral finish
10-06-2026	Yarmouth	8	2.2	Neutral finish
03-06-2026	Nottingham	1	0	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 2 runs with an official OR.

28-03-2026 | Southwell (AW)

Rating 42 OR 60

10-04-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 45 OR 58

06-05-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating -- OR 57

03-06-2026 | Nottingham

Rating -- OR 55

10-06-2026 | Yarmouth

Rating -- OR 59

11-06-2026 | Yarmouth

Rating -- OR 59

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs13

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 11.85s

Last win at trip-- | Nottingham | 03-06-2026

Recent times1:15.50 | 1:14.61 | 1:16.70

Recent positions1 | 8 | 6

Winning contextOR 55 | weight 9-4

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
11-06-2026	Yarmouth \| 6f \| Soft \| Class 6	6	4/1	59	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
10-06-2026	Yarmouth \| 6f \| Soft \| Class 6	8	5/1	59	--	--	2.2	--	GREY - no timing read
03-06-2026	Nottingham \| 6f \| Good \| Class 6	1	14/1	55	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
06-05-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 6	7	33/1	57	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
10-04-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 6	12	25/1	58	45	14	1	1:29.76	GREY - below benchmark
28-03-2026	Southwell (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 6	10	33/1	60	42	24	1.5	1:29.62	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -10lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -7lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 65.4 and winning TS par is around 48.1. Runner versus par: rating edge -3.4. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Chasing Gold Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 37.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 37.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-4-1-3-3

FFR63 / +4lb

Speed103

Franked68

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 8lb

Von Krolock Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 36.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Best of a weak race 36.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (C)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-6-1-3-2-3

FFR58 / +2lb

Speed96

Franked31

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 5lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

2 Leicester Solid effort 29-07-2026

6 Leicester Run faded 25-04-2026

1 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 06-04-2026

3 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 17-03-2026

2 Southwell (AW) Run faded 11-03-2026

3 Wolverhampton (AW) Finished well 23-02-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating31

2winners since

4placers since

10evidence pts

04-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Bullington Bry (GB), Dancing With Drums (IRE), Macarone (GB)

Race produced winner

Dancing With Drums (IRE), South Shore (GB)

Later placers

On Key (GB) (06-06-2026)

02-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Galette (GB), Hannahs Return (GB), Homer Stokes (GB)

01-04-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 7

Beat named rivals

Rock Master (IRE), The Cutest (IRE)

Later placers

Call Glory (IRE) (03-06-2026), Court Of Session (GB) (02-06-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR58

Speed96

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR+2lb near mark

FFR 58 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

96 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score37.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI CHIGH

Mark readWell treatedLatest +2lb | peak +27lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb

Today's conditions match 57% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 35%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Class

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs4/6

Best similar rating63

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 13 0W / 1P Peak rating 59

Good 11 0W / 3P Peak rating 72

Fast 5 0W / 2P Peak rating 65

All-weather 15 4W / 7P Peak rating 69

Placement evidence 58% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 78%

Class fit 14%

Mark room 76%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

Proven trip profile (C)14 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +8lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concernRecent evidence is mixed

Mark read Latest +2lb | peak +27lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +2lb | peak +27lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 56 | Latest FFR 58 | Best FFR 83 | Public mark read +8

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer James Owen

Jockey Christian Howarth(3)

Age 7

Draw 1

OR 56

Avg OR 56.7

OR vs Field -0.7

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 323162

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Very steady 4.1% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 3.8 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile14

DEIC

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
06-04-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	1	1:13.51	73.5
25-04-2026	Leicester	Good To Firm	6	1:12.18	72.2
29-07-2026	Leicester	Good To Firm	2	1:13.92	73.9

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 49% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 20 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: b; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearbDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP11/2

OwnerJ Owen

Pedigree

Morpheus × Maria Montez (Piccolo)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.7L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
29-07-2026	Leicester	2	2	Neutral finish
25-04-2026	Leicester	6	0.1	Run faded
06-04-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	1	0	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 4 of 5 runs with an official OR.

23-02-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 54 OR 51

11-03-2026 | Southwell (AW)

Rating 56 OR 51

17-03-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 56 OR 51

06-04-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 63 OR 51

25-04-2026 | Leicester

Rating 51 OR 57

29-07-2026 | Leicester

Rating -- OR 56

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs14

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 11.85s

Last win at trip1:13.51 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 06-04-2026

Recent times1:13.51 | 1:12.18 | 1:13.92

Recent positions1 | 6 | 2

Winning contextvs par +1.66s | OR 51

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
29-07-2026	Leicester \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	2	11/2	56	--	--	2	--	GREY - no timing read
25-04-2026	Leicester \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	6	100/30F	57	51	40	0.1	1:12.18	GREEN - within 1% of par
06-04-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	1	9/2	51	63	54	0	1:13.51	AMBER - competitive
17-03-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 6	3	6/1	51	56	49	0.3	1:27.53	GREY - below benchmark
11-03-2026	Southwell (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 6	2	11/1	51	56	40	1.8	1:28.07	GREY - below benchmark
23-02-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 6	3	11/2	51	54	33	1	1:29.61	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Well treated

Latest +2lb | peak +27lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb.

Benchmark Fit score -3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 65.4 and winning TS par is around 48.1. Runner versus par: rating edge -10.4. Benchmark fit: -3.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Henry Tudor Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 36.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 36.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-7-8-9-9-1

FFR59 / +13lb

Speed94

Franked28

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt8st 9lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

3 Lingfield (AW) Solid effort 08-08-2026

7 Leicester Competitive 14-07-2026

8 Brighton Competitive 30-06-2026

9 Brighton Competitive 29-05-2026

9 Southwell (AW) Run faded 11-03-2026

1 Chelmsford (AW) Strong run 26-02-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating28

4winners since

5placers since

12evidence pts

08-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Edergole's Gift (IRE), Horus (GB), Just King High (IRE)

01-07-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Lasswade (GB), Naval Ensign (IRE), Walking On Clouds (IRE)

Race produced winner

Sanditon (IRE), Walking On Clouds (IRE)

06-05-2025 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 7

Beat named rivals

Estimaid (IRE), Luminous Warrior (IRE), Musical Angel (GB)

Race produced winner

Lazzar (IRE), Luminous Warrior (IRE)

Later placers

Dannick (GB) (09-05-2025), Estimaid (IRE) (07-08-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR59

Speed94

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+13lb ahead of mark

FFR 59 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

94 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score32.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI AMEDIUM

Mark readWell treatedLatest +13lb | peak +33lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Today's conditions match 64% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 45%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Class

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating58

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Fast 3 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 11 1W / 2P Peak rating 58

Placement evidence 66% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 26%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 50%

Proven trip profile (A)8 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedClass benchmark is a concern

Mark read Latest +13lb | peak +33lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +13lb | peak +33lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 46 | Latest FFR 59 | Best FFR 79 | Public mark read +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Mark Hoad

Jockey Callum Hutchinson

Age 4

Draw 6

OR 46

Avg OR 56.7

OR vs Field -10.7

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 199873

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +0.8

Variance Very steady 2.4% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Below requirement -2.6 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile8

DEIA

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
29-05-2026	Brighton	Good To Firm	9	1:10.57	70.6
14-07-2026	Leicester	Good To Firm	7	1:12.97	73
08-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	3	1:12.31	72.3

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 23% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 10 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.2 trainer RTF quiet at 23%; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP16/1

OwnerMrs K B Tester

Pedigree

Havana Grey × Hello Glory (Zamindar)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.8L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
08-08-2026	Lingfield (AW)	3	1.2	Neutral finish
14-07-2026	Leicester	7	1	Neutral finish
30-06-2026	Brighton	8	0.2	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 2 runs with an official OR.

26-02-2026 | Chelmsford (AW)

Rating 58 OR 46

11-03-2026 | Southwell (AW)

Rating 32 OR 52

29-05-2026 | Brighton

Rating -- OR 52

30-06-2026 | Brighton

Rating -- OR 51

14-07-2026 | Leicester

Rating -- OR 48

08-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating -- OR 46

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs8

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Winning-time par1m 11.85s

Last win at trip1:12.84 | Chelmsford (AW) | 26-02-2026

Recent times1:10.57 | 1:12.97 | 1:12.31

Recent positions9 | 7 | 3

Winning contextvs par +0.99s | OR 46

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
08-08-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	3	16/1	46	--	--	1.2	--	GREY - no timing read
14-07-2026	Leicester \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	7	11/2	48	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
30-06-2026	Brighton \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	8	50/1	51	--	--	0.2	--	GREY - no timing read
29-05-2026	Brighton \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	9	25/1	52	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
11-03-2026	Southwell (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	9	16/1	52	32	18	0.1	1:15.97	GREY - below benchmark
26-02-2026	Chelmsford (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	1	13/2	46	58	46	0	1:12.84	AMBER - competitive

Handicap Well treated

Latest +13lb | peak +33lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score -1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 65.4 and winning TS par is around 48.1. Runner versus par: rating edge -9.4. Benchmark fit: -1.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Unico Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 36.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Watch only 36.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form9-8-8-3-4-1

FFR33 / -22lb

Speed92

Franked32

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassDown in class

Draw7

Wgt9st 4lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

9 Salisbury Competitive 09-06-2026

8 Kempton (AW) Competitive 06-05-2026

8 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 20-12-2025

3 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 27-10-2025

4 Southwell (AW) Competitive 07-10-2025

1 Brighton Strong run 15-09-2025

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating32

3winners since

5placers since

13evidence pts

05-06-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 8

Beat named rivals

Lethal Blast (GB), Man On A Mission (GB)

Race produced winner

Fletcher's Flight (IRE)

Later placers

Man On A Mission (GB) (02-08-2026)

08-11-2025 | Windsor Finished 6

Beat named rivals

Dear Cat (FR), Just Queen High (IRE), Spiritualism (IRE)

Race produced winner

Jax Edge (GB)

Later placers

Be An Angel (GB) (09-12-2025), Lahina Bay (IRE) (01-03-2026)

04-09-2025 | Kempton (AW) Finished 9

Race produced winner

One For Harvey (GB)

Later placers

Court Drive (IRE) (10-09-2025), Four Adaay (GB) (08-11-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR33

Speed92

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-22lb below mark

FFR 33 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

92 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDraw data is a negative nudge

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score27.0Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BHIGH

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -22lb | peak +28lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Today's conditions match 52% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 55%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 42%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs4/6

Best similar rating63

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 9 1W / 3P Peak rating 67

Good 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Fast 5 0W / 1P Peak rating 73

All-weather 14 1W / 4P Peak rating 73

Placement evidence 57% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 57%

Mark room 4%

Stable setup 62%

Recent evidence 68%

Proven trip profile (B)25 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -22lb | peak +28lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -22lb | peak +28lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 55 | Latest FFR 33 | Best FFR 83 | Public mark read -16

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Chris Gordon

Jockey Charles Bishop

Age 5

Draw 7

OR 55

Avg OR 56.7

OR vs Field -1.7

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 438-89

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.0

Variance Reliable 6.5% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 2.2 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile25

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
20-12-2025	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	8	1:15.36	75.4
06-05-2026	Kempton (AW)	Standard To Slow	8	1:14.78	74.8
09-06-2026	Salisbury	Soft	9	1:19.63	79.6

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.0 micro score

Trainer RTF 39% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 70 days Standard layoff

Micro score +0.0 headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearpDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP25/1

OwnerJohn Pyatt

Pedigree

Eqtidaar × High Tan (High Chaparral)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
09-06-2026	Salisbury	9	2	Neutral finish
06-05-2026	Kempton (AW)	8	2.8	Neutral finish
20-12-2025	Wolverhampton (AW)	8	1.2	Run faded

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 4 runs with an official OR.

15-09-2025 | Brighton

Rating 67 OR 57

07-10-2025 | Southwell (AW)

Rating 57 OR 61

27-10-2025 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 63 OR 60

20-12-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 45 OR 59

06-05-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating -- OR 58

09-06-2026 | Salisbury

Rating -- OR 57

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs25

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 11.85s

Last win at trip1:12.17 | Chelmsford (AW) | 02-09-2023

Recent times1:15.36 | 1:14.78 | 1:19.63

Recent positions8 | 8 | 9

Winning contextvs par +0.32s

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
09-06-2026	Salisbury \| 6f \| Soft \| Class 5	9	25/1	57	--	--	2	--	GREY - no timing read
06-05-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 6	8	28/1	58	--	--	2.8	--	GREY - no timing read
20-12-2025	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	8	10/1	59	45	--	1.2	1:15.36	GREY - below benchmark
27-10-2025	Lingfield (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	3	11/2	60	63	45	0.3	1:11.35	GOLD - faster than par
07-10-2025	Southwell (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	4	10/1	61	57	--	0.3	1:17.49	GREY - below benchmark
15-09-2025	Brighton \| 5½f \| Soft \| Class 6	1	5/1	57	67	60	0	1:3.92	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -22lb | peak +28lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 65.4 and winning TS par is around 48.1. Runner versus par: rating edge +0.6. Benchmark fit: 1.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Woolridge Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 29.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Watch only 29.8 confidence

Why consider6 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form9-3-8-8-2-2

FFR41 / -19lb

Speed94

Franked58

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassDown in class

Draw5

Wgt9st 9lb

Twilight Madness Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 14.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 14.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (C)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form6-12-8-9-1-3

FFR42 / -18lb

Speed88

Franked20

Ground3/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw2

Wgt9st 9lb

My Mate Kev Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 12.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.

Watch only 12.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form7-6-5-12-9-12

FFR37 / -21lb

Speed109

Franked30

Ground1/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw9

Wgt9st 7lb

6:30 | Wolverhampton (AW)

6:30 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f

Class 4 | Standard | Visit wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk To Book Now Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 62 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR78.510 rated runners | Top OR 86: Percy's Lad

Winning par1m 28.52s54 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupTAPETA: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-85 | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Percy's Lad leads the contextual model at 50.0
Decision type: Shortlist profile - Worth a deeper look
Moderate edge over next best: +4.8
Winning-time par: 1m 28.52s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 10 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Percy's LadRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleShortlist profile	68.0	1-6-2-6-13-13 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 12-08-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard / Slow Wgt9st 10lb Result1 SP5/1 JockeyEbrahim Nader OR86 FFR72 SS103 11-07-2026 ChesterClass 4 \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt10st 4lb Result6 btn 0.3L SP7/4F JockeyEdward Greatrex OR87 FFR78 SS100 29-06-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 8f \| Standard To Slow Wgt10st 2lb Result2 btn 1.2L SP16/1 JockeyRay Dawson OR85 FFR58 SS95 21-05-2026 MusselburghClass 3 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result6 btn 1L SP8/1 JockeyTom Eaves OR87 FFR83 SS94 06-05-2026 ChesterClass 2 \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt8st 13lb Result13 btn 0.8L SP11/1 JockeyTom Marquand OR90 FFR73 SS104 16-04-2026 NewmarketClass 3 \| 7f \| Good Wgt-- Result13 btn 1.2L SP28/1 JockeyDavid Probert OR94 FFR87 SS95	10st 5lb	5	OR 86	87	+1lb	45	4.7	+19.2	Quick return	Same trip	Solid field	--	60%	75%	2/6	95	C	Near mark +1	PRICE DEPENDENT
2	HaaderrRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	48.8	3-4-1-2-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 01-08-2026 DoncasterClass 4 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result3 btn 1L SP3/1 JockeyOisin Orr OR85 FFR93 SS103 15-07-2026 CatterickClass 4 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result4 btn 4.2L SP6/5F JockeyDaniel Tudhope OR86 FFR85 SS96 07-10-2025 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP13/8 JockeyCallum Rodriguez OR-- FFR87 SS105 15-08-2025 ThirskClass 4 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result2 btn 1.5L SP8/11F JockeyCallum Rodriguez OR-- FFR61 SS-- 19-07-2025 HaydockClass 3 \| 7f \| Good Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.2L SP9/2 JockeyConnor Beasley OR-- FFR77 SS--	9st 8lb	10	OR 84	77	-7lb	16	4.9	+13	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	50%	56%	1/6	105	C	Stiff -4	CAUTION PROFILE
3	HavanagreattimeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleContext over ratings	42.8	11-9-12-7-2-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 30-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 8lb Result11 btn 2L SP20/1 JockeyJames Sullivan OR83 FFR81 SS100 05-09-2025 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.2L SP11/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR87 FFR88 SS95 11-08-2025 WindsorClass 2 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result12 btn 0.8L SP12/1 JockeyFinley Marsh OR89 FFR80 SS96 30-06-2025 WindsorClass 2 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result7 btn 1L SP9/1 JockeyDonagh Murphy OR90 FFR74 SS94 16-06-2025 WindsorClass 3 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result2 btn 1.2L SP100/30 JockeyDonagh Murphy OR90 FFR75 SS90 12-05-2025 WindsorClass 3 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.8L SP7/2 JockeyFinley Marsh OR90 FFR24 SS95	9st 7lb	3	OR 78	24	-54lb	61	33/1	-8	Standard rest	Up in trip	Solid field	--	58%	64%	3/6	95	A	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Shaw ParkRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	35.5	8-10-3-8-2-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 11-03-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result8 btn 6L SP7/1 JockeyHollie Doyle OR70 FFR85 SS106 28-02-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 4 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result10 btn 1.8L SP40/1 JockeyLaura Coughlan OR71 FFR83 SS98 05-02-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.8L SP28/1 JockeyKieran ONeill OR71 FFR71 SS98 30-01-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result8 btn 0.8L SP28/1 JockeyKieran ONeill OR71 FFR79 SS98 31-08-2025 BrightonClass 4 \| 7f \| Good Wgt-- Result2 btn 2L SP9/2 JockeyKieran ONeill OR71 FFR71 SS96 22-05-2025 YarmouthClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result3 btn 1.8L SP7/2 JockeyTaryn Langley OR73 FFR69 SS98	8st 11lb	6	OR 68	69	+1lb	55	33/1	-9.2	Long absence	Same trip	Solid field	--	60%	60%	1/6	98	B	Workable +7	CAUTION PROFILE
5	NaepointRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	34.8	13-6-21-1-1-13 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 20-09-2025 AyrClass 2 \| 1m \| Soft Wgt-- Result13 btn 38L SP16/1 JockeyOisin Orr OR87 FFR66 SS83 28-08-2025 Southwell (AW)Class 3 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.8L SP28/1 JockeyWarren Fentiman OR88 FFR90 SS103 29-03-2025 DoncasterClass 2 \| 1m \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result21 btn 0.1L SP15/2 JockeyKevin Stott OR88 FFR95 SS101 05-10-2024 RedcarClass 2 \| 1m \| Soft Wgt-- Result1 SP3/1J JockeyPaul Mulrennan OR83 FFR70 SS86 24-08-2024 RedcarClass 4 \| 1m \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result1 SP5/1 JockeyPaul Mulrennan OR78 FFR85 SS100 25-07-2024 YarmouthClass 4 \| 1m \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result13 btn 0.3L SP14/1 JockeyJoanna Mason OR78 FFR53 SS56	10st 0lb	2	OR 85	53	-32lb	41	33/1	-9.2	Long absence	Down in trip	Solid field	--	51%	48%	2/6	56	D	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
6	PaduaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	32.8	9-4-11-4-1-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 27-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 10lb Result9 btn 5L SP5/1 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR78 FFR82 SS96 01-07-2026 EpsomClass 4 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 10lb Result4 btn 0.3L SP11/2 JockeyHector Crouch OR79 FFR92 SS94 10-06-2026 YarmouthClass 4 \| 8f \| Soft Wgt9st 5lb Result11 btn 1.5L SP14/1 JockeyHarry Davies OR81 FFR84 SS96 07-08-2025 SandownClass 4 \| 7f \| Good Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.8L SP15/2 JockeyHarry Davies OR81 FFR42 SS107 19-07-2025 HaydockClass 4 \| 7f \| Good Wgt-- Result1 SP10/1 JockeyHarry Davies OR77 FFR75 SS102 25-06-2025 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 1m \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.3L SP9/1 JockeyHarry Davies OR77 FFR52 SS--	9st 6lb	1	OR 77	52	-25lb	44	11/1	-10	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	50%	50%	1/6	102	C	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
7	He's A GentlemanRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	31.0	7-2-2-7-9-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 11-07-2026 ChesterClass 4 \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result7 btn 0.3L SP22/1 JockeyJack Callan OR76 FFR84 SS103 31-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.3L SP8/1 JockeyOisin Orr OR75 FFR79 SS106 02-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 1m½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.1L SP9/1 JockeyJason Hart OR74 FFR75 SS100 19-01-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.8L SP13/2 JockeyJason Hart OR75 FFR77 SS98 20-12-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 1.2L SP100/30 JockeyCieren Fallon OR75 FFR85 SS90 21-11-2025 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 2.2L SP20/1 JockeyJason Watson OR74 FFR69 SS103	9st 3lb	4	OR 74	69	-5lb	72	10/1	-6	Freshened up	Down in trip	Solid field	--	60%	66%	2/6	103	A	Near mark -2	WATCH ONLY
8	Inside StoryRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	29.8	2-8-4-5-7-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 31-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 3lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP5/1 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR79 FFR79 SS100 16-06-2026 ThirskClass 4 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result8 btn 0.5L SP16/1 JockeyMark Winn OR80 FFR89 SS93 12-05-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 1lb Result4 btn 0.3L SP7/2 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR82 FFR83 SS92 04-03-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.5L SP25/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR83 FFR74 SS92 31-10-2025 NewmarketClass 1 \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result7 btn 1L SP80/1 JockeyP J McDonald OR80 FFR66 SS100 04-09-2025 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP4/5F JockeyCallum Shepherd OR-- FFR83 SS--	9st 6lb	9	OR 82	83	+1lb	13	5.3	+10	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	59%	67%	2/6	100	D	Workable +7	PRICE DEPENDENT
9	SpacemanRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	17.2	3-1-3-2-16 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 27-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 0lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP4/1 JockeyOisin Orr OR76 FFR57 SS81 16-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result1 SP10/11F JockeyOisin Orr OR-- FFR83 SS103 19-05-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 4 \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 4lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP8/11F JockeyOisin Orr OR-- FFR79 SS-- 04-11-2025 RedcarClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result2 btn 0L SP16/5 JockeyOisin Orr OR-- FFR87 SS-- 22-06-2025 Gavea (BRZ)-- \| 1m \| Soft Wgt-- Result16 btn 2.2L SP199/10 JockeyL Henrique OR-- FFR79 SS--	9st 0lb	8	OR 76	79	+3lb	46	4.6	+14.5	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	55%	61%	1/6	103	E	Well treated +9	PRICE DEPENDENT
10	PacketofbiscuitsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	1.0	7-12-5-2-1-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 30-04-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 9L SP5/1 JockeyAlistair Rawlinson OR77 FFR86 SS100 18-04-2026 ThirskClass 4 \| 7f \| Good Wgt-- Result12 btn 1.5L SP17/2 JockeyP J McDonald OR79 FFR88 SS103 29-03-2026 DoncasterClass 4 \| 7f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result5 btn 1.2L SP9/1 JockeyP J McDonald OR79 FFR88 SS106 11-03-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.2L SP11/4 JockeyP J McDonald OR75 FFR81 SS96 28-02-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP15/8J JockeyP J McDonald OR70 FFR63 SS88 20-02-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP9/1 JockeyP J McDonald OR66 FFR66 SS92	9st 4lb	7	OR 75	66	-9lb	61	21	-14.2	Layoff check	Same trip	Solid field	--	54%	54%	2/6	92	A	Stiff -6	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Percy's Lad

Percy's Lad profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Haaderr

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Percy's Lad Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 68.0

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Shortlist profile 68.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (C)

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form1-6-2-6-13-13

FFR87 / +1lb

Speed95

Franked45

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt10st 5lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

1 Kempton (AW) Strong run 12-08-2026

6 Chester Competitive 11-07-2026

2 Kempton (AW) Solid effort 29-06-2026

6 Musselburgh Competitive 21-05-2026

13 Chester Competitive 06-05-2026

13 Newmarket Troubled run 16-04-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating45

5winners since

10placers since

11evidence pts

05-06-2026 | Chester Finished 13

Later placers

Partisan Hero (IRE) (06-06-2026)

05-10-2024 | Chester Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Alzahir (FR), Boardman (GB), Dancing Magic (IRE)

Race produced winner

Alzahir (FR), Fools Rush In (IRE)

Later placers

Boardman (GB) (08-10-2024), Liamarty Dreams (GB) (06-03-2025)

08-04-2024 | Chester Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Boardman (GB), Documenting (GB), Never So Brave (IRE)

Race produced winner

Never So Brave (IRE), Spirit Genie (IRE)

Later placers

Boardman (GB) (08-10-2024), Documenting (GB) (05-10-2024)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement2/6

FFR87

Speed95

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+1lb near mark

FFR 87 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

95 Par 100

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeShortlist profileThere is useful evidence, but the horse still needs normal price, risk and race checks.

Model score50.0Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI CHIGH

Mark readNear markLatest FFR read +1lb versus today's OR

Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 75%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 58%

Best fit Class Question Pace shape

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandGood

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 5 0W / 2P Peak rating 104

Good 7 0W / 0P Peak rating 102

Fast 3 1W / 1P Peak rating 106

All-weather 3 1W / 3P Peak rating 99

Placement evidence 75% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 78%

Class fit 98%

Mark room 55%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 76%

Proven trip profile (C)14 similar-trip runs recordedClass benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest FFR read +1lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest FFR read +1lb versus today's OR

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 86 | Latest FFR 87 | Best FFR 87 | Public mark read +1

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Daniel & Claire Kubler

Jockey Ebrahim Nader

Age 8

Draw 5

OR 86

Avg OR 78.5

OR vs Field +7.5

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 6261

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Very steady 4.2% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 3.8 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile14

DEIC

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
16-04-2026	Newmarket	Good	13	1:25.69	85.7
21-05-2026	Musselburgh	Good	6	1:29.79	89.8
12-08-2026	Kempton (AW)	Standard / Slow	1	1:25.69	85.7

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.0 micro score

Trainer RTF 48% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 6 days Quick return

Micro score +0.0 API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP5/1

OwnerAlan Kerr

Pedigree

Sir Percy × Victory Garden (New Approach)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this tripBeaten favouriteMarket expected more last time

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.5L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
12-08-2026	Kempton (AW)	1	0	Neutral finish
11-07-2026	Chester	6	0.3	Neutral finish
29-06-2026	Kempton (AW)	2	1.2	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 1 runs with an official OR.

16-04-2026 | Newmarket

Rating 71 OR 94

06-05-2026 | Chester

Rating -- OR 90

21-05-2026 | Musselburgh

Rating -- OR 87

29-06-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating -- OR 85

11-07-2026 | Chester

Rating -- OR 87

12-08-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating -- OR 86

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs14

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time par1m 28.52s

Last win at trip-- | Kempton (AW) | 12-08-2026

Recent times1:25.69 | 1:29.79 | 1:25.69

Recent positions13 | 6 | 1

Winning contextOR 86 | weight 9-10

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
12-08-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard / Slow \| Class 4	1	5/1	86	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
11-07-2026	Chester \| 7.5f \| Good \| Class 4	6	7/4F	87	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
29-06-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 8f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 4	2	16/1	85	--	--	1.2	--	GREY - no timing read
21-05-2026	Musselburgh \| 7f \| Good \| Class 3	6	8/1	87	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
06-05-2026	Chester \| 7.5f \| Good \| Class 2	13	11/1	90	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read
16-04-2026	Newmarket \| 7f \| Good \| Class 3	13	28/1	94	71	56	1.2	1:25.69	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Near mark

Latest FFR read +1lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 5

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 83.4 and winning TS par is around 55.5. Runner versus par: rating edge +11.6. Benchmark fit: 5.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Haaderr Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 48.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Best of a weak race 48.8 confidence

Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form3-4-1-2-2

FFR77 / -7lb

Speed105

Franked16

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw10

Wgt9st 8lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

3 Doncaster Solid effort 01-08-2026

4 Catterick Steady run 15-07-2026

1 Southwell (AW) Strong run 07-10-2025

2 Thirsk Solid effort 15-08-2025

2 Haydock Finished well 19-07-2025

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating16

1winners since

4placers since

8evidence pts

08-01-2026 | Doncaster Finished 3

Beat named rivals

First Time (IRE), Goldwork (GB), Vidmiyr (IRE)

Later placers

Goldwork (GB) (04-08-2026), Vidmiyr (IRE) (05-02-2026)

10-07-2025 | Southwell (AW) Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Black Tango (IRE), Dankishn (IRE), Far Too Fizzy (GB)

Race produced winner

On The Inlet (IRE)

Later placers

Far Too Fizzy (GB) (12-11-2025), Toastmaster (IRE) (06-05-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR77

Speed105

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-7lb below mark

FFR 77 pounds scale

SpeedScoreabove par

105 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting profile, but FFR sits below today's mark Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score43.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI CMEDIUM

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -7lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -4lb

Today's conditions match 50% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence All-weather Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs1/5

Best similar rating82

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 72

Fast 3 0W / 2P Peak rating 76

All-weather 1 1W / 1P Peak rating 82

Placement evidence 56% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 70%

Class fit 45%

Mark room 40%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

5 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -7lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -4lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -7lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -4lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 84 | Latest FFR 77 | Best FFR 93 | Public mark read -4

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Edward Bethell

Jockey Daniel Tudhope

Age 3

Draw 10

OR 84

Avg OR 78.5

OR vs Field +5.5

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 221-43

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge +2.8

Variance Very steady 3.7% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 4.8 vs par

Curve Edging forward Trend 1

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile5

DEIC

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
07-10-2025	Southwell (AW)	Standard	1	1:27.06	87.1
15-07-2026	Catterick	Good To Firm	4	1:24.97	85
01-08-2026	Doncaster	Good To Firm	3	1:25.20	85.2

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 63% Yard in a positive recent rhythm

Freshness 17 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 trainer RTF positive at 63%; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: t; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgeartDeclared equipment

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP3/1

OwnerSheikh Ahmed Al Maktoum

Pedigree

Mohaather × Panmolle (Lawman)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.7L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
01-08-2026	Doncaster	3	1	Neutral finish
15-07-2026	Catterick	4	4.2	Neutral finish
07-10-2025	Southwell (AW)	1	0	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 3 earlier runs were unrated.

19-07-2025 | Haydock

Rating 72 OR Unrated

15-08-2025 | Thirsk

Rating 76 OR Unrated

07-10-2025 | Southwell (AW)

Rating 82 OR Unrated

15-07-2026 | Catterick

Rating -- OR 86

01-08-2026 | Doncaster

Rating -- OR 85

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs5

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Winning-time par1m 28.52s

Last win at trip1:27.06 | Southwell (AW) | 07-10-2025

Recent times1:27.06 | 1:24.97 | 1:25.20

Recent positions1 | 4 | 3

Winning contextvs par -1.46s

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
01-08-2026	Doncaster \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	3	3/1	85	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
15-07-2026	Catterick \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	4	6/5F	86	--	--	4.2	--	GREY - no timing read
07-10-2025	Southwell (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 5	1	13/8	--	82	70	0	1:27.06	GOLD - faster than par
15-08-2025	Thirsk \| 7f \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	2	8/11F	--	76	67	1.5	1:27.55	GOLD - faster than par
19-07-2025	Haydock \| 7f \| Good \| Class 3	2	9/2	--	72	19	0.2	1:29.27	GREEN - within 1% of par

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -7lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -4lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 83.4 and winning TS par is around 55.5. Runner versus par: rating edge -2.4. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Havanagreattime Distance specialist

Model agreement 3/6

Mixed agreement

Decision Confidence 42.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.

Context over ratings 42.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form11-9-12-7-2-7

FFR24 / -54lb

Speed95

Franked61

Ground3/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassUp in class

Draw3

Wgt9st 7lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

11 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 30-07-2026

9 Kempton (AW) Run faded 05-09-2025

12 Windsor Run faded 11-08-2025

7 Windsor Run faded 30-06-2025

2 Windsor Strong run 16-06-2025

7 Windsor Run faded 12-05-2025

Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating61

6winners since

9placers since

15evidence pts

05-12-2025 | Windsor Finished 7

Beat named rivals

Amazonian Dream (IRE), Baldomero (IRE), Monsieur Beaulieu (GB)

Race produced winner

Regal Envoy (IRE)

Later placers

Amazonian Dream (IRE) (05-04-2026), Baldomero (IRE) (06-06-2026)

08-11-2025 | Windsor Finished 12

Race produced winner

Badri (GB), Buccabay (IRE)

Later placers

Amazonian Dream (IRE) (05-04-2026)

04-11-2025 | Newbury Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Change Sings (IRE), Chief Mankato (GB), Drama (GB)

Race produced winner

Chief Mankato (GB)

Later placers

Havana Pusey (GB) (07-12-2025), Orne (IRE) (06-04-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Watchable profile with some support, best used as part of the wider race read.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement3/6

FFR24

Speed95

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR-54lb below mark

FFR 24 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

95 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeContext over ratingsThe raw rating/mark view is a caution, but other layers such as field edge, recent form, benchmark or memory keep it interesting.

Model score22.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI AMEDIUM

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -54lb | peak +10lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Today's conditions match 58% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 90%

Class 65%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating82

Best ground bandFast

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 78

Good 2 1W / 2P Peak rating 69

Fast 6 1W / 3P Peak rating 96

All-weather 10 1W / 2P Peak rating 95

Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 100%

Class fit 75%

Mark room 4%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 76%

Proven trip profile (A)7 similar-trip runs recordedClass benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -54lb | peak +10lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -54lb | peak +10lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 78 | Latest FFR 24 | Best FFR 88 | Public mark read -16

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Ruth Carr

Jockey James Sullivan

Age 5

Draw 3

OR 78

Avg OR 78.5

OR vs Field -0.5

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 2709-0

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Very steady 3.1% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 0 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile7

DEIA

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
06-01-2025	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	4	1:27.81	87.8
14-02-2025	Southwell (AW)	Standard	9	1:29.21	89.2
05-09-2025	Kempton (AW)	Standard To Slow	9	1:27.56	87.6

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 25% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 19 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.2 trainer RTF quiet at 25%; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP20/1

OwnerThe Beer Stalkers Ruth Carr

Pedigree

Havana Grey × Dame Shirley (Haafhd)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
30-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW)	11	2	Fast finish
05-09-2025	Kempton (AW)	9	0.2	Run faded
11-08-2025	Windsor	12	0.8	Run faded

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 5 runs with an official OR.

12-05-2025 | Windsor

Rating 84 OR 90

16-06-2025 | Windsor

Rating 96 OR 90

30-06-2025 | Windsor

Rating 76 OR 90

11-08-2025 | Windsor

Rating 64 OR 89

05-09-2025 | Kempton (AW)

Rating 82 OR 87

30-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating -- OR 83

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs7

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Winning-time par1m 28.52s

Last win at trip1:23.89 | Lingfield (AW) | 04-12-2024

Recent times1:27.81 | 1:29.21 | 1:27.56

Recent positions4 | 9 | 9

Winning contextvs par -4.63s | OR 86

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
30-07-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 6	11	20/1	83	--	--	2	--	GREY - no timing read
05-09-2025	Kempton (AW) \| 7f \| Standard To Slow \| Class 4	9	11/1	87	82	57	0.2	1:27.56	GOLD - faster than par
11-08-2025	Windsor \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 2	12	12/1	89	64	45	0.8	1:12.62	GOLD - faster than par
30-06-2025	Windsor \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 2	7	9/1	90	76	58	1	1:11.88	GOLD - faster than par
16-06-2025	Windsor \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 3	2	100/30	90	96	83	1.2	1:11.42	GOLD - faster than par
12-05-2025	Windsor \| 6f \| Good To Firm \| Class 3	7	7/2	90	84	62	0.8	1:11.44	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -54lb | peak +10lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score 3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 83.4 and winning TS par is around 55.5. Runner versus par: rating edge +3.6. Benchmark fit: 3.

Model agreement 3/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Shaw Park Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 35.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 35.5 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form8-10-3-8-2-3

FFR69 / +1lb

Speed98

Franked55

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassUp in class

Draw6

Wgt8st 11lb

Naepoint Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 34.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Watch only 34.8 confidence

Why considerClass benchmark supports the placement

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form13-6-21-1-1-13

FFR53 / -32lb

Speed56

Franked41

Ground0/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassDown in class

Draw2

Wgt10st 0lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

13 Ayr Run faded 20-09-2025

6 Southwell (AW) Run faded 28-08-2025

21 Doncaster Troubled run 29-03-2025

1 Redcar Strong run 05-10-2024

1 Redcar Strong run 24-08-2024

13 Yarmouth Competitive 25-07-2024

Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating41

4winners since

5placers since

10evidence pts

05-12-2024 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Fionas Ridge (IRE), Moon Man (GB), Novation (GB)

Race produced winner

Storm Star (GB)

Later placers

Jungle Land (IRE) (04-01-2025)

10-05-2024 | Redcar Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Catton Lady (GB), Cruyff Turn (GB), Danielsflyer (IRE)

Race produced winner

Cruyff Turn (GB), Leadenhall (GB)

Later placers

Catton Lady (GB) (06-10-2024), Empire Of Light (IRE) (09-07-2024)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR53

Speed56

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementCaution

FFR vs OR-32lb below mark

FFR 53 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

56 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score21.5Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI DVERY_LOW

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -32lb | peak +10lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Today's conditions match 51% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 52%

Class 65%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Class Question Handicap

Ground evidence All-weather Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating90

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 4 1W / 2P Peak rating 94

Good 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Fast 4 2W / 2P Peak rating 87

All-weather 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 90

Placement evidence 48% Intent unclear

Trip evidence 52%

Class fit 75%

Mark room 4%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 42%

Class benchmark supports the placementTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidenceRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Mark read Latest -32lb | peak +10lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -32lb | peak +10lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 85 | Latest FFR 53 | Best FFR 95 | Public mark read -16

Hidden Run DetectorWorth a second look

Run 3: traffic trouble may have hidden the finishing position.

Trainer Richard & Peter Fahey

Jockey Warren Fentiman(3)

Age 5

Draw 2

OR 85

Avg OR 78.5

OR vs Field +6.5

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 1/060-

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Predictive caution

Volatile; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Regressing

confidence nudge -3.2

Variance Volatile 18.5% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 2.7 vs par

Curve Regressing Trend -2

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 7½f

No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.

Profile distance7½f

Runs at profile1

DEID

ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
29-05-2024	Beverley	Soft	2	1:36.69	96.7

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.5 micro score

Trainer RTF 38% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 332 days Freshness caution

Micro score -0.5 freshness caution after 332 days off

Ground timing match 0/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP16/1

OwnerGeorge Murray

Pedigree

Blue Point × Moon Shaddow (Galileo)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 13L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
20-09-2025	Ayr	13	38	Run faded
28-08-2025	Southwell (AW)	6	0.8	Neutral finish
29-03-2025	Doncaster	21	0.1	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 3 of 5 runs with an official OR.

25-07-2024 | Yarmouth

Rating 66 OR 78

24-08-2024 | Redcar

Rating 87 OR 78

05-10-2024 | Redcar

Rating 94 OR 83

29-03-2025 | Doncaster

Rating 48 OR 88

28-08-2025 | Southwell (AW)

Rating 90 OR 88

20-09-2025 | Ayr

Rating -- OR 87

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Trip evidence building

Similar-trip runs1

ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Winning-time par1m 28.52s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times1:36.69

Recent positions2

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
20-09-2025	Ayr \| 1m \| Soft \| Class 2	13	16/1	87	--	--	38	1:52.55	GREY - below benchmark
28-08-2025	Southwell (AW) \| 1m \| Standard \| Class 3	6	28/1	88	90	63	0.8	1:40.26	GREY - below benchmark
29-03-2025	Doncaster \| 1m \| Good To Soft \| Class 2	21	15/2	88	48	26	0.1	1:44.72	GREY - below benchmark
05-10-2024	Redcar \| 1m \| Soft \| Class 2	1	3/1J	83	94	77	0	1:36.67	GREY - below benchmark
24-08-2024	Redcar \| 1m \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	1	5/1	78	87	70	0	1:34.63	GREY - below benchmark
25-07-2024	Yarmouth \| 1m \| Good To Firm \| Class 4	13	14/1	78	66	26	0.3	1:41.60	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -32lb | peak +10lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score 3

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 83.4 and winning TS par is around 55.5. Runner versus par: rating edge +3.6. Benchmark fit: 3.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Padua Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 32.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 32.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form9-4-11-4-1-4

FFR52 / -25lb

Speed102

Franked44

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 6lb

He's A Gentleman Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 31.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 31.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form7-2-2-7-9-2

FFR69 / -5lb

Speed103

Franked72

Ground3/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw4

Wgt9st 3lb

Inside Story Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 29.8

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 29.8 confidence

Why considerClass benchmark supports the placement

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form2-8-4-5-7-1

FFR83 / +1lb

Speed100

Franked13

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw9

Wgt9st 6lb

Spaceman Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 17.2

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 17.2 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +9lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3-1-3-2-16

FFR79 / +3lb

Speed103

Franked46

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 0lb

Packetofbiscuits Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 1.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 1.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form7-12-5-2-1-1

FFR66 / -9lb

Speed92

Franked61

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 4lb

6:45 | Roscommon

6:45 | Roscommon | 7.5f

| Good | SIS Supporting Irish Racing Fillies Maiden

Race Confidence 46 WATCH ONLY

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR77.25 rated runners | Top OR 82: Almeiyda

Winning par1m 32.11s576 race distance-only sample | approximate

SetupGOOD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Quinta Girl leads the contextual model at 25.0
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Winning-time par: 1m 32.11s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 18 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

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Compare
1	Quinta GirlRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	36.0	4-3-12-4-6-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 19-06-2026 Limerick (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Soft Wgt9st 3lb Result4 btn 0.3L SP15/8F JockeyJamie Powell OR78 FFR71 SS102 03-06-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 6.5f \| Good To Yielding Wgt9st 3lb Result3 btn 0.8L SP12/1 JockeyJamie Powell OR78 FFR73 SS85 17-10-2025 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result12 btn 1L SP13/2 JockeyNicola Burns OR80 FFR77 SS85 18-09-2025 Naas (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Yielding To Soft Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.3L SP14/1 JockeyJamie Powell OR-- FFR75 SS102 24-08-2025 Naas (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.2L SP11/2 JockeyJamie Powell OR-- FFR75 SS-- 09-08-2025 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result10 btn 0.3L SP16/1 JockeyRory Cleary OR-- FFR67 SS--	9st 3lb	12	OR 75	67	-8lb	41	18.5	+12.6	Freshened up	Down in trip	Solid field	--	45%	44%	1/6	102	E	Stiff -5	WATCH ONLY
2	StookedRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	31.0	2-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 24-07-2026 Cork (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result2 btn 1L SP11/8F JockeyColin Keane OR-- FFR77 SS-- 18-07-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result2 btn 0.2L SP11/4 JockeyColin Keane OR-- FFR75 SS--	9st 3lb	13	OR 78	75	-3lb	0	3.95	+20.9	Standard rest	Up in trip	Solid field	--	52%	55%	0/6	--	D	Near mark -1	WATCH ONLY
3	AlmeiydaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	20.2	2-2-4-4-11 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 28-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Yielding Wgt9st 3lb Result2 btn 1L SP6/1 JockeyChris Hayes OR77 FFR69 SS92 30-06-2026 Roscommon (IRE)-- \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP100/30 JockeyChris Hayes OR72 FFR67 SS93 05-05-2026 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 9.5f \| Good To Yielding Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 1L SP7/2 JockeyChris Hayes OR-- FFR63 SS-- 18-10-2025 Leopardstown-- \| 1m \| Yielding Wgt-- Result4 btn 4.2L SP12/1 JockeyChris Hayes OR-- FFR77 SS-- 30-09-2025 Cork (IRE)-- \| 1m \| Yielding Wgt-- Result11 btn 0.3L SP14/1 JockeyChris Hayes OR-- FFR75 SS--	9st 3lb	9	OR 82	75	-7lb	0	3.8	+21.9	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	48%	49%	0/6	93	D	Stiff -5	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Andaman FiftyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	18.8	5-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 24-07-2026 Cork (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP100/30 JockeyW J Lee OR-- FFR77 SS-- 03-05-2026 Sligo (IRE)-- \| 6.5f \| Yielding To Soft Wgt9st 3lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP100/30 JockeyW J Lee OR-- FFR64 SS--	9st 3lb	16	OR --	64	--	0	13.5	+6.4	Standard rest	Up in trip	Solid field	--	50%	55%	0/6	--	D	Developing	WATCH ONLY
5	BeatificRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	18.2	5-5-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 24-06-2026 Naas (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result5 btn 2.5L SP13/2 JockeyGavin Ryan OR-- FFR78 SS98 10-05-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 10f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP3/1 JockeyGavin Ryan OR-- FFR56 SS-- 12-04-2026 Leopardstown-- \| 1m \| Good To Yielding Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.3L SP12/1 JockeyGavin Ryan OR-- FFR64 SS--	9st 3lb	17	OR 76	64	-12lb	0	13	+10.6	Freshened up	Down in trip	Solid field	--	45%	44%	0/6	98	E	Stiff -9	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Divine LegendRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	17.5	4-7-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 25-04-2026 Limerick-- \| 7f \| Yielding Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.2L SP40/1 JockeyRory Mulligan OR-- FFR62 SS88 04-04-2026 Cork-- \| 7f \| Soft To Heavy Wgt-- Result7 btn 2.5L SP20/1 JockeyBen Coen OR-- FFR66 SS90 18-10-2025 Leopardstown-- \| 7f \| Yielding Wgt-- Result5 btn 8L SP9/1 JockeySeamie Heffernan OR-- FFR74 SS94	9st 3lb	6	OR 75	74	-1lb	0	18/1	+5.1	Layoff check	Down in trip	Solid field	--	52%	52%	0/6	94	D	Near mark -1	CAUTION PROFILE
7	River TrieuxRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	10.5	-- Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.	9st 3lb	7	OR --	--	--	0	30/1	-1.9	Rest developing	Trip move developing	Solid field	--	50%	53%	0/6	--	UNKNOWN	Developing	WATCH ONLY
8	Brise FraicheRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	10.0	-- Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.	9st 3lb	18	OR --	--	--	0	18.5	-2.4	Rest developing	Trip move developing	Solid field	--	50%	53%	0/6	--	UNKNOWN	Developing	WATCH ONLY
9	C'est Comme CaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	10.0	-- Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.	9st 3lb	2	OR --	--	--	0	150/1	-2.4	Rest developing	Trip move developing	Solid field	--	50%	53%	0/6	--	UNKNOWN	Developing	WATCH ONLY
10	Gentle SodaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	10.0	-- Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.	9st 3lb	3	OR --	--	--	0	100/1	-2.4	Rest developing	Trip move developing	Solid field	--	50%	53%	0/6	--	UNKNOWN	Developing	WATCH ONLY
11	Susie's AngelRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	9.2	6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 28-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Yielding Wgt8st 10lb Result6 btn 1.2L SP16/1 JockeyReese Holohan OR-- FFR43 SS--	9st 3lb	11	OR --	43	--	0	50/1	-3.1	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	48%	49%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
12	Save The SixesRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	9.0	8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 26-06-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result8 btn 0.2L SP9/2 JockeyShane Foley OR-- FFR54 SS--	9st 3lb	10	OR --	54	--	0	18.5	-3.4	Freshened up	Down in trip	Solid field	--	48%	49%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
13	Ballysax BooRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.8	9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 25-07-2026 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result9 btn 2L SP300/1 JockeyJames Ryan OR-- FFR42 SS--	9st 3lb	14	OR --	42	--	0	200/1	-3.6	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	48%	49%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
14	DandymariaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	6.8	12-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 27-06-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result12 btn 0.8L SP12/1 JockeyColin Keane OR-- FFR62 SS-- 29-05-2026 Down Royal (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result4 btn 0.8L SP33/1 JockeyGary Carroll OR-- FFR41 SS--	9st 3lb	1	OR --	41	--	0	50/1	-5.6	Freshened up	Up in trip	Solid field	--	48%	55%	1/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
15	Capall CuainRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	5.5	15-13 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 24-06-2026 Naas (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result15 btn 1.8L SP300/1 JockeyRobert Whearty OR-- FFR34 SS-- 05-06-2026 Fairyhouse (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result13 btn 2.2L SP200/1 JockeyDonagh O'Connor OR-- FFR33 SS--	9st 3lb	8	OR --	33	--	0	250/1	-6.9	Freshened up	Down in trip	Solid field	--	48%	49%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
16	Flower ForestRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	1.2	4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 04-04-2026 Cork-- \| 7f \| Soft To Heavy Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.3L SP10/1 JockeyWayne Lordan OR-- FFR80 SS97	9st 3lb	4	OR --	80	--	0	4.1	-0.1	Long absence	Down in trip	Solid field	--	48%	54%	1/6	97	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
17	CapolineaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	-9.8	13-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 31-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Yielding To Soft Wgt9st 9lb Result13 btn 1L SP150/1 JockeySam Coen OR-- FFR40 SS-- 14-07-2026 Killarney (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result5 btn 1.8L SP50/1 JockeyGary Carroll OR-- FFR35 SS--	9st 9lb	5	OR --	35	--	0	150/1	-22.1	Standard rest	Big drop back	Solid field	--	48%	52%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
18	Banish MisfortuneRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	-11.2	12-8-16 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 11-07-2026 Navan-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result12 btn 1.8L SP250/1 JockeyLeigh Roche OR-- FFR33 SS-- 03-07-2026 Bellewstown (IRE)-- \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result8 btn 1.5L SP150/1 JockeyLeigh Roche OR-- FFR39 SS-- 19-06-2026 Limerick (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Soft Wgt9st 12lb Result16 btn 12L SP300/1 JockeyJamie Powell OR-- FFR36 SS--	9st 9lb	15	OR --	36	--	20	250/1	-23.6	Freshened up	Up in trip	Solid field	--	48%	49%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Quinta Girl

Quinta Girl profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Stooked

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Quinta Girl Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 36.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 36.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-3-12-4-6-10

FFR67 / -8lb

Speed102

Franked41

Ground0/2 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw12

Wgt9st 3lb

Stooked Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 31.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 31.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form2-2

FFR75 / -3lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw13

Wgt9st 3lb

Almeiyda Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 20.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 20.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form2-2-4-4-11

FFR75 / -7lb

Speed93

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw9

Wgt9st 3lb

Andaman Fifty Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 18.8

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Best of a weak race 18.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete

Form5-2

FFR64 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw16

Wgt9st 3lb

Beatific Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 18.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 18.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5-5-5

FFR64 / -12lb

Speed98

Franked0

Ground2/2 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw17

Wgt9st 3lb

Divine Legend Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 17.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 17.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form4-7-5

FFR74 / -1lb

Speed94

Franked0

Ground0/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw6

Wgt9st 3lb

River Trieux Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 10.5

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 10.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete

Form--

FFR-- / --

Speed--

Franked0

GroundGround evidence developing

TripTrip move developing

ClassClass move developing

Draw7

Wgt9st 3lb

Brise Fraiche Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 10.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 10.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete

Form--

FFR-- / --

Speed--

Franked0

GroundGround evidence developing

TripTrip move developing

ClassClass move developing

Draw18

Wgt9st 3lb

C'est Comme Ca Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 10.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 10.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete

Form--

FFR-- / --

Speed--

Franked0

GroundGround evidence developing

TripTrip move developing

ClassClass move developing

Draw2

Wgt9st 3lb

Gentle Soda Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 10.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 10.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete

Form--

FFR-- / --

Speed--

Franked0

GroundGround evidence developing

TripTrip move developing

ClassClass move developing

Draw3

Wgt9st 3lb

Susie's Angel Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 9.2

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 9.2 confidence

Why considerNo standout positive placement signal yet

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6

FFR43 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw11

Wgt9st 3lb

Save The Sixes Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 9.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 9.0 confidence

Why considerNo standout positive placement signal yet

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8

FFR54 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw10

Wgt9st 3lb

Ballysax Boo Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 8.8

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 8.8 confidence

Why considerNo standout positive placement signal yet

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form9

FFR42 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw14

Wgt9st 3lb

Dandymaria Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 6.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 6.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form12-4

FFR41 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw1

Wgt9st 3lb

Capall Cuain Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 5.5

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 5.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form15-13

FFR33 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw8

Wgt9st 3lb

Flower Forest Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 1.2

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 1.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4

FFR80 / --

Speed97

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw4

Wgt9st 3lb

Capolinea Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only -9.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form13-5

FFR35 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassClass move developing

Draw5

Wgt9st 9lb

Banish Misfortune Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only -11.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form12-8-16

FFR36 / --

Speed--

Franked20

Ground0/1 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw15

Wgt9st 9lb

7:00 | Wolverhampton (AW)

7:00 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 8.5f

Class 5 | Standard | Surestore Self Storage Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 64 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR61.410 rated runners | Top OR 65: Khepri

Winning parAwaiting timing benchmark0 race distance-only sample | approximate

SetupTAPETA: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-70 | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Gladiadora leads the contextual model at 27.2
Decision type: Watch only - Needs more proof

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 10 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

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1	GladiadoraRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	43.8	4-2-4-8-4-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 20-07-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 0lb Result4 btn 0.3L SP2/1F JockeySaffie Osborne OR62 FFR81 SS96 08-07-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 8f \| Standard / Slow Wgt9st 6lb Result2 btn 2.8L SP11/4F JockeySaffie Osborne OR62 FFR77 SS95 20-06-2026 Newmarket (July)Class 5 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result4 btn 1L SP15/2 JockeyLiam Wright OR63 FFR25 SS96 13-05-2026 YarmouthClass 6 \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result8 btn 2.2L SP16/5F JockeyHector Crouch OR64 FFR67 SS100 27-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 6 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.8L SP6/4F JockeyLiam Wright OR64 FFR58 SS103 08-04-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 1m½f \| Good Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.1L SP11/2 JockeyLiam Wright OR62 FFR59 SS96	9st 13lb	10	OR 62	59	-3lb	9	9/2	+3.1	Freshened up	Down in trip	Modest field	--	57%	64%	1/6	96	B	Near mark +0	WATCH ONLY
2	Sunshine And RosesRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	33.8	2-1-7-12-4-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 08-08-2026 HaydockClass 5 \| 8f \| Good Wgt8st 11lb Result2 btn 2.8L SP11/1 JockeyRose Dawes OR60 FFR78 SS94 21-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 8.5f \| Standard Wgt9st 0lb Result1 SP15/2 JockeyGeorge Bass OR55 FFR73 SS96 28-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 9.5f \| Standard Wgt9st 0lb Result7 btn 1.2L SP16/1 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR56 FFR25 SS97 25-05-2026 WindsorClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result12 btn 8.5L SP12/1 JockeyTom Marquand OR59 FFR67 SS95 22-12-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.1L SP100/30 JockeyHarry Davies OR62 FFR65 SS93 15-12-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.5L SP2/1F JockeyEdward Greatrex OR62 FFR67 SS92	9st 4lb	5	OR 60	67	+7lb	9	8.8	+18.1	Standard rest	Down in trip	Modest field	--	55%	61%	1/6	92	E	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Samra StarRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	28.8	1-1-2-8-3-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 07-08-2026 MusselburghClass 6 \| 9f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result1 SP4/1 JockeyPaul Mulrennan OR53 FFR74 SS98 27-07-2026 AyrClass 6 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result1 SP25/1 JockeyMark Winn OR53 FFR80 SS96 21-05-2026 MusselburghClass 6 \| 9f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result2 btn 7.5L SP10/1 JockeyConnor Beasley OR53 FFR75 SS101 26-04-2026 MusselburghClass 5 \| 1m1f \| Good Wgt-- Result8 btn 0.8L SP25/1 JockeyMason Paetel OR55 FFR47 SS100 23-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 1m1½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 2.2L SP8/1 JockeyTom Kiely-Marshall OR60 FFR66 SS100 10-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 1m1½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 1L SP9/1 JockeyRhys Clutterbuck OR62 FFR68 SS99	9st 13lb	3	OR 62	68	+6lb	32	7/2	+12.6	Standard rest	Down in trip	Modest field	--	65%	76%	1/6	99	A	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Blue CelestialRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	27.8	2-2-6-3-4-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 06-08-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 8f \| Standard Wgt9st 1lb Result2 btn 0.8L SP8/1 JockeyClifford Lee OR62 FFR63 SS86 21-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 8.5f \| Standard Wgt9st 3lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP6/4F JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR58 FFR53 SS89 08-07-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 8f \| Standard / Slow Wgt9st 3lb Result6 btn 0.2L SP6/1 JockeySaffie Osborne OR59 FFR75 SS97 28-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 9.5f \| Standard Wgt9st 0lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP6/5F JockeyHector Crouch OR59 FFR47 SS90 31-05-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 8.5f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result4 btn 1.2L SP11/2 JockeyLewis Edmunds OR59 FFR62 SS89 20-05-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 6 \| 8f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 3lb Result2 btn 1.2L SP18/1 JockeyLewis Edmunds OR59 FFR71 SS93	9st 8lb	1	OR 64	71	+7lb	11	4/1	+8.6	Standard rest	Down in trip	Modest field	--	58%	62%	0/6	93	D	Well treated +11	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Albertini StarRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	22.8	3-2-10-6-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 23-07-2026 SandownClass 5 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP12/1 JockeyRossa Ryan OR63 FFR66 SS86 02-07-2026 NottinghamClass 5 \| 8.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result2 btn 8L SP16/1 JockeyClifford Lee OR63 FFR80 SS96 26-11-2025 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result10 btn 1.2L SP25/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR-- FFR61 SS88 07-10-2025 LeicesterClass 4 \| 1m \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result6 btn 1.2L SP12/1 JockeyRossa Ryan OR-- FFR56 SS-- 05-08-2025 NewburyClass 4 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result8 btn 1.5L SP16/1 JockeyRossa Ryan OR-- FFR67 SS--	9st 7lb	8	OR 63	67	+4lb	51	9/1	+3.6	Standard rest	Down in trip	Modest field	--	55%	56%	0/6	88	E	Well treated +10	WATCH ONLY
6	KhepriRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	19.2	4-4-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 28-07-2026 Ffos LasClass 3 \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 8.5L SP12/1 JockeyPierre-Louis Jamin OR-- FFR69 SS-- 07-07-2026 PontefractClass 3 \| 10f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result4 btn 0.8L SP40/1 JockeyClifford Lee OR-- FFR74 SS-- 20-06-2026 DoncasterClass 3 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 8L SP9/1 JockeyClifford Lee OR-- FFR56 SS--	9st 9lb	4	OR 65	56	-9lb	0	12/1	-4.9	Standard rest	Big drop back	Modest field	--	48%	52%	0/6	--	D	Stiff -6	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Mimi's MagicRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	17.2	8-6-5-2-3-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 27-07-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result8 btn 6L SP15/2 JockeySaffie Osborne OR65 FFR72 SS83 19-06-2026 Newmarket (July)Class 5 \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result6 btn 1.5L SP18/1 JockeyJack Callan OR67 FFR77 SS89 03-06-2026 NottinghamClass 5 \| 8.5f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result5 btn 0.1L SP11/1 JockeyCieren Fallon OR68 FFR67 SS93 05-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 9.5f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result2 btn 3.2L SP12/1 JockeyRossa Ryan OR68 FFR59 SS106 20-04-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 1.8L SP17/2 JockeyCieren Fallon OR70 FFR49 SS-- 22-09-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 1m½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 3.2L SP9/2 JockeyHollie Doyle OR-- FFR46 SS--	9st 6lb	6	OR 62	46	-16lb	4	18/1	-1.9	Standard rest	Down in trip	Modest field	--	45%	41%	1/6	106	E	Stiff -13	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Sailor's ReturnRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	14.2	4-10-6-6-4-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 03-08-2026 RiponClass 6 \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result4 btn 3.8L SP7/2 JockeyDaniel Tudhope OR63 FFR80 SS90 09-07-2026 CarlisleClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result10 btn 1.2L SP12/1 JockeyMark Winn OR67 FFR78 SS98 03-07-2026 DoncasterClass 5 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 6lb Result6 btn 0.2L SP11/1 JockeyDaniel Tudhope OR67 FFR57 SS91 15-06-2026 CarlisleClass 5 \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result6 btn 1L SP18/1 JockeyDaniel Tudhope OR68 FFR60 SS-- 16-03-2026 Chantilly-- \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.2L SP17/1 JockeyThomas Trullier OR68 FFR44 SS-- 05-02-2026 Chantilly-- \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 2.5L SP60/1 JockeyThomas Trullier OR68 FFR49 SS--	9st 5lb	9	OR 61	49	-12lb	3	9.6	-9.9	Standard rest	Down in trip	Modest field	--	48%	52%	0/6	91	D	Stiff -9	CAUTION PROFILE
9	Delevingne DreamRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	11.2	7-7-11-11 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 18-07-2026 RiponClass 6 \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result7 btn 2L SP9/1 JockeyKaiya Fraser OR58 FFR56 SS83 18-06-2026 YarmouthClass 4 \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 2lb Result7 btn 1.2L SP150/1 JockeyGeorge Downing OR-- FFR66 SS86 14-01-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 1m \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result11 btn 2.8L SP200/1 JockeyKaiya Fraser OR-- FFR65 SS-- 03-12-2025 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result11 btn 3L SP100/1 JockeyGeorge Wood OR-- FFR34 SS--	9st 0lb	2	OR 56	34	-22lb	20	30/1	-12.9	Freshened up	Down in trip	Modest field	--	45%	41%	0/6	86	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
10	Goldie TrickettRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	7.8	4-4-8-5-3-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-07-2026 NottinghamClass 6 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt10st 0lb Result4 btn 5L SP6/4F JockeyCallum Hutchinson OR60 FFR68 SS85 13-06-2026 LeicesterClass 5 \| 10f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result4 btn 0.1L SP7/1 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR61 FFR80 SS96 27-05-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 8f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 3lb Result8 btn 0.2L SP10/1 JockeyAlexandra Egan OR63 FFR59 SS99 20-05-2026 YarmouthClass 5 \| 10f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 1.5L SP5/2F JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR63 FFR54 SS90 25-04-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.8L SP9/1 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR63 FFR67 SS101 27-10-2025 Newcastle (AW)Class 6 \| 1m \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.5L SP100/30 JockeyCallum Rodriguez OR64 FFR47 SS--	9st 10lb	7	OR 59	47	-12lb	0	9/1	-16.4	Freshened up	Down in trip	Modest field	--	45%	43%	0/6	101	E	Stiff -9	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Gladiadora

Gladiadora profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Sunshine And Roses

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Gladiadora Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 43.8

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 43.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form4-2-4-8-4-2

FFR59 / -3lb

Speed96

Franked9

Ground1/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassUp in class

Draw10

Wgt9st 13lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

4 Windsor Competitive 20-07-2026

2 Kempton (AW) Solid effort 08-07-2026

4 Newmarket (July) Competitive 20-06-2026

8 Yarmouth Competitive 13-05-2026

4 Lingfield (AW) Strong run 27-04-2026

2 Nottingham Troubled run 08-04-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating9

1winners since

1placers since

8evidence pts

07-08-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Chico Dulce (GB), Luminous Approach (IRE), Platinum Prince (GB)

04-08-2026 | Nottingham Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Amber Honey (GB), Antiquity (GB), Future Cutlet (IRE)

Later placers

Sir David (FR) (06-08-2026)

01-02-2026 | Chelmsford (AW) Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Adace (GB), First Encounter (GB), My Boy Harry (GB)

Race produced winner

Rising Force (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Status WATCH ONLY

Agreement1/6

FFR59

Speed96

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR-3lb near mark

FFR 59 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

96 Par 100

Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score27.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI BHIGH

Mark readNear markLatest -3lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read +0lb

Today's conditions match 57% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 78%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 58%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Class

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating71

Best ground bandGood

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 2 0W / 1P Peak rating 58

Good 5 0W / 2P Peak rating 69

Fast 8 1W / 1P Peak rating 66

All-weather 7 2W / 4P Peak rating 71

Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 94%

Class fit 50%

Mark room 52%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

Proven trip profile (B)15 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest -3lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read +0lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest -3lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read +0lb

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 62 | Latest FFR 59 | Best FFR 81 | Public mark read 0

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Charlie Clover

Jockey Saffie Osborne

Age 5

Draw 10

OR 62

Avg OR 61.4

OR vs Field +0.6

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 248424

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Very steady 3% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 3.1 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance1m

Runs at profile15

DEIB

ReliabilityHIGH

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
20-06-2026	Newmarket (July)	Good To Firm	4	1:39.81	99.8
08-07-2026	Kempton (AW)	Standard / Slow	2	1:42.81	102.8
20-07-2026	Windsor	Good To Firm	4	1:43.09	103.1

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 51% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 29 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP2/1F

OwnerMrs R Coleman And G Glendining

Pedigree

Churchill × Desert Lily (Redoute's Choice)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Beaten favouriteMarket expected more last time

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.4L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
20-07-2026	Windsor	4	0.3	Neutral finish
08-07-2026	Kempton (AW)	2	2.8	Neutral finish
20-06-2026	Newmarket (July)	4	1	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 2 runs with an official OR.

08-04-2026 | Nottingham

Rating 69 OR 62

27-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 71 OR 64

13-05-2026 | Yarmouth

Rating -- OR 64

20-06-2026 | Newmarket (July)

Rating -- OR 63

08-07-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating -- OR 62

20-07-2026 | Windsor

Rating -- OR 62

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs15

ReliabilityHIGH

Winning-time parAwaiting timing benchmark

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times1:39.81 | 1:42.81 | 1:43.09

Recent positions4 | 2 | 4

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
20-07-2026	Windsor \| 8f \| Good To Firm \| Class 6	4	2/1F	62	--	--	0.3	--	GREY - no timing read
08-07-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 8f \| Standard / Slow \| Class 6	2	11/4F	62	--	--	2.8	--	GREY - no timing read
20-06-2026	Newmarket (July) \| 8f \| Good To Firm \| Class 5	4	15/2	63	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
13-05-2026	Yarmouth \| 8f \| Good \| Class 6	8	16/5F	64	--	--	2.2	--	GREY - no timing read
27-04-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 7f \| Standard \| Class 6	4	6/4F	64	71	44	0.8	1:25.74	GREY - no timing read
08-04-2026	Nottingham \| 1m½f \| Good \| Class 6	2	11/2	62	69	65	0.1	1:44.89	GREY - no timing read

Handicap Near mark

Latest -3lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read +0lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Benchmark evidence is still developing for this course, class, going and distance profile.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Sunshine And Roses Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 33.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 33.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form2-1-7-12-4-4

FFR67 / +7lb

Speed92

Franked9

Ground1/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 4lb

Samra Star Distance specialist

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 28.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Best of a weak race 28.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form1-1-2-8-3-4

FFR68 / +6lb

Speed99

Franked32

Ground2/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassUp in class

Draw3

Wgt9st 13lb

Blue Celestial Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 27.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Best of a weak race 27.8 confidence

Why consider6 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form2-2-6-3-4-2

FFR71 / +7lb

Speed93

Franked11

Ground3/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt9st 8lb

Albertini Star Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 22.8

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 22.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +10lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3-2-10-6-8

FFR67 / +4lb

Speed88

Franked51

Ground1/2 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 7lb

Khepri Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 19.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Watch only 19.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form4-4-4

FFR56 / -9lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground0/2 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassDown in class

Draw4

Wgt9st 9lb

Mimi's Magic Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 17.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 17.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8-6-5-2-3-6

FFR46 / -16lb

Speed106

Franked4

Ground1/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 6lb

Sailor's Return Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 14.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 14.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form4-10-6-6-4-4

FFR49 / -12lb

Speed91

Franked3

Ground1/2 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassUp in class

Draw9

Wgt9st 5lb

Delevingne Dream Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 11.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 11.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7-7-11-11

FFR34 / -22lb

Speed86

Franked20

Ground1/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassUp in class

Draw2

Wgt9st 0lb

Goldie Trickett Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 7.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 7.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-4-8-5-3-5

FFR47 / -12lb

Speed101

Franked0

Ground3/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassUp in class

Draw7

Wgt9st 10lb

7:15 | Roscommon

7:15 | Roscommon | 7.5f

| Good | WTW Willis Handicap

Race Confidence 62 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR74.818 rated runners | Top OR 82: Engines On

Winning par1m 32.11s576 race distance-only sample | approximate

SetupGOOD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Summer Island leads the contextual model at 34.2
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Winning-time par: 1m 32.11s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 18 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

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1	Summer IslandRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	50.8	5-1-2-1-3-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 09-08-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP100/30J JockeyOisin Murphy OR79 FFR78 SS91 26-06-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt8st 12lb Result1 SP11/4F JockeyOisin Murphy OR74 FFR80 SS88 24-05-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result2 btn 4.2L SP100/30F JockeyPaddy Harnett OR74 FFR81 SS88 04-05-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result1 SP7/2F JockeyPaddy Harnett OR65 FFR68 SS101 11-04-2026 Bellewstown-- \| 1m \| Soft Wgt-- Result3 btn 2.5L SP4/1 JockeyW J Lee OR65 FFR80 SS94 13-03-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.5L SP13/8F JockeyWayne Lordan OR66 FFR71 SS94	9st 13lb	17	OR 79	71	-8lb	31	7.2	+16.2	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	49%	52%	1/6	94	C	Stiff -5	CAUTION PROFILE
2	Cool AzulRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	32.2	1-7-3-2-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 11-07-2026 Navan-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result1 SP7/2 JockeyW J Lee OR74 FFR81 SS97 03-06-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 5f \| Good To Yielding Wgt8st 9lb Result7 btn 1L SP11/1 JockeyWayne Lordan OR78 FFR66 SS-- 26-05-2026 Dundalk (AW) (IRE)-- \| 5f \| Standard Wgt9st 8lb Result3 btn 0.8L SP5/4F JockeyRonan Whelan OR-- FFR73 SS-- 03-05-2026 Cork (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Soft Wgt9st 8lb Result2 btn 4.5L SP5/2 JockeyRonan Whelan OR-- FFR62 SS-- 19-04-2026 Curragh-- \| 6f \| Soft Wgt-- Result2 btn 2.8L SP20/1 JockeyRonan Whelan OR-- FFR81 SS--	9st 6lb	4	OR 78	81	+3lb	35	6.6	+22.7	Freshened up	Up in trip	Solid field	--	58%	54%	0/6	97	C	Workable +3	CAUTION PROFILE
3	MercurialRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	22.2	2-4-9-2-4-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 31-05-2026 Listowel (IRE)-- \| 6.5f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result2 btn 2.2L SP8/1 JockeySeamie Heffernan OR70 FFR79 SS88 18-05-2026 Roscommon (IRE)-- \| 7.5f \| Good To Yielding Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 0.5L SP17/2 JockeyDarragh O'Sullivan OR72 FFR79 SS94 02-11-2025 Curragh-- \| 7f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.5L SP15/2 JockeySeamie Heffernan OR73 FFR92 SS102 21-10-2025 Curragh-- \| 6f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result2 btn 2.8L SP12/1 JockeySeamie Heffernan OR70 FFR73 SS98 23-09-2025 Listowel (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.3L SP12/1 JockeySeamie Heffernan OR70 FFR68 SS118 27-06-2025 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt-- Result8 btn 0.2L SP14/1 JockeySeamie Heffernan OR74 FFR73 SS100	9st 4lb	1	OR 70	73	+3lb	24	16	+4.4	Layoff check	Up in trip	Solid field	--	53%	56%	1/6	100	E	Well treated +9	CAUTION PROFILE
4	ThenandnowRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	21.0	5-3-12-5-1-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 22-07-2026 Naas (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result5 btn 1.8L SP10/1 JockeyShane Foley OR80 FFR75 SS87 01-07-2026 Fairyhouse (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP15/2 JockeyShane Foley OR79 FFR85 SS85 20-06-2026 AyrClass 1 \| 5f \| Soft Wgt9st 0lb Result12 btn 0.1L SP33/1 JockeyMark Winn OR81 FFR44 SS97 03-05-2026 Cork (IRE)-- \| 5.5f \| Soft Wgt9st 2lb Result5 btn 0.3L SP15/2 JockeyNathan Crosse OR85 FFR85 SS100 19-04-2026 Curragh-- \| 6f \| Soft Wgt-- Result1 SP7/1 JockeyShane Foley OR75 FFR73 SS100 27-09-2025 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Yielding To Soft Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.5L SP9/2 JockeyShane Foley OR78 FFR68 SS--	9st 7lb	13	OR 79	68	-11lb	52	9/1	+7.7	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	43%	37%	1/6	100	E	Stiff -8	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Java WoodRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	18.8	7-12-3-1-12-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 30-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 8.5f \| Yielding To Soft Wgt8st 5lb Result7 btn 1.2L SP14/1 JockeyWesley Joyce OR70 FFR66 SS95 28-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 8.5f \| Yielding Wgt10st 0lb Result12 btn 8.5L SP13/2 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR70 FFR44 SS94 12-06-2026 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 9.5f \| Yielding Wgt9st 6lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP15/2 JockeyJulian Pietropaolo OR69 FFR82 SS92 10-06-2026 Limerick (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Yielding Wgt9st 6lb Result1 SP6/1 JockeyColin Keane OR62 FFR76 SS87 24-05-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt8st 5lb Result12 btn 0.2L SP15/2 JockeyJulian Pietropaolo OR64 FFR37 SS102 15-05-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result4 btn 0.8L SP14/1 JockeyJared Huggan OR65 FFR54 SS--	9st 3lb	16	OR 69	54	-15lb	34	22/1	+0.7	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	43%	41%	1/6	102	E	Stiff -12	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Spodo KomodoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	15.8	10-2-10-1-3-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 03-08-2026 Naas (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result10 btn 0.3L SP7/1 JockeyRonan Whelan OR78 FFR72 SS98 22-07-2026 Naas (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP16/1 JockeyRonan Whelan OR78 FFR80 SS92 26-06-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result10 btn 0.5L SP20/1 JockeyRonan Whelan OR79 FFR91 SS95 28-09-2025 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Yielding To Soft Wgt-- Result1 SP15/2 JockeyRonan Whelan OR68 FFR53 SS109 21-08-2025 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 1m \| Good Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.1L SP8/1 JockeySeamie Heffernan OR-- FFR78 SS-- 12-04-2025 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result4 btn 3L SP15/2 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR-- FFR43 SS--	9st 12lb	11	OR 78	43	-35lb	15	18	+3.7	Standard rest	Up in trip	Solid field	--	46%	39%	1/6	109	D	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Tokyo TreasureRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	15.2	2-7-8-3-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 07-08-2026 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 10lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP9/2 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR74 FFR69 SS92 11-07-2026 Limerick-- \| 6.5f \| Good Wgt9st 11lb Result7 btn 1.8L SP22/1 JockeyLuke McAteer OR75 FFR77 SS96 11-10-2025 Naas (IRE)-- \| 1m \| Yielding Wgt-- Result8 btn 1.5L SP9/1 JockeyLuke McAteer OR-- FFR61 SS83 29-09-2025 Down Royal (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Yielding Wgt-- Result3 btn 2.5L SP33/1 JockeyLuke McAteer OR-- FFR65 SS-- 02-09-2025 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good To Yielding Wgt-- Result8 btn 0.8L SP125/1 JockeyLuke McAteer OR-- FFR78 SS--	9st 11lb	7	OR 77	78	+1lb	33	10	-2.8	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	50%	53%	1/6	83	D	Near mark +1	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Perfect BaseRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	15.0	10-3-11-2-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 18-06-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 10lb Result10 btn 0.5L SP22/1 JockeyPaddy Harnett OR71 FFR73 SS94 29-09-2025 Down Royal (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Yielding Wgt-- Result-- btn 0.3L SP8/1 JockeySeamie Heffernan OR73 FFR82 SS102 19-08-2025 Roscommon (IRE)-- \| 7½f \| Good Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.5L SP11/4 JockeyWayne Lordan OR-- FFR68 SS91 04-08-2025 Naas (IRE)-- \| 1m \| Good To Yielding Wgt-- Result11 btn 1.2L SP4/1 JockeySeamie Heffernan OR-- FFR78 SS97 09-07-2025 Fairyhouse (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt-- Result2 btn 2.8L SP5/1 JockeyWayne Lordan OR-- FFR74 SS96 17-09-2024 Punchestown (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt-- Result6 btn 3L SP20/1 JockeyW J Lee OR-- FFR54 SS--	9st 4lb	2	OR 70	54	-16lb	40	18/1	-3.1	Layoff check	Down in trip	Solid field	--	43%	37%	1/6	96	E	Stiff -13	CAUTION PROFILE
9	SagastiRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	14.8	12-2-16-3-6-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 27-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Yielding Wgt9st 6lb Result12 btn 2.5L SP11/1 JockeyColin Keane OR72 FFR86 SS84 12-07-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 7f \| Standard Wgt10st 0lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP9/1 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR70 FFR71 SS91 01-07-2026 Fairyhouse (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result16 btn 0.1L SP16/1 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR70 FFR75 SS102 12-06-2026 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Yielding Wgt9st 13lb Result3 btn 0.2L SP14/1 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR69 FFR44 SS81 13-03-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.5L SP100/30 JockeyJamie Powell OR72 FFR78 SS-- 12-12-2025 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.3L SP22/1 JockeyRory Cleary OR-- FFR35 SS--	9st 0lb	10	OR 72	35	-37lb	23	22/1	-3.3	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	43%	36%	0/6	81	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
10	MehmanRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	11.2	13-10-3-2-9-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 28-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Yielding Wgt9st 10lb Result13 btn 0.8L SP40/1 JockeyChris Hayes OR76 FFR85 SS101 04-06-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Soft Wgt8st 10lb Result10 btn 9.5L SP9/1 JockeyConor Cusack OR77 FFR72 SS93 09-05-2026 Naas (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 10lb Result3 btn 0.2L SP8/1 JockeyLuke McAteer OR76 FFR82 SS96 11-04-2026 Bellewstown-- \| 1m \| Soft Wgt-- Result2 btn 1.2L SP12/1 JockeyLuke McAteer OR73 FFR77 SS101 20-03-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 1.8L SP9/4F JockeyLuke McAteer OR77 FFR35 SS91 06-03-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.5L SP11/1 JockeyChris Hayes OR75 FFR42 SS96	9st 9lb	5	OR 75	42	-33lb	42	33/1	-6.8	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	43%	40%	1/6	96	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
11	Red Hugh O'DonnellRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	11.2	8-4-1-14-5-14 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 28-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Yielding Wgt9st 1lb Result8 btn 1.2L SP12/1 JockeyReese Holohan OR74 FFR67 SS90 25-07-2026 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result4 btn 1.8L SP28/1 JockeyPaddy Harnett OR74 FFR78 SS92 14-07-2026 Killarney (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result1 SP33/1 JockeyPaddy Harnett OR68 FFR61 SS91 25-04-2026 Limerick-- \| 1m \| Yielding Wgt-- Result14 btn 1.8L SP25/1 JockeySeamie Heffernan OR70 FFR81 SS93 23-09-2025 Listowel (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.8L SP50/1 JockeyJ M Sheridan OR71 FFR69 SS97 21-08-2025 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 1m1f \| Good Wgt-- Result14 btn 0.5L SP40/1 JockeyDarragh OSullivan OR73 FFR56 SS84	9st 7lb	9	OR 73	56	-17lb	74	22/1	-6.8	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	43%	34%	0/6	84	E	Stiff -14	CAUTION PROFILE
12	Contrary To LawRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	9.2	4-1-7-6-4-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 22-07-2026 Naas (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result4 btn 0.5L SP7/4F JockeyBen Coen OR77 FFR71 SS90 08-07-2026 Fairyhouse-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result1 SP13/8F JockeyBen Coen OR70 FFR66 SS88 03-06-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 6.5f \| Good To Yielding Wgt9st 8lb Result7 btn 3L SP6/1 JockeySeamie Heffernan OR-- FFR66 SS80 15-03-2026 Curragh-- \| 6f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.2L SP5/2 JockeyBen Coen OR-- FFR62 SS-- 28-07-2025 Galway (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Yielding Wgt-- Result4 btn 3L SP14/1 JockeyGary Carroll OR-- FFR81 SS-- 19-07-2025 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt-- Result9 btn 2L SP100/1 JockeyGary Carroll OR-- FFR72 SS--	9st 5lb	18	OR 77	72	-5lb	0	7/2	+9.2	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	53%	55%	0/6	80	C	Near mark -2	CAUTION PROFILE
13	Dolly HelloRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.2	3-5-4-3-7-13 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 14-07-2026 Killarney (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP5/1 JockeyBen Coen OR75 FFR64 SS90 27-10-2025 Galway-- \| 7f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result5 btn 3L SP3/1J JockeyShane Foley OR75 FFR73 SS92 11-10-2025 Naas (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Yielding Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.5L SP8/1 JockeyColin Keane OR-- FFR84 SS100 22-09-2025 Fairyhouse (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Yielding Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.8L SP40/1 JockeyJamie Powell OR-- FFR78 SS94 06-09-2025 Navan (IRE)-- \| 1m \| Good Wgt-- Result7 btn 2.5L SP40/1 JockeyDonagh OConnor OR-- FFR69 SS93 04-08-2025 Naas (IRE)-- \| 1m \| Good To Yielding Wgt-- Result13 btn 1.2L SP28/1 JockeyDonagh OConnor OR-- FFR72 SS--	9st 6lb	14	OR 72	72	+0lb	69	18.5	-9.8	Freshened up	Down in trip	Solid field	--	51%	44%	0/6	93	E	Workable +6	CAUTION PROFILE
14	EarlsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	7.2	3-2-2-2-16-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 30-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 8.5f \| Yielding To Soft Wgt8st 9lb Result3 btn 0.8L SP18/1 JockeyReese Holohan OR78 FFR59 SS95 13-07-2026 Killarney-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result2 btn 2.5L SP5/1 JockeyGary Carroll OR78 FFR65 SS113 10-06-2026 Limerick (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Yielding Wgt9st 5lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP11/1 JockeyGary Carroll OR77 FFR73 SS95 11-05-2026 Roscommon (IRE)-- \| 7.5f \| Good Wgt9st 10lb Result2 btn 2.5L SP33/1 JockeyGary Carroll OR76 FFR77 SS91 19-04-2026 Curragh-- \| 7f \| Soft Wgt-- Result16 btn 0.5L SP40/1 JockeyGary Carroll OR81 FFR72 SS84 28-03-2026 Curragh-- \| 1m \| Soft To Heavy Wgt-- Result10 btn 0.1L SP33/1 JockeyGary Carroll OR82 FFR70 SS91	9st 12lb	3	OR 78	70	-8lb	79	6/1	-1.8	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	51%	59%	1/6	91	B	Stiff -5	CAUTION PROFILE
15	Venetian StarRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	7.0	10-2-10-3-3-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 09-07-2026 Leopardstown-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result10 btn 7.5L SP15/2 JockeyLuke McAteer OR74 FFR77 SS84 19-06-2026 Limerick (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Soft Wgt9st 7lb Result2 btn 0.5L SP15/2 JockeyLuke McAteer OR72 FFR71 SS93 12-06-2026 Fairyhouse (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result10 btn 4.8L SP8/1 JockeyLuke McAteer OR73 FFR77 SS96 28-05-2026 Fairyhouse (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result3 btn 0.3L SP7/2J JockeyPatrick McGettigan OR72 FFR36 SS99 03-05-2026 Cork (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Soft Wgt9st 9lb Result3 btn 2.5L SP17/2 JockeyPaddy Harnett OR74 FFR77 SS91 19-04-2026 Curragh-- \| 1m \| Soft Wgt-- Result4 btn 2.2L SP25/1 JockeyBen Coen OR74 FFR36 SS97	9st 2lb	15	OR 74	36	-38lb	64	25/1	+4.2	Freshened up	Down in trip	Solid field	--	46%	41%	1/6	97	D	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
16	Flaming RibRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	6.2	7-8-4-5-10-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 03-08-2026 Naas (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result7 btn 0.8L SP25/1 JockeyShane Foley OR71 FFR88 SS94 22-07-2026 Naas (IRE)-- \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result8 btn 0.8L SP6/1 JockeyAdam Caffrey OR75 FFR73 SS102 19-06-2026 Down Royal (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Soft Wgt9st 7lb Result4 btn 1.8L SP7/2 JockeySam Coen OR78 FFR57 SS96 04-06-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Soft Wgt9st 1lb Result5 btn 1.8L SP20/1 JockeyReese Holohan OR79 FFR69 SS101 17-12-2025 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result10 btn 2.2L SP5/1 JockeyShane Foley OR83 FFR52 SS107 21-11-2025 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.5L SP14/1 JockeyAdam Caffrey OR84 FFR53 SS98	9st 3lb	12	OR 69	53	-16lb	15	25/1	-11.8	Standard rest	Up in trip	Solid field	--	43%	40%	0/6	98	E	Stiff -13	CAUTION PROFILE
17	Dragon Of MaltaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	3.8	5-4-13-8-15-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 28-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Yielding Wgt9st 3lb Result5 btn 2.5L SP20/1 JockeyJulian Pietropaolo OR76 FFR72 SS102 10-06-2026 Limerick (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Yielding Wgt8st 12lb Result4 btn 0.5L SP40/1 JockeyJulian Pietropaolo OR77 FFR61 SS96 31-05-2026 Listowel (IRE)-- \| 6.5f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result13 btn 0.2L SP33/1 JockeySylvia O'Donnell OR80 FFR37 SS100 19-05-2026 Cork (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Soft To Heavy Wgt8st 13lb Result8 btn 11L SP40/1 JockeyMax Popan OR82 FFR44 SS103 08-11-2025 DoncasterClass 4 \| 7f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result15 btn 0.8L SP22/1 JockeyJulian Pietropaolo OR82 FFR68 SS90 01-10-2025 Bellewstown (IRE)-- \| 1m \| Soft Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.8L SP9/1 JockeyJulian Pietropaolo OR82 FFR63 SS86	9st 9lb	8	OR 75	63	-12lb	27	22/1	-14.3	Standard rest	Down in trip	Solid field	--	54%	58%	2/6	86	A	Stiff -9	CAUTION PROFILE
18	Engines OnRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	2.2	14-13-16-1-3-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 14-06-2026 Cork (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt8st 9lb Result14 btn 0.5L SP33/1 JockeyDeclan McDonogh OR86 FFR74 SS106 03-04-2026 Curragh-- \| 1m \| Soft To Heavy Wgt-- Result13 btn 0.5L SP16/1 JockeyChris Hayes OR90 FFR84 SS98 15-03-2026 Curragh-- \| 1m \| Heavy Wgt-- Result16 btn 0.2L SP14/1 JockeyChris Hayes OR91 FFR90 SS101 27-09-2025 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Soft Wgt-- Result1 SP13/2 JockeyChris Hayes OR82 FFR56 SS108 30-08-2025 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 1m \| Good To Yielding Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.3L SP28/1 JockeyKeithen Kennedy OR84 FFR61 SS79 19-08-2025 Roscommon (IRE)-- \| 7½f \| Good Wgt-- Result7 btn 1.2L SP11/4F JockeyChris Hayes OR78 FFR47 SS90	10st 2lb	6	OR 82	47	-35lb	56	20/1	-8.1	Layoff check	Down in trip	Solid field	--	54%	47%	2/6	90	A	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Summer Island

Summer Island profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Cool Azul

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Summer Island Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 50.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 50.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (C)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form5-1-2-1-3-6

FFR71 / -8lb

Speed94

Franked31

Ground2/2 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw17

Wgt9st 13lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

5 Curragh (IRE) Competitive 09-08-2026

1 Curragh (IRE) Strong run 26-06-2026

2 Curragh (IRE) Solid effort 24-05-2026

1 Curragh (IRE) Strong run 04-05-2026

3 Bellewstown Solid effort 11-04-2026

6 Dundalk (AW) Run faded 13-03-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating31

6winners since

10placers since

12evidence pts

02-06-2026 | Dundalk (AW) Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Bang Po (IRE), Beat The Devil (IRE), Carrickfinn (GB)

Race produced winner

Profit Surge (IRE)

Later placers

Desert Of The Sea (IRE) (03-06-2026)

05-04-2026 | Curragh (IRE) Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Cannonball Queen (IRE), Carrigans Grove (IRE), Comfort Line (IRE)

Later placers

Go Out (FR) (02-06-2026)

08-07-2025 | Leopardstown (IRE) Finished 21

Race produced winner

Beauty Generation (IRE), Boyne Valley (IRE)

Later placers

Church Mountain (IRE) (12-12-2025), Colugo (IRE) (12-10-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR71

Speed94

ConditionsCaution

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-8lb below mark

FFR 71 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

94 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance evidence is thin

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score34.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI CLOW

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -8lb | peak +2lb treated as ceiling | public read -5lb

Today's conditions match 49% Conditions ask questions

Trip / ground 66%

Class 42%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandTesting

Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 5 0W / 2P Peak rating 69

Good 7 2W / 3P Peak rating 73

Fast 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 2 1W / 1P Peak rating 70

Placement evidence 52% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 73%

Class fit 23%

Mark room 37%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

Proven trip profile (C)Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalClass benchmark is a concernCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -8lb | peak +2lb treated as ceiling | public read -5lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -8lb | peak +2lb treated as ceiling | public read -5lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 79 | Latest FFR 71 | Best FFR 81 | Public mark read -5

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Miss Natalia Lupini

Jockey Dylan Browne McMonagle

Age 4

Draw 17

OR 79

Avg OR 74.8

OR vs Field +4.2

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 631215

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Very steady 4.9% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 1.2 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance7f

Runs at profile2

DEIC

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
04-05-2026	Curragh (IRE)	Good	1	1:25.29	85.3
26-06-2026	Curragh (IRE)	Good	1	1:26.20	86.2

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 57% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 9 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP100/30J

OwnerNigel Ohare Martin W White Mark Devlin C G Bryson

Pedigree

Caravaggio × Anita Partner (Majestic Warrior)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this tripBeaten favouriteMarket expected more last time

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.6L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
09-08-2026	Curragh (IRE)	5	0.5	Fast finish
26-06-2026	Curragh (IRE)	1	0	Fast finish
24-05-2026	Curragh (IRE)	2	4.2	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 2 runs with an official OR.

13-03-2026 | Dundalk (AW)

Rating 62 OR 66

11-04-2026 | Bellewstown

Rating 64 OR 65

04-05-2026 | Curragh (IRE)

Rating -- OR 65

24-05-2026 | Curragh (IRE)

Rating -- OR 74

26-06-2026 | Curragh (IRE)

Rating -- OR 74

09-08-2026 | Curragh (IRE)

Rating -- OR 79

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Trip evidence building

Similar-trip runs2

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par1m 32.11s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times1:25.29 | 1:26.20

Recent positions1 | 1

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
09-08-2026	Curragh (IRE) \| 8f \| Good To Firm \| --	5	100/30J	79	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
26-06-2026	Curragh (IRE) \| 7f \| Good \| --	1	11/4F	74	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
24-05-2026	Curragh (IRE) \| 8f \| Good \| --	2	100/30F	74	--	--	4.2	--	GREY - no timing read
04-05-2026	Curragh (IRE) \| 7f \| Good \| --	1	7/2F	65	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
11-04-2026	Bellewstown \| 1m \| Soft \| --	3	4/1	65	64	12	2.5	1:51.23	GREY - below benchmark
13-03-2026	Dundalk (AW) \| 1m \| Standard \| --	6	13/8F	66	62	22	0.5	1:41.42	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -8lb | peak +2lb treated as ceiling | public read -5lb.

Benchmark Fit score -2

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 94.2 and winning TS par is around 52.6. Runner versus par: rating edge -18.2. Benchmark fit: -1.5.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Cool Azul Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 32.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Watch only 32.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form1-7-3-2-2

FFR81 / +3lb

Speed97

Franked35

Ground1/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw4

Wgt9st 6lb

Mercurial Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 22.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 22.2 confidence

Why consider13 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form2-4-9-2-4-8

FFR73 / +3lb

Speed100

Franked24

Ground1/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw1

Wgt9st 4lb

Thenandnow Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 21.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 21.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5-3-12-5-1-7

FFR68 / -11lb

Speed100

Franked52

Ground2/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw13

Wgt9st 7lb

Java Wood Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 18.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 18.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7-12-3-1-12-4

FFR54 / -15lb

Speed102

Franked34

Ground1/2 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw16

Wgt9st 3lb

Spodo Komodo Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 15.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 15.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form10-2-10-1-3-4

FFR43 / -35lb

Speed109

Franked15

Ground2/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw11

Wgt9st 12lb

Tokyo Treasure Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 15.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 15.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-7-8-3-8

FFR78 / +1lb

Speed83

Franked33

Ground2/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw7

Wgt9st 11lb

Perfect Base Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 15.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 15.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form10-3-11-2-6

FFR54 / -16lb

Speed96

Franked40

Ground2/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw2

Wgt9st 4lb

Sagasti Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 14.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 14.8 confidence

Why consider6 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form12-2-16-3-6-3

FFR35 / -37lb

Speed81

Franked23

Ground1/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw10

Wgt9st 0lb

Mehman Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 11.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 11.2 confidence

Why consider9 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form13-10-3-2-9-2

FFR42 / -33lb

Speed96

Franked42

Ground0/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw5

Wgt9st 9lb

Red Hugh O'Donnell Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 11.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 11.2 confidence

Why consider7 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8-4-1-14-5-14

FFR56 / -17lb

Speed84

Franked74

Ground1/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw9

Wgt9st 7lb

Contrary To Law Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 9.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 9.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form4-1-7-6-4-9

FFR72 / -5lb

Speed80

Franked0

Ground2/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw18

Wgt9st 5lb

Dolly Hello Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 8.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 8.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3-5-4-3-7-13

FFR72 / +0lb

Speed93

Franked69

Ground0/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw14

Wgt9st 6lb

Earls Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 7.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 7.2 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-2-2-2-16-10

FFR70 / -8lb

Speed91

Franked79

Ground0/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw3

Wgt9st 12lb

Venetian Star Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 7.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 7.0 confidence

Why consider6 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form10-2-10-3-3-4

FFR36 / -38lb

Speed97

Franked64

Ground2/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw15

Wgt9st 2lb

Flaming Rib Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 6.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 6.2 confidence

Why consider7 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7-8-4-5-10-4

FFR53 / -16lb

Speed98

Franked15

Ground0/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw12

Wgt9st 3lb

Dragon Of Malta Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 3.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 3.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form5-4-13-8-15-3

FFR63 / -12lb

Speed86

Franked27

Ground0/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw8

Wgt9st 9lb

Engines On Distance specialist

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 2.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 2.2 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form14-13-16-1-3-7

FFR47 / -35lb

Speed90

Franked56

Ground1/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw6

Wgt10st 2lb

7:30 | Wolverhampton (AW)

7:30 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f

Class 5 | Standard | Maggies Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 63 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR70.88 rated runners | Top OR 74: Percy's Star

Winning par1m 13.84s115 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupTAPETA: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-75 | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Arishka's Dream leads the contextual model at 36.5
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Winning-time par: 1m 13.84s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 8 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Arishka's DreamRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	37.0	8-8-2-2-1-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 04-06-2026 Ffos LasClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 9lb Result8 btn 4L SP5/2F JockeyRay Dawson OR72 FFR80 SS94 25-04-2026 RiponClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result8 btn 1.5L SP2/1F JockeyOisin Orr OR72 FFR85 SS96 05-03-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.3L SP2/1F JockeyJason Watson OR70 FFR84 SS94 28-02-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.2L SP5/2F JockeyJason Watson OR70 FFR85 SS103 16-02-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP4/1 JockeyCallum Hutchinson OR66 FFR57 SS105 19-01-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 1.5L SP9/4 JockeyDylan Hogan OR67 FFR35 SS82	9st 6lb	6	OR 71	35	-36lb	27	6	+6	Layoff check	Up in trip	Solid field	--	51%	51%	2/6	82	C	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
2	Sargent DennisRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	35.2	7-1-2-2-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 23-07-2026 DoncasterClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result7 btn 0.1L SP3/1 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR74 FFR72 SS94 11-05-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result1 SP5/4F JockeyTom Marquand OR-- FFR77 SS94 04-05-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt9st 1lb Result2 btn 2.8L SP3/1 JockeyRose Dawes OR-- FFR76 SS-- 17-04-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 2.2L SP20/1 JockeyRose Dawes OR-- FFR76 SS-- 26-03-2026 Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 1.5L SP18/1 JockeyGeorge Bass OR-- FFR58 SS--	9st 7lb	5	OR 72	58	-14lb	0	4.1	+11.8	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	52%	52%	1/6	94	B	Stiff -11	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Percy's StarRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	28.2	6-1-4-2-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 04-07-2026 Newmarket (July)Class 4 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 0lb Result6 btn 0.8L SP17/2 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR76 FFR74 SS95 08-06-2026 LeicesterClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result1 SP2/1F JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR68 FFR67 SS-- 25-05-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result4 btn 0.1L SP7/2 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR-- FFR69 SS-- 11-05-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result2 btn 2.8L SP100/30 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR-- FFR77 SS-- 13-04-2026 LeicesterClass 4 \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result5 btn 4.2L SP66/1 JockeyMarco Ghiani OR-- FFR66 SS--	9st 9lb	4	OR 74	66	-8lb	11	6/1	+5.2	Freshened up	Up in trip	Solid field	--	48%	53%	0/6	95	D	Stiff -5	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Escape PlanRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	23.8	7-8-8-1-7-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 04-08-2026 Ffos LasClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt9st 10lb Result7 btn 0.1L SP25/1 JockeyKieran Shoemark OR70 FFR76 SS95 22-05-2026 BathClass 5 \| 5.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result8 btn 1L SP100/30F JockeyRossa Ryan OR70 FFR78 SS92 04-05-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result8 btn 0.2L SP13/2 JockeyTom Marquand OR70 FFR84 SS95 30-03-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result1 SP3/1 JockeySean Levey OR67 FFR60 SS100 28-02-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.2L SP100/30 JockeyTom Marquand OR69 FFR40 SS100 16-09-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 3.5L SP5/1 JockeyHollie Doyle OR-- FFR40 SS--	9st 3lb	7	OR 68	40	-28lb	27	18/1	-7.8	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	52%	48%	1/6	100	B	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Acclaimed FreedomRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	21.8	6-4-2-6-8-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 09-07-2026 Epsom DownsClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 7lb Result6 btn 1L SP100/30 JockeyNeil Callan OR74 FFR81 SS94 04-07-2026 NottinghamClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result4 btn 0.1L SP5/2 JockeyRowan Scott OR74 FFR67 SS92 08-06-2026 WindsorClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 5lb Result2 btn 0.3L SP11/2 JockeyTom Marquand OR72 FFR78 SS92 28-03-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 1.2L SP33/1 JockeyDarragh Keenan OR74 FFR74 SS96 18-03-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result8 btn 2.2L SP7/1 JockeyCallum Shepherd OR75 FFR67 SS-- 18-09-2025 Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP15/8F JockeyHarry Davies OR-- FFR71 SS--	9st 8lb	2	OR 73	71	-2lb	10	5/2	-1.8	Freshened up	Same trip	Solid field	--	53%	59%	1/6	96	D	Near mark +1	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Soca StarRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	13.8	5-5-2-3-7-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 29-06-2026 PontefractClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result5 btn 1L SP28/1 JockeyDale Swift OR68 FFR75 SS89 25-05-2026 RedcarClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 9lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP100/30 JockeyDale Swift OR70 FFR73 SS96 22-04-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 5f \| Good Wgt-- Result2 btn 2L SP15/2 JockeyDale Swift OR70 FFR76 SS90 11-10-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 1L SP12/1 JockeyDale Swift OR71 FFR78 SS87 03-09-2025 HamiltonClass 2 \| 6f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result7 btn 3.8L SP14/1 JockeyJason Hart OR73 FFR61 SS94 19-08-2025 ChepstowClass 5 \| 5f \| Good To Firm Wgt-- Result2 btn 3L SP11/8F JockeyJason Hart OR74 FFR65 SS96	9st 2lb	3	OR 67	65	-2lb	14	14/1	+0.5	Freshened up	Up in trip	Solid field	--	52%	50%	0/6	96	D	Near mark +1	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Up The AgendaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	13.5	6-8-7-1-3-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 15-07-2026 YarmouthClass 4 \| 7f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result6 btn 5.5L SP9/1 JockeyOisin Murphy OR75 FFR81 SS104 18-06-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 4 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 0lb Result8 btn 1.5L SP22/1 JockeyTom Eaves OR76 FFR82 SS71 23-05-2026 WindsorClass 4 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result7 btn 0.1L SP14/1 JockeyJonny Peate OR76 FFR81 SS96 19-01-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result1 SP6/5F JockeyDaniel Muscutt OR74 FFR68 SS90 31-12-2025 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 1.2L SP6/1 JockeyCallum Shepherd OR74 FFR61 SS101 13-12-2025 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP6/5F JockeyDaniel Muscutt OR70 FFR57 SS93	9st 9lb	1	OR 74	57	-17lb	5	12/1	-8.8	Freshened up	Down in trip	Solid field	--	55%	53%	1/6	93	A	Stiff -14	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Fizzy CristalRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	10.0	5-5-4-1-6-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 17-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 7f \| Standard Wgt9st 3lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP8/1 JockeyEthan Tindall OR69 FFR78 SS86 20-06-2026 DoncasterClass 5 \| 6f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result5 btn 2L SP12/1 JockeyCam Hardie OR70 FFR80 SS89 30-05-2026 ChesterClass 4 \| 6f \| Good Wgt8st 5lb Result4 btn 1.8L SP20/1 JockeyWarren Fentiman OR70 FFR76 SS96 19-05-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 5 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt9st 3lb Result1 SP11/1 JockeyWarren Fentiman OR67 FFR71 SS83 08-04-2026 CatterickClass 5 \| 6f \| Good Wgt-- Result6 btn 1.8L SP6/1 JockeyOisin Orr OR67 FFR61 SS94 14-10-2025 Newcastle (AW)Class 6 \| 6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP9/2 JockeyOisin Orr OR64 FFR57 SS105	9st 2lb	8	OR 67	57	-10lb	16	17/2	-5.2	Freshened up	Down in trip	Solid field	--	55%	61%	1/6	105	A	Stiff -7	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Arishka's Dream

Arishka's Dream profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Sargent Dennis

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Arishka's Dream Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 37.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Best of a weak race 37.0 confidence

Why consider7 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form8-8-2-2-1-3

FFR35 / -36lb

Speed82

Franked27

Ground2/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassSame class

Draw6

Wgt9st 6lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

8 Ffos Las Steady run 04-06-2026

8 Ripon Run faded 25-04-2026

2 Newcastle (AW) Strong run 05-03-2026

2 Lingfield (AW) Strong run 28-02-2026

1 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 16-02-2026

3 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 19-01-2026

Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating27

1winners since

5placers since

7evidence pts

03-05-2026 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Elizabetty (IRE), Espona Bay (IRE), Fille Unique (IRE)

Race produced winner

Espona Bay (IRE)

Later placers

Elizabetty (IRE) (02-06-2026), Marra Donna (IRE) (02-06-2026)

06-04-2026 | Ffos Las Finished 8

Later placers

Arctic Wind (GB) (05-08-2026), Beach Partee (GB) (08-05-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR35

Speed82

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-36lb below mark

FFR 35 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

82 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskRaw score needs more support

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score36.5Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI CMEDIUM

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -36lb | peak +14lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Today's conditions match 51% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 55%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs4/6

Best similar rating77

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 35

Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 7 1W / 5P Peak rating 77

Placement evidence 51% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 70%

Class fit 56%

Mark room 4%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

7 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -36lb | peak +14lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -36lb | peak +14lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 71 | Latest FFR 35 | Best FFR 85 | Public mark read -16

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Daniel & Claire Kubler

Jockey Ebrahim Nader

Age 3

Draw 6

OR 71

Avg OR 70.8

OR vs Field +0.2

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 312288

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Regressing

confidence nudge -1.0

Variance Reliable 7.6% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Par capable 5.4 vs par

Curve Regressing Trend -2

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance6f

Runs at profile7

DEIC

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
28-02-2026	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	2	1:11.07	71.1
05-03-2026	Newcastle (AW)	Standard	2	1:12.59	72.6
25-04-2026	Ripon	Good	8	1:15.65	75.7

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.5 micro score

Trainer RTF 48% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 75 days Standard layoff

Micro score +0.5 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP5/2F

OwnerDiskovery Xiii

Pedigree

Dream Ahead × Arishka (Dandy Man)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distanceBeaten favouriteMarket expected more last time

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.9L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
04-06-2026	Ffos Las	8	4	Neutral finish
25-04-2026	Ripon	8	1.5	Run faded
05-03-2026	Newcastle (AW)	2	0.3	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 3 of 5 runs with an official OR.

19-01-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 57 OR 67

16-02-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 68 OR 66

28-02-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 75 OR 70

05-03-2026 | Newcastle (AW)

Rating 77 OR 70

25-04-2026 | Ripon

Rating 35 OR 72

04-06-2026 | Ffos Las

Rating -- OR 72

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs7

ReliabilityMEDIUM

Winning-time par1m 13.84s

Last win at trip1:14.65 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 16-02-2026

Recent times1:11.07 | 1:12.59 | 1:15.65

Recent positions2 | 2 | 8

Winning contextvs par +0.81s | OR 66

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
04-06-2026	Ffos Las \| 5f \| Good To Soft \| Class 5	8	5/2F	72	--	--	4	--	GREY - no timing read
25-04-2026	Ripon \| 6f \| Good \| Class 5	8	2/1F	72	35	21	1.5	1:15.65	AMBER - competitive
05-03-2026	Newcastle (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	2	2/1F	70	77	69	0.3	1:12.59	GOLD - faster than par
28-02-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 5	2	5/2F	70	75	71	0.2	1:11.07	GOLD - faster than par
16-02-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 4	1	4/1	66	68	34	0	1:14.65	AMBER - competitive
19-01-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 6f \| Standard \| Class 4	3	9/4	67	57	32	1.5	1:14.38	GREEN - within 1% of par

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -36lb | peak +14lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 78.9 and winning TS par is around 53.4. Runner versus par: rating edge +0.1. Benchmark fit: 1.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Sargent Dennis Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 35.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.

Best of a weak race 35.2 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form7-1-2-2-5

FFR58 / -14lb

Speed94

Franked0

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw5

Wgt9st 7lb

Percy's Star Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 28.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 28.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form6-1-4-2-5

FFR66 / -8lb

Speed95

Franked11

Ground0/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassDown in class

Draw4

Wgt9st 9lb

Escape Plan Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 23.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 23.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form7-8-8-1-7-2

FFR40 / -28lb

Speed100

Franked27

Ground1/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw7

Wgt9st 3lb

Acclaimed Freedom Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 21.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 21.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form6-4-2-6-8-1

FFR71 / -2lb

Speed96

Franked10

Ground0/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassDown in class

Draw2

Wgt9st 8lb

Soca Star Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 13.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 13.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue

Form5-5-2-3-7-2

FFR65 / -2lb

Speed96

Franked14

Ground1/2 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 2lb

Up The Agenda Distance specialist

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 13.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 13.5 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form6-8-7-1-3-1

FFR57 / -17lb

Speed93

Franked5

Ground2/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassDown in class

Draw1

Wgt9st 9lb

Fizzy Cristal Distance specialist

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 10.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 10.0 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (A)

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form5-5-4-1-6-1

FFR57 / -10lb

Speed105

Franked16

Ground1/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 2lb

7:45 | Roscommon

7:45 | Roscommon | 12f

| Good | District Speciality Coffee Maiden

Race Confidence 65 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosMedium

Average OR812 rated runners | Top OR 85: Sunny South West

Winning par2m 34.00s2067 race distance-only sample | approximate

SetupGOOD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
De Vega Queen leads the contextual model at 23.2
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Moderate edge over next best: +5.0
Winning-time par: 2m 34.00s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 16 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	De Vega QueenRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	29.2	5-4-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 13-07-2026 Killarney-- \| 11.5f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result5 btn 3.5L SP14/1 JockeyAndrew Slattery OR-- FFR78 SS97 19-05-2026 Cork (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Soft To Heavy Wgt9st 0lb Result4 btn 0.8L SP20/1 JockeySeamie Heffernan OR-- FFR67 SS-- 09-04-2026 Gowran Park-- \| 1m1½f \| Soft Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.3L SP25/1 JockeySeamie Heffernan OR-- FFR47 SS--	9st 3lb	5	OR 77	47	-30lb	0	18.5	+17	Freshened up	Down in trip	Solid field	--	45%	45%	0/6	97	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
2	AlmazannRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	20.2	2-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 10-05-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result2 btn 2.2L SP15/8 JockeyChris Hayes OR-- FFR85 SS100 24-04-2026 Cork-- \| 1m2½f \| Good To Yielding Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.2L SP9/4F JockeyChris Hayes OR-- FFR75 SS--	9st 8lb	7	OR --	75	--	0	3.85	+9	Layoff check	Same trip	Solid field	--	50%	55%	1/6	100	D	Developing	WATCH ONLY
3	PossumRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	11.0	8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 03-06-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Yielding Wgt9st 1lb Result8 btn 1.2L SP10/1 JockeyShane Foley OR-- FFR57 SS--	9st 3lb	12	OR --	57	--	0	25/1	+4.8	Layoff check	Same trip	Solid field	--	48%	50%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
4	SalaminaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	7.8	11-11 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 14-08-2026 Cork (IRE)-- \| 10.5f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result11 btn 1L SP50/1 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR-- FFR35 SS-- 12-08-2026 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 9.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 3lb Result11 btn 3L SP14/1 JockeyDeclan McDonogh OR-- FFR36 SS--	9st 3lb	10	OR --	36	--	0	125/1	+1.5	Quick return	Up in trip	Solid field	--	48%	49%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
5	VeneriniRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	7.8	8-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 05-05-2026 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 9.5f \| Good To Yielding Wgt8st 12lb Result8 btn 7.5L SP100/1 JockeyHugh Horgan OR-- FFR61 SS85 15-04-2026 Leopardstown-- \| 1m \| Yielding To Soft Wgt-- Result10 btn 1.8L SP300/1 JockeyHugh Horgan OR-- FFR37 SS--	9st 3lb	8	OR --	37	--	0	200/1	+1.5	Layoff check	Big step up	Solid field	--	48%	49%	0/6	85	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Magnum CorRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	6.2	4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 06-08-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 9f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result4 btn 0.8L SP15/8 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR-- FFR66 SS--	9st 8lb	15	OR --	66	--	0	5/6	0	Standard rest	Big step up	Solid field	--	48%	51%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
7	Daily WonderRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	5.0	-- Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.	9st 8lb	9	OR --	--	--	0	80/1	-1.2	Rest developing	Trip move developing	Solid field	--	50%	53%	0/6	--	UNKNOWN	Developing	WATCH ONLY
8	Purple BanditRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	5.0	-- Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.	9st 8lb	4	OR --	--	--	0	19.5	-1.2	Rest developing	Trip move developing	Solid field	--	50%	53%	0/6	--	UNKNOWN	Developing	WATCH ONLY
9	MichinagaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	4.2	9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 06-08-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 9f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result9 btn 0.2L SP125/1 JockeyRory Mulligan OR-- FFR37 SS--	9st 8lb	3	OR --	37	--	0	100/1	-2	Standard rest	Big step up	Solid field	--	48%	54%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
10	One Cool CountyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	4.0	9-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 12-08-2026 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 9.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 1lb Result9 btn 5.5L SP250/1 JockeyConor Cusack OR-- FFR40 SS-- 13-07-2026 Killarney-- \| 11.5f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result6 btn 9.5L SP66/1 JockeyLuke McAteer OR-- FFR37 SS--	9st 8lb	6	OR --	37	--	0	200/1	-2.2	Quick return	Big step up	Solid field	--	48%	51%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
11	TeoestRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	3.8	6-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 19-07-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 8lb Result6 btn 4.2L SP40/1 JockeyDeclan McDonogh OR-- FFR59 SS-- 26-05-2026 Dundalk (AW) (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Standard Wgt9st 8lb Result4 btn 1.2L SP22/1 JockeyAndrew Slattery OR-- FFR60 SS--	9st 8lb	14	OR --	60	--	0	21	-2.5	Freshened up	Same trip	Solid field	--	48%	48%	0/6	--	E	Developing	WATCH ONLY
12	My Girl JersieRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	3.2	16-9-9-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 03-08-2026 Naas (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 3lb Result16 btn 5.5L SP300/1 JockeyRobert Whearty OR-- FFR53 SS70 27-10-2025 Galway-- \| 1m½f \| Soft To Heavy Wgt-- Result9 btn 1.5L SP250/1 JockeyRobert Whearty OR-- FFR50 SS65 20-10-2025 Gowran Park-- \| 1m½f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result9 btn 0.5L SP300/1 JockeyLeigh Roche OR-- FFR54 SS74 09-10-2025 Thurles (IRE)-- \| 1m \| Good To Yielding Wgt-- Result9 btn 17L SP66/1 JockeyLeigh Roche OR-- FFR34 SS--	9st 3lb	13	OR --	34	--	16	200/1	-3	Standard rest	Big step up	Solid field	--	48%	54%	0/6	74	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
13	Sunny South WestRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	2.8	2-2-2-6-4-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 29-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Yielding Wgt11st 12lb Result2 btn 7.5L SP4/1 JockeyMr Derek O'Connor OR-- FFR107 SS106 14-07-2026 Killarney (IRE)-- \| 14f \| Good Wgt11st 12lb Result2 btn 1.5L SP2/1 JockeyMr D O'Connor OR-- FFR90 SS100 05-02-2026 Thurles-- \| 2m4½f \| Soft Wgt-- Result2 btn 24L SP100/30 JockeyPhillip Enright OR118 FFR87 SS118 29-12-2025 Leopardstown-- \| 2m4½f \| Good To Yielding Wgt-- Result6 btn 3.2L SP11/2 JockeyEoin Staples OR119 FFR85 SS97 22-07-2025 Ballinrobe (IRE)-- \| 2m1½f \| Good Wgt-- Result4 btn 1.8L SPEvensF JockeyPhillip Enright OR-- FFR82 SS91 11-07-2025 Cork (IRE)-- \| 2m1f \| Good Wgt-- Result1 SP5/4F JockeyPhillip Enright OR-- FFR71 SS97	10st 3lb	1	OR 85	71	-14lb	38	7.6	+12	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	48%	49%	0/6	97	D	Stiff -11	CAUTION PROFILE
14	Swing StreetRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	2.2	6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 22-06-2026 Ballinrobe (IRE)-- \| 9.5f \| Yielding Wgt9st 8lb Result6 btn 16L SP33/1 JockeyBen Coen OR-- FFR39 SS--	9st 8lb	16	OR --	39	--	0	125/1	-4	Freshened up	Big step up	Solid field	--	48%	48%	0/6	--	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
15	Sea Celia's StarRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	-7.0	8-10 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 20-06-2026 Down Royal (IRE)-- \| 13f \| Soft Wgt9st 9lb Result8 btn 3.8L SP80/1 JockeyRobbie Colgan OR-- FFR72 SS79 10-05-2026 HoppegartenClass 1 \| 2m \| Good Wgt-- Result10 btn 16L SP37/1 JockeySean Byrne OR-- FFR40 SS--	10st 3lb	11	OR --	40	--	0	150/1	-13.2	Freshened up	Down in trip	Solid field	--	48%	52%	0/6	79	E	Developing	CAUTION PROFILE
16	Ben LomondRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	-10.0	9-11-8-3-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 15-09-2025 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 1m4f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result9 btn 11L SP150/1 JockeyMillie Wonnacott OR-- FFR111 SS94 21-08-2025 Newton AbbotClass 5 \| 2m2½f \| Good Wgt-- Result11 btn 5.5L SP66/1 JockeyHarry Reed OR87 FFR84 SS84 17-07-2025 WorcesterClass 5 \| 2m4f \| Good Wgt-- Result8 btn 11L SP28/1 JockeyHarry Reed OR92 FFR88 SS105 25-06-2025 WorcesterClass 4 \| 2m \| Good Wgt-- Result3 btn 22L SP14/1 JockeyHarry Reed OR-- FFR63 SS75 07-06-2025 WorcesterClass 4 \| 2m \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result3 btn 3L SP14/1 JockeyHarry Reed OR-- FFR67 SS80 07-05-2025 Newton AbbotClass 4 \| 2m1f \| Good Wgt-- Result-- SP12/1 JockeyHarry Reed OR-- FFR57 SS76	10st 3lb	2	OR --	57	-20lb	10	200/1	-16.2	Long absence	Same trip	Solid field	--	45%	38%	0/6	76	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit De Vega Queen

De Vega Queen profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Almazann

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

De Vega Queen Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 29.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 29.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form5-4-6

FFR47 / -30lb

Speed97

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw5

Wgt9st 3lb

Almazann Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 20.2

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 20.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete

Form2-2

FFR75 / --

Speed100

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw7

Wgt9st 8lb

Possum Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 11.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 11.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8

FFR57 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw12

Wgt9st 3lb

Salamina Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 7.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 7.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form11-11

FFR36 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw10

Wgt9st 3lb

Venerini Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 7.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 7.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8-10

FFR37 / --

Speed85

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassClass move developing

Draw8

Wgt9st 3lb

Magnum Cor Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 6.2

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 6.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4

FFR66 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassClass move developing

Draw15

Wgt9st 8lb

Daily Wonder Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 5.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 5.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete

Form--

FFR-- / --

Speed--

Franked0

GroundGround evidence developing

TripTrip move developing

ClassClass move developing

Draw9

Wgt9st 8lb

Purple Bandit Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 5.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 5.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete

Form--

FFR-- / --

Speed--

Franked0

GroundGround evidence developing

TripTrip move developing

ClassClass move developing

Draw4

Wgt9st 8lb

Michinaga Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 4.2

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 4.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form9

FFR37 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassClass move developing

Draw3

Wgt9st 8lb

One Cool County Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 4.0

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 4.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form9-6

FFR37 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassClass move developing

Draw6

Wgt9st 8lb

Teoest Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 3.8

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 3.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6-4

FFR60 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground1/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw14

Wgt9st 8lb

My Girl Jersie Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 3.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 3.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form16-9-9-9

FFR34 / --

Speed74

Franked16

Ground0/2 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassClass move developing

Draw13

Wgt9st 3lb

Sunny South West Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 2.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 2.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form2-2-2-6-4-1

FFR71 / -14lb

Speed97

Franked38

Ground0/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw1

Wgt10st 3lb

Swing Street Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 2.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 2.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6

FFR39 / --

Speed--

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassClass move developing

Draw16

Wgt9st 8lb

Sea Celia's Star Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only -7.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8-10

FFR40 / --

Speed79

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw11

Wgt10st 3lb

Ben Lomond Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only -10.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form9-11-8-3-3

FFR57 / -20lb

Speed76

Franked10

Ground0/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw2

Wgt10st 3lb

8:00 | Wolverhampton (AW)

8:00 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 14f

Class 5 | Standard | Self Storage Association Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 51 WATCH ONLY

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosLow

Average OR72.39 rated runners | Top OR 75: White Storm

Winning par3m 02.70s21 race class/course/distance/going sample

SetupTAPETA: STANDARD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-75 | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Heroics leads the contextual model at 45.8
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Moderate edge over next best: +3.2
Winning-time par: 3m 02.70s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 9 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	HeroicsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	56.8	5-1-4-2-2-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 04-07-2026 Newmarket (July)Class 2 \| 14f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 7lb Result5 btn 0.5L SP5/1 JockeyDavid Egan OR74 FFR79 SS97 12-06-2026 SandownClass 5 \| 14f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result1 SP100/30 JockeyRossa Ryan OR71 FFR85 SS98 14-05-2026 YorkClass 4 \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result4 btn 3.5L SP22/1 JockeyTom Marquand OR72 FFR85 SS97 30-04-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 4 \| 1m3f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.8L SP7/2 JockeyGrace McEntee OR-- FFR69 SS-- 30-10-2025 BathClass 4 \| 1m \| Soft Wgt-- Result2 btn 2L SP4/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR-- FFR77 SS-- 09-10-2025 BathClass 5 \| 1m \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result4 btn 1L SP8/1 JockeyRossa Ryan OR-- FFR89 SS--	9st 7lb	2	OR 74	89	+15lb	21	5.2	+11.1	Freshened up	Same trip	Solid field	--	60%	63%	1/6	97	C	Well treated +12	PRICE DEPENDENT
2	So AlexRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	49.8	5-2-2-9-1-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 03-07-2026 SandownClass 4 \| 14f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result5 btn 7.5L SP11/4 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR75 FFR87 SS95 15-06-2026 CarlisleClass 5 \| 14f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result2 btn 0.8L SP11/2 JockeyJack Doughty OR74 FFR82 SS91 28-05-2026 RiponClass 5 \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result2 btn 1.5L SP17/2 JockeyJack Doughty OR74 FFR66 SS103 20-12-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result9 btn 1.5L SP3/1 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR74 FFR73 SS108 06-12-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP11/10F JockeyBilly Loughnane OR68 FFR73 SS105 29-11-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP11/10F JockeyBilly Loughnane OR63 FFR67 SS100	10st 2lb	6	OR 74	67	-7lb	28	12	+4.9	Freshened up	Same trip	Solid field	--	50%	58%	1/6	100	C	Stiff -4	CAUTION PROFILE
3	Velvet WhisperRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	41.2	8-8-1-1-2-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 08-05-2026 RiponClass 5 \| 10f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result8 btn 0.5L SP5/1 JockeyCallum Rodriguez OR75 FFR74 SS83 12-04-2026 MusselburghClass 4 \| 1m4½f \| Good Wgt-- Result8 btn 0.2L SP11/2 JockeyCallum Rodriguez OR75 FFR95 SS100 05-11-2025 MusselburghClass 5 \| 1m4½f \| Soft Wgt-- Result1 SP3/1F JockeyArchie Young OR69 FFR77 SS119 23-10-2025 NottinghamClass 6 \| 1m2f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result1 SP9/2J JockeyArchie Young OR65 FFR75 SS92 04-10-2025 RedcarClass 5 \| 1m2f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.3L SP22/1 JockeyArchie Young OR64 FFR78 SS84 15-09-2025 ThirskClass 5 \| 1m \| Soft Wgt-- Result6 btn 2.2L SP9/1 JockeyOisin Orr OR66 FFR53 SS99	10st 2lb	1	OR 74	53	-21lb	30	18	+7.9	Layoff check	Big step up	Solid field	--	51%	46%	2/6	99	C	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Kingdom Of StarsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	39.2	8-4-3-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 10-08-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 16f \| Standard / Slow Wgt9st 5lb Result8 btn 3L SP40/1 JockeyCharles Bishop OR74 FFR69 SS96 13-06-2026 ChesterClass 4 \| 16f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 4lb Result4 btn 1L SP33/1 JockeyLuke Morris OR75 FFR89 SS107 16-05-2026 UttoxeterClass 5 \| 20f \| Good Wgt12st 0lb Result-- SP14/1 JockeyConor O'Farrell OR100 FFR102 SS103 06-04-2026 HerefordClass 5 \| 2m \| Good Wgt-- Result-- SP4/1J JockeyDavid Bass OR102 FFR102 SS88 18-03-2026 HerefordClass 4 \| 2m3½f \| Good Wgt-- Result3 btn 9.5L SP9/1 JockeyConor OFarrell OR-- FFR69 SS68 22-02-2026 HerefordClass 4 \| 2m3½f \| Soft Wgt-- Result6 btn 1.8L SP33/1 JockeyConor OFarrell OR-- FFR56 SS95	10st 2lb	4	OR 74	56	-18lb	22	28/1	+0.1	Standard rest	Big drop back	Solid field	--	49%	49%	2/6	95	D	Stiff -15	CAUTION PROFILE
5	KakirraRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	36.2	2-1-1-1-1-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 29-07-2026 SandownClass 4 \| 14f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 12lb Result2 btn 0.8L SP1/1F JockeyRob Hornby OR66 FFR57 SS71 09-07-2026 NewburyClass 5 \| 13.5f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 12lb Result1 SP4/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR61 FFR65 SS90 02-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt9st 7lb Result1 SP11/8J JockeyBilly Loughnane OR58 FFR66 SS73 13-05-2026 BathClass 6 \| 10f \| Firm Wgt9st 5lb Result1 SP6/5F JockeyEdward Greatrex OR51 FFR67 SS-- 08-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 \| 12f \| Standard Wgt8st 9lb Result1 SP16/1 JockeyEdward Greatrex OR45 FFR75 SS-- 18-03-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 4 \| 7f \| Standard To Slow Wgt-- Result7 btn 22L SP150/1 JockeySean D Bowen OR-- FFR82 SS--	9st 0lb	5	OR 67	82	+15lb	11	7/2	+1.6	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	55%	59%	0/6	73	D	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
6	Dance TimeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	35.5	2-3-7-9-5-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 11-08-2026 CarlisleClass 4 \| 14f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result2 btn 5.5L SP15/2 JockeySam James OR72 FFR88 SS95 15-06-2026 CarlisleClass 5 \| 14f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP10/1 JockeyWilliam Pyle OR72 FFR86 SS104 30-05-2026 ChesterClass 4 \| 16f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result7 btn 3.5L SP12/1 JockeyHector Crouch OR74 FFR69 SS104 08-05-2026 ChesterClass 4 \| 12.5f \| Good Wgt9st 1lb Result9 btn 0.1L SP9/1 JockeyAlexandra Egan OR74 FFR67 SS106 03-04-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 4 \| 2m \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.3L SP16/1 JockeyJack Callan OR75 FFR71 SS103 03-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 1m6f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.2L SP7/1 JockeyWilliam Pyle OR75 FFR77 SS108	10st 0lb	7	OR 72	77	+5lb	41	7	+1.6	Quick return	Same trip	Solid field	--	59%	68%	2/6	108	D	Well treated +11	PRICE DEPENDENT
7	Percy JonesRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	29.2	4-6-3-8-8-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 13-07-2026 Lingfield (AW)Class 5 \| 13f \| Standard Wgt9st 8lb Result4 btn 0.2L SP14/1 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR71 FFR84 SS87 27-06-2026 ChesterClass 5 \| 12.5f \| Good Wgt9st 13lb Result6 btn 0.5L SP11/1 JockeyDavid Egan OR72 FFR75 SS108 05-06-2026 BathClass 5 \| 14f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result3 btn 0.8L SP10/1 JockeyRob Hornby OR72 FFR35 SS98 15-05-2026 NewburyClass 5 \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result8 btn 12L SP22/1 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR74 FFR72 SS122 25-11-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result8 btn 0.1L SP5/1 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR75 FFR63 SS100 06-10-2025 Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.8L SP11/1 JockeyBilly Loughnane OR76 FFR69 SS97	9st 13lb	3	OR 71	69	-2lb	17	16.5	-11.9	Freshened up	Up in trip	Solid field	--	50%	53%	2/6	97	E	Near mark +1	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Flash KozoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	24.8	1-5-11-3-4-16 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 27-07-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 14f \| Standard Wgt9st 1lb Result1 SP9/4 JockeyKaiya Fraser OR65 FFR58 SS92 19-06-2026 GoodwoodClass 5 \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result5 btn 4.8L SP13/2 JockeyKaiya Fraser OR67 FFR81 SS86 15-05-2026 NewburyClass 5 \| 10f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result11 btn 0.3L SP11/1 JockeyKaiya Fraser OR69 FFR79 SS92 29-04-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 5 \| 1m3f \| Standard Wgt-- Result3 btn 1.2L SP7/4F JockeyKieran Shoemark OR69 FFR53 SS98 21-03-2026 Southwell (AW)Class 4 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.5L SP9/2 JockeyKieran Shoemark OR-- FFR49 SS-- 14-09-2025 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 6½f \| Yielding Wgt-- Result16 btn 3.8L SP40/1 JockeyKieran Shoemark OR-- FFR76 SS--	9st 3lb	8	OR 70	76	+6lb	0	4.1	-3.4	Standard rest	Same trip	Solid field	--	55%	58%	1/6	98	E	Well treated +11	WATCH ONLY
9	White StormRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	22.8	6-5-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 14-07-2026 LeicesterClass 3 \| 10f \| Good To Firm Wgt9st 4lb Result6 btn 13L SP16/1 JockeyRoss Coakley OR-- FFR72 SS-- 14-06-2026 DoncasterClass 3 \| 12f \| Good To Soft Wgt9st 1lb Result5 btn 4.2L SP11/1 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR-- FFR64 SS-- 27-05-2026 Kempton (AW)Class 3 \| 11f \| Standard To Slow Wgt8st 8lb Result2 btn 11L SP11/2 JockeySilvestre De Sousa OR-- FFR56 SS--	9st 8lb	9	OR 75	56	-19lb	0	15.5	-11.9	Freshened up	Big step up	Solid field	--	42%	33%	0/6	--	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Heroics

Heroics profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger So Alex

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Heroics Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 56.8

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Best of a weak race 56.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form5-1-4-2-2-4

FFR89 / +15lb

Speed97

Franked21

Ground0/2 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassDown in class

Draw2

Wgt9st 7lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

5 Newmarket (July) Competitive 04-07-2026

1 Sandown Strong run 12-06-2026

4 York Steady run 14-05-2026

2 Southwell (AW) Solid effort 30-04-2026

2 Bath Solid effort 30-10-2025

4 Bath Troubled run 09-10-2025

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating21

1winners since

3placers since

8evidence pts

07-04-2026 | Newmarket (July) Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Amora Queen (GER), Lopeo (IRE)

Race produced winner

Magnetude (GB)

Later placers

Lopeo (IRE) (06-06-2026), Mythical Bay (IRE) (05-07-2026)

10-09-2025 | Bath Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Al ZaAma (IRE), Go For Gold (GB), Just A Gambler (IRE)

Later placers

Grindleton (GB) (08-04-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement1/6

FFR89

Speed97

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR+15lb ahead of mark

FFR 89 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

97 Par 100

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score45.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI CLOW

Mark readWell treatedLatest +15lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Class

Ground evidence All-weather Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating69

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 2 0W / 1P Peak rating 64

Good 2 1W / 1P Peak rating --

Fast 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 69

Placement evidence 63% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 58%

Class fit 44%

Mark room 88%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest +15lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +15lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 74 | Latest FFR 89 | Best FFR 89 | Public mark read +12

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Alan King

Jockey Oisin Murphy

Age 3

Draw 2

OR 74

Avg OR 72.3

OR vs Field +1.7

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 2-2415

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +0.8

Variance Very steady 0.4% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Below requirement -2.2 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m6f

Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.

Profile distance1m6f

Runs at profile2

DEIC

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
12-06-2026	Sandown	Good	1	3:15.06	195.1
04-07-2026	Newmarket (July)	Good To Firm	5	2:56.16	176.2

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.8 micro score

Trainer RTF 61% Yard in a positive recent rhythm

Freshness 45 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.8 trainer RTF positive at 61%; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 0/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP5/1

OwnerThe Ever Hopefuls

Pedigree

Ulysses × Sonnellino (Singspiel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Distance winHas won at this trip

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.3L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
04-07-2026	Newmarket (July)	5	0.5	Neutral finish
12-06-2026	Sandown	1	0	Neutral finish
14-05-2026	York	4	3.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 3 earlier runs were unrated.

09-10-2025 | Bath

Rating 62 OR Unrated

30-10-2025 | Bath

Rating 64 OR Unrated

30-04-2026 | Southwell (AW)

Rating 69 OR Unrated

14-05-2026 | York

Rating -- OR 72

12-06-2026 | Sandown

Rating -- OR 71

04-07-2026 | Newmarket (July)

Rating -- OR 74

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Trip evidence building

Similar-trip runs2

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par3m 02.70s

Last win at trip-- | Sandown | 12-06-2026

Recent times3:15.06 | 2:56.16

Recent positions1 | 5

Winning contextOR 71 | weight 9-6

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
04-07-2026	Newmarket (July) \| 14f \| Good To Firm \| Class 2	5	5/1	74	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
12-06-2026	Sandown \| 14f \| Good \| Class 5	1	100/30	71	--	--	0	--	GREY - no timing read
14-05-2026	York \| 12f \| Good \| Class 4	4	22/1	72	--	--	3.5	--	GREY - no timing read
30-04-2026	Southwell (AW) \| 1m3f \| Standard \| Class 4	2	7/2	--	69	42	0.8	2:24.59	GOLD - faster than par
30-10-2025	Bath \| 1m \| Soft \| Class 4	2	4/1	--	64	55	2	1:46.42	GOLD - faster than par
09-10-2025	Bath \| 1m \| Good To Soft \| Class 5	4	8/1	--	62	33	1	1:44.47	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Well treated

Latest +15lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 78.7 and winning TS par is around 60.4. Runner versus par: rating edge -2.7. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

So Alex Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 49.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Watch only 49.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form5-2-2-9-1-1

FFR67 / -7lb

Speed100

Franked28

Ground2/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassDown in class

Draw6

Wgt10st 2lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

5 Sandown Steady run 03-07-2026

2 Carlisle Solid effort 15-06-2026

2 Ripon Finished well 28-05-2026

9 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 20-12-2025

1 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 06-12-2025

1 Wolverhampton (AW) Finished well 29-11-2025

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating28

7winners since

5placers since

12evidence pts

07-03-2026 | Sandown Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Aggagio (FR), Galactic Jack (IRE), Macari (GB)

04-09-2025 | Nottingham Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Just Adair (GB), Typeface (GB)

Race produced winner

Munsif (IRE)

Later placers

Belaya River (FR) (09-11-2025), Just Adair (GB) (06-01-2026)

12-06-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Busby (IRE), Damascus Steel (IRE), Different Tone (GB)

Race produced winner

Hackney Diamonds (GB), Havachoc (GB)

Later placers

Educate (GB) (06-10-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR67

Speed100

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementMixed setup

FFR vs OR-7lb below mark

FFR 67 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

100 Par 100

Best reasonInteresting profile, but FFR sits below today's mark Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score39.5Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI CLOW

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -7lb | peak +13lb treated as ceiling | public read -4lb

Today's conditions match 50% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 66%

Class 50%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs3/6

Best similar rating79

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

Good 4 0W / 2P Peak rating 57

Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 6 2W / 4P Peak rating 79

Placement evidence 58% Neutral placement read

Trip evidence 58%

Class fit 48%

Mark room 40%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 76%

Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -7lb | peak +13lb treated as ceiling | public read -4lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -7lb | peak +13lb treated as ceiling | public read -4lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 74 | Latest FFR 67 | Best FFR 87 | Public mark read -4

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole

Jockey Jack Doughty

Age 4

Draw 6

OR 74

Avg OR 72.3

OR vs Field +1.7

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 19-225

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8

Variance Reliable 5.8% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 8.5 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m4f

Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.

Profile distance1m4f

Runs at profile4

DEIC

ReliabilityLOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
06-12-2025	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	1	2:38.70	158.7
20-12-2025	Wolverhampton (AW)	Standard	9	2:38.87	158.9
28-05-2026	Ripon	Good	2	2:38.75	158.8

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.5 micro score

Trainer RTF 40% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 46 days Standard layoff

Micro score +0.5 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP11/4

OwnerChris Stedman Upton House Stud

Pedigree

Sottsass × Alexandrina (Monsun)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course winHas won at this course

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 3.3L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
03-07-2026	Sandown	5	7.5	Neutral finish
15-06-2026	Carlisle	2	0.8	Neutral finish
28-05-2026	Ripon	2	1.5	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 3 runs with an official OR.

29-11-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 74 OR 63

06-12-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 79 OR 68

20-12-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 55 OR 74

28-05-2026 | Ripon

Rating -- OR 74

15-06-2026 | Carlisle

Rating -- OR 74

03-07-2026 | Sandown

Rating -- OR 75

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Experienced at trip

Similar-trip runs4

ReliabilityLOW

Winning-time par3m 02.70s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times2:38.70 | 2:38.87 | 2:38.75

Recent positions1 | 9 | 2

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
03-07-2026	Sandown \| 14f \| Good \| Class 4	5	11/4	75	--	--	7.5	--	GREY - no timing read
15-06-2026	Carlisle \| 14f \| Good \| Class 5	2	11/2	74	--	--	0.8	--	GREY - no timing read
28-05-2026	Ripon \| 12f \| Good \| Class 5	2	17/2	74	--	--	1.5	--	GREY - no timing read
20-12-2025	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 1m4f \| Standard \| Class 5	9	3/1	74	55	41	1.5	2:38.87	GOLD - faster than par
06-12-2025	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 1m4f \| Standard \| Class 6	1	11/10F	68	79	63	0	2:38.70	GOLD - faster than par
29-11-2025	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 1m4f \| Standard \| Class 6	1	11/10F	63	74	63	0	2:37.14	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -7lb | peak +13lb treated as ceiling | public read -4lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 78.7 and winning TS par is around 60.4. Runner versus par: rating edge -0.7. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Velvet Whisper Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 41.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Best of a weak race 41.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form8-8-1-1-2-6

FFR53 / -21lb

Speed99

Franked30

Ground0/2 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassSame class

Draw1

Wgt10st 2lb

Kingdom Of Stars Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 39.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Watch only 39.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Form8-4-3-6

FFR56 / -18lb

Speed95

Franked22

Ground1/1 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassDown in class

Draw4

Wgt10st 2lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

8 Kempton (AW) Competitive 10-08-2026

4 Chester Finished well 13-06-2026

-- Uttoxeter Steady run 16-05-2026

-- Hereford Steady run 06-04-2026

3 Hereford Troubled run 18-03-2026

6 Hereford Run faded 22-02-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating22

1winners since

6placers since

10evidence pts

07-09-2025 | Kempton (AW) Finished 1

Beat named rivals

Capone (GER), Comte De Loir (FR), Gallant Lion (GB)

Later placers

Comte De Loir (FR) (03-12-2025), Gallant Lion (GB) (08-10-2025)

08-05-2025 | Ffos Las Finished 3

Beat named rivals

Arazzo (IRE), Hedonista (IRE), Padesha (FR)

Race produced winner

Road To Wembley (GB)

Later placers

Hedonista (IRE) (01-08-2026), Mighty Bandit (IRE) (09-09-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement2/6

FFR56

Speed95

ConditionsCaution

PlacementCaution

FFR vs OR-18lb below mark

FFR 56 pounds scale

SpeedScorebelow par

95 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score34.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI DVERY_LOW

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -18lb | peak +28lb treated as ceiling | public read -15lb

Today's conditions match 49% Conditions ask questions

Trip / ground 52%

Class 55%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Class Question Handicap

Ground evidence All-weather Has experience, but limited strong evidence

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating--

Best ground bandTesting

Read Has experience, but limited strong evidence Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 5 0W / 0P Peak rating 88

Good 5 0W / 2P Peak rating 102

Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 9 1W / 5P Peak rating 84

Placement evidence 49% Intent unclear

Trip evidence 52%

Class fit 60%

Mark room 7%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 58%

Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -18lb | peak +28lb treated as ceiling | public read -15lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -18lb | peak +28lb treated as ceiling | public read -15lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 74 | Latest FFR 56 | Best FFR 102 | Public mark read -15

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Kerry Lee

Jockey Robert Havlin

Age 5

Draw 4

OR 74

Avg OR 72.3

OR vs Field +1.7

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 032-48

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Predictive caution

Variable; High bounce risk; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge -2.8

Variance Variable 13.5% volatility

Bounce High bounce risk Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 6.8 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m5½f

No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.

Profile distance1m5½f

Runs at profile1

DEID

ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
05-06-2025	Chelmsford (AW)	Standard	2	2:49.11	169.1

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

-0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 30% Yard has been quiet recently

Freshness 8 days Recent fitness window

Micro score -0.2 trainer RTF quiet at 30%; recent run fitness window

Ground timing match 1/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP40/1

OwnerD E Edwards

Pedigree

Cloth Of Stars × Passing Burg (Sageburg)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
10-08-2026	Kempton (AW)	8	3	Neutral finish
13-06-2026	Chester	4	1	Fast finish
16-05-2026	Uttoxeter	--	--	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 2 earlier runs were unrated.

22-02-2026 | Hereford

Rating 88 OR Unrated

18-03-2026 | Hereford

Rating 102 OR Unrated

06-04-2026 | Hereford

Rating -- OR 102

16-05-2026 | Uttoxeter

Rating -- OR 100

13-06-2026 | Chester

Rating -- OR 75

10-08-2026 | Kempton (AW)

Rating -- OR 74

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Trip evidence building

Similar-trip runs1

ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Winning-time par3m 02.70s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times2:49.11

Recent positions2

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
10-08-2026	Kempton (AW) \| 16f \| Standard / Slow \| Class 4	8	40/1	74	--	--	3	--	GREY - no timing read
13-06-2026	Chester \| 16f \| Good To Soft \| Class 4	4	33/1	75	--	--	1	--	GREY - no timing read
16-05-2026	Uttoxeter \| 20f \| Good \| Class 5	--	14/1	100	--	--	--	--	GREY - no timing read
06-04-2026	Hereford \| 2m \| Good \| Class 5	--	4/1J	102	--	--	--	-	GREY - no timing read
18-03-2026	Hereford \| 2m3½f \| Good \| Class 4	3	9/1	--	102	61	9.5	4:53.16	GREY - below benchmark
22-02-2026	Hereford \| 2m3½f \| Soft \| Class 4	6	33/1	--	88	36	1.8	5:14.31	GREY - below benchmark

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -18lb | peak +28lb treated as ceiling | public read -15lb.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 78.7 and winning TS par is around 60.4. Runner versus par: rating edge +2.3. Benchmark fit: 1.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Kakirra Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 36.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.

Watch only 36.2 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form2-1-1-1-1-7

FFR82 / +15lb

Speed73

Franked11

Ground0/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassDown in class

Draw5

Wgt9st 0lb

Dance Time Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 35.5

PRICE DEPENDENT

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 35.5 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +11lb room

Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Form2-3-7-9-5-4

FFR77 / +5lb

Speed108

Franked41

Ground1/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassDown in class

Draw7

Wgt10st 0lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

2 Carlisle Finished well 11-08-2026

3 Carlisle Solid effort 15-06-2026

7 Chester Steady run 30-05-2026

9 Chester Competitive 08-05-2026

5 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 03-04-2026

4 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 03-03-2026

Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating41

6winners since

5placers since

12evidence pts

05-08-2026 | Chester Finished 9

Beat named rivals

Al Mootamarid (IRE), Imperial Trooper (IRE), Maasai Mara (GB)

Later placers

Sportingsilvermine (IRE) (08-08-2026)

04-03-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 5

Beat named rivals

Appier (IRE), Charlies Choice (GB), Diamond Bay (GB)

Race produced winner

Appier (IRE), Arc Zoosve (GB)

Later placers

Circuit Breaker (GB) (01-06-2026)

03-03-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 4

Beat named rivals

Bystander (IRE), Circuit Breaker (GB), Fiddlers Green (IRE)

Race produced winner

Shrimp Shady (GB)

Later placers

Calvert (GB) (05-08-2026), Circuit Breaker (GB) (04-03-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Status PRICE DEPENDENT

Agreement2/6

FFR77

Speed108

ConditionsMixed fit

PlacementPositive setup

FFR vs OR+5lb ahead of mark

FFR 77 pounds scale

SpeedScoreabove par

108 Par 100

Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance evidence is thin

Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.

Model score36.2Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI DVERY_LOW

Mark readWell treatedLatest +5lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +11lb

Today's conditions match 59% Mixed conditions match

Trip / ground 52%

Class 55%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 86%

Best fit Handicap Question Pace shape

Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band

TodayStandard

Similar-ground runs2/6

Best similar rating81

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 2 0W / 2P Peak rating 71

Good 8 0W / 3P Peak rating 68

Fast 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 67

All-weather 19 6W / 13P Peak rating 85

Placement evidence 68% Positive placement clues

Trip evidence 57%

Class fit 56%

Mark room 85%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 76%

Conservative mark read gives +11lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence

Mark read Latest +5lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +11lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +5lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +11lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 72 | Latest FFR 77 | Best FFR 88 | Public mark read +11

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer David Loughnane

Jockey Laura Pearson

Age 6

Draw 7

OR 72

Avg OR 72.3

OR vs Field -0.3

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 5973V2

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Edging forward

confidence nudge +3.5

Variance Very steady 3.8% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 7.7 vs par

Curve Edging forward Trend 1

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.

Profile distance1m5f

Runs at profile1

DEID

ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
01-04-2025	Lingfield (AW)	Standard	1	2:50.13	170.1

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 48% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 7 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present

Ground timing match 1/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP15/2

OwnerMrs V Owen I Owen

Pedigree

Time Test × Dancing Primo (Primo Valentino)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 3.2L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
11-08-2026	Carlisle	2	5.5	Fast finish
15-06-2026	Carlisle	3	0.5	Neutral finish
30-05-2026	Chester	7	3.5	Neutral finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 2 runs with an official OR.

03-03-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)

Rating 81 OR 75

03-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)

Rating 71 OR 75

08-05-2026 | Chester

Rating -- OR 74

30-05-2026 | Chester

Rating -- OR 74

15-06-2026 | Carlisle

Rating -- OR 72

11-08-2026 | Carlisle

Rating -- OR 72

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Trip evidence building

Similar-trip runs1

ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Winning-time par3m 02.70s

Last win at trip3:00.50 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 24-11-2025

Recent times2:50.13

Recent positions1

Winning contextvs par -2.2s | OR 69

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
11-08-2026	Carlisle \| 14f \| Good \| Class 4	2	15/2	72	--	--	5.5	--	GREY - no timing read
15-06-2026	Carlisle \| 14f \| Good \| Class 5	3	10/1	72	--	--	0.5	--	GREY - no timing read
30-05-2026	Chester \| 16f \| Good \| Class 4	7	12/1	74	--	--	3.5	--	GREY - no timing read
08-05-2026	Chester \| 12.5f \| Good \| Class 4	9	9/1	74	--	--	0.1	--	GREY - no timing read
03-04-2026	Lingfield (AW) \| 2m \| Standard \| Class 4	5	16/1	75	71	64	0.3	3:22.31	GREY - below benchmark
03-03-2026	Wolverhampton (AW) \| 1m6f \| Standard \| Class 4	4	7/1	75	81	73	0.2	3:00.18	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Well treated

Latest +5lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +11lb.

Benchmark Fit score 1

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 78.7 and winning TS par is around 60.4. Runner versus par: rating edge +0.3. Benchmark fit: 1.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Percy Jones Context profile

Model agreement 2/6

Fragile agreement

Decision Confidence 29.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 29.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-6-3-8-8-5

FFR69 / -2lb

Speed97

Franked17

Ground1/1 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassSame class

Draw3

Wgt9st 13lb

Flash Kozo Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 24.8

WATCH ONLY

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 24.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +11lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form1-5-11-3-4-16

FFR76 / +6lb

Speed98

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassSame class

Draw8

Wgt9st 3lb

White Storm Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 22.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 22.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6-5-2

FFR56 / -19lb

Speed--

Franked0

Ground0/1 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassDown in class

Draw9

Wgt9st 8lb

8:15 | Roscommon

8:15 | Roscommon | 12f

| Good | Class Grass Handicap

Race Confidence 58 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE

Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race

ChaosHigh

Average OR62.618 rated runners | Top OR 72: Duke Of Leggagh

Winning par2m 34.00s2067 race distance-only sample | approximate

SetupGOOD

Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --

Race Snapshot

What the model sees

Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos high
Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
Lady Plimsoll leads the contextual model at 31.8
Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
Compressed top end: Spy close enough to respect
Winning-time par: 2m 34.00s

Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 18 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.

Leaders0

Prominent0

Midfield0

Hold-up0

Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive

Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.

Select two or more runners to compare

Compare
1	Lady PlimsollRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	36.5	3-3-2-6-2-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 31-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 14f \| Yielding To Soft Wgt10st 0lb Result3 btn 2.8L SP12/1 JockeyJ M Sheridan OR70 FFR73 SS98 30-03-2026 Navan-- \| 1m2f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result3 btn 0.8L SP9/2 JockeyWesley Joyce OR70 FFR86 SS95 19-12-2025 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 2m \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 1.8L SP14/1 JockeyLuke McAteer OR69 FFR80 SS100 29-10-2025 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 0.5L SP4/1 JockeyJamie Powell OR69 FFR89 SS98 09-10-2025 Thurles (IRE)-- \| 1m4½f \| Good To Yielding Wgt-- Result2 btn 1.2L SP15/2 JockeyJamie Powell OR67 FFR81 SS108 24-08-2025 Naas (IRE)-- \| 1m2½f \| Good Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.3L SP5/1 JockeyNicola Burns OR69 FFR57 SS98	10st 0lb	14	OR 70	57	-13lb	49	7/2	+17.2	Standard rest	Big drop back	Modest field	--	43%	38%	1/6	98	E	Stiff -10	CAUTION PROFILE
2	SpyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	32.2	18-12-1-12-1-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 01-08-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 17f \| Good To Yielding Wgt10st 13lb Result18 btn 10L SP25/1 JockeyNiall Moore OR122 FFR76 SS90 04-07-2026 Bellewstown (IRE)-- \| 17f \| Good Wgt11st 3lb Result12 btn 1.8L SP7/1 JockeyJosh Williamson OR123 FFR86 SS89 01-06-2026 Listowel (IRE)-- \| 16f \| Yielding Wgt11st 6lb Result1 SP17/2 JockeyPhilip Byrnes OR119 FFR66 SS120 01-05-2026 Punchestown (IRE)-- \| 16f \| Yielding Wgt11st 12lb Result12 btn 8.5L SP25/1 JockeyPhilip Byrnes OR120 FFR113 SS98 10-12-2025 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m2½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP3/1F JockeyW J Lee OR57 FFR87 SS95 21-11-2025 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result6 btn 1.5L SP13/8F JockeyLuke McAteer OR57 FFR62 SS100	9st 5lb	18	OR 61	62	+1lb	33	12	+15.2	Standard rest	Big drop back	Modest field	--	54%	53%	1/6	100	D	Workable +7	CAUTION PROFILE
3	AutocratRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	19.2	9-10-16-10-7-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 20-07-2026 Ballinrobe (IRE)-- \| 13f \| Good To Yielding Wgt8st 11lb Result9 btn 2.8L SP40/1 JockeyMel Sheridan OR48 FFR88 SS89 11-07-2026 Navan-- \| 10f \| Good Wgt8st 12lb Result10 btn 2.2L SP12/1 JockeyMel Sheridan OR52 FFR79 SS90 15-05-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 13f \| Good Wgt9st 12lb Result16 btn 2.5L SP12/1 JockeyLuke McAteer OR56 FFR42 SS103 03-05-2026 Sligo (IRE)-- \| 14f \| Yielding To Soft Wgt9st 9lb Result10 btn 1.5L SP9/2 JockeyJamie Orr OR60 FFR38 SS107 20-03-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m2½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result7 btn 1.8L SP13/2 JockeyColin Keane OR71 FFR44 SS102 23-01-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m2½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP3/1 JockeyColin Keane OR62 FFR36 SS96	8st 7lb	17	OR 44	36	-8lb	36	25/1	+4.7	Freshened up	Down in trip	Modest field	--	43%	40%	1/6	96	E	Stiff -5	CAUTION PROFILE
4	Coulstys WayRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	14.8	3-11-8-8-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 31-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 14f \| Yielding To Soft Wgt9st 9lb Result-- SP22/1 JockeyRobert Whearty OR65 FFR84 SS104 15-07-2026 Killarney (IRE)-- \| 14.5f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP10/1 JockeyRobert Whearty OR65 FFR66 SS99 12-06-2026 Fairyhouse (IRE)-- \| 14f \| Good Wgt9st 0lb Result11 btn 0.2L SP28/1 JockeyJames Ryan OR66 FFR76 SS88 16-11-2025 Navan-- \| 2m \| Heavy Wgt-- Result8 btn 1.2L SP66/1 JockeyE Walsh OR-- FFR43 SS103 22-09-2025 Listowel (IRE)-- \| 1m3f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result8 btn 2.8L SP5/1 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR66 FFR72 SS86 01-08-2025 Galway (IRE)-- \| 1m6f \| Yielding Wgt-- Result2 btn 2L SP18/1 JockeyRobert Whearty OR64 FFR77 SS89	9st 9lb	7	OR 65	77	+12lb	59	9/2	+0.2	Standard rest	Big drop back	Modest field	--	56%	59%	1/6	89	D	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
5	Catherine MagennisRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	14.2	3-2-7 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 20-07-2026 Ballinrobe (IRE)-- \| 13f \| Good To Yielding Wgt9st 4lb Result3 btn 1L SP5/1 JockeyGary Carroll OR-- FFR67 SS92 30-06-2026 Roscommon (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result2 btn 2.5L SP5/1 JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR-- FFR73 SS-- 09-04-2026 Gowran Park-- \| 1m1½f \| Soft Wgt-- Result7 btn 3.8L SP8/1 JockeyGary Carroll OR-- FFR62 SS--	10st 2lb	13	OR 72	62	-10lb	0	7.2	+7.7	Freshened up	Down in trip	Modest field	--	46%	50%	1/6	92	D	Stiff -7	CAUTION PROFILE
6	DaonethatgotawayRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	10.0	9-7-12-2-4-1 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 01-08-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Yielding Wgt9st 1lb Result9 btn 2.8L SP50/1 JockeyReese Holohan OR74 FFR85 SS103 11-07-2026 Navan-- \| 10f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result7 btn 1.2L SP25/1 JockeyJoseph Harnett OR75 FFR74 SS96 03-04-2026 Curragh-- \| 1m \| Soft To Heavy Wgt-- Result12 btn 3.2L SP18/1 JockeyPatrick McGettigan OR78 FFR81 SS95 20-03-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.8L SP13/2 JockeyReese Holohan OR75 FFR62 SS88 13-03-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 2.5L SP5/2C JockeyReese Holohan OR75 FFR61 SS91 27-02-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result1 SP9/2 JockeyReese Holohan OR70 FFR58 SS90	10st 0lb	6	OR 70	58	-12lb	46	18/1	+4.7	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	49%	52%	1/6	90	C	Stiff -9	CAUTION PROFILE
7	Lily ParrRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	9.8	6-10-4-4-5-8 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 30-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Yielding To Soft Wgt9st 10lb Result6 btn 2.5L SP50/1 JockeyRory Cleary OR66 FFR76 SS76 18-05-2026 Roscommon (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Yielding Wgt9st 1lb Result10 btn 8L SP22/1 JockeyRobbie Colgan OR67 FFR69 SS92 19-11-2025 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m4f \| Standard Wgt-- Result4 btn 3.5L SP100/30 JockeyRobbie Colgan OR68 FFR81 SS98 02-11-2025 Curragh-- \| 1m4f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result4 btn 1.2L SP16/1 JockeyNicola Burns OR65 FFR79 SS77 06-10-2025 Killarney (IRE)-- \| 1m3f \| Soft Wgt-- Result5 btn 0.3L SP5/1 JockeyJack Kearney OR67 FFR36 SS95 16-09-2025 Punchestown (IRE)-- \| 1m1½f \| Good To Yielding Wgt-- Result8 btn 2L SP33/1 JockeyRobbie Colgan OR68 FFR64 SS98	9st 9lb	11	OR 65	64	-1lb	60	12/1	-4.8	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	48%	50%	1/6	98	E	Near mark +2	CAUTION PROFILE
8	Duke Of LeggaghRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.8	16-9-7-5-1-4 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 29-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 16.5f \| Yielding Wgt9st 6lb Result16 btn 10L SP66/1 JockeyWesley Joyce OR75 FFR81 SS92 20-07-2026 Ballinrobe (IRE)-- \| 13f \| Good To Yielding Wgt8st 8lb Result9 btn 4.5L SP40/1 JockeyHannah Rafferty OR77 FFR84 SS95 20-10-2025 Gowran Park-- \| 1m4f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result7 btn 0.1L SP9/1 JockeyWesley Joyce OR77 FFR78 SS104 13-10-2025 Roscommon (IRE)-- \| 1m4f \| Soft Wgt-- Result5 btn 1.2L SP9/2 JockeyWesley Joyce OR77 FFR72 SS99 01-10-2025 Bellewstown (IRE)-- \| 1m4½f \| Soft Wgt-- Result1 SP9/2 JockeyTerry Casey OR69 FFR35 SS95 20-09-2025 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 1m1½f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result4 btn 0.8L SP7/1 JockeyWesley Joyce OR69 FFR34 SS95	10st 2lb	12	OR 72	34	-38lb	49	28/1	-2.8	Standard rest	Big drop back	Modest field	--	49%	44%	1/6	95	C	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
9	ChopsticksRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	8.8	10-9-11-4-3 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 05-08-2026 Sligo (IRE)-- \| 10.5f \| Yielding Wgt8st 13lb Result10 btn 1.5L SP33/1 JockeyReese Holohan OR59 FFR107 SS100 12-07-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 12f \| Standard Wgt9st 0lb Result9 btn 1L SP16/1 JockeyTerry Casey OR60 FFR78 SS99 07-07-2026 Tramore-- \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 13lb Result11 btn 20L SP3/1 JockeyPaddy Harnett OR60 FFR74 SS90 12-06-2026 Fairyhouse (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 11lb Result4 btn 0.5L SP12/1 JockeyPatrick McGettigan OR60 FFR37 SS101 26-05-2026 Dundalk (AW) (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Standard Wgt10st 2lb Result3 btn 0.5L SP11/1 JockeyShane Foley OR60 FFR46 SS87 19-04-2026 Tramore-- \| 2m \| Soft Wgt-- Result-- SP250/1 JockeyAlex Harvey OR-- FFR54 SS56	9st 1lb	3	OR 57	54	-3lb	18	28/1	-5.8	Standard rest	Up in trip	Modest field	--	48%	47%	1/6	56	E	Near mark +0	CAUTION PROFILE
10	Double IndianRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	7.8	8-7-9-13 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 14-07-2026 Killarney (IRE)-- \| 14f \| Good Wgt11st 5lb Result8 btn 2.8L SP200/1 JockeyMr L Whitty OR-- FFR59 SS64 07-07-2026 Tramore-- \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 2lb Result7 btn 0.3L SP125/1 JockeyDarragh O'Sullivan OR-- FFR47 SS-- 30-06-2026 Roscommon (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result9 btn 1L SP33/1 JockeyShane Foley OR-- FFR57 SS-- 24-04-2026 Kilbeggan-- \| 2m½f \| Good To Yielding Wgt-- Result13 btn 9L SP25/1 JockeyMr H C Swan OR-- FFR55 SS--	9st 12lb	16	OR 68	55	-13lb	0	22/1	-6.8	Freshened up	Big drop back	Modest field	--	43%	34%	0/6	64	E	Stiff -10	CAUTION PROFILE
11	FiannaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	6.8	7-5-3-6-5-9 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 22-04-2026 Gowran Park-- \| 1m5½f \| Soft Wgt-- Result7 btn 1.5L SP14/1 JockeySeamie Heffernan OR57 FFR73 SS94 18-07-2025 Down Royal (IRE)-- \| 1m5f \| Good Wgt-- Result5 btn 2.8L SP8/1 JockeyMegan Telford-Kelly OR61 FFR79 SS94 08-07-2025 Tramore (IRE)-- \| 1m4f \| Good Wgt-- Result3 btn 2.5L SP5/1 JockeyNathan Crosse OR63 FFR74 SS95 23-06-2025 Ballinrobe (IRE)-- \| 1m5f \| Yielding Wgt-- Result6 btn 3.5L SP5/1 JockeyW J Lee OR65 FFR69 SS93 01-06-2025 Listowel (IRE)-- \| 2m \| Good Wgt-- Result5 btn 1.5L SP6/1 JockeyW J Lee OR66 FFR76 SS95 12-05-2025 Roscommon (IRE)-- \| 1m4f \| Good Wgt-- Result9 btn 1.8L SP11/1 JockeyMegan Telford-Kelly OR69 FFR71 SS94	9st 0lb	1	OR 56	71	+15lb	50	22/1	+6.5	Layoff check	Big step up	Modest field	--	53%	50%	0/6	94	E	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
12	Enchanted LadyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	6.8	9-7-5-4-13 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 03-08-2026 Naas (IRE)-- \| 10.5f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result9 btn 0.3L SP22/1 JockeyW J Lee OR72 FFR63 SS91 20-06-2026 Down Royal (IRE)-- \| 10.5f \| Soft Wgt8st 9lb Result7 btn 3L SP33/1 JockeyNathan Crosse OR73 FFR60 SS-- 26-05-2026 Dundalk (AW) (IRE)-- \| 10.5f \| Standard Wgt9st 4lb Result5 btn 1.8L SP12/1 JockeyLuke McAteer OR-- FFR71 SS-- 11-05-2026 Roscommon (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 4lb Result4 btn 3.5L SP22/1 JockeyLuke McAteer OR-- FFR37 SS-- 25-04-2026 Limerick-- \| 1m \| Yielding Wgt-- Result13 btn 1.8L SP20/1 JockeyLeigh Roche OR-- FFR61 SS--	9st 13lb	4	OR 69	61	-8lb	30	18/1	-7.8	Standard rest	Up in trip	Modest field	--	43%	46%	0/6	91	E	Stiff -5	CAUTION PROFILE
13	Master SydneyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	6.8	3-4-8-12-6-21 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 08-08-2026 Kilbeggan (IRE)-- \| 19f \| Good Wgt11st 0lb Result3 btn 1.2L SP11/1 JockeyJosh Williamson OR-- FFR59 SS100 03-08-2026 Cork (IRE)-- \| 18f \| Good Wgt11st 5lb Result4 btn 20L SP13/2 JockeyJosh Williamson OR-- FFR67 SS87 07-07-2026 Tramore-- \| 16f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result8 btn 1L SP13/2 JockeyLuke McAteer OR65 FFR36 SS94 20-05-2026 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 14f \| Good To Yielding Wgt9st 11lb Result12 btn 41L SP9/2C JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle OR65 FFR53 SS77 11-05-2026 Roscommon (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Good Wgt9st 9lb Result6 btn 0.1L SP16/1 JockeyJamie Orr OR67 FFR72 SS99 25-04-2026 Navan-- \| 1m2f \| Good To Yielding Wgt-- Result21 btn 0.5L SP25/1 JockeyRobert Whearty OR68 FFR104 SS85	9st 7lb	8	OR 63	104	+41lb	10	9/1	-7.8	Standard rest	Big drop back	Modest field	--	53%	56%	0/6	85	E	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
14	Deralo IrRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	3.8	16-7-5-2 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 01-08-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Yielding Wgt9st 8lb Result16 btn 15L SP66/1 JockeyN G McCullagh OR74 FFR85 SS102 20-07-2026 Ballinrobe (IRE)-- \| 13f \| Good To Yielding Wgt9st 2lb Result7 btn 7L SP50/1 JockeyRobbie Colgan OR75 FFR76 SS97 18-04-2025 Saint-Cloud (FR)-- \| 1m2½f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result5 btn 4L SP9/1 JockeyGlen Meury OR-- FFR48 SS-- 20-03-2025 Saint-Cloud (FR)-- \| 1m2f \| Good To Soft Wgt-- Result2 btn 0.1L SP21/1 JockeyChristophe Soumillon OR-- FFR34 SS--	10st 0lb	5	OR 70	34	-36lb	14	33/1	-10.8	Standard rest	Same trip	Modest field	--	43%	41%	0/6	97	E	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE
15	YquemRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race	3.5	4-3-1-9-8-5 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 25-07-2026 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 9.5f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result4 btn 1.5L SP7/2F JockeyJack Cleary OR51 FFR86 SS75 09-07-2026 Leopardstown-- \| 9f \| Good Wgt9st 6lb Result3 btn 0.8L SP100/30 JockeyChris Hayes OR50 FFR54 SS79 18-06-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 9f \| Good To Firm Wgt8st 10lb Result1 SP9/2 JockeyChris Hayes OR40 FFR46 SS98 05-06-2026 Fairyhouse (IRE)-- \| 10f \| Good Wgt8st 10lb Result9 btn 0.5L SP16/1 JockeyJamie Powell OR40 FFR79 SS98 15-02-2026 Newcastle (AW)Class 6 \| 1m4½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result8 btn 20L SP9/4F JockeyOisin McSweeney OR46 FFR75 SS105 30-01-2026 Dundalk (AW)-- \| 1m2½f \| Standard Wgt-- Result5 btn 1.2L SP12/1 JockeyRory Mulligan OR42 FFR64 SS84	8st 8lb	15	OR 50	64	+14lb	50	6.6	+15.2	Standard rest	Big step up	Modest field	--	53%	58%	0/6	84	E	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
16	Summer SnowRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	2.8	8-17-5-15-9-11 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 07-08-2026 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Good Wgt9st 8lb Result8 btn 1.8L SP8/1 JockeyGavin Ryan OR72 FFR90 SS96 26-06-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result17 btn 0.5L SP33/1 JockeyPatrick McGettigan OR76 FFR51 SS109 19-06-2026 Down Royal (IRE)-- \| 7f \| Soft Wgt9st 13lb Result5 btn 1.8L SP4/1 JockeyKillian Leonard OR79 FFR44 SS99 24-05-2026 Curragh (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Good Wgt9st 12lb Result15 btn 0.8L SP28/1 JockeyPatrick McGettigan OR83 FFR67 SS100 15-05-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 10f \| Good Wgt10st 4lb Result9 btn 1.5L SP40/1 JockeyRory Cleary OR84 FFR39 SS81 07-11-2025 Dundalk (AW)Class 1 \| 1m \| Standard Wgt-- Result11 btn 0.2L SP66/1 JockeyRory Cleary OR76 FFR62 SS97	9st 13lb	2	OR 69	62	-7lb	33	18/1	+2.2	Standard rest	Big step up	Modest field	--	43%	47%	1/6	97	E	Stiff -4	CAUTION PROFILE
17	Piatra NeamtRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	2.2	8-5-14-15-18-6 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 05-08-2026 Sligo (IRE)-- \| 13.5f \| Yielding Wgt8st 10lb Result8 btn 0.5L SP20/1 JockeyNicola Burns OR45 FFR78 SS58 18-05-2026 Roscommon (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Yielding To Soft Wgt8st 9lb Result5 btn 0.8L SP50/1 JockeyAlan Casey OR46 FFR44 SS82 08-05-2026 Ballinrobe (IRE)-- \| 9.5f \| Good To Yielding Wgt9st 7lb Result14 btn 3.8L SP33/1 JockeyW J Lee OR51 FFR64 SS93 25-04-2026 Limerick-- \| 1m4f \| Yielding Wgt-- Result15 btn 0.5L SP25/1 JockeyJamie Powell OR52 FFR34 SS95 27-10-2025 Galway-- \| 1m4f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result18 btn 19L SP16/1 JockeyScott McCullagh OR54 FFR66 SS59 08-10-2025 Navan (IRE)-- \| 1m2f \| Yielding Wgt-- Result6 btn 1.8L SP66/1 JockeyAlan Casey OR55 FFR63 SS87	8st 7lb	10	OR 44	63	+19lb	41	40/1	-12.3	Standard rest	Down in trip	Modest field	--	53%	54%	0/6	87	E	Well treated +12	CAUTION PROFILE
18	Out On FridayRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only	-0.8	10-7-14-2-11-15 Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR \| red = below OR DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS 31-07-2026 Galway (IRE)-- \| 14f \| Yielding To Soft Wgt9st 4lb Result10 btn 7L SP50/1 JockeyWesley Joyce OR63 FFR58 SS93 16-07-2026 Leopardstown (IRE)-- \| 10f \| Good Wgt8st 10lb Result7 btn 2.5L SP40/1 JockeyWesley Joyce OR65 FFR34 SS96 10-06-2026 Limerick (IRE)-- \| 8f \| Yielding Wgt9st 6lb Result14 btn 7.5L SP25/1 JockeyWesley Joyce OR65 FFR73 SS93 28-05-2026 Fairyhouse (IRE)-- \| 10f \| Good Wgt9st 7lb Result2 btn 2.5L SP20/1 JockeyWesley Joyce OR63 FFR32 SS99 18-05-2026 Roscommon (IRE)-- \| 12f \| Yielding Wgt8st 9lb Result11 btn 4.5L SP20/1 JockeyWesley Joyce OR64 FFR59 SS94 20-09-2025 Gowran Park (IRE)-- \| 1m1½f \| Heavy Wgt-- Result15 btn 18L SP16/1 JockeyRory Mulligan OR65 FFR36 SS82	9st 6lb	9	OR 62	36	-26lb	54	25/1	-15.3	Standard rest	Big drop back	Modest field	--	51%	49%	1/6	82	B	Stiff -16	CAUTION PROFILE

Main Context Fit Lady Plimsoll

Lady Plimsoll profiles as a unclear with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Spy

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence

Lady Plimsoll Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 36.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 36.5 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3-3-2-6-2-5

FFR57 / -13lb

Speed98

Franked49

Ground0/1 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassClass move developing

Draw14

Wgt10st 0lb

Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail

3 Galway (IRE) Solid effort 31-07-2026

3 Navan Run faded 30-03-2026

2 Dundalk (AW) Finished well 19-12-2025

6 Dundalk (AW) Finished well 29-10-2025

2 Thurles (IRE) Finished well 09-10-2025

5 Naas (IRE) Finished well 24-08-2025

Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating49

3winners since

1placers since

8evidence pts

01-10-2025 | Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Finished 2

Beat named rivals

All Told (IRE), Eutropia (GB), Highland Harvey (IRE)

Race produced winner

Eutropia (GB), Hopes Are High (IRE)

Later placers

Highland Harvey (IRE) (08-05-2026)

10-09-2025 | Thurles (IRE) Finished 2

Beat named rivals

Angelo Pio (IRE), Justenzia (IRE), Sears Crossing (IRE)

Race produced winner

Justenzia (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile

Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Status CAUTION PROFILE

Agreement1/6

FFR57

Speed98

ConditionsCaution

PlacementCaution

FFR vs OR-13lb below mark

FFR 57 pounds scale

SpeedScorearound par

98 Par 100

Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)

Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.

Model score31.8Underlying model read

Trip / groundDEI EVERY_LOW

Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -13lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read -10lb

Today's conditions match 43% Conditions ask questions

Trip / ground 38%

Class 42%

Pace shape 50%

Track / draw 50%

Handicap 36%

Best fit Pace shape Question Handicap

Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground

TodayGood

Similar-ground runs1/6

Best similar rating58

Best ground bandAll-weather

Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good

Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band

Testing 3 0W / 3P Peak rating 73

Good 3 1W / 1P Peak rating 79

Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --

All-weather 5 0W / 2P Peak rating 71

Placement evidence 38% Intent unclear

Trip evidence 35%

Class fit 23%

Mark room 22%

Stable setup 66%

Recent evidence 42%

Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questionsClass benchmark is a concernCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence

Mark read Latest -13lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read -10lb Evidence Observable only

Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -13lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read -10lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 70 | Latest FFR 57 | Best FFR 89 | Public mark read -10

Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer M D O'Callaghan

Jockey Jamie Powell

Age 4

Draw 14

OR 70

Avg OR 62.6

OR vs Field +7.4

Rating No rating yet

TS --

Form 262-33

Run Style Unclear

Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +2.5

Variance Very steady 4.2% volatility

Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check

Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0

Ceiling Ceiling edge 8.5 vs par

Curve Stable Trend 0

Pace & Finish Fit No clear style

Evidence Recent finish evidence only

Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile

No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.

Profile distance1m4f

Runs at profile1

DEIE

ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Date	Course	Going	Pos	Time	Secs
29-10-2025	Dundalk (AW) (IRE)	Standard	6	2:36.72	156.7

Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues

+0.2 micro score

Trainer RTF 49% Trainer form is steady

Freshness 18 days Recent fitness window

Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window

Ground timing match 0/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground

HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared

WindNo wind surgery flag

Latest SP12/1

OwnerAthlumney Farms Ltd Eoin Baxter Mrs M D Ocallaghan

Pedigree

Le Brivido × Miss Plimsoll (Arch)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read

No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded

Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs

2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.8L

Date	Course	Pos	Beaten	Finish
31-07-2026	Galway (IRE)	3	2.8	Neutral finish
30-03-2026	Navan	3	0.8	Fast finish
19-12-2025	Dundalk (AW)	2	1.8	Fast finish

Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR

Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark

Exceeded the handicap mark in 3 of 5 runs with an official OR.

24-08-2025 | Naas (IRE)

Rating 58 OR 69

09-10-2025 | Thurles (IRE)

Rating 73 OR 67

29-10-2025 | Dundalk (AW)

Rating 66 OR 69

19-12-2025 | Dundalk (AW)

Rating 71 OR 69

30-03-2026 | Navan

Rating 71 OR 70

31-07-2026 | Galway (IRE)

Rating -- OR 70

Distance intelligenceTrip evidence

Trip evidence building

Similar-trip runs1

ReliabilityVERY_LOW

Winning-time par2m 34.00s

Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded

Recent times2:36.72

Recent positions6

Winning contextWinning-run context developing

Last 6 runs

Date	Conditions	Result	SP	OR	Rating	TS	Beaten	Time	FF Timing Read
31-07-2026	Galway (IRE) \| 14f \| Yielding To Soft \| --	3	12/1	70	--	--	2.8	--	GREY - no timing read
30-03-2026	Navan \| 1m2f \| Heavy \| --	3	9/2	70	71	55	0.8	2:23.14	GOLD - faster than par
19-12-2025	Dundalk (AW) \| 2m \| Standard \| --	2	14/1	69	71	71	1.8	3:28.78	GREY - below benchmark
29-10-2025	Dundalk (AW) \| 1m4f \| Standard \| --	6	4/1	69	66	49	0.5	2:36.72	AMBER - competitive
09-10-2025	Thurles (IRE) \| 1m4½f \| Good To Yielding \| --	2	15/2	67	73	68	1.2	2:43.50	GREY - below benchmark
24-08-2025	Naas (IRE) \| 1m2½f \| Good \| --	5	5/1	69	58	51	0.3	2:16.41	GOLD - faster than par

Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -13lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read -10lb.

Benchmark Fit score -2

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 100.1 and winning TS par is around 55.1. Runner versus par: rating edge -26.1. Benchmark fit: -1.5.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive

DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish

Spy Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 32.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 32.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form18-12-1-12-1-6

FFR62 / +1lb

Speed100

Franked33

Ground0/3 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassClass move developing

Draw18

Wgt9st 5lb

Autocrat Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 19.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 19.2 confidence

Why consider18 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form9-10-16-10-7-1

FFR36 / -8lb

Speed96

Franked36

Ground0/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw17

Wgt8st 7lb

Coulstys Way Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 14.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 14.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-11-8-8-2

FFR77 / +12lb

Speed89

Franked59

Ground1/1 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassClass move developing

Draw7

Wgt9st 9lb

Catherine Magennis Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 14.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Best of a weak race 14.2 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form3-2-7

FFR62 / -10lb

Speed92

Franked0

Ground1/1 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw13

Wgt10st 2lb

Daonethatgotaway Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 10.0

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.

Watch only 10.0 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form9-7-12-2-4-1

FFR58 / -12lb

Speed90

Franked46

Ground0/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw6

Wgt10st 0lb

Lily Parr Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 9.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 9.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form6-10-4-4-5-8

FFR64 / -1lb

Speed98

Franked60

Ground0/3 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw11

Wgt9st 9lb

Duke Of Leggagh Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 8.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only 8.8 confidence

Why consider9 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form16-9-7-5-1-4

FFR34 / -38lb

Speed95

Franked49

Ground0/3 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassClass move developing

Draw12

Wgt10st 2lb

Chopsticks Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 8.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 8.8 confidence

Why consider11 similar-trip runs recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form10-9-11-4-3

FFR54 / -3lb

Speed56

Franked18

Ground2/3 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw3

Wgt9st 1lb

Double Indian Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 7.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 7.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8-7-9-13

FFR55 / -13lb

Speed64

Franked0

Ground2/2 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassClass move developing

Draw16

Wgt9st 12lb

Fianna Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 6.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 6.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form7-5-3-6-5-9

FFR71 / +15lb

Speed94

Franked50

Ground2/3 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassClass move developing

Draw1

Wgt9st 0lb

Enchanted Lady Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 6.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 6.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form9-7-5-4-13

FFR61 / -8lb

Speed91

Franked30

Ground1/1 recent match

TripUp in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw4

Wgt9st 13lb

Master Sydney Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 6.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 6.8 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form3-4-8-12-6-21

FFR104 / +41lb

Speed85

Franked10

Ground1/3 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassClass move developing

Draw8

Wgt9st 7lb

Deralo Ir Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 3.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 3.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form16-7-5-2

FFR34 / -36lb

Speed97

Franked14

Ground0/1 recent match

TripSame trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw5

Wgt10st 0lb

Yquem Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 3.5

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Best of a weak race 3.5 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form4-3-1-9-8-5

FFR64 / +14lb

Speed84

Franked50

Ground0/1 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassClass move developing

Draw15

Wgt8st 8lb

Summer Snow Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 2.8

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 2.8 confidence

Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8-17-5-15-9-11

FFR62 / -7lb

Speed97

Franked33

Ground2/2 recent match

TripBig step up

ClassClass move developing

Draw2

Wgt9st 13lb

Piatra Neamt Context profile

Model agreement 0/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence 2.2

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).

Watch only 2.2 confidence

Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room

Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions

Form8-5-14-15-18-6

FFR63 / +19lb

Speed87

Franked41

Ground0/3 recent match

TripDown in trip

ClassClass move developing

Draw10

Wgt8st 7lb

Out On Friday Context profile

Model agreement 1/6

Low agreement

Decision Confidence --

CAUTION PROFILE

Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.

Watch only -0.8 confidence

Why considerProven trip profile (B)

Main checkClass benchmark is a concern

Form10-7-14-2-11-15

FFR36 / -26lb

Speed82

Franked54

Ground1/3 recent match

TripBig drop back

ClassClass move developing

Draw9

Wgt9st 6lb