ForeFurlongs Intelligence

Tomorrow's Racecards

An early view of every published UK and Irish Flat/AW card for tomorrow, scored with the latest completed ForeFurlongs calibration. Conditions, non-runners and prices may still change.

TodayMon 14 Sep | 29 races TomorrowTue 15 Sep | 38 races
TomorrowEarly read

All published UK and Irish cards, scored with the latest completed calibration. Going, non-runners and prices can still change.

1:40 | Punchestown

1:40 | Punchestown | 8f

| Good | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden

Race Confidence 70 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR85.73 rated runners | Top OR 96: Exceptionally
Winning par1m 53.87s6509 race distance-only sample | approximate
SetupGOOD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Exceptionally leads the contextual model at 37.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Moderate edge over next best: +5.5
  • Winning-time par: 1m 53.87s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 16 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
ExceptionallyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 47.0
4-3-3-12
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)Class 1 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP12/1
JockeyWayne Lordan
OR--
FFR34
SS--
09-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP8/1
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR--
FFR73
SS--
16-07-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 11lb
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP18/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR--
FFR63
SS--
28-06-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt8st 11lb
Result12 btn 0.3L
SP16/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR--
FFR111
SS--
 9st 2lb 4 OR 96 111 +15lb 0 1.05 +22.5 Standard rest Same trip Strong field -- 58% 60% 1/6 -- D Well treated +12 PRICE DEPENDENT
LustedRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 24.0
6-7-5-12
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-08-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt8st 8lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP14/1
JockeyAndrew Slattery
OR75
FFR34
SS--
23-08-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP250/1
JockeyAndrew Slattery
OR--
FFR61
SS--
15-08-2026
Dundalk (IRE)-- | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP200/1
JockeySeamie Heffernan
OR--
FFR59
SS--
23-07-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 7.5f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result12 btn 6L
SP66/1
JockeyAndrew Slattery
OR--
FFR68
SS--
 9st 2lb 3 OR 75 68 -7lb 0 1.05 +9 Standard rest Same trip Strong field -- 45% 43% 0/6 -- E Stiff -7 CAUTION PROFILE
Silver KissRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 19.0
3-3-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result3 btn 1.5L
SP6/5F
JockeyChris Hayes
OR--
FFR69
SS--
28-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 2lb
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP9/2
JockeyChris Hayes
OR--
FFR73
SS--
08-07-2026
Fairyhouse-- | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP20/1
JockeyChris Hayes
OR--
FFR69
SS--
 9st 2lb 14 OR 86 69 -17lb 2 1.05 +17 Standard rest Up in trip Strong field -- 48% 48% 0/6 -- D Stiff -14 CAUTION PROFILE
WunderschonRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 18.2
3-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 7.5f | Yielding
Wgt8st 8lb
Result3 btn 3.2L
SP40/1
JockeyKeithen Kennedy
OR--
FFR55
SS--
28-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt8st 11lb
Result7 btn 1L
SP80/1
JockeyKeithen Kennedy
OR--
FFR67
SS--
 9st 2lb 6 OR -- 67 -- 0 1.05 +3 Standard rest Down in trip Strong field -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Angels Have WingsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
16-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 9f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP16/1
JockeyGavin Ryan
OR--
FFR73
SS--
 9st 2lb 16 OR -- 73 -- 0 1.05 -3.2 Freshened up Down in trip Strong field -- 48% 54% 1/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Cross Of StarsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 8 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -3.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Strong field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Eagles VoiceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 2 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -3.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Strong field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
HaritaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 5 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -3.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Strong field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
RunningupthillRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 9 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -3.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Strong field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Soldier's CharmRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 11 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -3.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Strong field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
WhytemontellaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 10 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -3.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Strong field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
BeachRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.0
8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
19-07-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 11lb
Result8 btn 1L
SP22/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR--
FFR59
SS--
 9st 2lb 12 OR -- 59 -- 0 1.05 -4.2 Freshened up Up in trip Strong field -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
The Good WifeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.0
6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
28-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 2lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP4/1
JockeyW J Lee
OR--
FFR59
SS--
 9st 2lb 1 OR -- 59 -- 0 1.05 -4.2 Freshened up Up in trip Strong field -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Mother's CallRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.0
10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 2lb
Result10 btn 0.2L
SP80/1
JockeyLuke McAteer
OR--
FFR38
SS--
 9st 2lb 15 OR -- 38 -- 18 1.05 -6.2 Standard rest Up in trip Strong field -- 48% 54% 1/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Ever My TreasureRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.2
11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-08-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result11 btn 7L
SP80/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR--
FFR40
SS--
 9st 2lb 7 OR -- 40 -- 0 1.05 -7 Standard rest Up in trip Strong field -- 48% 52% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Bex NoirRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.5
13
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
15-08-2026
Dundalk (IRE)-- | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result13 btn 0.5L
SP300/1
JockeyRobert Whearty
OR--
FFR32
SS--
 9st 2lb 13 OR -- 32 -- 0 1.05 -7.7 Freshened up Same trip Strong field -- 48% 52% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Exceptionally

Exceptionally profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Lusted

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Exceptionally Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 47.0
PRICE DEPENDENT
Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Best of a weak race 47.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form4-3-3-12
FFR111 / +15lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground2/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw4
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4 Curragh (IRE) Finished well 29-08-2026
3 Curragh (IRE) Solid effort 09-08-2026
3 Leopardstown (IRE) Solid effort 16-07-2026
12 Curragh (IRE) Competitive 28-06-2026
Race form proof Some franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating0
0winners since
0placers since
2evidence pts
08-09-2026 | Curragh (IRE) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Admired Beauty (IRE), Chattering Classes (IRE), Darlene (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement1/6
FFR111
Speed--
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+15lb ahead of mark
FFR 111 pounds scale
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score37.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DLOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest +15lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 58% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 52%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs3/4
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 3 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 60% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 44%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 50%
Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +15lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +15lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 96 | Latest FFR 111 | Best FFR 111 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer A P O'Brien
Jockey Wayne Lordan
Age 2
Draw 4
OR 96
Avg OR 85.7
OR vs Field +10.3
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 334
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile2
DEID
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
16-07-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) Good 3 1:43.69 103.7
29-08-2026 Curragh (IRE) Good 4 1:39.59 99.6
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 17 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window
Ground timing match 2/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP12/1
OwnerMrs John Magnier Michael Tabor Derrick Smith
Pedigree

Into Mischief × Together Forever (Galileo)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.7L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
29-08-2026 Curragh (IRE) 4 1.2 Fast finish
09-08-2026 Curragh (IRE) 3 0.5 Neutral finish
16-07-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) 3 0.5 Neutral finish
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 53.87s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:43.69 | 1:39.59
Recent positions3 | 4
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
29-08-2026 Curragh (IRE) | 8f | Good | Class 1 4 12/1 -- -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
09-08-2026 Curragh (IRE) | 7f | Good To Firm | -- 3 8/1 -- -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
16-07-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) | 8f | Good | -- 3 18/1 -- -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
28-06-2026 Curragh (IRE) | 7f | Good | -- 12 16/1 -- -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Well treated

Latest +15lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 96.2 and winning TS par is around 58.4. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Lusted Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 24.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 24.0 confidence
Why considerNo standout positive placement signal yet
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-7-5-12
FFR68 / -7lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw3
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Silver Kiss Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 19.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 19.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form3-3-3
FFR69 / -17lb
Speed--
Franked2
Ground1/2 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw14
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Wunderschon Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 18.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 18.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-7
FFR67 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw6
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Angels Have Wings Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5
FFR73 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw16
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Cross Of Stars Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw8
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Eagles Voice Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw2
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Harita Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw5
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Runningupthill Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw9
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Soldier's Charm Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw11
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Whytemontella Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw10
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Beach Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 11.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8
FFR59 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw12
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
The Good Wife Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 11.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6
FFR59 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw1
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Mother's Call Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 9.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 9.0 confidence
Why considerRecent evidence contains a positive run clue
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10
FFR38 / --
Speed--
Franked18
Ground0/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw15
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Ever My Treasure Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form11
FFR40 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw7
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Bex Noir Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form13
FFR32 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw13
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
1:53 | Redcar

1:53 | Redcar | 5f

Class 4 | Good | racingtv.com Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 75 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosLow
Average OR861 rated runner | Top OR 86: Blake's Monarch
Winning par57.83s2 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 7.1) Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Blake's Monarch leads the contextual model at 28.0
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +8.0 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 57.83s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 8 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Blake's MonarchRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 52.0
10-6-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-06-2026
AscotClass 1 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result10 btn 0.1L
SP150/1
JockeySilvestre De Sousa
OR--
FFR74
SS--
30-05-2026
ChesterClass 2 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result6 btn 0.3L
SP10/1
JockeySilvestre De Sousa
OR--
FFR84
SS--
11-05-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 0.1L
SP10/1
JockeyDavid Probert
OR--
FFR90
SS--
 9st 3lb 2 OR 86 90 +4lb 0 1.15 +16.7 Layoff check Same trip Strong field -- 50% 50% 0/6 -- E Workable +4 WATCH ONLY
MugheerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 44.0
1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-08-2026
CatterickClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result1
SP1/1F
JockeyClifford Lee
OR--
FFR87
SS--
 9st 7lb 8 OR -- 87 -- 0 1.15 +8.7 Standard rest Same trip Strong field -- 54% 62% 1/6 -- D Developing WATCH ONLY
Muve OnRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 10.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 0lb 7 OR -- -- -- 0 1.15 +2.7 Rest developing Trip move developing Strong field -- 53% 55% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
CyberspaceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.2
5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-09-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP20/1
JockeyPaul Mulrennan
OR--
FFR62
SS--
 9st 3lb 1 OR -- 62 -- 2 1.15 -4.1 Standard rest Same trip Strong field -- 44% 52% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Regal AdventureRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.0
7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
10-04-2026
ThirskClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt--
Result7 btn 14L
SP50/1
JockeyAndrew Mullen
OR--
FFR59
SS76
 9st 3lb 4 OR -- 59 -- 0 1.15 -4.3 Long absence Same trip Strong field -- 44% 49% 0/6 76 E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
MaluleeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 6.2
12-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
ThirskClass 2 | 6f | Good To Soft
Wgt8st 7lb
Result12 btn 3L
SP250/1
JockeyEthan Tindall
OR--
FFR31
SS--
28-07-2026
BeverleyClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result11 btn 1.5L
SP14/1
JockeySean Kirrane
OR--
FFR59
SS--
 8st 9lb 3 OR -- 59 -- 0 1.15 -5.1 Standard rest Down in trip Strong field -- 44% 54% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Rum PointRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 4.5
11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
ThirskClass 2 | 6f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 4lb
Result11 btn 14L
SP18/1
JockeyZak Wheatley
OR--
FFR60
SS--
 9st 6lb 6 OR -- 60 -- 0 1.15 -6.8 Standard rest Down in trip Strong field -- 51% 54% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
PaphosRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.5
5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
24-08-2026
MusselburghClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result5 btn 0.8L
SP11/2
JockeyZak Wheatley
OR--
FFR69
SS--
 9st 6lb 5 OR -- 69 -- 0 1.15 -7.8 Standard rest Same trip Strong field -- 44% 45% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Blake's Monarch

Blake's Monarch profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 0/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Mugheer

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Blake's Monarch Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 52.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 52.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10-6-2
FFR90 / +4lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw2
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
10 Ascot Run faded 20-06-2026
6 Chester Competitive 30-05-2026
2 Wolverhampton (AW) Solid effort 11-05-2026
Franked form Not franked yet

No strong named-rival evidence from recent races yet.

Proof rating0
Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement0/6
FFR90
Speed--
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+4lb near mark
FFR 90 pounds scale
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score28.0Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI EVERY_LOW
Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 50% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 34%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Handicap Question Track / draw
Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs1/3
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Fast 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 50% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 35%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 64%
Stable setup 58%
Recent evidence 42%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questionsRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Mark read Latest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 86 | Latest FFR 90 | Best FFR 90 | Public mark read +4
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Ivan Furtado
Jockey Jason Hart
Age 2
Draw 2
OR 86
Avg OR 86
OR vs Field 0
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 260
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile1
DEIE
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
20-06-2026 Ascot Good To Firm 10 1:0.59 60.6
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.0 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 87 days Standard layoff
Micro score +0.0 headgear declared: t; wind surgery noted
Ground timing match 1/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgeartFirst-time aid today
WindFirst run after wind surgery
Latest SP150/1
OwnerThe Good Racing Co Ltd Partners
Pedigree

Ten Sovereigns × Glencross (Gleneagles)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.2L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
20-06-2026 Ascot 10 0.1 Neutral finish
30-05-2026 Chester 6 0.3 Neutral finish
11-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 2 0.1 Neutral finish
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par57.83s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:0.59
Recent positions10
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
20-06-2026 Ascot | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 1 10 150/1 -- -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
30-05-2026 Chester | 6f | Good | Class 2 6 10/1 -- -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
11-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 2 10/1 -- -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Workable mark

Latest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 94 and winning TS par is around 52.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Mugheer Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 44.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Best of a weak race 44.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form1
FFR87 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw8
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.15
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Catterick Finished well 26-08-2026
Franked form Not franked yet

No strong named-rival evidence from recent races yet.

Proof rating0
Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR87
Speed--
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs ORperformance rating
FFR 87 pounds scale
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score20.0Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DVERY_LOW
Mark readEvidence developing--
Today's conditions match 54% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 52%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 66%
Handicap 50%
Best fit Track / draw Question Class
Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs1/1
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 1 1W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 62% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 57%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 50%
Stable setup 74%
Recent evidence 76%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Mark read Mark edge unavailable Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Evidence developing --

There is not enough official-mark evidence to make a firm handicap judgement.

Today's OR Unrated | Latest FFR 87 | Best FFR 87 | Public mark read --
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer K. R. Burke
Jockey Clifford Lee
Age 2
Draw 8
OR Unrated
Avg OR 86
OR vs Field --
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 1
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile1
DEID
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
26-08-2026 Catterick Good 1 0:59.12 59.1
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 20 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP1/1F
OwnerAbdulrazaq Mohamdi
Pedigree

Soldier's Call × Sounds Of April (Exceed And Excel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
26-08-2026 Catterick 1 0 Fast finish
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par57.83s
Last win at trip-- | Catterick | 26-08-2026
Recent times0:59.12
Recent positions1
Winning contextweight 9-1
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
26-08-2026 Catterick | 5f | Good | Class 4 1 1/1F -- -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Evidence developing

--.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 94 and winning TS par is around 52.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Muve On Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 10.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 10.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw7
Wgt9st 0lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Cyberspace Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5
FFR62 / --
Speed--
Franked2
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Regal Adventure Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7
FFR59 / --
Speed76
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Malulee Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 6.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 6.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form12-11
FFR59 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw3
Wgt8st 9lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Rum Point Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 4.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 4.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form11
FFR60 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw6
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Paphos Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 3.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5
FFR69 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
2:00 | Uttoxeter

2:00 | Uttoxeter | 23.5f

Class 4 | Good | Support Scropton Riding For The Disabled Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race

Race Confidence 67 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosLow
Average OR108.68 rated runners | Top OR 114: Imperial Data
Winning par5m 55.56s13 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-120 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Harry leads the contextual model at 35.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +6.2 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 5m 55.56s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 8 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
HarryRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 45.2
3-4-1-2-1-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-09-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 20f | Good
Wgt10st 13lb
Result3 btn 10L
SP7/1
JockeyRian Corcoran
OR110
FFR98
SS93
23-08-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 4lb
Result4 btn 7.5L
SP16/1
JockeyRian Corcoran
OR110
FFR101
SS119
15-07-2026
Clairefontaine (FR)-- | 19.5f | Soft
Wgt11st 4lb
Result1
SP9/4
JockeyFrancesco Mula
OR--
FFR81
SS109
12-11-2023
Auteuil (FR)-- | 2m5½f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result2 btn 20L
SP15/1
JockeyNicolas Gauffenic
OR--
FFR110
SS109
10-06-2023
Auteuil (FR)-- | 2m2f | Very Soft
Wgt--
Result1
SP23/5
JockeyNicolas Gauffenic
OR--
FFR95
SS90
21-05-2023
Auteuil (FR)-- | 2m3½f | Very Soft
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP14/1
JockeyNicolas Gauffenic
OR--
FFR98
SS--
 11st 7lb 0 OR 107 98 -9lb 9 1.15 +11.6 Standard rest Big step up Elite field 80 48% 52% 0/6 90 D Stiff -6 CAUTION PROFILE
Betty's TiaraRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 41.8
1-8-9-7-6-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
19-08-2026
WorcesterClass 5 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 10lb
Result1
SP28/1
JockeyBen Jones
OR100
FFR87
SS108
24-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 24f | Good
Wgt11st 9lb
Result8 btn 0.5L
SP16/1
JockeyBeau Morgan
OR100
FFR86
SS92
01-07-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 6lb
Result9 btn 11L
SP12/1
JockeyBen Jones
OR104
FFR74
SS107
22-05-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 11lb
Result7 btn 21L
SP12/1
JockeyBen Jones
OR107
FFR72
SS98
13-12-2025
DoncasterClass 4 | 3m½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result6 btn 10L
SP9/1
JockeyBen Jones
OR110
FFR70
SS106
23-11-2025
ExeterClass 4 | 2m7f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 2.2L
SP9/2
JockeyElliott England
OR110
FFR105
SS94
 11st 4lb 0 OR 104 105 +1lb 55 1.15 +5.3 Standard rest Down in trip Elite field 68 57% 67% 0/6 94 B Near mark +1 WATCH ONLY
Crystal GlanceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 29.5
1-3-5-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
24-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 4 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 10lb
Result--
SP8/1
JockeyToby Wynne
OR112
FFR102
SS96
26-06-2026
Bangor-on-DeeClass 3 | 19.5f | Good
Wgt11st 4lb
Result--
SP11/10F
JockeyJack Tudor
OR112
FFR90
SS56
23-05-2026
Bangor-on-DeeClass 4 | 19.5f | Good
Wgt11st 8lb
Result1
SP9/2
JockeyToby Wynne
OR104
FFR85
SS90
24-11-2025
LudlowClass 5 | 3m | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 9.5L
SP100/30
JockeyBen Smith
OR105
FFR116
SS111
27-10-2025
Bangor-on-DeeClass 4 | 2m3½f | Good
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1.5L
SP7/2J
JockeyToby Wynne
OR106
FFR120
SS95
01-10-2025
WarwickClass 3 | 2m5f | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP85/40F
JockeyToby Wynne
OR107
FFR111
SS95
 11st 10lb 0 OR 110 111 +1lb 17 1.15 +0.3 Freshened up Big step up Elite field 80 53% 57% 1/6 95 E Workable +7 WATCH ONLY
TorrentRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 25.5
3-3-5-4-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-08-2026
StratfordClass 4 | 22f | Good To Firm
Wgt11st 7lb
Result3 btn 8L
SP5/1
JockeyDavid Noonan
OR109
FFR122
SS76
24-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 4 | 23.5f | Good
Wgt11st 13lb
Result3 btn 2L
SP15/2
JockeyDavid Noonan
OR109
FFR101
SS95
23-05-2026
Bangor-on-DeeClass 4 | 19.5f | Good
Wgt12st 0lb
Result5 btn 0.2L
SP9/1
JockeyDavid Noonan
OR110
FFR113
SS104
02-05-2026
UttoxeterClass 3 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 0lb
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP17/2
JockeyDavid Noonan
OR111
FFR102
SS95
02-04-2026
ChepstowClass 4 | 2m3½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result6 btn 5.5L
SP15/2
JockeyMurray Dodd
OR113
FFR110
SS88
27-01-2026
ChepstowClass 3 | 2m3½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result--
SP16/1
JockeyJames Davies
OR115
FFR101
SS123
 11st 7lb 0 OR 107 101 -6lb 28 1.15 +1.6 Standard rest Up in trip Elite field 77 45% 53% 0/6 123 E Stiff -3 WATCH ONLY
Pike RoadRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 14.2
7-7-2-4-6-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 2 | 23.5f | Good
Wgt10st 6lb
Result7 btn 8L
SP11/1
JockeyFreddie Keighley
OR113
FFR94
SS108
01-07-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 6lb
Result7 btn 4.8L
SP100/30F
JockeyFreddie Keighley
OR109
FFR84
SS122
06-06-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 11lb
Result2 btn 3L
SP5/1
JockeyFreddie Keighley
OR112
FFR87
SS116
05-05-2026
HerefordClass 4 | 19.5f | Good
Wgt11st 3lb
Result4 btn 10L
SP13/2
JockeyFreddie Keighley
OR114
FFR111
SS108
02-02-2026
SouthwellClass 4 | 2m4½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result6 btn 11L
SP4/1
JockeyFreddie Keighley
OR116
FFR82
SS95
01-01-2026
CheltenhamClass 2 | 3m | Good
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1.5L
SP14/1
JockeyFreddie Keighley
OR118
FFR91
SS94
 11st 12lb 0 OR 112 91 -21lb 43 1.15 -3.9 Freshened up Same trip Elite field 72 45% 44% 0/6 94 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Billy Boi BlueRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 13.5
5-1-6-6-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 10lb
Result5 btn 4.2L
SP9/1
JockeyKielan Woods
OR109
FFR121
SS140
24-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 4 | 23.5f | Good
Wgt11st 13lb
Result1
SP28/1
JockeyKielan Woods
OR109
FFR104
SS78
10-07-2026
WorcesterClass 2 | 20f | Good
Wgt9st 11lb
Result6 btn 34L
SP20/1
JockeyIsabelle Ryder
OR112
FFR76
SS108
13-06-2026
HexhamClass 4 | 23.5f | Good
Wgt11st 13lb
Result6 btn 1L
SP18/1
JockeyDavid Bass
OR116
FFR90
SS102
19-05-2026
HuntingdonClass 3 | 25f | Good To Firm
Wgt11st 5lb
Result5 btn 14L
SP14/1
JockeyNick Slatter
OR119
FFR116
SS93
17-04-2026
AyrClass 3 | 3m½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result--
SP33/1
JockeySam Twiston-Davies
OR122
FFR96
SS87
 11st 13lb 0 OR 113 96 -17lb 41 1.15 +0.6 Standard rest Down in trip Elite field 80 45% 42% 0/6 87 E Stiff -14 CAUTION PROFILE
Imperial DataRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.2
6-8-4-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
CartmelClass 2 | 25.5f | Good To Soft
Wgt11st 7lb
Result6 btn 24L
SP12/1
JockeyRichie McLernon
OR118
FFR105
SS118
13-06-2026
HexhamClass 3 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 7lb
Result--
SP50/1
JockeyEllis Collier
OR122
FFR79
SS87
25-05-2026
CartmelClass 2 | 25.5f | Good
Wgt11st 5lb
Result8 btn 4.2L
SP18/1
JockeyEllis Collier
OR125
FFR121
SS93
09-05-2026
HexhamClass 3 | 20f | Soft
Wgt11st 7lb
Result--
SP40/1
JockeyEllis Collier
OR127
FFR92
SS97
05-10-2025
UttoxeterClass 3 | 2m7½f | Good
Wgt--
Result4 btn 14L
SP6/1
JockeyRichie McLernon
OR128
FFR121
SS102
25-09-2025
PerthClass 2 | 3m | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP8/1
JockeyRichie McLernon
OR128
FFR98
SS88
 12st 0lb 0 OR 114 98 -16lb 52 1.15 -11.2 Standard rest Big drop back Elite field 70 45% 40% 1/6 88 E Stiff -13 CAUTION PROFILE
CinnodinRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.5
10-2-1-5-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
19-08-2026
WorcesterClass 5 | 23f | Good
Wgt12st 0lb
Result10 btn 0.5L
SP14/1
JockeyGavin Sheehan
OR104
FFR112
SS110
23-06-2026
Newton AbbotClass 4 | 26.5f | Good
Wgt11st 12lb
Result--
SP9/2
JockeyGavin Sheehan
OR104
FFR82
SS79
24-05-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 23.5f | Good
Wgt12st 0lb
Result2 btn 0.8L
SP5/2
JockeyJonathan Burke
OR102
FFR105
SS93
02-05-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 23.5f | Good
Wgt11st 10lb
Result1
SP5/1
JockeyGavin Sheehan
OR96
FFR103
SS76
21-10-2025
ExeterClass 5 | 2m7f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result5 btn 6L
SP13/2
JockeyGavin Sheehan
OR100
FFR110
SS128
02-10-2025
SouthwellClass 4 | 2m4½f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 2.2L
SP4/1
JockeyGavin Sheehan
OR--
FFR71
SS96
 11st 2lb 0 OR 102 71 -31lb 35 1.15 -4.4 Standard rest Down in trip Elite field 80 45% 44% 1/6 96 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Harry

Harry profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Betty's Tiara

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Harry Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 45.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 45.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form3-4-1-2-1-7
FFR98 / -9lb
Speed90
Franked9
Ground0/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 7lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3 Worcester Finished well 04-09-2026
4 Worcester Steady run 23-08-2026
1 Clairefontaine (FR) Strong run 15-07-2026
2 Auteuil (FR) Run faded 12-11-2023
1 Auteuil (FR) Strong run 10-06-2023
7 Auteuil (FR) Competitive 21-05-2023
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating9
1winners since
1placers since
8evidence pts
09-04-2026 | Worcester Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Charlus (IRE), Jaytee (GB), Queens Venture (IRE)

11-12-2023 | Auteuil (FR) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Free Lord DAnjou (FR), Full Time (FR), Fundam (FR)

Later placers

Inside Montlioux (FR) (11-11-2025)

06-10-2023 | Auteuil (FR) Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Assad Lawal (FR), Cima Well (FR), Forza (FR)

Race produced winner

Hamandio (FR)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement0/6
FFR98
Speed90
ConditionsCaution
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-9lb below mark
FFR 98 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
90 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score35.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DVERY_LOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -9lb | peak +3lb treated as ceiling | public read -6lb
Today's conditions match 48% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 52%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 6 2W / 4P Peak rating 131
Good 2 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 52% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 52%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 34%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidenceRecent evidence is mixed
Mark read Latest -9lb | peak +3lb treated as ceiling | public read -6lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -9lb | peak +3lb treated as ceiling | public read -6lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 107 | Latest FFR 98 | Best FFR 110 | Public mark read -6
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Jumps intelligence Strong jumps profile

Clean completion, suitable code and stamina evidence support the runner.

Hurdle profile 80 +1.5 model nudge
Code evidence4 runsHurdle
Completion100%
Jumping rhythm0% error clues
StaminaStamina mixedTrip and finish comments
GroundGround not a jumps concernTesting-ground evidence
Trainer David Pipe
Jockey Rian Corcoran(3)
Age 9
Draw 0
OR 107
Avg OR 108.6
OR vs Field -1.6
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form /71143
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Variable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Regressing

confidence nudge -0.8
Variance Variable 10.5% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Big ceiling edge 18.6 vs par
Curve Regressing Trend -2
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 2m5½f
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance2m5½f
Runs at profile1
DEID
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
12-11-2023 Auteuil (FR) Heavy 2 5:31.34 331.3
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 11 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: b
Ground timing match 0/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearbDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP7/1
OwnerDavid Pipe Racing Club
Pedigree

Maxios × Ajdo (Doyen)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 5.8L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
04-09-2026 Worcester 3 10 Fast finish
23-08-2026 Worcester 4 7.5 Neutral finish
15-07-2026 Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 3 earlier runs were unrated.
21-05-2023 | Auteuil (FR)
Rating 124 OR Unrated
10-06-2023 | Auteuil (FR)
Rating 131 OR Unrated
12-11-2023 | Auteuil (FR)
Rating 106 OR Unrated
23-08-2026 | Worcester
Rating -- OR 110
04-09-2026 | Worcester
Rating -- OR 110
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par5m 55.56s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times5:31.34
Recent positions2
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
04-09-2026 Worcester | 20f | Good | Class 4 3 7/1 110 -- -- 10 -- GREY - no timing read
23-08-2026 Worcester | 20f | Good | Class 4 4 16/1 110 -- -- 7.5 -- GREY - no timing read
15-07-2026 Clairefontaine (FR) | 19.5f | Soft | -- 1 9/4 -- -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
12-11-2023 Auteuil (FR) | 2m5½f | Heavy | -- 2 15/1 -- 106 -- 20 5:30.34 GOLD - faster than par
10-06-2023 Auteuil (FR) | 2m2f | Very Soft | -- 1 23/5 -- 131 -- 0 4:9.02 GOLD - faster than par
21-05-2023 Auteuil (FR) | 2m3½f | Very Soft | -- 7 14/1 -- 124 -- 0.3 4:27.63 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -9lb | peak +3lb treated as ceiling | public read -6lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 112.8 and winning TS par is around 87.4. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Betty's Tiara Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 41.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Watch only 41.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form1-8-9-7-6-4
FFR105 / +1lb
Speed94
Franked55
Ground3/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw0
Wgt11st 4lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Worcester Strong run 19-08-2026
8 Uttoxeter Competitive 24-07-2026
9 Worcester Steady run 01-07-2026
7 Worcester Steady run 22-05-2026
6 Doncaster Run faded 13-12-2025
4 Exeter Run faded 23-11-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating55
5winners since
4placers since
14evidence pts
07-01-2026 | Worcester Finished 9
Beat named rivals

Quick Sharpener (IRE)

Race produced winner

Duel Au Soleil (FR), I Am The Moon (GB)

Later placers

Atreides (IRE) (09-06-2026), Axel Bleue (GB) (06-06-2026)

09-11-2025 | Uttoxeter Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Bertie The Rebel (GB), De Temps En Temps (IRE), Fairlawn Skipper (GB)

Race produced winner

Fairlawn Skipper (GB)

06-09-2025 | Southwell Finished 2
Beat named rivals

At Mangan Bridge (IRE), Final Straw (IRE), Little Dipper (GB)

Race produced winner

Final Straw (IRE), Sea Thrift (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement0/6
FFR105
Speed94
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+1lb near mark
FFR 105 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
94 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score29.5Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BMEDIUM
Mark readNear markLatest FFR read +1lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 57% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 58%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs4/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 12 1W / 3P Peak rating 109
Good 10 2W / 6P Peak rating 111
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 67% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 86%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 55%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (B)5 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +1lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest FFR read +1lb versus today's OR

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 104 | Latest FFR 105 | Best FFR 105 | Public mark read +1
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Jumps intelligence Positive jumps read

The jumps profile is more helpful than harmful.

Hurdle profile 68 +0.8 model nudge
Code evidence6 runsHurdle
Completion100%
Jumping rhythm67% error clues
StaminaStamina mixedTrip and finish comments
GroundGround not a jumps concernTesting-ground evidence
Trainer Ben Pauling
Jockey Callum Pritchard(3)
Age 8
Draw 0
OR 104
Avg OR 108.6
OR vs Field -4.6
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 6-7981
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Cooling

confidence nudge +0.8
Variance Reliable 6.3% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 8.4 vs par
Curve Cooling Trend -1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance2m7f
Runs at profile5
DEIB
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
22-05-2026 Worcester Good 7 5:52.50 352.5
01-07-2026 Worcester Good 9 6:21.00 381
19-08-2026 Worcester Good 1 5:44.88 344.9
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 27 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: tb; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgeartbDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP28/1
OwnerMrs Emma Palmer
Pedigree

Kayf Tara × Burgundy Betty (Presenting)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 3.8L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
19-08-2026 Worcester 1 0 Neutral finish
24-07-2026 Uttoxeter 8 0.5 Neutral finish
01-07-2026 Worcester 9 11 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 2 runs with an official OR.
23-11-2025 | Exeter
Rating 99 OR 110
13-12-2025 | Doncaster
Rating 97 OR 110
22-05-2026 | Worcester
Rating -- OR 107
01-07-2026 | Worcester
Rating -- OR 104
24-07-2026 | Uttoxeter
Rating -- OR 100
19-08-2026 | Worcester
Rating -- OR 100
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs5
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par5m 55.56s
Last win at trip5:48.00 | Uttoxeter | 11-09-2025
Recent times5:52.50 | 6:21.00 | 5:44.88
Recent positions7 | 9 | 1
Winning contextvs par -7.56s | OR 106
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
19-08-2026 Worcester | 23f | Good | Class 5 1 28/1 100 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
24-07-2026 Uttoxeter | 24f | Good | Class 5 8 16/1 100 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
01-07-2026 Worcester | 23f | Good | Class 4 9 12/1 104 -- -- 11 -- GREY - no timing read
22-05-2026 Worcester | 23f | Good | Class 4 7 12/1 107 -- -- 21 -- GREY - no timing read
13-12-2025 Doncaster | 3m½f | Good To Soft | Class 4 6 9/1 110 97 84 10 6:14.35 GREY - below benchmark
23-11-2025 Exeter | 2m7f | Good To Soft | Class 4 4 9/2 110 99 72 2.2 5:58.59 GREEN - within 1% of par
Handicap Near mark

Latest FFR read +1lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 112.8 and winning TS par is around 87.4. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Crystal Glance Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 29.5
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 29.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form1-3-5-3
FFR111 / +1lb
Speed95
Franked17
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 10lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Torrent Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 25.5
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 25.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-3-5-4-6
FFR101 / -6lb
Speed123
Franked28
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Pike Road Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 14.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 14.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-7-2-4-6-5
FFR91 / -21lb
Speed94
Franked43
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw0
Wgt11st 12lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Billy Boi Blue Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 13.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 13.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-1-6-6-5
FFR96 / -17lb
Speed87
Franked41
Ground2/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 13lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Imperial Data Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-8-4-3
FFR98 / -16lb
Speed88
Franked52
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassDown in class
Draw0
Wgt12st 0lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.15
Cinnodin Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 3.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10-2-1-5-2
FFR71 / -31lb
Speed96
Franked35
Ground2/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw0
Wgt11st 2lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.15
2:10 | Punchestown

2:10 | Punchestown | 8f

| Good | Punchestown Is Back Maiden

Race Confidence 36 WATCH ONLY
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosHigh
Average OR--0 rated runners | No official ratings yet
Winning par1m 53.87s6509 race distance-only sample | approximate
SetupGOOD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos high
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Dancinginthecity leads the contextual model at 21.0
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Compressed top end: Clash close enough to respect
  • Winning-time par: 1m 53.87s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 14 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
DancinginthecityRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 35.0
2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
16-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 9f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP13/2
JockeyDeclan McDonogh
OR--
FFR78
SS--
 9st 7lb 1 OR -- 78 -- 0 1.05 +8.3 Freshened up Down in trip Field strength developing -- 50% 55% 1/6 -- D Developing WATCH ONLY
ClashRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 7lb 11 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -0.7 Rest developing Trip move developing Field strength developing -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
ImposingRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 7lb 12 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -0.7 Rest developing Trip move developing Field strength developing -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Jacob B GoodRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 7lb 5 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -0.7 Rest developing Trip move developing Field strength developing -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
The Captains DayRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.5
7-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 5lb
Result7 btn 1.2L
SP11/2
JockeyColin Keane
OR--
FFR67
SS--
09-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP12/1
JockeyOisin Murphy
OR--
FFR53
SS--
 9st 7lb 14 OR -- 53 -- 1 1.05 -1.2 Standard rest Up in trip Field strength developing -- 48% 53% 1/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Epic ArchRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.2
6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
15-08-2026
Dundalk (IRE)-- | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result6 btn 2L
SP40/1
JockeyAndrew Slattery
OR--
FFR57
SS--
 9st 7lb 7 OR -- 57 -- 0 1.05 -1.4 Freshened up Same trip Field strength developing -- 48% 54% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Golden OmenRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.2
9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-08-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt9st 5lb
Result9 btn 3L
SP14/1
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR--
FFR57
SS--
 9st 7lb 8 OR -- 57 -- 0 1.05 -1.4 Standard rest Same trip Field strength developing -- 48% 50% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
RomayanRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.2
6-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result6 btn 0.3L
SP150/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR--
FFR50
SS--
09-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result9 btn 0.5L
SP125/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR--
FFR52
SS--
 9st 7lb 9 OR -- 52 -- 0 1.05 -1.4 Standard rest Same trip Field strength developing -- 48% 50% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Don't Go MadRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.2
15
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result15 btn 3.2L
SP100/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR--
FFR33
SS--
 9st 7lb 13 OR -- 33 -- 0 1.05 -4.4 Standard rest Big step up Field strength developing -- 48% 52% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
FrancillonRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 8.0
4-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
06-08-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP8/15F
JockeyColin Keane
OR--
FFR77
SS--
13-07-2026
Killarney-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP8/1
JockeyColin Keane
OR--
FFR70
SS--
 9st 7lb 3 OR -- 70 -- 0 1.05 +7.1 Freshened up Same trip Field strength developing -- 50% 54% 0/6 -- D Developing WATCH ONLY
Mickian ThomasRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.0
6-16
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
27-08-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 9lb
Result6 btn 4.5L
SP125/1
JockeyLuke McAteer
OR--
FFR32
SS--
16-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result16 btn 0.8L
SP80/1
JockeyGavin Ryan
OR--
FFR46
SS--
 9st 7lb 10 OR -- 46 -- 0 1.05 -4.7 Standard rest Same trip Field strength developing -- 48% 49% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Noble ExhibitRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 6.0
3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
22-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result3 btn 3.8L
SP16/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR--
FFR67
SS--
 9st 7lb 6 OR -- 67 -- 0 1.05 +5.6 Standard rest Up in trip Field strength developing -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Paul PierreRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 2.0
8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result8 btn 0.5L
SP14/1
JockeyChris Hayes
OR--
FFR46
SS--
 9st 7lb 4 OR -- 46 -- 0 1.05 -0.7 Standard rest Same trip Field strength developing -- 48% 54% 1/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
ForthethrillofitRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 2.0
15
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 2lb
Result15 btn 9L
SP50/1
JockeyPaddy Harnett
OR--
FFR34
SS--
 9st 7lb 2 OR -- 34 -- 2 1.05 -3.7 Standard rest Up in trip Field strength developing -- 48% 56% 1/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Main Context Fit Dancinginthecity

Dancinginthecity profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Clash

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Dancinginthecity Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 35.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 35.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form2
FFR78 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw1
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Clash Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw11
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Imposing Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw12
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Jacob B Good Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw5
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
The Captains Day Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.5
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 11.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-4
FFR53 / --
Speed--
Franked1
Ground1/2 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw14
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Epic Arch Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 11.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6
FFR57 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw7
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Trip move Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Golden Omen Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 11.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9
FFR57 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw8
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Romayan Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 11.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-9
FFR52 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw9
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Don't Go Mad Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form15
FFR33 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassClass move developing
Draw13
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Francillon Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Best of a weak race 8.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form4-2
FFR70 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground2/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw3
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Mickian Thomas Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-16
FFR46 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw10
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Noble Exhibit Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 6.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 6.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3
FFR67 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw6
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Paul Pierre Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 2.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 2.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8
FFR46 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw4
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Forthethrillofit Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 2.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 2.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form15
FFR34 / --
Speed--
Franked2
Ground0/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw2
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
2:17 | Yarmouth

2:17 | Yarmouth | 7f

Class 5 | Good To Soft | SSP Signs & Graphics Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 65 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR71.911 rated runners | Top OR 75: Toastmaster
Winning par1m 26.61s6 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD TO SOFT (GoingStick: 4.8) Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-75 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Toastmaster leads the contextual model at 34.5
  • Decision type: Watch only - Needs more proof
  • Winning-time par: 1m 26.61s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 11 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
ToastmasterRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 52.8
2-3-5-1-3-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
17-08-2026
Clairefontaine (FR)Class 2 | 19.5f | Soft
Wgt10st 10lb
Result2 btn 4.5L
SP11/2
JockeyJoel Phelippe
OR--
FFR86
SS100
25-07-2026
YorkClass 4 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result3 btn 3.8L
SP5/1
JockeyKieran Shoemark
OR75
FFR80
SS98
10-07-2026
NewmarketClass 4 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP6/4F
JockeyOisin Murphy
OR75
FFR86
SS99
20-06-2026
DoncasterClass 4 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result1
SP2/1F
JockeyEdward Greatrex
OR73
FFR76
SS100
05-06-2026
DoncasterClass 4 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 11lb
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP12/1
JockeyRowan Scott
OR73
FFR73
SS103
30-05-2026
Auteuil (FR)-- | 22f | Very Soft
Wgt10st 7lb
Result5 btn 5.5L
SP31/1
JockeyLudovic Philipperon
OR129
FFR126
SS101
 9st 9lb 10 OR 75 126 +51lb 55 1.07 +8.2 Freshened up Big drop back Solid field -- 57% 65% 0/6 101 C Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
Archer's GraceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 48.8
4-1-2-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-05-2026
SalisburyClass 5 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result4 btn 1L
SP6/1
JockeyDaniel Muscutt
OR73
FFR85
SS97
20-04-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP5/6F
JockeyDaniel Muscutt
OR--
FFR82
SS90
18-03-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP5/6F
JockeyDaniel Muscutt
OR--
FFR82
SS92
29-10-2025
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result2 btn 2.5L
SP12/1
JockeyGeorge Wood
OR--
FFR69
SS--
 9st 6lb 5 OR 72 69 -3lb 0 1.07 +15.7 Layoff check Same trip Solid field -- 55% 56% 1/6 92 C Near mark +0 CAUTION PROFILE
WetsandRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 39.5
3-1-6-7-8-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-08-2026
LingfieldClass 5 | 7.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP5/2
JockeyTaryn Langley
OR75
FFR84
SS100
22-07-2026
LingfieldClass 5 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result1
SP6/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR73
FFR68
SS102
07-07-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result6 btn 1.5L
SP18/1
JockeyClifford Lee
OR75
FFR58
SS78
24-06-2026
CarlisleClass 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP12/1
JockeySam James
OR77
FFR58
SS89
31-05-2026
ThirskClass 4 | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result8 btn 0.8L
SP22/1
JockeyFinley Marsh
OR80
FFR77
SS94
30-04-2026
YarmouthClass 4 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1L
SP16/1
JockeyTom Marquand
OR82
FFR68
SS103
 9st 9lb 1 OR 75 68 -7lb 39 1.07 +8.5 Freshened up Down in trip Solid field -- 55% 63% 1/6 103 A Stiff -4 CAUTION PROFILE
Million GoldRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 25.2
6-14-3-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
EpsomClass 4 | 7f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 5lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP25/1
JockeyRobert Havlin
OR75
FFR85
SS94
27-06-2026
YorkClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result14 btn 17L
SP28/1
JockeyTom Marquand
OR77
FFR80
SS99
24-01-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 3.2L
SP4/6F
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR--
FFR39
SS--
03-12-2025
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result1
SP100/30
JockeyRobert Havlin
OR--
FFR71
SS--
 9st 7lb 4 OR 73 71 -2lb 38 1.07 -4 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 49% 50% 1/6 99 E Near mark +1 WATCH ONLY
GalbaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 23.2
3-2-3-6-3-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
08-08-2026
HaydockClass 5 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result3 btn 2.5L
SP6/1
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR72
FFR72
SS98
29-07-2026
SandownClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 8lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP11/8F
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR69
FFR81
SS93
12-06-2026
SandownClass 5 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP28/1
JockeyPat Dobbs
OR69
FFR55
SS--
23-05-2026
WindsorClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP8/1
JockeyJohn Fahy
OR70
FFR71
SS--
09-05-2026
LeicesterClass 3 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP28/1
JockeySam Hitchcott
OR--
FFR74
SS--
14-04-2026
NewmarketClass 4 | 7f | Good
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.1L
SP14/1
JockeySean Levey
OR--
FFR68
SS--
 9st 6lb 2 OR 72 68 -4lb 1 1.07 +0.5 Freshened up Same trip Solid field -- 52% 57% 1/6 93 D Near mark -1 CAUTION PROFILE
BerlinettaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 16.8
4-1-5-10-3-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
15-08-2026
DoncasterClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP9/4
JockeyGeorge Bass
OR67
FFR74
SS98
27-07-2026
WindsorClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result1
SP11/2
JockeyGeorge Bass
OR65
FFR87
SS89
17-07-2026
NewburyClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 13lb
Result5 btn 0.1L
SP12/1
JockeyConnor Beasley
OR65
FFR76
SS87
30-04-2026
Longchamp-- | 1m4½f | Good
Wgt--
Result10 btn 0.8L
SP76/10
JockeyMme Coralie Pacaut
OR60
FFR68
SS94
10-04-2026
Saint-Cloud-- | 1m4f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP19/1
JockeyMme Coralie Pacaut
OR60
FFR76
SS108
26-01-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1.8L
SP10/1
JockeyJason Hart
OR67
FFR67
SS99
 9st 1lb 7 OR 67 67 +0lb 16 1.07 +1 Freshened up Down in trip Solid field -- 53% 58% 0/6 99 E Workable +6 CAUTION PROFILE
SplashRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 15.5
6-1-14-9-2-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
21-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 5 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 5.5L
SP12/1
JockeyRobert Havlin
OR74
FFR68
SS80
15-07-2026
YarmouthClass 5 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result1
SP5/1
JockeyDavid Egan
OR74
FFR89
SS89
02-07-2026
NewburyClass 4 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result14 btn 13L
SP40/1
JockeyThomas Greatrex
OR77
FFR61
SS105
02-05-2026
NewmarketClass 4 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result9 btn 1.8L
SP11/1
JockeyThomas Greatrex
OR78
FFR39
SS--
22-10-2025
NewmarketClass 4 | 7f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.8L
SP40/1
JockeyThomas Greatrex
OR--
FFR75
SS--
18-09-2025
Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP125/1
JockeyThomas Greatrex
OR--
FFR43
SS--
 9st 7lb 9 OR 73 43 -30lb 40 1.07 -3.5 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 50% 51% 0/6 105 B Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Piscean StarRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 13.8
5-6-4-2-13-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-09-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 8lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP4/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR74
FFR85
SS91
20-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 4 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result6 btn 1.8L
SP50/1
JockeyMason Paetel
OR76
FFR74
SS89
05-08-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 6lb
Result4 btn 1L
SP17/2
JockeyOisin Murphy
OR77
FFR79
SS94
18-09-2025
Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 2L
SP4/1
JockeyMason Paetel
OR76
FFR72
SS--
23-08-2025
Newmarket (July)Class 2 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result13 btn 1.5L
SP14/1
JockeyPat Cosgrave
OR--
FFR49
SS--
11-08-2025
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result1
SP5/1
JockeyHector Crouch
OR--
FFR66
SS--
 9st 6lb 3 OR 72 66 -6lb 50 1.07 -6.5 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 55% 62% 2/6 94 A Stiff -3 WATCH ONLY
Percy's StarRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 13.2
6-6-1-4-2-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
18-08-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result6 btn 0.3L
SP15/2
JockeySilvestre De Sousa
OR74
FFR74
SS95
04-07-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 4 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP17/2
JockeySilvestre De Sousa
OR76
FFR67
SS--
08-06-2026
LeicesterClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result1
SP2/1F
JockeySilvestre De Sousa
OR68
FFR69
SS--
25-05-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 0.1L
SP7/2
JockeySilvestre De Sousa
OR--
FFR77
SS--
11-05-2026
WindsorClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 2.8L
SP100/30
JockeySilvestre De Sousa
OR--
FFR66
SS--
13-04-2026
LeicesterClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt--
Result5 btn 4.2L
SP66/1
JockeyMarco Ghiani
OR--
FFR65
SS--
 9st 6lb 6 OR 72 65 -7lb 11 1.07 +3.5 Standard rest Up in trip Solid field -- 48% 48% 0/6 95 D Stiff -4 CAUTION PROFILE
Name The DayRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.2
6-4-10-1-9-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
18-08-2026
ChepstowClass 5 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 12lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP40/1
JockeyOliver Carmichael
OR70
FFR74
SS--
28-07-2026
Ffos LasClass 5 | 7.5f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result4 btn 8L
SP25/1
JockeyCallum Hutchinson
OR75
FFR43
SS--
17-07-2026
NewburyClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result10 btn 28L
SP25/1
JockeyCharles Bishop
OR75
FFR86
SS--
03-07-2026
ChepstowClass 4 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result1
SP20/1
JockeyCallum Hutchinson
OR--
FFR33
SS--
18-06-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result9 btn 0.5L
SP14/1
JockeySean D Bowen
OR--
FFR49
SS--
01-06-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP18/1
JockeyRhys Clutterbuck
OR--
FFR37
SS--
 9st 1lb 8 OR 67 37 -30lb 0 1.07 -14 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 47% 48% 0/6 -- C Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Magic BoxRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 2.2
8-4-5-2-1-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-06-2026
WetherbyClass 5 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result8 btn 0.5L
SP10/1
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR75
FFR82
SS89
15-05-2026
NewmarketClass 4 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result4 btn 1.8L
SP12/1
JockeySaffie Osborne
OR76
FFR88
SS89
02-10-2025
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP11/2
JockeyJason Hart
OR76
FFR81
SS97
19-09-2025
AyrClass 4 | 7f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 2.2L
SP85/40
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR75
FFR65
SS107
23-07-2025
CatterickClass 5 | 7f | Soft
Wgt--
Result1
SPEvensF
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR68
FFR46
SS90
18-07-2025
HamiltonClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP100/30
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR68
FFR57
SS69
 9st 7lb 11 OR 73 57 -16lb 38 1.07 -9.3 Layoff check Same trip Solid field -- 52% 54% 2/6 69 A Stiff -13 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Toastmaster

Toastmaster profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 0/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Archer's Grace

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Toastmaster Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 52.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Watch only 52.8 confidence
Why consider7 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-3-5-1-3-5
FFR126 / +51lb
Speed101
Franked55
Ground0/3 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassDown in class
Draw10
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Clairefontaine (FR) Solid effort 17-08-2026
3 York Solid effort 25-07-2026
5 Newmarket Competitive 10-07-2026
1 Doncaster Strong run 20-06-2026
3 Doncaster Solid effort 05-06-2026
5 Auteuil (FR) Steady run 30-05-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating55
5winners since
3placers since
11evidence pts
06-05-2026 | Doncaster Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Blakefell (IRE), French Affair (IRE), Illy's Roo (IRE)

Race produced winner

French Affair (IRE), King's Cavalry (GB)

Later placers

Blakefell (IRE) (08-05-2026), Rogue Messiah (IRE) (04-06-2026)

11-11-2025 | Compiegne Finished 9
Later placers

Micawber (FR) (04-01-2026)

08-10-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Jackabi (FR), Jumeirah Sands (GB), Sorted (IRE)

Race produced winner

Jumeirah Sands (GB), Sea Cookie (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement0/6
FFR126
Speed101
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+51lb ahead of mark
FFR 126 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
101 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskDraw data is a negative nudge
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score34.5Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CMEDIUM
Mark readWell treatedLatest +51lb | peak +51lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 57% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 34%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Track / draw
Ground evidence Testing Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 5 0W / 1P Peak rating 70
Good 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 5 1W / 3P Peak rating 73
All-weather 6 0W / 3P Peak rating 81
Placement evidence 65% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 70%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 58%
Recent evidence 58%
7 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +51lb | peak +51lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +51lb | peak +51lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 75 | Latest FFR 126 | Best FFR 126 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Michael Herrington
Jockey Kieran Shoemark
Age 3
Draw 10
OR 75
Avg OR 71.9
OR vs Field +3.1
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 533153
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Very steady 1.6% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 2.8 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance7f
Runs at profile7
DEIC
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
20-06-2026 Doncaster Good To Firm 1 1:23.70 83.7
10-07-2026 Newmarket (July) Good To Firm 5 1:26.53 86.5
25-07-2026 York Good To Firm 3 1:25.19 85.2
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.5 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 52 days Standard layoff
Micro score -0.5 no recent matched-ground timing evidence; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP11/2
OwnerFollow The Majer Partners S Herrington
Pedigree

Cotai Glory × Wedding Wish (Acclamation)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 3.2L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Clairefontaine (FR) 2 4.5 Neutral finish
25-07-2026 York 3 3.8 Neutral finish
10-07-2026 Newmarket 5 1.2 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
30-05-2026 | Auteuil (FR)
Rating -- OR 129
05-06-2026 | Doncaster
Rating -- OR 73
20-06-2026 | Doncaster
Rating -- OR 73
10-07-2026 | Newmarket
Rating -- OR 75
25-07-2026 | York
Rating -- OR 75
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs7
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par1m 26.61s
Last win at trip-- | Doncaster | 20-06-2026
Recent times1:23.70 | 1:26.53 | 1:25.19
Recent positions1 | 5 | 3
Winning contextOR 73 | weight 9-2
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Clairefontaine (FR) | 19.5f | Soft | Class 2 2 11/2 -- -- -- 4.5 -- GREY - no timing read
25-07-2026 York | 7f | Good To Firm | Class 4 3 5/1 75 -- -- 3.8 -- GREY - no timing read
10-07-2026 Newmarket | 7f | Good To Firm | Class 4 5 6/4F 75 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
20-06-2026 Doncaster | 7f | Good To Firm | Class 4 1 2/1F 73 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
05-06-2026 Doncaster | 7f | Good To Firm | Class 4 3 12/1 73 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
30-05-2026 Auteuil (FR) | 22f | Very Soft | -- 5 31/1 129 -- -- 5.5 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Well treated

Latest +51lb | peak +51lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 76.5 and winning TS par is around 59.2. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Archer's Grace Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 48.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Best of a weak race 48.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Form4-1-2-2
FFR69 / -3lb
Speed92
Franked0
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.07
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4 Salisbury Run faded 23-05-2026
1 Lingfield (AW) Strong run 20-04-2026
2 Kempton (AW) Run faded 18-03-2026
2 Kempton (AW) Solid effort 29-10-2025
Franked form Not franked yet

No strong named-rival evidence from recent races yet.

Proof rating0
Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR69
Speed92
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-3lb near mark
FFR 69 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
92 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score42.0Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CLOW
Mark readNear markLatest -3lb | peak +13lb treated as ceiling | public read +0lb
Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 58%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence Testing No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/4
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 3 1W / 3P Peak rating 72
Placement evidence 56% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 68%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 52%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 42%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Mark read Latest -3lb | peak +13lb treated as ceiling | public read +0lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest -3lb | peak +13lb treated as ceiling | public read +0lb

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 72 | Latest FFR 69 | Best FFR 85 | Public mark read 0
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer James Fanshawe
Jockey Daniel Muscutt
Age 3
Draw 5
OR 72
Avg OR 71.9
OR vs Field +0.1
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 2-214
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +0.8
Variance Very steady 2.9% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -3.1 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance7f
Runs at profile3
DEIC
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
29-10-2025 Kempton (AW) Standard To Slow 2 1:27.25 87.2
20-04-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 1 1:26.56 86.6
23-05-2026 Salisbury Good 4 1:29.39 89.4
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.0 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 115 days Standard layoff
Micro score +0.0 API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP6/1
OwnerFred Archer Racing Wheel Of Fortune Ii
Pedigree

Magna Grecia × Badr Al Badoor (Acclamation)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
3/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.7L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
23-05-2026 Salisbury 4 1 Fast finish
20-04-2026 Lingfield (AW) 1 0 Fast finish
18-03-2026 Kempton (AW) 2 1.2 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 3 earlier runs were unrated.
29-10-2025 | Kempton (AW)
Rating 66 OR Unrated
18-03-2026 | Kempton (AW)
Rating 70 OR Unrated
20-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating 72 OR Unrated
23-05-2026 | Salisbury
Rating -- OR 73
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs3
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 26.61s
Last win at trip1:26.56 | Lingfield (AW) | 20-04-2026
Recent times1:27.25 | 1:26.56 | 1:29.39
Recent positions2 | 1 | 4
Winning contextvs par -0.05s
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
23-05-2026 Salisbury | 7f | Good | Class 5 4 6/1 73 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
20-04-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 5 1 5/6F -- 72 19 0 1:26.56 GOLD - faster than par
18-03-2026 Kempton (AW) | 6f | Standard To Slow | Class 4 2 5/6F -- 70 33 1.2 1:14.46 GOLD - faster than par
29-10-2025 Kempton (AW) | 7f | Standard To Slow | Class 4 2 12/1 -- 66 42 2.5 1:27.17 GREEN - within 1% of par
Handicap Near mark

Latest -3lb | peak +13lb treated as ceiling | public read +0lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 76.5 and winning TS par is around 59.2. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Wetsand Distance specialist
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 39.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Watch only 39.5 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form3-1-6-7-8-5
FFR68 / -7lb
Speed103
Franked39
Ground0/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Million Gold Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 25.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 25.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-14-3-1
FFR71 / -2lb
Speed99
Franked38
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw4
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Galba Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 23.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 23.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form3-2-3-6-3-7
FFR68 / -4lb
Speed93
Franked1
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw2
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.07
Berlinetta Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 16.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 16.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-1-5-10-3-5
FFR67 / +0lb
Speed99
Franked16
Ground1/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 1lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Splash Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 15.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Watch only 15.5 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form6-1-14-9-2-6
FFR43 / -30lb
Speed105
Franked40
Ground0/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw9
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Piscean Star Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 13.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 13.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form5-6-4-2-13-1
FFR66 / -6lb
Speed94
Franked50
Ground0/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw3
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Percy's Star Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 13.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 13.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form6-6-1-4-2-5
FFR65 / -7lb
Speed95
Franked11
Ground0/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Name The Day Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 12.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form6-4-10-1-9-4
FFR37 / -30lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw8
Wgt9st 1lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Magic Box Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 2.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Watch only 2.2 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form8-4-5-2-1-2
FFR57 / -16lb
Speed69
Franked38
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw11
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: DEI Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.07
2:23 | Redcar

2:23 | Redcar | 6f

Class 4 | Good | Watch RacingTV Free For 31 Days Selling Stakes

Race Confidence 57 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR70.77 rated runners | Top OR 75: Niewiadoma
Winning par1m 10.35s4 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 7.1) Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Lady Dublin leads the contextual model at 39.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Compressed top end: Roman Crystal close enough to respect
  • Winning-time par: 1m 10.35s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 8 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Lady DublinRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 45.0
3-8-1-1-3-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
RiponClass 5 | 5f | Soft
Wgt9st 9lb
Result3 btn 1.5L
SP17/2
JockeyHarry Russell
OR75
FFR86
SS105
01-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 2 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 1lb
Result8 btn 0.3L
SP14/1
JockeyTom Kiely-Marshall
OR76
FFR85
SS--
24-07-2026
ThirskClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 8lb
Result1
SP3/1F
JockeyJake Dickson
OR65
FFR67
SS--
15-07-2026
CatterickClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result1
SP2/1C
JockeyHarry Russell
OR65
FFR67
SS--
22-06-2026
MusselburghClass 3 | 7f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result3 btn 2.8L
SPEvensF
JockeyHarry Russell
OR--
FFR84
SS--
12-06-2026
YorkClass 3 | 6f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP22/1
JockeyHarry Russell
OR--
FFR68
SS--
 9st 9lb 2 OR 74 68 -6lb 56 1.15 +14.2 Standard rest Up in trip Solid field -- 46% 51% 1/6 105 D Stiff -3 PRICE DEPENDENT
Roman CrystalRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 30.0
6-1-3-4-5-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
RiponClass 5 | 5f | Soft
Wgt9st 4lb
Result6 btn 2.2L
SP9/2
JockeyBilly Garritty
OR70
FFR51
SS--
08-08-2026
AyrClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result1
SP7/2
JockeyBilly Garritty
OR67
FFR50
SS--
24-07-2026
ThirskClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 6lb
Result3 btn 6L
SP28/1
JockeyLewis Chalkley
OR67
FFR89
SS--
10-07-2026
YorkClass 2 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result4 btn 2.5L
SP50/1
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR--
FFR60
SS--
01-07-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 10lb
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP66/1
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR--
FFR77
SS--
17-06-2026
RiponClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result6 btn 1.2L
SP50/1
JockeyBilly Garritty
OR--
FFR40
SS--
 9st 5lb 8 OR 68 40 -28lb 9 1.15 +11.8 Standard rest Up in trip Solid field -- 46% 43% 1/6 -- E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Maximus MeridiusRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 20.8
3-4-3-2-6-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-08-2026
ChepstowClass 5 | 5f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 5lb
Result3 btn 1.5L
SP17/2
JockeyLaura Pearson
OR70
FFR77
SS91
28-07-2026
BeverleyClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP11/4C
JockeyRowan Scott
OR72
FFR73
SS94
17-07-2026
PontefractClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result3 btn 2.2L
SP15/8
JockeySilvestre De Sousa
OR--
FFR76
SS97
20-06-2026
AyrClass 4 | 6f | Soft
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 3.5L
SP15/2
JockeyLewis Edmunds
OR--
FFR76
SS--
05-04-2025
Aqueduct (USA)-- | 7f | Fast
Wgt--
Result6 btn 1.8L
SP53/20
JockeyJoel Rosario
OR--
FFR54
SS--
21-09-2024
Parx (USA)-- | 6f | Fast
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1.8L
SP67/10
JockeyJoel Rosario
OR--
FFR69
SS--
 9st 4lb 5 OR 69 69 +0lb 8 1.15 +2.2 Standard rest Up in trip Solid field -- 52% 58% 0/6 97 D Workable +6 WATCH ONLY
Rock Steady BeatRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 18.0
6-3-2-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-08-2026
PontefractClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result6 btn 6.5L
SP8/11F
JockeyClifford Lee
OR76
FFR91
SS--
20-06-2026
RedcarClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result3 btn 6.5L
SP4/1
JockeyPierre-Louis Jamin
OR--
FFR93
SS--
09-06-2026
CarlisleClass 3 | 5f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP5/6F
JockeyClifford Lee
OR--
FFR62
SS--
14-05-2026
YorkClass 2 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP6/1
JockeyClifford Lee
OR--
FFR58
SS--
 9st 4lb 7 OR 73 58 -15lb 0 1.15 +4.2 Freshened up Same trip Solid field -- 46% 44% 0/6 -- E Stiff -12 CAUTION PROFILE
Fern ClydeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 15.0
4-6-4-3-1-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
12-09-2026
MusselburghClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP16/1
JockeySean Kirrane
OR69
FFR65
SS102
03-08-2026
NottinghamClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result6 btn 1L
SP22/1
JockeyJake Dickson
OR72
FFR77
SS--
17-07-2026
HamiltonClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP9/2
JockeySean Kirrane
OR74
FFR77
SS--
23-06-2026
BeverleyClass 3 | 7.5f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result3 btn 5.5L
SP5/2
JockeyDavid Allan
OR--
FFR58
SS--
08-06-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result1
SP3/1
JockeyDavid Allan
OR--
FFR56
SS--
28-05-2026
RiponClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result3 btn 4.5L
SP5/1
JockeyDuran Fentiman
OR--
FFR64
SS--
 9st 5lb 4 OR 69 64 -5lb 3 1.15 -10.5 Quick return Up in trip Solid field -- 46% 49% 0/6 102 E Near mark -2 WATCH ONLY
BigaloRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 13.0
3-2-2-2-7-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
22-08-2026
RedcarClass 5 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result3 btn 1.8L
SP10/11F
JockeyOisin McSweeney
OR67
FFR42
SS--
07-08-2026
MusselburghClass 5 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP4/5F
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR67
FFR84
SS--
31-07-2026
MusselburghClass 6 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP5/2F
JockeyKevin Stott
OR64
FFR72
SS--
22-07-2026
CatterickClass 5 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 13lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP11/2
JockeyKevin Stott
OR64
FFR63
SS--
27-06-2026
YorkClass 2 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result7 btn 0.8L
SP250/1
JockeyOisin McSweeney
OR--
FFR72
SS--
18-06-2026
RiponClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result9 btn 0.5L
SP40/1
JockeyOisin McSweeney
OR--
FFR68
SS--
 9st 4lb 1 OR 67 68 +1lb 0 1.15 -2.2 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 51% 56% 0/6 -- E Workable +7 WATCH ONLY
DigresserRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 13.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
8st 13lb 6 OR -- -- -- 0 1.15 -12.5 Rest developing Trip move developing Solid field -- 52% 54% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
NiewiadomaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 5.2
18-17-25-9-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-08-2026
YorkClass 2 | 6f | Good To Soft
Wgt8st 11lb
Result18 btn 7.5L
SP150/1
JockeyGina Mangan
OR78
FFR85
SS96
18-07-2026
NewburyClass 2 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 10lb
Result17 btn 0.5L
SP50/1
JockeyPierre-Louis Jamin
OR79
FFR77
SS--
17-06-2026
AscotClass 1 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result25 btn 0.5L
SP100/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR--
FFR73
SS--
15-05-2026
YorkClass 1 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result9 btn 0.8L
SP5/1
JockeyHollie Doyle
OR--
FFR63
SS--
18-04-2026
ThirskClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP6/1
JockeyHollie Doyle
OR--
FFR57
SS--
 9st 5lb 3 OR 75 57 -18lb 0 1.15 -7.2 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 47% 48% 0/6 96 C Stiff -15 WATCH ONLY
Main Context Fit Lady Dublin

Lady Dublin profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 1/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Roman Crystal

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Lady Dublin Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 45.0
PRICE DEPENDENT
Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Best of a weak race 45.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form3-8-1-1-3-6
FFR68 / -6lb
Speed105
Franked56
Ground2/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw2
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3 Ripon Solid effort 01-09-2026
8 Newmarket (July) Run faded 01-08-2026
1 Thirsk Strong run 24-07-2026
1 Catterick Strong run 15-07-2026
3 Musselburgh Solid effort 22-06-2026
6 York Competitive 12-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating56
6winners since
5placers since
15evidence pts
05-04-2026 | Beverley Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Craven Force (IRE), Enemy Action (IRE), Explainingislosing (GB)

Race produced winner

Bella Lucia (GB)

Later placers

Enemy Action (IRE) (07-04-2026), Spirit Of Mary (GB) (07-07-2026)

09-01-2026 | Ripon Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Inca Warrior (IRE), Lexington Boom (GB), Roman Crystal (IRE)

Race produced winner

Roman Crystal (IRE)

Later placers

May Bee In Profit (GB) (05-04-2026), Star People (FR) (08-03-2026)

08-01-2026 | Newmarket (July) Finished 8
Beat named rivals

Donegal Rose (IRE)

Race produced winner

Acclamation Star (GB), Donegal Rose (IRE)

Later placers

Fire Thunder (IRE) (06-04-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement1/6
FFR68
Speed105
ConditionsCaution
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-6lb below mark
FFR 68 pounds scale
SpeedScoreabove par
105 Par 100
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score39.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DLOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -6lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb
Today's conditions match 46% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 52%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 42%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 67
Good 2 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 3 2W / 2P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 51% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 44%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 43%
Stable setup 62%
Recent evidence 58%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -6lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -6lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 74 | Latest FFR 68 | Best FFR 86 | Public mark read -3
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Ollie Pears
Jockey Harry Russell
Age 2
Draw 2
OR 74
Avg OR 70.7
OR vs Field +3.3
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 631183
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +0.2
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 4.7 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile3
DEID
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
15-04-2026 Beverley Good To Soft 4 1:3.95 64
04-05-2026 Beverley Good To Soft 4 1:3.84 63.8
01-09-2026 Ripon Soft 3 1:0.21 60.2
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 14 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP17/2
OwnerLegacy Racing Ollie Pears
Pedigree

Ardad × Increasing (Invincible Spirit)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.6L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
01-09-2026 Ripon 3 1.5 Neutral finish
01-08-2026 Newmarket (July) 8 0.3 Run faded
24-07-2026 Thirsk 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
15-07-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 65
24-07-2026 | Thirsk
Rating -- OR 65
01-08-2026 | Newmarket (July)
Rating -- OR 76
01-09-2026 | Ripon
Rating -- OR 75
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs3
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 10.35s
Last win at trip-- | Thirsk | 24-07-2026
Recent times1:3.95 | 1:3.84 | 1:0.21
Recent positions4 | 4 | 3
Winning contextOR 65 | weight 9-8
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
01-09-2026 Ripon | 5f | Soft | Class 5 3 17/2 75 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
01-08-2026 Newmarket (July) | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 2 8 14/1 76 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
24-07-2026 Thirsk | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 6 1 3/1F 65 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
15-07-2026 Catterick | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 6 1 2/1C 65 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
22-06-2026 Musselburgh | 7f | Good | Class 3 3 EvensF -- -- -- 2.8 -- GREY - no timing read
12-06-2026 York | 6f | Good | Class 3 6 22/1 -- -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -6lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 76.5 and winning TS par is around 61. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Roman Crystal Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 30.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Best of a weak race 30.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-1-3-4-5-6
FFR40 / -28lb
Speed--
Franked9
Ground0/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw8
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.15
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
6 Ripon Competitive 01-09-2026
1 Ayr Finished well 08-08-2026
3 Thirsk Solid effort 24-07-2026
4 York Competitive 10-07-2026
5 Thirsk Competitive 01-07-2026
6 Ripon Competitive 17-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating9
1winners since
4placers since
8evidence pts
08-08-2026 | Ayr Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Beechwood Glory (IRE), Black Cuillin (IRE), Coul Blue (IRE)

09-01-2026 | Ripon Finished 6
Later placers

May Bee In Profit (GB) (05-04-2026), Star People (FR) (08-03-2026)

07-01-2026 | Thirsk Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Claret Time (GB), Mangham (GB), Noccalula Falls (IRE)

Race produced winner

Arapaho Gold (IRE)

Later placers

Claret Time (GB) (09-02-2026), Travellers Girl (IRE) (07-06-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR40
Speed--
ConditionsCaution
PlacementCaution
FFR vs OR-28lb below mark
FFR 40 pounds scale
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score37.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI EVERY_LOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -28lb | peak +21lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb
Today's conditions match 46% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 58%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Track / draw Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 2 1W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 3 0W / 1P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 43% Intent unclear
Trip evidence 35%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 4%
Stable setup 70%
Recent evidence 58%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questionsCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -28lb | peak +21lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -28lb | peak +21lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 68 | Latest FFR 40 | Best FFR 89 | Public mark read -16
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Michael & David Easterby
Jockey Billy Garritty
Age 2
Draw 8
OR 68
Avg OR 70.7
OR vs Field -2.7
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 654316
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile1
DEIE
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
01-09-2026 Ripon Soft 6 1:1.96 62
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 14 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 0/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP9/2
OwnerThe Lee Westwood Racing Partnership
Pedigree

Shaman × Clare Island (Holy Roman Emperor)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.7L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
01-09-2026 Ripon 6 2.2 Fast finish
08-08-2026 Ayr 1 0 Fast finish
24-07-2026 Thirsk 3 6 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
24-07-2026 | Thirsk
Rating -- OR 67
08-08-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 67
01-09-2026 | Ripon
Rating -- OR 70
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par1m 10.35s
Last win at trip-- | Ayr | 08-08-2026
Recent times1:1.96
Recent positions6
Winning contextOR 67 | weight 9-2
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
01-09-2026 Ripon | 5f | Soft | Class 5 6 9/2 70 -- -- 2.2 -- GREY - no timing read
08-08-2026 Ayr | 6f | Good | Class 5 1 7/2 67 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
24-07-2026 Thirsk | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 3 28/1 67 -- -- 6 -- GREY - no timing read
10-07-2026 York | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 2 4 50/1 -- -- -- 2.5 -- GREY - no timing read
01-07-2026 Thirsk | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 5 5 66/1 -- -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
17-06-2026 Ripon | 6f | Good | Class 4 6 50/1 -- -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -28lb | peak +21lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 76.5 and winning TS par is around 61. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Maximus Meridius Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 20.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 20.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form3-4-3-2-6-4
FFR69 / +0lb
Speed97
Franked8
Ground2/2 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw5
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Rock Steady Beat Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 18.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 18.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-3-2-5
FFR58 / -15lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground2/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Fern Clyde Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 15.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 15.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-6-4-3-1-3
FFR64 / -5lb
Speed102
Franked3
Ground2/2 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw4
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Bigalo Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 13.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 13.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-2-2-2-7-9
FFR68 / +1lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw1
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: Mark Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Digresser Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 13.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 13.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw6
Wgt8st 13lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Niewiadoma Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 5.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 5.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form18-17-25-9-1
FFR57 / -18lb
Speed96
Franked0
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw3
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
2:30 | Uttoxeter

2:30 | Uttoxeter | 20f

Class 4 | Good | Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 45 WATCH ONLY
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR109.52 rated runners | Top OR 110: Jentobello
Winning par4m 58.68s28 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Time In A Bottle leads the contextual model at 26.2
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Winning-time par: 4m 58.68s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 10 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Time In A BottleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 36.5
6-2-2-4-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
08-11-2025
Gowran Park-- | 2m4f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result--
SP20/1
JockeyMr D T Hyde
OR--
FFR88
SS79
06-10-2025
Tipperary (IRE)-- | 2m7½f | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result6 btn 14L
SP15/8F
JockeyMr J H Williamson
OR102
FFR92
SS90
14-08-2025
Tramore (IRE)-- | 2m4½f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP9/4
JockeyMr J H Williamson
OR102
FFR96
SS100
25-07-2025
Kilbeggan (IRE)-- | 2m3f | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result2 btn 3L
SP2/1F
JockeyMr J H Williamson
OR--
FFR96
SS104
12-05-2025
Killarney (IRE)-- | 2m6½f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result4 btn 3.5L
SP9/4
JockeyMr J H Williamson
OR--
FFR72
SS98
20-04-2025
Cork (IRE)-- | 2m3f | Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1L
SP7/1
JockeyMike OConnor
OR--
FFR108
SS86
 10st 12lb 0 OR 109 108 -1lb 4 1.15 +12.4 Long absence Same trip Elite field 77 49% 50% 1/6 86 E Near mark -1 CAUTION PROFILE
MartymillRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 33.0
1-6-2-6-6-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
09-08-2026
Downpatrick (IRE)-- | 19f | Good
Wgt12st 0lb
Result1
SP15/8
JockeyMiss A B O'Connor
OR--
FFR100
SS113
30-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 18f | Good
Wgt12st 0lb
Result6 btn 2.8L
SP14/1
JockeyMiss A B O'Connor
OR--
FFR70
SS79
01-06-2026
Listowel (IRE)-- | 20f | Yielding
Wgt11st 7lb
Result2 btn 2.8L
SP18/1
JockeyMiss A B O'Connor
OR--
FFR84
SS--
14-05-2026
Clonmel (IRE)-- | 16.5f | Good To Yielding
Wgt12st 0lb
Result6 btn 3.5L
SP11/4
JockeyMiss A B O'Connor
OR--
FFR104
SS--
14-01-2026
Fairyhouse-- | 2m | Yielding
Wgt--
Result6 btn 3L
SP18/1
JockeyMiss A B OConnor
OR--
FFR62
SS--
30-11-2025
Fairyhouse-- | 2m | Yielding To Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 4.2L
SP150/1
JockeyEoghan Finegan
OR--
FFR87
SS--
 11st 5lb 0 OR -- 87 -- 10 1.15 +13.9 Freshened up Up in trip Elite field 80 50% 60% 1/6 79 D Developing CAUTION PROFILE
JentobelloRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 30.8
4-3-2-2-3-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
15-08-2026
Market RasenClass 4 | 20.5f | Good
Wgt11st 4lb
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP7/2
JockeyRichie McLernon
OR113
FFR97
SS106
21-10-2025
PerthClass 4 | 2m4f | Soft
Wgt--
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP4/1
JockeyBrian Hughes
OR108
FFR87
SS103
17-09-2025
KelsoClass 4 | 2m5f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.2L
SP9/4
JockeyBrian Hughes
OR106
FFR100
SS86
27-08-2025
HexhamClass 4 | 2m4f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 2L
SP6/4
JockeyBrian Hughes
OR--
FFR97
SS105
25-07-2025
UttoxeterClass 4 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 4.2L
SP4/5F
JockeyBrian Hughes
OR--
FFR74
SS100
20-06-2025
Market RasenClass 5 | 2m½f | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP4/9F
JockeyBrian Hughes
OR--
FFR100
SS60
 11st 5lb 0 OR 110 100 -10lb 2 1.15 +14.9 Freshened up Down in trip Elite field 80 45% 45% 1/6 60 E Stiff -10 CAUTION PROFILE
Sir Vinnie KentRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 10.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
11st 2lb 0 OR -- -- -- 0 1.15 -3.8 Rest developing Trip move developing Elite field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
On The FlyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.2
6-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
25-08-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 16.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 8lb
Result6 btn 6.5L
SP40/1
JockeyRian Corcoran
OR--
FFR60
SS--
15-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 16f | Good
Wgt10st 12lb
Result9 btn 6.5L
SP66/1
JockeyCaoilin Quinn
OR--
FFR67
SS--
 11st 2lb 0 OR -- 67 -- 0 1.15 -4.6 Standard rest Big step up Elite field -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Trigger The LightRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 6.5
3-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
09-06-2026
SouthwellClass 4 | 20.5f | Good
Wgt10st 11lb
Result3 btn 8L
SP28/1
JockeyMiss Lily Bradstock
OR--
FFR103
SS127
31-10-2025
UttoxeterClass 4 | 2m4f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result--
SP33/1
JockeyJack Tudor
OR--
FFR111
SS--
01-10-2025
WarwickClass 5 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 6L
SP16/5
JockeyMiss Lily Bradstock
OR--
FFR99
SS--
 11st 5lb 0 OR -- 99 -- 2 1.15 -7.3 Layoff check Down in trip Elite field 80 48% 51% 0/6 127 E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
IfyouhaveaplanRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 5.8
8-6-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
15-08-2026
Market RasenClass 4 | 20.5f | Good
Wgt11st 4lb
Result8 btn 0.3L
SP125/1
JockeyJ M Quinlan
OR--
FFR93
SS--
15-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 2lb
Result6 btn 12L
SP28/1
JockeyJack Quinlan
OR--
FFR72
SS--
05-07-2026
Market RasenClass 5 | 16.5f | Good
Wgt11st 4lb
Result5 btn 1L
SP33/1
JockeyJack Quinlan
OR--
FFR78
SS--
 11st 5lb 0 OR -- 78 -- 2 1.15 -8.1 Freshened up Down in trip Elite field 80 48% 48% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Whinny HoustonRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.8
5-13-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-09-2026
Bangor-on-DeeClass 4 | 19.5f | Good
Wgt10st 7lb
Result5 btn 23L
SP300/1
JockeySean Houlihan
OR--
FFR102
SS57
19-08-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 7lb
Result13 btn 2.2L
SP300/1
JockeySean Houlihan
OR--
FFR54
SS--
25-06-2025
WorcesterClass 5 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result11 btn 99L
SP300/1
JockeyOscar Palmer
OR--
FFR69
SS--
12-06-2025
WorcesterClass 5 | 2m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result--
SP250/1
JockeyOscar Palmer
OR--
FFR74
SS--
 10st 12lb 0 OR -- 74 -- 0 1.15 -10.1 Standard rest Down in trip Elite field 82 48% 56% 1/6 57 E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Back It UpRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 2.2
4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
10-11-2025
KemptonClass 4 | 2m5f | Good
Wgt--
Result4 btn 6L
SP9/1
JockeyAlex Chadwick
OR--
FFR86
SS95
 11st 5lb 0 OR -- 86 -- 2 1.15 -11.6 Long absence Down in trip Elite field 80 48% 51% 0/6 95 E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
NightflyerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 0.5
2-5-19-4-5-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
27-08-2026
Newton AbbotClass 4 | 18.5f | Good
Wgt11st 0lb
Result2 btn 2.2L
SP3/1
JockeyJonjo O'Neill Jr.
OR--
FFR103
SS113
11-06-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 16f | Good
Wgt10st 13lb
Result5 btn 7L
SP18/1
JockeyJonjo O'Neill Jr
OR--
FFR82
SS99
11-04-2026
AintreeClass 1 | 2m1f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result19 btn 15L
SP100/1
JockeyJonjo ONeill Jr
OR--
FFR91
SS101
26-03-2026
WarwickClass 5 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result4 btn 2.2L
SP22/1
JockeyJonjo ONeill Jr
OR--
FFR69
SS58
05-03-2026
HaydockClass 4 | 1m7½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP10/1
JockeyBenjamin Macey
OR--
FFR87
SS--
21-01-2026
CatterickClass 5 | 1m7½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result1
SP16/5
JockeyBrian Hughes
OR--
FFR109
SS--
 11st 2lb 0 OR -- 109 -- 2 1.15 +3.9 Standard rest Up in trip Elite field 80 50% 55% 1/6 58 D Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Time In A Bottle

Time In A Bottle profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Martymill

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Time In A Bottle Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 36.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 36.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-2-2-4-4
FFR108 / -1lb
Speed86
Franked4
Ground1/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw0
Wgt10st 12lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.15
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
-- Gowran Park Steady run 08-11-2025
6 Tipperary (IRE) Run faded 06-10-2025
2 Tramore (IRE) Strong run 14-08-2025
2 Kilbeggan (IRE) Run faded 25-07-2025
4 Killarney (IRE) Run faded 12-05-2025
4 Cork (IRE) Finished well 20-04-2025
Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating4
0winners since
3placers since
4evidence pts
05-12-2025 | Killarney (IRE) Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Getaways Charm (IRE), Kilfera (GB)

Later placers

Affinity Rock (IRE) (05-09-2026)

10-06-2025 | Tipperary (IRE) Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Lucky Viv (IRE)

Later placers

Flidais (IRE) (09-12-2025), Mickey Cohen (IRE) (07-11-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR108
Speed86
ConditionsCaution
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-1lb near mark
FFR 108 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
86 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score26.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI ELOW
Mark readNear markLatest FFR read -1lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 49% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 58%
Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground
Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating108
Best ground bandGood
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 6 0W / 2P Peak rating 108
Good 4 0W / 3P Peak rating 108
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 50% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 24%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 49%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questions
Mark read Latest FFR read -1lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest FFR read -1lb versus today's OR

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 109 | Latest FFR 108 | Best FFR 108 | Public mark read -1
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Jumps intelligence Strong jumps profile

Clean completion, suitable code and stamina evidence support the runner.

Hurdle profile 77 +0.8 model nudge
Code evidence2 runsHurdle
Completion100%
Jumping rhythm0% error clues
StaminaStamina cautionTrip and finish comments
GroundGround not a jumps concernTesting-ground evidence
Trainer Dan Skelton
Jockey Harry Skelton
Age 6
Draw 0
OR 109
Avg OR 109.5
OR vs Field -0.5
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 4226F-
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Variable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Cooling

confidence nudge -1.5
Variance Variable 9.4% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 4.2 vs par
Curve Cooling Trend -1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance2m3f
Runs at profile2
DEIE
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
20-04-2025 Cork (IRE) Soft 4 4:58.30 298.3
25-07-2025 Kilbeggan (IRE) Good To Yielding 2 4:39.57 279.6
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.5 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 311 days Freshness caution
Micro score -0.5 freshness caution after 311 days off; headgear declared: ht
Ground timing match 1/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearhtDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP20/1
OwnerDan Skelton
Pedigree

Castle Du Berlais × Adriana Des Mottes (Network)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 7.2L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
08-11-2025 Gowran Park -- -- Neutral finish
06-10-2025 Tipperary (IRE) 6 14 Run faded
14-08-2025 Tramore (IRE) 2 0.3 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 2 runs with an official OR. 2 earlier runs were unrated.
12-05-2025 | Killarney (IRE)
Rating 96 OR Unrated
25-07-2025 | Kilbeggan (IRE)
Rating 108 OR Unrated
14-08-2025 | Tramore (IRE)
Rating 108 OR 102
06-10-2025 | Tipperary (IRE)
Rating 81 OR 102
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par4m 58.68s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times4:58.30 | 4:39.57
Recent positions4 | 2
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
08-11-2025 Gowran Park | 2m4f | Heavy | -- -- 20/1 -- -- -- -- - GREY - no timing read
06-10-2025 Tipperary (IRE) | 2m7½f | Good To Yielding | -- 6 15/8F 102 81 33 14 6:15.00 GREY - below benchmark
14-08-2025 Tramore (IRE) | 2m4½f | Good | -- 2 9/4 102 108 36 0.3 5:2.96 AMBER - competitive
25-07-2025 Kilbeggan (IRE) | 2m3f | Good To Yielding | -- 2 2/1F -- 108 83 3 4:39.50 GOLD - faster than par
12-05-2025 Killarney (IRE) | 2m6½f | Yielding | -- 4 9/4 -- 96 82 3.5 5:36.10 GREY - below benchmark
20-04-2025 Cork (IRE) | 2m3f | Soft | -- 4 7/1 -- -- 29 1 4:57.90 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Near mark

Latest FFR read -1lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 115.1 and winning TS par is around 77.4. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Martymill Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 33.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Best of a weak race 33.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form1-6-2-6-6-4
FFR87 / --
Speed79
Franked10
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw0
Wgt11st 5lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.15
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Downpatrick (IRE) Strong run 09-08-2026
6 Galway (IRE) Competitive 30-07-2026
2 Listowel (IRE) Run faded 01-06-2026
6 Clonmel (IRE) Steady run 14-05-2026
6 Fairyhouse Run faded 14-01-2026
4 Fairyhouse Troubled run 30-11-2025
Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating10
1winners since
0placers since
5evidence pts
08-09-2026 | Downpatrick (IRE) Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Culldoo (FR), Greenmeansgo (IRE), Loves A Laugh (IRE)

06-01-2026 | Listowel (IRE) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Caman Hill (IRE), Cloonbonniffe (IRE), Echoes Of Jane (IRE)

Race produced winner

Caman Hill (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR87
Speed79
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs ORperformance rating
FFR 87 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
79 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score27.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DVERY_LOW
Mark readEvidence developing--
Today's conditions match 50% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 52%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 50%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 4 0W / 1P Peak rating 107
Good 2 1W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 60% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 57%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 50%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Mark read Mark edge unavailable Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Evidence developing --

There is not enough official-mark evidence to make a firm handicap judgement.

Today's OR Unrated | Latest FFR 87 | Best FFR 104 | Public mark read --
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Jumps intelligence Strong jumps profile

Clean completion, suitable code and stamina evidence support the runner.

Hurdle profile 80 +1.5 model nudge
Code evidence1 runsHurdle
Completion100%
Jumping rhythm0% error clues
StaminaStamina mixedTrip and finish comments
GroundGround not a jumps concernTesting-ground evidence
Trainer Anthony McCann
Jockey James Smith(5)
Age 5
Draw 0
OR Unrated
Avg OR 109.5
OR vs Field --
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 6-6261
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Regressing

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Big ceiling edge 12.7 vs par
Curve Regressing Trend -2
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance2m3f
Runs at profile1
DEID
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
09-08-2026 Downpatrick (IRE) Good 1 4:34.50 274.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 37 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p
Ground timing match 1/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP15/8
OwnerHasson Syndicate
Pedigree

Getaway × Emcon (Vinnie Roe)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.9L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
09-08-2026 Downpatrick (IRE) 1 0 Neutral finish
30-07-2026 Galway (IRE) 6 2.8 Neutral finish
01-06-2026 Listowel (IRE) 2 2.8 Run faded
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 2 earlier runs were unrated.
30-11-2025 | Fairyhouse
Rating 107 OR Unrated
14-01-2026 | Fairyhouse
Rating 83 OR Unrated
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par4m 58.68s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times4:34.50
Recent positions1
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
09-08-2026 Downpatrick (IRE) | 19f | Good | -- 1 15/8 -- -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
30-07-2026 Galway (IRE) | 18f | Good | -- 6 14/1 -- -- -- 2.8 -- GREY - no timing read
01-06-2026 Listowel (IRE) | 20f | Yielding | -- 2 18/1 -- -- -- 2.8 -- GREY - no timing read
14-05-2026 Clonmel (IRE) | 16.5f | Good To Yielding | -- 6 11/4 -- -- -- 3.5 -- GREY - no timing read
14-01-2026 Fairyhouse | 2m | Yielding | -- 6 18/1 -- 83 -- 3 4:21.05 GOLD - faster than par
30-11-2025 Fairyhouse | 2m | Yielding To Soft | -- 4 150/1 -- 107 54 4.2 4:03.14 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Evidence developing

--.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 115.1 and winning TS par is around 77.4. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Jentobello Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 30.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 30.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-3-2-2-3-1
FFR100 / -10lb
Speed60
Franked2
Ground1/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 5lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.15
Sir Vinnie Kent Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 10.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 10.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw0
Wgt11st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
On The Fly Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 9.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 9.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-9
FFR67 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassUp in class
Draw0
Wgt11st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Trigger The Light Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 6.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 6.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-3
FFR99 / --
Speed127
Franked2
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Ifyouhaveaplan Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 5.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 5.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8-6-5
FFR78 / --
Speed--
Franked2
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 5lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Whinny Houston Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 3.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-13-11
FFR74 / --
Speed57
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt10st 12lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.15
Back It Up Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 2.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 2.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4
FFR86 / --
Speed95
Franked2
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Nightflyer Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 0.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 0.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form2-5-19-4-5-1
FFR109 / --
Speed58
Franked2
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.15
2:40 | Punchestown

2:40 | Punchestown | 8f

| Good | Punchestown Jumps Opener October 13th Handicap

Race Confidence 57 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR74.116 rated runners | Top OR 83: Sonoran
Winning par1m 53.87s6509 race distance-only sample | approximate
SetupGOOD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Molto Amichi leads the contextual model at 32.8
  • Decision type: Shortlist profile - Worth a deeper look
  • Winning-time par: 1m 53.87s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 16 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Molto AmichiRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleShortlist profile 58.0
7-9-1-2-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
22-08-2026
Killarney (IRE)-- | 16.5f | Good
Wgt11st 7lb
Result7 btn 2L
SP5/1
JockeyMichael Kenneally
OR--
FFR108
SS99
30-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 8.5f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt9st 7lb
Result9 btn 1.2L
SP4/1F
JockeyLuke McAteer
OR83
FFR74
SS102
13-07-2026
Killarney-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result1
SP10/11F
JockeyLuke McAteer
OR75
FFR73
SS95
04-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Soft
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 2.2L
SP5/1J
JockeyLuke McAteer
OR73
FFR80
SS89
12-04-2026
Leopardstown-- | 1m | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result9 btn 0.8L
SP11/1
JockeySeamie Heffernan
OR75
FFR52
SS97
06-10-2025
Tipperary (IRE)-- | 2m½f | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result--
SP15/2
JockeyRicky Doyle
OR--
FFR79
SS98
 10st 0lb 6 OR 80 79 -1lb 36 1.05 +12.5 Standard rest Big drop back Solid field -- 55% 64% 1/6 98 C Near mark +2 PRICE DEPENDENT
ZaraahmandoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 39.8
4-2-3-3-2-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP9/2F
JockeyAndrew Slattery
OR74
FFR58
SS102
30-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 8.5f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt8st 12lb
Result2 btn 1.8L
SP5/1
JockeyAndrew Slattery
OR74
FFR77
SS95
25-07-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP6/1
JockeyAndrew Slattery
OR74
FFR72
SS97
09-07-2026
Leopardstown-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result3 btn 1.5L
SP5/1
JockeyAndrew Slattery
OR73
FFR75
SS97
18-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP11/2
JockeyJimmy Dalton
OR69
FFR73
SS96
24-05-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP22/1
JockeyAdam Browne-Souza
OR72
FFR71
SS98
 9st 6lb 10 OR 72 71 -1lb 42 1.05 +1.5 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 57% 69% 1/6 98 B Near mark +2 WATCH ONLY
Flash Of FireRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 34.2
7-2-4-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
13-06-2026
SandownClass 4 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result7 btn 0.8L
SP4/1
JockeyOisin Murphy
OR79
FFR98
SS116
06-10-2025
YarmouthClass 4 | 1m | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP11/5
JockeyOisin Murphy
OR80
FFR78
SS94
15-09-2025
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP9/4
JockeyOisin Murphy
OR--
FFR85
SS99
23-07-2025
DoncasterClass 4 | 7f | Soft
Wgt--
Result1
SP8/11F
JockeyOisin Murphy
OR--
FFR70
SS--
 9st 8lb 4 OR 79 70 -9lb 23 1.05 +5.3 Layoff check Same trip Solid field -- 45% 47% 1/6 99 E Stiff -6 WATCH ONLY
Motta AltaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 33.0
3-1-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
27-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 10lb
Result3 btn 0.1L
SP13/2
JockeyShane Foley
OR76
FFR49
SS--
19-06-2026
Limerick (IRE)-- | 7f | Soft
Wgt9st 3lb
Result1
SP11/1
JockeyNathan Crosse
OR--
FFR82
SS--
09-05-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP50/1
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR--
FFR67
SS--
 9st 6lb 5 OR 77 67 -10lb 0 1.05 +19.8 Freshened up Up in trip Solid field -- 45% 52% 1/6 -- E Stiff -7 CAUTION PROFILE
SagastiRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 25.0
1-12-2-16-3-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
18-08-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 7.5f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 0lb
Result1
SP28/1
JockeyColin Keane
OR72
FFR71
SS84
27-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 6lb
Result12 btn 2.5L
SP11/1
JockeyColin Keane
OR72
FFR75
SS91
12-07-2026
Dundalk (AW)-- | 7f | Standard
Wgt10st 0lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP9/1
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR70
FFR44
SS102
01-07-2026
Fairyhouse (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result16 btn 0.1L
SP16/1
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR70
FFR78
SS81
12-06-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 13lb
Result3 btn 0.2L
SP14/1
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR69
FFR35
SS--
13-03-2026
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP100/30
JockeyJamie Powell
OR72
FFR79
SS--
 9st 6lb 9 OR 77 79 +2lb 23 1.05 +15 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 49% 57% 0/6 81 E Near mark +2 CAUTION PROFILE
SonoranRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 22.0
1-5-9-9-6-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 13lb
Result1
SP9/1
JockeyColin Keane
OR79
FFR76
SS104
16-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt10st 0lb
Result5 btn 0.1L
SP20/1
JockeyGary Carroll
OR80
FFR47
SS91
11-07-2026
Navan-- | 10f | Good
Wgt10st 2lb
Result9 btn 2.5L
SP11/2
JockeyGary Carroll
OR82
FFR52
SS90
30-06-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Good
Wgt10st 0lb
Result9 btn 4.2L
SP8/1
JockeyJack Kearney
OR83
FFR49
SS99
04-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Soft
Wgt10st 3lb
Result6 btn 4.2L
SP8/1
JockeyColin Keane
OR83
FFR71
SS92
10-05-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP16/1
JockeyGary Carroll
OR81
FFR82
SS98
 10st 3lb 15 OR 83 82 -1lb 78 1.05 +3.5 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 60% 67% 1/6 98 A Near mark -1 CAUTION PROFILE
Spodo KomodoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 19.2
10-10-2-10-1-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
18-08-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 7.5f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 12lb
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP14/1
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR78
FFR80
SS98
03-08-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP7/1
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR78
FFR91
SS92
22-07-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP16/1
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR78
FFR53
SS95
26-06-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result10 btn 0.5L
SP20/1
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR79
FFR78
SS109
28-09-2025
Curragh (IRE)-- | 6f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt--
Result1
SP15/2
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR68
FFR43
SS--
21-08-2025
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 1m | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.1L
SP8/1
JockeySeamie Heffernan
OR--
FFR50
SS--
 9st 9lb 11 OR 75 50 -25lb 41 1.05 -1 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 45% 46% 1/6 109 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
HeliogabalusRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 16.5
11-6-1-13-13-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
28-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 9lb
Result11 btn 2.2L
SP18/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR75
FFR82
SS83
09-07-2026
Leopardstown-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 1.2L
SP3/1F
JockeyColin Keane
OR74
FFR70
SS92
18-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result1
SP14/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR68
FFR58
SS94
22-09-2025
Listowel (IRE)-- | 1m | Heavy
Wgt--
Result13 btn 2.5L
SP20/1
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR69
FFR83
SS94
16-08-2025
Curragh (IRE)-- | 1m | Good
Wgt--
Result13 btn 0.1L
SP11/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR71
FFR65
SS92
29-07-2025
Galway (IRE)-- | 1m½f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result1
SP12/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR68
FFR48
SS82
 9st 6lb 12 OR 72 48 -24lb 16 1.05 -3.7 Freshened up Up in trip Solid field -- 50% 55% 0/6 82 C Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Frank PickleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 15.8
7-8-1-5-4-13
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 13lb
Result7 btn 0.1L
SP10/1
JockeyWayne Lordan
OR79
FFR58
SS100
25-07-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 13lb
Result8 btn 0.1L
SP15/2
JockeyBen Coen
OR79
FFR72
SS97
09-07-2026
Leopardstown-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result1
SP8/1
JockeyBen Coen
OR72
FFR43
SS90
03-05-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Soft
Wgt10st 7lb
Result5 btn 14L
SP8/1
JockeyGary Carroll
OR74
FFR81
SS100
28-03-2026
Curragh-- | 1m | Soft To Heavy
Wgt--
Result4 btn 2.8L
SP12/1
JockeyWayne Lordan
OR75
FFR61
SS84
19-10-2025
Leopardstown-- | 1m2f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result13 btn 2.5L
SP9/1
JockeyBen Coen
OR77
FFR67
SS94
 9st 10lb 16 OR 76 67 -9lb 24 1.05 -4.5 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 50% 55% 0/6 94 C Stiff -6 CAUTION PROFILE
Follow MeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.2
3-3-8-9-4-15
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
15-08-2026
Dundalk (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Standard
Wgt8st 12lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP20/1
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR79
FFR68
SS102
30-06-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Good
Wgt9st 13lb
Result3 btn 2.5L
SP7/1
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR79
FFR78
SS80
18-05-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Yielding
Wgt10st 3lb
Result8 btn 1L
SP16/1
JockeyScott McCullagh
OR83
FFR75
SS95
25-04-2026
Limerick-- | 1m | Yielding
Wgt--
Result9 btn 0.5L
SP40/1
JockeyScott McCullagh
OR84
FFR63
SS97
02-11-2025
Curragh-- | 7f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1.8L
SP8/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR87
FFR74
SS103
27-06-2025
Curragh (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt--
Result15 btn 2L
SP8/1
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR93
FFR74
SS97
 9st 11lb 7 OR 77 74 -3lb 34 1.05 -8 Freshened up Big drop back Solid field -- 49% 52% 0/6 97 E Near mark +0 WATCH ONLY
HassaniyaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
14-3-3-5-4-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 8.5f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt9st 13lb
Result14 btn 4.8L
SP25/1
JockeySean Davis
OR69
FFR65
SS87
11-07-2026
Limerick-- | 12.5f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP7/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR69
FFR69
SS83
20-06-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Soft
Wgt10st 0lb
Result3 btn 2.8L
SP11/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR70
FFR51
SS--
20-05-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result5 btn 3.8L
SP3/1
JockeyColin Keane
OR--
FFR63
SS--
15-03-2026
Curragh-- | 1m | Heavy
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1L
SP15/2
JockeyColin Keane
OR--
FFR70
SS--
18-09-2025
Naas (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt--
Result8 btn 1.5L
SP16/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR--
FFR44
SS--
 8st 11lb 2 OR 68 44 -24lb 0 1.05 -8.2 Freshened up Down in trip Solid field -- 45% 41% 0/6 83 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
No More PorterRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 10.8
4-11-3-8-2-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
10-09-2026
Laytown (IRE)-- | 6f | Standard
Wgt12st 3lb
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP3/1F
JockeyMr P W Mullins
OR72
FFR77
SS92
02-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result11 btn 0.5L
SP17/2
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR74
FFR77
SS101
09-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 13lb
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP11/2
JockeyColin Keane
OR74
FFR53
SS97
30-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 8.5f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt8st 10lb
Result8 btn 0.2L
SP6/1
JockeyNathan Crosse
OR72
FFR72
SS104
25-07-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP9/1
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR72
FFR56
SS92
14-07-2026
Killarney (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 13lb
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP17/2
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR69
FFR77
SS101
 9st 6lb 3 OR 72 77 +5lb 35 1.05 -0.7 Quick return Big step up Solid field -- 56% 64% 1/6 101 D Workable +5 WATCH ONLY
Pillar Of HopeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.2
4-6-4-18-8-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-08-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 12f | Yielding
Wgt9st 1lb
Result4 btn 1.8L
SP12/1
JockeyPatrick McGettigan
OR72
FFR63
SS93
20-07-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 13f | Good To Yielding
Wgt8st 11lb
Result6 btn 2L
SP14/1
JockeyPatrick McGettigan
OR75
FFR54
SS97
04-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Soft
Wgt9st 6lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP14/1
JockeyPatrick McGettigan
OR77
FFR37
SS100
23-05-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt8st 3lb
Result18 btn 1L
SP33/1
JockeyRory Mulligan
OR80
FFR62
SS118
08-05-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 13f | Good To Yielding
Wgt10st 2lb
Result8 btn 2.5L
SP16/1
JockeyLuke McAteer
OR82
FFR59
SS102
28-03-2026
Curragh-- | 1m | Soft To Heavy
Wgt--
Result8 btn 2L
SP16/1
JockeyPatrick McGettigan
OR83
FFR70
SS87
 9st 5lb 1 OR 71 70 -1lb 30 1.05 -8.5 Freshened up Big drop back Solid field -- 55% 59% 1/6 87 C Near mark -1 CAUTION PROFILE
Prince AndorraRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 4.0
6-5-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
18-05-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 7.5f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 2L
SP12/1
JockeyJames Ryan
OR--
FFR74
SS96
11-04-2026
Bellewstown-- | 1m | Soft
Wgt--
Result5 btn 2L
SP25/1
JockeyDonagh OConnor
OR--
FFR64
SS90
06-03-2026
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 1.5L
SP125/1
JockeyDonagh OConnor
OR--
FFR53
SS--
 8st 7lb 13 OR 61 53 -8lb 0 1.05 -16.2 Layoff check Down in trip Solid field -- 45% 44% 0/6 90 E Stiff -5 CAUTION PROFILE
AmenitaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.2
9-1-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 8.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 2lb
Result9 btn 5.5L
SP8/1
JockeyReese Holohan
OR85
FFR65
SS92
01-06-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt9st 3lb
Result1
SP9/4F
JockeyChris Hayes
OR--
FFR81
SS--
10-09-2025
Cork (IRE)-- | 7f | Soft
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP12/1
JockeyChris Hayes
OR--
FFR37
SS--
 9st 8lb 14 OR 79 37 -42lb 50 1.05 +5.8 Freshened up Down in trip Solid field -- 48% 51% 0/6 92 D Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Duke Of LeggaghRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 1.8
16-16-9-7-5-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
18-08-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 12f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 6lb
Result16 btn 14L
SP50/1
JockeyHannah Rafferty
OR72
FFR84
SS92
29-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 16.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 6lb
Result16 btn 10L
SP66/1
JockeyWesley Joyce
OR75
FFR78
SS95
20-07-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 13f | Good To Yielding
Wgt8st 8lb
Result9 btn 4.5L
SP40/1
JockeyHannah Rafferty
OR77
FFR72
SS104
20-10-2025
Gowran Park-- | 1m4f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.1L
SP9/1
JockeyWesley Joyce
OR77
FFR35
SS99
13-10-2025
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 1m4f | Soft
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP9/2
JockeyWesley Joyce
OR77
FFR34
SS95
01-10-2025
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 1m4½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result1
SP9/2
JockeyTerry Casey
OR69
FFR32
SS95
 9st 1lb 8 OR 67 32 -35lb 51 1.05 -13 Standard rest Big drop back Solid field -- 48% 44% 1/6 95 D Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Molto Amichi

Molto Amichi profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Zaraahmando

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Molto Amichi Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 58.0
PRICE DEPENDENT
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Shortlist profile 58.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form7-9-1-2-9
FFR79 / -1lb
Speed98
Franked36
Ground2/3 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw6
Wgt10st 0lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
7 Killarney (IRE) Finished well 22-08-2026
9 Galway (IRE) Competitive 30-07-2026
1 Killarney Strong run 13-07-2026
2 Leopardstown (IRE) Solid effort 04-06-2026
9 Leopardstown Competitive 12-04-2026
-- Tipperary (IRE) Steady run 06-10-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating36
3winners since
5placers since
10evidence pts
06-04-2026 | Leopardstown (IRE) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Booyea (IRE), Cooley's Mist (IRE), Coul Dreamer (IRE)

Race produced winner

Diamond Exchange (IRE), Lough Leane (IRE)

Later placers

No More Porter (IRE) (08-09-2026)

05-09-2025 | Ballinrobe (IRE) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Church Mountain (IRE), Eighty Eight (IRE), Mooretown Lad (IRE)

Later placers

Church Mountain (IRE) (12-12-2025), Eighty Eight (IRE) (01-10-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement1/6
FFR79
Speed98
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR-1lb near mark
FFR 79 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
98 Par 100
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeShortlist profileThere is useful evidence, but the horse still needs normal price, risk and race checks.
Model score32.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CLOW
Mark readNear markLatest -1lb | peak +28lb treated as ceiling | public read +2lb
Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 58%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 7 0W / 2P Peak rating 111
Good 9 1W / 6P Peak rating 84
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 79
Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 68%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 58%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest -1lb | peak +28lb treated as ceiling | public read +2lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest -1lb | peak +28lb treated as ceiling | public read +2lb

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 80 | Latest FFR 79 | Best FFR 108 | Public mark read +2
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Eoin Griffin
Jockey Luke McAteer
Age 5
Draw 6
OR 80
Avg OR 74.1
OR vs Field +5.9
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 3-9219
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Very steady 4.3% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 2 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile3
DEIC
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
20-12-2024 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Standard 4 1:39.49 99.5
12-04-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) Good To Yielding 9 1:46.28 106.3
13-07-2026 Killarney (IRE) Good 1 1:43.46 103.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 24 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP5/1
OwnerMuchos Amigos Syndicate
Pedigree

Caravaggio × Moruadh (Fastnet Rock)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this tripBeaten favouriteMarket expected more last time
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
22-08-2026 Killarney (IRE) 7 2 Fast finish
30-07-2026 Galway (IRE) 9 1.2 Neutral finish
13-07-2026 Killarney 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 1 runs with an official OR. 1 earlier run was unrated.
06-10-2025 | Tipperary (IRE)
Rating 111 OR Unrated
12-04-2026 | Leopardstown
Rating 61 OR 75
04-06-2026 | Leopardstown (IRE)
Rating -- OR 73
13-07-2026 | Killarney
Rating -- OR 75
30-07-2026 | Galway (IRE)
Rating -- OR 83
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs3
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 53.87s
Last win at trip-- | Killarney | 13-07-2026
Recent times1:39.49 | 1:46.28 | 1:43.46
Recent positions4 | 9 | 1
Winning contextOR 75 | weight 9-3
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
22-08-2026 Killarney (IRE) | 16.5f | Good | -- 7 5/1 -- -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
30-07-2026 Galway (IRE) | 8.5f | Yielding To Soft | -- 9 4/1F 83 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
13-07-2026 Killarney | 8f | Good | -- 1 10/11F 75 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
04-06-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) | 9f | Soft | -- 2 5/1J 73 -- -- 2.2 -- GREY - no timing read
12-04-2026 Leopardstown | 1m | Good To Yielding | -- 9 11/1 75 61 50 0.8 1:46.15 GOLD - faster than par
06-10-2025 Tipperary (IRE) | 2m½f | Good To Yielding | -- -- 15/2 -- 111 -- -- - GREY - no timing read
Handicap Near mark

Latest -1lb | peak +28lb treated as ceiling | public read +2lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 96.2 and winning TS par is around 58.4. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Zaraahmando Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 39.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 39.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form4-2-3-3-2-6
FFR71 / -1lb
Speed98
Franked42
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw10
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Flash Of Fire Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 34.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 34.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-2-4-1
FFR70 / -9lb
Speed99
Franked23
Ground2/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw4
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Motta Alta Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 33.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 33.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-1-6
FFR67 / -10lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw5
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Sagasti Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 25.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 25.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form1-12-2-16-3-6
FFR79 / +2lb
Speed81
Franked23
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw9
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Sonoran Distance specialist
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 22.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 22.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form1-5-9-9-6-3
FFR82 / -1lb
Speed98
Franked78
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw15
Wgt10st 3lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Spodo Komodo Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 19.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 19.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10-10-2-10-1-3
FFR50 / -25lb
Speed109
Franked41
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw11
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.05
Heliogabalus Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 16.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 16.5 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (C)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form11-6-1-13-13-1
FFR48 / -24lb
Speed82
Franked16
Ground2/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw12
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Frank Pickle Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 15.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 15.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form7-8-1-5-4-13
FFR67 / -9lb
Speed94
Franked24
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw16
Wgt9st 10lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Follow Me Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 12.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-3-8-9-4-15
FFR74 / -3lb
Speed97
Franked34
Ground2/3 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw7
Wgt9st 11lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Hassaniya Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form14-3-3-5-4-8
FFR44 / -24lb
Speed83
Franked0
Ground1/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw2
Wgt8st 11lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
No More Porter Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 10.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 10.8 confidence
Why consider31 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form4-11-3-8-2-3
FFR77 / +5lb
Speed101
Franked35
Ground3/3 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassClass move developing
Draw3
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Pillar Of Hope Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 9.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 9.2 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (C)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form4-6-4-18-8-8
FFR70 / -1lb
Speed87
Franked30
Ground0/3 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw1
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Prince Andorra Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 4.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 4.0 confidence
Why considerNo standout positive placement signal yet
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-5-7
FFR53 / -8lb
Speed90
Franked0
Ground0/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw13
Wgt8st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Amenita Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 3.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form9-1-6
FFR37 / -42lb
Speed92
Franked50
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw14
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Duke Of Leggagh Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 1.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 1.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form16-16-9-7-5-1
FFR32 / -35lb
Speed95
Franked51
Ground0/2 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw8
Wgt9st 1lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.05
2:47 | Yarmouth

2:47 | Yarmouth | 7f

Class 3 | Good To Soft | British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 40 WATCH ONLY
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR--0 rated runners | No official ratings yet
Winning par1m 25.22s1 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD TO SOFT (GoingStick: 4.8) Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Watch Party leads the contextual model at 19.2
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +6.2 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 1m 25.22s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 11 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Watch PartyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 24.0
3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
08-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 2 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result3 btn 4.5L
SP13/8F
JockeyRobbie Downey
OR--
FFR90
SS--
 9st 2lb 4 OR -- 90 -- 18 1.07 +7.2 Freshened up Same trip Field strength developing -- 48% 54% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
AmbienceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
16-05-2026
NewmarketClass 2 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result6 btn 4.2L
SP11/4
JockeyRowan Scott
OR--
FFR69
SS--
 9st 2lb 1 OR -- 69 -- 0 1.07 -0 Long absence Up in trip Field strength developing -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
WintourRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-06-2026
NewburyClass 4 | 6.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result9 btn 2L
SP20/1
JockeyHarry Davies
OR--
FFR51
SS--
 9st 2lb 3 OR -- 51 -- 30 1.07 -0 Layoff check Down in trip Field strength developing -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
BuybackRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 10.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 11 OR -- -- -- 0 1.07 -2 Rest developing Trip move developing Field strength developing -- 47% 52% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Sea La RomaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 10.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 8 OR -- -- -- 0 1.07 -2 Rest developing Trip move developing Field strength developing -- 47% 52% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Blue CornRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.0
7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-07-2026
NewburyClass 4 | 6.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result7 btn 1.5L
SP6/1
JockeyJason Watson
OR--
FFR46
SS--
 9st 2lb 10 OR -- 46 -- 0 1.07 -3 Freshened up Down in trip Field strength developing -- 44% 49% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
AppassionataRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.2
7-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 3 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result7 btn 1L
SP125/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR--
FFR54
SS--
20-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 3 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result7 btn 16L
SP25/1
JockeyRhys Clutterbuck
OR--
FFR53
SS--
 9st 2lb 9 OR -- 53 -- 2 1.07 -3.8 Standard rest Same trip Field strength developing -- 44% 52% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Chasing DaylightRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 6 OR -- -- -- 0 1.07 +1 Rest developing Trip move developing Field strength developing -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
IzabelRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 5 OR -- -- -- 0 1.07 +1 Rest developing Trip move developing Field strength developing -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Speaking TreeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 1.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 7 OR -- -- -- 0 1.07 +1 Rest developing Trip move developing Field strength developing -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
You're SensationalRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 1.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 2 OR -- -- -- 0 1.07 +1 Rest developing Trip move developing Field strength developing -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Main Context Fit Watch Party

Watch Party profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Ambience

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Watch Party Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 24.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 24.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3
FFR90 / --
Speed--
Franked18
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw4
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Trip move Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Ambience Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6
FFR69 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw1
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Wintour Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9
FFR51 / --
Speed--
Franked30
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw3
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Trip move Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Buyback Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 10.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Watch only 10.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw11
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Sea La Roma Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 10.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Watch only 10.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw8
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Blue Corn Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 9.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 9.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7
FFR46 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw10
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Appassionata Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-7
FFR53 / --
Speed--
Franked2
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw9
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Chasing Daylight Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 8.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw6
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Izabel Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 8.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw5
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Speaking Tree Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 1.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 1.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw7
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
You're Sensational Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 1.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 1.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw2
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
2:53 | Redcar

2:53 | Redcar | 8f

Class 5 | Good | Marske Fabrication And Engineering Straight Mile Handicap Stakes (Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Series Qual.)

Race Confidence 67 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR66.213 rated runners | Top OR 70: Ephron
Winning par1m 38.77s5 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 7.1) Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-70 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Ephron leads the contextual model at 41.2
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +11.8 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 1m 38.77s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 13 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
EphronRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 34.0
6-1-7-2-5-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
19-08-2026
CarlisleClass 5 | 8f | Soft
Wgt9st 10lb
Result6 btn 5.5L
SP5/1
JockeyConnor Beasley
OR70
FFR83
SS82
01-08-2026
HamiltonClass 5 | 8.5f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result1
SP11/1
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR67
FFR58
SS92
29-06-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 10f | Good
Wgt10st 4lb
Result7 btn 0.5L
SP11/4
JockeyMiss Amy Collier
OR68
FFR70
SS87
09-06-2026
CarlisleClass 5 | 9f | Good To Soft
Wgt8st 13lb
Result2 btn 1.5L
SP4/1
JockeyJake Dickson
OR67
FFR46
SS102
22-05-2026
HaydockClass 5 | 10f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 1lb
Result5 btn 0.8L
SP11/2
JockeySaffie Osborne
OR67
FFR75
SS--
30-04-2026
RedcarClass 6 | 1m | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result1
SP11/2
JockeyConnor Beasley
OR60
FFR44
SS--
 9st 9lb 11 OR 70 44 -26lb 37 1.15 +19.2 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 45% 44% 1/6 102 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Henry HalflightRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 32.8
8-1-7-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-04-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result8 btn 3.2L
SP33/1
JockeyBilly Garritty
OR71
FFR79
SS94
12-03-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP18/1
JockeyBilly Garritty
OR--
FFR74
SS95
15-02-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 1L
SP22/1
JockeyBen Robinson
OR--
FFR82
SS87
31-01-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 3.8L
SP80/1
JockeyBilly Garritty
OR--
FFR67
SS92
 9st 9lb 8 OR 70 67 -3lb 22 1.15 +7.4 Long absence Up in trip Modest field -- 55% 59% 0/6 92 C Near mark +0 CAUTION PROFILE
PisanelloRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 32.8
7-2-1-1-1-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
09-09-2026
RedcarClass 6 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result7 btn 1.2L
SP6/1
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR61
FFR48
SS98
09-08-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 10lb
Result2 btn 2.2L
SP4/1
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR61
FFR67
SS88
01-08-2026
HamiltonClass 6 | 9f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result1
SP11/10F
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR55
FFR66
SS100
29-07-2026
RedcarClass 6 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result1
SP4/1
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR52
FFR67
SS101
19-07-2026
RedcarClass 6 | 9f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result1
SP10/1
JockeyMark Winn
OR52
FFR60
SS96
25-06-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 12f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP10/1
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR53
FFR48
SS95
 9st 5lb 5 OR 61 48 -13lb 2 1.15 +4.9 Quick return Same trip Modest field -- 45% 50% 1/6 95 E Stiff -10 CAUTION PROFILE
Just TypicalRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 25.8
4-4-3-4-8-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 5lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP7/2J
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR61
FFR80
SS101
06-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP100/30J
JockeyRyan Kavanagh
OR62
FFR47
SS96
08-07-2026
ChepstowClass 6 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP1/1F
JockeyRyan Kavanagh
OR63
FFR67
SS97
26-06-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP9/1
JockeyRyan Kavanagh
OR64
FFR60
SS98
10-06-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 8f | Standard To Slow
Wgt8st 9lb
Result8 btn 1.2L
SP40/1
JockeyRyan Kavanagh
OR66
FFR66
SS98
10-01-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 0.2L
SP4/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR67
FFR60
SS100
 9st 4lb 13 OR 60 60 +0lb 25 1.15 -0.8 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 56% 63% 1/6 100 D Workable +6 WATCH ONLY
Shadow RunRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 23.0
6-5-2-10-4-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-08-2026
BeverleyClass 4 | 7.5f | Soft
Wgt8st 11lb
Result6 btn 1.5L
SP28/1
JockeyChristian Howarth
OR71
FFR84
SS88
14-08-2026
ThirskClass 4 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result5 btn 1.5L
SP14/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR72
FFR76
SS79
01-08-2026
DoncasterClass 4 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 10lb
Result2 btn 1.5L
SP18/1
JockeyKieran O'Neill
OR72
FFR48
SS88
03-06-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 5f | Good To Yielding
Wgt8st 2lb
Result10 btn 1L
SP12/1
JockeyKeithen Kennedy
OR76
FFR79
SS99
04-04-2026
Cork-- | 5f | Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP11/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR74
FFR64
SS97
22-03-2026
Naas-- | 5f | Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP13/2
JockeyColin Keane
OR70
FFR60
SS--
 9st 8lb 10 OR 69 60 -9lb 43 1.15 +1.7 Standard rest Down in trip Modest field -- 45% 47% 1/6 97 E Stiff -6 WATCH ONLY
Cosmos RajRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 22.0
4-1-4-4-6-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
RiponClass 5 | 10f | Soft
Wgt9st 4lb
Result4 btn 2.2L
SP9/2
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR66
FFR49
SS100
22-08-2026
RedcarClass 5 | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result1
SP20/1
JockeyBilly Garritty
OR63
FFR43
SS89
05-08-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 8lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP10/1
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR65
FFR41
SS95
01-08-2026
DoncasterClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result4 btn 5L
SP7/1
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR65
FFR60
SS85
16-07-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result6 btn 0.2L
SP40/1
JockeyMark Winn
OR69
FFR78
SS90
29-06-2026
PontefractClass 4 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result6 btn 5L
SP66/1
JockeyMark Winn
OR72
FFR64
SS82
 9st 10lb 7 OR 66 64 -2lb 13 1.15 -0.8 Standard rest Big drop back Modest field -- 49% 54% 1/6 82 E Near mark +1 CAUTION PROFILE
BowoodRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 20.5
7-12-3-7-5-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 6lb
Result7 btn 1.5L
SP8/1
JockeyElle-May Croot
OR72
FFR87
SS104
25-07-2026
YorkClass 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 13lb
Result12 btn 19L
SP40/1
JockeyElle-May Croot
OR74
FFR65
SS98
19-07-2026
RedcarClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result3 btn 2L
SP28/1
JockeyElle-May Croot
OR74
FFR67
SS103
26-06-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 8f | Standard To Slow
Wgt9st 7lb
Result7 btn 0.5L
SP33/1
JockeyElle-May Croot
OR76
FFR62
SS98
05-06-2026
DoncasterClass 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 11lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP33/1
JockeyElle-May Croot
OR78
FFR40
SS66
06-02-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 3L
SP16/1
JockeyElle-May Croot
OR78
FFR53
SS110
 10st 0lb 9 OR 70 53 -17lb 46 1.15 -1.8 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 45% 44% 1/6 110 E Stiff -14 CAUTION PROFILE
VivianaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 20.2
6-7-2-4-5-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 5lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP10/1
JockeyOliver Carmichael
OR63
FFR63
SS85
19-08-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 1lb
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP10/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR62
FFR48
SS98
11-08-2026
CarlisleClass 6 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP7/2
JockeyOisin Orr
OR62
FFR46
SS--
14-07-2026
BeverleyClass 5 | 7.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result4 btn 6L
SP13/2
JockeyP J McDonald
OR64
FFR65
SS--
22-06-2026
MusselburghClass 6 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result5 btn 2.2L
SP7/1
JockeyJason Hart
OR65
FFR60
SS--
04-06-2026
WetherbyClass 4 | 5.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP15/2
JockeyJason Hart
OR--
FFR63
SS--
 9st 1lb 3 OR 62 63 +1lb 37 1.15 +1.2 Standard rest Up in trip Modest field -- 56% 59% 0/6 98 D Workable +3 WATCH ONLY
Law Of DesignRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 17.8
2-5-5-5-9-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
ChepstowClass 2 | 8f | Good To Soft
Wgt8st 5lb
Result2 btn 3.8L
SP28/1
JockeyWilliam Cox
OR64
FFR77
SS104
18-08-2026
ChepstowClass 6 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP11/4F
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR65
FFR87
SS96
25-07-2026
ChesterClass 4 | 7.5f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result5 btn 2L
SP28/1
JockeyRyan Kavanagh
OR68
FFR41
SS98
10-07-2026
ChesterClass 5 | 7f | Good
Wgt10st 2lb
Result5 btn 1L
SP10/1
JockeyHarry Davies
OR70
FFR62
SS90
07-04-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 2 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result9 btn 0.2L
SP33/1
JockeyCharles Bishop
OR73
FFR55
SS100
12-02-2026
Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 3.2L
SP22/1
JockeyEdward Greatrex
OR75
FFR93
SS102
 9st 8lb 12 OR 64 93 +29lb 33 1.15 +0.2 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 65% 72% 1/6 102 A Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Legacy RockRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 13.8
6-6-6-2-1-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 3.8L
SP5/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR69
FFR76
SS99
20-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 13lb
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP9/1
JockeyToby Moore
OR71
FFR78
SS86
30-06-2026
SalisburyClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result6 btn 1L
SP7/1
JockeyDavid Probert
OR72
FFR62
SS90
31-05-2026
NottinghamClass 6 | 8.5f | Good
Wgt9st 11lb
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP6/5F
JockeyJack Callan
OR70
FFR54
SS89
23-05-2026
WindsorClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result1
SP9/4F
JockeyJack Callan
OR65
FFR58
SS103
04-05-2026
WindsorClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result1
SP11/2
JockeyHollie Doyle
OR62
FFR56
SS--
 9st 6lb 6 OR 67 56 -11lb 45 1.15 -8.3 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 45% 47% 0/6 103 E Stiff -8 CAUTION PROFILE
Blue Boy JuniorRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.2
5-4-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
16-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 4lb
Result5 btn 3.2L
SP14/1
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR--
FFR75
SS96
18-05-2026
CarlisleClass 4 | 7f | Soft
Wgt9st 4lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP100/30
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR--
FFR70
SS--
18-04-2026
ThirskClass 4 | 7f | Good
Wgt--
Result4 btn 3.2L
SP6/1
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR--
FFR60
SS--
 9st 8lb 2 OR 69 60 -9lb 0 1.15 -9.8 Freshened up Same trip Modest field -- 45% 45% 0/6 96 E Stiff -6 CAUTION PROFILE
Harswell RubyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.8
13-4-4-2-5-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
14-08-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result13 btn 0.8L
SP11/2
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR72
FFR79
SS114
29-07-2026
RedcarClass 5 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 0lb
Result4 btn 1.8L
SP7/2C
JockeyJack Callan
OR73
FFR68
SS92
16-07-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result4 btn 5.5L
SP13/8F
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR70
FFR74
SS90
07-07-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 11lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP3/1J
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR70
FFR54
SS94
24-06-2026
CarlisleClass 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 10lb
Result5 btn 1.5L
SP7/2F
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR71
FFR58
SS99
13-06-2026
YorkClass 4 | 9f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP12/1
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR72
FFR30
SS101
 10st 0lb 1 OR 70 30 -40lb 40 1.15 -4.8 Freshened up Same trip Modest field -- 45% 42% 1/6 101 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Mount KingRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.8
6-4-9-2-1-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-08-2026
BeverleyClass 5 | 8.5f | Soft
Wgt9st 5lb
Result6 btn 1.2L
SP13/2
JockeyDavid Allan
OR64
FFR62
SS104
22-08-2026
RedcarClass 4 | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP16/1
JockeyJake Dickson
OR65
FFR67
SS95
14-08-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result9 btn 0.8L
SP11/1
JockeyDavid Allan
OR65
FFR72
SS96
26-07-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 11lb
Result2 btn 1.5L
SP7/2J
JockeyDavid Allan
OR65
FFR32
SS97
17-07-2026
PontefractClass 6 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 11lb
Result1
SP9/2
JockeyDavid Allan
OR62
FFR75
SS92
07-07-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP33/1
JockeyDavid Allan
OR62
FFR60
SS98
 9st 7lb 4 OR 63 60 -3lb 22 1.15 -8.3 Standard rest Down in trip Modest field -- 49% 49% 1/6 98 E Near mark +0 WATCH ONLY
Main Context Fit Ephron

Ephron profiles as a unclear with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Henry Halflight

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Ephron Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 34.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 34.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-1-7-2-5-1
FFR44 / -26lb
Speed102
Franked37
Ground1/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw11
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.15
Henry Halflight Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 32.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Best of a weak race 32.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form8-1-7-2
FFR67 / -3lb
Speed92
Franked22
Ground0/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw8
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Pisanello Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 32.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 32.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-2-1-1-1-6
FFR48 / -13lb
Speed95
Franked2
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw5
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.15
Just Typical Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 25.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 25.8 confidence
Why consider11 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form4-4-3-4-8-5
FFR60 / +0lb
Speed100
Franked25
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw13
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Shadow Run Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 23.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 23.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-5-2-10-4-2
FFR60 / -9lb
Speed97
Franked43
Ground3/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw10
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Cosmos Raj Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 22.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 22.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-1-4-4-6-6
FFR64 / -2lb
Speed82
Franked13
Ground1/3 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 10lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.15
Bowood Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 20.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 20.5 confidence
Why consider16 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-12-3-7-5-6
FFR53 / -17lb
Speed110
Franked46
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw9
Wgt10st 0lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.15
Viviana Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 20.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 20.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form6-7-2-4-5-6
FFR63 / +1lb
Speed98
Franked37
Ground1/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw3
Wgt9st 1lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Law Of Design Distance specialist
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 17.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 17.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-5-5-5-9-5
FFR93 / +29lb
Speed102
Franked33
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw12
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Legacy Rock Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 13.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 13.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-6-6-2-1-1
FFR56 / -11lb
Speed103
Franked45
Ground0/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Blue Boy Junior Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 12.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-4-4
FFR60 / -9lb
Speed96
Franked0
Ground1/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw2
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
Harswell Ruby Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 9.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 9.8 confidence
Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form13-4-4-2-5-4
FFR30 / -40lb
Speed101
Franked40
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt10st 0lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.15
Mount King Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-4-9-2-1-5
FFR60 / -3lb
Speed98
Franked22
Ground2/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.15
3:00 | Uttoxeter

3:00 | Uttoxeter | 16f

Class 4 | Good | Taverna Nights On Saturday 26th September Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 62 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosLow
Average OR116.25 rated runners | Top OR 122: Bleu d'Enfer
Winning par4m 50.13s44 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-120 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Ice Jet leads the contextual model at 37.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Winning-time par: 4m 50.13s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 5 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Ice JetRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 38.5
2-2-1-1-1-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
22-08-2026
Newton AbbotClass 3 | 16.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 13lb
Result2 btn 5L
SP4/5F
JockeyHarry Skelton
OR117
FFR105
SS95
07-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 4 | 20f | Good
Wgt10st 13lb
Result2 btn 0.1L
SP5/6F
JockeyHarry Skelton
OR113
FFR103
SS96
22-05-2026
WorcesterClass 5 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 12lb
Result1
SP4/9F
JockeyHarry Skelton
OR106
FFR113
SS71
19-05-2026
HuntingdonClass 4 | 20.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 10lb
Result1
SP30/100F
JockeyHarry Skelton
OR99
FFR107
SS91
12-05-2026
HerefordClass 5 | 19.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 13lb
Result1
SP6/5F
JockeyHarry Skelton
OR92
FFR111
SS72
17-03-2026
WetherbyClass 5 | 2m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP7/1
JockeyTristan Durrell
OR86
FFR117
SS119
 11st 1lb 0 OR 117 117 +0lb 22 1.13 +9.6 Standard rest Down in trip Elite field 80 49% 56% 1/6 119 E Near mark +0 PRICE DEPENDENT
Supreme GeorgeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 37.2
5-1-2-3-1-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-05-2026
Bangor-on-DeeClass 4 | 17.5f | Good
Wgt11st 8lb
Result5 btn 10L
SP4/1
JockeyTheo Gillard
OR114
FFR89
SS83
02-04-2026
ChepstowClass 4 | 2m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result1
SP11/4
JockeyCharlie Maggs
OR110
FFR88
SS90
19-03-2026
LudlowClass 4 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 6L
SP11/4
JockeyTheo Gillard
OR110
FFR88
SS89
04-02-2026
SedgefieldClass 4 | 2m½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP6/1
JockeyTheo Gillard
OR111
FFR79
SS88
01-01-2026
CatterickClass 5 | 1m7½f | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP1/3F
JockeyTheo Gillard
OR107
FFR103
SS72
28-12-2025
CatterickClass 5 | 1m7½f | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP7/2
JockeyTheo Gillard
OR100
FFR74
SS107
 11st 8lb 0 OR 114 74 -40lb 3 1.13 +14.8 Layoff check Down in trip Elite field 77 50% 47% 1/6 107 C Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Bleu d'EnferRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 34.2
6-4-2-9-2-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
CartmelClass 3 | 21f | Good To Soft
Wgt11st 13lb
Result6 btn 2.2L
SP14/1
JockeyTheo Gillard
OR124
FFR74
SS87
12-07-2026
PerthClass 3 | 24f | Good
Wgt11st 9lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP11/1
JockeyTheo Gillard
OR125
FFR86
SS95
15-05-2026
AintreeClass 3 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 6lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP33/1
JockeyTheo Gillard
OR124
FFR85
SS118
15-04-2026
HaydockClass 1 | 2m4f | Good
Wgt--
Result9 btn 18L
SP25/1
JockeyTheo Gillard
OR125
FFR122
SS80
31-03-2026
Bangor-on-DeeClass 4 | 2m4½f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 3.5L
SP16/1
JockeyCharlie Maggs
OR122
FFR100
SS84
28-02-2026
KelsoClass 3 | 2m1f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result8 btn 20L
SP12/1
JockeyBrian Hughes
OR125
FFR109
SS86
 12st 2lb 0 OR 122 109 -13lb 27 1.13 -0.9 Standard rest Big drop back Elite field 66 48% 53% 1/6 86 D Stiff -10 CAUTION PROFILE
Dream DiamondRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 16.2
6-3-3-2-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 20f | Good
Wgt12st 0lb
Result6 btn 16L
SP5/2
JockeyJonathan Burke
OR115
FFR71
SS100
24-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 4 | 20f | Good
Wgt12st 0lb
Result3 btn 6.5L
SP3/1F
JockeyJonathan Burke
OR116
FFR130
SS97
10-07-2026
WorcesterClass 2 | 20f | Good
Wgt10st 3lb
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP2/1F
JockeyJonathan Burke
OR116
FFR113
SS112
12-06-2026
Newton AbbotClass 4 | 18.5f | Good
Wgt11st 11lb
Result2 btn 0.8L
SP18/5
JockeyJonathan Burke
OR116
FFR127
SS100
04-05-2026
FakenhamClass 2 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 4lb
Result--
SP12/1
JockeyAlex Chadwick
OR118
FFR100
SS91
18-03-2026
HuntingdonClass 4 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 17L
SP9/2
JockeyAlex Chadwick
OR120
FFR75
SS74
 11st 7lb 0 OR 113 75 -38lb 8 1.13 -11.9 Standard rest Big drop back Elite field 60 50% 51% 0/6 74 C Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Jet Of DreamsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 15.2
4-9-3-1-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-05-2026
Bangor-on-DeeClass 4 | 17.5f | Good
Wgt11st 9lb
Result--
SP11/1
JockeyBrendan Powell
OR115
FFR107
SS96
19-04-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 2m2½f | Good
Wgt--
Result4 btn 7.5L
SP6/1
JockeyJames Bowen
OR104
FFR98
SS125
10-11-2025
KemptonClass 4 | 2m5f | Good
Wgt--
Result9 btn 11L
SP8/1
JockeyWill Featherstone
OR106
FFR100
SS100
19-10-2025
KemptonClass 4 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 3.2L
SP4/1
JockeyWill Featherstone
OR107
FFR77
SS114
30-09-2025
SedgefieldClass 4 | 2m½f | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP4/1
JockeyJames Bowen
OR110
FFR86
SS92
23-09-2025
WarwickClass 4 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP9/2
JockeyJames Bowen
OR104
FFR111
SS102
 11st 9lb 0 OR 115 111 -4lb 38 1.13 -11.7 Layoff check Down in trip Elite field 80 45% 49% 1/6 102 E Stiff -4 WATCH ONLY
Main Context Fit Ice Jet

Ice Jet profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Supreme George

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Ice Jet Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 38.5
PRICE DEPENDENT
Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Best of a weak race 38.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form2-2-1-1-1-2
FFR117 / +0lb
Speed119
Franked22
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw0
Wgt11st 1lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Newton Abbot Finished well 22-08-2026
2 Uttoxeter Solid effort 07-07-2026
1 Worcester Finished well 22-05-2026
1 Huntingdon Strong run 19-05-2026
1 Hereford Strong run 12-05-2026
2 Wetherby Solid effort 17-03-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating22
5winners since
7placers since
10evidence pts
07-07-2026 | Uttoxeter Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Back In The Bay (IRE), Gaelic Rambler (IRE), Hudson (FR)

Later placers

Gaelic Rambler (IRE) (03-09-2026), Jiair Madrik (FR) (09-08-2026)

10-11-2025 | Chepstow Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Dodging The Bullet (IRE)

Later placers

Wolf Rayet (IRE) (02-04-2026)

04-08-2025 | Navan (IRE) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

All Right By Me (IRE), Angelo Pio (IRE), Antoine De Paris (IRE)

Race produced winner

Buck Barrow (GB), Elvetham (IRE)

Later placers

Angelo Pio (IRE) (10-09-2025), Baila Conmigo (IRE) (04-01-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement1/6
FFR117
Speed119
ConditionsCaution
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+0lb near mark
FFR 117 pounds scale
SpeedScoreabove par
119 Par 100
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score37.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI EVERY_LOW
Mark readNear markLatest FFR read +0lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 49% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 58%
Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 82
Good 9 1W / 4P Peak rating 70
Fast 4 2W / 3P Peak rating 70
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 56% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 38%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 52%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questions
Mark read Latest FFR read +0lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest FFR read +0lb versus today's OR

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 117 | Latest FFR 117 | Best FFR 117 | Public mark read 0
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Jumps intelligence Strong jumps profile

Clean completion, suitable code and stamina evidence support the runner.

Chase profile 80 +1.5 model nudge
Code evidence1 runsChase
Completion100%
Jumping rhythm0% error clues
StaminaStamina mixedTrip and finish comments
GroundGround not a jumps concernTesting-ground evidence
Trainer Dan Skelton
Jockey Harry Skelton
Age 4
Draw 0
OR 117
Avg OR 116.2
OR vs Field +0.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 1112V2
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Volatile; High bounce risk; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Improving

confidence nudge -0.5
Variance Volatile 17.8% volatility
Bounce High bounce risk Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Big ceiling edge 18.8 vs par
Curve Improving Trend 2
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m6½f
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance1m6½f
Runs at profile1
DEIE
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
27-06-2025 Doncaster Good To Firm 4 3:9.28 189.3
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 24 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP4/5F
OwnerChris May Mullin
Pedigree

Phoenix Of Spain × Star Jet (Teofilo)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Beaten favouriteMarket expected more last time
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.7L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
22-08-2026 Newton Abbot 2 5 Fast finish
07-07-2026 Uttoxeter 2 0.1 Neutral finish
22-05-2026 Worcester 1 0 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 1 runs with an official OR.
17-03-2026 | Wetherby
Rating 82 OR 86
12-05-2026 | Hereford
Rating -- OR 92
19-05-2026 | Huntingdon
Rating -- OR 99
22-05-2026 | Worcester
Rating -- OR 106
07-07-2026 | Uttoxeter
Rating -- OR 113
22-08-2026 | Newton Abbot
Rating -- OR 117
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par4m 50.13s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times3:9.28
Recent positions4
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
22-08-2026 Newton Abbot | 16.5f | Good To Firm | Class 3 2 4/5F 117 -- -- 5 -- GREY - no timing read
07-07-2026 Uttoxeter | 20f | Good | Class 4 2 5/6F 113 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
22-05-2026 Worcester | 20f | Good | Class 5 1 4/9F 106 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
19-05-2026 Huntingdon | 20.5f | Good To Firm | Class 4 1 30/100F 99 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
12-05-2026 Hereford | 19.5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 1 6/5F 92 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
17-03-2026 Wetherby | 2m | Good To Soft | Class 5 2 7/1 86 82 75 0.3 3:50.32 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Near mark

Latest FFR read +0lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 112.5 and winning TS par is around 85.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Supreme George Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 37.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 37.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form5-1-2-3-1-1
FFR74 / -40lb
Speed107
Franked3
Ground3/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.13
Bleu d'Enfer Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 34.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 34.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form6-4-2-9-2-8
FFR109 / -13lb
Speed86
Franked27
Ground0/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassDown in class
Draw0
Wgt12st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
6 Cartmel Competitive 31-08-2026
4 Perth Competitive 12-07-2026
2 Aintree Solid effort 15-05-2026
9 Haydock Run faded 15-04-2026
2 Bangor-on-Dee Run faded 31-03-2026
8 Kelso Run faded 28-02-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating27
2winners since
1placers since
8evidence pts
01-01-2026 | Musselburgh Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Inox Allen (FR)

Race produced winner

Rexem (IRE), Tommys Oscar (IRE)

Later placers

Breizh River (FR) (06-07-2026)

01-11-2025 | Fairyhouse (IRE) Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Enjoy The Dream (GB), Lightkeeper (IRE), Spirit Of Legend (FR)

03-09-2025 | Carlisle Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Kilta (IRE), Monochromix (FR)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR109
Speed86
ConditionsCaution
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-13lb below mark
FFR 109 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
86 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score27.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DVERY_LOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -13lb | peak +0lb treated as ceiling | public read -10lb
Today's conditions match 48% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 52%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs4/6
Best similar rating127
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 22 0W / 5P Peak rating 129
Good 6 1W / 4P Peak rating 129
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 53% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 52%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 22%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -13lb | peak +0lb treated as ceiling | public read -10lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -13lb | peak +0lb treated as ceiling | public read -10lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 122 | Latest FFR 109 | Best FFR 122 | Public mark read -10
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Jumps intelligence Positive jumps read

The jumps profile is more helpful than harmful.

Chase profile 66 +0.0 model nudge
Code evidence9 runsChase
Completion100%
Jumping rhythm67% error clues
StaminaStamina mixedTrip and finish comments
GroundGround not a jumps concernTesting-ground evidence
Trainer Donald McCain
Jockey Mr Harry Brown(10)
Age 8
Draw 0
OR 122
Avg OR 116.2
OR vs Field +5.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 29-246
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Variable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Cooling

confidence nudge +0.2
Variance Variable 13.6% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Big ceiling edge 17.6 vs par
Curve Cooling Trend -1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m7½f
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance1m7½f
Runs at profile1
DEID
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
16-11-2023 Punchestown (IRE) Soft 2 4:5.50 245.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 15 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: tp
Ground timing match 0/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgeartpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP14/1
OwnerN J Clayton
Pedigree

Turgeon × Quesotho Royale (Lesotho)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.3L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
31-08-2026 Cartmel 6 2.2 Fast finish
12-07-2026 Perth 4 1.2 Neutral finish
15-05-2026 Aintree 2 0.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 3 runs with an official OR.
28-02-2026 | Kelso
Rating 95 OR 125
31-03-2026 | Bangor-on-Dee
Rating 127 OR 122
15-04-2026 | Haydock
Rating 95 OR 125
15-05-2026 | Aintree
Rating -- OR 124
12-07-2026 | Perth
Rating -- OR 125
31-08-2026 | Cartmel
Rating -- OR 124
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par4m 50.13s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times4:5.50
Recent positions2
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
31-08-2026 Cartmel | 21f | Good To Soft | Class 3 6 14/1 124 -- -- 2.2 -- GREY - no timing read
12-07-2026 Perth | 24f | Good | Class 3 4 11/1 125 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
15-05-2026 Aintree | 20f | Good | Class 3 2 33/1 124 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
15-04-2026 Haydock | 2m4f | Good | Class 1 9 25/1 125 95 64 18 5:12.78 GREY - below benchmark
31-03-2026 Bangor-on-Dee | 2m4½f | Good | Class 4 2 16/1 122 127 84 3.5 5:10.65 GREY - below benchmark
28-02-2026 Kelso | 2m1f | Good To Soft | Class 3 8 12/1 125 95 39 20 4:32.15 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -13lb | peak +0lb treated as ceiling | public read -10lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 112.5 and winning TS par is around 85.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Dream Diamond Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 16.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 16.2 confidence
Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form6-3-3-2-3
FFR75 / -38lb
Speed74
Franked8
Ground2/3 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 7lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Jet Of Dreams Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 15.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 15.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-9-3-1-4
FFR111 / -4lb
Speed102
Franked38
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
3:10 | Punchestown

3:10 | Punchestown | 9f

| Good | Punchestown Premiere Weekend November 21st & 22nd Race

Race Confidence 48 WATCH ONLY
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosLow
Average OR904 rated runners | Top OR 97: Puppet Master
Winning par1m 51.11s1054 race distance-only sample | approximate
SetupGOOD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Queen Of The Bogs leads the contextual model at 43.0
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Winning-time par: 1m 51.11s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 6 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Queen Of The BogsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 27.8
2-8-1-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
12-06-2026
Fairyhouse (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 2L
SP10/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR92
FFR75
SS98
22-08-2025
Killarney (IRE)-- | 1m | Good
Wgt--
Result8 btn 1L
SP17/2
JockeyNathan Crosse
OR--
FFR80
SS90
20-07-2025
Curragh (IRE)-- | 1m1f | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result1
SP8/1
JockeyGary Carroll
OR--
FFR74
SS98
27-06-2025
Curragh (IRE)-- | 1m2f | Good
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.5L
SP66/1
JockeyNathan Crosse
OR--
FFR75
SS--
 9st 6lb 1 OR 89 75 -14lb 0 1.05 +15.2 Layoff check Big step up Strong field -- 48% 54% 1/6 98 D Stiff -11 CAUTION PROFILE
Minella RockettRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 23.5
1-1-1-5-4-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Good
Wgt8st 2lb
Result1
SP7/2J
JockeyReese Holohan
OR85
FFR88
SS80
29-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 8.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 4lb
Result1
SP10/1
JockeyJ M Sheridan
OR80
FFR62
SS92
02-07-2026
Limerick (IRE)-- | 16.5f | Good
Wgt11st 0lb
Result1
SP11/10F
JockeyDaniel King
OR--
FFR58
SS100
26-05-2026
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)-- | 12f | Standard
Wgt9st 8lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP9/4
JockeySeamie Heffernan
OR82
FFR109
SS105
16-05-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 10f | Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result4 btn 3.2L
SP8/1
JockeySeamie Heffernan
OR83
FFR80
SS--
21-11-2025
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.1L
SP11/2
JockeySeamie Heffernan
OR74
FFR77
SS--
 9st 5lb 3 OR 88 77 -11lb 1 1.05 +16.5 Standard rest Down in trip Strong field -- 48% 51% 1/6 105 D Stiff -8 CAUTION PROFILE
Golden SplendourRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 18.0
1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-05-2025
Chantilly (FR)-- | 1m2f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result1
SP83/10
JockeyLouis Bouton
OR--
FFR89
SS108
 9st 6lb 5 OR -- 89 -- 0 1.05 -6.2 Long absence Down in trip Strong field -- 50% 55% 0/6 108 D Developing WATCH ONLY
Puppet MasterRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 14.5
2-1-5-5-8-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
07-09-2026
PerthClass 4 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 5lb
Result2 btn 2.8L
SP2/1
JockeyJames Bowen
OR122
FFR81
SS99
21-08-2026
Kilbeggan (IRE)-- | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 4lb
Result1
SP5/1
JockeyEoghan Finegan
OR--
FFR40
SS103
25-07-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result5 btn 2.5L
SP16/1
JockeyBen Coen
OR104
FFR91
SS105
04-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 17f | Good
Wgt10st 9lb
Result5 btn 0.8L
SP5/1
JockeyEoghan Finegan
OR--
FFR56
SS104
23-05-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 12f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result8 btn 1.2L
SP40/1
JockeyBen Coen
OR105
FFR111
SS90
26-12-2025
LeopardstownClass 1 | 2m | Yielding
Wgt--
Result8 btn 15L
SP33/1
JockeyDarragh OKeeffe
OR--
FFR108
SS77
 9st 11lb 6 OR 97 108 +11lb 4 1.05 -2.5 Standard rest Big drop back Strong field -- 58% 61% 0/6 77 D Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
TestaverdeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.2
6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP50/1
JockeySeamie Heffernan
OR--
FFR56
SS--
 9st 2lb 4 OR -- 56 -- 8 1.05 -16.5 Standard rest Up in trip Strong field -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Dial Me InRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 0.8
3-8-13-2-4-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 3lb
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP7/2
JockeyDeclan McDonogh
OR87
FFR65
SS98
30-07-2026
GoodwoodClass 2 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 11lb
Result8 btn 0.3L
SP6/1
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR88
FFR83
SS74
18-06-2026
AscotClass 2 | 12f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 12lb
Result13 btn 1L
SP28/1
JockeyJames McDonald
OR89
FFR74
SS105
11-05-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Good
Wgt9st 10lb
Result2 btn 2.2L
SP100/30
JockeyDeclan McDonogh
OR83
FFR78
SS--
24-04-2026
Cork-- | 1m | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result4 btn 3L
SP11/2
JockeyDeclan McDonogh
OR--
FFR89
SS--
16-07-2025
Killarney (IRE)-- | 1m | Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP4/5F
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR--
FFR75
SS--
 9st 5lb 2 OR 86 75 -11lb 0 1.05 -6.5 Standard rest Down in trip Strong field -- 45% 46% 0/6 105 E Stiff -8 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Queen Of The Bogs

Queen Of The Bogs profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Minella Rockett

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Queen Of The Bogs Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 27.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Best of a weak race 27.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form2-8-1-7
FFR75 / -14lb
Speed98
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassClass move developing
Draw1
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Minella Rockett Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 23.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 23.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form1-1-1-5-4-2
FFR77 / -11lb
Speed105
Franked1
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw3
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Golden Splendour Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 18.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 18.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form1
FFR89 / --
Speed108
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw5
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Puppet Master Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 14.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 14.5 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-1-5-5-8-8
FFR108 / +11lb
Speed77
Franked4
Ground0/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw6
Wgt9st 11lb
Best angle: Mark Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Testaverde Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 11.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6
FFR56 / --
Speed--
Franked8
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw4
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Dial Me In Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 0.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 0.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-8-13-2-4-4
FFR75 / -11lb
Speed105
Franked0
Ground1/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw2
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
3:17 | Yarmouth

3:17 | Yarmouth | 6f

Class 2 | Good To Soft | British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 76 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosLow
Average OR781 rated runner | Top OR 78: I Am Royal
Winning par1m 14.66s1 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD TO SOFT (GoingStick: 4.8) Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • I Am Royal leads the contextual model at 36.2
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +17.0 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 1m 14.66s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 7 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
I Am RoyalRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 47.0
2-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 0.8L
SP11/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR--
FFR81
SS--
24-08-2026
BrightonClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result3 btn 0.1L
SP6/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR--
FFR82
SS--
 9st 7lb 1 OR 78 82 +4lb 0 1.07 +19.5 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 56% 60% 0/6 -- D Workable +4 PRICE DEPENDENT
Channel IslandsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
2-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
27-08-2026
Ffos LasClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 0.2L
SP40/1
JockeyDarragh Keenan
OR--
FFR56
SS--
11-07-2026
SalisburyClass 3 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result5 btn 5L
SP50/1
JockeyGeorge Downing
OR--
FFR84
SS--
 9st 7lb 3 OR -- 84 -- 0 1.07 +2.5 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 50% 59% 0/6 -- D Developing WATCH ONLY
Bad DreamsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 7lb 4 OR -- -- -- 0 1.07 -4.8 Rest developing Trip move developing Solid field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Caturra RockRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 7lb 2 OR -- -- -- 0 1.07 -4.8 Rest developing Trip move developing Solid field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
If You LikeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 7lb 7 OR -- -- -- 0 1.07 -5.8 Rest developing Trip move developing Solid field -- 48% 52% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Scenic BlueRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.5
9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-08-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt8st 11lb
Result9 btn 5.5L
SP125/1
JockeyKyle McHugh
OR--
FFR41
SS--
 9st 7lb 6 OR -- 41 -- 0 1.07 -7.2 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 46% 53% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Flick Of An EyeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 5.0
3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-08-2026
NewburyClass 4 | 6.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP15/2
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR--
FFR81
SS--
 9st 7lb 5 OR -- 81 -- 0 1.07 +0.5 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 46% 50% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Main Context Fit I Am Royal

I Am Royal profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Channel Islands

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
I Am Royal Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 47.0
PRICE DEPENDENT
Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Best of a weak race 47.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-3
FFR82 / +4lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw1
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Kempton (AW) Solid effort 02-09-2026
3 Brighton Solid effort 24-08-2026
Race form proof Some franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating0
0winners since
0placers since
2evidence pts
09-02-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Agent Rose (IRE), Al Widyan (GB), Asgar (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement0/6
FFR82
Speed--
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+4lb near mark
FFR 82 pounds scale
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score36.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DLOW
Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 56% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 52%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Testing No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/2
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Fast 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
All-weather 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 60% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 44%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 64%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 78 | Latest FFR 82 | Best FFR 82 | Public mark read +4
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Richard Hughes
Jockey Billy Loughnane
Age 2
Draw 1
OR 78
Avg OR 78
OR vs Field 0
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 32
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile2
DEID
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
24-08-2026 Brighton Good To Firm 3 1:9.77 69.8
02-09-2026 Kempton (AW) Standard / Slow 2 1:14.15 74.2
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 13 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window
Ground timing match 0/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP11/1
OwnerMr Jaber Abdullah
Pedigree

Kodiac × Royal Rose (Exceed And Excel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.5L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
02-09-2026 Kempton (AW) 2 0.8 Neutral finish
24-08-2026 Brighton 3 0.1 Neutral finish
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 14.66s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:9.77 | 1:14.15
Recent positions3 | 2
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
02-09-2026 Kempton (AW) | 6f | Standard / Slow | Class 4 2 11/1 -- -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
24-08-2026 Brighton | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 3 6/1 -- -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Workable mark

Latest FFR read +4lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 89 and winning TS par is around 64. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Channel Islands Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form2-5
FFR84 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw3
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Bad Dreams Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw4
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Caturra Rock Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw2
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
If You Like Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Watch only 11.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw7
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Scenic Blue Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 9.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 9.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9
FFR41 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw6
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Flick Of An Eye Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 5.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 5.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3
FFR81 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw5
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
3:23 | Redcar

3:23 | Redcar | 6f

Class 4 | Good | Start Your RacingTV Free Trial Now Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 57 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosHigh
Average OR75.815 rated runners | Top OR 82: Sixtygeesbaby
Winning par1m 10.35s4 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 7.1) Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-80 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos high
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Magic Boy leads the contextual model at 34.8
  • Decision type: Tight decision - Rivals close
  • Compressed top end: Sixtygeesbaby close enough to respect
  • Winning-time par: 1m 10.35s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 15 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Magic BoyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleTight decision 55.0
3-7-1-4-2-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
15-08-2026
RiponClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP7/2F
JockeyAlex Jary
OR76
FFR86
SS105
24-07-2026
YorkClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result7 btn 0.1L
SP11/4F
JockeyP J McDonald
OR76
FFR68
SS89
11-07-2026
YorkClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result1
SP6/1
JockeyLewis Edmunds
OR72
FFR65
SS100
14-06-2026
DoncasterClass 5 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result4 btn 1.8L
SP4/1
JockeyFaye McManoman
OR72
FFR86
SS103
03-06-2026
RiponClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result2 btn 2.8L
SP9/1
JockeyFaye McManoman
OR72
FFR65
SS93
04-11-2025
RedcarClass 5 | 7f | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP28/1
JockeyFaye McManoman
OR70
FFR82
SS100
 9st 12lb 9 OR 78 82 +4lb 48 1.13 +13.6 Freshened up Same trip Solid field -- 66% 71% 1/6 100 B Well treated +8 WATCH ONLY
SixtygeesbabyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 44.5
16-3-1-5-5-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
13-09-2026
DoncasterClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 10lb
Result16 btn 4.2L
SP11/2
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR82
FFR63
SS98
21-08-2026
Ffos LasClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt10st 3lb
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP5/4F
JockeyLuke Morris
OR73
FFR72
SS104
11-08-2026
CarlisleClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt10st 0lb
Result1
SP4/1
JockeyMark Winn
OR73
FFR64
SS106
21-07-2026
NottinghamClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 0lb
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP5/2F
JockeyDaniel Tudhope
OR75
FFR79
SS104
11-07-2026
YorkClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP20/1
JockeyDaniel Tudhope
OR77
FFR74
SS102
26-06-2026
DoncasterClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result8 btn 0.3L
SP5/1
JockeyDaniel Tudhope
OR79
FFR47
SS94
 10st 2lb 11 OR 82 47 -35lb 85 1.13 +8.3 Quick return Same trip Solid field -- 50% 55% 1/6 94 B Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Spirit Of ApplauseRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 35.8
4-2-2-10-3-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
RiponClass 4 | 6f | Soft
Wgt9st 3lb
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP12/1
JockeySean Kirrane
OR69
FFR69
SS97
22-08-2026
RedcarClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result2 btn 0.1L
SP12/1
JockeyDuran Fentiman
OR67
FFR74
SS101
05-08-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 11lb
Result2 btn 0.8L
SP11/4
JockeyDavid Allan
OR67
FFR56
SS105
24-07-2026
YorkClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 12lb
Result10 btn 0.5L
SP25/1
JockeyDavid Allan
OR68
FFR73
SS97
09-07-2026
DoncasterClass 5 | 5.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 12lb
Result3 btn 0.2L
SP9/2
JockeyMr Thomas Easterby
OR68
FFR74
SS102
02-07-2026
NottinghamClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP11/4
JockeyJake Dickson
OR68
FFR74
SS92
 9st 3lb 5 OR 69 74 +5lb 31 1.13 +5.6 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 55% 66% 1/6 92 C Workable +5 WATCH ONLY
Return Of The GodsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 34.8
2-4-1-2-8-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
14-08-2026
ThirskClass 4 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result2 btn 4.8L
SP5/6F
JockeyDaniel Tudhope
OR79
FFR83
SS94
25-07-2026
YorkClass 4 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 8lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP100/30F
JockeyJames Doyle
OR79
FFR72
SS100
09-07-2026
DoncasterClass 4 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result1
SP4/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR75
FFR73
SS96
25-06-2026
NottinghamClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP13/2
JockeyPat Dobbs
OR75
FFR86
SS--
08-04-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result8 btn 2L
SP13/2
JockeyCallum Rodriguez
OR77
FFR71
SS--
20-10-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP11/8F
JockeyCallum Rodriguez
OR--
FFR71
SS--
 9st 11lb 6 OR 79 71 -8lb 19 1.13 +12.1 Freshened up Down in trip Solid field -- 54% 55% 0/6 96 C Stiff -5 CAUTION PROFILE
Papa CocktailRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 34.5
1-4-6-3-2-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-09-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result1
SP17/2
JockeyJason Hart
OR78
FFR74
SS98
15-08-2026
DoncasterClass 4 | 5.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP5/1
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR78
FFR82
SS94
31-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP13/2
JockeyEdward Greatrex
OR78
FFR78
SS101
13-07-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 12lb
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP7/2J
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR78
FFR67
SS101
26-06-2026
DoncasterClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result2 btn 1L
SP9/2
JockeyConnor Beasley
OR78
FFR80
SS108
05-06-2026
DoncasterClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP4/1
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR79
FFR87
SS99
 10st 2lb 14 OR 82 87 +5lb 56 1.13 +7.1 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 50% 55% 1/6 99 E Workable +5 WATCH ONLY
Yorkshire GloryRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 27.8
8-1-1-1-1-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
21-04-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt--
Result8 btn 2.5L
SP3/1F
JockeyHarry Vigors
OR73
FFR82
SS100
27-03-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP6/4F
JockeyHarry Vigors
OR71
FFR80
SS98
23-03-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP13/2
JockeyAndrew Mullen
OR66
FFR80
SS99
12-03-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP6/5F
JockeyHarry Vigors
OR61
FFR94
SS108
06-03-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP13/8F
JockeyHarry Vigors
OR60
FFR85
SS100
24-02-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP13/8F
JockeyAndrew Mullen
OR55
FFR62
SS90
 9st 7lb 10 OR 73 62 -11lb 39 1.13 +3.8 Long absence Same trip Solid field -- 48% 53% 1/6 90 E Stiff -8 CAUTION PROFILE
AnaisaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 21.0
3-7-16-6-4-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 3lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP11/2
JockeySean Kirrane
OR75
FFR66
SS94
01-09-2026
RiponClass 4 | 6f | Soft
Wgt9st 7lb
Result7 btn 0.2L
SP33/1
JockeyDavid Allan
OR75
FFR78
SS100
15-08-2026
RiponClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result16 btn 0.1L
SP50/1
JockeyJames Sullivan
OR78
FFR60
SS88
24-07-2026
YorkClass 4 | 5.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 10lb
Result6 btn 1.2L
SP22/1
JockeySean Kirrane
OR81
FFR52
SS76
17-05-2026
RiponClass 3 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP5/1
JockeySean Kirrane
OR83
FFR67
SS91
01-05-2026
NewmarketClass 3 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP12/1
JockeyDavid Allan
OR84
FFR82
SS98
 9st 7lb 8 OR 75 82 +7lb 35 1.13 +2.6 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 62% 68% 0/6 98 C Workable +7 CAUTION PROFILE
Sir GarfieldRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 19.2
8-2-8-6-1-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
21-08-2026
HamiltonClass 4 | 6f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 13lb
Result8 btn 2.2L
SP3/1F
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR79
FFR91
SS108
14-08-2026
EpsomClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 13lb
Result2 btn 0.1L
SP6/4F
JockeyJason Hart
OR79
FFR87
SS102
29-07-2026
GoodwoodClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 12lb
Result8 btn 0.2L
SP9/1
JockeyJason Hart
OR80
FFR89
SS92
17-07-2026
HamiltonClass 2 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 11lb
Result6 btn 1.5L
SP6/1
JockeyJason Hart
OR80
FFR73
SS83
01-07-2026
EpsomClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result1
SP15/2
JockeyMarco Ghiani
OR77
FFR85
SS98
08-04-2026
CatterickClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP14/1
JockeyJason Hart
OR74
FFR57
SS105
 10st 0lb 13 OR 80 57 -23lb 43 1.13 -1.9 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 42% 38% 1/6 105 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Sugar BabyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 19.0
5-7-19-1-5-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
22-08-2026
RedcarClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP17/2
JockeyBilly Garritty
OR70
FFR71
SS87
05-08-2026
PontefractClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 9lb
Result7 btn 4L
SP28/1
JockeyEthan Tindall
OR71
FFR70
SS98
24-07-2026
YorkClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result19 btn 1.2L
SP28/1
JockeyBarry McHugh
OR71
FFR80
SS88
20-06-2026
DoncasterClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result1
SP4/1
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR67
FFR39
SS102
16-06-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result5 btn 0.1L
SP20/1
JockeyMark Winn
OR67
FFR56
SS104
25-05-2026
RedcarClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 2lb
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP16/1
JockeyEthan Tindall
OR69
FFR66
SS103
 9st 3lb 3 OR 69 66 -3lb 44 1.13 -12.4 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 54% 66% 1/6 103 B Near mark +0 WATCH ONLY
Straight AheadRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 18.8
2-2-8-4-1-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
12-08-2026
BeverleyClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 0.1L
SP6/1
JockeyClifford Lee
OR75
FFR84
SS92
16-07-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP3/1
JockeyWilliam Pyle
OR72
FFR87
SS96
12-06-2026
YorkClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result8 btn 0.1L
SP15/2
JockeySam James
OR74
FFR77
SS97
31-05-2026
ThirskClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 12lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP28/1
JockeySam James
OR74
FFR54
SS87
20-12-2025
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP11/4
JockeySam James
OR72
FFR74
SS98
22-11-2025
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP3/1
JockeyWilliam Pyle
OR69
FFR74
SS97
 9st 10lb 4 OR 78 74 -4lb 77 1.13 -2.4 Freshened up Up in trip Solid field -- 56% 60% 1/6 97 A Near mark -1 WATCH ONLY
Reigning ProfitRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 16.8
10-8-11-5-1-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
RiponClass 4 | 6f | Soft
Wgt9st 12lb
Result10 btn 0.1L
SP25/1
JockeyJames Sullivan
OR78
FFR88
SS100
16-08-2026
PontefractClass 2 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 9lb
Result8 btn 5.5L
SP20/1
JockeyJames Sullivan
OR80
FFR87
SS94
28-07-2026
GoodwoodClass 2 | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 3lb
Result11 btn 0.1L
SP50/1
JockeyAndrew Mullen
OR81
FFR76
SS97
17-07-2026
PontefractClass 3 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result5 btn 2.8L
SP17/2
JockeyJames Sullivan
OR77
FFR85
SS98
06-07-2026
RiponClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 11lb
Result1
SP100/30
JockeyRay Dawson
OR77
FFR62
SS95
25-06-2026
HamiltonClass 3 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP9/2
JockeySam James
OR78
FFR61
SS101
 9st 11lb 7 OR 77 61 -16lb 34 1.13 -10.9 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 56% 61% 1/6 101 B Stiff -13 CAUTION PROFILE
Come On OverRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 11.0
2-1-4-4-1-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-09-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 3lb
Result2 btn 0.8L
SP15/2
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR74
FFR64
SS94
22-08-2026
RedcarClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result1
SP25/1
JockeySean D Bowen
OR67
FFR67
SS81
01-08-2026
DoncasterClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP16/1
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR68
FFR57
SS98
21-07-2026
NottinghamClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result4 btn 2L
SP5/2
JockeyDaniel Tudhope
OR68
FFR66
SS84
03-07-2026
DoncasterClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result1
SP5/2J
JockeyDaniel Tudhope
OR64
FFR76
SS94
26-06-2026
DoncasterClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP5/1
JockeyDaniel Tudhope
OR65
FFR71
SS91
 9st 7lb 2 OR 75 71 -4lb 28 1.13 +8.1 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 46% 49% 0/6 91 E Near mark -1 CAUTION PROFILE
ZarvaliRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 10.2
4-7-10-7-3-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
27-08-2026
CarlisleClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result4 btn 2L
SP16/1
JockeyCallum Shepherd
OR76
FFR75
SS91
14-08-2026
ThirskClass 4 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result7 btn 2L
SP17/2
JockeyOisin Orr
OR78
FFR81
SS93
07-08-2026
MusselburghClass 4 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result10 btn 0.8L
SP14/1
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR78
FFR60
SS105
10-07-2026
YorkClass 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 8lb
Result7 btn 2.8L
SP12/1
JockeyKevin Stott
OR79
FFR53
SS101
16-06-2026
ThirskClass 4 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result3 btn 1L
SP100/30
JockeyOisin McSweeney
OR79
FFR55
SS--
23-05-2026
YorkClass 4 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result6 btn 0.2L
SP25/1
JockeyOisin McSweeney
OR80
FFR76
SS--
 9st 6lb 15 OR 74 76 +2lb 41 1.13 -10.9 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 50% 58% 1/6 101 E Workable +7 WATCH ONLY
Hover On The WindRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.8
7-7-7-1-1-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
22-08-2026
RedcarClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result7 btn 1.2L
SP12/1
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR73
FFR61
SS99
14-08-2026
ThirskClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result7 btn 0.2L
SP33/1
JockeyPaul Mulrennan
OR75
FFR78
SS104
17-07-2026
PontefractClass 3 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 9lb
Result7 btn 0.1L
SP12/1
JockeyBarry McHugh
OR70
FFR78
SS109
07-07-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt10st 2lb
Result1
SP11/4
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR66
FFR71
SS87
29-06-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result1
SP8/1
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR66
FFR61
SS98
16-06-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP16/1
JockeyMark Winn
OR68
FFR58
SS102
 9st 5lb 1 OR 71 58 -13lb 35 1.13 -8.4 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 52% 53% 2/6 102 A Stiff -10 WATCH ONLY
Grant WoodRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.8
13-6-4-18-17-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-09-2026
HaydockClass 4 | 6f | Heavy
Wgt9st 4lb
Result13 btn 2.8L
SP25/1
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR77
FFR52
SS110
15-08-2026
RiponClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result6 btn 0.2L
SP13/2
JockeyJason Hart
OR77
FFR46
SS89
03-08-2026
RiponClass 3 | 6f | Good
Wgt8st 11lb
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP8/1
JockeyJason Hart
OR77
FFR41
SS101
24-07-2026
YorkClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result18 btn 1L
SP33/1
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR79
FFR85
SS107
13-06-2026
YorkClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 10lb
Result17 btn 0.3L
SP20/1
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR81
FFR78
SS109
30-05-2026
CarlisleClass 3 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result10 btn 4.2L
SP22/1
JockeyTom Eaves
OR82
FFR39
SS105
 9st 9lb 12 OR 75 39 -36lb 24 1.13 -13.9 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 50% 51% 1/6 105 B Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Magic Boy

Magic Boy profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 1/6. Draw data adds a small confidence boost. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Sixtygeesbaby

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Magic Boy Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 55.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Tight decision 55.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form3-7-1-4-2-1
FFR82 / +4lb
Speed100
Franked48
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw9
Wgt9st 12lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3 Ripon Finished well 15-08-2026
7 York Competitive 24-07-2026
1 York Strong run 11-07-2026
4 Doncaster Competitive 14-06-2026
2 Ripon Solid effort 03-06-2026
1 Redcar Strong run 04-11-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating48
3winners since
7placers since
14evidence pts
06-03-2026 | Ripon Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Bay Breeze (GB), Beattie Is Back (GB), Blazing Son (GB)

Race produced winner

Keldeo (GB)

Later placers

Bay Breeze (GB) (09-09-2026), Beattie Is Back (GB) (08-06-2026)

09-12-2025 | Chester Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Hes Our Cracker (IRE), Inns Of Fear (IRE), Mister McGregor (IRE)

Race produced winner

Zarathos (IRE)

Later placers

Mister McGregor (IRE) (03-02-2026)

06-12-2025 | Yarmouth Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Bullington Bry (GB), La Lunita (GB), Takteek (GB)

Race produced winner

Almeraq (GB)

Later placers

Bullington Bry (GB) (02-04-2026), Correspondence (GB) (02-06-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR82
Speed100
ConditionsPositive fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+4lb near mark
FFR 82 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
100 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used
Decision typeTight decisionThe top runner is only narrowly ahead, so comparison with the next few in the race matters.
Model score34.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BMEDIUM
Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 66% Positive conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 66%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs4/6
Best similar rating77
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 8 1W / 6P Peak rating 79
Fast 4 1W / 2P Peak rating 68
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 71% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 78%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 76%
Stable setup 74%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (B)7 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +8lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 78 | Latest FFR 82 | Best FFR 86 | Public mark read +8
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Nigel Tinkler
Jockey Alex Jary(3)
Age 4
Draw 9
OR 78
Avg OR 75.8
OR vs Field +2.2
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form -24173
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.0
Variance Reliable 5.7% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 5.2 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 6f
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile7
DEIB
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
11-07-2026 York Good To Firm 1 1:10.74 70.7
24-07-2026 York Good To Firm 7 1:12.22 72.2
15-08-2026 Ripon Good 3 1:11.47 71.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 31 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP7/2F
OwnerRakjam Ltd
Pedigree

Acclamation × Midnight (Amaron)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course winHas won at this courseDistance winHas won at this tripBeaten favouriteMarket expected more last time
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
15-08-2026 Ripon 3 0.3 Fast finish
24-07-2026 York 7 0.1 Neutral finish
11-07-2026 York 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 1 runs with an official OR.
04-11-2025 | Redcar
Rating 77 OR 70
03-06-2026 | Ripon
Rating -- OR 72
14-06-2026 | Doncaster
Rating -- OR 72
11-07-2026 | York
Rating -- OR 72
24-07-2026 | York
Rating -- OR 76
15-08-2026 | Ripon
Rating -- OR 76
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs7
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par1m 10.35s
Last win at trip-- | York | 11-07-2026
Recent times1:10.74 | 1:12.22 | 1:11.47
Recent positions1 | 7 | 3
Winning contextOR 72 | weight 9-1
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
15-08-2026 Ripon | 6f | Good | Class 4 3 7/2F 76 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
24-07-2026 York | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 7 11/4F 76 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
11-07-2026 York | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 1 6/1 72 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
14-06-2026 Doncaster | 7f | Good | Class 5 4 4/1 72 -- -- 1.8 -- GREY - no timing read
03-06-2026 Ripon | 6f | Good | Class 5 2 9/1 72 -- -- 2.8 -- GREY - no timing read
04-11-2025 Redcar | 7f | Good | Class 5 1 28/1 70 77 54 0 1:23.20 GREY - below benchmark
Handicap Well treated

Latest FFR read +8lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 76.5 and winning TS par is around 61. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Sixtygeesbaby Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 44.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 44.5 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form16-3-1-5-5-8
FFR47 / -35lb
Speed94
Franked85
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw11
Wgt10st 2lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
16 Doncaster Steady run 13-09-2026
3 Ffos Las Finished well 21-08-2026
1 Carlisle Finished well 11-08-2026
5 Nottingham Competitive 21-07-2026
5 York Competitive 11-07-2026
8 Doncaster Competitive 26-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Elite franked form

Proof rating85
10winners since
6placers since
15evidence pts
09-05-2025 | Haydock Finished 10
Beat named rivals

Candonomore (FR)

Race produced winner

Arctic Thunder (IRE), Ata Rangi (IRE)

Later placers

Quest For Fun (GB) (09-06-2026), We Dare To Dream (IRE) (06-07-2025)

08-03-2024 | Windsor Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Crest Of Esteem (IRE), Excellent Echo (GB), Mayday Malone (GB)

Race produced winner

Excellent Echo (GB), Force And Valour (IRE)

11-01-2024 | Newmarket Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Castellina (GB), Grey Operations (IRE), Hot Breath (GB)

Race produced winner

Jolly Roger (IRE), Manara (GB)

Later placers

Castellina (GB) (06-11-2025), Grey Operations (IRE) (01-04-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR47
Speed94
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-35lb below mark
FFR 47 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
94 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score29.5Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BHIGH
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -35lb | peak -3lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb
Today's conditions match 50% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 34%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs3/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 75
Good 8 2W / 4P Peak rating 92
Fast 6 0W / 1P Peak rating 90
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 55% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 86%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 4%
Stable setup 58%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (B)15 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -35lb | peak -3lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -35lb | peak -3lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 82 | Latest FFR 47 | Best FFR 79 | Public mark read -16
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer David O'Meara
Jockey Mark Winn
Age 4
Draw 11
OR 82
Avg OR 75.8
OR vs Field +6.2
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 855130
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Cooling

confidence nudge +1.5
Variance Very steady 4% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 6.1 vs par
Curve Cooling Trend -1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 6f
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile15
DEIB
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
11-08-2026 Carlisle Good 1 1:10.31 70.3
21-08-2026 Ffos Las Good 3 1:9.63 69.6
13-09-2026 Doncaster Good 16 1:12.78 72.8
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.5 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 2 days Quick return
Micro score +0.5 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; headgear declared: tv; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgeartvDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP11/2
OwnerRasio Cymru 1 Windmill House Racing
Pedigree

Starspangledbanner × Field Of Stars (Acclamation)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this tripBeaten favouriteMarket expected more last time
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.6L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
13-09-2026 Doncaster 16 4.2 Neutral finish
21-08-2026 Ffos Las 3 0.5 Fast finish
11-08-2026 Carlisle 1 0 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
26-06-2026 | Doncaster
Rating -- OR 79
11-07-2026 | York
Rating -- OR 77
21-07-2026 | Nottingham
Rating -- OR 75
11-08-2026 | Carlisle
Rating -- OR 73
21-08-2026 | Ffos Las
Rating -- OR 73
13-09-2026 | Doncaster
Rating -- OR 82
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs15
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 10.35s
Last win at trip-- | Carlisle | 11-08-2026
Recent times1:10.31 | 1:9.63 | 1:12.78
Recent positions1 | 3 | 16
Winning contextOR 73 | weight 10-0
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
13-09-2026 Doncaster | 6f | Good | Class 4 16 11/2 82 -- -- 4.2 -- GREY - no timing read
21-08-2026 Ffos Las | 6f | Good | Class 5 3 5/4F 73 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
11-08-2026 Carlisle | 6f | Good | Class 5 1 4/1 73 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
21-07-2026 Nottingham | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 5 5 5/2F 75 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
11-07-2026 York | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 5 20/1 77 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
26-06-2026 Doncaster | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 8 5/1 79 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -35lb | peak -3lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 76.5 and winning TS par is around 61. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Spirit Of Applause Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 35.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Watch only 35.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (C)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form4-2-2-10-3-3
FFR74 / +5lb
Speed92
Franked31
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Return Of The Gods Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 34.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 34.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form2-4-1-2-8-1
FFR71 / -8lb
Speed96
Franked19
Ground1/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt9st 11lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Papa Cocktail Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 34.5
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 34.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form1-4-6-3-2-5
FFR87 / +5lb
Speed99
Franked56
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw14
Wgt10st 2lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Yorkshire Glory Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 27.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 27.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8-1-1-1-1-1
FFR62 / -11lb
Speed90
Franked39
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw10
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Anaisa Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 21.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 21.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form3-7-16-6-4-5
FFR82 / +7lb
Speed98
Franked35
Ground2/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw8
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Sir Garfield Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 19.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 19.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8-2-8-6-1-1
FFR57 / -23lb
Speed105
Franked43
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw13
Wgt10st 0lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.13
Sugar Baby Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 19.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Watch only 19.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form5-7-19-1-5-7
FFR66 / -3lb
Speed103
Franked44
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw3
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Straight Ahead Distance specialist
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 18.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Watch only 18.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Form2-2-8-4-1-1
FFR74 / -4lb
Speed97
Franked77
Ground3/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw4
Wgt9st 10lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Reigning Profit Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 16.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 16.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form10-8-11-5-1-6
FFR61 / -16lb
Speed101
Franked34
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 11lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.13
Come On Over Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 11.0 confidence
Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form2-1-4-4-1-2
FFR71 / -4lb
Speed91
Franked28
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw2
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Zarvali Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 10.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 10.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-7-10-7-3-6
FFR76 / +2lb
Speed101
Franked41
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw15
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Hover On The Wind Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 9.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Watch only 9.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form7-7-7-1-1-5
FFR58 / -13lb
Speed102
Franked35
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw1
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.13
Grant Wood Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 3.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form13-6-4-18-17-10
FFR39 / -36lb
Speed105
Franked24
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw12
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.13
3:30 | Uttoxeter

3:30 | Uttoxeter | 20f

Class 4 | Good | Pip & Chris Emerald Wedding Anniversary Handicap Hurdle Race

Race Confidence 60 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR104.512 rated runners | Top OR 111: Maghlaak
Winning par4m 58.68s28 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-110 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Phantom Gold leads the contextual model at 34.0
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Moderate edge over next best: +3.8
  • Winning-time par: 4m 58.68s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 12 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Phantom GoldRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 42.5
1-2-2-4-6-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
16-07-2026
WorcesterClass 5 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 7lb
Result1
SP10/11F
JockeySean Quinlan
OR98
FFR70
SS115
01-07-2026
WorcesterClass 5 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 11lb
Result2 btn 0.1L
SP5/4F
JockeySean Quinlan
OR95
FFR70
SS76
09-06-2026
SouthwellClass 5 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 5lb
Result2 btn 1L
SP9/2
JockeyIan Power
OR91
FFR78
SS78
15-05-2026
AintreeClass 4 | 17f | Good
Wgt11st 2lb
Result4 btn 15L
SP40/1
JockeySean Quinlan
OR--
FFR102
SS--
18-04-2026
Bangor-on-DeeClass 4 | 2m½f | Good
Wgt--
Result6 btn 1.2L
SP100/1
JockeyIan Power
OR--
FFR103
SS--
01-04-2026
SedgefieldClass 4 | 2m4f | Good
Wgt--
Result5 btn 15L
SP8/1
JockeySean Quinlan
OR--
FFR105
SS--
 11st 6lb 0 OR 102 105 +3lb 27 1.03 +15 Layoff check Same trip Elite field 80 58% 59% 0/6 78 C Workable +3 CAUTION PROFILE
Norman FletcherRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 34.8
3-5-2-7-7-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 10lb
Result3 btn 6.5L
SP5/1
JockeySam Twiston-Davies
OR111
FFR98
SS92
18-07-2026
CartmelClass 3 | 17f | Good
Wgt10st 9lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP12/1
JockeyMiss Amber Jackson-Fennell
OR113
FFR92
SS94
23-06-2026
Newton AbbotClass 4 | 17f | Good
Wgt11st 10lb
Result2 btn 1.5L
SP100/30
JockeyMiss Amber Jackson-Fennell
OR111
FFR73
SS94
20-05-2026
WarwickClass 4 | 21f | Good
Wgt11st 3lb
Result7 btn 2.8L
SP6/1
JockeyJames Turner
OR114
FFR111
SS83
15-04-2026
HaydockClass 2 | 2m5f | Good
Wgt--
Result7 btn 1.8L
SP9/1
JockeySam Twiston-Davies
OR116
FFR109
SS95
21-03-2026
Bangor-on-DeeClass 2 | 2m3½f | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 7L
SP5/1
JockeyJames Turner
OR118
FFR105
SS93
 12st 0lb 0 OR 110 105 -5lb 58 1.03 +2 Standard rest Same trip Elite field 68 49% 55% 1/6 93 E Near mark -2 CAUTION PROFILE
Virtual RockRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 28.2
8-12-1-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-08-2026
CartmelClass 3 | 17f | Good
Wgt10st 13lb
Result8 btn 11L
SP5/1
JockeySean Bowen
OR110
FFR97
SS102
06-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 2 | 11f | Standard
Wgt9st 12lb
Result12 btn 18L
SP50/1
JockeyConnor Beasley
OR104
FFR101
SS103
26-07-2024
UttoxeterClass 4 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP6/4
JockeyJames Bowen
OR--
FFR61
SS--
09-07-2024
UttoxeterClass 4 | 2m | Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 5L
SP6/1
JockeyHarry Cobden
OR--
FFR80
SS--
 11st 11lb 0 OR 107 80 -27lb 44 1.05 +11.2 Standard rest Big step up Elite field 58 45% 40% 0/6 103 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Royal RhythmRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 23.8
1-1-3-5-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
06-09-2026
FontwellClass 5 | 21.5f | Good
Wgt11st 11lb
Result1
SP3/1
JockeyBenjamin Macey
OR96
FFR87
SS89
19-08-2026
WorcesterClass 5 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 7lb
Result1
SP11/2
JockeyRichie McLernon
OR87
FFR70
SS90
16-07-2026
WorcesterClass 5 | 20f | Good
Wgt10st 11lb
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP17/2
JockeyJonjo O'Neill Jr.
OR88
FFR100
SS52
07-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 3lb
Result--
SP16/1
JockeyJonjo O'Neill Jr
OR88
FFR97
SS104
09-06-2026
SouthwellClass 5 | 20.5f | Good
Wgt11st 0lb
Result5 btn 17L
SP22/1
JockeyRichie McLernon
OR91
FFR105
SS88
06-05-2026
FontwellClass 5 | 21.5f | Good
Wgt11st 4lb
Result5 btn 4L
SP12/1
JockeyIsabelle Ryder
OR93
FFR105
SS95
 11st 0lb 0 OR 96 105 +9lb 0 1.08 +6 Standard rest Down in trip Elite field 68 58% 65% 0/6 95 D Well treated +9 CAUTION PROFILE
ThiscouldbetheoneRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 17.8
9-3-12-6-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 4lb
Result9 btn 9L
SP15/2
JockeyDavid Noonan
OR107
FFR74
SS95
30-05-2026
Tramore (IRE)-- | 22f | Good
Wgt11st 12lb
Result3 btn 2.8L
SP5/4F
JockeyMark Walsh
OR--
FFR75
SS87
05-04-2026
Fairyhouse-- | 2m½f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt--
Result12 btn 7L
SP14/1
JockeyDaniel King
OR--
FFR59
SS64
09-01-2026
Naas-- | 2m | Yielding
Wgt--
Result6 btn 4L
SP28/1
JockeyJ J Slevin
OR--
FFR104
SS--
23-03-2025
Limerick (IRE)-- | 2m | Soft
Wgt--
Result5 btn 6.5L
SP11/1
JockeyMr Derek OConnor
OR--
FFR70
SS--
 11st 6lb 0 OR 102 70 -32lb 9 1.08 -1.3 Standard rest Big step up Elite field 79 45% 42% 0/6 64 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Rockstown GirlRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 15.2
6-3-3-2-1-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-06-2026
Wexford (IRE)-- | 19.5f | Good
Wgt11st 5lb
Result6 btn 9.5L
SP6/1
JockeyConor Brassil
OR103
FFR74
SS92
14-06-2026
Downpatrick (IRE)-- | 19f | Good
Wgt10st 9lb
Result3 btn 8L
SP9/2J
JockeyJames Smith
OR107
FFR98
SS71
15-05-2026
Kilbeggan (IRE)-- | 20.5f | Good
Wgt11st 0lb
Result3 btn 5.5L
SP13/2
JockeyJames Smith
OR103
FFR92
SS86
10-04-2026
Wexford-- | 2m3½f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result2 btn 3.2L
SP11/2
JockeyJames Smith
OR100
FFR92
SS83
17-03-2026
Down Royal-- | 2m4½f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result1
SP11/1
JockeyJames Smith
OR100
FFR95
SS100
20-01-2026
Down Royal-- | 2m1f | Soft
Wgt--
Result7 btn 7L
SP15/2
JockeyEoghan Finegan
OR103
FFR86
SS93
 11st 12lb 0 OR 108 86 -22lb 19 1.08 -3.8 Layoff check Down in trip Elite field 72 45% 36% 0/6 93 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
All Inn HandRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
4-4-1-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 8lb
Result--
SP12/1
JockeySean Bowen
OR107
FFR100
SS101
11-06-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 12lb
Result4 btn 5L
SP22/1
JockeySean Bowen
OR108
FFR96
SS75
17-05-2026
StratfordClass 4 | 26.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt11st 10lb
Result--
SP2/1
JockeySean Bowen
OR108
FFR63
SS110
24-04-2026
PerthClass 4 | 3m | Good
Wgt--
Result4 btn 33L
SP4/1
JockeySean Bowen
OR109
FFR111
SS101
07-06-2025
HexhamClass 4 | 3m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result1
SP5/2
JockeyLorcan Williams
OR105
FFR102
SS95
18-05-2025
StratfordClass 4 | 2m6f | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP2/5F
JockeySean Bowen
OR99
FFR110
SS64
 11st 9lb 0 OR 105 110 +5lb 42 1.08 -7 Standard rest Big drop back Elite field 69 53% 58% 1/6 64 E Workable +6 CAUTION PROFILE
Glance Of GloryRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.8
8-4-1-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-03-2026
AscotClass 4 | 2m7½f | Good
Wgt--
Result8 btn 1.5L
SP5/1
JockeySean Bowen
OR109
FFR96
SS95
17-02-2026
NewburyClass 4 | 2m4½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result--
SP7/2
JockeyFreddie Keighley
OR109
FFR89
SS86
06-12-2025
AintreeClass 4 | 3m½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 4.5L
SP4/1
JockeyJames Best
OR109
FFR92
SS97
22-10-2025
WorcesterClass 5 | 2m4f | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP9/4F
JockeySean Bowen
OR103
FFR112
SS94
26-09-2025
WorcesterClass 4 | 2m4f | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP10/1
JockeySean Bowen
OR--
FFR85
SS--
 11st 9lb 0 OR 105 85 -20lb 25 1.04 -4 Long absence Big step up Elite field 79 50% 46% 1/6 94 C Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Tommy CullenRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.2
1-4-4-4-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 11lb
Result1
SP12/1
JockeyJ M Quinlan
OR102
FFR81
SS118
01-07-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 16.5f | Good
Wgt11st 11lb
Result--
SP11/1
JockeyJack Quinlan
OR107
FFR90
SS87
31-05-2026
FakenhamClass 3 | 21f | Good
Wgt10st 13lb
Result4 btn 23L
SP5/1
JockeyJack Quinlan
OR109
FFR98
SS98
04-05-2026
WarwickClass 4 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 6lb
Result4 btn 1.8L
SP5/2J
JockeyHarry Cobden
OR112
FFR84
SS84
02-11-2025
HuntingdonClass 4 | 2m½f | Good
Wgt--
Result4 btn 6L
SP20/1
JockeyJack Quinlan
OR114
FFR111
SS93
27-03-2025
SouthwellClass 4 | 2m4½f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 25L
SP11/4
JockeyJack Quinlan
OR115
FFR105
SS96
 11st 11lb 0 OR 107 105 -2lb 44 1.05 +0.5 Freshened up Same trip Elite field 80 49% 53% 1/6 96 E Near mark +1 WATCH ONLY
MaghlaakRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.2
5-8-7-6-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
24-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 4 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 11lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP20/1
JockeyJamie Hamilton
OR113
FFR97
SS99
07-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 3 | 23.5f | Good
Wgt11st 2lb
Result8 btn 2.5L
SP33/1
JockeyJamie Hamilton
OR116
FFR111
SS84
22-05-2026
PontefractClass 4 | 17f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 1lb
Result7 btn 13L
SP28/1
JockeyKyle McHugh
OR81
FFR71
SS104
25-04-2026
DoncasterClass 4 | 1m4f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result6 btn 2.2L
SP22/1
JockeyRhys Elliott
OR84
FFR43
SS85
26-12-2025
Market RasenClass 4 | 2m1f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result--
SP15/2
JockeyJamie Hamilton
OR118
FFR82
SS107
29-11-2025
NewcastleClass 4 | 2m4f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1L
SP7/1
JockeyJamie Hamilton
OR118
FFR97
SS93
 12st 1lb 0 OR 111 97 -14lb 34 1.05 -10.3 Freshened up Same trip Elite field 74 45% 40% 1/6 93 E Stiff -11 CAUTION PROFILE
October HillRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.5
5-2-1-3-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
15-08-2026
PerthClass 5 | 24f | Good
Wgt11st 7lb
Result5 btn 3L
SP4/1
JockeyRian Corcoran
OR103
FFR89
SS94
26-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 7lb
Result2 btn 3L
SP4/1
JockeyRian Corcoran
OR103
FFR93
SS106
11-06-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 2lb
Result--
SP4/1
JockeyRian Corcoran
OR103
FFR104
SS40
20-05-2026
Ffos LasClass 5 | 20f | Good To Soft
Wgt10st 11lb
Result1
SP10/1
JockeyRian Corcoran
OR101
FFR110
SS100
17-04-2026
ExeterClass 4 | 2m½f | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 6L
SP7/2
JockeyJack Tudor
OR104
FFR99
SS91
19-03-2026
LudlowClass 4 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 4L
SP2/1J
JockeyJack Tudor
OR105
FFR87
SS101
 11st 6lb 0 OR 102 87 -15lb 8 1.08 +0.7 Freshened up Big drop back Elite field 62 45% 45% 1/6 101 E Stiff -12 CAUTION PROFILE
Faded FantasyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 2.0
4-5-8-5-7-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-09-2026
Bangor-on-DeeClass 5 | 19.5f | Good
Wgt11st 7lb
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP40/1
JockeyMr J J Murphy-Knight
OR100
FFR94
SS100
10-07-2026
WorcesterClass 5 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 12lb
Result5 btn 39L
SP17/2
JockeyJack Tudor
OR102
FFR90
SS100
13-06-2026
UttoxeterClass 4 | 23.5f | Good
Wgt11st 9lb
Result8 btn 12L
SP33/1
JockeyJack Tudor
OR105
FFR73
SS94
04-06-2026
UttoxeterClass 4 | 23.5f | Good
Wgt10st 8lb
Result5 btn 21L
SP14/1
JockeyMr J J Murphy-Knight
OR107
FFR73
SS78
14-01-2026
NewburyClass 4 | 3m½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result7 btn 4.2L
SP50/1
JockeyMr J J Murphy-Knight
OR108
FFR66
SS98
10-12-2025
HerefordClass 4 | 3m1½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result3 btn 5L
SP25/1
JockeyMr J J Murphy-Knight
OR108
FFR91
SS98
 11st 3lb 0 OR 99 91 -8lb 6 1.05 -9 Standard rest Down in trip Elite field 74 45% 48% 1/6 98 E Stiff -5 WATCH ONLY
Main Context Fit Phantom Gold

Phantom Gold profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Norman Fletcher

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Phantom Gold Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 42.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 42.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form1-2-2-4-6-5
FFR105 / +3lb
Speed78
Franked27
Ground2/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw0
Wgt11st 6lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.03
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Worcester Strong run 16-07-2026
2 Worcester Solid effort 01-07-2026
2 Southwell Finished well 09-06-2026
4 Aintree Steady run 15-05-2026
6 Bangor-on-Dee Run faded 18-04-2026
5 Sedgefield Steady run 01-04-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating27
2winners since
2placers since
9evidence pts
06-09-2026 | Southwell Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Beaufort Breeze (IRE), Brooklyn Lullaby (GB), Caspada (IRE)

07-01-2026 | Worcester Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Al Mootamarid (IRE), Belcamo (GB), Blazing Saint (GB)

Race produced winner

Mojo Ego (IRE)

Later placers

Both Of Us (IRE) (04-02-2026)

04-01-2026 | Sedgefield Finished 5
Race produced winner

Who's Glen (FR)

Later placers

Bright Legend (IRE) (01-08-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement0/6
FFR105
Speed78
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+3lb near mark
FFR 105 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
78 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score34.0Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CLOW
Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +3lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 58% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs6/6
Best similar rating76
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 7 2W / 4P Peak rating 115
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 59% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 58%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 61%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +3lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +3lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 102 | Latest FFR 105 | Best FFR 105 | Public mark read +3
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Jumps intelligence Strong jumps profile

Clean completion, suitable code and stamina evidence support the runner.

Hurdle profile 80 +1.5 model nudge
Code evidence3 runsHurdle
Completion100%
Jumping rhythm0% error clues
StaminaStamina mixedTrip and finish comments
GroundGround not a jumps concernTesting-ground evidence
Trainer T Ellis
Jockey Jack Andrews
Age 8
Draw 0
OR 102
Avg OR 104.5
OR vs Field -2.5
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 6-4221
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Volatile; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Regressing

confidence nudge -1.5
Variance Volatile 19.7% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Big ceiling edge 14.7 vs par
Curve Regressing Trend -2
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 2m4f
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance2m4f
Runs at profile2
DEIC
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
01-04-2026 Sedgefield Good 5 5:5.43 305.4
16-07-2026 Worcester Good 1 5:4.90 304.9
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.5 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 61 days Standard layoff
Micro score +0.5 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP10/11F
OwnerMrs Jane P Wanless
Pedigree

Champs Elysees × Legacy Gold (Gold Well)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
16-07-2026 Worcester 1 0 Neutral finish
01-07-2026 Worcester 2 0.1 Neutral finish
09-06-2026 Southwell 2 1 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 2 earlier runs were unrated.
01-04-2026 | Sedgefield
Rating 61 OR Unrated
18-04-2026 | Bangor-on-Dee
Rating 76 OR Unrated
09-06-2026 | Southwell
Rating -- OR 91
01-07-2026 | Worcester
Rating -- OR 95
16-07-2026 | Worcester
Rating -- OR 98
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par4m 58.68s
Last win at trip-- | Worcester | 16-07-2026
Recent times5:5.43 | 5:4.90
Recent positions5 | 1
Winning contextOR 98 | weight 11-7
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
16-07-2026 Worcester | 20f | Good | Class 5 1 10/11F 98 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
01-07-2026 Worcester | 16f | Good | Class 5 2 5/4F 95 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
09-06-2026 Southwell | 16f | Good | Class 5 2 9/2 91 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
15-05-2026 Aintree | 17f | Good | Class 4 4 40/1 -- -- -- 15 -- GREY - no timing read
18-04-2026 Bangor-on-Dee | 2m½f | Good | Class 4 6 100/1 -- 76 59 1.2 4:13.42 GOLD - faster than par
01-04-2026 Sedgefield | 2m4f | Good | Class 4 5 8/1 -- 61 14 15 5:05.43 AMBER - competitive
Handicap Workable mark

Latest FFR read +3lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 115.1 and winning TS par is around 77.4. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Norman Fletcher Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 34.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 34.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-5-2-7-7-3
FFR105 / -5lb
Speed93
Franked58
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt12st 0lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.03
Virtual Rock Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 28.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 28.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8-12-1-2
FFR80 / -27lb
Speed103
Franked44
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassDown in class
Draw0
Wgt11st 11lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Royal Rhythm Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 23.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 23.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +9lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form1-1-3-5-5
FFR105 / +9lb
Speed95
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw0
Wgt11st 0lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.08
Thiscouldbetheone Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 17.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 17.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9-3-12-6-5
FFR70 / -32lb
Speed64
Franked9
Ground0/2 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 6lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.08
Rockstown Girl Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 15.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 15.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-3-3-2-1-7
FFR86 / -22lb
Speed93
Franked19
Ground2/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw0
Wgt11st 12lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.08
All Inn Hand Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-4-1-1
FFR110 / +5lb
Speed64
Franked42
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 9lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.08
Glance Of Glory Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 8.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form8-4-1-1
FFR85 / -20lb
Speed94
Franked25
Ground2/2 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.04
Tommy Cullen Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form1-4-4-4-2
FFR105 / -2lb
Speed96
Franked44
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw0
Wgt11st 11lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Maghlaak Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-8-7-6-4
FFR97 / -14lb
Speed93
Franked34
Ground2/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt12st 1lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
October Hill Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 3.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-2-1-3-2
FFR87 / -15lb
Speed101
Franked8
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassUp in class
Draw0
Wgt11st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.08
Faded Fantasy Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 2.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 2.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-5-8-5-7-3
FFR91 / -8lb
Speed98
Franked6
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw0
Wgt11st 3lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
3:40 | Punchestown

3:40 | Punchestown | 9f

| Good | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden

Race Confidence 70 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR74.65 rated runners | Top OR 77: Fleur De Provence
Winning par1m 51.11s1054 race distance-only sample | approximate
SetupGOOD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Fleur De Provence leads the contextual model at 38.0
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +6.2 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 1m 51.11s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 17 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Fleur De ProvenceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 38.0
9-2-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 10f | Soft
Wgt9st 3lb
Result9 btn 3.5L
SP5/4F
JockeyChris Hayes
OR80
FFR84
SS98
20-05-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 3lb
Result2 btn 0.1L
SP11/4
JockeyChris Hayes
OR--
FFR77
SS--
22-03-2026
Naas-- | 1m | Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP16/1
JockeyChris Hayes
OR--
FFR37
SS--
 9st 3lb 10 OR 77 37 -40lb 2 1.05 +25.3 Layoff check Down in trip Solid field -- 45% 45% 1/6 98 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Port ArthurRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 36.2
5-3-4-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-08-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result5 btn 2.5L
SP8/1
JockeyWayne Lordan
OR79
FFR70
SS82
03-08-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result3 btn 2.5L
SP18/1
JockeyW J Lee
OR--
FFR77
SS95
16-10-2025
Curragh-- | 6f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP15/2
JockeyW J Lee
OR--
FFR67
SS--
18-09-2025
Naas (IRE)-- | 6f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt--
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP9/1
JockeyW J Lee
OR--
FFR60
SS--
 9st 8lb 1 OR 76 60 -16lb 2 1.05 +14.6 Standard rest Up in trip Solid field -- 45% 43% 1/6 95 E Stiff -13 CAUTION PROFILE
XirivellaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 33.0
3-3-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result3 btn 4L
SP22/1
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR--
FFR51
SS--
03-08-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP40/1
JockeyColin Keane
OR--
FFR75
SS--
04-07-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result6 btn 1.2L
SP16/1
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR--
FFR67
SS--
 9st 3lb 12 OR 72 67 -5lb 4 1.05 +19.1 Standard rest Up in trip Solid field -- 52% 55% 1/6 -- D Near mark -2 WATCH ONLY
SalibaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 14.0
5-6-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-08-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 8.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result5 btn 1L
SP13/2
JockeyScott McCullagh
OR--
FFR63
SS--
24-06-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 0.3L
SP6/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR--
FFR67
SS--
05-05-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result3 btn 3.5L
SP22/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR--
FFR65
SS--
 9st 8lb 11 OR 77 65 -12lb 34 1.05 +14.6 Freshened up Down in trip Solid field -- 45% 49% 0/6 -- E Stiff -10 CAUTION PROFILE
SunburnRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
--
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-01-2024
Deauville (FR)-- | -- | Standard
Wgt--
Result--
SP36/5
JockeyCesar Belmont
OR--
FFR78
SS--
 9st 3lb 6 OR -- 78 -- 0 1.05 -0.7 Rest developing Trip move developing Solid field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Ballysax BooRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.0
9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
25-07-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result9 btn 2L
SP300/1
JockeyJames Ryan
OR--
FFR42
SS--
 9st 3lb 13 OR -- 42 -- 0 1.05 -1.7 Freshened up Up in trip Solid field -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
PattyandselmaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.2
10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP250/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR--
FFR45
SS--
 9st 3lb 7 OR -- 45 -- 8 1.05 -4.4 Standard rest Up in trip Solid field -- 48% 52% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Senna's GirlRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.2
5-13-3-4-21-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
12-06-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Yielding
Wgt10st 3lb
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP28/1
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR73
FFR91
SS92
17-05-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 6lb
Result13 btn 1.5L
SP14/1
JockeyRory Mulligan
OR76
FFR52
SS96
25-04-2026
Limerick-- | 1m | Yielding
Wgt--
Result3 btn 1.8L
SP5/1
JockeyRory Mulligan
OR77
FFR83
SS110
15-04-2026
Leopardstown-- | 7f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP40/1
JockeyDiego Lima
OR78
FFR83
SS72
15-03-2026
Curragh-- | 1m | Heavy
Wgt--
Result21 btn 0.8L
SP50/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR84
FFR33
SS105
02-11-2025
Curragh-- | 7f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP14/1
JockeyWayne Hassett
OR68
FFR78
SS99
 9st 9lb 14 OR 71 78 +7lb 49 1.05 +3.3 Layoff check Down in trip Solid field -- 55% 64% 1/6 99 E Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
Back StraightRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.2
2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
16-09-2025
Punchestown (IRE)-- | 1m | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP9/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR--
FFR81
SS93
 9st 8lb 3 OR -- 81 -- 0 1.05 +1.3 Long absence Up in trip Solid field -- 50% 59% 1/6 93 D Developing WATCH ONLY
Block CapitalsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 8lb 5 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -5.7 Rest developing Trip move developing Solid field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Forest FantasyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 8lb 16 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -5.7 Rest developing Trip move developing Solid field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Matties PointRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.2
12-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
06-08-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result12 btn 0.8L
SP100/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR--
FFR45
SS--
12-07-2026
Dundalk (AW)-- | 10.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 8lb
Result4 btn 11L
SP20/1
JockeyW J Lee
OR--
FFR36
SS--
 9st 8lb 17 OR -- 36 -- 0 1.05 -9.4 Freshened up Same trip Solid field -- 48% 52% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Swing StreetRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.2
11-9-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result11 btn 2.5L
SP300/1
JockeyScott McCullagh
OR--
FFR39
SS--
18-08-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 12f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result9 btn 18L
SP150/1
JockeyW J Lee
OR--
FFR38
SS--
22-06-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 16L
SP33/1
JockeyBen Coen
OR--
FFR38
SS--
 9st 8lb 4 OR -- 38 -- 15 1.05 -9.4 Standard rest Big step up Solid field -- 48% 56% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
BrigerbadRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.2
8-13
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
25-08-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result8 btn 1.2L
SP250/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR--
FFR35
SS--
24-07-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 8lb
Result13 btn 7L
SP66/1
JockeyDonagh O'Connor
OR--
FFR39
SS--
 9st 8lb 15 OR -- 39 -- 0 1.05 -9.4 Standard rest Up in trip Solid field -- 48% 52% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
One Cool CountyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 2.2
10-9-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
18-08-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 12f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result10 btn 1.8L
SP250/1
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR--
FFR40
SS--
12-08-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result9 btn 5.5L
SP250/1
JockeyConor Cusack
OR--
FFR37
SS--
13-07-2026
Killarney-- | 11.5f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 9.5L
SP66/1
JockeyLuke McAteer
OR--
FFR36
SS--
 9st 8lb 9 OR -- 36 -- 0 1.05 -10.4 Standard rest Big drop back Solid field -- 48% 52% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Vico RoadRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 2.0
5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result5 btn 1.8L
SP50/1
JockeyGary Carroll
OR--
FFR60
SS--
 9st 8lb 8 OR -- 60 -- 2 1.05 -5.7 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 48% 51% 1/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Helen's BlazeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only -3.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 9lb 2 OR -- -- -- 0 1.05 -15.7 Rest developing Trip move developing Solid field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Main Context Fit Fleur De Provence

Fleur De Provence profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Port Arthur

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Fleur De Provence Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 38.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Best of a weak race 38.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9-2-2
FFR37 / -40lb
Speed98
Franked2
Ground1/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw10
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.05
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
9 Leopardstown (IRE) Steady run 04-06-2026
2 Gowran Park (IRE) Solid effort 20-05-2026
2 Naas Solid effort 22-03-2026
Race form proof Some franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating2
0winners since
1placers since
2evidence pts
06-04-2026 | Leopardstown (IRE) Finished 9
Beat named rivals

An Cailleach (GB), Path To Peace (USA), Ventriloquist (IRE)

Later placers

Donna Time (IRE) (07-04-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR37
Speed98
ConditionsCaution
PlacementCaution
FFR vs OR-40lb below mark
FFR 37 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
98 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score38.0Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI ELOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -40lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb
Today's conditions match 45% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Class Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good No recent good sample; best evidence is on testing ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs0/3
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read No recent good sample; best evidence is on testing ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 3 0W / 2P Peak rating 82
Good 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 45% Intent unclear
Trip evidence 30%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 4%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questionsCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -40lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -40lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 77 | Latest FFR 37 | Best FFR 84 | Public mark read -16
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer D K Weld
Jockey Chris Hayes
Age 3
Draw 10
OR 77
Avg OR 74.6
OR vs Field +2.4
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 229
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge -0.8
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -2.4 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile2
DEIE
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
22-03-2026 Naas (IRE) Soft 2 1:52.62 112.6
20-05-2026 Gowran Park (IRE) Good To Yielding 2 1:42.86 102.9
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.0 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 103 days Standard layoff
Micro score +0.0 headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpFirst-time aid today
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP5/4F
OwnerMoyglare Stud Farm
Pedigree

Gleneagles × Princess Highway (Street Cry)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Beaten favouriteMarket expected more last time
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.6L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
04-06-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) 9 3.5 Neutral finish
20-05-2026 Gowran Park (IRE) 2 0.1 Neutral finish
22-03-2026 Naas 2 1.2 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 1 earlier run was unrated.
22-03-2026 | Naas
Rating 82 OR Unrated
04-06-2026 | Leopardstown (IRE)
Rating -- OR 80
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 51.11s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:52.62 | 1:42.86
Recent positions2 | 2
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
04-06-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) | 10f | Soft | -- 9 5/4F 80 -- -- 3.5 -- GREY - no timing read
20-05-2026 Gowran Park (IRE) | 8f | Good To Yielding | -- 2 11/4 -- -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
22-03-2026 Naas | 1m | Soft | -- 2 16/1 -- 82 45 1.2 1:52.62 AMBER - competitive
Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -40lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 103.6 and winning TS par is around 59.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Port Arthur Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 36.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 36.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-3-4-3
FFR60 / -16lb
Speed95
Franked2
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw1
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
5 Leopardstown (IRE) Competitive 20-08-2026
3 Naas (IRE) Finished well 03-08-2026
4 Curragh Run faded 16-10-2025
3 Naas (IRE) Solid effort 18-09-2025
Race form proof Some franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating2
0winners since
1placers since
2evidence pts
08-03-2026 | Naas (IRE) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Michael's Well (IRE), Tolebi (FR)

Later placers

Likedbymike (IRE) (07-04-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR60
Speed95
ConditionsCaution
PlacementCaution
FFR vs OR-16lb below mark
FFR 60 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
95 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score27.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI EVERY_LOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -16lb | peak +1lb treated as ceiling | public read -13lb
Today's conditions match 45% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Class Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs1/4
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 71
Good 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 43% Intent unclear
Trip evidence 38%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 13%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 50%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedTrip evidence still asks questionsCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -16lb | peak +1lb treated as ceiling | public read -13lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -16lb | peak +1lb treated as ceiling | public read -13lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 76 | Latest FFR 60 | Best FFR 77 | Public mark read -13
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer M C Grassick
Jockey W J Lee
Age 3
Draw 1
OR 76
Avg OR 74.6
OR vs Field +1.4
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 34-35
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Developing; Mild bounce watch; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Improving

confidence nudge +0.2
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce Mild bounce watch Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -4.6 vs par
Curve Improving Trend 2
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile1
DEIE
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
20-08-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) Good To Yielding 5 1:43.46 103.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 26 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window
Ground timing match 1/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP8/1
OwnerJoseph E Keeling Aidan Gleeson M C Grassick
Pedigree

Australia × Vestavia (Alhaarth)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.8L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
20-08-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) 5 2.5 Neutral finish
03-08-2026 Naas (IRE) 3 2.5 Fast finish
16-10-2025 Curragh 4 0.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 2 earlier runs were unrated.
18-09-2025 | Naas (IRE)
Rating 71 OR Unrated
16-10-2025 | Curragh
Rating 71 OR Unrated
20-08-2026 | Leopardstown (IRE)
Rating -- OR 79
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par1m 51.11s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:43.46
Recent positions5
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
20-08-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) | 8f | Good To Yielding | -- 5 8/1 79 -- -- 2.5 -- GREY - no timing read
03-08-2026 Naas (IRE) | 6f | Good | -- 3 18/1 -- -- -- 2.5 -- GREY - no timing read
16-10-2025 Curragh | 6f | Yielding | -- 4 15/2 -- 71 55 0.5 1:16.70 GOLD - faster than par
18-09-2025 Naas (IRE) | 6f | Yielding To Soft | -- 3 9/1 -- 71 23 1.2 1:18.59 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -16lb | peak +1lb treated as ceiling | public read -13lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 103.6 and winning TS par is around 59.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Xirivella Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 33.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 33.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form3-3-6
FFR67 / -5lb
Speed--
Franked4
Ground3/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw12
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Saliba Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 14.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 14.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-6-3
FFR65 / -12lb
Speed--
Franked34
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw11
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Sunburn Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR78 / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw6
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Ballysax Boo Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 11.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9
FFR42 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw13
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Pattyandselma Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10
FFR45 / --
Speed--
Franked8
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw7
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Senna's Girl Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-13-3-4-21-2
FFR78 / +7lb
Speed99
Franked49
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw14
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Back Straight Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 7.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form2
FFR81 / --
Speed93
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw3
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Block Capitals Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 7.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw5
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Forest Fantasy Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 7.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw16
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Matties Point Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 3.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form12-4
FFR36 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw17
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Trip move Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Swing Street Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 3.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form11-9-6
FFR38 / --
Speed--
Franked15
Ground0/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassClass move developing
Draw4
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Brigerbad Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 3.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8-13
FFR39 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw15
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
One Cool County Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 2.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 2.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10-9-6
FFR36 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw9
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Vico Road Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 2.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 2.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5
FFR60 / --
Speed--
Franked2
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw8
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Helen's Blaze Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence --
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only -3.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw2
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
3:47 | Yarmouth

3:47 | Yarmouth | 7f

Class 5 | Good To Soft | "GRC 30" Anniversary Of Yarmouth" Nursery Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 45 WATCH ONLY
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR70.411 rated runners | Top OR 75: Asgar
Winning par1m 26.61s6 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD TO SOFT (GoingStick: 4.8) Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-75 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Regal Tiger leads the contextual model at 28.5
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Compressed top end: Asgar close enough to respect
  • Winning-time par: 1m 26.61s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 11 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Regal TigerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 41.0
2-2-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-07-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP7/4F
JockeyOisin Murphy
OR70
FFR51
SS--
21-06-2026
PontefractClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 5L
SP7/2
JockeyJason Hart
OR--
FFR72
SS--
21-05-2026
HaydockClass 4 | 6f | Soft
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 7.5L
SP3/1
JockeyJason Hart
OR--
FFR82
SS--
 9st 7lb 2 OR 73 82 +9lb 0 1.07 +8.9 Freshened up Up in trip Solid field -- 55% 60% 1/6 -- E Well treated +9 WATCH ONLY
AsgarRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 37.0
6-4-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 7lb
Result6 btn 0.2L
SP15/2
JockeyHector Crouch
OR--
FFR58
SS--
07-06-2026
GoodwoodClass 4 | 6f | Soft
Wgt9st 4lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP14/1
JockeyDavid Probert
OR--
FFR80
SS--
15-05-2026
NewburyClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result9 btn 0.8L
SP12/1
JockeyHector Crouch
OR--
FFR68
SS--
 9st 9lb 5 OR 75 68 -7lb 0 1.07 +0.6 Standard rest Up in trip Solid field -- 48% 54% 1/6 -- D Stiff -4 WATCH ONLY
JavelotRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 34.2
1-4-7-6-16
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
18-08-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result1
SP1/1F
JockeySilvestre De Sousa
OR--
FFR89
SS114
02-08-2026
YarmouthClass 2 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result4 btn 4.2L
SP13/2
JockeySilvestre De Sousa
OR--
FFR108
SS85
10-04-2025
Auteuil (FR)-- | 2m2½f | Very Soft
Wgt--
Result7 btn 1.2L
SP68/10
JockeyTheo Chevillard
OR--
FFR87
SS83
24-03-2025
Compiegne (FR)-- | 2m3½f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result6 btn 3L
SP37/10
JockeyTheo Chevillard
OR--
FFR82
SS116
30-10-2024
Auteuil (FR)-- | 2m2½f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result--
SP21/1
JockeyLudovic Philipperon
OR--
FFR86
SS95
03-10-2024
Compiegne (FR)-- | 2m2f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result16 btn 5L
SP44/1
JockeyLudovic Philipperon
OR--
FFR88
SS90
 9st 6lb 11 OR 72 88 +16lb 15 1.07 +8.6 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 57% 68% 0/6 90 C Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
AgitatorRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 33.0
14-24-1-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-07-2026
GoodwoodClass 2 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 8lb
Result14 btn 2.8L
SP66/1
JockeyMason Paetel
OR76
FFR68
SS--
17-06-2026
AscotClass 1 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result24 btn 3L
SP125/1
JockeyNeil Callan
OR--
FFR77
SS--
23-05-2026
WindsorClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result1
SP9/2
JockeyNeil Callan
OR--
FFR73
SS--
15-05-2026
NewmarketClass 2 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result10 btn 2L
SP14/1
JockeyEdward Greatrex
OR--
FFR67
SS--
 9st 8lb 10 OR 74 67 -7lb 0 1.07 +2.4 Freshened up Same trip Solid field -- 42% 48% 1/6 -- E Stiff -4 WATCH ONLY
Rocket BootsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 20.5
13-4-2-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-07-2026
GoodwoodClass 2 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 11lb
Result13 btn 0.1L
SP28/1
JockeyGeorge Wood
OR74
FFR71
SS86
15-05-2026
NewmarketClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP9/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR--
FFR77
SS--
02-05-2026
DoncasterClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 2.5L
SP100/30
JockeyDaniel Tudhope
OR--
FFR64
SS--
14-04-2026
NewmarketClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP22/1
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR--
FFR75
SS--
 9st 7lb 6 OR 73 75 +2lb 0 1.07 +1.4 Freshened up Same trip Solid field -- 53% 58% 0/6 86 E Workable +4 CAUTION PROFILE
Indian LandRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 19.0
7-1-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-07-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard To Slow
Wgt9st 5lb
Result7 btn 1.2L
SP9/2
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR71
FFR76
SS92
11-05-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 4lb
Result1
SP7/2
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR--
FFR76
SS--
25-04-2026
LeicesterClass 2 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result11 btn 0.2L
SP9/2
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR--
FFR45
SS--
 9st 3lb 7 OR 69 45 -24lb 4 1.07 -0.6 Layoff check Same trip Solid field -- 45% 39% 0/6 92 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
KigaliRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 15.2
9-9-7-6-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
06-08-2026
SandownClass 4 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result9 btn 0.2L
SP250/1
JockeySean D Bowen
OR--
FFR60
SS82
13-07-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result9 btn 4L
SP40/1
JockeyDarragh Keenan
OR--
FFR76
SS--
29-06-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt9st 7lb
Result7 btn 0.5L
SP12/1
JockeyCharles Bishop
OR--
FFR59
SS--
14-06-2026
SalisburyClass 3 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result6 btn 2.2L
SP20/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR--
FFR50
SS--
16-07-2023
Saratoga (USA)-- | 5½f | Sloppy
Wgt--
Result6 btn 4.5L
SP162/10
JockeyFlorent Geroux
OR--
FFR43
SS--
 9st 1lb 3 OR 67 43 -24lb 2 1.07 -4.4 Freshened up Big step up Solid field -- 48% 43% 0/6 82 D Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Lilywhite HartRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 15.2
6-5-5-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-08-2026
NewburyClass 5 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result6 btn 1.2L
SP66/1
JockeyJ F Egan
OR69
FFR52
SS--
05-08-2026
YarmouthClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result5 btn 0.8L
SP100/1
JockeyJ F Egan
OR--
FFR72
SS--
17-07-2026
NewburyClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result5 btn 1.5L
SP100/1
JockeyJ F Egan
OR--
FFR63
SS--
22-06-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result9 btn 0.5L
SP66/1
JockeyJ F Egan
OR--
FFR60
SS--
 9st 1lb 4 OR 67 60 -7lb 15 1.07 -4.4 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 45% 48% 0/6 -- E Stiff -4 WATCH ONLY
Mandolin RainRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 14.2
4-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 3 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP100/30
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR--
FFR63
SS--
03-08-2026
NottinghamClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result4 btn 1.8L
SP20/1
JockeyStevie Donohoe
OR--
FFR76
SS--
 9st 0lb 9 OR 66 76 +10lb 2 1.07 -5.4 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 52% 56% 0/6 -- E Well treated +10 WATCH ONLY
Green TitanRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.2
7-4-6-2-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-09-2026
HaydockClass 5 | 7f | Soft
Wgt9st 4lb
Result7 btn 1.2L
SP13/2
JockeyPat Cosgrave
OR69
FFR51
SS--
17-08-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 3lb
Result4 btn 0.1L
SP11/2
JockeyJack Callan
OR69
FFR68
SS--
25-06-2026
LeicesterClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result6 btn 0.2L
SP11/10F
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR--
FFR50
SS--
09-06-2026
SalisburyClass 5 | 6f | Soft
Wgt9st 4lb
Result2 btn 2L
SP12/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR--
FFR69
SS--
21-05-2026
ChepstowClass 4 | 6f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 7lb
Result11 btn 2.8L
SP100/30F
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR--
FFR47
SS--
 9st 2lb 8 OR 68 47 -21lb 17 1.07 -7.4 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 42% 39% 0/6 -- E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
King Of MontenegroRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.2
4-2-9-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
13-07-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 4lb
Result4 btn 2L
SP5/1
JockeyJack Callan
OR72
FFR80
SS97
23-05-2026
WindsorClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP11/2
JockeyJack Callan
OR--
FFR56
SS--
09-05-2026
AscotClass 3 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result9 btn 2.2L
SP28/1
JockeyDavid Egan
OR--
FFR70
SS--
27-04-2026
BathClass 4 | 5½f | Firm
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1.8L
SP11/2
JockeyJoe Leavy
OR--
FFR64
SS--
 9st 4lb 1 OR 70 64 -6lb 0 1.07 +0.4 Layoff check Same trip Solid field -- 45% 50% 0/6 97 E Stiff -3 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Regal Tiger

Regal Tiger profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Asgar

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Regal Tiger Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 41.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 41.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +9lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form2-2-4
FFR82 / +9lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground2/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw2
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.07
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Windsor Solid effort 20-07-2026
2 Pontefract Finished well 21-06-2026
4 Haydock Steady run 21-05-2026
Franked form Not franked yet

No strong named-rival evidence from recent races yet.

Proof rating0
Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR82
Speed--
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+9lb ahead of mark
FFR 82 pounds scale
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score28.5Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI ELOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground
Ground evidence Testing Has experience, but limited strong evidence
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs1/3
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read Has experience, but limited strong evidence Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 60% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 30%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 79%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Conservative mark read gives +9lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questions
Mark read Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 73 | Latest FFR 82 | Best FFR 82 | Public mark read +9
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Hugo Palmer
Jockey Kieran Shoemark
Age 2
Draw 2
OR 73
Avg OR 70.4
OR vs Field +2.6
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 422
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; No clock ceiling; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling No clock ceiling Clock ceiling developing
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 6f
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile3
DEIE
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
21-05-2026 Haydock Soft 4 1:22.56 82.6
21-06-2026 Pontefract Good 2 1:16.78 76.8
20-07-2026 Windsor Good To Firm 2 1:12.28 72.3
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.5 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 57 days Standard layoff
Micro score +0.5 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP7/4F
OwnerRoudee Racing 20 Mrs E Palmer
Pedigree

Kingman × Tiger Eye (Frankel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Beaten favouriteMarket expected more last time
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 4.3L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
20-07-2026 Windsor 2 0.5 Neutral finish
21-06-2026 Pontefract 2 5 Fast finish
21-05-2026 Haydock 4 7.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
20-07-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 70
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs3
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 26.61s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:22.56 | 1:16.78 | 1:12.28
Recent positions4 | 2 | 2
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
20-07-2026 Windsor | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 2 7/4F 70 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
21-06-2026 Pontefract | 6f | Good | Class 4 2 7/2 -- -- -- 5 -- GREY - no timing read
21-05-2026 Haydock | 6f | Soft | Class 4 4 3/1 -- -- -- 7.5 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Well treated

Latest FFR read +9lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 76.5 and winning TS par is around 59.2. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Asgar Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 37.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 37.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form6-4-9
FFR68 / -7lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground2/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw5
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.07
Javelot Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 34.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Best of a weak race 34.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form1-4-7-6-16
FFR88 / +16lb
Speed90
Franked15
Ground0/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw11
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Agitator Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 33.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 33.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form14-24-1-10
FFR67 / -7lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw10
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Trip move Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.07
Rocket Boots Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 20.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 20.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form13-4-2-4
FFR75 / +2lb
Speed86
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw6
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Indian Land Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 19.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 19.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-1-11
FFR45 / -24lb
Speed92
Franked4
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Kigali Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 15.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 15.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form9-9-7-6-6
FFR43 / -24lb
Speed82
Franked2
Ground1/3 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassDown in class
Draw3
Wgt9st 1lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Lilywhite Hart Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 15.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 15.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-5-5-9
FFR60 / -7lb
Speed--
Franked15
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 1lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Mandolin Rain Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 14.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 14.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +10lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-4
FFR76 / +10lb
Speed--
Franked2
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw9
Wgt9st 0lb
Best angle: Mark Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Green Titan Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 12.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-4-6-2-11
FFR47 / -21lb
Speed--
Franked17
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw8
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
King Of Montenegro Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-2-9-5
FFR64 / -6lb
Speed97
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
3:53 | Redcar

3:53 | Redcar | 10f

Class 4 | Good | Market Cross Jewellers Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Race Confidence 63 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosLow
Average OR76.97 rated runners | Top OR 87: Supplicate
Winning par2m 06.69s5 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 7.1) Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-85 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Obito leads the contextual model at 48.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Moderate edge over next best: +5.5
  • Winning-time par: 2m 06.69s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 7 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
ObitoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 54.0
3-1-5-5-2-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-08-2026
GoodwoodClass 4 | 10f | Soft
Wgt10st 2lb
Result3 btn 0.1L
SP4/1
JockeyDaniel Tudhope
OR85
FFR62
SS99
10-08-2026
AyrClass 4 | 10f | Good To Soft
Wgt10st 1lb
Result1
SP9/2
JockeyDaniel Tudhope
OR79
FFR83
SS100
09-07-2026
DoncasterClass 4 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 2lb
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP17/2
JockeyDaniel Tudhope
OR80
FFR64
SS97
19-06-2026
AyrClass 4 | 10f | Soft
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 4L
SP4/1
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR80
FFR74
SS104
04-06-2026
HamiltonClass 4 | 9f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 0.8L
SP18/5
JockeyDaniel Tudhope
OR80
FFR88
SS98
15-05-2026
HamiltonClass 4 | 9f | Good
Wgt9st 11lb
Result8 btn 2.5L
SP13/2
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR82
FFR85
SS98
 10st 3lb 2 OR 86 85 -1lb 34 1.13 +13.6 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 63% 72% 2/6 98 A Near mark +2 PRICE DEPENDENT
SupplicateRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 49.2
1-1-1-1-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
13-08-2026
SalisburyClass 4 | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result1
SP11/8
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR81
FFR76
SS94
30-07-2026
NottinghamClass 4 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result1
SP15/8F
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR77
FFR85
SS98
22-05-2026
BathClass 4 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result1
SP8/13F
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR72
FFR88
SS--
03-12-2025
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP5/6F
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR--
FFR87
SS--
29-10-2025
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 1m | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1L
SP13/2
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR--
FFR87
SS--
 9st 12lb 3 OR 87 87 +0lb 45 1.13 +0.6 Freshened up Same trip Solid field -- 52% 61% 1/6 98 C Near mark +1 WATCH ONLY
Pol RogerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 39.5
2-1-4-3-2-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-09-2026
HaydockClass 4 | 10f | Soft
Wgt9st 2lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP14/1
JockeyRhys Elliott
OR75
FFR71
SS102
08-08-2026
AyrClass 5 | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 10lb
Result1
SP20/1
JockeySean Kirrane
OR69
FFR74
SS92
13-07-2026
AyrClass 5 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 12lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP3/1
JockeyConnor Beasley
OR70
FFR75
SS74
19-06-2026
AyrClass 4 | 10f | Soft
Wgt8st 8lb
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP15/2
JockeyRhys Elliott
OR70
FFR59
SS89
02-06-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP15/2
JockeyConnor Beasley
OR68
FFR77
SS95
10-04-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 1m | Good
Wgt--
Result8 btn 1.8L
SP17/2
JockeyConnor Beasley
OR70
FFR83
SS96
 9st 8lb 7 OR 77 83 +6lb 35 1.13 +5.6 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 61% 68% 1/6 96 B Workable +6 PRICE DEPENDENT
Magical MerlotRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 31.8
1-4-3-4-3-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-08-2026
NewburyClass 4 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result1
SP4/1
JockeyDavid Egan
OR75
FFR83
SS96
13-08-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result4 btn 3L
SP4/1
JockeyDavid Egan
OR77
FFR80
SS101
27-06-2026
LingfieldClass 4 | 9f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result3 btn 2L
SP11/8F
JockeyPaddy Bradley
OR78
FFR79
SS96
06-06-2026
MusselburghClass 2 | 9f | Good
Wgt8st 1lb
Result4 btn 9L
SP9/4J
JockeyLauren Young
OR78
FFR71
SS104
11-05-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result3 btn 0.1L
SP15/2
JockeyDavid Egan
OR77
FFR69
SS100
07-04-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 2L
SP7/2C
JockeyHector Crouch
OR77
FFR86
SS--
 9st 3lb 5 OR 78 86 +8lb 11 1.13 +8.1 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 58% 62% 1/6 100 D Well treated +8 PRICE DEPENDENT
PanelliRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 23.8
7-7-4-4-2-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-08-2026
BeverleyClass 4 | 8.5f | Heavy
Wgt8st 6lb
Result7 btn 0.8L
SP100/1
JockeyCam Hardie
OR68
FFR85
SS103
06-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result7 btn 2.5L
SP100/30J
JockeyChloe Lyons
OR70
FFR86
SS96
23-07-2026
YarmouthClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP100/30
JockeyMarco Ghiani
OR71
FFR63
SS94
09-07-2026
Epsom DownsClass 5 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP7/1
JockeyNeil Callan
OR72
FFR62
SS102
12-02-2026
Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.2L
SP11/4
JockeySean Levey
OR71
FFR53
SS99
21-01-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 1m | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result2 btn 1L
SP8/1
JockeyMarco Ghiani
OR71
FFR68
SS104
 8st 11lb 4 OR 66 68 +2lb 27 1.13 -14.9 Standard rest Up in trip Solid field -- 52% 58% 1/6 104 E Well treated +8 WATCH ONLY
League Of JusticeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 22.0
3-4-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt8st 13lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP66/1
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR--
FFR51
SS--
11-08-2026
HamiltonClass 4 | 8.5f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result4 btn 7L
SP17/2
JockeyJake Dickson
OR--
FFR58
SS--
23-07-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result6 btn 3L
SP13/2
JockeyRowan Scott
OR--
FFR79
SS--
 9st 0lb 6 OR 75 79 +4lb 2 1.13 -8.9 Standard rest Big step up Solid field -- 53% 57% 1/6 -- E Workable +4 WATCH ONLY
EnamorusRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 20.8
3-9-5-3-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-07-2026
SandownClass 5 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result--
SP25/1
JockeyJason Watson
OR71
FFR83
SS95
04-07-2026
BeverleyClass 5 | 8.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP12/1
JockeyOisin Orr
OR72
FFR93
SS92
12-06-2026
SandownClass 5 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result9 btn 2.2L
SP10/1
JockeyOisin Murphy
OR74
FFR50
SS112
29-05-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP3/1F
JockeyOisin Murphy
OR75
FFR36
SS--
13-09-2025
ChesterClass 2 | 7f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP9/2
JockeyKevin Stott
OR--
FFR66
SS--
25-07-2025
AscotClass 3 | 6f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 3.5L
SP15/8F
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR--
FFR72
SS--
 8st 8lb 1 OR 69 72 +3lb 26 1.13 -4.1 Freshened up Same trip Solid field -- 58% 58% 0/6 112 E Well treated +9 WATCH ONLY
Main Context Fit Obito

Obito profiles as a unclear with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 2/6. Draw data adds a small confidence boost. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Supplicate

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Obito Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 54.0
PRICE DEPENDENT
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Best of a weak race 54.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form3-1-5-5-2-8
FFR85 / -1lb
Speed98
Franked34
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw2
Wgt10st 3lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3 Goodwood Solid effort 30-08-2026
1 Ayr Strong run 10-08-2026
5 Doncaster Competitive 09-07-2026
5 Ayr Run faded 19-06-2026
2 Hamilton Troubled run 04-06-2026
8 Hamilton Competitive 15-05-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating34
3winners since
7placers since
12evidence pts
07-09-2026 | Doncaster Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Big Eagle (IRE), Intrusively (GB), Island Bear (IRE)

06-04-2026 | Hamilton Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Draupnir (GB), Highland Olly (GB), Mr Lincoln (GB)

Race produced winner

Highland Olly (GB)

Later placers

Mr Lincoln (GB) (07-04-2026), Pearl Eye (GB) (05-05-2026)

07-11-2025 | York Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Barrys Boy (IRE), Far Ahead (IRE), Jamaican Storm (GB)

Race produced winner

Far Ahead (IRE), Zarathos (IRE)

Later placers

Barry's Boy (IRE) (07-06-2026), Jamaican Storm (GB) (01-04-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement2/6
FFR85
Speed98
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR-1lb near mark
FFR 85 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
98 Par 100
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score48.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AMEDIUM
Mark readNear markLatest FFR read +2lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 63% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 66%
Handicap 58%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 4 1W / 3P Peak rating 90
Good 8 2W / 5P Peak rating 87
Fast 4 0W / 1P Peak rating 79
All-weather 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 62
Placement evidence 72% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 58%
Stable setup 74%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (A)9 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +2lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest FFR read +2lb versus today's OR

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 86 | Latest FFR 85 | Best FFR 88 | Public mark read +2
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer David O'Meara
Jockey Daniel Tudhope
Age 4
Draw 2
OR 86
Avg OR 76.9
OR vs Field +9.1
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 825513
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Very steady 2.5% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 4.4 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m2f
Runs at profile9
DEIA
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
09-07-2026 Doncaster Good To Firm 5 2:10.02 130
10-08-2026 Ayr Good To Soft 1 2:9.62 129.6
30-08-2026 Goodwood Soft 3 2:11.55 131.6
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 16 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: h; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearhDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP4/1
OwnerGeorginio Rutter
Pedigree

Blue Point × All Time (Dansili)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
30-08-2026 Goodwood 3 0.1 Fast finish
10-08-2026 Ayr 1 0 Neutral finish
09-07-2026 Doncaster 5 1.2 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
15-05-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 82
04-06-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 80
19-06-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 80
09-07-2026 | Doncaster
Rating -- OR 80
10-08-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 79
30-08-2026 | Goodwood
Rating -- OR 85
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs9
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par2m 06.69s
Last win at trip-- | Ayr | 10-08-2026
Recent times2:10.02 | 2:9.62 | 2:11.55
Recent positions5 | 1 | 3
Winning contextOR 79 | weight 10-1
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
30-08-2026 Goodwood | 10f | Soft | Class 4 3 4/1 85 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
10-08-2026 Ayr | 10f | Good To Soft | Class 4 1 9/2 79 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
09-07-2026 Doncaster | 10f | Good To Firm | Class 4 5 17/2 80 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
19-06-2026 Ayr | 10f | Soft | Class 4 5 4/1 80 -- -- 4 -- GREY - no timing read
04-06-2026 Hamilton | 9f | Good | Class 4 2 18/5 80 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
15-05-2026 Hamilton | 9f | Good | Class 4 8 13/2 82 -- -- 2.5 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Near mark

Latest FFR read +2lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 86.8 and winning TS par is around 60.4. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Supplicate Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 49.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 49.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form1-1-1-1-5
FFR87 / +0lb
Speed98
Franked45
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw3
Wgt9st 12lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Salisbury Strong run 13-08-2026
1 Nottingham Strong run 30-07-2026
1 Bath Strong run 22-05-2026
1 Lingfield (AW) Strong run 03-12-2025
5 Kempton (AW) Competitive 29-10-2025
Race form proof Positive franked form

Some form support

Proof rating45
3winners since
2placers since
5evidence pts
12-03-2025 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Adores (IRE), Echo That (GB), Evening Fades (GB)

Race produced winner

Kokoluna (GB), Maria Da Silva (IRE)

Later placers

Exquisite Skye (GB) (08-09-2025), Somethingintheair (GB) (08-04-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR87
Speed98
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+0lb near mark
FFR 87 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
98 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score35.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CLOW
Mark readNear markLatest FFR read +1lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 52% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 34%
Handicap 58%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw
Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs1/5
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 1 1W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 2 2W / 2P Peak rating --
All-weather 2 1W / 1P Peak rating 64
Placement evidence 61% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 68%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 55%
Stable setup 58%
Recent evidence 76%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +1lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest FFR read +1lb versus today's OR

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 87 | Latest FFR 87 | Best FFR 88 | Public mark read +1
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Roger Varian
Jockey Jack Mitchell
Age 3
Draw 3
OR 87
Avg OR 76.9
OR vs Field +10.1
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 51-111
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge -0.8
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -2.5 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m2f
Runs at profile3
DEIC
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
22-05-2026 Bath Good To Firm 1 2:14.39 134.4
30-07-2026 Nottingham Good To Firm 1 2:11.39 131.4
13-08-2026 Salisbury Good 1 2:10.96 131
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 33 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP11/8
OwnerCheveley Park Stud
Pedigree

Ulysses × Plead (Dutch Art)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
13-08-2026 Salisbury 1 0 Neutral finish
30-07-2026 Nottingham 1 0 Fast finish
22-05-2026 Bath 1 0 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 2 earlier runs were unrated.
29-10-2025 | Kempton (AW)
Rating 55 OR Unrated
03-12-2025 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating 64 OR Unrated
22-05-2026 | Bath
Rating -- OR 72
30-07-2026 | Nottingham
Rating -- OR 77
13-08-2026 | Salisbury
Rating -- OR 81
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs3
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par2m 06.69s
Last win at trip-- | Salisbury | 13-08-2026
Recent times2:14.39 | 2:11.39 | 2:10.96
Recent positions1 | 1 | 1
Winning contextOR 81 | weight 9-7
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
13-08-2026 Salisbury | 10f | Good | Class 4 1 11/8 81 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
30-07-2026 Nottingham | 10f | Good To Firm | Class 4 1 15/8F 77 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
22-05-2026 Bath | 10f | Good To Firm | Class 4 1 8/13F 72 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
03-12-2025 Lingfield (AW) | 1m | Standard | Class 5 1 5/6F -- 64 44 0 1:38.54 GOLD - faster than par
29-10-2025 Kempton (AW) | 1m | Standard To Slow | Class 5 5 13/2 -- 55 28 1 1:41.67 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Near mark

Latest FFR read +1lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 86.8 and winning TS par is around 60.4. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Pol Roger Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 39.5
PRICE DEPENDENT
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Watch only 39.5 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-1-4-3-2-8
FFR83 / +6lb
Speed96
Franked35
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Magical Merlot Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 31.8
PRICE DEPENDENT
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Best of a weak race 31.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +8lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form1-4-3-4-3-5
FFR86 / +8lb
Speed100
Franked11
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Panelli Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 23.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 23.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +8lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-7-4-4-2-2
FFR68 / +2lb
Speed104
Franked27
Ground0/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt8st 11lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
League Of Justice Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 22.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 22.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-4-6
FFR79 / +4lb
Speed--
Franked2
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt9st 0lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Enamorus Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 20.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 20.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +9lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-9-5-3-2
FFR72 / +3lb
Speed112
Franked26
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw1
Wgt8st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
4:00 | Uttoxeter

4:00 | Uttoxeter | 24f

Class 3 | Good | Ready Freddie Go Handicap Steeple Chase

Race Confidence 50 WATCH ONLY
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosLow
Average OR121.37 rated runners | Top OR 132: Grand Clermont
Winning par6m 16.71s5 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-130 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Grand Clermont leads the contextual model at 37.2
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Winning-time par: 6m 16.71s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 7 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Grand ClermontRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 32.0
4-2-1-4-2-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
CartmelClass 3 | 25.5f | Good To Soft
Wgt11st 9lb
Result4 btn 2.2L
SP9/2
JockeyRian Corcoran
OR132
FFR114
SS86
26-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 2 | 24f | Good
Wgt11st 4lb
Result2 btn 1.5L
SP7/2
JockeyRian Corcoran
OR130
FFR120
SS93
12-07-2026
PerthClass 3 | 24f | Good
Wgt11st 3lb
Result1
SP3/1
JockeyRian Corcoran
OR124
FFR121
SS99
28-06-2026
UttoxeterClass 2 | 24f | Good
Wgt9st 13lb
Result4 btn 5L
SP5/1
JockeyMr Lucas Murphy
OR124
FFR124
SS96
11-06-2026
WorcesterClass 3 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 1lb
Result2 btn 2.5L
SP3/1F
JockeyRian Corcoran
OR122
FFR130
SS94
24-05-2026
UttoxeterClass 4 | 24f | Good
Wgt11st 4lb
Result1
SP17/2
JockeyRian Corcoran
OR112
FFR117
SS85
 12st 2lb 0 OR 132 117 -15lb 2 1.13 +10.9 Standard rest Down in trip Elite field 80 50% 55% 0/6 85 C Stiff -12 CAUTION PROFILE
Bagheera GingeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 30.5
1-5-1-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-08-2026
StratfordClass 2 | 19.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt11st 5lb
Result--
SP4/1
JockeySam Twiston-Davies
OR127
FFR105
SS56
29-06-2026
StratfordClass 4 | 22.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt12st 2lb
Result1
SP7/1
JockeySam Twiston-Davies
OR122
FFR132
SS85
11-06-2026
WorcesterClass 3 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 7lb
Result5 btn 8L
SP17/2
JockeySam Twiston-Davies
OR123
FFR116
SS92
17-05-2026
StratfordClass 4 | 22.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt11st 13lb
Result1
SP9/1
JockeySam Twiston-Davies
OR119
FFR89
SS98
19-10-2025
SedgefieldClass 2 | 3m5f | Good
Wgt--
Result--
SP5/1
JockeyMr Jamie Neild
OR120
FFR116
SS97
29-09-2025
Newton AbbotClass 3 | 3m2f | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP9/4
JockeyTom Bellamy
OR113
FFR130
SS107
 11st 11lb 0 OR 127 130 +3lb 35 1.13 -3.1 Standard rest Big step up Elite field 60 53% 58% 1/6 107 E Workable +5 WATCH ONLY
Mt Fugi ParkRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 29.5
1-1-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
22-07-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 11lb
Result1
SP14/1
JockeyBenjamin Macey
OR122
FFR120
SS113
28-05-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt12st 2lb
Result--
SP7/1
JockeyMiss Gina Andrews
OR122
FFR83
SS94
14-04-2026
Market RasenClass 4 | 3m | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP9/2
JockeyMiss Gina Andrews
OR118
FFR112
SS126
08-03-2026
CarlisleClass 4 | 3m½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result--
SP11/2
JockeyRichie McLernon
OR118
FFR96
SS86
26-12-2025
Market RasenClass 3 | 3m3½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result6 btn 3.8L
SP11/1
JockeyRichard Patrick
OR120
FFR111
SS94
07-11-2025
ExeterClass 3 | 3m | Good
Wgt--
Result--
SP17/2
JockeyJonjo ONeill Jr
OR122
FFR115
SS--
 11st 13lb 0 OR 129 115 -14lb 0 1.13 -3.6 Freshened up Up in trip Elite field 48 50% 52% 1/6 94 C Stiff -11 CAUTION PROFILE
A Definite GetawayRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 26.8
4-3-1-2-3-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
24-03-2026
TauntonClass 4 | 2m7f | Good
Wgt--
Result4 btn 6.5L
SP18/1
JockeyJames Bowen
OR115
FFR101
SS104
07-05-2025
Newton AbbotClass 4 | 3m2f | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 30L
SPEvensF
JockeyJames Bowen
OR116
FFR104
SS113
02-04-2025
ExeterClass 4 | 3m | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP2/5F
JockeyJames Bowen
OR110
FFR95
SS103
13-12-2024
DoncasterClass 3 | 3m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 18L
SP100/30
JockeyGavin Sheehan
OR111
FFR95
SS95
03-11-2024
HuntingdonClass 4 | 2m7½f | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 2.2L
SP4/1
JockeyJames Bowen
OR111
FFR80
SS95
10-10-2024
ExeterClass 4 | 3m | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP11/2
JockeyJames Bowen
OR109
FFR90
SS99
 10st 11lb 0 OR 113 90 -23lb 3 1.13 +7.9 Long absence Up in trip Elite field 75 55% 51% 1/6 99 A Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
GwashRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 18.0
7-2-3-5-6-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
22-07-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 1lb
Result7 btn 13L
SP11/2
JockeyTom Broughton
OR110
FFR65
SS96
01-07-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 5lb
Result2 btn 0.8L
SP17/2
JockeyTom Broughton
OR106
FFR76
SS98
06-06-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 8lb
Result3 btn 4.2L
SP12/1
JockeyTom Broughton
OR107
FFR81
SS106
09-05-2026
WarwickClass 4 | 21f | Good
Wgt11st 11lb
Result5 btn 13L
SP20/1
JockeyTom Broughton
OR112
FFR103
SS108
27-11-2025
TauntonClass 4 | 2m7f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result6 btn 3.5L
SP14/1
JockeyJonathan Burke
OR112
FFR111
SS67
07-11-2025
ExeterClass 4 | 2m7f | Good
Wgt--
Result7 btn 14L
SP10/1
JockeyJonathan Burke
OR114
FFR80
SS89
 10st 8lb 0 OR 110 80 -30lb 27 1.13 -8.3 Freshened up Up in trip Elite field 80 45% 42% 0/6 89 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Axel BleueRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 15.2
1-2-1-3-3-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 10lb
Result1
SP5/2F
JockeyJames Bowen
OR109
FFR84
SS72
22-07-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt10st 13lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP11/4F
JockeyJames Bowen
OR105
FFR87
SS98
01-07-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 2lb
Result1
SP4/1
JockeyJames Bowen
OR100
FFR85
SS98
06-06-2026
WorcesterClass 5 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 12lb
Result3 btn 8.5L
SP7/1
JockeyJames Bowen
OR103
FFR114
SS87
20-05-2026
Ffos LasClass 4 | 24f | Good To Soft
Wgt11st 12lb
Result3 btn 21L
SP9/2
JockeyJames Bowen
OR106
FFR110
SS84
21-04-2026
Ffos LasClass 4 | 2m4f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result9 btn 3.2L
SP50/1
JockeyJames Bowen
OR107
FFR115
SS108
 10st 11lb 0 OR 113 115 +2lb 52 1.13 +12.4 Standard rest Up in trip Elite field 80 49% 53% 0/6 108 E Near mark +2 CAUTION PROFILE
Light N StrikeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 2.0
6-6-4-14
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
28-06-2026
CartmelClass 2 | 21f | Good
Wgt12st 0lb
Result6 btn 65L
SP12/1
JockeyDanny Gilligan
OR130
FFR108
SS96
07-06-2026
PerthClass 2 | 24f | Good
Wgt10st 11lb
Result6 btn 14L
SP8/1
JockeyJames Bowen
OR133
FFR132
SS100
06-05-2026
Newton AbbotClass 2 | 21f | Good
Wgt11st 5lb
Result4 btn 8.5L
SP6/1
JockeyJames Bowen
OR135
FFR77
SS100
25-10-2025
CheltenhamClass 2 | 3m1f | Good
Wgt--
Result14 btn 19L
SP66/1
JockeyJames Bowen
OR137
FFR114
SS98
11-10-2025
ChepstowClass 2 | 2m7½f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result--
SP7/1
JockeyJames Bowen
OR139
FFR103
SS101
24-09-2025
Listowel (IRE)-- | 3m | Yielding
Wgt--
Result--
SP16/1
JockeyJames Bowen
OR138
FFR95
SS79
 11st 9lb 0 OR 125 95 -30lb 1 1.13 -16.3 Layoff check Big step up Elite field 59 45% 39% 1/6 79 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Grand Clermont

Grand Clermont profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Bagheera Ginge

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Grand Clermont Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 32.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Best of a weak race 32.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form4-2-1-4-2-1
FFR117 / -15lb
Speed85
Franked2
Ground3/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt12st 2lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4 Cartmel Competitive 31-08-2026
2 Uttoxeter Solid effort 26-07-2026
1 Perth Strong run 12-07-2026
4 Uttoxeter Steady run 28-06-2026
2 Worcester Solid effort 11-06-2026
1 Uttoxeter Strong run 24-05-2026
Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating2
0winners since
1placers since
4evidence pts
05-02-2026 | Uttoxeter Finished 6
Later placers

Jet Smart (IRE) (09-04-2026)

04-10-2025 | Auteuil (FR) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Casona (FR), Fleurieu (FR), Javelot (FR)

05-08-2025 | Auteuil (FR) Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Celtic Warrior (FR), Starvina (FR)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement0/6
FFR117
Speed85
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-15lb below mark
FFR 117 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
85 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting numbers, but current evidence contains a clear warning Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score37.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CLOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -15lb | peak -2lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb
Today's conditions match 50% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs5/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 14 2W / 5P Peak rating 119
Good 6 2W / 4P Peak rating --
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 55% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 68%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 16%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -15lb | peak -2lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -15lb | peak -2lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 132 | Latest FFR 117 | Best FFR 130 | Public mark read -12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Jumps intelligence Strong jumps profile

Clean completion, suitable code and stamina evidence support the runner.

Chase profile 80 +1.5 model nudge
Code evidence5 runsChase
Completion100%
Jumping rhythm0% error clues
StaminaStamina mixedTrip and finish comments
GroundGround not a jumps concernTesting-ground evidence
Trainer David Pipe
Jockey Rian Corcoran(5)
Age 10
Draw 0
OR 132
Avg OR 121.3
OR vs Field +10.7
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 124124
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Cooling

confidence nudge -1.0
Variance Reliable 5.5% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -0.8 vs par
Curve Cooling Trend -1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance3m
Runs at profile4
DEIC
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
28-06-2026 Uttoxeter Good 4 6:9.86 369.9
12-07-2026 Perth Good 1 6:5.19 365.2
26-07-2026 Uttoxeter Good 2 6:3.10 363.1
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 15 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: t; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgeartDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP9/2
OwnerDavid Pipe Racing Club
Pedigree

Maresca Sorrento × Flo De Clermont (Hurricane Cat)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.2L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
31-08-2026 Cartmel 4 2.2 Neutral finish
26-07-2026 Uttoxeter 2 1.5 Neutral finish
12-07-2026 Perth 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
24-05-2026 | Uttoxeter
Rating -- OR 112
11-06-2026 | Worcester
Rating -- OR 122
28-06-2026 | Uttoxeter
Rating -- OR 124
12-07-2026 | Perth
Rating -- OR 124
26-07-2026 | Uttoxeter
Rating -- OR 130
31-08-2026 | Cartmel
Rating -- OR 132
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs4
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par6m 16.71s
Last win at trip-- | Perth | 12-07-2026
Recent times6:9.86 | 6:5.19 | 6:3.10
Recent positions4 | 1 | 2
Winning contextOR 124 | weight 11-3
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
31-08-2026 Cartmel | 25.5f | Good To Soft | Class 3 4 9/2 132 -- -- 2.2 -- GREY - no timing read
26-07-2026 Uttoxeter | 24f | Good | Class 2 2 7/2 130 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
12-07-2026 Perth | 24f | Good | Class 3 1 3/1 124 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
28-06-2026 Uttoxeter | 24f | Good | Class 2 4 5/1 124 -- -- 5 -- GREY - no timing read
11-06-2026 Worcester | 23f | Good | Class 3 2 3/1F 122 -- -- 2.5 -- GREY - no timing read
24-05-2026 Uttoxeter | 24f | Good | Class 4 1 17/2 112 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -15lb | peak -2lb treated as ceiling | public read -12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 130.8 and winning TS par is around 64. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Bagheera Ginge Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 30.5
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 30.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form1-5-1-1
FFR130 / +3lb
Speed107
Franked35
Ground3/3 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassDown in class
Draw0
Wgt11st 11lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Mt Fugi Park Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 29.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 29.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form1-1-6
FFR115 / -14lb
Speed94
Franked0
Ground3/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw0
Wgt11st 13lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
A Definite Getaway Distance specialist
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 26.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Best of a weak race 26.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form4-3-1-2-3-1
FFR90 / -23lb
Speed99
Franked3
Ground3/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw0
Wgt10st 11lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Gwash Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 18.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 18.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-2-3-5-6-7
FFR80 / -30lb
Speed89
Franked27
Ground3/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw0
Wgt10st 8lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Axel Bleue Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 15.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 15.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form1-2-1-3-3-9
FFR115 / +2lb
Speed108
Franked52
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw0
Wgt10st 11lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Light N Strike Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 2.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 2.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-6-4-14
FFR95 / -30lb
Speed79
Franked1
Ground1/2 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassDown in class
Draw0
Wgt11st 9lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.13
4:10 | Punchestown

4:10 | Punchestown | 9f

| Good | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap

Race Confidence 55 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR70.314 rated runners | Top OR 81: Oscar Nominee
Winning par1m 51.11s1054 race distance-only sample | approximate
SetupGOOD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Sanctijude leads the contextual model at 32.0
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Winning-time par: 1m 51.11s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 14 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
SanctijudeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 47.8
4-7-1-4-3-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
19-07-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 12lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP5/2
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR81
FFR82
SS99
28-06-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 9f | Good
Wgt8st 11lb
Result7 btn 0.5L
SP33/1
JockeyWayne Lordan
OR81
FFR83
SS99
20-05-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 3lb
Result1
SP7/4F
JockeyW J Lee
OR79
FFR72
SS95
04-05-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP7/2F
JockeyW J Lee
OR79
FFR81
SS99
22-04-2026
Gowran Park-- | 1m | Soft
Wgt--
Result3 btn 4L
SP7/2
JockeyW J Lee
OR83
FFR61
SS97
22-03-2026
Naas-- | 1m | Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP4/1
JockeyW J Lee
OR83
FFR69
SS104
 9st 7lb 10 OR 78 69 -9lb 21 1.05 +11.2 Freshened up Up in trip Solid field -- 45% 52% 1/6 104 E Stiff -6 WATCH ONLY
Lady ArwenRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 39.8
2-1-1-10-6-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
08-09-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 8.5f | Soft
Wgt9st 1lb
Result2 btn 4L
SP7/2J
JockeyW J Lee
OR73
FFR85
SS88
28-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 8.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 12lb
Result1
SP12/1
JockeyW J Lee
OR68
FFR73
SS97
20-07-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 6lb
Result1
SP10/1
JockeyW J Lee
OR61
FFR50
SS92
12-06-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 1lb
Result10 btn 0.5L
SP18/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR62
FFR81
SS96
25-04-2026
Limerick-- | 1m | Yielding
Wgt--
Result6 btn 1.2L
SP10/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR64
FFR82
SS100
09-04-2026
Gowran Park-- | 1m | Soft
Wgt--
Result1
SP7/1
JockeySam Coen
OR60
FFR69
SS94
 9st 8lb 3 OR 73 69 -4lb 8 1.05 +10.4 Quick return Down in trip Solid field -- 49% 52% 1/6 94 E Near mark -1 CAUTION PROFILE
Oscar NomineeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 38.2
8-2-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
21-08-2026
Killarney (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 10lb
Result8 btn 9.5L
SP22/1
JockeyBen Coen
OR84
FFR85
SS91
09-03-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 1m1½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 2L
SP15/8
JockeyOisin Murphy
OR--
FFR81
SS96
17-02-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 1m1½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP13/2
JockeyJonny Peate
OR--
FFR38
SS--
 9st 10lb 14 OR 81 38 -43lb 0 1.05 +13.4 Standard rest Up in trip Solid field -- 50% 47% 0/6 96 C Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Rest Your MindRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 29.8
1-6-12-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-08-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 8.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 10lb
Result1
SP15/2
JockeyW J Lee
OR--
FFR68
SS84
27-10-2025
Galway-- | 7f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP14/1
JockeySeamie Heffernan
OR--
FFR64
SS86
11-10-2025
Naas (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result12 btn 0.1L
SP9/1
JockeyJ M Sheridan
OR--
FFR72
SS92
20-07-2025
Curragh (IRE)-- | 1m1f | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP20/1
JockeySeamie Heffernan
OR--
FFR82
SS--
 9st 8lb 8 OR 73 82 +9lb 25 1.05 +4.4 Freshened up Down in trip Solid field -- 55% 61% 1/6 92 E Well treated +9 WATCH ONLY
Sweet Baby ZouRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 24.2
2-3-6-11-1-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-09-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result2 btn 2.5L
SP3/1F
JockeyJulian Pietropaolo
OR68
FFR56
SS97
21-08-2026
Killarney (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP8/1
JockeyJulian Pietropaolo
OR70
FFR83
SS85
31-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 8.5f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt10st 0lb
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP13/2
JockeyJ M Sheridan
OR70
FFR40
SS79
05-06-2026
Fairyhouse (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result11 btn 0.2L
SP11/8F
JockeyJ M Sheridan
OR64
FFR68
SS--
01-06-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 13lb
Result1
SP7/2
JockeyJ M Sheridan
OR59
FFR71
SS--
29-05-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result8 btn 1.2L
SP9/4F
JockeyJ M Sheridan
OR59
FFR73
SS--
 9st 1lb 7 OR 72 73 +1lb 12 1.05 +3.4 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 53% 57% 0/6 79 E Workable +7 CAUTION PROFILE
AreanaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 23.8
3-11-1-1-19-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-09-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Good
Wgt9st 13lb
Result3 btn 3.5L
SP5/1
JockeyJessica O'Gorman
OR68
FFR73
SS92
14-09-2025
Curragh (IRE)-- | 1m2f | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result11 btn 0.5L
SP33/1
JockeyJessica OGorman
OR78
FFR55
SS85
05-09-2025
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 1m2½f | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP7/2F
JockeyJessica OGorman
OR63
FFR87
SS59
24-08-2025
Naas (IRE)-- | 1m2½f | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP11/2
JockeyJessica OGorman
OR54
FFR88
SS102
07-12-2024
Navan (IRE)-- | 2m | Soft
Wgt--
Result19 btn 1.5L
SP200/1
JockeyBen Harvey
OR--
FFR71
SS104
17-11-2024
Navan (IRE)-- | 2m | Yielding
Wgt--
Result11 btn 0.2L
SP125/1
JockeySean Flanagan
OR--
FFR67
SS103
 9st 3lb 13 OR 68 67 -1lb 51 1.05 +6.9 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 49% 52% 1/6 103 E Near mark +2 CAUTION PROFILE
Neo SmartRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 19.2
6-6-4-5-4-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
22-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 12f | Good
Wgt8st 4lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP9/1
JockeyWesley Joyce
OR68
FFR57
SS104
16-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP7/2F
JockeyDeclan McDonogh
OR68
FFR71
SS97
07-08-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP4/1F
JockeyNicola Burns
OR69
FFR68
SS91
16-07-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result5 btn 2.2L
SP6/1
JockeyDeclan McDonogh
OR70
FFR71
SS99
26-06-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP22/1
JockeyDeclan McDonogh
OR70
FFR73
SS97
24-05-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result7 btn 0.8L
SP12/1
JockeyDeclan McDonogh
OR73
FFR68
SS94
 9st 1lb 12 OR 66 68 +2lb 15 1.05 -1.6 Standard rest Big drop back Solid field -- 53% 60% 1/6 94 E Workable +7 CAUTION PROFILE
Chestnut PalaceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 15.0
4-4-5-4-7-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
10-06-2026
Limerick (IRE)-- | 12f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 9lb
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP14/1
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR65
FFR78
SS94
29-05-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result4 btn 2.8L
SP25/1
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR68
FFR74
SS97
10-05-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 12f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result5 btn 5L
SP33/1
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR72
FFR73
SS94
22-04-2026
Gowran Park-- | 7f | Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 4.2L
SP40/1
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR--
FFR64
SS--
09-04-2026
Gowran Park-- | 1m1½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.5L
SP14/1
JockeyColin Keane
OR--
FFR55
SS--
22-03-2026
Naas-- | 1m | Soft
Wgt--
Result5 btn 3.8L
SP7/1
JockeyColin Keane
OR--
FFR66
SS--
 8st 7lb 11 OR 63 66 +3lb 0 1.05 -5.8 Layoff check Big drop back Solid field -- 55% 53% 1/6 94 E Well treated +9 WATCH ONLY
AdrienneRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 13.0
1-4-3-13-2-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-04-2026
PunchestownClass 1 | 2m½f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result1
SP15/2
JockeyDarragh OKeeffe
OR122
FFR102
SS95
06-04-2026
FairyhouseClass 1 | 2m | Yielding To Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 7L
SP33/1
JockeyDarragh OKeeffe
OR120
FFR105
SS96
22-02-2026
NaasClass 1 | 1m7½f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result3 btn 4L
SP4/1
JockeyShane OCallaghan
OR122
FFR94
SS92
01-02-2026
LeopardstownClass 1 | 2m2f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result13 btn 0.3L
SP16/1
JockeyDarragh OKeeffe
OR122
FFR102
SS96
26-12-2025
LeopardstownClass 1 | 2m | Yielding
Wgt--
Result2 btn 11L
SP33/1
JockeyShane OCallaghan
OR--
FFR99
SS95
30-11-2025
FairyhouseClass 1 | 2m | Yielding To Soft
Wgt--
Result3 btn 9.5L
SP16/1
JockeyShane OCallaghan
OR--
FFR104
SS88
 9st 5lb 1 OR 70 104 +34lb 42 1.05 -7.8 Long absence Big drop back Solid field -- 55% 56% 0/6 88 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Annie's AngelRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 10.2
8-11-5-4-6-12
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
16-08-2026
Tramore (IRE)-- | 16.5f | Good To Yielding
Wgt11st 6lb
Result8 btn 0.8L
SP13/2
JockeyMichael Kenneally
OR98
FFR55
SS89
30-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 12f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt9st 13lb
Result11 btn 0.3L
SP14/1
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR69
FFR61
SS97
06-07-2026
Roscommon-- | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 1lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP11/2
JockeyJoshua Halford
OR98
FFR100
SS89
14-06-2026
Downpatrick (IRE)-- | 18f | Good
Wgt10st 4lb
Result4 btn 1L
SP11/1
JockeyKevin Healy
OR98
FFR95
SS95
08-05-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 6lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP16/1
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR72
FFR56
SS37
28-03-2026
Curragh-- | 1m | Soft To Heavy
Wgt--
Result12 btn 5.5L
SP25/1
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR75
FFR86
SS79
 9st 0lb 9 OR 65 86 +21lb 9 1.05 -10.6 Freshened up Big drop back Solid field -- 58% 63% 0/6 79 D Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Lily ParrRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.2
10-6-10-4-4-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
18-08-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 12f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 9lb
Result10 btn 0.2L
SP15/2
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR65
FFR69
SS76
30-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 12f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt9st 10lb
Result6 btn 2.5L
SP50/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR66
FFR81
SS92
18-05-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 12f | Yielding
Wgt9st 1lb
Result10 btn 8L
SP22/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR67
FFR79
SS98
19-11-2025
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m4f | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 3.5L
SP100/30
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR68
FFR36
SS77
02-11-2025
Curragh-- | 1m4f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP16/1
JockeyNicola Burns
OR65
FFR64
SS95
06-10-2025
Killarney (IRE)-- | 1m3f | Soft
Wgt--
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP5/1
JockeyJack Kearney
OR67
FFR51
SS98
 8st 11lb 2 OR 62 51 -11lb 61 1.05 -12.6 Standard rest Big drop back Solid field -- 45% 52% 1/6 98 E Stiff -8 CAUTION PROFILE
HaranaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 6.2
2-7-5-1-5-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 13lb
Result2 btn 1L
SP8/1
JockeyChris Hayes
OR79
FFR66
SS101
25-07-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt10st 0lb
Result7 btn 0.5L
SP13/2
JockeyChris Hayes
OR80
FFR56
SS--
09-07-2026
Leopardstown-- | 9f | Good
Wgt8st 12lb
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP8/1
JockeyChris Hayes
OR81
FFR81
SS--
22-06-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 4lb
Result1
SP2/1
JockeyChris Hayes
OR72
FFR66
SS--
04-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Soft
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 2.5L
SP10/1
JockeyChris Hayes
OR75
FFR62
SS--
11-05-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 12f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result3 btn 2.8L
SP9/4
JockeyColin Keane
OR--
FFR77
SS--
 10st 0lb 6 OR 79 77 -2lb 37 1.05 -1.6 Standard rest Up in trip Solid field -- 49% 54% 1/6 101 E Near mark +1 WATCH ONLY
Eastern PeaceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 5.0
7-5-11-3-9-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 11f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result7 btn 3.2L
SP13/2
JockeyReese Holohan
OR70
FFR88
SS92
23-07-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Good
Wgt8st 4lb
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP10/1
JockeyPatrick McGettigan
OR71
FFR73
SS103
26-06-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 12f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result11 btn 6L
SP10/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR71
FFR73
SS89
15-05-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result3 btn 1.8L
SP16/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR72
FFR49
SS104
03-12-2025
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m2½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result9 btn 1.8L
SP6/1
JockeyDonagh OConnor
OR74
FFR66
SS102
14-11-2025
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m2½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP4/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR69
FFR61
SS95
 9st 1lb 5 OR 66 61 -5lb 30 1.05 -8.6 Standard rest Big drop back Solid field -- 49% 51% 1/6 95 E Near mark -2 WATCH ONLY
DarkdeserthighwayRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 0.8
7-4-2-6-8-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-09-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Good
Wgt9st 11lb
Result7 btn 1L
SP18/1
JockeyMel Sheridan
OR68
FFR40
SS93
18-08-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Good
Wgt10st 2lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP11/1
JockeyPaddy Harnett
OR68
FFR58
SS99
06-08-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result2 btn 0.2L
SP9/2F
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR62
FFR71
SS101
03-08-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP33/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR62
FFR78
SS104
15-07-2026
Killarney (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt10st 2lb
Result8 btn 1.5L
SP22/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR64
FFR73
SS99
03-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 10lb
Result10 btn 1.8L
SP14/1
JockeyColin Keane
OR66
FFR55
SS96
 9st 3lb 4 OR 68 55 -13lb 28 1.05 -1.1 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 45% 48% 1/6 96 E Stiff -10 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Sanctijude

Sanctijude profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Lady Arwen

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Sanctijude Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 47.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 47.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-7-1-4-3-4
FFR69 / -9lb
Speed104
Franked21
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw10
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4 Curragh (IRE) Competitive 19-07-2026
7 Curragh (IRE) Competitive 28-06-2026
1 Gowran Park (IRE) Strong run 20-05-2026
4 Curragh (IRE) Competitive 04-05-2026
3 Gowran Park Solid effort 22-04-2026
4 Naas Finished well 22-03-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating21
7winners since
8placers since
9evidence pts
05-04-2026 | Curragh (IRE) Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Anushka (IRE), Institute (IRE), Justiciar (IRE)

09-09-2025 | Galway (IRE) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Belle Nuit (IRE), Cherry Hill Girl (IRE), Girl Bear (IRE)

Later placers

Cherry Hill Girl (IRE) (06-01-2026)

08-04-2025 | Naas (IRE) Finished 11
Beat named rivals

Aurora Mist (IRE), Bullet Bourbon (IRE), Cosmic Clarets (IRE)

Race produced winner

Amiata (IRE), Aurora Mist (IRE)

Later placers

Bullet Bourbon (IRE) (04-01-2026), Cosmic Clarets (IRE) (05-03-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR69
Speed104
ConditionsCaution
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-9lb below mark
FFR 69 pounds scale
SpeedScoreabove par
104 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score32.0Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI EVERY_LOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -9lb | peak +5lb treated as ceiling | public read -6lb
Today's conditions match 45% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Class Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 7 1W / 5P Peak rating 80
Good 4 0W / 1P Peak rating 73
Fast 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 52% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 35%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 34%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questionsCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -9lb | peak +5lb treated as ceiling | public read -6lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -9lb | peak +5lb treated as ceiling | public read -6lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 78 | Latest FFR 69 | Best FFR 83 | Public mark read -6
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer W McCreery
Jockey W J Lee
Age 3
Draw 10
OR 78
Avg OR 70.3
OR vs Field +7.7
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 434174
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge +2.8
Variance Very steady 2.9% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 3.9 vs par
Curve Edging forward Trend 1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance1m1f
Runs at profile1
DEIE
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
28-06-2026 Curragh (IRE) Good 7 1:52.53 112.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.0 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 58 days Standard layoff
Micro score +0.0 No extra micro-intel adjustment
Ground timing match 1/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP5/2
OwnerDeegan Racing Syndicate
Pedigree

Churchill × Byzantium (Dutch Art)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.3L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
19-07-2026 Curragh (IRE) 4 0.3 Neutral finish
28-06-2026 Curragh (IRE) 7 0.5 Neutral finish
20-05-2026 Gowran Park (IRE) 1 0 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 2 runs with an official OR.
22-03-2026 | Naas
Rating 79 OR 83
22-04-2026 | Gowran Park
Rating 76 OR 83
04-05-2026 | Curragh (IRE)
Rating -- OR 79
20-05-2026 | Gowran Park (IRE)
Rating -- OR 79
28-06-2026 | Curragh (IRE)
Rating -- OR 81
19-07-2026 | Curragh (IRE)
Rating -- OR 81
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par1m 51.11s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:52.53
Recent positions7
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
19-07-2026 Curragh (IRE) | 8f | Good To Firm | -- 4 5/2 81 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
28-06-2026 Curragh (IRE) | 9f | Good | -- 7 33/1 81 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
20-05-2026 Gowran Park (IRE) | 8f | Good To Yielding | -- 1 7/4F 79 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
04-05-2026 Curragh (IRE) | 7f | Good | -- 4 7/2F 79 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
22-04-2026 Gowran Park | 1m | Soft | -- 3 7/2 83 76 69 4 1:43.30 GOLD - faster than par
22-03-2026 Naas | 1m | Soft | -- 4 4/1 83 79 41 0.8 1:52.87 AMBER - competitive
Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -9lb | peak +5lb treated as ceiling | public read -6lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 103.6 and winning TS par is around 59.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Lady Arwen Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 39.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 39.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form2-1-1-10-6-1
FFR69 / -4lb
Speed94
Franked8
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw3
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Galway (IRE) Solid effort 08-09-2026
1 Galway (IRE) Strong run 28-07-2026
1 Ballinrobe (IRE) Strong run 20-07-2026
10 Gowran Park (IRE) Run faded 12-06-2026
6 Limerick Run faded 25-04-2026
1 Gowran Park Strong run 09-04-2026
Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating8
1winners since
1placers since
7evidence pts
04-09-2026 | Gowran Park Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Carrickfinn (GB), Famous Enough (IRE), Galactic Grey (IRE)

09-08-2026 | Galway (IRE) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Casamorati (IRE), Clear Quartz (IRE), Eddie G (IRE)

03-06-2026 | Dundalk (AW) Finished 11
Beat named rivals

Chavajod (GB), Vocology (IRE)

Race produced winner

Bella Colombia (IRE)

Later placers

Heart Of Darkness (GB) (01-09-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR69
Speed94
ConditionsCaution
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-4lb below mark
FFR 69 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
94 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score31.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI EVERY_LOW
Mark readNear markLatest -4lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read -1lb
Today's conditions match 49% Conditions ask questions
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 58%
Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground
Ground evidence Good No recent good sample; best evidence is on testing ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read No recent good sample; best evidence is on testing ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 20 4W / 7P Peak rating 83
Good 8 1W / 3P Peak rating 82
Fast 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 29
All-weather 3 0W / 0P Peak rating 57
Placement evidence 52% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 35%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 49%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questions
Mark read Latest -4lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read -1lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest -4lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read -1lb

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 73 | Latest FFR 69 | Best FFR 85 | Public mark read -1
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Conor O'Dwyer
Jockey Wayne Lordan
Age 7
Draw 3
OR 73
Avg OR 70.3
OR vs Field +2.7
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 160112
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Very steady 4% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 0 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance1m1f
Runs at profile1
DEIE
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
17-09-2024 Punchestown (IRE) Good 4 1:59.02 119
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 7 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP7/2J
OwnerHugo Anne Kane
Pedigree

Postponed × Royale Danehill (Danehill)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this tripBeaten favouriteMarket expected more last time
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.3L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
08-09-2026 Galway (IRE) 2 4 Fast finish
28-07-2026 Galway (IRE) 1 0 Neutral finish
20-07-2026 Ballinrobe (IRE) 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 2 runs with an official OR.
09-04-2026 | Gowran Park
Rating 65 OR 60
25-04-2026 | Limerick
Rating 59 OR 64
12-06-2026 | Gowran Park (IRE)
Rating -- OR 62
20-07-2026 | Ballinrobe (IRE)
Rating -- OR 61
28-07-2026 | Galway (IRE)
Rating -- OR 68
08-09-2026 | Galway (IRE)
Rating -- OR 73
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par1m 51.11s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:59.02
Recent positions4
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
08-09-2026 Galway (IRE) | 8.5f | Soft | -- 2 7/2J 73 -- -- 4 -- GREY - no timing read
28-07-2026 Galway (IRE) | 8.5f | Yielding | -- 1 12/1 68 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
20-07-2026 Ballinrobe (IRE) | 9.5f | Good To Yielding | -- 1 10/1 61 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
12-06-2026 Gowran Park (IRE) | 9.5f | Yielding | -- 10 18/1 62 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
25-04-2026 Limerick | 1m | Yielding | -- 6 10/1 64 59 44 1.2 1:52.61 AMBER - competitive
09-04-2026 Gowran Park | 1m | Soft | -- 1 7/1 60 65 52 0 1:44.36 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Near mark

Latest -4lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read -1lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 103.6 and winning TS par is around 59.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Oscar Nominee Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 38.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 38.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form8-2-1
FFR38 / -43lb
Speed96
Franked0
Ground0/2 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw14
Wgt9st 10lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
8 Killarney (IRE) Run faded 21-08-2026
2 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 09-03-2026
1 Wolverhampton (AW) Finished well 17-02-2026
Race form proof Some franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating0
0winners since
0placers since
2evidence pts
03-09-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Al Amirah (GB), Alice De Clare (IRE), Eze Sur Mer (IRE)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement0/6
FFR38
Speed96
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementCaution
FFR vs OR-43lb below mark
FFR 38 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
96 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score34.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CLOW
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -43lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb
Today's conditions match 50% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good Has experience, but limited strong evidence
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs1/3
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Has experience, but limited strong evidence Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 2 1W / 2P Peak rating 81
Placement evidence 47% Intent unclear
Trip evidence 58%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 4%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -43lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -43lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 81 | Latest FFR 38 | Best FFR 85 | Public mark read -16
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer J P Murtagh
Jockey Ben Coen
Age 3
Draw 14
OR 81
Avg OR 70.3
OR vs Field +10.7
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 128
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge -0.8
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -3.8 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m1½f
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m1½f
Runs at profile2
DEIC
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
17-02-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 1 2:3.18 123.2
09-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 2 2:1.60 121.6
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 25 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 0/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP22/1
OwnerQatar Racing Limited
Pedigree

Frankel × Danza Cavallo (Sunday Break)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 3.8L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
21-08-2026 Killarney (IRE) 8 9.5 Run faded
09-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 2 2 Run faded
17-02-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 1 0 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 2 earlier runs were unrated.
17-02-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 73 OR Unrated
09-03-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 81 OR Unrated
21-08-2026 | Killarney (IRE)
Rating -- OR 84
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 51.11s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times2:3.18 | 2:1.60
Recent positions1 | 2
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
21-08-2026 Killarney (IRE) | 8f | Good | -- 8 22/1 84 -- -- 9.5 -- GREY - no timing read
09-03-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 1m1½f | Standard | Class 4 2 15/8 -- 81 49 2 2:01.60 GREY - below benchmark
17-02-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 1m1½f | Standard | Class 4 1 13/2 -- 73 13 0 2:03.18 GREY - below benchmark
Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -43lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 103.6 and winning TS par is around 59.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Rest Your Mind Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 29.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 29.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +9lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form1-6-12-5
FFR82 / +9lb
Speed92
Franked25
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw8
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Sweet Baby Zou Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 24.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 24.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form2-3-6-11-1-8
FFR73 / +1lb
Speed79
Franked12
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw7
Wgt9st 1lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Areana Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 23.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 23.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-11-1-1-19-11
FFR67 / -1lb
Speed103
Franked51
Ground0/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw13
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Neo Smart Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 19.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 19.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-6-4-5-4-7
FFR68 / +2lb
Speed94
Franked15
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw12
Wgt9st 1lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Chestnut Palace Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 15.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 15.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +9lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-4-5-4-7-5
FFR66 / +3lb
Speed94
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw11
Wgt8st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Adrienne Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 13.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 13.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form1-4-3-13-2-3
FFR104 / +34lb
Speed88
Franked42
Ground2/2 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw1
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Annie's Angel Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 10.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 10.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form8-11-5-4-6-12
FFR86 / +21lb
Speed79
Franked9
Ground0/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw9
Wgt9st 0lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Lily Parr Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10-6-10-4-4-5
FFR51 / -11lb
Speed98
Franked61
Ground0/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw2
Wgt8st 11lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Harana Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 6.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 6.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form2-7-5-1-5-3
FFR77 / -2lb
Speed101
Franked37
Ground1/2 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw6
Wgt10st 0lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Eastern Peace Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 5.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 5.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-5-11-3-9-1
FFR61 / -5lb
Speed95
Franked30
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw5
Wgt9st 1lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Darkdeserthighway Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 0.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 0.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-4-2-6-8-10
FFR55 / -13lb
Speed96
Franked28
Ground2/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw4
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
4:17 | Yarmouth

4:17 | Yarmouth | 10f

Class 4 | Good To Soft | Thurlow Nunn Standen Groundcare Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Race Confidence 61 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosLow
Average OR77.88 rated runners | Top OR 80: Hamlet's Night
Winning par2m 09.57s2 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD TO SOFT (GoingStick: 4.8) Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-80 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Hamlet's Night leads the contextual model at 42.5
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +6.8 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 2m 09.57s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 8 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Hamlet's NightRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 45.0
11-3-5-11-1-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
09-05-2026
HaydockClass 1 | 15.5f | Good
Wgt11st 3lb
Result11 btn 3L
SP28/1
JockeyBrendan Powell
OR130
FFR109
SS80
26-04-2026
MusselburghClass 4 | 1m4½f | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP11/8F
JockeyJason Hart
OR80
FFR93
SS97
05-04-2026
PlumptonClass 2 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1.8L
SP33/1
JockeyBrendan Powell
OR132
FFR72
SS106
28-02-2026
KelsoClass 2 | 2m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result11 btn 22L
SP16/1
JockeySean Bowen
OR134
FFR97
SS71
18-02-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 1m3f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result1
SP7/2
JockeyAshley Lewis
OR76
FFR88
SS93
08-11-2025
WincantonClass 1 | 1m7f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP8/1
JockeyJames Bowen
OR129
FFR115
SS101
 9st 9lb 5 OR 80 115 +35lb 19 1.07 +13.4 Long absence Big drop back Solid field -- 58% 65% 1/6 101 D Well treated +12 PRICE DEPENDENT
KokaneeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 40.0
9-8-1-6-2-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
22-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 4 | 10f | Standard
Wgt9st 8lb
Result9 btn 27L
SP16/1
JockeyPat Cosgrave
OR79
FFR72
SS96
05-07-2026
AyrClass 4 | 10f | Good
Wgt10st 1lb
Result8 btn 0.3L
SP100/30
JockeyClifford Lee
OR79
FFR85
SS81
06-06-2026
LingfieldClass 5 | 10f | Soft
Wgt9st 6lb
Result1
SP15/8F
JockeyJack Callan
OR75
FFR78
SS98
18-04-2026
NottinghamClass 5 | 1m½f | Good
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.3L
SP9/4F
JockeyMason Paetel
OR76
FFR77
SS94
07-04-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 1m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.1L
SP2/1F
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR74
FFR64
SS101
31-10-2025
NewmarketClass 5 | 1m | Good
Wgt--
Result5 btn 3.5L
SP100/30
JockeyHector Crouch
OR75
FFR44
SS97
 9st 7lb 2 OR 78 44 -34lb 2 1.07 +6.7 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 55% 59% 2/6 97 A Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Due To HenryRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 37.8
5-3-5-2-10-13
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-08-2026
GoodwoodClass 4 | 10f | Soft
Wgt9st 8lb
Result5 btn 2.8L
SP12/1
JockeyCharles Bishop
OR77
FFR64
SS94
13-06-2026
ChesterClass 3 | 10.5f | Good To Soft
Wgt8st 5lb
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP12/1
JockeySean D Bowen
OR77
FFR50
SS106
18-05-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 11.5f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result5 btn 2L
SP100/30
JockeyCharles Bishop
OR78
FFR87
SS96
25-04-2026
HaydockClass 4 | 1m2½f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.2L
SP10/1
JockeyCharles Bishop
OR75
FFR70
SS92
20-10-2025
PontefractClass 4 | 1m2f | Soft
Wgt--
Result10 btn 17L
SP25/1
JockeyTom Marquand
OR78
FFR88
SS63
08-10-2025
NottinghamClass 4 | 1m2f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result13 btn 12L
SP5/1
JockeyDaniel Tudhope
OR80
FFR72
SS100
 9st 5lb 8 OR 76 72 -4lb 52 1.07 -0.8 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 57% 62% 1/6 100 B Near mark -1 WATCH ONLY
Princess RascalRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 32.2
10-5-4-4-1-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-08-2026
NewburyClass 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 13lb
Result10 btn 2.8L
SP14/1
JockeyKaiya Fraser
OR82
FFR66
SS98
12-06-2026
ChesterClass 4 | 10.5f | Soft
Wgt10st 2lb
Result5 btn 0.1L
SP6/1
JockeyGeorge Wood
OR85
FFR102
SS108
03-05-2026
SalisburyClass 4 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 4lb
Result4 btn 3L
SP11/4
JockeyRay Dawson
OR87
FFR79
SS84
24-10-2025
NewburyClass 4 | 1m2f | Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP5/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR87
FFR68
SS112
04-10-2025
NewmarketClass 2 | 1m2f | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP7/2
JockeyRay Dawson
OR81
FFR67
SS94
11-08-2025
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 1m4f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result6 btn 5.5L
SP13/8F
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR81
FFR51
SS--
 9st 9lb 1 OR 80 51 -29lb 43 1.07 -4.3 Standard rest Big step up Solid field -- 55% 59% 2/6 94 A Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Mythical GuestRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 24.8
12-3-4-3-9-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-09-2026
AscotClass 2 | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 9lb
Result12 btn 3.8L
SP40/1
JockeyKieran O'Neill
OR78
FFR43
SS99
14-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 3 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 8lb
Result3 btn 0.2L
SP16/1
JockeyMason Paetel
OR78
FFR79
SS98
18-07-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 10lb
Result4 btn 2.8L
SP4/1
JockeyRobert Havlin
OR80
FFR80
SS95
10-07-2026
AscotClass 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 10lb
Result3 btn 0.1L
SP13/2
JockeyHarry Burns
OR80
FFR70
SS97
19-06-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 3 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result9 btn 0.5L
SP33/1
JockeyOlivia Haines
OR84
FFR89
SS109
10-06-2026
YarmouthClass 4 | 8f | Soft
Wgt9st 8lb
Result9 btn 0.5L
SP10/1
JockeyJ F Egan
OR84
FFR62
SS81
 9st 7lb 7 OR 78 62 -16lb 42 1.07 -3.8 Standard rest Big step up Solid field -- 55% 57% 2/6 81 A Stiff -13 CAUTION PROFILE
EchalarRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 23.0
1-7-4-3-10-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
15-08-2026
DoncasterClass 5 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result1
SP9/1
JockeyConor Whiteley
OR72
FFR80
SS101
02-08-2026
ChesterClass 4 | 10.5f | Good
Wgt9st 11lb
Result7 btn 4L
SP28/1
JockeyDavid Probert
OR74
FFR60
SS102
16-07-2026
ChepstowClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP6/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR75
FFR70
SS92
27-06-2026
ChepstowClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result3 btn 0.2L
SP28/1
JockeyRobert Dunne
OR75
FFR67
SS88
08-05-2026
ChesterClass 2 | 10.5f | Good
Wgt8st 2lb
Result10 btn 22L
SP80/1
JockeyDuran Fentiman
OR79
FFR57
SS103
27-04-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 1m1½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 1.8L
SP12/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR76
FFR77
SS101
 9st 5lb 3 OR 76 77 +1lb 0 1.07 +4.2 Freshened up Same trip Solid field -- 56% 63% 0/6 101 D Workable +4 CAUTION PROFILE
PercivalRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 19.0
5-4-3-6-16-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
24-08-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 11.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 0lb
Result5 btn 0.2L
SP9/2
JockeyDavid Egan
OR83
FFR89
SS107
01-08-2026
LingfieldClass 4 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP7/2
JockeyTaryn Langley
OR83
FFR58
SS82
23-07-2026
SandownClass 4 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result3 btn 0.2L
SP28/1
JockeySaffie Osborne
OR83
FFR58
SS--
10-06-2026
YarmouthClass 4 | 8f | Soft
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP33/1
JockeyGeorge Wood
OR84
FFR80
SS--
15-03-2026
Saint-Cloud-- | 1m4f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result16 btn 17L
SP14/1
JockeyAlexis Pouchin
OR88
FFR79
SS--
15-11-2024
Saint-Cloud (FR)-- | 1m2f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result1
SP42/10
JockeyAlexis Pouchin
OR--
FFR67
SS--
 9st 9lb 4 OR 80 67 -13lb 36 1.07 -2.3 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 50% 55% 0/6 82 C Stiff -10 CAUTION PROFILE
Arthur's RealmRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 10.0
7-5-7-7-10-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
EpsomClass 4 | 10f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 12lb
Result7 btn 0.8L
SP14/1
JockeyDarragh Keenan
OR76
FFR65
SS104
05-06-2026
GoodwoodClass 4 | 12f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 3.5L
SP25/1
JockeyLiam Wright
OR78
FFR66
SS101
08-10-2025
NottinghamClass 4 | 1m2f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.8L
SP40/1
JockeyMason Paetel
OR80
FFR81
SS84
16-09-2025
YarmouthClass 4 | 1m2f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result7 btn 3L
SP11/1
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR82
FFR81
SS93
19-06-2025
Chelmsford (AW)Class 4 | 1m2f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result10 btn 4.5L
SP50/1
JockeyDougie Costello
OR84
FFR68
SS101
29-05-2025
RiponClass 3 | 1m2f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result11 btn 15L
SP10/1
JockeyDaniel Tudhope
OR86
FFR70
SS104
 9st 3lb 6 OR 74 70 -4lb 66 1.07 -12.8 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 52% 55% 1/6 104 D Near mark -1 WATCH ONLY
Main Context Fit Hamlet's Night

Hamlet's Night profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Kokanee

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Hamlet's Night Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 45.0
PRICE DEPENDENT
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Best of a weak race 45.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form11-3-5-11-1-2
FFR115 / +35lb
Speed101
Franked19
Ground0/3 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassDown in class
Draw5
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
11 Haydock Competitive 09-05-2026
3 Musselburgh Strong run 26-04-2026
5 Plumpton Competitive 05-04-2026
11 Kelso Run faded 28-02-2026
1 Kempton (AW) Troubled run 18-02-2026
2 Wincanton Troubled run 08-11-2025
Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating19
1winners since
0placers since
6evidence pts
05-09-2026 | Haydock Finished 11
Beat named rivals

Bucephalus (GER), Frontier Prince (GB), No Ordinary Joe (IRE)

04-05-2026 | Plumpton Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Half A Chance (IRE), Inside Man (FR), Intellotto (IRE)

Race produced winner

Mondo Man (GB)

04-12-2025 | Brighton Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Early Morning Dew (FR), Macari (GB), Pyrotechnic (FR)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement1/6
FFR115
Speed101
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+35lb ahead of mark
FFR 115 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
101 Par 100
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDistance evidence is thin
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score42.5Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DLOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest +35lb | peak +35lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 58% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 52%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Testing Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating111
Best ground bandTesting
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 6 0W / 2P Peak rating 111
Good 9 2W / 6P Peak rating 132
Fast 5 0W / 1P Peak rating 86
All-weather 4 1W / 2P Peak rating 88
Placement evidence 65% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 44%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +35lb | peak +35lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +35lb | peak +35lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 80 | Latest FFR 115 | Best FFR 115 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer James Owen
Jockey Luke Morris
Age 5
Draw 5
OR 80
Avg OR 77.8
OR vs Field +2.2
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 764-13
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Variable; Bounce watch; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Improving

confidence nudge -0.5
Variance Variable 13.3% volatility
Bounce Bounce watch Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 5.7 vs par
Curve Improving Trend 2
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.
Profile distance1m2f
Runs at profile4
DEID
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
10-05-2025 Lingfield Good To Firm 2 2:8.74 128.7
02-06-2025 Wetherby Good To Firm 7 2:6.57 126.6
14-07-2025 Windsor Good To Firm 6 2:7.54 127.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.5 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 129 days Freshness caution
Micro score -0.5 no recent matched-ground timing evidence; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP28/1
OwnerRoxholme Racing
Pedigree

Invincible Spirit × Ophelia's Dream (Dubawi)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Beaten favouriteMarket expected more last time
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
09-05-2026 Haydock 11 3 Neutral finish
26-04-2026 Musselburgh 3 1.2 Fast finish
05-04-2026 Plumpton 5 1.8 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 3 of 5 runs with an official OR.
08-11-2025 | Wincanton
Rating 132 OR 129
18-02-2026 | Kempton (AW)
Rating 85 OR 76
28-02-2026 | Kelso
Rating 111 OR 134
05-04-2026 | Plumpton
Rating 130 OR 132
26-04-2026 | Musselburgh
Rating 85 OR 80
09-05-2026 | Haydock
Rating -- OR 130
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs4
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par2m 09.57s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times2:8.74 | 2:6.57 | 2:7.54
Recent positions2 | 7 | 6
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
09-05-2026 Haydock | 15.5f | Good | Class 1 11 28/1 130 -- -- 3 -- GREY - no timing read
26-04-2026 Musselburgh | 1m4½f | Good | Class 4 3 11/8F 80 85 56 1.2 2:43.23 GREY - below benchmark
05-04-2026 Plumpton | 2m | Good | Class 2 5 33/1 132 130 118 1.8 3:43.00 GREY - below benchmark
28-02-2026 Kelso | 2m | Good To Soft | Class 2 11 16/1 134 111 79 22 4:12.12 GREY - below benchmark
18-02-2026 Kempton (AW) | 1m3f | Standard To Slow | Class 4 1 7/2 76 85 46 0 2:18.85 GREY - below benchmark
08-11-2025 Wincanton | 1m7f | Good | Class 1 2 8/1 129 132 103 0.3 3:32.40 GREY - below benchmark
Handicap Well treated

Latest +35lb | peak +35lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 83.5 and winning TS par is around 73. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Kokanee Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 40.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Best of a weak race 40.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form9-8-1-6-2-5
FFR44 / -34lb
Speed97
Franked2
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw2
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.07
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
9 Lingfield (AW) Steady run 22-08-2026
8 Ayr Competitive 05-07-2026
1 Lingfield Strong run 06-06-2026
6 Nottingham Run faded 18-04-2026
2 Pontefract Finished well 07-04-2026
5 Newmarket Run faded 31-10-2025
Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating2
0winners since
1placers since
5evidence pts
04-07-2026 | Pontefract Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Alpha Capture (IRE), Character Testing (GB), Not Me (GB)

Later placers

Alpha Capture (IRE) (07-09-2026)

06-06-2026 | Lingfield Finished 1
Beat named rivals

A Major Payne (GB), Bintkend (IRE), Birthday Angel (IRE)

07-05-2026 | Ayr Finished 8
Beat named rivals

Cisco Disco (IRE), Ouro Preto (FR)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR44
Speed97
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-34lb below mark
FFR 44 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
97 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score35.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AMEDIUM
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -34lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb
Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Testing Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating82
Best ground bandTesting
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 4 1W / 3P Peak rating 82
Good 6 1W / 1P Peak rating 81
Fast 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 70
All-weather 4 0W / 0P Peak rating 72
Placement evidence 59% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 4%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (A)9 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -34lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -34lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 78 | Latest FFR 44 | Best FFR 85 | Public mark read -16
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Ed Dunlop
Jockey Saffie Osborne
Age 4
Draw 2
OR 78
Avg OR 77.8
OR vs Field +0.2
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form -26189
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.0
Variance Reliable 6.7% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 1.3 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m2f
Runs at profile9
DEIA
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
06-06-2026 Lingfield Soft 1 2:12.90 132.9
05-07-2026 Ayr Good 8 2:9.53 129.5
22-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 9 2:9.12 129.1
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 24 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP16/1
OwnerJohnny Hall
Pedigree

Kameko × Stroll Patrol (Mount Nelson)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 9.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
22-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 9 27 Neutral finish
05-07-2026 Ayr 8 0.3 Neutral finish
06-06-2026 Lingfield 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 3 runs with an official OR.
31-10-2025 | Newmarket
Rating 69 OR 75
07-04-2026 | Pontefract
Rating 82 OR 74
18-04-2026 | Nottingham
Rating 77 OR 76
06-06-2026 | Lingfield
Rating -- OR 75
05-07-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 79
22-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 79
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs9
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par2m 09.57s
Last win at trip-- | Lingfield | 06-06-2026
Recent times2:12.90 | 2:9.53 | 2:9.12
Recent positions1 | 8 | 9
Winning contextOR 75 | weight 9-6
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
22-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 10f | Standard | Class 4 9 16/1 79 -- -- 27 -- GREY - no timing read
05-07-2026 Ayr | 10f | Good | Class 4 8 100/30 79 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
06-06-2026 Lingfield | 10f | Soft | Class 5 1 15/8F 75 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
18-04-2026 Nottingham | 1m½f | Good | Class 5 6 9/4F 76 77 39 0.3 1:47.04 GOLD - faster than par
07-04-2026 Pontefract | 1m | Good To Soft | Class 5 2 2/1F 74 82 71 0.1 1:47.26 GOLD - faster than par
31-10-2025 Newmarket | 1m | Good | Class 5 5 100/30 75 69 53 3.5 1:41.55 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -34lb | peak +7lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 83.5 and winning TS par is around 73. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Due To Henry Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 37.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Watch only 37.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form5-3-5-2-10-13
FFR72 / -4lb
Speed100
Franked52
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw8
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Princess Rascal Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 32.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 32.2 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form10-5-4-4-1-6
FFR51 / -29lb
Speed94
Franked43
Ground2/3 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.07
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
10 Newbury Competitive 26-08-2026
5 Chester Competitive 12-06-2026
4 Salisbury Competitive 03-05-2026
4 Newbury Strong run 24-10-2025
1 Newmarket Strong run 04-10-2025
6 Kempton (AW) Run faded 11-08-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating43
5winners since
4placers since
11evidence pts
05-03-2026 | Salisbury Finished 4
Race produced winner

Siam Ruby (IRE)

Later placers

Royal Poetry (IRE) (06-09-2026)

08-11-2025 | Kempton (AW) Finished 6
Race produced winner

Crackergee (GB)

Later placers

Schemaya (IRE) (10-11-2025)

10-04-2025 | Newmarket Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Blessed Star (IRE), Chic Colombine (FR), Morrophore (FR)

Race produced winner

Morrophore (FR), North Star (IRE)

Later placers

Blessed Star (IRE) (09-11-2025), Mrs Twig (IRE) (09-06-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR51
Speed94
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-29lb below mark
FFR 51 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
94 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score24.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AMEDIUM
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -29lb | peak +22lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb
Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Testing Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating92
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 92
Good 1 1W / 1P Peak rating 92
Fast 3 1W / 1P Peak rating 80
All-weather 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 63
Placement evidence 59% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 4%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (A)5 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -29lb | peak +22lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -29lb | peak +22lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 80 | Latest FFR 51 | Best FFR 102 | Public mark read -16
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Oliver Cole
Jockey Ray Dawson
Age 4
Draw 1
OR 80
Avg OR 77.8
OR vs Field +2.2
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 14-450
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Variable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Cooling

confidence nudge -0.8
Variance Variable 10.1% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 11.7 vs par
Curve Cooling Trend -1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m2f
Runs at profile5
DEIA
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
04-10-2025 Newmarket Good 1 2:2.45 122.5
24-10-2025 Newbury Soft 4 2:17.22 137.2
03-05-2026 Salisbury Good To Firm 4 2:11.70 131.7
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 20 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpFirst-time aid today
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP14/1
OwnerCharlie Rosier Mrs Julia Rosier
Pedigree

Pinatubo × Part Exchange (Champs Elysees)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
26-08-2026 Newbury 10 2.8 Neutral finish
12-06-2026 Chester 5 0.1 Neutral finish
03-05-2026 Salisbury 4 3 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 3 runs with an official OR.
11-08-2025 | Kempton (AW)
Rating 63 OR 81
04-10-2025 | Newmarket
Rating 92 OR 81
24-10-2025 | Newbury
Rating 92 OR 87
03-05-2026 | Salisbury
Rating -- OR 87
12-06-2026 | Chester
Rating -- OR 85
26-08-2026 | Newbury
Rating -- OR 82
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs5
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par2m 09.57s
Last win at trip2:2.45 | Newmarket | 04-10-2025
Recent times2:2.45 | 2:17.22 | 2:11.70
Recent positions1 | 4 | 4
Winning contextvs par -7.12s | OR 81
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
26-08-2026 Newbury | 8f | Good To Firm | Class 4 10 14/1 82 -- -- 2.8 -- GREY - no timing read
12-06-2026 Chester | 10.5f | Soft | Class 4 5 6/1 85 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
03-05-2026 Salisbury | 10f | Good To Firm | Class 4 4 11/4 87 -- -- 3 -- GREY - no timing read
24-10-2025 Newbury | 1m2f | Soft | Class 4 4 5/1 87 92 63 0.2 2:17.22 GREY - below benchmark
04-10-2025 Newmarket | 1m2f | Good | Class 2 1 7/2 81 92 63 0 2:2.45 GOLD - faster than par
11-08-2025 Kempton (AW) | 1m4f | Standard To Slow | Class 4 6 13/8F 81 63 49 5.5 2:40.17 GREY - below benchmark
Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -29lb | peak +22lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 83.5 and winning TS par is around 73. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Mythical Guest Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 24.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 24.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form12-3-4-3-9-9
FFR62 / -16lb
Speed81
Franked42
Ground1/3 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassDown in class
Draw7
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: DEI Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.07
Echalar Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 23.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 23.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form1-7-4-3-10-7
FFR77 / +1lb
Speed101
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw3
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Percival Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 19.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 19.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form5-4-3-6-16-1
FFR67 / -13lb
Speed82
Franked36
Ground0/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Arthur's Realm Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 10.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 10.0 confidence
Why consider16 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form7-5-7-7-10-11
FFR70 / -4lb
Speed104
Franked66
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
4:23 | Redcar

4:23 | Redcar | 5f

Class 5 | Good | Try RacingTV Free Now At racingtv.com/freetrial Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 60 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosLow
Average OR64.17 rated runners | Top OR 69: All Good
Winning par58.35s7 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 7.1) Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-70 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Startling leads the contextual model at 39.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Moderate edge over next best: +3.5
  • Winning-time par: 58.35s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 7 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
StartlingRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 52.8
1-2-2-4-2-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-09-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result1
SP1/1F
JockeyJason Hart
OR60
FFR71
SS94
08-08-2026
AyrClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 1.5L
SP16/1
JockeyJason Hart
OR60
FFR65
SS105
27-07-2026
AyrClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 12lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP4/1F
JockeyJason Hart
OR60
FFR64
SS95
18-07-2026
DoncasterClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP5/1
JockeyGianluca Sanna
OR61
FFR64
SS99
25-06-2026
LeicesterClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result2 btn 2.8L
SP4/6F
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR60
FFR60
SS98
18-06-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result2 btn 0.8L
SP9/1
JockeyGianluca Sanna
OR60
FFR67
SS102
 9st 7lb 4 OR 65 67 +2lb 27 1.13 +7.2 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 60% 67% 2/6 102 A Workable +6 PRICE DEPENDENT
Canaria QueenRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 44.8
5-2-2-8-2-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
RiponClass 5 | 5f | Soft
Wgt9st 6lb
Result5 btn 0.1L
SP11/2
JockeyDuran Fentiman
OR67
FFR71
SS92
26-08-2026
CatterickClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 11lb
Result2 btn 3L
SP9/2
JockeyDuran Fentiman
OR68
FFR71
SS91
17-08-2026
CatterickClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result2 btn 4L
SP13/2
JockeyDuran Fentiman
OR68
FFR63
SS99
01-08-2026
ThirskClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result8 btn 0.8L
SP11/1
JockeyDuran Fentiman
OR68
FFR63
SS97
24-07-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 12lb
Result2 btn 1.5L
SP11/1
JockeyDuran Fentiman
OR67
FFR73
SS90
06-07-2026
RiponClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result5 btn 1.5L
SP14/1
JockeyDuran Fentiman
OR68
FFR66
SS103
 9st 8lb 2 OR 66 66 +0lb 48 1.13 -1.8 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 60% 71% 2/6 103 A Workable +6 WATCH ONLY
Dragon SpinRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 35.8
5-11-4-1-6-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
22-08-2026
ChesterClass 4 | 5f | Good To Soft
Wgt8st 13lb
Result5 btn 2L
SP12/1
JockeyDougie Costello
OR68
FFR66
SS88
24-07-2026
YorkClass 4 | 5.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 12lb
Result11 btn 0.8L
SP14/1
JockeyDougie Costello
OR69
FFR62
SS86
03-07-2026
DoncasterClass 4 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 12lb
Result4 btn 2L
SP9/1
JockeyDougie Costello
OR69
FFR77
SS92
16-06-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result1
SP7/2
JockeyDougie Costello
OR65
FFR71
SS93
05-06-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result6 btn 1.5L
SP11/2
JockeyDougie Costello
OR66
FFR44
SS94
09-05-2026
NottinghamClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result1
SP11/2
JockeyDougie Costello
OR60
FFR66
SS90
 9st 7lb 3 OR 66 66 +0lb 19 1.13 -9.8 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 60% 67% 2/6 90 A Workable +6 WATCH ONLY
MarajitoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 33.2
6-7-2-4-5-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
RiponClass 5 | 5f | Soft
Wgt9st 5lb
Result6 btn 1.5L
SP16/1
JockeyOisin McSweeney
OR66
FFR57
SS108
22-08-2026
RedcarClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result7 btn 0.2L
SP11/1
JockeyOisin McSweeney
OR68
FFR60
SS113
03-08-2026
RiponClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result2 btn 2.5L
SP5/1
JockeyOisin McSweeney
OR68
FFR62
SS93
18-07-2026
NottinghamClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result4 btn 2L
SP5/1
JockeyJake Dickson
OR69
FFR67
SS88
05-07-2026
AyrClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt10st 13lb
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP16/1
JockeyMr Thomas Easterby
OR70
FFR39
SS90
16-06-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result6 btn 1.2L
SP11/2
JockeyDavid Allan
OR71
FFR60
SS99
 9st 6lb 7 OR 64 60 -4lb 33 1.13 -1.8 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 63% 66% 2/6 99 A Near mark -1 WATCH ONLY
All GoodRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 30.2
1-7-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-08-2026
RiponClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt8st 11lb
Result1
SP28/1
JockeyTom Kiely-Marshall
OR--
FFR67
SS87
14-10-2025
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.1L
SP28/1
JockeyRyan Sexton
OR--
FFR73
SS97
19-09-2025
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result8 btn 1L
SP40/1
JockeyRyan Sexton
OR--
FFR86
SS--
 9st 10lb 5 OR 69 86 +17lb 13 1.13 +3.8 Freshened up Down in trip Modest field -- 58% 65% 0/6 97 E Well treated +12 PRICE DEPENDENT
Sea Her ExcelRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 24.8
13-3-1-5-1-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 1lb
Result13 btn 6.5L
SP18/1
JockeyElle-May Croot
OR67
FFR52
SS93
20-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 3lb
Result3 btn 1.5L
SP11/4
JockeyElle-May Croot
OR67
FFR67
SS93
20-07-2026
AyrClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result1
SP7/2
JockeyElle-May Croot
OR64
FFR50
SS96
15-06-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 8lb
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP11/4F
JockeySean D Bowen
OR64
FFR66
SS91
04-06-2026
WetherbyClass 6 | 5.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result1
SP10/1
JockeySean D Bowen
OR58
FFR68
SS--
30-05-2026
CatterickClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result3 btn 1.8L
SP12/1
JockeyDaniel Muscutt
OR58
FFR31
SS--
 9st 7lb 1 OR 66 31 -35lb 14 1.13 +3.2 Standard rest Down in trip Modest field -- 47% 51% 0/6 91 C Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
DoraleeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 5.8
8-4-1-3-2-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
12-09-2026
MusselburghClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result8 btn 2.8L
SP16/1
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR53
FFR49
SS97
01-09-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 5lb
Result4 btn 2L
SP12/1
JockeyWilliam Pyle
OR53
FFR63
SS94
08-08-2026
RedcarClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result1
SP3/1
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR48
FFR57
SS98
04-08-2026
CatterickClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result3 btn 1L
SP6/4F
JockeyJason Hart
OR47
FFR67
SS104
27-07-2026
RiponClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result2 btn 0.2L
SP15/2
JockeyRowan Scott
OR47
FFR54
SS102
25-06-2026
NottinghamClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP5/1
JockeyFinley Marsh
OR48
FFR37
SS95
 8st 9lb 6 OR 53 37 -16lb 7 1.13 -1 Quick return Same trip Modest field -- 51% 55% 0/6 95 D Stiff -13 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Startling

Startling profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 2/6. Draw data is a slight caution. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Canaria Queen

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Startling Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 52.8
PRICE DEPENDENT
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Best of a weak race 52.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form1-2-2-4-2-2
FFR67 / +2lb
Speed102
Franked27
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw4
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Southwell (AW) Strong run 03-09-2026
2 Ayr Solid effort 08-08-2026
2 Ayr Solid effort 27-07-2026
4 Doncaster Competitive 18-07-2026
2 Leicester Solid effort 25-06-2026
2 Southwell (AW) Solid effort 18-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating27
3winners since
2placers since
9evidence pts
08-08-2026 | Ayr Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Falcon Queen (IRE), Harb (GB), Harry Mole (GB)

06-05-2026 | Thirsk Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Cheerleader (GB), Dragon Spin (GB), Fille Unique (IRE)

Race produced winner

Dragon Spin (GB), Military Girl (IRE)

Later placers

Pull The Rug (IRE) (08-06-2026)

09-03-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Bust A Moon (GB), Gwen Tennyson (IRE), Invincible Crown (IRE)

Later placers

Gwen Tennyson (IRE) (08-04-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement2/6
FFR67
Speed102
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+2lb near mark
FFR 67 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
102 Par 100
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskDraw data is a negative nudge
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score39.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 34%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw
Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 4 0W / 2P Peak rating 50
Fast 4 0W / 2P Peak rating --
All-weather 21 5W / 12P Peak rating 66
Placement evidence 67% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 70%
Stable setup 58%
Recent evidence 58%
Proven trip profile (A)28 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 65 | Latest FFR 67 | Best FFR 71 | Public mark read +6
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer John Wainwright
Jockey Jason Hart
Age 4
Draw 4
OR 65
Avg OR 64.1
OR vs Field +0.9
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 224221
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Very steady 3.9% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 5.4 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile28
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
27-07-2026 Ayr Good To Firm 2 0:58.80 58.8
08-08-2026 Ayr Good 2 0:57.63 57.6
03-09-2026 Southwell (AW) Standard 1 0:57.36 57.4
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 12 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: b; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearbDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP1/1F
OwnerK Nicholson
Pedigree

Zoustar × Pepper Lane (Exceed And Excel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.7L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
03-09-2026 Southwell (AW) 1 0 Neutral finish
08-08-2026 Ayr 2 1.5 Neutral finish
27-07-2026 Ayr 2 0.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
18-06-2026 | Southwell (AW)
Rating -- OR 60
25-06-2026 | Leicester
Rating -- OR 60
18-07-2026 | Doncaster
Rating -- OR 61
27-07-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 60
08-08-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 60
03-09-2026 | Southwell (AW)
Rating -- OR 60
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs28
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par58.35s
Last win at trip-- | Southwell (AW) | 03-09-2026
Recent times0:58.80 | 0:57.63 | 0:57.36
Recent positions2 | 2 | 1
Winning contextOR 60 | weight 9-9
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
03-09-2026 Southwell (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 6 1 1/1F 60 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
08-08-2026 Ayr | 5f | Good | Class 6 2 16/1 60 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
27-07-2026 Ayr | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 2 4/1F 60 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
18-07-2026 Doncaster | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 4 5/1 61 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
25-06-2026 Leicester | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 2 4/6F 60 -- -- 2.8 -- GREY - no timing read
18-06-2026 Southwell (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 5 2 9/1 60 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Workable mark

Latest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 80.7 and winning TS par is around 64.7. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Canaria Queen Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 44.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Watch only 44.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form5-2-2-8-2-5
FFR66 / +0lb
Speed103
Franked48
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw2
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
5 Ripon Competitive 31-08-2026
2 Catterick Solid effort 26-08-2026
2 Catterick Solid effort 17-08-2026
8 Thirsk Competitive 01-08-2026
2 Thirsk Solid effort 24-07-2026
5 Ripon Competitive 06-07-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating48
4winners since
1placers since
13evidence pts
04-07-2026 | Pontefract Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Harb (GB), Kitaab (GB), Lucius Aurelius (GB)

Race produced winner

Sergeant Mayer (IRE)

07-06-2026 | Ripon Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Goyard (IRE), South Parade (IRE), Tees Aggregates (IRE)

Race produced winner

South Parade (IRE), Vince L'Amour (IRE)

05-05-2026 | Ayr Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Fear And Fast (GB), Harb (GB), Royal Duke (GB)

Race produced winner

Wee Mary (IRE)

Later placers

Royal Duke (GB) (06-06-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement2/6
FFR66
Speed103
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+0lb near mark
FFR 66 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
103 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score30.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 34%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Track / draw
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs4/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 22 3W / 8P Peak rating 73
Good 21 3W / 11P Peak rating 74
Fast 6 1W / 3P Peak rating 64
All-weather 3 0W / 0P Peak rating 65
Placement evidence 71% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 70%
Stable setup 58%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (A)30 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 66 | Latest FFR 66 | Best FFR 73 | Public mark read +6
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Tim Easterby
Jockey Duran Fentiman
Age 6
Draw 2
OR 66
Avg OR 64.1
OR vs Field +1.9
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 528225
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; Mild bounce watch; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Improving

confidence nudge +2.8
Variance Very steady 4.8% volatility
Bounce Mild bounce watch Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 2.6 vs par
Curve Improving Trend 2
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile30
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
17-08-2026 Catterick Good 2 0:59.27 59.3
26-08-2026 Catterick Good 2 0:57.58 57.6
31-08-2026 Ripon Soft 5 1:0.45 60.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 15 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP11/2
OwnerThe Senators
Pedigree

Pastoral Pursuits × Gran Canaria Queen (Compton Place)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
31-08-2026 Ripon 5 0.1 Neutral finish
26-08-2026 Catterick 2 3 Neutral finish
17-08-2026 Catterick 2 4 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
06-07-2026 | Ripon
Rating -- OR 68
24-07-2026 | Thirsk
Rating -- OR 67
01-08-2026 | Thirsk
Rating -- OR 68
17-08-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 68
26-08-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 68
31-08-2026 | Ripon
Rating -- OR 67
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs30
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par58.35s
Last win at trip-- | Hamilton | 10-06-2026
Recent times0:59.27 | 0:57.58 | 1:0.45
Recent positions2 | 2 | 5
Winning contextOR 62 | weight 9-2
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
31-08-2026 Ripon | 5f | Soft | Class 5 5 11/2 67 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
26-08-2026 Catterick | 5f | Good | Class 4 2 9/2 68 -- -- 3 -- GREY - no timing read
17-08-2026 Catterick | 5f | Good | Class 5 2 13/2 68 -- -- 4 -- GREY - no timing read
01-08-2026 Thirsk | 5f | Good | Class 4 8 11/1 68 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
24-07-2026 Thirsk | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 5 2 11/1 67 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
06-07-2026 Ripon | 5f | Good | Class 4 5 14/1 68 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Workable mark

Latest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 80.7 and winning TS par is around 64.7. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Dragon Spin Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 35.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Watch only 35.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form5-11-4-1-6-1
FFR66 / +0lb
Speed90
Franked19
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw3
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Marajito Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 33.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Watch only 33.2 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form6-7-2-4-5-6
FFR60 / -4lb
Speed99
Franked33
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
All Good Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 30.2
PRICE DEPENDENT
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 30.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form1-7-8
FFR86 / +17lb
Speed97
Franked13
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw5
Wgt9st 10lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Sea Her Excel Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 24.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 24.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form13-3-1-5-1-3
FFR31 / -35lb
Speed91
Franked14
Ground2/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Doralee Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 5.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Watch only 5.8 confidence
Why consider26 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form8-4-1-3-2-4
FFR37 / -16lb
Speed95
Franked7
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw6
Wgt8st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
4:28 | Wolverhampton (AW)

4:28 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f

Class 6 | Standard | Cavani Fashion Forward Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 38 WATCH ONLY
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR54.413 rated runners | Top OR 55: Due Date
Winning par1m 14.07s162 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupTAPETA: STANDARD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-55 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Due Date leads the contextual model at 28.8
  • Decision type: Shortlist profile - Worth a deeper look
  • Winning-time par: 1m 14.07s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 13 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Due DateRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleShortlist profile 55.8
4-2-6-7-7-12
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
18-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 5lb
Result4 btn 3.2L
SP10/1
JockeyJason Watson
OR56
FFR69
SS92
04-07-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP9/1
JockeyKieran O'Neill
OR55
FFR72
SS92
06-05-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt9st 6lb
Result6 btn 1.5L
SP33/1
JockeyGeorge Wood
OR57
FFR67
SS98
17-04-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP28/1
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR60
FFR51
SS98
04-04-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 1.2L
SP40/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR62
FFR63
SS96
25-03-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result12 btn 2.2L
SP80/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR64
FFR51
SS93
 9st 7lb 6 OR 55 51 -4lb 35 1.13 +9.3 Standard rest Same trip Weak field -- 60% 61% 2/6 93 A Near mark -1 WATCH ONLY
Trust SergeiRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 53.8
2-4-9-3-1-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
08-09-2026
LeicesterClass 5 | 6f | Good To Soft
Wgt8st 4lb
Result2 btn 1L
SP17/2
JockeyCharlie Tucker
OR55
FFR61
SS111
17-08-2026
WindsorClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 7lb
Result4 btn 1L
SP11/1
JockeyCharlie Tucker
OR56
FFR67
SS84
30-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 13lb
Result9 btn 4.2L
SP66/1
JockeyJonny Peate
OR56
FFR50
SS98
10-07-2026
ChesterClass 5 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result3 btn 1L
SP15/2
JockeyJonny Peate
OR54
FFR32
SS97
28-06-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 8lb
Result1
SP9/2
JockeyJonny Peate
OR54
FFR63
SS100
05-05-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 8lb
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP7/2
JockeyJonny Peate
OR54
FFR70
SS98
 9st 7lb 12 OR 55 70 +15lb 51 1.13 +8.3 Quick return Same trip Weak field -- 65% 76% 2/6 98 A Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
Candy WarholRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 53.8
3-3-2-4-4-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
BrightonClass 2 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 5lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP16/1
JockeyKieran O'Neill
OR53
FFR44
SS105
31-07-2026
BathClass 6 | 5.5f | Firm
Wgt8st 7lb
Result3 btn 1.5L
SP15/8F
JockeyMikkel Mortensen
OR54
FFR54
SS91
21-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt8st 12lb
Result2 btn 2L
SP7/2
JockeyKieran O'Neill
OR54
FFR59
SS100
06-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt8st 9lb
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP12/1
JockeyKieran O'Neill
OR56
FFR57
SS100
23-06-2026
Ffos LasClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 9lb
Result4 btn 3.5L
SP8/1
JockeyTyler Heard
OR58
FFR55
SS100
06-06-2026
DoncasterClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result7 btn 1.5L
SP12/1
JockeyLewis Edmunds
OR59
FFR100
SS101
 9st 7lb 7 OR 55 100 +45lb 32 1.13 +5.3 Standard rest Same trip Weak field -- 60% 68% 1/6 101 C Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
Apex StarRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 35.0
3-3-11-2-7-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 4lb
Result3 btn 1.8L
SP7/1
JockeyTaylor Fisher
OR56
FFR56
SS90
22-07-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result3 btn 2.8L
SP9/2
JockeyMarco Ghiani
OR57
FFR29
SS83
29-06-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result11 btn 0.3L
SP11/2
JockeyOisin Murphy
OR57
FFR56
SS89
05-06-2026
BathClass 6 | 5.5f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result2 btn 3L
SP9/1
JockeyTaylor Fisher
OR57
FFR21
SS100
14-05-2026
SalisburyClass 6 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP7/1
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR59
FFR54
SS--
05-05-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 8lb
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP13/8F
JockeyMarco Ghiani
OR59
FFR58
SS--
 9st 5lb 4 OR 55 58 +3lb 2 1.13 +9.8 Standard rest Same trip Weak field -- 53% 53% 0/6 100 E Workable +3 WATCH ONLY
Lieutenant SirRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 24.8
7-6-10-1-3-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 5lb
Result7 btn 3.2L
SP28/1
JockeyWilliam Cox
OR57
FFR67
SS85
15-07-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result6 btn 14L
SP11/4
JockeyOisin Murphy
OR58
FFR59
SS91
09-07-2026
DoncasterClass 5 | 5.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 1lb
Result10 btn 5L
SP5/1
JockeyMiss Brodie Hampson
OR54
FFR66
SS87
29-06-2026
Ffos LasClass 6 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result1
SP11/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR54
FFR36
SS--
09-06-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP14/1
JockeyWilliam Cox
OR54
FFR25
SS--
17-12-2025
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.2L
SP80/1
JockeyWilliam Cox
OR--
FFR42
SS--
 9st 5lb 1 OR 55 42 -13lb 16 1.13 +1.8 Standard rest Same trip Weak field -- 50% 53% 0/6 87 C Stiff -10 CAUTION PROFILE
Em Jay KayRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 20.8
4-10-8-11-9-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
24-08-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 13lb
Result4 btn 1L
SP66/1
JockeyGrace McEntee
OR52
FFR71
SS100
14-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 13lb
Result10 btn 0.2L
SP100/1
JockeyConnor Planas
OR55
FFR64
SS98
14-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 8lb
Result8 btn 1.2L
SP100/1
JockeyGrace McEntee
OR58
FFR27
SS92
28-06-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt10st 0lb
Result11 btn 4.2L
SP33/1
JockeyGrace McEntee
OR60
FFR34
SS98
13-03-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result9 btn 2.5L
SP28/1
JockeyGrace McEntee
OR61
FFR32
SS99
15-02-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result8 btn 0.5L
SP5/1
JockeyConnor Planas
OR61
FFR53
SS94
 9st 4lb 10 OR 52 53 +1lb 64 1.13 -9.2 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 61% 68% 1/6 94 B Workable +7 WATCH ONLY
My Dad TomRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 19.2
11-4-6-6-6-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
13-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 3lb
Result11 btn 12L
SP40/1
JockeyJoe Leavy
OR58
FFR73
SS108
27-06-2026
LingfieldClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 11lb
Result4 btn 6L
SP7/2
JockeyTyrese Cameron
OR58
FFR73
SS96
18-05-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 6f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP11/1
JockeyTyrese Cameron
OR60
FFR68
SS89
16-03-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP12/1
JockeyTyrese Cameron
OR62
FFR45
SS96
30-12-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP11/4F
JockeySean Levey
OR64
FFR34
SS94
08-12-2025
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP16/1
JockeyTyrese Cameron
OR67
FFR21
SS91
 9st 5lb 8 OR 55 21 -34lb 30 1.13 -0.2 Freshened up Down in trip Weak field -- 48% 43% 0/6 91 D Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Mister MoetRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 18.2
7-5-4-4-2-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 1lb
Result7 btn 3L
SP18/1
JockeyCallum Shepherd
OR56
FFR55
SS86
20-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 5lb
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP12/1
JockeyKieran O'Neill
OR57
FFR47
SS93
05-08-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP12/1
JockeyChristian Howarth
OR58
FFR57
SS100
21-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 8lb
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP18/1
JockeyKieran O'Neill
OR59
FFR54
SS92
15-07-2026
LingfieldClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 6L
SP6/4
JockeyDavid Probert
OR60
FFR53
SS103
09-07-2026
DoncasterClass 5 | 5.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 1lb
Result6 btn 2.5L
SP16/1
JockeyMr Frederick Tett
OR60
FFR34
SS98
 9st 4lb 11 OR 54 34 -20lb 32 1.13 -1.2 Standard rest Same trip Weak field -- 55% 51% 1/6 98 A Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Papa Don't PreachRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 16.2
6-6-2-3-9-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result6 btn 0.3L
SP4/1
JockeyOliver Stammers
OR55
FFR71
SS101
17-08-2026
CatterickClass 6 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result6 btn 1.5L
SP6/1
JockeyWilliam Pyle
OR56
FFR44
SS90
02-08-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 0.2L
SP11/10F
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR55
FFR68
SS96
18-07-2026
DoncasterClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP2/1F
JockeyWilliam Pyle
OR56
FFR65
SS103
09-05-2026
NottinghamClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result9 btn 0.8L
SP17/2
JockeyAlec Voikhansky
OR57
FFR36
SS109
18-04-2026
NottinghamClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP100/30F
JockeyWilliam Pyle
OR57
FFR52
SS92
 9st 6lb 9 OR 54 52 -2lb 34 1.13 -3.2 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 52% 61% 1/6 92 D Near mark +1 CAUTION PROFILE
Oasis CoverRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 13.8
11-8-5-7-8-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
08-09-2026
CatterickClass 6 | 7f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 3lb
Result11 btn 0.8L
SP80/1
JockeyAiden Brookes
OR54
FFR63
SS84
19-08-2026
CarlisleClass 6 | 6f | Soft
Wgt9st 2lb
Result8 btn 3.8L
SP25/1
JockeyAiden Brookes
OR58
FFR25
SS93
11-08-2026
CarlisleClass 6 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result5 btn 2.5L
SP50/1
JockeyAiden Brookes
OR58
FFR52
SS93
24-07-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result7 btn 1L
SP80/1
JockeyAiden Brookes
OR60
FFR48
SS--
18-07-2026
RiponClass 6 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result8 btn 1L
SP22/1
JockeyAiden Brookes
OR60
FFR34
SS--
20-06-2026
RedcarClass 6 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP10/1
JockeyCian Horgan
OR59
FFR25
SS--
 9st 4lb 2 OR 54 25 -29lb 2 1.13 -5.7 Quick return Down in trip Weak field -- 45% 45% 0/6 93 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
King CherryRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.2
4-6-7-6-8-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
27-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 6lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP4/1
JockeyMarco Ghiani
OR57
FFR74
SS95
20-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result6 btn 0.2L
SP10/1
JockeyRyan Kavanagh
OR57
FFR44
SS96
05-08-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result7 btn 1.2L
SP12/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR60
FFR45
SS--
24-07-2026
SandownClass 5 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 12lb
Result6 btn 5L
SP6/1
JockeyMarco Ghiani
OR63
FFR25
SS--
15-05-2026
NewmarketClass 4 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result8 btn 1.2L
SP100/1
JockeyMarco Ghiani
OR--
FFR51
SS--
27-04-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1L
SP11/4
JockeyMarco Ghiani
OR--
FFR57
SS--
 9st 5lb 13 OR 55 57 +2lb 4 1.13 +3.8 Standard rest Down in trip Weak field -- 55% 53% 0/6 96 E Well treated +8 CAUTION PROFILE
NeapolitanRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 5.2
7-6-11-13-5-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
08-09-2026
CatterickClass 6 | 6f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 4lb
Result7 btn 1.5L
SP66/1
JockeyCam Hardie
OR54
FFR72
SS92
01-11-2025
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 1.2L
SP50/1
JockeyAlex Jary
OR58
FFR71
SS100
17-10-2025
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result11 btn 1.2L
SP50/1
JockeyCam Hardie
OR60
FFR54
SS94
01-08-2025
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result13 btn 4.5L
SP40/1
JockeyCam Hardie
OR64
FFR73
SS84
17-06-2025
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP28/1
JockeyCam Hardie
OR66
FFR77
SS105
04-06-2025
RiponClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt--
Result11 btn 2L
SP100/1
JockeyCam Hardie
OR68
FFR34
SS102
 9st 6lb 3 OR 54 34 -20lb 32 1.13 -14.2 Quick return Same trip Weak field -- 53% 54% 0/6 102 B Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Hidden VerseRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 1.8
7-9-5-5-6-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-07-2026
BathClass 6 | 5.5f | Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result7 btn 7.5L
SP11/1
JockeyJack Doughty
OR57
FFR79
SS95
06-06-2026
ChepstowClass 6 | 5f | Soft
Wgt9st 8lb
Result9 btn 2.8L
SP16/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR59
FFR72
SS89
12-05-2026
BathClass 5 | 5.5f | Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result5 btn 0.1L
SP10/1
JockeyJack Doughty
OR60
FFR70
SS93
21-04-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt--
Result5 btn 4.2L
SP5/1
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR62
FFR65
SS97
05-04-2026
BathClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP16/1
JockeyHollie Doyle
OR63
FFR27
SS91
09-08-2025
LingfieldClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 2.2L
SP15/2
JockeyElizabeth Gale
OR63
FFR25
SS95
 9st 6lb 5 OR 54 25 -29lb 36 1.13 -4.9 Layoff check Down in trip Weak field -- 45% 36% 1/6 95 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Due Date

Due Date profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Trust Sergei

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Due Date Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 55.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Shortlist profile 55.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Form4-2-6-7-7-12
FFR51 / -4lb
Speed93
Franked35
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 18-08-2026
2 Leicester Solid effort 04-07-2026
6 Kempton (AW) Competitive 06-05-2026
7 Wolverhampton (AW) Troubled run 17-04-2026
7 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 04-04-2026
12 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 25-03-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating35
3winners since
4placers since
14evidence pts
05-06-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Court Of Session (GB), Lethal Blast (GB), Man On A Mission (GB)

Race produced winner

Fletcher's Flight (IRE)

Later placers

Man On A Mission (GB) (02-08-2026)

07-04-2026 | Leicester Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Elvetham (IRE), Great Success (GB), Moonhall Lass (IRE)

Race produced winner

Elvetham (IRE), Melissa Honey (GB)

04-04-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Brian The Snail (IRE), Megaphone (GB)

Later placers

Lequinto (IRE) (06-05-2026), Punchbowl Flyer (IRE) (06-06-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement2/6
FFR51
Speed93
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-4lb below mark
FFR 51 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
93 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeShortlist profileThere is useful evidence, but the horse still needs normal price, risk and race checks.
Model score28.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readNear markLatest -4lb | peak +17lb treated as ceiling | public read -1lb
Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 58%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs5/6
Best similar rating53
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 2 1W / 2P Peak rating 67
Fast 7 1W / 3P Peak rating 65
All-weather 42 5W / 8P Peak rating 74
Placement evidence 61% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 49%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 42%
Proven trip profile (A)47 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Mark read Latest -4lb | peak +17lb treated as ceiling | public read -1lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Near mark Latest -4lb | peak +17lb treated as ceiling | public read -1lb

The horse looks close to its current mark and may need to reproduce a strong effort.

Today's OR 55 | Latest FFR 51 | Best FFR 72 | Public mark read -1
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Charlie Wallis
Jockey Rob Hornby
Age 6
Draw 6
OR 55
Avg OR 54.4
OR vs Field +0.6
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 77624
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +0.8
Variance Very steady 2.4% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -2.3 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile47
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
06-05-2026 Kempton (AW) Standard To Slow 6 1:14.03 74
04-07-2026 Leicester Good To Firm 2 1:11.17 71.2
18-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 4 1:10.86 70.9
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 28 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: v; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearvDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP10/1
OwnerA Bangs Miss J A Challen
Pedigree

Due Diligence × Harryana To (Compton Place)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.7L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
18-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 4 3.2 Run faded
04-07-2026 Leicester 2 0.5 Neutral finish
06-05-2026 Kempton (AW) 6 1.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 3 runs with an official OR.
25-03-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating 49 OR 64
04-04-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 52 OR 62
17-04-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 53 OR 60
06-05-2026 | Kempton (AW)
Rating -- OR 57
04-07-2026 | Leicester
Rating -- OR 55
18-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 56
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs47
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 14.07s
Last win at trip1:11.97 | Chelmsford (AW) | 30-10-2025
Recent times1:14.03 | 1:11.17 | 1:10.86
Recent positions6 | 2 | 4
Winning contextvs par -2.1s | OR 62
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
18-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 6 4 10/1 56 -- -- 3.2 -- GREY - no timing read
04-07-2026 Leicester | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 6 2 9/1 55 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
06-05-2026 Kempton (AW) | 6f | Standard To Slow | Class 6 6 33/1 57 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
17-04-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 6 7 28/1 60 53 27 0.3 1:15.37 AMBER - competitive
04-04-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 7 40/1 62 52 37 1.2 1:14.60 GREEN - within 1% of par
25-03-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 12 80/1 64 49 40 2.2 1:12.04 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Near mark

Latest -4lb | peak +17lb treated as ceiling | public read -1lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 63.6 and winning TS par is around 47.1. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Trust Sergei Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 53.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 53.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-4-9-3-1-2
FFR70 / +15lb
Speed98
Franked51
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw12
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Leicester Finished well 08-09-2026
4 Windsor Competitive 17-08-2026
9 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 30-07-2026
3 Chester Solid effort 10-07-2026
1 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 28-06-2026
2 Wolverhampton (AW) Solid effort 05-05-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating51
5winners since
2placers since
14evidence pts
09-08-2026 | Leicester Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Arctic Wind (GB), Brazen Idol (GB), Court Alert (IRE)

Race produced winner

Mumayaz (IRE)

05-05-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Colors Of Freedom (GB), Isla Bella (GB), Kento (GB)

Race produced winner

Kento (GB), Tomarlo (GB)

Later placers

Colors Of Freedom (GB) (03-07-2026)

10-11-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Ballsgrove Boy (GB), Hackney Diamonds (GB), Master Dandy (IRE)

Race produced winner

Hackney Diamonds (GB), Imola (IRE)

Later placers

Coast (GB) (07-07-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement2/6
FFR70
Speed98
ConditionsPositive fit
PlacementStrong setup
FFR vs OR+15lb ahead of mark
FFR 70 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
98 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score27.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest +15lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 65% Positive conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs3/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Good 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 64
Fast 3 1W / 1P Peak rating 62
All-weather 11 2W / 4P Peak rating 60
Placement evidence 76% Strong placement evidence
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (A)14 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +15lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +15lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 55 | Latest FFR 70 | Best FFR 70 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Gary Hanmer
Jockey Jonny Peate
Age 4
Draw 12
OR 55
Avg OR 54.4
OR vs Field +0.6
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 213942
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Reliable 8% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 11.4 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile14
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
28-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 1 1:14.38 74.4
30-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 9 1:15.13 75.1
08-09-2026 Leicester Good To Soft 2 1:12.36 72.4
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 7 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP17/2
OwnerSimon Boucher
Pedigree

Sergei Prokofiev × Willbeme (Kyllachy)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
08-09-2026 Leicester 2 1 Fast finish
17-08-2026 Windsor 4 1 Neutral finish
30-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 9 4.2 Run faded
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
05-05-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 54
28-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 54
10-07-2026 | Chester
Rating -- OR 54
30-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 56
17-08-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 56
08-09-2026 | Leicester
Rating -- OR 55
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs14
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 14.07s
Last win at trip-- | Wolverhampton (AW) | 28-06-2026
Recent times1:14.38 | 1:15.13 | 1:12.36
Recent positions1 | 9 | 2
Winning contextOR 54 | weight 9-8
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
08-09-2026 Leicester | 6f | Good To Soft | Class 5 2 17/2 55 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
17-08-2026 Windsor | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 4 11/1 56 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
30-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 6 9 66/1 56 -- -- 4.2 -- GREY - no timing read
10-07-2026 Chester | 7f | Good | Class 5 3 15/2 54 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
28-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 6 1 9/2 54 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
05-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 6 2 7/2 54 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Well treated

Latest +15lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 63.6 and winning TS par is around 47.1. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Candy Warhol Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 53.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 53.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (C)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form3-3-2-4-4-7
FFR100 / +45lb
Speed101
Franked32
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw7
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3 Brighton Solid effort 23-08-2026
3 Bath Solid effort 31-07-2026
2 Wolverhampton (AW) Solid effort 21-07-2026
4 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 06-07-2026
4 Ffos Las Steady run 23-06-2026
7 Doncaster Competitive 06-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating32
4winners since
5placers since
14evidence pts
05-07-2026 | Windsor Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Dark Sun (GB), Dreambird Dolly (GB), Margorie (GB)

Race produced winner

Dreambird Dolly (GB)

07-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Dark Kestrel (IRE), Daytona Lady (IRE), Dutch Finale (GB)

Later placers

Baba Reza (GB) (06-08-2026), Maharajas Express (GB) (09-06-2026)

06-06-2026 | Doncaster Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Asadjumeirah (GB), Bibendum (GB), Canaria Sun (GB)

Race produced winner

Hurstwood (GB), Mickey Mongoose (GB)

Later placers

Canaria Sun (GB) (05-07-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR100
Speed101
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+45lb ahead of mark
FFR 100 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
101 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score24.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest +45lb | peak +45lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 4 0W / 1P Peak rating 65
Fast 9 0W / 5P Peak rating 66
All-weather 34 3W / 12P Peak rating 77
Placement evidence 68% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 78%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Proven trip profile (C)11 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +45lb | peak +45lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +45lb | peak +45lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 55 | Latest FFR 100 | Best FFR 100 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Scott Dixon
Jockey Kieran O'Neill
Age 7
Draw 7
OR 55
Avg OR 54.4
OR vs Field +0.6
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 744233
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Very steady 4.2% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 4.6 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile11
DEIC
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
06-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 4 1:13.82 73.8
21-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 2 1:14.21 74.2
23-08-2026 Brighton Good To Firm 3 1:9.26 69.3
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 23 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: tp; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgeartpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP16/1
OwnerHomecroft Wealth Paul J Dixon Partners
Pedigree

Twirling Candy × Costume (Danehill)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.3L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
23-08-2026 Brighton 3 0.3 Neutral finish
31-07-2026 Bath 3 1.5 Neutral finish
21-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 2 2 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
06-06-2026 | Doncaster
Rating -- OR 59
23-06-2026 | Ffos Las
Rating -- OR 58
06-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 56
21-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 54
31-07-2026 | Bath
Rating -- OR 54
23-08-2026 | Brighton
Rating -- OR 53
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs11
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 14.07s
Last win at trip1:13.14 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 19-04-2025
Recent times1:13.82 | 1:14.21 | 1:9.26
Recent positions4 | 2 | 3
Winning contextvs par -0.93s | OR 51
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
23-08-2026 Brighton | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 2 3 16/1 53 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
31-07-2026 Bath | 5.5f | Firm | Class 6 3 15/8F 54 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
21-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 6 2 7/2 54 -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
06-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 5 4 12/1 56 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
23-06-2026 Ffos Las | 5f | Good | Class 5 4 8/1 58 -- -- 3.5 -- GREY - no timing read
06-06-2026 Doncaster | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 6 7 12/1 59 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Well treated

Latest +45lb | peak +45lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 63.6 and winning TS par is around 47.1. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Apex Star Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 35.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 35.0 confidence
Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-3-11-2-7-3
FFR58 / +3lb
Speed100
Franked2
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Lieutenant Sir Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 24.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 24.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form7-6-10-1-3-7
FFR42 / -13lb
Speed87
Franked16
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Em Jay Kay Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 20.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 20.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form4-10-8-11-9-8
FFR53 / +1lb
Speed94
Franked64
Ground2/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw10
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
My Dad Tom Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 19.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 19.2 confidence
Why consider8 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form11-4-6-6-6-6
FFR21 / -34lb
Speed91
Franked30
Ground1/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw8
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Mister Moet Distance specialist
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 18.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 18.2 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form7-5-4-4-2-6
FFR34 / -20lb
Speed98
Franked32
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw11
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.13
Papa Don't Preach Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 16.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 16.2 confidence
Why consider10 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form6-6-2-3-9-3
FFR52 / -2lb
Speed92
Franked34
Ground1/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw9
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Oasis Cover Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 13.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 13.8 confidence
Why consider6 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form11-8-5-7-8-2
FFR25 / -29lb
Speed93
Franked2
Ground0/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw2
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
King Cherry Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 11.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +8lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-6-7-6-8-5
FFR57 / +2lb
Speed96
Franked4
Ground2/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw13
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Neapolitan Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 5.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 5.2 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form7-6-11-13-5-11
FFR34 / -20lb
Speed102
Franked32
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw3
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Hidden Verse Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 1.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 1.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-9-5-5-6-2
FFR25 / -29lb
Speed95
Franked36
Ground2/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.13
4:30 | Uttoxeter

4:30 | Uttoxeter | 16f

Class 5 | Good | Sun Racing The Favourite Pullout Every Day Handicap Hurdle Race

Race Confidence 60 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR89.616 rated runners | Top OR 100: Zucayan
Winning par3m 52.70s34 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-100 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Northern Rose leads the contextual model at 27.5
  • Decision type: Watch only - Needs more proof
  • Moderate edge over next best: +3.8
  • Winning-time par: 3m 52.70s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 16 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Northern RoseRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 46.8
3-7-1-2-2-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-09-2026
Bangor-on-DeeClass 5 | 16.5f | Good
Wgt10st 13lb
Result3 btn 4.5L
SP6/1
JockeyJames Davies
OR83
FFR61
SS111
20-08-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 16.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 11lb
Result7 btn 2.8L
SP4/1
JockeyJames Davies
OR83
FFR99
SS107
26-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 16f | Good
Wgt10st 9lb
Result1
SP100/30
JockeyJames Davies
OR79
FFR96
SS93
19-07-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 18.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 11lb
Result2 btn 4.5L
SP3/1
JockeyJames Davies
OR79
FFR103
SS116
29-06-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 16.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 4lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP22/1
JockeyJames Davies
OR76
FFR64
SS108
16-06-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 16.5f | Good
Wgt10st 13lb
Result9 btn 3.5L
SP11/4F
JockeyJames Davies
OR77
FFR90
SS99
 10st 10lb 0 OR 82 90 +8lb 44 1.13 +17.2 Standard rest Down in trip Strong field 70 60% 64% 0/6 99 C Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Mi SuenoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 31.2
6-1-2-1-5-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-08-2026
CartmelClass 5 | 17f | Good
Wgt10st 13lb
Result6 btn 1.8L
SP2/1F
JockeyJoe Anderson
OR78
FFR94
SS89
25-08-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 18.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 2lb
Result1
SP11/8F
JockeyHarry Reed
OR78
FFR90
SS87
22-08-2026
Newton AbbotClass 5 | 18.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 8lb
Result2 btn 8L
SP2/1F
JockeyHarry Reed
OR78
FFR102
SS90
19-07-2026
Newton AbbotClass 5 | 18.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 4lb
Result1
SP4/1
JockeyHarry Reed
OR73
FFR93
SS81
17-06-2026
WorcesterClass 5 | 16f | Good
Wgt10st 3lb
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP7/1
JockeyLiam Harrison
OR74
FFR101
SS89
17-05-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 16.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 5lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP17/2
JockeyLiam Harrison
OR75
FFR78
SS115
 11st 0lb 0 OR 86 78 -8lb 4 1.13 +13.4 Standard rest Down in trip Strong field 55 53% 59% 0/6 115 B Stiff -5 CAUTION PROFILE
Bowling ShaneRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 19.2
4-5-3-10-11-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
13-07-2026
Newton AbbotClass 5 | 18.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 8lb
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP22/1
JockeyNed Fox
OR83
FFR70
SS108
04-06-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 20f | Good
Wgt10st 3lb
Result5 btn 2L
SP11/2
JockeyNed Fox
OR84
FFR78
SS91
05-05-2026
Ffos LasClass 5 | 16f | Good
Wgt10st 4lb
Result3 btn 2.8L
SP40/1
JockeyNed Fox
OR84
FFR67
SS89
16-04-2026
HerefordClass 4 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result10 btn 4.8L
SP80/1
JockeyRichard Patrick
OR--
FFR93
SS71
02-04-2026
ChepstowClass 4 | 2m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result11 btn 1.2L
SP50/1
JockeyNed Fox
OR--
FFR73
SS98
27-02-2026
NewburyClass 3 | 2m½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result8 btn 13L
SP33/1
JockeyRichard Patrick
OR--
FFR90
SS72
 10st 8lb 0 OR 82 90 +8lb 28 1.13 +8.9 Layoff check Big drop back Strong field 71 55% 60% 0/6 72 E Well treated +11 CAUTION PROFILE
ZucayanRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 14.5
7-5-2-2-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
25-08-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 18.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt11st 8lb
Result7 btn 4.2L
SP16/1
JockeyNick Slatter
OR102
FFR42
SS91
23-07-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 12f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 1.8L
SP20/1
JockeyJack Doughty
OR55
FFR97
SS94
04-06-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 9lb
Result--
SP8/1
JockeyNick Slatter
OR102
FFR109
SS94
10-05-2026
LudlowClass 4 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 2lb
Result2 btn 2L
SP11/2
JockeyNick Slatter
OR101
FFR102
SS84
03-12-2025
LudlowClass 5 | 2m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 13L
SP16/1
JockeyNick Slatter
OR102
FFR47
SS62
23-10-2025
NottinghamClass 6 | 1m2f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result10 btn 20L
SP50/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR60
FFR80
SS115
 12st 0lb 0 OR 100 80 -20lb 39 1.13 -0.6 Standard rest Big drop back Strong field 64 53% 53% 1/6 115 B Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
LatinRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 12.8
4-4-4-4-3-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
17-06-2026
WorcesterClass 5 | 16f | Good
Wgt12st 0lb
Result4 btn 7.5L
SP100/30
JockeyJonathan Burke
OR100
FFR84
SS102
22-04-2026
LudlowClass 4 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result4 btn 3L
SP16/1
JockeyJonathan Burke
OR--
FFR86
SS96
16-04-2026
HerefordClass 4 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result4 btn 2L
SP12/1
JockeyJonathan Burke
OR--
FFR78
SS104
07-04-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 1m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP11/1
JockeyPaddy Bradley
OR71
FFR91
SS98
02-04-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 1m3f | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP6/1
JockeyAshley Lewis
OR71
FFR97
SS97
27-03-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 1m2f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP13/2
JockeyMr Henry Callan
OR67
FFR79
SS113
 11st 13lb 0 OR 99 79 -20lb 12 1.13 +6.7 Layoff check Same trip Strong field 50 45% 40% 1/6 113 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
PrometheanRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 10.8
3-8-11-7-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
15-05-2026
AintreeClass 4 | 17f | Good
Wgt11st 1lb
Result--
SP33/1
JockeyJonathan England
OR96
FFR65
SS96
01-04-2026
SouthwellClass 4 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 14L
SP66/1
JockeyJack Quinlan
OR--
FFR72
SS89
08-03-2026
CarlisleClass 4 | 2m1f | Soft
Wgt--
Result8 btn 2.2L
SP40/1
JockeyJonathan England
OR--
FFR66
SS81
20-02-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 1m4f | Standard
Wgt--
Result11 btn 0.8L
SP100/1
JockeySean D Bowen
OR72
FFR72
SS91
02-02-2026
SouthwellClass 4 | 2m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result7 btn 33L
SP33/1
JockeyJonathan England
OR--
FFR90
SS82
28-12-2025
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 2m½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result8 btn 27L
SP66/1
JockeyTom Eaves
OR75
FFR110
SS100
 11st 8lb 0 OR 94 110 +16lb 13 1.13 +0.4 Long absence Down in trip Strong field 73 55% 58% 0/6 100 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Lady Dapple RoseRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 10.8
5-3-8-6-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
24-05-2026
FontwellClass 5 | 17.5f | Good
Wgt11st 10lb
Result--
SP3/1
JockeyCallum Pritchard
OR94
FFR106
SS95
22-04-2026
LudlowClass 5 | 2m5f | Good
Wgt--
Result5 btn 3.8L
SP18/1
JockeyTabitha Worsley
OR95
FFR82
SS109
26-03-2026
ChepstowClass 4 | 2m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result3 btn 11L
SP10/1
JockeyJames Best
OR100
FFR68
SS94
09-01-2026
ExeterClass 4 | 2m½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result8 btn 18L
SP125/1
JockeyJames Best
OR--
FFR94
SS77
10-12-2025
LeicesterClass 3 | 1m7½f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result6 btn 1.5L
SP10/1
JockeySam Twiston-Davies
OR--
FFR95
SS115
17-11-2025
LeicesterClass 3 | 1m7½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 1L
SP25/1
JockeyTabitha Worsley
OR--
FFR101
SS112
 11st 8lb 0 OR 94 101 +7lb 0 1.13 +0.4 Layoff check Down in trip Strong field 77 55% 54% 0/6 112 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Cawthorne BankerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 10.8
11-1-1-2-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
WorcesterClass 5 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 6lb
Result11 btn 0.8L
SP17/2
JockeyJonjo O'Neill Jr.
OR94
FFR101
SS128
24-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 5lb
Result1
SP5/2
JockeyJonjo O'Neill Jr.
OR90
FFR69
SS108
07-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 1lb
Result1
SP100/30F
JockeyJonjo O'Neill Jr
OR85
FFR100
SS103
17-06-2026
WorcesterClass 5 | 16f | Good
Wgt10st 12lb
Result2 btn 0.8L
SP25/1
JockeyJonjo O'Neill Jr
OR83
FFR104
SS66
28-05-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 16f | Good
Wgt10st 4lb
Result5 btn 33L
SP40/1
JockeyKevin Brogan
OR86
FFR104
SS78
05-04-2026
Market RasenClass 5 | 2m½f | Good
Wgt--
Result--
SP25/1
JockeyKevin Brogan
OR87
FFR62
SS79
 11st 7lb 0 OR 93 62 -31lb 1 1.13 +0.4 Standard rest Same trip Strong field 65 45% 43% 1/6 79 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Jet PatrolRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.2
6-2-5-4-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 16.5f | Good
Wgt12st 0lb
Result6 btn 4L
SP7/2
JockeySean D Bowen
OR97
FFR102
SS96
20-08-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 16.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt11st 9lb
Result2 btn 1.8L
SP4/1
JockeySean Bowen
OR95
FFR73
SS107
24-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 11lb
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP5/1
JockeySean Bowen
OR96
FFR86
SS102
01-07-2026
WorcesterClass 5 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 13lb
Result4 btn 12L
SP10/1
JockeySean Bowen
OR97
FFR95
SS108
04-11-2025
WarwickClass 5 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result6 btn 13L
SP3/1J
JockeyAlex Chadwick
OR97
FFR101
SS126
02-10-2025
SouthwellClass 5 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result--
SP8/11F
JockeySean Bowen
OR90
FFR81
SS90
 11st 11lb 0 OR 97 81 -16lb 17 1.13 +5.7 Standard rest Down in trip Strong field 76 45% 47% 1/6 90 E Stiff -13 CAUTION PROFILE
Annual InvitationRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.8
7-5-9-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 4lb
Result7 btn 6L
SP50/1
JockeyJack Tudor
OR--
FFR77
SS90
02-05-2026
UttoxeterClass 4 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 6lb
Result5 btn 19L
SP50/1
JockeyJack Tudor
OR--
FFR80
SS96
12-04-2026
Ffos LasClass 4 | 2m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result9 btn 4L
SP150/1
JockeyJack Tudor
OR--
FFR79
SS--
21-03-2026
Bangor-on-DeeClass 4 | 2m3½f | Good
Wgt--
Result7 btn 3.5L
SP20/1
JockeyKielan Woods
OR--
FFR75
SS--
 11st 9lb 0 OR 95 75 -20lb 13 1.13 -2.6 Standard rest Same trip Strong field 80 45% 40% 0/6 96 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
FinjimkRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.8
17-8-8-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-08-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 17f | Good To Yielding
Wgt11st 6lb
Result17 btn 4.5L
SP300/1
JockeyLiam McKenna
OR--
FFR80
SS--
23-07-2026
Wexford (IRE)-- | 16.5f | Good
Wgt10st 11lb
Result8 btn 9L
SP300/1
JockeyLiam McKenna
OR--
FFR67
SS--
06-07-2026
Roscommon-- | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 0lb
Result8 btn 0.8L
SP150/1
JockeyBen Harvey
OR--
FFR67
SS--
13-06-2026
HexhamClass 4 | 16f | Good
Wgt10st 11lb
Result7 btn 1.5L
SP66/1
JockeyBen Harvey
OR--
FFR64
SS--
 11st 3lb 0 OR 91 64 -27lb 25 1.13 -6.6 Freshened up Down in trip Strong field 80 45% 45% 0/6 -- E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Uncle RemusRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.5
5-8-9-3-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
28-08-2026
FontwellClass 5 | 19f | Good
Wgt11st 10lb
Result5 btn 7.5L
SP14/1
JockeyBrendan Powell
OR89
FFR67
SS123
22-08-2026
Newton AbbotClass 5 | 18.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt11st 5lb
Result--
SP13/2
JockeySean D Bowen
OR89
FFR77
SS106
01-07-2026
WorcesterClass 5 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 7lb
Result8 btn 2.8L
SP11/1
JockeyCiaran Gethings
OR91
FFR62
SS82
05-05-2026
Ffos LasClass 5 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 8lb
Result9 btn 17L
SP7/2F
JockeyStan Sheppard
OR93
FFR63
SS104
31-10-2025
UttoxeterClass 5 | 2m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result3 btn 10L
SP16/1
JockeyCiaran Gethings
OR96
FFR100
SS75
10-10-2025
ChepstowClass 4 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result11 btn 0.3L
SP250/1
JockeyCiaran Gethings
OR--
FFR81
SS84
 10st 12lb 0 OR 84 81 -3lb 37 1.13 -6.8 Standard rest Big drop back Strong field 71 55% 57% 0/6 84 C Near mark +0 CAUTION PROFILE
Delta LegendRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 2.8
8-6-11-5-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
17-06-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 4lb
Result8 btn 7.5L
SP300/1
JockeyJames Best
OR--
FFR73
SS95
28-05-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 3lb
Result6 btn 3.8L
SP250/1
JockeyCharlie Price
OR--
FFR75
SS99
05-05-2026
HerefordClass 4 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 4lb
Result--
SP100/1
JockeyCharlie Price
OR--
FFR51
SS98
18-04-2025
Chelmsford (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result11 btn 13L
SP40/1
JockeyDarragh Keenan
OR53
FFR110
SS96
18-02-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 1m½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1.5L
SP12/1
JockeyWarren Fentiman
OR56
FFR72
SS100
22-01-2025
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 1.5L
SP7/1
JockeyHollie Doyle
OR58
FFR72
SS77
 10st 5lb 0 OR 77 72 -5lb 6 1.13 -7.6 Layoff check Same trip Strong field 42 49% 48% 1/6 77 E Near mark -2 CAUTION PROFILE
Battle StrideRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 2.8
5-10-4-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 16.5f | Good
Wgt10st 5lb
Result--
SP125/1
JockeyPhilip Armson
OR79
FFR67
SS74
15-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 16f | Good
Wgt10st 7lb
Result--
SP80/1
JockeyPhilip Armson
OR82
FFR89
SS95
15-11-2025
UttoxeterClass 5 | 2m | Heavy
Wgt--
Result5 btn 11L
SP40/1
JockeyPhilip Armson
OR87
FFR76
SS75
04-11-2025
WarwickClass 4 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result10 btn 1.5L
SP200/1
JockeyPhilip Armson
OR--
FFR74
SS97
06-10-2025
StratfordClass 4 | 2m½f | Good
Wgt--
Result4 btn 12L
SP80/1
JockeyPhilip Armson
OR--
FFR98
SS90
27-07-2025
UttoxeterClass 4 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result8 btn 18L
SP150/1
JockeyPhilip Armson
OR--
FFR97
SS90
 10st 2lb 0 OR 74 97 +23lb 35 1.13 -7.6 Standard rest Down in trip Strong field 56 55% 60% 0/6 90 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Time IntervalRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 0.5
7-6-5-6-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
19-04-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 2m2½f | Good
Wgt--
Result--
SP5/1
JockeyTom Bellamy
OR99
FFR73
SS99
04-04-2026
HuntingdonClass 4 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result7 btn 17L
SP7/1
JockeyBen Jones
OR102
FFR72
SS78
23-03-2026
KemptonClass 4 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result6 btn 2.2L
SP7/1
JockeyCharlie Maggs
OR104
FFR94
SS71
08-03-2026
WarwickClass 4 | 2m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP100/30
JockeyCharlie Maggs
OR106
FFR85
SS105
08-01-2026
TauntonClass 3 | 2m3f | Good
Wgt--
Result6 btn 1.8L
SP11/1
JockeyTom Bellamy
OR108
FFR63
SS101
20-12-2025
HerefordClass 3 | 2m3½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result7 btn 7.5L
SP9/1
JockeyCharlie Maggs
OR110
FFR101
SS65
 11st 10lb 0 OR 96 101 +5lb 22 1.13 -9.8 Long absence Same trip Strong field 67 61% 64% 0/6 65 B Workable +5 CAUTION PROFILE
Diesel LineRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only -1.0
10-7-4-4-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-08-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 16.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt11st 7lb
Result10 btn 26L
SP13/2
JockeyJames Bowen
OR93
FFR96
SS98
05-07-2026
Market RasenClass 4 | 16.5f | Good
Wgt11st 0lb
Result7 btn 1.5L
SP9/2
JockeyJames Bowen
OR96
FFR94
SS119
02-05-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 10lb
Result--
SP5/1
JockeyCharlie Todd
OR96
FFR76
SS98
05-04-2026
Market RasenClass 5 | 2m½f | Good
Wgt--
Result4 btn 8L
SP9/2
JockeyJames Bowen
OR98
FFR101
SS98
28-11-2025
DoncasterClass 5 | 2m½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP3/1F
JockeyCharlie Todd
OR99
FFR93
SS114
11-11-2025
HuntingdonClass 4 | 2m | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 1L
SP4/1
JockeyCharlie Todd
OR99
FFR61
SS84
 11st 4lb 0 OR 90 61 -29lb 38 1.13 -11.3 Standard rest Down in trip Strong field 73 45% 39% 1/6 84 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Northern Rose

Northern Rose profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Mi Sueno

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Northern Rose Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 46.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 46.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (C)
Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Form3-7-1-2-2-9
FFR90 / +8lb
Speed99
Franked44
Ground3/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt10st 10lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3 Bangor-on-Dee Run faded 04-09-2026
7 Stratford Competitive 20-08-2026
1 Uttoxeter Strong run 26-07-2026
2 Stratford Solid effort 19-07-2026
2 Stratford Solid effort 29-06-2026
9 Stratford Steady run 16-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating44
4winners since
4placers since
12evidence pts
09-04-2026 | Bangor-on-Dee Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Daring To Dream (GB)

Race produced winner

Prettylady (FR)

Later placers

Jammy Jay (GB) (07-07-2026)

07-08-2025 | Uttoxeter Finished 9
Race produced winner

Holy Legend (GB), Pittsburg (IRE)

Later placers

Lahire (FR) (09-09-2025)

05-03-2025 | Uttoxeter Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Ambassador (IRE), Dantes Inferno (GB), Gregorians Star (IRE)

Later placers

Ambassador (IRE) (06-05-2025), Gregorians Star (IRE) (09-03-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement0/6
FFR90
Speed99
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+8lb ahead of mark
FFR 90 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
99 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score27.5Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest +8lb | peak +21lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs3/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 5 0W / 0P Peak rating 76
Good 20 1W / 10P Peak rating 80
Fast 4 0W / 2P Peak rating 65
All-weather 5 0W / 0P Peak rating 44
Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 74%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 42%
Proven trip profile (C)11 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Mark read Latest +8lb | peak +21lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +8lb | peak +21lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 82 | Latest FFR 90 | Best FFR 103 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Jumps intelligence Positive jumps read

The jumps profile is more helpful than harmful.

Hurdle profile 70 +0.8 model nudge
Code evidence9 runsHurdle
Completion89%
Jumping rhythm22% error clues
StaminaStamina mixedTrip and finish comments
GroundGround not a jumps concernTesting-ground evidence
Trainer Gary Hanmer
Jockey James Davies
Age 6
Draw 0
OR 82
Avg OR 89.6
OR vs Field -7.6
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 922173
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Cooling

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Reliable 7% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Big ceiling edge 15.9 vs par
Curve Cooling Trend -1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 2m
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance2m
Runs at profile11
DEIC
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
16-07-2025 Uttoxeter Good 4 3:49.55 229.6
16-09-2025 Uttoxeter Good 2 3:45.30 225.3
26-07-2026 Uttoxeter Good 1 3:58.10 238.1
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 11 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: tp; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgeartpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP6/1
OwnerF W Dronzek C Chell
Pedigree

Footstepsinthesand × Becuille (Redback)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
04-09-2026 Bangor-on-Dee 3 4.5 Run faded
20-08-2026 Stratford 7 2.8 Neutral finish
26-07-2026 Uttoxeter 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
16-06-2026 | Stratford
Rating -- OR 77
29-06-2026 | Stratford
Rating -- OR 76
19-07-2026 | Stratford
Rating -- OR 79
26-07-2026 | Uttoxeter
Rating -- OR 79
20-08-2026 | Stratford
Rating -- OR 83
04-09-2026 | Bangor-on-Dee
Rating -- OR 83
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs11
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par3m 52.70s
Last win at trip-- | Uttoxeter | 26-07-2026
Recent times3:49.55 | 3:45.30 | 3:58.10
Recent positions4 | 2 | 1
Winning contextOR 79 | weight 10-9
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
04-09-2026 Bangor-on-Dee | 16.5f | Good | Class 5 3 6/1 83 -- -- 4.5 -- GREY - no timing read
20-08-2026 Stratford | 16.5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 7 4/1 83 -- -- 2.8 -- GREY - no timing read
26-07-2026 Uttoxeter | 16f | Good | Class 5 1 100/30 79 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
19-07-2026 Stratford | 18.5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 2 3/1 79 -- -- 4.5 -- GREY - no timing read
29-06-2026 Stratford | 16.5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 2 22/1 76 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
16-06-2026 Stratford | 16.5f | Good | Class 5 9 11/4F 77 -- -- 3.5 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Well treated

Latest +8lb | peak +21lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 95.5 and winning TS par is around 69.8. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Mi Sueno Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 31.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 31.2 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form6-1-2-1-5-4
FFR78 / -8lb
Speed115
Franked4
Ground3/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 0lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Bowling Shane Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 19.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 19.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +11lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-5-3-10-11-8
FFR90 / +8lb
Speed72
Franked28
Ground3/3 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt10st 8lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Zucayan Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 14.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 14.5 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form7-5-2-2-10
FFR80 / -20lb
Speed115
Franked39
Ground3/3 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt12st 0lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.13
Latin Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 12.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-4-4-4-3-1
FFR79 / -20lb
Speed113
Franked12
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 13lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.13
Promethean Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 10.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 10.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-8-11-7-8
FFR110 / +16lb
Speed100
Franked13
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw0
Wgt11st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Lady Dapple Rose Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 10.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 10.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-3-8-6-2
FFR101 / +7lb
Speed112
Franked0
Ground0/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Cawthorne Banker Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 10.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 10.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form11-1-1-2-5
FFR62 / -31lb
Speed79
Franked1
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.13
Jet Patrol Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 9.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 9.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-2-5-4-6
FFR81 / -16lb
Speed90
Franked17
Ground3/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 11lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.13
Annual Invitation Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-5-9-7
FFR75 / -20lb
Speed96
Franked13
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw0
Wgt11st 9lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Finjimk Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 3.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form17-8-8-7
FFR64 / -27lb
Speed--
Franked25
Ground2/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw0
Wgt11st 3lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Uncle Remus Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 3.5 confidence
Why consider9 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form5-8-9-3-11
FFR81 / -3lb
Speed84
Franked37
Ground3/3 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt10st 12lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Delta Legend Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 2.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 2.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8-6-11-5-6
FFR72 / -5lb
Speed77
Franked6
Ground0/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw0
Wgt10st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Battle Stride Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 2.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 2.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-10-4-8
FFR97 / +23lb
Speed90
Franked35
Ground2/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt10st 2lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Time Interval Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 0.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 0.5 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkRecent evidence is mixed
Form7-6-5-6-7
FFR101 / +5lb
Speed65
Franked22
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 10lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Diesel Line Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence --
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only -1.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10-7-4-4-3
FFR61 / -29lb
Speed84
Franked38
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 4lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.13
4:40 | Punchestown

4:40 | Punchestown | 9f

0-60 | Good | Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (Div I)

Race Confidence 69 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR46.817 rated runners | Top OR 60: Ohmali
Winning par1m 51.11s1054 race distance-only sample | approximate
SetupGOOD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-60 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Signor Ferrari leads the contextual model at 21.2
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Winning-time par: 1m 51.11s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 17 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Signor FerrariRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 48.8
5-6-3-4-7-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 11f | Good
Wgt8st 12lb
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP14/1
JockeyConor Cusack
OR61
FFR73
SS97
20-07-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 6lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP33/1
JockeyChris Hayes
OR61
FFR74
SS104
27-05-2025
Tipperary (IRE)-- | 1m1f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt--
Result3 btn 3.5L
SP15/2
JockeyLuke McAteer
OR68
FFR77
SS94
28-03-2025
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)-- | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP5/2F
JockeyWayne Hassett
OR71
FFR76
SS98
14-03-2025
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)-- | 1m2½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP6/1
JockeyLuke McAteer
OR72
FFR63
SS95
21-02-2025
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)-- | 1m2½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.3L
SP4/1
JockeyNicola Burns
OR72
FFR67
SS96
 10st 0lb 9 OR 58 67 +9lb 58 1.05 +8.4 Standard rest Big drop back Weak field -- 55% 59% 1/6 96 E Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
Patrick StreetRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 43.0
4-1-5-5-6-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
11-08-2026
HamiltonClass 6 | 12f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result4 btn 1.8L
SP15/8F
JockeyYudish Geerdharry
OR50
FFR99
SS83
08-08-2026
AyrClass 6 | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result1
SP11/2
JockeyM. P. Sheehy
OR50
FFR94
SS84
24-07-2026
Kilbeggan (IRE)-- | 19f | Good
Wgt10st 10lb
Result5 btn 1.5L
SP7/1
JockeyDaniel King
OR82
FFR60
SS101
20-06-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 13f | Soft
Wgt9st 1lb
Result5 btn 4L
SP7/2J
JockeyNicola Burns
OR50
FFR75
SS93
30-05-2026
Tramore (IRE)-- | 22f | Good
Wgt11st 1lb
Result6 btn 0.2L
SP9/1
JockeySean O'Keeffe
OR83
FFR68
SS94
13-05-2026
Punchestown (IRE)-- | 16f | Good To Yielding
Wgt10st 10lb
Result3 btn 5L
SP12/1
JockeySean O'Keeffe
OR81
FFR58
SS95
 9st 7lb 11 OR 51 58 +7lb 11 1.05 +10.4 Freshened up Big drop back Weak field -- 55% 59% 1/6 95 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Arizona StarRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 40.2
5-8-3-6-11-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt8st 8lb
Result5 btn 0.8L
SP7/1
JockeyWesley Joyce
OR45
FFR63
SS75
30-08-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt8st 13lb
Result8 btn 0.8L
SP13/2
JockeyTerry Casey
OR50
FFR35
SS72
08-07-2026
Fairyhouse-- | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result3 btn 1.8L
SP33/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR53
FFR46
SS84
20-06-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Soft
Wgt9st 0lb
Result6 btn 3L
SP66/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR56
FFR61
SS--
18-05-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 12f | Yielding
Wgt9st 0lb
Result11 btn 2L
SP80/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR58
FFR53
SS--
03-04-2026
Curragh-- | 1m2f | Soft To Heavy
Wgt--
Result3 btn 18L
SP400/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR--
FFR58
SS--
 8st 7lb 17 OR 43 58 +15lb 21 1.05 +15.9 Standard rest Down in trip Weak field -- 55% 60% 1/6 84 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Rockbury LadRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 33.0
6-9-7-12-6-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
12-08-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 10lb
Result6 btn 2.2L
SP10/1
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR54
FFR41
SS92
12-07-2026
Dundalk (AW)-- | 8f | Standard
Wgt10st 1lb
Result9 btn 0.3L
SP11/2
JockeyColin Keane
OR59
FFR63
SS89
03-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result7 btn 1L
SP28/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR56
FFR54
SS98
02-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result12 btn 0.2L
SP12/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR56
FFR57
SS102
18-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 1lb
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP14/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR59
FFR65
SS104
11-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Soft
Wgt10st 1lb
Result10 btn 2.8L
SP25/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR59
FFR60
SS99
 9st 8lb 2 OR 52 60 +8lb 48 1.05 +0.4 Freshened up Down in trip Weak field -- 63% 68% 1/6 99 B Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
RampageRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 27.0
2-5-8-7-13-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt8st 5lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP13/2
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR42
FFR55
SS98
25-08-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt8st 7lb
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP11/2
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR43
FFR47
SS94
15-08-2026
Dundalk (IRE)-- | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 1lb
Result8 btn 3.2L
SP11/1
JockeyJames Ryan
OR45
FFR66
SS78
12-07-2026
Dundalk (AW)-- | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 4lb
Result7 btn 0.8L
SP12/1
JockeyRobert Whearty
OR48
FFR50
SS83
02-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result13 btn 1.8L
SP5/1
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR51
FFR64
SS96
18-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result11 btn 1L
SP13/2
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR54
FFR75
SS96
 8st 12lb 4 OR 42 75 +33lb 24 1.05 +4.9 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 63% 73% 1/6 96 B Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
SpiritofthedawnRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 18.2
2-11-11-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP40/1
JockeyRobert Whearty
OR48
FFR51
SS69
05-05-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 3lb
Result11 btn 8.5L
SP125/1
JockeyRobert Whearty
OR--
FFR62
SS88
19-04-2026
Curragh-- | 6f | Soft
Wgt--
Result11 btn 0.3L
SP66/1
JockeyRobert Whearty
OR--
FFR35
SS--
12-06-2025
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 7f | Soft
Wgt--
Result11 btn 15L
SP10/1
JockeyWesley Joyce
OR--
FFR74
SS--
 8st 13lb 16 OR 49 74 +25lb 39 1.05 +5.4 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 58% 63% 0/6 88 D Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Curious JaneRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 13.2
9-5-5-9-11-12
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 12f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 0lb
Result9 btn 3L
SP33/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR43
FFR64
SS91
05-08-2026
Sligo (IRE)-- | 13.5f | Yielding
Wgt8st 2lb
Result5 btn 2L
SP16/1
JockeyRory Mulligan
OR45
FFR59
SS89
20-07-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Yielding
Wgt8st 10lb
Result5 btn 2.8L
SP18/1
JockeyNathan Crosse
OR48
FFR58
SS85
18-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 8lb
Result9 btn 1.2L
SP50/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR49
FFR64
SS--
25-04-2026
Limerick-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result11 btn 1.8L
SP300/1
JockeyJack Kearney
OR--
FFR55
SS--
28-01-2026
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m2½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result12 btn 5.5L
SP150/1
JockeyWayne Hassett
OR--
FFR48
SS--
 8st 7lb 7 OR 40 48 +8lb 3 1.05 +0.4 Standard rest Big drop back Weak field -- 55% 61% 0/6 85 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Duchess AnneRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.8
8-2-4-6-14-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result8 btn 1.2L
SP9/2
JockeyGary Carroll
OR43
FFR74
SS96
25-07-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good
Wgt8st 6lb
Result2 btn 2.2L
SP9/2
JockeyOrla Tynan
OR40
FFR59
SS87
22-07-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result4 btn 0.1L
SP22/1
JockeyOrla Tynan
OR40
FFR61
SS95
20-10-2025
Gowran Park-- | 1m1½f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result6 btn 17L
SP150/1
JockeyGary Carroll
OR43
FFR70
SS99
08-10-2025
Navan (IRE)-- | 1m2f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result14 btn 3.5L
SP18/1
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR47
FFR71
SS87
06-09-2025
Navan (IRE)-- | 1m2f | Good
Wgt--
Result11 btn 0.3L
SP25/1
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR50
FFR62
SS85
 8st 11lb 10 OR 41 62 +21lb 53 1.05 -0.1 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 55% 58% 0/6 85 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Chloe's BoyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.2
9-13-10-6-13-14
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result9 btn 0.5L
SP50/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR53
FFR34
SS--
27-08-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 14f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result13 btn 0.3L
SP50/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR58
FFR35
SS--
01-08-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 8.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP150/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR--
FFR53
SS--
17-07-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP250/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR--
FFR50
SS--
08-07-2026
Fairyhouse-- | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result13 btn 3L
SP300/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR--
FFR50
SS--
24-06-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result14 btn 1.5L
SP150/1
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR--
FFR58
SS--
 9st 0lb 12 OR 50 58 +8lb 18 1.05 -1.6 Standard rest Down in trip Weak field -- 55% 61% 0/6 -- E Well treated +8 WATCH ONLY
TullyeskerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.2
12-8-8-12-17
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
25-08-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 0lb
Result12 btn 0.1L
SP33/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR43
FFR56
SS79
01-07-2026
Fairyhouse (IRE)-- | 8.5f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result8 btn 0.8L
SP80/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR44
FFR60
SS85
12-11-2025
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result8 btn 4.5L
SP125/1
JockeySeamie Heffernan
OR--
FFR61
SS84
27-10-2025
Galway-- | 7f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result12 btn 2.5L
SP300/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR--
FFR52
SS--
27-09-2025
Curragh (IRE)-- | 1m2f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt--
Result17 btn 5.5L
SP300/1
JockeyRoss Coakley
OR--
FFR48
SS--
 8st 10lb 3 OR 40 48 +8lb 30 1.05 -4.6 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 55% 60% 0/6 84 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
The Monday ClubRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.2
14-5-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
06-08-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result14 btn 1.2L
SP150/1
JockeyDiego Lima
OR--
FFR44
SS--
24-07-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result5 btn 1.5L
SP28/1
JockeyDiego Lima
OR--
FFR50
SS--
22-06-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result5 btn 5L
SP33/1
JockeyLuke McAteer
OR--
FFR34
SS--
 9st 0lb 1 OR 50 34 -16lb 0 1.05 -5.6 Freshened up Same trip Weak field -- 45% 44% 0/6 -- E Stiff -13 CAUTION PROFILE
Churchill GaleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.2
19-8-6-4-9-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result19 btn 2.8L
SP50/1
JockeyJames Ryan
OR44
FFR64
SS85
05-11-2025
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m2½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result8 btn 0.3L
SP28/1
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR50
FFR73
SS87
29-09-2025
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 1m3f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP22/1
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR51
FFR80
SS91
16-09-2025
Punchestown (IRE)-- | 1m1½f | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP40/1
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR52
FFR82
SS96
02-09-2025
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 1m | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result9 btn 0.8L
SP66/1
JockeyRobert Whearty
OR55
FFR80
SS98
08-08-2025
Tipperary (IRE)-- | 7½f | Good
Wgt--
Result7 btn 2.2L
SP9/1
JockeyJames Ryan
OR58
FFR32
SS98
 8st 12lb 8 OR 42 32 -10lb 31 1.05 -5.6 Standard rest Down in trip Weak field -- 45% 48% 1/6 98 E Stiff -7 CAUTION PROFILE
IdomythingRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 6.2
8-10-6-13-7-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
08-09-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 12f | Soft
Wgt8st 0lb
Result8 btn 2L
SP10/1
JockeyShay Wallace
OR40
FFR68
SS86
03-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 12f | Good
Wgt8st 11lb
Result10 btn 1.5L
SP--
JockeyRory Cleary
OR41
FFR60
SS101
20-06-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 13f | Soft
Wgt8st 12lb
Result6 btn 0.3L
SP25/1
JockeyGavin Ryan
OR42
FFR39
SS84
07-06-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 13f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result13 btn 1L
SP33/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR45
FFR60
SS82
18-05-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 12f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt9st 3lb
Result7 btn 1.5L
SP14/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR47
FFR49
SS96
22-04-2026
Gowran Park-- | 1m5½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result8 btn 2.5L
SP50/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR48
FFR45
SS92
 8st 10lb 15 OR 40 45 +5lb 9 1.05 -6.6 Quick return Big drop back Weak field -- 55% 63% 0/6 92 E Well treated +11 CAUTION PROFILE
AnnacroftRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 4.0
5-12-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
12-07-2026
Dundalk (AW)-- | 10.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 4lb
Result5 btn 12L
SP150/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR--
FFR37
SS--
03-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 11lb
Result12 btn 4.8L
SP125/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR--
FFR36
SS--
20-06-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 13f | Soft
Wgt9st 1lb
Result9 btn 27L
SP66/1
JockeyJack Kearney
OR--
FFR40
SS--
 8st 13lb 6 OR 43 40 -3lb 16 1.05 -8.8 Layoff check Down in trip Weak field -- 45% 51% 0/6 -- E Stiff -3 WATCH ONLY
LohengrinRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 1.8
2-3-7-8-13-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
10-09-2026
Laytown (IRE)-- | 7f | Standard
Wgt10st 5lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP100/30F
JockeyColin Keane
OR48
FFR49
SS94
27-08-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 7lb
Result3 btn 0.1L
SP16/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR45
FFR49
SS104
25-08-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 2lb
Result7 btn 1.8L
SP16/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR45
FFR61
SS54
12-08-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result8 btn 0.5L
SP28/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR47
FFR58
SS32
22-07-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result13 btn 0.5L
SP33/1
JockeyYudish Geerdharry
OR50
FFR74
SS91
03-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result10 btn 3L
SP20/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR53
FFR79
SS85
 9st 4lb 5 OR 48 79 +31lb 23 1.05 +4.7 Quick return Big step up Weak field -- 55% 61% 1/6 85 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
OhmaliRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 0.8
10-5-10-10-2-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-08-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 12f | Yielding
Wgt9st 7lb
Result10 btn 1.8L
SP10/1
JockeyBen Coen
OR63
FFR59
SS101
06-08-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 9f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP10/1
JockeyBen Coen
OR63
FFR72
SS110
24-06-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 11f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP12/1
JockeyPaddy Harnett
OR63
FFR48
SS103
10-06-2026
Limerick (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt9st 7lb
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP5/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR63
FFR60
SS104
15-05-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result2 btn 3L
SP7/1
JockeyPaddy Harnett
OR64
FFR67
SS105
08-04-2026
Gowran Park-- | 1m1½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result11 btn 2L
SP9/2
JockeyW J Lee
OR65
FFR47
SS86
 10st 2lb 13 OR 60 47 -13lb 29 1.05 -3.6 Standard rest Big drop back Weak field -- 45% 50% 1/6 86 E Stiff -10 CAUTION PROFILE
Pure GraniteRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only -1.5
6-13-19-6-11-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
19-11-2025
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m2½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP25/1
JockeyWayne Hassett
OR51
FFR54
SS73
05-11-2025
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m2½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result13 btn 0.8L
SP28/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR54
FFR56
SS80
16-10-2025
Curragh-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result19 btn 1.2L
SP80/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR56
FFR69
SS97
06-10-2025
Killarney (IRE)-- | 1m | Soft To Heavy
Wgt--
Result6 btn 3L
SP100/1
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR--
FFR62
SS90
16-06-2024
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 7f | Good
Wgt--
Result11 btn 1L
SP100/1
JockeyRobert Whearty
OR--
FFR64
SS92
13-05-2024
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 7½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result9 btn 4.5L
SP14/1
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR--
FFR83
SS101
 9st 2lb 14 OR 46 83 +37lb 21 1.05 -14.3 Long absence Up in trip Weak field -- 55% 64% 0/6 101 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Signor Ferrari

Signor Ferrari profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Patrick Street

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Signor Ferrari Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 48.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 48.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-6-3-4-7-6
FFR67 / +9lb
Speed96
Franked58
Ground0/2 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw9
Wgt10st 0lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
5 Naas (IRE) Competitive 23-08-2026
6 Ballinrobe (IRE) Competitive 20-07-2026
3 Tipperary (IRE) Solid effort 27-05-2025
4 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Competitive 28-03-2025
7 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Run faded 14-03-2025
6 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Run faded 21-02-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating58
9winners since
2placers since
10evidence pts
07-10-2024 | Fairyhouse (IRE) Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Chou Chou (IRE), Guest Star (GB), Kilbarry Jack (IRE)

Race produced winner

Chou Chou (IRE), Latin (IRE)

Later placers

Tartaraghan (IRE) (08-06-2025)

12-04-2024 | Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Finished 10
Beat named rivals

Boomerang Bill (IRE), Dear Daphne (IRE), The Expert (GB)

Race produced winner

Clonmacash (GB), Comfort Line (IRE)

Later placers

Dear Daphne (IRE) (09-11-2024)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR67
Speed96
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+9lb ahead of mark
FFR 67 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
96 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score21.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI ELOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest +9lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground
Ground evidence Good Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 8 0W / 1P Peak rating 69
Good 5 2W / 3P Peak rating 76
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 15 2W / 2P Peak rating 73
Placement evidence 59% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 24%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 68%
Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueTrip evidence still asks questions
Mark read Latest +9lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +9lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 58 | Latest FFR 67 | Best FFR 77 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer P J F Murphy
Jockey Conor Cusack(7)
Age 5
Draw 9
OR 58
Avg OR 46.8
OR vs Field +11.2
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 743-65
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Very steady 3.2% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 3.8 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m1f
Runs at profile2
DEIE
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
30-06-2024 Curragh (IRE) Yielding 7 1:53.58 113.6
27-05-2025 Tipperary (IRE) Yielding To Soft 3 2:5.91 125.9
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 23 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window
Ground timing match 0/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP14/1
OwnerDorothy Heffernan
Pedigree

Invincible Army × Altogether (King's Best)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.7L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
23-08-2026 Naas (IRE) 5 1.2 Neutral finish
20-07-2026 Ballinrobe (IRE) 6 0.5 Neutral finish
27-05-2025 Tipperary (IRE) 3 3.5 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 4 runs with an official OR.
21-02-2025 | Dundalk (AW) (IRE)
Rating 66 OR 72
14-03-2025 | Dundalk (AW) (IRE)
Rating 67 OR 72
28-03-2025 | Dundalk (AW) (IRE)
Rating 55 OR 71
27-05-2025 | Tipperary (IRE)
Rating 48 OR 68
20-07-2026 | Ballinrobe (IRE)
Rating -- OR 61
23-08-2026 | Naas (IRE)
Rating -- OR 61
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 51.11s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:53.58 | 2:5.91
Recent positions7 | 3
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
23-08-2026 Naas (IRE) | 11f | Good | -- 5 14/1 61 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
20-07-2026 Ballinrobe (IRE) | 9.5f | Good To Yielding | -- 6 33/1 61 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
27-05-2025 Tipperary (IRE) | 1m1f | Yielding To Soft | -- 3 15/2 68 48 35 3.5 2:5.91 GREY - below benchmark
28-03-2025 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | 7f | Standard | -- 4 5/2F 71 55 38 0.5 1:28.02 GOLD - faster than par
14-03-2025 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | 1m2½f | Standard | -- 7 6/1 72 67 35 0.3 2:18.68 GREY - below benchmark
21-02-2025 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) | 1m2½f | Standard | -- 6 4/1 72 66 53 0.3 2:19.97 GREY - below benchmark
Handicap Well treated

Latest +9lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 103.6 and winning TS par is around 59.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Patrick Street Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 43.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 43.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-1-5-5-6-3
FFR58 / +7lb
Speed95
Franked11
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw11
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4 Hamilton Competitive 11-08-2026
1 Ayr Strong run 08-08-2026
5 Kilbeggan (IRE) Competitive 24-07-2026
5 Down Royal (IRE) Steady run 20-06-2026
6 Tramore (IRE) Competitive 30-05-2026
3 Punchestown (IRE) Solid effort 13-05-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating11
2winners since
4placers since
8evidence pts
04-09-2026 | Gowran Park Finished 9
Beat named rivals

Broadchurch (IRE), Deuteronomy (IRE), Fantasy Fara (IRE)

08-08-2026 | Ayr Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Falaise Blanc (FR), Flying Moonlight (IRE), Golden Valour (GB)

04-11-2025 | Ballinrobe (IRE) Finished 15
Race produced winner

He Who Dares (IRE), Holy See (IRE)

Later placers

Arch Empire (FR) (05-12-2025), Euro Maker (IRE) (04-06-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR58
Speed95
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+7lb ahead of mark
FFR 58 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
95 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score23.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI EVERY_LOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest +7lb | peak +48lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs4/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 23 2W / 7P Peak rating 84
Good 10 1W / 1P Peak rating 81
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 5 0W / 0P Peak rating 63
Placement evidence 59% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 35%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questions
Mark read Latest +7lb | peak +48lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +7lb | peak +48lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 51 | Latest FFR 58 | Best FFR 99 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Andrew Kinirons
Jockey Jack Kearney(3)
Age 7
Draw 11
OR 51
Avg OR 46.8
OR vs Field +4.2
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 91514
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge +2.0
Variance Reliable 6.9% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 1.3 vs par
Curve Edging forward Trend 1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance1m1f
Runs at profile1
DEIE
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
22-06-2023 Leopardstown (IRE) Good 9 1:56.53 116.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 35 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: t; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgeartDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP15/8F
OwnerPaul D Mulligan
Pedigree

Heeraat × Obsessive Secret (Grand Lodge)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Beaten favouriteMarket expected more last time
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
11-08-2026 Hamilton 4 1.8 Neutral finish
08-08-2026 Ayr 1 0 Fast finish
24-07-2026 Kilbeggan (IRE) 5 1.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
13-05-2026 | Punchestown (IRE)
Rating -- OR 81
30-05-2026 | Tramore (IRE)
Rating -- OR 83
20-06-2026 | Down Royal (IRE)
Rating -- OR 50
24-07-2026 | Kilbeggan (IRE)
Rating -- OR 82
08-08-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 50
11-08-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 50
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time par1m 51.11s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:56.53
Recent positions9
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
11-08-2026 Hamilton | 12f | Good | Class 6 4 15/8F 50 -- -- 1.8 -- GREY - no timing read
08-08-2026 Ayr | 10f | Good | Class 6 1 11/2 50 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
24-07-2026 Kilbeggan (IRE) | 19f | Good | -- 5 7/1 82 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
20-06-2026 Down Royal (IRE) | 13f | Soft | -- 5 7/2J 50 -- -- 4 -- GREY - no timing read
30-05-2026 Tramore (IRE) | 22f | Good | -- 6 9/1 83 -- -- 0.2 -- GREY - no timing read
13-05-2026 Punchestown (IRE) | 16f | Good To Yielding | -- 3 12/1 81 -- -- 5 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Well treated

Latest +7lb | peak +48lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 103.6 and winning TS par is around 59.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Arizona Star Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 40.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 40.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-8-3-6-11-3
FFR58 / +15lb
Speed84
Franked21
Ground2/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw17
Wgt8st 7lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
5 Navan (IRE) Finished well 05-09-2026
8 Cork (IRE) Finished well 30-08-2026
3 Fairyhouse Solid effort 08-07-2026
6 Down Royal (IRE) Competitive 20-06-2026
11 Roscommon (IRE) Competitive 18-05-2026
3 Curragh Finished well 03-04-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating21
2winners since
3placers since
11evidence pts
07-08-2026 | Fairyhouse Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Akissfromarose (IRE), Henry Hudson (GB), Mare Crisium (IRE)

09-05-2026 | Navan (IRE) Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Ballaghkeen (IRE), Borora Aura (IRE), Captain Con (IRE)

Race produced winner

Nibras Rainbow (IRE)

Later placers

Borora Aura (IRE) (05-08-2026)

04-03-2026 | Curragh Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Aravalli (IRE), Mistress Of Tyrone (IRE), Nathema (GB)

Race produced winner

Aravalli (IRE)

Later placers

Chablis Rock (IRE) (09-08-2026), Stellar Moment (IRE) (06-04-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR58
Speed84
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+15lb ahead of mark
FFR 58 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
84 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score28.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI ELOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest +15lb | peak +20lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 6 0W / 1P Peak rating 38
Good 2 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 60% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 30%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 68%
Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueTrip evidence still asks questions
Mark read Latest +15lb | peak +20lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +15lb | peak +20lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 43 | Latest FFR 58 | Best FFR 63 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Michael Mulvany
Jockey Reserve 1
Age 3
Draw 17
OR 43
Avg OR 46.8
OR vs Field -3.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 306385
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Reliable; Bounce watch; No hidden upgrade; Needs a new peak; Improving

confidence nudge -0.8
Variance Reliable 6.5% volatility
Bounce Bounce watch Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Needs a new peak -16.5 vs par
Curve Improving Trend 2
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m2f
Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.
Profile distance1m2f
Runs at profile3
DEIE
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
03-04-2026 Curragh (IRE) Soft To Heavy 3 2:26.58 146.6
08-07-2026 Fairyhouse (IRE) Good 3 2:7.35 127.3
05-09-2026 Navan (IRE) Good 5 2:7.66 127.7
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 10 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP7/1
OwnerRaymond Mcmahon
Pedigree

Arizona × Bequia (Helmet)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
05-09-2026 Navan (IRE) 5 0.8 Fast finish
30-08-2026 Cork (IRE) 8 0.8 Fast finish
08-07-2026 Fairyhouse 3 1.8 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 1 earlier run was unrated.
03-04-2026 | Curragh
Rating 38 OR Unrated
18-05-2026 | Roscommon (IRE)
Rating -- OR 58
20-06-2026 | Down Royal (IRE)
Rating -- OR 56
08-07-2026 | Fairyhouse
Rating -- OR 53
30-08-2026 | Cork (IRE)
Rating -- OR 50
05-09-2026 | Navan (IRE)
Rating -- OR 45
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs3
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 51.11s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times2:26.58 | 2:7.35 | 2:7.66
Recent positions3 | 3 | 5
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
05-09-2026 Navan (IRE) | 10f | Good | -- 5 7/1 45 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
30-08-2026 Cork (IRE) | 8f | Yielding | -- 8 13/2 50 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
08-07-2026 Fairyhouse | 10f | Good | -- 3 33/1 53 -- -- 1.8 -- GREY - no timing read
20-06-2026 Down Royal (IRE) | 10.5f | Soft | -- 6 66/1 56 -- -- 3 -- GREY - no timing read
18-05-2026 Roscommon (IRE) | 12f | Yielding | -- 11 80/1 58 -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
03-04-2026 Curragh | 1m2f | Soft To Heavy | -- 3 400/1 -- 38 24 18 2:26.58 GREY - below benchmark
Handicap Well treated

Latest +15lb | peak +20lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 103.6 and winning TS par is around 59.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Rockbury Lad Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 33.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 33.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form6-9-7-12-6-10
FFR60 / +8lb
Speed99
Franked48
Ground2/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw2
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Rampage Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 27.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 27.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-5-8-7-13-11
FFR75 / +33lb
Speed96
Franked24
Ground3/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw4
Wgt8st 12lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Spiritofthedawn Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 18.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 18.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-11-11-11
FFR74 / +25lb
Speed88
Franked39
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw16
Wgt8st 13lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Curious Jane Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 13.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 13.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9-5-5-9-11-12
FFR48 / +8lb
Speed85
Franked3
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw7
Wgt8st 7lb
Best angle: Mark Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Duchess Anne Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 12.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8-2-4-6-14-11
FFR62 / +21lb
Speed85
Franked53
Ground2/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw10
Wgt8st 11lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Chloe's Boy Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 11.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +8lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9-13-10-6-13-14
FFR58 / +8lb
Speed--
Franked18
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw12
Wgt9st 0lb
Best angle: Mark Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Tullyesker Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form12-8-8-12-17
FFR48 / +8lb
Speed84
Franked30
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw3
Wgt8st 10lb
Best angle: Mark Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
The Monday Club Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form14-5-5
FFR34 / -16lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw1
Wgt9st 0lb
Best angle: Trip move Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Churchill Gale Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form19-8-6-4-9-7
FFR32 / -10lb
Speed98
Franked31
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw8
Wgt8st 12lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Idomything Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 6.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 6.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +11lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8-10-6-13-7-8
FFR45 / +5lb
Speed92
Franked9
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw15
Wgt8st 10lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Annacroft Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 4.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 4.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-12-9
FFR40 / -3lb
Speed--
Franked16
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw6
Wgt8st 13lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Lohengrin Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 1.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 1.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form2-3-7-8-13-10
FFR79 / +31lb
Speed85
Franked23
Ground3/3 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassClass move developing
Draw5
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Ohmali Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 0.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 0.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10-5-10-10-2-11
FFR47 / -13lb
Speed86
Franked29
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw13
Wgt10st 2lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Pure Granite Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence --
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only -1.5 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-13-19-6-11-9
FFR83 / +37lb
Speed101
Franked21
Ground0/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw14
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
4:47 | Yarmouth

4:47 | Yarmouth | 6f

Class 3 | Good To Soft | Goffs Two Million Series Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 64 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR83.510 rated runners | Top OR 90: Bella Lyra
Winning par1m 13.65s3 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD TO SOFT (GoingStick: 4.8) Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-90 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Space Bear leads the contextual model at 37.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Compressed top end: Lady Roxby close enough to respect
  • Winning-time par: 1m 13.65s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 10 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Space BearRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 54.0
1-2-12-3-2-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-08-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 6f | Soft
Wgt9st 6lb
Result1
SP15/2
JockeyJason Watson
OR77
FFR52
SS94
08-08-2026
RedcarClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP11/4
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR75
FFR74
SS92
24-07-2026
YorkClass 4 | 5.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result12 btn 1L
SP5/1
JockeyHarry Davies
OR76
FFR79
SS101
03-07-2026
DoncasterClass 4 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result3 btn 1L
SP7/2
JockeyHarry Davies
OR76
FFR42
SS104
16-06-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 0.1L
SP8/1
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR75
FFR74
SS113
17-05-2026
RiponClass 3 | 6f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result9 btn 19L
SP11/4F
JockeyLuke Morris
OR75
FFR87
SS93
 9st 3lb 6 OR 81 87 +6lb 16 1.07 +13.6 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 61% 68% 1/6 93 B Workable +6 PRICE DEPENDENT
Lady RoxbyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 46.0
2-9-7-7-7-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 2L
SP15/2
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR79
FFR82
SS94
24-07-2026
AscotClass 4 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 12lb
Result9 btn 5L
SP100/30
JockeyCallum Rodriguez
OR80
FFR60
SS100
12-06-2026
YorkClass 2 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result7 btn 0.5L
SP4/1
JockeyDaniel Tudhope
OR82
FFR89
SS90
22-05-2026
HaydockClass 1 | 6f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 7lb
Result7 btn 1L
SP33/1
JockeyOisin Murphy
OR82
FFR92
SS106
01-05-2026
NewmarketClass 3 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 12lb
Result7 btn 1.2L
SP100/30J
JockeySilvestre De Sousa
OR83
FFR47
SS104
06-04-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP5/2
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR84
FFR82
SS100
 9st 4lb 1 OR 80 82 +2lb 36 1.07 +10.6 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 58% 64% 1/6 100 D Well treated +8 WATCH ONLY
ZighyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 39.0
4-3-2-3-4-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 9lb
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP9/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR81
FFR89
SS86
21-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 8lb
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP4/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR82
FFR84
SS84
29-06-2026
Ffos LasClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result2 btn 3L
SP15/8F
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR82
FFR79
SS92
30-05-2026
ChesterClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP6/1
JockeyJason Hart
OR82
FFR76
SS99
30-04-2026
YarmouthClass 4 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP11/4
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR82
FFR80
SS101
15-04-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP6/1
JockeyJack Callan
OR76
FFR74
SS103
 9st 2lb 5 OR 80 74 -6lb 13 1.07 +3.1 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 55% 67% 2/6 103 A Stiff -3 WATCH ONLY
PowderingRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 37.0
3-7-3-1-14-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 4lb
Result3 btn 1L
SP17/2
JockeySeamus Cronin
OR79
FFR75
SS79
21-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result7 btn 1.5L
SP9/2
JockeyDylan Hogan
OR80
FFR73
SS96
17-07-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 3 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result3 btn 2.2L
SP100/30
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR80
FFR88
SS103
26-06-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 8lb
Result1
SP13/2
JockeyHector Crouch
OR76
FFR84
SS100
22-05-2026
HaydockClass 1 | 6f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 7lb
Result14 btn 4.8L
SP150/1
JockeyDylan Hogan
OR78
FFR61
SS89
17-05-2026
RiponClass 3 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 1L
SP17/2
JockeyConnor Planas
OR78
FFR75
SS98
 9st 3lb 10 OR 79 75 -4lb 18 1.07 +1.6 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 58% 66% 2/6 98 A Near mark -1 WATCH ONLY
Miss NightcapRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 30.0
10-1-1-2-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
16-08-2026
PontefractClass 1 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result10 btn 6L
SP16/1
JockeyAlistair Rawlinson
OR88
FFR71
SS--
22-07-2026
LeicesterClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 10lb
Result1
SP5/2
JockeyAlistair Rawlinson
OR79
FFR82
SS--
28-06-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result1
SP100/30
JockeyFinley Marsh
OR--
FFR76
SS--
01-06-2026
NewburyClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result2 btn 1L
SP9/2
JockeyAlistair Rawlinson
OR--
FFR87
SS--
07-05-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result2 btn 4.5L
SP40/1
JockeyKieran Shoemark
OR--
FFR73
SS--
 9st 10lb 4 OR 88 73 -15lb 33 1.07 +2.6 Freshened up Same trip Solid field -- 50% 48% 0/6 -- C Stiff -12 WATCH ONLY
Cherry BakerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 29.8
17-2-1-12-1-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
19-06-2026
AscotClass 2 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 8lb
Result17 btn 0.1L
SP40/1
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR89
FFR83
SS87
30-05-2026
ChesterClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP4/1
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR85
FFR79
SS87
06-05-2026
ChesterClass 3 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result1
SP25/1
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR80
FFR74
SS90
15-04-2026
NewmarketClass 1 | 7f | Good
Wgt--
Result12 btn 7L
SP125/1
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR80
FFR95
SS92
18-12-2025
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP9/2
JockeyPat Cosgrave
OR74
FFR84
SS92
04-12-2025
Chelmsford (AW)Class 2 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP8/1
JockeyPat Cosgrave
OR76
FFR62
SS84
 9st 10lb 2 OR 88 62 -26lb 31 1.07 +9.4 Layoff check Up in trip Solid field -- 50% 50% 0/6 84 C Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
TarotRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 18.8
5-6-6-7-1-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 8lb
Result5 btn 2L
SP16/1
JockeyRoss Coakley
OR80
FFR77
SS96
31-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result6 btn 0.3L
SP7/1
JockeySean D Bowen
OR83
FFR90
SS93
11-07-2026
NewmarketClass 2 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 10lb
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP17/2
JockeyMarco Ghiani
OR84
FFR67
SS95
30-05-2026
ChesterClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result7 btn 0.5L
SP12/1
JockeyRay Dawson
OR85
FFR82
SS104
10-10-2025
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result1
SP4/6F
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR83
FFR59
SS--
15-09-2025
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP11/4
JockeyRay Dawson
OR--
FFR69
SS--
 9st 0lb 3 OR 78 69 -9lb 18 1.07 -6.9 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 53% 61% 1/6 104 B Stiff -6 WATCH ONLY
Passing ThoughtRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 14.8
5-9-14-1-7-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
ThirskClass 3 | 7f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 2lb
Result5 btn 5.5L
SP18/1
JockeyAshley Lewis
OR84
FFR86
SS93
07-08-2026
MusselburghClass 4 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 10lb
Result9 btn 0.8L
SP17/2
JockeyKieran Shoemark
OR85
FFR80
SS100
19-06-2026
AscotClass 2 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 7lb
Result14 btn 0.3L
SP28/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR85
FFR90
SS96
26-04-2026
WetherbyClass 4 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result1
SP17/2
JockeyKieran Shoemark
OR80
FFR64
SS83
25-10-2025
NewburyClass 1 | 7f | Soft
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.5L
SP12/1
JockeyKieran Shoemark
OR80
FFR56
SS100
22-09-2025
HamiltonClass 4 | 6f | Soft
Wgt--
Result1
SP4/6F
JockeyPaul Mulrennan
OR--
FFR70
SS--
 9st 4lb 7 OR 82 70 -12lb 29 1.07 -9.4 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 49% 56% 0/6 100 C Stiff -9 WATCH ONLY
Gold DiggerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
13-6-9-1-6-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
28-07-2026
GoodwoodClass 3 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result13 btn 0.1L
SP8/1
JockeySaffie Osborne
OR92
FFR90
SS109
04-07-2026
SandownClass 1 | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 11lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP12/1
JockeySaffie Osborne
OR93
FFR93
SS96
19-06-2026
AscotClass 2 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 13lb
Result9 btn 1L
SP9/2
JockeySaffie Osborne
OR94
FFR87
SS--
01-06-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result1
SP1/5F
JockeySaffie Osborne
OR94
FFR74
SS--
20-06-2025
AscotClass 1 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result6 btn 1.2L
SP7/1
JockeyJamie Spencer
OR--
FFR98
SS--
14-05-2025
YarmouthClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result1
SP9/4F
JockeyJamie Spencer
OR--
FFR69
SS--
 9st 11lb 9 OR 89 69 -20lb 13 1.07 -12.2 Freshened up Same trip Solid field -- 49% 52% 0/6 96 C Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Bella LyraRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.8
15-8-2-2-4-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-08-2026
YorkClass 2 | 7f | Good To Soft
Wgt8st 13lb
Result15 btn 1.2L
SP80/1
JockeyFinley Marsh
OR92
FFR99
SS99
10-05-2026
Santa AnitaClass 1 | 6½f | Firm
Wgt--
Result8 btn 0.3L
SP9/1
JockeyRicardo Gonzalez
OR--
FFR85
SS99
28-02-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 1 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 1L
SP15/2
JockeyFinley Marsh
OR99
FFR86
SS90
17-10-2025
Baden-Baden-- | 7f | Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP21/10F
JockeyFinley Marsh
OR--
FFR95
SS99
12-09-2025
SalisburyClass 1 | 6f | Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1L
SP7/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR99
FFR85
SS94
26-07-2025
AscotClass 1 | 6f | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.2L
SP14/1
JockeyRyan Moore
OR92
FFR58
SS87
 9st 12lb 8 OR 90 58 -32lb 12 1.07 -12.4 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 51% 52% 0/6 87 B Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Space Bear

Space Bear profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Lady Roxby

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Space Bear Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 54.0
PRICE DEPENDENT
Quick read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Best of a weak race 54.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form1-2-12-3-2-9
FFR87 / +6lb
Speed93
Franked16
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw6
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.07
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Windsor Strong run 29-08-2026
2 Redcar Solid effort 08-08-2026
12 York Competitive 24-07-2026
3 Doncaster Solid effort 03-07-2026
2 Thirsk Solid effort 16-06-2026
9 Ripon Steady run 17-05-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating16
3winners since
0placers since
8evidence pts
08-08-2026 | Redcar Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Bleep Test (GB), Brave Traveller (GB), Bye Law (IRE)

01-06-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Berlinetta (GB), Country Artiste (IRE), Flash Rascal (GB)

07-03-2026 | Doncaster Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Alpine Girl (IRE), Chicory (GB), Cressida Wildes (GB)

Race produced winner

Alondra (GB), Dragon Spin (GB)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Shortlist profile with useful evidence, but still check price and race shape.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement1/6
FFR87
Speed93
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+6lb ahead of mark
FFR 87 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
93 Par 100
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskTop of the market is compressed
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score37.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BHIGH
Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 61% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence Testing Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 1W / 1P Peak rating --
Good 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 48
Fast 4 1W / 3P Peak rating --
All-weather 8 1W / 5P Peak rating 72
Placement evidence 68% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 94%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 70%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Proven trip profile (B)11 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 81 | Latest FFR 87 | Best FFR 87 | Public mark read +6
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Michael Appleby
Jockey Tom Marquand
Age 3
Draw 6
OR 81
Avg OR 83.5
OR vs Field -2.5
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 923021
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Cooling

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Reliable 7.4% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Big ceiling edge 12.6 vs par
Curve Cooling Trend -1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile11
DEIB
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
16-06-2026 Thirsk Good 2 1:12.34 72.3
08-08-2026 Redcar Good To Firm 2 1:9.09 69.1
29-08-2026 Windsor Soft 1 1:13.40 73.4
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 17 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP15/2
OwnerFoster Bloodstock
Pedigree

Space Blues × Embraceable You (New Approach)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
29-08-2026 Windsor 1 0 Neutral finish
08-08-2026 Redcar 2 0.3 Neutral finish
24-07-2026 York 12 1 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
17-05-2026 | Ripon
Rating -- OR 75
16-06-2026 | Thirsk
Rating -- OR 75
03-07-2026 | Doncaster
Rating -- OR 76
24-07-2026 | York
Rating -- OR 76
08-08-2026 | Redcar
Rating -- OR 75
29-08-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 77
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs11
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 13.65s
Last win at trip-- | Windsor | 29-08-2026
Recent times1:12.34 | 1:9.09 | 1:13.40
Recent positions2 | 2 | 1
Winning contextOR 77 | weight 9-6
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
29-08-2026 Windsor | 6f | Soft | Class 4 1 15/2 77 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
08-08-2026 Redcar | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 5 2 11/4 75 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
24-07-2026 York | 5.5f | Good To Firm | Class 4 12 5/1 76 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
03-07-2026 Doncaster | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 4 3 7/2 76 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
16-06-2026 Thirsk | 6f | Good | Class 5 2 8/1 75 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
17-05-2026 Ripon | 6f | Good | Class 3 9 11/4F 75 -- -- 19 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Workable mark

Latest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 92.3 and winning TS par is around 46. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Lady Roxby Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 46.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Best of a weak race 46.0 confidence
Why consider8 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-9-7-7-7-3
FFR82 / +2lb
Speed100
Franked36
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw1
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Kempton (AW) Finished well 05-09-2026
9 Ascot Steady run 24-07-2026
7 York Run faded 12-06-2026
7 Haydock Run faded 22-05-2026
7 Newmarket Competitive 01-05-2026
3 Kempton (AW) Run faded 06-04-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating36
2winners since
4placers since
11evidence pts
04-06-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Alpine Girl (IRE), Gogo Yubari (GB), Mercury Day (IRE)

Race produced winner

Gogo Yubari (GB)

Later placers

Fleetwater (GB) (06-07-2026)

09-05-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Calling A Star (GB), Eskimo Pie (IRE), Lope El Fuego (IRE)

05-01-2026 | Newmarket Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Cuban Lady (GB), Fantasy Obsessor (GB), Lightning Polka (GB)

Race produced winner

Lady Kodiac (IRE)

Later placers

Anaisa (GB) (09-05-2026), Lightning Polka (GB) (07-04-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR82
Speed100
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+2lb near mark
FFR 82 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
100 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score34.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DMEDIUM
Mark readWell treatedLatest +2lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb
Today's conditions match 58% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 52%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Testing Some positive evidence on today's ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Some positive evidence on today's ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 89
Good 5 1W / 3P Peak rating 90
Fast 6 1W / 3P Peak rating 86
All-weather 3 0W / 2P Peak rating 86
Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 52%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 76%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
8 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +8lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +2lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +2lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 80 | Latest FFR 82 | Best FFR 92 | Public mark read +8
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Michael Herrington
Jockey Rossa Ryan
Age 4
Draw 1
OR 80
Avg OR 83.5
OR vs Field -3.5
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 377792
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.0
Variance Reliable 5.6% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 5.9 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile8
DEID
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
22-05-2026 Haydock Good To Soft 7 1:16.62 76.6
12-06-2026 York Good 7 1:11.08 71.1
05-09-2026 Kempton (AW) Standard / Slow 2 1:12.50 72.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 10 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP15/2
OwnerR N J Partnership
Pedigree

King Of Change × M'selle (Elnadim)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.5L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
05-09-2026 Kempton (AW) 2 2 Fast finish
24-07-2026 Ascot 9 5 Neutral finish
12-06-2026 York 7 0.5 Run faded
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 1 runs with an official OR.
06-04-2026 | Kempton (AW)
Rating 86 OR 84
01-05-2026 | Newmarket
Rating -- OR 83
22-05-2026 | Haydock
Rating -- OR 82
12-06-2026 | York
Rating -- OR 82
24-07-2026 | Ascot
Rating -- OR 80
05-09-2026 | Kempton (AW)
Rating -- OR 79
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs8
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par1m 13.65s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:16.62 | 1:11.08 | 1:12.50
Recent positions7 | 7 | 2
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
05-09-2026 Kempton (AW) | 6f | Standard / Slow | Class 4 2 15/2 79 -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
24-07-2026 Ascot | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 4 9 100/30 80 -- -- 5 -- GREY - no timing read
12-06-2026 York | 6f | Good | Class 2 7 4/1 82 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
22-05-2026 Haydock | 6f | Good To Soft | Class 1 7 33/1 82 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
01-05-2026 Newmarket | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 3 7 100/30J 83 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
06-04-2026 Kempton (AW) | 6f | Standard To Slow | Class 4 3 5/2 84 86 66 0.8 1:12.64 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Well treated

Latest +2lb | peak +12lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 92.3 and winning TS par is around 46. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Zighy Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 39.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 39.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form4-3-2-3-4-1
FFR74 / -6lb
Speed103
Franked13
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw5
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.07
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4 Kempton (AW) Competitive 05-09-2026
3 Newmarket (July) Solid effort 21-08-2026
2 Ffos Las Finished well 29-06-2026
3 Chester Solid effort 30-05-2026
4 Yarmouth Run faded 30-04-2026
1 Southwell (AW) Troubled run 15-04-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating13
1winners since
3placers since
9evidence pts
09-05-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Calling A Star (GB), Eskimo Pie (IRE), Lope El Fuego (IRE)

Later placers

Lady Roxby (GB) (04-06-2026)

07-09-2025 | Yarmouth Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Carefree Dream (GB), Nebrook Star (IRE), Sara Moon (GB)

11-08-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Chinchin (IRE), La Belle Forest (IRE), Queen Sana (GB)

Race produced winner

Queen Sana (GB)

Later placers

Rajiba (GB) (06-01-2026), Sound And Vision (IRE) (12-09-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement2/6
FFR74
Speed103
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR-6lb below mark
FFR 74 pounds scale
SpeedScoreabove par
103 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score27.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AMEDIUM
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -6lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb
Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Testing No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 1P Peak rating 68
Good 3 0W / 3P Peak rating 70
Fast 3 0W / 2P Peak rating 66
All-weather 4 2W / 3P Peak rating 81
Placement evidence 67% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 43%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (A)8 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -6lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -6lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 80 | Latest FFR 74 | Best FFR 89 | Public mark read -3
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer George Boughey
Jockey Billy Loughnane
Age 3
Draw 5
OR 80
Avg OR 83.5
OR vs Field -3.5
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 143234
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Improving

confidence nudge +3.0
Variance Reliable 7.8% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 3.4 vs par
Curve Improving Trend 2
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile8
DEIA
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
30-05-2026 Chester Good 3 1:15.49 75.5
21-08-2026 Newmarket (July) Good To Firm 3 1:10.75 70.8
05-09-2026 Kempton (AW) Standard / Slow 4 1:12.75 72.8
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 10 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP9/1
OwnerExors Of The Late Sheikh Mohammed Obaid
Pedigree

Mehmas × Edelline (Cape Cross)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.3L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
05-09-2026 Kempton (AW) 4 0.2 Neutral finish
21-08-2026 Newmarket (July) 3 0.8 Neutral finish
29-06-2026 Ffos Las 2 3 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 1 runs with an official OR.
15-04-2026 | Southwell (AW)
Rating 81 OR 76
30-04-2026 | Yarmouth
Rating -- OR 82
30-05-2026 | Chester
Rating -- OR 82
29-06-2026 | Ffos Las
Rating -- OR 82
21-08-2026 | Newmarket (July)
Rating -- OR 82
05-09-2026 | Kempton (AW)
Rating -- OR 81
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs8
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par1m 13.65s
Last win at trip1:14.01 | Southwell (AW) | 15-04-2026
Recent times1:15.49 | 1:10.75 | 1:12.75
Recent positions3 | 3 | 4
Winning contextvs par +0.36s | OR 76
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
05-09-2026 Kempton (AW) | 6f | Standard / Slow | Class 4 4 9/1 81 -- -- 0.2 -- GREY - no timing read
21-08-2026 Newmarket (July) | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 3 4/1 82 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
29-06-2026 Ffos Las | 5f | Good | Class 4 2 15/8F 82 -- -- 3 -- GREY - no timing read
30-05-2026 Chester | 6f | Good | Class 4 3 6/1 82 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
30-04-2026 Yarmouth | 7f | Good To Firm | Class 4 4 11/4 82 -- 76 1.2 1:23.86 GREY - below benchmark
15-04-2026 Southwell (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 4 1 6/1 76 81 60 0 1:14.01 GREEN - within 1% of par
Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -6lb | peak +9lb treated as ceiling | public read -3lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 92.3 and winning TS par is around 46. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Powdering Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 37.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Watch only 37.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form3-7-3-1-14-6
FFR75 / -4lb
Speed98
Franked18
Ground0/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw10
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.07
Miss Nightcap Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 30.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 30.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form10-1-1-2-2
FFR73 / -15lb
Speed--
Franked33
Ground0/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw4
Wgt9st 10lb
Best angle: Trip move Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Cherry Baker Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 29.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Best of a weak race 29.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (C)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form17-2-1-12-1-5
FFR62 / -26lb
Speed84
Franked31
Ground2/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw2
Wgt9st 10lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Tarot Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 18.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 18.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form5-6-6-7-1-3
FFR69 / -9lb
Speed104
Franked18
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw3
Wgt9st 0lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Passing Thought Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 14.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 14.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form5-9-14-1-7-1
FFR70 / -12lb
Speed100
Franked29
Ground3/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Gold Digger Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form13-6-9-1-6-1
FFR69 / -20lb
Speed96
Franked13
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw9
Wgt9st 11lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
Bella Lyra Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: draw data is a negative nudge.
Watch only 11.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form15-8-2-2-4-3
FFR58 / -32lb
Speed87
Franked12
Ground2/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw8
Wgt9st 12lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.07
4:54 | Redcar

4:54 | Redcar | 5f

Class 6 | Good | Watch Racing TV In Stunning HD Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 51 WATCH ONLY
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosHigh
Average OR60.514 rated runners | Top OR 65: Golden Havana
Winning par58.14s4 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places (GoingStick: 7.1) Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-65 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos high
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Albegone leads the contextual model at 35.5
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Compressed top end: Zuffolo close enough to respect
  • Winning-time par: 58.14s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 14 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
AlbegoneRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 57.8
2-1-5-6-2-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
09-09-2026
CarlisleClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP13/2
JockeyJake Dickson
OR58
FFR55
SS96
25-08-2026
MusselburghClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result1
SP6/1
JockeyJake Dickson
OR56
FFR69
SS105
24-07-2026
ThirskClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 10lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP9/2
JockeyJake Dickson
OR58
FFR50
SS101
15-07-2026
CatterickClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP14/1
JockeyDavid Allan
OR58
FFR56
SS103
22-06-2026
CatterickClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 12lb
Result2 btn 1.5L
SP11/8F
JockeyDavid Allan
OR59
FFR65
SS100
16-06-2026
ThirskClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result7 btn 0.1L
SP4/1
JockeyDavid Allan
OR59
FFR65
SS98
 9st 5lb 3 OR 58 65 +7lb 11 1.13 +14.2 Quick return Same trip Modest field -- 63% 74% 1/6 98 B Well treated +11 WATCH ONLY
ZuffoloRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 53.8
3-1-3-8-10-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
25-08-2026
MusselburghClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP14/1
JockeyRhys Elliott
OR56
FFR77
SS99
27-07-2026
RiponClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result1
SP7/2
JockeyRhys Elliott
OR54
FFR42
SS97
15-07-2026
CatterickClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP22/1
JockeyRhys Elliott
OR54
FFR36
SS92
22-06-2026
MusselburghClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result8 btn 0.8L
SP5/1
JockeyConnor Beasley
OR55
FFR54
SS88
05-06-2026
ThirskClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result10 btn 0.1L
SP10/1
JockeyRhys Elliott
OR57
FFR66
SS101
30-04-2026
RedcarClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP16/1
JockeyRhys Elliott
OR57
FFR58
SS98
 9st 3lb 12 OR 56 58 +2lb 36 1.13 +13.4 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 65% 67% 2/6 98 A Well treated +8 WATCH ONLY
CheerleaderRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 45.2
3-3-4-9-8-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
17-08-2026
CatterickClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 12lb
Result3 btn 1L
SP9/1
JockeyAndrew Mullen
OR54
FFR77
SS84
27-07-2026
RiponClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result3 btn 0.2L
SP5/2
JockeyWarren Fentiman
OR54
FFR70
SS102
07-07-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP22/1
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR56
FFR44
SS115
05-06-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result9 btn 1L
SP22/1
JockeyJack Garritty
OR59
FFR62
SS81
18-08-2025
CatterickClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result8 btn 0.5L
SP10/1
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR61
FFR62
SS94
04-08-2025
RiponClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 2.8L
SP17/2
JockeyWarren Fentiman
OR62
FFR57
SS95
 9st 1lb 5 OR 54 57 +3lb 32 1.13 +4.4 Freshened up Same trip Modest field -- 63% 71% 1/6 95 B Well treated +9 WATCH ONLY
HoundhillRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 32.8
4-1-8-11-10-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
08-08-2026
RedcarClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 11lb
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP22/1
JockeyAlex Jary
OR66
FFR67
SS93
31-07-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 5lb
Result1
SP8/1
JockeyAlex Jary
OR68
FFR48
SS93
16-07-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result8 btn 0.1L
SP22/1
JockeyAlex Jary
OR68
FFR45
SS90
01-07-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 8lb
Result11 btn 1.5L
SP12/1
JockeyRowan Scott
OR69
FFR49
SS95
12-06-2026
YorkClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP14/1
JockeyAlex Jary
OR70
FFR78
SS89
19-05-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result1
SP3/1F
JockeyRowan Scott
OR64
FFR62
SS94
 9st 10lb 6 OR 64 62 -2lb 18 1.13 +7.4 Freshened up Down in trip Modest field -- 60% 69% 1/6 94 A Near mark +1 CAUTION PROFILE
King Of The JungleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 31.5
10-1-1-10-5-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
21-08-2026
HamiltonClass 6 | 5f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 13lb
Result10 btn 3.2L
SP6/1
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR64
FFR80
SS83
20-06-2026
AyrClass 6 | 5f | Soft
Wgt9st 11lb
Result1
SP4/1
JockeyBilly Garritty
OR59
FFR60
SS104
27-05-2026
BeverleyClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 11lb
Result1
SP13/2
JockeyShay Farmer
OR53
FFR36
SS96
03-05-2026
HamiltonClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 7lb
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP16/1
JockeyLewis Chalkley
OR55
FFR65
SS93
15-07-2025
NottinghamClass 6 | 6f | Good
Wgt--
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP3/1
JockeyLewis Chalkley
OR58
FFR67
SS98
27-06-2025
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP5/1
JockeyBilly Garritty
OR56
FFR33
SS79
 9st 11lb 4 OR 64 33 -31lb 49 1.13 +4.4 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 55% 59% 2/6 79 A Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Dc CogentRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 24.5
3-7-3-8-6-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-09-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 6lb
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP9/4F
JockeyPaul Mulrennan
OR62
FFR68
SS100
20-07-2026
BeverleyClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 8lb
Result7 btn 1.8L
SP16/1
JockeyBen Robinson
OR64
FFR47
SS100
16-06-2026
ThirskClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP16/1
JockeyBen Robinson
OR64
FFR42
SS109
28-05-2026
RiponClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result8 btn 4.8L
SP8/1
JockeyPaul Mulrennan
OR66
FFR63
SS95
18-05-2026
CarlisleClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP4/1F
JockeyPaul Mulrennan
OR66
FFR48
SS97
09-05-2026
NottinghamClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result3 btn 0.1L
SP5/1
JockeyPaul Mulrennan
OR66
FFR59
SS105
 9st 8lb 11 OR 61 59 -2lb 26 1.13 +1.4 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 52% 56% 1/6 105 D Near mark +1 WATCH ONLY
Golden HavanaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 22.0
5-2-2-2-3-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-07-2026
MusselburghClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 1L
SP9/4J
JockeyConnor Beasley
OR64
FFR52
SS98
28-07-2026
BeverleyClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result2 btn 0.8L
SP9/1
JockeySean Kirrane
OR64
FFR60
SS88
20-07-2026
AyrClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 8lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP100/30
JockeySean Kirrane
OR64
FFR74
SS94
16-06-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 11lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP16/1
JockeyConnor Beasley
OR62
FFR63
SS89
02-06-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 8lb
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP9/2
JockeySean Kirrane
OR63
FFR72
SS93
19-05-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 8lb
Result3 btn 3.5L
SP7/1
JockeyConnor Beasley
OR63
FFR56
SS105
 9st 11lb 2 OR 65 56 -9lb 21 1.13 -0.8 Freshened up Same trip Modest field -- 50% 61% 0/6 105 C Stiff -6 CAUTION PROFILE
Speeding BulletRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 18.8
2-5-7-7-11-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-09-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 6lb
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP7/1
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR62
FFR86
SS100
28-07-2026
BeverleyClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 10lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP12/1
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR64
FFR33
SS94
03-06-2026
RiponClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result7 btn 0.5L
SP12/1
JockeyPaul Mulrennan
OR67
FFR46
SS104
18-05-2026
CarlisleClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP11/1
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR69
FFR47
SS93
01-05-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result11 btn 5.5L
SP12/1
JockeyDavid Nolan
OR70
FFR64
SS104
05-09-2025
HaydockClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 1.5L
SP11/1
JockeyMark Winn
OR69
FFR60
SS98
 9st 9lb 14 OR 62 60 -2lb 42 1.13 -2.6 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 52% 56% 0/6 98 D Near mark +1 WATCH ONLY
Under The RadarRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 18.8
5-3-3-9-6-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
12-08-2026
BeverleyClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 10lb
Result5 btn 0.1L
SP33/1
JockeyDuran Fentiman
OR62
FFR70
SS96
20-07-2026
AyrClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP2/1F
JockeyDuran Fentiman
OR63
FFR60
SS82
16-07-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result3 btn 2L
SP12/1
JockeyDuran Fentiman
OR63
FFR39
SS90
25-06-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard To Slow
Wgt9st 5lb
Result9 btn 1.5L
SP6/1
JockeyDavid Allan
OR66
FFR65
SS94
12-06-2026
YorkClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 12lb
Result6 btn 1L
SP22/1
JockeyDuran Fentiman
OR69
FFR58
SS98
31-05-2026
ThirskClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 7lb
Result6 btn 1.2L
SP22/1
JockeyDuran Fentiman
OR69
FFR63
SS92
 9st 6lb 9 OR 60 63 +3lb 35 1.13 -2.6 Freshened up Same trip Modest field -- 60% 65% 0/6 92 C Well treated +9 CAUTION PROFILE
BetweenthesticksRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 13.8
8-6-4-3-2-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
RiponClass 5 | 5f | Soft
Wgt9st 5lb
Result8 btn 2L
SP14/1
JockeyJames Sullivan
OR66
FFR51
SS102
17-08-2026
CatterickClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP8/1
JockeyJames Sullivan
OR68
FFR73
SS105
05-08-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 12lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP4/1
JockeyJames Sullivan
OR68
FFR70
SS109
07-07-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt10st 0lb
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP7/2
JockeyJames Sullivan
OR69
FFR66
SS89
29-06-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt10st 1lb
Result2 btn 1L
SP10/1
JockeyJames Sullivan
OR69
FFR45
SS101
03-06-2026
RiponClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result6 btn 2.2L
SP13/2
JockeyJames Sullivan
OR70
FFR51
SS102
 9st 10lb 1 OR 63 51 -12lb 8 1.13 -7.1 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 55% 58% 2/6 102 A Stiff -9 WATCH ONLY
Ice Cold AlexRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.2
8-12-6-4-6-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-08-2026
BeverleyClass 5 | 5f | Heavy
Wgt9st 4lb
Result8 btn 6.5L
SP22/1
JockeyCam Hardie
OR67
FFR78
SS97
20-08-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result12 btn 1.2L
SP33/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR70
FFR74
SS80
02-06-2026
PontefractClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result6 btn 11L
SP3/1F
JockeyCam Hardie
OR72
FFR65
SS97
04-05-2026
BeverleyClass 5 | 5f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 8lb
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP25/1
JockeyCam Hardie
OR74
FFR35
SS95
11-04-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 3.8L
SP18/1
JockeyCam Hardie
OR76
FFR51
SS98
22-09-2025
HamiltonClass 4 | 5f | Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 3.5L
SP15/2
JockeyCam Hardie
OR78
FFR33
SS95
 9st 9lb 10 OR 63 33 -30lb 39 1.13 -10.1 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 50% 51% 0/6 95 C Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
MukerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.8
8-8-11-10-4-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-09-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 6lb
Result8 btn 0.8L
SP11/1
JockeyAlex Jary
OR65
FFR59
SS97
17-08-2026
WindsorClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 12lb
Result8 btn 2.2L
SP6/1
JockeyAlex Jary
OR68
FFR66
SS94
01-08-2026
ThirskClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result11 btn 1L
SP25/1
JockeyFaye McManoman
OR72
FFR44
SS95
10-07-2026
YorkClass 4 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 13lb
Result10 btn 1.2L
SP22/1
JockeyAlex Jary
OR73
FFR50
SS104
02-07-2026
NottinghamClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP7/2
JockeyFinlay Bassett
OR73
FFR49
SS43
20-06-2026
RedcarClass 3 | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 1lb
Result6 btn 4.8L
SP28/1
JockeyAlex Jary
OR76
FFR45
SS98
 9st 9lb 8 OR 62 45 -17lb 20 1.13 -11.1 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 55% 57% 2/6 98 A Stiff -14 WATCH ONLY
Hurt You NeverRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.5
6-7-2-9-5-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-09-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 1lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP22/1
JockeyJack Nicholls
OR60
FFR64
SS93
11-08-2026
HamiltonClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result7 btn 0.8L
SP11/2
JockeyMatthew Lloyd Slater
OR60
FFR65
SS98
03-08-2026
NottinghamClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP7/2
JockeyJack Nicholls
OR60
FFR40
SS95
20-07-2026
BeverleyClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result9 btn 0.5L
SP11/1
JockeyJack Nicholls
OR64
FFR63
SS66
09-07-2026
DoncasterClass 5 | 5.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 8lb
Result5 btn 2L
SP16/1
JockeyMr Jack Lander
OR66
FFR41
SS87
02-07-2026
NottinghamClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result5 btn 0.8L
SP16/1
JockeyOliver Carmichael
OR66
FFR50
SS86
 9st 5lb 7 OR 58 50 -8lb 19 1.13 -2.6 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 56% 59% 2/6 86 A+ Stiff -5 WATCH ONLY
Midnight LirRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 0.8
9-8-4-4-4-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
09-09-2026
CarlisleClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result9 btn 1.8L
SP6/1
JockeyConnor Beasley
OR57
FFR58
SS102
08-08-2026
AyrClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result8 btn 1.2L
SP18/1
JockeySean Kirrane
OR59
FFR58
SS95
24-07-2026
ThirskClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 12lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP3/1
JockeyShay Farmer
OR60
FFR62
SS100
05-07-2026
AyrClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt10st 4lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP10/1
JockeyMr Matt Brown
OR61
FFR58
SS106
16-06-2026
ThirskClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP7/1
JockeyConnor Beasley
OR61
FFR41
SS91
29-05-2026
CarlisleClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result3 btn 0.2L
SP12/1
JockeyConnor Beasley
OR61
FFR46
SS97
 9st 4lb 13 OR 57 46 -11lb 2 1.13 -8.3 Quick return Same trip Modest field -- 48% 51% 1/6 97 D Stiff -8 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Albegone

Albegone profiles as a unclear with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Zuffolo

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Albegone Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 57.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: race shape is high variance.
Best of a weak race 57.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-1-5-6-2-7
FFR65 / +7lb
Speed98
Franked11
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw3
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Carlisle Finished well 09-09-2026
1 Musselburgh Strong run 25-08-2026
5 Thirsk Competitive 24-07-2026
6 Catterick Competitive 15-07-2026
2 Catterick Run faded 22-06-2026
7 Thirsk Competitive 16-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating11
1winners since
2placers since
8evidence pts
09-09-2026 | Carlisle Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Bibendum (GB), Bust A Moon (GB), Cape Sovereign (IRE)

05-09-2026 | Nottingham Finished 8
Beat named rivals

Papa Don't Preach (IRE)

Race produced winner

Donald (GB)

04-08-2026 | Nottingham Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Bang On The Bell (GB), Fiorella Princess (IRE), Komorkis (IRE)

Later placers

Komorkis (IRE) (06-08-2026), Over Spiced (GB) (09-08-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: race shape is high variance.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR65
Speed98
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+7lb ahead of mark
FFR 65 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
98 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskRace shape is high variance
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score35.5Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +11lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 63% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs3/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 16 5W / 11P Peak rating 81
Good 21 2W / 8P Peak rating 79
Fast 10 0W / 2P Peak rating 77
All-weather 6 0W / 1P Peak rating 73
Placement evidence 74% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 94%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 85%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (B)77 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +11lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +11lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +11lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 58 | Latest FFR 65 | Best FFR 69 | Public mark read +11
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Tim Easterby
Jockey Jake Dickson(5)
Age 8
Draw 3
OR 58
Avg OR 60.5
OR vs Field -2.5
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 726512
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Very steady 3.1% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 5.3 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile77
DEIB
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
24-07-2026 Thirsk Good To Firm 5 0:58.20 58.2
25-08-2026 Musselburgh Good 1 0:58.28 58.3
09-09-2026 Carlisle Good 2 1:2.13 62.1
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.5 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 6 days Quick return
Micro score +0.5 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP13/2
OwnerD B Mrs C Lamplough Partner
Pedigree

Alhebayeb × Pacngo (Paco Boy)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.3L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
09-09-2026 Carlisle 2 0.3 Fast finish
25-08-2026 Musselburgh 1 0 Neutral finish
24-07-2026 Thirsk 5 0.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
16-06-2026 | Thirsk
Rating -- OR 59
22-06-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 59
15-07-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 58
24-07-2026 | Thirsk
Rating -- OR 58
25-08-2026 | Musselburgh
Rating -- OR 56
09-09-2026 | Carlisle
Rating -- OR 58
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs77
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par58.14s
Last win at trip-- | Musselburgh | 25-08-2026
Recent times0:58.20 | 0:58.28 | 1:2.13
Recent positions5 | 1 | 2
Winning contextOR 56 | weight 8-10
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
09-09-2026 Carlisle | 5f | Good | Class 6 2 13/2 58 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
25-08-2026 Musselburgh | 5f | Good | Class 6 1 6/1 56 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
24-07-2026 Thirsk | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 5 9/2 58 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
15-07-2026 Catterick | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 6 14/1 58 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
22-06-2026 Catterick | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 2 11/8F 59 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
16-06-2026 Thirsk | 5f | Good | Class 6 7 4/1 59 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Well treated

Latest FFR read +11lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 68.5 and winning TS par is around 54.2. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Zuffolo Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 53.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 53.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Form3-1-3-8-10-2
FFR58 / +2lb
Speed98
Franked36
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw12
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3 Musselburgh Solid effort 25-08-2026
1 Ripon Strong run 27-07-2026
3 Catterick Solid effort 15-07-2026
8 Musselburgh Run faded 22-06-2026
10 Thirsk Finished well 05-06-2026
2 Redcar Solid effort 30-04-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating36
4winners since
6placers since
13evidence pts
06-05-2026 | Thirsk Finished 10
Beat named rivals

Kyber Crystal (IRE), Ninety Nine (IRE)

Later placers

Harry Mole (GB) (08-08-2026), Miss Rainbow (IRE) (04-08-2026)

05-09-2025 | Nottingham Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Zola Power (GB)

Race produced winner

Glory Fighter (GB), Sioux Warrior (IRE)

Later placers

Desert Master (GB) (06-06-2026)

09-08-2025 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Cash In (GB), Desert Master (GB), Fumbleinthejungle (GB)

Race produced winner

Startling (GB)

Later placers

Desert Master (GB) (06-06-2026), Masterclass (GB) (08-12-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement2/6
FFR58
Speed98
ConditionsPositive fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+2lb near mark
FFR 58 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
98 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score34.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest +2lb | peak +21lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb
Today's conditions match 65% Positive conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs3/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 69
Good 15 2W / 5P Peak rating 79
Fast 9 2W / 4P Peak rating 73
All-weather 14 2W / 3P Peak rating 80
Placement evidence 67% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 76%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 42%
Proven trip profile (A)45 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +8lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Mark read Latest +2lb | peak +21lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +2lb | peak +21lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 56 | Latest FFR 58 | Best FFR 77 | Public mark read +8
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Michael Dods
Jockey Sean Kirrane
Age 6
Draw 12
OR 56
Avg OR 60.5
OR vs Field -4.5
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 208313
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Very steady 4.7% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 1.4 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile45
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
15-07-2026 Catterick Good To Firm 3 0:58.42 58.4
27-07-2026 Ripon Good To Firm 1 0:58.92 58.9
25-08-2026 Musselburgh Good 3 0:58.45 58.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 21 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: b; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearbDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP14/1
OwnerR R D Saunders And Partner
Pedigree

Bungle Inthejungle × Red Red Rose (Piccolo)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.7L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
25-08-2026 Musselburgh 3 0.8 Neutral finish
27-07-2026 Ripon 1 0 Neutral finish
15-07-2026 Catterick 3 1.2 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
30-04-2026 | Redcar
Rating -- OR 57
05-06-2026 | Thirsk
Rating -- OR 57
22-06-2026 | Musselburgh
Rating -- OR 55
15-07-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 54
27-07-2026 | Ripon
Rating -- OR 54
25-08-2026 | Musselburgh
Rating -- OR 56
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs45
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par58.14s
Last win at trip-- | Ripon | 27-07-2026
Recent times0:58.42 | 0:58.92 | 0:58.45
Recent positions3 | 1 | 3
Winning contextOR 54 | weight 9-4
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
25-08-2026 Musselburgh | 5f | Good | Class 6 3 14/1 56 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
27-07-2026 Ripon | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 1 7/2 54 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
15-07-2026 Catterick | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 3 22/1 54 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
22-06-2026 Musselburgh | 5f | Good | Class 6 8 5/1 55 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
05-06-2026 Thirsk | 5f | Good | Class 6 10 10/1 57 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
30-04-2026 Redcar | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 2 16/1 57 -- 41 1.2 0:58.03 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Well treated

Latest +2lb | peak +21lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 68.5 and winning TS par is around 54.2. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Cheerleader Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 45.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 45.2 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form3-3-4-9-8-2
FFR57 / +3lb
Speed95
Franked32
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw5
Wgt9st 1lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3 Catterick Solid effort 17-08-2026
3 Ripon Solid effort 27-07-2026
4 Pontefract Competitive 07-07-2026
9 Thirsk Competitive 05-06-2026
8 Catterick Troubled run 18-08-2025
2 Ripon Solid effort 04-08-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating32
4winners since
6placers since
12evidence pts
07-07-2026 | Pontefract Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Brave Empire (IRE), Dandy Dinmont (IRE), Storm Call (IRE)

Later placers

Betweenthesticks (GB) (05-08-2026)

06-05-2026 | Thirsk Finished 9
Beat named rivals

Fille Unique (IRE), Star Marian (GB)

Race produced winner

Dragon Spin (GB), Military Girl (IRE)

Later placers

Pull The Rug (IRE) (08-06-2026), Startling (GB) (08-08-2026)

07-05-2025 | Beverley Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Angelic Bugler (IRE), Invincible Crown (IRE)

Race produced winner

Brazilian Belle (IRE)

Later placers

Invincible Crown (IRE) (09-03-2026), Juno Star (IRE) (01-02-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR57
Speed95
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+3lb near mark
FFR 57 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
95 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score25.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest +3lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +9lb
Today's conditions match 63% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs4/6
Best similar rating66
Best ground bandFast
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 1W / 1P Peak rating 66
Good 6 0W / 3P Peak rating 66
Fast 6 1W / 3P Peak rating 60
All-weather 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 50
Placement evidence 71% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 94%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 79%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 68%
Proven trip profile (B)15 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +9lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +3lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +9lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +3lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +9lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 54 | Latest FFR 57 | Best FFR 77 | Public mark read +9
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Tina Jackson
Jockey Andrew Mullen
Age 4
Draw 5
OR 54
Avg OR 60.5
OR vs Field -6.5
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 8-9433
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Variable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Big ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +1.2
Variance Variable 11.8% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Big ceiling edge 14.7 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile15
DEIB
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
07-07-2026 Pontefract Good 4 1:2.38 62.4
27-07-2026 Ripon Good To Firm 3 0:59.00 59
17-08-2026 Catterick Good 3 0:59.43 59.4
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 29 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP9/1
OwnerDerek Caroline Thompson
Pedigree

Dandy Man × Sleepless (Shalaa)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.9L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
17-08-2026 Catterick 3 1 Neutral finish
27-07-2026 Ripon 3 0.2 Neutral finish
07-07-2026 Pontefract 4 1.5 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 2 runs with an official OR.
04-08-2025 | Ripon
Rating 66 OR 62
18-08-2025 | Catterick
Rating 48 OR 61
05-06-2026 | Thirsk
Rating -- OR 59
07-07-2026 | Pontefract
Rating -- OR 56
27-07-2026 | Ripon
Rating -- OR 54
17-08-2026 | Catterick
Rating -- OR 54
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs15
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par58.14s
Last win at trip0:59.24 | Catterick | 30-05-2025
Recent times1:2.38 | 0:59.00 | 0:59.43
Recent positions4 | 3 | 3
Winning contextvs par +1.1s | OR 54
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
17-08-2026 Catterick | 5f | Good | Class 5 3 9/1 54 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
27-07-2026 Ripon | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 3 5/2 54 -- -- 0.2 -- GREY - no timing read
07-07-2026 Pontefract | 5f | Good | Class 5 4 22/1 56 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
05-06-2026 Thirsk | 5f | Good | Class 5 9 22/1 59 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
18-08-2025 Catterick | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 8 10/1 61 48 26 0.5 0:59.98 GREY - below benchmark
04-08-2025 Ripon | 5f | Good | Class 5 2 17/2 62 66 48 2.8 0:59.33 AMBER - competitive
Handicap Well treated

Latest +3lb | peak +23lb treated as ceiling | public read +9lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 68.5 and winning TS par is around 54.2. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Houndhill Distance specialist
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 32.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Best of a weak race 32.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form4-1-8-11-10-1
FFR62 / -2lb
Speed94
Franked18
Ground2/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw6
Wgt9st 10lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
King Of The Jungle Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 31.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 31.5 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form10-1-1-10-5-2
FFR33 / -31lb
Speed79
Franked49
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 11lb
Best angle: DEI Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
10 Hamilton Steady run 21-08-2026
1 Ayr Strong run 20-06-2026
1 Beverley Strong run 27-05-2026
10 Hamilton Competitive 03-05-2026
5 Nottingham Run faded 15-07-2025
2 Newcastle (AW) Strong run 27-06-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating49
5winners since
9placers since
15evidence pts
05-03-2026 | Hamilton Finished 10
Beat named rivals

Digital (IRE), Opal Storm (GB)

Race produced winner

Thunderstorm Katie (GB)

Later placers

Doon The Glen (GB) (03-06-2026), Hi Lord (GB) (06-04-2026)

01-10-2025 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Captain Bentley (GB), Eldeyaar (IRE), Parsons Meadow (GB)

Race produced winner

Fortunate Star (IRE)

Later placers

Captain Vallo (IRE) (04-12-2025), Eldeyaar (IRE) (09-08-2026)

06-07-2025 | Musselburgh Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Royal Duke (GB), Zuffolo (IRE)

Race produced winner

Kings Crown (IRE), Pockley (GB)

Later placers

Royal Duke (GB) (08-09-2025), Sixcor (GB) (07-12-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR33
Speed79
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-31lb below mark
FFR 33 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
79 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score25.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -31lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb
Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating50
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 11 2W / 4P Peak rating 65
Good 3 0W / 0P Peak rating 50
Fast 5 1W / 2P Peak rating 62
All-weather 15 1W / 6P Peak rating 67
Placement evidence 59% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 4%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (A)18 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Mark read Latest -31lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -31lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 64 | Latest FFR 33 | Best FFR 80 | Public mark read -16
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Michael & David Easterby
Jockey Joanna Mason
Age 6
Draw 4
OR 64
Avg OR 60.5
OR vs Field +3.5
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 5-0110
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Predictive caution

Variable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Regressing

confidence nudge -2.5
Variance Variable 9.5% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 4.2 vs par
Curve Regressing Trend -2
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile18
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
27-05-2026 Beverley Good To Firm 1 1:0.77 60.8
20-06-2026 Ayr Soft 1 0:59.89 59.9
21-08-2026 Hamilton Good To Soft 10 1:1.95 62
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 25 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP6/1
OwnerLaura Mason Syndicate Racing
Pedigree

Bungle Inthejungle × Bonne (Namid)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
21-08-2026 Hamilton 10 3.2 Neutral finish
20-06-2026 Ayr 1 0 Neutral finish
27-05-2026 Beverley 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 2 runs with an official OR.
27-06-2025 | Newcastle (AW)
Rating 64 OR 56
15-07-2025 | Nottingham
Rating 50 OR 58
03-05-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 55
27-05-2026 | Beverley
Rating -- OR 53
20-06-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 59
21-08-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 64
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs18
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par58.14s
Last win at trip-- | Ayr | 20-06-2026
Recent times1:0.77 | 0:59.89 | 1:1.95
Recent positions1 | 1 | 10
Winning contextOR 59 | weight 9-11
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
21-08-2026 Hamilton | 5f | Good To Soft | Class 6 10 6/1 64 -- -- 3.2 -- GREY - no timing read
20-06-2026 Ayr | 5f | Soft | Class 6 1 4/1 59 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
27-05-2026 Beverley | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 1 13/2 53 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
03-05-2026 Hamilton | 5f | Good | Class 6 10 16/1 55 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
15-07-2025 Nottingham | 6f | Good | Class 6 5 3/1 58 50 21 0.3 1:17.88 GREY - below benchmark
27-06-2025 Newcastle (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 6 2 5/1 56 64 54 0.3 1:13.73 GREY - below benchmark
Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -31lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 68.5 and winning TS par is around 54.2. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Dc Cogent Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 24.5
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 24.5 confidence
Why consider16 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form3-7-3-8-6-3
FFR59 / -2lb
Speed105
Franked26
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw11
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Golden Havana Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 22.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 22.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (C)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form5-2-2-2-3-3
FFR56 / -9lb
Speed105
Franked21
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw2
Wgt9st 11lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Speeding Bullet Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 18.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 18.8 confidence
Why consider6 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-5-7-7-11-2
FFR60 / -2lb
Speed98
Franked42
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw14
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Under The Radar Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 18.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 18.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (C)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form5-3-3-9-6-6
FFR63 / +3lb
Speed92
Franked35
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw9
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Betweenthesticks Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 13.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 13.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form8-6-4-3-2-6
FFR51 / -12lb
Speed102
Franked8
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw1
Wgt9st 10lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Ice Cold Alex Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 11.2 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (C)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form8-12-6-4-6-4
FFR33 / -30lb
Speed95
Franked39
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw10
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Muker Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 8.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 8.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form8-8-11-10-4-6
FFR45 / -17lb
Speed98
Franked20
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw8
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.13
Hurt You Never Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 8.5
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 8.5 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A+)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form6-7-2-9-5-5
FFR50 / -8lb
Speed86
Franked19
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: DEI Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Midnight Lir Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 0.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 0.8 confidence
Why consider31 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form9-8-4-4-4-3
FFR46 / -11lb
Speed97
Franked2
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw13
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
4:59 | Wolverhampton (AW)

4:59 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f

Class 5 | Standard | Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com "Confined" Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D, Which Have Run No More Than Twice) (Div I) (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 30 WATCH ONLY
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR--0 rated runners | No official ratings yet
Winning par1m 13.84s115 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupTAPETA: STANDARD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Thames Waterman leads the contextual model at 15.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Compressed top end: Picnic Princess close enough to respect
  • Winning-time par: 1m 13.84s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 11 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Thames WatermanRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 19.2
1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
10-04-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP15/8F
JockeyFinley Marsh
OR--
FFR81
SS94
 9st 11lb 8 OR -- 81 -- 0 1.02 +7.2 Long absence Up in trip Field strength developing -- 50% 59% 1/6 94 D Developing WATCH ONLY
Picnic PrincessRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 16.0
5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-08-2026
BeverleyClass 4 | 5f | Heavy
Wgt9st 2lb
Result5 btn 1.8L
SP16/1
JockeyShane Gray
OR--
FFR52
SS--
 8st 10lb 3 OR -- 52 -- 0 1.02 +4.4 Standard rest Up in trip Field strength developing -- 48% 54% 1/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Kitty ReyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
8st 13lb 12 OR -- -- -- 0 1.02 +2.4 Rest developing Trip move developing Field strength developing -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
GhazaliaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.0
4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-08-2026
CatterickClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result4 btn 3L
SP9/1
JockeySean D Bowen
OR--
FFR65
SS--
 8st 10lb 2 OR -- 65 -- 0 1.02 +3.7 Standard rest Up in trip Field strength developing -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
TaranisRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.5
7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
EpsomClass 3 | 7f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 4lb
Result7 btn 5.5L
SP9/1
JockeyCharles Bishop
OR--
FFR54
SS--
 9st 1lb 1 OR -- 54 -- 0 1.02 -1.1 Standard rest Down in trip Field strength developing -- 48% 54% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
RedrosecastanaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.0
7-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-08-2026
CatterickClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result7 btn 1.5L
SP150/1
JockeyMark Winn
OR--
FFR34
SS--
08-08-2026
AyrClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result9 btn 10L
SP28/1
JockeyPaul Mulrennan
OR--
FFR52
SS--
 9st 1lb 10 OR -- 52 -- 0 1.02 +0.9 Standard rest Up in trip Field strength developing -- 48% 54% 1/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
DarjeelRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 4.2
5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-08-2026
NewburyClass 4 | 6.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP3/1
JockeySean Levey
OR--
FFR57
SS--
 9st 4lb 9 OR -- 57 -- 0 1.02 -4.3 Standard rest Down in trip Field strength developing -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Without FailRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 4.0
10-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
18-08-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 0lb
Result10 btn 1.8L
SP150/1
JockeyJoe Bradnam
OR--
FFR46
SS--
10-08-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 7lb
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP40/1
JockeyRoss Coakley
OR--
FFR52
SS--
 9st 4lb 7 OR -- 52 -- 0 1.02 -7.1 Standard rest Down in trip Field strength developing -- 48% 54% 1/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
CosmocratRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 1.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 1lb 4 OR -- -- -- 0 1.02 +1.4 Rest developing Trip move developing Field strength developing -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Christmas Is CominRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 1.0
5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
21-08-2026
SalisburyClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result5 btn 0.2L
SP50/1
JockeyJosephine Gordon
OR--
FFR53
SS--
 9st 1lb 6 OR -- 53 -- 0 1.02 +0.7 Standard rest Same trip Field strength developing -- 48% 50% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
LowcountryRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 0.5
10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
21-08-2026
SalisburyClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result10 btn 7L
SP40/1
JockeyAlec Voikhansky
OR--
FFR31
SS--
 9st 4lb 5 OR -- 31 -- 0 1.02 -8.1 Standard rest Same trip Field strength developing -- 48% 55% 0/6 -- E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Thames Waterman

Thames Waterman profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Picnic Princess

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Thames Waterman Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 19.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 19.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form1
FFR81 / --
Speed94
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw8
Wgt9st 11lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.02
Picnic Princess Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 16.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 16.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5
FFR52 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw3
Wgt8st 10lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.02
Kitty Rey Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 11.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw12
Wgt8st 13lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.02
Ghazalia Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4
FFR65 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw2
Wgt8st 10lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.02
Taranis Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7
FFR54 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw1
Wgt9st 1lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.02
Redrosecastana Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-9
FFR52 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw10
Wgt9st 1lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.02
Darjeel Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 4.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 4.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5
FFR57 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw9
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.02
Without Fail Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 4.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 4.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10-10
FFR52 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground2/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw7
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.02
Cosmocrat Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 1.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 1.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw4
Wgt9st 1lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.02
Christmas Is Comin Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 1.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 1.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5
FFR53 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt9st 1lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.02
Lowcountry Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 0.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 0.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10
FFR31 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.02
5:05 | Uttoxeter

5:05 | Uttoxeter | 20f

Class 4 | Good | QuinnBet Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 63 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosLow
Average OR104.39 rated runners | Top OR 110: Gaelic Rambler
Winning par4m 58.68s28 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD, Good to firm in places Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-110 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Mix Of Clover leads the contextual model at 30.2
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Winning-time par: 4m 58.68s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 9 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Mix Of CloverRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 54.5
7-1-3-3-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 20f | Good
Wgt10st 13lb
Result7 btn 7L
SP40/1
JockeyTom Broughton
OR108
FFR99
SS111
10-07-2026
WorcesterClass 5 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 9lb
Result1
SP28/1
JockeyTom Broughton
OR102
FFR112
SS66
16-06-2026
StratfordClass 4 | 22.5f | Good
Wgt11st 0lb
Result3 btn 28L
SP11/1
JockeyTom Broughton
OR104
FFR90
SS64
30-05-2026
StratfordClass 4 | 21f | Good To Firm
Wgt11st 6lb
Result3 btn 11L
SP5/1
JockeyJonathan Burke
OR105
FFR75
SS94
11-11-2025
HerefordClass 4 | 2m5f | Good
Wgt--
Result--
SP16/1
JockeyTom Broughton
OR106
FFR105
SS94
18-10-2025
StratfordClass 4 | 2m5f | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP8/1
JockeyTom Broughton
OR102
FFR72
SS99
 11st 12lb 0 OR 108 72 -36lb 6 1.13 +7.2 Standard rest Same trip Elite field 58 53% 54% 1/6 99 B Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Martin's DenuoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 30.5
2-4-4-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
06-09-2026
FontwellClass 4 | 19.5f | Good
Wgt10st 10lb
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP5/2
JockeyRian Corcoran
OR108
FFR108
SS78
28-08-2026
FontwellClass 4 | 18f | Good
Wgt10st 11lb
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP10/1
JockeyRian Corcoran
OR110
FFR80
SS87
06-01-2026
Cagnes-Sur-Mer-- | 2m3f | Very Soft
Wgt--
Result--
SP69/10
JockeyGauvain Faivre-Picon
OR123
FFR83
SS--
11-11-2025
Compiegne-- | 2m1f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP56/10
JockeyGauvain Faivre-Picon
OR--
FFR108
SS--
20-10-2025
Compiegne-- | 2m1f | Very Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 9L
SP18/5
JockeyAntoine Subias
OR--
FFR96
SS--
09-09-2025
Auteuil (FR)-- | 2m1½f | Very Soft
Wgt--
Result--
SP47/10
JockeyGauvain Faivre-Picon
OR--
FFR109
SS--
 11st 1lb 0 OR 108 109 +1lb 18 1.13 +22 Standard rest Down in trip Elite field 68 52% 60% 0/6 87 D Near mark +1 CAUTION PROFILE
Mr RafikiRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 30.0
2-4-4-4-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
16-07-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt11st 4lb
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP5/2
JockeyJonjo O'Neill Jr.
OR105
FFR84
SS94
30-06-2026
StratfordClass 4 | 18.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt11st 4lb
Result4 btn 17L
SP7/1
JockeyJonjo O'Neill Jr
OR--
FFR92
SS107
20-05-2026
WarwickClass 4 | 19f | Good
Wgt11st 4lb
Result4 btn 2.2L
SP10/1
JockeyKevin Brogan
OR--
FFR95
SS--
12-04-2026
Ffos LasClass 4 | 2m4f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP66/1
JockeyJonjo ONeill Jr
OR--
FFR75
SS--
08-10-2025
LudlowClass 4 | 2m | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result4 btn 12L
SP7/1
JockeyJonjo ONeill Jr
OR--
FFR110
SS--
 11st 10lb 0 OR 106 110 +4lb 14 1.13 +1.5 Layoff check Big drop back Elite field 80 53% 51% 0/6 107 E Workable +4 WATCH ONLY
A Dublin JobRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 22.0
5-6-5-5-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 22.5f | Good
Wgt11st 1lb
Result--
SP25/1
JockeyCameron Johnstone-Baker
OR92
FFR91
SS97
15-08-2026
Market RasenClass 5 | 21.5f | Good
Wgt11st 4lb
Result5 btn 3L
SP14/1
JockeyCameron Johnstone-Baker
OR97
FFR75
SS84
26-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 4 | 20f | Good
Wgt10st 3lb
Result6 btn 1.5L
SP80/1
JockeyCameron Johnstone-Baker
OR102
FFR74
SS102
07-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 4 | 24f | Good
Wgt11st 2lb
Result5 btn 40L
SP40/1
JockeyJames Best
OR107
FFR85
SS103
13-06-2026
UttoxeterClass 4 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 9lb
Result5 btn 30L
SP50/1
JockeyJames Best
OR110
FFR81
SS100
24-05-2026
UttoxeterClass 2 | 20f | Good
Wgt10st 2lb
Result6 btn 3.5L
SP40/1
JockeyJames Best
OR119
FFR100
SS99
 10st 10lb 0 OR 92 100 +8lb 2 1.13 -8.8 Standard rest Big drop back Elite field 61 65% 68% 2/6 99 A Well treated +8 WATCH ONLY
Lady KaraRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 19.0
4-1-1-1-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
27-08-2026
Newton AbbotClass 4 | 21f | Good To Firm
Wgt12st 0lb
Result4 btn 32L
SP5/2
JockeyCharlie Hammond
OR110
FFR113
SS101
30-06-2026
StratfordClass 4 | 19.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt11st 13lb
Result--
SP100/30
JockeyLuke Scott
OR112
FFR113
SS117
12-06-2026
Newton AbbotClass 4 | 17f | Good
Wgt11st 7lb
Result1
SP15/8
JockeyRian Corcoran
OR105
FFR115
SS101
27-05-2026
Newton AbbotClass 4 | 17f | Good
Wgt11st 7lb
Result1
SP2/1J
JockeyCharlie Hammond
OR105
FFR115
SS106
12-05-2026
HerefordClass 4 | 19.5f | Good
Wgt10st 11lb
Result1
SP1/2F
JockeyLuke Scott
OR105
FFR112
SS98
04-05-2026
FakenhamClass 3 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 3lb
Result3 btn 1.8L
SP9/1
JockeyLuke Scott
OR105
FFR76
SS102
 11st 11lb 0 OR 107 76 -31lb 20 1.13 -4 Standard rest Down in trip Elite field 71 45% 46% 0/6 102 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
HudsonRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 16.2
3-4-8-7-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 20f | Good
Wgt10st 5lb
Result3 btn 18L
SP20/1
JockeyShane Fenelon
OR102
FFR103
SS87
26-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 4 | 20f | Good
Wgt10st 13lb
Result4 btn 4.8L
SP14/1
JockeyJames Bowen
OR105
FFR84
SS101
07-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 4 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 7lb
Result8 btn 0.8L
SP17/2
JockeyJames Bowen
OR108
FFR110
SS112
16-05-2026
Bangor-on-DeeClass 4 | 17.5f | Good
Wgt11st 2lb
Result--
SP8/1
JockeyJames Bowen
OR108
FFR84
SS73
16-01-2026
Market RasenClass 4 | 2m7f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result7 btn 6.5L
SP22/1
JockeyShane Fenelon
OR110
FFR94
SS112
23-11-2025
ExeterClass 4 | 2m½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP10/1
JockeyShane Fenelon
OR111
FFR81
SS96
 11st 4lb 0 OR 100 81 -19lb 36 1.13 -6.8 Standard rest Same trip Elite field 80 45% 43% 0/6 96 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Sleeping SatelliteRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 10.8
5-4-3-1-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-04-2026
WarwickClass 4 | 2m4f | Good
Wgt--
Result--
SP9/1
JockeyJack Hogan
OR106
FFR86
SS107
21-03-2026
KelsoClass 2 | 2m5½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result5 btn 2.8L
SP20/1
JockeyJack Hogan
OR107
FFR97
SS92
21-02-2026
NewcastleClass 4 | 2m½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP11/1
JockeyJonathan Burke
OR108
FFR95
SS96
08-12-2025
MusselburghClass 4 | 2m4½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result3 btn 2.5L
SP15/8F
JockeyJonathan Burke
OR108
FFR87
SS98
21-11-2025
CatterickClass 4 | 2m3f | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP9/4F
JockeyJack Hogan
OR104
FFR99
SS95
27-10-2025
Bangor-on-DeeClass 5 | 2m1½f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 9L
SP3/1F
JockeyJonathan Burke
OR104
FFR111
SS104
 11st 8lb 0 OR 104 111 +7lb 35 1.13 -9.3 Long absence Same trip Elite field 75 56% 57% 1/6 104 D Workable +7 WATCH ONLY
CamarrateRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.2
1-6-3-12-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
09-05-2026
WarwickClass 4 | 21f | Good
Wgt11st 5lb
Result--
SP4/1
JockeyWilliam Maggs
OR104
FFR101
SS97
11-04-2026
NewcastleClass 5 | 2m4½f | Good
Wgt--
Result1
SP11/2
JockeyTheo Gillard
OR100
FFR75
SS88
22-03-2026
CarlisleClass 4 | 2m3½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result6 btn 4.2L
SP13/2
JockeyTheo Gillard
OR102
FFR87
SS95
27-02-2026
DoncasterClass 5 | 2m3½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP11/1
JockeyCharlie Maggs
OR105
FFR100
SS117
28-12-2025
CatterickClass 4 | 2m3½f | Good
Wgt--
Result12 btn 5L
SP10/1
JockeyTheo Gillard
OR106
FFR98
SS117
31-10-2025
WetherbyClass 3 | 2m3½f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 2L
SP15/2
JockeyTheo Gillard
OR106
FFR110
SS103
 11st 8lb 0 OR 104 110 +6lb 21 1.13 -0.8 Long absence Down in trip Elite field 71 53% 60% 0/6 103 E Workable +6 CAUTION PROFILE
Gaelic RamblerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 6.2
6-3-5-2-2-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
WorcesterClass 4 | 23f | Good
Wgt12st 0lb
Result6 btn 27L
SP17/2
JockeyJonjo O'Neill Jr.
OR113
FFR87
SS120
07-07-2026
UttoxeterClass 4 | 20f | Good
Wgt12st 0lb
Result3 btn 11L
SP11/1
JockeyJonjo O'Neill Jr
OR115
FFR95
SS89
21-04-2026
Ffos LasClass 4 | 2m3½f | Good
Wgt--
Result5 btn 5.5L
SP5/2
JockeyJonjo ONeill Jr
OR115
FFR93
SS98
27-03-2026
WetherbyClass 4 | 1m7f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 4L
SP11/4
JockeyJonjo ONeill Jr
OR114
FFR82
SS97
09-03-2026
StratfordClass 4 | 2m1f | Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 3.2L
SP7/4F
JockeyJonjo ONeill Jr
OR113
FFR102
SS92
18-02-2026
SouthwellClass 4 | 2m4½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result3 btn 10L
SP9/1
JockeyRichie McLernon
OR115
FFR74
SS--
 12st 0lb 0 OR 110 74 -36lb 1 1.13 -1 Standard rest Big drop back Elite field 69 45% 38% 0/6 92 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Mix Of Clover

Mix Of Clover profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Martin's Denuo

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Mix Of Clover Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 54.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Best of a weak race 54.5 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form7-1-3-3-1
FFR72 / -36lb
Speed99
Franked6
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 12lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
7 Worcester Run faded 23-08-2026
1 Worcester Strong run 10-07-2026
3 Stratford Solid effort 16-06-2026
3 Stratford Solid effort 30-05-2026
-- Hereford Run faded 11-11-2025
1 Stratford Strong run 18-10-2025
Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating6
0winners since
3placers since
4evidence pts
09-05-2025 | Worcester Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Douglas Dc (IRE), Jorah (IRE), Soldat Forte (IRE)

Later placers

An Bradan Feasa (IRE) (02-10-2025), Douglas Dc (IRE) (08-04-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR72
Speed99
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR-36lb below mark
FFR 72 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
99 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score30.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BHIGH
Mark readMark looks stiffLatest -36lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb
Today's conditions match 53% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 36%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Handicap
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs5/6
Best similar rating109
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 4 0W / 1P Peak rating 108
Good 19 4W / 9P Peak rating 112
Fast 1 0W / 1P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 54% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 94%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 4%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Proven trip profile (B)12 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidenceRecent evidence is mixed
Mark read Latest -36lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Mark looks stiff Latest -36lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb

Recorded peak evidence does not currently show an obvious ratings advantage.

Today's OR 108 | Latest FFR 72 | Best FFR 112 | Public mark read -16
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Jumps intelligence Jump caution

Completion or stamina evidence asks for caution.

Chase profile 58 -1.5 model nudge
Code evidence4 runsChase
Completion50%
Jumping rhythm0% error clues
StaminaStamina cautionTrip and finish comments
GroundGround not a jumps concernTesting-ground evidence
Trainer Alastair Ralph
Jockey Tom Broughton(3)
Age 12
Draw 0
OR 108
Avg OR 104.3
OR vs Field +3.7
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form P-3317
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Volatile; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Improving

confidence nudge +1.5
Variance Volatile 19.8% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 11.3 vs par
Curve Improving Trend 2
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance2m4f
Runs at profile12
DEIB
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
08-10-2024 Huntingdon Good F - 302.2
10-07-2026 Worcester Good 1 5:2.18 308.3
23-08-2026 Worcester Good 7 5:8.26 --
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 23 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP40/1
OwnerMiss S Troughton
Pedigree

Fair Mix × Allforclover (Alflora)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 11.7L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
23-08-2026 Worcester 7 7 Neutral finish
10-07-2026 Worcester 1 0 Neutral finish
16-06-2026 Stratford 3 28 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 1 runs with an official OR.
18-10-2025 | Stratford
Rating 109 OR 102
11-11-2025 | Hereford
Rating -- OR 106
30-05-2026 | Stratford
Rating -- OR 105
16-06-2026 | Stratford
Rating -- OR 104
10-07-2026 | Worcester
Rating -- OR 102
23-08-2026 | Worcester
Rating -- OR 108
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs12
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par4m 58.68s
Last win at trip-- | Worcester | 10-07-2026
Recent times- | 5:2.18 | 5:8.26
Recent positionsF | 1 | 7
Winning contextOR 102 | weight 11-9
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
23-08-2026 Worcester | 20f | Good | Class 4 7 40/1 108 -- -- 7 -- GREY - no timing read
10-07-2026 Worcester | 20f | Good | Class 5 1 28/1 102 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
16-06-2026 Stratford | 22.5f | Good | Class 4 3 11/1 104 -- -- 28 -- GREY - no timing read
30-05-2026 Stratford | 21f | Good To Firm | Class 4 3 5/1 105 -- -- 11 -- GREY - no timing read
11-11-2025 Hereford | 2m5f | Good | Class 4 -- 16/1 106 -- -- -- - GREY - no timing read
18-10-2025 Stratford | 2m5f | Good | Class 4 1 8/1 102 109 100 0 5:15.47 GREY - below benchmark
Handicap Mark looks stiff

Latest -36lb | peak +4lb treated as ceiling | public read -16lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 115.1 and winning TS par is around 77.4. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Martin's Denuo Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 30.5
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 30.5 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-4-4-2
FFR109 / +1lb
Speed87
Franked18
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 1lb
Best angle: Field strength Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Mr Rafiki Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 30.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 30.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form2-4-4-4-4
FFR110 / +4lb
Speed107
Franked14
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 10lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
A Dublin Job Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 22.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 22.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form5-6-5-5-6
FFR100 / +8lb
Speed99
Franked2
Ground3/3 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassUp in class
Draw0
Wgt10st 10lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Lady Kara Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 19.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 19.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-1-1-1-3
FFR76 / -31lb
Speed102
Franked20
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 11lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Hudson Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 16.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 16.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-4-8-7-4
FFR81 / -19lb
Speed96
Franked36
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 4lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Sleeping Satellite Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 10.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 10.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkRecent evidence is mixed
Form5-4-3-1-2
FFR111 / +7lb
Speed104
Franked35
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Camarrate Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.2 confidence
Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form1-6-3-12-2
FFR110 / +6lb
Speed103
Franked21
Ground3/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt11st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Gaelic Rambler Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 6.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 6.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-3-5-2-2-3
FFR74 / -36lb
Speed92
Franked1
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassSame class
Draw0
Wgt12st 0lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
5:13 | Punchestown

5:13 | Punchestown | 9f

0-60 | Good | Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (Div II)

Race Confidence 72 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR50.917 rated runners | Top OR 60: Casheldale Lass
Winning par1m 51.11s1054 race distance-only sample | approximate
SetupGOOD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-60 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Casheldale Lass leads the contextual model at 22.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Winning-time par: 1m 51.11s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 17 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Casheldale LassRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 58.0
3-8-12-8-2-16
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
08-08-2026
Wexford (IRE)-- | 17f | Good
Wgt10st 9lb
Result3 btn 3.5L
SP14/1
JockeyConor Smithers
OR--
FFR66
SS81
12-07-2026
Sligo-- | 17.5f | Good
Wgt11st 0lb
Result8 btn 1.8L
SP9/1
JockeySean O'Keeffe
OR--
FFR75
SS97
24-06-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 11f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result12 btn 0.3L
SP6/1
JockeyPatrick McGettigan
OR63
FFR51
SS92
28-05-2026
Fairyhouse (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result8 btn 0.1L
SP11/4F
JockeyPatrick McGettigan
OR64
FFR56
SS90
15-05-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt8st 4lb
Result2 btn 0.2L
SP15/2
JockeyPatrick McGettigan
OR61
FFR81
SS92
25-04-2026
Navan-- | 1m2f | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result16 btn 0.5L
SP14/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR62
FFR101
SS90
 10st 2lb 1 OR 60 101 +41lb 21 1.05 +9.4 Freshened up Big drop back Weak field -- 60% 68% 1/6 90 C Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Nephin MountainRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 36.8
3-1-5-6-1-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP10/1
JockeyTerry Casey
OR57
FFR52
SS89
27-08-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 4lb
Result1
SP11/1
JockeyWesley Joyce
OR53
FFR78
SS81
12-08-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 9lb
Result5 btn 1.5L
SP10/1
JockeyTerry Casey
OR54
FFR56
SS87
02-08-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 8.5f | Yielding
Wgt8st 0lb
Result6 btn 1.8L
SP16/1
JockeyTerry Casey
OR55
FFR63
SS92
20-07-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Yielding
Wgt8st 6lb
Result1
SP11/2
JockeyTerry Casey
OR51
FFR78
SS87
17-07-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 13f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result5 btn 0.8L
SP18/1
JockeyWesley Joyce
OR51
FFR69
SS91
 9st 8lb 13 OR 58 69 +11lb 28 1.05 +17.9 Standard rest Down in trip Weak field -- 55% 61% 0/6 91 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Believe BelieveRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 30.5
2-8-10-9-6-13
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-05-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP5/4F
JockeySam Coen
OR57
FFR49
SS65
27-10-2025
Galway-- | 7f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result8 btn 0.3L
SP4/1F
JockeyJamie Powell
OR58
FFR64
SS87
20-10-2025
Gowran Park-- | 7f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP14/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR60
FFR67
SS96
04-10-2025
Curragh (IRE)-- | 7f | Soft To Heavy
Wgt--
Result9 btn 2.8L
SP66/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR--
FFR72
SS91
28-09-2025
Curragh (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt--
Result6 btn 2.2L
SP100/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR--
FFR72
SS94
31-08-2025
Tipperary (IRE)-- | 7½f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result13 btn 2L
SP16/1
JockeyJamie Powell
OR--
FFR77
SS--
 9st 7lb 15 OR 57 77 +20lb 35 1.05 +6.7 Long absence Up in trip Weak field -- 58% 63% 1/6 94 D Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
Tero d'RosaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 28.0
6-4-6-6-1-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-08-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 11f | Good
Wgt8st 12lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP8/1
JockeyShane Markey
OR61
FFR83
SS84
12-07-2026
Dundalk (AW)-- | 12f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP9/2
JockeyPatrick McGettigan
OR62
FFR81
SS98
12-06-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 7lb
Result6 btn 1.5L
SP7/1
JockeyDonagh O'Connor
OR63
FFR71
SS93
12-05-2026
Killarney (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt10st 4lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP3/1F
JockeyShane Foley
OR62
FFR71
SS90
08-05-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 11lb
Result1
SP6/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR55
FFR71
SS98
19-11-2025
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m2½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 4.2L
SP11/8F
JockeyShane Foley
OR54
FFR65
SS102
 10st 1lb 8 OR 59 65 +6lb 34 1.05 +3.4 Standard rest Big drop back Weak field -- 60% 66% 1/6 102 C Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
Medieval NightRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 15.8
5-2-6-7-4-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt9st 11lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP10/1
JockeyReese Holohan
OR59
FFR52
SS98
12-08-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 12lb
Result2 btn 1.8L
SP6/1
JockeyW J Lee
OR56
FFR74
SS93
22-07-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result6 btn 1.8L
SP16/1
JockeyJared Huggan
OR57
FFR60
SS101
15-07-2026
Killarney (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result7 btn 1.8L
SP12/1
JockeyChris Hayes
OR56
FFR66
SS97
09-07-2026
Leopardstown-- | 9f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP22/1
JockeyJ M Sheridan
OR56
FFR76
SS92
30-06-2026
Roscommon (IRE)-- | 7.5f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result10 btn 0.5L
SP9/1
JockeyChris Hayes
OR56
FFR71
SS86
 9st 12lb 17 OR 56 71 +15lb 10 1.05 +2.4 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 58% 65% 0/6 86 D Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
GlamazonRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 15.2
10-3-9-4-8-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-08-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt9st 9lb
Result10 btn 0.1L
SP5/1C
JockeyDarragh O'Sullivan
OR60
FFR46
SS105
14-08-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 10lb
Result3 btn 1.8L
SP14/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR60
FFR39
SS94
15-07-2026
Killarney (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result9 btn 1.2L
SP11/2
JockeyShane Foley
OR63
FFR64
SS97
03-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP6/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR64
FFR53
SS102
04-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Soft To Heavy
Wgt9st 9lb
Result8 btn 0.2L
SP15/2
JockeyScott McCullagh
OR65
FFR72
SS94
24-05-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 2lb
Result11 btn 1.5L
SP22/1
JockeyKeithen Kennedy
OR73
FFR51
SS95
 9st 8lb 16 OR 58 51 -7lb 31 1.05 +1.9 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 48% 53% 0/6 95 D Stiff -4 CAUTION PROFILE
AutocratRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.8
8-9-10-16-10-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-09-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 13f | Good
Wgt8st 8lb
Result8 btn 2L
SP14/1
JockeyPatrick McGettigan
OR43
FFR79
SS89
20-07-2026
Ballinrobe (IRE)-- | 13f | Good To Yielding
Wgt8st 11lb
Result9 btn 2.8L
SP40/1
JockeyMel Sheridan
OR48
FFR42
SS90
11-07-2026
Navan-- | 10f | Good
Wgt8st 12lb
Result10 btn 2.2L
SP12/1
JockeyMel Sheridan
OR52
FFR38
SS103
15-05-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 13f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result16 btn 2.5L
SP12/1
JockeyLuke McAteer
OR56
FFR44
SS107
03-05-2026
Sligo (IRE)-- | 14f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt9st 9lb
Result10 btn 1.5L
SP9/2
JockeyJamie Orr
OR60
FFR36
SS102
20-03-2026
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m2½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 1.8L
SP13/2
JockeyColin Keane
OR71
FFR60
SS96
 8st 10lb 5 OR 40 60 +20lb 15 1.05 +0.9 Standard rest Big drop back Weak field -- 55% 60% 1/6 96 E Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
KeilahRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.8
15-10-5-7-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result15 btn 2.2L
SP14/1
JockeyJ M Sheridan
OR54
FFR78
SS113
12-08-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result10 btn 0.8L
SP25/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR58
FFR48
SS96
12-07-2026
Sligo-- | 17.5f | Good
Wgt10st 11lb
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP14/1
JockeyPhillip Enright
OR103
FFR83
SS98
12-05-2026
Sligo (IRE)-- | 18f | Good
Wgt11st 7lb
Result7 btn 4.8L
SP16/1
JockeyPhillip Enright
OR104
FFR96
SS89
03-05-2026
Sligo (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt9st 11lb
Result7 btn 5.5L
SP8/1
JockeyG B Noonan
OR60
FFR58
SS99
28-09-2025
Curragh (IRE)-- | 1m2f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result--
SP15/2
JockeyMr M N Sharpe
OR61
FFR38
SS109
 9st 10lb 3 OR 54 38 -16lb 35 1.05 -9.6 Standard rest Down in trip Weak field -- 50% 52% 1/6 109 C Stiff -13 CAUTION PROFILE
Eldorado GloryRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.2
13-9-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result13 btn 2.8L
SP150/1
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR--
FFR49
SS--
20-08-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result9 btn 0.3L
SP66/1
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR--
FFR47
SS--
15-08-2026
Dundalk (IRE)-- | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 1lb
Result6 btn 4.2L
SP66/1
JockeyMel Sheridan
OR--
FFR36
SS--
 9st 2lb 12 OR 52 36 -16lb 15 1.05 -2.1 Standard rest Big step up Weak field -- 45% 49% 1/6 -- E Stiff -13 CAUTION PROFILE
Gloriously GlamRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.0
9-12-2-5-8-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt9st 9lb
Result9 btn 0.3L
SP10/1
JockeyColin Keane
OR65
FFR65
SS96
01-08-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 11lb
Result12 btn 3.8L
SP25/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR67
FFR44
SS86
03-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 11lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP4/1F
JockeyLeigh Roche
OR69
FFR61
SS98
19-06-2026
Limerick (IRE)-- | 8f | Soft
Wgt8st 13lb
Result5 btn 1.8L
SP12/1
JockeyGabriella Hill
OR72
FFR78
SS102
12-06-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt9st 0lb
Result8 btn 6L
SP12/1
JockeyRonan Whelan
OR76
FFR37
SS82
28-05-2026
Fairyhouse (IRE)-- | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 13lb
Result3 btn 4L
SP5/4F
JockeyAdam Caffrey
OR77
FFR46
SS103
 10st 2lb 11 OR 60 46 -14lb 59 1.05 +2.9 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 45% 46% 1/6 103 E Stiff -11 CAUTION PROFILE
Dress DanceRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.2
7-12-13-13-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result7 btn 0.2L
SP33/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR52
FFR65
SS92
19-05-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Soft To Heavy
Wgt9st 10lb
Result12 btn 2.8L
SP22/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR54
FFR60
SS88
11-10-2025
Naas (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result13 btn 1L
SP150/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR--
FFR62
SS86
16-09-2025
Punchestown (IRE)-- | 1m1½f | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result13 btn 1.8L
SP40/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR--
FFR45
SS--
19-04-2025
Cork (IRE)-- | 1m | Soft
Wgt--
Result5 btn 3.2L
SP28/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR--
FFR67
SS--
 9st 6lb 7 OR 50 67 +17lb 41 1.05 -6.1 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 55% 57% 0/6 86 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
De SongbirdRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.2
15-26-7-7-11-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt8st 6lb
Result15 btn 2.2L
SP50/1
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR49
FFR68
SS88
22-08-2026
Curragh (IRE)-- | 6f | Good
Wgt8st 6lb
Result26 btn 0.5L
SP40/1
JockeyWesley Joyce
OR54
FFR48
SS93
14-07-2026
Killarney (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result7 btn 1L
SP16/1
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR58
FFR38
SS--
04-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Soft To Heavy
Wgt8st 12lb
Result7 btn 2.5L
SP33/1
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR61
FFR60
SS--
15-05-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result11 btn 0.2L
SP100/1
JockeyJames Ryan
OR--
FFR30
SS--
27-04-2026
Naas-- | 1m2½f | Good
Wgt--
Result6 btn 9L
SP200/1
JockeySadhbh Tormey
OR--
FFR42
SS--
 8st 11lb 10 OR 47 42 -5lb 38 1.05 -6.1 Standard rest Down in trip Weak field -- 49% 48% 0/6 93 E Near mark -2 CAUTION PROFILE
Pinball WizardRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.0
8-11-7-12-7-14
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result8 btn 0.3L
SP20/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR47
FFR60
SS88
02-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result11 btn 1.5L
SP14/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR50
FFR75
SS102
01-06-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt9st 7lb
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP14/1
JockeyJessica O'Gorman
OR50
FFR68
SS98
07-11-2025
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result12 btn 0.1L
SP28/1
JockeySam Coen
OR52
FFR59
SS90
14-10-2025
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)-- | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 2L
SP28/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR54
FFR54
SS99
26-09-2025
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)-- | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result14 btn 5.5L
SP8/1
JockeyRoss Coakley
OR56
FFR50
SS97
 8st 12lb 4 OR 42 50 +8lb 15 1.05 -4.1 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 55% 60% 1/6 97 E Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
Peig SayersRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 6.2
10-10-8-14-13-22
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
14-08-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP33/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR44
FFR56
SS95
22-07-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP33/1
JockeyDarragh O'Sullivan
OR47
FFR72
SS92
08-07-2026
Fairyhouse-- | 7f | Good
Wgt8st 10lb
Result8 btn 4.2L
SP50/1
JockeySiobhan Rutledge
OR52
FFR42
SS84
12-05-2026
Killarney (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 13lb
Result14 btn 2L
SP33/1
JockeyW J Lee
OR57
FFR42
SS79
24-04-2026
Cork-- | 1m | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result13 btn 0.8L
SP33/1
JockeyBen Coen
OR58
FFR59
SS95
21-10-2025
Curragh-- | 1m | Heavy
Wgt--
Result22 btn 16L
SP66/1
JockeyBen Coen
OR61
FFR58
SS--
 8st 10lb 9 OR 40 58 +18lb 31 1.05 -7.1 Freshened up Up in trip Weak field -- 55% 64% 0/6 95 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
HastilyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 4.0
9-13-14-15-16-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
24-07-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 4lb
Result9 btn 1L
SP11/1
JockeyJulian Pietropaolo
OR41
FFR74
SS92
12-06-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt8st 13lb
Result13 btn 5.5L
SP125/1
JockeyKillian Leonard
OR43
FFR31
SS98
30-05-2026
Tramore (IRE)-- | 16f | Good
Wgt11st 5lb
Result14 btn 49L
SP300/1
JockeyDylan Robinson
OR--
FFR32
SS89
20-05-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Good To Yielding
Wgt8st 13lb
Result15 btn 1L
SP66/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR48
FFR63
SS100
09-05-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 4lb
Result16 btn 0.2L
SP33/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR51
FFR33
SS83
17-10-2025
Dundalk (AW)-- | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result9 btn 2L
SP9/1
JockeyJack Cleary
OR50
FFR52
SS98
 8st 10lb 6 OR 40 52 +12lb 34 1.05 -6.3 Freshened up Big step up Weak field -- 55% 58% 1/6 98 E Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
Mullacurry MaidRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.2
9-17-5-9-8-15
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
15-08-2026
Tramore (IRE)-- | 12f | Good To Yielding
Wgt10st 0lb
Result9 btn 51L
SP66/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR56
FFR56
SS79
09-07-2026
Leopardstown-- | 9f | Good
Wgt10st 1lb
Result17 btn 0.1L
SP50/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR59
FFR57
SS78
11-06-2026
Leopardstown (IRE)-- | 7f | Soft
Wgt9st 13lb
Result5 btn 3.8L
SP300/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR--
FFR64
SS92
14-11-2025
Dundalk (AW)-- | 1m2½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result9 btn 0.8L
SP400/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR--
FFR41
SS--
21-10-2025
Curragh-- | 1m4f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result8 btn 13L
SP300/1
JockeyRobbie Colgan
OR--
FFR35
SS--
11-10-2025
Naas (IRE)-- | 7f | Yielding
Wgt--
Result15 btn 3L
SP100/1
JockeyRory Cleary
OR--
FFR39
SS--
 9st 7lb 14 OR 51 39 -12lb 17 1.05 -10.1 Freshened up Big drop back Weak field -- 45% 47% 0/6 92 E Stiff -9 CAUTION PROFILE
Miss AmericanaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 2.8
3-7-2-9-9-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt8st 13lb
Result3 btn 1L
SP6/1
JockeyKeithen Kennedy
OR43
FFR86
SS93
12-06-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 8f | Yielding
Wgt8st 13lb
Result7 btn 1.5L
SP4/1
JockeyJ M Sheridan
OR43
FFR75
SS96
05-06-2026
Fairyhouse (IRE)-- | 10f | Good
Wgt8st 11lb
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP16/5F
JockeyShane Foley
OR41
FFR67
SS94
22-04-2026
Gowran Park-- | 7f | Soft
Wgt--
Result9 btn 1.2L
SP5/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR43
FFR74
SS100
12-04-2026
Leopardstown-- | 1m | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result9 btn 0.3L
SP7/2F
JockeyDeclan McDonogh
OR41
FFR60
SS96
09-04-2026
Gowran Park-- | 1m | Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.1L
SP8/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR41
FFR74
SS90
 8st 12lb 2 OR 42 74 +32lb 24 1.05 +5.9 Standard rest Up in trip Weak field -- 55% 63% 1/6 90 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Casheldale Lass

Casheldale Lass profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Nephin Mountain

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Casheldale Lass Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 58.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 58.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form3-8-12-8-2-16
FFR101 / +41lb
Speed90
Franked21
Ground2/2 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw1
Wgt10st 2lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3 Wexford (IRE) Finished well 08-08-2026
8 Sligo Competitive 12-07-2026
12 Naas (IRE) Run faded 24-06-2026
8 Fairyhouse (IRE) Run faded 28-05-2026
2 Leopardstown (IRE) Solid effort 15-05-2026
16 Navan Competitive 25-04-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating21
3winners since
6placers since
12evidence pts
08-08-2026 | Wexford (IRE) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Ballyhahill (IRE), Felicity Smoak (IRE), Shakita (IRE)

05-09-2025 | Ballinrobe (IRE) Finished 12
Beat named rivals

All Told (IRE), Brosna Green (IRE)

Race produced winner

Faoladh (IRE)

Later placers

Amplitude (IRE) (05-08-2026), Cinammon Coco (IRE) (08-11-2025)

10-06-2025 | Killarney (IRE) Finished 7
Beat named rivals

De Boode (IRE), Report To Station (IRE), Staywitherjohnny (IRE)

Race produced winner

Justenzia (IRE), Obscenity (IRE)

Later placers

De Boode (IRE) (07-12-2025), Ribee (IRE) (04-03-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR101
Speed90
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+41lb ahead of mark
FFR 101 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
90 Par 100
Best reasonInteresting profile, but the current SpeedScore is light Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score22.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CLOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest +41lb | peak +41lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Good Proven on today's ground band
TodayGood
Similar-ground runs5/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Proven on today's ground band Today Good
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 4 0W / 0P Peak rating 60
Good 8 2W / 4P Peak rating 68
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 68% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 58%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +41lb | peak +41lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +41lb | peak +41lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 60 | Latest FFR 101 | Best FFR 101 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Andrew Kinirons
Jockey Jack Kearney(3)
Age 4
Draw 1
OR 60
Avg OR 50.9
OR vs Field +9.1
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 7-0280
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Neutral predictive read

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +0.0
Variance Reliable 5.3% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -2.9 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m1½f
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m1½f
Runs at profile2
DEIC
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
09-05-2025 Ballinrobe (IRE) Good 12 2:13.58 133.6
02-06-2025 Gowran Park (IRE) Good 1 2:3.12 123.1
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 38 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP14/1
OwnerSean Gary Murphy
Pedigree

Raven's Pass × Owega Dale (Refuse To Bend)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.9L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
08-08-2026 Wexford (IRE) 3 3.5 Fast finish
12-07-2026 Sligo 8 1.8 Neutral finish
24-06-2026 Naas (IRE) 12 0.3 Run faded
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 0 of 1 runs with an official OR.
25-04-2026 | Navan
Rating 46 OR 62
15-05-2026 | Leopardstown (IRE)
Rating -- OR 61
28-05-2026 | Fairyhouse (IRE)
Rating -- OR 64
24-06-2026 | Naas (IRE)
Rating -- OR 63
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 51.11s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times2:13.58 | 2:3.12
Recent positions12 | 1
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
08-08-2026 Wexford (IRE) | 17f | Good | -- 3 14/1 -- -- -- 3.5 -- GREY - no timing read
12-07-2026 Sligo | 17.5f | Good | -- 8 9/1 -- -- -- 1.8 -- GREY - no timing read
24-06-2026 Naas (IRE) | 11f | Good | -- 12 6/1 63 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
28-05-2026 Fairyhouse (IRE) | 10f | Good | -- 8 11/4F 64 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
15-05-2026 Leopardstown (IRE) | 10f | Good | -- 2 15/2 61 -- -- 0.2 -- GREY - no timing read
25-04-2026 Navan | 1m2f | Good To Yielding | -- 16 14/1 62 46 22 0.5 2:11.62 GREY - below benchmark
Handicap Well treated

Latest +41lb | peak +41lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 103.6 and winning TS par is around 59.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Nephin Mountain Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 36.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 36.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-1-5-6-1-5
FFR69 / +11lb
Speed91
Franked28
Ground1/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw13
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Believe Believe Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 30.5
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 30.5 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-8-10-9-6-13
FFR77 / +20lb
Speed94
Franked35
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw15
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Tero d'Rosa Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 28.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 28.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form6-4-6-6-1-2
FFR65 / +6lb
Speed102
Franked34
Ground2/3 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw8
Wgt10st 1lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Medieval Night Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 15.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 15.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form5-2-6-7-4-10
FFR71 / +15lb
Speed86
Franked10
Ground3/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw17
Wgt9st 12lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Glamazon Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 15.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 15.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form10-3-9-4-8-11
FFR51 / -7lb
Speed95
Franked31
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw16
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Autocrat Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 12.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8-9-10-16-10-7
FFR60 / +20lb
Speed96
Franked15
Ground0/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw5
Wgt8st 10lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Keilah Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 11.8 confidence
Why considerRecent evidence contains a positive run clue
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form15-10-5-7-7
FFR38 / -16lb
Speed109
Franked35
Ground3/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw3
Wgt9st 10lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.05
Eldorado Glory Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 11.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form13-9-6
FFR36 / -16lb
Speed--
Franked15
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassClass move developing
Draw12
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.05
Gloriously Glam Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 9.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 9.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9-12-2-5-8-3
FFR46 / -14lb
Speed103
Franked59
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw11
Wgt10st 2lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Dress Dance Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-12-13-13-5
FFR67 / +17lb
Speed86
Franked41
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw7
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
De Songbird Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.2 confidence
Why considerRecent form includes a win/place signal
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form15-26-7-7-11-6
FFR42 / -5lb
Speed93
Franked38
Ground2/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw10
Wgt8st 11lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Pinball Wizard Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form8-11-7-12-7-14
FFR50 / +8lb
Speed97
Franked15
Ground0/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw4
Wgt8st 12lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.05
Peig Sayers Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 6.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 6.2 confidence
Why consider8 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form10-10-8-14-13-22
FFR58 / +18lb
Speed95
Franked31
Ground3/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw9
Wgt8st 10lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Hastily Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 4.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 4.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9-13-14-15-16-9
FFR52 / +12lb
Speed98
Franked34
Ground0/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassClass move developing
Draw6
Wgt8st 10lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Mullacurry Maid Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 3.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 3.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9-17-5-9-8-15
FFR39 / -12lb
Speed92
Franked17
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassClass move developing
Draw14
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Miss Americana Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 2.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 2.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-7-2-9-9-2
FFR74 / +32lb
Speed90
Franked24
Ground0/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassClass move developing
Draw2
Wgt8st 12lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
5:18 | Yarmouth

5:18 | Yarmouth | 5f

Class 4 | Good To Soft | Winning Experience With Moulton Racing Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 69 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosLow
Average OR75.17 rated runners | Top OR 81: Sea Cookie
Winning par1m 02.33s5 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupGOOD TO SOFT (GoingStick: 4.8) Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-80 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Diomed Duke leads the contextual model at 44.2
  • Decision type: Shortlist profile - Worth a deeper look
  • Clearer top profile: +9.8 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 1m 02.33s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 7 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Diomed DukeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleShortlist profile 56.0
1-3-1-2-5-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-09-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 4 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 1lb
Result1
SP6/4F
JockeyOlivia Haines
OR76
FFR72
SS111
22-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP3/1
JockeyOlivia Haines
OR76
FFR62
SS102
25-07-2026
LingfieldClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result1
SP11/8F
JockeyOlivia Haines
OR71
FFR77
SS97
17-07-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 4 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result2 btn 2L
SP100/30
JockeyRay Dawson
OR72
FFR76
SS97
20-06-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 0lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP9/2
JockeyRob Hornby
OR74
FFR81
SS103
01-06-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result5 btn 0.8L
SP6/1
JockeyMarco Ghiani
OR76
FFR86
SS103
 9st 12lb 5 OR 80 86 +6lb 59 1.05 +13.7 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 63% 69% 2/6 103 A Workable +6 PRICE DEPENDENT
Fiorella PrincessRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 53.8
2-6-2-3-5-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
20-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 10lb
Result2 btn 0.1L
SP5/2F
JockeyCharles Bishop
OR67
FFR74
SS91
08-04-2026
NottinghamClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt--
Result6 btn 2.2L
SP13/2
JockeyHollie Doyle
OR69
FFR74
SS88
26-03-2026
Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 2.2L
SP12/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR69
FFR76
SS96
26-02-2026
Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 3.2L
SP28/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR70
FFR81
SS97
24-01-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1.8L
SP9/1
JockeyHector Crouch
OR71
FFR74
SS100
08-01-2026
Chelmsford (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP33/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR70
FFR74
SS96
 9st 2lb 7 OR 70 74 +4lb 36 1.03 +1.7 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 60% 64% 1/6 96 C Well treated +10 WATCH ONLY
Sea CookieRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 35.2
11-2-12-1-1-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
22-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result11 btn 0.8L
SP18/1
JockeyNeil Callan
OR83
FFR80
SS96
09-08-2026
LeicesterClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 8lb
Result2 btn 4.8L
SP11/8F
JockeyNeil Callan
OR84
FFR88
SS95
09-07-2026
NewmarketClass 2 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 3lb
Result12 btn 0.2L
SP18/1
JockeyJack Callan
OR84
FFR88
SS--
20-06-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result1
SP7/2
JockeyNeil Callan
OR79
FFR73
SS--
01-06-2026
NewburyClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result1
SPEvensF
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR--
FFR72
SS--
10-08-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP3/1
JockeyNeil Callan
OR--
FFR65
SS--
 9st 12lb 2 OR 81 65 -16lb 2 1.06 -4.3 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 55% 55% 2/6 95 A Stiff -13 WATCH ONLY
Twilight FunRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 31.8
2-8-4-6-14-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
14-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP18/1
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR78
FFR90
SS104
20-06-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 13lb
Result8 btn 2L
SP11/1
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR79
FFR63
SS98
28-05-2026
YarmouthClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result4 btn 2L
SP12/1
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR80
FFR68
SS96
13-05-2026
YarmouthClass 3 | 5f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 2lb
Result6 btn 3.2L
SP12/1
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR82
FFR58
SS111
27-03-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 3 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result14 btn 4.5L
SP16/1
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR83
FFR58
SS97
21-02-2026
Chelmsford (AW)Class 2 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP11/4F
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR83
FFR84
SS83
 9st 6lb 3 OR 74 84 +10lb 62 1.03 +0.5 Layoff check Down in trip Solid field -- 65% 69% 2/6 83 A Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Courageous SiouxRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 31.2
1-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-07-2026
NottinghamClass 4 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result1
SP5/2
JockeyGeorgia Dobie
OR--
FFR77
SS92
12-04-2025
ThirskClass 4 | 5f | Good
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1.8L
SP10/1
JockeyFrederick Larson
OR--
FFR86
SS--
 9st 2lb 1 OR 71 86 +15lb 12 1.03 +4 Layoff check Same trip Solid field -- 60% 66% 0/6 92 C Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Creative QueenRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 24.8
6-2-3-7-7-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-09-2026
HaydockClass 4 | 5f | Heavy
Wgt9st 4lb
Result6 btn 0.3L
SP7/1
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR73
FFR86
SS99
14-08-2026
YarmouthClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 0.1L
SP15/2
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR72
FFR52
SS96
03-08-2026
RiponClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result3 btn 1L
SP7/2
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR72
FFR64
SS102
09-07-2026
CarlisleClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result7 btn 2.5L
SP17/2
JockeyPaul Mulrennan
OR74
FFR64
SS--
23-06-2026
NewburyClass 5 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result7 btn 1.5L
SP11/2
JockeyTom Marquand
OR75
FFR74
SS--
13-05-2026
YarmouthClass 4 | 6f | Soft
Wgt9st 2lb
Result1
SP5/4F
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR71
FFR76
SS--
 9st 4lb 6 OR 73 76 +3lb 14 1.03 -3.3 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 55% 59% 1/6 102 E Well treated +9 WATCH ONLY
Lil BrotherRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 18.2
4-7-5-9-4-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-08-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 6f | Soft
Wgt9st 8lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP17/2
JockeySaffie Osborne
OR79
FFR86
SS94
07-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result7 btn 4.5L
SP125/1
JockeyKyle McHugh
OR82
FFR84
SS97
01-12-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1L
SP12/1
JockeyKyle McHugh
OR84
FFR78
SS93
10-10-2025
YorkClass 3 | 5f | Good
Wgt--
Result9 btn 0.3L
SP8/1
JockeyAshley Lewis
OR85
FFR75
SS96
26-09-2025
HaydockClass 3 | 5f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP3/1F
JockeyHollie Doyle
OR85
FFR57
SS90
18-08-2025
WindsorClass 4 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result1
SP4/1
JockeyTrevor Whelan
OR81
FFR63
SS90
 9st 8lb 4 OR 77 63 -14lb 46 1.03 -12.3 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 55% 57% 1/6 90 A Stiff -11 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Diomed Duke

Diomed Duke profiles as a unclear with a improving trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 2/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Fiorella Princess

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Diomed Duke Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 56.0
PRICE DEPENDENT
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Shortlist profile 56.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form1-3-1-2-5-5
FFR86 / +6lb
Speed103
Franked59
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt9st 12lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.05
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Lingfield (AW) Strong run 03-09-2026
3 Newmarket (July) Solid effort 22-08-2026
1 Lingfield Strong run 25-07-2026
2 Newmarket (July) Solid effort 17-07-2026
5 Newmarket (July) Run faded 20-06-2026
5 Windsor Competitive 01-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating59
10winners since
2placers since
14evidence pts
09-03-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Forager (GB), Toolatetonegotiate (GB), Truly Glamorous (GB)

Race produced winner

Wyle Cop (USA)

Later placers

Toolatetonegotiate (GB) (05-04-2026)

06-01-2026 | Windsor Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Cressida Wildes (GB), HK Fourteen (IRE), Wheels Of Fire (IRE)

Race produced winner

Moulin Booj (IRE), Solar Edge (GB)

06-06-2024 | Chelmsford (AW) Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Adelaide Bay (GB), Enchanted Eye (GB), Flor Do Rio (IRE)

Race produced winner

Adelaide Bay (GB), Brian (IRE)

Later placers

Enchanted Eye (GB) (09-11-2024)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status PRICE DEPENDENT
Agreement2/6
FFR86
Speed103
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+6lb ahead of mark
FFR 86 pounds scale
SpeedScoreabove par
103 Par 100
Best reasonUseful evidence, but needs price and race-shape confirmation Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeShortlist profileThere is useful evidence, but the horse still needs normal price, risk and race checks.
Model score44.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 63% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence Testing No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on all-weather ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 0W / 1P Peak rating 80
Good 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 80
Fast 9 3W / 5P Peak rating 85
All-weather 3 1W / 1P Peak rating 73
Placement evidence 69% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 70%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Proven trip profile (A)12 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 80 | Latest FFR 86 | Best FFR 86 | Public mark read +6
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Stuart Williams
Jockey Olivia Haines(7)
Age 4
Draw 5
OR 80
Avg OR 75.1
OR vs Field +4.9
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 552131
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +2.5
Variance Very steady 4.6% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 10.6 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile12
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
25-07-2026 Lingfield Good To Firm 1 0:57.05 57
22-08-2026 Newmarket (July) Good 3 0:58.92 58.9
03-09-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 1 0:57.76 57.8
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 12 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: t; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgeartDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP6/4F
OwnerDiomed Racing
Pedigree

Mayson × Three Little Birds (Dandy Man)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.3L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
03-09-2026 Lingfield (AW) 1 0 Neutral finish
22-08-2026 Newmarket (July) 3 0.8 Fast finish
25-07-2026 Lingfield 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
01-06-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 76
20-06-2026 | Newmarket (July)
Rating -- OR 74
17-07-2026 | Newmarket (July)
Rating -- OR 72
25-07-2026 | Lingfield
Rating -- OR 71
22-08-2026 | Newmarket (July)
Rating -- OR 76
03-09-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 76
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs12
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 02.33s
Last win at trip-- | Lingfield (AW) | 03-09-2026
Recent times0:57.05 | 0:58.92 | 0:57.76
Recent positions1 | 3 | 1
Winning contextOR 76 | weight 9-1
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
03-09-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 4 1 6/4F 76 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
22-08-2026 Newmarket (July) | 5f | Good | Class 4 3 3/1 76 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
25-07-2026 Lingfield | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 1 11/8F 71 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
17-07-2026 Newmarket (July) | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 4 2 100/30 72 -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
20-06-2026 Newmarket (July) | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 5 9/2 74 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
01-06-2026 Windsor | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 4 5 6/1 76 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Workable mark

Latest FFR read +6lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 85.2 and winning TS par is around 63.6. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Fiorella Princess Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 53.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 53.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (C)
Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Form2-6-2-3-5-2
FFR74 / +4lb
Speed96
Franked36
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassUp in class
Draw7
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.03
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Lingfield (AW) Solid effort 20-08-2026
6 Nottingham Run faded 08-04-2026
2 Chelmsford (AW) Finished well 26-03-2026
3 Chelmsford (AW) Solid effort 26-02-2026
5 Lingfield (AW) Run faded 24-01-2026
2 Chelmsford (AW) Run faded 08-01-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating36
2winners since
7placers since
14evidence pts
04-08-2026 | Nottingham Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Spendmore Lane (GB)

Later placers

Albegone (GB) (09-09-2026), Komorkis (IRE) (06-08-2026)

01-08-2026 | Chelmsford (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Diamond Dreamer (GB), General Assembly (IRE), Lequinto (IRE)

Race produced winner

Mumayaz (IRE)

Later placers

General Assembly (IRE) (02-09-2026), Merrimack (GB) (06-09-2026)

01-08-2025 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Atherstone Beau (GB), Blinky (IRE), Dandy Magic (IRE)

Race produced winner

Startling (GB)

Later placers

Atherstone Beau (GB) (03-12-2025), Fallen Soldier (IRE) (03-08-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR74
Speed96
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+4lb near mark
FFR 74 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
96 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score32.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest FFR read +10lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence Testing No recent testing sample; best evidence is on good ground
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read No recent testing sample; best evidence is on good ground Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 1W / 1P Peak rating 76
Good 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 70
Fast 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 67
All-weather 14 1W / 9P Peak rating 75
Placement evidence 64% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 78%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 82%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 42%
Proven trip profile (C)15 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +10lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Mark read Latest FFR read +10lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest FFR read +10lb versus today's OR

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 70 | Latest FFR 74 | Best FFR 81 | Public mark read +10
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Robert Cowell
Jockey Billy Loughnane
Age 4
Draw 7
OR 70
Avg OR 75.1
OR vs Field -5.1
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 253262
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +0.8
Variance Very steady 4.1% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -0.1 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile15
DEIC
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
26-03-2026 Chelmsford (AW) Standard 2 0:58.85 58.9
08-04-2026 Nottingham Good 6 1:1.15 61.1
20-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 2 0:57.70 57.7
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 26 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP5/2F
OwnerS A Herbert
Pedigree

Sands Of Mali × Elegant Drama (Dandy Man)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this tripBeaten favouriteMarket expected more last time
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.5L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
20-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 2 0.1 Neutral finish
08-04-2026 Nottingham 6 2.2 Run faded
26-03-2026 Chelmsford (AW) 2 2.2 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 5 runs with an official OR.
08-01-2026 | Chelmsford (AW)
Rating 74 OR 70
24-01-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating 64 OR 71
26-02-2026 | Chelmsford (AW)
Rating 62 OR 70
26-03-2026 | Chelmsford (AW)
Rating 71 OR 69
08-04-2026 | Nottingham
Rating 63 OR 69
20-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 67
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs15
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 02.33s
Last win at trip1:5.83 | Sandown | 17-09-2025
Recent times0:58.85 | 1:1.15 | 0:57.70
Recent positions2 | 6 | 2
Winning contextvs par +3.5s | OR 64
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
20-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 5 2 5/2F 67 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
08-04-2026 Nottingham | 5f | Good | Class 5 6 13/2 69 63 33 2.2 1:01.15 GOLD - faster than par
26-03-2026 Chelmsford (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 5 2 12/1 69 71 58 2.2 0:58.85 GOLD - faster than par
26-02-2026 Chelmsford (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 5 3 28/1 70 62 51 3.2 0:59.34 GOLD - faster than par
24-01-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 5 5 9/1 71 64 50 1.8 0:58.96 GOLD - faster than par
08-01-2026 Chelmsford (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 5 2 33/1 70 74 39 1.2 1:00.75 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Well treated

Latest FFR read +10lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 85.2 and winning TS par is around 63.6. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Sea Cookie Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 35.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 35.2 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form11-2-12-1-1-2
FFR65 / -16lb
Speed95
Franked2
Ground1/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw2
Wgt9st 12lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.06
Twilight Fun Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 31.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Watch only 31.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Form2-8-4-6-14-3
FFR84 / +10lb
Speed83
Franked62
Ground1/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw3
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: DEI Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.03
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Wolverhampton (AW) Solid effort 14-07-2026
8 Newmarket (July) Run faded 20-06-2026
4 Yarmouth Run faded 28-05-2026
6 Yarmouth Steady run 13-05-2026
14 Newcastle (AW) Run faded 27-03-2026
3 Chelmsford (AW) Solid effort 21-02-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Positive franked form

Proof rating62
7winners since
6placers since
15evidence pts
02-06-2026 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Abduction (FR), Arnhem (IRE), Bright (IRE)

Race produced winner

Dorney Lake (GB)

Later placers

Abduction (FR) (07-06-2026), Fortamour (IRE) (05-08-2026)

12-04-2025 | Chelmsford (AW) Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Ancient Times (GB), Cherry Cobbler (GB), Cressida Wildes (GB)

Race produced winner

Almaty Star (IRE), Ancient Times (GB)

Later placers

Cressida Wildes (GB) (06-06-2025), Havana Rum (IRE) (07-10-2025)

05-10-2024 | Nottingham Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Agnes Grey (IRE), Agostino (GB), Newyorkstateofmind (GB)

Race produced winner

Agnes Grey (IRE), Harry's Halo (IRE)

Later placers

Agostino (GB) (09-08-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement2/6
FFR84
Speed83
ConditionsPositive fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+10lb ahead of mark
FFR 84 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
83 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score31.0Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest +10lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 65% Positive conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence Testing Has experience, but limited strong evidence
TodayGood To Soft
Similar-ground runs1/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Has experience, but limited strong evidence Today Testing
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 26
Good 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 71
Fast 3 0W / 0P Peak rating 78
All-weather 15 4W / 8P Peak rating 87
Placement evidence 69% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 42%
Proven trip profile (A)15 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Mark read Latest +10lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +10lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 74 | Latest FFR 84 | Best FFR 90 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Chelsea Banham
Jockey Joey Haynes
Age 6
Draw 3
OR 74
Avg OR 75.1
OR vs Field -1.1
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 306482
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Regressing

confidence nudge -0.2
Variance Reliable 8.7% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 11.2 vs par
Curve Regressing Trend -2
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile15
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
04-12-2025 Chelmsford (AW) Standard 4 0:58.81 58.8
21-02-2026 Chelmsford (AW) Standard 3 0:59.00 59
13-05-2026 Yarmouth Good To Soft 6 1:3.81 63.8
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.0 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 63 days Standard layoff
Micro score +0.0 headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP18/1
OwnerMatt Bartram
Pedigree

Twilight Son × Sweet Applause (Acclamation)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course winHas won at this courseDistance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
14-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 2 0.3 Neutral finish
20-06-2026 Newmarket (July) 8 2 Run faded
28-05-2026 Yarmouth 4 2 Run faded
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 2 runs with an official OR.
21-02-2026 | Chelmsford (AW)
Rating 85 OR 83
27-03-2026 | Newcastle (AW)
Rating 29 OR 83
13-05-2026 | Yarmouth
Rating -- OR 82
28-05-2026 | Yarmouth
Rating -- OR 80
20-06-2026 | Newmarket (July)
Rating -- OR 79
14-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 78
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs15
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 02.33s
Last win at trip0:57.71 | Chelmsford (AW) | 13-02-2025
Recent times0:58.81 | 0:59.00 | 1:3.81
Recent positions4 | 3 | 6
Winning contextvs par -4.62s | OR 76
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
14-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 4 2 18/1 78 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
20-06-2026 Newmarket (July) | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 8 11/1 79 -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
28-05-2026 Yarmouth | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 4 4 12/1 80 -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
13-05-2026 Yarmouth | 5f | Good To Soft | Class 3 6 12/1 82 -- -- 3.2 -- GREY - no timing read
27-03-2026 Newcastle (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 3 14 16/1 83 29 21 4.5 1:15.75 GREY - below benchmark
21-02-2026 Chelmsford (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 2 3 11/4F 83 85 55 1.2 0:59.00 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Well treated

Latest +10lb | peak +16lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 85.2 and winning TS par is around 63.6. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Courageous Sioux Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 31.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 31.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form1-5
FFR86 / +15lb
Speed92
Franked12
Ground1/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.03
Creative Queen Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 24.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 24.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +9lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-2-3-7-7-1
FFR76 / +3lb
Speed102
Franked14
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.03
Lil Brother Distance specialist
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 18.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 18.2 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form4-7-5-9-4-1
FFR63 / -14lb
Speed90
Franked46
Ground2/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.03
5:30 | Wolverhampton (AW)

5:30 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f

Class 5 | Standard | Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com "Confined" Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D, Which Have Run No More Than Twice) (Div II) (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 29 WATCH ONLY
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR--0 rated runners | No official ratings yet
Winning par1m 13.84s115 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupTAPETA: STANDARD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Tredegar Square leads the contextual model at 15.2
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Compressed top end: Sol Dorado close enough to respect
  • Winning-time par: 1m 13.84s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 11 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Tredegar SquareRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 15.0
1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
10-08-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 4lb
Result1
SP16/1
JockeyDaniel Muscutt
OR--
FFR86
SS--
 9st 8lb 11 OR -- 86 -- 0 1.13 +6 Freshened up Down in trip Field strength developing -- 50% 55% 0/6 -- D Developing WATCH ONLY
Sol DoradoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 10.2
9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-08-2026
NewburyClass 4 | 6.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result9 btn 0.2L
SP300/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR--
FFR44
SS--
 9st 1lb 8 OR -- 44 -- 0 1.13 +1 Standard rest Down in trip Field strength developing -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Black TreasureRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 10.0
7-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
07-09-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result7 btn 2.8L
SP33/1
JockeySean D Bowen
OR--
FFR64
SS--
06-05-2026
ChesterClass 2 | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result7 btn 3.2L
SP50/1
JockeySam James
OR--
FFR51
SS--
 8st 13lb 7 OR -- 51 -- 4 1.13 +4 Standard rest Up in trip Field strength developing -- 50% 56% 0/6 -- D Developing WATCH ONLY
Birkett BankRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
8st 13lb 6 OR -- -- -- 0 1.13 +3.8 Rest developing Trip move developing Field strength developing -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Chapel DownRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 4lb 10 OR -- -- -- 0 1.13 -2.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Field strength developing -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Marhaba Ya TayibRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 4lb 3 OR -- -- -- 0 1.13 -2.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Field strength developing -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Find Your FireRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 6.2
5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
10-08-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 7lb
Result5 btn 0L
SP6/1
JockeySean Levey
OR--
FFR72
SS--
 9st 4lb 1 OR -- 72 -- 0 1.13 -3 Freshened up Down in trip Field strength developing -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Romeo GuestRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 6.0
5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
13-05-2026
BathClass 4 | 5.5f | Firm
Wgt8st 13lb
Result5 btn 2.2L
SP9/1
JockeyRose Dawes
OR--
FFR52
SS--
 9st 4lb 5 OR -- 52 -- 0 1.13 -3.2 Long absence Down in trip Field strength developing -- 48% 51% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
SeadreaminRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 4.0
12
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
22-08-2026
RedcarClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result12 btn 3L
SP40/1
JockeyOisin McSweeney
OR--
FFR31
SS--
 9st 1lb 2 OR -- 31 -- 0 1.13 -2.2 Standard rest Same trip Field strength developing -- 48% 55% 1/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Premium SeatRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 2.0
5-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-08-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt8st 13lb
Result5 btn 6.5L
SP100/1
JockeyMillie Wonnacott
OR--
FFR45
SS--
15-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result8 btn 3L
SP66/1
JockeyWilliam Cox
OR--
FFR40
SS--
 9st 4lb 9 OR -- 40 -- 0 1.13 -2.8 Standard rest Same trip Field strength developing -- 48% 48% 1/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Falah GloryRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 1.0
4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
07-09-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 1L
SP16/1
JockeyJack Doughty
OR--
FFR65
SS--
 9st 1lb 4 OR -- 65 -- 0 1.13 +1 Standard rest Same trip Field strength developing -- 48% 50% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Main Context Fit Tredegar Square

Tredegar Square profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Sol Dorado

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Tredegar Square Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 15.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 15.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form1
FFR86 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw11
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Sol Dorado Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 10.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 10.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9
FFR44 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw8
Wgt9st 1lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Black Treasure Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 10.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 10.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form7-7
FFR51 / --
Speed--
Franked4
Ground1/2 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw7
Wgt8st 13lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Birkett Bank Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 8.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw6
Wgt8st 13lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Chapel Down Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 7.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw10
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Marhaba Ya Tayib Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 7.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw3
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Find Your Fire Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 6.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 6.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5
FFR72 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw1
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Romeo Guest Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 6.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 6.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5
FFR52 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw5
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: Trip move Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Seadreamin Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 4.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 4.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form12
FFR31 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw2
Wgt9st 1lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Premium Seat Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 2.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 2.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-8
FFR40 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground2/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw9
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Falah Glory Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 1.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 1.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4
FFR65 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 1lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
6:00 | Wolverhampton (AW)

6:00 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 6f

Class 4 | Standard | Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Race Confidence 73 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR62.52 rated runners | Top OR 67: Ennoble
Winning par1m 13.49s56 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupTAPETA: STANDARD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band -- | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Dusk Damsel leads the contextual model at 35.2
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +19.0 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 1m 13.49s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 12 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Dusk DamselRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 50.0
2-4-9-5-14-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt8st 11lb
Result2 btn 2.8L
SP40/1
JockeyMillie Wonnacott
OR52
FFR73
SS90
17-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 4lb
Result4 btn 1.8L
SP14/1
JockeyMillie Wonnacott
OR54
FFR20
SS94
21-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 6lb
Result9 btn 2.8L
SP25/1
JockeyDavid Probert
OR57
FFR49
SS93
02-06-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 1L
SP22/1
JockeyTaylor Fisher
OR59
FFR24
SS90
14-05-2026
SalisburyClass 6 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result14 btn 13L
SP20/1
JockeyTaylor Fisher
OR59
FFR49
SS--
28-04-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 6f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 1.5L
SP18/1
JockeyTaylor Fisher
OR59
FFR76
SS--
 9st 0lb 1 OR 58 76 +18lb 14 1.13 +24 Standard rest Down in trip Modest field -- 55% 61% 0/6 90 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
EnnobleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 16.2
4-5-6-3-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 4lb
Result4 btn 1L
SP14/1
JockeyHarry Russell
OR71
FFR75
SS97
03-07-2026
Bellewstown (IRE)-- | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result5 btn 0.2L
SP4/1
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR75
FFR80
SS97
16-05-2026
Navan (IRE)-- | 5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 8lb
Result--
SP5/1
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR77
FFR69
SS90
22-10-2025
Navan-- | 5f | Soft
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.3L
SP6/4F
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR78
FFR77
SS90
30-09-2025
Cork (IRE)-- | 5f | Good To Yielding
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP100/30
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR--
FFR49
SS--
27-06-2025
Curragh (IRE)-- | 6f | Good
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.2L
SP14/1
JockeyDylan Browne McMonagle
OR--
FFR57
SS--
 9st 5lb 12 OR 67 57 -10lb 26 1.13 +5 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 48% 45% 0/6 90 D Stiff -7 CAUTION PROFILE
Not That GuyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 14.2
2-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
24-10-2025
NewburyClass 4 | 6½f | Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 4.2L
SP4/1
JockeyOisin Orr
OR--
FFR84
SS115
26-09-2025
HaydockClass 4 | 6f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result5 btn 4.8L
SP18/1
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR--
FFR80
SS99
 9st 5lb 7 OR -- 80 -- 0 1.13 +3 Long absence Trip move developing Modest field -- 48% 52% 0/6 99 E Developing CAUTION PROFILE
CoilltedudeisbackRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 12.0
3-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
22-07-2026
LingfieldClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result3 btn 7L
SP25/1
JockeyPat Cosgrave
OR--
FFR33
SS--
14-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result10 btn 2.8L
SP66/1
JockeyM. P. Sheehy
OR--
FFR48
SS--
 9st 5lb 10 OR -- 48 -- 0 1.13 +0.8 Freshened up Same trip Modest field -- 48% 50% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Red MelodyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 10.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 2lb 5 OR -- -- -- 0 1.13 -1.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Modest field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Flag Of NationsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 5lb 2 OR -- -- -- 0 1.13 -2.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Modest field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Sir ChopsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 9.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 5lb 8 OR -- -- -- 0 1.13 -2.2 Rest developing Trip move developing Modest field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Iron DomeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.2
4-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
16-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 1L
SP17/2
JockeyP J McDonald
OR--
FFR80
SS98
29-09-2025
Remington Park (USA)-- | 1m1f | Fast
Wgt--
Result2 btn 3.2L
SP43/10
JockeyJose L Ortiz
OR--
FFR67
SS--
 9st 5lb 9 OR -- 67 -- 0 1.13 -3 Freshened up Same trip Modest field -- 48% 54% 0/6 98 E Developing WATCH ONLY
OddjobRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 4.0
5-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
16-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP4/1
JockeyKieran Shoemark
OR--
FFR63
SS--
07-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt8st 13lb
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP14/1
JockeyAshley Lewis
OR--
FFR58
SS--
 9st 5lb 4 OR -- 58 -- 0 1.13 -2.8 Freshened up Same trip Modest field -- 48% 54% 1/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
Beautiful RumourRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 1.2
4-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-09-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 2.5L
SP150/1
JockeyKieran O'Neill
OR--
FFR44
SS--
16-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 10lb
Result9 btn 8L
SP80/1
JockeyKieran O'Neill
OR--
FFR47
SS--
 9st 7lb 11 OR -- 47 -- 2 1.13 -10 Standard rest Up in trip Modest field -- 48% 50% 0/6 -- E Developing WATCH ONLY
InkberrowRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 1.0
--
Last-six snapshot Detailed run evidence is still building for this runner.
9st 0lb 6 OR -- -- -- 0 1.13 +1.8 Rest developing Trip move developing Modest field -- 50% 53% 0/6 -- UNKNOWN Developing WATCH ONLY
Blazing GadenRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only -1.8
4-9-5-5-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 6lb
Result4 btn 16L
SP500/1
JockeyDougie Costello
OR--
FFR55
SS65
16-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 10lb
Result9 btn 15L
SP500/1
JockeyDougie Costello
OR--
FFR93
SS75
27-05-2026
Newton AbbotClass 5 | 18.5f | Good
Wgt10st 5lb
Result5 btn 7L
SP25/1
JockeyDavid Noonan
OR74
FFR97
SS57
17-05-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 16.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 2lb
Result--
SP11/1
JockeyTom Bellamy
OR72
FFR80
SS110
22-04-2026
TauntonClass 5 | 2m½f | Good
Wgt--
Result5 btn 10L
SP40/1
JockeyJames Turner
OR74
FFR44
SS--
02-03-2026
SouthwellClass 5 | 2m | Soft
Wgt--
Result6 btn 12L
SP20/1
JockeyFinn Lambert
OR73
FFR47
SS--
 9st 7lb 3 OR -- 47 +6lb 18 1.13 -13 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 55% 56% 0/6 110 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Dusk Damsel

Dusk Damsel profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Ennoble

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Dusk Damsel Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 50.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 50.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form2-4-9-5-14-2
FFR76 / +18lb
Speed90
Franked14
Ground1/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 0lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Lingfield (AW) Solid effort 01-09-2026
4 Lingfield (AW) Competitive 17-08-2026
9 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 21-07-2026
5 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 02-06-2026
14 Salisbury Steady run 14-05-2026
2 Lingfield (AW) Solid effort 28-04-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating14
1winners since
3placers since
10evidence pts
03-03-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Clouds Of Gold (GB), Cracking Anna (GB), Militzie (GB)

Later placers

Espanita (IRE) (09-03-2026), Galileo Charm (GB) (02-07-2026)

06-02-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Inclusive (GB), Power Of Chora (IRE), Warriors Choice (GB)

Race produced winner

Musical Soldier (IRE)

09-01-2026 | Lingfield (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

For Ever Hopefull (IRE), Garth Spirit (GB), Miraflores (GB)

Later placers

Nothing But Love (GB) (08-06-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement0/6
FFR76
Speed90
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+18lb ahead of mark
FFR 76 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
90 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score35.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI ELOW
Mark readWell treatedLatest +18lb | peak +18lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 55% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs5/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 8 0W / 2P Peak rating 57
Placement evidence 61% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 24%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Conservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questions
Mark read Latest +18lb | peak +18lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +18lb | peak +18lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 58 | Latest FFR 76 | Best FFR 76 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer J S Moore
Jockey Millie Wonnacott(5)
Age 3
Draw 1
OR 58
Avg OR 62.5
OR vs Field -4.5
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 205942
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge +0.8
Variance Very steady 2% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -6 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance6f
Runs at profile2
DEIE
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
28-04-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 2 1:13.71 73.7
14-05-2026 Salisbury Good 14 1:23.42 83.4
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 14 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window
Ground timing match 1/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP40/1
OwnerMs H N Pinniger And Partner
Pedigree

Twilight Son × Visala (Exceed And Excel)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 2.5L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
01-09-2026 Lingfield (AW) 2 2.8 Neutral finish
17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 4 1.8 Fast finish
21-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 9 2.8 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
28-04-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 59
14-05-2026 | Salisbury
Rating -- OR 59
02-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 59
21-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 57
17-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 54
01-09-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 52
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par1m 13.49s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:13.71 | 1:23.42
Recent positions2 | 14
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
01-09-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 4 2 40/1 52 -- -- 2.8 -- GREY - no timing read
17-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 6 4 14/1 54 -- -- 1.8 -- GREY - no timing read
21-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 6 9 25/1 57 -- -- 2.8 -- GREY - no timing read
02-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 6 5 22/1 59 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
14-05-2026 Salisbury | 6f | Good | Class 6 14 20/1 59 -- -- 13 -- GREY - no timing read
28-04-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 6f | Standard | Class 6 2 18/1 59 -- 42 1.5 1:13.71 GREEN - within 1% of par
Handicap Well treated

Latest +18lb | peak +18lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 84.1 and winning TS par is around 61.5. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Ennoble Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 16.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 16.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form4-5-6-3-7
FFR57 / -10lb
Speed90
Franked26
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw12
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Not That Guy Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 14.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 14.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form2-5
FFR80 / --
Speed99
Franked0
Ground0/1 recent match
TripTrip move developing
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Coilltedudeisback Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 12.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 12.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-10
FFR48 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw10
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: Trip move Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Red Melody Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 10.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 10.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw5
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Flag Of Nations Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 9.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 9.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw2
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Sir Chops Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 9.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 9.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw8
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Iron Dome Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-2
FFR67 / --
Speed98
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw9
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Oddjob Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 4.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 4.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-4
FFR58 / --
Speed--
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: Trip move Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Beautiful Rumour Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 1.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 1.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-9
FFR47 / --
Speed--
Franked2
Ground1/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw11
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Inkberrow Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 1.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 1.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkOfficial-mark evidence incomplete
Form--
FFR-- / --
Speed--
Franked0
GroundGround evidence developing
TripTrip move developing
ClassClass move developing
Draw6
Wgt9st 0lb
Best angle: Placement Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Blazing Gaden Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence --
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only -1.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-9-5-5-6
FFR47 / +6lb
Speed110
Franked18
Ground2/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw3
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
6:30 | Wolverhampton (AW)

6:30 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f

Class 5 | Standard | Download The Raceday Ready App Selling Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 60 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosLow
Average OR71.37 rated runners | Top OR 74: Siouxpersonic
Winning par1m 28.59s149 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupTAPETA: STANDARD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-75 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Rogue Exile leads the contextual model at 41.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Compressed top end: Justice Court close enough to respect
  • Winning-time par: 1m 28.59s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 7 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Rogue ExileRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 42.0
7-1-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
18-08-2026
ChepstowClass 5 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 8lb
Result7 btn 9L
SP7/2
JockeyHarry Davies
OR73
FFR68
SS--
01-08-2026
LingfieldClass 5 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result1
SP1/3F
JockeyHarry Davies
OR--
FFR78
SS--
15-07-2026
YarmouthClass 5 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result2 btn 2.5L
SP3/1
JockeyHarry Davies
OR--
FFR36
SS--
 9st 8lb 7 OR 73 36 -37lb 0 1.13 +15.8 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 50% 48% 1/6 -- C Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Justice CourtRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 26.2
8-2-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
17-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result8 btn 0.5L
SP6/4F
JockeySaffie Osborne
OR--
FFR82
SS92
01-08-2026
LingfieldClass 5 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP9/2
JockeyWilliam Carver
OR--
FFR73
SS--
03-12-2025
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 6f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP9/2
JockeySaffie Osborne
OR--
FFR52
SS--
 9st 6lb 5 OR 71 52 -19lb 22 1.13 +1.3 Freshened up Down in trip Solid field -- 48% 43% 1/6 92 D Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
PiazzaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 24.8
2-1-2-7-5-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-08-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 8f | Good To Soft
Wgt10st 2lb
Result2 btn 2.5L
SP100/30
JockeyJack Callan
OR71
FFR76
SS93
19-08-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 4lb
Result1
SP9/1
JockeyDaniel Muscutt
OR65
FFR61
SS98
04-08-2026
Ffos LasClass 6 | 7.5f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP12/1
JockeyTom Marquand
OR63
FFR48
SS86
16-07-2026
EpsomClass 6 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result7 btn 1.8L
SP11/2
JockeyHector Crouch
OR65
FFR63
SS90
29-06-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard To Slow
Wgt9st 1lb
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP12/1
JockeyJack Callan
OR67
FFR77
SS--
30-08-2025
SandownClass 4 | 7f | Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP15/2
JockeyKieran Shoemark
OR71
FFR60
SS--
 9st 7lb 2 OR 72 60 -12lb 18 1.13 +12.8 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 50% 57% 0/6 90 C Stiff -9 CAUTION PROFILE
Here I BowRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 19.8
8-5-8-11-7-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
EpsomClass 5 | 8.5f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 9lb
Result8 btn 6L
SP9/1
JockeyJonny Peate
OR75
FFR66
SS92
20-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 4 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 7.5L
SP33/1
JockeyJonny Peate
OR77
FFR80
SS96
05-08-2026
BrightonClass 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result8 btn 1.5L
SP28/1
JockeyJonny Peate
OR80
FFR51
SS107
11-05-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 11lb
Result11 btn 2.2L
SP50/1
JockeyRoss Coakley
OR82
FFR47
SS90
30-04-2026
YarmouthClass 4 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.8L
SP20/1
JockeyRoss Coakley
OR83
FFR55
SS102
09-09-2025
Lyon Parilly (FR)-- | 1m | Very Soft
Wgt--
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP32/1
JockeyAntoine Hamelin
OR--
FFR38
SS--
 9st 7lb 3 OR 72 38 -34lb 19 1.13 -6.2 Standard rest Down in trip Solid field -- 48% 43% 0/6 102 D Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Station BarRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 17.8
6-4-5-1-8-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
BrightonClass 5 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result6 btn 3L
SP14/1
JockeyCharles Bishop
OR66
FFR66
SS80
04-08-2026
Ffos LasClass 5 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result4 btn 3.5L
SP9/1
JockeyCharles Bishop
OR67
FFR68
SS96
30-06-2026
SalisburyClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result5 btn 2L
SP11/1
JockeyCharles Bishop
OR67
FFR67
SS95
26-05-2026
BathClass 6 | 8f | Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result1
SP7/1
JockeyCharles Bishop
OR62
FFR56
SS93
30-04-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result8 btn 0.5L
SP11/1
JockeyCharles Bishop
OR64
FFR51
SS90
11-04-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 1m | Good
Wgt--
Result6 btn 2.5L
SP3/1
JockeyCharles Bishop
OR65
FFR34
SS91
 8st 13lb 6 OR 64 34 -30lb 28 1.13 -8.2 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 45% 44% 0/6 91 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Chale ChaloRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 16.8
6-8-11-9-2-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-09-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result6 btn 1L
SP7/1
JockeyJason Hart
OR75
FFR85
SS99
27-07-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 1lb
Result8 btn 1L
SP12/1
JockeyTom Marquand
OR76
FFR82
SS91
09-07-2026
NewburyClass 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result11 btn 0.3L
SP33/1
JockeyPierre-Louis Jamin
OR77
FFR59
SS93
20-06-2026
DoncasterClass 4 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result9 btn 0.2L
SP40/1
JockeyWilliam Cox
OR78
FFR42
SS98
01-01-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP100/30F
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR77
FFR64
SS101
03-12-2025
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP11/4
JockeyJason Hart
OR75
FFR63
SS90
 9st 8lb 1 OR 73 63 -10lb 20 1.13 -7.7 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 53% 62% 1/6 90 B Stiff -7 CAUTION PROFILE
SiouxpersonicRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.8
7-10-4-2-1-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
24-08-2026
MusselburghClass 4 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result7 btn 2L
SP14/1
JockeySam James
OR76
FFR85
SS90
12-06-2026
YorkClass 2 | 6f | Good
Wgt8st 8lb
Result10 btn 0.8L
SP15/2
JockeyZac Lloyd
OR78
FFR82
SS90
27-05-2026
HamiltonClass 4 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP5/1
JockeyRyan Sexton
OR78
FFR81
SS98
25-04-2026
RiponClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.2L
SP17/2
JockeyRyan Sexton
OR75
FFR73
SS89
27-09-2025
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP4/5F
JockeyCallum Rodriguez
OR72
FFR70
SS96
11-09-2025
DoncasterClass 2 | 6½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.2L
SP18/1
JockeyWarren Fentiman
OR73
FFR65
SS93
 9st 9lb 4 OR 74 65 -9lb 5 1.13 -7.7 Standard rest Same trip Solid field -- 45% 49% 1/6 93 E Stiff -6 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Rogue Exile

Rogue Exile profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is C. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Justice Court

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Rogue Exile Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 42.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Best of a weak race 42.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form7-1-2
FFR36 / -37lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.13
Justice Court Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 26.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 26.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form8-2-3
FFR52 / -19lb
Speed92
Franked22
Ground0/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.13
Piazza Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 24.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Best of a weak race 24.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form2-1-2-7-5-4
FFR60 / -12lb
Speed90
Franked18
Ground2/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassUp in class
Draw2
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Here I Bow Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 19.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 19.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form8-5-8-11-7-5
FFR38 / -34lb
Speed102
Franked19
Ground0/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw3
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Station Bar Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 17.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 17.8 confidence
Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-4-5-1-8-6
FFR34 / -30lb
Speed91
Franked28
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt8st 13lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Chale Chalo Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 16.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 16.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form6-8-11-9-2-1
FFR63 / -10lb
Speed90
Franked20
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Siouxpersonic Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 7.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-10-4-2-1-7
FFR65 / -9lb
Speed93
Franked5
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw4
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
7:00 | Wolverhampton (AW)

7:00 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 8.5f

Class 6 | Standard | Book Hotel And Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 60 CAUTION / SPLIT RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR55.113 rated runners | Top OR 58: R P McMurphy
Winning parAwaiting timing benchmark0 race distance-only sample | approximate
SetupTAPETA: STANDARD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-60 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Captive Beauty leads the contextual model at 32.2
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Moderate edge over next best: +3.5
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 13 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Captive BeautyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 46.2
3-8-2-10-6-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-08-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 7f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 1lb
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP17/2
JockeyJosephine Gordon
OR57
FFR71
SS93
13-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 3lb
Result8 btn 2L
SP18/1
JockeyDavid Probert
OR58
FFR69
SS87
21-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 5lb
Result2 btn 0.2L
SP16/1
JockeyDavid Probert
OR56
FFR30
SS--
28-06-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt8st 7lb
Result10 btn 0.8L
SP100/1
JockeyPhoebe Edwards
OR--
FFR63
SS--
08-04-2026
Gowran Park-- | 1m | Soft
Wgt--
Result6 btn 3.2L
SP5/1
JockeyW J Lee
OR--
FFR38
SS--
10-09-2025
Cork (IRE)-- | 6f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt--
Result8 btn 0.2L
SP18/1
JockeyShane Foley
OR--
FFR57
SS--
 9st 4lb 3 OR 56 57 +1lb 16 1.13 +12 Standard rest Up in trip Modest field -- 53% 60% 1/6 87 E Workable +7 CAUTION PROFILE
Manton RoadRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 42.8
4-5-1-3-2-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-08-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 8.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP4/1J
JockeyKieren Fox
OR55
FFR59
SS98
20-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 4lb
Result5 btn 0.1L
SP6/1
JockeyCallum Hutchinson
OR55
FFR62
SS108
30-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 6lb
Result1
SP14/1
JockeyJonny Peate
OR51
FFR62
SS106
13-07-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP5/1
JockeyKieren Fox
OR49
FFR67
SS98
06-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 8.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 6lb
Result2 btn 1L
SP12/1
JockeyDavid Egan
OR49
FFR52
SS92
16-06-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 8.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result3 btn 1L
SP66/1
JockeyKieren Fox
OR49
FFR57
SS100
 9st 8lb 9 OR 54 57 +3lb 43 1.13 +8.5 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 58% 66% 1/6 100 D Well treated +9 WATCH ONLY
Cloch NuaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 40.8
6-3-6-6-4-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
04-05-2026
BeverleyClass 6 | 8.5f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 3lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP14/1
JockeyPaul Mulrennan
OR54
FFR69
SS96
20-04-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP11/1
JockeyPaul Mulrennan
OR54
FFR72
SS99
03-02-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 3L
SP33/1
JockeyStevie Donohoe
OR56
FFR67
SS87
22-01-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 1.2L
SP9/1
JockeyStevie Donohoe
OR57
FFR64
SS95
29-12-2025
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP9/1
JockeyZak Wheatley
OR58
FFR83
SS92
13-12-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 1m½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result10 btn 0.3L
SP40/1
JockeyStevie Donohoe
OR60
FFR54
SS107
 9st 8lb 4 OR 54 54 +0lb 25 1.13 +2.2 Long absence Same trip Modest field -- 63% 71% 2/6 107 A Workable +6 WATCH ONLY
AmarachiRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 39.8
1-6-9-2-6-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
12-09-2026
BathClass 6 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result1
SP9/2
JockeyJack Mitchell
OR53
FFR79
SS96
13-08-2026
BeverleyClass 6 | 8.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 11lb
Result6 btn 0.2L
SP9/2
JockeyCieren Fallon
OR54
FFR60
SS99
27-02-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 1m½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result9 btn 0.5L
SP16/1
JockeyKyle McHugh
OR55
FFR79
SS98
12-02-2026
Chelmsford (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP3/1F
JockeyKyle McHugh
OR54
FFR68
SS93
05-02-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 5.5L
SP5/2
JockeyLuke Morris
OR54
FFR41
SS96
23-01-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP8/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR53
FFR68
SS92
 9st 12lb 8 OR 53 68 +15lb 27 1.13 +1.2 Quick return Down in trip Modest field -- 63% 73% 1/6 92 B Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
R P McMurphyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 36.8
4-3-12-8-1-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 0lb
Result4 btn 0.1L
SP12/1
JockeyJude Maher
OR58
FFR76
SS103
30-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 8.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 4lb
Result3 btn 0.1L
SP11/1
JockeyKevin Stott
OR59
FFR84
SS98
07-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 8.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 0lb
Result12 btn 0.8L
SP12/1
JockeyEdward Greatrex
OR61
FFR71
SS100
13-02-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 1m½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result8 btn 0.5L
SP9/5F
JockeyJack Dace
OR61
FFR45
SS96
12-01-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 1m½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP2/1F
JockeyEdward Greatrex
OR55
FFR53
SS104
06-01-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.2L
SP9/4
JockeyEdward Greatrex
OR55
FFR58
SS96
 9st 12lb 13 OR 58 58 +0lb 30 1.13 +7.5 Standard rest Up in trip Modest field -- 56% 63% 1/6 96 D Workable +6 WATCH ONLY
EsplanadeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 27.0
5-6-11
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
28-08-2026
Ffos LasClass 4 | 8f | Good To Soft
Wgt8st 11lb
Result5 btn 7L
SP80/1
JockeyHarry Vigors
OR--
FFR41
SS--
31-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result6 btn 5.5L
SP150/1
JockeyRoss Coakley
OR--
FFR54
SS--
13-07-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 13lb
Result11 btn 1L
SP40/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR--
FFR58
SS--
 9st 4lb 5 OR 56 58 +2lb 0 1.13 +1 Standard rest Down in trip Modest field -- 49% 51% 1/6 -- E Near mark +2 WATCH ONLY
Malakai KiteRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 16.2
9-3-5-3-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
BathClass 6 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result9 btn 0.2L
SP33/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR59
FFR82
SS100
01-08-2026
LingfieldClass 5 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 5lb
Result3 btn 4L
SP13/2
JockeyPaddy Bradley
OR59
FFR58
SS--
23-06-2026
Ffos LasClass 4 | 7.5f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result5 btn 5L
SP66/1
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR--
FFR56
SS--
19-05-2026
LingfieldClass 5 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result3 btn 2L
SP25/1
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR--
FFR62
SS--
17-04-2026
BathClass 4 | 1m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP28/1
JockeyKieran ONeill
OR--
FFR40
SS--
 9st 6lb 7 OR 58 40 -18lb 8 1.13 +8 Standard rest Down in trip Modest field -- 45% 43% 0/6 100 E Stiff -15 CAUTION PROFILE
Pretty SpiritedRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 15.8
4-2-12-3-3-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
28-08-2026
SandownClass 5 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP10/1
JockeyAlec Voikhansky
OR55
FFR80
SS88
03-08-2026
NottinghamClass 5 | 8.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result2 btn 2.2L
SP20/1
JockeyTom Eaves
OR53
FFR75
SS98
19-05-2026
NottinghamClass 5 | 8.5f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 0lb
Result12 btn 12L
SP11/1
JockeyAlec Voikhansky
OR54
FFR78
SS100
25-04-2026
DoncasterClass 6 | 1m | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP14/1
JockeyAlec Voikhansky
OR53
FFR30
SS99
06-09-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 1m½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 2.5L
SP2/1F
JockeyAidan Keeley
OR54
FFR69
SS100
26-08-2025
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP5/1
JockeyAlec Voikhansky
OR50
FFR55
SS97
 9st 8lb 6 OR 54 55 +1lb 30 1.13 -1 Standard rest Down in trip Modest field -- 63% 69% 2/6 97 A Workable +7 WATCH ONLY
Exquisite SkyeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 15.2
11-4-7-10-3-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
29-08-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 11.5f | Soft
Wgt9st 2lb
Result11 btn 11L
SP33/1
JockeyKyle McHugh
OR60
FFR66
SS90
12-06-2026
GoodwoodClass 5 | 10f | Soft
Wgt9st 2lb
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP66/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR62
FFR81
SS92
27-04-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 3 | 1m4f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 2.2L
SP25/1
JockeyMarco Ghiani
OR65
FFR61
SS94
03-12-2025
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result10 btn 6.5L
SP18/1
JockeyKieran ONeill
OR68
FFR71
SS89
25-10-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 1m½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 1L
SP28/1
JockeyLewis Edmunds
OR--
FFR57
SS93
09-08-2025
LingfieldClass 5 | 7½f | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 6L
SP14/1
JockeyChristian Howarth
OR--
FFR20
SS--
 9st 5lb 11 OR 57 20 -37lb 27 1.13 -5 Standard rest Big drop back Modest field -- 45% 43% 0/6 93 E Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Rogue OfficerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 11.8
2-6-15-10-9-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-08-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 8.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 4lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP50/1
JockeyCam Hardie
OR52
FFR87
SS96
31-07-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 2lb
Result6 btn 3.2L
SP28/1
JockeyEthan Tindall
OR56
FFR66
SS96
08-04-2026
NottinghamClass 6 | 1m½f | Good
Wgt--
Result15 btn 99L
SP80/1
JockeyCam Hardie
OR59
FFR54
SS116
05-02-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result10 btn 17L
SP80/1
JockeyCam Hardie
OR61
FFR27
SS98
20-01-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result9 btn 4L
SP50/1
JockeyCam Hardie
OR62
FFR26
SS82
13-10-2025
YarmouthClass 6 | 1m | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result2 btn 1.8L
SP14/1
JockeyHarry Davies
OR59
FFR63
SS35
 9st 7lb 1 OR 53 63 +10lb 17 1.13 -8.5 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 55% 61% 0/6 35 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Mr FusticRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.8
10-5-4-1-3-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 1lb
Result10 btn 1.5L
SP20/1
JockeyMarco Ghiani
OR57
FFR76
SS102
19-05-2026
LingfieldClass 6 | 7.5f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 2.5L
SP8/1
JockeyDylan Hogan
OR55
FFR75
SS97
30-04-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 2L
SP5/1
JockeyFinley Marsh
OR57
FFR80
SS102
21-03-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP6/1
JockeyDylan Hogan
OR53
FFR76
SS91
21-02-2026
Chelmsford (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP11/2
JockeyDylan Hogan
OR54
FFR37
SS96
02-12-2025
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP10/1
JockeyNeil Callan
OR56
FFR43
SS99
 9st 10lb 10 OR 56 43 -13lb 65 1.13 -9.5 Standard rest Down in trip Modest field -- 55% 63% 2/6 99 A Stiff -10 CAUTION PROFILE
Cy TwomblyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.2
9-11-4-9-8-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
08-09-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 10f | Good To Soft
Wgt8st 12lb
Result9 btn 2.2L
SP50/1
JockeyFinlay Bassett
OR56
FFR45
SS99
26-08-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 8.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 10lb
Result11 btn 3.5L
SP14/1
JockeyJack Doughty
OR58
FFR36
SS97
30-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 8.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 5lb
Result4 btn 0L
SP50/1
JockeyLewis Edmunds
OR60
FFR32
SS93
21-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 8.5f | Standard
Wgt10st 0lb
Result9 btn 1L
SP40/1
JockeyP J McDonald
OR60
FFR52
SS95
18-06-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt8st 3lb
Result8 btn 1.8L
SP100/1
JockeyFinlay Bassett
OR62
FFR32
SS90
01-06-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 8.5f | Standard
Wgt10st 2lb
Result9 btn 9.5L
SP200/1
JockeyJack Doughty
OR67
FFR21
SS--
 9st 10lb 12 OR 56 21 -35lb 29 1.13 -13 Quick return Down in trip Modest field -- 48% 48% 0/6 90 D Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
CreateRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 3.0
11-1-7-4-12-12
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
16-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 5lb
Result11 btn 1.2L
SP12/1
JockeyKieran O'Neill
OR51
FFR58
SS100
28-07-2026
Ffos LasClass 6 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result1
SP6/1
JockeyTyler Heard
OR47
FFR20
SS104
16-07-2026
ThirskClass 6 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result7 btn 1L
SP8/1
JockeyChristian Howarth
OR47
FFR56
SS95
14-06-2026
DoncasterClass 6 | 8f | Good To Soft
Wgt8st 7lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP18/1
JockeyChristian Howarth
OR47
FFR50
SS97
16-05-2026
DoncasterClass 6 | 7f | Good To Soft
Wgt8st 12lb
Result12 btn 0.5L
SP17/2
JockeyMikkel Mortensen
OR49
FFR67
SS86
28-03-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result12 btn 3.8L
SP25/1
JockeyKieran ONeill
OR50
FFR21
SS90
 9st 5lb 2 OR 51 21 -30lb 61 1.13 -3 Freshened up Down in trip Modest field -- 55% 56% 2/6 90 A Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Captive Beauty

Captive Beauty profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is E. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Manton Road

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Captive Beauty Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 46.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 46.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-8-2-10-6-8
FFR57 / +1lb
Speed87
Franked16
Ground0/1 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw3
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3 Yarmouth Troubled run 30-08-2026
8 Lingfield (AW) Competitive 13-08-2026
2 Wolverhampton (AW) Solid effort 21-07-2026
10 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 28-06-2026
6 Gowran Park Troubled run 08-04-2026
8 Cork (IRE) Competitive 10-09-2025
Race form proof Positive franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating16
2winners since
3placers since
6evidence pts
04-08-2026 | Gowran Park Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Areyousure (IRE), Incredible Army (IRE), Kactus Jack (IRE)

09-10-2025 | Cork (IRE) Finished 8
Beat named rivals

Another Niceday (IRE), Dont Get Me Wrong (IRE), Fontaine Khaled (IRE)

Race produced winner

L L Koulsty (IRE), Rosie Frith (IRE)

Later placers

Listentodwindblow (IRE) (06-01-2026), Midnight Dusk (GB) (04-04-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement1/6
FFR57
Speed87
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+1lb near mark
FFR 57 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
87 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskDistance suitability is a caution (DEI E)
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score32.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI EVERY_LOW
Mark readWorkable markLatest +1lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +7lb
Today's conditions match 53% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 38%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Handicap Question Trip / ground
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs3/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandTesting
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 3 0W / 1P Peak rating 54
Good 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 3 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 60% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 35%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 73%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueRecent form includes a win/place signalTrip evidence still asks questions
Mark read Latest +1lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +7lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest +1lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +7lb

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 56 | Latest FFR 57 | Best FFR 71 | Public mark read +7
Hidden Run DetectorWorth a second look
  • Latest run: traffic trouble may have hidden the finishing position.
Trainer Ross Burdon
Jockey Alexandra Egan(7)
Age 3
Draw 3
OR 56
Avg OR 55.1
OR vs Field +0.9
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form -60283
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Developing; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Stable

confidence nudge -0.8
Variance Developing Consistency developing
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -7.2 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
No clear timing trend yet; use this as supporting evidence.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile1
DEIE
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
08-04-2026 Gowran Park (IRE) Soft 6 1:47.82 107.8
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 16 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window
Ground timing match 0/1 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP17/2
OwnerTriple S
Pedigree

Showcasing × Siren's Cove (Sir Percy)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.1L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
30-08-2026 Yarmouth 3 1.2 Neutral finish
13-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 8 2 Neutral finish
21-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 2 0.2 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 2 earlier runs were unrated.
10-09-2025 | Cork (IRE)
Rating 54 OR Unrated
08-04-2026 | Gowran Park
Rating 40 OR Unrated
21-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 56
13-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 58
30-08-2026 | Yarmouth
Rating -- OR 57
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs1
ReliabilityVERY_LOW
Winning-time parAwaiting timing benchmark
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:47.82
Recent positions6
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
30-08-2026 Yarmouth | 7f | Good To Soft | Class 6 3 17/2 57 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
13-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 6 8 18/1 58 -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
21-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 6 2 16/1 56 -- -- 0.2 -- GREY - no timing read
28-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 5 10 100/1 -- -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
08-04-2026 Gowran Park | 1m | Soft | -- 6 5/1 -- 40 24 3.2 1:47.82 GREY - no timing read
10-09-2025 Cork (IRE) | 6f | Yielding To Soft | -- 8 18/1 -- 54 50 0.2 1:14.44 GREY - no timing read
Handicap Workable mark

Latest +1lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +7lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Benchmark evidence is still developing for this course, class, going and distance profile.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Manton Road Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 42.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Best of a weak race 42.8 confidence
Why consider13 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form4-5-1-3-2-3
FFR57 / +3lb
Speed100
Franked43
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw9
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
4 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 26-08-2026
5 Lingfield (AW) Finished well 20-08-2026
1 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 30-07-2026
3 Lingfield (AW) Solid effort 13-07-2026
2 Wolverhampton (AW) Solid effort 06-07-2026
3 Wolverhampton (AW) Troubled run 16-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating43
3winners since
5placers since
12evidence pts
07-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Celebrating Ethel (IRE), Crown The Future (IRE), Implied Volatility (IRE)

Race produced winner

Celebrating Ethel (IRE), Starakova (GB)

Later placers

Crown The Future (IRE) (09-07-2026), Midnight Media (GB) (09-07-2026)

03-02-2026 | Kempton (AW) Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Celtic John (IRE), Charming Fellow (GB), Hawaiian King (IRE)

Later placers

Rosemary's Rose (IRE) (08-04-2026), The Spotlight Kid (GB) (01-06-2026)

02-12-2025 | Kempton (AW) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Coisty (GB), Leading Star Girl (IRE), Perfect Parole (GB)

Race produced winner

Magna (GB)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: raw score needs more support.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR57
Speed100
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+3lb near mark
FFR 57 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
100 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskRaw score needs more support
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score28.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest +3lb | peak +13lb treated as ceiling | public read +9lb
Today's conditions match 58% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 52%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs6/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 46
Good 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 43
Fast 5 0W / 0P Peak rating 40
All-weather 26 5W / 14P Peak rating 68
Placement evidence 66% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 60%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 79%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
13 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +9lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +3lb | peak +13lb treated as ceiling | public read +9lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +3lb | peak +13lb treated as ceiling | public read +9lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 54 | Latest FFR 57 | Best FFR 67 | Public mark read +9
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Richard Phillips
Jockey Kieren Fox
Age 4
Draw 9
OR 54
Avg OR 55.1
OR vs Field -1.1
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 323154
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Reliable 5.5% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 8 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile13
DEID
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
29-05-2026 Brighton Good To Firm 10 1:36.50 96.5
13-07-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 3 1:40.05 100
20-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 5 1:37.71 97.7
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 20 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP4/1J
OwnerP Deacon
Pedigree

Mohaather × Robbie Roo Roo (Kheleyf)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distanceBeaten favouriteMarket expected more last time
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.5L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
26-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 4 1.5 Neutral finish
20-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 5 0.1 Fast finish
30-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
16-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 49
06-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 49
13-07-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 49
30-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 51
20-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 55
26-08-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 55
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs13
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time parAwaiting timing benchmark
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:36.50 | 1:40.05 | 1:37.71
Recent positions10 | 3 | 5
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
26-08-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 8.5f | Standard | Class 6 4 4/1J 55 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
20-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 8f | Standard | Class 6 5 6/1 55 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
30-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 6 1 14/1 51 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
13-07-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 8f | Standard | Class 6 3 5/1 49 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
06-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 8.5f | Standard | Class 6 2 12/1 49 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
16-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 8.5f | Standard | Class 6 3 66/1 49 -- -- 1 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Well treated

Latest +3lb | peak +13lb treated as ceiling | public read +9lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Benchmark evidence is still developing for this course, class, going and distance profile.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Cloch Nua Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 40.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 40.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form6-3-6-6-4-10
FFR54 / +0lb
Speed107
Franked25
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
6 Beverley Competitive 04-05-2026
3 Newcastle (AW) Troubled run 20-04-2026
6 Wolverhampton (AW) Finished well 03-02-2026
6 Southwell (AW) Competitive 22-01-2026
4 Newcastle (AW) Competitive 29-12-2025
10 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 13-12-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating25
2winners since
8placers since
14evidence pts
05-04-2026 | Beverley Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Bantz (IRE), Dandy's Angel (IRE), Evelyn's Phoenix (FR)

Later placers

Dandy's Angel (IRE) (06-04-2026), Pisanello (IRE) (08-09-2026)

02-03-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Roman Emperor (GB), Ten Club (IRE)

Race produced winner

Bomb Squad (IRE), Secret Road (IRE)

Later placers

Havana Club (GB) (08-03-2026), Romanovich (IRE) (05-04-2026)

02-07-2025 | Southwell (AW) Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Carey Street (IRE), Fire Eyes (FR), Maguire (GB)

Later placers

Charlatan (IRE) (07-08-2026), Fire Eyes (FR) (10-07-2025)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement2/6
FFR54
Speed107
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+0lb near mark
FFR 54 pounds scale
SpeedScoreabove par
107 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score22.5Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readWorkable markLatest +0lb | peak +29lb treated as ceiling | public read +6lb
Today's conditions match 63% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs5/6
Best similar rating61
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 0W / 1P Peak rating 70
Good 2 0W / 1P Peak rating 70
Fast 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 66
All-weather 19 4W / 5P Peak rating 70
Placement evidence 71% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 70%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 68%
Proven trip profile (A)20 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +0lb | peak +29lb treated as ceiling | public read +6lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest +0lb | peak +29lb treated as ceiling | public read +6lb

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 54 | Latest FFR 54 | Best FFR 83 | Public mark read +6
Hidden Run DetectorWorth a second look
  • Run 2: traffic trouble may have hidden the finishing position.
Trainer Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay
Jockey Stevie Donohoe
Age 7
Draw 4
OR 54
Avg OR 55.1
OR vs Field -1.1
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 4-6636
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Predictive support

Reliable; Mild bounce watch; No hidden upgrade; Ceiling edge; Improving

confidence nudge +2.8
Variance Reliable 6.4% volatility
Bounce Mild bounce watch Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Ceiling edge 7.1 vs par
Curve Improving Trend 2
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile20
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
07-02-2025 Southwell (AW) Standard 5 1:43.19 103.2
06-03-2025 Newcastle (AW) Standard 1 1:40.72 100.7
20-04-2026 Newcastle (AW) Standard 3 1:39.72 99.7
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.5 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 134 days Freshness caution
Micro score +0.5 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP14/1
OwnerTony Culhane Racing Club
Pedigree

Exceed And Excel × Lady Alienor (Elusive Quality)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
04-05-2026 Beverley 6 0.8 Neutral finish
20-04-2026 Newcastle (AW) 3 0.5 Fast finish
03-02-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 6 3 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 5 runs with an official OR.
13-12-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 41 OR 60
29-12-2025 | Newcastle (AW)
Rating 61 OR 58
22-01-2026 | Southwell (AW)
Rating 42 OR 57
03-02-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 33 OR 56
20-04-2026 | Newcastle (AW)
Rating 59 OR 54
04-05-2026 | Beverley
Rating -- OR 54
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs20
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time parAwaiting timing benchmark
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:43.19 | 1:40.72 | 1:39.72
Recent positions5 | 1 | 3
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
04-05-2026 Beverley | 8.5f | Good To Soft | Class 6 6 14/1 54 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
20-04-2026 Newcastle (AW) | 1m | Standard | Class 6 3 11/1 54 59 40 0.5 1:39.72 GREY - no timing read
03-02-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 6 6 33/1 56 33 25 3 1:30.20 GREY - no timing read
22-01-2026 Southwell (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 6 6 9/1 57 42 36 1.2 1:29.30 GREY - no timing read
29-12-2025 Newcastle (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 6 4 9/1 58 61 -- 0.8 1:30.92 GREY - no timing read
13-12-2025 Wolverhampton (AW) | 1m½f | Standard | Class 6 10 40/1 60 41 26 0.3 1:50.13 GREY - no timing read
Handicap Workable mark

Latest +0lb | peak +29lb treated as ceiling | public read +6lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Benchmark evidence is still developing for this course, class, going and distance profile.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Amarachi Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 39.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 39.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form1-6-9-2-6-2
FFR68 / +15lb
Speed92
Franked27
Ground2/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw8
Wgt9st 12lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
1 Bath Finished well 12-09-2026
6 Beverley Run faded 13-08-2026
9 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 27-02-2026
2 Chelmsford (AW) Strong run 12-02-2026
6 Southwell (AW) Run faded 05-02-2026
2 Southwell (AW) Strong run 23-01-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating27
4winners since
6placers since
12evidence pts
01-06-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Brinton (GB), Kessaar Power (IRE), Pave The Way (GB)

02-05-2026 | Southwell (AW) Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Law Degree (IRE), Sovereign Class (IRE), Starshot (IRE)

Race produced winner

Scenario (GB), Volendam (GB)

Later placers

Roaring Ralph (GB) (05-07-2026), Starshot (IRE) (03-05-2026)

12-12-2025 | Southwell (AW) Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Ardaddy (GB), Believe In Lies (IRE), Blueandtangerine (GB)

Race produced winner

Bomb Squad (IRE), Military Leader (GB)

Later placers

Believe In Lies (IRE) (02-09-2026), Bullington Bry (GB) (02-04-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR68
Speed92
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+15lb ahead of mark
FFR 68 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
92 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score21.5Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BMEDIUM
Mark readWell treatedLatest +15lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 63% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs4/6
Best similar rating60
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 37
Good 1 1W / 1P Peak rating --
Fast 3 1W / 1P Peak rating 61
All-weather 9 0W / 4P Peak rating 60
Placement evidence 73% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 86%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (B)5 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +15lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +15lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 53 | Latest FFR 68 | Best FFR 79 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Joseph Parr
Jockey Harry Burns(3)
Age 4
Draw 8
OR 53
Avg OR 55.1
OR vs Field -2.1
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 262961
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small caution nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Cooling

confidence nudge -0.2
Variance Very steady 2.8% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -0.9 vs par
Curve Cooling Trend -1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Recent matched-distance times are moving the right way.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile5
DEIB
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
05-02-2026 Southwell (AW) Standard 6 1:44.27 104.3
12-02-2026 Chelmsford (AW) Standard 2 1:39.76 99.8
12-09-2026 Bath Good 1 1:39.77 99.8
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.5 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 3 days Quick return
Micro score +0.5 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; headgear declared: p
Ground timing match 2/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP9/2
OwnerStuart Anderson
Pedigree

U S Navy Flag × Totsiyah (Dalakhani)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.2L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
12-09-2026 Bath 1 0 Fast finish
13-08-2026 Beverley 6 0.2 Run faded
27-02-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 9 0.5 Run faded
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 4 runs with an official OR.
23-01-2026 | Southwell (AW)
Rating 59 OR 53
05-02-2026 | Southwell (AW)
Rating 35 OR 54
12-02-2026 | Chelmsford (AW)
Rating 60 OR 54
27-02-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 51 OR 55
13-08-2026 | Beverley
Rating -- OR 54
12-09-2026 | Bath
Rating -- OR 53
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs5
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time parAwaiting timing benchmark
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:44.27 | 1:39.76 | 1:39.77
Recent positions6 | 2 | 1
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
12-09-2026 Bath | 8f | Good | Class 6 1 9/2 53 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
13-08-2026 Beverley | 8.5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 6 9/2 54 -- -- 0.2 -- GREY - no timing read
27-02-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 1m½f | Standard | Class 6 9 16/1 55 51 6 0.5 1:52.24 GREY - no timing read
12-02-2026 Chelmsford (AW) | 1m | Standard | Class 6 2 3/1F 54 60 41 0.3 1:39.76 GREY - no timing read
05-02-2026 Southwell (AW) | 1m | Standard | Class 6 6 5/2 54 35 19 5.5 1:43.78 GREY - no timing read
23-01-2026 Southwell (AW) | 1m | Standard | Class 6 2 8/1 53 59 30 0.5 1:42.38 GREY - no timing read
Handicap Well treated

Latest +15lb | peak +26lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Benchmark evidence is still developing for this course, class, going and distance profile.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
R P McMurphy Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 36.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Best of a weak race 36.8 confidence
Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form4-3-12-8-1-3
FFR58 / +0lb
Speed96
Franked30
Ground3/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw13
Wgt9st 12lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Esplanade Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 27.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 27.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form5-6-11
FFR58 / +2lb
Speed--
Franked0
Ground0/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw5
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: Rest Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Malakai Kite Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 16.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 16.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form9-3-5-3-4
FFR40 / -18lb
Speed100
Franked8
Ground0/2 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Pretty Spirited Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 15.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 15.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form4-2-12-3-3-1
FFR55 / +1lb
Speed97
Franked30
Ground1/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw6
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Exquisite Skye Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 15.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 15.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form11-4-7-10-3-3
FFR20 / -37lb
Speed93
Franked27
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassSame class
Draw11
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Rogue Officer Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 11.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 11.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form2-6-15-10-9-2
FFR63 / +10lb
Speed35
Franked17
Ground2/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: Mark Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Mr Fustic Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 7.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 7.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form10-5-4-1-3-6
FFR43 / -13lb
Speed99
Franked65
Ground3/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw10
Wgt9st 10lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Mark Odds: 1.13
Cy Twombly Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 7.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form9-11-4-9-8-9
FFR21 / -35lb
Speed90
Franked29
Ground3/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw12
Wgt9st 10lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Create Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 3.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 3.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form11-1-7-4-12-12
FFR21 / -30lb
Speed90
Franked61
Ground1/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw2
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: FFR Odds: 1.13
7:30 | Wolverhampton (AW)

7:30 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 9.5f

Class 6 | Standard | Cavani Style & Speed Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 47 WATCH ONLY
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR60.312 rated runners | Top OR 65: Ballybunion
Winning par2m 00.97s126 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupTAPETA: STANDARD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-65 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Ballybunion leads the contextual model at 31.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Winning-time par: 2m 00.97s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 12 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
BallybunionRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 44.0
3-4-6-13-2-2
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 5lb
Result3 btn 2.8L
SP7/2
JockeyCallum Shepherd
OR66
FFR70
SS102
10-08-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 8f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 6lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP5/1
JockeyCallum Shepherd
OR67
FFR80
SS87
31-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 0.3L
SP12/1
JockeyRoss Coakley
OR69
FFR48
SS96
08-05-2026
AscotClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result13 btn 0.3L
SP20/1
JockeySaffie Osborne
OR72
FFR65
SS--
13-10-2025
YarmouthClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 4L
SP13/2
JockeyHector Crouch
OR--
FFR63
SS--
27-09-2025
RiponClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 5L
SP15/2
JockeyLuke Morris
OR--
FFR65
SS--
 9st 10lb 9 OR 65 65 +0lb 0 1.13 +9.6 Standard rest Up in trip Modest field -- 56% 60% 1/6 96 D Workable +6 WATCH ONLY
StipulationRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 43.8
2-6-7-6-8-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
09-08-2026
ChepstowClass 5 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 13lb
Result2 btn 1.5L
SP13/2
JockeyGeorge Wood
OR60
FFR79
SS103
28-07-2026
BeverleyClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 7lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP12/1
JockeyMr Jack Loughnane
OR61
FFR45
SS102
04-07-2026
NottinghamClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result7 btn 0.1L
SP8/1
JockeyRoss Coakley
OR63
FFR63
SS89
15-06-2026
WindsorClass 5 | 11.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result6 btn 0.3L
SP10/1
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR65
FFR50
SS102
18-05-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 9.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result8 btn 0.3L
SP11/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR65
FFR55
SS99
02-02-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 1m1½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP9/4F
JockeyLuke Morris
OR65
FFR70
SS100
 9st 11lb 12 OR 60 70 +10lb 33 1.13 +0.6 Freshened up Down in trip Modest field -- 63% 72% 1/6 100 B Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
Have You A MinuteRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 36.8
2-9-11-6-5-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
16-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 4lb
Result2 btn 2L
SP11/1
JockeyHector Crouch
OR50
FFR80
SS94
16-06-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 9.5f | Standard
Wgt8st 7lb
Result9 btn 7L
SP40/1
JockeySean D Bowen
OR52
FFR75
SS100
01-12-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 1m1½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result11 btn 4.2L
SP15/2
JockeyJohn Fahy
OR53
FFR69
SS96
28-10-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 1m1½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP5/1
JockeyP J McDonald
OR54
FFR63
SS95
16-10-2025
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP7/2
JockeyJosephine Gordon
OR54
FFR37
SS100
04-10-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 1m1½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP7/2F
JockeyJosephine Gordon
OR51
FFR59
SS92
 9st 2lb 6 OR 51 59 +8lb 38 1.13 +2.1 Freshened up Up in trip Modest field -- 65% 74% 2/6 92 A Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
The Dark BaronRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 34.8
4-4-4-6-3-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 8.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 5lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP9/2
JockeyLaura Coughlan
OR63
FFR81
SS95
13-07-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP9/1
JockeyBen Ffrench Davis
OR63
FFR82
SS100
26-05-2026
BathClass 6 | 8f | Firm
Wgt9st 11lb
Result4 btn 23L
SP100/30
JockeyLaura Coughlan
OR64
FFR59
SS94
04-05-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 8f | Standard To Slow
Wgt8st 9lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP100/30
JockeyLaura Coughlan
OR64
FFR28
SS100
05-04-2026
BathClass 5 | 1m | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.2L
SP8/1
JockeyLaura Coughlan
OR64
FFR53
SS98
03-03-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result1
SP7/2F
JockeyLaura Coughlan
OR60
FFR51
SS98
 9st 13lb 5 OR 62 51 -11lb 49 1.13 -0.7 Freshened up Up in trip Modest field -- 50% 54% 1/6 98 C Stiff -8 WATCH ONLY
Baloo's BluesRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 31.8
4-1-9-2-5-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
23-07-2026
NewburyClass 5 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 13lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP7/1
JockeyMr James Hills
OR64
FFR82
SS101
27-06-2026
LingfieldClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result1
SP11/4F
JockeyHarry Vigors
OR62
FFR73
SS89
27-03-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 1m2f | Standard
Wgt--
Result9 btn 3L
SP4/1
JockeyMr James Hills
OR63
FFR84
SS104
18-02-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 1m | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result2 btn 4.5L
SP10/1
JockeyHarry Vigors
OR63
FFR69
SS96
31-01-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP5/1
JockeyBen Sanderson
OR65
FFR66
SS110
29-11-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 7f | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.1L
SP11/4
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR66
FFR65
SS92
 10st 0lb 4 OR 63 65 +2lb 59 1.13 +4.8 Freshened up Down in trip Modest field -- 60% 58% 0/6 92 C Well treated +8 CAUTION PROFILE
Magic RunnerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 22.8
6-7-5-10-7-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 9.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 1lb
Result6 btn 1.8L
SP9/1
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR54
FFR80
SS99
15-08-2026
RiponClass 6 | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 10lb
Result7 btn 2.5L
SP40/1
JockeyJames Sullivan
OR56
FFR70
SS98
01-08-2026
DoncasterClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP20/1
JockeyJames Sullivan
OR58
FFR68
SS100
27-03-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 1m2f | Standard
Wgt--
Result10 btn 0.1L
SP28/1
JockeyMiss Charli Parker
OR59
FFR38
SS95
10-03-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 1m1½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 3.5L
SP9/1
JockeyJames Sullivan
OR60
FFR42
SS98
16-02-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 1m½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 0.1L
SP100/30
JockeyTaryn Langley
OR61
FFR61
SS92
 9st 3lb 10 OR 52 61 +9lb 67 1.13 -1.9 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 65% 74% 2/6 92 A Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
SnaafyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 21.8
5-9-2-5-3-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
15-08-2026
DoncasterClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result5 btn 0.8L
SP8/1
JockeySam James
OR63
FFR79
SS94
31-07-2026
Galway (IRE)-- | 8.5f | Yielding To Soft
Wgt9st 8lb
Result9 btn 1L
SP16/1
JockeyDeclan McDonogh
OR64
FFR74
SS92
17-07-2026
PontefractClass 6 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result2 btn 1L
SP17/2
JockeySilvestre De Sousa
OR63
FFR71
SS92
17-01-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 5 | 1m2f | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 9.5L
SP13/2
JockeyHollie Doyle
OR64
FFR61
SS101
06-01-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 1m½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP11/4
JockeyRowan Scott
OR65
FFR61
SS94
30-12-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 1m½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.5L
SP7/2
JockeyRowan Scott
OR65
FFR62
SS96
 9st 6lb 7 OR 61 62 +1lb 24 1.13 +3.6 Freshened up Up in trip Modest field -- 58% 58% 0/6 96 C Workable +7 CAUTION PROFILE
AmrumRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 20.2
9-8-1-6-9-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-08-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 12f | Standard / Slow
Wgt9st 3lb
Result9 btn 2.2L
SP7/1
JockeyWilliam Buick
OR64
FFR38
SS92
24-06-2026
Naas (IRE)-- | 11f | Good
Wgt8st 7lb
Result8 btn 0.8L
SP4/1
JockeyNicola Burns
OR64
FFR46
SS--
01-06-2026
Gowran Park (IRE)-- | 9.5f | Yielding
Wgt9st 11lb
Result1
SP3/1F
JockeyColin Keane
OR57
FFR61
SS--
29-05-2026
Down Royal (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP16/1
JockeyColin Keane
OR57
FFR83
SS--
12-05-2026
Killarney (IRE)-- | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result9 btn 1L
SP80/1
JockeyNicola Burns
OR--
FFR63
SS--
03-05-2026
Cork (IRE)-- | 10.5f | Soft
Wgt9st 1lb
Result7 btn 0.1L
SP18/1
JockeyNicola Burns
OR--
FFR34
SS--
 9st 7lb 3 OR 62 34 -28lb 41 1.13 +11.1 Standard rest Big drop back Modest field -- 48% 46% 0/6 92 D Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Sahm NaifRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 18.2
4-6-5-1-1-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
07-09-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 9.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP14/1
JockeyDaniel Muscutt
OR62
FFR48
SS85
09-08-2026
LeicesterClass 5 | 12f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result6 btn 9.5L
SP22/1
JockeyRay Dawson
OR64
FFR67
SS90
21-07-2026
NottinghamClass 6 | 9f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 11lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP9/4
JockeyGeorge Wood
OR60
FFR67
SS--
19-07-2026
RedcarClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result1
SP11/4
JockeyJason Hart
OR60
FFR59
SS--
23-06-2026
BeverleyClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 8lb
Result1
SP9/4
JockeyJason Hart
OR57
FFR34
SS--
08-06-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 10f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result4 btn 5.5L
SP11/2
JockeyHarry Vigors
OR60
FFR57
SS--
 9st 7lb 8 OR 62 57 -5lb 14 1.13 -3.9 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 49% 53% 0/6 90 E Near mark -2 CAUTION PROFILE
Special GhaiyyathRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 15.8
7-7-4-7-9-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
03-09-2026
SalisburyClass 5 | 8f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 8lb
Result7 btn 4L
SP28/1
JockeyJoe Bradnam
OR64
FFR44
SS98
14-08-2026
Newmarket (July)Class 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 11lb
Result7 btn 0.5L
SP33/1
JockeyRose Dawes
OR67
FFR44
SS94
29-07-2026
LeicesterClass 5 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 4L
SP12/1
JockeyRose Dawes
OR70
FFR54
SS115
13-07-2026
WindsorClass 4 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result7 btn 3.8L
SP125/1
JockeyRobert Havlin
OR74
FFR56
SS90
03-07-2026
SandownClass 4 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result9 btn 22L
SP80/1
JockeyRose Dawes
OR76
FFR50
SS105
12-05-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 4 | 8f | Standard
Wgt9st 2lb
Result8 btn 0.5L
SP50/1
JockeyRose Dawes
OR78
FFR34
SS98
 9st 13lb 2 OR 62 34 -28lb 30 1.13 -6.4 Standard rest Up in trip Modest field -- 50% 46% 0/6 98 C Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Eagle DayRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 13.8
6-5-4-9-4-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
02-09-2026
BathClass 6 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 9lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP9/2
JockeyRob Hornby
OR60
FFR33
SS95
02-08-2026
ChesterClass 4 | 10.5f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result5 btn 2L
SP40/1
JockeyJ F Egan
OR62
FFR66
SS89
21-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 9.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 5lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP25/1
JockeyPat Cosgrave
OR66
FFR53
SS97
07-07-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 8.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 6lb
Result9 btn 0.2L
SP7/1
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR67
FFR68
SS100
16-06-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 9.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP12/1
JockeyPat Cosgrave
OR68
FFR65
SS108
04-06-2026
Ffos LasClass 5 | 8f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 0lb
Result10 btn 3.2L
SP12/1
JockeyPat Cosgrave
OR65
FFR51
SS91
 10st 0lb 1 OR 63 51 -12lb 18 1.13 -4.9 Standard rest Up in trip Modest field -- 55% 57% 2/6 91 A Stiff -9 CAUTION PROFILE
NorflondonforeverRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.2
7-4-11-12-8-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 10f | Standard
Wgt10st 9lb
Result7 btn 0.8L
SP11/2
JockeyMr James Hills
OR63
FFR87
SS85
06-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 11f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result4 btn 1.5L
SP25/1
JockeyTom Eaves
OR63
FFR35
SS91
20-07-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result11 btn 4L
SP25/1
JockeyEdward Greatrex
OR65
FFR30
SS98
14-06-2026
SalisburyClass 5 | 8f | Good
Wgt8st 13lb
Result12 btn 1.2L
SP25/1
JockeyOliver Carmichael
OR67
FFR34
SS86
22-05-2026
HaydockClass 5 | 10f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 8lb
Result8 btn 7.5L
SP10/1
JockeyDaniel Tudhope
OR68
FFR59
SS105
15-04-2025
Kempton (AW)Class 5 | 1m | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result1
SP5/1
JockeyEdward Greatrex
OR67
FFR57
SS--
 9st 12lb 11 OR 61 57 -4lb 19 1.13 -13.9 Standard rest Down in trip Modest field -- 49% 56% 1/6 105 E Near mark -1 WATCH ONLY
Main Context Fit Ballybunion

Ballybunion profiles as a unclear with a stable trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is D. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Stipulation

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Ballybunion Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 44.0
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 44.0 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form3-4-6-13-2-2
FFR65 / +0lb
Speed96
Franked0
Ground2/2 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw9
Wgt9st 10lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3 Southwell (AW) Solid effort 31-08-2026
4 Kempton (AW) Finished well 10-08-2026
6 Wolverhampton (AW) Finished well 31-07-2026
13 Ascot Competitive 08-05-2026
2 Yarmouth Run faded 13-10-2025
2 Ripon Solid effort 27-09-2025
Race form proof Some franked form

Form strength unproven

Proof rating0
0winners since
0placers since
2evidence pts
05-08-2026 | Ascot Finished 13
Beat named rivals

Arry Up (GB), Bellini Spirit (IRE), Sizzling Seixas (FR)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR65
Speed96
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementMixed setup
FFR vs OR+0lb near mark
FFR 65 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
96 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score31.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI DLOW
Mark readWorkable markLatest +0lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +6lb
Today's conditions match 56% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 52%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs3/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 54
Good 3 0W / 2P Peak rating 72
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 3 0W / 1P Peak rating --
Placement evidence 60% Neutral placement read
Trip evidence 44%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 70%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 68%
Trainer and jockey setup recordedRecent evidence contains a positive run clueNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +0lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +6lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest +0lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +6lb

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 65 | Latest FFR 65 | Best FFR 80 | Public mark read +6
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Michael Bell
Jockey Oisin Murphy
Age 3
Draw 9
OR 65
Avg OR 60.3
OR vs Field +4.7
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 2-0643
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Reliable; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.0
Variance Reliable 6.6% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 1.8 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m
Runs at profile2
DEID
ReliabilityLOW
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
10-08-2026 Kempton (AW) Standard / Slow 4 1:40.83 100.8
31-08-2026 Southwell (AW) Standard 3 1:41.69 101.7
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 15 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window
Ground timing match 2/2 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP7/2
OwnerI Foster D Fish W Dale S Dale
Pedigree

Footstepsinthesand × Princess Pearl (Teofilo)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
No headline flagNo course, distance or beaten-favourite flag recorded
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
2/3 fast finish Avg beaten 1.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
31-08-2026 Southwell (AW) 3 2.8 Neutral finish
10-08-2026 Kempton (AW) 4 1.2 Fast finish
31-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 6 0.3 Fast finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet. 2 earlier runs were unrated.
27-09-2025 | Ripon
Rating 70 OR Unrated
13-10-2025 | Yarmouth
Rating 72 OR Unrated
08-05-2026 | Ascot
Rating -- OR 72
31-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 69
10-08-2026 | Kempton (AW)
Rating -- OR 67
31-08-2026 | Southwell (AW)
Rating -- OR 66
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Trip evidence building
Similar-trip runs2
ReliabilityLOW
Winning-time par2m 00.97s
Last win at tripNo exact-distance win recorded
Recent times1:40.83 | 1:41.69
Recent positions4 | 3
Winning contextWinning-run context developing
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
31-08-2026 Southwell (AW) | 8f | Standard | Class 5 3 7/2 66 -- -- 2.8 -- GREY - no timing read
10-08-2026 Kempton (AW) | 8f | Standard / Slow | Class 5 4 5/1 67 -- -- 1.2 -- GREY - no timing read
31-07-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 7f | Standard | Class 5 6 12/1 69 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
08-05-2026 Ascot | 6f | Good | Class 4 13 20/1 72 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
13-10-2025 Yarmouth | 6f | Good | Class 4 2 13/2 -- 72 64 4 1:11.52 GOLD - faster than par
27-09-2025 Ripon | 6f | Good | Class 5 2 15/2 -- 70 33 5 1:14.85 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Workable mark

Latest +0lb | peak +15lb treated as ceiling | public read +6lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 64.3 and winning TS par is around 41. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Stipulation Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 43.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 43.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-6-7-6-8-3
FFR70 / +10lb
Speed100
Franked33
Ground3/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw12
Wgt9st 11lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Chepstow Solid effort 09-08-2026
6 Beverley Competitive 28-07-2026
7 Nottingham Competitive 04-07-2026
6 Windsor Troubled run 15-06-2026
8 Wolverhampton (AW) Competitive 18-05-2026
3 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 02-02-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating33
4winners since
4placers since
12evidence pts
08-09-2026 | Chepstow Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Annexation (FR), Dancingondiamonds (FR), Pride Of Nepal (GB)

07-04-2026 | Nottingham Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Into Combat (GB)

Race produced winner

Danehill Star (IRE), Pride Eye (GB)

Later placers

Holly Mist (IRE) (04-05-2026), Quirke On Parole (GB) (08-05-2026)

02-02-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Launceston (IRE), Magic Runner (GER), Poetic Force (IRE)

Race produced winner

Law Supreme (FR), The Dark Baron (IRE)

Later placers

Poetic Force (IRE) (03-05-2026), Powerful Response (IRE) (04-08-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR70
Speed100
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+10lb ahead of mark
FFR 70 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
100 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score22.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BMEDIUM
Mark readWell treatedLatest +10lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 63% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating70
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 0W / 1P Peak rating 54
Good 1 0W / 0P Peak rating 61
Fast 7 1W / 4P Peak rating 69
All-weather 11 1W / 6P Peak rating 73
Placement evidence 72% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 78%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (B)5 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +10lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +10lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 60 | Latest FFR 70 | Best FFR 79 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Mark Loughnane
Jockey Jack Callan
Age 5
Draw 12
OR 60
Avg OR 60.3
OR vs Field -0.3
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 386762
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Stable

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Very steady 4.9% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 3.4 vs par
Curve Stable Trend 0
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m1½f
Latest matched-distance time is the best of the recent timed set.
Profile distance1m1½f
Runs at profile5
DEIB
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
16-01-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 3 2:1.15 121.2
02-02-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 3 2:0.70 120.7
18-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 8 2:0.30 120.3
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.8 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 37 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.8 recent distance evidence matches today's ground; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: p; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP13/2
OwnerS A Mares
Pedigree

New Bay × Danamight (Danetime)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.7L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
09-08-2026 Chepstow 2 1.5 Neutral finish
28-07-2026 Beverley 6 0.5 Neutral finish
04-07-2026 Nottingham 7 0.1 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 1 runs with an official OR.
02-02-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 70 OR 65
18-05-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 65
15-06-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 65
04-07-2026 | Nottingham
Rating -- OR 63
28-07-2026 | Beverley
Rating -- OR 61
09-08-2026 | Chepstow
Rating -- OR 60
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs5
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par2m 00.97s
Last win at trip1:58.71 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 16-09-2025
Recent times2:1.15 | 2:0.70 | 2:0.30
Recent positions3 | 3 | 8
Winning contextvs par -2.26s | OR 61
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
09-08-2026 Chepstow | 10f | Good To Firm | Class 5 2 13/2 60 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
28-07-2026 Beverley | 10f | Good To Firm | Class 6 6 12/1 61 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
04-07-2026 Nottingham | 10f | Good To Firm | Class 6 7 8/1 63 -- -- 0.1 -- GREY - no timing read
15-06-2026 Windsor | 11.5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 6 10/1 65 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
18-05-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 9.5f | Standard | Class 6 8 11/1 65 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
02-02-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 1m1½f | Standard | Class 6 3 9/4F 65 70 40 0.5 2:00.70 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Well treated

Latest +10lb | peak +19lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 64.3 and winning TS par is around 41. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Have You A Minute Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 36.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 36.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-9-11-6-5-1
FFR59 / +8lb
Speed92
Franked38
Ground3/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Southwell (AW) Solid effort 16-08-2026
9 Wolverhampton (AW) Steady run 16-06-2026
11 Wolverhampton (AW) Below best 01-12-2025
6 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 28-10-2025
5 Southwell (AW) Troubled run 16-10-2025
1 Wolverhampton (AW) Troubled run 04-10-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Some form support

Proof rating38
5winners since
11placers since
14evidence pts
05-12-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 7
Beat named rivals

Desert Raider (GB), Snooze Lane (IRE), Star Of Jupiter (IRE)

Later placers

Pessoa (GB) (03-09-2026), Star Of Jupiter (IRE) (08-04-2026)

10-04-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 1
Beat named rivals

Boujee Gold (GB), City Escape (IRE), Enzos Angel (GB)

Race produced winner

Boujee Gold (GB), Init Together (GB)

Later placers

City Escape (IRE) (03-11-2025), Epicurian Lad (GB) (06-10-2025)

01-04-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 5
Beat named rivals

Capuchinero (GB), Crafter (IRE), Green Power (GB)

Race produced winner

Capuchinero (GB), Molly Valentine (IRE)

Later placers

Cerulean Summer (IRE) (03-05-2025), Crafter (IRE) (04-09-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement2/6
FFR59
Speed92
ConditionsPositive fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+8lb ahead of mark
FFR 59 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
92 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score24.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AMEDIUM
Mark readWell treatedLatest +8lb | peak +29lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 65% Positive conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs6/6
Best similar rating60
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 6 0W / 1P Peak rating 53
Good 3 0W / 0P Peak rating 48
Fast 0 0W / 0P Peak rating --
All-weather 16 3W / 7P Peak rating 66
Placement evidence 74% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 88%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (A)9 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +8lb | peak +29lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +8lb | peak +29lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 51 | Latest FFR 59 | Best FFR 80 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Tom Tate
Jockey Josephine Gordon
Age 6
Draw 6
OR 51
Avg OR 60.3
OR vs Field -9.3
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 560-92
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Cooling

confidence nudge +0.8
Variance Very steady 3.1% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 0.3 vs par
Curve Cooling Trend -1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Nearest profile 1m1½f
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance1m1½f
Runs at profile9
DEIA
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
28-10-2025 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 6 2:0.64 120.6
01-12-2025 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 11 2:3.21 123.2
16-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 9 2:1.19 121.2
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 30 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 3/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP11/1
OwnerT T Racing
Pedigree

Muhaarar × One Second (Intello)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 4.4L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
16-08-2026 Southwell (AW) 2 2 Neutral finish
16-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 9 7 Neutral finish
01-12-2025 Wolverhampton (AW) 11 4.2 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 2 of 4 runs with an official OR.
04-10-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 60 OR 51
16-10-2025 | Southwell (AW)
Rating 59 OR 54
28-10-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 46 OR 54
01-12-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 38 OR 53
16-06-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 52
16-08-2026 | Southwell (AW)
Rating -- OR 50
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs9
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par2m 00.97s
Last win at trip2:2.02 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 04-10-2025
Recent times2:0.64 | 2:3.21 | 2:1.19
Recent positions6 | 11 | 9
Winning contextvs par +1.05s | OR 51
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
16-08-2026 Southwell (AW) | 8f | Standard | Class 6 2 11/1 50 -- -- 2 -- GREY - no timing read
16-06-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 9.5f | Standard | Class 5 9 40/1 52 -- -- 7 -- GREY - no timing read
01-12-2025 Wolverhampton (AW) | 1m1½f | Standard | Class 6 11 15/2 53 38 -- 4.2 2:03.21 AMBER - competitive
28-10-2025 Wolverhampton (AW) | 1m1½f | Standard | Class 6 6 5/1 54 46 37 0.8 2:00.64 GOLD - faster than par
16-10-2025 Southwell (AW) | 1m | Standard | Class 6 5 7/2 54 59 15 0.5 1:43.06 GOLD - faster than par
04-10-2025 Wolverhampton (AW) | 1m1½f | Standard | Class 6 1 7/2F 51 60 19 0 2:2.02 GREEN - within 1% of par
Handicap Well treated

Latest +8lb | peak +29lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 64.3 and winning TS par is around 41. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
The Dark Baron Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 34.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 34.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form4-4-4-6-3-1
FFR51 / -11lb
Speed98
Franked49
Ground3/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt9st 13lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Baloo's Blues Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 31.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 31.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +8lb room
Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Form4-1-9-2-5-4
FFR65 / +2lb
Speed92
Franked59
Ground1/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw4
Wgt10st 0lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Magic Runner Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 22.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 22.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form6-7-5-10-7-5
FFR61 / +9lb
Speed92
Franked67
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassDown in class
Draw10
Wgt9st 3lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Snaafy Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 21.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 21.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Form5-9-2-5-3-3
FFR62 / +1lb
Speed96
Franked24
Ground2/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw7
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Amrum Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 20.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 20.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form9-8-1-6-9-7
FFR34 / -28lb
Speed92
Franked41
Ground0/1 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassDown in class
Draw3
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Sahm Naif Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 18.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 18.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-6-5-1-1-4
FFR57 / -5lb
Speed90
Franked14
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw8
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Special Ghaiyyath Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 15.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 15.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form7-7-4-7-9-8
FFR34 / -28lb
Speed98
Franked30
Ground2/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw2
Wgt9st 13lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Eagle Day Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 13.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Watch only 13.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form6-5-4-9-4-10
FFR51 / -12lb
Speed91
Franked18
Ground3/3 recent match
TripUp in trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt10st 0lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Norflondonforever Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.2
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 8.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form7-4-11-12-8-1
FFR57 / -4lb
Speed105
Franked19
Ground1/1 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw11
Wgt9st 12lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
8:00 | Wolverhampton (AW)

8:00 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 5f

Class 6 | Standard | Get Raceday Ready Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 72 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosMedium
Average OR56.810 rated runners | Top OR 60: Victor Cee
Winning par1m 01.38s124 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupTAPETA: STANDARD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-60 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos medium
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Dragon God leads the contextual model at 35.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Clearer top profile: +9.5 gap to nearest rival
  • Winning-time par: 1m 01.38s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 10 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Dragon GodRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 53.0
3-3-1-3-2-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
24-08-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result3 btn 1.5L
SP11/2
JockeyTom Marquand
OR56
FFR52
SS96
07-08-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 12lb
Result3 btn 0.8L
SP11/4
JockeyCharles Bishop
OR53
FFR63
SS89
02-08-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result1
SP7/2
JockeyTom Marquand
OR53
FFR65
SS98
16-07-2026
ChepstowClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 11lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP9/4
JockeyMyla Coppins
OR54
FFR67
SS96
27-06-2026
ChepstowClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP5/1
JockeyRowan Scott
OR53
FFR59
SS90
04-06-2026
WetherbyClass 6 | 5.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 1.8L
SP11/2
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR55
FFR58
SS98
 9st 6lb 6 OR 56 58 +2lb 28 1.13 +12.8 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 63% 71% 0/6 98 B Well treated +8 CAUTION PROFILE
Henery HawkRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 49.8
2-7-3-5-3-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 3lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP4/1
JockeyTom Kiely-Marshall
OR56
FFR40
SS90
10-08-2026
AyrClass 6 | 6f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 9lb
Result7 btn 0.3L
SP12/1
JockeyDavid Allan
OR57
FFR53
SS102
27-07-2026
AyrClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 10lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP7/1
JockeyConnor Beasley
OR58
FFR49
SS98
16-07-2026
HamiltonClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 12lb
Result5 btn 0.5L
SP16/1
JockeyDavid Allan
OR59
FFR62
SS101
06-07-2026
AyrClass 6 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 12lb
Result3 btn 1.8L
SP33/1
JockeyKaiya Fraser
OR59
FFR47
SS98
26-06-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard To Slow
Wgt8st 8lb
Result10 btn 1.5L
SP33/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR60
FFR63
SS103
 9st 8lb 9 OR 58 63 +5lb 12 1.13 +3.3 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 63% 68% 2/6 103 A Workable +5 WATCH ONLY
BananaRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 45.8
3-4-2-10-2-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
25-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP4/1
JockeyKieran O'Neill
OR49
FFR75
SS96
05-08-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP13/8F
JockeyTaryn Langley
OR50
FFR81
SS96
03-07-2026
ChepstowClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 1.8L
SP5/2
JockeyKieran O'Neill
OR50
FFR60
SS98
30-10-2025
BathClass 6 | 5f | Heavy
Wgt--
Result10 btn 2L
SP14/1
JockeyJoey Haynes
OR50
FFR59
SS101
11-10-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result2 btn 0.8L
SP7/2J
JockeyKieran ONeill
OR48
FFR57
SS103
04-10-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP18/1
JockeyCharlie Bennett
OR50
FFR60
SS93
 8st 12lb 8 OR 48 60 +12lb 22 1.13 +3.3 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 60% 72% 1/6 93 C Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
BasholoRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 20.8
6-10-4-8-4-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
27-04-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result6 btn 1.2L
SP12/1
JockeyZak Wheatley
OR60
FFR72
SS97
28-03-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result10 btn 1.5L
SP40/1
JockeyStevie Donohoe
OR62
FFR71
SS94
02-03-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP14/1
JockeyJason Hart
OR63
FFR77
SS98
09-02-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result8 btn 0.3L
SP25/1
JockeyZak Wheatley
OR65
FFR74
SS103
13-01-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result4 btn 1.8L
SP50/1
JockeyZak Wheatley
OR66
FFR65
SS102
02-01-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result5 btn 4L
SP33/1
JockeyZak Wheatley
OR66
FFR69
SS98
 9st 8lb 1 OR 58 69 +11lb 22 1.13 -7 Long absence Same trip Modest field -- 65% 69% 2/6 98 A Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
Little JaybeeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 20.0
2-2-3-3-9-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
10-09-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 7lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP11/2
JockeyBilly Loughnane
OR58
FFR57
SS84
28-08-2026
Ffos LasClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 8lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP3/1
JockeyJoe Leavy
OR58
FFR42
SS100
12-08-2026
Ffos LasClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP9/1
JockeyJ F Egan
OR60
FFR54
SS92
03-08-2026
NottinghamClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result3 btn 2.8L
SP5/1
JockeyKieran Shoemark
OR60
FFR55
SS90
15-06-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result9 btn 0.2L
SP16/1
JockeySean Levey
OR65
FFR64
SS97
18-05-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 6lb
Result6 btn 0.5L
SP22/1
JockeyRob Hornby
OR68
FFR63
SS89
 9st 7lb 2 OR 58 63 +5lb 34 1.13 +3 Quick return Same trip Modest field -- 61% 68% 0/6 89 B Workable +6 CAUTION PROFILE
Love AliveRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 18.0
5-3-11-3-6-9
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
05-08-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 1L
SP3/1
JockeyAlistair Rawlinson
OR61
FFR71
SS87
24-07-2026
ThirskClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result3 btn 1.8L
SP18/1
JockeyAlistair Rawlinson
OR62
FFR50
SS84
25-06-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard To Slow
Wgt8st 13lb
Result11 btn 2L
SP40/1
JockeyRhys Elliott
OR65
FFR61
SS82
08-06-2026
LeicesterClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result3 btn 0.1L
SP18/1
JockeyJack Dace
OR66
FFR30
SS94
25-05-2026
RedcarClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 7lb
Result6 btn 3L
SP14/1
JockeyAndrew Mullen
OR68
FFR64
SS94
13-03-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard
Wgt--
Result9 btn 2L
SP14/1
JockeyJack Dace
OR69
FFR52
SS94
 9st 8lb 10 OR 59 52 -7lb 20 1.13 -2.7 Freshened up Down in trip Modest field -- 53% 60% 0/6 94 B Stiff -4 CAUTION PROFILE
Sheik YerboutiRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 15.2
7-3-11-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
12-08-2026
Ffos LasClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result7 btn 4L
SP18/1
JockeyAshley Lewis
OR59
FFR61
SS82
16-06-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 5f | Standard
Wgt9st 8lb
Result3 btn 2.5L
SP200/1
JockeyAshley Lewis
OR--
FFR43
SS--
23-05-2026
SalisburyClass 4 | 6f | Good
Wgt10st 2lb
Result11 btn 5.5L
SP200/1
JockeyJack Doughty
OR--
FFR71
SS--
11-02-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 4 | 1m | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result8 btn 0.8L
SP150/1
JockeyEdward Greatrex
OR--
FFR25
SS--
 9st 6lb 3 OR 56 25 -31lb 0 1.13 -7.7 Freshened up Same trip Modest field -- 48% 48% 0/6 82 D Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Victor CeeRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 8.8
7-3-5-7-8-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
30-07-2026
EpsomClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 3lb
Result7 btn 8L
SP28/1
JockeyTyler Heard
OR63
FFR77
SS100
15-07-2026
YarmouthClass 5 | 5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result3 btn 1L
SP13/2
JockeyConnor Planas
OR64
FFR45
SS91
16-06-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 6f | Standard
Wgt9st 5lb
Result5 btn 1.2L
SP11/1
JockeyConnor Planas
OR66
FFR35
SS92
26-05-2026
LingfieldClass 5 | 7f | Good
Wgt9st 4lb
Result7 btn 11L
SP28/1
JockeyJ F Egan
OR70
FFR62
SS96
15-05-2026
NewmarketClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 7lb
Result8 btn 3.5L
SP12/1
JockeyJ F Egan
OR73
FFR69
SS95
22-04-2026
CatterickClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt--
Result3 btn 1.2L
SP13/2
JockeyJ F Egan
OR74
FFR35
SS95
 9st 9lb 7 OR 60 35 -25lb 37 1.13 +0 Freshened up Down in trip Modest field -- 48% 48% 0/6 95 D Stiff -16 CAUTION PROFILE
Koffee And KaleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 7.8
4-6-4-7-5-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
24-08-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 6lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP11/2
JockeyHector Crouch
OR61
FFR35
SS93
13-08-2026
WindsorClass 5 | 6f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP4/1
JockeySilvestre De Sousa
OR63
FFR62
SS97
30-07-2026
EpsomClass 6 | 7f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result4 btn 0.5L
SP17/2
JockeyDaniel Muscutt
OR65
FFR55
SS100
09-07-2026
DoncasterClass 5 | 5.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 5lb
Result7 btn 0.2L
SP22/1
JockeyMr Kenny Roussety
OR67
FFR55
SS95
25-06-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 5 | 5f | Standard To Slow
Wgt9st 9lb
Result5 btn 1L
SP15/2
JockeyTom Marquand
OR70
FFR56
SS101
13-06-2026
LeicesterClass 5 | 6f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result7 btn 4L
SP12/1
JockeyRoss Coakley
OR72
FFR57
SS89
 9st 9lb 4 OR 60 57 -3lb 34 1.13 -3.7 Standard rest Down in trip Modest field -- 55% 61% 0/6 89 C Near mark +0 CAUTION PROFILE
Harry MoleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 6.0
4-3-3-2-2-5
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
27-08-2026
CarlisleClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 5lb
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP7/2F
JockeyDougie Costello
OR56
FFR48
SS92
08-08-2026
AyrClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 6lb
Result3 btn 2.5L
SP11/2
JockeyDougie Costello
OR57
FFR63
SS87
25-07-2026
ChesterClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP9/2
JockeyGeorge Wood
OR57
FFR63
SS99
13-06-2026
BathClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 10lb
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP11/4F
JockeyDougie Costello
OR56
FFR71
SS90
05-06-2026
ThirskClass 6 | 5f | Good
Wgt9st 3lb
Result2 btn 0.3L
SP9/1
JockeyDougie Costello
OR54
FFR52
SS--
18-05-2026
CarlisleClass 5 | 5f | Good
Wgt8st 5lb
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP22/1
JockeyFaye McManoman
OR57
FFR57
SS--
 9st 5lb 5 OR 55 57 +2lb 1 1.13 -1.2 Standard rest Same trip Modest field -- 58% 59% 0/6 90 D Well treated +8 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Dragon God

Dragon God profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is B. Model alignment is 0/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Henery Hawk

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Dragon God Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 53.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Best of a weak race 53.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form3-3-1-3-2-5
FFR58 / +2lb
Speed98
Franked28
Ground0/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3 Windsor Finished well 24-08-2026
3 Brighton Solid effort 07-08-2026
1 Yarmouth Strong run 02-08-2026
3 Chepstow Solid effort 16-07-2026
2 Chepstow Solid effort 27-06-2026
5 Wetherby Run faded 04-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating28
2winners since
5placers since
12evidence pts
08-07-2026 | Brighton Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Bated Breeze (IRE), Kodi K (IRE), Mart (GB)

Later placers

Bated Breeze (IRE) (09-07-2026)

05-07-2026 | Windsor Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Barnsnape Boy (GB), Hello Luna (FR), Honour Your Dreams (FR)

Race produced winner

Barnsnape Boy (GB)

Later placers

Hello Luna (FR) (04-08-2026), Manhattan Chute (IRE) (08-07-2026)

04-05-2026 | Bath Finished 9
Beat named rivals

Call Time (IRE), Reporter (GB), Symbol Of Hope (GB)

Race produced winner

Secret Handsheikh (GB)

Later placers

Symbol Of Hope (GB) (06-05-2026), The Feminine Urge (IRE) (07-09-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status CAUTION PROFILE
Agreement0/6
FFR58
Speed98
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+2lb near mark
FFR 58 pounds scale
SpeedScorearound par
98 Par 100
Best reasonModel evidence is not clean enough for a positive stance Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeBest of a weak raceThis runner is not clean on every metric, but the field looks more compromised and the contextual edge is still strongest.
Model score35.8Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI BMEDIUM
Mark readWell treatedLatest +2lb | peak +11lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb
Today's conditions match 63% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 78%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather No recent all-weather sample; best evidence is on fast ground
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs0/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandFast
Read No recent all-weather sample; best evidence is on fast ground Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 1 0W / 0P Peak rating --
Good 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 65
Fast 8 1W / 7P Peak rating 59
All-weather 5 0W / 0P Peak rating 65
Placement evidence 71% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 86%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 76%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (B)6 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +8lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +2lb | peak +11lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +2lb | peak +11lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 56 | Latest FFR 58 | Best FFR 67 | Public mark read +8
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Jack Morland
Jockey George Wood
Age 4
Draw 6
OR 56
Avg OR 56.8
OR vs Field -0.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 523133
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Below requirement; Edging forward

confidence nudge +1.8
Variance Very steady 4.1% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Below requirement -1.7 vs par
Curve Edging forward Trend 1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile6
DEIB
ReliabilityMEDIUM
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
16-07-2026 Chepstow Good To Firm 3 0:58.31 58.3
02-08-2026 Yarmouth Good To Firm 1 1:0.37 60.4
24-08-2026 Windsor Good To Firm 3 1:1.40 61.4
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
-0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 22 days Recent fitness window
Micro score -0.2 no recent matched-ground timing evidence; recent run fitness window; headgear declared: t; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 0/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgeartDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP11/2
OwnerNaser Alrashidi
Pedigree

Territories × Afrodita (Montjeu)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.8L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
24-08-2026 Windsor 3 1.5 Fast finish
07-08-2026 Brighton 3 0.8 Neutral finish
02-08-2026 Yarmouth 1 0 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
04-06-2026 | Wetherby
Rating -- OR 55
27-06-2026 | Chepstow
Rating -- OR 53
16-07-2026 | Chepstow
Rating -- OR 54
02-08-2026 | Yarmouth
Rating -- OR 53
07-08-2026 | Brighton
Rating -- OR 53
24-08-2026 | Windsor
Rating -- OR 56
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs6
ReliabilityMEDIUM
Winning-time par1m 01.38s
Last win at trip-- | Yarmouth | 02-08-2026
Recent times0:58.31 | 1:0.37 | 1:1.40
Recent positions3 | 1 | 3
Winning contextOR 53 | weight 9-7
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
24-08-2026 Windsor | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 3 11/2 56 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
07-08-2026 Brighton | 6f | Good To Firm | Class 6 3 11/4 53 -- -- 0.8 -- GREY - no timing read
02-08-2026 Yarmouth | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 1 7/2 53 -- -- 0 -- GREY - no timing read
16-07-2026 Chepstow | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 5 3 9/4 54 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
27-06-2026 Chepstow | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 2 5/1 53 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
04-06-2026 Wetherby | 5.5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 5 11/2 55 -- -- 1.8 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Well treated

Latest +2lb | peak +11lb treated as ceiling | public read +8lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 64.1 and winning TS par is around 49.3. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 0/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Henery Hawk Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 49.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 49.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-7-3-5-3-10
FFR63 / +5lb
Speed103
Franked12
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw9
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
2 Wolverhampton (AW) Solid effort 01-09-2026
7 Ayr Run faded 10-08-2026
3 Ayr Solid effort 27-07-2026
5 Hamilton Competitive 16-07-2026
3 Ayr Solid effort 06-07-2026
10 Newcastle (AW) Competitive 26-06-2026
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating12
1winners since
3placers since
10evidence pts
04-09-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 6
Beat named rivals

Coolagh Magic (GB), Neptune Legend (IRE), Some Nightmare (IRE)

Later placers

Kento (GB) (06-09-2026), Some Nightmare (IRE) (08-09-2026)

01-09-2026 | Newcastle (AW) Finished 3
Beat named rivals

Arlington (GB), Auntie Jo (GB), Desert Master (GB)

03-07-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Colors Of Freedom (GB), Colour Code (IRE), Port Hedland (GB)

Race produced winner

Washington Heir (GB)

Later placers

Kento (GB) (07-07-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement2/6
FFR63
Speed103
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+5lb ahead of mark
FFR 63 pounds scale
SpeedScoreabove par
103 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score26.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI AHIGH
Mark readWorkable markLatest FFR read +5lb versus today's OR
Today's conditions match 63% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 90%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 76%
Best fit Trip / ground Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs2/6
Best similar rating--
Best ground bandGood
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 4 0W / 0P Peak rating 60
Good 7 0W / 1P Peak rating 54
Fast 9 0W / 2P Peak rating 64
All-weather 37 5W / 15P Peak rating 74
Placement evidence 68% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 100%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 67%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 58%
Proven trip profile (A)49 similar-trip runs recordedTrainer and jockey setup recordedRecent form includes a win/place signalNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest FFR read +5lb versus today's OR Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Workable mark Latest FFR read +5lb versus today's OR

The mark looks competitive against the horse's recorded FFR evidence.

Today's OR 58 | Latest FFR 63 | Best FFR 63 | Public mark read +5
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Linda Perratt
Jockey Kaiya Fraser
Age 7
Draw 9
OR 58
Avg OR 56.8
OR vs Field +1.2
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 35372
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Predictive support

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Edging forward

confidence nudge +2.8
Variance Very steady 4.5% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 3 vs par
Curve Edging forward Trend 1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile49
DEIA
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
16-07-2026 Hamilton Good To Firm 5 0:58.69 58.7
27-07-2026 Ayr Good To Firm 3 0:58.84 58.8
01-09-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) Standard 2 1:0.50 60.5
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 14 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgearNoneNo headgear declared
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP4/1
OwnerMiss L A Perratt
Pedigree

Heeraat × Rosecomb (Rip Van Winkle)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Course + distanceHas won over this course and distance
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
0/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.3L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
01-09-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) 2 0.3 Neutral finish
10-08-2026 Ayr 7 0.3 Run faded
27-07-2026 Ayr 3 0.3 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
No previous official OR is available for a ratings comparison yet.
26-06-2026 | Newcastle (AW)
Rating -- OR 60
06-07-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 59
16-07-2026 | Hamilton
Rating -- OR 59
27-07-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 58
10-08-2026 | Ayr
Rating -- OR 57
01-09-2026 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating -- OR 56
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs49
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 01.38s
Last win at trip1:00.91 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 27-04-2026
Recent times0:58.69 | 0:58.84 | 1:0.50
Recent positions5 | 3 | 2
Winning contextvs par -0.47s | OR 54
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
01-09-2026 Wolverhampton (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 6 2 4/1 56 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
10-08-2026 Ayr | 6f | Good To Soft | Class 6 7 12/1 57 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
27-07-2026 Ayr | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 3 7/1 58 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
16-07-2026 Hamilton | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 5 16/1 59 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
06-07-2026 Ayr | 6f | Good | Class 6 3 33/1 59 -- -- 1.8 -- GREY - no timing read
26-06-2026 Newcastle (AW) | 5f | Standard To Slow | Class 5 10 33/1 60 -- -- 1.5 -- GREY - no timing read
Handicap Workable mark

Latest FFR read +5lb versus today's OR.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 64.1 and winning TS par is around 49.3. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 2/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Banana Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 45.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 45.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (C)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form3-4-2-10-2-4
FFR60 / +12lb
Speed93
Franked22
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw8
Wgt8st 12lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Last 6 Finishing Positions Most recent first | 1 = win | 2-3 = placed | open the full table for detail
3 Lingfield (AW) Finished well 25-08-2026
4 Yarmouth Competitive 05-08-2026
2 Chepstow Solid effort 03-07-2026
10 Bath Run faded 30-10-2025
2 Wolverhampton (AW) Strong run 11-10-2025
4 Wolverhampton (AW) Run faded 04-10-2025
Race form proof Strongly franked

Form strength unproven

Proof rating22
2winners since
7placers since
12evidence pts
08-05-2026 | Yarmouth Finished 4
Beat named rivals

Charging Bull (IRE), Chiedozie (GB)

Later placers

Charging Bull (IRE) (04-09-2026)

07-03-2026 | Chepstow Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Bama Lama (GB), Daley T (IRE), River Edge (GB)

Later placers

Daley T (IRE) (01-08-2026), Rogue Rebellion (GB) (05-04-2026)

03-12-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW) Finished 2
Beat named rivals

Alshimali (IRE), Autumn Angel (IRE), Mehmo (IRE)

Race produced winner

Ramon Di Loria (IRE), Vitalline (GB)

Later placers

Autumn Angel (IRE) (01-06-2026), Piperstown (IRE) (02-09-2026)

Full evidence Open only when you want the full technical profile
Decision read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Status WATCH ONLY
Agreement1/6
FFR60
Speed93
ConditionsMixed fit
PlacementPositive setup
FFR vs OR+12lb ahead of mark
FFR 60 pounds scale
SpeedScorebelow par
93 Par 100
Best reasonNeeds more evidence before treating as a betting profile Main riskNo major model risk flagged
Decision typeWatch onlyThe horse has some positives, but not enough clean evidence to treat as a strong betting read.
Model score26.2Underlying model read
Trip / groundDEI CHIGH
Mark readWell treatedLatest +12lb | peak +33lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb
Today's conditions match 60% Mixed conditions match
Trip / ground 66%
Class 50%
Pace shape 50%
Track / draw 50%
Handicap 86%
Best fit Handicap Question Class
Ground evidence All-weather Proven on today's ground band
TodayStandard
Similar-ground runs3/6
Best similar rating54
Best ground bandAll-weather
Read Proven on today's ground band Today All-weather
Ground record by surface Runs, wins, places and peak rating by ground band
Testing 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 53
Good 2 0W / 0P Peak rating 55
Fast 8 2W / 6P Peak rating 57
All-weather 37 0W / 11P Peak rating 55
Placement evidence 72% Positive placement clues
Trip evidence 78%
Class fit 50%
Mark room 88%
Stable setup 66%
Recent evidence 76%
Proven trip profile (C)24 similar-trip runs recordedConservative mark read gives +12lb roomTrainer and jockey setup recordedNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Mark read Latest +12lb | peak +33lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb Evidence Observable only
Handicap Opportunity Well treated Latest +12lb | peak +33lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb

Our conservative FFR evidence suggests today's official mark may leave useful room for improvement.

Today's OR 48 | Latest FFR 60 | Best FFR 81 | Public mark read +12
Hidden Run DetectorNo hidden run flagged

No recent performance currently meets the ForeFurlongs hidden-effort checks.

Trainer Scott Dixon
Jockey Kieran O'Neill
Age 7
Draw 8
OR 48
Avg OR 56.8
OR vs Field -8.8
Rating No rating yet
TS --
Form 20-243
Run Style Unclear
Predictive edge Small positive nudge

Very steady; No bounce signal; No hidden upgrade; Par capable; Cooling

confidence nudge +0.8
Variance Very steady 3.4% volatility
Bounce No bounce signal Recent big figure regression check
Hidden Run No hidden upgrade Upgrade 0
Ceiling Par capable 3.4 vs par
Curve Cooling Trend -1
Pace & Finish Fit No clear style
Evidence Recent finish evidence only
Distance Timing Evidence Exact distance profile
Latest matched-distance time is slower than the earlier timed sample.
Profile distance5f
Runs at profile24
DEIC
ReliabilityHIGH
DateCourseGoingPosTimeSecs
03-07-2026 Chepstow Good To Firm 2 0:58.95 59
05-08-2026 Yarmouth Good To Firm 4 1:1.27 61.3
25-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) Standard 3 0:59.69 59.7
Extra Intelligence Trainer, equipment, freshness and background clues
+0.2 micro score
Trainer RTF -- Trainer recent-form data unavailable
Freshness 21 days Recent fitness window
Micro score +0.2 recent run fitness window; headgear declared: tp; API past-result flags present
Ground timing match 1/3 Recent distance-time runs on today's ground
HeadgeartpDeclared equipment
WindNo wind surgery flag
Latest SP4/1
OwnerAmphitheatre Racing Limited
Pedigree

Aclaim × Bazzana (Zebedee)

Profile Signals Form clues that can sharpen the read
Distance winHas won at this trip
Race comment

No recent race comment available.

Market note

No verified market note available.

Model impact

Only reliable clues can move the rating, and the nudge is capped at +/-2 so the core score stays stable.

Recent Evidence Last 3 runs
1/3 fast finish Avg beaten 0.9L
DateCoursePosBeatenFinish
25-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) 3 0.3 Fast finish
05-08-2026 Yarmouth 4 0.5 Neutral finish
03-07-2026 Chepstow 2 1.8 Neutral finish
Ratings TrendLast 6 rating vs OR
Oldest to newest | rating shows performance; OR shows handicap mark
Exceeded the handicap mark in 1 of 3 runs with an official OR.
04-10-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 49 OR 50
11-10-2025 | Wolverhampton (AW)
Rating 54 OR 48
30-10-2025 | Bath
Rating 24 OR 50
03-07-2026 | Chepstow
Rating -- OR 50
05-08-2026 | Yarmouth
Rating -- OR 50
25-08-2026 | Lingfield (AW)
Rating -- OR 49
Distance intelligenceTrip evidence
Experienced at trip
Similar-trip runs24
ReliabilityHIGH
Winning-time par1m 01.38s
Last win at trip0:57.94 | Chepstow | 11-07-2025
Recent times0:58.95 | 1:1.27 | 0:59.69
Recent positions2 | 4 | 3
Winning contextvs par -3.44s | OR 50
Last 6 runs
Date Conditions Result SP OR Rating TS Beaten Time FF Timing Read
25-08-2026 Lingfield (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 6 3 4/1 49 -- -- 0.3 -- GREY - no timing read
05-08-2026 Yarmouth | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 4 13/8F 50 -- -- 0.5 -- GREY - no timing read
03-07-2026 Chepstow | 5f | Good To Firm | Class 6 2 5/2 50 -- -- 1.8 -- GREY - no timing read
30-10-2025 Bath | 5f | Heavy | Class 6 10 14/1 50 24 7 2 1:05.35 GREY - below benchmark
11-10-2025 Wolverhampton (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 6 2 7/2J 48 54 49 0.8 1:0.84 GOLD - faster than par
04-10-2025 Wolverhampton (AW) | 5f | Standard | Class 6 4 18/1 50 49 39 0.5 1:1.21 GOLD - faster than par
Handicap Well treated

Latest +12lb | peak +33lb treated as ceiling | public read +12lb.

Benchmark Fit score 0

Historical benchmark read: historic winning rating par is around 64.1 and winning TS par is around 49.3. Benchmark fit: 0.

Model agreement 1/6 layers positive
DistanceBenchmarkMemoryPaceCommentaryFinish
Basholo Distance specialist
Model agreement 2/6
Fragile agreement
Decision Confidence 20.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 20.8 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkRecent evidence contains a fade/no-extra clue
Form6-10-4-8-4-5
FFR69 / +11lb
Speed98
Franked22
Ground3/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: Ground Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Little Jaybee Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 20.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 20.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-2-3-3-9-6
FFR63 / +5lb
Speed89
Franked34
Ground1/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw2
Wgt9st 7lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Love Alive Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 18.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 18.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (B)
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form5-3-11-3-6-9
FFR52 / -7lb
Speed94
Franked20
Ground1/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw10
Wgt9st 8lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Sheik Yerbouti Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 15.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance evidence is thin.
Watch only 15.2 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form7-3-11-8
FFR25 / -31lb
Speed82
Franked0
Ground1/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw3
Wgt9st 6lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Victor Cee Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 8.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 8.8 confidence
Why consider6 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkCurrent mark looks demanding on rating evidence
Form7-3-5-7-8-3
FFR35 / -25lb
Speed95
Franked37
Ground1/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassDown in class
Draw7
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Koffee And Kale Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 7.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 7.8 confidence
Why consider6 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form4-6-4-7-5-7
FFR57 / -3lb
Speed89
Franked34
Ground1/3 recent match
TripDown in trip
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Harry Mole Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 6.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 6.0 confidence
Why consider7 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form4-3-3-2-2-5
FFR57 / +2lb
Speed90
Franked1
Ground0/3 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt9st 5lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
8:30 | Wolverhampton (AW)

8:30 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 14f

Class 6 | Standard | Download The Racecourse App Raceday-Ready Handicap Stakes

Race Confidence 71 SHORTLIST RACE
Race DNASlow-tempo positioning race
ChaosLow
Average OR48.49 rated runners | Top OR 55: Le Rouge Chinois
Winning par3m 04.89s42 race class/course/distance/going sample
SetupTAPETA: STANDARD Stalls -- | Rail No rail note | Band 0-55 | Weather --
Race Snapshot

What the model sees

  • Slow-tempo positioning race | chaos low
  • Slow tempo risk -- position may matter more than closing speed
  • Clipsham Noble leads the contextual model at 36.8
  • Decision type: Best of a weak race - Top by context
  • Moderate edge over next best: +5.5
  • Winning-time par: 3m 04.89s
Race shape Slow-tempo positioning race No obvious tactical edge from race shape. 9 runner(s) have unclear run-style evidence.
Leaders0
Prominent0
Midfield0
Hold-up0
Race Scan + Compare Whole-field view before the deep dive
Tick runners to compare side by side, then open the full evidence below.
Find runners by angle Showing all runners
Select two or more runners to compare
Compare
Clipsham NobleRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 41.0
3-4-1-6-4-1
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
01-09-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 12f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result3 btn 0.3L
SP6/1
JockeyLiam Wright
OR51
FFR66
SS98
09-08-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP4/1
JockeyLiam Wright
OR51
FFR59
SS93
22-07-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 12lb
Result1
SP13/2
JockeyLiam Wright
OR49
FFR50
SS94
07-07-2026
PontefractClass 6 | 12f | Good
Wgt9st 1lb
Result6 btn 1.5L
SP9/2
JockeyLiam Wright
OR50
FFR65
SS96
25-06-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 12f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result4 btn 1L
SP5/1
JockeyLiam Wright
OR50
FFR55
SS87
25-05-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 12f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 11lb
Result1
SP13/2
JockeyLiam Wright
OR46
FFR63
SS98
 9st 4lb 2 OR 50 63 +13lb 3 1.13 +12.1 Standard rest Big step up Weak field -- 65% 74% 1/6 98 A Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Dinah MyteRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 39.8
1-6-6-3-2-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
08-09-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 10f | Good To Soft
Wgt8st 11lb
Result1
SP11/2
JockeyWilliam Pyle
OR48
FFR50
SS92
28-08-2026
Ffos LasClass 6 | 8f | Good To Soft
Wgt9st 9lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP2/1F
JockeyDylan Hogan
OR49
FFR69
SS109
11-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 12f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP9/1
JockeyLuke Morris
OR49
FFR53
SS111
28-07-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 12lb
Result3 btn 2.8L
SP5/1
JockeyDarragh Keenan
OR49
FFR58
SS91
04-07-2026
NottinghamClass 5 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt8st 4lb
Result2 btn 1.2L
SP7/1
JockeyWilliam Pyle
OR49
FFR53
SS91
15-06-2026
ChepstowClass 6 | 8f | Good
Wgt9st 2lb
Result4 btn 0.2L
SP5/2F
JockeyGeorge Bass
OR48
FFR66
SS99
 9st 2lb 7 OR 48 66 +18lb 28 1.13 +6.6 Quick return Big step up Weak field -- 55% 64% 1/6 99 E Well treated +12 WATCH ONLY
Sumatran TigerRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 34.8
9-2-4-5-4
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
16-05-2026
UttoxeterClass 5 | 20f | Good
Wgt11st 5lb
Result--
SP25/1
JockeyHarry Bannister
OR91
FFR67
SS99
28-11-2025
DoncasterClass 5 | 2m3½f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result9 btn 0.8L
SP20/1
JockeyFinn Lambert
OR93
FFR70
SS89
02-11-2025
HuntingdonClass 4 | 2m3½f | Good
Wgt--
Result2 btn 3.8L
SP14/1
JockeyFinn Lambert
OR--
FFR100
SS94
06-10-2025
StratfordClass 4 | 2m½f | Good
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.1L
SP150/1
JockeyFinn Lambert
OR--
FFR92
SS110
01-08-2025
BathClass 6 | 1m3½f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result5 btn 0.3L
SP80/1
JockeyAdam Wedge
OR54
FFR76
SS90
08-09-2024
Les Landes (JER)-- | 1m6f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result4 btn 0.8L
SP100/30
JockeyRaul Da Silva
OR--
FFR100
SS97
 9st 4lb 9 OR 50 100 +50lb 65 1.13 +0.8 Long absence Big drop back Weak field -- 60% 65% 0/6 97 C Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Le Rouge ChinoisRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 29.8
3-2-2-13-7-3
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
31-08-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 14f | Standard
Wgt10st 0lb
Result3 btn 2.2L
SP9/4
JockeySilvestre De Sousa
OR56
FFR82
SS92
17-08-2026
Lingfield (AW)Class 6 | 16f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 0.5L
SP13/8
JockeyOisin Murphy
OR55
FFR69
SS100
05-08-2026
YarmouthClass 6 | 14f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result2 btn 2L
SP9/2
JockeyTom Marquand
OR55
FFR64
SS107
23-04-2026
Longchamp-- | 1m7f | Good To Soft
Wgt--
Result13 btn 1.8L
SP45/1
JockeyJacky Nicoleau
OR58
FFR63
SS100
18-11-2025
Chantilly-- | 1m5½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 7.5L
SP28/1
JockeyJacky Nicoleau
OR--
FFR64
SS96
31-10-2025
Chantilly-- | 2m | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 0.2L
SP8/1
JockeyFabrice Veron
OR--
FFR52
SS90
 9st 9lb 1 OR 55 52 -3lb 31 1.13 +0.1 Standard rest Same trip Weak field -- 49% 51% 1/6 90 E Near mark +0 CAUTION PROFILE
Echo ValleyRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleBest of a weak race 29.0
2-4-7-10-7-7
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
18-06-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 12f | Standard
Wgt9st 0lb
Result2 btn 4.8L
SP40/1
JockeyTyler Heard
OR51
FFR73
SS89
29-05-2026
ChepstowClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 2lb
Result4 btn 6L
SP22/1
JockeyWilliam Carver
OR53
FFR71
SS88
13-05-2026
BathClass 6 | 10f | Firm
Wgt9st 9lb
Result7 btn 0.2L
SP80/1
JockeyWilliam Carver
OR55
FFR61
SS80
18-04-2026
NottinghamClass 4 | 1m½f | Good
Wgt--
Result10 btn 1.8L
SP400/1
JockeyWilliam Carver
OR--
FFR43
SS--
17-02-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 1m1½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result7 btn 3L
SP200/1
JockeyTyler Heard
OR--
FFR45
SS--
19-01-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 3 | 1m3f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.5L
SP33/1
JockeyCallum Hutchinson
OR--
FFR55
SS--
 8st 11lb 5 OR 51 55 +4lb 0 1.13 +6.3 Layoff check Big step up Weak field -- 58% 65% 0/6 80 D Well treated +10 CAUTION PROFILE
SaxophonicRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 27.0
4-4-6-8-3-10
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
21-08-2026
Ffos LasClass 6 | 12f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP9/2
JockeyLuke Morris
OR52
FFR65
SS95
23-07-2026
Southwell (AW)Class 6 | 11f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result4 btn 2.5L
SP9/2
JockeyRowan Scott
OR54
FFR79
SS91
23-05-2026
WindsorClass 6 | 11.5f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result6 btn 0.8L
SP16/1
JockeyJack Dace
OR56
FFR62
SS88
30-04-2026
Kempton (AW)Class 6 | 1m4f | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result8 btn 0.1L
SP4/1
JockeyRossa Ryan
OR58
FFR49
SS103
04-02-2026
Newcastle (AW)Class 6 | 1m2f | Standard
Wgt--
Result3 btn 2.2L
SP11/2
JockeyRowan Scott
OR59
FFR51
SS83
27-12-2025
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 4 | 1m½f | Standard
Wgt--
Result10 btn 3.2L
SP50/1
JockeyRowan Scott
OR--
FFR56
SS--
 8st 10lb 4 OR 50 56 +6lb 25 1.13 +4.6 Standard rest Big step up Weak field -- 55% 60% 1/6 83 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
D Day Major WinterRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 13.2
4-5-8-6-7-8
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-08-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 6 | 12f | Standard
Wgt9st 9lb
Result4 btn 1.2L
SP12/1
JockeyDavid Probert
OR44
FFR56
SS95
04-08-2026
LingfieldClass 6 | 9f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 1lb
Result5 btn 3.2L
SP9/2
JockeyHarry Davies
OR45
FFR60
SS97
08-07-2026
ChepstowClass 6 | 8f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 4lb
Result8 btn 14L
SP100/1
JockeyWilliam Cox
OR50
FFR27
SS77
22-06-2026
BrightonClass 6 | 10f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 10lb
Result6 btn 10L
SP12/1
JockeyFinley Marsh
OR52
FFR24
SS97
18-09-2025
Kempton (AW)Class 6 | 1m | Standard To Slow
Wgt--
Result7 btn 0.5L
SP4/1
JockeyDavid Egan
OR54
FFR45
SS88
12-08-2025
LingfieldClass 6 | 1m2f | Good To Firm
Wgt--
Result8 btn 18L
SP5/1
JockeyWilliam Carver
OR55
FFR54
SS92
 9st 0lb 6 OR 44 54 +10lb 13 1.13 -11.4 Standard rest Big step up Weak field -- 55% 58% 0/6 92 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Pink WallsRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 10.2
4-8-12
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
25-08-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 22f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 5lb
Result--
SP150/1
JockeyKevin Brogan
OR60
FFR112
SS66
12-07-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 22f | Good To Firm
Wgt10st 5lb
Result4 btn 10L
SP100/1
JockeyKevin Brogan
OR62
FFR71
SS87
16-06-2026
StratfordClass 5 | 16.5f | Good
Wgt10st 5lb
Result8 btn 8L
SP200/1
JockeyKevin Brogan
OR69
FFR108
SS90
08-05-2026
Market RasenClass 4 | 16.5f | Good
Wgt10st 8lb
Result--
SP300/1
JockeyLewis Stones
OR--
FFR62
SS89
19-04-2026
StratfordClass 4 | 2m½f | Good
Wgt--
Result12 btn 1.8L
SP250/1
JockeyLewis Stones
OR--
FFR62
SS94
04-04-2026
HaydockClass 4 | 1m7½f | Good
Wgt--
Result--
SP250/1
JockeyShane Quinlan
OR--
FFR98
SS83
 9st 0lb 3 OR 38 98 +60lb 12 1.13 -14.4 Standard rest Big drop back Weak field -- 55% 54% 0/6 83 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
This RibRun style: UnclearFinish: No clear styleWatch only 2.2
6-4-5-11-6
Last-six snapshot FFR green = above OR | red = below OR
DateRaceWgtResultSPJockeyORFFRSS
26-08-2026
CatterickClass 6 | 14f | Good
Wgt9st 0lb
Result6 btn 0.1L
SP12/1
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR52
FFR55
SS88
29-07-2026
LeicesterClass 6 | 12f | Good To Firm
Wgt9st 0lb
Result4 btn 0.3L
SP7/1
JockeyLaura Pearson
OR56
FFR72
SS84
06-07-2026
AyrClass 5 | 13f | Good
Wgt8st 8lb
Result5 btn 2.5L
SP33/1
JockeyJoanna Mason
OR58
FFR37
SS75
16-06-2026
Wolverhampton (AW)Class 5 | 8.5f | Standard
Wgt9st 3lb
Result11 btn 0.8L
SP40/1
JockeyMiss Kayleigh McCammon
OR61
FFR63
SS--
21-05-2026
HaydockClass 5 | 7f | Soft
Wgt9st 1lb
Result--
SP18/1
JockeyDavid Egan
OR61
FFR35
SS--
18-10-2025
CatterickClass 5 | 7f | Good
Wgt--
Result6 btn 5L
SP22/1
JockeyWilliam Pyle
OR--
FFR56
SS--
 8st 10lb 8 OR 50 56 +6lb 3 1.13 -4.4 Standard rest Same trip Weak field -- 55% 58% 0/6 75 E Well treated +12 CAUTION PROFILE
Main Context Fit Clipsham Noble

Clipsham Noble profiles as a unclear with a stable / positive signs trajectory. Distance intelligence grade is A. Model alignment is 1/6. No obvious tactical edge from race shape

Main Danger Dinah Myte

Nearest contextual rival.

View full racecard intelligence
Clipsham Noble Distance specialist
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 41.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 41.0 confidence
Why considerProven trip profile (A)
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form3-4-1-6-4-1
FFR63 / +13lb
Speed98
Franked3
Ground0/3 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw2
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Franked form Odds: 1.13
Dinah Myte Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 39.8
WATCH ONLY
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Best of a weak race 39.8 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form1-6-6-3-2-4
FFR66 / +18lb
Speed99
Franked28
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw7
Wgt9st 2lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Sumatran Tiger Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 34.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no major model risk flagged.
Watch only 34.8 confidence
Why consider5 similar-trip runs recorded
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form9-2-4-5-4
FFR100 / +50lb
Speed97
Franked65
Ground0/3 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassDown in class
Draw9
Wgt9st 4lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Le Rouge Chinois Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 29.8
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 29.8 confidence
Why considerTrainer and jockey setup recorded
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form3-2-2-13-7-3
FFR52 / -3lb
Speed90
Franked31
Ground2/2 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw1
Wgt9st 9lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Echo Valley Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 29.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: no exact-distance profile; nearest-trip evidence used.
Best of a weak race 29.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +10lb room
Main checkNo major placement caution from stored evidence
Form2-4-7-10-7-7
FFR55 / +4lb
Speed80
Franked0
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw5
Wgt8st 11lb
Best angle: Mark Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Saxophonic Context profile
Model agreement 1/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 27.0
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 27.0 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-4-6-8-3-10
FFR56 / +6lb
Speed83
Franked25
Ground1/2 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw4
Wgt8st 10lb
Best angle: Mark Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
D Day Major Winter Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 13.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 13.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-5-8-6-7-8
FFR54 / +10lb
Speed92
Franked13
Ground1/1 recent match
TripBig step up
ClassSame class
Draw6
Wgt9st 0lb
Best angle: SpeedScore Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
Pink Walls Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 10.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 10.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form4-8-12
FFR98 / +60lb
Speed83
Franked12
Ground2/2 recent match
TripBig drop back
ClassDown in class
Draw3
Wgt9st 0lb
Best angle: FFR Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13
This Rib Context profile
Model agreement 0/6
Low agreement
Decision Confidence 2.2
CAUTION PROFILE
Quick read Interesting on score, but needs caution: distance suitability is a caution (dei e).
Watch only 2.2 confidence
Why considerConservative mark read gives +12lb room
Main checkTrip evidence still asks questions
Form6-4-5-11-6
FFR56 / +6lb
Speed75
Franked3
Ground0/1 recent match
TripSame trip
ClassSame class
Draw8
Wgt8st 10lb
Best angle: Mark Main weakness: Alignment Odds: 1.13